UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020 · Featherweight · Completed
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Age 44
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Ricardo Lamas
3.13 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
2.87 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.84 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
46.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Bill Algeo
5.88 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.38 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.03 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Ricardo Lamas - Fight History
WIN vs Bill Algeo
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Lamas 0 104 of 156 66% 127 of 180 5 of 11 45% 0 1 6:13
Bill Algeo 0 89 of 168 52% 145 of 224 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Lamas 0 47 of 71 66% 48 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Bill Algeo 0 41 of 80 51% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
2 Ricardo Lamas 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 1 1:53
Bill Algeo 0 34 of 65 52% 66 of 97 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
3 Ricardo Lamas 0 34 of 47 72% 56 of 70 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:48
Bill Algeo 0 14 of 23 60% 32 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Lamas 104 of 156 66% 64 of 106 20 of 25 20 of 25 62 of 108 14 of 15 28 of 33
Bill Algeo 89 of 168 52% 57 of 124 22 of 32 10 of 12 71 of 145 16 of 21 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Lamas 47 of 71 66% 25 of 45 10 of 13 12 of 13 42 of 65 5 of 6 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 41 of 80 51% 28 of 60 8 of 14 5 of 6 37 of 75 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Ricardo Lamas 23 of 38 60% 11 of 23 7 of 8 5 of 7 15 of 30 8 of 8 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 34 of 65 52% 22 of 50 11 of 13 1 of 2 22 of 49 12 of 16 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Lamas 34 of 47 72% 28 of 38 3 of 4 3 of 5 5 of 13 1 of 1 28 of 33
Bill Algeo 14 of 23 60% 7 of 14 3 of 5 4 of 4 12 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Lamas

Big Brady is confident in Lamas, citing his elite competition history and superior wrestling and BJJ. He sees Algeo as a step down in competition and expects Lamas to win via ground-and-pound or submission, predicting a second-round finish. He notes Lamas' chin is a concern but Algeo is not a big puncher.

"give me llamas by a second round knockout there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Ricardo Lamas

Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Lamas but is hesitant due to Lamas's age (38) and history of brutal knockouts. He believes Lamas is better everywhere and more experienced, but notes that Algeo is long and tough, and could potentially catch Lamas with a shot. He expects Lamas to win by unanimous decision but warns against the price.

at this price in my opinion i'd be careful
"i'm gonna pick llamas don't get me wrong i think ricardo llamas is gonna defeat bill algio i don't think he's gonna lose to bill algio it could be a guillotine a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ricardo Lamas

Lamas is a veteran with far superior competition and a well-rounded game including kickboxing, wrestling, and jiu-jitsu. Algeo's record is padded with cans and he struggled against wrestlers. Lamas will implement a grappling-heavy game plan and likely submit Algeo in the second round.

