vs
-200 +185
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Drakkar Klose
4.25 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.49 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joaquim Silva
3.43 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.17 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Drakkar Klose
Moneyline
BetWay -200
KO/TKO
BetWay +188
Submission
BetRivers +2400
Decision
FanDuel +210
Joaquim Silva
Moneyline
Caesars +185
KO/TKO
BetRivers +460
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
BetRivers +650
Drakkar Klose - Fight History
WIN vs Edson Barboza
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 71 of 120 59% 73 of 122 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:50
Drakkar Klose 0 53 of 102 51% 147 of 209 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 24 of 36 66% 26 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 29 51% 68 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:33
2 Edson Barboza 0 18 of 38 47% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Drakkar Klose 0 25 of 44 56% 50 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:40
3 Edson Barboza 0 29 of 46 63% 29 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Drakkar Klose 0 13 of 29 44% 29 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 71 of 120 59% 26 of 64 32 of 38 13 of 18 57 of 105 14 of 15 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 53 of 102 51% 35 of 78 6 of 9 12 of 15 43 of 89 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 24 of 36 66% 4 of 11 13 of 17 7 of 8 18 of 30 6 of 6 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 15 of 29 51% 8 of 18 1 of 3 6 of 8 13 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Edson Barboza 18 of 38 47% 7 of 22 10 of 12 1 of 4 14 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 25 of 44 56% 19 of 37 3 of 3 3 of 4 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 29 of 46 63% 15 of 31 9 of 9 5 of 6 25 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 13 of 29 44% 8 of 23 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Angelo acknowledges both fighters are older but notes Barboza's striking, speed, and experience against top competition. He thinks Klose could wrestle but hasn't seen enough to suggest Barboza is washed. He leans Barboza but is not confident enough to bet on him.

"I'm going to lean Eden Barbosa here. I've seen that dude step up time and time and time again against some of the best that have ever done it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Big Brady picks Edson Barboza to win by second-round knockout. He notes Barboza is moving back up to lightweight, which should help his durability. He worries about Barboza's chin but thinks Klose doesn't have much power, with only two knockdowns in the UFC. He believes Barboza is the better striker and will knock out Klose, as Klose's path to victory is to sell out for grappling. He also mentions Klose's questionable durability and poor performance against Silva.

Barboza by KO, round 2
"I think Barbosa is the better striker and I think he knocks out Jakar Close. I think he's going to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Edson Barboza

Connor also picks Barboza, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Klose has the right idea to pressure Barboza but lacks the tools to finish. He thinks Barboza's experience and ability to stand his ground will be key. He also mentions that Barboza has been working to counter pressure his entire career and sometimes wins without solving it.

"Close has the right idea to beat Edson Barboza, but it isn't at all clear that he has the actual tools. Yeah, what's the follow through? You have to decision Edson Barboza with cage grinding. Yeah, that doesn't. He's not …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The host considers Klose one of the most underrated lightweights. He expects Klose to avoid Barboza's early finishing attempts, clinch him against the cage, wear him down, and grind out a decision win on the mat.

"I believe Close is one of the more underrated lightweights on the roster and I think he'll showcase it once again"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The Guru picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision, 29-28. He cannot trust Edson Barboza at this point in his career, citing Barboza's long layoff, injuries, and move back up to lightweight. The Guru notes that Barboza took a lot of damage in his last fight against Lerone Murphy and that Klose will grapple and use his physicality. He believes Klose can execute a 'tepid version' of the recipe to beat Barboza and win a decision, though Barboza may have moments of hurting Klose.

Decision win 29-28; Klose wins by decision
"I'm going to go with Dakar Close getting this one done. Decision win 2928."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Edson Barboza

Zane picks Barboza, noting that Klose is a pure pressure fighter but lacks the follow-through to beat Barboza. He thinks Barboza can meet Klose in the middle and outstrike him, or even if pressured, Barboza still has chances. He references Barboza's fight with Dariush as an example of Barboza winning despite being pushed around. He also notes that Klose is not a high-output pressure fighter and needs to clinch to be effective.

Klose opened -145, now +120; Barboza opened +125, now -140. Zane notes that people don't like Klose.
"I think I'm going to pick Barboza. Me too. It's somewhat like my pick for Jeff Neal. Yeah. That there's a good version of this fight where I would be very confident in Barboza winning. There's a bad version of …"
LOSS vs Joel Alvarez
KO/TKO (flying knee and punches) R1 2:48 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joel Alvarez 0 20 of 24 83% 39 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Drakkar Klose 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joel Alvarez 0 20 of 24 83% 39 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Drakkar Klose 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joel Alvarez 20 of 24 83% 15 of 19 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 16 8 of 8 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 7 of 13 53% 1 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 4 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joel Alvarez 20 of 24 83% 15 of 19 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 16 8 of 8 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 7 of 13 53% 1 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 4 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joel Alvarez vs. Drakkar Klose
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alvarez (-395), Klose (+310)

Round 1
The referee for this lightweight contest is Dan Miragliotta. Klose and Alvarez meet in the center of the cage. Klose lands a heavy leg kick and then goes to the body twice. Alvarez using his length to jab on the outside. Alvarez hurts Klose with a straight right hand. Klose powers through with a takedown and goes straight into side control. Alvarez gets back to guard and starts landing elbows. Alvarez uses the cage to get back up. Klose gets hurt by a 1-2.
Alvarez lands a jumping knee, and Klose is knocked immediately out cold. Alvarez is holding up the body of Klose and landing more punches until the referee steps in.
Wow!

The Official Result
Joel Alvarez def. Drakkar Klose via KO (Knee and Punches); R1, 2:48.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Angelo picks Alvarez despite being a vocal hater, because Alvarez's striking looked fantastic in his last fight and his jiu-jitsu is very good. He notes that Klose is a good wrestler with solid boxing, but Alvarez has more ways to win. However, he strongly believes the odds are too wide (3-to-1 favorite) and that this should be a close fight. He warns that Klose can control where the fight goes and if he has success striking, Alvarez is in trouble because he has no offensive wrestling.

Odds are too wide; should be closer to -140/+120.
"I still strongly believe this is a very close fight on paper there should not be a 3 to1 favorite here but I do think Joel will get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win by second-round submission. He is confident Alvarez is a problem, with 18 submissions and improving striking. He thinks Klose is vulnerable after the Jeremy Stephens push and looked bad against Warlley Alves. He expects Alvarez to hurt Klose on the feet and then snatch a submission when Klose shoots.

