Career Averages - Joanne Wood
Career Averages - Maryna Moroz
Joanne Wood - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 136 of 249 | 54% | 173 of 290 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 102 of 195 | 52% | 156 of 255 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 50 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 58 of 109 | 53% | 75 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 52 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 74 of 131 | 56% | 77 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 52 of 107 | 48% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 136 of 249 | 54% | 74 of 175 | 39 of 45 | 23 of 29 | 112 of 216 | 23 of 31 | 1 of 2 |
| Maryna Moroz | 102 of 195 | 52% | 79 of 160 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 79 of 169 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 58 of 109 | 53% | 30 of 76 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 45 of 90 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 45 of 81 | 55% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 74 of 131 | 56% | 42 of 95 | 17 of 19 | 15 of 17 | 64 of 118 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 52 of 107 | 48% | 41 of 87 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 44 of 99 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Joanne Wood as a pretty big underdog. He thinks the books are not giving her enough credit. He notes that while Alexa Grasso is undefeated at 125, Wood has only fought top competition and is incredibly well-rounded. He believes Grasso cannot bully or knock out Wood like her previous opponents did.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Wood has excellent volume (6.71 significant strikes per minute) and can mix in takedowns, while Grasso has poor takedown defense (60%) and has been taken down by wrestlers like Suarez and Esparza. He notes that Wood's last loss was to Talia Santos, who is a beast, and that Wood looked good before that, including a win over Jessica Eye. He admits Wood might be washed but thinks the line is off.
Cody leans Grasso but acknowledges Wood's volume striking and durability. He notes Wood's technical boxing is poor and she gets hit clean, while Grasso lands sharper shots. He mentions Wood's recent losses and age, but thinks the fight could be close. He expects Grasso to win but not confidently.
Daniel Levi picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her improvement since moving up to flyweight, faster hands, and growing confidence. He notes Joanne Wood is hot-and-cold and may have mentally checked out after losing her title shot. He expects Grasso to win but cautions that the line at -235 is steep, and the fight could be a close decision due to poor judging. He suggests betting Grasso only if under -200.
The host picks Grasso but is not confident, citing her lack of finishing ability and the possibility of a close decision. He notes Wood's volume could sway judges if Grasso doesn't land significant strikes. He prefers the 'fight goes to decision' prop over the moneyline.
Paul picks Grasso but doesn't love the price. He thinks Wood's volume striking and front kicks could cause problems, but Grasso has improved her grappling and is younger. He sees the fight as close and competitive, possibly a split decision. He wouldn't fault someone for taking Wood as an underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso over Joanne Wood, calling Grasso a much better boxer with superior hands, defense, footwork, and chin at this stage. He notes Wood's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Grasso will get a submission win, possibly a d'arce choke, after hurting Wood on the feet. The Guru acknowledges Wood's volume could be a factor but trusts Grasso's technical edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.
Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.
Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.
Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.
Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.
Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 148 | 54% | 121 of 195 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 123 of 228 | 53% | 153 of 259 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 55 of 97 | 56% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 43 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 148 | 54% | 66 of 131 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 119 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 123 of 228 | 53% | 62 of 137 | 30 of 41 | 31 of 50 | 99 of 201 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 29 of 57 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 55 of 97 | 56% | 22 of 50 | 16 of 22 | 17 of 25 | 43 of 85 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 16 of 22 | 72% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 35 of 69 | 50% | 27 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 59 of 114 | 51% | 36 of 78 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 20 | 48 of 101 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.
Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.
Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.
Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 77 of 173 | 44% | 104 of 218 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:03 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 148 of 240 | 61% | 214 of 319 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 41 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 48 of 81 | 59% | 69 of 104 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 65 of 113 | 57% | 81 of 137 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 64 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 77 of 173 | 44% | 39 of 127 | 35 of 41 | 3 of 5 | 44 of 132 | 32 of 40 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 148 of 240 | 61% | 52 of 122 | 53 of 62 | 43 of 56 | 113 of 198 | 35 of 42 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 30 of 56 | 53% | 16 of 41 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 37 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 48 of 81 | 59% | 18 of 43 | 16 of 20 | 14 of 18 | 37 of 65 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 37 of 87 | 42% | 21 of 67 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 73 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 65 of 113 | 57% | 22 of 59 | 24 of 28 | 19 of 26 | 53 of 99 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 10 of 30 | 33% | 2 of 19 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 35 of 46 | 76% | 12 of 20 | 13 of 14 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) by decision, citing her high output (6.17 significant strikes per minute) and takedown ability. He is hesitant because Wood lost her last fight via submission, and he is not betting on her. He expects a close decision and thinks the fight likely goes to decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jessica Eye, citing her superior resume with wins over top competition like Katlyn Chookagian and Viviane Araujo. He criticizes Joanne Wood for folding in big fights and being mentally fragile. Levi believes Eye's athleticism and health improvements will lead to a win, possibly by decision.
This is a close fight between two mid-tier flyweights. Eye has good boxing and combinations, and she is not afraid to trade. Wood has volume but lacks power. Eye's durability and willingness to exchange should give her an edge. I think Eye lands the more significant strikes and wins a close decision. At plus money, there is value.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) to win a close decision, expecting a stand-up fight. He believes Wood's kicking game will be the difference against Jessica Eye's boxing-oriented style. He notes that both fighters are past their prime but gives Wood the edge due to her variety of kicks (leg kicks, knees, head kicks). He does not see either fighter going to the ground and predicts Wood edges every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.
Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.
The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.
The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 101 of 230 | 43% | 158 of 293 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 61 of 137 | 44% | 104 of 185 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 38 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 54 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 36 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 36 of 80 | 45% | 60 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 30 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 101 of 230 | 43% | 40 of 138 | 16 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 94 of 222 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 61 of 137 | 44% | 13 of 73 | 26 of 39 | 22 of 25 | 57 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 41 of 92 | 44% | 13 of 51 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 23 | 40 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 32 of 71 | 45% | 6 of 36 | 15 of 22 | 11 of 13 | 29 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 24 of 58 | 41% | 13 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 33 | 51% | 4 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 36 of 80 | 45% | 14 of 47 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 20 | 34 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 12 of 33 | 36% | 3 of 19 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Maryna Moroz - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 136 of 249 | 54% | 173 of 290 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 102 of 195 | 52% | 156 of 255 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 50 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 58 of 109 | 53% | 75 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 52 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 74 of 131 | 56% | 77 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 52 of 107 | 48% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 136 of 249 | 54% | 74 of 175 | 39 of 45 | 23 of 29 | 112 of 216 | 23 of 31 | 1 of 2 |
| Maryna Moroz | 102 of 195 | 52% | 79 of 160 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 79 of 169 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 58 of 109 | 53% | 30 of 76 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 45 of 90 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 45 of 81 | 55% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 74 of 131 | 56% | 42 of 95 | 17 of 19 | 15 of 17 | 64 of 118 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 52 of 107 | 48% | 41 of 87 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 44 of 99 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-155), Moroz (+130)
Round 1