"i'm taking ricardo llamas to win this fight by second round submission"
LOSS vs Calvin Kattar
KO (punches) R1 4:06 · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Jun 08, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 1 22 of 41 53% 22 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 1 22 of 41 53% 22 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 12 of 29 41% 2 of 12 4 of 5 6 of 12 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 22 of 41 53% 11 of 28 11 of 13 0 of 0 16 of 34 2 of 2 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 12 of 29 41% 2 of 12 4 of 5 6 of 12 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 22 of 41 53% 11 of 28 11 of 13 0 of 0 16 of 34 2 of 2 4 of 5
WIN vs Darren Elkins
TKO (elbows and punches) R3 4:09 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Lamas 0 70 of 123 56% 80 of 134 3 of 5 60% 0 1 2:32
Darren Elkins 0 62 of 174 35% 81 of 196 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Lamas 0 14 of 30 46% 17 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Darren Elkins 0 20 of 53 37% 28 of 62 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:42
2 Ricardo Lamas 0 28 of 53 52% 29 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:35
Darren Elkins 0 21 of 61 34% 24 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
3 Ricardo Lamas 0 28 of 40 70% 34 of 47 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Darren Elkins 0 21 of 60 35% 29 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Lamas 70 of 123 56% 39 of 88 14 of 15 17 of 20 43 of 93 10 of 12 17 of 18
Darren Elkins 62 of 174 35% 50 of 151 10 of 21 2 of 2 48 of 151 13 of 21 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Lamas 14 of 30 46% 6 of 21 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 26 2 of 4 0 of 0
Darren Elkins 20 of 53 37% 14 of 43 5 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 45 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Ricardo Lamas 28 of 53 52% 15 of 37 5 of 5 8 of 11 20 of 45 3 of 3 5 of 5
Darren Elkins 21 of 61 34% 17 of 52 4 of 9 0 of 0 18 of 56 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Lamas 28 of 40 70% 18 of 30 6 of 6 4 of 4 11 of 22 5 of 5 12 of 13
Darren Elkins 21 of 60 35% 19 of 56 1 of 3 1 of 1 16 of 50 4 of 8 1 of 2
LOSS vs Mirsad Bektić
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mirsad Bektić 0 34 of 62 54% 69 of 97 0 of 4 0% 2 1 0:54
Ricardo Lamas 0 31 of 89 34% 97 of 174 2 of 4 50% 0 0 8:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mirsad Bektić 0 12 of 21 57% 17 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:49
Ricardo Lamas 0 12 of 28 42% 53 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:12
2 Mirsad Bektić 0 18 of 29 62% 30 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 0 13 of 45 28% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
3 Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 12 33% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:05
Ricardo Lamas 0 6 of 16 37% 21 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mirsad Bektić 34 of 62 54% 8 of 34 21 of 23 5 of 5 15 of 40 19 of 20 0 of 2
Ricardo Lamas 31 of 89 34% 12 of 65 15 of 18 4 of 6 15 of 62 14 of 23 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mirsad Bektić 12 of 21 57% 1 of 9 10 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 9 11 of 12 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 12 of 28 42% 2 of 15 9 of 10 1 of 3 3 of 14 8 of 11 1 of 3
2 Mirsad Bektić 18 of 29 62% 5 of 15 9 of 10 4 of 4 10 of 21 8 of 8 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 13 of 45 28% 7 of 37 3 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 33 6 of 12 0 of 0
3 Mirsad Bektić 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 2
Ricardo Lamas 6 of 16 37% 3 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Josh Emmett
KO (punch) R1 4:33 · UFC on Fox: Lawler vs. dos Anjos · Dec 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Emmett 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 1 10 of 38 26% 10 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Emmett 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 1 10 of 38 26% 10 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Emmett 17 of 37 45% 3 of 18 4 of 5 10 of 14 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 10 of 38 26% 6 of 32 1 of 2 3 of 4 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Emmett 17 of 37 45% 3 of 18 4 of 5 10 of 14 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 10 of 38 26% 6 of 32 1 of 2 3 of 4 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Jason Knight
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Jul 29, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Lamas 0 42 of 62 67% 43 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:57
Jason Knight 0 8 of 35 22% 18 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Lamas 0 42 of 62 67% 43 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:57
Jason Knight 0 8 of 35 22% 18 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Lamas 42 of 62 67% 37 of 55 2 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 7 of 9 10 of 13
Jason Knight 8 of 35 22% 7 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 26 2 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Lamas 42 of 62 67% 37 of 55 2 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 7 of 9 10 of 13
Jason Knight 8 of 35 22% 7 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 26 2 of 7 1 of 2
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:13 · The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 3 Finale: dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · Nov 05, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Lamas 0 11 of 20 55% 13 of 22 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:27
Charles Oliveira 0 13 of 18 72% 36 of 42 2 of 2 100% 2 0 3:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Lamas 0 5 of 11 45% 7 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
Charles Oliveira 0 7 of 10 70% 26 of 30 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:13
2 Ricardo Lamas 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:16
Charles Oliveira 0 6 of 8 75% 10 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Lamas 11 of 20 55% 7 of 14 1 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 5
Charles Oliveira 13 of 18 72% 11 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 9 1 of 2 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Lamas 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 3
Charles Oliveira 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 7
2 Ricardo Lamas 6 of 9 66% 4 of 5 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Charles Oliveira 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Max Holloway
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 04, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Holloway 0 103 of 205 50% 111 of 213 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:37
Ricardo Lamas 0 64 of 135 47% 66 of 137 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Holloway 0 25 of 48 52% 26 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Ricardo Lamas 0 18 of 36 50% 18 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Max Holloway 0 42 of 74 56% 46 of 78 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:09
Ricardo Lamas 0 19 of 44 43% 20 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Max Holloway 0 36 of 83 43% 39 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ricardo Lamas 0 27 of 55 49% 28 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Holloway 103 of 205 50% 80 of 179 12 of 12 11 of 14 82 of 181 11 of 13 10 of 11
Ricardo Lamas 64 of 135 47% 35 of 103 4 of 4 25 of 28 57 of 127 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Holloway 25 of 48 52% 17 of 38 4 of 4 4 of 6 22 of 44 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 18 of 36 50% 4 of 21 4 of 4 10 of 11 16 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Max Holloway 42 of 74 56% 34 of 66 4 of 4 4 of 4 30 of 60 2 of 3 10 of 11
Ricardo Lamas 19 of 44 43% 13 of 37 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Max Holloway 36 of 83 43% 29 of 75 4 of 4 3 of 4 30 of 77 6 of 6 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 27 of 55 49% 18 of 45 0 of 0 9 of 10 23 of 51 4 of 4 0 of 0
Bill Algeo - Fight History
LOSS vs Dooho Choi
TKO (submission to punch) R2 3:38 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dooho Choi 0 21 of 35 60% 32 of 47 2 of 3 66% 3 0 1:33
Bill Algeo 0 17 of 49 34% 38 of 74 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dooho Choi 0 5 of 8 62% 13 of 17 1 of 1 100% 3 0 1:02
Bill Algeo 0 6 of 12 50% 23 of 33 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:02
2 Dooho Choi 0 16 of 27 59% 19 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:31
Bill Algeo 0 11 of 37 29% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dooho Choi 21 of 35 60% 15 of 28 3 of 3 3 of 4 17 of 30 3 of 4 1 of 1
Bill Algeo 17 of 49 34% 11 of 36 3 of 5 3 of 8 14 of 45 2 of 2 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dooho Choi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 6 of 12 50% 5 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 2
2 Dooho Choi 16 of 27 59% 10 of 21 3 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 25 0 of 1 1 of 1
Bill Algeo 11 of 37 29% 6 of 27 2 of 3 3 of 7 10 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Doo Ho Choi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-166), Choi (+140)

Round 1
Action is on the menu for this potential featherweight brawl—good luck living up to the match that preceded this one—with Choi (14-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC) aiming for his first win since 2016 while Algeo (18-8, 5-4 UFC) tries to keep himself above .500 in the Octagon. Both men do not shy away from a slugfest, and referee Herb Dean will hope to keep a lid on things and not get hit with any errant blows. The two touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Choi positions himself in the center of the cage ready to advance. Algeo pushes forward and lets fly a body kick, and he jumps forward and swings his way into a single-leg takedown entry. Choi jumps guard with a guillotine choke to defend it, and Algeo fights it by pushing off Choi’s face. As Algeo bucks, he manages to get out of the choke, and his red face turns back to its standard shade. The two find themselves in the clinch, with Choi landing soft knees to the inner thigh. Choi hits a hip toss and lands in side control, keeping his arm draped around the chest like a seatbelt as Algeo tries to get up. Choi latches on with a rear-naked choke, and when Algeo stands up, he wags his finger to signal that the choke is not at the right angle and will not catch him. “Senor Perfecto” bucks Choi off of him and dumps him to the ground, where he establishes top position. The South Korean does not stay grounded for long, working his way up to his feet thanks to the fence behind him. Choi looks to trip Algeo out, and Algeo tosses him aside. They touch gloves when separating, and Algeo is fired up and ready to trade. Algeo cracks “The Korean Superboy” with a huge right hand and spins with an elbow that smashes Choi right in the face, but his balance does not falter. Algeo changes levels and sets Choi on his seat, keeping Choi down for a few seconds before Choi fights back to his feet and gets upright. Choi drives two knees to the forehead before Algeo drops to one knee, and Choi lands an illegal knee that is not called. Choi jumps guard for another guillotine, and Algeo pops his head out with 10 seconds to spare in the wild round. Algeo concludes the first frame on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 2
The fighters touch gloves before resuming the madness, and Algeo quickly darts forward twice and pulls back as many times. Choi reaches his man with a right hand, and Algeo comes over the top with an overhand right. Choi counters with a big right, and Algeo cocks his head to the side to acknowledge the blow. They trade leg kicks, and Choi walks face-first into a check left hook. Choi blinks it out several times and wipes his eye, and he dips back to dodge a head kick. Algeo pushes off with a side kick, and they hand-fight until Algeo crashes the pocket throwing hands. Choi escapes the worst of the blows and snaps off a quick jab. Leg kicks are once more traded, and Choi digs a right hand to the midsection. Algeo scores a side kick and has a sudden spinning hook kick bounce off the raised guard. Choi catches his man with a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and tosses back two head kicks. Algeo looks to counter a jab with two looping hooks, and he spins with a back fist that grazes the cheek and results in a clinch. Choi turns him around and chucks Algeo to the mat like a side of beef, and Algeo stands right back up and drops to a knee to prevent knees from catching him on the chin. Choi holds on from above, and the two scramble until Algeo tags him with an elbow. Choi makes him pay with two crisp punches, and Algeo returns fire. Choi splits Algeo open with a one-two, and it appears to have damaged Algeo’s eye socket or otherwise compromised “Senor Perfecto.”
Choi races towards his opponent, and he is met with a spinning back elbow that bounces off the shoulder. Choi slugs the Pennsylvanian in the face with a brutal left hand, and Algeo turns and the pain suddenly overtakes him. Algeo turns, wags his finger as if to say enough is enough, and drops to a knee.
Dean sees that Algeo’s goose is cooked, and he rushes in between the fighters to call a halt to the hard-swinging contest. Choi sprints away to celebrate with his corner, including the beloved “Korean Zombie,” having picked up his first win since 2016.

