Career Averages - Lara Procópio
Career Averages - Molly McCann
Lara Procópio
Molly McCann
Lara Procópio - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 71 of 129 | 55% | 176 of 246 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 5:42 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 41 of 65 | 63% | 76 of 103 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 0 | 26 of 67 | 38% | 34 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 32 of 50 | 64% | 63 of 82 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | |
| 2 | Casey O'Neill | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 68 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | Casey O'Neill | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 74 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 71 of 129 | 55% | 41 of 97 | 23 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 43 of 94 | 9 of 12 | 19 of 23 |
| Lara Procópio | 41 of 65 | 63% | 17 of 40 | 15 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 26 of 49 | 14 of 15 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 26 of 67 | 38% | 12 of 52 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 58 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
| Lara Procópio | 32 of 50 | 64% | 13 of 30 | 12 of 13 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Casey O'Neill | 38 of 50 | 76% | 25 of 36 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 19 |
| Lara Procópio | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Casey O'Neill | 7 of 12 | 58% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Lara Procópio | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lara Procópio, emphasizing her technical jiu-jitsu and high fight IQ. He compares Casey O'Neill to Paige VanZant, athletic but not technical. He believes Procópio can submit O'Neill or control her on the ground. He has Procópio in his DraftKings lineup and placed a bet on her to win by stoppage with decision no action.
Big Brady favors Procópio due to her well-rounded skills, better striking volume, superior cardio, and ground game. He notes O'Neill's striking defense is poor and her win over Shannon Dobson is overrated because Dobson had zero takedown defense. He expects Procópio to mix takedowns and win a decision.
Cody picks Procópio, citing her striking volume, grappling, and durability. He notes O'Neill's limited striking and reliance on takedowns, which Procópio can defend. Cody believes Procópio's well-rounded game will be too much for the undefeated but inexperienced O'Neill.
Daniel Levi picks Lara Procópio, expecting her to dominate the majority of the fight. He notes that she is a Nova União black belt with good performances against Carol Rosa and Molly McCann. However, he warns that she must be careful of O'Neill's submission attempts, as Molly McCann had a deep armbar on her. He predicts a decision win for Procópio.
Jacob picks Casey O'Neill, citing her pressure and toughness. He worries about O'Neill's grappling defense if she ends up on her back, but thinks she can win a decision. He does not have her in his lineup and would not bet on the fight. He sees it as a wrestling match that could go either way.
The host leans with Casey O'Neill as a slight underdog, citing her aggression, strength, and improving skills at Extreme Couture. He believes O'Neill's forward pressure and top control will be key, as Procópio may struggle to get takedowns. He notes O'Neill's ground-and-pound and active top game, while Procópio is a black belt but less threatening off her back. He predicts a decision win but with low conviction, acknowledging respected analysts are on Procópio.
Paul picks Procópio, noting her solid grappling and game plan against Molly McCann. He is concerned about O'Neill's grappling but believes Procópio's experience and skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Casey O'Neill to win by unanimous decision (29-28). He expects Lara Procópio to have success on the feet in the first round, but O'Neill's grappling and size advantage will take over in the later rounds. He notes O'Neill's youth (23) and undefeated record (6-0) as factors. He predicts a takedown at the end of round one, then O'Neill dominating on top in rounds two and three, possibly close to a 10-8 in the third.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 37 of 47 | 78% | 71 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 36 of 58 | 62% | 85 of 113 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 1 | 0 | 11:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lara Procópio | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 27 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:52 | |
| 2 | Lara Procópio | 0 | 14 of 18 | 77% | 35 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 27 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 | |
| 3 | Lara Procópio | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 31 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lara Procópio | 37 of 47 | 78% | 17 of 25 | 13 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 7 |
| Molly McCann | 36 of 58 | 62% | 20 of 39 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 39 | 9 of 11 | 8 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lara Procópio | 14 of 19 | 73% | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 13 of 25 | 52% | 6 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Lara Procópio | 14 of 18 | 77% | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
| Molly McCann | 14 of 21 | 66% | 9 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Lara Procópio | 9 of 10 | 90% | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 12 | 75% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Lara Procópio, believing she has multiple paths to victory. He notes that Procópio is a black belt in BJJ and will have a massive grappling advantage if the fight goes to the mat. He also thinks the striking is close and that Molly McCann may be overrated, as her wins have come against lower-level competition. He predicts a decision win, possibly a submission.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, believing she lands harder shots and has better boxing. He acknowledges Procópio's jiu-jitsu credentials but hasn't seen them translate to MMA. He notes McCann's takedown ability and thinks she can win a decision if she avoids submissions.
