UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019 · Catchweight (129 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 43
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jennifer Maia
4.35 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.52 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.42 TD Avg
27.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Roxanne Modafferi
3.35 SLpM
30.0% Str. Acc.
5.7 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.35 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
30.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Jennifer Maia - Fight History
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 41 of 101 40% 60 of 126 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:25
Jennifer Maia 0 24 of 46 52% 64 of 100 2 of 6 33% 1 0 7:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 24 of 58 41% 28 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Viviane Araújo 0 0 of 5 0% 8 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 2 of 2 100% 24 of 35 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:35
3 Viviane Araújo 0 17 of 38 44% 24 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:25
Jennifer Maia 0 8 of 14 57% 26 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 41 of 101 40% 29 of 87 2 of 4 10 of 10 31 of 88 10 of 13 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 24 of 46 52% 15 of 36 4 of 5 5 of 5 22 of 43 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 24 of 58 41% 15 of 48 2 of 3 7 of 7 21 of 54 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 14 of 30 46% 8 of 23 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Viviane Araújo 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Viviane Araújo 17 of 38 44% 14 of 34 0 of 1 3 of 3 10 of 29 7 of 9 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 8 of 14 57% 5 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Angelo is very confident in Jennifer Maia, calling her at -141 a great deal. He thinks she is better everywhere except raw takedowns, and expects her to weather Araújo's early storm, take over striking, and win a decision due to superior cardio. He already placed a unit on her and expects the line to widen.

Already placed 1 unit at -141
"Jennifer mayia at minus 141 is a great deal I think she dominates this fight great deal I already have a unit on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo with little confidence. He likes her striking and wrestling advantage early, but worries about her poor cardio and durability. He expects Araújo to win the first round, Maia the third, and the fight to go to a close decision that could be affected by judges.

"I'm going to take Vivan aruu here with little to no confidence it's hard to have confidence in somebody with no cardio"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Cody picks Araújo, citing her superior speed and technique. He notes that at her best, she is faster and cleaner than Maia, and can mix in takedowns to steal rounds. He acknowledges her past cardio issues but believes she has corrected them in recent fights, pointing to her performances against Andrea Lee and Alexa Grasso. He expects a 15-minute fight and thinks Araújo can win two of three rounds.

"I'll take Viviane Araújo"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The host picks Jennifer Maia, citing her superior experience, cardio, and ability to withstand Araújo's early striking. He expects Maia to take over in the second and third rounds, possibly using takedowns to wear on Araújo. He predicts a decision win for Maia.

"give me Maya here I think she uh again after I close first round she should should start to pull away in the second and third rounds where she should be able to get her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Paul leans towards Maia based on her high volume in recent fights (109 and 145 significant strikes). He acknowledges Araújo's takedown threat but notes that judges now require control time and damage from top position. He expects a close decision and thinks Maia's volume will edge it. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds at -450 as a potential play.

Over 2.5 rounds at -450
"I'll lean towards Jennifer Maia just based on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Viviane Araújo. He thinks Maia has better boxing and is scrappier. He notes Araújo is on a two-fight losing streak and didn't look good against Amanda Ribas, while Maia is on a two-fight winning streak, including a win over Casey O'Neill. He expects a decision win for Maia, calling it a coin flip but leaning her way due to momentum.

decision
"I'm going to go with Jennifer Meer over Vivian arajo I think she's got way better boxing"
WIN vs Casey O'Neill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 145 of 349 41% 151 of 355 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:23
Casey O'Neill 0 137 of 264 51% 137 of 264 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 47 of 113 41% 48 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Casey O'Neill 0 43 of 96 44% 43 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 51 of 119 42% 55 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Casey O'Neill 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 47 of 117 40% 48 of 118 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:56
Casey O'Neill 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 145 of 349 41% 123 of 321 11 of 16 11 of 12 124 of 321 21 of 28 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 137 of 264 51% 108 of 226 24 of 32 5 of 6 129 of 254 8 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 47 of 113 41% 37 of 101 4 of 6 6 of 6 43 of 108 4 of 5 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 43 of 96 44% 35 of 85 7 of 9 1 of 2 41 of 93 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 51 of 119 42% 44 of 109 3 of 5 4 of 5 46 of 112 5 of 7 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 47 of 84 55% 36 of 70 8 of 11 3 of 3 45 of 82 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 47 of 117 40% 42 of 111 4 of 5 1 of 1 35 of 101 12 of 16 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 47 of 84 55% 37 of 71 9 of 12 1 of 1 43 of 79 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Angelo picks Casey O'Neill but is not betting. He thinks O'Neill will come forward with volume and wrestling, but her takedown defense was exposed against Roxanne. He notes Jennifer Maia is well-rounded and tough, and could cause problems if she gets takedowns. He expects a close fight.

"I do think Casey O'Neal wins this could be a Casey O'Neill special where she'll come forward tons of volume and then wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Big Brady picks O'Neill, noting Maia refuses to wrestle despite being a black belt. He believes if Maia went for takedowns she would win, but she won't. On the feet, O'Neill has higher output and will win a decision. He is not a big fan of O'Neill but likes her stylistically here.

