Dominick Cruz vs Casey Kenney

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Marlon Vera	3	61 of 156	39%	63 of 160	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:10
Dominick Cruz	0	92 of 249	36%	100 of 259	2 of 7	28%	0	0	1:05

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Marlon Vera	1	9 of 33	27%	11 of 37	0 of 0	---	0	0:03
Dominick Cruz	0	21 of 61	34%	29 of 71	2 of 2	100%	0	0:49
2	Marlon Vera	0	19 of 52	36%	19 of 52	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
Dominick Cruz	0	32 of 78	41%	32 of 78	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Marlon Vera	0	21 of 49	42%	21 of 49	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
Dominick Cruz	0	28 of 80	35%	28 of 80	0 of 3	0%	0	0:16
4	Marlon Vera	2	12 of 22	54%	12 of 22	0 of 0	---	0	0:05
Dominick Cruz	0	11 of 30	36%	11 of 30	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Marlon Vera	61 of 156	39%	35 of 121	13 of 21	13 of 14	54 of 146	5 of 6	2 of 4
Dominick Cruz	92 of 249	36%	54 of 193	16 of 32	22 of 24	89 of 245	1 of 2	2 of 2

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Marlon Vera	9 of 33	27%	4 of 25	2 of 4	3 of 4	9 of 30	0 of 1	0 of 2
Dominick Cruz	21 of 61	34%	12 of 49	1 of 4	8 of 8	19 of 59	0 of 0	2 of 2
2	Marlon Vera	19 of 52	36%	9 of 40	6 of 8	4 of 4	18 of 51	1 of 1	0 of 0
Dominick Cruz	32 of 78	41%	17 of 55	7 of 14	8 of 9	31 of 77	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Marlon Vera	21 of 49	42%	14 of 39	3 of 6	4 of 4	17 of 45	4 of 4	0 of 0
Dominick Cruz	28 of 80	35%	21 of 68	2 of 6	5 of 6	28 of 79	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Marlon Vera	12 of 22	54%	8 of 17	2 of 3	2 of 2	10 of 20	0 of 0	2 of 2
Dominick Cruz	11 of 30	36%	4 of 21	6 of 8	1 of 1	11 of 30	0 of 0	0 of 0

Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vera (-210), Cruz (+180)

Round 1
It’s main event time, with former champion Cruz looking to make one last run at the title in front of the home folks. In his way is Vera, who’s won three straight and has title aspirations of his own. Herb Dean will be the third man in the cage for the evening’s featured bout. Cruz comes out aggressive iwth a high kick followd by a combination. Cruz with a head kick followed by a straight right hand. Cruz kicks to the body as Vera remains calm. A hard low kick for Cruz finds the mark. Vera throws a front kick and Cruz catches it and throws him on the canvas. Vera is right back up. Vera counters a low kick with a left hand and drops Cruz. the former champ pops right back to his feet. Cruz pressures with a combination, then has a head kick blocked. Cruz is forcing the issue with combinations. Cruz feints a takedown and misses with an overhand. Vera misses a front kick and Cruz pressures with punches. Cruz lands a low kick. A front kick down the middle lands for Vera. Cruz again pushes forward with a combination followed by a head kick. Again, Cruz blitzes forward with punches. With less than a minute to go, Cruz executes a nicely-timed takedown. Cruz is in full guard, looking to create space for ground-and-pound. Vera threatens with a triangle and Cruz stands. The round ends with Cruz kicking at his opponent’s legs.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cruz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cruz
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Cruz

Round 2
Vera opens with a high kick but Cruz blocks it. Cruz with another blitz of punches and he follows up with a low kick. Cruz with a low kick followed by a right hand. Cruz chips at the legs and then rushes forward with punches. Cruz stays busy with kicks and then counters as Vera moves in. Vera avoids another flurry of punches, but Cruz lands a nice right to the body. Cruz is mixing things up nicely, keeping Vera off balance. Cruz lands a leg kick, but Vera avoids the follow up combination. Another low kick lands for Cruz, but he can’t find the range on the ensuing flurry of punches. Cruz with a right to the body. He goes body-head and lands both. Vera finds the mark on a right hook. Cruz with a straight right, then a front kick down the middle and another right hand. Cruz shoots with 30 seconds, but Vera sprawls. Cruz lands a jab and Vera just misses a head kick before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cruz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cruz
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Cruz

Round 3
Cruz kicks the leg and follows up with a punching combination. Another heavy leg kick draws a reaction from Vera. Cruz flurries and a counter from Vera backs him up. Cruz slips and lands a punch even while moving awkwardly. Vera moves forward and follows a double jab with a powerful right that drops Cruz. The ex champ is right back up, though. Cruz feints a takedown and eats a left hook for his efforts. Cruz’s movement may have slowed ever so slightly. Cruz shoots and Vera sprawls on it and tags Cruz with a left. Cruz lands a jab and moves forward with punches. Vera jabs in response. Cruz’s volume isn’t quite what it was in earlier rounds. He lands a left and Vera answers with a body kick. Vera stuffs a takedown against the fence and lands some elbows to the side of the head. Cruz gives up and they’re back at range. Vera lans a jab before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 4
Vera eludes Cruz’s punches and the stuffs a takedown. A right from Cruz makes Vera stumble back but it’s more of a slip than anything. Cruz with a right to the body. A stiff left jab catches Cruz coming forward and sits him down. Cruz is up in a hurry but it’s the third knockdown of the night for Vera. Once again, Cruz isn’t landing with the volume he did early.
Cruz darts in and then dips his head off to the side. Vera is waiting for it, and he catches Cruz with a perfectly-timed head kick on the chin. Cruz faceplants into the canvas as a result of the blow. Vera follows up with three mostly unnecessary ground shots before Dean dives in to save Cruz
, who looks like his nose is badly damaged. That’s four in a row for Vera, whose power was on display throughout the fight.

The Official Result
Marlon Vera def. Dominick Cruz via KO (Head Kick and Punches) R4 2:17

Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Angelo picks Dominick Cruz but is on the fence. He notes Cruz's movement and striking defense make him hard to hit, and he can win by mixing in takedowns. However, Vera has devastating power and an iron chin, and Cruz may not be able to avoid damage for five rounds. Angelo compares to the Frankie Edgar fight where Edgar outstruck Vera and got takedowns but still got knocked out. He might change his pick.

