UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 32
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Impa Kasanganay
4.96 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.66 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.75 TD Avg
58.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Maki Pitolo
4.1 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.93 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.24 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Impa Kasanganay - Fight History
LOSS vs Carlston Harris
TKO (punches) R1 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlston Harris 0 6 of 21 28% 6 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Impa Kasanganay 1 24 of 46 52% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlston Harris 0 6 of 21 28% 6 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Impa Kasanganay 1 24 of 46 52% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlston Harris 6 of 21 28% 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Impa Kasanganay 24 of 46 52% 16 of 37 6 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 35 0 of 0 10 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlston Harris 6 of 21 28% 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Impa Kasanganay 24 of 46 52% 16 of 37 6 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 35 0 of 0 10 of 11
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Carlston Harris vs. Impa Kasanganay

Round 1
Drifting up to the welterweight division, two men with impressive submission victories in their last outings come to blows when Kasanganay (9-1, 2-1 UFC) meets Harris (16-4, 1-0 UFC). Neither man has ever been tapped out before, so will tonight be the first? Like referee Mark Smith, we will find out soon. The gloves are not touched, as both men instead take a stride on the edge of the cage. Harris is the first to engage, waltzing forward to lob a wide right hand. Kasanganay dodges and moves away, but Harris is intent on closing the distance with it as he punches his way into a clinch. When Kasanganay is able to escape, Harris just misses with a right hand on the break. “Mocambique” slaps away a punch to score a heavier one of his own, and he fires off a head kick. They both exchange with huge punches, and Harris appears stunned but keeps a stiff upper lip to not let his opponent know he may be hurt. They bite down on their mouthpieces and throw for the fences, with little interest in defense as they both go for a home run shot. Harris backs off with a leg kick, and he blocks a punch with an elbow so that he can swing a left hand. Harris swats at his man with a right hand over the top, and he digs his shin into Kasanganay’s liver. Both men blast the other with massive punches, and it is Harris that gets the better of the exchange as Kasanganay staggers back.
Harris follows him and smashes him in the face with a left hand that sends Kasanganay careening to the ground. Kasanganay rolls over and gets to his knees, but Harris is on him in a hurry as he tries to finish the job. As the Guyanan pounds on his foe with strike after unanswered strike, one or two may land to the back of the head, but enough mount until Smith steps in to call a halt to the fight.
Kasanganay stands back up and protests the stoppage, but there is nothing more he can do as the fight is over.

The Official Result
Carlston Harris def. Impa Kasanganay R1 2:38 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Angelo picks Carlston Harris despite Impa's superior striking because Harris is relentless with takedowns. He notes that Impa has good takedown defense but lacks knockout power to keep Harris off him. He worries that Impa's hesitation and Harris's non-stop wrestling will lead to Harris grinding out a win. He briefly considers switching to Impa but sticks with Harris.

"the pick is gonna have to be carlson harris"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Big Brady picks underdog Carlston Harris, impressed by his relentless wrestling and cardio. He notes Harris attempted over 20 takedowns in a 25-minute fight and has a good fight IQ. He believes Harris will pressure Kasanganay for 15 minutes, and predicts a submission win as Kasanganay is green on the mat. He is surprised Harris is the underdog.

submission win
"i do like carlson harris in this fight quite a bit he's going to be another underdog pick of mine i think he's just going to be relentless"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Cody leans toward Harris as a slight underdog, citing his experience, submission game, and clear identity as a grappler. He notes that Kasanganay is still figuring out his game after being knocked out by Buckley. Cody believes Harris' pressure and grappling will be key.

Harris by submission +300
"i don't mind harris to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi leans with Impa Kasanganay over Carlston Harris. He has scouted Impa for a long time, saw him fight in Atlanta, and praises his mental fortitude and physicality. He notes Harris has a nasty d'arce/anaconda choke but thinks Impa's mindset and athleticism give him the edge in a close fight. He calls it a coin flip but edges Impa.