"I'll go Joel Alvarez I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Connor also picks Alvarez but is hesitant, noting that Klose is a durable wrestle-boxer who has only lost to Benil Dariush and a split decision to David Teymur. He points out that Alvarez is a dangerous opportunist whose whole game is built to spring traps, but Klose is tough to finish and might be able to control the fight in the clinch. Connor thinks Alvarez's long strikes and submission threats give him the advantage, but it's a risky pick.

"I'll just take him cuz it looks like at the very least he might get the big moments that win rounds. Can't finish close."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Alvarez's aggressiveness should allow him to get a late finish over Klose, specifically in the second or third round. However, Klose's strength of schedule and grinding ability make him worth an underdog consideration given the wide odds.

wins in round 2 or 3; Drakkar Klose underdog consideration
"I believe the aggressiveness of Alvarez will allow him to get a late finish here over dard close but similar to Miles John's earlier on in the card I believe close with his strength of schedule and his grinding ability …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez, calling him 'the truth' in the lightweight division. He praises Alvarez's multi-range ability: striking at range, clinch work, and submissions. He notes that Alvarez is entering his prime at 31, has improved his weight cut, and has a highlight-reel finish over Elves Brener. He contrasts this with Drakkar Klose, whom he considers consistently mid and lacking dynamic ability to separate himself. He predicts a TKO in the second round.

TKO in the second round
"I'm going to go Joel Alvarez and I'm actually GNA say he wins this one by TKO in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Zane picks Alvarez but with hesitation, noting that Klose is a tough, durable fighter who has only lost once clearly in his career. He acknowledges that Alvarez's game is full of holes but is directionally sound, built to draw opponents into traps. He worries that Klose might be able to frustrate Alvarez with clinch work and toughness, but ultimately believes Alvarez's finishing ability and opportunistic style give him the edge.

Alvarez opened at -315, now -429; Klose opened at +263, now +342. Zane says the line seems off and that Klose is a hard man to beat, so the odds shouldn't be that wide.
"I'm gonna pick the finisher. I do think that Alvarez's game is really directionally sound like it is actually one of the better constructed MMA games even if it is not deep."
WIN vs Joaquim Silva
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 1 59 of 93 63% 143 of 179 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 70 of 123 56% 96 of 151 0 of 7 0% 0 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 20 of 30 66% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Joaquim Silva 0 29 of 54 53% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 20 75% 79 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Joaquim Silva 0 17 of 23 73% 35 of 43 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:58
3 Drakkar Klose 1 24 of 43 55% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Joaquim Silva 0 24 of 46 52% 26 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 59 of 93 63% 25 of 53 21 of 27 13 of 13 33 of 63 22 of 26 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 70 of 123 56% 40 of 82 22 of 30 8 of 11 44 of 91 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 20 of 30 66% 6 of 14 7 of 9 7 of 7 15 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 29 of 54 53% 18 of 36 8 of 12 3 of 6 19 of 41 10 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 15 of 20 75% 3 of 6 10 of 12 2 of 2 6 of 11 9 of 9 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 17 of 23 73% 5 of 9 11 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 24 of 43 55% 16 of 33 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 29 8 of 10 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 24 of 46 52% 17 of 37 3 of 5 4 of 4 21 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.

"jakar Clos is a guy that you can trust"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.

"I'm taking close to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.

Klose by KO/TKO in round 3
"Late stoppage close is what I would look at... I think close just breaks them down systematically and then takes them out late."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.

"I'll lean with uh with the underdog with yoim Silva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.

"give me close and close by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.

Klose by decision
"Close late or by decision is how I see it... the volume adds up..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.

by decision
"I'm going to go with him by decision here"
WIN vs Joe Solecki
KO (slam) R1 1:41 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 2 of 2 100% 8 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Joe Solecki 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 2 of 2 100% 8 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Joe Solecki 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Joe Solecki 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Joe Solecki 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joe Solecki

Cody picks Solecki as an underdog. He thinks Solecki's grappling and back-taking ability will be key. He notes Klose's takedown defense issues and age (35) coming off a knee injury. He believes Solecki can win the positional battle and control the fight. He calls it a shoey bet.

"seli screams like a dog with a shot because I think he can win the positional battle he can get those takedowns close has got the knee injury the year-long layoff 35 years old take down defense issues in the …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joe Solecki

Lucrative James picks Joe Solecki, emphasizing that Drakkar Klose consistently gives up his back in fights, which is a bad stylistic matchup against a grappler like Solecki. He believes Solecki will take Klose's back and either submit him or win rounds through control. While Klose may have an edge on the feet, Solecki's grappling upside makes him the favorite.

"it's almost guaranteed that Joe's going to take his back at one point you know which sounds crazy but he's I've just seen it way too many times"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose has a solid wrestling and pressure game, and stylistically he has advantages over Solecki in striking and grappling. However, he is returning from an ACL injury at 35 years old, which raises concerns about his knee recovery. Solecki is a BJJ black belt but has shown limited offense off his back and unimpressive striking. Klose is expected to dictate the pace and win a decision, but confidence is tempered due to the injury.

decision win predicted
"give me close I think close by decision uh and I think we see him come back successfully but I would just be weary in terms of the amount of confidence that you have in him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul already bet Klose at -120. He thinks Klose has significant advantages on the feet and trains with good partners. He is surprised the line is still playable. He notes Klose's only UFC losses are to Beneil Dariush and David Teymur, and he believes Klose should win.