The Official Result
Doo Ho Choi def. Bill Algeo R2 3:38 via TKO (Submission to Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Bill Algeo because he is far more active than Dooho Choi, who hasn't won in eight years. He acknowledges that Algo has burned bettors before and advises staying away from betting. He is not confident but chooses Algeo due to activity and experience.

advises not betting
"I can't bet on Doo Choy here he's talented he's fun he's still young he's only 33 he's the younger fighter in this matchup but I can't go with him I got to go with the far more active Bill …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody also picks Algeo, emphasizing Choi's one-round style and the fact that he gave up five takedowns to Kyle Nelson. He thinks Algeo can take Choi down and control him, and that Choi's chin is compromised after multiple knockouts. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Choi doesn't finish.

"I think you bet Alo after the first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, stating that Dooho Choi has never been the same since the Cub Swanson fight in 2016. He notes Choi's inactivity and lack of confidence, while Algeo is more active and skilled. Vreeland acknowledges Choi's power but believes Algeo can outwork him over three rounds.

"until I see any resemblance of the real super boy which we haven't seen in nearly a decade I'm gonna go bill alio here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo is a -160 favorite. He has an unorthodox striking style and excellent cardio, which should cause problems for Choi, who is inactive and has a questionable chin. Algeo can land big shots and potentially finish Choi within the first two rounds. Choi hasn't won since 2016 and inactivity works against him.

under is at plus money, I might look at that
"I'm going to lean alio here I think we see alio heard uh Troy within the first two rounds and put him away"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul picks Algeo, citing Choi's decline since the Cub Swanson fight, his inability to win outside the first round, and his poor takedown defense. He notes Algeo has a wrestling background, a BJJ black belt, and can mix in takedowns. He expects Algeo to outwork Choi as the fight goes on.

"I think Bill alj is the rightful favorite here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Dooho Choi. He describes Algeo as tricky and unorthodox, and believes Choi's style works best against aggressive opponents. He notes Choi's long layoff and recent draw with Kyle Nelson, while Algeo has a win over Joe Anderson Brito. He predicts Algeo will survive Choi's early power and take over in rounds two and three with volume and cage work.

"I'm going to go with bill alio over do choy"
LOSS vs Kyle Nelson
TKO (punches) R1 4:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyle Nelson 0 30 of 58 51% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bill Algeo 0 32 of 59 54% 40 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyle Nelson 0 30 of 58 51% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bill Algeo 0 32 of 59 54% 40 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyle Nelson 30 of 58 51% 11 of 34 11 of 11 8 of 13 30 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 32 of 59 54% 20 of 45 6 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyle Nelson 30 of 58 51% 11 of 34 11 of 11 8 of 13 30 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 32 of 59 54% 20 of 45 6 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo leans Bill Algeo but is not very confident. He highlights Algeo's karate-style striking, high volume, and BJJ black belt, but notes he gets hit a lot. He thinks Kyle Nelson's forward pressure could be tricky. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds as a safer bet, expecting a decision.

over 2.5 rounds
"the pick if I have to make one is going to be Jill Bill Alo but I do like over two and a half as far as bets are concerned"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by third-round finish. He notes Algeo is a fast-paced striker who lands over six significant strikes per minute, and expects him to push a pace that Kyle Nelson cannot keep up with. Brady believes Nelson's recent fights have been slow and boring, but Algeo will force him to work and break him late.

"I'm going to take alio here I'm hoping alio comes in here with a great game plan and if he does I think he finishes Kyle Nelson in that third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody likes Algeo's volume, cardio, and durability, believing he can outwork Nelson. He notes Nelson's improved cardio but thinks Algeo's pace and output will be too much, likely winning by decision or late finish.

"I got Bill"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, citing his high volume and pace. He thinks Algeo's pressure and output will overwhelm Nelson, who has a history of gassing. He notes Nelson's recent style change but believes Algeo won't give him space to rest. He predicts Algeo by decision or late finish.

"I still got to go with Bill because at least with Bill you know what you're getting"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo is on a 4-1 run with unorthodox movement and effective leg kicks. He picks opponents apart from distance and has solid BJJ. Nelson has improved but still relies on crashing the pocket; Algeo's lateral movement and counters should cause Nelson to chase and slow down. Algeo by decision is likely, with potential for a late finish.

"I think Bill alio gets his HRA here and I'm going to ultimately Say by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul compares this fight to Algeo's win over Corano, expecting Algeo to overwhelm Nelson with volume. He mentions a potential round 3 prop for Algeo but sees decision as most likely.

