Career Averages - Ricardo Ramos
Career Averages - Chepe Mariscal
Ricardo Ramos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos, trusting his wrestling training at Team Alpha Male to be ahead in exchanges. He believes Ramos is the better striker and can keep the fight standing. However, he is shocked at the 2-to-1 odds and does not like them, noting Ramos has been taken down before and could be ridden out.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos despite being hesitant, as he considers Ramos the much more skilled fighter. He questions Ramos's durability, fight IQ, submission defense, and heart, noting he has been submitted multiple times and looked for ways out. He also questions Ofli's chin, grappling, wrestling, and striking. Brady expects Ramos to win by decision but acknowledges Ramos might beat himself.
Cody picks Ramos but is cautious, noting his lack of game plan and reliance on flashy techniques. He believes Ramos's size and experience advantage, plus training at Fighting Nerds, could lead to a win, but he's not confident at -175.
Lucrative James picks Ricardo Ramos, believing he is a level above Kaan Ofli, who hasn't proven to be UFC caliber. He notes Ramos's dangerous spinning attacks and submission skills, but also his tendency to gas out. He expects a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO. He is not very confident due to Ramos's inconsistency.
Manpreet leans towards Ramos but with low confidence, citing Ramos's recent poor form. He believes Ramos's takedown defense and grappling will force Ofli to strike, where Ramos is the better technical striker. He expects Ramos to win by decision, but notes that Ofli's wide hooks could be countered. He is not confident enough to bet the chalk.
Paul picks Ramos but is hesitant due to his volatility. He notes Ramos's higher ceiling and home crowd advantage, but acknowledges the risk of laying chalk on an inconsistent fighter. He expects a win but warns against heavy investment.
The MMA Guru picks Kaan Ofli over Ricardo Ramos, despite a rule against picking Ramos. He notes Ramos has lost 4 of his last 5 and is untrustworthy, while Ofli has good pressure and wrestling. He predicts a close decision win for Ofli based on control time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 37 of 91 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 85 of 162 | 52% | 125 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 49 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 34 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 37 of 91 | 40% | 17 of 63 | 14 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 84 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 85 of 162 | 52% | 59 of 122 | 9 of 14 | 17 of 26 | 64 of 132 | 14 of 19 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 15 of 28 | 53% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 28 of 49 | 57% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 42 of 67 | 62% | 29 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 38 of 63 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 14 of 39 | 35% | 5 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 15 of 46 | 32% | 6 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 10 | 13 of 40 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.
The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 70 of 127 | 55% | 92 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 27 of 118 | 22% | 39 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 2 of 31 | 6% | 3 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 12 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 36 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 24 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 70 of 127 | 55% | 40 of 91 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 26 | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 27 of 118 | 22% | 16 of 92 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 15 | 25 of 116 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 10 of 21 | 47% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 2 of 31 | 6% | 1 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 2 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 16 | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 10 of 33 | 30% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 26 of 45 | 57% | 18 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 15 of 54 | 27% | 10 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 13 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Culibao but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ricardo Ramos is dangerous everywhere and a live underdog. He thinks Culibao is a bit chinny and has mediocre takedown defense, but trusts his cardio and toughness to survive early chaos and find his rhythm. He notes that Ramos was just submitted in the first round but is still very good, and suggests the under 2.5 rounds might be a good bet.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision, but is hesitant. He believes skill-for-skill Ramos can hang on the feet and has all the grappling upside, as he is a BJJ black belt and Culibao has made mistakes on the mat. However, he is terrified because Ramos has a history of quitting and has been finished in all five of his UFC losses, including back-to-back guillotine submissions. He notes Culibao seems tough as nails. He expects a close, competitive fight with Ramos mixing in takedowns, but says he might not bet this one.
Cody sees Ramos as the more skilled fighter with good wrestling and BJJ, and notes that Culibao has poor takedown defense and has been controlled in recent fights. He acknowledges Ramos has been submitted in his last two but believes Culibao doesn't have the same submission threat. Cody calls it a dogger pass and takes the plus money.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, believing he has a clear path to victory via grappling and back takes. He notes that Culibao gives up his back and that Ramos is the more talented fighter, though durability and mental toughness are concerns. Vreeland sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and thinks the line should be closer to pick'em.
