Manon Fiorot vs Erin Blanchfield

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-250); Jasudavicius (+200)

Round 1
As the main card continues, the victor of this match may be arguably closer than any other on the card—besides perhaps Reinier de Ridder should he get it done—to a title shot. Fiorot (12-2, 7-1 UFC) lost in her last time out vying for it, but a win would go a long way in keeping her right in the conversation. On her way up is Canada’s Jasudavicius (14-3, 8-2 UFC), who might punch her ticket for flyweight gold if she pulls off the upset. Referee Dan Miragliotta—the crowd doesn’t like his assignment—will be the first to know who that winner will be, although he does not want to interfere and stays back as the ladies opt not to bump gloves together.
Fiorot gets right behind her jab, peppering the Canadian right out of the gate by doubling and tripling up on it. Fiorot pecks at Jasudavicius and scoots out of the way, beating the Canadian to the punch repeatedly. The quick punches have already started to have an effect on Jasudavicius’s nose. Jasudavicius sells out with a big right hand, and it skims off the shoulder. Fiorot slips to the side and delivers a sneaky left hand on the way out, and she times a sharp one-two that shocks Jasudavicius down to her core. Jasudavicius’ legs nearly give out beneath her like a baby deer on an icy lake, and Fiorot sees her opening and immediately strikes.
The Frenchwoman drives a knee to the stomach, and she puts another on Jasudavicius’ face as she throws her foe to her seat. Fiorot unleashes a fury of left hands to brutalize Jasudavicius, and with Jasudavicius on her knees reaching out with her left arm to Fiorot’s hip, Miragliotta decides that enough is enough and waves the fight off.
The audience is silenced in an instant, except for Jasudavicius screaming at Miragliotta that she was not out and that she was still fighting back. This is a huge win for Fiorot, not only ending her own stretch of decision wins but destroying the win streak of a promising up-and-comer who would have been a fresh new face for flyweight queen Valentina Shevchenko. Much like Joe Benavidez as the unrelenting gatekeeper to Demetrious Johnson’s historic reign, Fiorot eradicates a rising contender with one of the speediest finishes in women’s flyweight history.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jasmine Jasudavicius R1 1:14 via TKO (Punches)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.

Fiorot wins decision, low fantasy scoring for both

"I think Manon Fiorot wins this fight."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.

"I'm going to say Jasmine wins this fight. Picks up two rounds and wins this fight by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.

Fiorot by decision

"So for me it's a FO pick and a FO by decision."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"I think that that is really where Giussudevisius is going to land here."

MMA Vivisection

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.

"I got to pick man on throw here. Too physical, too much of a better striker, powerful. I don't think she finishes Jazz just cuz Jazz is so effing tough, but I'm picking man on throw here via decision."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.

"I think Fido's perpetual movement, footwork, uh, and her distance striking will cause Jaz Deviscious too many problems."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.

"I think it's a horrible stylistic matchup for her. Um Mopia Rose the side for me."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.

decision win 29-28 or 30-27

"I'm going against Jasudavicius and I'm trusting in Manon Fiorot to get this one done by decision win, 29-28 or 30-27."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"But unfortunately, I think I have to pick Firo."

MMA Vivisection

LOSS vs Valentina Shevchenko

Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko	1	72 of 149	48%	173 of 251	2 of 9	22%	0	0	1:52
Manon Fiorot	0	71 of 160	44%	150 of 239	1 of 12	8%	0	0	7:07

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Valentina Shevchenko	0	19 of 36	52%	57 of 75	1 of 1	100%	1:34
1	Manon Fiorot	0	13 of 32	40%	20 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Valentina Shevchenko	0	8 of 20	40%	21 of 33	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	0	12 of 28	42%	31 of 47	1 of 5	20%	1:59
3	Valentina Shevchenko	0	14 of 28	50%	36 of 50	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 28	50%	29 of 43	0 of 5	0%	1:40
4	Valentina Shevchenko	1	16 of 32	50%	29 of 45	1 of 2	50%	0:18
4	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 33	42%	32 of 51	0 of 2	0%	1:31
5	Valentina Shevchenko	0	15 of 33	45%	30 of 48	0 of 2	0%	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	0	18 of 39	46%	38 of 59	0 of 0	---	1:57

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Valentina Shevchenko	72 of 149	48%	48 of 118	7 of 12	17 of 19	62 of 126	7 of 18	3 of 5
Manon Fiorot	71 of 160	44%	29 of 113	35 of 37	7 of 10	40 of 124	29 of 33	2 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Valentina Shevchenko	19 of 36	52%	15 of 31	0 of 1	4 of 4	18 of 35	0 of 0	1 of 1
1	Manon Fiorot	13 of 32	40%	6 of 25	5 of 5	2 of 2	13 of 32	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	8 of 20	40%	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	12 of 28	42%	7 of 22	4 of 4	1 of 2	5 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 3
3	Valentina Shevchenko	14 of 28	50%	6 of 18	1 of 2	7 of 8	11 of 22	3 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	14 of 28	50%	5 of 16	8 of 10	1 of 2	4 of 18	10 of 10	0 of 0
4	Valentina Shevchenko	16 of 32	50%	10 of 26	1 of 1	5 of 5	14 of 22	0 of 6	2 of 4
4	Manon Fiorot	14 of 33	42%	5 of 23	8 of 8	1 of 2	7 of 25	7 of 8	0 of 0
5	Valentina Shevchenko	15 of 33	45%	12 of 27	2 of 4	1 of 2	14 of 31	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	18 of 39	46%	6 of 27	10 of 10	2 of 2	11 of 30	7 of 9	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

UFC Women’s Flyweight Title Fight: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-148), Shevchenko (+124)

Round 1
For the first time since 2022, champion Shevchenko (24-4-1, 13-3-1 UFC) will be facing a woman not named Grasso. She draws surging Frenchwoman Fiorot (12-1, 7-0 UFC), who could become the first French-born undisputed champion in UFC history—Ciryl Gane won the interim heavyweight strap. To the surprise of some, Fiorot will close as the betting favorite, but when the cage door closes, it’s all between the two flyweights and referee Marc Goddard. They cordially tap their gloves together to make it official. Shevchenko slaps out a leg kick and leans to avoid a head kick, with Fiorot advancing early. Shevchenko pushes her away to score a body kick, and she zips away before another high kick can reach her. Shevchenko clips the challenger with a one-two, who seems surprised by the blows and has to blink them out. Shevchenko blocks a kick to get off a right hand, and she ducks a right hook when Fiorot strikes. Fiorot plants a kick on the lead leg, and she is countered when trying a second. Shevchenko lets Fiorot come in so she can catch her with a check right hook, and Fiorot looks for a kick on the other side. Shevchenko considers changing levels, but ends up blocking a kick and skirting to the side. Shevchenko stands the Frenchwoman up with a right hand, and her low kick continues to find its mark. Shevchenko flicks up a kick to the nose that reddens it up fast, and Fiorot adjusts it. Shevchenko spins with a wheel kick, and Fiorot dodges but cannot get her hands on the champ. Fiorot walks face-first into a right hand, and she bangs her lead leg into her foe’s guard. The right hand from Shevchenko bloodies up Fiorot’s nose, and she stings her again and shakes her up. The nose for the challenger is busted and bleeding badly just three minutes in, and Fiorot ignores it and surges forward. Shevchenko dances easily out of the way to reset, and she is met with a kick that she catches and tackles Fiorot to the ground. Shevchenko lands in half guard, where she lords over her foe and completely controls her. Goddard asks for more action, with Shevchenko content to impose heavy shoulder pressure. Fiorot elbows her opponent in the posterior while Shevchenko lands a few punches, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 2
Fiorot starts the round with her foot flying, and she shoots in for a double. Shevchenko leans against the wall to defend it, and she ducks away to escape. Shevchenko whips a kick up high that starts the bleeding again, and Fiorot promptly wipes her nose. Shevchenko spins with a back kick that slams into her ribs, and she skips away to evade a counter. Fiorot level changes and hits a 5-foot-5 wall that punches her in the face. Fiorot comes up short with a head kick, and she goes after a single that is equally futile. Shevchenko stands and waits for her opponent to come to her, countering her and hitting a trip to put the Frenchwoman on the mat. Fiorot scrambles madly to flip Shevchenko over, and they both get to their feet. Shevchenko beats Fiorot to the punch with her jab repeatedly, and she shoots for a double and cannot quite get it as Fiorot hops around skillfully. Fiorot pushes her foe back to get back to kickboxing range, and she raises up a high kick that gets blocked. Fiorot shoots for a takedown, and Shevchenko sprawls against the wall. Fiorot peels her leg away and grabs her from behind, leaning on the champ and kneeing her to the back of the thigh. Shevchenko spins away, but not before eating an elbow. Fiorot’s head kick cannot find its target, and she times a right hand with a takedown shot. Fiorot uses pure brute force to lift Shevchenko up in the air and dump her down, where she laces her legs around “Bullet” to pin her to her seat. Shevchenko posts off her right arm and barely blocks an illegal knee while she was grounded that Goddard did not see. Shevchenko does not protest, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Goddard issues a hard warning between rounds, having acknowledged the near-foul, and the ladies get back to combat. They trade leg kicks to start, and Shevchenko goes high while Fiorot goes low a second time. Fiorot ignores a head kick that soars past her, and she stands there waiting for more offense to come at her. It is another blockable head kick, and she stuffs a takedown and reaches out with a right hand as Fiorot abandons it. The champ kicks the inside of the lead leg and flicks out a few jabs to get some space, and she nearly gets caught with a high kick. Shevchenko kicks the outer side of the leg, and they crash together when both going for level changes. Fiorot brings up a knee and an elbow, and Shevchenko scores a few jabs. When Fiorot charges, Shevchenko turns to the side and sprints around the cage to reset. Shevchenko shoots for a takedown that is unsuccessful, and she comes up top with a right hand. Fiorot fails on her own takedown effort, and she clinches up to drive four knees to the midsection. Shevchenko misses on a front kick to break, and she proceeds to work the front leg further. Fiorot flails her way in, inaccurate with her approach, and Shevchenko knees her in the face when Fiorot ducks down. This does not deter the Frenchwoman, who looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot scores a knee or two to the inner thigh, and she plants one on the groin that Shevchenko once again does not protest. On the break, Shevchenko busts her foe’s nose open again with a right hand. The jab is soon to follow from the champ, who spins with a powerful back fist that forces Fiorot to shoot. Fiorot uses pure power to elevate her foe, and Shevchenko is able to hop around and keep her balance with the wall at her side. Fiorot knees the back of the leg, and Shevchenko pushes off the cage as Fiorot’s team claim falsely that she grabbed the fence—Goddard replies, “not even close.” Shevchenko pushes off with a punch and a kick, and the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The women meet the championship rounds, and Fiorot is amped up and ready to continue as she pitches kicks and jabs out. Fiorot lands a side kick, and Shevchenko surges forward with two hooks. Shevchenko times a head kick to spin with a wheel kick that nails the challenger on the chin. Fiorot shakes her head, and she has her nose bleeding early with peppery jabs. Fiorot ducks under one in pursuit of a double, and she succeeds in pushing Shevchenko against the cage but no further. Fiorot settles for a few knees up close and personal, and she transitions to a single that Shevchenko thwarts with a few punches up top. Fiorot zips past her foe with offense, and Shevchenko is calm and a cucumber and counters her. Shevchenko tries a quick takedown, and Fiorot backs her off with a knee to the midsection. Shevchenko knees Fiorot and skirts to the side to let the Frenchwoman go past her again, playing the matador. She drills Fiorot with a stern spinning kick to the ribcage, and all Fiorot can do is reset and try to move forward and clinch. Fiorot scores a knee in the tie-up before pushing her to the wall, where she leans heavily on her adversary and scoring a few more knees. Shevchenko breaks free while dodging a knee up the middle, and she kicks the lead leg of her advancing foe. Fiorot leaps forward and is out of range, and Shevchenko times a sneaky takedown to drag Fiorot to her seat. Fiorot rushes back to her feet and starts kneeing the champ in the side. Fiorot manages to get off an elbow in the clinch, and she pushes out a side kick. Fiorot spins with nothing, and Shevchenko counters her with a right hand that sends her flying to the ground. Shevchenko pounces, ending the round in style with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 5
The fifth round has arrived, and it could be split leading into it. Fiorot acknowledges this and fights behind her jab, while Shevchenko shifts to the side and keeps moving. Fiorot chases her down and knees her once in the belly before tying her up, and she looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot whiffs with an elbow on the break, and a high kick grazes her chin on the way out. Shevchenko counters her over the top with a left hand, and Fiorot bites down on her mouthpiece and slings leather back her direction. Shevchenko ducks a few punches to change levels, and Fiorot stonewalls her and shoves her back. Shevchenko smacks the front leg with a kick, continuously moving and blasting Fiorot with a spinning back fist. Fiorot is tough as a stale baguette, and she pushes forward into the clinch. Shevchenko breaks away and kicks her in the side. Shevchenko pecks out a jab, and she leaps forward with a Superwoman punch and a level change. Fiorot turns her about and pushes her to the wall, but she cannot keep the champ there. Fiorot fakes a spin, and she is at least a foot away from a head kick. Shevchenko connects with a punch, and Fiorot darts towards her with a short punch salvo before clinching up again. Fiorot knees her in the belly and leans on her, winding up with distance to plant the knees on the thigh. Fiorot sneaks around to grab the back of the champion, who spins around with a right hand as Fiorot tosses a head kick at her. Shevchenko counters a kick with a right hand, and her one-two comes up short. Her second lands, but not before Fiorot scores too. Shevchenko dings the challenger with a spinning back fist, and Fiorot pays her back with a knee and an elbow. Shevchenko knees back, and she aims a head kick at the bell. They go the distance, and the scores could go either way. Both women put their hands in the air after 25 minutes of fairly evenly-matched combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko (48-47 Shevchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot to become the new champion, citing her size, power, takedown defense, and striking. He acknowledges Valentina Shevchenko's evolution into wrestling but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and power will be too much. He thinks Fiorot controls the striking and keeps the fight on her feet.