"a bill aljo round three prop could be in play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The host picks Bill Algeo, calling him underrated and tricky. He likes Algeo's win over Joe Anderson Brito and his performance against Andre Fili. He thinks Algeo has more options and will 'weird' Nelson with unorthodox techniques. He predicts a decision win for Algeo.

decision win
"I'm going Bill alio dude I'm going bill alio I like this guy's game I think he's an underrated fighter"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 75 of 156 48% 76 of 157 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
Alexander Hernandez 1 110 of 244 45% 119 of 257 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Hernandez 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bill Algeo 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Alexander Hernandez 1 44 of 89 49% 52 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Bill Algeo 0 31 of 58 53% 32 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alexander Hernandez 0 39 of 94 41% 40 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 75 of 156 48% 25 of 80 45 of 66 5 of 10 75 of 154 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 110 of 244 45% 46 of 156 33 of 50 31 of 38 108 of 241 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 16 of 39 41% 1 of 12 11 of 19 4 of 8 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 27 of 61 44% 6 of 28 7 of 15 14 of 18 27 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bill Algeo 28 of 59 47% 12 of 35 15 of 22 1 of 2 28 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 44 of 89 49% 21 of 62 13 of 16 10 of 11 43 of 88 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Bill Algeo 31 of 58 53% 12 of 33 19 of 25 0 of 0 31 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 39 of 94 41% 19 of 66 13 of 19 7 of 9 38 of 92 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Alexander Hernandez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-135), Hernandez (+114)

Round 1
Switching over to the main card, but still broadcasting on ESPN+ stateside, two featherweights right on the borderline of .500 UFC records will collide with intentions of stay on the right side of that line. Former lightweight Hernandez (14-6, 6-5 UFC) will try again in the lower weight division of 145 pounds, and Algeo (17-7, 4-3 UFC) will welcome him back down with bad intentions. With oversight and not a lick of nonsense from referee Keith Peterson, the two men tap their gloves together. Algeo switches stances when he starts the fight, reaching out with kicks from both legs. Hernandez swings a head kick at him that buzzes past his hair, and Algeo avoids it and salutes the strike. Both men trade low kicks, and Hernandez goes after one to the body. Algeo checks a kick and kicks the calf back, and he leans back from a power right hand that misses him by a small margin. Hernandez kicks his foe in the chest, and Algeo springs into action with two hooks and a high kick. Hernandez ricochets off the fencing to reset, and he leans low to block a head kick before the full power is on it. Hernandez aims punches to the midsection, and he opens up the head with these strikes. “The Great Ape” connects with a solid leg kick, and he ducks a head kick. Algeo kicks him in the gut with a side kick and sends him flying, and Hernandez springs back to his feet and is ready to block a spinning kick fired his way. Hernandez goes up high with his shin, and Algeo is able to defend against it and chip at the lead wheel with another kick. Algeo targets the body with a kick, and he snaps out a jab, and turns a full rotation to spin with a kick to the body. Algeo looks for an intercepting knee when Hernandez ducks to punch the body, and Hernandez aims his heavy strikes that are coming up just short. Hernandez digs punches to the midsection, and he keeps his guard up high in time to defend against a hook kick. Hernandez fires back with a kick that glances off the shoulder of his foe, and Algeo replies with a number of pawing jabs. Hernandez sweeps out with a body kick, and Algeo is right there to give him a low kick back when he sets his leg down. Hernandez looks for a leaping combination, only for Algeo to shoulder roll every blow and circle on the outside. Algeo threatens with a kick and a spin kick, but Hernandez does not bite on them and lets him turn back around. One body kick from Algeo concludes the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 2
Round 2 begins with a half-hearted glove touch, and Hernandez follows it quickly with a kick to the ribs. Hernandez loads up on a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and jabs the body. Hernandez puts power behind his strikes, and Algeo stays elusive and meets him with a knee up the middle. Algeo ducks a haymaker, and a second strike from “The Great Ape” bounces off the chest. Algeo jabs the nose and body, and Hernandez starts to crowd him and force exchanges in the pocket. The Texan parries a few punches and comes back with a big right hand, and Algeo turns to the side and lets it glide past him. Algeo fires off a right hand to the eye socket, and Hernandez complains that it was an eye poke. Peterson calls time and allows Hernandez to recover, and replays show it was the knuckle of Algeo’s thumb that jammed into the eye – which could be considered a legal blow. However, if Algeo’s thumb was not locked into the fist, it would be the legitimate foul, and Hernandez continues to take the time he needs as Peterson brings in the doctor to check his condition. After two minutes and 15 seconds, Hernandez informs the medical staff and Peterson that he is good to go, and the fighters touch gloves and have no ill will about the perceived foul. The action begins immediately, and Hernandez is headhunting with power strikes and stalking Algeo down. Algeo skirts on the outside and lands a few kicks to varying targets, with his intention of keeping Hernandez missing while he fights at his preferred range. Hernandez loads up on everything, and a few right hands get Algeo’s attention. When one solid right hook slams into Algeo’s chin, Algeo is energized and starts putting some power into his own strikes as well. Algeo turns his hips into a low kick, and a straight left hand that follows sits Hernandez down. Hernandez pops back up and ties Algeo up, trying to get his bearings back after getting his bell rung. The two separate, and Hernandez comes back with a vengeance. Algeo slips to the side and jumps at his man with a knee that pops into the nose, bloodying it up instantly. Algeo spins with an elbow that clacks into Hernandez’ cheek, and Hernandez tanks it and is loaded for bear. Hernandez plods forward and digs a punch to the body, and he chains a head kick into it that makes Algeo shake his head. Hernandez targets the body and goes up high, and Algeo leans back to take the worst out of it. The round ends with both fighters trading.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 3
The featherweights are amped up and ready to finish the fight off with style, as the limited crowd gives it up for the two fighters. Hernandez races out of his corner with bad intentions, throwing hammers until he bullies Algeo to the wall and goes after a takedown. Algeo shuts it down and pushes Hernandez back, and he busts Hernandez in the chops with a straight right hand. Algeo stays loose while Hernandez is a coiled string, and Hernandez just misses a counter left that is a bit too low to find the chin. Algeo uses his traditional martial arts stance to put two side kicks on the chest in rapid succession, as range-keeping weapons that disrupt the bombs Hernandez looks to throw. Algeo suddenly whips a kick up high to hurt Hernandez, and he strings several punches into a body kick to conclude it with an exclamation point. Hernandez is tough as nails, as he swings back with all his might, with looping right hooks and heavy kicks to the body. Algeo reaches his man with a sweeping right hook and a left to the body, and Hernandez gives him a hard right hand back on the chin. Hernandez follows it with a second, and Algeo cannot quite shoulder roll that one. Algeo dings his man with a left hand with his thumb outstretched, and Hernandez tells Peterson he was poked in the eye again. Peterson asks Hernandez to keep fighting, and he does just that. Both men keep trading, with Hernandez kicking the body and aiming a few to the head as well. Hernandez steps in with a right hand on the jaw, and he slams his shin on the waist to follow. Algeo meanders back, and Hernandez blasts him with a huge right hook. Algeo takes it and does not bat an eye, instead going right back at his foe and making sure to not allow Hernandez to land strikes for free. Hernandez continues to stalk Algeo down, unloading anything he can throw, and they both land massive shots at the same time. Algeo tags Hernandez with a knee, Hernandez cracks him with a right, and Algeo trips him up and throws him to the mat. Hernandez climbs back up, and the scrap comes to a conclusion.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)

The Official Result
Bill Algeo def. Alexander Hernandez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo, citing Alexander Hernandez's poor cardio, durability, and heart. He notes that Hernandez has been finished in the second round in most of his losses and that Algeo is tough, has never been knocked out, and can maintain a high pace. He expects Hernandez to win the first round but fade, allowing Algeo to secure a second-round finish, either by knockout or submission.

second round finish for Bill Algeo
"I'm going to take Bill algae to win this fight I'll take Bill algae to win this fight by second round knockout could be a submission as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Cody picks Hernandez, noting his athleticism, power, and improved cardio. He believes Hernandez is still in his prime and that Algeo's lack of physicality and takedown defense will be exploited. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Hernandez fades, but expects Hernandez to win.

