Career Averages - Ismael Bonfim
Career Averages - Vinc Pichel
Ismael Bonfim - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla | 0 | 64 of 109 | 58% | 88 of 134 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 47 of 89 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Padilla | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 38 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 18 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Chris Padilla | 0 | 47 of 78 | 60% | 50 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla | 64 of 109 | 58% | 33 of 60 | 10 of 15 | 21 of 34 | 43 of 83 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 20 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 42 of 84 | 50% | 27 of 68 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Padilla | 17 of 31 | 54% | 8 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 12 | 15 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 14 of 28 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Padilla | 47 of 78 | 60% | 25 of 47 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 22 | 28 of 54 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 20 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 28 of 56 | 50% | 18 of 45 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 28 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim because he is better everywhere, but he acknowledges the concern about Ismael quitting on the stool in his last fight. He argues that Ismael took a massive shot to the face and was not fully there, so he is not a quitter. He expects Ismael to win but notes that Chris Padilla is tough and a live dog.
Big Brady thinks Bonfim is the more skilled fighter with good boxing and volume, but worries about his durability as he has been finished in all five losses. He notes Padilla is durable and has heart but doesn't wrestle enough. He favors Bonfim's striking over 15 minutes and predicts a decision win, though he thinks a finish is more likely from Padilla.
Cody picks Bonfim but is not confident. He notes Padilla's awkward movement and counter-striking, and Bonfim's one-dimensional style and questionable cardio. He thinks Bonfim's volume and aggression might win a decision, but it's a risky bet.
Lucrative James leans towards Chris Padilla, though he admits he doesn't have a great read on him. He notes Padilla's dangerous striking and ability to win close fights, while Ismael Bonfim is more predictable. He expects Padilla to land better shots, possibly cutting Bonfim, and predicts a decision win. He also mentions Padilla's finishing upside via submission or doctor stoppage.
The host thinks Bonfim has underachieved recently while Padilla has overachieved, and expects a correction. Bonfim should dictate the pace, land more damage, and win on the scorecards in deep water.
Paul leans Bonfim but is not betting him. He thinks Bonfim's volume could be key, but Padilla's counter-striking and Bonfim's tendency to run into shots are concerns. He mentions a small shot on Padilla KO at plus 600.
The Guru picks Chris Padilla as a crafty underdog. He believes Padilla's experience, reach, and versatility (elbows, kicks, spinning attacks) will trouble Ismael Bonfim, who has struggled against gritty opponents. He expects a close decision win for Padilla, 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 26 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nazim Sadykhov | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 26 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nazim Sadykhov | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 26 of 42 | 61% | 14 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nazim Sadykhov | 13 of 46 | 28% | 9 of 35 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 26 of 42 | 61% | 14 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nazim Sadykhov | 13 of 46 | 28% | 9 of 35 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting that while Sadykhov is talented, his wins have caveats (e.g., Evan Elder was beating him before a cut, Terrence McKinney was beating him before gassing). He believes Bonfim will stay busy with striking and may mix in takedowns, and that Bonfim won't gas or get cut like Sadykhov's previous opponents.
Big Brady picks Bonfim by decision, noting he is the better striker with good boxing and defensive responsibility. Sadykhov has volume issues and was outlanded by Evan Elder. Bonfim has takedown defense to keep it standing and a good chin. Sadykhov may land a big shot but Bonfim has never been knocked out.
Connor picks Ismael Bonfim, agreeing with Zane that Bonfim is more technical. He notes that Sadykhov is a brute with a shallow game who breaks down when out-techniqued. Connor highlights Bonfim's arrogance as a potential weakness but believes Sadykhov's lack of horsepower means Bonfim can successfully pressure and break him. He also notes that Sadykhov will give up the initiative if pressured, unlike Santini, which favors Bonfim.
Lucrative James picks Ismael Bonfim to win by decision, but admits he does not have a strong read on this fight and needs to do more tape study. He sees Bonfim as the more technical striker with better leg kicks and a well-rounded game, while Sadykhov is a brawler with power and durability. He thinks Bonfim's experience and technicality will allow him to outpoint Sadykhov over three rounds, but acknowledges Sadykhov could land a big shot or win a war. He is not confident enough to recommend a bet.
