Career Averages - Walt Harris
Career Averages - Aleksei Oleinik
Walt Harris - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 59 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 59 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 23 of 40 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 4 of 10 | 40% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 23 of 40 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 4 of 10 | 40% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks Tybura is the better fighter with more ways to win, including higher output on the feet and a superior ground game. He notes Harris has 100% finish rate by KO but poor cardio and a weak ground game. He believes Tybura can survive the early storm, take Harris down as he tires, and get a late finish. He predicts a third-round TKO for Tybura.
Cody picks Tybura, agreeing with Paul. He notes Tybura's momentum and that Harris is hittable and has cardio issues. Cody expects Tybura to use body kicks and takedowns to wear Harris down. He mentions Harris's power is a threat but Tybura's chin has held up recently. Cody also likes the under 2.5 rounds.
Daniel picks Tybura despite wanting to see Harris win. He notes that Tybura is in the best point of his career, has more ways to win (takedowns, clinch, grinding), and can mix in wrestling to tire Harris out. Daniel acknowledges Harris's first-round knockout power but believes if Harris doesn't finish early, Tybura will take over with his grappling and pressure. He also mentions that Tybura has been hurt in the first round before but has shown resilience. Daniel hopes he is wrong and would love to see Harris have his moment, but objectively he favors Tybura.
Harris is a one-round fighter with poor cardio. Tybura has good body work and grappling. If Tybura survives the first round, he will take over and finish Harris in the second or third.
Paul picks Tybura, noting his recent momentum and wrestling advantage. He expects Tybura to weather Harris's early power, then take over as Harris fades. Paul highlights Tybura's body work and takedowns, similar to the Greg Hardy fight. He acknowledges Harris's one-round KO power but believes Tybura can survive and win.
The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, highlighting Harris's cardio issues shown in losses to Overeem and Volkov. He believes Tybura can survive Harris's early flurries and then take over with grappling as Harris gasses. He predicts Tybura will win by TKO in the second round via ground and pound, noting Tybura has improved defensively after previous KO losses.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 0 | 45 of 73 | 61% | 45 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 16 of 58 | 27% | 16 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 39 of 64 | 60% | 39 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 15 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 45 of 73 | 61% | 32 of 59 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 42 of 69 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 16 of 58 | 27% | 7 of 45 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 39 of 64 | 60% | 27 of 51 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 36 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 15 of 54 | 27% | 6 of 41 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Up to heavyweight, former Bellator champ Volkov (31-8, 5-2 UFC) comes to blows with heavy-handed Harris (13-8, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC). “Drago” posts 20 career knockouts on his ledger, but Harris maintains a 100 percent knockout rate in victory, so this one might not go the distance. Referee Lukasz Bosacki will take the reins on this potential slugfest, but there is a sporting glove touch before they get down to business. Volkov ducks a looping left hand as they both start throwing, and Harris flings a high kick that gets blocked. Volkov walks him down and gets jabbed to the body, and the two heavyweights trade stabbing kicks to the midsection. Harris swings and misses with lethal shots, and Volkov keeps his distance and slaps away a front kick. Harris gets clipped with a straight right as he walks in, and the two clasps hands when trying to find their range. “The Big Ticket” jabs to the body a few times and then throws up another high kick, but Volkov is the one to score with a jab and a left hand that rings Harris’ bell. Harris keeps handfighting and takes a leg kick, but loads up on a big right hand that barely misses. Volkov ducks and moves to return fire, and Harris’ chin holds up. Volkov jab at the body with a kick as he closes the distance, and Harris cracks him with a big right hand. Volkov keeps his composure and walks Harris down, landing strikes and blocking the winging hooks in time. Volkov continues to work front kicks to the body, and he slaps his shin off Harris’ calf. A right hand opens a small cut around Volkov’s right eye, and Harris lets loose a leg kick and a head kick that does not find the target. Volkov stalks him down and evades a left hand, and sees a right hook coming over the top. “Drago” blasts in the body and makes Harris double over, so the Russian charges at him and pours it on to search for a finish. Harris ducks down and tries to slam big hooks in the side of Volkov’s head, attempting to pull off what Scott Smith did to Pete “Drago” Sell with a body shot that led to a knockout. Volkov is wise to it, lets a few bounce off his shoulder, and ends the round with a few more strikes but cannot get the finish he is looking for.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Round 2
The two big men clap hands to start the round, and Harris fakes a takedown to try to get off a big right hand, but the Russian sees it coming and stops it. Harris backs off and changes levels to pursue a takedown, and Volkov stuffs it without issue. Harris sticks out a few jabs, but Volkov greets him with a much cleaner right hand. Volkov pierces the midsection with a kick, and Harris doubles over in pain – the commentary team questions whether the strike was to the groin but it appeared to land square on the liver. Volkov senses that the finish is around the corner, and he rushes in to swarm him and force a stoppage. As “Drago” clubs Harris in the head and side with four or five punches, Bosacki calls a stop to the fight as Harris is no longer intelligently defending himself. This is an important win for Volkov, who bounces back from a tough loss with an impressive knockout win.