Hernandez by decision
"I'm gonna go ahead and agree again... gotta take another dog somewhere and I think Alexander Hernandez has a very good chance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Daniel Levi picks Alexander Hernandez hesitantly, acknowledging his history as a 'talented flake' but seeing improvement in his last fight against Jim Miller. He believes Hernandez is the better athlete, faster, and more explosive, but questions his mental consistency. He notes that Bill Algeo has lost to similar talented flakes like Ricardo Ramos and Andre Fili. Levi thinks if Hernandez keeps his composure, he can win, but it's a tough call.

"I think on his best day he can beat Bill algo so hopefully it's his best day I'll pick him to win this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Alexander Hernandez

Lucrative James bet Hernandez as an underdog and sees him winning round one at a high clip, possibly by knockout. He believes Hernandez's wrestling is underrated and he can get takedowns at will. He thinks Algeo does not have the pressure or pace of Billy Quarantillo or Drew Dober, so Hernandez won't gas as badly. He calculates Hernandez should be around -150 based on round-by-round analysis.

bet as underdog, line moved to favorite
"I like Alexander Hernandez side here I bet him as an underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo has a better gas tank and an unorthodox style that will trouble Hernandez. Hernandez has a history of slowing down in later rounds, and Algeo's awkward movement and pressure should wear on him. Algeo may even get a late submission. The line movement toward Hernandez makes Algeo even more valuable. Expect Algeo to pull away in the second and third rounds.

late submission
"I think alio starts to pull away with this in deep water maybe even gets a late finish in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Paul picks Hernandez, citing his superior athleticism and power. He notes that Algeo is not physically strong and has been taken down in every UFC fight. Hernandez's wrestling and striking should be enough to win, and Paul likes the plus money value.

"Alexander Hernandez for me... at plus 125 that would be my pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Alexander Hernandez. He believes Algeo is very tricky to finish and underrated, with wins over Joe Anderson Brito and Herbert Burns. He criticizes Hernandez's cardio at featherweight, noting he gassed after round one against Quarantillo. He predicts Algeo will capitalize on Hernandez's mistakes and get a third-round finish, possibly by submission or TKO. He also mentions Algeo's potential for a post-fight mic moment.

third round finish, submission or TKO
"I'm going bilalgia I think he's very tricky to finish and I don't like Hernandez at featherway"
WIN vs T.J. Brown
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:40 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 1 64 of 110 58% 77 of 123 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
T.J. Brown 0 46 of 91 50% 49 of 94 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 45 of 85 52% 48 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:03
T.J. Brown 0 39 of 77 50% 42 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:19
2 Bill Algeo 1 19 of 25 76% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:39
T.J. Brown 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 64 of 110 58% 44 of 81 6 of 13 14 of 16 48 of 94 5 of 5 11 of 11
T.J. Brown 46 of 91 50% 34 of 78 8 of 9 4 of 4 33 of 76 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 45 of 85 52% 26 of 59 6 of 12 13 of 14 43 of 83 2 of 2 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 39 of 77 50% 28 of 65 8 of 9 3 of 3 27 of 64 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Bill Algeo 19 of 25 76% 18 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 11 3 of 3 11 of 11
T.J. Brown 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
T.J. Brown

Angelo picks T.J. Brown as an underdog, citing his high pace, solid striking, and good grappling with almost 4 takedowns per fight. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (38%) and that Algeo doesn't use his wrestling offensively. He expects Brown to get takedowns, set the pace, and win a decision. He has a quarter-unit bet on Brown at +140.

quarter unit moneyline bet at +140
"I see TJ getting the takedown set in the pace riding it out on top and getting the win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by submission in the second or third round. He notes Algeo's poor takedown defense but excellent get-up game and scrambling. He expects Brown to have early success with takedowns but tire, allowing Algeo to take over and potentially submit him, as Brown has been submitted before.

submission
"give me algo give me algo by sub I think he finishes Brown later in this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (55%) but his cardio and BJJ are excellent. He expects Brown to get early takedowns but fade, allowing Algeo to take over with volume. He sees Algeo winning by decision or late stoppage.

Live bet after first round if Brown takes Algeo down
"bill ljo again and we've mentioned this about a lot of other fights on this card excellent live betting opportunity"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Algeo's strong start doesn't walk him into danger and that Algeo's pressure and range control will allow him to rack up damage early. He also mentions Algeo's height advantage and active kicking game.

"Yeah, I agree. It feels like the kind of fight where Algeo starting strong doesn't walk him into anything dangerous enough."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo's unorthodox striking and scrambling ability will be too much for Brown. Brown's path to victory is grappling, but Algeo is hard to hold down and creates scrambles. Algeo's cardio and striking volume should win rounds. Expect a decision, as both are durable and finishes are unlikely.

Over 2.5 rounds
"I think algo wins this fight I think the best way to approach it though could possibly be the over two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Algeo's cardio and Jiu-Jitsu. He thinks Brown's wrestling will be effective early but he'll tire, and Algeo will take over in later rounds.

"yeah that all makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo, citing his unorthodox striking, length, and takedown defense (55%). He believes Algeo will keep the fight standing and outpoint Brown, who relies on wrestling. He notes Brown's recent win over Eric Silva but thinks Algeo's tricky style and output will edge a close fight.

"give me senor Perfecto Bill algio to get the job done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Zane picks Algeo because he starts strong and puts too much information into TJ Brown's computer for him to adjust in time. He notes Algeo's hyper-aggressive style, good kicking game, and height advantage, and believes Brown's slow starts will cost him.

