Career Averages - Virna Jandiroba
Career Averages - Loopy Godinez
Virna Jandiroba
Loopy Godinez
Virna Jandiroba - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 122 of 174 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 37 of 82 | 45% | 89 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 26 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 61 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 50 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 35 of 61 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 30 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 26 of 64 | 40% | 19 of 56 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 37 of 82 | 45% | 27 of 68 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 33 of 77 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 7 of 13 | 53% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 9 of 16 | 56% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 31 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 24 of 55 | 43% | 19 of 47 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba, believing she is the better wrestler and can control the fight. He criticizes Tabatha Ricci's striking, saying she thinks she's a boxer but isn't, and her takedowns are poor. He notes Jandiroba is one judge away from being champion and expects her to grind out a win. He placed a half-unit bet on Jandiroba at +115.
Big Brady leans toward Tabatha Ricci but with low confidence. He acknowledges Jandiroba is a higher-level grappler but thinks Ricci is stronger, has better wrestling, and is the better striker. He sees a path where Ricci stuffs takedowns and wins on the feet. He also notes Jandiroba's age (37) and potential lack of motivation after a title loss. He will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Ricci because she is the better striker and has excellent takedown defense, making it hard for Jandiroba to hold her down. He believes the judges will favor damage over control time, and Ricci's striking will leave a lasting impression.
The host is torn on the winner, seeing strong cases for both. He initially leaned Ricci due to youth and volume, but after research, he sees Jandiroba's power and ground advantage as significant. He concludes the fight is too close to bet pre-fight and prefers live betting. However, he does bet Ricci +3.5 on the fight spread.
James leans toward Virna Jandiroba as the underdog, surprised by the odds given Jandiroba's recent title fight and superior grappling. He believes Jandiroba's top control and submission threat are the best in the division, and that Ricci hasn't faced such a test. He notes Ricci's striking advantage but doubts her power, calling her knockout of Amanda Ribas a fluke. However, he hesitates due to Jandiroba's age (37) and potential post-title-fight letdown, and mentions he might bet the over instead. He picks Jandiroba via decision but is not confident enough to bet.
James mentions the co-main event but does not give a pick for either fighter. He only describes the matchup as interesting.
The host believes Jandiroba's grappling will be too much for Ricci, as she can get takedowns and keep Ricci in defensive positions. He notes Ricci's improved striking but doubts she can provide enough danger to keep Jandiroba from her game. He expects Jandiroba to win by decision, controlling the fight with top pressure.
Paul leans towards Ricci, noting that Jandiroba's grappling-heavy style may not score well if judges prioritize damage. He acknowledges Jandiroba's takedown ability but thinks Ricci's striking and ability to get back up will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, predicting a controversial decision win. He believes Ricci will be out-grappled but the judges will favor her, possibly setting up a future fight with Mackenzie Dern. He notes Jandiroba looked bad against Dern and that Ricci is coming off a TKO win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 106 of 217 | 48% | 208 of 331 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 9:07 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 118 of 231 | 51% | 249 of 372 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 27 of 45 | 60% | 41 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 14 of 34 | 41% | 45 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 50 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 38 of 53 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 52 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 4 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 28 of 58 | 48% | 42 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 26 of 62 | 41% | 38 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 | |
| 5 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 42 of 73 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 35 of 57 | 61% | 71 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 106 of 217 | 48% | 72 of 177 | 20 of 25 | 14 of 15 | 83 of 192 | 20 of 21 | 3 of 4 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 118 of 231 | 51% | 84 of 193 | 21 of 25 | 13 of 13 | 89 of 199 | 8 of 10 | 21 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 27 of 45 | 60% | 9 of 25 | 13 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 36 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 20 of 36 | 55% | 12 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 14 of 34 | 41% | 11 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 19 of 44 | 43% | 16 of 40 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 18 of 32 | 56% | 13 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | |
| 4 | Virna Jandiroba | 28 of 58 | 48% | 20 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 26 of 62 | 41% | 17 of 52 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Virna Jandiroba | 23 of 53 | 43% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 35 of 57 | 61% | 26 of 48 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 |
Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba based on gut feeling, despite the line moving against her. He expects the fight to be entirely on the ground, where Virna's wrestling and safe jiu-jitsu will grind out a win. He notes Mackenzie's only path is submission, but Virna won't take risks like Amanda Ribas did. Angelo plans to bet Virna if the line rebounds.