"i think dominic can pull this off but make sure you watch our tuesday night breakdown because i'm so on the fence with this pic i might change it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Marlon Vera

Big Brady picks Marlon Vera to win by late knockout, likely in the fourth round. He notes that Vera is a slow starter but becomes a savage in the championship rounds, as seen against Rob Font. Cruz is 37, with declining durability and speed, and was dropped in his last fight. Vera lands the harder shots and has knockdown power. Brady expects Vera to eventually land something big and finish Cruz.

fourth round knockout

"i like marlon vera here to win i'll say fourth round knockout for marlon vera to get it done"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Marlon Vera

Cody agrees with Paul, picking Marlon Vera. He emphasizes Vera's durability and tenacity in five-round fights, noting he often loses the first round but builds momentum. Cody believes Vera's leg kicks will stifle Cruz's movement and that judges favor damage over volume. He also suggests live betting Vera after he loses the first round.

Live betting Vera after round one

"i'm basically on the same lines i mean i like marlon vera i've always said that this guy's built for five round fights"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Marlon Vera

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera, emphasizing that Vera is a slow starter but excels in championship rounds. He notes Vera's iron chin, finishing ability (most finishes in bantamweight history), and the importance of calf kicks to slow Cruz's movement. Levi believes Cruz will have early success but fade as the fight progresses, and Vera will either finish or win a clear decision. He also mentions that Vera's boxing has improved under Jason Parillo.

Parlayed Vera with Bruno Silva at +102 odds. Also mentioned that Vera's line was -205 when he bet it, now -240.

"I'm taking Marlon Vera man, I just think that down the stretch third fourth fifth round once that movement starts to slow down once these calf kicks start to accumulate that's when is gonna be the time to go out …"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)

Dominick Cruz

The host is emphatic about Cruz, citing his wrestling advantage and high fight IQ. He notes that Cruz has landed 55 takedowns at a 43% clip since his WEC days, while Vera is not known for takedown defense. He believes people are overlooking Cruz's grappling and that the fight won't be a 25-minute kickboxing match. He also mentions Cruz's movement and ability to roll with kicks, referencing the Pedro Munoz fight where Cruz survived heavy leg kicks. He is confident that at plus money, Cruz is the value play.

Decision only Cruz at +150 (2 units); also mentions betting Cruz moneyline at +180 (2 units) and +200 (1 unit).

"i got in two units at plus 180 at the start of the week expecting money to come in on one of the greatest bantamweights of all time but the flashy and vicious nature of marlin vera seems to be …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Marlon Vera

Paul picks Marlon Vera, noting that while Cruz may out-volume him early, Vera lands the more impactful strikes. He points out that Cruz has been knocked down in his last four fights and is getting older. Paul thinks Vera's leg kicks will slow Cruz's mobility, and he prefers to bet Vera live after round one or two rather than at the -230 moneyline.

Live betting Vera after round one or two

"i like vera to win i think the minus 230 is a little bit steep"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Marlon Vera

The host picks Marlon Vera by fourth-round submission (d'arce choke). He expects Cruz to win the first two rounds but fade as Vera's leg kicks and pressure accumulate. He predicts Vera will hurt Cruz, sprawl on a takedown, and choke him out. He emphasizes Vera's size and reach advantages, and notes Cruz's injury history and lack of power compared to other Vera opponents.

fourth round submission (d'arce choke)

"i'm going to be going with marlon vera getting this one done by tko in the fourth round... i'm actually going to go dash choke"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Pedro Munhoz

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	1	74 of 170	43%	79 of 175	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:10
Pedro Munhoz	0	103 of 274	37%	105 of 276	1 of 9	11%	0	0	0:06

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	1	21 of 45	46%	26 of 50	0 of 0	---	0:10
1	Pedro Munhoz	0	25 of 51	49%	25 of 51	1 of 2	50%	0:03
2	Dominick Cruz	0	27 of 57	47%	27 of 57	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	Pedro Munhoz	0	35 of 113	30%	35 of 113	0 of 2	0%	0:00
3	Dominick Cruz	0	26 of 68	38%	26 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Pedro Munhoz	0	43 of 110	39%	45 of 112	0 of 5	0%	0:03

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	74 of 170	43%	45 of 128	10 of 16	19 of 26	73 of 168	1 of 2	0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz	103 of 274	37%	79 of 240	13 of 23	11 of 11	100 of 270	2 of 3	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	21 of 45	46%	14 of 33	2 of 5	5 of 7	20 of 44	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Pedro Munhoz	25 of 51	49%	18 of 42	5 of 7	2 of 2	23 of 49	1 of 1	1 of 1
2	Dominick Cruz	27 of 57	47%	12 of 39	5 of 5	10 of 13	27 of 56	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	Pedro Munhoz	35 of 113	30%	30 of 105	2 of 5	3 of 3	34 of 111	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Dominick Cruz	26 of 68	38%	19 of 56	3 of 6	4 of 6	26 of 68	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Pedro Munhoz	43 of 110	39%	31 of 93	6 of 11	6 of 6	43 of 110	0 of 0	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Big Brady picks Dominick Cruz by decision, but with low confidence. He notes that Cruz has excellent striking defense (72%) and movement, and the bigger cage favors his footwork. Munoz is dangerous with leg kicks and submissions, but he absorbs a lot of strikes. Brady believes Cruz can stay on the outside and outpoint Munoz, but Munoz's power and grappling threat make this a close fight.

"i will pick him to win by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Daniel Levi picks Dominick Cruz to win by decision, citing Munhoz's struggles against point fighters. He notes that Munhoz gets hit frequently (six times per minute) and has lost to fighters like John Dodson and Frankie Edgar who use movement. Levi believes Cruz's footwork and elusiveness will frustrate Munhoz, and the larger octagon at T-Mobile gives Cruz more room. He acknowledges Munhoz's power and calf kicks but thinks Cruz can neutralize them. Levi sees Cruz winning a clear decision.

"give me dominic cruz to upset pedro munoz here saturday night"

Half the Battle

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

The MMA Guru picks Dominick Cruz to win by decision (29-28). He believes Cruz's footwork and range management will be problematic for Munhoz, who struggles against fighters who stay on the outside. He notes the bigger cage favors Cruz and that Munhoz has faded in recent fights.