"I like jar close here I'm kind of surprised by this line I bet it like uh three or four day or my one buddy uh Mick reached out and I kind of looked into it and then I ended …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose, noting Klose's technical striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He dismisses Joe Solecki's level of competition and believes Klose does the basics better. He expects a close decision, 29-28, in Klose's favor.

decision 29-28
"I'm going to go Drakkar Klose win... I don't think Joe Solecki is all that good... Drakkar Klose just does the basic stuff better than Joe Solecki."
WIN vs Rafa García
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 61 of 115 53% 111 of 175 2 of 10 20% 0 0 2:05
Rafa García 0 34 of 57 59% 83 of 111 3 of 11 27% 0 0 2:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 19 of 30 63% 33 of 53 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:49
Rafa García 0 13 of 22 59% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
2 Drakkar Klose 0 14 of 29 48% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Rafa García 0 5 of 12 41% 33 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:11
3 Drakkar Klose 0 28 of 56 50% 43 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rafa García 0 16 of 23 69% 29 of 36 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 61 of 115 53% 24 of 75 27 of 29 10 of 11 32 of 83 24 of 25 5 of 7
Rafa García 34 of 57 59% 23 of 45 8 of 8 3 of 4 23 of 44 11 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 19 of 30 63% 7 of 17 9 of 10 3 of 3 9 of 18 7 of 8 3 of 4
Rafa García 13 of 22 59% 9 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 14 of 29 48% 5 of 18 6 of 7 3 of 4 7 of 21 5 of 5 2 of 3
Rafa García 5 of 12 41% 1 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 28 of 56 50% 12 of 40 12 of 12 4 of 4 16 of 44 12 of 12 0 of 0
Rafa García 16 of 23 69% 13 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 16 6 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rafa Garcia vs. Drakkar Klose
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klose (-230), Garcia (+195)

Round 1
Opening up the ABC- and ESPN-aired prelims is what should be a fun lightweight matchup, even if Klose (12-2-1, 6-2 UFC) is now battling late replacement Garcia (13-2, 2-2 UFC). Both fighters prevailed on the same event in April, locking down second-round finishes of Brandon Jenkins and Jesse Ronson, respectively, so the “Matches to Make” choice appeared to be an easy one. They touch ‘em up with referee Jacob Rosales watching on, and Klose claims the center of the cage but is nowhere close to his opponent. Garcia stays on the outer edge of the cage as Klose feints with jabs, and the first strike is actually a stomping kick to the knee from Klose. Klose kicks on the inside and outside of the leg, and Garcia swarms him with an overhand right that bowls him over – not from it actually hitting him hard, but from Garcia’s body tackling him down. Klose gets back up and starts working the calf, until Garcia closes the distance and aims punches to the body. The American greets him with knees until they split up, and Klose fakes a body kick and rips one on the other side before tying Garcia up. Klose effectively uses the calf kick to decent effect, as Garcia powers through it to club Klose in the chops with a left. Klose staggers back and tries to give one back, but Garcia is smooth on the outside as he kicks the knee and nearly buckles it. Klose gives chases, and in an ensuing clinch, they throw short punches one after the other. Klose forces a separation, with his legs appearing to be fully back under him again, and he walks Garcia down and measures a jab. When “Gifted” bites on it, Klose changes levels. Klose is unable to get the first takedown try, but Garcia turns around and gives up his back. This allows Klose to trip him out and plant Garcia on his face for a moment. Garcia powers his way back up, and he grabs the fence to keep himself balanced as Klose attempts a mat return. Klose trips Garcia’s left leg out beneath him again to plant him down, and he starts slugging away on Garcia. “Gifted” checks his face to make sure he is not bleeding, and when he does, Klose sucks his leg out and makes it so Garcia cannot simply power his way back up as easily as before. Garcia rolls for a leglock, and Klose breaks it up before anything can come from it. When they both get to their knees, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klose
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Klose
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klose

Round 2
Klose races out of his corner to start the next round, and he plants a wheel kick upside Garcia’s head before shooting for a takedown in the first 10 seconds. Garcia stuffs it but absorbs a few knees to the body when Klose bails on it, and Garcia powers his way out to the center of the Octagon. The lightweights feint and fake their way towards one another, with Klose employing his stomp kick and swinging his shin to the body. Garcia dips back and absorbs a glancing right hand, but he is no worse for wear. Klose lets go with a body kick, and Garcia cannot pin him down or trap him to land with impunity. Garcia begins to chop the legs down a few times, and Klose switches stance after absorbing the blows. Garcia winds up on a right hook, but Klose dips back and answers with a short left. Garcia, using his momentum in his favor, pushes through and knocks Klose off his feet with a double. “Gifted” gives Klose several gifts in the form of his fists, before stepping into half guard. The posture remains tight as Garcia does not want to give up any space or allow a sweep or any bucking movement, but this also results in a stalemate. The crowd is not a fan of this nullifying half guard for Garcia, and Klose moves his head around to dodge punches before Montalvo steps in to stand them up. Garcia shoots the second they get stood up, and Klose staves it off and connects with a solid left hand. As Garcia aims a right hand over the top, Klose ducks down for a possible takedown entry, and Garcia snatches this up to hunt for a standing guillotine choke. There is nothing to it, and Klose shucks it off and absorbs the end of a left hand. Garcia misses with a spinning back kick, and Klose is suddenly energized and he charges in with his head in the air to throw bombs. Garcia retreats, and he weathers the storm before scooping Klose’s legs out and planting him down to the ground. A few punches for the fighter out of Mexico land before the horn resounds in the arena.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia

Round 3
Klose is the initial aggressor to start off the final round, pushing the pace and sticking his hands out to back Garcia off. The Michigan native jabs and makes Garcia dip down right into a head kick, and Garcia tanks it without budging. Garcia hunts for a takedown, and he redoubles his effort with a double that takes Klose off his feet. Klose threatens with a guillotine choke off his back, but with the cage behind him, there is no leverage to secure anything, and Garcia is comfortable without concern. Klose explodes back to his feet, and he throws hands to again force Garcia to back from one side of the cage to another. Klose allows Garcia to come at him so that he can set up a clinch in his favor, where he slams knees and punches into Garcia’s body. Klose senses that Garcia is fatiguing, and he strides forward without a care in the world, targeting the midsection and preparing to stuff takedowns. Klose gets Garcia’s attention with a low kick, and he has a clubbing right slide off the shoulder into the chin. Garcia’s hands largely drop by his waist, waiting for Klose to close the distance, so that he can lift them and sling something heavy. He has a thudding left connect cleanly, but Klose totally ignores it so that he can do more work to the body. Klose ties his man up after a failed takedown entry so that he can batter the body with punches and the occasional knee. Klose changes this up with his own takedown try, and Garcia pushes him off and backpedals. Garcia shoots for a single, and Klose gets shoved back to the wall and knees the ribs a few times to conclude the fight. Both men raise their hands after 15 minutes of combat, and some will almost certainly attempt the joke that the Klose fight was a close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)

The Official Result
Drakkar Klose def. Rafa Garcia via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision. He notes Garcia is on short notice and has cardio concerns, while Klose has fought much better competition. He expects the first round to be competitive but Klose's striking volume and takedown defense will carry him in later rounds. He mentions Garcia has never been knocked out, so a decision is likely.

