UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 37
Height 6' 4"
Reach 82.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 40
Height 6' 6"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mike Rodriguez
4.35 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.24 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
37.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Danilo Marques
1.44 SLpM
79.0% Str. Acc.
2.52 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
3.93 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Mike Rodriguez
Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetWay -150
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +500
Danilo Marques
Moneyline
BetWay +200
KO/TKO
BetWay +600
Submission
BetWay +500
Decision
BetWay +500
Mike Rodriguez - Fight History
LOSS vs Tafon Nchukwi
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
LOSS vs Danilo Marques
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
LOSS vs Ed Herman
Submission (kimura) R3 2:41 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
KO/TKO (elbow) R1 2:17 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
LOSS vs Da Woon Jung
KO/TKO (punch) R1 1:04 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
LOSS vs John Allan
Overturned R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Allan 0 70 of 161 43% 95 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:38
Mike Rodriguez 0 55 of 128 42% 75 of 154 4 of 6 66% 3 0 3:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Allan 0 29 of 62 46% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Mike Rodriguez 0 17 of 37 45% 19 of 39 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:56
2 John Allan 0 15 of 36 41% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:18
Mike Rodriguez 0 13 of 23 56% 17 of 27 1 of 3 33% 2 0 0:59
3 John Allan 0 26 of 63 41% 30 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Rodriguez 0 25 of 68 36% 39 of 88 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Allan 70 of 161 43% 29 of 105 22 of 33 19 of 23 67 of 154 2 of 3 1 of 4
Mike Rodriguez 55 of 128 42% 38 of 106 10 of 14 7 of 8 31 of 94 9 of 15 15 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Allan 29 of 62 46% 15 of 42 9 of 14 5 of 6 29 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Rodriguez 17 of 37 45% 9 of 27 2 of 4 6 of 6 15 of 34 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 John Allan 15 of 36 41% 6 of 22 5 of 9 4 of 5 12 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 4
Mike Rodriguez 13 of 23 56% 10 of 20 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 12 1 of 1 8 of 10
3 John Allan 26 of 63 41% 8 of 41 8 of 10 10 of 12 26 of 62 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Rodriguez 25 of 68 36% 19 of 59 6 of 8 0 of 1 12 of 48 6 of 11 7 of 9
WIN vs Adam Milstead
TKO (knee to the body and punches) R1 2:59 · UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 · Dec 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Rodriguez 0 10 of 21 47% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Adam Milstead 2 35 of 42 83% 44 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Rodriguez 0 10 of 21 47% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Adam Milstead 2 35 of 42 83% 44 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Rodriguez 10 of 21 47% 5 of 16 2 of 2 3 of 3 9 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
Adam Milstead 35 of 42 83% 25 of 30 8 of 10 2 of 2 16 of 23 5 of 5 14 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Rodriguez 10 of 21 47% 5 of 16 2 of 2 3 of 3 9 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
Adam Milstead 35 of 42 83% 25 of 30 8 of 10 2 of 2 16 of 23 5 of 5 14 of 14
Danilo Marques - Fight History
LOSS vs Jailton Almeida
TKO (punches) R1 2:57 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jailton Almeida 0 30 of 51 58% 37 of 60 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:48
Danilo Marques 0 0 of 0 --- 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jailton Almeida 0 30 of 51 58% 37 of 60 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:48
Danilo Marques 0 0 of 0 --- 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jailton Almeida 30 of 51 58% 30 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 30 of 50
Danilo Marques 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jailton Almeida 30 of 51 58% 30 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 30 of 50
Danilo Marques 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Angelo picks Jailton Almeida as a real prospect with powerful hands and relentless grappling. He notes Almeida's submission over position style can be risky but his overall grappling is superior to Marques. Marques has solid control but may not match Almeida's aggression. Angelo warns that if Almeida gets too reckless, Marques could sneak out rounds.

"jonathan almeida is the real deal danilo has solid grappling but it's not as good as almeida's ... almeid is the pick here but if he does start going for submission over position and give something up that he shouldn't …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Almeida is bigger, stronger, and has better cardio. He thinks Marques will gas and Almeida will dominate on the ground. He is confident but acknowledges the high price.