Big Brady picks Mackenzie Dern, highlighting her massive improvements in striking and wrestling. He notes Dern's striking looked incredible against Angela Hill and that she now has power and aggression. He believes Dern's pressure and volume will overwhelm Virna Jandiroba on the feet, as Jandiroba lacks power and may be hesitant to grapple. Brady also cites the five-round distance favoring Dern's cardio and toughness, predicting a fourth-round TKO.
Cody picks Mackenzie Dern, arguing that over five rounds, Dern's volume, speed, and willingness to engage will outpace Jandiroba's control-heavy style. He notes that Jandiroba's wrestling is elite but she lacks striking output, and Dern's submission defense and scrambling make her dangerous off her back. Cody believes Dern's path is a decision win, as she lands more and is faster.
Connor picks Jandiroba, taking a chance on her improvements in confidence and physicality since the first fight. He believes her wrestling-focused BJJ, reminiscent of Damien Maia, can neutralize Dern's guard attacks if she commits to grappling. He admits it's a hopeful pick but thinks Jandiroba has the tools to win if she doesn't repeat her negative game plan.
Daniel Vreeland believes Mackenzie Dern's striking evolution and power give her the edge, especially as the fight progresses and Jandiroba slows down. He thinks the ground game will cancel out early, but Dern's improved hands and cardio will allow her to take over in later rounds. He also notes that the winner of the first fight often wins the rematch, especially with an age gap.
Lucrative James picks Mackenzie Dern, citing her multiple paths to victory: she can win on the feet, by submission, or by outscrambling. He believes Dern has improved her boxing and wrestling, while Jandiroba's usual path of outgrappling opponents will be neutralized because Dern is dangerous from bottom and can sweep or submit her. He also notes Dern's better cardio and power, and predicts Jandiroba will get rocked at some point. He sees Dern as the underdog with value.
The host expects Dern to replicate her 2020 win by putting together better striking, scrambling well in grappling, and winning a clear decision to become the new strawweight champion.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Dern has a great chin and throws more volume. He notes that Jandiroba's path to victory relies on takedowns and control, but Dern is crafty off her back. Paul also mentions that Jandiroba has never fought five rounds in the UFC and is 37, suggesting that if she wins early rounds, she may fade, making Dern a strong live bet as well.
The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba by decision, expecting a split decision. He believes Jandiroba is more focused on her career than Dern, who has personal distractions. He notes that Jandiroba has been winning against top competition (Yan Xiaonan, Amanda Lemos) and has good takedowns and control. He references their first fight where Jandiroba had control time and takedowns. He expects a low-paced fight with Jandiroba dragging Dern around, winning clearly but with one judge giving Dern a round.
Zane picks Dern, citing a sinking feeling that Jandiroba will repeat her first fight mistake of being too respectful of Dern's ground game. He notes Dern's confidence and power on the feet, and believes Jandiroba's negative game plan will lead to her being outworked. However, he acknowledges Jandiroba's improvements and calls it a hope-based pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 64 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:27 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 96 of 131 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 | 1 | 9:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 31 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 | |
| 2 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:27 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 40 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 4:14 | |
| 3 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 38 of 49 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Xiaonan | 17 of 44 | 38% | 13 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yan Xiaonan | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Yan Xiaonan | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yan Xiaonan | 7 of 21 | 33% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 7 of 10 | 70% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Daniel Levi credits Yan Xiaonan for surviving three rounds on the mat with Virna Jandiroba despite being a blue belt, but acknowledges Jandiroba's victory. He states Jandiroba earned her title shot and should face Zhang Weili next.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:51 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 20 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 4 | 1 | 6:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:26 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:42 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Amanda Lemos | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Lemos | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba because she will grind and get takedowns, neutralizing Amanda Lemos's striking. He notes that Lemos is the better mixed martial artist but cannot defend takedowns. He plans to wait for prop bets, especially the takedown line, and considers Jandiroba affordable at even money.
