UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night 253 Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 9"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ricardo Ramos
2.91 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
3.97 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
2.51 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chepe Mariscal
4.14 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
2.66 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
2.34 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Ricardo Ramos - Fight History
LOSS vs Kaan Ofli
Submission R1 3:02 · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Kaan Ofli 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Kaan Ofli 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos, trusting his wrestling training at Team Alpha Male to be ahead in exchanges. He believes Ramos is the better striker and can keep the fight standing. However, he is shocked at the 2-to-1 odds and does not like them, noting Ramos has been taken down before and could be ridden out.

"Ramos is going to be the pick because hopefully he can keep this standing, and he's the better striker. But I do not like these odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos despite being hesitant, as he considers Ramos the much more skilled fighter. He questions Ramos's durability, fight IQ, submission defense, and heart, noting he has been submitted multiple times and looked for ways out. He also questions Ofli's chin, grappling, wrestling, and striking. Brady expects Ramos to win by decision but acknowledges Ramos might beat himself.

"I'm going to pick Ramos just cuz I think he's the much more skilled fighter. I really don't think it's close, but sometimes the more skilled fighter doesn't always win, but I'm going to take Ramos to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody picks Ramos but is cautious, noting his lack of game plan and reliance on flashy techniques. He believes Ramos's size and experience advantage, plus training at Fighting Nerds, could lead to a win, but he's not confident at -175.

"I am taking him as well, but I don't want to pay too much for sure."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Lucrative James picks Ricardo Ramos, believing he is a level above Kaan Ofli, who hasn't proven to be UFC caliber. He notes Ramos's dangerous spinning attacks and submission skills, but also his tendency to gas out. He expects a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO. He is not very confident due to Ramos's inconsistency.

under 2.5 rounds (+money), Ricardo Ramos by submission (+350), Ricardo Ramos by KO (+450)
"I'm going to take Ricardo Ramos in this one. I'm going to say he gets it done inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Manpreet leans towards Ramos but with low confidence, citing Ramos's recent poor form. He believes Ramos's takedown defense and grappling will force Ofli to strike, where Ramos is the better technical striker. He expects Ramos to win by decision, but notes that Ofli's wide hooks could be countered. He is not confident enough to bet the chalk.

Ramos by decision
"I'll lean Khamzat here. Not a whole lot of confidence."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul picks Ramos but is hesitant due to his volatility. He notes Ramos's higher ceiling and home crowd advantage, but acknowledges the risk of laying chalk on an inconsistent fighter. He expects a win but warns against heavy investment.

"I'm going to go with Ricaro Ramos. One, Brazil. Two, back against the wall. Three, I think the ceiling has been higher for him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 7, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

The MMA Guru picks Kaan Ofli over Ricardo Ramos, despite a rule against picking Ramos. He notes Ramos has lost 4 of his last 5 and is untrustworthy, while Ofli has good pressure and wrestling. He predicts a close decision win for Ofli based on control time.

"I'm going to go with Kofley getting this one done. Very close decision. That's what I think."
LOSS vs Chepe Mariscal
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 37 of 91 40% 37 of 91 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 85 of 162 52% 125 of 210 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 15 of 28 53% 15 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 28 of 49 57% 42 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 42 of 67 62% 49 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:53
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 15 of 46 32% 34 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 37 of 91 40% 17 of 63 14 of 18 6 of 10 32 of 84 5 of 7 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 85 of 162 52% 59 of 122 9 of 14 17 of 26 64 of 132 14 of 19 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 15 of 28 53% 7 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 13 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 28 of 49 57% 24 of 43 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 29 8 of 9 7 of 11
2 Ricardo Ramos 8 of 24 33% 5 of 18 3 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 42 of 67 62% 29 of 52 3 of 3 10 of 12 38 of 63 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 14 of 39 35% 5 of 26 6 of 7 3 of 6 13 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 15 of 46 32% 6 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 10 13 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.

"chpe should win this fight I think he's reasonably priced atus 400 he may be minus 360 on some sports books but he's about a three and a half or a 4 to one favorite here and I think that …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.

Mariscal by TKO round 3
"I like Chepe here... I think he's going to cook Ricardo Ramos I think he's going to break him and I think he's going to finish him in the third round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.

public betting and parlaying him
"mariscal Tak taking a ton of love from the public in terms of betting and parlaying him and I have to agree I think he sets too high of a pace and has way a much Superior overall grappling game …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.