Bonfim has the experience advantage and more to bring to the table. As long as Sadykhov doesn't land a big power shot, Bonfim dictates pace and pressure and wins on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting Bonfim's slickness and more options. He criticizes Sadykhov for letting fights get scrappy and lacking ability to force things. He believes Bonfim's time off has allowed improvement and he will deliver, though he jokes about Bonfim's reaction to his brother's potential loss.
Zane picks Ismael Bonfim, citing Bonfim's superior technical skills in striking, wrestling, and grappling compared to Sadykhov. He notes that Sadykhov's game breaks down when faced with better technique, as he only wants to fight one way. Zane acknowledges Bonfim's tendency to make arrogant decisions and give up positions, but believes Sadykhov lacks the horsepower to capitalize like Santini did. He also points out that Sadykhov is more of an opportunist on the ground, not a constrictor, reducing the risk of Bonfim getting caught.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 111 of 216 | 51% | 112 of 217 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 61 of 142 | 42% | 64 of 147 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 34 of 66 | 51% | 34 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 18 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 42 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 111 of 216 | 51% | 80 of 176 | 13 of 20 | 18 of 20 | 107 of 209 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 61 of 142 | 42% | 26 of 93 | 14 of 24 | 21 of 25 | 60 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 34 of 66 | 51% | 19 of 47 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 15 | 34 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 47 | 38% | 5 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 36 of 75 | 48% | 29 of 66 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 22 of 54 | 40% | 9 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 41 of 75 | 54% | 32 of 63 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Bonfim, citing his youth, power, and aggressive style against the 41-year-old Pichel who hasn't fought in two years. He references the trend of older fighters getting finished at UFC Vegas 91. He advises betting early before odds move.
Big Brady highlights Bonfim's youth and striking advantage, noting Pichel's age (41) and long layoff as major concerns. He believes Bonfim will stuff takedowns and dominate on the feet, leading to a one-sided decision. He acknowledges Pichel's submission threat but doubts he can implement it.
Cody picks Bonfim, citing his sharp striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He notes Pichel is 41, inactive, and has no submission wins. Cody expects Bonfim to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bonfim by decision, citing his youth, volume striking, and experience despite his age. He notes that Pichel is durable and has low mileage for his age, but Bonfim's boxing and takedown defense should allow him to win minutes on the feet. He believes Bonfim's finishing equity is overrated and that a decision is likely.
Bonfim stumbled in his last fight against Benoit Saint-Denis but is expected to have a better showing against the 41-year-old Pichel, who has been two years away from the cage. Bonfim is the slicker striker and can stay competitive in grappling if Pichel takes it there. His striking will start to chip away at Pichel and allow him to find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul picks Bonfim, highlighting his explosive striking and takedown defense. He notes Pichel's inactivity and age are concerns. Paul expects Bonfim to win but acknowledges Pichel's grit could make it competitive.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Ismael Bonfim, predicting a first-round TKO. He expects Bonfim to push Pichel against the cage and bait him with feints, while noting Pichel's age (41) and over two years of inactivity as key factors. He also mentions Bonfim's good jiu-jitsu and the favorable matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 35 of 58 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 | 0 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 35 of 58 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 | 0 | 2:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît Saint Denis | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 13 of 33 | 39% | 3 of 18 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benoît Saint Denis | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 13 of 33 | 39% | 3 of 18 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim due to his incredible power and impressive debut. However, he advises caution because Bonfim is still unproven and Saint Denis is a tough opponent with good wrestling. He notes Bonfim's boxing and BJJ but questions his cardio and takedown defense. He calls it a low confidence pick.
Big Brady picks Ismael Bonfim to win by third-round knockout. He believes Bonfim is the much better striker with power, and though his striking defense is a liability, Saint Denis is hittable and has been finished before. He notes Bonfim's takedown defense has improved, so Saint Denis won't be able to grapple. He expects Bonfim to land repeatedly and get a late finish.
Cody is high on Bonfim, calling him the real deal with good movement, power, accuracy, and solid takedown defense. He notes Bonfim's wins over tough competition on Contender Series and Terrence McKinney. He sees Saint Denis as an all-action brawler who is hittable and has a good chin but will be overwhelmed by Bonfim's precision. Cody expects Bonfim to win by knockout or clear decision.