The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Walt Harris R2 1:15 via TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
Big Brady is confident in Alexander Volkov, citing his technical striking, range management, and high output. He notes Harris is dangerous early but has low output and suspect cardio. He predicts a third-round knockout, but acknowledges Harris could win with an early KO.
Daniel Levi picks Volkov as a pure pick, citing his disciplined point-fighting style and height/reach advantage. He notes that Volkov should keep the fight on the outside and win a decision, but he is concerned about Volkov coming in 18 pounds heavier than his last fight (265 lbs), which could affect his movement. He also mentions that as a fan he hopes Harris wins, but stylistically Volkov is the safer pick.
The host picks Alexander Volkov confidently, citing his reach, volume, and cardio advantage. He notes that Walt Harris is a one-round fighter with poor takedown defense and that Volkov will pick him apart from distance. He expects a third-round stoppage.
The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov to win by late second or third round TKO. He notes that Volkov is more experienced (31-8 vs 13-8), has good takedown defense (shown against Curtis Blaydes), and will use front kicks to gas out Harris. He compares Harris unfavorably to Derrick Lewis, who struggled to land on Volkov for most of their fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 68 of 85 | 80% | 97 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 48 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 1 | 41 of 52 | 78% | 49 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 68 of 85 | 80% | 58 of 75 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 74 |
| Walt Harris | 25 of 48 | 52% | 19 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 27 of 33 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 28 |
| Walt Harris | 24 of 42 | 57% | 18 of 36 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 41 of 52 | 78% | 37 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 46 |
| Walt Harris | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.
Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.
The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 1 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 |
| Serghei Spivac | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 |
| Serghei Spivac | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 0 | 44 of 93 | 47% | 48 of 97 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 24 of 93 | 25% | 26 of 95 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 13 of 40 | 32% | 14 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Walt Harris | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 4 of 32 | 12% | 4 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 44 of 93 | 47% | 20 of 60 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 16 | 43 of 90 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 24 of 93 | 25% | 13 of 72 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 85 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 15 of 36 | 41% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 13 of 40 | 32% | 8 of 30 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 7 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 7 of 21 | 33% | 2 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Walt Harris | 12 of 29 | 41% | 5 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 4 of 32 | 12% | 3 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 | 29 of 79 | 36% | 30 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 11 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 1 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 29 of 79 | 36% | 19 of 61 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 11 |
| Daniel Spitz | 17 of 42 | 40% | 1 of 17 | 5 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 11 of 32 | 34% | 5 of 21 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Spitz | 7 of 16 | 43% | 0 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 18 of 47 | 38% | 14 of 40 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 11 |
| Daniel Spitz | 10 of 26 | 38% | 1 of 12 | 1 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Godbeer | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Godbeer | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Godbeer | 21 of 38 | 55% | 17 of 31 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Walt Harris | 3 of 15 | 20% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Godbeer | 21 of 38 | 55% | 17 of 31 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Walt Harris | 3 of 15 | 20% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Aleksei Oleinik - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilir Latifi | 0 | 38 of 48 | 79% | 74 of 88 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:29 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 28 of 70 | 40% | 68 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilir Latifi | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 45 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 24 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ilir Latifi | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 19 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 30 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ilir Latifi | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilir Latifi | 38 of 48 | 79% | 32 of 40 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 15 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 28 of 70 | 40% | 9 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 15 | 27 of 66 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilir Latifi | 11 of 14 | 78% | 8 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ilir Latifi | 17 of 21 | 80% | 15 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 17 of 30 | 56% | 5 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 17 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ilir Latifi | 10 of 13 | 76% | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 7 of 28 | 25% | 3 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Ilir Latifi to win, highlighting his power and the favorable matchup. He notes that Oleinik has a compromised chin and that Latifi's big hooks could knock him out. He expects Latifi to either knock out Oleinik early or grind out a decision. He mentions that Latifi has been training at All-Stars in Sweden and looks motivated.
