vs
-138 +115
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Age N/A
Height N/A
Reach N/A
Weight N/A
Stance N/A
Age 35
Height 6' 3"
Reach 80"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gabe Green

No career stats available

Career Averages - Philip Rowe
3.51 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.15 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.46 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Gabe Green
Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetWay +450
Submission
BetWay +450
Decision
BetWay +240
Philip Rowe
Moneyline
BetWay +115
KO/TKO
BetWay +250
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
BetWay +400
Gabe Green - Fight History
Submission R2 3:43 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabe Green 0 12 of 27 44% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:12
Matheus Camilo 0 13 of 27 48% 33 of 48 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabe Green 0 7 of 18 38% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Matheus Camilo 0 12 of 24 50% 30 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
2 Gabe Green 0 5 of 9 55% 19 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:03
Matheus Camilo 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabe Green 12 of 27 44% 4 of 16 3 of 4 5 of 7 10 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1
Matheus Camilo 13 of 27 48% 6 of 16 4 of 6 3 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabe Green 7 of 18 38% 1 of 9 1 of 2 5 of 7 6 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 12 of 24 50% 6 of 14 4 of 6 2 of 4 11 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Gabe Green 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Matheus Camilo 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Gabe Green is moving down to lightweight after two years off, which he sees as a desperate move. He believes Green will look horrific at 155 lbs and that his success came from being a bully at welterweight. Angelo thinks Camilo is a rare prospect with power, cardio, and a good chin, and that the odds feel appropriate with good value.

"Matt Camo is the pick. These odds feel very appropriate to me. This feels like good value."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo, noting his power and aggression. He highlights Gabe Green's long layoff, health issues, and suspect chin. He expects a first-round knockout as both swing dicks, trusting the younger, more durable fighter.

Camilo by KO, round 1
"Give me Matteas Camilo by first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The host likes Camilo's raw tools, power, and aggressive BJJ game. He thinks Green has been away too long, coming back from injury and dropping to 155 lbs, which will be a bad wakeup call. He expects Camilo to be too much of a buzzsaw and get a TKO finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.

Camilo by TKO; under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to lean Camo as I think Green been away from the game a little bit too long, coming back from injury, going back down to 155 lbs."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, calling him a dangerous finisher with multiple ways to win (left hook KO, triangles). He notes Camilo showed well-rounded skills in his last fight, chewing up the leg in round three. He thinks Gabriel Green may struggle with speed and frequency at lightweight, predicting a first-round TKO.

Camilo by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Matteas Camilo here over Gabe Green... I'm going to take Matteas Camilo by first round TKO."
LOSS vs Bryan Battle
KO (punch) R1 0:14 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.

Bet 0.2 units at +110
"I think Brian's gonna win this fight right I think on the feet it's going to be somewhat even"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.

goes to decision
"gabrine has a clear path to Victory I think I think he he takes that clear path to Victory and potentially grinds out a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.

Bryan Battle by decision (suggested), second Shoei bet
"I'm gonna take Brian battle he's the underdog I don't have a whole lot of other dogs on this card so I need one of them Brian battle Hopefully the guy but what I don't feel good about it is …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.

"somebody who's all about constant creation and tirelessness are going to find constant opportunity."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.

"I kind of think Gabe Greene's work rate is going to be the difference but Brian battle is the more physical guy so that should be interesting"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.

"I ultimately think he ends up winning by uh by decision although a good hedge could be the Gabe green via knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.

second Shoei bet
"I don't know man maybe we should just have like a second a second chewy bed a one for one on this one I'll take I'll take second chewy bet you know what you got yourself a deal"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.

decision 30-27
"I am gonna go with Brian battle over Gabe green... I think he'll pick him apart for three rounds to a 30-27 decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.

"green is the favorite here opened at minus one 20 or so, and is currently at minus one 27"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Machado Garry 1 116 of 193 60% 129 of 206 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:46
Gabe Green 0 90 of 195 46% 102 of 208 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Machado Garry 0 41 of 67 61% 41 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabe Green 0 26 of 58 44% 28 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ian Machado Garry 0 36 of 65 55% 44 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Gabe Green 0 38 of 73 52% 47 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
3 Ian Machado Garry 1 39 of 61 63% 44 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Gabe Green 0 26 of 64 40% 27 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Machado Garry 116 of 193 60% 87 of 160 17 of 21 12 of 12 111 of 188 2 of 2 3 of 3
Gabe Green 90 of 195 46% 31 of 112 24 of 36 35 of 47 90 of 194 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Machado Garry 41 of 67 61% 30 of 54 6 of 8 5 of 5 40 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabe Green 26 of 58 44% 8 of 33 5 of 7 13 of 18 26 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ian Machado Garry 36 of 65 55% 25 of 52 6 of 8 5 of 5 35 of 64 0 of 0 1 of 1
Gabe Green 38 of 73 52% 15 of 43 13 of 17 10 of 13 38 of 72 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ian Machado Garry 39 of 61 63% 32 of 54 5 of 5 2 of 2 36 of 58 1 of 1 2 of 2
Gabe Green 26 of 64 40% 8 of 36 6 of 12 12 of 16 26 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Angelo picks Ian Garry, citing his hand speed and footwork, though he notes Garry is hittable and needs to clean up his defense. He believes Gabe Green's negative striking differential and high strikes absorbed will play into Garry's hands. He thinks Garry is overrated but not likely to lose this fight.

"I like ian gary to win but it'll be interesting to see if he gets into some trouble here against gabe green"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady picks Gabe Green as an underdog, citing Ian Garry's poor striking defense exposed in his debut. He believes Green's pressure and volume will trouble Garry, and predicts a late knockout. He acknowledges Garry's hype but thinks Green can expose his flaws.

Green by third round knockout
"i'm gonna take gabe green to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Cody thinks Garry's counter-striking and judo will be effective against Green's linear pressure. He notes Green's wrestling is poor and Garry has cardio to go three rounds. He expects a decision win.

Garry over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks; Garry by decision +240
"I think he wins I think the minus 185 price tag... it's appropriate"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Daniel Levi is confident in Ian Garry, having bet 3.1 units to win 2 at -155. He praises Garry's skills, distance management, variety, and work ethic, noting that he moved to Sanford MMA to improve. Levi believes Green is there to be hit and gets hit too much, and that Garry's sniping style will be effective. He dismisses criticism of Garry's personality as irrelevant to betting.