"i like close to win here... i think he outstrikes garcia on the feet rounds two in rounds three and ultimately picks up a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, noting his technical striking, forward pressure, and solid takedown defense. He thinks Garcia's wrestling won't be a factor because Klose will stop takedowns and win the striking exchanges. He mentions that Klose's cardio is solid and that Garcia is limited and loopy with his strikes. He also notes that Klose's significant strikes over 60.5 is a good prop on PrizePicks.

Klose over 60.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i think close is just going to win the striking exchanges from distance stop the takedowns keep it standing and just rinse and repeat"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Daniel picks Klose to win another close decision, noting that most of his fights are 29-28. He thinks Klose finds a way to edge out rounds, whether by calf kicks or a late takedown. He acknowledges Garcia's toughness and Mexican warrior spirit, but thinks Garcia's cardio issues (from the Gritzmacher fight) could be a factor. However, he calls the -205 price too high for a fighter who usually wins close fights, so he passes on betting.

"I'm gonna go Drakkar Klose to win another 29-28 decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Drakkar Klose

Preet picks Klose by decision, expecting him to push Garcia against the cage, use leg kicks, and control the fight. He notes Klose's efficient style and that Garcia's cardio fades, leading to Klose taking over in the second and third rounds. He passes on the moneyline due to Klose's tendency to fight close decisions.

"i'll go close here uh close to your decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, citing his technical striking and good wrestling. He notes that Klose's losses are to very good fighters and that he looked great in his last fight against Brandon Jenkins. He thinks Garcia's wrestling won't be enough and that Klose will win the striking exchanges. He also mentions that Klose's takedown defense is solid and that Garcia is limited.

Klose over 60.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"gotta have to go with uh dracar close... the one thing that's always going to worry me about this guy for the rest of his foreseeable career is uh jeremy stevens almost ended his career"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru predicts Drakkar Klose wins by 30-27 unanimous decision. He sees Klose as more technical and smart, landing calf kicks and body shots at range. Rafa García is tough but too one-dimensional. Klose will edge each round, possibly earning a 10-8 in the third.

unanimous decision
"dracar close gets this one done edging out every round"
TKO (punches) R2 0:33 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 2 76 of 108 70% 77 of 109 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:56
Brandon Jenkins 0 18 of 38 47% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 1 66 of 93 70% 67 of 94 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:55
Brandon Jenkins 0 15 of 30 50% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Drakkar Klose 1 10 of 15 66% 10 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Brandon Jenkins 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 76 of 108 70% 55 of 87 16 of 16 5 of 5 27 of 42 38 of 46 11 of 20
Brandon Jenkins 18 of 38 47% 4 of 23 3 of 4 11 of 11 14 of 34 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 66 of 93 70% 48 of 75 14 of 14 4 of 4 21 of 32 34 of 41 11 of 20
Brandon Jenkins 15 of 30 50% 3 of 17 3 of 4 9 of 9 11 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 10 of 15 66% 7 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 0
Brandon Jenkins 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Drakkar Klose, but is hesitant to bet due to Klose's two-year layoff. He believes Klose's power, wrestling, and cardio should be enough to finish Brandon Jenkins. He notes that Jenkins is a kill-or-be-killed fighter who is always looking for a finish, which makes him dangerous. He thinks the odds are too wide for Klose given the layoff.

"i do think dracar wins i'm picking him here but i probably won't bet this because of dracar's time off"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision. He notes Klose is UFC-caliber with much better competition, while Jenkins is very hittable (35% striking defense) and has poor takedown defense (25%). He expects Klose to outstrike and outwrestle Jenkins, but doesn't see a finish since Klose hasn't finished in years. He calls Jenkins' only path a 'flukish knockout.'

win by decision
"give me close by for the win and can be close to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his advantages in every department. He notes Jenkins relies on flashy techniques but was easily handled by a younger opponent. He thinks Klose's wrestling and experience will be too much.

"i think he did a good job of beating the line on that one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Daniel Levi picks Drakkar Klose but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the -800 price. He notes Klose has fought much better competition (Bobby Green, Lando Vannata) and is skilled at grinding out decisions. However, he is concerned about Klose's concussion issues from the Jeremy Stephens shove and whether he will be the same fighter. Jenkins is a highlight-reel finisher but tends to break when he can't get the knockout. Levi expects Klose to win but won't bet at those odds.

Not betting at -800; mentions Klose by decision
"The pick is dracar close but I think it might be a dog or pass if you want to fade the narratives about what he's been going through."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his experience and well-rounded game. He thinks Klose has advantages in wrestling, striking, and durability. He mentions he already bet Klose at -400 as part of a parlay.

"jacker closes on that parlay with aj mckee pat sabatini and panty kianzad pays two to one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose, stating Brandon Jenkins doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Klose's competitive fight with Beneil Dariush and wins over Bobby Green and Marc Diakiese. He expects Klose to finish Jenkins by TKO in the second round.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna go with dracar close beating brandon jenkins i reckon he'll get a finish as well"
LOSS vs Beneil Dariush
KO (punch) R2 1:00 · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Beneil Dariush 1 12 of 20 60% 17 of 28 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:20
Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 25 60% 27 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Beneil Dariush 0 5 of 9 55% 10 of 17 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:18
Drakkar Klose 0 4 of 6 66% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Beneil Dariush 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Drakkar Klose 0 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Beneil Dariush 12 of 20 60% 8 of 16 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 15 of 25 60% 12 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Beneil Dariush 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Beneil Dariush 7 of 11 63% 5 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 11 of 19 57% 8 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
155: Beneil Dariush vs. Drakkar Klose

