vs
-400 +300
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 44
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cory Sandhagen
4.86 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.47 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.15 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
56.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Frankie Edgar
3.77 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
2.82 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
2.29 TD Avg
31.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Cory Sandhagen
Moneyline
BetWay -400
KO/TKO
BetWay +250
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
BetWay -105
Frankie Edgar
Moneyline
BetWay +300
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +400
Cory Sandhagen - Fight History
SCHED vs Mario Bautista
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ picks Sandhagen by decision in a competitive three-round affair, noting Bautista is tough but Sandhagen is too much. He wishes it were five rounds.

"Sandhagen Bautista Sandhagen decision in a competitive three-round affair. I wish it was five rounds, though."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen to win a decision in a competitive fight with Mario Bautista. He mentions Sandhagen by decision at plus 180 as a prop, indicating he sees it as a likely outcome but not a finish.

Sandhagen by decision plus 180
"I got Sanhagen on the cards in a competitive fight with Mario Batista. He'll win a decision plus 180."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen by decision, highlighting his elite long-range striking, footwork, and improved wrestling. He believes Sandhagen's precision and ability to create space will neutralize Bautista's pressure and clinch game. He expects a hard-fought three-round fight with Sandhagen doing more damage and avoiding takedowns.

"I think Cory Sanhagen beats him again. I don't think it's a first round submission like last time."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen to win a decision, citing his crafty striking, dynamic weapons, and superior submission grappling. He believes Sandhagen's footwork and distance management will give Bautista trouble, and that Bautista's volume-based style won't be enough to outwork Sandhagen. AJ also notes that Sandhagen has fought better competition and has a clear edge in the grappling exchanges.

Sandhagen by decision at +175; fight goes over 2.5 rounds at -255
"A Sanhagen decision makes a lot of sense to me. It's a minus 140 money line for Sanhagen."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ thinks Sandhagen most likely wins by decision, noting that Sandhagen decision at +190 makes sense. He acknowledges the possibility of a submission again but leans toward a decision win. He mentions the fight is expected to go over 2.5 rounds and that the distance is likely.

Sandhagen by decision +190; Sandhagen sub +1200; fight goes distance -210; over 2.5 rounds -275
"Brain just tells me most likely Sanhagen decision. I know some people might be thinking, 'Oh, but could he sub him again?' Even I know my brother's thinking that's possible. Respect. But I think Sanhagen on the cards chat at …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

AJ leans toward Cory Sandhagen, believing his getup game is superior and that he won't be on his back long. He thinks Sandhagen will mix it up striking and take two out of three rounds. AJ also mentions the fight going over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"I feel like Cory's not going to be on his back too long. I think Cory and him are going to mix it up striking. I think Cory takes two out of three."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Angelo thinks Mario has improved more than Cory over the years, becoming the cleaner boxer and better wrestler. He notes Cory's awkwardness could trouble Mario but believes Mario's scrambles and overall evolution give him the edge. He placed a quarter unit on Mario at +125.

Bet a quarter unit on Mario Bautista at +125.
"I'm on the Mario side. I think he's the better striker. I think he's the better wrestler."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Angelo picks Mario Bautista because he believes Bautista is the better overall wrestler with incredible scrambles, and has leveled up significantly since their first fight. He notes that Sandhagen's losses are to wrestlers and Bautista is the better wrestler. He thinks Bautista will wrestle and control the fight, and that Sandhagen's striking advantage may not be enough.

"I think Mario wins this fight. I think Mario's the better overall wrestler. I think Mario's scrambles are absolutely incredible."
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Big Brady passes on this fight entirely. He acknowledges Bautista as a live dog but lacks confidence to bet, expecting a close decision that could go to the judges. He does not make a pick.

"Sanhagen Batista. Yeah, nothing sticking out here. I think um Batista is a live dog, but you know, I just don't really see a reason to get involved here."
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)

Big Brady does not have a clear pick for this fight. He calls it a close, high-level bantamweight fight that he doesn't plan to bet on. He notes Sandhagen has better volume and tools on the feet, while Bautista has more power and can win minutes in the clinch and on the mat. He expects a split decision and sees value on Bautista at plus money, but is not committing.

"It's a fun fight. It's a high level fight in the bantamweight division, but it's a fight that I don't think I'm betting on."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Big Brady picks Mario Bautista to win by split decision. He acknowledges Sandhagen's striking advantage but notes Bautista's improved grappling and Sandhagen's poor takedown defense. He thinks Bautista can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He calls it an extremely close fight and doesn't have a strong read.

"I'm going to take Mario Batista to win like a split decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Cody picks Cory Sandhagen, highlighting his superior striking, scrambling ability, and takedown defense. He notes Sandhagen's success against elite wrestlers like Umar Nurmagomedov and Moraes, and believes Bautista's wrestling is not at that level. He expects Sandhagen to edge out a decision.

"I got Cory Sanhagen to win the rematch. ... I do feel like Sanhagen is just maybe going to be a little slightly the better striker."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Daniel Levi picks Mario Bautista to upset Cory Sandhagen, citing Sandhagen's tendency to choke in big fights and his recent title fight loss. He notes that Bautista is hungry, coming off a career-best performance, and has a competitive history with Sandhagen. Levi expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans toward the underdog.

"I'm going to pick Mario Bautista to come out here and upset Cory Sanhagen and win the rematch."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Jacob picks Cory Sandhagen because he believes the fight will be mostly striking and Sandhagen rarely loses striking matches. He notes that Sandhagen is more active and lands more strikes, and that Bautista's wrestling may not be enough to overcome Sandhagen's movement and volume. He thinks Sandhagen will outpoint Bautista to a decision win.

"I think Cory has proven in his career he is more active with his striking. He lands more with the judges. I I think that he's just going to be moving, moving, moving. Touch, touch, touch, touch, touch."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Lucrative James picks Mario Bautista via decision, citing Bautista's improved boxing, cage control, and career trajectory. He sees it as a 50/50 fight but favors Bautista as the underdog due to Sandhagen's recent chin issues and Bautista's superior training environment at MMA Lab. He notes Sandhagen's slight edge in kicks and submissions but believes Bautista's advantages in close rounds will be decisive.

Mario Bautista by decision
"I'm going to pick Mario in this one. I'm going to pick Mario. I'm not going to lie, him being the underdog is definitely pushing me to bet him because I feel like this is a 50/50 fight either way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

The host believes Bautista's improvements in physicality, defensive grappling, and clinch work will allow him to make the fight ugly and grind out a decision win. He thinks Bautista can replicate the style he used against Aldo to neutralize Sandhagen's unorthodox striking.

Bautista by decision
"I'm going to go Bautista. I'm going to go Bautista by decision. I don't mind the slight plus money on him in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

The host acknowledges Sandhagen won the first meeting via first-round armbar in 2019, but expects Bautista's improvements and physical confidence to help him muzzle Sandhagen, push him against the cage, and edge out a decision.

"I expect Bautista's improvements and physical confidence as well to really help him here to muzzle Sandhagen, push him against the cage, maybe making it a little bit boring, but I think Bautista will edge out a decision here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Paul picks Sandhagen but is torn, acknowledging both fighters have improved. He sees Sandhagen's volume as the key but respects Bautista's growth. He prefers to watch live and possibly bet in-play.

Mentions Sandhagen by sub at +800 as a fun longshot but not expected
"I'll pick Sanhagen for the purposes of this show, but more of a fight that I want to get a feel for, um, live and see how it actually plays out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

The MMA Guru picks Mario Bautista to win. He is frustrated with Cory Sandhagen, calling him a nerd and stating he is done with him. He believes Bautista will mix in grappling and be the aggressor, which will sway judges. He notes that Sandhagen often lets fights get away from him when the opponent is the lead.

"I'm going to go Mario Batista here. ... I'm going against Corey Sandhagen, dude. I'm [ __ ] done with him."
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 114 of 265 43% 243 of 399 20 of 37 54% 0 0 10:02
Cory Sandhagen 0 80 of 184 43% 149 of 257 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 11 of 46 23% 32 of 67 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:52
Cory Sandhagen 0 27 of 53 50% 58 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 33 of 49 67% 73 of 92 8 of 13 61% 0 0 3:43
Cory Sandhagen 0 2 of 9 22% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 15 of 48 31% 46 of 80 3 of 8 37% 0 0 1:57
Cory Sandhagen 0 14 of 35 40% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Merab Dvalishvili 0 21 of 56 37% 31 of 66 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:26
Cory Sandhagen 0 19 of 43 44% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Merab Dvalishvili 0 34 of 66 51% 61 of 94 6 of 8 75% 0 0 2:04
Cory Sandhagen 0 18 of 44 40% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 114 of 265 43% 86 of 231 13 of 18 15 of 16 79 of 220 22 of 27 13 of 18
Cory Sandhagen 80 of 184 43% 46 of 143 18 of 23 16 of 18 80 of 184 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 11 of 46 23% 9 of 42 0 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 27 of 53 50% 14 of 39 4 of 4 9 of 10 27 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Merab Dvalishvili 33 of 49 67% 33 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0 16 of 25 8 of 10 9 of 14
Cory Sandhagen 2 of 9 22% 1 of 6 0 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Merab Dvalishvili 15 of 48 31% 12 of 44 1 of 2 2 of 2 13 of 45 2 of 3 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 14 of 35 40% 7 of 28 4 of 4 3 of 3 14 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Merab Dvalishvili 21 of 56 37% 9 of 42 5 of 6 7 of 8 17 of 52 4 of 4 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 19 of 43 44% 12 of 34 4 of 5 3 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Merab Dvalishvili 34 of 66 51% 23 of 54 7 of 8 4 of 4 23 of 53 7 of 9 4 of 4
Cory Sandhagen 18 of 44 40% 12 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0 18 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Bantamweight Title Fight: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dvalishvili (-375), Sandhagen (+295)

Round 1
On his current run, 12 different men have tried to defeat Dvalishvili (20-4, 13-2 UFC), with Sean O’Malley undeservedly getting a second bite at the apple only to get submitted in the rematch. One of those names is not Sandhagen (18-5, 11-4 UFC), who is fresh as a daisy and ready to pull off the upset. The bantamweight throne is up for grabs in this one, and referee Marc Goddard brings the two to the center of the cage to issue particulars and get them to touch gloves. There is no ill will between them, so a glove touch is in order.
Sandhagen starts pushing the pace behind a jab, and a low kick gets in before Dvalishvili can fire back. Dvalishvili pump-fakes his way in, and Sandhagen chew up his front leg and pops the champ with a left hand on the way out. When Dvalishvili charges, Sandhagen beats him to the punch and slaps a low kick off the calf. Dvalishvili walks face-first into a left hook, and Sandhagen follows it with two more punches and a calf kick. “Sandman” parries punches and is ready for a takedown shot, stonewalling the beltholder and pushing him back. Dvalishvili sticks out a punch but absorbs an uppercut when backpedaling, and Sandhagen throws low while Dvalishvili goes high. Dvalishvili drops down in pursuit of a single, and when Sandhagen defends the first try, the Georgian switches to a body lock and a trip. Dvalishvili muscles the challenger around but cannot get Sandhagen down on repeated attempts.
Sandhagen plants knees to the body while Dvalishvili is attacking a takedown, and Dvalishvili gets Sandhagen down. The challenger does not seem concerned, as he posts off and stands up without taking much damage going up or down. Sandhagen backs Dvalishvili up and lines up a straight right hand down the pipe, and he chains a few punches into a low kick. Sandhagen scores and evades the counter, keeping to his preferred range at the tail end of a right hand. Dvalishvili tries to bite down on the mouthpiece and trade, but he quickly transitions to a clinch and body lock. Three left hands from Dvalishvili get in before he has to break off, and Dvalishvili stalks him down but eats a jab and part of a step-in knee. Sandhagen sticks and moves, skirting away from everything but a reaching left. Sandhagen strings together combos until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili

Round 2
To start off the round, Dvalishvili loops in a pair of short hooks, opening a cut on the side of the bridge of Sandhagen’s nose. Dvalishvili surges his way into a takedown shot, and he lifts Sandhagen’s leg up in the air but cannot put him down. The frame of Sandhagen keeps him a gangly mess of limbs and fists, and Dvalishvili drags him down for a moment. Sandhagen forces his way up and out, and he works the body and pitches a kick up high. Sandhagen dips in to land a single left hook, and Dvalishvili barely reaches him with one and then gets four back on him. Sandhagen counters with a knee, and Dvalishvili explodes. Without concern for his safety or well-being, Dvalishvili goes for broke, assaulting the challenger with a flurry of fists and feet and hurt him badly.
Sandhagen stays afloat, somehow surviving after taking serious damage, with Dvalishvili stuck to him like a bad penny. Dvalishvili drags him down, and when Sandhagen stands, the Georgian hits a smooth sacrifice takedown where he stomps on the back of Sandhagen’s heels and drags him down. As Dvalishvili is in the driver’s seat, he starts turning Sandhagen into a takedown dummy. While Sandhagen manages to get off the ground quickly when placed there, Dvalishvili gets him down a little longer each time. “The Machine” hurls Sandhagen to his back, and Sandhagen uses his long legs to try for a high guard to protect him. Dvalishvili laughs it off and smacks Sandhagen around, and Sandhagen gets to his seat and up but Dvalishvili is still hanging on from behind. Dvalishvili goes from double to single, and he lets them all go to dance back to his corner before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Dvalishvili
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Dvalishvili
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Dvalishvili

Round 3
Some referees may have stopped it in the second round when Dvalishvili was beating on his opponent, but Goddard rightfully let it carry on. Sandhagen thanks him for this by coming out of his corner alert and energized, where he commences his offense with long jabs and distance kicks. Dvalishvili tries to reach him with lunging strikes, and Sandhagen is out of range from most of them. Dvalishvili lands at the end of a reaching combo, and he shoots for a double and puts “Sandman” on his knees. Sandhagen powers back to his feet—a version of this will likely be typed a few dozen more times at this rate—and has Dvalishvili behind him keeping him miserable. Sandhagen spins and fights out of the tie-up, and he wings a right hand that is overswung and inaccurate. The American jabs to the body a few times, and Dvalishvili counters with an overhand right. Dvalishvili sits down in the pocket to trade hands, unafraid of the longer striker at this stage in the game. Sandhagen springs forward to jab, and Dvalishvili ducks down to snatch up a single. Turning the attempt to a double, Dvalishvili jams Sandhagen to the wall and against the wire. Sandhagen turns out and resets.
Dvalishvili slowly but methodically approaches the challenger, and he throws a head kick and quickly has to get his guard up to block one from Sandhagen. Dvalishvili lobs four punches, the latter two so he can close distance and go after a single. Sandhagen bounces off the floor back to his feet, and Dvalishvili tries not to let him go but Sandhagen frees himself. Sandhagen chases after the champ with hurled hooks, and he catches Dvalishvili coming in with a short left. Dvalishvili races after a single, and he strips Sandhagen’s footing away and follows him back upright when Sandhagen stands. Dvalishvili uses the leverage of a single to sling Sandhagen to the mat, and he lets Sandhagen up to further exhaust him. As Dvalishvili spams knees to the back of the thigh, he is grinning and laughing. The round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili

Round 4
Sandhagen immediate starts the round with jabs outstretched. When Dvalishvili responds, Sandhagen gives him a few punches and a kick to think about. Dvalishvili meanders forward swinging his fists, and he is out of range from everything but a few calf kicks. Sandhagen kicks him back harder, and he drills the champ with a one-two. Dvalishvili catches Sandhagen’s leg out of the air and trips his other to put him down on his knees. Sandhagen wall-walks with the fence at his chest, and Dvalishvili holds him until deciding to try again from a different angle. Sandhagen lines up a left to the liver, and Dvalishvili swarms him with a pair of hooks. Dvalishvili tosses out a low, body and high kick, and he takes another liver shot on the way.
Sandhagen ducks a punch swing, but this only allows Dvalishvili to close in and try to clinch and trip him. “Sandman” gets out of it and reaches the champ with a left hand, and Dvalishvili ducks down for a single. Pushing Sandhagen to the wall, he wrestles Sandhagen down but Sandhagen pulls him with him. This results in a moment where both men just want to stand up, and they do so and reset in kickboxing range. Sandhagen hits a fade-back right hand with Dvalishvili coming at him, and he intercepts the champion with a sharp overhand right. Dvalishvili retaliates with an uppercut up the middle, and he catches Sandhagen upstairs while Sandhagen is flying high in the air with a knee. Sandhagen settles himself down and swats at “The Machine” with body shots. Dvalishvili responds with a one-two down the pipe, and he tosses Sandhagen to the mat on his face. Dvalishvili hangs on with a brabo choke grip, and when the round’s time expires, the two are playful towards one another and celebrating the successes of the other.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 5
Scores could be all over the map, and the fighters are treating it as such as they begin the round trading leather. Sandhagen strikes first, and Dvalishvili spins him around and grabs him from behind to hurl him to the floor. Sandhagen uses the wall to stand, and he breaks off and flashes his jab. Dvalishvili intercepts a one-two, and he clips Sandhagen with a short right. Sandhagen ducks a hook and whiffs on his own left, and Dvalishvili use a standing hammerfist to set up a follow-up strike. Dvalishvili drags the challenger down to a knee, and he is unable to hold him there. Sandhagen breaks and spins for a back kick that knocks the champ into the wall, and when Dvalishvili bounces off, Sandhagen pops him in the chops with a left. Dvalishvili charges for a takedown and sells out for a sacrifice throw, using the awkward position to keep Sandhagen stuck. Sandhagen’s toes are hooked in the fence, to which Goddard warns him to stop doing, and they both fight back to their feet with two minutes to spare.
Sandhagen belts the champ with a left hand, tries a flying knee and catches him with a few more punches. Dvalishvili fires back with a vengeance, opening a cut on the side of Sandhagen’s left eye. When Sandhagen gets some work done, Dvalishvili stops him in his tracks with a double. For the first time in the fight, Dvalishvili has Sandhagen down and flat on his back. Sandhagen is quick to turn to his knees, and at the 30-second mark, he stands. Dvalishvili wrenches him right back down, and Sandhagen pops back up. Once more Dvalishvili gets him down, and Sandhagen explodes to his feet and unleashes a bomb of a left hand that hurts the champion badly. Dvalishvili keeps a stiff upper lip, but he is retreating with a funny look on his face, and Sandhagen elects of all final attacks to throw a spinning wheel kick that is nowhere near the mark. Dvalishvili dances away, and the fight ends. The takedown title in a UFC championship bout is almost certain Dvalishvili’s as he cruised past 100 in the Octagon to date. Even on arguably Sandhagen’s best day, it still does not appear to be enough to surpass “The Machine.” The conversation is still premature, but every victory for the Georgian puts him one step closer to becoming the greatest bantamweight in the sport’s history.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili (48-46 Dvalishvili)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili (49-45 Dvalishvili)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dvalishvili (49-45 Dvalishvili)

The Official Result
Merab Dvalishvili def. Cory Sandhagen via Unanimous Decision (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Angelo picks Merab Dvalishvili, acknowledging that Cory Sandhagen is a tough matchup with good skills everywhere. He believes Merab's non-stop chain wrestling and cardio are his biggest weapons, and that Sandhagen is better than Sean O'Malley but still likely to lose. He notes that Sandhagen's cardio slowed against Umar, and that Merab's pressure will be overwhelming.

"Morab's going to be the pick, but I'm not dismissing Cory Sanhagen's ability to make this an ugly fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Big Brady thinks the fight will be competitive but clear in favor of Dvalishvili. He notes that Sandhagen has advantages in height, reach, and striking, but Dvalishvili's wrestling and ability to dictate where the fight takes place will be key. He expects Dvalishvili to win by decision, possibly 49-46 or 48-47. He does not like the line but is not picking against Dvalishvili.

Merab Dvalishvili by decision.
"I like Morav to get it done. I just I just really don't like the line. But give me Rob by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Connor picks Dvalishvili, agreeing with Zane that Sandhagen's physicality is a major concern. He highlights that Sandhagen's best path is to pressure Merab and keep him on the back foot, but even then, Merab's wrestling and durability make it hard to win a decision. Connor also notes that Sandhagen lacks finishing power at the highest level, making it unlikely he stops Merab.

"Yeah, you really do. So yeah, I'm glad they made this fight. I don't think it'll be boring, but I just do not at my core believe that Corey Sandhagen can go out there and fight a busy fight without …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Merab Dvalishvili

The host expects a classic Dvalishvili performance with takedowns and control time, possibly threatening submissions, but Sandhagen will be too slippery to catch, leading to a decision win for Dvalishvili.

"I think we'll see a classic Dvalishvili performance here where he will get his takedowns, he'll get his control time... I think Sandhagen will be too slimy to catch in anything of substance and that will lead to Dvalishvili winning …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili, citing his relentless pace, takedowns, and improving striking. He notes Cory Sandhagen's lack of finishing ability and tendency to leave fights close. He predicts a 49-46 or 48-47 decision.

"I'm going with Merab. Sandhagen's good. I think he'll do better than O'Malley in the rematch. We're looking at a decision here. 48-47, 49-46 Merab."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Zane picks Dvalishvili because he believes Sandhagen lacks the physicality to consistently win scrambles and wrestling exchanges against Merab. He notes that Sandhagen has struggled against elite wrestlers like Umar Nurmagomedov and that Merab's endless cardio and improved striking make him a nightmare matchup. Zane also points out that even if Sandhagen has a good round or two, he is unlikely to finish Merab and will likely be worn down over five rounds.

"I just cannot fundamentally believe that Corey Sandhagen has the physicality at a very raw base level to tie up with Marabh Dvala Shavili all the time."
KO R2 4:08 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 0 54 of 87 62% 92 of 149 2 of 2 100% 0 1 5:07
Deiveson Figueiredo 0 6 of 9 66% 8 of 11 2 of 5 40% 0 1 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 0 31 of 39 79% 53 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Deiveson Figueiredo 0 2 of 2 100% 3 of 3 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:04
2 Cory Sandhagen 0 23 of 48 47% 39 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:30
Deiveson Figueiredo 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 54 of 87 62% 33 of 65 2 of 2 19 of 20 24 of 43 0 of 0 30 of 44
Deiveson Figueiredo 6 of 9 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 31 of 39 79% 22 of 30 1 of 1 8 of 8 10 of 13 0 of 0 21 of 26
Deiveson Figueiredo 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cory Sandhagen 23 of 48 47% 11 of 35 1 of 1 11 of 12 14 of 30 0 of 0 9 of 18
Deiveson Figueiredo 4 of 7 57% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sandhagen (-500), Figueiredo (+380)

Round 1
The final bout to grace Wells Fargo Arena on this Saturday features Sandhagen, a longtime bantamweight contender who has picked up an impressive collection of scalps while not-so-patiently waiting his chance at UFC gold, against a man in Figueiredo who has already worn the flyweight version of that hardware twice, and hopes a win over “The Sandman” will allow him to skip the line at age 38. Overseeing this ultra-high stakes clash will be veteran referee Dan Miragliotta, who thankfully has shown no sign of the clapper-versus-horn confusion that plagued him at UFC Kansas City last week. Both contenders are in orthodox stance, and it is the taller Sandhagen who takes the front foot in the early going. Figueiredo scores with a calf kick, and Sandhagen clinches and moves his foe to the fence. They jockey for position there, punctuated by a few short strikes, before disengaging. Figueiredo lands a solid uppercut on the break. They move back to the center of the Octagon and Figueiredo lands another uppercut, then changes levels and pulls the action to the canvas. Figueiredo moves to Sandhagen’s back in a flash, and looks close to securing back mount before Sandhagen tripods and elevates his hips, trying to get the Brazilian to slide off the top. He succeeds, but Figueiredo tries to hop back onto his back and actually threatens to do so for a moment. He bails and Sandhagen lands on top. Figueiredo looks for a heel hook, but Sandhagen gets to a safe spot and smashes Figueiredo with hammerfists. Figueiredo gives up the leglock and scrambles to get up, but Sandhagen ends up on top again in half guard. Figueiredo again attacks a leg, and again Sandhagen crushes the space, gets his leg out of danger and punishes “Deus da Guerra” with some thudding ground-and-pound. The round ends with Sandhagen above Figueiredo, calmly looking for openings to punch.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 2
Sandhagen claims the center of the cage to open Round 2 and Figueiredo meets him there. They exchange low kicks that land and punching combinations that mostly glance or miss. Figueiredo changes levels for a slick single-leg, dragging Sandhagen to the floor. There, they briefly find themselves in a “leglock race” position that must have Ryan Hall shaking his head in Sandhagen’s corner. They return to their feet and moments later, it’s Sandhagen who times his man nicely for a level change, depositing the former flyweight champ on his rear and setting up in his guard. Sandhagen throws a salvo of punches with both hands, but loses top position a few moments later and ends up with Figueiredo standing over him out of half guard.
Sandhagen reaches for a leglock from the bottom and their legs become entwined as Sandhagen jumps back into his opponent’s guard. Sandhagen sweeps to top position and throws a couple of punches before it becomes apparent that Figueiredo is done fighting. Figueiredo taps in obvious pain as Miragliotta jumps in and waves off the fight. Replay shows that the entanglement of Sandhagen’s right leg and Figuereido’s left resulted in a knee injury to the Brazilian.
It surely isn’t how they drew it up in the gym, but as Sandhagen stands alone to have his hand raised while his stricken opponent is helped back to the locker rooms, he has made a solid case for at shot at the belt in his next fight.

The Official Result
Cory Sandhagen def. Deiveson Figueiredo R2 4:08 via TKO (Knee Injury)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Angelo is very confident in Cory Sandhagen, citing his superior striking, footwork, and durability. He believes Figueiredo's improved cardio and wrestling at bantamweight will not be enough to overcome Sandhagen's skills. He expects Sandhagen to win eight out of ten times and would bet if the odds drop to -300 or better.

Would bet if odds drop to -300 or better
"Cory Sandhagen is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady is confident in Cory Sandhagen, citing a rough matchup for Figueiredo. He notes that Figueiredo is undersized at bantamweight, his power hasn't translated, and he struggles with volume. Sandhagen has a great chin, cardio, and volume advantage, and will outland Figueiredo significantly. Figueiredo relies on moments, but Sandhagen is durable and hard to take down. Brady expects Sandhagen to pick Figueiredo apart over five rounds.

"I like Sanhagen here, and I think he picks apart Figuredo over the course of five rounds."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Sandhagen can beat Figueiredo in every phase, including on the ground. He highlights Sandhagen's calmness in grappling positions, similar to Yan's ability to stall Figueiredo's back takes. Connor notes that Figueiredo's power is real but his speed is declining, and Sandhagen's size and durability make him a tough target. He calls it a straightforward pick but expects a competitive fight.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think like Sandhagen could end up being able to beat Figueiredo in every phase of this fight, including on the ground."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

This is a perfect stylistic matchup for Sandhagen. Figueiredo may grapple early but can't keep it up for more than two rounds. Sandhagen's output, cardio, volume, and grappling will allow him to win at least three of the last four rounds and win a decision.

"I think that this is a perfect stylistic matchup for Sanhagen. Figedo may look to implement some grappling early, but I don't think he can do it for longer than two rounds, which makes me believe that Sanhagen can really …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The MMA Guru picks Cory Sandhagen to win by TKO in round four, possibly due to a doctor stoppage from swelling. He believes Sandhagen's range, footwork, and jab will frustrate Figueiredo, who struggles with taller opponents. He compares it to Moreno's performance but expects Sandhagen to do more damage. He notes that Sandhagen has a good chin and can survive knockdowns. He thinks the odds are crazy and Sandhagen should be a -250 favorite.

TKO in round 4, doctor stoppage possible, should be -250 favorite
"I'm going to go with Cory Sandhagen. He's suspiciously good at not getting cracked by KO blows."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Zane sees Sandhagen as a steady, adaptable technician who can fight well wherever the fight goes. He notes that Figueiredo's low output and reliance on singular moments of offense won't work against Sandhagen over five rounds. Zane also points out that Sandhagen's size and calm grappling defense will neutralize Figueiredo's takedowns, similar to how Yan handled them. He acknowledges Figueiredo's power but believes Sandhagen's consistency and volume will carry him to a decision win.