Daniel confidently picks Bonfim, citing his polished boxing, feints, timing, and well-rounded game. He notes Saint Denis is tough and durable but his striking is less polished, and Bonfim is comfortable on the ground as well. He believes the striking gap is significant and that Bonfim covers Saint Denis across the board. He missed the opening line (-250) and won't bet at -310, but expects Bonfim to win.
James says he has not taped this fight yet and does not have an opinion. He notes that Benoît Saint Denis is tough but may be outmatched, and that Ismael Bonfim is favored on the feet. He suggests the over might be an angle but needs to do more tape.
Paul thinks the line is a bit out of hand but still picks Bonfim. He notes Saint Denis is capable of making it a war and has value at +260, but Bonfim's skills are superior. Paul mentions the judges can be unpredictable, but Bonfim should win if it's close.
The Guru picks Ismael Bonfim, calling it a no-brainer. He highlights Bonfim's impressive win over Terence McKinney via flying knee KO and his strong grappling and takedown defense. He predicts Bonfim will stuff Saint Denis's takedowns and get a second-round TKO, as Saint Denis will hesitate and get broken down.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 1 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 38 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Terrance McKinney | 0 | 14 of 49 | 28% | 20 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 17 of 22 | 77% | 21 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Terrance McKinney | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 1 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Terrance McKinney | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 34 of 49 | 69% | 16 of 30 | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 39 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Terrance McKinney | 14 of 49 | 28% | 10 of 43 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 17 of 22 | 77% | 5 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Terrance McKinney | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 17 of 27 | 62% | 11 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Terrance McKinney | 7 of 30 | 23% | 6 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks McKinney to win by first-round knockout, noting McKinney's incredible power and finishing ability. He acknowledges Bonfim has patched his submission defense and is well-rounded, but McKinney hits like a truck and has good wrestling. He thinks Bonfim will have to walk through fire and if the fight gets past one and a half rounds, Bonfim likely finishes McKinney. He's not betting but expects violence.
Cody picks Ismael Bonfim as a dog, noting his cardio, durability, and well-rounded skills. He says McKinney is explosive but fades under adversity and has poor durability. He thinks Bonfim can weather the early storm and take over as McKinney gasses. He mentions Bonfim's win over Nariman Abbasov as a sign of his quality. He says this is his second underdog pick.
Connor also picks Bonfim, citing McKinney's inability to fight past the first round. He notes Bonfim is a clean puncher with solid grappling and has never been knocked out. McKinney's recklessness and poor cardio are key factors.
Paul picks Terrance McKinney, noting his explosiveness and power. He says McKinney will likely finish early, but acknowledges the risk of him gassing. He says he's not betting this fight but picks McKinney. He mentions McKinney's under machine reputation and that the under 1.5 rounds is juiced.
The Guru picks McKinney but acknowledges Bonfim is dangerous. He trusts McKinney's weird wiry speed and power in the early round, noting how he nearly put away Dober quickly. McKinney has a wrestling background that is often overlooked. The Guru predicts a first-round finish, possibly by submission after hurting Bonfim on the feet. However, he warns that if the fight goes past the first round without Bonfim being hurt, Bonfim may take over.
Zane picks Bonfim because McKinney burns out quickly if he doesn't get an early finish. Bonfim is durable, solid, and has never been knocked out. He notes McKinney's style is unsustainable and he loses after the first round. Bonfim's experience and ability to survive should lead to a win.