"i see it being a close fight i'ma lean with impa of your close decision but you know not not sitting here saying that that's a lock by any by any means"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Preet picks Impa Kasanganay because he believes Impa is the more technically sound striker with better range understanding and serviceable grappling to avoid trouble. He notes that Harris has power and a good top game but questions his takedown entries and thinks Impa's defensive grappling is improving. He expects Impa to win by decision and likes the decision prop at +175.

Impa Kasanganay by decision +175
"I still come to the conclusion that I feel like impact is the better fighter right more technically uh sound in terms of his striking has decent uh understanding of range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Harris' experience and that Kasanganay turned into a grappler in his last fight. He thinks Harris' submission threat is real and that the plus money is attractive.

Harris by submission +300 (considering)
"i'm right on the same page with you that's uh that's where i was leaning towards on this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The MMA Guru picks Impa Kasanganay over Carlston Harris, praising Kasanganay's technical soundness and composure. He believes Kasanganay won't be outgrappled and notes his youth and better gym. He predicts a close 29-28 unanimous decision, with Kasanganay winning the later rounds.

"i'm going to go impercosangine here but carlston harris is pretty good"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 0:26 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Impa Kasanganay 0 13 of 29 44% 21 of 41 2 of 6 33% 1 0 2:54
Sasha Palatnikov 0 13 of 24 54% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Impa Kasanganay 0 12 of 27 44% 19 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:36
Sasha Palatnikov 0 12 of 22 54% 30 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
2 Impa Kasanganay 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:18
Sasha Palatnikov 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Impa Kasanganay 13 of 29 44% 11 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 3 10 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 13 of 24 54% 6 of 16 4 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 16 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Impa Kasanganay 12 of 27 44% 10 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 3 9 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 12 of 22 54% 5 of 14 4 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Impa Kasanganay 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay to win by second-round knockout. He notes Kasanganay is moving down to welterweight and has good wrestling and striking, while Palatnikov has poor takedown defense and a questionable chin. Brady believes Kasanganay will take Palatnikov down or land a knockout on the feet, as Palatnikov is very hittable. He is excited to see Kasanganay's return after a devastating knockout loss.

"give me um impugna to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

Cody leans Palatnikov as a dog, citing his chin, cardio, and kicking game. He notes Kasanganay's greenness and rigid striking. He thinks Palatnikov can outvolume him and that the price is worth a shot.

"for plus 240 i'm willing to back guys with good chins and gas tanks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, praising his work ethic and ability to grind opponents down. He notes that Kasanganay recovered quickly from the devastating knockout by Joaquin Buckley, which speaks to his conditioning. Levi thinks Kasanganay will out-strength and out-muscle Sasha Palatnikov, possibly winning 30-26 or by finish. He also mentions that Kasanganay is dropping to welterweight and has a good mentality.

30-26 decision or finish
"I'm going impa probably a 30 26 here maybe even a finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The host believes Kasanganay is the sharper fighter with better technique, and that he will put it on Palatnikov. He notes that Kasanganay is moving down to 170, which should make him one of the bigger guys in the division. The only concern is the devastating knockout loss to Joaquin Buckley, but the host thinks that was a once-in-a-lifetime shot and shouldn't be held against him. He picks Kasanganay to win by decision, though he thinks the -290 line is a bit too high.

Kasanganay by decision
"i think that kasangana is just a little bit more sharper i think he's the better fighter i think he has the sharper technique"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Paul picks Kasanganay, citing his athleticism and move to Sanford MMA. He notes Palatnikov's lack of notable wins and thinks Kasanganay's physicality and improvements will be key. He acknowledges the price is high but believes in the narrative.

"impact is an absolute monster physically"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The MMA Guru picks Impa Kasanganay, despite his recent KO loss to Joaquin Buckley. He notes Kasanganay is a good fighter who was starting to turn the tables before the finish. He thinks Palatnikov slows down after the first round, while Kasanganay maintains a steady pace. He predicts Palatnikov wins the first round but Kasanganay takes over for a 29-28 decision.