Odds are possibly a bit wide; Sandhagen at -513, Figueiredo at +392. Zane says Sandhagen could easily be -300 but gets nervous when numbers get that high.
"It's very difficult for me to envision outside of a knockout or submission, both of which have basically never happened to Corey Sandhagen, how Figueiredo could possibly beat him over five rounds."
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Umar Nurmagomedov 0 71 of 159 44% 80 of 172 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Cory Sandhagen 0 98 of 187 52% 123 of 219 5 of 13 38% 0 0 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Umar Nurmagomedov 0 17 of 34 50% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 15 of 28 53% 15 of 28 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:39
2 Umar Nurmagomedov 0 16 of 32 50% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Cory Sandhagen 0 24 of 42 57% 24 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
3 Umar Nurmagomedov 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 17 of 27 62% 20 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:25
4 Umar Nurmagomedov 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 30 of 65 46% 32 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:36
5 Umar Nurmagomedov 0 6 of 10 60% 11 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 12 of 25 48% 32 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Umar Nurmagomedov 71 of 159 44% 26 of 94 18 of 32 27 of 33 71 of 158 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 98 of 187 52% 48 of 124 27 of 39 23 of 24 96 of 182 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Umar Nurmagomedov 17 of 34 50% 4 of 16 4 of 7 9 of 11 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 15 of 28 53% 8 of 18 3 of 5 4 of 5 15 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Umar Nurmagomedov 16 of 32 50% 6 of 16 4 of 9 6 of 7 16 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 24 of 42 57% 11 of 27 7 of 9 6 of 6 23 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Umar Nurmagomedov 12 of 30 40% 2 of 13 2 of 7 8 of 10 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 17 of 27 62% 2 of 6 7 of 13 8 of 8 17 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Umar Nurmagomedov 20 of 53 37% 11 of 43 7 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 30 of 65 46% 21 of 55 5 of 6 4 of 4 29 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Umar Nurmagomedov 6 of 10 60% 3 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 3 6 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 12 of 25 48% 6 of 18 5 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory Sandhagen vs. Umar Nurmagomedov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nurmagomedov (-305), Sandhagen (+245)

Round 1
When the dust settles and a maximum of 25 minutes elapses, a bantamweight title challenger will almost certainly emerge. Having never vied for the undisputed throne, Sandhagen (17-4, 10-3 UFC) wants to prove the naysayers wrong and hand Nurmagomedov (17-0, 5-0 UFC) his first pro defeat. While a large step up in competition for the Russian, bettors largely favor him to get his hand raised. Referee Marc Goddard will handle the particulars for the next five rounds or fewer, and he brings the two combatants to the center of the cage to formally touch gloves and initiate the proceedings. Sandhagen darts in and continually pulls back, keeping out of range of a head kick or two that comes at him. They trade leg kicks, and Nurmagomedov shoots in for a single. Dragging Sandhagen to the mat for a moment, Nurmagomedov manages to take the back but Sandhagen is able to wriggle away and get back to the middle of the cage. Nurmagomedov reaches him with a one-two, and Sandhagen kicks him hard on the lead leg. Nurmagomedov tries to catch it, and he abandons it to launch a head kick that bounces off the shoulder. Sandhagen scores a right hand and a low kick, and he reaches the midsection with a long right hand before bouncing away from a kick. Nurmagomedov attacks a single, and Sandhagen hops on the other leg and slashes with an elbow before fighting it off. Sandhagen wings a left hook that buzzes past his foe, and he hops forward with a jab. Sandhagen connects with a head kick, and the foot brushes the cup and Sandhagen stops to make sure Nurmagomedov is ok. He is. Leg kicks fly from both sides, with Sandhagen adding more and tripping Nurmagomedov up. Nurmagomedov falls on his side awkwardly, and he bounces back up while Sandhagen gives chase. Nurmagomedov counters a leg kick with a hard left over the top, and he eats a swiping left hook. Nurmagomedov strikes, slips and escapes, but Sandhagen follows him and hammers him with a kick on the calf. Nurmagomedov fakes an entry on a takedown, and he sticks his man, gets countered and lands a heavy leg kick. Front kicks from both men connect, and Sandhagen jumps forward with a switch kick that hits the body. Nurmagomedov ducks a punch and hits a takedown, allowing Sandhagen to scramble so he can take the back. They get tangled up like 135-pound pretzels, and Sandhagen smacks him with a few hammerfists until the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 2
Sandhagen strides out of his corner stopping before a front kick can reach him, but in range so that his front leg gets kicked. Sandhagen kicks him back and defends a single, sprawling effectively while pushing on the back of his foe’s head. Nurmagomedov turns the corner and grabs hold of Sandhagen from behind, and Sandhagen works his way to the fence to lean on it. Nurmagomedov knees him on the break, and when they reset, Sandhagen snaps his head to the side with a left hook. Nurmagomedov misses with a head kick and eats a jab, and he tries to reach the target with a one-two that comes up short. Sandhagen lands a thudding left hand and gets countered tossing out a leg kick with a left to the chest. Sandhagen jumps forward but pulls back from the knee as Nurmagomedov wants to catch him, and a volley of low kicks soon flies. Sandhagen chops down the front leg, prompting a stance switch, and Nurmagomedov lunges with a body shot. They take turns kicking one another in the calf and launching one-twos, and alternating kicks are released. Nurmagomedov slaps Sandhagen in the face with the instep of his foot, and Sandhagen does not register the blow and boots Nurmagomedov upside the head with his own kick. Sandhagen eats a right and responds with a left, and he jabs and tries to parry a front kick aimed at his nose. Sandhagen connects with a low kick, and the Russian is ready and willing to counter with a left over the top. The punches from Nurmagomedov have opened a cut on the eyebrow of his opponent, and Nurmagomedov attempts a takedown and manages to take Sandhagen to his seat. Nurmagomedov tries to take the back and is warned for grabbing inside the gloves, and he gets hold of Sandhagen’s back and locks down a brief crucifix. Nurmagomedov flirts with a choke for a second, but Sandhagen explodes to his feet and spins around. Nurmagomedov trips him to the floor, and Sandhagen gets up and lands a front kick before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov

Round 3
Leading the dance again is Sandhagen, who makes the Russian back away courtesy of his measuring jab. Nurmagomedov slaps a kick beneath the armpit of his foe, and his front leg gets kicked in response. Nurmagomedov scores a calf kick, and Sandhagen switches stances and engages. The kicks from “The Sandman” are getting the attention of the unbeaten fighter, who is raising his leg preemptively when not trying to catch them. Nurmagomedov kicks the front leg and whiffs on a head kick, and Sandhagen kicks his foe’s raised limb. Nurmagomedov hammers another kick low, and he tries to check one flying back his direction. Sandhagen jabs his way in, but nothing follows it. Nurmagomedov brushes past the hair with a kick, and Sandhagen slams his shin on both sides. The two bantamweights remain at this snail’s pace for some time, both appearing to take the round off. Sandhagen kicks the calf and Nurmagomedov shoots for a takedown right after it, resulting in Sandhagen bouncing away and breaking the grip to escape. Leg kicks keep getting traded, and he blocks a body kick and pushes a front kick to the chest. Sandhagen jumps with a switch kick that lands to the body, and Nurmagomedov manages to kick him back to the side. Nurmagomedov jams a left hand to the breadbasket, and Sandhagen leaps into action with a punch and a kick. Nurmagomedov chases him around aiming body shots, and Sandhagen intercepts him with a knee. Nurmagomedov goes for a takedown, and as Sandhagen gives up his back to stand, Nurmagomedov gladly obliges to take it in the scramble, Sandhagen sits comfortably until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov

Round 4
The championship rounds have been reached, and Sandhagen pushes the pace with several jabs and follow-up right hands. Nurmagomedov responds with a pair of high kicks, and both a get blocked. Nurmagomedov shovels a few uppercuts to the chin, and Sandhagen rushes after him with a short combination. Two hooks from Sandhagen miss the mark, and the third graces the chin. Sandhagen lands a clean left hook, and Nurmagomedov places two punches on the jaw. Sandhagen again scores his dipping hook, and then a third time. Nurmagomedov jabs and throws crosses, and Sandhagen reaches him at the end of a right hand. They are taking turns once again in engaging, and Sandhagen starts while Nurmagomedov ends these exchanges. Nurmagomedov lands a flush one-two, only to be met with a left from “The Sandman.” It cleanly catches his man again, prompting Nurmagomedov to string three punches back at him. Sandhagen hammers the body and is countered with a left hook, and he defends against a looping body shot. The Russian finds his home with a body kick, and Sandhagen clips him with an uppercut. They both trade heavy shots, and Nurmagomedov concludes the combo with a right before exiting. Sandhagen does wide with a high kick, and Nurmagomedov retaliates with a trio of fleet fists. Sandhagen scores a solid low kick, and he comes up just short with a front kick. Nurmagomedov ducks a punch to procure a takedown, and he succeeds in dragging Sandhagen to a knee from behind. Sandhagen rolls through and pushes off the fence, turning himself around but eating a few punches in the process. Sandhagen responds with his own double try before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov

Round 5
The first punch of the last round is scored by Sandhagen, with a left hook that he has find the last round or so. Sandhagen switches stances and delivers leg kicks, and he is shoved away by a front kick. Sandhagen chops down the lead wheel, and he blocks a body kick to lash out with a calf kick. Sandhagen shoots for a single, and he bails on it to go over the top with a left hook. Nurmagomedov shrugs it off and comes out swinging, with a right to the body and a missed right hook upstairs. Sandhagen goes after another single, with nothing on it. Sandhagen again tries a big overhand right, and Nurmagomedov is there to back him off with three crisp punches and a body kick. Sandhagen stands Nurmagomedov up with a right hand, but Nurmagomedov is quick to shake it off and coming back strong. Sandhagen dodges the front kick, and he is forced to defend a takedown attempt where the Russian takes him from behind and follows him while rolling. Sandhagen sets up a triangle choke when Nurmagomedov turns over to take top position, but Nurmagomedov works through it and establishes top control. Sandhagen looks to his corner for advice, and he rolls over to give his back up. Nurmagomedov gets a hook in and holds his leg over Sandhagen’s right arm, but Sandhagen’s scramble allows him to flip him around and attack a single. Nurmagomedov follows this roll with his own roll, and he sits on Sandhagen’s face before sliding around to establish half guard. Nurmagomedov clings to top position, cruising to a win while landing some occasional ground-and-pound. Nurmagomedov holds on, doing what he needs to do to get his hand raised. This is easily the biggest win in the career of the cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov, who is now a perfect 18-0 and likely the next man in line to face the winner of Sean O’Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili. No matter who that ends up being, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov (49-46 Nurmagomedov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov (50-45 Nurmagomedov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov (49-46 Nurmagomedov)

The Official Result
Umar Nurmagomedov def. Cory Sandhagen via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Nurmagomedov because of his elite wrestling and chain takedowns. He notes Sandhagen has been taken down by everyone who tried, and despite being more well-rounded, he doesn't see Sandhagen defending the takedowns. He expects Nurmagomedov to cruise to a decision.

"I think Umar just cruises here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Big Brady believes Umar is a future champion and that this is a winnable stylistic matchup. He notes Sandhagen's takedown defense has improved but is still suspect, and Umar should have no problem taking the fight to the ground and controlling it. He predicts Umar wins by decision, acknowledging Sandhagen is being disrespected by the odds.

"I think Umar's going to have no problem getting this fight down to the ground and once Umar gets on top there's probably a really good chance he stays there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Umar Nurmagomedov, citing his wrestling and top control as key advantages. He notes that Umar is a 28-year-old Russian talent with solid top pressure and positional soundness, though his wrestling isn't as dominant as Khabib's. Cody believes Umar will use takedowns to neutralize Sandhagen's striking and win a unanimous decision. He acknowledges the line is wide but trusts the Dagestani game plan.

"I got to go with the OV greatness here and the Russian fighter to hopefully just land those takedowns get the control time and eventually get the unanimous decision Victory."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Daniel is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Umar's undefeated record and the Dagestani mystique, especially in Abu Dhabi, but questions his level of competition. He notes Sandhagen's elite resume and improvements since the Yan loss, including increased takedown attempts. Ultimately, he reluctantly picks Umar due to the location and potential, but admits he has no clear read and considers it a dog or pass from a betting perspective.

"I'm gonna go Umar reluctantly but like Umar needs to prove it to me against this level of competition man he's never seen anything like this before"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov's overall skill set will allow him to stay away from Sandhagen's unorthodox striking. He will eventually resort to wrestling, keeping Sandhagen on his back and grinding out a decision win.

"I think Nag's overall skill site here will allow him to stay away from the dangers that the unorthodox striking approach of San Haagen poses and I think we'll see Naga made of eventually resort to his wrestling keeping San …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

Paul picks Umar Nurmagomedov, emphasizing his wrestling and the fact that Sandhagen has struggled against elite grapplers. He notes Sandhagen's takedown defense has improved but there are levels, and Umar's striking is also coming along. Paul expects Umar to mix in takedowns and control the fight, similar to what Belal Muhammad does. He mentions the line is wide but still sides with Umar.

"I think umar's uh about to uh come knocking tell tell suar Shan he's coming."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Umar Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Umar Nurmagomedov over Cory Sandhagen, believing Sandhagen is too weak despite his technique. He thinks Umar's size and strength will allow him to hold Sandhagen down, especially in Abu Dhabi where standups are rare. He notes Sandhagen's lack of power and poor wrestling compared to Umar. He predicts a boring 49-46 decision for Umar.

decision
"I'm going to go with Umar I'm going to go with Umar sadly I like Cory sandhagen I just think he ain't got enough power"
WIN vs Rob Font
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 0 34 of 84 40% 132 of 211 7 of 7 100% 1 0 19:38
Rob Font 0 9 of 49 18% 25 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 0 8 of 26 30% 27 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:43
Rob Font 0 5 of 22 22% 6 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
2 Cory Sandhagen 0 7 of 15 46% 38 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:41
Rob Font 0 0 of 7 0% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cory Sandhagen 0 10 of 24 41% 27 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:43
Rob Font 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Cory Sandhagen 0 6 of 11 54% 29 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:41
Rob Font 0 0 of 4 0% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Cory Sandhagen 0 3 of 8 37% 11 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:50
Rob Font 0 0 of 6 0% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 34 of 84 40% 30 of 79 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 47 0 of 1 24 of 36
Rob Font 9 of 49 18% 5 of 43 2 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 44 0 of 3 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 8 of 26 30% 6 of 23 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 6
Rob Font 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 17 0 of 3 1 of 2
2 Cory Sandhagen 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 8
Rob Font 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cory Sandhagen 10 of 24 41% 9 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 8 of 10
Rob Font 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Cory Sandhagen 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 8
Rob Font 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Cory Sandhagen 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 4
Rob Font 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory Sandhagen vs. Rob Font
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sandhagen (-330), Font (+240)

Round 1
Jason Herzog is the official for the night’s catchweight headliner. Sandhagen shoots for a takedown within 15 seconds and succeeds. Font grabs a guillotine, and Sandhagen tries to discourage it with some upward elbows. Sandhagen escapes, and now Font is threatening with a kimura. It works as hoped because he is able to sweep. Back standing, Sandhagen tags Font with a stiff straight shot. Font lands a jab and then an uppercut. Sandhagen lands a nicely-timed double-leg takedown. Font creates space and Sandhagen leaps in with a right as his foe attempts to stand. Font clings to a leg, but Sandhagen assumes top position. Sandhagen is in half guard now, landing some right hands to the side of the head. Font uses the butterfly guard to create some space, and he’s up. Font lands a leg kick but comes up short on a combination. Sandhagen throws a body kick, but Font catches it and shoves his man to the floor. Font works to the back and lands a knee to the body before Sandhagen stands at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 2
Font pressures early with punches. Another quick takedown for the Elevation Fight Team product, and he moves to half guard. Sandhagen drives his forearm into Font’s face and lands a short elbow. Font looks to utilize the butterfly guard to create space, but Sandhagen floats above him. The Nashville crowd is getting restless with the grappling-heavy affair. Sandhagen maintains top position at the halfway mark of the round. Font is getting close, but he can’t quite execute the sweep. Sandhagen lands another short elbow. Sandhagen keeps Font’s leg hooked in half guard and continues to control the action from above. Sandhagen fires another short elbow at his foe’s head. Font is neutralizing the majority of Sandhagen’s offense from his back, but that’s about all he’s doing. Sandhagen drops another elbow before the end of the round as boos rain down at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 3
Font angles out and lands a glancing right hand. The fighters trade jabs. A right uppercut gets through for Font, and Sandhagen answers with a switch knee. Shortly thereafter, Sandhagen encounters little resistance on his takedown, drawing more boos from the Nashville fans. Sandhagen lands a couple shoulder strikes from above. He shoves Fonts head down and follows with a short elbow. Sandhagen continues to work from half guard. Font looks to isolate an arm for a sweep, but Sandhagen is able to free himself. Font nearly scrambles up but Sandhagen dives back into top position with some effective ground-and-pound. Sandhagen stays heavy and connects with an elbow. A hammerfist and an elbow land for Sandhagen. Font is finally able to get to his feet with 35 seconds left and Sandhagen launches a flying knee that lands on the chest. Font lands a right before the end of the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 4
Font pressures with a combination early and Sandhagen threatens but misses the mark with a flying knee. The exchange is fleeting, however, as Sandhagen executes another takedown less than 30 seconds in. Font’s defensive grappling keeps him from getting hurt, but he’s not offering much of a threat to return to his feet. Sandhagen sneaks another elbow through. Sandhagen is heavy on top, though he isn’t finding much space to land offense. Font briefly scoots to a seated position, but Sandhagen pulls his legs back out. Heavy shoulder pressure from Sandhagen near the fence. Font sits up, posts an arm and threatens with a guillotine. The crowd chants for Jason Herzog to stand them up, but the veteran official isn’t taking the bait. Font is still fighting to stand, and he’s up, but only for a second as Sandhagen drags him right back down. As time winds down, Sandhagen lands a right and an elbow.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 5
It’s desperation time for Font, as it’s a shutout for Sandhagen to this point. Font pressures again with a frot kick and a left hook. Sandhagen answers with a striaght left and a front kick of his own. Font turns the tables and shoots for a takedown. Sandhagen defends against the fence, and Herzog calls for more action. Sandhagen is able to turn his man around, and he dumps Font on the mat once again. Font gets to a seated position, but Sandhagen powers him down. Now Sandhagen has a brabo choke locked in. Font rolls frantically to escape, but Sandhagen maintains his grip. Font recovers half guard and Sandhagen gives up on the maneuver. He continues to keep top position, and Font’s best efforts to scramble are still to no avail. Font moves his guard up in hopes of an armbar, but Sandhagen is in no real danger. He frees himself and ends the round on top. The crowd is not pleased, but it’s a very one-sided victory for Sandhagen.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)