29-28 decision

"i'm gonna go with dominic cruz i think his footwork is going to be a problem for pedro munoz"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Casey Kenney

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	0	89 of 202	44%	115 of 229	2 of 9	22%	0	0	2:07
Casey Kenney	0	74 of 193	38%	74 of 193	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:26

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	26 of 56	46%	26 of 56	0 of 2	0%	0:00
1	Casey Kenney	23 of 63	36%	23 of 63	0 of 0	---	0:17
2	Dominick Cruz	36 of 82	43%	36 of 82	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Casey Kenney	33 of 73	45%	33 of 73	0 of 0	---	0:09
3	Dominick Cruz	27 of 64	42%	53 of 91	2 of 4	50%	2:07
3	Casey Kenney	18 of 57	31%	18 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	89 of 202	44%	51 of 151	24 of 35	14 of 16	85 of 197	4 of 4	0 of 1
Casey Kenney	74 of 193	38%	41 of 148	10 of 19	23 of 26	72 of 191	2 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	26 of 56	46%	10 of 29	7 of 16	9 of 11	26 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Casey Kenney	23 of 63	36%	9 of 46	6 of 7	8 of 10	22 of 62	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Dominick Cruz	36 of 82	43%	24 of 70	8 of 8	4 of 4	36 of 82	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	33 of 73	45%	21 of 55	1 of 6	11 of 12	33 of 73	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Dominick Cruz	27 of 64	42%	17 of 52	9 of 11	1 of 1	23 of 59	4 of 4	0 of 1
3	Casey Kenney	18 of 57	31%	11 of 47	3 of 6	4 of 4	17 of 56	1 of 1	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Big Brady picks Dominick Cruz as an underdog, citing Cruz's wrestling advantage and Kenney's 56% takedown defense. He notes Cruz has not won since 2016 but faced elite competition, while Kenney has been taken down frequently. He predicts a decision win but admits he doesn't feel great about it.

"i'm gonna side with the dog of dominick cruz here"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Casey Kenney

Daniel leans with Casey Kenney, citing Kenney's leg kicks from southpaw to slow Cruz's movement and his wrestling to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges Cruz's in-fight adjustments but believes Kenney's youth and style will edge a decision.

"i'm slightly leaning with casey kenny though man my gut just tells me that he... stylistically speaking his wrestling is good enough to keep it standing and he's got the kicks to slow down that movement of dominic cruz"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Cruz's footwork and experience could trouble Kenney, who may struggle to land his body kicks. The host notes Cruz's durability and wrestling background, but is not confident enough to bet. He predicts Cruz wins by decision.

"i got dominique cruzier to win this fight for your decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

The MMA Guru picks Dominick Cruz as an underdog. He argues Cruz had a full camp and hand-picked Kenney, and that people judge him unfairly based on the short-notice Cejudo fight. He believes Cruz's footwork, size, and experience will lead to a 30-27 unanimous decision, and that Cruz can even get takedowns.

"i'm going with dominick cruz man i am over casey kenny this is another underdog that i'm picking on the card"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Henry Cejudo

TKO (knee and punches) R2 4:58 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Henry Cejudo	1	53 of 83	63%	56 of 86	1 of 5	20%	0	0	0:14
Dominick Cruz	0	33 of 81	40%	33 of 81	0 of 4	0%	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Henry Cejudo	0	19 of 29	65%	21 of 31	1 of 2	50%	0:08
1	Dominick Cruz	0	14 of 29	48%	14 of 29	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Henry Cejudo	1	34 of 54	62%	35 of 55	0 of 3	0%	0:06
2	Dominick Cruz	0	19 of 52	36%	19 of 52	0 of 1	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Henry Cejudo	53 of 83	63%	24 of 50	6 of 8	23 of 25	44 of 70	0 of 2	9 of 11
Dominick Cruz	33 of 81	40%	15 of 58	8 of 11	10 of 12	31 of 78	2 of 3	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Henry Cejudo	19 of 29	65%	3 of 10	2 of 3	14 of 16	18 of 28	0 of 0	1 of 1
1	Dominick Cruz	14 of 29	48%	4 of 16	6 of 7	4 of 6	14 of 29	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Henry Cejudo	34 of 54	62%	21 of 40	4 of 5	9 of 9	26 of 42	0 of 2	8 of 10
2	Dominick Cruz	19 of 52	36%	11 of 42	2 of 4	6 of 6	17 of 49	2 of 3	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2020 (9 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Big Brady picks Dominick Cruz as an underdog, citing his movement, speed, volume, and takedown defense. He believes Cruz can outpoint Cejudo if he avoids Cejudo's power and the fight stays on the feet. He sees value in Cruz at plus 185 and plans to bet it, predicting a close decision win.

Cruz by decision; Cruz plus 185; will bet that

"I'm going to be taking Dominic Cruz here. ... I think he's going to be the more active fighter as long as he avoids that huge right hand from Cejudo."

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2020 (4 days before fight)

Henry Cejudo

Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Henry Cejudo, calling him an all-time great and dismissing Cruz's chances. He highlights Cejudo's wins over DJ, TJ, and Moraes, and his championship adjustments. Levi believes Cruz is in denial, hasn't evolved, and will be finished within two rounds, noting that Cejudo will pounce if he drops Cruz, unlike Cody Garbrandt.

finishes Cruz within two rounds

"Henry cejudo will put down many crews down within two rounds and he's gonna be the first guy to stop him with strikes"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

Matt picks Cruz as an underdog, citing his footwork, height advantage, and ability to frustrate Cejudo. He questions Cejudo's striking entries and recovery from shoulder surgery, and believes Cruz can win a decision. He sees value at plus money but is not betting due to other viable dogs on the card.

Dominick Cruz by decision

"I'm picking Dominick Cruz to win by a decision the bet would be Dominick Cruz if he can get him at plus 200"

MMA Lock of the Night

LOSS vs Cody Garbrandt

Decision (unanimous) (48–46, 48–47, 48–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · Dec 30, 2016

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Cody Garbrandt	0	88 of 291	30%	95 of 298	0 of 7	0%	0	0	0:01
Dominick Cruz	2	68 of 195	34%	71 of 198	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:40

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Cody Garbrandt	0	20 of 50	40%	20 of 50	0 of 2	0%	0:00
1	Dominick Cruz	0	12 of 38	31%	12 of 38	1 of 1	100%	0:09
2	Cody Garbrandt	0	19 of 60	31%	19 of 60	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Dominick Cruz	0	16 of 45	35%	16 of 45	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Cody Garbrandt	0	20 of 70	28%	20 of 70	0 of 2	0%	0:01
3	Dominick Cruz	0	17 of 46	36%	17 of 46	0 of 0	---	0:01
4	Cody Garbrandt	0	17 of 54	31%	17 of 54	0 of 0	---	0:00
4	Dominick Cruz	2	15 of 47	31%	16 of 48	0 of 0	---	0:06
5	Cody Garbrandt	0	12 of 57	21%	19 of 64	0 of 1	0%	0:00
5	Dominick Cruz	0	8 of 19	42%	10 of 21	0 of 3	0%	0:24