"Mannon Fau is going to be the pick. I think she controls the striking. I think she keeps a fight on her feet and I think she becomes the new strawweight world champion."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady is hesitant but leans Fiorot. He notes Fiorot's high-volume striking, elite takedown defense (93%), and physical strength. He acknowledges Shevchenko looked great against Grasso but questions if that was due to Grasso's poor performance. He thinks Fiorot's movement and the big cage help her, and she can defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision win for Fiorot.

"I am going to go with Man on Fior to win a a close and competitive decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Connor picks Valentina Shevchenko, agreeing with Zane that she is a master of distance management. He notes that Fiorot's wrestling has not been tested against someone like Shevchenko, who has developed new takedown entries. Connor believes that Fiorot's game is not dynamic enough to exploit any potential age-related decline in Shevchenko.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The host notes Shevchenko has been an underdog three times in the UFC and is 3-0 in those fights, expecting her to go 4-0. He believes she will compete in striking but ultimately use her clinch and grappling to dictate the pace and win on the scorecards.

"Shvchenko has already come into the UFC as an underdog three times, and she's 3-0 in those matchups."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Shevchenko, believing she is being disrespected as an underdog. He notes her championship experience, reach advantage, and recent dominant win over Grasso. He questions Fiorot's performance against Rose Namajunas, who fought with a broken hand, and thinks Shevchenko's technical striking and adjustments will win her a decision.

decision

"I'm going to go with Valentina Chevhenko getting this one done by decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Zane picks Valentina Shevchenko, arguing that she is a master of distance management and preventative footwork, making it incredibly difficult for opponents to get into range. He notes that Fiorot's striking has structural flaws, with her chin rising and feet squaring when she commits. Zane believes that if Fiorot wins, it will be more a sign of Shevchenko's age than Fiorot's skill.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Erin Blanchfield

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	130 of 386	33%	135 of 394	0 of 3	0%	1	0	0:48
Erin Blanchfield	0	172 of 359	47%	181 of 369	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:53

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	22 of 60	0 of 0	---	1	0:27
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	30 of 59	1 of 1	100%	0	0:46
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	22 of 78	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	27 of 62	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	24 of 69	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	29 of 70	0 of 0	---	0	0:05
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	38 of 99	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	47 of 86	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	29 of 88	0 of 0	---	0	0:21
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	48 of 92	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	130 of 386	33%	80 of 318	25 of 40	25 of 28	124 of 371	6 of 15	0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield	172 of 359	47%	143 of 321	18 of 25	11 of 13	167 of 346	5 of 13	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	14 of 48	3 of 6	4 of 4	21 of 55	0 of 3	0 of 0
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	25 of 52	2 of 2	1 of 3	25 of 53	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	11 of 64	6 of 8	4 of 5	19 of 70	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	18 of 50	6 of 8	3 of 3	26 of 57	1 of 4	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	15 of 52	6 of 11	3 of 5	21 of 65	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	24 of 64	3 of 4	2 of 2	29 of 68	0 of 2	0 of 0
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	22 of 81	8 of 10	7 of 7	37 of 97	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	40 of 78	3 of 4	3 of 3	46 of 83	0 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	18 of 73	2 of 5	7 of 7	26 of 84	1 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	36 of 77	4 of 7	2 of 2	41 of 85	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Blanchfield (-192), Fiorot (+160)

Round 1
A possible shot at the flyweight title is on the line here as Blanchfield and Fiorot bring their dueling six-fight Octagon winning streaks into the “UFC Atlantic City” main event. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Fiorot is southpaw, Blanchfield orthodox. Fiorot sticks out the jab early. Blanchfield throws a body kick, but takes a lefty counter upstairs. Fiorot changes levels, hoists Blanchfield into the air and slams her to the canvas. Blanchfield grabs a guillotine and it’s tight. Fiorot tries to get out of Blanchfield’s guard and to safety, and Blanchfield gets to her feet, still holding the choke. They fight out the position against the cage, Fiorot fighting the hands as Blanchfield tries to tighten the choke. Blanchfield finally gives up on the submission and they split and reset in the middle of the cage. Fiorot works with the jab again, keeping the shorter woman on the outside. Blanchfield throws a high kick that glances off the chest and arms of Fiorot. Blanchfield backs Fiorot up to the fence with a string of punches, then grabs a body lock and tries to take her down. She can’t get the takedown, and eats a sharp right hand on the break. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Blanchfield bounces into range, trying to get past Fiorot’s jab, but Fiorot is wise to it. Blanchfield throws a body kick that glances off the arms. Blanchfield steps in and uses a body lock and trip to take Fiorot down. She succeeds, but Fiorot uses muscle and balance to sweep her and land on top, then stands and makes Blanchfield follow. Fiorot lands a karate-style side kick to the lead leg of Blanchfield, stopping her forward progress. Blanchfield steps in and grabs another body lock, and again Fiorot just kind of muscles her away. Fiorot steps inside a punch to clinch, then throws a knee as they separate. Blanchfield is relentless in her forward movement, but Fiorot is doing a brilliant job so far of using jabs and low kicks to keep her outside, or collapsing the distance and clinching when she gets in. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Blanchfield swings her way into the pocket and lands a couple of punches. Fiorot makes some space between them and meets Blanchfield’s next entry with a downward low kick. Blanchfield shoves into the clinch, and Fiorot simply tosses her by, throwing her toward the fence. Blanchfield draws a jab out of Fiorot and counters with a nice straight. Blanchfield is finding some success landing her right hand over Fiorot’s left. Blanchfield charges in, and once again Fiorot just kind of flings her on her way. Blanchfield spins down to one knee before turning to re-engage. Blanchfield is bleeding from a small cut outside her left eye, though the blood is thankfully not running into the eye. Blanchfield clinches, and while Fiorot shucks her off, Blanchfield connects with a nice short right on the way out. Under a minute to go, and the Atlantic City crowd is audibly restive. Fiorot meets a Blanchfield charge with a hard knee up the middle. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The main event rounds open with Blanchfield again coming forward aggressively, swinging hooks with both hands. Again, Fiorot meets her calmly with the jab and leg kick. Blanchfield, perhaps knowing that she needs to do something big, throws caution to the wind, charging into the pocket and swinging away. Fiorot gives ground, her composure momentarily shaken, and Blanchfield lands a couple of solid punches. They clinch and Fiorot grabs a body lock, considers hoisting Blanchfield for another slam, but can’t complete it and they separate. Two minutes to go in the round and Blanchfield is still the aggressor, but Fiorot is back to managing the distance and keeping the shorter woman on the outside. With under 30 seconds to go, Fiorot catches Blanchfield coming in with a kick to the body, stopping her in her tracks. The 10-second clapper sounds, and neither woman lands anything of substance before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 5
Blanchfield’s corner sends her back out with the instruction, “You need a f***in’ finish,” mirroring our scorecards here at Sherdog. Blanchfield comes out throwing with abandon, and lands a head kick that staggers the Frenchwoman. Fiorot recovers quickly, but damage was done. Fiorot enters the pocket and Fiorot shoves her with both hands, dropping her to her seat. Blanchfield is trying to walk Fiorot down, perhaps corral her against the fence, but Fiorot is wise to it and continues to dominate the distance battle. Fiorot’s lead left hook is finding the American’s head on the entry or exit from almost every exchange. Blanchfield marches forward, but Fiorot meets her with a one-two that snaps her head back. Blanchfield pushes through, clinches and shoves Fiorot into the cage with under a minute left. They disengage and Fiorot, far from sitting on her lead, throws a flying knee at the oncoming Blanchfield. Blanchfield misses with a high kick and Fiorot throws a spinning attack that ends in a collision. The final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Erin Blanchfield via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot but is not very confident. He cites Fiorot's striking power and 91% takedown defense, contrasting with Blanchfield's poor takedown attempts in her last fight. He worries that Blanchfield's toughness and forward pressure could trouble Fiorot. He notes underdogs have won 66% of main events in 2024.