The Official Result
Cory Sandhagen def. Rob Font via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) R5 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Angelo picks Cory Sandhagen, citing his active striking, fluid combinations, and solid BJJ. He notes that Rob Font is a gritty boxer with a solid chin but lacks power and is on the back nine of his career. Angelo believes Sandhagen will make it a true MMA fight by mixing in wrestling, and that the catchweight benefits Sandhagen as the larger fighter. He also points out that Font is stepping up on short notice and that Sandhagen dominated Chito Vera, who is more dangerous than Font.

"Corey's the pick and he's a very very confident pick for me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady is very confident in Sandhagen, citing Rob Font's age (36), short notice, and accumulated damage from recent fights like the Marlon Vera beating where Font was dropped multiple times. He believes Sandhagen's diverse striking and submission threat will overwhelm Font, and that Font's durability has declined. He predicts Sandhagen will either dominate to a 50-43 decision or become the first to knock Font out, possibly with a head kick or knee.

Sandhagen by KO/TKO or decision; first to knock out Rob Font
"I like San Hagen to finish Rob Fawn and be the first one to knock him out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Cody picks Sandhagen due to his blend of striking and takedowns, plus a full camp preparing for Umar Nurmagomedov. He notes Font's short notice and history of being dropped (five times in two fights) as vulnerabilities. Cody believes Sandhagen can mix in takedowns and strike effectively, though he acknowledges Font's elite striking and volume. He also mentions betting Sandhagen by knockout at +225.

Sandhagen by KO +225; under 120.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I took sandhagen by knockout plus 225... it's the only bet I've made so far"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Daniel Levi is confident in Cory Sandhagen, citing his evolution into a well-rounded fighter with improved wrestling and durability. He notes Sandhagen's killer resume and recent performances against Song Yadong and Chito Vera as evidence of his growth. Levi believes Sandhagen's fight IQ and length will be key, and that he will avoid trading in the pocket with Font's dangerous jab. He sees Sandhagen as a future title contender and expects him to shine in the main event.

Mentions the line opened at -200 and is now -340, but does not recommend betting at that price. No prop bets or finishing predictions explicitly stated.
"I think Corey sandag is going to shine in the main event."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

James is very confident Sandhagen dominates. He thinks Sandhagen can do whatever he wants—strike, takedown, submit, or knock out Font. He believes Font's chin is done and predicts a knockout in the second or third round. He notes Sandhagen's dynamism and one-shot power.

Sandhagen by knockout
"Corey Sandhagen via knockout is my prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen has an unorthodox style that blends wrestling and striking, and he's made for five rounds. Font has a great comeback win over Yanez, but Sandhagen's style will be too unorthodox for Font to get going. Sandhagen eats damage well and counters effectively. The fight likely goes the distance, so over 4.5 rounds is my favorite prop, but Sandhagen gets his hand raised. The line is too wide to bet heavily, and there is value on Font at these odds.

over 4.5 rounds, value on Font at current line
"over four and a half will probably be my favorite uh prediction for this fight but I still think that sandhagen gets his hand raise line is just too wide for me to get you know ahead of myself"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Sandhagen's full camp and wrestling advantage. He notes Font's short notice and chin issues, but expects a competitive fight if it goes the distance. Paul leans towards Sandhagen by knockout, though he respects both fighters.

"I mean if this goes 25 minutes I can definitely see it being pretty competitive... but I see San Hagen knocking him out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The host picks Cory Sandhagen confidently, calling him a cerebral, diverse striker in his prime. He believes Sandhagen will pick Font apart with superior technique and defense. He notes Font is 36 and while dangerous, Sandhagen is a better mixed martial artist. He predicts a unanimous decision but does not rule out a head kick knockout. He recommends Sandhagen as a parlay piece and expects the line to rise.

unanimous decision; possible head kick knockout; line opened -256, now -312; parlay piece
"give me Corey sandhagen to take over this fight as it goes on I'll I'll say unanimous decision for Corey sandhagen"
WIN vs Marlon Vera
Decision (split) (47–48, 50–45, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 0 58 of 158 36% 73 of 177 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:09
Marlon Vera 0 128 of 280 45% 187 of 378 3 of 12 25% 0 0 7:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 0 5 of 13 38% 12 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marlon Vera 0 32 of 69 46% 47 of 99 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:30
2 Cory Sandhagen 0 6 of 15 40% 9 of 18 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Marlon Vera 0 18 of 29 62% 55 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:50
3 Cory Sandhagen 0 20 of 56 35% 20 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marlon Vera 0 32 of 67 47% 32 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
4 Cory Sandhagen 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marlon Vera 0 24 of 67 35% 24 of 67 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
5 Cory Sandhagen 0 14 of 36 38% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Marlon Vera 0 22 of 48 45% 29 of 61 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 58 of 158 36% 28 of 105 13 of 29 17 of 24 53 of 152 5 of 5 0 of 1
Marlon Vera 128 of 280 45% 84 of 226 16 of 23 28 of 31 107 of 241 2 of 3 19 of 36
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marlon Vera 32 of 69 46% 20 of 55 2 of 3 10 of 11 18 of 41 0 of 0 14 of 28
2 Cory Sandhagen 6 of 15 40% 4 of 10 0 of 2 2 of 3 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marlon Vera 18 of 29 62% 14 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 22 0 of 0 5 of 7
3 Cory Sandhagen 20 of 56 35% 8 of 37 4 of 8 8 of 11 20 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marlon Vera 32 of 67 47% 17 of 48 6 of 9 9 of 10 32 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Cory Sandhagen 13 of 38 34% 6 of 25 4 of 10 3 of 3 12 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marlon Vera 24 of 67 35% 19 of 59 2 of 4 3 of 4 23 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Cory Sandhagen 14 of 36 38% 6 of 22 5 of 9 3 of 5 10 of 31 4 of 4 0 of 1
Marlon Vera 22 of 48 45% 14 of 40 4 of 4 4 of 4 21 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sandhagen (-165), Vera (+140)

Round 1
The UFC knew what it was doing when it put this fight together, and made sure fans would appreciate it by moving it from the UFC Apex to an 18,000-seat arena in San Antonio. Bantamweight greatness looms, and Vera (20-7-1, 14-6 UFC) would like nothing more than to put Sandhagen (15-4, 8-3 UFC) away and possibly earn a crack at gold. “The Sandman” is no easy out, having never been stopped with strikes, so a back-and-forth, blood-and-guts battle may loom for the next 25 minutes. Referee Dan Miragliotta is in it for the long haul, and the fighters are ready to handle their business, electing to not bump fists before launching them at one another’s faces. Sandhagen leads off with several range-finding jabs and low kicks, and he punches into Vera’s raised hands. Sandhagen walks “Chito” down and kicks at his lead leg a few times, and Vera absorbs a one-two on the dome while holding off on retaliating. Sandhagen drives Vera back to the wall with a left, and Vera strings two jabs into a chipping kick. Sandhagen works low kicks into jabs, and Vera pushes forth a one-two when “Chito” chants echo throughout the building. Vera hand-fights as Sandhagen walks forward calmly, and he allows Sandhagen to score on him repeatedly. Sandhagen ducks a jab to loose a solid left hook, and Vera takes it on the chin and subsequently absorbs another. Sandhagen bears down on his man with a few punches and a head kick while Vera escapes, and Vera he swats away a few punches that zip at him. Sandhagen leaps at his foe with a jump knee, and Vera parries it and is forced to defend a takedown effort. Sandhagen smoothly trips Vera’s leg out and plants him on his seat, and he postures up and hammers Vera with punches and elbows. Vera closes his guard as he gets shoved to the wall with his neck trapped at the corner of the floor and the fence. Sandhagen pummels “Chito” with elbows, and Vera replies with a few on his back to split open a cut on the top of Sandhagen’s forehead. Sandhagen continues to bombard his downed adversary with elbows as Vera looks to kick him off, but the listless Vera blocks the majority of them and seems content to remain on his back. Sandhagen ends the round with several more pounding elbows.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 2
The bantamweights meet in the middle, and Sandhagen is the aggressor right out of the gate. They trade front kicks, and Vera is backed up to the wall as Sandhagen opens up with a right hand. Vera aims a punch to the body, and he front kicks and chops at Sandhagen’s lead calf a few times to slow him. Sandhagen blitzes with a few uppercuts, and he secures a single-leg takedown and puts “Chito” on his back. Vera defends with a guillotine choke before he even hits his seat, and he releases it without burning his arms out as Sandhagen steps over to half guard. Sandhagen starts to drop down left hands and elbows as Vera is pinned to the floor, and his top control is smothering and frustrating for the Ecuadorian. Vera turns to his side as he eats elbows, and Sandhagen allows him to do that so that he can posture up and drill him with punches. Vera hooks a foot beneath his elbow to flirt with a heel hook, and Sandhagen lowers himself down and takes side control on the side to continue his attack. Vera turns once more, nearly giving up his back as he attempts to escape, and he leans back down when Sandhagen’s elbows start to have an appreciable effect. Sandhagen looks to isolate Vera’s right arm, but he cannot hold it as Vera slides out and explodes to his feet. Vera gets off a front kick to the chest, and he checks a calf kick. They trade jabs, and Sandhagen follows one with an uppercut that gets Vera’s attention. Sandhagen reaches his man with punches on the outside of the guard, and Vera misses when retaliating. Vera catches a body kick, and he lets it go when Sandhagen posts off his other arm and fights back up. Vera walks forward without throwing much in the way of offense, and Sandhagen dodges the strikes that come at him before the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 3
“Chito” rushes to the center of the cage to start off, having dropped the first two rounds unquestionably. Vera does not throw as Sandhagen is active from a distance, and he finally chambers and fires a head kick that is blocked. Sandhagen replies with a few long jabs, and Vera answers that with a front kick to the sternum. Vera reaches a left hand over the guard, and it is one-and-done while Sandhagen switches stances constantly and prods with punches and kicks. A blocked from kick from Sandhagen causes him to fall over, and when he climbs back up, Vera meets him with a thudding calf kick that stuns Sandhagen momentarily. Vera stomps the front knee and reaches with his left hand, and he kicks the body. Vera stuffs an oncoming takedown and makes his foe pay with a front kick, but Sandhagen strings together a few punches and a body kick to respond. Vera drills his opponent with a one-two, and Sandhagen walks through it and snaps the head back with an uppercut. As Vera loops a left, Sandhagen changes levels but cannot complete the takedown. Vera pushes off and starts to walk Sandhagen down, and they trade right hands. Sandhagen swipes at him with a clean left hook, and Vera tries to give him one back but Sandhagen is faster and beats him to the punch. They both get off front kicks in an exchange, and Vera goes up high with a kick that slams into the shoulder. Vera jabs to the body, and Sandhagen’s looping uppercut finds its home again. Vera swings while Sandhagen fires punches at him, and they miss while Sandhagen’s rangier blows connect. “Chito” jumps forward with a front kick, and he stalks after Sandhagen and has his lead leg kicked for it. At the waning seconds, Vera jumps at his opponent with a knee, but Sandhagen is feet away at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 4
The championship rounds have been reached, and Sandhagen strikes first with a front kick, and he turns through with momentum to land a spinning back kick. Sandhagen punches his way forward with an uppercut, and he charges for a double. Vera stands him up and dings him with a knee, but Sandhagen tries again and fail once more. When they separate, Sandhagen gets off a few punches before ducking for a double, and Vera’s sprawl is excellent as he remains on his feet. Sandhagen digs a left to the liver and moves actively and frequently to not stand still in front of his opponent. Vera attempts to cut angles and back Sandhagen off, but “The Sandman” connects with several punches and has a flying knee bounce of Vera’s raised arms. Vera lands one single jab, and Sandhagen strings three punches and a low kick together – but the kick is checked. Sandhagen jabs, staying elusive and switching stances relentlessly. Vera cannot seem to lock him down or find the timing, and he swings with a left hook that Sandhagen dodges. Vera kicks the calf hard, and that kick is checked. Sandhagen swipes with a left hook, and Vera chains a few punches to the body up to a few to the head. Sandhagen jabs, switches stances, and jabs with the other lead hand, flustering “Chito” with his awkward movement and timing. Sandhagen loops a left over the guard, and he sits down on a low kick that Vera cannot defend. The crowd is extremely restless after the relative lack of action compared to its initial promise, as fans start whistling and holding up illuminated cellphones. Vera is similarly irritated, trying and failing to chase down and corner the Colorado native. Vera reaches his man with a front kick and a left hand, but Sandhagen is able to block the subsequent efforts. Vera spins with a kick before the horn, and the audience is not amused.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 5
The last round of this disappointing – from an action standpoint, not tactically – headliner begins, and Sandhagen is happy to pick up where he left off. Sandhagen pushes the pace a little with a few heavier jabs after Vera lands flush a few times, and he shoots for a takedown. Vera stuffs it and takes a knee square in the midsection. Vera is tripped out and tackled to the mat, and he tries to throw up upkicks and may have landed an illegal blow to a grounded Sandhagen in the process. Sandhagen fights off a high guard and submission setup, and he allows Vera to roll laterally so that he can lower himself into the guard. Sandhagen is comfortable taking top position, and Vera kicks him in the chest and gets away with another slapping foot to the downed Sandhagen’s face. Vera explodes to his feet at the midpoint of the final frame, and Sandhagen lines up several punches to back Vera off. “Chito” tosses out a half-hearted leg kick, and he turns to fire one to the body. Vera knocks Sandhagen back with two punches, but “The Sandman” is not concerned as he gets right back to pressuring the pressure fighter. Sandhagen keeps changing stances and jabbing and poking at Vera with feet and fists, and he dodges and parries the lumbering but looping punches that come at him. Vera jumps forward with a left hook, and Sandhagen replies in kind. Vera reaches at the end of a jabbing punch, only to be met with Sandhagen’s short combination. Sandhagen kicks high off the guard, and Vera spins with a kick to the ribs. Vera pressures, and he staves off a rushing double. Vera catches a kick and slams his foot into the body from an odd angle, and he takes Sandhagen from behind and pushes him to the wall. Vera connects with a solid elbow, and he pours it on with high kicks from both legs, swinging punches and kicks, and anything else he can muster. Instead of throwing this all during the first 24-plus minutes of the match, Vera saved it for one final, desperate effort, and Sandhagen blocks or dodges the worst of it. As Vera charges like a bull, Sandhagen points at him, and the last horn blows to put an end to the less-than-thrilling main attraction. In his post-fight interview, Sandhagen states that he would “feel slimy” if he asked for a title shot over Merab Dvalishvili, so he prepares a line and challenges the Georgian to a fight. If that comes together, we will be here for it. Next week, there is a break from the UFC – but there will be Fight Circus, so stay tuned for coverage on that – and we return on April 8 with UFC 287. We will also be for here for that, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (50-45 Sandhagen)

The Official Result
Cory Sandhagen def. Marlon Vera via Split Decision (47-48, 50-45, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Angelo picks Sandhagen because he is younger, durable, and has a versatile striking style with sneaky power. He notes that Vera's recent wins came against older, declining fighters like Rob Font, Dominic Cruz, and Frankie Edgar, and that Sandhagen is a different challenge. He believes Sandhagen's weird movements and toughness will neutralize Vera's power, and that Vera's habit of losing early before finding a finish won't work against Sandhagen. He admits he has never correctly picked a Vera fight but thinks this is where Vera's luck runs out.