Cody picks Jandiroba, emphasizing her freakish strength, takedown ability, and durability. He notes Lemos has cardio issues and has been taken down repeatedly by lesser grapplers. He expects Jandiroba to bank rounds with top control as Lemos fades, though he admits the fight likely goes to decision and could be a weird judging outcome. He suggests live betting Jandiroba after Lemos wins early rounds.
Daniel Vreeland leans with Virna Jandiroba due to her world-class Jiu-Jitsu and unorthodox takedown entries, believing she can take down Amanda Lemos and possibly secure a submission early. He notes that Lemos has a significant power edge and could get a late knockout if Jandiroba gasses, but he trusts Jandiroba's early dominance. He also mentions that Lemos has shown vulnerability to submissions, referencing the standing arm triangle loss to Andrade.
Jandiroba is a -130 favorite. She has a smothering grappling style and excellent cardio, which should wear down Lemos in the later rounds. Lemos has power but questionable takedown defense and cardio. Jandiroba's chin has held up, and she can take Lemos down, take her back, and eventually find a submission in the third or fourth round. Lemos could finish early, but if she doesn't, Jandiroba will dominate.
Paul thinks Lemos is the better striker and can hang on the mat against Jandiroba, citing her durability in going five rounds with Zhang Weili and surviving takedowns from Mackenzie Dern. He acknowledges Jandiroba's grappling edge but believes Lemos can avoid submissions and win rounds with damage. He calls it close to a pick 'em fight but leans Lemos at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba after initially considering Lemos. He recalls Lemos' grappling being exposed by Zhang Weili, who had 16 minutes of control time. He notes Jandiroba has never been finished and had close fights with Amanda Ribas and Marina Rodriguez. He trusts the favorite Jandiroba despite not wanting her to succeed.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 30 of 108 | 27% | 86 of 180 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 3 | 1 | 6:35 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 95 | 40% | 50 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 12 of 45 | 26% | 18 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 38 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:57 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 30 of 64 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 30 of 108 | 27% | 27 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 106 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 38 of 95 | 40% | 25 of 79 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 82 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 12 of 45 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 13 of 34 | 38% | 9 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 21 | 23% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 9 of 26 | 34% | 6 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 13 of 42 | 30% | 10 of 35 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 16 of 35 | 45% | 10 of 28 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.
Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.
Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.
Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.
The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 33 of 62 | 53% | 115 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 27 of 43 | 62% | 91 of 116 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 12:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 34 of 40 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 4:06 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 21 of 42 | 50% | 70 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 26 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 33 of 62 | 53% | 27 of 52 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 22 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 27 of 43 | 62% | 25 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 21 of 42 | 50% | 19 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 13 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 12 of 20 | 60% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez but warns it feels like a trap and advises not to bet on it. He believes Marina has a clear striking advantage and will land cleanly, while Virna Jandiroba's head movement is poor. The fight comes down to Marina's takedown defense; if she can keep it standing, she wins. Angelo thinks Virna will have some success diving for legs, but judges will favor Marina's clean striking. He is not touching this fight with his money.
Big Brady picks Jandiroba, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He notes Rodriguez has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Jandiroba is dangerous on top. He believes Jandiroba will get takedowns and submit Rodriguez, predicting a second-round submission. He dismisses Rodriguez's takedown defense against Mackenzie Dern as irrelevant because Dern has poor wrestling.
Cody sees a clear path for Jandiroba via her superior wrestling. He notes that Rodriguez gives up takedowns in every fight, and Jandiroba is a strong wrestler with good top game. He expects Jandiroba to take her down, control her, and win a decision or possibly a submission. He likes the plus money.