I’m a sailor peg, and I lost my leg. Climbing up the topsails, I lost my leg! I’m shipping up to Boston, to find my wooden leg. As it turns out, the UFC is also shipping off to Boston, for the first time since UFC on ESPN 6 back in 2019. There may be wooden legs in the TD Garden, but there will absolutely be fights – a dozen, in fact. The first comes in the flyweight division between a pair of action fighters, as Silva (16-4, 2-0 UFC) brings her destructive ways to the table in a revenge match against extremely tough out Moroz (11-4, 6-4 UFC). Combined, the two have 23 stoppages in their 27 pro wins, although all four decisions are on the ledger of the Ukrainian. The action begins without a glove of touch under the watchful eye of referee John English, and instead Silva looks to find her immediate range with kicks high and low. Moroz stays on the outside with a jab stuck out every so often, and she gets in to back Silva off momentarily. Moroz strides forward to land a few strikes, and Silva gives three back in rapid succession. Moroz checks a kick as she resets, and she misses the mark with a head kick by a short distance. Moroz jabs the midsection, and Silva swings back with counters that are just out of reach. Silva peppers the lead leg and waist with kicks, and she loads up with a sharp left hand that intercepts Moroz and knocks her to her seat. Moroz springs back up and clinches up to get her wits back about her. The two jockey for position, and Moroz is the one to separate first as she lands three strikes in rapid succession. Silva lashes out with a head kick, and she catches Moroz with a subsequent combination. Silva surges forward to mix things up, shooting in for a double-leg takedown, and she manages to trip Moroz up and set her down on the mat. Silva passes guard easily to move all the way to north-south position, and she hangs onto Moroz’ neck with her right arm. As Moroz sits up,
Silva jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but “The Iron Lady” steels herself and passes through it to claim top position. Silva is still clinging to the neck, and she stretches Moroz out to reposition herself with the choke and crank it with all her might. There are just seconds left on the clock, and Moroz hangs on and tries to grit it out. The submission is frighteningly tight. On the verge of consciousness, Moroz taps out
, and the horn immediately blows after English intervenes. Silva releases the grip and lets out a shout of victory, and she leaps atop the cage wall to motion to the crowd to celebrate with her. Exacting revenge on a woman that beat her in 2014, Silva becomes the first fighter to ever finish Moroz as a professional.
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The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Maryna Moroz R1 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo is very confident that Karine Silva will win, citing her powerful takedowns and insane grappling. However, he cautions that Silva's cardio is untested past the first round, as she has only been to a decision once and lost. He worries that if Maryna Moroz keeps the fight standing and tires Silva out, an upset could happen. Despite this, he picks Silva but leaves her out of parlays due to the cardio concern.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by late second-round submission, trusting her durability and cardio over Karine Silva's early danger. He notes Silva is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 19 finishes in 20 wins, but her cardio is suspect and she tires in later rounds. Moroz has never been finished in 15 fights, and Brady believes she can weather the early storm, extend the fight, and submit Silva as she tires.
Cody likes Moroz as a plus-money underdog due to her boxing and takedown defense. He notes Silva has had bad spots and may fatigue if she doesn't get a quick submission. Moroz has a high work rate and keeps fights competitive.
Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing she is hungry to avenge her 2014 loss and has shown advanced submissions. He notes that Moroz has never been finished and has good submission defense, but Silva is stronger now and can take her down. Levi is not confident and predicts Silva by submission, but acknowledges it could be a decision. He also bet the over 2.5 rounds.
Lucrative James likes the underdog Maryna Moroz here, citing her superior strength of schedule and experience against high-level competition like Buena Silva and Maria Agapova. He notes that Karine Silva has never won a decision and tends to finish or get finished, while Moroz has never been submitted. He believes the odds are off and that Moroz should not be an underdog.
Moroz is the better technical striker and should be able to land from distance. She has defensive grappling to avoid Silva's submission threats and will likely win rounds with striking. Silva's striking is limited to setting up takedowns, but Moroz can nullify control time. Expect a close fight early but Moroz pulls away on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva but calls it a tricky pick. He notes Silva's first-round finishes and believes she has improved since her earlier loss to Moroz by armbar. He thinks Silva is the more talented, younger, and improving fighter with momentum. However, he acknowledges Moroz's win over Mayra Bueno Silva and the unpredictability of women's MMA, making him hesitant.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 109 of 253 | 43% | 117 of 261 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 80 of 272 | 29% | 84 of 276 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 13 of 61 | 21% | 13 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 41 of 110 | 37% | 41 of 110 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 41 of 114 | 35% | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 40 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 97 | 26% | 30 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 109 of 253 | 43% | 84 of 224 | 14 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 101 of 242 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 80 of 272 | 29% | 55 of 237 | 14 of 23 | 11 of 12 | 78 of 269 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 30 of 58 | 51% | 23 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 13 of 61 | 21% | 9 of 52 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 41 of 110 | 37% | 34 of 102 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 41 of 114 | 35% | 26 of 96 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 38 of 85 | 44% | 27 of 73 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 77 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 26 of 97 | 26% | 20 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 95 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 51 of 74 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 0 | 6:43 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 72 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 14 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 40 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 32 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 28 of 42 | 66% | 21 of 33 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 16 of 27 | 59% | 7 of 15 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 10 of 18 | 55% | 3 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 26 of 36 | 72% | 21 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.
Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.
Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.
Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.
The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova over Maryna Moroz, citing Agapova's aggression, strength, and reach advantage. He notes Agapova showed patience in her last fight (submission win over Sabina Mazo) and believes she is a rising prospect. He predicts a first-round TKO, though he acknowledges Agapova has gassed in the past. He dismisses Moroz as inferior based on watching both fighters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 88 of 146 | 60% | 92 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 139 of 247 | 56% | 176 of 298 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 28 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 62 of 108 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 56 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 43 of 73 | 58% | 43 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 56 of 101 | 55% | 58 of 105 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 88 of 146 | 60% | 45 of 92 | 20 of 22 | 23 of 32 | 73 of 130 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 139 of 247 | 56% | 75 of 160 | 49 of 71 | 15 of 16 | 111 of 203 | 10 of 18 | 18 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 25 of 39 | 64% | 11 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 14 | 21 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 45 of 84 | 53% | 16 of 49 | 21 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 37 of 73 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 20 of 34 | 58% | 13 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 38 of 62 | 61% | 27 of 48 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 20 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 43 of 73 | 58% | 21 of 47 | 13 of 14 | 9 of 12 | 38 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 56 of 101 | 55% | 32 of 63 | 20 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 53 of 94 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Staying at flyweight but moving over to the women’s side of the equation, Moroz (9-3, 4-3 UFC) will try to hand Bueno Silva (5-0, 1-0 UFC) her first career defeat. The third woman in the Octagon for this scrap is referee Camila Albuquerque, and the two touch gloves to greet one another. Moroz looks for jabs and a body kick, but the Brazilian has low kicks in mind. Moroz lands a good jab but gets tagged to the body by a flush spinning back kick. Moroz falls backward, but comes right back in with several jabs. Bueno Silva scores a body kick, and the two clinch up allowing Bueno Silva to try to knee her on the jaw. Moroz is working the jab, and long punches while Bueno Silva taunts her and looks at her. The Ukrainian does not get bothered by her antics, working the body and head with a long stream of punches as she kiais with every blow. Moroz shoves her advancing opponent away with a push kick, and chains together several punches. Bueno Silva lands a few power shots, but Moroz is working her over with substantially higher volume. Bueno Silva clinches up and lands a knee, but spins around and cracks her with a spinning back elbow. Moroz is unfazed, and keeps working the low kicks and punches up top. As Bueno Silva crashes forward, she gets hit a few times, so the Brazilian throws a high kick that gets caught. Moroz catches it and shoves Bueno Silva down, where she lands in full guard while throwing punches. “The Iron Lady” scores a strong elbow to the body, and Bueno Silva keeps eating punches to the face while she tries to buck out of position. Moroz slashes down with an elbow, and Bueno Silva holds on tight to try to force a referee standup. One does not come, as Moroz breaks free and nails her with an elbow. The first frame concludes with Moroz staying busy on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Round 2
