Career Averages - Augusto Sakai
Career Averages - Blagoy Ivanov
Augusto Sakai - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 53 of 95 | 55% | 107 of 173 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:51 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 29 of 62 | 46% | 77 of 121 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 31 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 29 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 46 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 31 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 30 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 53 of 95 | 55% | 27 of 65 | 18 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 21 of 49 | 30 of 42 | 2 of 4 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 29 of 62 | 46% | 15 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 56 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 19 of 38 | 50% | 10 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 14 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 13 of 20 | 65% | 4 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 16 of 27 | 59% | 6 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 18 of 30 | 60% | 11 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 4 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 12 of 27 | 44% | 9 of 22 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Sakai, believing he can edge out a win by slowing the fight down with clinch work and using his durability. He notes that Mayes' inability to hit the same spot repeatedly makes it unlikely he'll knock Sakai out, and Sakai will do just enough work to pull out a decision. Connor acknowledges it's a close fight and that Sakai's confidence may be shaken, but he trusts Sakai's meat-and-potatoes approach over Mayes' chaos.
Zane picks Mayes despite his lack of structure, because Sakai's confidence has taken a hit after four straight finishes. He notes that Mayes is athletic, durable, and willing to try takedowns, and Sakai is not good on the ground. However, Zane admits he has no good reason to pick Mayes and calls it a coin flip, but he feels Sakai is not feeling himself lately.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 86 of 119 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 6:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 36 of 43 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:09 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 50 of 76 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 8 of 23 | 34% | 1 of 14 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 33 of 49 | 67% | 33 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 7 of 11 | 63% | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 23 of 36 | 63% | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 27 |
Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, expecting him to use a cage-pressing and takedown-heavy game plan similar to his win over Tai Tuivasa. He notes Sakai's takedown defense is solid but has been exploited by Alistair Overeem, and believes Spivac can get takedowns and potentially stop Sakai, who has no movement off his back. He plans to bet on Spivac's moneyline.
Big Brady picks Serghei Spivac, citing his strong wrestling and ground game. He notes that Augusto Sakai is on a three-fight losing streak, all by finish, and has poor defense off his back. Spivac has 60% takedown accuracy and dangerous ground-and-pound and submissions. Brady predicts a second-round finish by TKO or submission, though he acknowledges Sakai's power and the possibility of a knockout if Spivac chooses to strike.
Cody picks Spivac, citing his improvements and youth. He notes that Spivac will likely take Sakai down and maul him, as Sakai has shown poor takedown defense and cardio issues. Cody mentions that Sakai has become gun-shy since the Overeem loss and doesn't let his hands go. He believes Spivac's grappling will be the difference.
Daniel Levi picks Spivac but with low confidence, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Sakai has been knocked out in his last two fights but Spivac lacks one-punch power, so Sakai could be competitive if his chin holds. Levi thinks Spivac's path to victory is via takedowns and ground control, but he's not confident enough to bet the -250 line.
Paul picks Sakai as a dog, noting that Sakai has power and a striking advantage. He mentions that Spivac has been knocked out before and that Sakai can crack. Paul is waiting for weigh-ins to see if Sakai has improved his conditioning. He sees a path for Sakai by knockout, especially if he can keep the fight standing.