"I am going to pick Algeo here. I just think he is going to start too strong and put too much information in the TJ Brown computer for him to make the necessary adjustments in time."
LOSS vs Andre Fili
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Fili 0 59 of 142 41% 67 of 151 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:18
Bill Algeo 0 81 of 170 47% 151 of 246 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Fili 0 19 of 56 33% 19 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Bill Algeo 0 30 of 61 49% 31 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Andre Fili 0 32 of 68 47% 32 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Bill Algeo 0 41 of 86 47% 46 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Andre Fili 0 8 of 18 44% 16 of 27 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:49
Bill Algeo 0 10 of 23 43% 74 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Fili 59 of 142 41% 48 of 125 6 of 10 5 of 7 59 of 141 0 of 1 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 81 of 170 47% 38 of 113 17 of 27 26 of 30 80 of 168 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Fili 19 of 56 33% 16 of 51 2 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 55 0 of 1 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 30 of 61 49% 9 of 37 9 of 10 12 of 14 30 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andre Fili 32 of 68 47% 25 of 61 4 of 4 3 of 3 32 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 41 of 86 47% 21 of 59 7 of 13 13 of 14 40 of 84 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Andre Fili 8 of 18 44% 7 of 13 0 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 10 of 23 43% 8 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 2 10 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Algeo as an underdog, citing his pressure, pace, and durability. He notes that Fili is talented but coming off a bad knockout and may be gun-shy. Angelo believes Algeo will push the pace and win a decision. He placed a moneyline bet at +115.

Moneyline bet at +115.
"i'm going the underdog with bill algio i got a money line bet on him at plus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision, taking the dog. He acknowledges that Andre Fili is the better striker and has fought tougher competition, but Brady favors Algeo's high volume and cardio. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an excellent get-up game, so Fili likely won't hold him down. Brady expects Algeo to overwhelm Fili with output and win a close decision. He also mentions that Fili's output is low (3.82 significant strikes per minute) and his accuracy is 36%.

decision
"i'm gonna take bill algae to win by decision but it's going to be super close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Cody agrees, noting Fili's wrestling and clinch work will exploit Algeo's takedown defense. He thinks Fili is smoother on the feet and will win a decision. He also mentions the prize picks line for Fili's significant strikes is 50.5, but he might avoid that due to potential wrestling-heavy game plan.

"i'm not gonna buy into getting flash ko'd against joe anderson burrito i'm gonna keep with andre feely here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Levi picks Bill Algeo at plus 115 odds, placing one unit. He sees this as a coin flip fight and prefers the dog odds. He highlights Algeo's durability, volume, and ability to scramble back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Fili's long UFC career and tendency to have close fights, and thinks Algeo can pull away late with volume. He expects a competitive fight that could go either way.

Bet one unit on Bill Algeo moneyline at +115
"I actually took algiero one unit at plus 115 simply because i i expect this to be a super competitive close fight and in a coin flip fight give me dog odds all day"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Jacob picks Fili, believing he is the more talented and well-rounded fighter. He notes that Algeo is tough but lacks knockout power, so Fili can implement his game plan of bouncing in and out and mixing in takedowns. Jacob acknowledges that Fili has lost fights he should win but thinks this is a perfect matchup for him.

"i think he's a better fighter and i think this is a perfect matchup for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Andre Fili

This is a 50-50 fight but Fili has more tools, mixing striking with takedowns. Algeo has good BJJ defensively but his takedown defense is a weakness. Fili is fighting with his back against the wall and should put together a full MMA game. Algeo's flashy striking can be dangerous but Fili's veteran experience and wrestling should edge him a decision.

"I think filio showcased a much better overall game and I think he wins this fight without too much issues"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Paul thinks Fili's wrestling advantage will be key, as Algeo has poor takedown defense. He notes Fili looked great against Pineda before the no-contest and that the flash KO loss to Brito is overblown. Paul expects Fili to mix in takedowns and win a decision.

"andre feely is going to be able to mix in his wrestling get on top he's a little bit stronger in the clinch and i think that's going to help him rack up some points"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Andre Fili

The MMA Guru picks Andre Fili by decision. He notes Bill Algeo is on short notice and has a child due soon, which may affect his cardio. He thinks Algeo struggles against well-rounded, durable fighters who can go the distance, like Ricardo Ramos and Ricardo Lamas. He believes Fili has great cardio and won't have to worry about power since Algeo has no power. He expects Fili to win a decision, and advises betting on Fili if he becomes an underdog.

if you're betting i'd say al joe might end up the favorite... wait until the fight day put some money on philly if he goes into an underdog
"i think i'm going to go with andre feeling decision win"
WIN vs Herbert Burns
TKO (retirement) R2 1:50 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 28 of 36 77% 81 of 104 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:26
Herbert Burns 0 10 of 12 83% 18 of 25 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 24 of 30 80% 65 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Herbert Burns 0 10 of 12 83% 18 of 25 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:32
2 Bill Algeo 0 4 of 6 66% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Herbert Burns 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 28 of 36 77% 21 of 28 6 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 24 of 30
Herbert Burns 10 of 12 83% 6 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 24 of 30 80% 19 of 25 4 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 21 of 26
Herbert Burns 10 of 12 83% 6 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 8
2 Bill Algeo 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4
Herbert Burns 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Bill Algeo confidently, citing Algeo's pressure, wrestling defense, and BJJ black belt to neutralize Burns' grappling. He notes Burns' two-year layoff and Algeo's impressive win over Joe Anderson Brito. He has a moneyline bet on Algeo at -160.

moneyline bet at -160
"algio's the pick i'm glad the ufc was able to keep these guys on the card and i do have a money line bet on bill algio and i got that at minus 160."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an elite get-up game and a black belt in BJJ, making him hard to hold down. He thinks Burns's cardio will fade after the first round, allowing Algeo to take over on the feet. He mentions a late finish is possible if Burns gasses.

"i'm going to go with bill algier to win by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody picks Algeo but dislikes the -205 price. He argues that Burns has a terrible gas tank and will fade after the first round, while Algeo has high output and good submission defense. He expects Algeo to survive early takedowns and then overwhelm Burns in later rounds.

Herbert Burns over 1.5 takedowns
"bill jo's a minus 205 price tag we're going to pick them but we don't like it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi does not make a clear pick, viewing it as a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Algeo's takedown defense issues and Burns's submission threat, but also Burns's cardio and weight cut concerns. He sees Algeo winning the later rounds if he survives, but the -200 price on Algeo is too high for his liking.

dog-or-pass; not laying the chalk
"i definitely think algio wins the third round i definitely think herbert wins the first round possibly gets a finish who's going to win that second round so i see this as a dogger pass situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul also picks Algeo but is not confident, noting that Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Burns is physically strong. He believes Burns will take Algeo down early, but Algeo's BJJ black belt and cardio should allow him to survive and win later rounds. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round.