"i think impercosan gone is going to wear on sasha plinkov as this fight goes on"
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
KO (spinning back kick) R2 2:03 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 0 28 of 79 35% 31 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Impa Kasanganay 1 29 of 94 30% 29 of 95 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 22 of 55 40% 25 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Impa Kasanganay 0 21 of 61 34% 21 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:03
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 6 of 24 25% 6 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Impa Kasanganay 1 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 28 of 79 35% 17 of 64 5 of 8 6 of 7 28 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Impa Kasanganay 29 of 94 30% 19 of 79 5 of 10 5 of 5 25 of 88 2 of 3 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 22 of 55 40% 14 of 46 4 of 4 4 of 5 22 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Impa Kasanganay 21 of 61 34% 13 of 50 3 of 6 5 of 5 17 of 55 2 of 3 2 of 3
2 Joaquin Buckley 6 of 24 25% 3 of 18 1 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Impa Kasanganay 8 of 33 24% 6 of 29 2 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Impa Kasanganay vs. Joaquin Buckley

Round 1
Making a quick return from his debut at the end of August, Kasanganay (8-0, 1-0 UFC) comes back to face Buckley (10-3, 0-1 UFC) at middleweight. Referee Kevin Sataki is in charge of the cage, and the two men have no interest in touching gloves before getting things started. The two men clash together and swing hard, and Buckley lands a quick left hook and avoids a right head kick. Buckley charges at him like a man possessed, cracking Kasanganay and making the unbeaten fighter back up to the cage and defend himself. Buckley changes levels for a single leg takedown, but Kasanganay stuffs it and gets the two separated. Buckley come at him swinging heavy leather and a head kick that all come up shy, but a follow-up leg kick connects heavily. Kasanganay responds with his own leg kick, and he steps back to avoid the overhand left aimed at his face. Kasanganay cracks Buckley with a left hand as Buckley crashes in, and Buckley takes it full-on without issue and kicks Kasanganay away with a side kick. Buckley loads up on several hooks and dings up Kasanganay, leading into a takedown. On top, Buckley lands a few elbows, but Kasanganay is firing back at him. “Tshilobo” fights back to his knees and then stands up, and Buckley clinches him tight to the fence before a left hand knocks Kasanganay’s mouthpiece out. Kasanganay bears down with a right hand, and then another, but both do not connect. A third cracks Buckley on the chin, but “New Mansa” ignores it. The two come together with opposing flurries, and Buckley lands heavier but does not crack the chin. Kasanganay ducks away when Buckley charges him with a stream of punches, and he lands a heavy leg kick that makes Buckley stumble. Buckley fires up a head kick that glances off the mohawk, and one with his opposite leg collides with the guard and still manages to stagger Kasanganay. The unbeaten fighter strides forward and fakes a spinning strike, and Buckley greets him with a flying knee when Kasanganay turns about. This hard-hitting round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
Both men swing and miss to begin the round, and the first landed strike is a leg kick from Kasanganay. Buckley comes back at him but hits nothing but air, and the two each let loose a pair of punches at one another. Kasanganay ducks a leaping punch and kicks the lead leg again, and Buckley reacts as it hits him. Buckley stings Kasanganay with two hooks, and Kasanganay tries to throw a front kick to the body but it clicks off the cup. There is no pause, and instead Buckley rages forward but gets caught with a counter flying knee. Buckley snaps the head back with a few ferocious hooks, and Kasanganay keeps his composure to circle out and gather himself.
Buckley throws up a head kick and Kasanganay blocks and catches it, and Buckley jumps to spin and blasts Kasanganay in the face with his other foot like a ninja! Kasanganay is out before he hits the ground, falling over in a manner similar to Terry Etim when Edson Barboza – who fights later tonight – starched him with a spinning wheel kick.
Whatever the nominees were for “Knockout of the Year,” they don’t hold a candle to what Buckley just pulled off inside the Octagon. Buckley celebrates as Kasanganay comes to, and this is the kind of knockout that will live on in highlight reels for years to come. Incredible.