Connor agrees, noting Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she reaches for strikes, while Rodriguez is durable and has never been submitted. He sees the fight getting harder for Jandiroba as it goes on, similar to Rodriguez's fight with Ribas where Ribas got knocked out after an early takedown.
The host picks Marina Rodriguez by decision. He believes Rodriguez's improved takedown defense and striking will keep the fight standing, where she can land significant strikes. He acknowledges Jandiroba's BJJ threat but trusts Rodriguez's recent improvements to nullify it.
Paul has already bet Jandiroba at +140. He agrees that her wrestling is the key, as Rodriguez has been taken down by everyone. He expects Jandiroba to make it ugly, hold her against the cage, and win a close decision.
The Guru picks Rodriguez, stating she is better in all areas, especially on the feet. He believes her grappling has improved enough to survive Jandiroba's ground game, and that she is a better version of Amanda Ribas, who beat Jandiroba. He predicts a decision win.
Zane picks Rodriguez because Jandiroba is unlikely to get an early submission, and Rodriguez gets harder to take down as fights go on. He notes Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she struggles on the back foot, while Rodriguez's pressure and durability should take over in later rounds. He compares it to Rodriguez's win over Amanda Ribas.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 14 of 60 | 23% | 92 of 151 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 7:04 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 44 of 86 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 11 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 6 of 27 | 22% | 30 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 16 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:13 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 46 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:03 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 14 of 60 | 23% | 13 of 52 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 21 of 55 | 38% | 14 of 42 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 21 | 23% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 4 of 17 | 23% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 6 of 27 | 22% | 6 of 24 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 12 of 27 | 44% | 6 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jandiroba (-165), Hill (+145)
Round 1
For the victor, a spot will remain in the top 15 of the tumultuous strawweight division, while the defeated may tumble out of the rankings – and the company itself – altogether. Even though Jandiroba (17-3, 3-3 UFC) and Hill (13-11, 8-11 UFC) swam in the same circles of
Invicta Fighting Championships
’ and the UFC’s 115-pound category, their paths never crossed until tonight. These two ex-Invicta champs will receive oversight from referee Mark Smith, and do not touch ‘em up before proceeding to try and bludgeon, strangle or otherwise inflict great bodily harm on the other. Hill takes the center of the cage with one hand lower, perhaps anticipating a takedown while not remotely concerned with the Brazilian’s striking. If history is any indication, this might be a solid strategy. The stance allows Hill to stave off a takedown setup, and when she is paying attention to this, Jandiroba has two punches land across the bow. Jandiroba absorbs a right hand back, and as soon as Hill commits to punches, “Carcara” bullies her way into a takedown attempt. Jandiroba pushes Hill back across the cage to the fence, and Hill stuffs her and pushes Jandiroba over. This is not to her best interest, as Jandiroba falls to her seat and hunts for a leglock of some sort. Going for a kneebar, an ankle lock or anything she can snatch up, Hill is quickly in danger, with Hill’s left leg extended outward as Jandiroba is hanging on to it. Hill grimaces in pain as she hangs on to Jandiroba’s wrists, and Hill sits up to attempt to punch her way out of the sub and successfully does so. Jandiroba considers another submission setup, but she cannot keep Hill grounded. They stay tied up in the clinch when standing up again, and they both try to whip the other around for a takedown. Hill starts letting loose with knees to the body as Jandiroba is happy to remain tied up, and Hill looks to break off but Jandiroba is not letting go. Hill finally explodes her way out, and Jandiroba throws out a few hands while Hill is hesitant to engage. Hill swats away offense before ducking down and goes for a double, and she hits it only to get reversed as soon as they hit the mat. Jandiroba ends the round on top in an odd position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Round 2