The host picks Ramos but with very low confidence, noting his gritty style and ability to dictate pace. He questions Ramos' technical advantages and recent performances, and also doubts Culibao's ability to thrive in wars. He expects a decision win for Ramos, but hopes Culibao wins.
Paul likes Culibao's brawling style and forward pressure, and questions Ramos' weight cut and recent performances. He notes that Culibao has been competitive in losses and that Ramos has been submitted quickly in his last two fights. Paul believes Culibao's volume and pressure will be enough to win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Culibao over Ricardo Ramos. He criticizes Ramos as a quitter who makes dumb decisions, such as rolling for legs and ending up on bottom, or jumping into guillotines. He praises Culibao as consistently good, with a good chin, pace, and rarely getting caught. He notes Culibao doesn't gas out or put himself in bad positions. He expects Ramos to make a mistake and get finished.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans towards Julian Erosa as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and ability to weather a storm and grind out a decision. He notes that Ramos is dangerous but also finishable, while Erosa is tough and can dog fights out. He will monitor the line movement for better value.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos, citing Julian Erosa's poor durability (knocked out seven times at featherweight) and low striking defense (47%). He notes Erosa is hittable and his chin is not getting better after back-to-back knockout losses. He expects Ramos to land something and knock Erosa out in the first round.
Cody picks Erosa as an underdog, citing his volume and unorthodox style. He acknowledges Erosa's weak chin but believes Ramos is not a big power puncher and may struggle with Erosa's pressure. Cody thinks Erosa can win by decision or late finish if he avoids getting knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos by first-round knockout, emphasizing that Erosa has a terrible chin and has been dropped multiple times. He believes Ramos should head-hunt and sell out for the finish, as Erosa is dangerous if the fight extends. He notes if it goes past the first round, all bets are off.
Ramos has the grappling edge and should be able to muzzle Erosa's unorthodox striking. Erosa is on a two-fight KO loss streak and may be on the chopping block. Ramos should dictate the pace and win on the scorecards, possibly even latching onto a submission. The fight going to decision is also appealing at plus money.
Paul picks Erosa by KO, noting Ramos's cardio issues and tendency to struggle when missing weight. He believes Erosa's volume and durability will overwhelm Ramos. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos over Julian Erosa, citing Ramos's finishing potential and Erosa's recent chin issues. He mentions Erosa's KO losses to Fernando Padilla and Alex Caceres, and a war with Steven Peterson that makes him doubt Erosa. He predicts a first-round KO for Ramos.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 0 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 9 | 88% | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 9 | 88% | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-135), Ramos (+114)
Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a potential banger at 145 pounds, as the wild and crazy Ramos (16-4, 7-3 UFC) throws down with a man in Jourdain (14-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) that properly represents his nickname of “Air” any time he can. Referee Herb Dean will join the two high-flying, frequently spinning, hard-swinging and extremely exciting combatants in the cage, hoping to not be struck by errant blows. Before the violence ensues, the featherweights tap their gloves together. Jourdain snaps into action with a body kick, and he swats away a front kick. Jourdain aims another kick to the midsection, where he leans back from three head kicks – the third grazes off his guard. Ramos tosses out a low kick, and he gets sniped with a right hand over the top. Jourdain slaps a head kick up high, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Ramos charges towards him for a possible takedown. Ramos jumps over the legs and is in Von Preux position with Jourdain still holding on with the guillotine, and he presses his shoulder down on Jourdain’s throat. Ramos pushes his weight down to keep Jourdain in submission danger, but he lets it go to re-posture himself. Jourdain keeps his left arm around the neck until Ramos wriggles his head out of it, and Ramos looks to sneak into side control while sitting comfortable in half guard. Jourdain turns to his side, and Ramos times this so he can pass.