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Impa Kasanganay R2 2:03 via KO (Spinning Back Kick)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay, impressed by his composure and power despite limited experience. He notes Buckley slows down and has been knocked out twice, and that Kasanganay has a cardio advantage. He predicts a third round knockout, though he acknowledges Buckley is dangerous early. He considers the line a bit wide but likes Kasanganay.

Kasanganay by third round knockout; inside the distance
"give me empa here to get that finish... i'm going to say he gets his first knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel is very high on Impa Kasanganay, calling him a future top-15 fighter. He praises Kasanganay's physical tools, fight IQ, and rapid improvement. He contrasts that with Joaquin Buckley, whom he calls a 'club fighter' with no plan B if his big bombs don't work. Daniel believes Kasanganay can win standing, in the clinch, or on the ground, and that this is a step down in competition.

Daniel predicts a dominant win for Kasanganay. He also mentions that Buckley was knocked out by Kevin Holland and has a questionable chin.
"I'm very high on input i think one day he could be a future top 15 guy and this is just one step closer up the ladder so i got impa via a very dominant uh win here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Kasanganay is a more efficient and methodical striker with excellent lead hand work and range management. Buckley relies on power and blitzes but fades late. Kasanganay will use his length, counter-striking, and potential grappling to win a decision.

"i like him but here i think he's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The Guru picks Kasanganay, emphasizing Buckley's recent KO loss (twice in one night to Kevin Holland) and quick turnaround. He believes Buckley will be gun-shy and overaggressive, allowing Kasanganay to counter. He predicts Kasanganay will take over in later rounds, winning by unanimous decision or third-round finish.

unanimous decision or third round finish
"impact sanguine is going to win by unanimous decision or third round finish"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Impa Kasanganay 0 71 of 173 41% 72 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 85 of 198 42% 86 of 199 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Impa Kasanganay 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 28 of 69 40% 29 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Impa Kasanganay 0 19 of 50 38% 20 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 70 42% 30 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Impa Kasanganay 0 21 of 57 36% 21 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 59 45% 27 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Impa Kasanganay 71 of 173 41% 54 of 141 13 of 27 4 of 5 71 of 172 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 85 of 198 42% 68 of 164 12 of 29 5 of 5 82 of 190 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Impa Kasanganay 31 of 66 46% 21 of 52 7 of 11 3 of 3 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 28 of 69 40% 20 of 55 5 of 11 3 of 3 27 of 66 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Impa Kasanganay 19 of 50 38% 15 of 42 3 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 70 42% 27 of 61 3 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 66 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Impa Kasanganay 21 of 57 36% 18 of 47 3 of 9 0 of 1 21 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 59 45% 21 of 48 4 of 9 2 of 2 27 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay but is hesitant, acknowledging Pitolo is being disrespected by the odds and should be a slight favorite. He thinks Kasanganay can grind out a decision by using his size, takedowns, and top control, but worries about Pitolo's power and finishing ability in the first round. He notes Kasanganay has only one finish in seven fights.

"give me input a win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, citing his heart and ability to dig deep in tough spots, as seen on Contender Series. He believes Kasanganay's wrestling and clinch work will tire Pitolo, and that Pitolo has a history of making mistakes and getting finished. He expects Kasanganay to win by decision, though the first round could be a sweat due to Pitolo's power.

"i'm gonna say he's got enough to come out here and beat uh maki patolo in his ufc debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Kasanganay is more well-rounded with better striking and can wrestle if needed. Pitolo has power but poor cardio and has been submitted recently. Kasanganay should avoid early bombs and take over later, winning by decision via grappling and clinch work.