"I'm going with Shep mariscal to win this fight... probably by finish... second or third round TKO for sheet mariscal."
WIN vs Josh Culibao
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 1 70 of 127 55% 92 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Josh Culibao 0 27 of 118 22% 39 of 134 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 10 of 21 47% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Josh Culibao 0 2 of 31 6% 3 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:41
2 Ricardo Ramos 1 34 of 61 55% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
Josh Culibao 0 10 of 33 30% 12 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 26 of 45 57% 36 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Culibao 0 15 of 54 27% 24 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 70 of 127 55% 40 of 91 9 of 10 21 of 26 58 of 112 1 of 1 11 of 14
Josh Culibao 27 of 118 22% 16 of 92 6 of 11 5 of 15 25 of 116 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 10 of 21 47% 3 of 13 2 of 2 5 of 6 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 2 of 31 6% 1 of 21 0 of 2 1 of 8 2 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ricardo Ramos 34 of 61 55% 19 of 43 1 of 2 14 of 16 23 of 47 0 of 0 11 of 14
Josh Culibao 10 of 33 30% 5 of 28 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 26 of 45 57% 18 of 35 6 of 6 2 of 4 25 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 15 of 54 27% 10 of 43 4 of 7 1 of 4 13 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Angelo picks Josh Culibao but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ricardo Ramos is dangerous everywhere and a live underdog. He thinks Culibao is a bit chinny and has mediocre takedown defense, but trusts his cardio and toughness to survive early chaos and find his rhythm. He notes that Ramos was just submitted in the first round but is still very good, and suggests the under 2.5 rounds might be a good bet.

Suggests under 2.5 rounds might make sense
"I'm picking kulow because I think he can defend a few of those takedowns and he is just such a dog and I trust his cardio and all that butardo hamos is very good and I think he's a great …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision, but is hesitant. He believes skill-for-skill Ramos can hang on the feet and has all the grappling upside, as he is a BJJ black belt and Culibao has made mistakes on the mat. However, he is terrified because Ramos has a history of quitting and has been finished in all five of his UFC losses, including back-to-back guillotine submissions. He notes Culibao seems tough as nails. He expects a close, competitive fight with Ramos mixing in takedowns, but says he might not bet this one.

"I'm going to still go with Ricardo Ramos I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision mixing in the takedowns"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody sees Ramos as the more skilled fighter with good wrestling and BJJ, and notes that Culibao has poor takedown defense and has been controlled in recent fights. He acknowledges Ramos has been submitted in his last two but believes Culibao doesn't have the same submission threat. Cody calls it a dogger pass and takes the plus money.

"give me Ramos for no other good reason then he's plus money into a doger pass fight"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, believing he has a clear path to victory via grappling and back takes. He notes that Culibao gives up his back and that Ramos is the more talented fighter, though durability and mental toughness are concerns. Vreeland sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and thinks the line should be closer to pick'em.

"we go uh Ramos there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The host picks Ramos but with very low confidence, noting his gritty style and ability to dictate pace. He questions Ramos' technical advantages and recent performances, and also doubts Culibao's ability to thrive in wars. He expects a decision win for Ramos, but hopes Culibao wins.

"I am going to go Koli B I'm going to go Koli B by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Paul likes Culibao's brawling style and forward pressure, and questions Ramos' weight cut and recent performances. He notes that Culibao has been competitive in losses and that Ramos has been submitted quickly in his last two fights. Paul believes Culibao's volume and pressure will be enough to win a decision.

"for my money he's the guy to be backing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

The MMA Guru picks Josh Culibao over Ricardo Ramos. He criticizes Ramos as a quitter who makes dumb decisions, such as rolling for legs and ending up on bottom, or jumping into guillotines. He praises Culibao as consistently good, with a good chin, pace, and rarely getting caught. He notes Culibao doesn't gas out or put himself in bad positions. He expects Ramos to make a mistake and get finished.

"Ricardo Ramos is a quitter um he puts himself in bad positions all the time... I'm going Josh kibba to win this fight"
LOSS vs Julian Erosa
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:15 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julian Erosa 0 7 of 17 41% 12 of 23 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Ricardo Ramos 0 4 of 11 36% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julian Erosa 0 7 of 17 41% 12 of 23 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Ricardo Ramos 0 4 of 11 36% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julian Erosa 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Ricardo Ramos 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julian Erosa 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Ricardo Ramos 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Angelo leans towards Julian Erosa as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and ability to weather a storm and grind out a decision. He notes that Ramos is dangerous but also finishable, while Erosa is tough and can dog fights out. He will monitor the line movement for better value.

"I'm going to lean the underdog here I'm going to go with Julian he has the much higher level of competition under his belt and I can see him weathering a storm and then grinding out a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos, citing Julian Erosa's poor durability (knocked out seven times at featherweight) and low striking defense (47%). He notes Erosa is hittable and his chin is not getting better after back-to-back knockout losses. He expects Ramos to land something and knock Erosa out in the first round.

first round knockout
"I'm taking ricado Ramos I'll take him to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Cody picks Erosa as an underdog, citing his volume and unorthodox style. He acknowledges Erosa's weak chin but believes Ramos is not a big power puncher and may struggle with Erosa's pressure. Cody thinks Erosa can win by decision or late finish if he avoids getting knocked out.

"I will take this ever so slight Underdog play here on Juicy J Julian orosa."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos by first-round knockout, emphasizing that Erosa has a terrible chin and has been dropped multiple times. He believes Ramos should head-hunt and sell out for the finish, as Erosa is dangerous if the fight extends. He notes if it goes past the first round, all bets are off.