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Cody Garbrandt	88 of 291	30%	58 of 250	9 of 14	21 of 27	88 of 291	0 of 0	0 of 0
Dominick Cruz	68 of 195	34%	47 of 164	11 of 17	10 of 14	66 of 190	2 of 4	0 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Cody Garbrandt	20 of 50	40%	9 of 37	4 of 4	7 of 9	20 of 50	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Dominick Cruz	12 of 38	31%	5 of 30	3 of 4	4 of 4	11 of 37	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Cody Garbrandt	19 of 60	31%	11 of 47	2 of 6	6 of 7	19 of 60	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Dominick Cruz	16 of 45	35%	9 of 33	6 of 10	1 of 2	16 of 45	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Cody Garbrandt	20 of 70	28%	16 of 65	1 of 1	3 of 4	20 of 70	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Dominick Cruz	17 of 46	36%	16 of 43	1 of 1	0 of 2	16 of 45	1 of 1	0 of 0
4	Cody Garbrandt	17 of 54	31%	15 of 50	1 of 1	1 of 3	17 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Dominick Cruz	15 of 47	31%	11 of 41	0 of 1	4 of 5	15 of 46	0 of 0	0 of 1
5	Cody Garbrandt	12 of 57	21%	7 of 51	1 of 2	4 of 4	12 of 57	0 of 0	0 of 0
5	Dominick Cruz	8 of 19	42%	6 of 17	1 of 1	1 of 1	8 of 17	0 of 2	0 of 0

WIN vs Urijah Faber

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 04, 2016

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	1	87 of 261	33%	99 of 275	3 of 7	42%	0	1	3:24
Urijah Faber	0	34 of 159	21%	49 of 174	1 of 6	16%	0	0	0:10

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	0	10 of 24	41%	19 of 34	1 of 3	33%	1	1:53
1	Urijah Faber	0	4 of 13	30%	15 of 24	1 of 1	100%	0	0:10
2	Dominick Cruz	1	21 of 58	36%	23 of 60	0 of 0	---	0	0:08
2	Urijah Faber	0	6 of 29	20%	6 of 29	0 of 2	0%	0	0:00
3	Dominick Cruz	0	21 of 65	32%	21 of 65	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Urijah Faber	0	10 of 40	25%	10 of 40	0 of 2	0%	0	0:00
4	Dominick Cruz	0	18 of 57	31%	18 of 57	0 of 0	---	0	0:04
4	Urijah Faber	0	7 of 44	15%	7 of 44	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
5	Dominick Cruz	0	17 of 57	29%	18 of 59	2 of 3	66%	0	1:19
5	Urijah Faber	0	7 of 33	21%	11 of 37	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	87 of 261	33%	62 of 223	8 of 19	17 of 19	77 of 243	6 of 10	4 of 8
Urijah Faber	34 of 159	21%	26 of 142	6 of 15	2 of 2	25 of 147	6 of 9	3 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	10 of 24	41%	5 of 19	2 of 2	3 of 3	8 of 22	2 of 2	0 of 0
1	Urijah Faber	4 of 13	30%	4 of 13	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 10	3 of 3	0 of 0
2	Dominick Cruz	21 of 58	36%	13 of 47	2 of 4	6 of 7	19 of 54	0 of 0	2 of 4
2	Urijah Faber	6 of 29	20%	5 of 26	0 of 2	1 of 1	4 of 27	1 of 1	1 of 1
3	Dominick Cruz	21 of 65	32%	16 of 55	1 of 5	4 of 5	19 of 61	2 of 4	0 of 0
3	Urijah Faber	10 of 40	25%	6 of 34	4 of 6	0 of 0	8 of 37	2 of 3	0 of 0
4	Dominick Cruz	18 of 57	31%	14 of 51	2 of 4	2 of 2	16 of 51	0 of 2	2 of 4
4	Urijah Faber	7 of 44	15%	5 of 40	1 of 3	1 of 1	7 of 44	0 of 0	0 of 0
5	Dominick Cruz	17 of 57	29%	14 of 51	1 of 4	2 of 2	15 of 55	2 of 2	0 of 0
5	Urijah Faber	7 of 33	21%	6 of 29	1 of 4	0 of 0	5 of 29	0 of 2	2 of 2

WIN vs T.J. Dillashaw

Decision (split) (48–47, 46–49, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz · Jan 17, 2016

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	0	109 of 408	26%	130 of 430	1 of 8	12%	0	0	1:11
T.J. Dillashaw	0	112 of 302	37%	122 of 312	4 of 11	36%	0	0	0:33

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	19 of 87	21%	26 of 94	0 of 2	0%	0:12
1	T.J. Dillashaw	21 of 62	33%	21 of 62	1 of 5	20%	0:07
2	Dominick Cruz	16 of 79	20%	17 of 80	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	T.J. Dillashaw	17 of 52	32%	18 of 53	2 of 2	100%	0:10
3	Dominick Cruz	19 of 77	24%	19 of 77	0 of 2	0%	0:03
3	T.J. Dillashaw	19 of 54	35%	19 of 54	1 of 1	100%	0:13
4	Dominick Cruz	22 of 70	31%	35 of 84	1 of 1	100%	0:56
4	T.J. Dillashaw	25 of 58	43%	34 of 67	0 of 2	0%	0:03
5	Dominick Cruz	33 of 95	34%	33 of 95	0 of 1	0%	0:00
5	T.J. Dillashaw	30 of 76	39%	30 of 76	0 of 1	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	109 of 408	26%	64 of 343	22 of 39	23 of 26	102 of 394	6 of 13	1 of 1
T.J. Dillashaw	112 of 302	37%	97 of 282	9 of 14	6 of 6	107 of 294	5 of 6	0 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	19 of 87	21%	9 of 73	7 of 11	3 of 3	19 of 83	0 of 4	0 of 0
1	T.J. Dillashaw	21 of 62	33%	17 of 56	2 of 4	2 of 2	19 of 59	2 of 3	0 of 0
2	Dominick Cruz	16 of 79	20%	11 of 73	1 of 1	4 of 5	16 of 79	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	T.J. Dillashaw	17 of 52	32%	14 of 49	2 of 2	1 of 1	16 of 50	1 of 1	0 of 1
3	Dominick Cruz	19 of 77	24%	9 of 65	5 of 7	5 of 5	18 of 76	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	T.J. Dillashaw	19 of 54	35%	17 of 52	2 of 2	0 of 0	18 of 52	1 of 1	0 of 1
4	Dominick Cruz	22 of 70	31%	15 of 58	2 of 7	5 of 5	17 of 63	4 of 6	1 of 1
4	T.J. Dillashaw	25 of 58	43%	21 of 52	1 of 3	3 of 3	24 of 57	1 of 1	0 of 0
5	Dominick Cruz	33 of 95	34%	20 of 74	7 of 13	6 of 8	32 of 93	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	T.J. Dillashaw	30 of 76	39%	28 of 73	2 of 3	0 of 0	30 of 76	0 of 0	0 of 0