Hill strikes first to begin the second round, and Jandiroba is more active and meets her in the middle with several more strikes in volume. They trade punches until Jandiroba closes in for a clinch, and after landing one knee up the middle, she abandons it and lets Hill swing back hitting air. Jandiroba goes over the top with a surprisingly effective right hand, and Hill blitzes into a tie-up so that she can hammer the midsection with a veritable bouquet of knees. Jandiroba scores a single elbow on the break, but Hill is energized, stringing three punches together as she gives chase. Hill presses forward to clinch, and they jockey for position and meet with knees on the sternum. Jandiroba breaks, and she looks for a one-two while Hill counters with a clean right hand. In the open cage, Jandiroba dives down for a takedown and practically tackles Hill over to plop her on the ground. Hill defends with a single butterfly hook as Jandiroba is on top heavily in half guard, and she cinches her own lets around Hill’s to shut down any possible escapes from “Overkill.” Jandiroba steps over to a dominant position, but instead of taking it, she snags hold of Hill’s left arm in search of an armbar or a kimura lock. Jandiroba turns it to an armbar as she falls to her back to lock it up, and Hill steps over and stacks Jandiroba up to keep the arm safe from harm. Jandiroba keeps that submission tied up as Hill’s knee crushes on Jandiroba’s jaw, and this posture of Hill along with her rocking back and forth allows Hill to make it to the third round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Round 3
Hill is aggressive to start the third round, and she throws hands fast and lets them go to nail Jandiroba upside the head. Jandiroba is stunned momentarily, and Hill rolls through to rip an uppercut. The punches get Jandiroba’s attention, forcing the Brazilian to shoot for a double that presses Hill to the wall. Hill keeps herself upright thanks to the fence behind her, but Jandiroba turns the corner and yanks her down to the canvas. “Overkill” instantly attacks with elbows off her back while Jandiroba is slithering her way through gain better top position, and she lines up north-south before taking Hill’s back as Hill looks to stand. Jandiroba holds on to a leg tightly to wrench Hill right back down to the ground almost as soon as Hill stands, and “Carcara” gladly lowers herself into Hill’s guard as Hill closes it around her. Time is ticking away from Hill’s chances at pulling off a comeback, and Jandiroba is comfortable wearing on Hill and working the body with short, stay-busy punches. Hill hangs on with a lock around Jandiroba’s shoulder, possibly for a straight armlock off her back, and Jandiroba wriggles her arm out and continues her smothering top control. With Jandiroba clinging to half guard, Hill explodes in an effort to get up. This does not work to her benefit, as Jandiroba follows her all the way through to take Hill’s back. With 10 seconds to spare, Hill turns Jandiroba around and gets on top, and Jandiroba throws her legs up high to prevent any offense from “Overkill” in the remainder of the match. The fight ends in this stalemate position, and as the horn sounds, Jandiroba hoots and shouts in celebration after a likely victory.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)
The Official Result
Virna Jandiroba def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Cody picks Hill as a dog, noting her fights are always close and competitive. He thinks Jandiroba's cardio is suspect and she may not be able to maintain takedown pressure for three rounds. He believes Hill can out-volume her on the feet and make it a close decision, though he's not highly confident.
Paul also leans toward Hill, calling it a dogger pass. He notes Hill's volume striking and that Jandiroba struggles to get takedowns against good grapplers. He thinks if Hill can keep it standing, she wins the volume game. However, he acknowledges Jandiroba's BJJ from top is nasty and she could bank the first two rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 88 of 233 | 37% | 124 of 273 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 1 | 50 of 155 | 32% | 119 of 224 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 1 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 79 of 90 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 26 of 83 | 31% | 33 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 12 of 62 | 19% | 14 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 54 of 132 | 40% | 55 of 133 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 26 of 70 | 37% | 26 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 88 of 233 | 37% | 59 of 194 | 15 of 24 | 14 of 15 | 84 of 227 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 50 of 155 | 32% | 46 of 141 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 46 of 148 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 12 of 23 | 52% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 26 of 83 | 31% | 18 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 12 of 62 | 19% | 9 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 54 of 132 | 40% | 36 of 110 | 8 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 53 of 130 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Virna Jandiroba | 26 of 70 | 37% | 25 of 61 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady slightly leans towards Virna Jandiroba to win a close decision. He acknowledges Ribas has the striking advantage, but Jandiroba's wrestling and ground game are next level. He thinks Jandiroba will get takedowns and control the fight on the mat, squeaking out a decision. He notes Ribas's takedown defense may be misleading and Jandiroba's confidence on the ground is high.