Ramos by first-round knockout
"I think Ramos is gonna come out here and get a ko1"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Ramos has the grappling edge and should be able to muzzle Erosa's unorthodox striking. Erosa is on a two-fight KO loss streak and may be on the chopping block. Ramos should dictate the pace and win on the scorecards, possibly even latching onto a submission. The fight going to decision is also appealing at plus money.

Fight goes to decision (plus money)
"I think that we'll see the better body of work from hamos and I think we'll see him win this fight on the scorecards I think the fight to go to decision is what I like the most."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Paul picks Erosa by KO, noting Ramos's cardio issues and tendency to struggle when missing weight. He believes Erosa's volume and durability will overwhelm Ramos. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm thinking orosa by KO is where I would think here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos over Julian Erosa, citing Ramos's finishing potential and Erosa's recent chin issues. He mentions Erosa's KO losses to Fernando Padilla and Alex Caceres, and a war with Steven Peterson that makes him doubt Erosa. He predicts a first-round KO for Ramos.

round one KO
"I'm going with Ricardo Ramos... this boy is getting chinned by Ricardo Ramos in round one"
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-135), Ramos (+114)

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a potential banger at 145 pounds, as the wild and crazy Ramos (16-4, 7-3 UFC) throws down with a man in Jourdain (14-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) that properly represents his nickname of “Air” any time he can. Referee Herb Dean will join the two high-flying, frequently spinning, hard-swinging and extremely exciting combatants in the cage, hoping to not be struck by errant blows. Before the violence ensues, the featherweights tap their gloves together. Jourdain snaps into action with a body kick, and he swats away a front kick. Jourdain aims another kick to the midsection, where he leans back from three head kicks – the third grazes off his guard. Ramos tosses out a low kick, and he gets sniped with a right hand over the top. Jourdain slaps a head kick up high, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Ramos charges towards him for a possible takedown. Ramos jumps over the legs and is in Von Preux position with Jourdain still holding on with the guillotine, and he presses his shoulder down on Jourdain’s throat. Ramos pushes his weight down to keep Jourdain in submission danger, but he lets it go to re-posture himself. Jourdain keeps his left arm around the neck until Ramos wriggles his head out of it, and Ramos looks to sneak into side control while sitting comfortable in half guard. Jourdain turns to his side, and Ramos times this so he can pass.
Both men somersault in a wild scramble, and Jourdain recovers first to latch on with a guillotine choke and pulls guard. This time, the submission is extremely tight, and the Brazilian finds himself firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Ramos has no way out, and before going out on his shield, he taps out.
This is a huge win for the no-longer-.500 Jourdain, as he becomes the first fighter to submit Ramos since 2016.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Ricardo Ramos R1 3:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo gives a slight lean to Ramos, thinking he can pick his shots and work in takedowns. He notes Jourdain is tough but not technical, and if Ramos avoids the chaos, he can pot-shot his way to a win. Not insanely confident.

"I'm gonna go slight lean for Ricardo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win by third-round knockout, citing durability as the key edge. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out in 21 fights, while Ramos has been finished in three of four losses. He expects a stand-up war and trusts Jourdain's third-round cardio and power. He acknowledges Ramos may have early wrestling success but thinks Jourdain will take over late.

third round knockout
"I'm going to take Charles Jordan to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Charles Jourdain, highlighting his doggedness and ability to thrive in tough fights. He notes Ramos's weight cut issues (missed by 9 pounds) and tendency to fold under pressure. Jourdain's volume and durability should overwhelm Ramos, especially if the fight goes deep.

"I think Jordan wins in either scenario so no Shoei bet out of Polish honestly but hopefully our Canadian brother goes out there and gets the win."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel picks Jourdain due to consistency and maturity, contrasting Ramos's flakiness. He notes Jourdain improves as fights go on, with high volume in later rounds, while Ramos tends to fade or get finished early. He respects Ramos's talent but questions his work ethic and mental fortitude. He thinks Jourdain's durability and pressure will be too much, and he can win by knockout or decision.

"I'm gonna go with Charles Jordan like I know what I'm getting out of Charles Jordan whereas I don't know I don't know if I'm gonna get the Phenom Ricardo Ramos"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Lucrative James leans Jourdain due to durability edge and pressure. He notes Ramos needs a perfect game with takedowns, while Jourdain can have big moments on the feet. He thinks Jourdain may drop Ramos if the fight stays standing. However, he hasn't fully taped the fight and wants to review Ramos's top control.

"I think Charles Jourdain is going to pile on the pressure a little bit more and probably get knockdowns."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The host picks Ramos (Hakaru Hokamura) as a plus 120 underdog, expecting him to use a grapple-heavy approach to neutralize Jourdain's striking. He notes Jourdain's takedown defense issues and that Ramos has improved his wrestling at Team Alpha Male. He believes Ramos will mix in takedowns behind his striking, control Jourdain on the mat, and win a decision.