The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac by decision 29-28. He calls Augusto Sakai a 'fat slob' who is too timid and has been KO'd three times in a row. He notes Spivac's deceptive size, good grappling (flipping Greg Hardy), and ability to adjust. He expects Sakai to make it difficult but Spivac to win a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 40 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Augusto Sakai | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 44 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 38 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 34 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 | |
| 2 | Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 1 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 21 of 29 | 72% | 6 of 12 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 34 of 52 | 65% | 26 of 43 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 27 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 19 of 26 | 73% | 4 of 9 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 24 of 37 | 64% | 16 of 28 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 19 of 21 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tai Tuivasa | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Meat is on the menu for this lone rumble on the card above 185 pounds, when Sakai (15-3-1, 4-2 UFC) and Tuivasa (12-3, 6-3 UFC) combine for 528 ready pounds inside the Octagon. Both sport 11 wins by knockout hoping to land another as rare members of the 30-and-under heavyweight club. The third man in the cage is referee Mark Smith, who hopes not to get blonked by an errant blow when these two come out swinging. They do clap hands to get things going, and the fight begins with Tuivasa taking the center of the cage plodding forward to walk Sakai down. Neither throw a strike of note for the first 55 seconds, until Sakai lands a single leg kick to counter a jab from the Aussie. Sakai goes back to circling along the outside, and he pops Tuivasa with another low leg kick. Tuivasa eats another as he continues to walk forward without engaging, until he looses a short combination that leads to him clinch up with his opponent. A stalemate ensues as they cling on one another, and Sakai is warned for smacking Tuivasa in the back of the head with a short shot. Tuivasa gets off a few punches to the midsection, and Sakai takes that personally as he turns him around and they both throw leather. Neither land flush, and Tuivasa returns to his constant forward motion. Tuivasa loads up with a huge uppercut, and he wings punches until Sakai ties him up. The Brazilian defends with his back against the wall with punches on Tuivasa’s ear, and he thinks to set up a high standing guillotine but there is nothing there. Sakai winds up with a knee right to the midsection, and he starts ripping them to the body to decent effect. The Aussie complains one might have gone low, and when Smith does not intervene, Tuivasa takes things into his own hands as he elbows Sakai hard on the chin. Tuivasa lets loose with a short barrage of blows, and Sakai slows him down with a few knees to the belly before the round ends in the clinch.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Round 2
The fighters meet in the center of the cage and throw, and it is Tuivasa who lands flush first and in volume. Sakai is hurt after taking a left hook square on the chin, and he falls back to the wall while trying to blink it out.
“Bam Bam” does not let him off the hook, blasting him with huge punches as Sakai is barely on his feet. The Aussie lets it rip as he chains punches together, and one lands right on the button to completely disable Sakai. Sakai falls to the ground, consciousness completely stripped away, and his leg bends back in a scary way reminiscent of Mirko Filipovic against Gabriel Gonzaga.
The walk-off knockout successful, Tuivasa jumps on top of the cage and signals for someone to throw him a shoe and a can of beer. In what has become his trademark, Tuivasa completely wins the crowd over by pouring the full beer in the shoe and pounding it after a dramatic victory. That’s four in a row for the boisterous Aussie, who could not be happier with his performance.
The Official Result
Tai Tuivasa def. Augusto Sakai R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
Big Brady edges with Augusto Sakai in a close fight. He notes that both fighters have similar striking and grappling numbers, but Sakai has better cardio and has gone to decisions against tough opponents. Tuivasa tends to fade after the first round, while Sakai is more comfortable in later rounds. Brady expects Sakai to win a 29-28 decision, but acknowledges Tuivasa's power and early-round finishing ability make this a pick'em.
Daniel Levi picks Tai Tuivasa, noting that Sakai's chin has been checked in his last two losses and his confidence may be shaken. He believes Tuivasa's brawling style and power could get Sakai out early. Levi acknowledges that an extended fight favors Sakai's methodical approach, but he thinks Tuivasa will have big moments that sway the judges. He also mentions Tuivasa's improved training at AKA and lifestyle changes. Levi is not sure it will be a knockout but expects Tuivasa to win.
The MMA Guru picks Tai Tuivasa to win by first-round KO. He highlights Tuivasa's improved cardio and calf kicks, which he believes will wear down Sakai. He criticizes Sakai's chin and notes he is coming off a KO loss. He predicts Tuivasa will land a counter right hand or left hook to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 16 of 29 | 55% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Augusto Sakai | 3 of 14 | 21% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 16 of 29 | 55% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Augusto Sakai | 3 of 14 | 21% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks the line should be flipped and Sakai should be favored. He notes Rozenstruik has the worst striking defense in the heavyweight division (39%) and a negative strike differential, while Sakai has higher volume and a positive differential. He believes Sakai has a good chin and can outwork Rozenstruik over five rounds, possibly getting a late finish. He acknowledges Rozenstruik's power but thinks Sakai is the better fighter.