Vinc Pichel - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 0 | 64 of 120 | 53% | 76 of 136 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 79 of 182 | 43% | 88 of 191 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 19 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 32 of 70 | 45% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 0 | 31 of 47 | 65% | 33 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 34 of 74 | 45% | 35 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 64 of 120 | 53% | 49 of 102 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 59 of 114 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 79 of 182 | 43% | 32 of 116 | 27 of 43 | 20 of 23 | 74 of 174 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 12 of 24 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 13 of 38 | 34% | 7 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 21 of 49 | 42% | 16 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 32 of 70 | 45% | 12 of 43 | 13 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 31 of 47 | 65% | 26 of 41 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 34 of 74 | 45% | 13 of 43 | 12 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 33 of 71 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-485), Pichel (+370)
Round 1
Twelve years separate the next two competitors, with the younger man a heavy betting favorite. Garcia (16-4, 4-4 UFC) gets a huge pop from the crowd as the first Mexican-born athlete to hit the stage today, while the leisurely paced Pichel (14-4, 7-4 UFC) is showered in boos. The lightweights with a fairly similar amount of combat experience touch gloves before referee Raul Porrata. Pichel keeps his distance early, parrying any incoming fire and letting the energy in favor of Garcia wash over them both. Garcia breaks the silence with a huge overhand right and rips a left to the liver. Pichel responds with a left hook that makes the Mexican fighter back off for a moment, and Garcia measures him with a thudding right hand that makes Pichel have to blink it out repeatedly. Garcia crowds him with a pair of hooks, and he swats away a head kick. Garcia crashes through a low kick to hurl punches, and Pichel keeps a wide berth and stabs out a front kick. Garcia comes up short with haymakers, allowing the elder Pichel to potshot him from a safe distance. When Pichel kicks low, Garcia wings a right hand over the top. Pichel fires back with a vengeance, and Garcia shrugs it off and stays close in front of him but not too close. Garcia scores a single low kick and is jabbed back, and he raises his guard in the nick of time to block an overhand right. Garcia swings wide to the body, forcing Pichel to ricochet off the wall, and he hammers the front leg with a kick. Pichel loads up with a body kick, and Garcia smiles at him and continues to crowd him. Garcia pushes a front kick out of the way to crowd the older fighter, pressing him against the wall while stomping on his toes. Garcia lifts Pichel’s legs up and is about to deposit him to the ground, but Pichel regains his balance. Perhaps in a poor bit of decisionmaking, Pichel spins for a back elbow while tightly pressed to his foe, and this allows Garcia to hit a clean double on him. Garcia rides out the round on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Round 2
The athletes get right back down to business, trading leather early and often. Pichel sneaks in a right hand and slips to the side, and he dips to fire off an uppercut and jogs away to reset. Pichel’s stance switches and awkward movement prevents Garcia from blitzing him on the regular, and he keeps his head on a swivel to not get caught with anything flush. Garcia nevertheless walks him down and blasts him in the face with a crisp right hand, and then chains two more fists behind it. Pichel flashes out his jab, pop pop bang, to keep Garcia from going at him. Pichel pushes off while trying to push his foe’s arm out of the way, and his thumb slides deep into Garcia’s eye socket. Pichel immediately apologizes before Porrata gets between them, and he gives Garcia all the time he needs to recover. Garcia takes it, accepts Pichel’s fervent apology and gets back to walking the aging fighter down. Pichel uses his knee to frame off, and he strings a few punches together behind it. Pichel tosses up a head kick that is blocked in time, and he probes out a right hand before getting his head snapped back with a one-two. Pichel tries to jump his way forward, and he pushes off Garcia’s face and slams his shin on Garcia’s calf. Garcia grimaces and wraps Pichel up in hopes of taking him down. Pichel leans against the wall to keep himself upright, and he postures off and breaks free, where he puts punches and kicks together in rapid succession. Pichel fakes to the body to open up a head shot, and Garcia can only swing big right hands back at him. A few of those get through, and Pichel beans him with a counter overhand right to make him think twice about entering the pocket with his hands low. Pichel comes up swinging with a huge uppercut, and he hand-fights to parry most of the blows aimed at him. Pichel jabs to the head and body, and he splits the guard with a front kick, toes extended towards the target. Garcia lumbers forward swinging heavy leather, and Pichel skirts to the slide and flicks out a few low kicks to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Round 3
Pichel is fired up to start up the last round, and he channels that energy with frenetic punches and kicks that stop Garcia from getting through to him. Pichel strings a few punches together up top, and Garcia clutches his eye as if he was poked. Pichel claims it was a closed fist that did the damage, and he unloads with flying fists until Garcia steels himself and comes back out swinging. Pichel counters the flailing strikes, but he is taking shots to the body and taking heavy breaths. Garcia continues to put everything behind every one of his swings, while Pichel is more than content to jab and prod. When Garcia looks to charge, Pichel pushes him back with jabs and front kicks, but Garcia decides to pour it on and tags Pichel a few times. Pichel rebounds off the fencing and uses his push kick to redden up Garcia’s midsection. Pichel probers out with straight punches until getting tagged, and he starts swinging back with arc on his punches when not mixing in his front kick. Pichel further keeps things interesting by shooting for a takedown, and Garcia just stands before him and smiles at him. A Pichel front kick bumps the cup, and Garcia wants to keep going so it goes uncalled. Pichel loads up on body kicks and walks through three left hands, kicking Garcia constantly while keeping his distance. The leg kicks to the thigh and calf keep landing for “From Hell,” until Garcia is sick of taking them and just lifts Pichel up and deposits him down to the mat like a sack of potatoes. Pichel scoots his way towards the wall in hopes of walking up it, while Garcia tries to smother him and threaten with an arm-triangle choke. Pichel turns to his knees and stands, and Garcia slugs him in the face with numerous unanswered right hands. Pichel frees himself with seconds to go, and he lets Garcia have it with all his remaining energy. Punches, kicks and knees fly every which way until the final horn blares, signaling an end to what turned into an entertaining scrap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
The Official Result
Rafa Garcia def. Vinc Pichel via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Connor picks García, noting his high-output, new-school wrestle-boxing style will overwhelm the aging Pichel. He acknowledges Pichel's toughness and low kicks as potential wrinkles but believes García's pace and boxing will be too much. He is surprised by the wide odds, given García's loss to Chris Gruetzemacher.