Paul picks Ilir Latifi to win, citing his takedown ability and top control. He notes that Oleinik is unlikely to submit Latifi due to his lack of a neck, and that Latifi's power could lead to a knockout. He expects a slow, grinding fight but believes Latifi's style is a bad matchup for Oleinik. He is not betting due to emotional attachment to both fighters.
The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, despite acknowledging the difficulty of submitting Latifi due to his lack of a neck. He believes Oleinik has the cardio advantage and can outlast Latifi, who hasn't knocked anyone out since 2016. He thinks Oleinik will win a decision by outworking Latifi with volume and grappling. He calls the plus money on Oleinik 'crazy' and bets on him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:44 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 23 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:44 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 23 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 8 of 22 | 36% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 15 of 40 | 37% | 13 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 8 of 22 | 36% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 15 of 40 | 37% | 13 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 |
Angelo picks Aleksei Oleinik despite his age (45). He notes that Oleinik is a submission threat anywhere on the ground, and that Latifi's low-volume wrestling style plays into Oleinik's strengths. He also mentions Latifi's recent illness and doubts about his conditioning.
Big Brady picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission. He notes Vanderaa has terrible takedown defense (20%) and striking defense (43%), and is coming in on short notice. Oleinik has good takedown accuracy and can take Vanderaa down or pull guard, then submit him quickly.
Cody picks Vanderaa, arguing that Oleinik is too old and undersized. He notes Oleinik's cardio fades quickly and that Vanderaa has a 50-pound weight advantage. Cody thinks Vanderaa's volume and durability will overwhelm Oleinik in the later rounds. He expects Vanderaa by TKO, possibly after surviving an early submission attempt.
Levi acknowledges Oleinik's age (turning 45) but notes heavyweights can have resurgences. He does not see UFC-caliber skills in Vanderaa, who has lost to better guys. He thinks Oleinik could get an Ezekiel choke, but is hesitant because of the age factor. He picks Oleinik but advises caution.
I lean Vanderaa because he can keep Oleinik on the outside with his striking and movement, especially in the bigger cage. He's not a big knockout puncher but can use volume and leg kicks. If he can avoid takedowns for 12 minutes, he can cruise to a decision. However, it's a volatile fight and he's on short notice.
Paul picks Oleinik at plus money, believing the old man has one more win. He notes Vanderaa's poor takedown defense, as seen against Romanov and Spivak. Paul thinks Oleinik can get takedowns and find his signature scarf hold or Ezekiel choke. He acknowledges Oleinik's cardio issues but thinks he can finish early. He has already bet Oleinik at +100.
The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, expressing disdain for Jared Vanderaa's physique and performance. He expects Oleinik to get a first-round submission, possibly by arm triangle or rear-naked choke, citing Vanderaa's grappling issues and Oleinik's full camp.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 59 of 121 | 48% | 98 of 162 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 71 of 136 | 52% | 112 of 181 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 25 of 59 | 42% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 3 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 55 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 51 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 59 of 121 | 48% | 33 of 92 | 13 of 16 | 13 of 13 | 52 of 110 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 71 of 136 | 52% | 67 of 132 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 55 of 112 | 4 of 8 | 12 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 25 of 59 | 42% | 11 of 45 | 8 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 23 of 53 | 43% | 21 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 10 of 22 | 45% | 5 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 20 of 32 | 62% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | |
| 3 | Serghei Spivac | 24 of 40 | 60% | 17 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 28 of 51 | 54% | 27 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 9 |
Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, citing his wrestling, ground and pound, and Oleinik's declining chin. He thinks Spivac will control the fight on top and avoid Oleinik's submissions. He bet the over on rounds (1.5) at +135, expecting the fight to last into the second round. He likes the over on strikes for both.
Big Brady picks Spivac due to youth and Oleinik's age (43) and poor cardio. He thinks Spivac should keep the fight standing to avoid Oleinik's submissions and finish him in the third round via TKO. He is not betting due to the high price.
Cody picks Spivac, emphasizing Oleinik's age (43) and decline, while noting Spivac's youth (27) and improved cardio and grappling. He predicts Spivac will win by TKO late in the second round, as Oleinik will struggle with Spivac's jab and clinch, and his cardio will fade.
Daniel Levi sees this as a passing of the torch fight. He notes the 18-year age gap and believes Spivac has shown he can make adjustments and handle adversity, as seen in his wins over Tai Tuivasa and Carlos Felipe. He thinks Spivac can grapple with Oleinik and even beat him at his own game, and that Oleinik's skills are declining. He expects Spivac to win, possibly by ground and pound or knockout.