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision, taking the underdog. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance. He favors Fiorot in the striking early, but worries about Blanchfield's pressure and grappling later. He notes Blanchfield's takedown accuracy is low and Fiorot's takedown defense is elite. Brady expects a split decision where Fiorot does better work early.

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody sees Fiorot as a live underdog due to her takedown defense and counter-striking. He notes Blanchfield's recent struggles with takedowns (0 for 14 against Santos) and believes Fiorot can keep the fight standing and outpoint her. However, he admits it's more of a price play and not a high-confidence pick.

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Vreeland picks Manon Fiorot at plus money, stating he bet her at +170. He believes Fiorot is very disciplined, won't get carried away, and can frustrate Blanchfield by staying on the feet and using her movement. He notes that Fiorot has survived takedowns before (e.g., against Jennifer Maia) and that Blanchfield's wrestling isn't elite. He acknowledges Blanchfield's submission threat but thinks Fiorot can avoid being finished and win a decision.

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

James sees this as a 50/50 fight due to the unknowns of whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Andrade. He notes Blanchfield's grappling is elite but her striking defense is poor, while Andrade has one-punch power and strong clinch work. He leans Blanchfield because of her youth and potential to get takedowns in later rounds, but is not confident. He mentions Blanchfield at +150 offers value.

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot's takedown defense and movement are key; she has only been controlled for 1:40 in 77 minutes of UFC cage time. Blanchfield's takedown success has plummeted (2 of 22 in last 4 fights), and she gets hit often. Fiorot's lateral movement and ability to pivot off Blanchfield's entries should allow her to land straight shots and avoid prolonged grappling. The fight resembles Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman where the wrestler fails on takedowns and eats damage. Fiorot by decision is the most likely outcome, though the last two rounds could be close.

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves

"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody that Fiorot is a live underdog, citing Blanchfield's takedown struggles and Fiorot's technical striking. He mentions the close fight with Rose Namajunas as a reference but admits he doesn't feel great about it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The host picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He believes Blanchfield's takedown attempts and aggression will be key, especially in a five-round fight. He notes that Fiorot may struggle to stuff takedowns over five rounds and that Blanchfield is willing to shoot repeatedly. He also sees opportunities for Blanchfield to take Fiorot's back when Fiorot turns after combinations. He predicts a 49-46 decision, with Blanchfield losing one round.

decision win, 49-46

"I'm going to go with Aon blanchfield I think she'll be able to push and also I watched back her fight with Jessica and dra it wasn't what I remember... I'm actually going to pick blanchfield by decision 4946"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Rose Namajunas

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	58 of 225	25%	62 of 232	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:24
Rose Namajunas	0	60 of 150	40%	60 of 152	0 of 6	0%	0	0	0:25

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	18 of 89	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	23 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	23 of 75	0 of 1	0%	0:24
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	15 of 41	0 of 2	0%	0:12
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	21 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	22 of 54	0 of 2	0%	0:13

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	58 of 225	25%	39 of 197	15 of 22	4 of 6	53 of 214	4 of 10	1 of 1
Rose Namajunas	60 of 150	40%	32 of 107	15 of 26	13 of 17	59 of 148	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	14 of 82	2 of 4	2 of 2	18 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	11 of 37	4 of 8	8 of 11	23 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	11 of 55	7 of 11	1 of 3	17 of 62	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	10 of 31	4 of 8	1 of 1	14 of 38	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	14 of 60	6 of 7	1 of 1	18 of 64	2 of 3	1 of 1
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	11 of 39	7 of 10	4 of 5	22 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-185), Namajunas (+154)

Round 1
The bout that likely holds the greatest immediate title implications today comes in the co-main event, between two flyweights. Competing in MMA on French soil for the first time, Nice-born Fiorot (10-1, 5-0 UFC) hopes that a win over former champ Namajunas (11-5, 9-4 UFC) will propel her to the top of the weight class. On the other side of the equation, “Thug Rose” will be making her first jaunt to 125 pounds after multiple championship reigns down at strawweight. The size difference is not as significant as some might expect, and the women will have upwards of 15 minutes to state their case as elite members of the division. As referee Rich Mitchell stands by, the two ladies decide against bumping fists. Namajunas snaps out a quick right hand, and Fiorot responds with a left. Namajunas lands a low kick, and she pushes off with a side kick as Fiorot crowds her. Namajunas misses with a back fist, and Fiorot lands with a stern right hook. Fiorot stands fearlessly in front of her opponent, and she misses with a one-two and tries to catch her with a second. Namajunas slides to the side and sneak out a left hook. Fiorot catches Namajunas before the former champ can get off a combination, and she connects with a body shot when Namajunas closes the distance. Namajunas kicks low and shoots for a single, and the Frenchwoman tosses her aside with little effort. Fiorot keeps her range with a low kick and lunging jab, and her kicks are successfully keeping Namajunas at bay. Fiorot gets off a jab and a one-two, and Namajunas parries the latter. Namajunas beats Fiorot to the punch with a left hand, and she lands this same punch two more times. Namajunas kicks the lead leg, and Fiorot backs her off with short combinations of punches. Namajunas lands one kick and takes three punches off the top before she can reset. Namajunas manages to get in a single left, and Fiorot ignores it. Fiorot misses with a strike, and Namajunas slips her and connects cleanly with a left hand. As the former champ blocks a kick, she meanders forward and evades the other strikes with decent head movement. Namajunas drops down to her knees to snatch up a single, and Fiorot shuts it down and gets away. Fiorot lands cleanly with a left hand on the nose, and she bats Namajunas away with a side kick. The round ends with Fiorot jabbing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Between rounds, Namajunas informs her corner that she broke her right pink finger, and partner Pat Barry says “that’s alright, you don’t need her finger.” Namajunas is not discouraged despite the potential injury, and she is ready to resume action. Namajunas gets in Fiorot’s face early with a flurry of punches, and Fiorot stays composed and does not take many strikes cleanly. Fiorot boxes Namajunas up with a few shots ending with a short right hook, and two punches send Namajunas off-balance. Namajunas topples over, and she climbs to her knees and up as Fiorot rushes at her. Namajunas fights her way out of the clinch, only to absorb a flush knee to the body. Namajunas swipes out with a left, and her strikes do not have near the impact compared to her opponent’s – and the size difference does appear to be widening the competitive gap between the two. Fiorot takes a hook kick on the nose, and she leans back to dodge a subsequent spinning wheel kick in the nick of time. Fiorot spams punches, and Namajunas evades every single one and comes back with a right hand over the top. Fiorot times a head kick as Namajunas comes in on her, and Namajunas is able to respond with a huge right hand that shakes Fiorot up at the same time Fiorot tosses a side kick. Namajunas uses the moment to pursue a takedown, but Fiorot outmuscles her and keeps herself upright before breaking free. Namajunas lands a right hand on the break, and she holds her guard high to defend against a kick. Both women swing at the same time and duck down, and their heads clack together as a sizeable cut opens on Fiorot’s right temple. Fiorot pays it no mind and tells Mitchell she is fine, and the blood flow is not presenting any issues. Namajunas times a left hand on that target, and she gets pushed back from a side kick. Fiorot sweeps the leg, and she absorbs a good right hand on the way out. Namajunas scores a short left, but Fiorot lands two back at her. Namajunas swings hard, and she does land a left hook, only for Fiorot to completely ignore it as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
There is no plan on a glove touch to start the last round, and instead Namajunas is ready to go to battle and try to pull off a comeback. Namajunas lets go with a head kick and shoots for a single, and Fiorot blocks the former and stuffs the latter. Namajunas resets and chops at the lead leg, and she darts forward with a pair of punches that whiz past the Frenchwoman. Namajunas whips a left hand over the top, and she lands another before changing levels. Fiorot will not allow herself to be taken down, and she bucks out of the posture and gets back to kickboxing range. Fiorot gets off a stomp kick to the knee, and Namajunas rushes at her opponent only to miss wide. Namajunas sticks Fiorot during an exchange, and Fiorot retaliates with a trio of punches. Fiorot comes up just short when trying to counter a leg kick, and she absorbs a flush right hand but keeps on moving. The former champ scores a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Fiorot is well away from any strikes that could possibly follow. Fiorot snipes with her jab and swiping right hook, using it to stop Namajunas from getting on the inside. Namajunas chases after Fiorot, and they trade head kicks – Fiorot’s lands much harder. Namajunas tries to cut off the cage, but Fiorot is elusive and her timing is erratic enough to not let Namajunas track her down. Namajunas dings her foe with three left hooks, and Fiorot slips but gathers herself and leans back against the wall instead of falling down. Namajunas looks for a few strikes, and Fiorot breaks off and escapes. Namajunas continues her pursuit, and Fiorot gets out of danger and watches a spin kick soar past her as time elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Rose Namajunas via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo is confident Manon Fiorot dominates, citing her size, power, and volume. He notes Rose Namajunas is moving up in weight and lacks volume compared to Manon. He points out Manon has landed more strikes in each of her last five wins than Rose did in five-round fights. He has parlayed Manon with Ange Loosa.

parlayed with Ange Loosa for plus money

"I think mannon dominates this fight... I have parlayed her with Ange loosa for some plus money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot, citing her size, strength, power, and volume advantage over the smaller Namajunas moving up from strawweight. He doubts Rose can outgrapple, outvolume, or knock out Fiorot. He expects Fiorot to win a decision, though he acknowledges Rose's striking talent and calls it an interesting test.

"in terms of a pick I'm gonna pick Fiora to win this fight... fioro does get it done and get it done here by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot due to size and strength advantages at flyweight, and questions Rose's motivation after a lackluster performance against Esparza. He notes Rose's striking advantages were not used in that fight and she has been off for a year. Fiorot's kicking game and French crowd support are key factors. Cody sees Rose's offensive wrestling as a potential path but doubts she can take down or hold down a strong flyweight.