"give me Hikaru how much to win his second straight fight and I think he gets it done by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul picks Ramos pending weigh-ins, citing his takedown-heavy game plan from the Bill Algeo fight. He thinks Ramos can control Jourdain on the ground, but is concerned about Ramos's weight cut. He would swap if Ramos looks sick at weigh-ins.

"pending he makes weight I'll pick Ricardo Ramos... I'm kind of on the fence about it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, acknowledging he is 'too fun to be good' but believes he has the skills to win. He notes Jourdain's recent win over Kron Gracie and his training camp for this fight. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for fading in fights and being wild, while Jourdain is durable and technical. He predicts Jourdain will catch Ramos in round two with crisper striking, as Ramos swings wildly and Jourdain counters.

round two TKO
"I'm going with Charles Jordan over Ricardo Ramos now I don't really think all that of Charles Jordan I think he's a little bit too fun to be good..."
WIN vs Danny Chavez
KO (spinning back elbow) R1 1:12 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 1 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Danny Chavez 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 1 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Danny Chavez 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 4 of 14 28% 3 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 4 of 14 28% 3 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos by decision, citing his ability to adjust his game plan based on opponent (striking vs grappler). He notes Ramos' dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he will win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Danny Chavez's toughness and durability.

by decision
"i like ramos here to make adjustments be well prepared his cardio worries me but i think he locks the first two rounds in and ends up surviving the third round so ricardo knows probably by decision is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision. He notes Ramos is nine years younger, has a five-inch reach advantage, and is improving at a good gym. He believes Chavez is dangerous early with power but fades, and Ramos can mix in takedowns and win a decision if he survives the first round.

decision
"I like ricardo hammos to win i like him to win by decision i think danny chavez is kind of first round knockout or bust here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody picks Ramos, citing his BJJ, reach advantage, and improving striking. He notes Chavez's low volume and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Ramos can win by submission or decision and suggests Ramos by submission at +400.

Ricardo Ramos by submission +400
"ramos by submission is like plus 400"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Ramos, believing the 26-year-old has high potential and will finally put together a complete performance. He notes Ramos has shown flashes of brilliance and has good wins, while Danny Chavez is a finished product at 35. Levi warns about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks Ramos can avoid them and win everywhere else. He is confident Ramos will get the job done.

Ramos -250; expects a coming-out party
"i got ricardo ramos here he's my pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul likes Ramos' skill set but is wary of the -300 price. He thinks Ramos should win but the line is too high. He agrees with Cody's assessment of Chavez's limitations.

"i like ramos i like the skill set that he brings to the cage the minus 300 price tag here is scaring me a little"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos, citing his youth (26 vs 35), reach advantage, and recent good performances. He believes Ramos has found himself at featherweight and has unorthodox techniques. He worries about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks the range difference will allow Ramos to control engagements. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with ricardo ramos over danny chavez much rangier i think he's got what now a five inch reach advantage over danny chavez"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 68 of 224 30% 71 of 227 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 77 of 181 42% 78 of 185 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 15 of 66 22% 15 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 21 of 72 29% 21 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 31 of 68 45% 31 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 32 of 86 37% 35 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 27 of 70 38% 28 of 74 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 68 of 224 30% 49 of 187 10 of 19 9 of 18 67 of 223 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 77 of 181 42% 73 of 174 2 of 5 2 of 2 77 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 15 of 66 22% 9 of 50 2 of 6 4 of 10 15 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 19 of 43 44% 19 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 21 of 72 29% 14 of 63 3 of 4 4 of 5 21 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 31 of 68 45% 27 of 63 2 of 3 2 of 2 31 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 32 of 86 37% 26 of 74 5 of 9 1 of 3 31 of 85 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 27 of 70 38% 27 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0 27 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady picks Zubaira Tukhugov to win a close decision. He thinks the fight will be competitive on the feet, but Tukhugov's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Tukhugov has a 100% takedown defense and averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He expects a very close fight and would not touch the moneyline.

"I think the difference in this fight is going to be tahugov going to the grappling going to the takedowns."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody leans towards Ramos at +145, citing Tukhugov's untrustworthiness and tendency for split decisions. He notes Tukhugov's wrestling isn't as good as other Russians and he gasses. Ramos showed improved wrestling against Bill Algeo. He thinks this is a pick'em fight and likes the underdog value.

"i'm leaning towards the plus 145 on ramos uh to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, citing his talent and ability. He notes Ramos has all the skills but is inconsistent mentally. Daniel believes if Ramos shows up, he can win by being more active and fresher down the stretch. He mentions Tukhugov's cardio issues and low output as vulnerabilities. Daniel is willing to roll the dice at the odds.

"give me the underdog ricardo ramos and ricardo just show up for this one man because if you do you got all the ability then the talent and the skills to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Tukhugov has power and takedowns, but fades in the third round and has been in many split decisions. Ramos is crafty on the ground and has durability issues. Tukhugov likely wins the first two rounds and holds on for a decision, but it's risky.