Cody leans toward Sakai, noting Rozenstruik's tendency to be tentative and take too long to get going. He points out that Sakai has fast hands and good movement, and if he can improve his cardio from the Overeem fight, he could win early rounds. Cody also mentions that Rozenstruik's power is a threat but Sakai is durable. He suggests the over on rounds and that Sakai could win a decision if he doesn't fade.
Daniel favors Sakai because he believes Sakai will be the one moving forward with more volume and a more well-rounded game. He notes that Sakai has a methodical Muay Thai style and good output, while Rozenstruik relies heavily on counter-fighting and one-punch knockout power. Daniel points out that Rozenstruik has been down on scorecards before (e.g., the Overeem fight) and that Sakai is the better round winner. He also mentions that Sakai has a good chin and can take a shot, making it hard for Rozenstruik to land a clean counter. Daniel predicts Sakai will win a decision or possibly by outworking Rozenstruik over five rounds.
Rozenstruik is a one-dimensional knockout artist who is tentative against longer fighters. Sakai has better volume and can use clinch work and takedowns to neutralize Rozenstruik's power. Sakai will win a decision.
Paul picks Sakai as a slight underdog, citing Sakai's fast hands and movement for a heavyweight, and his volume punching. He notes Sakai's cardio failed against Overeem but hopes he has improved. Paul is hesitant because Rozenstruik has power and five-round experience, but he can't get behind Rozenstruik's low volume and slow starts. He suggests the fight starts round three as a prop.
The Guru picks Augusto Sakai, expressing frustration with Rozenstruik's hesitancy and lack of urgency, especially in the Cyril Gane fight. He notes Sakai's good chin, pressure, and ability to mix kicks. He compares their fights against Overeem: Sakai was winning early before gassing, while Rozenstruik was dominated. He predicts Sakai will walk Rozenstruik down, pressure him against the cage, and get a second-round TKO via ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 92 of 114 | 80% | 106 of 131 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:29 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 99 of 173 | 57% | 120 of 196 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 23 of 27 | 85% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 34 of 54 | 62% | 48 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 40 of 48 | 83% | 49 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 92 of 114 | 80% | 53 of 73 | 30 of 31 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 43 | 16 of 16 | 48 of 55 |
| Augusto Sakai | 99 of 173 | 57% | 66 of 130 | 25 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 62 of 127 | 35 of 43 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 11 of 18 | 61% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 22 of 36 | 61% | 13 of 23 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 27 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 13 of 16 | 81% | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 24 of 40 | 60% | 12 of 24 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 23 of 27 | 85% | 10 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 |
| Augusto Sakai | 34 of 54 | 62% | 27 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 37 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 3 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 40 of 48 | 83% | 31 of 38 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 39 |
| Augusto Sakai | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.
The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.
The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 66 of 125 | 52% | 71 of 130 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 78 of 161 | 48% | 89 of 174 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 31 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 39 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 21 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 66 of 125 | 52% | 47 of 105 | 18 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 52 of 107 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 78 of 161 | 48% | 35 of 105 | 28 of 38 | 15 of 18 | 62 of 144 | 14 of 15 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 38 | 31% | 3 of 24 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 30 of 49 | 61% | 20 of 39 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 34 of 61 | 55% | 18 of 40 | 9 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 9 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 21 of 49 | 42% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 32 of 62 | 51% | 14 of 41 | 15 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Augusto Sakai to win a very close decision. He thinks Sakai will land more volume and that Ivanov's grappling game plan is unlikely to materialize since Ivanov hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He notes that both fighters have great chins and have never been finished, so he expects a boring heavyweight fight that goes to the judges. He admits it's a close fight and wouldn't be surprised if Ivanov gets the decision.