The two start up the round aggressively, with Moroz linking a few punches together before shooting in for a takedown. The Brazilian stuffs it and shoves Moroz against the cage, but Moroz lands a few strikes and ducks the spinning back elbow that comes on the break. Moroz works the lead leg with a few more kicks, and the damage on that calf is starting to mount. Bueno Silva scores a heavy head kick, and Moroz gathers her thoughts while peppering Bueno Silva on the outside. “Sheetara” is swinging wildly, and connects with a few punches but Moroz largely evades the more dangerous strikes. They clinch up, so Bueno Silva circles around to try to take Moroz’ back, but Moroz breaks free and again evades that spinning back elbow attempt. Bueno Silva eats several punches and fires back much more heavily with a two-punch combination that backs off Moroz. Bueno Silva muscles her opponent to the fence, and nearly lands a trip but falls for her back again. The Brazilian gives up half guard quickly, as Moroz now prefers to advance position instead of posturing up on full guard like the previous round. Moroz stays heavy on top as if to set up an arm-triangle choke, but instead pulls her arm free and slams down a vicious elbow. Bueno Silva ties her up for a moment, but the Ukrainian yanks her arms out and starts to mark up Bueno Silva with a slew of heavy elbows. Moroz continues the grind, and starts to put it on Bueno Silva with more elbows from on top. She continues to rain down elbows until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Round 3
The last round commences with a body kick from “The Iron Lady,” and we can see Bueno Silva wearing it already. Moroz strings together a quick combination and backs off before a counter can follow from her opponent. Moroz lands two solid body punches, but Bueno Silva fires back with a body kick. Bueno Silva lands a leg kick, and then looks for another but Moroz lifts her leg out of danger. Moroz is able to touch her with the jab, working the body and head indiscriminately before going after a single leg takedown. Bueno Silva does not fall for it, and pushes Moroz against the fence where she lands a few stiff knees. Bueno Silva aims at that low kick, and makes Moroz’ knees wobble. Bueno Silva lands a heavy right hand, and the legs are definitely in danger for Moroz. The Ukrainian regathers herself and shoots in from a great distance for a takedown, and Bueno Silva stuffs it and pushes her away. Bueno Silva cracks her with a nasty one-two, and Moroz is hurt. Bueno Silva repeats the combination and Moroz shoots in low. She get stuffed, and Bueno Silva is marching her down with looping punches while Moroz still appears to be compromised. Bueno Silva targets the body with a few more kicks, and Moroz is reacting to every strike that lands. The jabs of Moroz are unable to keep her opponent at bay any longer, as the Brazilian is stalking her down while trying to land huge power hooks. Moroz spins with a back fist and catches her opponent at the end of it, and Bueno Silva rocks her with a knee on the forehead that splits her open. Moroz is rocked as she tries to circle away and survive the assault. Bueno Silva pours it on with a few more right hands, and eats one from Moroz and smiles. Bueno Silva lands one final kick to the body, and remarkably, this fight may be even closer than the first two today.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Bueno Silva)
The Official Result
Maryna Moroz def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Daniel initially favored Bueno Silva but changes his pick to Moroz due to the lack of crowd. He thinks Bueno Silva feeds off crowd energy and without it, Moroz's experience and tennis sounds could sway judges. He predicts a controversial split decision for Moroz.