Herbert Burns over 1.5 takedowns
"i'll lean towards bill ljo but yeah i'm not touching the minus 205"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Herbert Burns, noting Burns' tendency to fade after the second round and Algeo's durability. He mentions Algeo's solid chin and ability to take big shots, as seen in fights against Joe Anderson Brito and Spike Carlyle. He predicts Algeo will survive early rounds and dominate later, winning by decision (29-28 or 29-27).

predicts decision win
"i'm going to call her bill aljo decision win 29-28 winning the end of the second round hard and winning the round because of it and then dominating the third round"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 59 of 118 50% 112 of 176 2 of 2 100% 0 1 5:02
Joanderson Brito 0 40 of 104 38% 46 of 110 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 11 of 17 64% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:12
Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 14 14% 5 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:59
2 Bill Algeo 0 19 of 34 55% 38 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:20
Joanderson Brito 0 16 of 38 42% 17 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:25
3 Bill Algeo 0 29 of 67 43% 46 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:30
Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 52 42% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 59 of 118 50% 44 of 90 10 of 22 5 of 6 32 of 85 17 of 23 10 of 10
Joanderson Brito 40 of 104 38% 24 of 83 5 of 9 11 of 12 39 of 97 1 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 11 of 17 64% 6 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1
Joanderson Brito 2 of 14 14% 0 of 10 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 1
2 Bill Algeo 19 of 34 55% 13 of 23 3 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 19 11 of 14 1 of 1
Joanderson Brito 16 of 38 42% 12 of 33 1 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 36 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Bill Algeo 29 of 67 43% 25 of 57 4 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 53 4 of 6 8 of 8
Joanderson Brito 22 of 52 42% 12 of 40 3 of 4 7 of 8 21 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Joanderson Brito

Round 1
Our ESPN main card will kick off with a featherweight scrap pitting Algeo (14-6, 1-2 UFC) against a newcomer nicknamed “Shark” in Portuguese – “Tubarao “ – in Brito (12-2-1, 0-0 UFC). “Senor Perfecto” will aim to lift his UFC record to .500, all while attempting to make Brito’s debut end poorly. The third man in the cage will be referee
Keith Peterson
, who just buried all of the nonsense alive out back. The fighters touch gloves before handling their business, and Brito is fired up as he rushes after Algeo immediately. Algeo fires first, with a big body kick that makes Brito practically run at him to clinch up. The featherweights trade short knees while tied up, and Brito aims for a double-leg takedown. Algeo defends the takedown by hopping up off the ground, but this strips his base away from him and allows Brito to lean forward and plop him down on the mat. The American scrambles back to his feet, and he fights off a mat return while Brito has his hands locked around Algeo’s waist. Like he was setting down a heaping helping of Country Breakfast, the newcomer Brito channels his
Matt Hughes
and picks Algeo all the way in the air and walks him across the cage to slam him down. Algeo hits the ground hard, and Brito quickly circles around to take his back after the emphatic takedown. The Brazilian gets his hooks in and starts hunting for a rear-naked choke, switching from one hand to the other until Algeo explodes and turns around to put Brito’s back to the mat. Brito keeps an open guard as Algeo starts to unload with ground-and-pound, with short elbows and heavy chest pressure to disallow “Tubarao” to thrash and get afloat again. Brito throws his legs up when Algeo stands to find a better angle, and this lets him stand up and try to turn the tables on Algeo. “Senor Perfecto” perfectly sprawls to stifle Brito’s attempt, and when they stand, Brito swings for the fences and misses. Brito is throwing everything into his strikes, and Algeo remains calm and is more content to touch his opponent. Brito loads up and then pushes forward for a takedown entry, and Algeo stands tall, knees his man in the thigh and circles out. Algeo gets off a jab and a few front kicks until the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
The second round opens with a clap of hands, and Brito practically sprints towards Algeo to lay into him. Brito tags him with overhand rights and lefts, but Algeo stands firm and smashes Brito in the face. The Brazilian is hurt, but instead of taking a step back, he races forward to pursue a takedown. Algeo defends the first effort, and he sprawls when Brito goes after a power double. Algeo fakes throwing knees as he has Brito leaned over, so Brito plays the game and keeps one hand on the mat to protect himself from knees. Brito leans back a slight bit, and Algeo drills him with a knee, leading Brito to lean back over again. They stand back up, and Algeo clocks his foe with a left hand and a body kick. Not to be outdone, Brito targets Algeo’s lead leg with four vicious leg kicks that draw reactions each time they land. They both start loading up on bombs, nailing each other with power punches, and Algeo moves and gets rocked with winging hooks from the Brazilian. When he hurts Algeo, Brito strangely decides to go after a double, which allows Algeo to get his wits about him again as he defends the takedown. With Brito’s cardio starting to abandon him, Algeo pushes Brito over and lands in side control, where he begins to drop down elbows and punches. Brito rolls to his knees in an effort to stand, and he does so and leans over to play the game again of putting his hand down to prevent himself from getting kneed in the face. Algeo brilliantly starts stomping on Brito’s hand on the mat, in a maneuver not seen often. This forces Brito to stand, and Algeo follows him with a few knees. Brito gains a full head of steam and clubs Algeo with a few punches, and he bullies his foe into the fence. They continue to turn each other around, until Brito holds tight and Algeo protests. The round ends with Algeo frustrated that Brito was just hanging on to him.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 3
Brito accepts a glove touch as he is aggressively coming towards Algeo, and he lets loose with a long combination of looping punches that are largely inaccurate. Algeo ducks and dodges most of them, and when Brito clinches up with him at the end of the salvo, he lets Brito have it with a pair of shots. Brito gains some space and stuns Algeo with his power strikes, but Algeo keeps moving and does not let Brito to pin him down. Algeo fires back, and he threatens a spin but Brito interrupts him with an attack. Brito hacks at his lead leg as Algeo wobbles back, so he kicks the same spot again. Algeo pats his chest as if to say “bring it on,” and Brito comes at him right as Algeo ducks down for a takedown of his own. “Tubarao” does not succumb to the try, but he does get shoved up against the wall while Algeo works on him with short strikes including a solid shoulder to the jaw. Algeo backs off and just comes up short with an intercepting knee, but he sticks out several punches to break up a Brito barrage. Brito throws wild, power strikes, and he spins with an elbow that Algeo sees coming. When Algeo ducks out of the way, he plays coy and pulls a
Max Holloway
by looking around mockingly. Algeo is in his flow state, slipping the telegraphed punches of the Brazilian and stinging him with straight punches. Brito does not let him off the hook, and he connects ever so often with his bombs, but Algeo is scoring two to every one, at least. As Brito aims to ground the American, Algeo hits a slick throw and puts Brito on the ground hard. Algeo takes Brito’s back in the ensuing scramble, and he starts fishing for a choke before electing to elbow Brito in the side of the head. Algeo maintains a tight body triangle while he elbows his foe on the dome, and he puts his hand up to motion that he’s number one right before time elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)