"I'm gonna take uh Casey O'Neill here to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Cody picks Maia as an underdog, citing the 'dog or pass' strategy in women's MMA. He notes O'Neill is young, green, and pushed too fast, while Maia is a veteran who fought for a title. He thinks Maia's experience and clinch strength could be factors, but acknowledges O'Neill's wrestling and top control are threats. He expects to lose but trusts the long-term underdog strategy.

"I think I'm gonna take Jennifer Maya will I lose this one because I'm taking the underdog now yeah probably but long term Pac-Man strategy has been the most effective strategy I've ever seen"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

Connor picks Maia because she is a tough, durable fighter who is difficult to take down off the cage. He notes that Maia has improved her boxing and aggression, landing left hooks and combinations. O'Neill relies on size and aggression but has poor defense and footwork. Connor thinks Maia's defensive wrestling and low center of gravity will neutralize O'Neill's takedowns. He also mentions that O'Neill's wild style leaves openings that Maia can exploit with straight punches.

Maia opened +135, currently +147; O'Neill opened -155, currently -178
"I just don't think Maya leaves enough open."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Jacob is a big fan of Casey O'Neill and picks her to win a close decision. He thinks her experience against Roxanne prepared her for a similar pressure fighter in Maia. He notes O'Neill has a bad [__] in the octagon and will find a way to win in a close fight. He expects a 29-28 decision.

"I like uh King Casey all day every day in a close fight she's a bad [__] man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

O'Neill is coming back from a devastating knee injury but is young and trains at a high level. Maia is a BJJ black belt who prefers striking, and her experience could be a factor. O'Neill's strength and aggression should allow her to grind out a decision, but there are many question marks. No betting interest at the current line.

"I have no interest in putting money on Casey O'Neal as a you know a moderate favorite in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Paul picks O'Neill but is hesitant. He notes O'Neill's grappling advantage and thinks she can win on volume and takedowns. However, he points out O'Neill didn't look great against Roxanne Modafferi and struggled early against Antonina Shevchenko. He thinks minus 180 is too high and prefers O'Neill over 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks. He says it will be dicey and your butt will be puckered until the final bell.

Casey O'Neill over 2.5 takedowns (PrizePicks)
"I'm gonna take Casey O'Neill but like I minus 180 I don't want to get involved because I think there will be some really really greasy spots"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Casey O'Neill, going against the majority. He notes O'Neill looked suspect against Roxanne Modafferi and gets caught on the feet, while Maia has crisp boxing and a good submission game. Maia has gone the distance with Valentina Shevchenko and given problems to top fighters. He believes Maia is underrated and O'Neill is overhyped as a prospect.

Maia is a big underdog (juicy underdog)
"I'm gonna go with Jennifer Meyer here I think this is pretty 50 50 but I'm leaning in the direction of Jennifer Meyer"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

Zane also picks Maia, noting that O'Neill is a prospect who has beaten lower-level competition. Maia is a gatekeeper who has only lost to title challengers. Zane highlights Maia's improved boxing and her ability to stuff takedowns, especially off the cage. He thinks O'Neill's takedowns are low-drive and will be neutralized. Zane also points out that O'Neill's defensive flaws will be exposed by Maia's steady output. He believes the odds should be reversed and that Maia is the better fighter.

Maia opened +135, currently +147; O'Neill opened -155, currently -178
"Maya is a... she's clearly the gatekeeper in this matchup and a more proven fighter than O'Neill."
WIN vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 109 of 253 43% 117 of 261 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maryna Moroz 0 80 of 272 29% 84 of 276 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 58 51% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 61 21% 13 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 110 37% 41 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 41 of 114 35% 41 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 38 of 85 44% 40 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 97 26% 30 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 109 of 253 43% 84 of 224 14 of 18 11 of 11 101 of 242 8 of 11 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 80 of 272 29% 55 of 237 14 of 23 11 of 12 78 of 269 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 30 of 58 51% 23 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 4 28 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 13 of 61 21% 9 of 52 4 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 41 of 110 37% 34 of 102 4 of 5 3 of 3 41 of 109 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 41 of 114 35% 26 of 96 7 of 10 8 of 8 41 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 38 of 85 44% 27 of 73 7 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 77 6 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 26 of 97 26% 20 of 89 3 of 4 3 of 4 25 of 95 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Manon Fiorot
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manon Fiorot 0 37 of 121 30% 56 of 141 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Jennifer Maia 0 83 of 138 60% 101 of 157 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 68 50% 34 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Manon Fiorot 0 5 of 20 25% 23 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
Jennifer Maia 0 19 of 24 79% 37 of 43 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:12
3 Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 44 36% 17 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 46 65% 30 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manon Fiorot 37 of 121 30% 23 of 103 9 of 13 5 of 5 30 of 111 6 of 9 1 of 1
Jennifer Maia 83 of 138 60% 40 of 91 24 of 28 19 of 19 76 of 131 2 of 2 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manon Fiorot 16 of 57 28% 9 of 48 5 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 53 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 34 of 68 50% 13 of 46 11 of 12 10 of 10 32 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Manon Fiorot 5 of 20 25% 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1
Jennifer Maia 19 of 24 79% 13 of 18 3 of 3 3 of 3 14 of 19 0 of 0 5 of 5
3 Manon Fiorot 16 of 44 36% 9 of 35 4 of 6 3 of 3 13 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 30 of 46 65% 14 of 27 10 of 13 6 of 6 30 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manon Fiorot vs. Jennifer Maia

Round 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.