Bet 3.1 units to win 2 at -155; got best of the line.
"i moved in on ian gary earlier in the week at -155... i got ian gary to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Garry is the cleaner, crisper striker with a height advantage. Green is a tough, scrappy fighter who will push forward, but Garry should be able to pick him apart from distance. The host expects a close fight and thinks Garry wins by decision, but is not confident enough to bet.

"i think the cleaner fighter is ian gary i think the crisper fighter or striker i should say is ian gary"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Paul picks Garry but won't bet him at -185. He likes the over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks and the decision prop at +240. He thinks Garry is a work in progress but will win.

Garry over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks; Garry by decision +240
"I'll pick Gary but uh I'm never I don't think I'm ever gonna be happy backing this guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

The MMA Guru picks Ian Garry, citing his height and reach advantage, leg kicks, and front kicks to the body. He expects Garry to win the first two rounds with his range striking, then fade in the third as Green pressures, but still win 29-28. He notes Green's cardio and tendency to come on late but thinks Garry's early work will be enough.

draw bet mentioned as good value
"i'm going to go 29 28e and gary based on the first two rounds"
TKO (punches) R2 4:02 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera · Apr 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabe Green 0 48 of 123 39% 54 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Yohan Lainesse 1 41 of 80 51% 42 of 81 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabe Green 0 12 of 57 21% 16 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Yohan Lainesse 0 25 of 50 50% 25 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:32
2 Gabe Green 0 36 of 66 54% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Yohan Lainesse 1 16 of 30 53% 17 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabe Green 48 of 123 39% 26 of 98 13 of 16 9 of 9 36 of 105 4 of 5 8 of 13
Yohan Lainesse 41 of 80 51% 15 of 40 11 of 16 15 of 24 35 of 74 3 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabe Green 12 of 57 21% 6 of 49 2 of 4 4 of 4 10 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 25 of 50 50% 7 of 20 8 of 12 10 of 18 23 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gabe Green 36 of 66 54% 20 of 49 11 of 12 5 of 5 26 of 51 2 of 2 8 of 13
Yohan Lainesse 16 of 30 53% 8 of 20 3 of 4 5 of 6 12 of 26 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 24, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.

"i am going to trust green to throw straight punches right up the middle get inside of that looping power of johann and grind out what will probably be a nail-biting decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.

second round submission
"i will take uh gabe green to win this fight and i will take him to win by a submission second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.

"definitely not laying the chalk on him gonna add lioness to my card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.

"since the line has flipped i'm going the opposite side i'm going to take johan um to potentially catch him with something big in the early going"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.

Lainesse by knockout +200
"i'm actually going to take a flyer on line s and uh plus 200 by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.

"i'm leaning toward i think he's probably gonna get added to the car it's gonna be an all dog card for me this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.

Lainesse by first-round KO
"johan lyness is gonna ko gabriel green in the first round... i'm gonna have to go with johan lines by first round ko"
WIN vs Philip Rowe
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabe Green 2 70 of 152 46% 128 of 213 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:13
Philip Rowe 0 42 of 86 48% 48 of 93 2 of 6 33% 0 2 5:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabe Green 0 13 of 26 50% 28 of 41 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:13
Philip Rowe 0 10 of 31 32% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:09
2 Gabe Green 1 39 of 88 44% 51 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Philip Rowe 0 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:49
3 Gabe Green 1 18 of 38 47% 49 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Philip Rowe 0 8 of 15 53% 9 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabe Green 70 of 152 46% 36 of 112 15 of 20 19 of 20 51 of 126 4 of 7 15 of 19
Philip Rowe 42 of 86 48% 25 of 67 8 of 10 9 of 9 40 of 84 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabe Green 13 of 26 50% 3 of 14 1 of 2 9 of 10 13 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 10 of 31 32% 5 of 25 1 of 2 4 of 4 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabe Green 39 of 88 44% 21 of 68 12 of 14 6 of 6 25 of 68 2 of 4 12 of 16
Philip Rowe 24 of 40 60% 15 of 30 6 of 7 3 of 3 24 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gabe Green 18 of 38 47% 12 of 30 2 of 4 4 of 4 13 of 32 2 of 3 3 of 3
Philip Rowe 8 of 15 53% 5 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady picks Gabe Green to win by knockout. He thinks Green is very live to win and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe doesn't use his reach advantage and that Green is good at closing distance. He expects a war and a finish, and he bet the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He also thinks Green has solid ground game if it goes there.

Green by knockout; under 2.5 rounds (bet at +100); fight doesn't go to decision -165
"I'm gonna pick uh gabriel green to win by knockout he's gonna knock out philip rowe"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his size and reach advantage as the tallest welterweight. He notes that Rowe has potential and has been training with good partners. He criticizes Gabe Green's takedown defense and thinks Rowe can stay long, use his jab, and win with style points. He acknowledges Green's output but believes Rowe's physical advantages will be key.

Rowe by decision; mentions Rowe's reach and jab; Green's suspect takedown defense
"i'm going to phil roe here man i think he stays long if he's made improvements i think he can win this fight with style points"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gabe Green

The host leans toward Green, citing his well-roundedness and jiu-jitsu, but admits low confidence. He notes that Rowe has a size and reach advantage but is green and hesitant. He expects Green to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, possibly in the first round.

first round submission; under 2.5 rounds at -120
"i lean gabe in this fight i just don't know with how much confidence"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Gabe Green

The Guru picks Gabe Green, citing his tougher competition at lightweight and his activity advantage over Philip Rowe, who hasn't fought since August 2019. He believes Green's pressure and technical striking will outwork Rowe, leading to a unanimous decision win. He notes that Rowe's only advantage is size and range, but Green's experience and youth will prevail.