"I gotta go with Corey here because he is durable and I think that insane power of Cheeto is gonna matter as much on somebody like Corey because I don't see Corey stopping."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady picks Marlon Vera as a dog, arguing that while Sandhagen is the better overall fighter with more volume and movement, Vera is a 'moment winner' who can land big shots and sway judges. He notes Vera's ability to get outstruck but still win rounds by landing damaging blows, as seen in the Rob Font fight. Brady believes Vera has 25 minutes to find Sandhagen's chin and predicts a fourth-round knockout, though he acknowledges a close decision is possible.

Vera by KO/TKO in round 4
"I'm gonna take Vera here for the doll as a dog and say that either he does find the chin of Corey sandhagen at some point in this fight... I'll say vera for a fourth round knockout win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Cody picks Sandhagen based on pure volume and fast starting ability. He notes Sandhagen lands a high number of significant strikes (169 vs Yanez, 128 vs Dillashaw) and that Vera is a slow starter who often drops the first round. He believes Sandhagen will bank the early rounds and win a decision, though he acknowledges Vera's durability and late-round finishing ability. He suggests betting Sandhagen by decision to improve the line.

Sandhagen by decision; Sandhagen over 107.5 significant strikes; fight goes over 2.5 rounds
"I will go with Corey sanderhagen based on pure volume"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Connor sees Sandhagen as a heavily upgraded version of the opponents Vera has been beating (Rob Font, Dominick Cruz). He believes Sandhagen's durability, conditioning, adaptability, and elusive defense will be too much for Vera's 'anti-process' style. He compares it to Yoel Romero vs Robert Whittaker, suggesting Sandhagen is Vera's Whittaker.

Mentions odds: Sandhagen opened -163, currently -172; Vera opened +143, currently +141. Notes gamblers favor Sandhagen.
"I think Corey Sandhagen is Cheeto's Robert Whitaker, if we're sticking to the Yoel comparison."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Jacob picks Vera, noting that he was a former hater but converted after Vera beat Rob Font. He argues that Vera is excellent at making reads over time and capitalizing, and that Sandhagen is hittable because he stands in front of opponents and doesn't move his head. He thinks Sandhagen's toughness means he gets hit, and Vera's power at bantamweight is a serious threat. He predicts Vera will find a shot and finish Sandhagen, possibly by submission in the third round.

Vera by submission in round 3 (speculative, not a bet)
"I think it's going to be one of those Cheeto fights where it's going to look like Corey's winning he's winning he's winning oh my God Corey's knocked out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The host believes Sandhagen is the best puzzle for Vera since his winning streak, citing Sandhagen's ability to keep up with Vera's cardio and put together a full MMA game. He notes Sandhagen is defensively responsible enough to avoid big strikes and can tie Vera up in the clinch if needed. He expects Sandhagen to get off his own game from distance and allow the judges to see it in his favor, predicting Sandhagen wins by decision despite possibly dropping a round or two.

"I think that Corey sandagan is the best puzzle for varus since he's been on this winning streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The Guru picks Sandhagen over Vera, arguing that Sandhagen is much better than Vera's recent opponents like Cruz and Font. He highlights Sandhagen's diverse attack (leg kicks, body shots, takedowns) and toughness, believing he can avoid Vera's power and win a decision. He notes Vera's ability to find finishes but thinks Sandhagen's movement and durability will carry him.

"I'm going with Corey sandhagen over Marlon Vera... I think sandhagen's going to be chopping that leg early on front kicking the body jab into the body and moving mixing it up against Marlon Vera"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Zane picks Sandhagen because Vera is scary but has recent losses to Jose Aldo and Song Yadong. He notes Sandhagen is harder to track and predict than Font or Cruz, and Vera's clinch wrestling is less of a threat than Dillashaw's. He expects Sandhagen to be elusive enough to win, though Vera could steal rounds with damage.

Mentions odds: Sandhagen -172, Vera +141. Notes the line is slowly getting wider toward Sandhagen.
"I have to pick Sandhagen too. Vera is scary right now... but Sandhagen is dangerous and dynamic enough."
WIN vs Song Yadong
TKO (doctor stoppage) R4 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 0 94 of 222 42% 130 of 259 1 of 14 7% 0 0 3:47
Song Yadong 0 54 of 145 37% 130 of 224 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 0 19 of 52 36% 30 of 63 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:46
Song Yadong 0 14 of 28 50% 23 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:55
2 Cory Sandhagen 0 21 of 52 40% 24 of 55 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:48
Song Yadong 0 15 of 44 34% 36 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cory Sandhagen 0 29 of 63 46% 30 of 64 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:32
Song Yadong 0 13 of 48 27% 26 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Cory Sandhagen 0 25 of 55 45% 46 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Song Yadong 0 12 of 25 48% 45 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 94 of 222 42% 62 of 186 17 of 21 15 of 15 86 of 213 5 of 6 3 of 3
Song Yadong 54 of 145 37% 36 of 125 13 of 15 5 of 5 44 of 132 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 19 of 52 36% 10 of 43 7 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Song Yadong 14 of 28 50% 9 of 23 3 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Cory Sandhagen 21 of 52 40% 14 of 43 2 of 4 5 of 5 19 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
Song Yadong 15 of 44 34% 11 of 39 4 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Cory Sandhagen 29 of 63 46% 21 of 54 3 of 4 5 of 5 27 of 61 2 of 2 0 of 0
Song Yadong 13 of 48 27% 8 of 42 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Cory Sandhagen 25 of 55 45% 17 of 46 5 of 6 3 of 3 22 of 52 0 of 0 3 of 3
Song Yadong 12 of 25 48% 8 of 21 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 20 3 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory Sandhagen vs. Yadong Song
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sandhagen (-195), Song (+165)

Round 1
with top-five ramifications, serves as the only match between ranked competitors on this 13-fight billing. Sandhagen (14-4, 7-3 UFC) took nearly a year off after his failed bid for the interim 135-pound strap, while Song (19-6-1, 1 NC; 8-1-1 UFC) is a younger man on the rise at 24 years of age. Receiving the honor of reffing the final fracas of the night is Herb Dean, who laces up his running shoes to keep up with these two fist-first fighters. Before throwing down, the two slap hands and bump fists with the intention of keeping things on the up-and-up. Sandhagen starts out switching stances multiple times in the opening seconds, and he punches his way into a takedown attempt. He bowls Song into the wall, but there is no takedown to come from it. Song defends with a few knees up the middle, and one bumps into the cup. Sandhagen tells Dean he is good to go and does not want to lose position, and they do not break. Song pushes off with a pair of hooks, and gets backed with a jab to the body. Sandhagen spins with a wheel kick that bounces off the guard, and he falls to the mat. Song does not follow him, and he lets Sandhagen stand up so that he can drill him with a left hand. They clinch up, and Song elbows once to force a separation. Sandhagen bullies his way into a takedown effort, and Song bowls him over and puts Sandhagen on his back. Sandhagen plays guard off his back, setting up a possible submission, and then bailing on it all to stand up. “Kung Fu Kid” remains on his back, and he grabs hold of a rear-naked choke to force Sandhagen to lower himself to the ground. Sandhagen gets out of the sticky situation by wriggling out, and they tie up against the wire. Sandhagen elbows hard, and he ducks back right before two big punches reach him. Sandhagen winds up with a loud liver kick, and Song takes it flush without batting an eye. They trade jabs, and a fake takedown try forces a sprawl that makes Song fall to his knees. Sandhagen lets him up and starts piercing the guard with jabs, and he blocks the follow-up counters that fly his way. Another fake takedown draws an exaggerated defensive reaction from his opponent, and Sandhagen lets him up to jab his way to the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Song
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Song
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song

Round 2
The fighters are amped up to get back to it, and Dean clocks them in and has to step back fast. Song advances straight ahead, and Sandhagen is moving side to side while jabbing. Sandhagen leaps in the air with a knee that misses, and he gets struck with a straight right hand down the pipe. Sandhagen scores a low kick and keeps his jab in Song’s face, and Song jumps through it with a power left hand. Sandhagen snaps the head back with a jab, and Song sits down on a left hand that makes Sandhagen stagger back to the wall. Sandhagen gathers his thoughts and goes after another flying knee, but it is not there for him. He does throw to the head and body to mix things up as he gets his wits about him, and he changes levels to take Song down. Song scrambles ahis way upright again and makes his man pay with a short right hand, and they clank heads when coming together. Song grins with delight as an elbow from Sandhagen tears open a cut on the corner of his eye, and blood leaks down a little but does not seem to bother him. Sandhagen pushes in for a takedown, and crimson liquid starts flowing into the eye. Sandhagen rails his man with an elbow before breaking from the clinch, and Song’s eye is a busted mess. Sandhagen backs away and unloads with a liver kick, and he keeps jabbing until Song plods forward with a three-punch salvo. Song throws with fire, and Sandhagen just barely rolls through it and lands a pair of low kicks. “Sandman” dips and ducks the power punches that come at him, and he even lets a flying knee soar past him. Sandhagen plants a front kick on the chin and chains a leg kick into it, and Song smiles but does not connect with anything in response. Three punches from Song come up short, with his depth perception possibly struggling due to the plasma coating his eye. A clinch leads to an explosion from Song, who loads up on several big punches one after the other. Sandhagen responds with his own combination, and the knee pops Song in the chops right before the horn blares. The cut on Song’s eye could be a fight-ender, so it remains to be seen how the doctor evaluates it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 3
The doctor tells Dean to keep an eye on the cut, but he is letting the fight continue into the third round. Song walks right into a body kick, and he replies in kind but it has less impact. Sandhagen kicks the lead leg and escapes out the side when Song sits down on a counter, and both men block high kicks. Sandhagen remains active with low kicks, and he ducks a massive haymaker of a right hand and shoots in on a takedown. Song stuffs it and clubs him with a left hand, and Sandhagen grits his teeth and retreats. Their heads clash together as Sandhagen attempts another takedown, and Song stops it in its tracks and makes Sandhagen pay with a trio of powerful punches. Sandhagen answers him with a step-in knee, and Song eats it like Szechuan beef and keeps on forging ahead. Song swings and misses with a salvo, and Sandhagen slides back and jabs a few times to cause the cut to start bleeding again. Song punches his way forward, but Sandhagen is the one who tags him with a few jabs. Sandhagen takes for a takedown to get a reaction, and then actually attempts one. Song gets shoved back to the wall, and scarlet fluid covers his face and turns it a brilliant shade. Song stings Sandhagen with a left hand, only for Sandhagen to nail him with an elbow. A takedown try from “Sandman” is staved off, and he brushes off a striking array that zooms at him. Sandhagen has a kick pound into the guard, and he snaps out a jab that causes Song to spit blood out. Sandhagen skirts on the outer edge of the cage as Song tries to cut him off, and it allows him to stay at his preferred range. Song bowls forward throwing hammers, and Sandhagen slips them and pokes him back with a few jabs. Song is prepared for a takedown entry from his opponent, but he absorbs a few jabs that chain into a left to the body. Sandhagen gets a flying knee through the guard, and blood is positively streaming down Song’s face. Once again, the doctor will have to make a tough call.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 4
Dean is informed by the doctor that should any more damage come around the eye, he needs to call the fight to protect Song from permanent damage. Song is thankful to keep going, and he loads up on several power strikes including a body kick and several strikes to the body. A response of a body kick from Sandhagen and two punches open it again, and Dean is watching it very closely. Sandhagen goes up high with a kick, and Song blocks and counters. Sandhagen marches forward with jabs from both arms as he switches stances, and he kicks the body. Song catches it and powers through it to trip “Sandman” up and take him to the mat. Plasma flows freely on Sandhagen’s face and into his mouth, and he explodes back to his feet and gets pushed back to the wire. Sandhagen spins him around and trips Song out. Song climbs back up, but he takes a head kick when he does. Song wings haymakers and catches Sandhagen, but Sandhagen is quick and accurate with jabs and straight punches. Sandhagen targets the wrecked eye with impunity, and Song gives chase and barely registers that his eyebrow is nearly hanging off his head. Sandhagen mixes up jabs and kicks, and Song’s power punches are telegraphed and largely hitting air. Song smiles when he takes punishment, and even though he dodges a few punches, Sandhagen goes the body and head. A single from Sandhagen succeeds in getting Song down to his seat, and he grinds his elbow on the cut. Blood streams from Song’s face, covering the mat with a dark red pool beneath his head. Sandhagen postures up with a few elbows, and Song practically laughs at him, giving his best “you don’t know where I’ve been, Lou” impression while on his back, drenched in hemoglobin. The horn sounds, and he cannot see out of his eye when he stands up.
The cutman tries to tend to the gash, but it is beginning to swell and it appears to be the type that even the most “just bleed” physician could not allow to continue. The doctor, who cleared Song to fight in Rounds 3 and 4, informs Dean that he does not like what he is seeing from the massacred eye of the 24-year-old. Dean does not hesitate, and he waves the fight off after hearing this, to save the youngster from long-lasting harm that could develop further with five more minutes of brutality.
This is a gruesome but fitting end to a violent and sanguine evening, one that comes with a week off to process all that transpired over the last few weeks. The UFC will return in October, and when it does, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

The Official Result
Cory Sandhagen def. Yadong Song R4 5:00 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Angelo leans Sandhagen primarily because of his five-round experience and ability to recover from bad rounds. He notes that Sandhagen is a fluid striker with good combinations and BJJ, but he lacks takedown volume. Angelo is not confident and thinks the odds are wide. He considers a plus points bet on Yadong.