"i like manafort to come in here throw hands get the job done so mayna ferreau is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.

Manon Fiorot wins by decision
"You gotta go fiora here... I will take man if you were to win I'll take her to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision
"i think that fioro fights the exact same game plan"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

Fiorot by decision, pass on betting due to price
"I think that this is one more on the win column for the hot prospect manon fiore"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.

Fiorot inside the distance
"i think fyro is worth the minus 400 shock in this spot because i think she'll do a good job in terms of keeping this fight standing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision
"i see fioro winning a a very convincing 30-27 decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.

"i'm gonna go with man on fiora over jessica i or jennifer meyer"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 72 of 177 40% 81 of 188 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:34
Jennifer Maia 0 52 of 171 30% 60 of 180 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 16 of 41 39% 24 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Jennifer Maia 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 20 of 51 39% 21 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Jennifer Maia 0 15 of 49 30% 17 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 36 of 85 42% 36 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 23 of 90 25% 24 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 72 of 177 40% 44 of 136 21 of 32 7 of 9 68 of 171 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 52 of 171 30% 31 of 143 5 of 8 16 of 20 48 of 167 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 16 of 41 39% 8 of 32 6 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 14 of 32 43% 7 of 23 1 of 1 6 of 8 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Katlyn Cerminara 20 of 51 39% 10 of 35 8 of 13 2 of 3 17 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 15 of 49 30% 9 of 40 2 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 46 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Katlyn Cerminara 36 of 85 42% 26 of 69 7 of 12 3 of 4 36 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 23 of 90 25% 15 of 80 2 of 3 6 of 7 22 of 89 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Angelo picks Cerminara based on her volume and pace, referencing their first fight where she outstruck Maia even while on her back for half a round. He expects Maia to grapple more but believes Cerminara's takedown defense and striking output will win another decision.

"caitlyn chicago's the pick i think this fight looks very similar to the first fight with a little more emphasis on grappling from maya"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Big Brady expects the fight to play out similarly to their first meeting, with Cerminara using her reach and staying on the outside to outpoint Maia. He criticizes Maia's fight IQ, noting she rarely shoots takedowns despite having good grappling. He thinks Maia could win if she wrestles but does not trust her to do so. He picks Cerminara by decision but is not touching the moneyline due to the close nature of the fight.

"jimmy choo kagan by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Cody picks Chookagian, highlighting her volume, speed, and improved grappling since the first fight. He doubts Maia's ability to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan, noting Maia's takedown success is overblown. He expects Chookagian to win by decision, likely 30-27 or 29-28. He recommends the decision prop at -120.

Chookagian by decision at -120 on DraftKings
"the minus 180 price tag yeah it doesn't look great but by decision which is where this is very likely headed that doesn't look bad to me whatsoever"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Daniel Levi leans toward Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) but is not confident. He notes that Chookagian's volume and movement at distance will likely edge two rounds, but Maia has a path to victory if she implements her grappling earlier. He mentions Maia's top control and that she won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. Levi thinks the line should be closer and could see Maia winning, but ultimately leans Chookagian.

"i would lean chew kegen to edge two rounds but like it's not gonna surprise me one bit if maya comes out here with a better game plan"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Cerminara's stick-and-move style frustrated Maia. He believes Cerminara's range and movement will be too much for Maia, who hasn't shown significant improvement since their last bout. He notes Maia's takedown success in the third round of their first fight but thinks Cerminara can escape similar positions. The host is confident in Cerminara winning a decision, citing her consistent performance against similar opponents.

"i'm going to be going with catelyn chicagan here and i do believe she wins this fight once again via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Paul picks Chookagian, expecting a similar fight to their first where Chookagian's volume and reach advantage win rounds. He notes Maia's path is takedowns, but doubts she can secure them early and often. He mentions Chookagian's improved ground game and Maia's inconsistent wrestling. He sees a decision win for Chookagian.

Chookagian by decision at -120 on DraftKings
"i'll go to chicago and say the exact same thing plays out as we had seen before because i can't really trust maya to go in there and secure takedowns early and often"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) to win by decision, citing her superior stand-up and reach advantage (68-inch reach vs Maia's 64-inch). He notes that Maia had a close fight with Jessica Eye, who is on her way out, while Chookagian has beaten Cynthia Calvillo and Antonina Shevchenko. He trusts Chookagian to keep the fight standing and out-strike Maia at range, and he values her activity and recent grappling improvement. He predicts a unanimous decision (30-27).