Jacob picks Serghei Spivac, but worries about Spivac's willingness to grapple with Oleinik. He hopes Spivac keeps it standing and uses his striking to exploit Oleinik's chin. He has Spivac in his lineup at $9,200. He also likes the over on strikes.
The host picks Serghei Spivac by decision, believing he can grind out Oleinik with cage clinching and striking. He notes Spivac's slight striking advantage and that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but Spivac will play it safe. He expects a slow-paced fight and likes the over 1.5 rounds. He mentions Spivac's decision prop at +677 as an attractive line. He is not confident in paying -230 but thinks Spivac wins.
Paul picks Spivac but is hesitant due to his fandom for Oleinik. He notes Oleinik's age and recent poor performances, but acknowledges Spivac's lack of elite speed and power, making this a more favorable matchup for Oleinik than recent fights. Paul passes on betting.
The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Oleinik to try to earn respect on the feet but Spivac will stick a jab in his face. Oleinik will shoot takedowns, but Spivac will stuff them and land elbows. In round two, Oleinik will shoot a bad takedown, Spivac will take mount and land ground and pound for the TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Daukaus | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 34 of 56 | 60% | 34 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Daukaus | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 34 of 56 | 60% | 34 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Daukaus | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 34 of 56 | 60% | 32 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Daukaus | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 34 of 56 | 60% | 32 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Daniel Levi is impressed with Chris Daukaus's hand speed and accuracy, noting his quick knockouts of Parker Porter and Nascimento. He believes Daukaus only needs 20-30 seconds of pocket exchanges to knock out Oleinik, who is a liability standing. Levi acknowledges Oleinik's 45 submission wins but thinks Daukaus has the grappling skills to avoid submissions and keep the fight standing. He expects a first-round knockout and sees Daukaus as a rising heavyweight prospect.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Lewis | 1 | 35 of 42 | 83% | 35 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:39 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 2:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Lewis | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:27 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 2:21 | |
| 2 | Derrick Lewis | 1 | 22 of 23 | 95% | 22 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Lewis | 35 of 42 | 83% | 34 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 35 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Lewis | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Derrick Lewis | 22 of 23 | 95% | 21 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 21 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The headliner of the evening sees a fascinating style matchup between a knockout artist in Lewis (23-7, 1 NC; 14-5 UFC) against the submission wizardry of Oleynik (59-13-1, 8-4 UFC). This five-round heavyweight contest may very well end one of two ways, with Lewis one knockout away from the all-time UFC heavyweight record, while Oleynik could notch his 47th by tapout should he elicit a submission. Referee Herb Dean will be right there to make sure everything is copacetic as it all plays out, and the two large men – Lewis weighs 38 pounds more than his opponent – touch gloves to introduce themselves. Lewis opens with a head kick, and a hard one-two to hurt Oleynik and push him to the fence. Oleynik quickly sets up an Ezekiel choke, but he abandons it to try to gain a better position with his back to the fence. Lewis throws him down to the ground like Tim Boetsch’s hip toss, and he starts slamming the Russian in the head with punches. Oleynik sits up and looks for a leg, so Lewis spins out from on top to pop over to half guard. Oleynik ties him up from his back as he tries to sit up, but Lewis is content to press his full body weight down on his opponent. Oleynik gets back to his knees and ties up Lewis’ leg to land his own single and wind up on top. He gets to side guard with ease, and secures a scarf hold headlock and wrenches on Lewis’ neck. Lewis powers out of the bad spot and starts raining down punches, but Oleynik ties him back up and clings to him like Saran wrap. Oleynik reverses the position and gets back to side control, where he aims for a scarf hold headlock on the opposite side. He lets go to readjust, and Lewis wriggles and turns his head while Oleynik puts everything he has into the choke. Lewis appears unconcerned and rides it out as veins bulge on Oleynik’s forehead while he applies the torque. The Russian recommits to the choke, and Lewis is trapped but not entirely in danger. Oleynik bails on the choke and elects to take side control and set up a keylock. Time expires before he can land it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Round 2
Oleynik reaches with a front kick, and Lewis leaps at him with a flying knee.
A bomb of a right hand takes the legs out from the Russian, and as “The Black Beast” rains down punch after punch from on top, Oleynik turns to his side. Unleashing a barrage of nasty punches. Lewis smells blood and knows the finish is right around the corner. Lewis keeps clubbing Oleynik in the face until Dean has seen enough and stops the fight.