Green by unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to go with gabriel green over philip bro... i think he'll win this one by 30-27 unanimous decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 0 175 of 344 50% 175 of 345 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Gabe Green 0 127 of 273 46% 127 of 273 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 0 34 of 72 47% 34 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabe Green 0 26 of 68 38% 26 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Rodriguez 0 61 of 114 53% 61 of 115 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabe Green 0 43 of 85 50% 43 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Daniel Rodriguez 0 80 of 158 50% 80 of 158 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Gabe Green 0 58 of 120 48% 58 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 175 of 344 50% 139 of 302 27 of 33 9 of 9 169 of 337 4 of 5 2 of 2
Gabe Green 127 of 273 46% 61 of 198 51 of 58 15 of 17 125 of 269 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 34 of 72 47% 20 of 57 11 of 12 3 of 3 34 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabe Green 26 of 68 38% 4 of 43 11 of 13 11 of 12 26 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Rodriguez 61 of 114 53% 49 of 101 6 of 7 6 of 6 60 of 113 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabe Green 43 of 85 50% 25 of 66 15 of 16 3 of 3 42 of 84 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Daniel Rodriguez 80 of 158 50% 70 of 144 10 of 14 0 of 0 75 of 152 3 of 4 2 of 2
Gabe Green 58 of 120 48% 32 of 89 25 of 29 1 of 2 57 of 117 1 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by knockout in the first round. He thinks Rodriguez is the better fighter overall, more technical, and has a black belt in BJJ. He notes that Green is coming up in weight and that Rodriguez will be the bigger, more powerful fighter. He expects a finish inside the distance and calls Green a 'killer or be killed' guy who will get knocked out.

Rodriguez wins by KO in round 1; inside the distance prop
"I'm gonna go with Deanna Rodriguez here I think he's going to get it done in the first round with a knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel picks Rodriguez to stop Green, citing his durability, power, and the fact that Green is taking the fight on short notice and may not be in shape. He notes Rodriguez's impressive debut win over Tim Means and his training at elevation with Cowboy Cerrone.

stoppage
"i think he's going to come out here and stop gabriel green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Holland to win by TKO in the second or third round. He notes that Holland is better at 170 lbs, has a massive reach advantage, and is coming off a full camp while Rodriguez is on short notice. He predicts Holland will use front kicks to the body to gas Rodriguez and then finish him.

Holland by TKO in round 2 or 3
"Kevin Holland's gonna find the front kick to the body eventually gas him out and then get the finish in the late second or third round"
Philip Rowe - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 54 of 111 48% 59 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 66 of 111 59% 84 of 136 3 of 9 33% 2 0 5:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 14 of 26 53% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 32 of 38 84% 43 of 53 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:46
2 Philip Rowe 0 16 of 31 51% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 19 of 32 59% 26 of 42 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:49
3 Philip Rowe 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 54 of 111 48% 42 of 94 3 of 6 9 of 11 50 of 107 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 66 of 111 59% 40 of 77 10 of 17 16 of 17 47 of 87 6 of 10 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 14 of 26 53% 10 of 21 0 of 0 4 of 5 13 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 32 of 38 84% 22 of 27 4 of 5 6 of 6 18 of 23 2 of 3 12 of 12
2 Philip Rowe 16 of 31 51% 10 of 22 2 of 4 4 of 5 13 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 19 of 32 59% 10 of 19 4 of 8 5 of 5 15 of 26 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Philip Rowe 24 of 54 44% 22 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1 24 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 15 of 41 36% 8 of 31 2 of 4 5 of 6 14 of 38 0 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Angelo picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, arguing that despite Phil Rowe's technical striking and experience, Rowe is hesitant and has poor takedown defense. He believes Jean-Paul's forward pressure, wrestling, and ability to get the fight to the ground will secure the win.

"Jean Paul Lespagnol Yianni is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Big Brady picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to defeat Philip Rowe, citing Rowe's poor minute-winning and takedown defense. He notes Rowe loses the first round and a half of every fight and has never won a decision. He believes Lebosnoyani is a well-rounded prospect who won't slow down, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges Lebosnoyani has been knocked out twice but thinks his skill advantage is clear.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by decision
"I'm going to take the newcomer here, LeBosneani, to go out there. And I actually think it's going to be a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody thinks Rowe's reach and experience will be key. He notes Lebosnoyani's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Rowe to win by KO in the later rounds, possibly as a live bet.

"I'm actually gonna take him for some short dog money here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Connor picks Rowe, noting that Lebosnoyani's aggressive guard and submission threats are a throwback and not part of a modern MMA game. Rowe is rangier and will win at range. Connor also points out that Lebosnoyani's losses include Spike Carlisle, indicating he's not ready for this level.

"I don't think it's gonna beat phil roe... being a small welterweight who likes to roll for leg locks... phil is just gonna be rangier out at range"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

The host heavily leans towards Lebosnoyani, citing his legitimate knockout power and dynamic striking against Rowe, who is slow, easy to hit, and has poor takedown defense. He believes Lebosnoyani will likely land the harder shots and knock Rowe out. However, he cannot bet Lebosnoyani at -205 because he is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds uncertainty.

Lebosnoyani's short-notice debut; Rowe's poor takedown defense and slow striking
"I do heavily lean towards Gene Paul here, but there's no way I'm betting a guy at an implied probability of 67% who's coming in on short notice to make their debut."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

James leans toward Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani via decision, citing his grappling upside and movement. He notes that Philip Rowe is on a downward trajectory and that Lebosnoyani's in-and-out striking could pose problems. However, James admits he hasn't done full tape study and may change his pick.

"At the moment, I'm gonna take Jean Paul. I'll pick Jean Paul via decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Lebosnoyani is a black belt in BJJ with improving striking, and he should be able to crowd Rowe's range and take him down. Rowe struggles with grappling and has poor takedown defense, as seen in recent losses. Lebosnoyani's superior BJJ and cardio should allow him to control the fight and eventually find a submission. The chalk is justified here.

"I ultimately think JPL gets a dub in his UFC debut. And I think it comes by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Paul agrees, citing Rowe's BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Lebosnoyani's grappling isn't enough to take Rowe down and that Rowe's reach will be a problem. He expects Rowe to win by decision or late KO.

"Phil Row at plus 175 is a fine wager."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe as a slight underdog, feeling that the matchup favors Rowe's patience and composure. He notes that Lebosnoyani is a first round TKO merchant who hasn't faced great opponents, and if he doesn't finish Rowe early, he may crumble. Rowe has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds.

underdog, slight underdog, not quite two to one
"I'm going with Philip Rowe getting this one done as the slight underdog that he is."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Zane picks Rowe, citing that Lebosnoyani is small, inexperienced, and defensively vulnerable. Rowe's range and size will be a problem for Lebosnoyani, who isn't committed to pressuring and goes in bursts. Zane thinks Rowe is dangerous at long range and this is a step up in competition for Lebosnoyani.