"i'm gonna go with caitlyn chukagi in here she's got better stand up than jennifer meyer"
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 98 of 265 36% 102 of 269 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jessica Eye 0 100 of 276 36% 104 of 281 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 97 35% 35 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 34 of 103 33% 34 of 103 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:19
2 Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 85 40% 36 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jessica Eye 0 32 of 89 35% 36 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
3 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 83 36% 31 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 98 of 265 36% 71 of 232 16 of 20 11 of 13 88 of 250 10 of 15 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 100 of 276 36% 56 of 224 24 of 29 20 of 23 98 of 273 0 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 34 of 97 35% 18 of 80 9 of 10 7 of 7 33 of 93 1 of 4 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 34 of 103 33% 21 of 86 13 of 16 0 of 1 32 of 100 0 of 1 2 of 2
2 Jennifer Maia 34 of 85 40% 26 of 74 5 of 7 3 of 4 28 of 78 6 of 7 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 32 of 89 35% 15 of 70 4 of 5 13 of 14 32 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 30 of 83 36% 27 of 78 2 of 3 1 of 2 27 of 79 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 34 of 84 40% 20 of 68 7 of 8 7 of 8 34 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Angelo picks Maia, stating she is better everywhere. He notes Maia has good jiu-jitsu and underrated striking, while Eye is a step behind and struggles when bullied. He expects Maia to close distance, grapple, and win a decision. He suggests a prop bet on unanimous decision for plus odds.

Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision
"jennifer maya is basically better everywhere if you're comparing her to jessica i"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Big Brady picks Jennifer Maia to win by decision, but with low confidence. He notes that Maia should take the fight to the ground, but she has only attempted four takedowns in her entire UFC career. He thinks if she gets one takedown, she can ride out the round. He acknowledges the striking is close and that Eye has more volume. He is concerned about the -200 line and says he would never bet that. He picks Maia based on the assumption she fights smart.

"i will take maya to win but not not too much confidence in that"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Cody picks Maia, noting her improvement and grappling advantage. He thinks Eye has declined and has weight issues. He expects Maia to use takedowns and control to win a decision.

"i would go with jennifer my jennifer maya by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Daniel Levi picks Jennifer Maia. He notes that Maia is in the best spot of her career, coming off a first-round finish of Joanne Calderwood and a win over Roxanne Modafferi, and even won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. He questions whether Maia will be motivated after the title loss. He also notes that Jessica Eye has looked unmotivated in recent losses and is a hot-and-cold fighter. He thinks Maia is stronger but acknowledges Eye is capable of surprising.

"i'ma go with jennifer maya"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Jacob also picks Maia, citing her shoot boxing background and precise hands. He notes Eye is experienced but inconsistent. He is hesitant to put Maia in his lineup due to Eye's potential to surprise, but he leans Maia. He mentions he would wait to see what Dan thinks.

"i like jennifer maya like like i mentioned before she is amaya she does she is very good on the ground"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

I'm taking Jessica Eye at plus money. The line on Maia is too high due to recency bias from her performance against Valentina. Maia is not a takedown artist; she's a striker. Eye has good volume and pressure, as seen in her wins over Viviane Araujo and Catlin Chookagian. I think this fight should be a pick'em, and Eye has value. I expect a close decision, possibly a split, and I'm on Eye.

Eye by decision
"i'm taking the value here i'm taking jessica i plus 165 is too nice of a line to pass up on a fight that should be closer to -115 minus 110 this should be a pick and fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Paul picks Maia, noting Eye's recent poor performances and weight miss. He thinks Maia's grappling and pressure will be key. He expects Maia to win by decision.

"i would think jennifer maya as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

The Guru picks Maia by 30-27 unanimous decision, but calls the fight excruciatingly boring. He expects Eye to try boxing combinations, while Maia will push her against the cage, similar to how Maia did against Valentina Shevchenko. Maia will stall against the cage with knees, body shots, foot stomps, and occasional takedowns, winning every round in a dull affair.

"jennifer meyer gets this one done by excruciatingly [__] boring and atrocious 30-27 unanimous decision"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 62 of 119 52% 249 of 317 5 of 6 83% 0 0 9:34
Jennifer Maia 0 36 of 88 40% 94 of 152 1 of 2 50% 0 0 7:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 4 of 9 44% 47 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
Jennifer Maia 0 1 of 6 16% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 3 of 5 60% 41 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 7 of 9 77% 29 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:33
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 8 of 22 36% 30 of 44 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:32
Jennifer Maia 0 5 of 19 26% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 12 of 22 54% 68 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:15
Jennifer Maia 0 5 of 23 21% 6 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 35 of 61 57% 63 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 18 of 31 58% 28 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 62 of 119 52% 46 of 100 13 of 16 3 of 3 50 of 103 10 of 14 2 of 2
Jennifer Maia 36 of 88 40% 22 of 72 10 of 12 4 of 4 23 of 73 11 of 12 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 4 of 9 44% 3 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jennifer Maia 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 7 of 9 77% 3 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 5 of 5 2 of 3
3 Valentina Shevchenko 8 of 22 36% 6 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 5 of 19 26% 2 of 16 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 12 of 22 54% 10 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 5 of 23 21% 4 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Valentina Shevchenko 35 of 61 57% 25 of 51 9 of 9 1 of 1 29 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 18 of 31 58% 12 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by third-round knockout. He states she is clearly the better fighter and arguably the women's GOAT behind Nunes. He expects her to finish Maia within the first few rounds.

third round knockout
"i see valentina getting it done by knockout within the first couple rounds there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel picks Shevchenko to win by knockout, dismissing any chance of an upset. He notes Maia has been knocked out before and that Shevchenko is a dominant champion. He expects a finish, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.

knockout
"i'll say knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The host picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by second or third round KO. He believes she is superior everywhere and will finish Maia, who he views as a lamb brought to slaughter. He recommends betting Shevchenko inside the distance rather than the moneyline.