Cody leans towards Jandiroba as a dog, noting her wrestling and grappling advantage. He thinks her striking has improved (shown against Kanako Murata). He questions Ribas's level of competition (soft wins) and thinks Jandiroba could grind out a decision if she gets top control. He calls it a pass but sees value on the dog.
Daniel slightly leans with Amanda Ribas, citing her athleticism and cleaner striking. He acknowledges her chin is a concern and that Jandiroba has improved stand-up and strong jiu-jitsu. Daniel thinks Ribas can keep the fight on the outside and out-hustle Jandiroba to a decision, but he is not fully confident due to Ribas's durability issues.
Jandiroba is the better grappler and will likely take Ribas down and control her. Ribas' striking is flashy but she gets in trouble against pressure. Jandiroba should land takedowns and grind out a decision, especially if she trusts her jiu-jitsu.
Paul picks Ribas by decision, citing her speed and striking ability. He thinks her ability to get in and out of the pocket will be the difference. He sees the line as close to correct.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas clearly. He states she is better on the feet and on the ground. He notes that Jandiroba was outstruck by Mackenzie Dern, while Ribas danced around Dern. He dismisses Jandiroba's grappling threat and cardio. He predicts Ribas will win by unanimous decision, dancing around for three rounds, 30-27.
Loopy Godinez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 56 of 77 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 5:12 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 25 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 50 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 17 of 22 | 77% | 23 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 12 of 26 | 46% | 4 of 14 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 |
| Loopy Godinez | 18 of 25 | 72% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 |
| Loopy Godinez | 17 of 22 | 77% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 13 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 5 of 13 | 38% | 0 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.
Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.
Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.
Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.
Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.
James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.
Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.
Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.
Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 90 of 287 | 31% | 97 of 297 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 107 of 213 | 50% | 119 of 226 | 1 of 14 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 18 of 83 | 21% | 18 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 40 of 71 | 56% | 41 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 15 of 63 | 23% | 22 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 40 of 59 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 57 of 141 | 40% | 57 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 36 of 92 | 39% | 38 of 95 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 90 of 287 | 31% | 58 of 242 | 21 of 31 | 11 of 14 | 87 of 279 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 107 of 213 | 50% | 91 of 195 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 94 of 195 | 11 of 16 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 18 of 83 | 21% | 13 of 75 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 40 of 71 | 56% | 31 of 62 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 15 of 63 | 23% | 11 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 31 of 50 | 62% | 26 of 45 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 40 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 57 of 141 | 40% | 34 of 112 | 19 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 56 of 137 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 36 of 92 | 39% | 34 of 88 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Godinez has a giant grappling advantage and is the better fighter technically, but her fight IQ is questionable. He assumes she will make the right decisions and take Pepto before the fight. He thinks Andrade is a brute force brawler with limited skills, so Godinez should win if she doesn't do dumb things.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by second-round submission. He notes Andrade has been inconsistent and looks awful on the ground recently, with poor takedown defense. He thinks Godinez's path to victory is to mix in takedowns and grapple, as Andrade has been submitted many times. He worries about Godinez's fight IQ but trusts her to wrestle here. He mentions Godinez has a couple of submissions in the UFC and is working on her grappling.
The host expresses disappointment in Godinez's development but thinks she can handle Andrade's aggressive striking. He predicts Godinez will land enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind out a decision, surviving the third round.