"the pick will be minnow Fiero for me"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, arguing that Fiorot's elusive, outside-fighting style will frustrate Rose Namajunas, who thrives in pocket boxing exchanges. He believes Fiorot will use sidekicks and movement to keep Rose at range, preventing her from letting her hands go. Levi dismisses the size narrative, stating that Fiorot is not a pressure grappler so the weight class difference is irrelevant. He expects a clear 30-27 decision, noting that Fiorot has a history of outpointing tough opponents like Mayra Bueno Silva.

Fiorot by decision

"I think Manon fioro is going to be on the outside and she's gonna make rose now my units come to her... I think she's gonna frustrate her and I see her 30-27 here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)

Manon Fiorot

Lucrative James is on Fiorot, having bet on her almost every fight. He thinks Fiorot is legit, top-five material, and that Rose is meeting her at the wrong time. He notes Rose's mental issues, long layoff, career-worst performance, and step up in weight. He believes Fiorot is bigger and stronger, and that Rose hasn't been finished except by Carla Esparza long ago. He likes Fiorot by points at +140, as he doesn't see a finish.

Manon Fiorot by decision (+140)

"I like Pharrell here and I like ferovia points at plus 140. I think that's a good bet."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

I'm leaning with Fiorot here. She has great takedown defense and a dynamic striking style with power and volume. Rose is a wild card mentally and may struggle with the weight cut to flyweight. Fiorot's footwork and ability to stay at distance should allow her to land significant strikes. However, I don't have a boatload of confidence because Rose has the experience advantage and could potentially get takedowns if she closes the distance. I think Fiorot wins by decision.

"I'm gonna lean with hero here you know she's gonna have a two inch height Advantage uh uh just an inch reach Advantage but I think it's mainly the power in which he throws and her comfortability in the Striking …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul also picks Fiorot, emphasizing her size and strength advantage. He doubts Rose's motivation and notes her inability to engage against Esparza. Paul thinks Rose's offensive wrestling could be a factor but that Fiorot's takedown defense and submission defense are solid. He expects a striking affair where Fiorot's speed and kicking game prevail, likely by decision (29-28 or 30-27).

"I'm gonna go firo five round fight... at least 29 28 hopefully a 30 27."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by TKO, citing her physicality and dangerous stand-up, while Rose Namajunas appears mentally checked out. He notes Rose's lack of activity, her poor performance against Carla Esparza, and her loss in a grappling match. He believes Fiorot will overwhelm Rose with a flurry of punches in round one.

"I'm going with man on Fiora TKO is my prediction I think Rose is checked out of the game"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Katlyn Cerminara

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	76 of 286	26%	76 of 286	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
Katlyn Cerminara	0	98 of 279	35%	99 of 280	1 of 2	50%	0	0	0:14

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	25 of 86	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	29 of 84	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	23 of 94	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	43 of 95	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	28 of 106	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	27 of 101	1 of 2	50%	0:14

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	76 of 286	26%	35 of 223	21 of 40	20 of 23	72 of 278	4 of 8	0 of 0
Katlyn Cerminara	98 of 279	35%	58 of 225	16 of 28	24 of 26	96 of 273	2 of 5	0 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	13 of 65	5 of 12	7 of 9	25 of 84	0 of 2	0 of 0
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	15 of 64	4 of 10	10 of 10	29 of 82	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	12 of 74	5 of 14	6 of 6	21 of 91	2 of 3	0 of 0
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	29 of 76	7 of 12	7 of 7	43 of 95	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	10 of 84	11 of 14	7 of 8	26 of 103	2 of 3	0 of 0
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	14 of 85	5 of 6	7 of 9	24 of 96	2 of 3	0 of 1

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo leans Manon Fiorot, citing her superior striking, power, and takedowns. He acknowledges that Katlyn Chookagian knows how to win decisions and could steal a close fight, but believes Fiorot should be better everywhere. He advises no money or parlays on Fiorot.

"I am gonna pick man in here because she should literally be better absolutely anywhere but if anyone is going to steal a decision on this card it is Caitlyn chikagian"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot to win by decision. He highlights Fiorot's power advantage and ability to mix in takedowns, noting she took down black belts Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva. Cerminara has low striking accuracy (35%) and poor takedown defense (54%). He believes Fiorot can land the more impactful shots and control the fight on the ground if needed.

"I like Fiora here quite a bit I like her to win by decision I don't really see a finish in this fight"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is sold on Fiorot, calling her the best in the division not named Valentina. He notes her speed, power, and complete game, and that she has been rolling through opponents. He thinks Chookagian's volume lacks impact and that Fiorot is better in every aspect. Cody expects Fiorot to win and eventually challenge for the title.

"I think fioros the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Katlyn Cerminara

Connor picks Cerminara, believing she has improved her boxing and ability to create memorable contact, making her a consistent round winner. He notes that Fiorot is often one-and-done with her striking and leaves openings, which Cerminara can exploit. He sees this as a natural gatekeeper role for Cerminara against a rising prospect.

"I think I'm gonna pick Chookagian. I think she's found her role as the gatekeeper to the elite in this division."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He thinks Fiorot can match or surpass Katlyn Cerminara's volume while minimizing strikes absorbed, citing Fiorot's 70% defense. He notes Fiorot has takedown defense and has landed takedowns herself. Levi respects Cerminara's experience and ability to win decisions, but believes Fiorot is the more promising fighter with fewer holes. He does not see value at -215 but picks Fiorot to pass this test.

Picks Fiorot by decision.

"my official pick is going to be uh manofio decision"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot does the same thing as Chookagian but with more power and efficiency. She has good takedown defense and can redirect momentum. Chookagian may try to grapple, but Fiorot is stronger in the clinch. Fiorot by decision at -110 is a better line than the moneyline.

Fiorot by decision at -110

"give me fiod give me fiod by decision which is -110 much better line than a money line"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul likely picks Fiorot but is not confident, noting that it could be a close striking battle. He mentions Chookagian's experience and that Fiorot is still improving. Paul thinks Fiorot should win but acknowledges it could be a split decision.

"likely rules but I can't say I got a whole lot of confidence in this one"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) by TKO. He believes Fiorot's stand-up is superior and that she will hurt Chookagian with body kicks, then swarm for a TKO. He notes Chookagian's tendency for close decisions and Fiorot's youth and improvement.

TKO

"I'm actually going to go over TKO for man on Fiora here"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her size, power, and ability to make Cerminara uncomfortable. He notes that Cerminara has struggled against good athletes who can get to her, and Fiorot's strength and reach will pose problems. He acknowledges it's a coin flip but leans on Fiorot's power and the fact that Cerminara's recent wins have been against smaller opponents.

"I'm going to pick Manon Fiorot. I think that the fight is ripe for Chookagian to play spoiler, but I still don't trust her to pull that off against somebody who can match her for size and speed."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Jennifer Maia

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	37 of 121	30%	56 of 141	1 of 4	25%	0	0	1:16
Jennifer Maia	0	83 of 138	60%	101 of 157	2 of 4	50%	0	0	2:37

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	16 of 57	0 of 0	---	0:09
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	34 of 68	0 of 1	0%	0:16
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	23 of 39	1 of 2	50%	0:28
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	37 of 43	2 of 3	66%	2:12
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	17 of 45	0 of 2	0%	0:39
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	30 of 46	0 of 0	---	0:09

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	37 of 121	30%	23 of 103	9 of 13	5 of 5	30 of 111	6 of 9	1 of 1
Jennifer Maia	83 of 138	60%	40 of 91	24 of 28	19 of 19	76 of 131	2 of 2	5 of 5

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	9 of 48	5 of 7	2 of 2	14 of 53	2 of 4	0 of 0
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	13 of 46	11 of 12	10 of 10	32 of 66	2 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	5 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 18	1 of 1	1 of 1
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	13 of 18	3 of 3	3 of 3	14 of 19	0 of 0	5 of 5
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	9 of 35	4 of 6	3 of 3	13 of 40	3 of 4	0 of 0
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	14 of 27	10 of 13	6 of 6	30 of 46	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Jennifer Maia

Round 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.

"i like manafort to come in here throw hands get the job done so mayna ferreau is the pick"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.

Manon Fiorot wins by decision

"You gotta go fiora here... I will take man if you were to win I'll take her to win by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i think that fioro fights the exact same game plan"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

Fiorot by decision, pass on betting due to price

"I think that this is one more on the win column for the hot prospect manon fiore"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.

Fiorot inside the distance

"i think fyro is worth the minus 400 shock in this spot because i think she'll do a good job in terms of keeping this fight standing"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i see fioro winning a a very convincing 30-27 decision"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.

"i'm gonna go with man on fiora over jessica i or jennifer meyer"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	91 of 267	34%	112 of 291	2 of 6	33%	0	0	4:05
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	48 of 111	43%	92 of 156	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:04

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	30 of 102	1 of 1	100%	0:30
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	20 of 43	0 of 0	---	0:03
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	36 of 93	0 of 2	0%	1:16
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	56 of 83	0 of 0	---	0:01
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	46 of 96	1 of 3	33%	2:19
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	16 of 30	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	91 of 267	34%	47 of 218	37 of 42	7 of 7	79 of 245	4 of 8	8 of 14
Mayra Bueno Silva	48 of 111	43%	13 of 55	21 of 32	14 of 24	39 of 100	7 of 9	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	13 of 82	12 of 13	4 of 4	28 of 95	0 of 2	1 of 2
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	0 of 11	8 of 13	9 of 15	16 of 38	0 of 0	1 of 1
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	16 of 69	11 of 15	0 of 0	24 of 80	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	7 of 25	8 of 13	3 of 7	14 of 39	4 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	18 of 67	14 of 14	3 of 3	27 of 70	1 of 2	7 of 12
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	6 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 2	9 of 23	3 of 3	1 of 1