Tukhugov by decision +150, Tukhugov round 1 +800, Ramos round 3 +2000.
"I gotta go to hugov uh and i think he'll do enough in those first two rounds stay out of danger in that third round and take home a decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Paul is hesitant but leans Tukhugov, noting the 'team Russia' factor in Abu Dhabi might give him an edge. He acknowledges Tukhugov's flaws (low output, close decisions) but thinks Ramos also has low output. He expects a close decision that could go Tukhugov's way.

"i feel like it's going to go towards dahugov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos as an upset. He is not sold on Zubaira Tukhugov, citing cardio issues and a tendency to slow down. He notes that Ramos has good body work, is dangerous under pressure, and can land spinning elbows. He expects Ramos to be busier on the ground and scramble more, winning a split decision 29-28. He mentions that Tukhugov often lets fights slide.

"i'm gonna go with ricardo ramos i think he's pretty good and i'm not sold on zubaira tukagov"
WIN vs Bill Algeo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 53 of 102 51% 57 of 106 8 of 13 61% 1 0 3:26
Bill Algeo 0 76 of 170 44% 90 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 17 of 27 62% 19 of 29 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:23
Bill Algeo 0 17 of 41 41% 21 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:21
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 32 56% 20 of 34 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:03
Bill Algeo 0 30 of 63 47% 37 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 43 41% 18 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:00
Bill Algeo 0 29 of 66 43% 32 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 53 of 102 51% 30 of 72 16 of 20 7 of 10 45 of 93 8 of 9 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 76 of 170 44% 35 of 111 25 of 40 16 of 19 71 of 161 4 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 17 of 27 62% 9 of 17 5 of 5 3 of 5 14 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 17 of 41 41% 7 of 23 7 of 12 3 of 6 15 of 35 1 of 4 1 of 2
2 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 5 of 6 2 of 2 15 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 30 of 63 47% 14 of 42 8 of 13 8 of 8 29 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 43 41% 10 of 31 6 of 9 2 of 3 16 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 29 of 66 43% 14 of 46 10 of 15 5 of 5 27 of 64 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.

"i'm going to slightly lean with ramos i think it's going to be very very close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.

Bill Algeo by decision
"i gotta go with billy l jail again i mean again for if they're going to give these guys middling medium level fights he's going to be a cash cow for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.

"i'm gonna lean algo because of the volume and the output but i agree with you that you know we shouldn't be riding off a guy like ramos"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.

"i do like hamosh i do like how much my decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.

"i like i think gal joe just wins based on volume he just lands more like ramos you go through all of his stats and stuff i think the most he's ever landed strikes wise it's like 50"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.

"i'm going to go decision i'm going to go 29-28 decision"
Chepe Mariscal - Fight History
LOSS vs Pat Sabatini
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 29 41% 40 of 61 7 of 12 58% 0 0 10:37
Chepe Mariscal 0 7 of 19 36% 48 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 15 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:33
2 Pat Sabatini 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 4 of 8 50% 0 0 3:36
Chepe Mariscal 0 5 of 10 50% 32 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Pat Sabatini 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:22
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 12 of 29 41% 10 of 24 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 18 2 of 2 6 of 9
Chepe Mariscal 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3 6 of 13 1 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 4 of 11 36% 3 of 7 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 6
Chepe Mariscal 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 2
3 Pat Sabatini 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, praising his pressure, wrestling, and scrambling ability. He believes Chepe is the better striker and wrestler, and that Pat Sabatini's striking is stiff and he is chinny. Angelo is confident and placed a bet at -113, expecting the line to expand.

bet at -113 odds
"Chepee is the pick. And right off the rip, we've got a pretty affordable money line."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal as a slight underdog, acknowledging a clear path for Sabatini via wrestling but favoring Mariscal's striking power. He notes Sabatini's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Damon Jackson and Diego Lopez, and believes Mariscal can exploit that. Brady sees Mariscal's judo as helpful in getting back to his feet and predicts a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"Give me Chepe Mariscal to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, noting that his grappling is elite and that Mariscal has been taken down by everyone. He believes Sabatini has learned from his knockout losses and will stick to wrestling. Cody thinks Sabatini can grind out a decision or possibly submit Mariscal. He is not fully confident but sees the path.

"I actually have him going Pat Sabatini."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Connor also picks Mariscal, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Mariscal is one of the most fluidly offensively minded fighters and that Sabatini needs to dominate and stop the fight from happening, which he can't do against Mariscal. He thinks Mariscal's style is a nightmare for Sabatini.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently -130? Connor says 'I agreed'.
"I agreed."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Daniel sees this as a close fight and picks the underdog Mariscal to win again. He notes that Sabatini's chin is suspect and Mariscal's judo and wild style could keep the fight standing, where Sabatini is vulnerable. He expects a back-and-forth scrap that could end in a knockout for Mariscal.

"I'm going to take the underdog chep Marisk to beat Pat Sabatini for a second time."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini to win, believing his elite grappling and top control will be too much for Mariscal. He notes Sabatini's improved control since their first fight and Mariscal's tendency to be taken down. He expects Sabatini to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision.