WIN vs Takeya Mizugaki

KO (punches) R1 1:01 · UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	0	26 of 35	74%	26 of 35	2 of 2	100%	0	0	0:23
Takeya Mizugaki	0	2 of 10	20%	3 of 11	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	0	26 of 35	74%	26 of 35	2 of 2	100%	0	0	0:23
1	Takeya Mizugaki	0	2 of 10	20%	3 of 11	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	26 of 35	74%	26 of 35	0 of 0	0 of 0	4 of 9	0 of 0	22 of 26
Takeya Mizugaki	2 of 10	20%	2 of 9	0 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	26 of 35	74%	26 of 35	0 of 0	0 of 0	4 of 9	0 of 0	22 of 26
1	Takeya Mizugaki	2 of 10	20%	2 of 9	0 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0

View all 10 fights

Casey Kenney - Fight History

LOSS vs Song Yadong

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Aug 07, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Song Yadong	0	116 of 257	45%	121 of 263	0 of 3	0%	0	0	0:20
Casey Kenney	0	78 of 190	41%	85 of 199	1 of 5	20%	0	0	0:26

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Song Yadong	31 of 68	45%	31 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:14
1	Casey Kenney	19 of 57	33%	19 of 57	0 of 0	---	0:09
2	Song Yadong	34 of 78	43%	38 of 82	0 of 0	---	0:06
2	Casey Kenney	28 of 60	46%	32 of 65	0 of 1	0%	0:12
3	Song Yadong	51 of 111	45%	52 of 113	0 of 3	0%	0:00
3	Casey Kenney	31 of 73	42%	34 of 77	1 of 4	25%	0:05

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Song Yadong	116 of 257	45%	66 of 197	34 of 44	16 of 16	110 of 249	6 of 8	0 of 0
Casey Kenney	78 of 190	41%	45 of 140	20 of 31	13 of 19	77 of 188	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Song Yadong	31 of 68	45%	18 of 54	5 of 6	8 of 8	28 of 65	3 of 3	0 of 0
1	Casey Kenney	19 of 57	33%	8 of 40	9 of 13	2 of 4	18 of 55	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Song Yadong	34 of 78	43%	19 of 60	9 of 12	6 of 6	34 of 78	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	28 of 60	46%	17 of 45	4 of 7	7 of 8	28 of 60	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Song Yadong	51 of 111	45%	29 of 83	20 of 26	2 of 2	48 of 106	3 of 5	0 of 0
3	Casey Kenney	31 of 73	42%	20 of 55	7 of 11	4 of 7	31 of 73	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Casey Kenney vs. Yadong Song

Round 1
To kick off the main card, bantamweights throw down when Tachi Palace Fights staple Kenney (16-3-1, 5-2 UFC) meets China’s Song (16-5-1, 1 NC; 5-1-1 UFC). Even though Kenney (30) comes in seven years older than his opponent, he actually started his pro career a year after Song (23) did. Referee Dan Miragliotta was not aware of that age discrepancy, but he pays it no mind when the two touch gloves and prepare to fight. Song advances, and Kenney is there to kick him in the body. Song gives him one right back, and Kenney measures him with a few front kicks as “USA” chants already rain down to support Kenney. Song thumps Kenney with a couple solid right hands, and Kenney retreats and gathers himself. Kenney lands with a right hand behind the ear that makes Song stumble, but the Chinese fighter shakes it off and is ready to fire back. Kenney walks forward and slings a left hand, and Song replies in kind. Both men land heavy body kicks, and Kenney marches on to keep attacking. The American ducks back in time to avoid a quick combination, and he gets kicked in the leg. Kenney sticks his tongue out at him and comes out firing, and the two men exchange and connect on one another. A right hand counter from Kenney surprises Song, who measures another stiff leg kick as Kenney plods forward. Both men are marked up to the body after landing shots, and Kenney walks into another kick to the body. Song gets off a right hand that marks up the nose, and Kenney tries to pounce and even goes for a spinning wheel kick, but Song sees it coming and dances out of the way. Kenney goes up high with a kick, and Song dodges and weaves before slamming his shin into Kenney’s leg. A head kick from Song is blocked, and he bullies Song to the ground. The “Kung Fu Monkey” gets to his knees and finds himself in guillotine choke danger, but he stays patient and pops his head out. Song manages to wriggle himself back up to his feet, and Kenney chases him down and keeps throwing hands. Both men trade punches, with Song headhunting while Kenney goes to the body, and the two clap hands as the first round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kenney
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kenney
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kenney

Round 2
Kenney runs out of his corner and touches gloves, and he is quick to throw his foot up at Song’s face. Kenney takes a kick to the body as he advances, and he winds up on a huge right hand that Song narrowly dodges. Kenney chops at his foe’s leg, and Song loads up on a few punches to the body. Kenney counters, and the two separate, trading successive blows one after the other. Song kicks the body, Kenney kicks the leg, and Kenney walks through it to land a looping left hand. A fighter is warned for outstretched fingers, and Kenney goes right back to targeting the head and body of his opponent. Song is forced to fight off his back foot, and as he retreats, Kenney lands a few strikes high and low. Kenney fakes an ankle pick and absorbs a few shots to the body, and the American lands a leg kick followed by a right hand. Song has a trio of punches blocked, and when he comes in, Kenney eats one on the chin and fires right back. A loud, slapping kick from Song echoes through the arena, but Kenney pays it no mind as he careens off his leg. Song floats up a few body kicks as Kenney pushes the pace on him, and like a bantamweight Terminator, Kenney shows no reaction any time he is struck and keeps moving forward. Kenney looks to the take the fight down, and Song blocks it but eats a left hand over the top. When Kenney advances, Song is able to time strikes to his body and legs, but he lands with his hands as Song tries to skirt out of the way. Kenney comes up short on an uppercut as he walks his opponent down, while Song picks at him with kicks. Kenney returns fire after kicks land with low kicks, and he stings Song with a solid right hand. Song bites down on his mouthpiece and lets Kenney have it, scoring a left hand and one to the body. Kenney grits through it and tags his foe right back with a left, forcing Song to shoot in and try for a takedown. The American turns him around, where he clings to him against the fence until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kenney
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kenney
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song