Shevchenko inside the distance (expected minus 150 to minus 160); fight doesn't go to decision (minus 210)
"I'm going to say second or third round finish for Chev chenko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by unanimous decision (50-45). He expects a boring fight where Shevchenko outstrikes Maia on the feet and stuffs her takedowns. He criticizes Maia's competition and believes Shevchenko is the queen of a graveyard division.

"i think shivshenko is going to take her five rounds and win it unanimously 50 45"
WIN vs Joanne Wood
Submission (armbar) R1 4:29 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.

"i do like calderwood in this fight quite a bit i think she's a better fighter overall"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Joanne Wood

Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.

decision
"i think joanne's probably gonna win as long as she shows up i feel like she's got so much more output than jennifer maya"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.

"i am gonna go with jojo to win here um -160 again not a bad price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.

"i'll go with uh joanne caldwood i guess there's really nothing to predict this on i just feel as though joanne calderwood's bigger stronger for the division rangier for the division"
Roxanne Modafferi - Fight History
LOSS vs Casey O'Neill
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Casey O'Neill 0 120 of 358 33% 148 of 390 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:06
Roxanne Modafferi 0 229 of 393 58% 230 of 395 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Casey O'Neill 0 44 of 135 32% 44 of 135 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Roxanne Modafferi 0 72 of 130 55% 72 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Casey O'Neill 0 35 of 118 29% 40 of 123 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Roxanne Modafferi 0 86 of 142 60% 86 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Casey O'Neill 0 41 of 105 39% 64 of 132 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
Roxanne Modafferi 0 71 of 121 58% 72 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Casey O'Neill 120 of 358 33% 98 of 330 20 of 25 2 of 3 112 of 347 8 of 11 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 229 of 393 58% 187 of 348 22 of 25 20 of 20 225 of 387 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Casey O'Neill 44 of 135 32% 40 of 129 3 of 4 1 of 2 44 of 135 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 72 of 130 55% 55 of 111 7 of 9 10 of 10 72 of 130 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Casey O'Neill 35 of 118 29% 28 of 109 6 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 117 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 86 of 142 60% 73 of 129 7 of 7 6 of 6 84 of 140 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Casey O'Neill 41 of 105 39% 30 of 92 11 of 13 0 of 0 34 of 95 7 of 10 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 71 of 121 58% 59 of 108 8 of 9 4 of 4 69 of 117 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Angelo is very confident in O'Neill, calling her too good everywhere. He expects a dominant one-sided decision win, noting Modafferi's toughness but lack of athleticism. He mentions a parlay with Ronnie Lawrence and a potential prop bet on O'Neill by decision.

parlay with Ronnie Lawrence at -110, 2 units; Casey O'Neill by decision prop
"i see a dominant one-sided decision win for casey o'neill and my favorite parlay on this card is a casey o'neill and ronnie lawrence parley i already threw two units on that and i got it at -110"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Big Brady acknowledges O'Neill's poor striking defense but believes she can take down Modafferi at will due to Modafferi's 25% takedown defense. He thinks O'Neill will control the fight on the ground and win a decision. He notes Modafferi is retiring and 39 years old, and while she is tough and has good BJJ defense, he doesn't see her winning. Brady picks O'Neill by decision.

O'Neill by decision
"i think o'neil can take down roxy whenever she wants... write out a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Cody agrees, highlighting O'Neill's youth, improving skills, and physical strength. He notes Modafferi's takedown defense is poor and that O'Neill can dictate where the fight goes. He sees this as a passing of the torch.

"this is a passing of the torch so to speak"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Daniel Levi picks Casey O'Neill by decision. He acknowledges Modafferi's toughness and black belt in jiu-jitsu, but notes that O'Neill's pace and grappling pressure will be too much. Levi does not expect a finish because Modafferi has not been finished since 2013. He also mentions that Modafferi's retirement mindset may affect her performance.

"just give me casey o'neill will be a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

O'Neill is the younger, more explosive fighter, but Modafferi is durable and has good grappling. O'Neill has shown vulnerabilities in being taken down and controlled, which is Modafferi's strength. Modafferi hasn't been finished in over a decade. O'Neill should eventually get the TKO in the later rounds, but the odds are too wide. This is a no-play for betting.

O'Neill by TKO in round 2 or 3; no bet advised
"i'm still picking quest here i'm she's going to be my prediction but i would not advise getting trigger happy on parlaying her in every single spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Paul thinks O'Neill's pressure and grappling will be too much for Modafferi. He notes Modafferi has been taken down frequently in recent fights and that O'Neill is strong and relentless. He expects a decision win for O'Neill, possibly a finish.