Considers plus points bet on Yadong.
"i am going to lean corey here in the pick but literally because this is a 25 minute fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady picks Cory Sandhagen to win by decision. He argues that Sandhagen is the better striker overall with higher volume (6.42 significant strikes per minute) and has fought much tougher competition (Yan, Dillashaw, Sterling). Brady notes that Sandhagen has never been knocked out and has excellent striking defense. He believes Song Yadong's power is a threat, but Sandhagen's durability and output should carry him to a decision win. Brady also mentions that this is Song's first five-round fight, which could be a factor. He is surprised by the public support for Song as a dog.

decision
"give me san hagen to win give me san hagen to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Cody agrees Sandhagen is the more refined fighter with better cardio and versatility. He highlights Sandhagen's wrestling improvements since the Sterling loss and his ability to maintain high output. Cody thinks Song's lack of five-round experience and tendency to slow down will be exploited. He calls Sandhagen a good top ticket play but not the most confident pick on the card.

"i gotta agree with all your points i think he's got more experience i think he's got more versatility when you watch the fights themselves he's got a lot of output"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Song Yadong

Daniel Levi picks Song Yadong at plus 175 odds, placing one unit on him. He believes Song has enough output to make his harder shots count against Sandhagen's volume, and that the fight could be close enough for Song's power strikes to sway judges. He notes Sandhagen's year off and potential ring rust, and thinks the odds should be closer. He respects Sandhagen but sees value in the underdog.

Bet one unit on Song Yadong moneyline at +175
"I took the odds on sonia dong here at plus 175. I mean i thought they were good odds on on a kid like this"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Song Yadong

Jacob picks Yadong, comparing his style to Petr Yan's and noting that Yadong is faster and more powerful now at 24. He believes Yadong's speed and power will close the distance and land big shots, potentially knocking down Sandhagen. Jacob thinks Yadong is peaking at the right time and can win by decision or finish.

Bet under 4.5 rounds at plus money.
"i think this is song and dawn's time to shine man i think that he is looking and and getting peaking at the right time"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen is the master of distance and will make Song whiff, tiring him out. Sandhagen's footwork and in-and-out movement will keep him out of the pocket where Song's power is most dangerous. Sandhagen's cardio is superior for five rounds, and he has been training BJJ with Ryan Hall to add submission threats. Song's best path is leg kicks or an early knockout, but Sandhagen's style is a tough puzzle for Song at this stage. I expect Sandhagen to take over as the fight goes on and win a decision.

Round 4 or 5 decision for Sandhagen at -115 on FanDuel is a good target
"the pick is sandhagen I think we'll see him do solidwork from the outside really start to open up the layer that this fight goes I think he takes home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Paul thinks Sandhagen's five-round experience against TJ Dillashaw and Petr Yan is a huge advantage. He notes Sandhagen's durability and high output will be key, as Song Yadong is a counter puncher who will struggle with Sandhagen's volume. Paul believes Sandhagen will outwork Song over five rounds, though he acknowledges Song's power and youth make it not a lock. He also likes the under 4.5 rounds at plus money.

under 4.5 rounds +135
"i think sonia dong is a excellent talent that we're gonna see so much more from in the moving forward in the in his ufc run but i do think minus 200 on so on san hagen is is more …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The MMA Guru picks Cory Sandhagen by decision. He acknowledges Song Yadong is an underrated prospect but notes Yadong has struggled against rangy, mobile strikers who switch stances, like Kyler Phillips and Casey Kenny. He believes Sandhagen is too good, too rangy, and too smart, and will take over as the fight goes on. He expects Sandhagen to lose the first round but win the last three or four rounds, with scorecards like 48-47 or 49-46.

"i'm gonna go with sand hagen decision win based on the last three rounds"
LOSS vs Petr Yan
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Petr Yan 1 149 of 270 55% 158 of 280 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:09
Cory Sandhagen 0 169 of 445 37% 172 of 449 1 of 6 16% 0 1 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Petr Yan 0 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 37 of 85 43% 39 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Petr Yan 0 38 of 65 58% 40 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Cory Sandhagen 0 45 of 113 39% 45 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Petr Yan 1 36 of 57 63% 41 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Cory Sandhagen 0 37 of 86 43% 37 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
4 Petr Yan 0 36 of 67 53% 38 of 69 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:24
Cory Sandhagen 0 25 of 83 30% 26 of 84 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:03
5 Petr Yan 0 20 of 44 45% 20 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cory Sandhagen 0 25 of 78 32% 25 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Petr Yan 149 of 270 55% 100 of 217 27 of 29 22 of 24 135 of 252 7 of 9 7 of 9
Cory Sandhagen 169 of 445 37% 118 of 389 28 of 32 23 of 24 168 of 443 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Petr Yan 19 of 37 51% 4 of 21 4 of 4 11 of 12 17 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 37 of 85 43% 21 of 68 6 of 6 10 of 11 36 of 83 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Petr Yan 38 of 65 58% 23 of 50 8 of 8 7 of 7 36 of 63 2 of 2 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 45 of 113 39% 30 of 95 9 of 12 6 of 6 45 of 113 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Petr Yan 36 of 57 63% 29 of 49 5 of 6 2 of 2 28 of 46 1 of 2 7 of 9
Cory Sandhagen 37 of 86 43% 29 of 78 4 of 4 4 of 4 37 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Petr Yan 36 of 67 53% 28 of 59 8 of 8 0 of 0 34 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 25 of 83 30% 20 of 77 4 of 5 1 of 1 25 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Petr Yan 20 of 44 45% 16 of 38 2 of 3 2 of 3 20 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cory Sandhagen 25 of 78 32% 18 of 71 5 of 5 2 of 2 25 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Interim Bantamweight Title Fight: Cory Sandhagen vs. Petr Yan

Round 1
Even though the UFC bantamweight belt traded hands less than eight months ago, the interim strap is now up for grabs when ex-champ Yan (15-2, 7-1 UFC) gets another crack at gold against fellow recently defeated Sandhagen (14-3, 7-2 UFC). This will be the first title fight in UFC history where both challengers are coming off a loss, but the excitement is still palpable. Even referee Jason Herzog is pumped up about this potential 135-pound thriller, and the fighters do not want to touch gloves as they would rather use their fists to slug the other in the face. Yan takes the center of the cage, eager to come out firing, but he stops short of throwing anything when Sandhagen sticks a jab in his face. Sandhagen scores a leg kick, and chants in support of Yan rain down through the arena. Sandhagen continues to work the lead leg with accurate strikes, and he pegs the ball of his foot to the sternum to surprise Yan. Yan walks him down but is getting kept at bay with effective kicks. One such kick makes Yan do a slight turn, and Yan’s left hand is cocked back with nowhere to go. The strikes from Sandhagen are effective enough to thwart much of the offense of his opponent, but a left hook from Yan partially gest through. Sandhagen works the body, and he gets poked in the eye and rubs it out as Yan offers a glove touch apology. Yan lands a kick to the body, and Sandhagen returns with a left to the liver. Yan succeeds with a leg kick, and Sandhagen swarms him with a salvo of punches. The American catches his foe off-guard by changing levels and threatening with a sudden takedown. Although he does not get Yan down, he makes Yan think about one more element. They both land to the body when they get free, and Yan scores a left hand counter as Sandhagen lands from afar. Sandhagen punctuates combinations with leg kicks, with his volume being the difference maker so far in the opening frame. Yan keeps his fingers outstretched and nearly pokes Sandhagen in the eye again, but Sandhagen fights through it. Sandhagen pressures his foe with a long string of punches, landing without putting everything behind every blow. When Yan guards high, Sandhagen goes low. Yan walks Sandhagen down but gets tagged in response, and the ex-champ scores a solid pair of leg kicks. Sandhagen ducks down for a single, and Yan nails him with an elbow over the top to force them to separate. Sandhagen eats a leg kick and jumps in the air with a knee, and this fast-paced round ends as Herzog warns Yan for his fingers pointed straight out.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen

Round 2
The second round begins as Yan loads up on power strikes, with a few leg kicks to start on the calf. Yan backs off and stomps down with a kick, and Sandhagen punches his way in to a combination. Sandhagen delivers some damage to the body, but Yan is right there to do the same with his own salvo of strikes. Sandhagen counters several Yan strikes so that he can slap him in the face with a kick. Yan gets stung with a strike from his opponent, and he loads up with a right hand that rocks Sandhagen for a moment. “Sandman” appears no worse for wear, although his body is getting marked up as he is getting red all over – this may be simply from the lightness of his complexion, and not that he is absorbing an unusual amount of punishment. Sandhagen slides out of the way from looping punches from the former champ, and he gets off several punches to back him off. Sandhagen stands in front of his opponent and decks him with a few punches. Yan spins after absorbing a blow to spin with a back fist, and the blocked impact is still substantial. Both men land with fast punches, and Yan goes to the body with kicks while Sandhagen attacks the lead leg. A low single from Sandhagen gets stuffed, and Yan defends with a guillotine choke setup before elbowing Sandhagen to make him step off. Sandhagen leaps in the air with a knee that clatters off Yan’s guard, and he sticks Yan and moves with several jabs. Sandhagen stays on his bike as Yan is looking for a home run right hand, although the American does absorb a crisp left hand. The round is quite close, and it ends as they stare the other down.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Yan

Round 3
The third frame commences as Sandhagen lands on the outside with kicks. When he lands one, Yan tries to pay him back, and Sandhagen checks it hard to make Yan wobble back as it seemed to hurt badly. Yan recovers well enough to spin with a back kick to the body, and Sandhagen pays it no mind as he lances through Yan’s guard with straight right hands. Sandhagen has a few more punches penetrate Yan’s shell of a high guard, before going low with kicks. Yan keeps his fingers pointed towards his opponent despite the warnings of Herzog. Yan swings for the fences, only for Sandhagen to duck and tag him with a counter left hook. “Sandman” resets and puts two punches together into a leg kick, and Yan checks this one. Yan appears to slap Sandhagen in the side of his head with an open palm, and Sandhagen is fired up from this as he pressures Yan and lands several blows. Yan manages to snap Sandhagen’s head back, but the American dodges most of the remainder of the barrage. Sandhagen’s head movement keeps him safe from harm, and Sandhagen keeps a safe range and consistently lands on his opponent from afar. Whether jabs or low kicks, Sandhagen continues to keep Yan from unloading his most dangerous combinations. A pair of power punches from Yan gets Sandhagen’s attention, and he nails Sandhagen with a few more punches. Suddenly, Yan follows a punch with a spinning back fist and a left hook that knocks Sandhagen off his feet, and Yan chases him down to the ground to try to pound him out. The scrambles for Sandhagen allow him to not take much damage or fall into submission danger, but Yan is constantly fishing for something or trying to get strikes off. When they finally get back up, Yan lands with a big left hand and Sandhagen back off but takes a knee to the body to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Yan

Round 4
The first championship round begins as Sandhagen appears to have gotten his bearings about him. Yan is the aggressor, throwing big strikes at his opponent in hopes of dropping him again. Sandhagen has a flying knee blocked, and he goes back to his successful strategy of making Yan miss as he tags him from out far. Sandhagen appears to get clipped with a left hand, but he shakes it off and just dodges two windmilling punches that whiz by him. Two punches from Sandhagen get countered with much heavier blows from the former champ, and he puts a front kick to the body to get Yan to back off for a moment. Yan is staying in Sandhagen’s face, kicking him to the body and going up top with power punches that knock Sandhagen’s head back. The power advantage remains firmly on the side of the Russian, and Sandhagen recognizes this and shoots in for a takedown. This time, Sandhagen hits it, and Yan is aware and threatens with a leg lock from his back. The submission forces Sandhagen to scramble, and they both stand up. Sandhagen again shoots for a low single, but this time he decides to get off some standing elbows. A spinning back fist from Sandhagen makes Yan laugh, and the Russian Terminator that is Yan stalks Sandhagen down and works him to the body. The punches make Sandhagen bounce off the cage, as he has timed Sandhagen’s movement and counter effectively. Sandhagen counters a spinning back fist with short elbows, but Yan blasts him in the face with a few punches that force Sandhagen to attack a takedown. When Yan stuffs him, Sandhagen does not instantly get back up, instead holding on to Yan’s leg perhaps in an effort to take a breath. Sandhagen has a punch transition into an elbow, and a knee he throws is not fast enough to get through the guard. Yan gives chase as Sandhagen’s hands are down by his side, and the boxing range is where the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Yan

Round 5
Sandhagen talks to his foe between rounds, and he keeps this intensity going when the round begins by sticking his hand in Yan’s face repeatedly. None of the punches have much behind them, as Sandhagen is careful to not stay anywhere for long so that he does not eat a big power punch. When he stays in one place, Yan lands a left hand and a leg kick that spins him around. When Sandhagen comes back around, he lands an inside leg kick that makes a thud sound. Yan winds up with a left hand that scores right on the nose, and he fakes with a left hand so that he can get off a body kick. Yan ignores a leg kick so that he can close in and get off a big left hand, and Sandhagen reacts and escapes. The offense largely falls off a cliff as Sandhagen stays on his bike, while Yan swings for the air. Sandhagen pushes in for a takedown after a body kick, and he lands a few jabs on the way out. Yan slings a head kick that appears to blast Sandhagen in the face as clean as can be, and Sandhagen just looks at him and raises his arms in the air like a Diaz brother. Sandhagen sticks out a few jabs and stays far enough away from the big shots of his opponent, and Yan is consistently giving chase but not able to connect with much of note. Yan does land one to take three, and he connects at the end of a right when Sandhagen escapes. The American dodges a spinning back fist this time, and he keeps moving and gets a jump knee through. Two punches and a spinning wheel kick from Sandhagen bounce off his shoulder, and he again throws his hands up and runs at Yan to tag him with another flying knee. The two bantamweights swing it out to the bell, and when it sounds, the crowd is so excited by the final exchange, they cannot hear it. Instead, they keep on throwing everything they have until Herzog leaps in and just misses absorbing a significant strike or two. They shake hands after 25 minutes of action, and Yan has likely won the de facto number one contender belt -- the interim title, as it were -- and a rematch with Aljamain Sterling.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (48-47 Yan)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (48-47 Yan)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sandhagen (48-47 Yan)

The Official Result
Petr Yan def. Cory Sandhagen Via Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Petr Yan

Big Brady picks Petr Yan to win a competitive decision. He notes both are great strikers, but Yan has the edge in boxing and can mix in takedowns. Sandhagen's takedown defense is a weakness (65% on paper, but was lower before the Dillashaw fight). Yan's wrestling and control time should be the difference. He expects a close fight but Yan edges it out.