Round 1
At lightweight, Kings MMA regular Dariush (17-4-1, 11-4-1 UFC) will try to put Klose’s (11-1-1, 5-1 UFC) submission skills to the test. Dariush’s preferred method of victory is by tapout, while Klose has never been submitted--will something give? Keeping this contest on the up-and-up is referee Jason Herzog. The two men touch gloves, and Klose tries to set up his jab but it is Dariush who lands first. A left hand is followed by a thumping body kick from Dariush, but he eats a nasty right coming back at him. Klose loads up with another right hand, and Dariush may be hurt but hiding it well. Dariush closes the distance and hits a takedown, but Klose does not stay ground for long. Klose grabs the fence to stop a takedown, and then grabs it again while Herzog admonishes him. Klose still grabs the cage, but in the process gives up his back. Dariush jumps on like a backpack and secures a body triangle, while hunting for a standing rear-naked choke. Dariush is only able to get one arm around his neck, and Klose is holding tight on the glove to stop the choke -- this is allowed, as long as he does not have his fingers inside the glove. Dariush wrenches his hand away and tugs tightly to get the choke, but Klose again wrests his arms free from danger. The Californian abandons the choke attempt while mounting a few punches together, and keeps his body triangle tightly wrapped around his opponent’s waist. As Klose starts to elbow the thigh to break the grip, Dariush nearly sinks in the choke, but Klose is quick to fight it off. The crowd starts to turn on the two men, as Dariush pulls tight for a choke and is content to squeeze on the chin instead of under the neck. Klose scrambles and flails to get his neck free, and does so while the crowd showers them with boos. Klose starts elbowing the top of the knee of his foe, and the round ends with Dariush as a backpack.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dariush
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dariush
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dariush

Round 2
The second frame begins with Klose kicking the lead leg, possibly sensing that Dariush’s legs are gassed. Dariush fires back with a low kick that lands to the groin, and a brief pause sees Klose readjust his cup. Dariush takes another gnarly leg kick, and Klose charges forward and blasts him with a huge right hand. Klose cracks him again and Dariush is in a bad, bad way. Klose swarms him with punches, and while getting tagged Dariush winds up and connects with a vicious right of his own that makes Klose do the stanky leg. The tide may have changed quickly, as Dariush chases after him with ferocious punches that back Klose against the fence. This is crazy! Now Klose is rocked badly, and in this insane exchange, Dariush evades a looping punch and fires a thunderous left hand that stiffens Klose and separates him from his consciousness. The mouthpiece nearly goes flying, and you can see Klose’s eyes staring off at the lights while he topples over against the fence. Herzog dives in to end the fight, and what an incredible turn of events! With this wild win, Dariush becomes the first fighter to ever finish the durable Klose.

The Official Result
Beneil Dariush def. Drakkar Klose R2 1:00 via KO (Punch)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

Daniel slightly favors Dariush as the favorite, acknowledging his superior skills in every aspect but concerned about his cardio. He notes that if Dariush paces himself well, he should outclass Klose, but if he slows down in the later rounds, Klose's pressure could break him. He understands the dog shot on Klose for that reason.

"I'm gonna slightly agree with Beneil being the favorite here and I will take him in the spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

Dariush has a massive grappling advantage; every opponent has taken Klose down. Dariush's jiu-jitsu is next level, and Klose gives up his back. Dariush's striking has improved, and he can land knees in the clinch. The host is very confident, planning 4-5 units on Dariush straight, and likes the submission prop at +295.

Win by submission at +295. Also considering 4-5 units straight.
"This is more than likely potentially going to be my lock of the night play. I'm very very confident in Beneil here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

The MMA Guru picks Beneil Dariush, noting his four-fight win streak including a KO of James Vick. He acknowledges Drakkar Klose is on a mission but feels Klose gets rocked too often and Dariush has the experience to put him away. He predicts a submission win in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"I'm going with Benilde are you sure I think I'll get a submission in the second or third round"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 87 of 155 56% 113 of 186 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:19
Christos Giagos 0 99 of 160 61% 159 of 223 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 24 of 47 51% 39 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Christos Giagos 0 21 of 41 51% 53 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
2 Drakkar Klose 0 22 of 32 68% 29 of 42 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:43
Christos Giagos 0 37 of 48 77% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
3 Drakkar Klose 0 41 of 76 53% 45 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Christos Giagos 0 41 of 71 57% 56 of 87 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 87 of 155 56% 55 of 117 29 of 33 3 of 5 69 of 127 16 of 23 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 99 of 160 61% 56 of 114 29 of 30 14 of 16 39 of 93 38 of 40 22 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 24 of 47 51% 7 of 28 15 of 16 2 of 3 17 of 38 7 of 9 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 21 of 41 51% 4 of 23 13 of 13 4 of 5 9 of 28 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 22 of 32 68% 18 of 26 4 of 5 0 of 1 18 of 23 2 of 4 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 37 of 48 77% 27 of 37 8 of 9 2 of 2 7 of 12 9 of 10 21 of 26
3 Drakkar Klose 41 of 76 53% 30 of 63 10 of 12 1 of 1 34 of 66 7 of 10 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 41 of 71 57% 25 of 54 8 of 8 8 of 9 23 of 53 17 of 17 1 of 1
Joaquim Silva - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 21 of 63 33% 58 of 102 4 of 16 25% 0 0 7:25
Joaquim Silva 1 25 of 66 37% 95 of 136 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 8 37% 37 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:22
Joaquim Silva 0 0 of 4 0% 29 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Claudio Puelles 0 6 of 31 19% 6 of 31 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 11 of 29 37% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
3 Claudio Puelles 0 12 of 24 50% 15 of 27 1 of 8 12% 0 0 2:08
Joaquim Silva 1 14 of 33 42% 53 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 21 of 63 33% 14 of 56 7 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 56 2 of 2 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 25 of 66 37% 12 of 50 9 of 12 4 of 4 19 of 52 3 of 5 3 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Claudio Puelles 6 of 31 19% 3 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 11 of 29 37% 2 of 18 5 of 7 4 of 4 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Claudio Puelles 12 of 24 50% 8 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 14 of 33 42% 10 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 19 3 of 5 3 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo is torn on this fight. He calls Puelles a 'butt scooter' who looks like a puppy cleaning a dingleberry, but acknowledges his takedowns looked improved in his last fight. He says if Puelles' takedowns look as good as they did last time, he wins. He admits his gut won't let him say it out loud, but he's leaning Puelles. He notes Silva is a BJJ guy with big power and explosive striking, always looking for the knockout.