Daniel picks Sakai, citing his improvements in diet and conditioning, his muay thai skills, and his ability to pressure and outwork Ivanov. He notes that Ivanov is one-dimensional, only countering with left hands, and that Sakai's volume and durability will be key. He believes Sakai can either knock out Ivanov or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Augusto Sakai to win by first-round TKO. He compares Sakai to Derrick Lewis but with better technique and more fight IQ. He predicts Sakai will push Ivanov against the cage and land knees and elbows in the clinch for a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marcin Tybura | 1 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marcin Tybura | 1 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 15 of 27 | 55% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 15 of 27 | 55% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 75 of 175 | 42% | 82 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 42 of 132 | 31% | 51 of 141 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 25 of 70 | 35% | 26 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 16 of 53 | 30% | 19 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 75 of 175 | 42% | 31 of 126 | 29 of 31 | 15 of 18 | 65 of 164 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 42 of 132 | 31% | 26 of 108 | 8 of 12 | 8 of 12 | 30 of 113 | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 9 of 32 | 28% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 25 of 70 | 35% | 8 of 50 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 17 of 47 | 36% | 12 of 39 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 31 of 58 | 53% | 12 of 39 | 12 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 16 of 53 | 30% | 9 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 38 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Blagoy Ivanov - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 85 of 154 | 55% | 104 of 180 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 44 of 108 | 40% | 44 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 38 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 49 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 85 of 154 | 55% | 52 of 121 | 11 of 11 | 22 of 22 | 74 of 137 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 13 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 44 of 108 | 40% | 38 of 102 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 44 of 108 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 17 of 31 | 54% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 22 of 41 | 53% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 9 of 28 | 32% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 46 of 82 | 56% | 35 of 71 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 40 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 10 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 22 of 51 | 43% | 20 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blagoy Ivanov but with hesitation, contingent on Romanov's weight cut. He notes Romanov's recent poor performances and lack of cardio, while Ivanov has an iron chin and solid takedown defense. He plans to wait for weigh-ins: if Romanov looks in shape, he'll switch to Romanov; if not, he'll bet Ivanov. He mentions Ivanov at +125.
Big Brady picks Blagoy Ivanov to win by third-round finish, but is very hesitant. He notes Romanov has cardio issues and looked terrible at weigh-ins for his last fight, gassing after one minute. Ivanov is extremely durable, has never been knocked out, and has gone to decision in all seven UFC fights. Brady says he needs to see Romanov's weigh-ins to have a stronger opinion, but if Ivanov survives the first round, he should take over and possibly finish late.
Cody is torn on Romanov. He notes Romanov's potential and wrestling, but his poor cardio and questionable heart after the Volkov loss. He thinks if Romanov comes in shape, he can take Ivanov down and win early rounds. However, Ivanov is extremely durable and has never been finished. Cody suggests waiting for weigh-ins and considering live betting.
Daniel picks Ivanov pre-weigh-ins due to Romanov's inconsistency and weight issues. He notes Romanov's drastic weight fluctuation (239 to 264 lbs) and his tendency to quit after failed takedowns. Ivanov is durable, has a 70% takedown defense, and has been competitive in all his losses. However, Daniel reserves the right to change his pick if Romanov weighs in lean (239 lbs). He calls it a 'wait for weigh-ins' situation.
Paul picks Ivanov, citing his durability and proven ability to go 15 minutes. He notes Romanov has never shown he can fight past the second round without gassing. Ivanov has gone the distance with top heavyweights and has good grappling. Paul thinks Romanov's cardio and mental toughness are major question marks, and Ivanov will outlast him.
The Guru picks Alexander Romanov but expresses hesitation due to Romanov's terrible performance against Alexander Volkov, where he gave up after a stuffed takedown. However, he believes Romanov can out-grapple Blagoy Ivanov, who is fat and unathletic, using his signature forearm choke. He uses MMA algebra: Romanov outgrappled Tybura, who outgrappled Ivanov. He notes Ivanov is not adding new wrinkles and is aging.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 40 of 103 | 38% | 61 of 133 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:55 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 34 of 113 | 30% | 34 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 12 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 17 of 57 | 29% | 17 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 22 of 72 | 30% | 22 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 22 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:55 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 40 of 103 | 38% | 12 of 70 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 39 of 102 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 34 of 113 | 30% | 24 of 98 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 112 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 22 of 45 | 48% | 5 of 26 | 10 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 41 | 29% | 8 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 17 of 57 | 29% | 7 of 44 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 22 of 72 | 30% | 16 of 63 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady calls this a messy fight and expects it to go to a greasy decision. He picks the underdog Ivanov because he is more durable and has never been finished, while Tybura has been finished multiple times. He is not confident and advises against betting.