"I'll go with you. I'll take roe. I I mean, I do think the range is going to be a problem... roe is actually really dangerous at long range"
LOSS vs Ko Seok-hyun
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 4 of 7 57% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Ko Seok-hyun 0 36 of 42 85% 124 of 157 4 of 4 100% 0 0 13:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ko Seok-hyun 0 13 of 15 86% 36 of 45 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
2 Philip Rowe 0 0 of 2 0% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ko Seok-hyun 0 11 of 14 78% 47 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:32
3 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 4 75% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Ko Seok-hyun 0 12 of 13 92% 41 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 36 of 42 85% 27 of 33 0 of 0 9 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 24 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 13 of 15 86% 11 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 12
2 Philip Rowe 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 11 of 14 78% 10 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
3 Philip Rowe 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 12 of 13 92% 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6 7 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

Angelo picks Ko Seok-hyun, citing his heavy hands, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Phil Rowe is a good striker with length but can be low volume and gets hit a lot. He thinks Ko's weird stance and aggression will cause problems, and if Ko gets takedowns like he did against Oban Elliott, he is worth the money.

"Ko is going to be the pick, and honestly, he probably is worth the money if he gets those six takedowns that he got in his last fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Philip Rowe as an upset, citing a market overreaction after Ko Seok-hyun's win over Oban Elliott. He notes Rowe has a 9-inch reach advantage and is the much bigger fighter with power. However, he acknowledges Ko's new wrestling wrinkle and that Rowe often loses the first round. He predicts Rowe will stuff takedowns and get a third-round knockout.

third round knockout, plus 160 underdog
"I'm going to go Row here. I'm going to go row here for the upset. I think it's a little bit too much of a market overreaction here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ko's aggressive clinch game and pressure will be a problem for Rowe. He thinks once Ko gets a strong start, he will be more aggressive and controlling as the fight goes on. He acknowledges Rowe could win if he sits outside and throws straight shots, but Ko's style is difficult to handle.

Rowe opened at +170, now +165; Ko opened at -200, now -190. Connor thinks the odds are reasonable.
"I think there's a very big chance he gives phil row problems with that."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

Lucrative James picks Ko Seok-hyun to win, highlighting his well-rounded skills including southpaw striking reminiscent of Conor McGregor, judo throws, and strong grappling. He notes that Philip Rowe has issues with being taken down and playing guard, which plays into Ko's strengths. James expects Ko to win a clean decision, possibly 30-27, by controlling the fight with his grappling and striking.

Ko Seok-hyun wins by decision
"I'm picking co again in this fight. I'm picking co via clean decision probably 3027."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

Ko can disrupt the space of Rowe, who needs comfort to get off his offense. Ko will keep Rowe moving backwards, land a few takedowns, and win on the scorecards.

"I think Cole can really disrupt the space of Ro who often needs to be comfortable at space to try to get off on his own offense. But I think Cole will keep him moving backwards, land a few takedowns, …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

The MMA Guru picks Song Yadong KO (Ko Seok-hyun) over Philip Rowe. He notes Rowe's size and reach but believes Ko's aggression, grappling, and KO power will be decisive. He criticizes Rowe's slow starts and lack of quality wins, while Ko's win over Oban Elliott impressed him. He predicts an early KO in round one.

early finish, KO in round one
"I'm going to say that Song Yadong KO is going to get this one done. I reckon he's going to crack Philip Rowe on the chin and put him down."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ko Seok-hyun

Zane picks Ko because of his excellent upper-body clinch wrestling and aggressive style, which should give Rowe problems. He notes that Rowe often starts bewildered and walks into clinches, and Ko's ability to crash into the clinch and control there will be decisive. He acknowledges Ko's striking is technically bad and he has a questionable chin, but thinks his pressure will overwhelm Rowe.

Rowe opened at +170, now +165; Ko opened at -200, now -190. Zane thinks the odds are reasonable.
"I'm gonna pick uh co to do that here as well. I want to see it more than anything."
WIN vs Ange Loosa
KO R3 4:03 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 1 85 of 166 51% 103 of 187 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 1 65 of 106 61% 130 of 180 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 15 of 23 65% 58 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:58
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 1 43 of 70 61% 65 of 94 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
3 Philip Rowe 1 49 of 78 62% 49 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 85 of 166 51% 73 of 149 9 of 12 3 of 5 71 of 146 14 of 19 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 65 of 106 61% 32 of 69 13 of 16 20 of 21 47 of 84 10 of 12 8 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 15 of 23 65% 9 of 15 1 of 3 5 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 7 of 8
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 29 of 77 4 of 6 1 of 2 31 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 43 of 70 61% 20 of 47 11 of 11 12 of 12 32 of 56 10 of 12 1 of 2
3 Philip Rowe 49 of 78 62% 43 of 71 5 of 6 1 of 1 38 of 62 11 of 15 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 7 of 13 53% 3 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Angelo leans Ange Loosa because he expects him to be busier and out-volume Rowe. He notes that Rowe can be hesitant and flat, as seen in his last fight. He thinks Loosa can sneak out a close decision.

If we get the odds and an is an underdog, I might make little look something happen here
"I expect An to be busier and I think he's going to sneak out a close decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa, noting that Philip Rowe tends to start slow and come back late, but Loosa is durable and has never been knocked out. He believes Loosa's toughness and cardio will allow him to win a decision, as Rowe's best wins have aged poorly. He also mentions Loosa can mix in takedowns.

"I'm gonna take And Luca to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Loosa's power punching, strength, and physicality will keep Rowe against the cage or drag him to the ground, neutralizing Rowe's distance striking. Loosa will grind out a decision win.

"I'm really liking Losa in this spot as I think he can mix his power punching style with his strength and physicality..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

The Guru picks Philip Rowe to finish Ange Loosa, citing Loosa's tendency to be 'manipulatable' and cover up with his back against the cage. He notes Rowe's ability to work opponents up against the cage, as seen against Niko Price. He expects a finish, possibly by D'Arce choke, and mentions a prop bet on Loosa landing under 69.5 significant strikes.