"I'm picking Patrick Sabatini to get his revenge and win this fight as the underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal makes it look more dominant than their first fight. He scrambles and stays ahead of Sabatini, then overwhelms him on the feet leading to a TKO victory.

TKO victory
"I expect him to make it look more dominant while he scrambles and stays ahead of the game with Sabatini and then eventually overwhelms Sabatini on the feet leading to a TKO victory for Jeep Mariscal."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, noting that he is a better striker and has knockout power. He points out that Sabatini has been knocked out when he tries to strike. Paul thinks Mariscal could win by knockout if he keeps the fight standing. However, he acknowledges the risk of Sabatini's grappling and is not fully committed.

Chepe by knockout (suggested at +370)
"Chepe by knockout if you get a good price on it, 100% on the table."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, highlighting his pressure, volume, chin, and scrambling ability. He believes Mariscal's stocky frame will make him hard to hold down for Sabatini, who relies on control. The Guru also notes that judging trends may favor Mariscal if the fight is close. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Mariscal.

"I'm going to go with Shet Mariscal here. Um, I actually might take him by finish for once."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, noting that Mariscal is an excellent scrambler who never stops fighting and that Sabatini struggles to lock him down. He thinks the fight will be uncomfortable for Sabatini because Mariscal is fluid and creative in scrambles. He also notes that Mariscal has never been submitted and has a good chin.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently +110? Actually, transcript says 'Marasco is an underdog mind open a minus 200 currently plus one 10' but then '17, you the favorite, but a plus one 70 currently minus one 30' - likely confusion. Based on context, Mariscal is favorite at -130. Zane says 'I don't understand that at all' about the odds.
"I still think it's going to be a fight that it's just fundamentally uncomfortable for Sabatini because it's very difficult to lock Chepe Marasco down and keep him out of the fight."
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 37 of 91 40% 37 of 91 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 85 of 162 52% 125 of 210 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 15 of 28 53% 15 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 28 of 49 57% 42 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 42 of 67 62% 49 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:53
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 15 of 46 32% 34 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 37 of 91 40% 17 of 63 14 of 18 6 of 10 32 of 84 5 of 7 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 85 of 162 52% 59 of 122 9 of 14 17 of 26 64 of 132 14 of 19 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 15 of 28 53% 7 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 13 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 28 of 49 57% 24 of 43 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 29 8 of 9 7 of 11
2 Ricardo Ramos 8 of 24 33% 5 of 18 3 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 42 of 67 62% 29 of 52 3 of 3 10 of 12 38 of 63 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 14 of 39 35% 5 of 26 6 of 7 3 of 6 13 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 15 of 46 32% 6 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 10 13 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.

"chpe should win this fight I think he's reasonably priced atus 400 he may be minus 360 on some sports books but he's about a three and a half or a 4 to one favorite here and I think that …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.

Mariscal by TKO round 3
"I like Chepe here... I think he's going to cook Ricardo Ramos I think he's going to break him and I think he's going to finish him in the third round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.

public betting and parlaying him
"mariscal Tak taking a ton of love from the public in terms of betting and parlaying him and I have to agree I think he sets too high of a pace and has way a much Superior overall grappling game …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.

"I'm going with Shep mariscal to win this fight... probably by finish... second or third round TKO for sheet mariscal."
WIN vs Damon Jackson
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 32 of 49 65% 49 of 72 1 of 5 20% 0 1 4:18
Damon Jackson 0 73 of 100 73% 218 of 267 5 of 7 71% 0 2 8:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 18 of 27 66% 23 of 38 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
Damon Jackson 0 25 of 37 67% 53 of 69 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:05
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 8 of 12 66% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:17
Damon Jackson 0 29 of 38 76% 94 of 114 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:30
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 6 of 10 60% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:24
Damon Jackson 0 19 of 25 76% 71 of 84 1 of 2 50% 0 2 2:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 32 of 49 65% 5 of 16 26 of 32 1 of 1 5 of 15 27 of 34 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 73 of 100 73% 59 of 86 13 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 17 of 21 48 of 61
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 18 of 27 66% 3 of 10 15 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 8 15 of 19 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 25 of 37 67% 16 of 28 8 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 9 11 of 14 11 of 14
2 Chepe Mariscal 8 of 12 66% 0 of 2 7 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 2 7 of 10 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 29 of 38 76% 26 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 31
3 Chepe Mariscal 6 of 10 60% 2 of 4 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 5 5 of 5 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 19 of 25 76% 17 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 3 of 4 12 of 16
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he is the more well-rounded fighter with BJJ, kickboxing, and wrestling credentials, and is a dog who won't break. However, he is hesitant because Chepe is a favorite for the first time, his wins have been close, and Damon Jackson with a new hair transplant has been the best version of himself. He warns not to overexpose on Chepe.

Be careful; do not overly expose
"chpe is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Cody picks Mariscal because he is more durable, has a cast iron chin, judo black belt, trains at altitude with top fighters, and has good takedown defense. He notes Jackson needs to finish early and tends to gas, while Mariscal's forward pressure and volume will wear him down. Cody suggests a possible third-round finish.