"I'm going to say yan slightly edges it out uh it's close fight another close fight but a really good one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Petr Yan

Cody is high on Petr Yan, calling him a 'terminator' with cardio, striking, and underrated wrestling. He notes Yan has scored takedowns in his last six fights, including against Aljamain Sterling and Jose Aldo. He thinks Yan's wrestling will be the difference against Sandhagen, who can be taken down. He suggests betting Yan live for a better price but is confident Yan wins.

"peter young's one of those trustworthy guys that if he loses okay it would take a herculean effort"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Petr Yan

Daniel picks Petr Yan to defend his title, calling him a top-five pound-for-pound fighter. He highlights Yan's well-roundedness, cardio, and ability to lull opponents into a false sense of security before dropping them. Daniel notes Yan's takedown success against Jose Aldo and Aljamain Sterling, and believes Sandhagen's clinch issues and tendency to give up his back will be exploited. He predicts a fourth-round TKO.

predicts fourth round TKO
"i'm going petery in by fourth round tko"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen's volume and output from distance will be Yan's kryptonite. Yan prefers to strike but Sandhagen throws 16.5 strikes per minute from outside and has the cardio to maintain it. Yan's takedowns are a threat, but he doesn't usually grapple heavily. Sandhagen wins a volume-based decision.

Sandhagen by decision.
"My pick is corey sandhagen i am picking against peyon once again and i did pick algo last time as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Petr Yan

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that playing Yan live is risky because Yan might get an early takedown and the line will move to -400. He thinks Sandhagen's only chance is if it's a pure striking match, but Yan's wrestling will be the difference. He sees Yan as the clear side.

"i think peter young is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Petr Yan

The MMA Guru picks Petr Yan to win by TKO in the later rounds. He highlights Yan's grappling, especially when taking the back, and notes that Sandhagen gives up his back frequently. He thinks Yan will catch kicks, sweep, and take Sandhagen down. He questions Sandhagen's KO power, noting his recent finishes were against chinny opponents. He predicts Yan will be patient, chop at the legs, and eventually finish Sandhagen in the fourth or fifth round.

fourth or fifth round tko
"i'm gonna go over pyota yan here and i think i'll go with pyote yam by fourth round fifth round tko"
Frankie Edgar - Fight History
LOSS vs Chris Gutierrez
KO/TKO R1 2:01 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
LOSS vs Marlon Vera
KO (front kick) R3 3:50 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marlon Vera 0 94 of 155 60% 138 of 202 3 of 9 33% 0 0 4:25
Frankie Edgar 1 88 of 164 53% 110 of 187 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marlon Vera 0 35 of 45 77% 67 of 80 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:06
Frankie Edgar 0 18 of 35 51% 36 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Marlon Vera 0 27 of 47 57% 39 of 59 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
Frankie Edgar 0 32 of 65 49% 36 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marlon Vera 0 32 of 63 50% 32 of 63 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Frankie Edgar 1 38 of 64 59% 38 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marlon Vera 94 of 155 60% 59 of 113 25 of 32 10 of 10 69 of 125 0 of 1 25 of 29
Frankie Edgar 88 of 164 53% 60 of 130 22 of 26 6 of 8 75 of 140 1 of 1 12 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marlon Vera 35 of 45 77% 22 of 31 9 of 10 4 of 4 18 of 25 0 of 0 17 of 20
Frankie Edgar 18 of 35 51% 14 of 30 2 of 2 2 of 3 11 of 22 0 of 0 7 of 13
2 Marlon Vera 27 of 47 57% 19 of 35 5 of 9 3 of 3 19 of 38 0 of 0 8 of 9
Frankie Edgar 32 of 65 49% 18 of 47 12 of 15 2 of 3 27 of 55 1 of 1 4 of 9
3 Marlon Vera 32 of 63 50% 18 of 47 11 of 13 3 of 3 32 of 62 0 of 1 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 38 of 64 59% 28 of 53 8 of 9 2 of 2 37 of 63 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Frankie Edgar vs. Marlon Vera

Round 1
The hits keep right on coming, we hope you’re not worn out from what you’ve witnessed the last several fights. Former lightweight champion and multiple-time featherweight title challenger Edgar (24-9-1, 18-9-1 UFC) will answer the call at the age of 40 against furious Ecuadorian striker Vera (17-7-1, 11-6 UFC). Although Vera will clock in 12 years his opponent’s junior, he is not taking Edgar lightly, and referee Todd Anderson will have his work cut out for him in the next 15 minutes. Vera crawls out of his corner like Jon Jones, and because of this, there is no glove touch. Instead, when Vera stands up, they start trading. Edgar walks Vera down and slugs him in the face with a right hand, and Edgar shoots in for a takedown from afar. Edgar lands a left, and then another, and he walks through a leg kick so that he can keep punching. Vera sticks his tongue out as he stalks Edgar, and Edgar greets him with punches. Vera is struggling to find his range as Edgar gets in and out of range in time, popping Vera with strikes and escaping before counters find him. Edgar catches a leg kick, and he dives in for a takedown. When Edgar hits it, Vera defends with a guillotine choke on his back, but with Vera flat on his back, there is no choke set up. Vera bucks Edgar back to his full guard, and he closes it around the former champ. Edgar breaks the posture by pumping up and down, and he slashes with vicious elbows right on the nose. Vera lets rip several elbows from his back to make Edgar honest, and chants for “Let’s go, Frankie” rain down in the arena. Vera defends successfully with hacking elbows, and Edgar sits up every so often to land some ground-and-pound. Edgar fights off a possible armbar setup to land strikes, and when he stands up, Vera starts spamming upkicks. Edgar masterfully dodges most of the strikes before dropping back down into Vera’s guard, and he begins to batter Vera with more elbows. “Chito” has his guard closed for the most part, but Edgar lands strikes from above until the horn sounds. When Edgar stands up, Vera kicks him in the face illegally, and Edgar protests.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edgar
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edgar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Edgar

Round 2
Vera practically sprints out of his corner to engage, but he does not throw much in the first 20 seconds. The Ecuadorian gets off an inside leg kick, and he pops Edgar in the face to draw a little swelling around Edgar’s left eye. Vera is sharp with his hands as he gives chase, and he lands a body kick right before Edgar charges him. When the former champ rushes in, he throws a combination and gets clipped with a counter on the way out, but he is no worse for wear. Vera steps in with a knee, and Edgar’s eyes light up as he grabs his opponent’s leg and throws him down to the canvas. Edgar stacks Vera up in a high guard to keep him from defending or getting any upkicks off, all while slapping him in the face with hammerfists. Edgar comfortably sits down to land strikes, but Vera suddenly somersaults backwards to break the posture and stand back up. When back upright, Vera runs after Edgar to lay into him with strikes. “Chito” throws a kick, and Edgar grabs it but cannot punish him for this strike by taking him down. Vera pulls his leg back, and he takes an uppercut to the chops. Vera eats a few body shots so that he can knee Edgar in the face, and he is making Edgar retreat constantly as he peppers the midsection with front kicks. Vera scores a solid knee to make Edgar do a little flip on the ground to fall down and get back to his feet, and when he gets back up, Vera punches him in the face. Edgar lands a single leg kick, and Vera raises his arms in the air to taunt him, which allows Edgar to kick him two more times down low. Edgar sits down on a right hand, and he swipes with a hook to make Vera take a step back. Vera turns around and lands a back kick, and he blasts Edgar in the face with an elbow to put Edgar on rubber legs. Vera gets off a head kick, and he tries to finish the job, but he cannot because the round ends. Both bantamweights exchange words, and Vera flips him off as Anderson separates them.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 3
Vera attacks first to start of the final round, with long, rangy punches and front kicks. Vera scores a punch, and Edgar returns fire with a one-two. Edgar has a head kick clatter off the body, Vera is on him to land power shots. Vera stabs the midsection with a kick, and he turtles up when Edgar unloads on him. A leg kick from Vera makes Edgar back off, and “Chito” turns to plant a side kick on Edgar’s torso. Edgar has a takedown stuffed, and he walks into a right hand and an uppercut. Vera lets rip with a leg kick, and Edgar tags him with four punches to the body before retreating. Edgar gets marked up with a sharp uppercut, and Vera is taking it to him and making Edgar constantly backpedal. Vera’s body kick gets through, and Edgar returns fire with a short combination. The power differential is far in the favor of the Ecuadorian at this point, but Edgar is more content to land with volume while Vera is looking for the one-hitter quitter. One punch knocks Edgar’s mouthpiece out, and Anderson runs over to replace it as Vera gives a cheeky look and shrug to the camera. Edgar gets rocked by a left hand, and he catches a rampaging Vera by hitting a takedown and putting him on the ground. “Chito” powers his way back up to his feet in an instant, and he breaks the grip to line up a right hand. They both throw hands in the pocket, and Vera steps back to unleash a front kick reminiscent of Anderson Silva booting Vitor Belfort in the face. Edgar’s legs disintegrate beneath him as he falls face-first to the mat, and Vera gets off a hammerfists or two before Anderson can sprint in to halt the fight. Edgar protests the stoppage, but considering he was out on his feet when he stood up and nearly fell over walking to his corner, it appears to have been the right call. They settle their in-cage beef after the fight concludes, and show some respect to one another after a fun melee.

The Official Result
Marlon Vera def. Frankie Edgar R3 3:50 via KO (Front Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Frankie Edgar

Angelo picks Frankie Edgar, but hesitantly. He believes Edgar's wrestling, footwork, and cardio are superior, and that if Edgar implements a wrestling game plan, he wins. However, he worries about Edgar's chin after recent knockouts. He thinks Vera is overrated and that Edgar can win a decision if he avoids getting caught. He also likes the over on the 1.5 round line.

Over 1.5 rounds
"if frankie is gonna go out there and wrestle frankie's the pick every day all day no problem"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady picks Marlon Vera to win by third-round knockout. He notes Vera's durability and power, while Frankie Edgar is 40 years old with diminishing durability and has been knocked out three times recently. Brady thinks Edgar could win on paper with takedowns, but at this stage, Vera's youth and toughness will prevail. He expects Vera to drop the first round but build into the fight and finish Edgar late.

third round knockout
"i'm gonna take him to win by uh give me a give me a third round knockout for marlon vera"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Frankie Edgar

Cody agrees Edgar is a live underdog, citing Vera's slow starts and poor takedown defense. He worries about Edgar's age (40) and recent KO losses but thinks Edgar's wrestling and pace could win close rounds. He notes the 'Frankie effect' in New York.

"as far as underdog selections go you could do worse than frankie edgar"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera to win, citing Vera's finishing ability, youth (28 vs 40), and improvement under Jason Parillo. He expects Vera to land more damage and potentially get a finish, but warns that Frankie Edgar may try to stall and clinch. Levi notes that Vera has a bad habit of starting slow but should pull away in the later rounds as Edgar's durability wanes. He also mentions that Vera has an insane chin and is still improving.

"i think this is cheetos time so give me cheeto to just land the more damage to to land the big moments where he hurts edgar possibly get that finish"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Jacob picks Marlon Vera, citing his youth (28) and upward trajectory. He believes Vera's length and jiu-jitsu will be problematic for Edgar, and that Edgar's chin is a major liability. He thinks Vera can win by knockout or decision, and that Edgar's only chance is an ugly decision via wrestling and leg kicks. He is confident in Vera.

"cheeto vera is the play versus frankie edgar um he's just on the upswing of his career i think he's going to get some go on a little streak here and it starts with uh frankie edgar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Frankie Edgar

The host bets Edgar at +148, believing his pressure, takedowns, and volume will outwork Vera. He doubts Vera's one-punch KO power and thinks Edgar's chin will hold. He expects Edgar to win a decision.

"i do have a bet on frank kerger i went 1.5 units at plus 148"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Frankie Edgar

Paul leans Edgar, believing his wrestling and pace can win close rounds. He notes Vera's slow starts and poor takedown defense (69%), which Edgar can exploit. He also mentions the 'Frankie effect' in New York, where judges favor the veteran. He bet fight goes to decision at -150.

fight goes to decision (-150)
"lean towards edgar maybe edgar is able to get that wrestling going and uh win two of three rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

The Guru picks Marlon Vera by decision, predicting a brutal beatdown. He expects Edgar to win the first round with grappling, but Vera will take over with body shots, elbows, and range striking, eventually wearing Edgar down. The Guru notes Edgar's age and recent KO loss, and believes Vera's size and reach advantage will be key. He predicts a 29-27 unanimous decision.

29-27 unanimous decision
"I'm gonna go with marlon vera and i think i'm gonna go with him by decision here."
LOSS vs Cory Sandhagen
KO (flying knee) R1 0:28 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 1 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Frankie Edgar 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 1 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Frankie Edgar 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar

Round 1
Our co-main event comes in a flash between a pair of lightning-quick fighters as Sandhagen (13-2, 6-1 UFC) looks to find the answer against former champ “The Answer” Edgar (24-8-1, 18-8-1 UFC). Referee Keith Peterson fastens his nonsenseless seatbelt as the mayhem is about to begin, and there is no glove touch ahead of what could be a torrid affair. Edgar pushes the pace early and lands a leg kick. Sandhagen reaches out with a left hand and his own leg kick but is backing away.
As Edgar keeps advancing, Sandhagen leaps in the air with his right knee, and Edgar is completely unconscious as soon as it connects. Edgar falls lifelessly but rigidly to the ground, and Sandhagen has no interest in following up as he recognizes that there is nothing more he needs to do.
Incredible. Absolutely incredible. “Knockout of the Year” has a very early frontrunner courtesy of a knee that silenced the entire arena in one blow. Thankfully, Edgar regains consciousness and is able to not only sit up, but gets back to his feet after eating one of the cleanest flying knees you will ever see.

The Official Result
Cory Sandhagen def. Frankie Edgar R1 0:28 via KO (Flying Knee)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady picks Cory Sandhagen, calling the odds 'insane' and noting Sandhagen's striking volume and durability. He acknowledges Frankie Edgar's path to victory via takedowns, but believes Sandhagen's ability to get back up and his chin will prevail. He predicts a knockout, citing Edgar's declining chin, and suggests looking at the knockout prop for better value.

method: KO, odds comment: minus 440 is too wide
"I'm gonna take Sanhagen by KO here... the minus 435 just seems a little bit too wide."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Daniel Levi leans with Cory Sandhagen, acknowledging Frankie Edgar's takedown threat and Sandhagen's poor takedown defense (30%). He notes Edgar's experience against taller fighters and his durability at 135, but believes Sandhagen's striking output and range will be key. He says it's a dog-or-pass situation and doesn't blame anyone betting on Edgar.

"i'm gonna lean with corey as a pick but i i uh i don't blame anyone that wants to put a little bit on frankie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen's unorthodox style, feints, and footwork will be difficult for Edgar to deal with. He uses his reach and height advantage well, and his diverse striking (kicks, spinning attacks) should keep Edgar at range. Edgar has struggled with bigger fighters who can maintain distance. Sandhagen's takedown defense is a concern, but Edgar's wrestling may not be as effective at 135. I expect Sandhagen to win a decision by landing the better shots and controlling the distance. The line is a bit wide, but Sandhagen should get the win.