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Round 1
A pair of flyweights with seven wins and one defeat but vastly different styles will meet in the Octagon next, when the surging French striker Fiorot (7-1, 2-0 UFC) battles Brazilian submission specialist Silva (16-2-1, 4-1 UFC). High 86% finish rates for each woman will be tested as they get ready for battle, and referee Chris Tognoni could have his hands full in this 125-pound tilt. There is no glove touch to get things started, and instead, Fiorot begins with a leg kick. Silva returns fire with a body kick and a right hand, and she is warned for her outstretched fingers already. Silva looks to sweep the leg, but the Frenchwoman is out of the way and jumps in with a solid one-two. Silva continues to miss with low leg kicks, and Fiorot drills her in the midsection with a side kick. A few punches get through from Fiorot, who side kicks the body, strings a few more punches together and once more kicks the body with a strike from traditional martial arts. Silva has a loud calf kick get off, and Fiorot kiais and connects with four or five punches. Silva puts her hands up to shrug after she blocks strikes, which allows Fiorot to kick her in the side. Fiorot connects with another such kick, and Silva again motions that it did not hurt. The showboating does not stop Fiorot from landing cleanly on her, and Silva’s offense is limited to single leg strikes. Fiorot hops out of the way from one and lands a few punches, with a side kick to end it that sends Silva flying to the ground. Silva climbs back up and high-fives her opponent for the strike. Fiorot has a few punches and a side kick get through, with this side kick to the body her most effective strike. Silva loads up on a body kick of her own, but Fiorot is there to keep her fists in her foe’s face. Silva gives chase, but Fiorot’s combinations keep her guessing and slow her down. Silva has a body and then head kick get through and up, and she gets chewed up with a few punches that have marked the top of her face up. The Brazilian continues to signal that the strikes mean nothing to her, but Fiorot’s volume is adding up quickly while Silva is content to throw single strikes. As Silva swipes at her opponent, the Frenchwoman changes things up entirely by hitting a clean takedown and putting Silva flat on her back. As Fiorot lands ground-and-pound, Silva attacks an armbar and then a kneebar. The subsequent submission try trips Fiorot up so that she falls to the ground, and Silva lords over her with a few leg kicks before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
While Silva marches out to start the round, Fiorot lands first and often. Seven punches connect for the Frenchwoman before Silva is able to respond. As she chains punches together, Fiorot dives in for a takedown. Silva is able to stuff it and stand back up, and they press up against one another in the clinch. As Fiorot grinds, her shoulder lifts the top up of the Brazilian, and Tognoni is right there to stop the action briefly to allow her to reset it before any inadvertent exposures occur. Fiorot ties up the leg and tries to trip her foe down, but bails on it to knee the thigh a few times. Tognoni asks them to stay busy as they are stuck against the fence, and before long, he intervenes to separate them. Fiorot is quick to thank Tognoni for this split by landing several punches. Silva connects back and marks Fiorot’s face up, and she signals that she has Fiorot stung. Fiorot returns fire with punches and side kicks, and Silva is loading up on counter strikes. A faked side kick allows Fiorot to go over the top with punches, as she mixes things up and lands mostly on the guard of her foe. Silva gets off a right hand that makes Fiorot grimace, and Fiorot grabs hold of her to knee before backing off to get back to combination striking. The power of Silva is far in her favor, but she lands few and far between while Fiorot is beating her to the punch early and often. Silva puts her hands behind her back to signal that Fiorot’s shots mean nothing to her, and Fiorot does not buy in and keeps to her gameplan of punches up top and side kicks to the breadbasket. Every strike from Fiorot is bolstered by a kiai, furthering the impact and emphasis of the blows, and Silva again mocks her by putting her hands behind her back. Fiorot kicks her in the chest, and the punches from the Frenchwoman have also marked Silva’s face up. There is no single punch thrown from Fiorot, and instead three or four each time. Fiorot circles on the outside and gets a head kick up that knocks Silva back and surprises her. Fiorot keeps kicking the body, and Silva rocks her with a right hand suddenly. Right before the bell, the Brazilian looks to finish the job with a head kick, but it goes over the head and brushes the hair to conclude the second frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The two flyweights meet in the middle, and a pair of one-twos come from Fiorot to begin. Fiorot chains a side kick to a left hand into a single leg takedown try. Silva looks to latch on to her, but she bails on it to kick the rear leg and wobble Fiorot’s legs. Another leg kick flusters Fiorot, and Silva marches forward with a head kick to follow. Fiorot connects to the body with yet another unanswered, unblocked sidekick, and she strings a few punches into a double leg try. The Frenchwoman lifts Silva up in the air and slams her hard on the mat, where she immediately claims half guard out of most submission danger. Fiorot delivers a few punches and elbows that bloody the nose up of the Brazilian, and she steps over to side control as she rains down punches. A few shots land to the back of the head, and she is warned for these and adjusts when Silva rolls to her back. Silva scores a powerful upkick that dislodges Fiorot’s mouthpiece, and her gumshield gets stuck between the corner of the floor and the fence, taking a few seconds to recover it. When they resume, Fiorot is ready for battle, as she lands punches and a flying knee while Silva wags her tongue at her. As the Brazilian continues to showboat instead of throw effective offense, Fiorot’s striking numbers are racking up as are her takedown attempts. The Frenchwoman leans heavily into Silva on the wire, while Silva’s nose leaks blood on her foe’s blonde locks. Silva tries to explode out of the position, or even turn her opponent around, but instead relies on Tognoni to split them up with 50 seconds to go. Three punches and a side kick come from Fiorot, but Silva catches her foe and jumps in the air with a knee to the chin. Fiorot eats it like a baguette and continues to lay into Silva with punch combinations, all while Silva recklessly walks her down. Silva has an angry look on her face while blood trickles down it, and Fiorot stays on her bike, sticks and moves and lands without issue. This continues right to the final bell, putting an end to a relatively one-sided bout for "The Beast" that will likely see a massive strike total discrepancy.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot confidently, highlighting her elite striking differential (lands 8, gets hit less than 2). She has killer instinct, solid fight IQ, and works back to her feet quickly if taken down. Mayra Bueno Silva is a good striker and grappler but her wrestling is not great, making it hard to get the fight to the ground. Angelo likes Fiorot at 8900 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

more more on monkey knife fight

"Such a killer on her feet so much power so accurate she's so impressive striking that you gotta go with man and she will be in my draftkings lineup 8900 bucks i love it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot by third-round knockout, citing her striking advantage and Silva's poor striking defense. He notes Silva has attempted zero takedowns in the UFC, which is a major concern. If Silva doesn't grapple, Fiorot will dominate on the feet. He acknowledges Silva's dangerous ground game but doubts she can get the fight there.

by TKO in round 3

"i'm going to take man off fiora to win i'm going to take her to win by um i'm actually going to say she wins by third round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is very confident in Fiorot, citing her high-level kickboxing background, lateral movement, and improved clinch and takedown defense. He believes Bueno Silva's aggressive, forward-marching style plays into Fiorot's strengths of kicking from distance and moving laterally. His only concern is if the fight goes to the ground, but he thinks Fiorot's jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive.

"i'm really sold on what i see from her"

Bookie Beatdown

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Fiorot the pick of the week. He notes her impressive UFC wins, including a head-kick KO, and her maturity at 31 years old. He thinks she will chew Bueno Silva up on the feet and that the only way it gets greasy is if it goes to the mat.

"i got my no fioro as long as you're not against that i'm feeling confident about it"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by late second-round TKO, citing her takedown defense and striking. He expects Bueno Silva to pressure and attempt takedowns but fail, leading to Fiorot lighting her up on the feet. He notes Fiorot's recent head-kick KOs and believes she will finish as Bueno Silva tires.

late second round tko

"i think man on fierroth's going to be good enough and i think she's going to get a late second round tko again"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Tabatha Ricci

TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	1	84 of 172	48%	85 of 173	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:40
Tabatha Ricci	0	17 of 90	18%	17 of 91	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	31 of 80	38%	31 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Tabatha Ricci	0	11 of 63	17%	11 of 63	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	1	53 of 92	57%	54 of 93	1 of 1	100%	0:40
2	Tabatha Ricci	0	6 of 27	22%	6 of 28	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	84 of 172	48%	68 of 154	8 of 10	8 of 8	61 of 140	17 of 24	6 of 8
Tabatha Ricci	17 of 90	18%	6 of 69	5 of 12	6 of 9	16 of 89	1 of 1	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	31 of 80	38%	22 of 70	4 of 5	5 of 5	30 of 79	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Tabatha Ricci	11 of 63	17%	6 of 51	2 of 7	3 of 5	11 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	53 of 92	57%	46 of 84	4 of 5	3 of 3	31 of 61	16 of 23	6 of 8
2	Tabatha Ricci	6 of 27	22%	0 of 18	3 of 5	3 of 4	5 of 26	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Tabatha Ricci

Round 1
The first women’s match of the night takes place in the flyweight division, as French powerhouse Fiorot (6-1, 1-0 UFC) meets Brazilian newcomer Ricci (5-0, 0-0 UFC). Referee Herb Dean will take charge of this 125-pound contest, and the ladies do not touch gloves before coming out swinging. Fiorot opens up with a side kick that pushes Ricci back, and she uses another that catches the Brazilian unaware. Fiorot continues to walk Ricci down, and she kicks high and low as she looks a weight class larger than her opponent. Fiorot takes advantage of her size by landing more side kicks and punches, and Ricci tries to fire back but her strikes are far less impactful. Ricci uses jabs to keep her distance, and Fiorot marches forward with a pair of looping right hands. Ricci’s counters are all inaccurate, and a potential takedown attempt is shoved away with ease. “The Beast” rages with kicks to the legs and head, and Ricci is forced to charge forward to break these up, where she scores a single right hand. Fiorot chows down on it like a baguette and strides forward to land a swarm of punches and a knee up the middle. Fiorot splits the guard with a left hand, and Ricci gathers herself and slings a right hand that catches Fiorot flush. Fiorot scores a few punches and a kick to the knee, and she chains a few punches together to knock Ricci back. “Baby Shark” swims forward to consider a takedown, but she is easily rebuffed as Fiorot tees off on her. Ricci tries to keep her at bay with punches buoyed by kiais, but Fiorot’s are louder and her strikes are heavier. Two big punches from Fiorot surprise Ricci, and she slips as she rushes forward and gets countered to the body. Fiorot shakes it off and lands a stern left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The Frenchwoman comes out of her corner possessed, landing a few side kicks and heavy punches as Ricci throws wildly in response. Fiorot plants the ball of her foot on Ricci’s body, and she pushes forward to take the fight down. Ricci breaks free and pushes off, where she takes a few jabs in the face when backing off. A few punches from “The Beast” score directly, and she has found the mark and is teeing off on Ricci. Ricci stays tough, blocking the heaviest kicks and backs out of danger before any of the biggest shots connect flush. Fiorot stings her foe with a left hand, and she continues wading forward with punches and a few elbows when Ricci is on the fence. Fiorot turns up the heat as she lands strikes, and Ricci tries and fails with a takedown.
Fiorot clubs Ricci with several ferocious punches, making the newcomer stumble to the ground in dire straits. Fiorot does not let her off the hook, holding on tight and blasting Ricci again and again while Dean keeps a close eye on the action. Ricci works her way up, but she takes a short, final barrage of punches to give Dean cause to stop the fight.
With this drubbing, Fiorot becomes the first woman to defeat Ricci.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Tabatha Ricci R2 3:00 via TKO (Punches)

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady sees Fiorot as a phenomenal striker with power and volume, though her level of competition is low. He notes Ricci is hittable with 53% striking defense and negative strike differential. He doubts Ricci can take Fiorot down or hold her down, citing Ricci's poor takedown accuracy (18%) and Fiorot's strong takedown defense and get-up game. He predicts Fiorot wins by decision, calling it a big test she will pass.