Mariscal round three finish (plus 1000)
"chpe Marisol for my money's worth is just the more durable guy I mean when you look at Damon Jackson his best success is when he's able to get these guys down early submit them early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal has a high work rate, good scrambling, and cardio that should overwhelm Jackson as the fight goes on. Jackson is dangerous early with submissions, but if he doesn't finish, Mariscal will take over in rounds two and three. The prediction is Mariscal by decision, with a possible third-round finish.

Mariscal by decision; possible third-round finish
"Jackson will have success early here but given the scrambling ability and just constant work rate of mariscal I think we're going to see Jackson really start to slow down and later on in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul echoes Cody's sentiments, highlighting Mariscal's activity, striking with ill intent, and ability to get back to his feet. He notes Jackson's history of gassing and that Mariscal has the dog in him. Paul also jokes about Jackson's new hair plugs giving him confidence.

"Maris skull's just the more active fighter more busy on the feet lands with a little bit more ill intent the risk of getting taken down controlled is there but we know he's going to be fighting tooth and nail …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The MMA Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, comparing him to a slightly worse Dan Ige. He highlights Mariscal's scrambling ability, pressure, and striking advantage over Damon Jackson. He notes Jackson's grappling threat but believes Mariscal's 'ball of muscle' physique and urgency in scrambles will neutralize it. He also jokes about hairline envy affecting Jackson.

"I'm gonna go with shet mariscal over Damon Jackson... I just think he's levels above him on the feet and he'll keep scrambling with him"
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 49 of 104 47% 75 of 139 2 of 5 40% 1 1 3:42
Morgan Charrière 0 71 of 137 51% 121 of 199 1 of 8 12% 0 1 3:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 24 41% 19 of 37 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:57
Morgan Charrière 0 16 of 29 55% 25 of 44 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:30
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 33 of 61 54% 35 of 63 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
Morgan Charrière 0 32 of 67 47% 32 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 6 of 19 31% 21 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Morgan Charrière 0 23 of 41 56% 64 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 49 of 104 47% 30 of 83 16 of 17 3 of 4 45 of 98 4 of 6 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 71 of 137 51% 42 of 94 10 of 19 19 of 24 50 of 110 12 of 17 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 24 41% 7 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 16 of 29 55% 5 of 14 2 of 5 9 of 10 7 of 16 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 33 of 61 54% 20 of 48 11 of 11 2 of 2 32 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 32 of 67 47% 19 of 46 5 of 10 8 of 11 29 of 63 3 of 3 0 of 1
3 Chepe Mariscal 6 of 19 31% 3 of 15 2 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 23 of 41 56% 18 of 34 3 of 4 2 of 3 14 of 31 0 of 1 9 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he has been an underdog in all three UFC fights and is 2-0, showing he is tough, can pressure, and wrestle. He believes Chepe will make the fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière. Angelo notes that Chepe is currently a +145 dog and expects the line to move, so he plans to bet on Chepe soon. He mentions Chepe's BJJ championship, kickboxing credentials, and collegiate wrestling as reasons for his confidence.

Angelo plans to bet on Chepe at +145, watching line movement; expects Chepe to become favorite
"I like Chepe to make this fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Big Brady picks Morgan Charrière to win by decision. He notes that Charrière is good everywhere, a really good striker and wrestler with vicious ground and pound. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and has the dog in him, but thinks Charrière has more ways to win and will be slightly better wherever the fight goes. He expects a back-and-forth war that goes to a split decision.

"I'll take sh for the win but I think the line is about accurate probably probably should be about to pick him here Sher decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Chepe has fought tougher competition outside the UFC, including Gregor Gillespie and Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Chepe's constant work rate, durability, and takedown game. Cody thinks Charrière's low output and tendency to fight close decisions make him a bad favorite, and that Chepe's pressure will earn him the win.

"I agree with you on all the takes there... he'll be the pick for me"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Daniel Vreeland picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his toughness and Judo background. He notes Morgan Charrière is more athletic and powerful but has low output and close decisions against lesser competition. Vreeland points out Mariscal's win over Jack Jenkins was dominant, not a fluke injury, and his regional wins over UFC-level fighters like Yousef Zalal and Pat Sabatini. He expects a close fight but favors Mariscal's forward pressure and willingness to exchange.

"I'm going to pick Chepe here for the upset."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal is more battle-tested with higher output and volume. Charrière is more hype than talent, with cardio issues and a low pace. Mariscal can mix in grappling and striking, and his durability has held up. He should outwork Charrière and win by decision, with a possible late stoppage.

Mariscal by decision; sprinkle Mariscal round 3 at +2200
"I'm going to go marcow and marcow by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul is confident in Chepe Mariscal at plus money. He criticizes Charrière's low-volume, counter-heavy style and notes his record is full of split decisions. Chepe is aggressive, has good durability, cardio from training at altitude, and mixes in takedowns. Paul believes Chepe's constant work rate will overwhelm Charrière, especially in the Apex where judges favor damage and volume.