Lewis is now the all-time leader in heavyweight knockouts, scoring his 11th inside the Octagon. Lewis survived adversity and got the Russian out of there to end the night with style points. See you next week, for a much higher stakes heavyweight contest at UFC 252.
The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Alexey Oleynik R2 0:21 via TKO (Punches)
Big Brady picks Oleinik as an underdog, believing he can get the fight to the ground and secure a submission. He notes that Lewis has poor takedown defense and often rests on the ground, which could be dangerous against a submission specialist like Oleinik. However, he acknowledges Lewis's explosive power and ability to pop up from bottom, making this a tough call. He leans Oleinik by submission in the first round.
Daniel Levi picks Derrick Lewis to win by knockout. He notes that Lewis has a tendency to lose the first two rounds but then come back with his signature 'black beast blitz' and knock out his opponent. He also mentions that Oleinik has a 7-10 minute window to get a submission, but if he doesn't, Lewis will likely finish him. Levi acknowledges that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but believes Lewis's power is a different level.
Lewis has freakish power and can knock anyone out, but Oleinik is a dangerous submission artist who can get the fight to the ground. Lewis has shown the ability to get back to his feet, but Oleinik's jiu-jitsu is elite. The line at -265 is too wide; Oleinik offers value. Lewis likely wins by first-round KO, but it's not a bet.
The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission via rear naked choke. He criticizes the oddsmakers for making Lewis such a big favorite, citing Lewis's close fights against Ivanov and Latifi. He believes Oleinik's grappling will be too much for Lewis, who loads up on big shots and leaves himself open for takedowns. He notes that Oleinik has a reach advantage and will transition from position to position, eventually taking Lewis's back.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 94 of 183 | 51% | 149 of 241 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:53 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 0 | 53 of 83 | 63% | 70 of 101 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 3:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 54 of 94 | 57% | 71 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 28 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 26 of 63 | 41% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 29 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 3 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 38 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:26 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 13 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 2:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 94 of 183 | 51% | 79 of 167 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 72 of 149 | 22 of 33 | 0 of 1 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 53 of 83 | 63% | 27 of 52 | 16 of 21 | 10 of 10 | 34 of 60 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 54 of 94 | 57% | 47 of 86 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 39 of 76 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 25 of 37 | 67% | 14 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 26 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Aleksei Oleinik | 26 of 63 | 41% | 21 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 53 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 24 of 38 | 63% | 12 of 23 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Aleksei Oleinik | 14 of 26 | 53% | 11 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
| Fabrício Werdum | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Fabricio Werdum, citing a favorable stylistic matchup due to Werdum's superior submission game and Oleinik's poor ground game. He expects Werdum to take Oleinik down early and finish with ground and pound or submission, likely in the first round. He notes the line at minus 320 is steep but believes it's a good matchup.
Daniel Levi picks Fabricio Werdum, stating he is the better striker and has the ground game to handle Oleinik's submissions. He notes Oleinik is reckless and makes mistakes, and that Werdum's improved striking and Thai clinch will be key. Levi expects Werdum to capitalize on Oleinik's errors and win inside the distance.
Matt picks Werdum but thinks the -300 line is too wide due to Werdum's long layoff and age. He believes Werdum has the advantage on the feet and can finish Oleinik in the second round, but he is hesitant to bet at the current price. He would consider a bet if the line drops to -250.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 7:25 |
| Maurice Greene | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 38 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:13 |
| Maurice Greene | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 26 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 20 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:12 |
| Maurice Greene | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Oleinik | 7 of 22 | 31% | 4 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Maurice Greene | 13 of 29 | 44% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aleksei Oleinik | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Maurice Greene | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Aleksei Oleinik | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Maurice Greene | 10 of 23 | 43% | 9 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Aleksei Oleinik via rear-naked choke finish, but admits he's been going back and forth on this fight. He notes that Oleinik has 40+ submissions and is a total badass, while Greene has power and length but questionable grappling. He says someone is most likely getting finished.
The host picks Maurice Greene to win by TKO, likely in the second round, but expresses low confidence, stating he doesn't trust Greene. He notes Greene's speed and footwork as advantages, but worries about Oleinik's jiu-jitsu and the possibility of both fighters gassing. He sees the fight as risky and is not planning to bet on it.
The host is surprised this fight is on the main card but picks Maurice Greene. He notes Greene's size and difficulty to take down, and Oleinik's age (42) and history of KO losses. He predicts Greene will land a good combo on Oleinik's chin and finish him in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
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