Ange Loosa under 69.5 significant strikes
"I'm going to go with Philip Bro getting a finish over Luca. Um Lucer, here's the problem I have with him. I think he's a very well-trained fighter and um he's got everything, but it's just the guy just seems …"
LOSS vs Jake Matthews
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Matthews 0 34 of 104 32% 40 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:50
Philip Rowe 0 66 of 164 40% 89 of 188 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Matthews 0 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Philip Rowe 0 30 of 73 41% 35 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Jake Matthews 0 14 of 52 26% 14 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Philip Rowe 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jake Matthews 0 2 of 6 33% 8 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:50
Philip Rowe 0 2 of 7 28% 20 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Matthews 34 of 104 32% 27 of 92 1 of 3 6 of 9 32 of 102 2 of 2 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 66 of 164 40% 36 of 125 18 of 27 12 of 12 60 of 155 3 of 6 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Matthews 18 of 46 39% 14 of 39 1 of 1 3 of 6 16 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 30 of 73 41% 17 of 56 6 of 10 7 of 7 26 of 68 2 of 3 2 of 2
2 Jake Matthews 14 of 52 26% 11 of 47 0 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 34 of 84 40% 18 of 64 11 of 15 5 of 5 33 of 81 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jake Matthews 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jake Matthews vs. Philip Rowe
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matthews (-162), Rowe (+136)

Round 1
Keeping on with welterweight action, hyper-aggressive New Yorker Rowe (10-4, 3-2 UFC) will try to win one for local fans as he takes on Australia’s Matthews (19-7, 12-7 UFC). In all 10 of Rowe’s pro victories, he has prevailed by stoppage. His foe Matthews is no stranger to finishes, with all of his wins dating back to 2022 coming inside the distance. The fighters will collide under the supervision of referee Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro, and they do not touch gloves when he says it’s time to fight. Rowe shifts immediately to the middle of the Octagon, and he measures out his range with a low kick to either side of Matthews’ lead leg. Matthews jabs out, aiming one to the body as he finds his distance, and he evades a sweeping kick so he can give one back. Rowe sets up a high kick as Matthews, and commentator Daniel Cormier gushes on Rowe’s basketball prowess. As Cormier is talking about a pickup basketball game, Rowe absorbs a few low kicks, and Matthews then punches his way inside and even threatens with a trip. Matthews keeps jabbing the body, and Rowe stands firm and plants two heavy right hands on the temple. Matthews backs him off with body shots, and Rowe poses and flexes like Super Macho Man. Matthews takes a punch combo and digs a left to the body and right up top, and Rowe acknowledges the land with a nod. Rowe connects with a crisp right hand, smashing up Matthews’ nose, but Matthews is ready to bang and he throws back recklessly. Rowe wades in, and the two welterweights swing for the bleachers. A thudding right hand from Matthews finds its home on Rowe’s cheek, and swelling immediately develops. Rowe has a front kick split the guard, and he parries an overhand right. Matthews tries to come out firing with three punches, and when Rowe blocks it, the New Yorker dances. Rowe intensely strides forward, sticking out a sharp jab and keeping his guard tight. Rowe jumps forward with a knee, and Matthews lowers his left hand down and smacks the top of Rowe’s cup in an awkward situation. Rowe drops to his knees, and Ribeiro calls time. “The Fresh Prince” freshens himself up after a minute to recover, and they get going with a vengeance. Matthews races at him throwing hands, and Rowe retaliates and drives several knees to the dome. Rowe wings a head kick and falls to his back, and Matthews leaps after him and holds him down until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rowe
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rowe
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews

Round 2
Despite taking some facial damage in the last round, Matthews appears the more confident of the two, and he surges forward to attack. Matthews swings a left and a right, and he jumps forward to plant an uppercut on the chin. Rowe keeps his guard up to defend the follow-up blows, only for Matthews to wrap three punches around his shell to ring his bell. Rowe wobbles back, knees weak, arms heavy, but there is nothing on his sweater already. Rowe chambers and fires a right hand, getting Matthews’ attention, but Matthews quickly gathers himself and stings him with a short right from up close. Rowe pushes out a jab to calm things down and reassume his range, and Matthews pushes through it to aim two punches to the body and a right over the top that does not get through. Rowe gets off a leg kick, and he blocks a check left hook. When Rowe crashes the pocket, his guard is able to protect him from the swarming punches aimed at his head. Rowe lands another solid low kick, and he slides back to let an overhand right glance off his shoulder. Rowe intercepts a punch combination with a knee up the middle, and Matthews jabs the body in response. Matthews tries and fails to let loose with three hooks, only for Rowe to guard each one. Rowe checks a kick, and he gets driven back by a double jab. Matthews throws out another double jab to follow a right up top, and he does a similar combination that is met with a mighty Rowe right hook. Rowe connects with a clean right hand, and Matthews slings a right hook back that bounces off the dome. One last left from Matthews ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews

Round 3
The fighters bump fists before engaging, and engage they do immediately. Rowe springs into action, throwing power shots, and Matthews replies in kind. Rowe tries to push forward and take the Aussie down, and Matthews reverses him and plants him on his back. Rowe does not quit moving, sweeping “The Celtic Kid” and put himself in half guard. Rowe clings from on top, preferring to maintain position rather than open himself up with strikes. Matthews sits up and pulls Rowe back into his full guard, and he turns his back and gives it up to escape. Rowe slides off the back, and Matthews shifts on top with Rowe on his side. Matthews tries to break up the leglock around his own leg so he can pass, and the scramble results in an odd pretzel situation as Rowe uses his arm to turn Matthews over. Matthews reasserts his position while Rowe stays turned on his side, and he slithers his leg out so he can shift to three-quarter mount. Matthews pursues an arm-triangle choke, and Rowe turns the proper direction to break it up but remains stuck on his back. Matthews lines up a one-arm guillotine choke, using the grip perhaps for position rather than submission. Rowe explodes in an effort to get up, but Matthews thwarts him one last time before the fight concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)

The Official Result
Jake Matthews def. Philip Rowe via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe despite his poor fight IQ in the last fight where he grappled Neil Magny unnecessarily. He believes Rowe is the better striker and should win if he sticks to striking and uses his range. He trusts that the loss was a wake-up call, but is not highly confident due to Rowe's decision-making.

"I'm going to go Phil here I hate that I'm going to go Phil here I don't necessarily trust him but I am going to go with Phil"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Big Brady is not a huge fan of Philip Rowe but acknowledges he is a popular dog with a 100% finish rate. He notes Jake Matthews is inconsistent and has dropped the ball as a favorite. He thinks Rowe is live to win and keep his finish rate intact, being much bigger.