Zane picks García, agreeing that his pace and pressure will be decisive. He notes Pichel's old-school style and lack of speed, comparing him to an aged Jan Błachowicz. Zane thinks García's boxing and wrestling defense are solid, and that Pichel's low kicks are a minor threat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 111 of 216 | 51% | 112 of 217 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 61 of 142 | 42% | 64 of 147 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 34 of 66 | 51% | 34 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 18 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 42 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 111 of 216 | 51% | 80 of 176 | 13 of 20 | 18 of 20 | 107 of 209 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 61 of 142 | 42% | 26 of 93 | 14 of 24 | 21 of 25 | 60 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 34 of 66 | 51% | 19 of 47 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 15 | 34 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 47 | 38% | 5 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 36 of 75 | 48% | 29 of 66 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 22 of 54 | 40% | 9 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 41 of 75 | 54% | 32 of 63 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Bonfim, citing his youth, power, and aggressive style against the 41-year-old Pichel who hasn't fought in two years. He references the trend of older fighters getting finished at UFC Vegas 91. He advises betting early before odds move.
Big Brady highlights Bonfim's youth and striking advantage, noting Pichel's age (41) and long layoff as major concerns. He believes Bonfim will stuff takedowns and dominate on the feet, leading to a one-sided decision. He acknowledges Pichel's submission threat but doubts he can implement it.
Cody picks Bonfim, citing his sharp striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He notes Pichel is 41, inactive, and has no submission wins. Cody expects Bonfim to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bonfim by decision, citing his youth, volume striking, and experience despite his age. He notes that Pichel is durable and has low mileage for his age, but Bonfim's boxing and takedown defense should allow him to win minutes on the feet. He believes Bonfim's finishing equity is overrated and that a decision is likely.
Bonfim stumbled in his last fight against Benoit Saint-Denis but is expected to have a better showing against the 41-year-old Pichel, who has been two years away from the cage. Bonfim is the slicker striker and can stay competitive in grappling if Pichel takes it there. His striking will start to chip away at Pichel and allow him to find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul picks Bonfim, highlighting his explosive striking and takedown defense. He notes Pichel's inactivity and age are concerns. Paul expects Bonfim to win but acknowledges Pichel's grit could make it competitive.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Ismael Bonfim, predicting a first-round TKO. He expects Bonfim to push Pichel against the cage and bait him with feints, while noting Pichel's age (41) and over two years of inactivity as key factors. He also mentions Bonfim's good jiu-jitsu and the favorable matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 68 of 123 | 55% | 88 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 39 of 87 | 44% | 57 of 110 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 39 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 24 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 68 of 123 | 55% | 32 of 78 | 21 of 30 | 15 of 15 | 53 of 106 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 6 |
| Vinc Pichel | 39 of 87 | 44% | 27 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 78 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 24 of 50 | 48% | 7 of 25 | 8 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 38 | 47% | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 41 | 53% | 11 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 13 of 34 | 38% | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 32 | 68% | 14 of 24 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 |
| Vinc Pichel | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Mark Madsen despite being surprised that Pichel is the favorite. He notes Madsen's Olympic wrestling background and improved striking, as shown in his win over Clay Guida. He expects Madsen to use takedowns similar to Gregor Gillespie's approach, though he acknowledges Pichel's movement could trouble Madsen on the feet.