The Official Result
Bill Algeo
def.
Joanderson Brito
via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito, citing Algeo's poor takedown defense (20 takedowns allowed in last 4 fights). He believes Brito's grappling pressure will be too much and that Algeo will struggle to get back up. He also placed a prop bet on Brito by decision at +185 and a small moneyline bet at -130.

Brito wins by decision prop at +185; small Brito moneyline at -130.
"i do think burrito takes him down rides him out and wins from there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady notes Brito has power and can take down Algeo, but Algeo has an elite get-up game and high volume. He worries about Brito's cardio if he expends energy on takedowns. He picks Brito to win a decision, citing Brito's bigger moments on the feet and ability to mix in takedowns, though he admits it could get sketchy late.

"i'm gonna pick burrito to win i'm gonna say he does have those big moments on the feet"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, despite Algeo being his 'boy'. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Brito's power and strength will be too much. He expects Brito to win via takedowns and top control, possibly a decision. He suggests betting Algeo live if he drops early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i would have to say joannis and burrito hate turning my back on bill ljo"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Levi picks Joanderson Brito, calling him a bright prospect with explosive power and physicality. He notes Brito's top control, ground and pound, and one-punch knockout power. Levi acknowledges Algeo's toughness, length, and cardio, but believes Brito's physicality will be too much and that he can neutralize Algeo's takedown defense. He placed 2.5 units on Brito at -125.

2.5 units at -125
"i put 2.5 units on joe anderson burrito at minus 125 to win uh two units and that's my first bet of the night"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The host leans toward Brito, believing his aggressive forward pressure and heavy strikes will outwork Algeo's passive, outside striking. He notes Algeo's BJJ could be a factor if he takes Brito down, but expects Brito to win a kickboxing match. The host is concerned about Brito's takedown defense but thinks his cardio and output will secure a decision. He compares Brito favorably to Spike Carlyle, who gave Algeo trouble.

"i'm going to go burrito um it's going to be hard to put out algeo so i'm not sure if you'll be able to get the finish here um so i'll take burrito by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his power, strength, and takedown ability. He notes Algeo's takedown defense was exposed by Ricardo Ramos, and expects Brito to replicate that game plan. He mentions Algeo's cardio and scrambling but doubts he can overcome Brito's physicality. He suggests betting Algeo live if he survives early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i'm gonna go with burrito as well just obviously the takedowns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to win by decision. He notes that Brito is younger, more active, and has good wins on the regional scene, including over Diego Lopez. He has good stand-up, grappling, and cardio, having gone five rounds before. Algeo is 32, hasn't fought in 6-7 months, and hasn't shown great cardio. He believes Brito's momentum and well-roundedness will carry him to a dominant 30-27 decision, and that Algeo's only path to victory is if Brito gasses, which he doesn't see happening.

"i'm gonna go with joanna sombrito because he's looked great on the regional scene"
LOSS vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 53 of 102 51% 57 of 106 8 of 13 61% 1 0 3:26
Bill Algeo 0 76 of 170 44% 90 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 17 of 27 62% 19 of 29 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:23
Bill Algeo 0 17 of 41 41% 21 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:21
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 32 56% 20 of 34 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:03
Bill Algeo 0 30 of 63 47% 37 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 43 41% 18 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:00
Bill Algeo 0 29 of 66 43% 32 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 53 of 102 51% 30 of 72 16 of 20 7 of 10 45 of 93 8 of 9 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 76 of 170 44% 35 of 111 25 of 40 16 of 19 71 of 161 4 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 17 of 27 62% 9 of 17 5 of 5 3 of 5 14 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 17 of 41 41% 7 of 23 7 of 12 3 of 6 15 of 35 1 of 4 1 of 2
2 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 5 of 6 2 of 2 15 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 30 of 63 47% 14 of 42 8 of 13 8 of 8 29 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 43 41% 10 of 31 6 of 9 2 of 3 16 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 29 of 66 43% 14 of 46 10 of 15 5 of 5 27 of 64 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.

"i'm going to slightly lean with ramos i think it's going to be very very close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.

Bill Algeo by decision
"i gotta go with billy l jail again i mean again for if they're going to give these guys middling medium level fights he's going to be a cash cow for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.

"i'm gonna lean algo because of the volume and the output but i agree with you that you know we shouldn't be riding off a guy like ramos"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.

"i do like hamosh i do like how much my decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.

"i like i think gal joe just wins based on volume he just lands more like ramos you go through all of his stats and stuff i think the most he's ever landed strikes wise it's like 50"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.

"i'm going to go decision i'm going to go 29-28 decision"
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Lamas

Big Brady is confident in Lamas, citing his elite competition history and superior wrestling and BJJ. He sees Algeo as a step down in competition and expects Lamas to win via ground-and-pound or submission, predicting a second-round finish. He notes Lamas' chin is a concern but Algeo is not a big puncher.

"give me llamas by a second round knockout there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Ricardo Lamas

Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Lamas but is hesitant due to Lamas's age (38) and history of brutal knockouts. He believes Lamas is better everywhere and more experienced, but notes that Algeo is long and tough, and could potentially catch Lamas with a shot. He expects Lamas to win by unanimous decision but warns against the price.

at this price in my opinion i'd be careful
"i'm gonna pick llamas don't get me wrong i think ricardo llamas is gonna defeat bill algio i don't think he's gonna lose to bill algio it could be a guillotine a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ricardo Lamas

Lamas is a veteran with far superior competition and a well-rounded game including kickboxing, wrestling, and jiu-jitsu. Algeo's record is padded with cans and he struggled against wrestlers. Lamas will implement a grappling-heavy game plan and likely submit Algeo in the second round.

"i'm taking ricardo llamas to win this fight by second round submission"