Round 3
Scorecards will likely be understandably close going into this last round, with the volume of Song against the power and forward movement of Kenney. Din Thomas giggles as he says the Chinese fighter’s name, and the fight resumes practically where the last round ended, with quick exchanges from both fighters. Kenney ignores kicks to score a right hand that shakes Song up, and he scores a body kick to prompt Song to throw back at him. Song lands a few punches and a kick as Kenney advances, and he sits down on a right hand and it splits the guard. Kenney backs off as Song picks up volume, landing jabs and kicks as Kenney tries to give him one back every time. Song scores a right hand on the chin, and Kenney times a sharp body kick as Song ducks down. Kenney clips Song with a head kick where the knee may have bounced off Song’s head, and Song smiles keeps going strong. A one-two and a body kick from Song surprise his opponent, who whiffs as Song chains another punch combination to the body. Kenney lands a few punches at range, with a left hand that sends Song back a step. Song comes right back, and he scores a few strikes before he is forced to defend a takedown in the center of the cage. The Chinese fighter stands him up and holds his hands out to tell him to brawl with him, and Kenney steps in with a left hand as Song jabs at him. Kenney kicks and falls over while trying to recover from it, and Song is there before him scoring to the body. Kenney again shoots for a takedown, and Song sprawls and lands flush. Kenney is forced to shell up as Song strides forward, landing big punches as Kenney tries to wind up on bombs. Song meets every Kenney punch with two of his own, connecting to the body and head as Kenney wings shots. When Song puts together a combination, Kenney shoots in for a takedown and finally hits it – but he last less than 10 seconds to spare. In top position, Kenney drops down a few elbows, and time expires to conclude this close matchup. The scorecards could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Song (29-28 Kenney)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Song (29-28 Kenney)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song (29-28 Song)

The Official Result
Yadong Song def. Casey Kenney via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2021 (fight day)

Casey Kenney

Angelo picks Kenney, citing his forward pressure, volume, leg kicks, and grappling. He believes Kenney will back Yadong up and mix in takedowns, similar to how Yadong lost to Kyler Phillips. He notes Yadong has better technical striking but struggles when backing up. He also mentions he has a moneyline bet on Kenney.

Moneyline bet on Casey Kenney; also mentions Yadong over 2.5 rounds as a prop

"Casey Kenney wins that fight... because of volume and grappling... he comes forward, lots and lots of volume, mixes in leg kicks, and grapples."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Big Brady sees this as a very close fight between Kenney's volume and Yadong's power. He thinks Kenney's ability to mix in takedowns will be the difference, as Yadong has 56% takedown defense. He predicts a close decision win for Kenney, but acknowledges the judges could go either way.

"I will take Casey Kenny though to mix it up and win a decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Cody picks Kenney, citing his superior volume and cardio. He notes that Song Yadong tends to fade in later rounds, while Kenney is a slow starter who pushes the pace. Cody expects Kenney to lose the first round but win the next two, making him a good live betting option.

Kenney by decision +150

"i think that your best bet is to take kini after the first round i think he's probably going to drop this first round to seong dong"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 6, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Song Yadong

Daniel Levi picks Song Yadong, believing he has more ways to win including a potential knockout early or late. He notes that Casey Kenney tends to fade in later rounds and has been taken down multiple times, while Song has power and improving cardio. He acknowledges the fight is close but leans Song because of his finishing ability and the fact that Kenney is undersized for bantamweight.

"I'm gonna pick him to win this fight man"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Kenney has a grappling advantage and better cardio. He is one of the best scramblers in the UFC and should mix striking with takedowns. Yadong is a power puncher but has shown limited progression and will struggle with Kenney's footwork and level changes. Kenney should grind out a decision, possibly winning the later rounds decisively.

Kenney by decision

"I like kenny in the spot and uh yeah I'm probably going to take a shot on him here I like the odds."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Paul agrees with Cody, calling it a volume play. He thinks Kenney's pressure and output will be key, and that losing round one is possible if Kenney doesn't secure an early takedown. He doesn't add much new analysis.

"i think it's just like a volume play but uh yeah losing round one could is very much in the cards"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

The MMA Guru picks Casey Kenney over Song Yadong. He praises Kenney's cardio, output, and grappling advantage (black belt in judo). He believes Kenney's pace and body work will be too much for Yadong, and predicts a unanimous decision win. He notes Yadong's win over Marlon Vera was controversial.

"i'm gonna go with casey kenny by unanimous decision over song yudong"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Dominick Cruz

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dominick Cruz	0	89 of 202	44%	115 of 229	2 of 9	22%	0	0	2:07
Casey Kenney	0	74 of 193	38%	74 of 193	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:26

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Dominick Cruz	26 of 56	46%	26 of 56	0 of 2	0%	0:00
1	Casey Kenney	23 of 63	36%	23 of 63	0 of 0	---	0:17
2	Dominick Cruz	36 of 82	43%	36 of 82	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Casey Kenney	33 of 73	45%	33 of 73	0 of 0	---	0:09
3	Dominick Cruz	27 of 64	42%	53 of 91	2 of 4	50%	2:07
3	Casey Kenney	18 of 57	31%	18 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dominick Cruz	89 of 202	44%	51 of 151	24 of 35	14 of 16	85 of 197	4 of 4	0 of 1
Casey Kenney	74 of 193	38%	41 of 148	10 of 19	23 of 26	72 of 191	2 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dominick Cruz	26 of 56	46%	10 of 29	7 of 16	9 of 11	26 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Casey Kenney	23 of 63	36%	9 of 46	6 of 7	8 of 10	22 of 62	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Dominick Cruz	36 of 82	43%	24 of 70	8 of 8	4 of 4	36 of 82	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	33 of 73	45%	21 of 55	1 of 6	11 of 12	33 of 73	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Dominick Cruz	27 of 64	42%	17 of 52	9 of 11	1 of 1	23 of 59	4 of 4	0 of 1
3	Casey Kenney	18 of 57	31%	11 of 47	3 of 6	4 of 4	17 of 56	1 of 1	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i'm gonna side with the dog of dominick cruz here"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Casey Kenney

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i got dominique cruzier to win this fight for your decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i'm going with dominick cruz man i am over casey kenny this is another underdog that i'm picking on the card"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Nathaniel Wood

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Casey Kenney	0	136 of 321	42%	138 of 325	0 of 3	0%	0	0	0:00
Nathaniel Wood	0	123 of 247	49%	125 of 249	2 of 6	33%	0	0	1:30

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Casey Kenney	51 of 120	42%	51 of 120	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Nathaniel Wood	54 of 96	56%	54 of 96	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Casey Kenney	48 of 113	42%	48 of 113	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Nathaniel Wood	40 of 90	44%	40 of 90	0 of 2	0%	0:02
3	Casey Kenney	37 of 88	42%	39 of 92	0 of 3	0%	0:00
3	Nathaniel Wood	29 of 61	47%	31 of 63	2 of 4	50%	1:28

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Casey Kenney	136 of 321	42%	70 of 237	9 of 22	57 of 62	134 of 318	2 of 3	0 of 0
Nathaniel Wood	123 of 247	49%	74 of 189	25 of 32	24 of 26	118 of 241	4 of 5	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Casey Kenney	51 of 120	42%	22 of 83	6 of 12	23 of 25	51 of 120	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Nathaniel Wood	54 of 96	56%	29 of 68	13 of 15	12 of 13	53 of 95	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	48 of 113	42%	26 of 86	0 of 4	22 of 23	48 of 113	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Nathaniel Wood	40 of 90	44%	26 of 71	5 of 9	9 of 10	39 of 89	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Casey Kenney	37 of 88	42%	22 of 68	3 of 6	12 of 14	35 of 85	2 of 3	0 of 0
3	Nathaniel Wood	29 of 61	47%	19 of 50	7 of 8	3 of 3	26 of 57	2 of 3	1 of 1

Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Big Brady leans towards Casey Kenney, acknowledging the fight is close and the line (-200) may be too wide. He highlights Kenney's wrestling advantage and ability to get the fight to the mat, where he has a good submission game. However, he notes Wood's high striking volume and Kenney's recent quick turnaround, making him hesitant.

decision

"i'm going to lean kenny here and i'm going to pick kenny"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)

Casey Kenney

Daniel Levi picks Casey Kenney, citing his harder hitting, wrestling background, and durability. He acknowledges Nathaniel Wood's point-fighting style and grappling but questions Wood's chin, noting all four of his losses are stoppages. Levi thinks Kenney will land harder shots and secure takedowns at the end of rounds to slightly outpoint Wood.

Dog or pass at the betting window; understands people taking a shot on Wood at +150

"i'm gonna lean with casey kenny i think he lands the harder shots i think he might secure a takedown or two at the end of rounds"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

The host picks Casey Kenney, emphasizing his superior wrestling, cardio, and fight IQ. He believes Kenney will implement a grappling-heavy game plan to neutralize Wood's striking. He notes that Wood has defensive flaws and has been finished before.

Kenney by decision

"i truly think that we're going to see a casey kenny decision here"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

The MMA Guru picks Nathaniel Wood to win by first-round TKO as an underdog. He argues that Wood is more technical than Kenney's previous opponent, has KO power, and dominated Andre Ewell. He believes Kenney is overrated as a 2-to-1 favorite and will be overaggressive, leaving himself open.

first round TKO

"i'm gonna go with nathaniel wood getting the upset on casey kenny"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Alateng Heili

Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Casey Kenney	0	109 of 263	41%	109 of 263	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
Alateng Heili	0	46 of 171	26%	46 of 171	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Casey Kenney	40 of 94	42%	40 of 94	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Alateng Heili	19 of 64	29%	19 of 64	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Casey Kenney	29 of 79	36%	29 of 79	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Alateng Heili	14 of 52	26%	14 of 52	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Casey Kenney	40 of 90	44%	40 of 90	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Alateng Heili	13 of 55	23%	13 of 55	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Casey Kenney	109 of 263	41%	57 of 192	41 of 58	11 of 13	109 of 261	0 of 2	0 of 0
Alateng Heili	46 of 171	26%	26 of 140	11 of 20	9 of 11	46 of 171	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Casey Kenney	40 of 94	42%	21 of 69	15 of 19	4 of 6	40 of 94	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Alateng Heili	19 of 64	29%	9 of 53	5 of 6	5 of 5	19 of 64	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	29 of 79	36%	11 of 58	15 of 18	3 of 3	29 of 79	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Alateng Heili	14 of 52	26%	9 of 43	2 of 4	3 of 5	14 of 52	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Casey Kenney	40 of 90	44%	25 of 65	11 of 21	4 of 4	40 of 88	0 of 2	0 of 0
3	Alateng Heili	13 of 55	23%	8 of 44	4 of 10	1 of 1	13 of 55	0 of 0	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Big Brady picks Casey Kenney to win by decision. He highlights Kenney's superior striking volume and takedown defense, noting that Heili is low volume and gets outlanded. He thinks Kenney is better everywhere and that Heili's only chance is a knockout.

"give me casey kenny to win i'm gonna take it safe and say by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Daniel confidently picks Kenney, praising his fight IQ and level of competition. He expects Kenney to use kicks to avoid Heili's right hand, mix in takedowns, and dominate on top. He notes Heili's toughness and power but believes Kenney is on a different level and will out-tough him.

"i think casey is going to come out here throwing more kicks then he's going to mix in the takedowns and when he gets on top of hailey ala tank that's when i feel like he's going to really take …"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

The host is extremely confident in Casey Kenney, citing his superior grappling, scrambles, and experience against high-level grapplers like Manny Bermudez and Brandon Royval. He believes Alateng Heili's wrestling credentials won't translate to MMA grappling and that Kenney will dominate on the ground. He placed a 5-unit bet at -281, calling it his lock of the night.

Parlay suggestion with Jordan Williams or Dusko Todorovic

"I've already pulled the trigger on casey kenny here... he is my locker than i play there's no doubt about it"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

The Guru picks Casey Kenney, citing his quality wins over Manny Bermudez, Ray Borg, and Louis Smolka, and noting that Alateng's close fight with Ryan Benoit was unimpressive. He acknowledges Kenney is a heavy favorite at 1-3 odds but still picks him, predicting a submission in the first or second round.

Odds: 1-3 (implied -300); prediction: submission round 1-2

"i'm definitely going to be picking casey kenny and to be honest he went to a decision with mourab yeah he got ragdolled but you know he was getting back up"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Louis Smolka

Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:03 · UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Casey Kenney	0	18 of 43	41%	18 of 43	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
Louis Smolka	0	32 of 52	61%	32 of 52	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Casey Kenney	0	18 of 43	41%	18 of 43	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
1	Louis Smolka	0	32 of 52	61%	32 of 52	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:09

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Casey Kenney	18 of 43	41%	4 of 16	14 of 27	0 of 0	16 of 41	2 of 2	0 of 0
Louis Smolka	32 of 52	61%	15 of 34	5 of 6	12 of 12	31 of 51	1 of 1	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Casey Kenney	18 of 43	41%	4 of 16	14 of 27	0 of 0	16 of 41	2 of 2	0 of 0
1	Louis Smolka	32 of 52	61%	15 of 34	5 of 6	12 of 12	31 of 51	1 of 1	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

Big Brady picks Casey Kenney to win by dominant decision. He believes Kenney is better everywhere and can take Smolka down at will. He thinks Kenney's BJJ is too good for Smolka to submit him, and that Kenney will control the fight on the ground or on the feet. He expects a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I like Kenny a lot in this fight I think he is better pretty much everywhere"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)

Casey Kenney

Daniel slightly leans with Kenney but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation at -270. He respects Kenney's well-rounded game and toughness, but notes that Smolka is durable and can scramble. He expects a close fight and advises against betting the favorite at those odds.

dog or pass situation

"i do lean with casey kenny the issue is that when the line's three to one that that that's when you start to get worried"

Half the Battle

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)

Casey Kenney

The MMA Guru picks Casey Kenney to win by unanimous decision. He admits he wasn't impressed by Kenney's last performance but believes he is a very good fighter. He thinks Kenney will be the smaller man but will outwork Louis Smolka, who has had a long career. He predicts a decision win.