Cody picks Ivanov at plus money, calling it a close heavyweight fight. He believes Ivanov has a slight edge in technical boxing and volume. He notes both fighters are low-volume and durable, expecting a decision. He took Ivanov at +130 and thinks the fight is essentially 50-50, so he takes the underdog.
Connor picks Marcin Tybura, expecting a split decision. He notes that Tybura is more proactive with kicks and combinations, and will likely be the one initiating clinch exchanges. However, he acknowledges Ivanov's durability and defensive wrestling, which could make the fight ugly. Connor is confident it will be a split decision but leans Tybura due to higher output.
Paul picks Tybura, arguing that Ivanov has looked slow and predictable in recent fights. He notes Ivanov's poor cardio and lack of takedown attempts, while Tybura has good cardio and mobility for a heavyweight. He expects Tybura to outwork Ivanov, especially in the later rounds. He also likes the under on Tybura 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
Zane picks Marcin Tybura, agreeing that it will be a split decision. He notes that Tybura has better tools at range and is more likely to control the clinch. However, he warns that Ivanov's power and chin could cause an upset if Tybura gets hurt. Zane sees Tybura's improved composure as a key factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 62 of 128 | 48% | 75 of 142 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 68 of 133 | 51% | 81 of 147 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 25 of 45 | 55% | 25 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 35 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 27 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 21 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 62 of 128 | 48% | 53 of 118 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 54 of 118 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 68 of 133 | 51% | 46 of 107 | 18 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 58 of 115 | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 29 | 41% | 9 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 25 of 45 | 55% | 10 of 27 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 23 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 30 of 54 | 55% | 24 of 48 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 26 of 56 | 46% | 22 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 44 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 20 of 45 | 44% | 20 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 17 of 32 | 53% | 14 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blagoy Ivanov, citing his iron chin and combat sambo background. He believes Ivanov's chin will frustrate de Lima and that if Ivanov gets a takedown, he will have a clear advantage on top. He notes that six of de Lima's seven losses are by submission, providing a clear path.
Big Brady picks Blagoy Ivanov to win by second-round submission. He notes that de Lima is dangerous early with power and leg kicks, but he fades and has poor takedown defense (47%) and submission defense. Ivanov is extremely durable, having eaten shots from heavy hitters and survived a stabbing. Brady thinks de Lima will win the first round but Ivanov will take over in the second, taking de Lima down and submitting him. He compares it to the Struve fight where Struve submitted de Lima after nearly being finished.
Cody picks Blagoy Ivanov, emphasizing his incredible durability (survived stabbing, fought Fedor, Derrick Lewis). He notes that de Lima has poor cardio, weak submission defense, and relies on early power. Cody believes Ivanov can take de Lima's best shots and then take over as de Lima fades. He sees Ivanov's takedown defense and chin as decisive factors.
Daniel Levi picks Blagoy Ivanov by decision, citing his durability and never being finished. He notes de Lima is powerful early but fades and has low volume. He worries about Ivanov's own low output but thinks he can grind out a win. He does not bet the fight.
The host picks Blagoy Ivanov, citing his durability and ability to survive de Lima's early power. He notes Ivanov's chin held up against heavy hitters like Derrick Lewis. He expects Ivanov to weather the first round, then wear on de Lima and finish him later. He likes the round 3 prop at +1000 and decision prop at +185. He plans to bet 1.4-1.5 units on Ivanov moneyline, acknowledging the layoff risk but believing Ivanov is rightly favored and could be even shorter.
Paul picks Blagoy Ivanov, surprised the line is so close. He notes that Ivanov is durable and has never been finished, while de Lima gasses and has poor takedown defense. Paul believes Ivanov's takedown defense and chin will be key, and that de Lima's only path is an early knockout. He expects Ivanov to win by decision or late stoppage.