Both men somersault in a wild scramble, and Jourdain recovers first to latch on with a guillotine choke and pulls guard. This time, the submission is extremely tight, and the Brazilian finds himself firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Ramos has no way out, and before going out on his shield, he taps out.
This is a huge win for the no-longer-.500 Jourdain, as he becomes the first fighter to submit Ramos since 2016.
The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Ricardo Ramos R1 3:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo gives a slight lean to Ramos, thinking he can pick his shots and work in takedowns. He notes Jourdain is tough but not technical, and if Ramos avoids the chaos, he can pot-shot his way to a win. Not insanely confident.
Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win by third-round knockout, citing durability as the key edge. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out in 21 fights, while Ramos has been finished in three of four losses. He expects a stand-up war and trusts Jourdain's third-round cardio and power. He acknowledges Ramos may have early wrestling success but thinks Jourdain will take over late.
Cody picks Charles Jourdain, highlighting his doggedness and ability to thrive in tough fights. He notes Ramos's weight cut issues (missed by 9 pounds) and tendency to fold under pressure. Jourdain's volume and durability should overwhelm Ramos, especially if the fight goes deep.
Daniel picks Jourdain due to consistency and maturity, contrasting Ramos's flakiness. He notes Jourdain improves as fights go on, with high volume in later rounds, while Ramos tends to fade or get finished early. He respects Ramos's talent but questions his work ethic and mental fortitude. He thinks Jourdain's durability and pressure will be too much, and he can win by knockout or decision.
Lucrative James leans Jourdain due to durability edge and pressure. He notes Ramos needs a perfect game with takedowns, while Jourdain can have big moments on the feet. He thinks Jourdain may drop Ramos if the fight stays standing. However, he hasn't fully taped the fight and wants to review Ramos's top control.
The host picks Ramos (Hakaru Hokamura) as a plus 120 underdog, expecting him to use a grapple-heavy approach to neutralize Jourdain's striking. He notes Jourdain's takedown defense issues and that Ramos has improved his wrestling at Team Alpha Male. He believes Ramos will mix in takedowns behind his striking, control Jourdain on the mat, and win a decision.
Paul picks Ramos pending weigh-ins, citing his takedown-heavy game plan from the Bill Algeo fight. He thinks Ramos can control Jourdain on the ground, but is concerned about Ramos's weight cut. He would swap if Ramos looks sick at weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, acknowledging he is 'too fun to be good' but believes he has the skills to win. He notes Jourdain's recent win over Kron Gracie and his training camp for this fight. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for fading in fights and being wild, while Jourdain is durable and technical. He predicts Jourdain will catch Ramos in round two with crisper striking, as Ramos swings wildly and Jourdain counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Danny Chavez | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Danny Chavez | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 14 | 28% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Chavez | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 14 | 28% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Chavez | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos by decision, citing his ability to adjust his game plan based on opponent (striking vs grappler). He notes Ramos' dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he will win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Danny Chavez's toughness and durability.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision. He notes Ramos is nine years younger, has a five-inch reach advantage, and is improving at a good gym. He believes Chavez is dangerous early with power but fades, and Ramos can mix in takedowns and win a decision if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Ramos, citing his BJJ, reach advantage, and improving striking. He notes Chavez's low volume and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Ramos can win by submission or decision and suggests Ramos by submission at +400.
Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Ramos, believing the 26-year-old has high potential and will finally put together a complete performance. He notes Ramos has shown flashes of brilliance and has good wins, while Danny Chavez is a finished product at 35. Levi warns about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks Ramos can avoid them and win everywhere else. He is confident Ramos will get the job done.