"all of this leads to grappler versus grappler almeid is the bigger stronger more physical guy i think he's got the cardio edge"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Daniel Levi leans Jailton Almeida but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Almeida has limited footage but submitted an undefeated Russian on Contender Series. Marques has some jiu-jitsu and could capitalize on scrambles. Levi says Almeida's aggression and black belt should be enough, but he wouldn't fault a small bet on Marques at +300 due to the unknowns. His pick is Almeida.

one unit or a half unit shot at plus 300 odds on danilo marquez
"the pick is jayton but uh or jaitan or whatever his name is but i don't know i mean i wouldn't fault like a one unit or a half unit shot at plus 300 odds on danilo marquez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Danilo Marques

Lock of the Night picks Marques as an underdog, citing his durability and wrestling. He questions Almeida's cardio and striking, noting that Marquez can control him on the ground. He likes Marques by decision at +800.

Marques by decision +800, over 1.5 rounds even money
"i took the shot on danilo marquez 325. i thought i think he's worth the odds at that price"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Paul thinks Almeida is the better grappler with better cardio. He notes that Marques gasses in his fights and has low-level competition. He believes Almeida will take him down and grind him out. He is confident but notes the price is steep.

"i got to go with gel tunnel i made it i learned my lesson with this guy and i'm looking to back him moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

The MMA Guru picks Jailton Almeida, calling him a 'monster' and noting his impressive Contender Series win over a Dagestani opponent. He highlights Danilo Marques' poor cardio and age (36), and expects Almeida to outgrapple him, predicting a rear-naked choke in the second round. He mentions Almeida's recent grappling tournament win as evidence of his skills.

submission, round 2, rear-naked choke
"i'm going to go with jail to now made her... i think he's going to win this one and i trust him too he's in his prime 30 years of age"
TKO (punches) R3 0:20 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danilo Marques 0 10 of 18 55% 34 of 60 2 of 12 16% 0 0 7:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danilo Marques 0 0 of 1 0% 22 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:55
2 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 16 of 47 34% 16 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danilo Marques 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 18 1 of 11 9% 0 0 2:47
3 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danilo Marques 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kennedy Nzechukwu 31 of 80 38% 28 of 76 3 of 4 0 of 0 31 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danilo Marques 10 of 18 55% 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danilo Marques 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kennedy Nzechukwu 16 of 47 34% 13 of 43 3 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danilo Marques 9 of 15 60% 5 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kennedy Nzechukwu 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danilo Marques 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his power, reach advantage, takedown defense, and ability to take a beating and come back. He has a moneyline bet and a bet on over 1.5 rounds because he doesn't see a quick finish. He notes the line flipped from underdog to favorite.

over 1.5 rounds
"kennedy and chukwu is my pick uh i have him in draftkings i took a moneyline bet on him and i bet the over on rounds this was the only fight in the card i believe where the round line …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Big Brady picks Kennedy Nzechukwu to win by third round KO, citing his excellent takedown defense and get-up game, youth, and cardio advantage. He notes Marques has poor striking and cardio, and relies on takedowns which Nzechukwu can stuff. He expects Nzechukwu to out-strike Marques as the fight goes on and finish him when Marques gasses. He agrees with the line flip.

by KO, third round
"i do think that kennedy does get a third round finish i think a third round knockout for kennedy and zekachu"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Cody picks Nzechukwu, believing he has made improvements. He notes Nzechukwu's durability and that he has been training at Fortis MMA. He thinks Nzechukwu's takedown defense has improved and that he can keep the fight standing, where he has a striking advantage. He acknowledges Marques' grinding style but thinks Nzechukwu's size and power will be too much if he stuffs takedowns.

"i'm playing into the narrative that i think he made the improvements whereas denial marquez is you hated this guy everything oh one day"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Jacob picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, praising his fight IQ in the last fight where he shelled up and let his opponent gas out. He notes Nzechukwu's takedown defense is very good and his striking is sharp. Jacob has Nzechukwu in his lineup at 8200 and thinks he is great value.

"i actually found kennedy in my lineup at 8 200 um you know i think after that last fight he's got incredible fight iq i i saw some great take down the fence from him so i think he is …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu has much better striking and should stuff takedowns to keep the fight standing. Marques is the worst 2-0 fighter in the UFC with poor striking. Nzechukwu will punish Marques on the feet and likely get a KO in the first or second round. However, Marques has proven me wrong before, so there is some hesitation. Nzechukwu's takedown defense and get-up game are solid.