Sandhagen by decision; line is too wide to bet straight, but could be used in parlays
"i'll go with corey i think he wins this fight uh again via decision um just being a little bit more diverse with the strikes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The MMA Guru picks Cory Sandhagen, calling him a deserving favorite but criticizing the -440 odds as too high. He highlights Sandhagen's length, kicking game, and takedown defense. He predicts Sandhagen will use front kicks and question mark kicks to set up a head kick TKO in the second round, noting Edgar's boxing will be negated by range.

second round TKO by head kick
"i think he head-kicked tko's frankie edgar in the second round"
WIN vs Pedro Munhoz
Decision (split) (48–47, 46–49, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Frankie Edgar 0 166 of 350 47% 166 of 350 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 135 of 363 37% 135 of 363 2 of 8 25% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Frankie Edgar 0 30 of 64 46% 30 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Frankie Edgar 0 21 of 57 36% 21 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 25 of 61 40% 25 of 61 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:12
3 Frankie Edgar 0 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 24 of 60 40% 24 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Frankie Edgar 0 35 of 74 47% 35 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 24 of 82 29% 24 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
5 Frankie Edgar 0 47 of 95 49% 47 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 33 of 83 39% 33 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Frankie Edgar 166 of 350 47% 98 of 259 24 of 39 44 of 52 166 of 350 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 135 of 363 37% 105 of 309 23 of 46 7 of 8 134 of 361 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Frankie Edgar 30 of 64 46% 15 of 46 4 of 5 11 of 13 30 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 29 of 77 37% 23 of 63 4 of 12 2 of 2 29 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Frankie Edgar 21 of 57 36% 16 of 50 1 of 2 4 of 5 21 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 25 of 61 40% 19 of 50 6 of 10 0 of 1 24 of 59 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Frankie Edgar 33 of 60 55% 18 of 42 4 of 6 11 of 12 33 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 24 of 60 40% 16 of 46 5 of 11 3 of 3 24 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Frankie Edgar 35 of 74 47% 24 of 56 4 of 10 7 of 8 35 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 24 of 82 29% 20 of 75 3 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Frankie Edgar 47 of 95 49% 25 of 65 11 of 16 11 of 14 47 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 33 of 83 39% 27 of 75 5 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Big Brady picks Pedro Munhoz to win by third-round knockout. He believes Frankie Edgar is on his way out at 38 years old, questioning his durability and chin. Munhoz has excellent takedown defense (81%) and is dangerous on the ground with a guillotine, so Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet where Munhoz throws more volume and hits harder. He notes Munhoz has never been knocked out or submitted, while Edgar has been knocked out twice.

Munhoz inside the distance; Munhoz by decision at +300
"i'm going with munoz in this fight... i'm gonna pick munoz to win by i'm gonna say third round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Pedro Munhoz

Daniel Levi picks Pedro Munhoz to win by first-round stoppage. He argues that Frankie Edgar has not evolved his style since 2010, relying on pitter-patter boxing, while Munhoz has devastating calf kicks, one-punch power, and a world-class guillotine. Levi notes Edgar's durability has declined with age and that dropping to bantamweight removes his speed advantage. He believes Munhoz will pressure Edgar and finish him early, similar to the Korean Zombie fight.

first round stoppage
"i'm gonna go with pedro munoz by first round stoppage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Pedro Munhoz is the pick because Frankie Edgar is 38, cutting to 135 for the first time, and has shown dwindling durability after the Korean Zombie loss. Munhoz's calf kicks and power punching will be too much for Edgar, who struggles to close distance without eating shots. Munhoz's guillotine threat also neutralizes Edgar's wrestling. Expect a finish inside the distance, likely by TKO in the second or third round.

Munhoz inside the distance at -125 is a good bet; Munhoz by TKO/KO is likely.
"i truly believe we're going to see pedro munoz go out there and and starts frank yedger"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

The MMA Guru picks Pedro Munhoz, citing Frankie Edgar's history of KO losses and damage taken, and the disadvantage of moving down in weight. He praises Munhoz's iron chin, pressure, and body work, predicting a late first-round or early second-round TKO after Edgar shoots for a takedown.

late first round tko or early second round tko
"i'm gonna be picking pedro munoz to win against frankie edgar"
LOSS vs Chan Sung Jung
TKO (punches) R1 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chan Sung Jung 0 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:12
Frankie Edgar 1 46 of 60 76% 79 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chan Sung Jung 0 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:12
Frankie Edgar 1 46 of 60 76% 79 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chan Sung Jung 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 1 of 1 2 of 2 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 46 of 60 76% 46 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 38 of 42
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chan Sung Jung 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 1 of 1 2 of 2 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 46 of 60 76% 46 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 38 of 42
LOSS vs Max Holloway
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Holloway 0 129 of 328 39% 131 of 330 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 96 of 264 36% 96 of 264 1 of 15 6% 0 0 1:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Holloway 0 13 of 48 27% 13 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 18 of 53 33% 18 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Max Holloway 0 27 of 69 39% 27 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 13 of 55 23% 13 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
3 Max Holloway 0 30 of 61 49% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 17 of 48 35% 17 of 48 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:59
4 Max Holloway 0 29 of 76 38% 31 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:28
5 Max Holloway 0 30 of 74 40% 30 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 0 26 of 61 42% 26 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Holloway 129 of 328 39% 109 of 295 20 of 33 0 of 0 120 of 319 8 of 8 1 of 1
Frankie Edgar 96 of 264 36% 57 of 195 21 of 48 18 of 21 93 of 252 2 of 10 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Holloway 13 of 48 27% 9 of 42 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 18 of 53 33% 10 of 40 3 of 8 5 of 5 18 of 51 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Max Holloway 27 of 69 39% 22 of 60 5 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 13 of 55 23% 8 of 44 1 of 6 4 of 5 12 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Max Holloway 30 of 61 49% 22 of 52 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 53 7 of 7 1 of 1
Frankie Edgar 17 of 48 35% 10 of 36 6 of 10 1 of 2 15 of 43 1 of 3 1 of 2
4 Max Holloway 29 of 76 38% 27 of 72 2 of 4 0 of 0 29 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 22 of 47 46% 14 of 35 6 of 9 2 of 3 22 of 45 0 of 2 0 of 0
5 Max Holloway 30 of 74 40% 29 of 69 1 of 5 0 of 0 30 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 26 of 61 42% 15 of 40 5 of 15 6 of 6 26 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Featherweight Title Fight: Max Holloway vs. Frankie Edgar

Round 1
The UFC 240 headliner features defending featherweight champ Holloway (20-4, 16-4 UFC) finally facing off against Edgar (23-6-1, 17-6-1 UFC) after a pair of scuttled attempts to make this fight. Assigned to the main event is referee Herb Dean. Edgar tries to find his range as he throws a jab that is short and a low kick. Edgar crashes in with a blitz and does not land with anything significant. Edgar fakes for a takedown to force Holloway to retreat. Holloway lands a jab to the body, and the follows it up with two jabs up top. Edgar lands a body kick and Max misses on the counter. Holloway drops and throws an uppercut that lands flush on Edgar's chin. Edgar leaps forward and throws a combination, and clips Holloway with a left hand. Holloway throws a right hand that stings Edgar while Edgar is moving forward, and then leaps forward to land a punch on Edgar's body. Edgar chases Holloway against the fence, but Holloway circles out and eats a leg kick on the way out. Holloway lands another uppercut that tags Edgar right on the chin. Another low kick lands for Edgar, as Holloway nods at his foe. Holloway whiffs with a head kick, and Edgar returns fire with one that is blocked by Holloway. The horn sounds and the first round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holloway

Round 2
Holloway comes out of his corner firing with a few jabs, and Edgar answers with a combination punctuated with a low kick. Holloway slips inside and lands a powerful punch to the body. Edgar is scoring leg kicks, while Holloway looks to counter with his uppercut. Edgar shoots for a takedown and almost gets Holloway to the ground before bouncing off the cage, and Holloway escapes. Holloway lands a stiff one-two that causes blood to trickle from Edgar's nose. Holloway keeps his distance and lands a strong left hand while Edgar falls short on the counter. Edgar presses forward and is again stuffed when trying for a takedown. Holloway throws a long right hand that catches Edgar cleanly. Holloway sticks his jab in the face of Edgar repeatedly, and Edgar tries to throw a head kick in response but falls short. Edgar shoots for another takedown but is stood up by Holloway, who will have nothing to do with Edgar's wrestling. Holloway blasts Edgar with a spinning back kick to the chest to end the round, and Holloway salutes Edgar as they return to their corners.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holloway

Round 3
Edgar starts the round off strong by going after a takedown, but Holloway shakes it off. Holloway doubles up on his left jab as Edgar backs away. Edgar is starting to show a little damage as some swelling presents itself on the side of Edgar's left eye. Edgar fakes for another takedown but nothing doing, and Max fakes for one of his own to cause Edgar to flinch. Edgar throws a lengthy combination but hits nothing but air on the way in. Edgar lands a spinning back kick to Holloway's body, and then follows up with a right hand. Holloway makes Edgar pay with his takedown attempts with a stinging right hand and knee. Holloway lands a few punches, and an uppercut sends Edgar's mouthpiece flying. Holloway chases Edgar across the cage landing strikes, but in the exchange Edgar secures his first takedown of the fight. Holloway stands up as the horn sounds and the third round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holloway

Round 4
Holloway starts the round aggressively, putting Edgar on his back foot early. Edgar throws back and gets Holloway to back off for a moment. Holloway crowds Edgar as Edgar lands a counter right hand. Edgar leaps forward and cracks him with a right hand, and Holloway gives it back with several jabs. Edgar shoots for a takedown but Holloway spins out, and Edgar follows that attempt with one more that pushes Holloway against the cage. As they reach the fence, the crowd starts chanting "Holloway" as Holloway scores a solid combination that causes Edgar's nose to bleed more. Edgar throws two body kicks but both are blocked, and Holloway wings a head kick that passes just above Edgar's head. The two go jab-for-jab multiple times, and Edgar lands a four-punch combination. Holloway returns with a much more emphatic combination that appears to have hurt Edgar. Edgar tries for another takedown to end the round with one, but Holloway does not allow it to happen. Like the end of the second stanza, Holloway scores a spinning back kick right before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holloway

Round 5
The final round kicks off with a few kicks from Edgar that keep Holloway at bay. Edgar commits to a takedown but Holloway defends it well and escapes. On his way in, Edgar eats a few punches from Holloway, who is using his reach advantage to full effect. Holloway lands his jab several more times to frustrate Edgar. Edgar lands a right hand but Holloway continues to stalk him down. Edgar tries to take Holloway down once more and Holloway sprawls and briefs looks for a submission attempt in the center of the cage until they break apart. Holloway times Edgar's entry with a strong right hand, and then follows that with two more to give Edgar pause. Edgar crowd Holloway and tries to unload on him, but Holloway gets back to his preferred range. Edgar throws a spinning back fist, but Holloway blocks it and then lets his hands drop low. Holloway is standing directly in front of Edgar with his chin in the air and Edgar cannot land anything of note. Holloway throws a spinning kick and Edgar tries to take advantage of the timing and secure one last takedown, but Holloway's defense holds up yet again. The fight ends and the fighters embrace, as Holloway likely records a successful defense in a tough decision over the ultra-durable Edgar.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway (50-45 Holloway)
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Holloway (50-45 Holloway)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holloway (50-45 Holloway)

The Official Result
Max Holloway def. Frankie Edgar via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
WIN vs Cub Swanson
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · Apr 21, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Frankie Edgar 0 58 of 136 42% 60 of 139 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:51
Cub Swanson 0 48 of 130 36% 50 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Frankie Edgar 0 16 of 43 37% 17 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Cub Swanson 0 13 of 42 30% 14 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Frankie Edgar 0 21 of 53 39% 21 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cub Swanson 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Frankie Edgar 0 21 of 40 52% 22 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:37
Cub Swanson 0 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Frankie Edgar 58 of 136 42% 33 of 106 6 of 10 19 of 20 52 of 126 6 of 10 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 48 of 130 36% 32 of 110 11 of 15 5 of 5 42 of 122 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Frankie Edgar 16 of 43 37% 8 of 33 3 of 4 5 of 6 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 13 of 42 30% 8 of 35 4 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Frankie Edgar 21 of 53 39% 12 of 43 1 of 2 8 of 8 18 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 18 of 50 36% 14 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Frankie Edgar 21 of 40 52% 13 of 30 2 of 4 6 of 6 19 of 35 2 of 5 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 17 of 38 44% 10 of 29 5 of 7 2 of 2 13 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
LOSS vs Brian Ortega
KO (punch) R1 4:44 · UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Mar 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brian Ortega 0 27 of 77 35% 27 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 1 25 of 76 32% 25 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brian Ortega 0 27 of 77 35% 27 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Frankie Edgar 1 25 of 76 32% 25 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brian Ortega 27 of 77 35% 12 of 59 10 of 13 5 of 5 27 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 25 of 76 32% 21 of 71 3 of 4 1 of 1 17 of 66 6 of 8 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brian Ortega 27 of 77 35% 12 of 59 10 of 13 5 of 5 27 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Frankie Edgar 25 of 76 32% 21 of 71 3 of 4 1 of 1 17 of 66 6 of 8 2 of 2
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady picks Cory Sandhagen, calling the odds 'insane' and noting Sandhagen's striking volume and durability. He acknowledges Frankie Edgar's path to victory via takedowns, but believes Sandhagen's ability to get back up and his chin will prevail. He predicts a knockout, citing Edgar's declining chin, and suggests looking at the knockout prop for better value.

method: KO, odds comment: minus 440 is too wide
"I'm gonna take Sanhagen by KO here... the minus 435 just seems a little bit too wide."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Daniel Levi leans with Cory Sandhagen, acknowledging Frankie Edgar's takedown threat and Sandhagen's poor takedown defense (30%). He notes Edgar's experience against taller fighters and his durability at 135, but believes Sandhagen's striking output and range will be key. He says it's a dog-or-pass situation and doesn't blame anyone betting on Edgar.

"i'm gonna lean with corey as a pick but i i uh i don't blame anyone that wants to put a little bit on frankie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen's unorthodox style, feints, and footwork will be difficult for Edgar to deal with. He uses his reach and height advantage well, and his diverse striking (kicks, spinning attacks) should keep Edgar at range. Edgar has struggled with bigger fighters who can maintain distance. Sandhagen's takedown defense is a concern, but Edgar's wrestling may not be as effective at 135. I expect Sandhagen to win a decision by landing the better shots and controlling the distance. The line is a bit wide, but Sandhagen should get the win.

Sandhagen by decision; line is too wide to bet straight, but could be used in parlays
"i'll go with corey i think he wins this fight uh again via decision um just being a little bit more diverse with the strikes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The MMA Guru picks Cory Sandhagen, calling him a deserving favorite but criticizing the -440 odds as too high. He highlights Sandhagen's length, kicking game, and takedown defense. He predicts Sandhagen will use front kicks and question mark kicks to set up a head kick TKO in the second round, noting Edgar's boxing will be negated by range.

second round TKO by head kick
"i think he head-kicked tko's frankie edgar in the second round"