Philip Rowe wins by finish (KO/submission)
"Phil row 7,900 I'm not the biggest fan of Phil row um he seems to be a very popular dog this week"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody picks Rowe, echoing Paul's sentiment. He details Matthews' flaws: poor striking, questionable chin, and tendency to lose as a favorite. Cody notes Rowe's 80-inch reach, volume, and durability. He believes Matthews will struggle to take Rowe down and will get outpointed on the feet. Cody mentions Rowe's wins over Orion Cosce and Jason Witt, and his KO of Nico Price.

"Matthews has lost five of his seven UFC losses as the betting favorite... Rowe has an 80-inch reach... I would dig Phil Rowe."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel calls Matthews 'Flake Matthews' due to mental lapses. He likes Rowe's physical tools, reach, and power, and expects him to establish his jab and land a big right hand. He sees a submission or KO possibility and plans to bet two units.

"I'm gonna go Phil row here to come out here and set back Jake Matthews"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The host leans on Rowe's striking advantage, citing his height, reach, and improved range management. Matthews has not been using his wrestling lately, which is his path to victory. If Matthews stays on the feet, Rowe should pick him apart and possibly get a knockout. The host calls this the toughest fight to call but sides with Rowe's technical striking.

"I'm ultimately going to lean with the Phil Rowe side and lean on his striking heavy approach."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Paul picks Rowe, citing Matthews' history of losing as a favorite. He notes Matthews has lost five of his seven UFC losses as the betting favorite. Paul likes Rowe's reach advantage (80-inch reach), jab, and durability. He believes Matthews' grappling won't be as effective against Rowe's length, and Rowe can win by decision or late KO. He mentions Rowe's close fight with Neil Magny.

"Jake Matthews as a favorite in this type of spot... Phil Rowe on top of that... being able to make the fight ugly and close against Neil Magny... I'll take that plus 140."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe as his underdog of the card. He believes Jake Matthews struggles against taller, rangier opponents and that Matthews' best work is at close range. Rowe is a good grappler and has better range striking. He notes that Matthews' wins are not impressive and that Rowe has shown more. He predicts Rowe may win by clinch knees and body shots.

"I'm actually going to go with Philip bro um I think he's underrated"
LOSS vs Neil Magny
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 29 of 65 44% 109 of 159 0 of 3 0% 0 0 4:31
Philip Rowe 0 34 of 64 53% 51 of 86 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 5 of 15 33% 37 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:59
Philip Rowe 0 11 of 19 57% 16 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 Neil Magny 0 7 of 16 43% 29 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:56
Philip Rowe 0 6 of 12 50% 10 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:03
3 Neil Magny 0 17 of 34 50% 43 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Philip Rowe 0 17 of 33 51% 25 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 29 of 65 44% 23 of 57 5 of 7 1 of 1 17 of 46 12 of 19 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 34 of 64 53% 17 of 43 3 of 6 14 of 15 32 of 58 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 5 of 15 33% 5 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 11 of 19 57% 6 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 10 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 7 of 16 43% 4 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 6 of 12 50% 3 of 8 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Neil Magny 17 of 34 50% 14 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 24 6 of 10 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 17 of 33 51% 8 of 22 1 of 2 8 of 9 16 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe as the underdog, citing his speed, accuracy, and power. He notes Neil Magny is more well-rounded but lacks power and has been losing striking exchanges. He says the fight comes down to Rowe's takedown defense, which is not great, but he expects Rowe to weather early wrestling storms. He adds no bet yet, as Magny has a knack for squeaking out close decisions.

"I'm actually going to pick Ro here as the underdog because he's far more dangerous"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Big Brady picks Neil Magny, acknowledging his superior competition and well-rounded skills. He notes Rowe's takedown defense is a clear hole, and Magny should exploit it by wrestling. He has concerns about Magny's durability at 35 and history of being knocked out, but believes Magny can win a decision by controlling the fight on the ground.

"I'm gonna take Neil magni here and I'm gonna take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Cody picks Magny, emphasizing his wrestling and technical kickboxing. He notes Rowe's tendency to gas and Magny's ability to exploit takedowns. He expects Magny by decision.

Magny by decision mentioned.
"I think he can use his technical at range kickboxing pick his shots here and there then get those takedowns."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Connor sees Magny as a calm, relaxed fighter who doesn't rely on out-ranging opponents; his style is built around making opponents uncomfortable at distance and then dragging them into clinch and ground game. He notes that Philip Rowe is a classic sniper who lands one beautiful shot but can't follow up, often falling into the pocket and ending up on his back early. Connor believes Magny eats that kind of fighter for lunch, as Rowe's best round is the second but Magny builds into fights and dominates rounds two and three. He also points out that the odds are getting longer on Magny, which he sees as disrespectful given Magny's consistent level.

Odds opened at -149, now -161; Rowe opened +117, now +144. Connor notes the odds are getting longer and that Magny gets no respect.
"I can't not pick Neil here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi leans towards Philip Rowe, citing Rowe's physical advantages (longer reach, power) and Magny's history of being knocked out. He notes Rowe's slow starts but thinks he can hurt Magny once he finds his range. He also mentions Rowe's training with high-level grapplers and his upward trajectory. However, he acknowledges Magny's experience and is not fully confident.

Might take a shot on Rowe; no bet yet.
"I might be interested in taking the shot here I might be interested I think he might have something for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Neil Magny

The host picks Neil Magny to win by decision. He believes Magny's veteran experience, forward pressure, and clinch game will be too much for Rowe. He thinks Rowe will start confident but fade as Magny grinds him down. He notes Magny's cardio and ability to wear opponents, and expects a classic Magny performance, possibly a finish in the third round.

"I fully expect the veteransi of uh neo-magni to come through here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Paul picks Magny, noting his wrestling advantage and veteran savvy. He expects Magny to use takedowns and control to win a decision. He mentions he already bet Magny at -143.

Magny by decision at plus 110 mentioned.
"First bet I made this week was magni at -143."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Neil Magny

The Guru picks Neil Magny, citing his experience and craftiness. He notes that Philip Rowe has lost all his grappling competitions since 2021 and that Nico Price outlanded Rowe but lost due to being rocked. He believes Magny won't have chin issues and can outpoint Rowe at range, predicting a boring close decision 29-28.