The MMA Guru picks Blagoy Ivanov, trusting his granite chin and consistency against a higher level of competition. He notes Ivanov went five rounds with JDS and arguably beat Derrick Lewis. He criticizes de Lima's inconsistency and believes Ivanov will grind out a close 29-28 decision by pressuring and winning stand-up exchanges. He dismisses the height difference as not significant.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 66 of 125 | 52% | 71 of 130 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 78 of 161 | 48% | 89 of 174 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 31 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 39 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 21 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 66 of 125 | 52% | 47 of 105 | 18 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 52 of 107 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 78 of 161 | 48% | 35 of 105 | 28 of 38 | 15 of 18 | 62 of 144 | 14 of 15 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 38 | 31% | 3 of 24 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 30 of 49 | 61% | 20 of 39 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 34 of 61 | 55% | 18 of 40 | 9 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 9 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 21 of 49 | 42% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 32 of 62 | 51% | 14 of 41 | 15 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Augusto Sakai to win a very close decision. He thinks Sakai will land more volume and that Ivanov's grappling game plan is unlikely to materialize since Ivanov hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He notes that both fighters have great chins and have never been finished, so he expects a boring heavyweight fight that goes to the judges. He admits it's a close fight and wouldn't be surprised if Ivanov gets the decision.
Daniel picks Sakai, citing his improvements in diet and conditioning, his muay thai skills, and his ability to pressure and outwork Ivanov. He notes that Ivanov is one-dimensional, only countering with left hands, and that Sakai's volume and durability will be key. He believes Sakai can either knock out Ivanov or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Augusto Sakai to win by first-round TKO. He compares Sakai to Derrick Lewis but with better technique and more fight IQ. He predicts Sakai will push Ivanov against the cage and land knees and elbows in the clinch for a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Lewis | 0 | 31 of 68 | 45% | 32 of 69 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 61 of 83 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Lewis | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 23 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Derrick Lewis | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:33 | |
| 3 | Derrick Lewis | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Lewis | 31 of 68 | 45% | 21 of 54 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 27 | 22 of 41 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 20 of 38 | 52% | 12 of 27 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 24 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Lewis | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derrick Lewis | 14 of 29 | 48% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 9 of 16 | 56% | 6 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Derrick Lewis | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 13 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Heavyweights are set to throw down as Lewis (21-7, 1 NC; 12-5 UFC) attempts to become the first fighter to ever knock out the
incredibly durable and fearless
Ivanov (18-2, 1 NC; 2-1 UFC). Attempting to keep a lid on this 522.4-pound potential slugfest is referee Todd Anderson. They touch gloves, and Lewis immediately walks down Ivanov. The Bulgarian keeps his distance, pawing out a right jab to figure out his range, and chants of "USA" rain down from the crowd. Lewis whiffs on a low kick, but Ivanov is unable to capitalize on it as he tries to feint his way in. Lewis stalks down Ivanov and tries to cork a right hand, but instead throws a body kick. Ivanov catches it and pulls Lewis down, where he steps right into side control and looks to set up a crucifix position before yanking on Lewis' arm. Lewis explodes to his feet and throws everything he has into a few punches that catch Ivanov square. Ivanov is hurt, but he shakes it off, so Lewis throws a head kick that makes him fall over. In the clinch, shockingly Lewis shoots in for a takedown, and he hits it. Ivanov stands back up without much effort, while Lewis leans heavy on his opponent. Ivanov pulls into a Thai plum and fires a knee up the middle, and "The Black Beast" eats it without issue. Hanging tight on one another, they occasionally separate to throw a punch or two, and Ivanov tries to throw Lewis over his hip but Lewis stays upright. Lewis swings heavy with right hands, and as Ivanov breaks free, he trades right back. We return to the center of the cage, and seem content on trying to set up that huge overhand shot -- Lewis with his right, and Ivanov with his left. Neither score it, although Ivanov aims at the body once, and the horn sounds. Close round put in by these two to start things off.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lewis
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lewis
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Lewis
Round 2