Casey O'Neill by decision
"i think she's a rifle favorite here with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

The MMA Guru picks Casey O'Neill by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He criticizes Modafferi's striking and chin, and believes O'Neill's hunger and grappling will overwhelm the retiring veteran.

second round ground and pound tko
"i'm going to be going with casey o'neil here"
LOSS vs Taila Santos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 18 of 92 19% 43 of 124 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:02
Roxanne Modafferi 1 55 of 95 57% 118 of 164 5 of 5 100% 0 0 8:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 6 of 24 25% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Roxanne Modafferi 0 18 of 30 60% 35 of 50 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:50
2 Taila Santos 0 4 of 12 33% 14 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:30
Roxanne Modafferi 0 9 of 17 52% 34 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:49
3 Taila Santos 0 8 of 56 14% 10 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Roxanne Modafferi 1 28 of 48 58% 49 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 18 of 92 19% 13 of 85 2 of 3 3 of 4 16 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 55 of 95 57% 38 of 75 8 of 11 9 of 9 40 of 72 8 of 9 7 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 6 of 24 25% 3 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 18 of 30 60% 10 of 21 7 of 8 1 of 1 9 of 20 8 of 9 1 of 1
2 Taila Santos 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 9 of 17 52% 6 of 12 0 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 4
3 Taila Santos 8 of 56 14% 6 of 53 1 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 28 of 48 58% 22 of 42 1 of 1 5 of 5 24 of 39 0 of 0 4 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo picks Santos, highlighting her athleticism, boxing, and fight IQ. He notes she can adjust game plans, as seen in her fight against Molly McCann where she took her down five times. Angelo believes Santos is better everywhere and will cruise to a decision, as Modafferi is tough to finish.

Angelo suggests Santos by decision prop. He also mentions the plus three and a half points bet for Modafferi and wins inside the distance decision no action for Modafferi at +200.
"Taylor Santos is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Big Brady picks Taila Santos to win by dominant decision. He emphasizes that Santos is a completely different fighter from her debut, having dominated Molly McCann and Gillian Robertson. He sees Santos as younger, stronger, and better everywhere, with no clear path to victory for Modafferi. He warns against betting on Modafferi based on Santos' first fight.

"tawa santos is the real deal you know she's somebody to definitely look out for"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Cody leans towards Modafferi as a value play, noting her durability, grit, and history of cashing as an underdog. He acknowledges Santos' strength and crisp striking but questions her cardio and the wide price. He is hesitant due to Modafferi's age and torn meniscus.

"value is value and i think the value is squarely on roxanne at plus 310"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Taila Santos

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos but is hesitant due to her previous performance against Mara Borella where she refused to throw. He notes that Santos should win dominantly but is concerned about her tendency to freeze, especially with fans returning. He respects Roxanne Modafferi's toughness and ability to upset, but believes Santos is the superior fighter. He advises against betting the -400 line.

betting advice: not laying -400
"all that said give me the superior fighter give me tyler santos is just please don't pull a stun here like please perform to the best of your abilities and you'll win this fight period"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Jacob picks Modafferi by submission, following her pattern of alternating wins and losses. He feels this is a fight where Modafferi shouldn't win but will find a way. He notes Santos lacks killer instinct and thinks a weird scramble could lead to a submission.

Jacob says he'll take a small flyer on Modafferi by submission at +1200. He also mentions the plus three and a half points bet.
"I'm gonna put a wild weird bet on rockstein by submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Taila Santos

The host picks Taila Santos to win via decision. He believes Santos is a much better striker with improving takedown defense and get-up ability. He expects Santos to pick Modafferi apart from distance and pass her takedown defense test. He notes Modafferi's durability but thinks Santos is on the ascent while Modafferi is on the decline.

Santos by decision at -130
"i am gonna go with tyler santos and i'll pick her to win this fight via decision hit that minus one thirty i like it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not have a clear pick. He finds Santos' price too high and is wary of Modafferi's injury and age. He considers Modafferi at plus money but is not confident. He will watch weigh-ins before deciding.

"i can't bet taylor at this price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Taila Santos

The MMA Guru picks Taila Santos over Roxanne Modafferi, citing Modafferi's age and lack of improvement. He notes that Santos is young, well-rounded, and has a good ground game, which should prevent Modafferi from laying in half guard. He expects Santos to win a unanimous decision, as Modafferi is tough but not skilled enough. He mentions that Santos' win over Molly McCann looks better now, and that Modafferi has over 40 fights but still looks lost.

"i'm going to go with taylor santos here by unanimous decision over rocks and motor fairing"
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 46 of 184 25% 49 of 193 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:39
Roxanne Modafferi 0 86 of 198 43% 100 of 214 4 of 4 100% 1 0 3:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 12 of 61 19% 12 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Roxanne Modafferi 0 34 of 77 44% 37 of 82 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:27
2 Viviane Araújo 0 21 of 71 29% 23 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Roxanne Modafferi 0 32 of 73 43% 37 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
3 Viviane Araújo 0 13 of 52 25% 14 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Roxanne Modafferi 0 20 of 48 41% 26 of 54 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 46 of 184 25% 40 of 177 2 of 3 4 of 4 45 of 181 1 of 3 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 86 of 198 43% 79 of 187 5 of 8 2 of 3 85 of 192 1 of 2 0 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 12 of 61 19% 10 of 59 1 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 34 of 77 44% 30 of 69 3 of 6 1 of 2 34 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Viviane Araújo 21 of 71 29% 18 of 68 0 of 0 3 of 3 21 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 32 of 73 43% 30 of 71 1 of 1 1 of 1 32 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 1
3 Viviane Araújo 13 of 52 25% 12 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 20 of 48 41% 19 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Big Brady calls this a disaster matchup for Roxanne Modafferi. He praises Viviane Araújo's BJJ black belt and believes she is the better striker. He notes Modafferi's low takedown accuracy and Araújo's 92% takedown defense. He predicts a decision win for Araújo, saying Modafferi's path to victory is unlikely. He warns against betting on Modafferi based on past upsets, calling it chasing.