Big Brady picks Mark Madsen to win a close decision, likely split. He notes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling should dominate early rounds, but his cardio is a concern as he faded in the third round against Austin Hubbard. Pichel has terrible takedown defense (25%) but is tough and wins the third round. Brady thinks Madsen edges the second round to win.
Cody is on the same page as Paul, picking Pichel. He notes Madsen's wrestling is explosive but lacks top control, leading to gassing. Cody points out Madsen's susceptibility to leg kicks and Pichel's nasty low kick. He thinks Pichel's chaos and pressure will break Madsen, similar to how he broke Austin Hubbard. Cody expects Pichel to win, possibly by decision but hopes for a third-round finish.
Levi believes Mark Madsen is improving with each fight, showing better cardio and striking. He notes Vinc Pichel's takedown defense is not great and that Madsen's wrestling should be a big advantage. He thinks the fight should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is taking Madsen to win a decision by securing the first two rounds.
I think Pichel is the much better striker and has improving wrestling. Madsen needs to get an early finish or he will fade. Pichel has a good gas tank and will wear on Madsen. I see Pichel finding a knockout later in the fight, likely in the third round.
Paul is confident in Pichel, having already bet him at -122 and -127. He notes Madsen's poor cardio and inability to hold opponents down, as seen against Clay Guida. Paul emphasizes Pichel's leg kicks targeting Madsen's lead leg, which Madsen leaves exposed. He predicts Pichel wins by TKO in round 3, as Madsen fades. Paul also likes Pichel round 3 at +1600.
The MMA Guru picks Vinc Pichel, unimpressed by Mark Madsen's grappling. He expects Madsen to win the first round via takedowns but fade, with Pichel's cardio and ability to get up leading to a 29-28 decision. He notes that Pichel beat Austin Hubbard more convincingly than Madsen did.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 71 of 160 | 44% | 96 of 187 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 56 of 152 | 36% | 66 of 171 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 27 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 34 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 24 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 18 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 71 of 160 | 44% | 28 of 108 | 16 of 23 | 27 of 29 | 59 of 145 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 3 |
| Austin Hubbard | 56 of 152 | 36% | 29 of 110 | 17 of 31 | 10 of 11 | 51 of 145 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 21 of 55 | 38% | 4 of 34 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 20 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 22 of 58 | 37% | 9 of 38 | 8 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 27 of 63 | 42% | 11 of 44 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 19 of 52 | 36% | 10 of 36 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 23 of 42 | 54% | 13 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 15 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
| Austin Hubbard | 15 of 42 | 35% | 10 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Vinc Pichel, citing his grappling advantage. He notes Pichel averages 3.83 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy, and believes he will win the grappling exchanges. He is concerned about Pichel's age (38) but thinks his gas tank is fine. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Pichel, having already bet him. He highlights Pichel's cardio, top control, and BJJ black belt, and notes Hubbard's tendency to fade in later rounds. He believes Pichel's wrestling and pressure will be key, and mentions the value on Pichel by submission at 20-1.
Pichel is a grappler who should have success taking Hubbard down, especially by catching Hubbard's kicks. Hubbard has only fought grapplers recently and has struggled. Pichel's age (38) is a concern but he has low fight mileage. I'm picking Pichel by decision, but the moneyline at even odds is fine.
Paul picks Pichel, citing his strong top game and ability to grind out wins. He notes Pichel's slow starts but finishing strong, and Hubbard's susceptibility to takedowns. He mentions Pichel's training at Factory X and believes his cardio will hold up.