"give me fioro by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, noting her diverse striking and improvements in grappling. He thinks her size and strength will be too much for Ricci, who is moving up on short notice. Cody expects Fiorot to win comfortably.

"monofiero looks like a serious problem man like a serious problem"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel picks Fiorot to win by knockout, specifically a body kick knockout. He notes that Fiorot is much bigger (5'7" vs 5'1"), physical, has nasty kicks, and improving takedown defense. He believes Ricci is too small and that Fiorot will be able to keep the fight standing and land her strikes. Daniel is confident Fiorot will steamroll Ricci and get a finish.

"i'm gonna go with manon fiore via uh she got a head kick knockout last night i'm gonna say body kick knockout this time"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot is bigger, stronger, and a better striker. Ricci is on short notice and moving up in weight. Fiorot should keep the fight standing and win by decision or TKO.

Fiorot inside distance -140, Fiorot by decision +240, fight goes distance +155

"I think fido will be successful in keeping this fight on the feet butchering her on the feet with her striking"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot confidently, citing her striking and size advantage. He notes Ricci is a natural strawweight taking the fight on short notice. Paul thinks Fiorot's kicks and clinch will be too much. He expects Fiorot to be a heavy favorite.

"fioro looks like the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The Guru picks Manon Fiorot, praising her striking and grappling. He notes she has finishes in later rounds, which he finds impressive for a French fighter. He believes she is arguably undefeated (he thought she beat Leah McCourt). He predicts a TKO in round 1 or 2 against Marina Moroz (note: transcript says 'marina marazz' but likely refers to Tabatha Ricci's opponent; however, the fight is Fiorot vs Ricci, so the pick is for Fiorot).

TKO round 1 or 2

"i'm going to go with man on fiorock getting a tko round one or two against marina moroz"

THE MMA GURU

View all 9 fights

Erin Blanchfield - Fight History

WIN vs Tracy Cortez

Submission R2 4:44 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	52 of 116	44%	65 of 134	2 of 3	66%	1	1	2:43
Tracy Cortez	0	46 of 104	44%	50 of 108	1 of 3	33%	0	0	0:30

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	43 of 92	46%	43 of 92	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
1	Tracy Cortez	32 of 76	42%	33 of 77	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	9 of 24	37%	22 of 42	2 of 3	66%	1	1	2:43
2	Tracy Cortez	14 of 28	50%	17 of 31	1 of 2	50%	0	0	0:30

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	52 of 116	44%	38 of 100	6 of 8	8 of 8	51 of 115	1 of 1	0 of 0
Tracy Cortez	46 of 104	44%	35 of 88	7 of 12	4 of 4	45 of 100	1 of 4	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	43 of 92	46%	32 of 80	5 of 6	6 of 6	42 of 91	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Tracy Cortez	32 of 76	42%	25 of 64	4 of 9	3 of 3	31 of 72	1 of 4	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	9 of 24	37%	6 of 20	1 of 2	2 of 2	9 of 24	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Tracy Cortez	14 of 28	50%	10 of 24	3 of 3	1 of 1	14 of 28	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield despite considering Tracy Cortez's wrestling. He values Blanchfield's relentless pressure and scrambling ability. He notes Cortez is often at events and may not be training enough. He suggests over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 bet on Cortez as possibilities.

over 2.5 rounds, plus 3.5 on Cortez

"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield. Tracy could absolutely get the takedowns here and work... Over two and a half is probably solid."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady leans Erin Blanchfield, believing her grappling advantage will be decisive. He notes Tracy Cortez has only 62% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas and others. Brady thinks Blanchfield's top control and submission skills are superior once the fight hits the ground, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges the line is wide and a case can be made for Cortez.

decision

"I'm going to lean Blanchfield to get the done get it done by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, noting that she has improved significantly since their first fight six years ago, especially her striking. He points out that Cortez has not evolved and has been inactive. Cody believes Blanchfield's wrestling and pressure will be too much, and she will win by decision. He also mentions that Blanchfield is younger and more motivated.

Blanchfield by decision

"Blanchfield's likely to take her down and give her all types of problems. And if she doesn't take her down, she's going to come forward, she's going to throw punches, she's going to try to outwork her."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Tracy Cortez

Connor also leans toward Cortez, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Cortez is an inch taller than Blanchfield, which is surprising, and that Blanchfield's aggressive style may lead to her giving things away. He thinks Cortez can win out scrambles and that Blanchfield's one-size-fits-all approach may not work.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200.

"I'm going to go Cortez with you."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel sees Blanchfield as the more evolved fighter since their first fight, with relentless pressure and a never-quit attitude. He notes that Cortez struggles when she is the nail, while Blanchfield has shown she can overcome adversity. He expects Blanchfield to avenge her loss and continue her rise.

"I'm still going to come out here and pick Aaron Blanchfield to win the rematch and avenge the loss against Tracy Cortez."

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win, citing her superior grappling and submission skills. He believes Cortez will engage in wrestling, which plays into Blanchfield's strengths, as she is a better MMA grappler and dangerous from top position. He notes Blanchfield's ability to submit opponents from any position, as seen in her previous win over Cortez. He expects Blanchfield to win via submission or dominant decision.

"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield to get the win."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Blanchfield lands bigger shots on the feet and eventually lands takedowns for control and BJJ superiority. Cortez may be the better wrestler on paper, but Blanchfield gets her hand raised on the scorecards.

"I expect Blanchfield to get her hand raised as I think she'll be able to land bigger shots on the feet and eventually land those takedowns where she can get some good control and utilize her BJJ superiority."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing that Blanchfield's striking has improved the most. He notes that Cortez's takedown defense is not great and that Blanchfield will likely control the fight. Paul also mentions that Blanchfield has a home-field advantage and that the fight will likely go to decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds prop.

over 2.5 rounds

"Blanchfield by decision minus 133 is not horrible."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The Guru picks Erin Blanchfield to win by 29-28 decision. He believes Blanchfield's grappling and physicality will be decisive, though she may lose the first round. He criticizes Cortez's focus on appearance (fake eyelashes) and notes Blanchfield's win over Rose Namajunas as a better benchmark. Blanchfield should mix in takedowns and control later rounds.

"I'm gonna go with Blanchfield getting this one done. I'm going to say that Blanchfield wins this by 2928 decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Tracy Cortez

Zane leans toward Cortez, noting that Cortez has a win over Blanchfield and is a very good scrambler and grappler. He thinks Blanchfield's aggressive style might play into Cortez's hands, as Cortez is comfortable in scrambles. However, he admits it's hard to get a grip on Cortez and that she is still developing.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200. Blanchfield opened -225, currently -235.

"I'm leaning Cortez."

MMA Vivisection

CANCEL vs Maycee Barber

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield, expecting her to move forward, absorb strikes, and get the fight to the ground where she can dominate. He notes that Maycee Barber's takedown defense is midlevel (53%) and that Blanchfield is tough and relentless. He predicts a decision win for Blanchfield, though she may have close calls.

Expects a decision win.

"Aaron Blanchfield is going to be the pick. The round line is going to be interesting here."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her superior grappling and Barber's poor takedown defense (50%). He notes that Barber has been taken down by lesser fighters like Roxanne Modafferi and Andrea Lee. He believes Blanchfield will have no trouble taking Barber down and controlling her on the ground, leading to a decision win.

by decision

"I'll go Blanchfield. I think Blanchfield probably wins by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Maycee Barber

Connor picks Barber based on a gut feeling that Barber is the kind of fighter who does not wilt under pressure, unlike the opponents Blanchfield has thrived against. He argues that Blanchfield's entire style relies on breaking opponents' spirits, but Barber's confidence and aggression make her unlikely to fade. Connor also notes that Barber's improved striking and ability to adjust could allow her to win exchanges on the feet, and that Blanchfield's grappling opportunities may be limited if Barber can get back to her feet.

"I just have a gut feeling that Barbara is one of those fighters who does not play along. In the way that Blanchfield's very broad strokes kind of style benefits from Blanchfield wants you to wither. It's the whole basis …"

MMA Vivisection

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Matt picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield's wrestling and top pressure will be the difference, as Barber lacks the footwork and movement of Manon Fiorot to keep Blanchfield at bay. Blanchfield should get takedowns and grind out a decision, though submission props are also intriguing.

Blanchfield by decision +100, Blanchfield by submission +450, Barber by KO +550, round 3 sub +2400, round 4 sub +3000, round 5 sub +3600

"I am leaning the Blanchfield way."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield by decision, citing her pressure and takedowns. He notes Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, and Blanchfield is better. He believes the Apex benefits Blanchfield and that Barber's movement won't be as effective. He predicts a competitive five-rounder with Blanchfield winning via grappling.

PrizePicks: Maycee Barber over 78.5 significant strikes; decision win

"I'm gonna go with Aaron Blanchfield... I think this is going to be a five rounder... Erin Blanchfield gets this one done against Macy Barber by decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield because he believes Barber's clinch-heavy style will give Blanchfield too many opportunities to take the fight to the ground, where Blanchfield's exceptional top control is a major advantage. He notes that Barber has improved her striking and adjustments, but her tendency to explode into the clinch plays into Blanchfield's strengths. Zane also points out that Blanchfield's pressure and volume could overwhelm Barber, though he acknowledges Barber's durability and confidence.