Predicts decision win.
"I'm going to go with Neil Magna in a boring close decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Zane agrees with Connor that Magny is the clear pick. He emphasizes that Magny's fighting style is not reliant on out-ranging people; it's about making opponents uncomfortable and then dragging them into clinch and ground. Zane notes that Rowe is a sniper who lands one shot and can't follow up, often falling into the pocket and ending up on his back. He also points out that Rowe's best round is the second, but Magny builds into fights and dominates later rounds. Zane concludes that you either finish Magny early or he takes over, and Rowe is not the kind of fighter to do that.

Odds opened at -149, now -161; Rowe opened +117, now +144. Zane notes the odds are getting longer and that Magny gets no respect.
"Yeah, pretty simple pick for Magni."
WIN vs Niko Price
TKO (punches) R3 3:26 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 110 of 247 44% 150 of 293 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:29
Niko Price 0 63 of 139 45% 64 of 140 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 87 39% 36 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Niko Price 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 101 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Niko Price 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:28
3 Philip Rowe 0 42 of 75 56% 68 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Niko Price 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 110 of 247 44% 66 of 197 16 of 22 28 of 28 88 of 218 14 of 21 8 of 8
Niko Price 63 of 139 45% 49 of 123 7 of 8 7 of 8 57 of 129 6 of 7 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 34 of 87 39% 12 of 63 5 of 7 17 of 17 30 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Niko Price 20 of 53 37% 12 of 44 3 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 20 of 68 9 of 12 5 of 5 29 of 77 5 of 8 0 of 0
Niko Price 17 of 40 42% 13 of 35 3 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Philip Rowe 42 of 75 56% 34 of 66 2 of 3 6 of 6 29 of 61 5 of 6 8 of 8
Niko Price 26 of 46 56% 24 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1 23 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe, citing his length, volume, and striking. He notes Rowe's takedown defense isn't great but Niko Price's takedown offense isn't great either. He expresses concern about Price's year off and potential hurricane impact on his training camp. He says he probably won't bet this fight because Price is dangerous and can look amazing or get caught.

Probably won't bet; mentions Price's year off and hurricane impact
"Philip Rowe is going to be the pick I'm probably not going to bet on this fight because somebody like Nico is fun is dangerous and can just come out there and just look amazing"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Rowe to win by knockout in the second round, citing his reach (80.5 inches), size, and power. He notes Price is hittable (47% striking defense) and unlikely to wrestle. He expects a striking battle where Rowe's length and power prevail, though he acknowledges Price is live for a knockout.

Rowe wins by KO, round 2
"I like row to win pull off the upset and knock out Nico price in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody leans towards Rowe as a live underdog, noting his reach and combinations. He thinks Price takes damage and may slow down. He prefers to bet Rowe live after likely losing the first round.

live betting on Rowe after round 1
"I'm more looking towards a live betting option for row and I wouldn't out rule I wouldn't rule out sorry uh switching the pick to Nico price seeing him at weigh-ins hearing some good interviews I could be talked into …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Connor also picks Niko Price, citing Price's experience and well-roundedness. He notes that Rowe has potential but hasn't shown the ability to defend takedowns while striking, and Price has consistent aspects to his game that allow him to stick to his game plan for multiple rounds.

"I'll have to pick Nico price as well. Row is the favorite here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe to knock out Niko Price. He likes Rowe's reach, straight right, and Jiu-Jitsu, and believes Price is slowing down after ACL surgery. He notes Rowe's slow starts but thinks he will find his range and finish. He is willing to bet the underdog.

Rowe by KO
"I'm gonna go with Phil row to come out here and actually knock out the guy we love... cash this Plus 120"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Niko Price

The host picks Niko Price to win inside the distance, citing Price's experience and ability to drag opponents into a war. He thinks Price will use a grapple-heavy approach to get dominant position and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe is still green and may not be comfortable in a chaotic fight. He likes the -140 price tag on the veteran.

Niko Price inside the distance
"I like the -140 price tag on the experienced veteran and that's probably the way that I'll be going for this matchup Nico price inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul is torn but picks Price for the show. He notes Price's durability and volume, but acknowledges Rowe's reach and combinations. He doesn't have a strong edge and won't bet it.

"for the purpose of the program I'm picking Nico price but yeah I mean I've already got like a list of things that I'm considering betting this ain't one of them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe, citing Niko Price's poor performance against Alex Oliveira and his long layoff. He thinks Rowe's technical striking and grappling will be enough to win by TKO. He expresses frustration that Price is being fed to Rowe instead of getting a fun matchup.

Rowe by TKO
"I'm going with Philip bro"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Zane picks Niko Price based on experience and resilience, noting that Price has been in more brawls against better fighters and has the option to wrestle if needed. He is hesitant because Price loses often and Rowe could win if he becomes comfortable defending takedowns while striking, but Zane hasn't seen that yet.

"I really have no choice here, but to pick Nico price because things are going to go haywire and I Nico price isn't even the most durable guy in the world, but he's very resilient."
WIN vs Jason Witt
TKO (punches) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 8 of 22 36% 25 of 43 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:11
Jason Witt 1 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 11 27% 19 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:46
Jason Witt 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Philip Rowe 0 5 of 11 45% 6 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:25
Jason Witt 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 8 of 22 36% 5 of 15 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 1
Jason Witt 8 of 17 47% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 3 of 11 27% 2 of 8 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jason Witt 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Philip Rowe 5 of 11 45% 3 of 7 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1
Jason Witt 6 of 10 60% 6 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jason Witt

Angelo picks Jason Witt despite Rowe being the favorite. He notes Rowe's size and striking advantages but believes Witt's wrestling and ground control will be decisive. Witt will relentlessly pursue takedowns and maintain top pressure, likely winning a decision. Angelo acknowledges Rowe's better jiu-jitsu but thinks Witt's grinding style prevails.

"i'm going with jason witt here row is the favorite i totally get why he's the favorite he's the better striker and he's got better jiu jitsu but i think the takedowns and the elbow in ground control will be …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Witt has a history of getting knocked out and that Rowe has good BJJ to neutralize takedowns. He thinks Rowe will win by knockout in the later rounds after Witt tires. He suggests live betting Rowe after the first round.