"i'm going to take him pakistani to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host picks Maki Pitolo, noting that Impa Kasanganay has not fought good competition and his legs were chewed up in his Contender Series fight. He believes Pitolo's experience and ability to build momentum as the fight goes on will lead to a finish in the third round.

finish in round 3
"i'll go with the experience of mackie pitollo getting a finish in the third round against impact"
Maki Pitolo - Fight History
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
LOSS vs Julian Marquez
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 4:17 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julian Marquez 0 32 of 65 49% 70 of 110 5 of 11 45% 1 1 9:07
Maki Pitolo 0 41 of 100 41% 61 of 129 0 of 1 0% 4 1 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julian Marquez 0 10 of 16 62% 18 of 29 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:24
Maki Pitolo 0 4 of 8 50% 8 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:11
2 Julian Marquez 0 11 of 23 47% 41 of 54 3 of 4 75% 0 1 3:02
Maki Pitolo 0 11 of 40 27% 17 of 49 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:57
3 Julian Marquez 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 27 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:41
Maki Pitolo 0 26 of 52 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julian Marquez 32 of 65 49% 16 of 46 12 of 14 4 of 5 22 of 52 7 of 8 3 of 5
Maki Pitolo 41 of 100 41% 37 of 94 3 of 4 1 of 2 18 of 72 15 of 16 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julian Marquez 10 of 16 62% 5 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 5 of 6 2 of 3
Maki Pitolo 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Julian Marquez 11 of 23 47% 7 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 2
Maki Pitolo 11 of 40 27% 11 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 29 0 of 0 7 of 11
3 Julian Marquez 11 of 26 42% 4 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 26 of 52 50% 22 of 47 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 38 12 of 13 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Julian Marquez

Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by finish, likely knockout in the second round. He thinks Marquez is the better fighter and that Pitolo has looked poor in the UFC, slowing down and being finished multiple times. He notes Marquez has a 100% finish rate and a sneaky ground game. He is concerned about Marquez's long layoff but thinks he will be prepared.

Marquez by finish; under 1.5 rounds; would bet Marquez if line drops to -120 or -110
"I like marcus here i like marcus here i know it's a risk with the long layoff"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Julian Marquez

Daniel Levi leans toward Julian Marquez but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Marquez's size and power, and that he can wear on Pitolo. However, he worries about Marquez's layoff and cardio, and thinks Pitolo could have improved training with Brad Tavares. He believes if Marquez doesn't finish early, Pitolo's volume and hands could take over. He ultimately says the lean is Marquez but it might be a pass.

Marquez by finish if early; Pitolo could win if fight extends; mentions Marquez's layoff and Pitolo's training partners
"the lean is marcus but i think it might be dog or pass actually"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host leans toward Pitolo as an underdog, citing his better technical striking and hand speed. He notes that Marquez has been out for three years and relies on forward pressure and big shots, which Pitolo can counter with movement. He expects Pitolo to outpoint Marquez over three rounds, though he admits some hesitation.

"i feel like the technical aspects of mackie pitolo's game will cause julian marquez some issues"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The Guru picks Maki Pitolo as an underdog, citing Julian Marquez's long layoff and sloppy technique. He believes Pitolo's cardio and chin will allow him to survive Marquez's early power, then wear him down with body shots in the clinch and secure a third-round TKO. He notes that Marquez has never looked impressive and that Pitolo is more technical.

Pitolo by third round TKO
"i'm going to pick mackie patolo as an underdog here... i think he goes out there and just eventually wears on julian marquez and i will actually call a third round tko for mackie patolo"
LOSS vs Impa Kasanganay
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Impa Kasanganay 0 71 of 173 41% 72 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 85 of 198 42% 86 of 199 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Impa Kasanganay 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 28 of 69 40% 29 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Impa Kasanganay 0 19 of 50 38% 20 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 70 42% 30 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Impa Kasanganay 0 21 of 57 36% 21 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 59 45% 27 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Impa Kasanganay 71 of 173 41% 54 of 141 13 of 27 4 of 5 71 of 172 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 85 of 198 42% 68 of 164 12 of 29 5 of 5 82 of 190 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Impa Kasanganay 31 of 66 46% 21 of 52 7 of 11 3 of 3 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 28 of 69 40% 20 of 55 5 of 11 3 of 3 27 of 66 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Impa Kasanganay 19 of 50 38% 15 of 42 3 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 70 42% 27 of 61 3 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 66 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Impa Kasanganay 21 of 57 36% 18 of 47 3 of 9 0 of 1 21 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 59 45% 21 of 48 4 of 9 2 of 2 27 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay but is hesitant, acknowledging Pitolo is being disrespected by the odds and should be a slight favorite. He thinks Kasanganay can grind out a decision by using his size, takedowns, and top control, but worries about Pitolo's power and finishing ability in the first round. He notes Kasanganay has only one finish in seven fights.