The MMA Guru picks Austin Hubbard as an underdog. He cites Hubbard's takedown defense and volume striking as keys. He notes Pichel is 38 and coming off a year layoff, while Hubbard is younger and has shown improvement. He expects Hubbard to win the later rounds via decision, possibly 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 26 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 5:10 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 41 of 78 | 52% | 84 of 124 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 6:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 11 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 39 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:47 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 26 of 42 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 14 of 39 | 35% | 6 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 27 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
| Jim Miller | 41 of 78 | 52% | 27 of 64 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 35 | 9 of 11 | 17 of 32 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 11 of 29 | 37% | 4 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jim Miller | 12 of 24 | 50% | 5 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Jim Miller | 12 of 23 | 52% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Jim Miller | 17 of 31 | 54% | 11 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 12 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Competing atop the preliminary card is the most active fighter in UFC history in Miller (32-14, 1 NC; 21-13, 1 NC UFC) against “From Hell” Pichel (12-2, 5-2 UFC) in the lightweight division. Pichel made his UFC debut in 2012 and this will be his eighth fight with the promotion, while Miller will have competed 23 times in that same span when the night ends. Referee Herb Dean will keep a watchful eye on this preliminary headliner, and there is a touch of gloves before these two get down to it. The two try to find their way in, and Pichel lands first with a left hand. Miller charges back at him and catches him with a left, and nearly clips him with a knee up the middle. Pichel fires back, and lands a body kick. Miller again races towards him with a string of punches, and he ends a combination with a hard leg kick. A sharp uppercut stings Pichel, and Miller tosses a low kick that grazes the cup and halts the action briefly. Miller takes a shot to the cup as well but he fights through it as they swing for the bleachers. Miller walks him down and clinches up, landing a knee to the torso before trying to trip Pichel’s legs out. Miller commits to a single but Pichel keeps them upright, so Miller drills him in the breadbasket with a knee. Miller hacks at him with elbows and pair of knees until Pichel breaks free. Miller flips up a head kick and Pichel blocks it without countering. Miller walks him down with another head kick and a low kick, and Pichel’s hands are by his waist possibly to stop a takedown. The hand position does not help him stuff the takedown that soon follows, and Miller instantly takes Pichel’s back to get his hooks in. “From Hell” tries with all his might to lean to the fence to try to stave off the submission, and he nearly spins out but almost falls into submission danger. Pichel turns about so Miller switches to a guillotine choke, which he uses to take top position as Pichel holds on tight. Miller rolls and traps the calf of his opponent for a calf slicer, but time expires before he can secure a tap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Round 2
They touch gloves at the start of the round, and Pichel rushes in with a head kick but Miller eats it like a sandwich and hits a takedown with relative ease. Miller works him from the top while Pichel scoots back to the fence, and Miller takes the moment to get to half guard and stand up to land some strikes. Pichel kicks off and just misses an upkick, and springs back up to mash Miller against the cage. Pichel changes levels to get Miller down, and his neck is quickly in danger for a guillotine choke. “From Hell” calmly pulls his neck free, and he keeps Miller pressed to the wall while Miller throws his legs up for some submission. Pichel wrests his arms free from what looks like a double armbar, and he steps over into half guard while Miller keeps attacking. Pichel steps over and Miller latches on to a heel hook, and Pichel turns out and nails Miller with a pair of heavy elbows to step into half guard again. Pichel sets up an arm-triangle choke and swipes at Miller’s forehead with a few elbows as he grinds him out. Pichel postures up and lands a punch, but Miller ties him up again. Pichel stays heavy and keeps Miller trapped on his back, landing sporadic punches and racking up control time. Pichel gets off a few more punches as the horn sounds to wrap up the second frame.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Round 3
The two lightweights greet with one final glove touch, and Pichel rings home a right hand and a body kick before setting up a takedown. Miller tries to defend against it, but he falls to his back as Pichel fishes for a kimura. Miller yanks his arm free, but in the process, Pichel advances to side control and drops down a few elbows as Miller attempts to roll for a leg lock. Pichel steps out of it and circles around to take Miller’s back, landing a few punches and securing his hooks. Miller twists and turns as Pichel hunts for a rear-naked choke, and “A-10” powers his way up and around to go after a guillotine choke while Pichel is on his knees. A wild scramble puts Pichel on his back as Miller starts to put a few punches together. Pichel walks up the cage wall to his knee, and Miller frees a trapped leg to take Pichel’s back and drags him down. Pichel rolls along with Miller in that instance to buck Miller off, and Pichel now has Miller’s back. The exciting grappling continues as they both keep scrambling and get back to their feet. Miller presses him to the fence as he looks for a single, allowing Pichel to knee him in the chin. Another knee from Pichel backs Miller out of the clinch, and Pichel walks forward to land some punches before changing levels for a single leg takedown. Miller stuffs it and gets kneed several times. When they separate, Pichel boots him in the head, and Miller shakes off the cobwebs, pulls guard and cinches up a guillotine choke. It is incredibly tight, and Pichel is in a bad way, but he grits it out and pulls his neck out of the rough position. Pichel lands a few hard shots on top to bloody up his opponent, and the final horn concludes this exciting lightweight scrap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
The Official Result
Vinc Pichel def. Jim Miller via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
Big Brady expects Jim Miller to get the fight to the ground and submit Pichel in the first round. He notes Pichel's poor takedown defense and thinks Miller is dangerous early. He sees value on Miller as an underdog.