Paul likes Ramos' skill set but is wary of the -300 price. He thinks Ramos should win but the line is too high. He agrees with Cody's assessment of Chavez's limitations.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos, citing his youth (26 vs 35), reach advantage, and recent good performances. He believes Ramos has found himself at featherweight and has unorthodox techniques. He worries about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks the range difference will allow Ramos to control engagements. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 68 of 224 | 30% | 71 of 227 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 77 of 181 | 42% | 78 of 185 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 15 of 66 | 22% | 15 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 21 of 72 | 29% | 21 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 31 of 68 | 45% | 31 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 32 of 86 | 37% | 35 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 27 of 70 | 38% | 28 of 74 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubaira Tukhugov | 68 of 224 | 30% | 49 of 187 | 10 of 19 | 9 of 18 | 67 of 223 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 77 of 181 | 42% | 73 of 174 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 77 of 181 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 15 of 66 | 22% | 9 of 50 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 10 | 15 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 21 of 72 | 29% | 14 of 63 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 31 of 68 | 45% | 27 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 32 of 86 | 37% | 26 of 74 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 27 of 70 | 38% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Zubaira Tukhugov to win a close decision. He thinks the fight will be competitive on the feet, but Tukhugov's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Tukhugov has a 100% takedown defense and averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He expects a very close fight and would not touch the moneyline.
Cody leans towards Ramos at +145, citing Tukhugov's untrustworthiness and tendency for split decisions. He notes Tukhugov's wrestling isn't as good as other Russians and he gasses. Ramos showed improved wrestling against Bill Algeo. He thinks this is a pick'em fight and likes the underdog value.
Daniel picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, citing his talent and ability. He notes Ramos has all the skills but is inconsistent mentally. Daniel believes if Ramos shows up, he can win by being more active and fresher down the stretch. He mentions Tukhugov's cardio issues and low output as vulnerabilities. Daniel is willing to roll the dice at the odds.
Tukhugov has power and takedowns, but fades in the third round and has been in many split decisions. Ramos is crafty on the ground and has durability issues. Tukhugov likely wins the first two rounds and holds on for a decision, but it's risky.
Paul is hesitant but leans Tukhugov, noting the 'team Russia' factor in Abu Dhabi might give him an edge. He acknowledges Tukhugov's flaws (low output, close decisions) but thinks Ramos also has low output. He expects a close decision that could go Tukhugov's way.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos as an upset. He is not sold on Zubaira Tukhugov, citing cardio issues and a tendency to slow down. He notes that Ramos has good body work, is dangerous under pressure, and can land spinning elbows. He expects Ramos to be busier on the ground and scramble more, winning a split decision 29-28. He mentions that Tukhugov often lets fights slide.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 53 of 102 | 51% | 57 of 106 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 90 of 187 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 19 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 20 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 37 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 53 of 102 | 51% | 30 of 72 | 16 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 45 of 93 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 76 of 170 | 44% | 35 of 111 | 25 of 40 | 16 of 19 | 71 of 161 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 17 of 27 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 17 of 41 | 41% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 15 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 32 | 56% | 11 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 30 of 63 | 47% | 14 of 42 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 43 | 41% | 10 of 31 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 29 of 66 | 43% | 14 of 46 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.
Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.
Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.
Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.
The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.
Chepe Mariscal - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Sabatini | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 40 of 61 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 10:37 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 48 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:33 | |
| 2 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 21 of 31 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 32 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 11 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Sabatini | 12 of 29 | 41% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Sabatini | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pat Sabatini | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Pat Sabatini | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, praising his pressure, wrestling, and scrambling ability. He believes Chepe is the better striker and wrestler, and that Pat Sabatini's striking is stiff and he is chinny. Angelo is confident and placed a bet at -113, expecting the line to expand.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal as a slight underdog, acknowledging a clear path for Sabatini via wrestling but favoring Mariscal's striking power. He notes Sabatini's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Damon Jackson and Diego Lopez, and believes Mariscal can exploit that. Brady sees Mariscal's judo as helpful in getting back to his feet and predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Sabatini, noting that his grappling is elite and that Mariscal has been taken down by everyone. He believes Sabatini has learned from his knockout losses and will stick to wrestling. Cody thinks Sabatini can grind out a decision or possibly submit Mariscal. He is not fully confident but sees the path.
Connor also picks Mariscal, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Mariscal is one of the most fluidly offensively minded fighters and that Sabatini needs to dominate and stop the fight from happening, which he can't do against Mariscal. He thinks Mariscal's style is a nightmare for Sabatini.