Kenney by decision

"Casey Kenny is a very good fighter I think he's gonna beat Luis smoker he's gonna be the smaller man in there however Luis smoke has had a long career now I feel like it's time for Casey Kenny to …"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Merab Dvalishvili

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–25, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili	0	45 of 118	38%	47 of 120	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:05
Casey Kenney	0	63 of 181	34%	114 of 241	12 of 24	50%	0	0	5:42

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Merab Dvalishvili	22 of 52	42%	24 of 54	0 of 0	---	0:02
1	Casey Kenney	19 of 67	28%	43 of 92	4 of 6	66%	1:11
2	Merab Dvalishvili	16 of 45	35%	16 of 45	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Casey Kenney	24 of 65	36%	33 of 75	4 of 11	36%	1:57
3	Merab Dvalishvili	7 of 21	33%	7 of 21	0 of 0	---	0:03
3	Casey Kenney	20 of 49	40%	38 of 74	4 of 7	57%	2:34

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Merab Dvalishvili	45 of 118	38%	22 of 87	10 of 17	13 of 14	42 of 112	3 of 6	0 of 0
Casey Kenney	63 of 181	34%	30 of 137	14 of 23	19 of 21	43 of 156	7 of 8	13 of 17

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Merab Dvalishvili	22 of 52	42%	8 of 30	5 of 12	9 of 10	19 of 47	3 of 5	0 of 0
1	Casey Kenney	19 of 67	28%	7 of 46	4 of 12	8 of 9	14 of 60	3 of 4	2 of 3
2	Merab Dvalishvili	16 of 45	35%	8 of 37	4 of 4	4 of 4	16 of 44	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	Casey Kenney	24 of 65	36%	9 of 48	9 of 10	6 of 7	17 of 57	3 of 3	4 of 5
3	Merab Dvalishvili	7 of 21	33%	6 of 20	1 of 1	0 of 0	7 of 21	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Casey Kenney	20 of 49	40%	14 of 43	1 of 1	5 of 5	12 of 39	1 of 1	7 of 9

Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)

Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to edge out a close decision, but is not very confident. He notes Dvalishvili's relentless pressure and takedowns, but also his tendency to gas and become predictable. He acknowledges Kenney's underrated skills and ability to win fights he's not supposed to, making this a tough call.

close decision, fight of the night potential, value on Kenney at plus money

"I think my Rob's probably gonna edge out a decision but it's not a very confident pick"

Half the Battle

WIN vs Manny Bermudez

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Casey Kenney	0	37 of 59	62%	59 of 83	3 of 4	75%	0	1	6:10
Manny Bermudez	0	43 of 69	62%	56 of 85	2 of 2	100%	1	1	5:20

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Casey Kenney	11 of 14	78%	14 of 17	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:32
1	Manny Bermudez	18 of 28	64%	21 of 31	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:49
2	Casey Kenney	6 of 12	50%	7 of 13	2 of 3	66%	0	0	1:22
2	Manny Bermudez	14 of 22	63%	20 of 31	0 of 0	---	1	1	2:55
3	Casey Kenney	20 of 33	60%	38 of 53	0 of 0	---	0	1	3:16
3	Manny Bermudez	11 of 19	57%	15 of 23	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:36

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Casey Kenney	37 of 59	62%	29 of 47	8 of 12	0 of 0	22 of 43	2 of 2	13 of 14
Manny Bermudez	43 of 69	62%	21 of 42	10 of 14	12 of 13	26 of 49	6 of 7	11 of 13

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Casey Kenney	11 of 14	78%	8 of 11	3 of 3	0 of 0	7 of 10	1 of 1	3 of 3
1	Manny Bermudez	18 of 28	64%	9 of 17	3 of 4	6 of 7	14 of 24	3 of 3	1 of 1
2	Casey Kenney	6 of 12	50%	5 of 8	1 of 4	0 of 0	6 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manny Bermudez	14 of 22	63%	7 of 14	5 of 6	2 of 2	3 of 9	1 of 1	10 of 12
3	Casey Kenney	20 of 33	60%	16 of 28	4 of 5	0 of 0	9 of 21	1 of 1	10 of 11
3	Manny Bermudez	11 of 19	57%	5 of 11	2 of 4	4 of 4	9 of 16	2 of 3	0 of 0

WIN vs Ray Borg

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Casey Kenney	0	17 of 35	48%	22 of 40	7 of 10	70%	0	1	6:30
Ray Borg	0	32 of 52	61%	46 of 68	2 of 3	66%	0	3	6:23

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Casey Kenney	2 of 4	50%	4 of 6	1 of 1	100%	1	1:36
1	Ray Borg	10 of 15	66%	15 of 22	2 of 2	100%	0	2:38
2	Casey Kenney	7 of 10	70%	8 of 11	3 of 5	60%	0	2:36
2	Ray Borg	13 of 16	81%	17 of 20	0 of 1	0%	2	1:54
3	Casey Kenney	8 of 21	38%	10 of 23	3 of 4	75%	0	2:18
3	Ray Borg	9 of 21	42%	14 of 26	0 of 0	---	1	1:51

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Casey Kenney	17 of 35	48%	8 of 23	8 of 11	1 of 1	2 of 14	13 of 19	2 of 2
Ray Borg	32 of 52	61%	9 of 27	19 of 20	4 of 5	9 of 23	19 of 25	4 of 4

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Casey Kenney	2 of 4	50%	0 of 1	2 of 3	0 of 0	0 of 2	1 of 1	1 of 1
1	Ray Borg	10 of 15	66%	3 of 6	5 of 6	2 of 3	3 of 8	4 of 4	3 of 3
2	Casey Kenney	7 of 10	70%	3 of 5	4 of 5	0 of 0	1 of 3	5 of 6	1 of 1
2	Ray Borg	13 of 16	81%	3 of 6	10 of 10	0 of 0	1 of 3	11 of 12	1 of 1
3	Casey Kenney	8 of 21	38%	5 of 17	2 of 3	1 of 1	1 of 9	7 of 12	0 of 0
3	Ray Borg	9 of 21	42%	3 of 15	4 of 4	2 of 2	5 of 12	4 of 9	0 of 0

Expert Picks (4)

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i'm gonna side with the dog of dominick cruz here"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Casey Kenney

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i got dominique cruzier to win this fight for your decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)

Dominick Cruz

"i'm going with dominick cruz man i am over casey kenny this is another underdog that i'm picking on the card"

THE MMA GURU

Dominick Cruz

Casey Kenney

Career Averages - Dominick Cruz

Career Averages - Casey Kenney

Dominick Cruz

Casey Kenney

Dominick Cruz - Fight History

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Casey Kenney - Fight History

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Expert Picks (4)