Daniel Levi leans toward Jim Miller. He thinks Miller is the better fighter and can win a decision if he doesn't empty his gas tank in the first round. He notes that Pichel is a point fighter who doesn't push a high pace, which may not gas Miller out. However, he acknowledges Pichel's toughness and that Miller historically loses when fights go past the first round.
Miller has the jiu-jitsu advantage and can catch Pichel from the bottom or hurt him on the feet. Pichel has ring rust and Miller is active. The fight likely ends inside the distance, with Miller by submission or Pichel by TKO. Miller's submission threat is real, and he has power in his hands. Confidence is low, but Miller gets the nod.
The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller by submission in the first round, citing Miller's recent activity and veteran experience. He believes Pichel fights infrequently and may not be fully committed, while Miller is in shape and has a submission win over a common opponent.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 31 of 87 | 35% | 34 of 90 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 60 of 101 | 59% | 81 of 122 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 5:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 13 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 29 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:35 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 30 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 31 of 87 | 35% | 22 of 75 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 26 of 80 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 60 of 101 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 16 of 26 | 15 of 20 | 26 of 62 | 14 of 16 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 17 of 43 | 39% | 10 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 18 of 29 | 62% | 3 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 20 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 37 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 9 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 35 | 60% | 18 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 14 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 30 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 2 | 0 | 7:51 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 35 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 20 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 10 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 23 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Gillespie | 13 of 26 | 50% | 11 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
| Vinc Pichel | 7 of 22 | 31% | 6 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Gillespie | 8 of 17 | 47% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gregor Gillespie | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Vinc Pichel | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 60 of 186 | 32% | 62 of 188 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 45 of 100 | 45% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 28 of 100 | 28% | 29 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 60 of 186 | 32% | 24 of 135 | 15 of 21 | 21 of 30 | 50 of 174 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 45 of 100 | 45% | 30 of 79 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 44 of 97 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 13 of 38 | 34% | 3 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 19 of 48 | 39% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 8 | 7 of 10 | 17 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 11 of 30 | 36% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 28 of 100 | 28% | 12 of 80 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 23 of 94 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 28 of 54 | 51% | 20 of 44 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Bonfim, citing his youth, power, and aggressive style against the 41-year-old Pichel who hasn't fought in two years. He references the trend of older fighters getting finished at UFC Vegas 91. He advises betting early before odds move.
Big Brady highlights Bonfim's youth and striking advantage, noting Pichel's age (41) and long layoff as major concerns. He believes Bonfim will stuff takedowns and dominate on the feet, leading to a one-sided decision. He acknowledges Pichel's submission threat but doubts he can implement it.
Cody picks Bonfim, citing his sharp striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He notes Pichel is 41, inactive, and has no submission wins. Cody expects Bonfim to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bonfim by decision, citing his youth, volume striking, and experience despite his age. He notes that Pichel is durable and has low mileage for his age, but Bonfim's boxing and takedown defense should allow him to win minutes on the feet. He believes Bonfim's finishing equity is overrated and that a decision is likely.
Bonfim stumbled in his last fight against Benoit Saint-Denis but is expected to have a better showing against the 41-year-old Pichel, who has been two years away from the cage. Bonfim is the slicker striker and can stay competitive in grappling if Pichel takes it there. His striking will start to chip away at Pichel and allow him to find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul picks Bonfim, highlighting his explosive striking and takedown defense. He notes Pichel's inactivity and age are concerns. Paul expects Bonfim to win but acknowledges Pichel's grit could make it competitive.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Ismael Bonfim, predicting a first-round TKO. He expects Bonfim to push Pichel against the cage and bait him with feints, while noting Pichel's age (41) and over two years of inactivity as key factors. He also mentions Bonfim's good jiu-jitsu and the favorable matchup.
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