"I'm not going to say it. I'm going to think it. I'm going to write it down on the website. I can't say it with my own words, but that's the direction we're going with this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady leans toward Silva because Puelles is one-dimensional and has no plan B if his grappling fails. He notes Silva has a BJJ base, power on the feet, and has hurt top competition. He predicts Silva wins by second-round knockout, as Puelles has been knocked out before and Silva has the power to do it.

Second round knockout
"I'm going to take Silva to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Connor picks Puelles, believing his gimmick leg lock game will work. He notes that Silva is inactive and willing to give ground, allowing Puelles to craft an entry into a submission. He acknowledges that Puelles has been beaten by good wrestler-grapplers but thinks Silva isn't one of them.

Opened at -155, now -110; Silva opened at +135, now -110
"I'm gonna pick the gimmick to work. Okay, I think Silva is inactive enough and willing to give ground enough... that he's gonna let Wes basically craft an entry into a gimmick leg lock and then take his knee home."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a big fan favorite and the host is surprised he is an underdog. He notes Silva has never been submitted and has a striking advantage. He expects Silva to fend off takedowns, walk Puelles down, and win by knockout in the second or third round.

win by knockout in second or third round
"I think he'll be able to fend off the takedowns from Puyus. Walk Pyus down on the feet and eventually on Cork knockout either in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, expressing disdain for Claudio Puelles' jiu-jitsu style. He describes Silva as a strong, powerful, explosive lightweight who can cause problems on the feet. He criticizes Puelles as a 'martial artist, not a fighter' and recalls his quit against Dan Hooker. He believes Silva's power will be a big factor.

"I can't pick Clauddio Poles to win a fight. Can't do it. ... I'm going to go with Wim Silva."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Zane picks Silva but is not confident. He sees Puelles as a gimmick submission artist who might catch Silva with a leg lock, but Silva is more active and has fought better competition. He thinks Silva's inactivity and willingness to give ground could allow Puelles to enter a submission, but overall Silva should win.

Opened at -155, now -110; Silva opened at +135, now -110
"The inclination for me is to take Joakim Silva... I don't feel super strong. No, but I'm gonna take Silva."
LOSS vs Drakkar Klose
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 1 59 of 93 63% 143 of 179 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 70 of 123 56% 96 of 151 0 of 7 0% 0 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 20 of 30 66% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Joaquim Silva 0 29 of 54 53% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 20 75% 79 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Joaquim Silva 0 17 of 23 73% 35 of 43 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:58
3 Drakkar Klose 1 24 of 43 55% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Joaquim Silva 0 24 of 46 52% 26 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 59 of 93 63% 25 of 53 21 of 27 13 of 13 33 of 63 22 of 26 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 70 of 123 56% 40 of 82 22 of 30 8 of 11 44 of 91 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 20 of 30 66% 6 of 14 7 of 9 7 of 7 15 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 29 of 54 53% 18 of 36 8 of 12 3 of 6 19 of 41 10 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 15 of 20 75% 3 of 6 10 of 12 2 of 2 6 of 11 9 of 9 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 17 of 23 73% 5 of 9 11 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 24 of 43 55% 16 of 33 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 29 8 of 10 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 24 of 46 52% 17 of 37 3 of 5 4 of 4 21 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.

"jakar Clos is a guy that you can trust"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.

"I'm taking close to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.

Klose by KO/TKO in round 3
"Late stoppage close is what I would look at... I think close just breaks them down systematically and then takes them out late."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.

"I'll lean with uh with the underdog with yoim Silva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.

"give me close and close by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.

Klose by decision
"Close late or by decision is how I see it... the volume adds up..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.

by decision
"I'm going to go with him by decision here"
WIN vs Clay Guida
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 0 43 of 134 32% 63 of 155 2 of 11 18% 0 0 4:23
Clay Guida 0 46 of 91 50% 85 of 141 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 18 of 64 28% 19 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Clay Guida 0 15 of 32 46% 40 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
2 Joaquim Silva 0 14 of 33 42% 29 of 48 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:19
Clay Guida 0 15 of 20 75% 26 of 34 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
3 Joaquim Silva 0 11 of 37 29% 15 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
Clay Guida 0 16 of 39 41% 19 of 42 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 43 of 134 32% 19 of 103 14 of 20 10 of 11 36 of 127 7 of 7 0 of 0
Clay Guida 46 of 91 50% 33 of 72 9 of 15 4 of 4 28 of 64 15 of 19 3 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 18 of 64 28% 6 of 51 6 of 6 6 of 7 17 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Clay Guida 15 of 32 46% 13 of 30 0 of 0 2 of 2 8 of 20 4 of 5 3 of 7
2 Joaquim Silva 14 of 33 42% 9 of 26 5 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 15 of 20 75% 12 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 9 8 of 10 0 of 1
3 Joaquim Silva 11 of 37 29% 4 of 26 3 of 7 4 of 4 8 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 16 of 39 41% 8 of 25 6 of 12 2 of 2 13 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, echoing that Guida is old and Silva has power. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is okay and his cardio is decent. He notes Guida's only path is takedowns and Silva can stuff them. He also mentions a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a possible sprinkle.

considering Clay Guida by split decision prop
"wae Sila would be the pick I suppose for whatever that's worth"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Lucrative James picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva showed enough in his last fight to be favored. He believes Silva can get a submission, possibly a guillotine when Clay Guida shoots for a takedown. However, he is not betting at -350 due to Guida's grappling ability and durability.

Silva inside the distance, possibly by submission
"I definitely feel like he could get a submission Guillotine here when Clay is shooting in on a Tak down"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a powerful striker with a BJJ black belt, and he should be able to land big shots on Guida if he lets his hands go. Guida relies on movement and cardio, but Silva's power and pressure could lead to a finish. However, if the fight reaches the third round, Guida's cardio could make things competitive. Silva is expected to win, possibly by finish.

finish predicted, but not confident inside distance
"I'm going to go waim Silva I think he gets the Finish over Guida but if this fight reaches the third round things could get a little bit shaky"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva but doesn't love the money line. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is decent and his cardio is good enough to outlast Guida. He notes Guida is almost 42 and slowing down, and if Guida can't get takedowns early, he'll get boxed up. He considers a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a sprinkle.

considering Clay Guida by split decision prop
"the pick's got to be Yim Silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power, jiujitsu, and finishing ability. He notes that Clay Guida tends to lose to fighters with finishing ability and that Silva is dangerous. He believes Silva's technical skills outweigh Guida's grit and expects Silva to win.