"I'm like in chpe I got some plus money plays on him already... if you're going to give me plus money on chpe mariscal I think he's got just the volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

The host expresses personal dislike for Charrière due to UFC signing him over Paul Hughes and Jordan Vucenic, but acknowledges Charrière is good. He notes Charrière's power, dangerous striking, great kicks, finishing instincts, and strong takedown defense. He predicts Charrière will smoke Mariscal by TKO, despite Mariscal's scrappy win over Trevor Peek.

TKO win predicted
"I think he'll smoke shet mariscal so I'm going to go with him by TKO"
WIN vs Jack Jenkins
TKO (arm injury) R2 3:19 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 41 of 68 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 38 of 87 43% 87 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 31 of 50 62% 33 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 60 38% 38 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 15 of 27 55% 49 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 41 of 68 60% 16 of 36 13 of 18 12 of 14 35 of 60 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 38 of 87 43% 14 of 53 11 of 16 13 of 18 23 of 65 14 of 21 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 31 of 50 62% 14 of 27 7 of 11 10 of 12 29 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 23 of 60 38% 10 of 41 8 of 11 5 of 8 18 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 18 55% 2 of 9 6 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 15 of 27 55% 4 of 12 3 of 5 8 of 10 5 of 13 9 of 13 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.

Parlayed with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money
"I think Jack Jenkins leg kicks which are lethal and he has stopped multiple fights with them are going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.

"I think Jack Jenkins gets it done and I think Jack Jenkins gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.

Jenkins by decision (+160)
"I think Jenkins pulls away in this fight great fight fun fight I think he gets fight of the night but I think Jack Jenkins is just a little more Superior"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.

Odds mentioned: Jenkins minus 200, Mariscal plus 170.
"I think that Jack Jenkins is just so much more technically sound so much more defensively responsible."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.

small sprinkle on KO prop
"give me Jenkins and Jenkins by decision small sprinkle on a potential KO prop here in case mariscal's chin uh is still as flimsy as I believe it could be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.

"Jenkins will be the pick for I I imagine lean on the wrestling a little bit wear them down make it a little bit uh ugly don't turn it into a slobber knocker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.

"I'm gonna go Jack Jenkins"
WIN vs Trevor Peek
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 51 of 125 40% 65 of 140 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:23
Trevor Peek 0 71 of 117 60% 145 of 203 4 of 12 33% 1 1 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 24 of 59 40% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Trevor Peek 0 26 of 51 50% 45 of 71 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:49
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 13 of 22 59% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:52
Trevor Peek 0 12 of 17 70% 44 of 54 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:33
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 14 of 44 31% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Trevor Peek 0 33 of 49 67% 56 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 51 of 125 40% 25 of 91 23 of 31 3 of 3 39 of 105 12 of 20 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 71 of 117 60% 51 of 94 11 of 14 9 of 9 41 of 78 20 of 23 10 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 24 of 59 40% 14 of 45 8 of 12 2 of 2 19 of 50 5 of 9 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 26 of 51 50% 18 of 41 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 32 7 of 8 7 of 11
2 Chepe Mariscal 13 of 22 59% 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 12 of 17 70% 6 of 11 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 6 3 of 5
3 Chepe Mariscal 14 of 44 31% 5 of 34 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 33 of 49 67% 27 of 42 3 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.

does not go the distance; quarter unit on Chepe at +155
"I'm gonna pick chepe to win here he's got more experience more actual skills"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I like Trevor Peak here and I like Trevor Peak to make this an absolute war and knock out mariscal in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.

Peek by KO mentioned.
"I think at some point the dog's gonna come out of peak peek's gonna land something put him away."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.

"I'm going to keep picking Trevor Peak until and probably after he loses because I just love it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.

"I think Trevor's gonna catch him um at some point in this fight so let's go Trevor"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me Jose chepe mariscal to pull off the upset here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.

Fight of the Night considered.
"I'll lean towards chapter mariscal mostly just to trigger you."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.

Predicts standing hammerfist KO in the first round.
"I'm going to be going with Trevor Peak here I'm going with the standing hammerfist KO in the first round let's keep the meme alive"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.

"I don't think that that serves him better. You know, not knowing or not being able to have the kind of fight you want. Is against somebody like Trevor Peak. That just gives me more pause about your ability to …"
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.

"chpe should win this fight I think he's reasonably priced atus 400 he may be minus 360 on some sports books but he's about a three and a half or a 4 to one favorite here and I think that makes sense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.

Mariscal by TKO round 3
"I like Chepe here... I think he's going to cook Ricardo Ramos I think he's going to break him and I think he's going to finish him in the third round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.

public betting and parlaying him
"mariscal Tak taking a ton of love from the public in terms of betting and parlaying him and I have to agree I think he sets too high of a pace and has way a much Superior overall grappling game here with his wrestling and BJJ to shut down the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.

"I'm going with Shep mariscal to win this fight... probably by finish... second or third round TKO for sheet mariscal."