Araújo by decision
"i think this is an absolute disaster of a matchup for roxanne mona ferry"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Viviane Araújo

The host believes Viviane Araújo's crisp striking and ability to avoid clinch positions will be key against Roxanne Modafferi's grappling. He notes Araújo's improvements in getting out of bad positions and her speed advantage. He predicts a decision win for Araújo, but also sees value in her winning inside the distance at +280.

Viviane Araújo inside the distance at +280
"i'll go with arujo i'll go by a decision but i do think plus 280 for her to win inside the distance is worth a little bit of a stab"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

The MMA Guru picks Viviane Araújo, expressing confusion over Modafferi's success. He criticizes Modafferi's skills and believes Araújo has better grappling and striking. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Araújo.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to go with vivian arawajo getting the job done she's a little bit smaller i think she wins by decision 30 27"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roxanne Modafferi 0 60 of 169 35% 129 of 267 4 of 7 57% 0 0 4:49
Andrea Lee 0 97 of 189 51% 118 of 210 3 of 4 75% 0 2 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roxanne Modafferi 0 12 of 27 44% 54 of 80 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:12
Andrea Lee 0 14 of 33 42% 21 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:20
2 Roxanne Modafferi 0 29 of 83 34% 30 of 90 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:28
Andrea Lee 0 55 of 94 58% 62 of 101 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:13
3 Roxanne Modafferi 0 19 of 59 32% 45 of 97 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:09
Andrea Lee 0 28 of 62 45% 35 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roxanne Modafferi 60 of 169 35% 56 of 162 2 of 5 2 of 2 57 of 165 0 of 1 3 of 3
Andrea Lee 97 of 189 51% 50 of 128 23 of 36 24 of 25 89 of 178 5 of 8 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roxanne Modafferi 12 of 27 44% 11 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Andrea Lee 14 of 33 42% 3 of 20 5 of 6 6 of 7 10 of 28 2 of 3 2 of 2
2 Roxanne Modafferi 29 of 83 34% 28 of 81 0 of 1 1 of 1 29 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 55 of 94 58% 35 of 71 12 of 15 8 of 8 52 of 89 2 of 4 1 of 1
3 Roxanne Modafferi 19 of 59 32% 17 of 55 1 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 28 of 62 45% 12 of 37 6 of 15 10 of 10 27 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Big Brady picks Andrea Lee, stating she is better everywhere and more skilled. He notes that Modafferi's path to victory is takedowns, but Lee has decent ground game and get-up ability. He finds it sketchy due to women's MMA and Lee's 61% takedown defense, but expects Lee to win by decision.

"andrea lee should win this fight she's better everywhere she's way more skilled"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

The host is confident Lee's superior striking and movement will be too much for Modafferi, who is rudimentary on the feet and relies on takedowns. He notes Lee has good jiu-jitsu to defend submissions and expects her to win by decision or possibly a late TKO. He considers Lee one of his strongest leans on the card and worth the -310 price.

Lee by second round TKO; inside the distance prop if value
"I really like her in this spot um you know obviously totally worth the minus 300 this line that she's currently at"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

The MMA Guru picks Andrea Lee, being very critical of Roxanne Modafferi's skills, calling her 'terrible' and saying she doesn't look like she trains MMA. He notes that Lee outstruck Lauren Murphy in her last fight and should have won, while Murphy clearly beat Modafferi. He expects Lee to stuff takedowns and out-strike Modafferi to a unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go with andrea lee getting the job done unanimous decision barely out striking roxanne motor fairy every round"
LOSS vs Lauren Murphy
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 44 of 174 25% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:08
Roxanne Modafferi 0 72 of 158 45% 92 of 178 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 12 of 54 22% 18 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Roxanne Modafferi 0 19 of 48 39% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 10 of 45 22% 20 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:44
Roxanne Modafferi 0 23 of 48 47% 36 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
3 Lauren Murphy 0 22 of 75 29% 33 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Roxanne Modafferi 0 30 of 62 48% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 44 of 174 25% 34 of 152 5 of 15 5 of 7 39 of 163 5 of 11 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 72 of 158 45% 46 of 127 8 of 12 18 of 19 65 of 150 3 of 3 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 12 of 54 22% 9 of 46 1 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 19 of 48 39% 11 of 36 0 of 4 8 of 8 19 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 10 of 45 22% 8 of 37 2 of 7 0 of 1 9 of 41 1 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 23 of 48 47% 13 of 37 5 of 5 5 of 6 18 of 42 3 of 3 2 of 3
3 Lauren Murphy 22 of 75 29% 17 of 69 2 of 3 3 of 3 19 of 71 3 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 30 of 62 48% 22 of 54 3 of 3 5 of 5 28 of 60 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Big Brady favors Lauren Murphy to win by decision, believing she can stuff Roxanne Modafferi's takedowns and out-strike her on the feet. He notes Murphy's strong takedown defense and ability to get back up if taken down. He acknowledges Modafferi's recent wins as an underdog but thinks Murphy is the better striker and will land more shots.

odds: Modafferi minus 120, Murphy plus 100; pick by decision
"I do favor Murphy to win here I think she's going to be able to stuff the takedowns of Roxanne"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy, arguing that Modafferi is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns. He believes Murphy's improved aggression and takedown defense will be key. Levi notes that Murphy looked great against Andrea Lee and should be a slight favorite, not an underdog. He expects a close decision win for Murphy.