Nzechukwu by KO; Nzechukwu round 1 or 2
"I do think and zuchu wins this fight probably by uh first or second round ko... I really think it's just a matter of time until marquez takes that l"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Danilo Marques

Paul leans toward Marques as a dog, noting his effective if ugly grinding style. He thinks Marques can scoop up Nzechukwu's lead leg for takedowns and control him on the ground. He mentions Marques by submission or decision as possible plays. He is not confident because Nzechukwu's get-up game looked decent against Stosage.

Marques by decision +400 (potential play)
"i'm considering because marquez by submissions like plus 220 or something like that i'm considering marquez by decision plus 400"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

The MMA Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu by unanimous decision (29-28), highlighting his takedown defense shown against Paul Craig (15 of 16 stuffed). He believes Nzechukwu will win on the feet, outworking Marques as he gasses from failed takedowns. He expects Nzechukwu to pick up volume in rounds two and three.

unanimous decision, 29-28
"i'm going with kennedy as a chukwu rounds two and three twenty nine twenty eight unanimous decision"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danilo Marques 0 19 of 46 41% 36 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:30
Khadis Ibragimov 0 16 of 22 72% 19 of 26 4 of 16 25% 0 0 7:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danilo Marques 0 5 of 10 50% 17 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Khadis Ibragimov 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 1 of 9 11% 0 0 2:44
2 Danilo Marques 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khadis Ibragimov 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 6 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:49
3 Danilo Marques 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:22
Khadis Ibragimov 0 9 of 12 75% 9 of 12 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danilo Marques 19 of 46 41% 16 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 2 12 of 37 3 of 3 4 of 6
Khadis Ibragimov 16 of 22 72% 7 of 12 6 of 7 3 of 3 15 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danilo Marques 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Khadis Ibragimov 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Danilo Marques 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khadis Ibragimov 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Danilo Marques 12 of 26 46% 10 of 24 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 4
Khadis Ibragimov 9 of 12 75% 3 of 6 5 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Khadis Ibragimov

Big Brady picks Ibragimov despite acknowledging his poor UFC record and questionable gas tank. He believes Ibragimov has advantages in striking and takedown defense, while Marquez is underwhelming and older. He expects a sloppy fight with Ibragimov likely getting a finish, but he's not confident and is surprised the line is close.

Ibragimov by knockout; surprised at the line (Ibragimov -155, Marquez +135); tempted to bet Ibragimov if line gets closer
"I got to take ibra game up here i think he has the advantages everywhere besides the grappling and just don't know if marquez is going to be able to get it there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Khadis Ibragimov

Daniel Levi picks Khadis Ibragimov because he has faced tougher competition in the UFC despite losing, while Danilo Marques has padded his record against cans. He notes Ibragimov is the heavier puncher but has a wild fighting style and energy management issues. He leans Ibragimov but is not confident enough to lay the slight chalk.

"i still gotta lean him for the win man i feel like danilo marquez is one of these guys they kind of like a complete black belt bum so you know i i gotta cut ease for the win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Khadis Ibragimov

The host believes Khadis Ibragimov will win, likely by first-round KO, due to his aggressive style and power. He notes that Danilo Marques has poor stand-up and a questionable gas tank, and that Ibragimov's takedown defense should be sufficient to keep the fight standing. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds at -135.

under 2.5 rounds (-135), Ibragimov wins in round 1 (+350), Ibragimov by TKO (+205)
"I like hadis to win here... I do like the under two and a half which is where i think he gets the job done anyway and we get a slightly better price at the minus 135 range."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Khadis Ibragimov

The MMA Guru picks Khadis Ibragimov because Danilo Marquez has fought no one of talent and lost when stepping up. He respects Ibragimov's losses more than Marquez's wins and sees Ibragimov bouncing back with a TKO win. He notes Marquez's best win is against a guy with a losing record and that Marquez has hidden opponent records.

Ibragimov wins by TKO
"i think he's going to go out there and get the job done bounce back with a big win and i could see him getting it done by tko as well"