Procópio is a black belt in jiu-jitsu and should have a significant grappling advantage. McCann has poor takedown defense (33%) and has been submitted before. Procópio's takedowns are effective when she sets them up, unlike the desperation shots she threw against Rosa. She can hold her own on the feet enough to get the fight to the ground. At plus money, this is a value play. I expect Procópio to get a submission in the first or second round.
The MMA Guru picks the underdog Lara Procópio, acknowledging the risk. He likes her reach advantage and technique, and thinks she can stuff takedowns. He notes Molly McCann's takedowns lack control. He predicts a close split decision win for Procópio, saying the odds should be 50-50.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 1 | 171 of 351 | 48% | 177 of 358 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 165 of 290 | 56% | 169 of 294 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 57 of 128 | 44% | 60 of 131 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 66 of 112 | 58% | 69 of 115 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 59 of 113 | 52% | 60 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 54 of 101 | 53% | 55 of 102 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 1 | 55 of 110 | 50% | 57 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lara Procópio | 0 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 45 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 171 of 351 | 48% | 108 of 266 | 11 of 16 | 52 of 69 | 159 of 333 | 7 of 11 | 5 of 7 |
| Lara Procópio | 165 of 290 | 56% | 122 of 244 | 13 of 15 | 30 of 31 | 158 of 281 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 57 of 128 | 44% | 34 of 98 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 25 | 57 of 128 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lara Procópio | 66 of 112 | 58% | 40 of 85 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 19 | 64 of 110 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 59 of 113 | 52% | 40 of 92 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 18 | 53 of 104 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Lara Procópio | 54 of 101 | 53% | 44 of 89 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 9 | 51 of 96 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 55 of 110 | 50% | 34 of 76 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 26 | 49 of 101 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 |
| Lara Procópio | 45 of 77 | 58% | 38 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 43 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Kicking off this early morning of fights in China is a tilt in the women's bantamweight division between two Brazilian debutants Rosa (11-3, 0-0 UFC) and Procopio (6-0, 0-0 UFC). In charge of the Octagon is referee Thomas Fann. Procopio immediately starts out with a few low leg kicks, while Rosa tries to throw jabs back at her opponent. Looking for more low kicks, Procopio gets countered coming in. The two trade punches and Rosa already shows a little damage by her nose early. Rosa wings a right hand in a combination that partially scores, and Procopio responds with a takedown attempt that is rebuffed. Rosa scores a few effective one-two combinations punctuated by a leg kick, as Procopio continues to throw the leg kick that has also reddened up her foe' lead leg. Trading strikes, Rosa appears to be gaining the advantage, as each of her combinations are accurate and her own leg kick is doing some work. Procopio closes the distance to slow down the constant offense of Rosa, but Rosa breaks free and continues her success at range. Standing in the pocket and trading, striking defense is not nearly as important to these two ladies as they crack each other with sharp shots. Procopio sits down on a few punches that give Rosa pause briefly, and Rosa recovers and throws a slapping leg kick that sends Procopio's leg swinging backwards. Procopio advances with a one-two, and presses forward into a clinch, but she is unable to do anything with it as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Round 2
Rosa starts off with the same aggression that did her well in the opening round, landing a right hand that snaps the head back of her fellow countrywoman. Procopio leans on more leg kicks, which are possibly her most effective strikes of the fight so far. Procopio blitzes forward with a right hook and a takedown attempt, but is stuffed yet again as Rosa makes her pay with a low kick. Although Procopio pulls into a clinch in the center of the cage, it is Rosa that makes use of it as she fires off a few short knees that make Procopio break off. Winging strikes at Procopio, Rosa misses with them and Procopio returns fire with a few of her own, before trying for a clinch and then falling to her back in an effort to pull the fight to the ground. Rosa wants nothing to do with it, and backs away to land a stinging right hand. Procopio falls down to her back once more and Rosa backs off to throw a few leg kicks before Fann stands them up. Punch for punch, the two are biting down on their mouthpieces, throwing and connecting with big hooks. The pace is furious as they swing until the horn ends the second stanza.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Procopio
Round 3
The third round begins much to the delight of the crowd, and Rosa comes out much like the first two with jabs and low kicks. Procopio commits to her strikes a little more, sitting down on power right hands that score on her foe. They appear to be taking turns inside the cage, with one scoring a three-punch combination and the other coming right back. Rosa blasts Procopio with a huge right hand that drops her, but Rosa decides not to follow up as Procopio scoots after her. Procopio gets back to her feet and charges forward, but Rosa is ready and grabs a Thai clinch, where she slams a few knees to the midsection of the unbeaten fighter. In this close fight, it appears one finally is starting to gain an advantage, as Procopio appears to be tiring a little. Rosa breaks up her striking with a few long punches to the body, and then pops Procopio to the body with another knee. Procopio counters a leg kick with a stiff overhand right, and then tries for a takedown but just cannot get Rosa to the canvas. Shooting from a distance, Rosa easily evades it and backs off. Rosa pumps out a right jab that disrupts Procopio's attempts to set up a looping combination, and chases her adversary down as the exciting fight comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Lara Fritzen Procopio via Split Decision (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
Molly McCann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.
Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.
Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.
The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.
Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 57 of 84 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 63 of 99 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 38 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 44 of 74 | 59% | 20 of 46 | 22 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 32 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 10 of 21 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 25 of 38 | 65% | 8 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 19 | 57% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 15 | 73% | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.
Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.
Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.
Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.
Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.
McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.
Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.
Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.
Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.
The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.
Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.
Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.
Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.
Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.
The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.
Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.
Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.
Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.
McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.
Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 127 of 272 | 46% | 130 of 275 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 122 of 361 | 33% | 134 of 374 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 23 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 35 of 87 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 51 of 101 | 50% | 51 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 42 of 124 | 33% | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 0 | 55 of 120 | 45% | 56 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 56 of 162 | 34% | 57 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 127 of 272 | 46% | 110 of 249 | 16 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 126 of 270 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 122 of 361 | 33% | 87 of 316 | 24 of 33 | 11 of 12 | 114 of 349 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 21 of 51 | 41% | 17 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 63 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 64 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 51 of 101 | 50% | 43 of 93 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 51 of 101 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 42 of 124 | 33% | 27 of 106 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 55 of 120 | 45% | 50 of 111 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 54 of 118 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 56 of 162 | 34% | 45 of 147 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 55 of 161 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision, citing her superior striking accuracy (50% vs Kim's 34%) and volume. He notes Kim has a 10-inch reach advantage but doesn't use it effectively and misses a lot. McCann can also mix in takedowns against Kim, who has poor takedown defense (42%). Brady points out that McCann's losses have come against grapplers, while Kim is not a wrestler. He expects McCann to win a decision.
Cody slightly leans McCann, noting her wrestling and ground-and-pound against lower-level opposition. He acknowledges Kim's 10-inch reach advantage and better striking, but thinks McCann can get takedowns and grind out a decision. He is not confident and may flip depending on weigh-ins.
I like Kim here. She has a huge size advantage—10-inch reach and 3-inch height advantage. She's fought much better competition like Antonina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso and had moments standing with them. McCann's wins are over low-level opponents, and she lost to the only decent fighters she faced. Kim's takedown defense has been a concern, but McCann isn't a great wrestler and her control time is weak. I think Kim wins the stand-up easily and can even finish. I'm sprinkling Kim by KO at +1160.
Paul is high on Kim, calling her the best bet on the card. He cites the 10-inch reach advantage and Kim's superior striking. He doubts McCann can sustain wrestling for three rounds and thinks Kim will win on the feet. He plans to bet Kim.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann to win by close decision. He calls it a pick'em fight but trusts McCann's toughness and grit to push the pace and finish rounds strong. He notes McCann's wins over Ariane Lipski, Diana Belbita, and Priscila Cachoeira as evidence of her ability to grind out decisions. He expects a split decision 29-28.
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks the underdog Lara Procópio, believing she has multiple paths to victory. He notes that Procópio is a black belt in BJJ and will have a massive grappling advantage if the fight goes to the mat. He also thinks the striking is close and that Molly McCann may be overrated, as her wins have come against lower-level competition. He predicts a decision win, possibly a submission.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, believing she lands harder shots and has better boxing. He acknowledges Procópio's jiu-jitsu credentials but hasn't seen them translate to MMA. He notes McCann's takedown ability and thinks she can win a decision if she avoids submissions.
Procópio is a black belt in jiu-jitsu and should have a significant grappling advantage. McCann has poor takedown defense (33%) and has been submitted before. Procópio's takedowns are effective when she sets them up, unlike the desperation shots she threw against Rosa. She can hold her own on the feet enough to get the fight to the ground. At plus money, this is a value play. I expect Procópio to get a submission in the first or second round.
The MMA Guru picks the underdog Lara Procópio, acknowledging the risk. He likes her reach advantage and technique, and thinks she can stuff takedowns. He notes Molly McCann's takedowns lack control. He predicts a close split decision win for Procópio, saying the odds should be 50-50.
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