"give me input a win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, citing his heart and ability to dig deep in tough spots, as seen on Contender Series. He believes Kasanganay's wrestling and clinch work will tire Pitolo, and that Pitolo has a history of making mistakes and getting finished. He expects Kasanganay to win by decision, though the first round could be a sweat due to Pitolo's power.

"i'm gonna say he's got enough to come out here and beat uh maki patolo in his ufc debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Kasanganay is more well-rounded with better striking and can wrestle if needed. Pitolo has power but poor cardio and has been submitted recently. Kasanganay should avoid early bombs and take over later, winning by decision via grappling and clinch work.

"i'm going to take him pakistani to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host picks Maki Pitolo, noting that Impa Kasanganay has not fought good competition and his legs were chewed up in his Contender Series fight. He believes Pitolo's experience and ability to build momentum as the fight goes on will lead to a finish in the third round.

finish in round 3
"i'll go with the experience of mackie pitollo getting a finish in the third round against impact"
LOSS vs Darren Stewart
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:41 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Stewart 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Maki Pitolo 0 13 of 38 34% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Stewart 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Maki Pitolo 0 13 of 38 34% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Stewart 12 of 31 38% 7 of 22 4 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 13 of 38 34% 9 of 32 2 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Stewart 12 of 31 38% 7 of 22 4 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 13 of 38 34% 9 of 32 2 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Pitolo as an underdog, believing his volume striking and improved cardio at 185 will be key. He notes Stewart's power but thinks Pitolo can outwork him and possibly get a knockout, as Stewart has never been knocked out. He predicts a second-round knockout for Pitolo.

"i think patola's going to win by knockout uh give me round two knockout for maki patolo gonna be the first person to knock out darren stewart there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Daniel Levi picks Maki Pitolo to win, citing that Pitolo is a different fighter at 185 pounds compared to 170, where he had brutal weight cuts. He notes Pitolo's improved durability, volume striking, and wrestling, and believes he is the better fighter across the board. Levi acknowledges the risk of Stewart's knockout power but thinks Pitolo can avoid it and win a decision or finish.

"i'm going with mackie coconut bombs patolo to extend his win streak to two here in the 85 division"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Darren Stewart

Stewart is the better striker with more power and technical kicking. Pitolo may try to grapple, but his takedowns are not as good as Stewart's previous opponents. Stewart's cardio is a question, but Pitolo has also gassed in the past. The fight likely ends inside the distance, but the line at -160 is a bit steep. Stewart by TKO in the second or third round.

fight doesn't go to decision -155
"I'm going to pick Darren Stewart to win this fight by second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Darren Stewart

The MMA Guru picks Darren Stewart because he is too big, strong, and dangerous in the clinch. He notes that Pitolo has dangerous body shots in the clinch, but Stewart has nasty elbows there. He expects Stewart to crack Pitolo with an elbow and win by unanimous decision, possibly a TKO.

"i feel as though darren stewart is going to get the job done too big too strong and too dangerous up close in the clinch"
WIN vs Charles Byrd
TKO (punches) R2 1:10 · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Jun 06, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maki Pitolo 0 11 of 25 44% 16 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:54
Charles Byrd 0 29 of 59 49% 33 of 65 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maki Pitolo 0 5 of 10 50% 10 of 16 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:54
Charles Byrd 0 2 of 10 20% 6 of 16 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:44
2 Maki Pitolo 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Byrd 0 27 of 49 55% 27 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maki Pitolo 11 of 25 44% 10 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 4 of 8
Charles Byrd 29 of 59 49% 20 of 48 9 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 39 5 of 5 8 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maki Pitolo 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8
Charles Byrd 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 2
2 Maki Pitolo 6 of 15 40% 5 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Byrd 27 of 49 55% 18 of 38 9 of 11 0 of 0 14 of 31 5 of 5 8 of 13
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Big Brady picks Charles Byrd by first-round submission, confident that Byrd's superior ground game will overcome Pitolo's one-dimensional striking. He notes Pitolo hits hard but has no ground game, and Byrd should take him down early to avoid getting knocked out. He acknowledges Byrd's age and recent losses but believes he is the better fighter overall.