The second round begins with chants of "Let's go Lewis," but neither man react to it, until Ivanov slams a big left hook directly on Lewis' chin. The Texan wears it well and tries to clinch up, and on the break barely misses with a big uppercut. Lewis lands a decent leg kick, and then leaps in to crack Ivanov with punches. With his back against the fence, Ivanov unloads some bombs and appears to briefly hurt Lewis. "The Black Beast" throws wildly, and takes a moment to rest, so Ivanov takes him down. Right into side control, Ivanov aims to secure a keylock, but Lewis holds a thumbs-up to indicate that he is alright. Like the first round, Lewis bursts out of the position and stands up, and follows that with serious hooks that bloody up Ivanov under both of his eyes. The Bulgarian survives the brunt of the assault and circles away, before they take a break in the center of the cage. Ivanov crashes forward into the clinch and brings up a solid knee before throwing a couple uppercuts. Lewis cracks Ivanov with a huge knee, and Ivanov practically shrugs it off and walks Lewis down. A lead right hand is followed by two lefts from Ivanov, and Lewis stays calm and takes it on the jaw while trying to catch his breath. With seconds left, Ivanov throws Lewis to the ground and pulls for a guillotine. It is not tight, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lewis
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lewis
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Round 3
The final round begins tentatively, with the two touching gloves and taking their time to engage. Finally, Ivanov leads in with a right and then a looping left, but Lewis is out of the way in time. Lewis chambers a right hand and finally sends it Ivanov's direction, but it does not find the target. Ivanov digs to the body with a few punches, so Lewis fires back with a big right that misses as well. The Bulgarian initiates the clinch, and although he lands a knee and a few uppercuts, the pace has waned significantly between these two large men. Ivanov almost trips Lewis to the ground, but Lewis regains his footing and reacts to a faked shot from Ivanov. Lewis swings with all his might in an uppercut that would make a Mortal Kombat player blush, but it merely blows the hair back from those in the front row. Lewis whiffs with a big right, but he lands a knee, and rushes in to take Ivanov down. Ivanov cannot set up a choke, so Lewis pops out and throws a vicious right hand that Ivanov ducks. The Bulgarian briefly considers changing levels to get Lewis down but there is nothing doing, so he instead goes after a few short uppercuts. Lewis tries to fire back with an elbow, but it glances off the side of Ivanov's head. With 15 seconds left, the crowd roars to life as the two men trade wildly. Lewis tags Ivanov with a right hand and then a knee, and this fight comes to a glorious end. The scorecards could be all over the map in this fight, as these rounds have been very close. The scores delivered by our official scorers may not quite reflect how just close this fight played out.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lewis (30-27 Lewis)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lewis (30-27 Lewis)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Lewis (29-28 Lewis)
The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Blagoy Ivanov via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 66 of 146 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 1 | 73 of 123 | 59% | 81 of 131 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 14 of 37 | 37% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 1 | 22 of 34 | 64% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 27 of 62 | 43% | 27 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 30 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 28 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 64 of 144 | 44% | 39 of 114 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 23 | 50 of 126 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 73 of 123 | 59% | 65 of 114 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 62 of 111 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 14 of 37 | 37% | 10 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 22 of 34 | 64% | 20 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 27 of 62 | 43% | 17 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 24 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 30 of 54 | 55% | 27 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 23 of 45 | 51% | 12 of 31 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 17 of 37 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 21 of 35 | 60% | 18 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The first fight of the pay-per-view portion of UFC 238 is a heavyweight bout between Tai Tuivasa and Blagoy Ivanov. The referee is Dan Miragliotta. They touch gloves and the fight is on. Tuivasa with a low kick. He moves forward but Ivanov circles away. Tuivasa clips Ivanov with a straight right. They clinch against the cage. Tuivasa connects on a short elbow in the clinch. He continues to lean on Ivanov against the cage. They break. Ivanov lands a right hook and drops Tuivasa. Ivanov is now looking for the neck of Tuivasa but Tuivasa recovers quickly and clinches up with Ivanov again. Ivanov has the neck of Tuivasa and uses it to turn Tuivasa against the fence. They break. Tuivasa lands a knee to the body. Ivanov with a straight left hand. Ivanov lands a right hook that wobbles Tuivasa, who responds with a nice 1-2 combination. Ivanov lands a straight right. He lands a straight left and backs Tuivasa up once again. The round soon comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Round 2