The host picks Maryna Moroz over Mayra Bueno Silva. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's jiu-jitsu skills but highlights Moroz's impressive armbar finish over Joanne Calderwood, who is fighting for the flyweight title. He believes Moroz can defend positions and use her length and range to earn a unanimous decision victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 73 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 56 of 190 | 29% | 74 of 208 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 7:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 14 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 33 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 27 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 64 of 144 | 44% | 21 of 87 | 19 of 25 | 24 of 32 | 61 of 138 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 56 of 190 | 29% | 27 of 150 | 18 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 47 of 174 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 33 | 27% | 4 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 16 of 50 | 32% | 5 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 23 of 73 | 31% | 13 of 57 | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 67 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 39 of 79 | 49% | 13 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 13 of 17 | 38 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 24 of 84 | 28% | 10 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 84 of 321 | 26% | 100 of 339 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 114 of 209 | 54% | 121 of 216 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 26 of 104 | 25% | 33 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 39 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 19 of 87 | 21% | 26 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 34 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 39 of 130 | 30% | 41 of 132 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 47 of 82 | 57% | 48 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 84 of 321 | 26% | 39 of 241 | 32 of 62 | 13 of 18 | 78 of 304 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 114 of 209 | 54% | 63 of 144 | 26 of 37 | 25 of 28 | 89 of 182 | 22 of 24 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 26 of 104 | 25% | 12 of 77 | 10 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 96 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 38 of 73 | 52% | 20 of 47 | 8 of 13 | 10 of 13 | 30 of 64 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 19 of 87 | 21% | 9 of 68 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 80 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 29 of 54 | 53% | 17 of 39 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 42 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 39 of 130 | 30% | 18 of 96 | 13 of 23 | 8 of 11 | 38 of 128 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 47 of 82 | 57% | 26 of 58 | 10 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 41 of 76 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hill counters a kick with a pair of right hands. Hill continues to press forward and lands a combination. Another right hand over the top connects for “Overkill.” Hill is the clear aggressor, walking down her foe and landing overhand rights in the early going. Moroz lands an uppercut. Hill makes Moroz stumble with a lead leg kick. They tie up and Hill pushes Moroz into the cage. They separate quickly. Another counter right hand connects for Hill. Moroz is throwing a lot of kicks but isn’t landing much. Hill closes the distance with a combination and ties up Moroz. they break and Hill attacks with an inside low kick-overhand right combo. Hill drives her foe back with a push kick down the middle. Moroz lands a left hook as Hill moves forward. Hill ducks under a spinning back fist and Hill secures a body lock. Hill switches to a single leg but can’t get Moroz down. Hill tries a jumping knee as the horn sounds. 10-9 Hill.
Round 2
Hill lands an inside leg kick in an initial exchange. Moroz is throwing plenty of volume early. But it’s Hill who continues to land the more meaningful offense, including a pair of big right hands. Hill ties up with Moroz, gets an underhook and lands a couple knees inside. Hill lands an uppercut in the clinch just before they break. Hill misses a big right and Moroz secures a body lock. Moroz tries to get her opponent down but pulls Hill on top of her. An elbow lands for Hill from above. Hill tries to pass and Moroz stands. Hill lands a knee and a right hand on the break. Moroz’s output is good, but she’s still not landing as much as she needs to. She is keeping Hill at bay better than round one, however. Hill is slowing down, as Moroz secures a body lock behind a punch. Moroz presses Hill into the cage and lands a nice combination on the break. 10-9 Hill.
Round 3
Moroz goes right back to work, staying active with punches and kicks. Hill connects with an inside leg kick. Moroz answers with a front kick to the body. A right hand lands for Hill. Moroz continues to push the pace, landing a kick to the body. Hill catches a kick and shoves her foe to the mat. Moroz pops right back up. Hill appears to still be landing the more resounding blows, but Moroz is leading the way in terms of output. Moroz counters a leg kick with a left hand. Hill forces the clinch and lands some knees in close quarters. A jab connects for Hill. Hill dodges a Moroz combination and lands a combo of her own. Another jab finds a home for Hill. Moroz, meanwhile, hasn’t stopped throwing offense, although not a lot is landing. They clinch and Hill pushes her opponent into the fence. Hill lands a couple short elbows before they break. Hill goes body-head while evading Moroz’s offering. An overhand right lands for Hill at the final bell. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).
The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Maryna Moroz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 40 of 95 | 42% | 142 of 204 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 6:22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 38 of 119 | 31% | 48 of 134 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 73 of 93 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 42 of 63 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 27 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 14 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 40 of 95 | 42% | 32 of 81 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 8 | 19 of 63 | 8 of 10 | 13 of 22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 38 of 119 | 31% | 35 of 114 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 110 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Maryna Moroz | 13 of 36 | 36% | 13 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 18 of 32 | 56% | 15 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 7 |
| Maryna Moroz | 15 of 44 | 34% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 11 |
| Maryna Moroz | 10 of 39 | 25% | 9 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
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