Rowe by knockout (live bet after round 1)
"i think you're going to get a much better price here if you just take row after that first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his massive reach advantage (10 inches) and knockout power. He notes Witt has been knocked out multiple times and is slow and hittable. Levi believes Rowe will find his range and land a big right hand, potentially a knockout. He also mentions Rowe's grappling improvements and training with Rodolfo Vieira. He considers betting on Rowe at the pick 'em line.

i'm considering a bet on row here i think he comes out here and i think he starches jason witt at some point in this fight
"i think phil rose going to come out here and knock out jason witt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Lock of the Night picks Rowe, expecting him to find a knockout after surviving early takedowns. He notes Witt's poor chin and reaction to getting hit. He likes Rowe by KO at +165.

Rowe by KO +165, Rowe inside the distance +110
"philip rowe philippro ko is kind of what i've been leaning on as my prop for this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Paul thinks Rowe will eventually catch Witt on the feet due to his reach advantage and Witt's suspect chin. He notes that Witt has been knocked out multiple times and that Rowe's takedown defense is suspect but his BJJ is good. He is confident Rowe wins by knockout.

Rowe by knockout (round 2 or 3)
"i think eventually phil roe catches him on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe, citing his 10.5-inch reach advantage and improved grappling from training with Gordon Ryan. He notes Jason Witt has been knocked out cold before and expects Rowe to keep the fight standing and win by first-round TKO with knees. He acknowledges Witt's grappling but believes Rowe's development will neutralize it.

TKO, round 1, knees
"i'm going to trust philip bro... i think he's more explosive on the feet i believe he has something like a 10 inch reach advantage"
WIN vs Orion Cosce
TKO (punches) R2 4:21 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 1 46 of 93 49% 53 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Orion Cosce 0 22 of 52 42% 51 of 82 2 of 6 33% 0 0 6:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Orion Cosce 0 7 of 11 63% 22 of 27 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:35
2 Philip Rowe 1 43 of 87 49% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Orion Cosce 0 15 of 41 36% 29 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 46 of 93 49% 32 of 76 13 of 16 1 of 1 33 of 78 13 of 15 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 22 of 52 42% 17 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 3 16 of 44 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 2 3 of 3
2 Philip Rowe 43 of 87 49% 31 of 72 12 of 15 0 of 0 31 of 73 12 of 14 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 15 of 41 36% 11 of 35 3 of 4 1 of 2 14 of 38 1 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Philip Rowe over Orion Cosce. He highlights Rowe's significant 9.5-inch reach advantage and superior cardio, noting that Rowe is a better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ and slick submissions off his back. He expects Cosce to have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Rowe to secure a late finish. Brady predicts a third-round knockout for Rowe.

third round knockout
"give me a philip rowe for a uh give me a third round knockout for philip rowe here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody picks Philip Rowe as a live underdog, citing his massive reach advantage (9 inches) and tricky striking. He notes that Cosce has cardio issues and that Rowe can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Cody believes that if Rowe survives the first round, he can take over as Cosce tires. He already placed a bet on Rowe at +150.

Cody bet on Philip Rowe at +150.
"i already i that was my first bet that i made on the card i took a plus 150 on philip rowe"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi is surprised that Cosce is a -160 favorite, as he sees this as a more even fight. He believes Rowe has significant physical advantages with his 81-inch reach and 6'4" frame, and that his jiu-jitsu training under Julian Williams and Adolfo Vieira gives him a submission threat. Levi acknowledges Rowe's vulnerability to leg kicks due to his build but hasn't seen Cosce employ that strategy. He leans on Rowe to use his physical tools and possibly find a submission or grind out a decision.

Surprised by the line; thinks Cosce should not be such a heavy favorite.
"I'm not really sure you know why why the confidence so I'm gonna go with phil roe here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Rowe has a huge reach and height advantage, slicker boxing, good movement, and enough jiu-jitsu to avoid trouble. Cosce's regional tape shows gassing and sketchy competition. Rowe's distance striking should wear Cosce down as the fight progresses. The only concern is leg kicks, but Cosce doesn't rely on them heavily. Rowe by decision is the most likely outcome.

Rowe by decision +360 (sprinkle)
"I do like Phil Roe in this spot I think he's a solid underdog... I'm gonna take him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Orion Cosce

Paul leans towards Orion Cosce, noting his power and wrestling advantage. He believes Cosce can take Rowe down and use his strength to control the fight. However, he is concerned about Cosce's cardio and the reach disadvantage. Paul sees this as a close fight and is not confident enough to bet, calling it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think it's dogger pass i've already got some action in on this"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Orion Cosce

The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce over Philip Rowe, stating that Cosce is better and pressures opponents. He notes that Rowe struggled against Gabriel Green, who pressured him, and that Cosce is a better pressure fighter. He expects Cosce to break Rowe as the rounds go on and predicts a finish in the third round by TKO.

Cosce by TKO in round 3
"i'm gonna go over ryan koski here over philip bro... i think he'll get a finish in the third round by tko"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady picks Gabe Green to win by knockout. He thinks Green is very live to win and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe doesn't use his reach advantage and that Green is good at closing distance. He expects a war and a finish, and he bet the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He also thinks Green has solid ground game if it goes there.

Green by knockout; under 2.5 rounds (bet at +100); fight doesn't go to decision -165
"I'm gonna pick uh gabriel green to win by knockout he's gonna knock out philip rowe"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his size and reach advantage as the tallest welterweight. He notes that Rowe has potential and has been training with good partners. He criticizes Gabe Green's takedown defense and thinks Rowe can stay long, use his jab, and win with style points. He acknowledges Green's output but believes Rowe's physical advantages will be key.

Rowe by decision; mentions Rowe's reach and jab; Green's suspect takedown defense
"i'm going to phil roe here man i think he stays long if he's made improvements i think he can win this fight with style points"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gabe Green

The host leans toward Green, citing his well-roundedness and jiu-jitsu, but admits low confidence. He notes that Rowe has a size and reach advantage but is green and hesitant. He expects Green to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, possibly in the first round.

first round submission; under 2.5 rounds at -120
"i lean gabe in this fight i just don't know with how much confidence"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Gabe Green

The Guru picks Gabe Green, citing his tougher competition at lightweight and his activity advantage over Philip Rowe, who hasn't fought since August 2019. He believes Green's pressure and technical striking will outwork Rowe, leading to a unanimous decision win. He notes that Rowe's only advantage is size and range, but Green's experience and youth will prevail.

Green by unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to go with gabriel green over philip bro... i think he'll win this one by 30-27 unanimous decision"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Doesn't exactly fight the smartest fight but goes for it.