"I have to take Blanchfield here. I just think that if Barbara, if the core function of Barbara has become a better rain tracker, but if the core functionality of her game remains her ability to bully people in the …"

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Rose Namajunas

Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	110 of 281	39%	193 of 387	2 of 8	25%	0	0	8:54
Rose Namajunas	0	94 of 245	38%	101 of 254	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:15

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	19 of 68	27%	19 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	30 of 61	49%	30 of 61	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 67	37%	28 of 70	0 of 2	0%	0:15
2	Rose Namajunas	23 of 65	35%	26 of 69	1 of 1	100%	0:08
3	Erin Blanchfield	11 of 28	39%	48 of 82	1 of 2	50%	3:38
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 21	42%	10 of 22	0 of 1	0%	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 93	43%	43 of 97	0 of 1	0%	0:53
4	Rose Namajunas	25 of 79	31%	25 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:07
5	Erin Blanchfield	15 of 25	60%	55 of 70	1 of 3	33%	4:08
5	Rose Namajunas	7 of 19	36%	10 of 22	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	110 of 281	39%	81 of 248	15 of 16	14 of 17	103 of 269	2 of 6	5 of 6
Rose Namajunas	94 of 245	38%	68 of 212	18 of 24	8 of 9	91 of 241	3 of 4	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	19 of 68	27%	11 of 58	3 of 4	5 of 6	19 of 68	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	30 of 61	49%	22 of 52	2 of 3	6 of 6	30 of 61	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 67	37%	21 of 61	2 of 2	2 of 4	25 of 65	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	23 of 65	35%	17 of 58	5 of 5	1 of 2	22 of 64	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	11 of 28	39%	7 of 24	2 of 2	2 of 2	10 of 24	0 of 2	1 of 2
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 21	42%	7 of 18	2 of 3	0 of 0	7 of 19	2 of 2	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 93	43%	29 of 82	6 of 6	5 of 5	40 of 93	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Rose Namajunas	25 of 79	31%	16 of 67	8 of 11	1 of 1	25 of 78	0 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	15 of 25	60%	13 of 23	2 of 2	0 of 0	9 of 19	2 of 2	4 of 4
5	Rose Namajunas	7 of 19	36%	6 of 17	1 of 2	0 of 0	7 of 19	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas confidently, calling her an all-time great and a better striker than Erin Blanchfield. He notes Blanchfield's inability to get takedowns was exposed against Manon Fiorot, and without that, she is stuck in a striking match with a superior striker. He thinks five rounds help Rose, as she can afford to lose a round if taken down. He placed a half unit bet on Rose at plus 100 (even money).

half unit on Rose Namajunas at +100

"Rose should absolutely win this fight five rounds only helps Rose because if she does get taken down in a round and gives one up she's got four more to cover the distance she's not only the pick but she …"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision. He questions Erin Blanchfield's wrestling, noting her low takedown accuracy (33%) and failure to take down opponents like Fiorot and Santos. He believes on the feet, Rose is clearly superior, and even if taken down, Rose's scrambling is good. Brady likes the plus money and thinks the big cage favors Rose.

plus money

"at plus money I'm going to I'm going to take the dog here and and Rose nunas I think it's going to be a very close fight... I'll take her to win this fight by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas as an underdog, arguing that Blanchfield's takedown struggles against Manon Fiorot (0 for 3) and Taila Santos (0 for 14) show she can't reliably take down elite grapplers. He believes Rose's striking, footwork, and takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes Rose's experience in five-round fights and her ability to mix in takedowns herself.

"I do kind of feel like maybe the plus money on Rose Nom units is a little more warranted so I'm going to go with that and I'm going to take RADS."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Vreeland picks Erin Blanchfield to win, arguing that the line is influenced by recency bias from Blanchfield's loss to Manon Fiorot. He points out that Rose Namajunas has poor takedown defense (under 60%) compared to Fiorot's 93%, and that Blanchfield's grappling is a different level—she can take the back and submit opponents. Vreeland expects Blanchfield to pressure Namajunas, get takedowns, and potentially finish via ground-and-pound or submission.

"I'm going Aaron blanchfield to get back on track regain her hype"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win inside the distance, emphasizing her grappling advantage. He notes Rose has been taken down in recent fights and that Blanchfield's wrestling will be decisive. He believes Rose has lost some athleticism and that Blanchfield can finish via submission, likely a rear-naked choke.

wins inside the distance

"I'm taking Aaron blanchfield in this one and I actually think she gets it done inside the distance"

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements, and that will get her a victory over Blanchfield. She will win at least three of the five rounds by out-pointing and out-damaging Blanchfield, winning on the scorecards and positioning herself for a title shot.

"Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements and I believe that will get her a victory here over Blanchfield look for Namajunas to win at least three of the five rounds here by out pointing and out damaging Blanchfield and …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul sides with Rose but is less confident, expecting a close split decision. He notes that Blanchfield's path to victory is through takedowns, but Rose has shown improved takedown defense and can win on the feet. He mentions the common opponent Jessica Andrade, where Rose won by decision and Blanchfield by submission, but sees the fight as competitive. He plans to bet the split decision prop rather than the moneyline.

split decision prop

"I expect the fight to be incredibly close on the feet on the mat and I'm going to side with rose but I don't plan on betting this but yeah I'll be looking for the split decision prop."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Erin Blanchfield, calling Blanchfield overrated. He praises Namajunas's technical skills, scrambles, and wrestling reactions. He notes Blanchfield's poor performance against Manon Fiorot and believes Namajunas will win as an underdog.

"I'm going to go Rose wellt Tred fighter I don't think she's like man on fioro level but she took it to man on fioro and she broke her hand in that fight"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Manon Fiorot

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	130 of 386	33%	135 of 394	0 of 3	0%	1	0	0:48
Erin Blanchfield	0	172 of 359	47%	181 of 369	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:53

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	22 of 60	0 of 0	---	1	0:27
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	30 of 59	1 of 1	100%	0	0:46
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	22 of 78	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	27 of 62	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	24 of 69	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	29 of 70	0 of 0	---	0	0:05
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	38 of 99	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	47 of 86	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	29 of 88	0 of 0	---	0	0:21
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	48 of 92	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	130 of 386	33%	80 of 318	25 of 40	25 of 28	124 of 371	6 of 15	0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield	172 of 359	47%	143 of 321	18 of 25	11 of 13	167 of 346	5 of 13	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	14 of 48	3 of 6	4 of 4	21 of 55	0 of 3	0 of 0
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	25 of 52	2 of 2	1 of 3	25 of 53	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	11 of 64	6 of 8	4 of 5	19 of 70	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	18 of 50	6 of 8	3 of 3	26 of 57	1 of 4	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	15 of 52	6 of 11	3 of 5	21 of 65	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	24 of 64	3 of 4	2 of 2	29 of 68	0 of 2	0 of 0
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	22 of 81	8 of 10	7 of 7	37 of 97	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	40 of 78	3 of 4	3 of 3	46 of 83	0 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	18 of 73	2 of 5	7 of 7	26 of 84	1 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	36 of 77	4 of 7	2 of 2	41 of 85	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves

"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

decision win, 49-46

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Taila Santos

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	61 of 128	47%	119 of 210	0 of 14	0%	0	0	8:08
Taila Santos	0	55 of 151	36%	96 of 202	0 of 3	0%	0	0	0:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	26 of 55	47%	36 of 69	0 of 4	0%	1:22
1	Taila Santos	25 of 71	35%	31 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:06
2	Erin Blanchfield	9 of 18	50%	34 of 58	0 of 4	0%	4:01
2	Taila Santos	11 of 24	45%	32 of 48	0 of 1	0%	0:03
3	Erin Blanchfield	26 of 55	47%	49 of 83	0 of 6	0%	2:45
3	Taila Santos	19 of 56	33%	33 of 74	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	61 of 128	47%	37 of 99	18 of 23	6 of 6	43 of 102	17 of 24	1 of 2
Taila Santos	55 of 151	36%	28 of 118	9 of 15	18 of 18	46 of 133	9 of 18	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	26 of 55	47%	16 of 45	7 of 7	3 of 3	20 of 49	6 of 6	0 of 0
1	Taila Santos	25 of 71	35%	13 of 56	5 of 8	7 of 7	21 of 63	4 of 8	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	9 of 18	50%	3 of 9	4 of 7	2 of 2	5 of 9	3 of 7	1 of 2
2	Taila Santos	11 of 24	45%	5 of 16	2 of 4	4 of 4	8 of 19	3 of 5	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	26 of 55	47%	18 of 45	7 of 9	1 of 1	18 of 44	8 of 11	0 of 0
3	Taila Santos	19 of 56	33%	10 of 46	2 of 3	7 of 7	17 of 51	2 of 5	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Taila Santos

Angelo acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling and improved striking, but leans toward Santos because of her power, technical striking, and BJJ. He questions whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Santos, and if she can't, Santos will light her up. He notes that Blanchfield is a surprising 2-to-1 favorite and thinks the fight should be closer to even money.

"I just have a tiny slight lean for Tyler she's I'm gonna pick her this should be almost even money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady is torn on this fight, acknowledging both fighters are championship caliber. He favors Blanchfield due to her youth, activity, and improvements, especially in striking. He questions Santos's mental toughness, citing her excuses after the Valentina fight and pulling out of this fight earlier. He expects a close fight and picks Blanchfield by decision, but with low confidence.

decision

"blanchfield blanchfield by decision but not a ton of confidence"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield due to her youth, improving skills, and superior cardio. He believes her wrestling and pressure will wear down Santos, who he sees as a step down from the elite. Cody expects a close decision or late submission.

"the pick for me is Blanche Shield because I'm Blanche Shield believer"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her mean streak and relentless pressure. He notes that Santos is more physical and a better striker, but Blanchfield's grappling and cardio will take over in later rounds. He mentions that Blanchfield is a lifelong black belt and has a strong chin. He is confident she wins, though he thinks the price is accurate and not a value bet.

"I think Aaron blanchfield wins here um I'm close to betting her but I haven't yet because I do think I kind of agree with you the slime"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)

Erin Blanchfield

James picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her continuous improvement, will to win, and superior grappling chain. He believes she can get takedowns on Santos and dominate on the mat, potentially submitting her. He acknowledges Santos' size and power but thinks Blanchfield's pace and cardio will be decisive. He also notes Santos' inactivity and the emotional letdown from the title loss.

bet on Erin Blanchfield moneyline; also considered Blanchfield submission at 22-1 but did not bet

"I lean air in blanchfield a decent amount"

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The host acknowledges Taila Santos' strength and performance against Valentina Shevchenko, but believes Blanchfield's technical grappling and top control will be the difference. He notes Blanchfield's dominant win over Jessica Andrade and her ability to pass guard and maintain top position. The host expects a grueling fight but picks Blanchfield by decision.

"I'm going to go blanchfield and blanchfield by decision but it's going to be a grueling grueling fight for bro both women."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Paul sides with Blanchfield, noting her grappling advantage and potential to get takedowns. He acknowledges Santos' close fight with Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's youth and improvement give her the edge. Paul is not fully confident but leans Blanchfield.

"I'm going to side with Blanche Fields uh on that"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield over Taila Santos, citing Blanchfield's youth (6-year age difference) and likely improvement. He believes Blanchfield has better grappling, scrambles, and crisper stand-up, though Santos may have a power advantage. He notes Santos' close fight with Valentina Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's activity and conditioning will win. He predicts a competitive 29-28 decision.