The Guru picks Jéssica Andrade to win by TKO in round two. He believes Andrade will be too overwhelming with her punches for Loopy Godinez. The Guru notes that Godinez is easily hittable and has had close fights with lower-level competition. He doesn't see Godinez finishing Andrade or taking her down and submitting her. Despite Andrade's recent losses, the Guru thinks she is a step above Godinez's level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 84 of 150 | 56% | 114 of 184 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 7:30 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 87 of 151 | 57% | 117 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 26 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 24 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 26 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 58 of 101 | 57% | 62 of 105 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 58 of 93 | 62% | 68 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 84 of 150 | 56% | 71 of 135 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 75 of 141 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Julia Polastri | 87 of 151 | 57% | 58 of 112 | 14 of 23 | 15 of 16 | 78 of 135 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Polastri | 14 of 25 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 15 of 27 | 55% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Julia Polastri | 15 of 33 | 45% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 58 of 101 | 57% | 51 of 93 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 51 of 94 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Polastri | 58 of 93 | 62% | 47 of 80 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 54 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Godinez but is hesitant, noting that Polastri is a powerful bully who could pressure Godinez into hesitation. He thinks Godinez needs to be the aggressor and use her wrestling to control the fight. He compares her to Sam Hughes in needing consistency and determination.
Zane picks Godinez but shares Connor's worry about her confidence. He notes that Godinez has struggled against pressure and that Polastri is a dangerous, powerful striker. However, he thinks Godinez can be busier and more successful at range, and that Polastri's lack of range control will allow Godinez to wrestle effectively.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 72 of 203 | 35% | 103 of 235 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 67 of 146 | 45% | 72 of 152 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 1:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 49 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 17 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 24 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 23 of 68 | 33% | 27 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 28 of 53 | 52% | 31 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 72 of 203 | 35% | 61 of 188 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 66 of 195 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 67 of 146 | 45% | 45 of 116 | 16 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 58 of 136 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 25 of 67 | 37% | 22 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 24 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 15 of 38 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 24 of 68 | 35% | 20 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 23 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 24 of 55 | 43% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 23 of 68 | 33% | 19 of 63 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 63 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 28 of 53 | 52% | 14 of 36 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 47 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Godinez but is hesitant due to her notoriously low fight IQ. He thinks she is the better fighter everywhere except BJJ, with better striking, wrestling, and athleticism. He notes Dern's poor takedown accuracy and reliance on toughness. He bet only a quarter unit because he doesn't trust Godinez.
Big Brady is taking another underdog, citing Godinez's superior wrestling and boxing on the feet. He notes Dern has poor takedown accuracy (15%) and cannot take Godinez down, while Godinez should keep the fight standing and outpoint Dern. However, he admits he doesn't trust Godinez either, calling it a weird fight.
Cody picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior boxing and wrestling. He notes that Dern has poor takedown accuracy and has been roughed up on the feet recently. Cody thinks Godinez can stuff takedowns and win a volume decision. However, he acknowledges Dern's ability to create scrambles and capitalize on mistakes, so he's not fully confident. He mentions that Godinez is a slight underdog and that women's MMA is volatile.
Daniel picks Dern, citing her toughness and ability to overcome adversity. He criticizes Godinez's fight IQ and tendency to abandon game plans. He believes Dern will gas pedal Godinez and be the tougher fighter, despite potential striking exchanges.
Godinez should avoid the clinch and use footwork to out-strike Dern, stuffing takedowns. She should land better damage and win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Loopy Godinez, noting that she is the better striker and can avoid Dern's grappling. He thinks Godinez's volume and takedown defense should be enough to win a decision. Paul acknowledges Dern's scrambling ability but believes Godinez can stay away and win on the feet. He also mentions that Godinez went the distance with Virna Jandiroba, which looks good in hindsight.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Mackenzie Dern, citing Dern's lack of seriousness and Godinez's activity and better striking. He thinks Godinez can scramble and keep the fight on the feet, where she has a technical advantage. He notes Godinez has good takedown defense and works her way back up. He mentions she might be an underdog and likes that.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 30 of 108 | 27% | 86 of 180 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 3 | 1 | 6:35 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 95 | 40% | 50 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 12 of 45 | 26% | 18 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 38 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:57 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 30 of 64 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 30 of 108 | 27% | 27 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 106 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 38 of 95 | 40% | 25 of 79 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 82 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 12 of 45 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 13 of 34 | 38% | 9 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 21 | 23% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 9 of 26 | 34% | 6 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 13 of 42 | 30% | 10 of 35 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 16 of 35 | 45% | 10 of 28 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.
Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.
Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.
Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.
The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 84 of 224 | 37% | 91 of 232 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 98 of 221 | 44% | 101 of 225 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 22 of 61 | 36% | 24 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 23 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 90 | 34% | 32 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 36 of 72 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 35 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 39 of 76 | 51% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 84 of 224 | 37% | 68 of 197 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 16 | 78 of 218 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 98 of 221 | 44% | 81 of 200 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 85 of 207 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 22 of 61 | 36% | 17 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 20 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 23 of 73 | 31% | 18 of 67 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 90 | 34% | 24 of 80 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 36 of 72 | 50% | 29 of 63 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 73 | 42% | 27 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 39 of 76 | 51% | 34 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 71 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.
Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.
Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.
Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 1 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 37 of 51 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 6 | 0 | 6:29 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 34 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 1 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 29 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 21 of 31 | 67% | 15 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
| Elise Reed | 3 of 13 | 23% | 0 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 15 of 20 | 75% | 12 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Elise Reed | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Lupita Godinez as the better fighter, citing her size, strength, and wrestling. He acknowledges her inconsistency and notes that the version that fought Cynthia Calvillo would lose to Elise Reed. He believes Godinez should win but considers the odds too wide to bet due to her unreliability.
Big Brady picks Godinez but expresses concern about her fight IQ and recent reluctance to wrestle. He notes that if Godinez wrestles, she should dominate easily, as Reed has poor ground game and takedown defense. However, if Godinez strikes, the fight could be closer. He predicts Godinez will eventually take the fight to the mat and submit Reed in the second round.
Cody picks Godinez, emphasizing her size, strength, and wrestling advantage. He notes Reed's poor takedown defense and Godinez's ability to win even if she strikes. He expects Godinez to control the fight and possibly get a submission, but thinks a decision is also likely.
Daniel Levi is confident in Lupita Godinez, citing her wrestling advantage as Elise Reed has been taken down in every UFC fight. He notes Godinez's high output in her last fight and believes she can win on the feet as well, but the path of least resistance is through takedowns. Levi expects Godinez to dominate and sees this as a showcase for her improved skills.
Godinez has a tremendous wrestling advantage over Reed, who has been submitted in losses to grapplers. Godinez's striking is underrated, but she should focus on takedowns and top control. Reed alternates wins and losses and is coming off a win, so she's due for a loss. I expect Godinez to drag the fight to the ground and finish inside the distance.
Paul picks Godinez confidently, noting she can win anywhere but should wrestle. He mentions her inconsistency in game plans but believes she is a massive step up in competition for Reed. He sees a first-round submission as very possible if she wrestles.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez over Elise Reed, calling it a mismatch. He notes Godinez's wins over better competition like Emily Ducote and Cynthia Calvillo, while Reed's recent win was over Jin Yu Frey. He believes Godinez's boxing is crisper and she mixes in takedowns better, making her more versatile.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 112 of 270 | 41% | 117 of 275 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 132 of 246 | 53% | 133 of 248 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 34 of 81 | 41% | 34 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 49 of 81 | 60% | 49 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 43 of 102 | 42% | 43 of 102 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 35 of 87 | 40% | 40 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 40 of 88 | 45% | 41 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 112 of 270 | 41% | 71 of 214 | 21 of 33 | 20 of 23 | 106 of 262 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 132 of 246 | 53% | 106 of 214 | 12 of 18 | 14 of 14 | 121 of 232 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 34 of 81 | 41% | 19 of 61 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 32 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 49 of 81 | 60% | 39 of 71 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 46 of 78 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 43 of 102 | 42% | 28 of 81 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 43 of 77 | 55% | 36 of 68 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 35 of 87 | 40% | 24 of 72 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 34 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 40 of 88 | 45% | 31 of 75 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.
Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.
Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.
The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.
Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.
Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.
Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.
Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.
Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.
The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.
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