Byrd by first-round submission
"I think if bird takes him down I think he can get him down pretty easy if he tries for the takedowns and once it's on the ground I think it will be over shortly after"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Daniel is not confident in Byrd, calling him basic and old, but still leans toward him as the more skilled fighter. He notes Pitolo is undefeated at 185 but has been knocked out badly at 170. He says he would not lay -170 on Byrd and that nothing would surprise him, but ultimately picks Byrd by decision.

decision
"I'll go with Charles bird man I think he'll probably have a decision but man I'm not confident in that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Charles Byrd is a grappler who will look to take the fight to the ground, where he has a submission threat. Maki Pitolo has gas tank issues and has been submitted before. If Pitolo doesn't get a knockout in the first round, he tends to fade, and Byrd can exploit that. Byrd's takedowns and top control should wear on Pitolo. Byrd is a solid play at -170.

Charles Byrd by submission in round 2
"i really like charles byrd in this spot i i wasn't expecting to really have a play going into this fight but i really like charles byrd"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

The MMA Guru picks Charles Byrd over Maki Pitolo. He notes that Byrd was doing well against Darren Stewart before getting KO'd, while Pitolo is a glider coming off a loss to Callum Potter. He expects Byrd to use his size advantage to bully Pitolo against the cage and win by decision.

"I'm gonna be going with Charles bird in this fight by decision"
LOSS vs Callan Potter
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Callan Potter 0 48 of 96 50% 127 of 198 3 of 4 75% 0 1 8:25
Maki Pitolo 0 60 of 155 38% 103 of 198 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Callan Potter 0 20 of 38 52% 35 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 26 of 62 41% 45 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:55
2 Callan Potter 0 23 of 48 47% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 73 36% 45 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
3 Callan Potter 0 5 of 10 50% 43 of 57 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:59
Maki Pitolo 0 7 of 20 35% 13 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Callan Potter 48 of 96 50% 44 of 91 2 of 3 2 of 2 41 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 60 of 155 38% 49 of 142 9 of 11 2 of 2 60 of 155 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Callan Potter 20 of 38 52% 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0 19 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 26 of 62 41% 21 of 56 4 of 5 1 of 1 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Callan Potter 23 of 48 47% 19 of 43 2 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 73 36% 24 of 69 3 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Callan Potter 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 7 of 20 35% 4 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay but is hesitant, acknowledging Pitolo is being disrespected by the odds and should be a slight favorite. He thinks Kasanganay can grind out a decision by using his size, takedowns, and top control, but worries about Pitolo's power and finishing ability in the first round. He notes Kasanganay has only one finish in seven fights.

"give me input a win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, citing his heart and ability to dig deep in tough spots, as seen on Contender Series. He believes Kasanganay's wrestling and clinch work will tire Pitolo, and that Pitolo has a history of making mistakes and getting finished. He expects Kasanganay to win by decision, though the first round could be a sweat due to Pitolo's power.

"i'm gonna say he's got enough to come out here and beat uh maki patolo in his ufc debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Kasanganay is more well-rounded with better striking and can wrestle if needed. Pitolo has power but poor cardio and has been submitted recently. Kasanganay should avoid early bombs and take over later, winning by decision via grappling and clinch work.

"i'm going to take him pakistani to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host picks Maki Pitolo, noting that Impa Kasanganay has not fought good competition and his legs were chewed up in his Contender Series fight. He believes Pitolo's experience and ability to build momentum as the fight goes on will lead to a finish in the third round.

finish in round 3
"i'll go with the experience of mackie pitollo getting a finish in the third round against impact"