"I got to go Joaquim Silva... dangerous powerful good jiujitsu... if you have finishing ability you beat Clay Guida."
LOSS vs Arman Tsarukyan
TKO (punches) R3 3:25 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 80 of 115 69% 134 of 175 4 of 5 80% 0 0 9:01
Joaquim Silva 0 23 of 41 56% 77 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 12 of 13 92% 28 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:26
Joaquim Silva 0 2 of 3 66% 27 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 33 of 57 57% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:47
Joaquim Silva 0 16 of 30 53% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Arman Tsarukyan 0 35 of 45 77% 67 of 83 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:48
Joaquim Silva 0 5 of 8 62% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 80 of 115 69% 64 of 95 13 of 17 3 of 3 32 of 64 7 of 8 41 of 43
Joaquim Silva 23 of 41 56% 11 of 27 9 of 11 3 of 3 11 of 25 10 of 13 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 12 of 13 92% 9 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 9
Joaquim Silva 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Arman Tsarukyan 33 of 57 57% 23 of 43 7 of 11 3 of 3 23 of 46 6 of 7 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 16 of 30 53% 8 of 20 6 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 19 7 of 10 1 of 1
3 Arman Tsarukyan 35 of 45 77% 32 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 28 of 30
Joaquim Silva 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.

"Armin is a minus 1100 favorite there is no reason to over complicate this armin's gonna dominate with the wrestling he's gonna avoid the submissions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.

"I think saruki and not only wins this fight but wins it in uh vicious fashion and probably a first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.

Tsarukyan wins in round 2 at +300; mentions prop hunting
"I would think in the second round he's not necessarily like I need to kill you in the first round as much as he's got that traditional Russian style where he's gonna grind on you and lean on you and …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.

"This is a gimme matchup, but to layup."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.

knockout round 1, knockout round 2
"I like The Knockout round one for most of what I'm gonna put down on it and then some knockout round two"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.

Tsarukyan inside the distance
"I'll be looking at that walk uh sarukian inside the distance line rather than taking the minus 1000... give me sarukin via KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.

suggests chasing a prop or avoiding the fight; mentions Tsarukyan by second round TKO
"you definitely gotta chase a prop here or just don't like I mean I probably just want that this fight at all because that's just not how I roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.

"I'm going to be going with Armand sarukian I reckon he wins this matchup pretty easily"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.

"It's a layup. Like it is a complete stylistic layup."
WIN vs Jesse Ronson
TKO (knee and punches) R2 3:08 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 1 45 of 90 50% 51 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jesse Ronson 0 39 of 83 46% 39 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jesse Ronson 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Joaquim Silva 1 25 of 49 51% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Jesse Ronson 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 45 of 90 50% 26 of 67 12 of 16 7 of 7 38 of 76 0 of 0 7 of 14
Jesse Ronson 39 of 83 46% 22 of 55 11 of 18 6 of 10 39 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 20 of 41 48% 13 of 31 3 of 6 4 of 4 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesse Ronson 25 of 53 47% 12 of 32 9 of 14 4 of 7 25 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquim Silva 25 of 49 51% 13 of 36 9 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 35 0 of 0 7 of 14
Jesse Ronson 14 of 30 46% 10 of 23 2 of 4 2 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jesse Ronson

Cody picks Jesse Ronson as an underdog, citing his better striking and size advantage. He acknowledges Ronson looked bad in his last fight but attributes it to the illegal knee and layoff. He believes Ronson's counter-punching could knock out Silva, who has a questionable chin. He is not very confident but likes the plus money.

"I'm gonna take Jesse Ronson but uh yeah I think you like the PRP pick it might be like one line above the PRP pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Joaquim Silva, but is not confident. He notes that both fighters are coming off losses and are in a 'kill or be killed' situation. He believes Silva has a slight grappling advantage and that Ronson looked poor in his last fight. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop as the best bet on this fight.

Fight doesn't go to decision -145
"I'll fade Canada I'll take joaquim Silva but I throw one more wrench in the middle but I think the best bet is fight doesn't go to decision by far on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva has fought better competition and is more reliable than Jesse Ronson. He mentions that Ronson is 'chokey' and has questionable split decision losses, while Silva has been training grappling extensively. He thinks Silva can win by submission or decision, but is not confident enough to bet on it.

"I think I'd pick Silva in that one. There's no way I would ever trust Jesse Ronson with any form of bet."
LOSS vs Ricky Glenn
KO (punches) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Angelo picks Joaquim Silva, citing his knockout power and ability to close distance. He notes that Silva's power is always present and that he doesn't give up. However, he is hesitant due to the long layoff for both fighters. He does not have Silva in his DraftKings lineup and is not placing a money bet.

"joaquim silva wins this fight and joaquim silva is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady is hesitant due to long layoffs for both fighters. He notes Silva hits hard and Glenn is hittable, but Glenn has never been knocked out. He expects Silva to land harder shots and win a decision, but recommends staying away from betting.

win by decision
"I'm going to say that you know silva does win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing Silva's power and experience at 155 lbs. He notes Glenn's long layoff (almost 3 years) and move up in weight, which could be problematic. Silva's power and pressure should be too much for Glenn, who is not a big hitter.

"i would go with joakim silva but uh looking at the line which is 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Levi picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes that while Ricky Glenn has better technique, he is defensively vulnerable and marks up easily. He thinks Silva will bruise Glenn up and possibly get a knockout or decision. He also mentions Silva's black belt in jiu-jitsu as an additional threat.

"i'm going to go with joking silva man um and i'm not worried about the big layoff on either side"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Jacob also picks Joaquim Silva, but with low confidence. He worries about Silva's cardio and notes that Silva's last loss was to a southpaw, and Ricky Glenn is also a southpaw. He sees both as counter punchers and expects a slow fight. He is not putting Silva in his lineup and would not bet on it.

monkey knife fight: less on Silva, less on Glenn (or less more)
"i'm going with silva but i'm not i don't feel good enough about it to put him in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The host is confident in Joaquim Silva, citing his heavy Muay Thai striking, power, and ability to capitalize on Ricky Glenn's wild, open striking. He notes Glenn's low takedown accuracy (13% in UFC) and that Silva has put cardio concerns to rest with third-round finishes. He expects Silva to land damaging blows and predicts a second-round knockout, as Glenn's durability may be tested by Silva's power. He mentions Silva's body work and that Glenn's layoff and hip surgery could be factors.