Unanimous decision predicted

"I'm gonna go Erin blanchfield I think her grappling game's a bit better I think her striking's a bit more active she's a bit busier her conditioning is a bit better"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Jéssica Andrade

Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:37 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	53 of 143	37%	56 of 147	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
Jéssica Andrade	0	51 of 120	42%	53 of 124	1 of 3	33%	1	0	1:03

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 106	37%	43 of 110	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
1	Jéssica Andrade	44 of 100	44%	46 of 104	0 of 2	0%	0	0:39
2	Erin Blanchfield	13 of 37	35%	13 of 37	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Jéssica Andrade	7 of 20	35%	7 of 20	1 of 1	100%	1	0:24

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	53 of 143	37%	28 of 107	5 of 16	20 of 20	50 of 137	3 of 6	0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade	51 of 120	42%	38 of 105	2 of 4	11 of 11	50 of 117	1 of 3	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 106	37%	22 of 80	4 of 12	14 of 14	37 of 100	3 of 6	0 of 0
1	Jéssica Andrade	44 of 100	44%	32 of 86	2 of 4	10 of 10	43 of 97	1 of 3	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	13 of 37	35%	6 of 27	1 of 4	6 of 6	13 of 37	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Jéssica Andrade	7 of 20	35%	6 of 19	0 of 0	1 of 1	7 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Angelo is very confident in Andrade, even on short notice. He highlights Andrade's technical improvement in her last fight against Lauren Murphy, where she showed precision rather than just bullying. He believes Andrade's BJJ black belt and experience against top competition will neutralize Blanchfield's grappling. Angelo notes the line moved from -190 to -170 and he placed a two-unit bet at -150. He dismisses comparisons to Valentina Shevchenko's takedowns, noting Shevchenko uses judo while Blanchfield uses wrestling, which Andrade can defend.

Two-unit moneyline bet at -150. Also mentions Andrade by decision at -120 but prefers moneyline.

"I think Jessica andrage absolutely gets this done I'm confident in Jessica andrage to get this done."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Big Brady thinks this is too soon for Blanchfield, who has only beaten lower-level competition like Molly McCann. He notes that Andrade only gets dominated by elite grapplers like Valentina Shevchenko, and Blanchfield is not on that level yet. He worries about Blanchfield's takedown success, as she was 0-for-4 against JJ Aldrich. He predicts Andrade will win by knockout, likely in the second round, as Blanchfield has nothing for her on the feet.

Andrade by KO/TKO, round 2

"I'm gonna take Jessica andrage by my knockout... I think she gets it done the second round"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Cody initially liked Blanchfield at plus money due to Andrade taking the fight on short notice and Blanchfield's suffocating style, but as the line tightened he shifted to Andrade. He notes Andrade is a proven commodity with better striking and five-round experience, and that she wouldn't take a fight she couldn't win. However, he acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling threat and says he wants to watch weigh-ins before betting.

Line movement noted: Blanchfield opened plus money, now +120 to +125. Cody considered early plus money on Blanchfield but missed it.

"I think you take a back class and you take Jessica and Josh prove a commodity much better Striker has fought these high level five rounds before... current line I take it."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Andrade is a huge step up for Blanchfield. He notes that Blanchfield's striking is very undeveloped, especially her kicks, and that Andrade's power will be a shock. He also points out that Blanchfield struggled with Aldrich's counter striking and maneuvering, and Andrade is a much more physical and powerful version of that. Connor sees the fight as too much too soon for Blanchfield.

"I'm gonna go ahead and assume that I can't expect an X factor due to the short notice... Blanchfield is a good finisher... but it's just not complete enough for me to pick her here."

MMA Vivisection

Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Jacob is a self-proclaimed Blanchfield hater and picks Andrade confidently. He criticizes Blanchfield's lack of a plan B when things go wrong, citing her fight against JJ Aldrich where she was dominated until a Hail Mary guillotine. Jacob believes Andrade is a better striker and will stuff takedowns, leading to Blanchfield being embarrassed. He compares it to Whittaker vs Vettori and Emmett vs Rodriguez, where one-dimensional wrestlers were exposed. He is not worried about short notice because Andrade wouldn't take the fight if she wasn't ready.

"Jessica Andre is a better Striker she Stuffs the takedowns and Aaron blanchfield is absolutely in embarrassed in this fight."

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Andrade's relentless pressure, power, and strength will be too much for Blanchfield, who struggled with takedowns against JJ Aldrich and may not be ready for this step up. Andrade's durability and takedown defense should keep her safe, and she will eventually land a knockout, likely in the third or fourth round.

Andrade wins by KO in round 3 or 4

"I felt pretty damn confident on the Jessica Andrade side... we'll see Andrade knock her out."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Paul likes Andrade, citing her recent performance against Lauren Murphy where she looked great and nearly finished her. He questions the comparison to Valentina Shevchenko's takedowns, noting that outside of Shevchenko, no one has easily taken Andrade down. He struggles to get behind Blanchfield at the current price, calling it a big step up in competition. He says if the line keeps moving toward Blanchfield, he'll be forced to jump on Andrade.

Line movement: Blanchfield opened -175/-180, now -135. Paul says he'll likely add Andrade to his card after weigh-ins.

"I really struggled to get to Aaron blancheville particularly at this price... this line keeps moving I'm gonna be forced to jump in on Jessica on John."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade, stating she hits different and is a step above other flyweights except Shevchenko. He believes Andrade's power will break Blanchfield's nose early, forcing panic takedowns. He recalls Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldridge where she struggled before getting a guillotine, and thinks Andrade will be too much. He notes Andrade is a 2-to-1 favorite and calls those odds good, predicting a first-round TKO.

TKO first round, odds: -200 (2-to-1 favorite)

"I think andraj is like going to shatter that beak of a nose on blanchfield's face"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Jéssica Andrade

Zane picks Andrade because Blanchfield's striking is still raw and relies on pressure and volume, but she struggles against skilled or physically imposing opponents. Andrade is both, with power that Blanchfield has never faced. Blanchfield's takedown entries are not clean enough to consistently get Andrade down, and Andrade's speed and power will be overwhelming. Zane notes that Blanchfield is a good prospect but not complete enough to win this fight.

Andrade opened at -190, jumped to -155, currently -142; Blanchfield opened +165, dropped to +127, currently +117. Zane notes the odds are getting shorter for Blanchfield, which he finds surprising.

"I gotta pick Androge. Yeah, you know, there's the outside edge of an upset potential... Blanchfield is a good finisher... but it's just not complete enough for me to pick her here."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Molly McCann

Submission (kimura) R1 3:37 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	25 of 38	65%	93 of 115	1 of 1	100%	2	0	2:48
Molly McCann	0	7 of 13	53%	7 of 13	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	0	25 of 38	65%	93 of 115	1 of 1	100%	2	0	2:48
1	Molly McCann	0	7 of 13	53%	7 of 13	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	25 of 38	65%	22 of 34	1 of 2	2 of 2	7 of 19	0 of 0	18 of 19
Molly McCann	7 of 13	53%	2 of 7	3 of 3	2 of 3	7 of 13	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 38	65%	22 of 34	1 of 2	2 of 2	7 of 19	0 of 0	18 of 19
1	Molly McCann	7 of 13	53%	2 of 7	3 of 3	2 of 3	7 of 13	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.

Molly McCann inside the distance (decision no action) on BetOnline

"I am not putting Aaron blanchfield in a parlay and the BET might actually be Molly McCann inside the distance decision no action"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.

Blanchfield by submission; inside the distance

"it's blanchfield all day and honestly it's maybe even blanchfield inside the distance"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Molly McCann

Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.

"I'm leaning towards uh McCann strictly because of the number."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.

"I'm going to pick Blanchfield. No, I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.

No bet at -390; odds mentioned: Blanchfield -390, McCann +320 at DraftKings

"Aaron's my pick it's just not really in any kind of Rush delay minus 400 on it"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.

under 2.5 rounds (+180), Blanchfield by submission

"I'm gonna take her to win by submission I'll be keeping my eye on that submission prop"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.

"I got Blanche field but I'm gonna try to chase the price and go by blanchfield by decision."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.

"I'm going with Aaron blanchfield"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.

"I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs JJ Aldrich

Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	48 of 100	48%	68 of 121	0 of 4	0%	1	0	0:56
JJ Aldrich	0	32 of 71	45%	38 of 77	2 of 6	33%	0	0	0:42

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	23 of 58	39%	27 of 62	0 of 3	0%	0	0:43
1	JJ Aldrich	16 of 43	37%	21 of 48	1 of 5	20%	0	0:16
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 42	59%	41 of 59	0 of 1	0%	1	0:13
2	JJ Aldrich	16 of 28	57%	17 of 29	1 of 1	100%	0	0:26

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	48 of 100	48%	29 of 76	11 of 11	8 of 13	46 of 96	2 of 4	0 of 0
JJ Aldrich	32 of 71	45%	29 of 66	3 of 5	0 of 0	31 of 68	1 of 3	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	23 of 58	39%	13 of 44	7 of 7	3 of 7	22 of 56	1 of 2	0 of 0
1	JJ Aldrich	16 of 43	37%	15 of 42	1 of 1	0 of 0	15 of 41	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 42	59%	16 of 32	4 of 4	5 of 6	24 of 40	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	JJ Aldrich	16 of 28	57%	14 of 24	2 of 4	0 of 0	16 of 27	0 of 1	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.

may throw a moneyline bet on Blanchfield, waiting to see line movement

"I think it's more of the same from aaron here i think she dominates in a heavy grappling win and betting wise i may throw a money line bet on aaron"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.

Blanchfield by decision

"I like blanchfield here do I like the minor 600 no I don't but I do think she is one of the safer picks as far as uh picking a win on this card see me blanchfield give me blanchfield …"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.

Blanchfield by decision

"i'm a bland shield supporter through and through"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.

"i think that aaron blanchfield's got the skills to pay the bills so i'm gonna go with aaron"

Half the Battle

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.

Blanchfield by decision (minus 138)

"the bet that i did make this week was blanchfield by decision minus 138."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.

Dislikes the odds, says 'the odds are really annoying'

"i am going to go there in blanchfield but i don't like the odds the odds are really annoying on a lot of fights on these cards"

THE MMA GURU

View all 10 fights

Expert Picks (8)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves

"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

decision win, 49-46

THE MMA GURU

Manon Fiorot

Erin Blanchfield

Career Averages - Manon Fiorot

Career Averages - Erin Blanchfield

Manon Fiorot

Erin Blanchfield

Manon Fiorot - Fight History

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Erin Blanchfield - Fight History

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Expert Picks (8)