Round two begins. Ivanov clips Tuivasa with a straight left again. Jab by Ivanov. Tuivasa rocks Ivanov with a straight right. Ivanov is on wobbly legs and could be in serious trouble. Ivanov manages to clinch up and regain his composure. Low kick by Tuivasa. Ivanov lands a straight left. Another straight left by Ivanov. Jab by Ivanov. Tuivasa lands a jab of his own. Ivanov backs Tuivasa against the fence. Tuivasa lands a 1-2 on Ivanov. Jab by Tuivasa. He lands a nasty low kick. Ivanov with a straight left. Both guys are very tired and very slow right now. Ivanov lands a 1-2 of his own. Left straight to the body by Ivanov. Another jab by Ivanov. Tuivasa returns with one of his own. Low kick by Tuivasa. They clinch up. Ivanov is able to drag Tuivasa down to the ground and actually taps Tuivasa out with a guillotine choke but it was after the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov
Round 3
Round three begins. Tuivasa comes out with a jab but Ivanov moves forward and clubs him with a right hook. Tuivasa lands a right hook on Ivanov. They clinch up. Ivanov takes the neck of Tuivasa and drags him to the mat. Tuivasa gets back to his feet but Ivanov continues to lean into him against the cage. They jockey positions against the cage. Ivanov starts to knee Tuivasa in the body. They break. Tuivasa likely needs a finish if he wants to get his hand raised. Tuivasa lands an overhand right and Ivanov returns with a straight left. Another straight left by Ivanov. He lands another left hand, which has been money for him the whole fight. Low kick by Tuivasa. Both guys are absolutely exhausted right now. Jab by Ivanov. The fight comes to a close with both men absolutely exhausted. Terrible fight and you have to question the UFC’s decision to put this on the main card.
Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov (30-27 Ivanov)
Ant Walker scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov (30-27 Ivanov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ivanov (30-27 Ivanov)
The Official Result
Blagoy Ivanov def. Tai Tuivasa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 72 of 178 | 40% | 73 of 179 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 70 of 163 | 42% | 70 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 29 of 75 | 38% | 29 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 24 of 64 | 37% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 33 of 82 | 40% | 33 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 72 of 178 | 40% | 50 of 156 | 19 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 70 of 175 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 70 of 163 | 42% | 47 of 135 | 6 of 10 | 17 of 18 | 69 of 162 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 19 of 39 | 48% | 11 of 31 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 9 of 22 | 40% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 29 of 75 | 38% | 24 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 28 of 59 | 47% | 21 of 48 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 24 of 64 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 33 of 82 | 40% | 22 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 110 of 248 | 44% | 110 of 248 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 51 of 229 | 22% | 51 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 6 of 38 | 15% | 6 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 8 of 45 | 17% | 8 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 15 of 59 | 25% | 15 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 37 of 67 | 55% | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 17 of 61 | 27% | 17 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 110 of 248 | 44% | 66 of 170 | 41 of 75 | 3 of 3 | 110 of 248 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 51 of 229 | 22% | 40 of 213 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 49 of 227 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 8 of 28 | 28% | 2 of 11 | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 5 of 26 | 19% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 26 of 48 | 54% | 16 of 30 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 6 of 38 | 15% | 3 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 19 of 48 | 39% | 16 of 38 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 8 of 45 | 17% | 6 of 40 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 20 of 57 | 35% | 12 of 43 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 15 of 59 | 25% | 13 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 37 of 67 | 55% | 20 of 48 | 16 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 17 of 61 | 27% | 14 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Augusto Sakai to win a very close decision. He thinks Sakai will land more volume and that Ivanov's grappling game plan is unlikely to materialize since Ivanov hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He notes that both fighters have great chins and have never been finished, so he expects a boring heavyweight fight that goes to the judges. He admits it's a close fight and wouldn't be surprised if Ivanov gets the decision.
Daniel picks Sakai, citing his improvements in diet and conditioning, his muay thai skills, and his ability to pressure and outwork Ivanov. He notes that Ivanov is one-dimensional, only countering with left hands, and that Sakai's volume and durability will be key. He believes Sakai can either knock out Ivanov or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Augusto Sakai to win by first-round TKO. He compares Sakai to Derrick Lewis but with better technique and more fight IQ. He predicts Sakai will push Ivanov against the cage and land knees and elbows in the clinch for a finish.
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