Fight doesn't go to decision at +160 mentioned as a bet; Silva by second-round knockout predicted
"i'll go with silva to win by a second round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Glenn's layoff and weight class change, and Silva's recent competition. Paul thinks Silva's power and durability will be key.

"i think i'm gonna go with joakim silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Glenn's size and strength will be too much for Joaquim Silva, despite Glenn moving up from featherweight. He expects Glenn to land good shots on the feet early, mix in takedowns, and use his range with kicks. He thinks Silva won't have the strength to deal with Glenn's pressure and grappling.

"i'm gonna go over rick glenn here... 30-27 unanimous decision"
KO (punches) R2 0:36 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nasrat Haqparast 0 15 of 56 26% 15 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 1 21 of 38 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nasrat Haqparast 0 13 of 49 26% 13 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nasrat Haqparast 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 1 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nasrat Haqparast 15 of 56 26% 0 of 35 6 of 11 9 of 10 15 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 21 of 38 55% 18 of 33 2 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 29 0 of 0 9 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nasrat Haqparast 13 of 49 26% 0 of 30 5 of 10 8 of 9 13 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nasrat Haqparast 2 of 7 28% 0 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 12 of 16 75% 11 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 9
WIN vs Jared Gordon
KO (punches) R3 2:39 · UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 · Dec 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 0 116 of 194 59% 149 of 228 3 of 8 37% 0 0 4:24
Jared Gordon 0 95 of 191 49% 121 of 218 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 37 of 55 67% 60 of 79 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:39
Jared Gordon 0 19 of 37 51% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Joaquim Silva 0 37 of 56 66% 45 of 64 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:45
Jared Gordon 0 25 of 51 49% 45 of 72 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:38
3 Joaquim Silva 0 42 of 83 50% 44 of 85 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 51 of 103 49% 51 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 116 of 194 59% 94 of 166 10 of 15 12 of 13 88 of 163 13 of 15 15 of 16
Jared Gordon 95 of 191 49% 54 of 138 30 of 42 11 of 11 78 of 172 15 of 17 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 37 of 55 67% 28 of 43 3 of 5 6 of 7 18 of 34 9 of 11 10 of 10
Jared Gordon 19 of 37 51% 13 of 28 2 of 5 4 of 4 14 of 32 3 of 3 2 of 2
2 Joaquim Silva 37 of 56 66% 26 of 44 6 of 7 5 of 5 30 of 48 2 of 2 5 of 6
Jared Gordon 25 of 51 49% 14 of 39 10 of 11 1 of 1 21 of 47 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Joaquim Silva 42 of 83 50% 40 of 79 1 of 3 1 of 1 40 of 81 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 51 of 103 49% 27 of 71 18 of 26 6 of 6 43 of 93 8 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquim Silva vs. Jared Gordon

Round 1
Gordon opens with a front kick to the face. Gordon mixing up his kicks early, going low and to the body of his opponent. A one-two lands for Gordon. “Flash” hurts Silva in an exchange and catches him in an arm-triangle choke as he drives the Brazilian to the canvas. Silva works his way to his feet and eats a knee to the face. Silva presses forward with a combination and gets dazed by a massive right hand. Gordon lands a takedown after eating a couple shots. The Roufusport member is in half guard, applying pressure from above. Silva recovers full guard but has his head bounced off the canvas with a right hand. Silva works his way toward the fence and stands. Silva’s ear has busted open and his eye is swollen. The Brazilian hurts Gordon with an overhand right and follows up with a flying knee. Gordon shoots out of desperation. Silva locks in a 10-finger guillotine. Gordon appears to be on his way out, but Silva lets go just before the horn sounds. 10-10.

Round 2
Silva is aggressive right away. Gordon mixes up his kicks before shooting. Silva sprawls and Gordon tries again, but “Neto BJJ” defends once more. Silva lands an uppercut before Gordon shoots for a takedown against the fence. Gordon is working his way toward Silva’s back, but the Brazilian falls to his back. Gordon is inside Silva’s full guard. “Flash” lands some solid left hands after passing to half guard. Silva stands with Gordon attached to him. Gordon lands a knee in the clinch before the combatants separate. Gordon follows a combination with a high kick. Silva answers with a knee. Silva shucks off a takedown attempt, and both fighters trade in the pocket. Gordon lands a hard right during the exchange. A jab and a low kick connect for Gordon, and Silva responds with an uppercut. Silva explodes for a takedown with about 30 seconds remaining in the round. Silva is attached to his foe’s back as Gordon returns to his feet. Silva nearly has a kneebar as time expires. 10-9 Gordon.

Round 3
Gordon makes Silva stumble back briefly with a right hand. Gordon might be feeling the effects of the kneebar at the end of the previous round, as he’s movement somewhat gingerly around the Octagon. Nonetheless, another right hand lands for “Flash.” Gordan works his jab while Silva attacks with leg kicks. A right hook to the body lands for Silva, but Gordon is doing well with combinations. Both fighters are trading willingly in the pocket for an extended period. Silva sprawls on a takedown and they go right back to trading punches in the pocket. Silva digs numerous body shots to Gordon. Silva lands a left hook and follows up with a pair of straight shots. They’re still going toe-to-toe and it’s a left hook to the chin followed by a a massive right hand from Silva that stuns Gordon. The American falls back into the fence, and
Silva seals the deal with a three-punch combination.
The fight is halted with Gordon out on his feet.

The Official Result
Joaquim Silva def. Jared Gordon via TKO (Punches) R3 2:39
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.

"jakar Clos is a guy that you can trust"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.

"I'm taking close to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.

Klose by KO/TKO in round 3
"Late stoppage close is what I would look at... I think close just breaks them down systematically and then takes them out late."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.

"I'll lean with uh with the underdog with yoim Silva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.

"give me close and close by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.

Klose by decision
"Close late or by decision is how I see it... the volume adds up..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.

by decision
"I'm going to go with him by decision here"