"My pick will be Lauren Murphy in this spot as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Modafferi has better grappling and a reach advantage. She was winning against Barber before the injury. Murphy hasn't shown much. Modafferi will win by decision.

"I'm gonna go over rocks and mowed a ferry here the odds are really close and I don't understand why... motor ferry gets it done by decision"
WIN vs Maycee Barber
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roxanne Modafferi 1 19 of 43 44% 112 of 155 1 of 1 100% 0 1 10:32
Maycee Barber 0 16 of 31 51% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 1 3 2:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roxanne Modafferi 0 11 of 22 50% 47 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:45
Maycee Barber 0 5 of 14 35% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:12
2 Roxanne Modafferi 1 5 of 10 50% 41 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:42
Maycee Barber 0 4 of 7 57% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
3 Roxanne Modafferi 0 3 of 11 27% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:05
Maycee Barber 0 7 of 10 70% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roxanne Modafferi 19 of 43 44% 17 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 31 1 of 1 7 of 11
Maycee Barber 16 of 31 51% 15 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 19 0 of 0 7 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roxanne Modafferi 11 of 22 50% 9 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 18 1 of 1 3 of 3
Maycee Barber 5 of 14 35% 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Roxanne Modafferi 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 7
Maycee Barber 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 7
3 Roxanne Modafferi 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1
Maycee Barber 7 of 10 70% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 5
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Daniel picks Maycee Barber to knock out Roxanne Modafferi in the first round. He praises Barber's punching power and her work at Rufus with Duke and GM3. He notes that Modafferi, despite her recent win over Shevchenko, was dominated by Jennifer Maia and is past her prime.

first round knockout
"I think Maisie Barbara is gonna go out there and knock out rocks and modifier in the first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

The host picks Maycee Barber to win but expects a tough fight, noting that Roxanne Modafferi will survive for at least 7.5 minutes. He plans to bet the over 1.5 rounds rather than Barber's moneyline, as he believes Barber wins but the fight goes over.

Over 1.5 rounds bet planned.
"I'm picking Maisie Barbara to win there but I believe the bet is gonna be the over in that fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

The host initially picks Maycee Barber but then switches to Roxanne Modafferi, reasoning that Modafferi is bigger and stronger and will hold Barber against the cage for three rounds. He notes that in female fights, holding against the cage often works, and predicts Barber loses by decision.

decision
"I'm gonna pick Roxanne mo de ferran I think she's gonna hold Maisie Barbara against a cage for free rounds she's the bigger girl she's a stronger girl she's the more experienced Gil"
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 29 of 110 26% 76 of 161 0 of 9 0% 0 0 3:32
Roxanne Modafferi 0 83 of 174 47% 111 of 205 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 6 of 23 26% 20 of 40 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:47
Roxanne Modafferi 0 13 of 35 37% 24 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
2 Jennifer Maia 0 14 of 36 38% 37 of 60 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:10
Roxanne Modafferi 0 32 of 57 56% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:07
3 Jennifer Maia 0 9 of 51 17% 19 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:35
Roxanne Modafferi 0 38 of 82 46% 51 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 29 of 110 26% 25 of 100 1 of 5 3 of 5 28 of 109 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 83 of 174 47% 72 of 158 9 of 14 2 of 2 65 of 150 17 of 20 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 6 of 23 26% 5 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 13 of 35 37% 11 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 14 of 36 38% 12 of 33 0 of 1 2 of 2 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 32 of 57 56% 29 of 54 3 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 47 10 of 10 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 9 of 51 17% 8 of 47 1 of 3 0 of 1 8 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 38 of 82 46% 32 of 71 4 of 9 2 of 2 35 of 74 2 of 4 1 of 4
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roxanne Modafferi 0 33 of 79 41% 105 of 162 5 of 6 83% 0 2 9:00
Antonina Shevchenko 0 64 of 116 55% 87 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roxanne Modafferi 0 11 of 40 27% 30 of 63 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:59
Antonina Shevchenko 0 26 of 46 56% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Roxanne Modafferi 0 14 of 21 66% 44 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:46
Antonina Shevchenko 0 17 of 34 50% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Roxanne Modafferi 0 8 of 18 44% 31 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 2 3:15
Antonina Shevchenko 0 21 of 36 58% 39 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roxanne Modafferi 33 of 79 41% 29 of 73 3 of 5 1 of 1 18 of 60 3 of 4 12 of 15
Antonina Shevchenko 64 of 116 55% 50 of 101 12 of 13 2 of 2 49 of 98 10 of 11 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roxanne Modafferi 11 of 40 27% 8 of 36 2 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 1
Antonina Shevchenko 26 of 46 56% 23 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 2 25 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Roxanne Modafferi 14 of 21 66% 14 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 6
Antonina Shevchenko 17 of 34 50% 15 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 26 3 of 3 3 of 5
3 Roxanne Modafferi 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 8
Antonina Shevchenko 21 of 36 58% 12 of 26 9 of 10 0 of 0 13 of 27 6 of 7 2 of 2