Daniel sees this as a close fight and picks the underdog Mariscal to win again. He notes that Sabatini's chin is suspect and Mariscal's judo and wild style could keep the fight standing, where Sabatini is vulnerable. He expects a back-and-forth scrap that could end in a knockout for Mariscal.
Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini to win, believing his elite grappling and top control will be too much for Mariscal. He notes Sabatini's improved control since their first fight and Mariscal's tendency to be taken down. He expects Sabatini to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision.
Mariscal makes it look more dominant than their first fight. He scrambles and stays ahead of Sabatini, then overwhelms him on the feet leading to a TKO victory.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, noting that he is a better striker and has knockout power. He points out that Sabatini has been knocked out when he tries to strike. Paul thinks Mariscal could win by knockout if he keeps the fight standing. However, he acknowledges the risk of Sabatini's grappling and is not fully committed.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, highlighting his pressure, volume, chin, and scrambling ability. He believes Mariscal's stocky frame will make him hard to hold down for Sabatini, who relies on control. The Guru also notes that judging trends may favor Mariscal if the fight is close. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Mariscal.
Zane picks Mariscal, noting that Mariscal is an excellent scrambler who never stops fighting and that Sabatini struggles to lock him down. He thinks the fight will be uncomfortable for Sabatini because Mariscal is fluid and creative in scrambles. He also notes that Mariscal has never been submitted and has a good chin.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 37 of 91 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 85 of 162 | 52% | 125 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 49 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 34 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 37 of 91 | 40% | 17 of 63 | 14 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 84 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 85 of 162 | 52% | 59 of 122 | 9 of 14 | 17 of 26 | 64 of 132 | 14 of 19 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 15 of 28 | 53% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 28 of 49 | 57% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 42 of 67 | 62% | 29 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 38 of 63 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 14 of 39 | 35% | 5 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 15 of 46 | 32% | 6 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 10 | 13 of 40 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.
The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 49 of 72 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 4:18 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 73 of 100 | 73% | 218 of 267 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 2 | 8:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 53 of 69 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 29 of 38 | 76% | 94 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:24 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 71 of 84 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 2:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 32 of 49 | 65% | 5 of 16 | 26 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 27 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 73 of 100 | 73% | 59 of 86 | 13 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 17 of 21 | 48 of 61 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 18 of 27 | 66% | 3 of 10 | 15 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 25 of 37 | 67% | 16 of 28 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 11 of 14 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 8 of 12 | 66% | 0 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 29 of 38 | 76% | 26 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 31 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 19 of 25 | 76% | 17 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 16 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he is the more well-rounded fighter with BJJ, kickboxing, and wrestling credentials, and is a dog who won't break. However, he is hesitant because Chepe is a favorite for the first time, his wins have been close, and Damon Jackson with a new hair transplant has been the best version of himself. He warns not to overexpose on Chepe.
Cody picks Mariscal because he is more durable, has a cast iron chin, judo black belt, trains at altitude with top fighters, and has good takedown defense. He notes Jackson needs to finish early and tends to gas, while Mariscal's forward pressure and volume will wear him down. Cody suggests a possible third-round finish.
Mariscal has a high work rate, good scrambling, and cardio that should overwhelm Jackson as the fight goes on. Jackson is dangerous early with submissions, but if he doesn't finish, Mariscal will take over in rounds two and three. The prediction is Mariscal by decision, with a possible third-round finish.
Paul echoes Cody's sentiments, highlighting Mariscal's activity, striking with ill intent, and ability to get back to his feet. He notes Jackson's history of gassing and that Mariscal has the dog in him. Paul also jokes about Jackson's new hair plugs giving him confidence.
The MMA Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, comparing him to a slightly worse Dan Ige. He highlights Mariscal's scrambling ability, pressure, and striking advantage over Damon Jackson. He notes Jackson's grappling threat but believes Mariscal's 'ball of muscle' physique and urgency in scrambles will neutralize it. He also jokes about hairline envy affecting Jackson.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 49 of 104 | 47% | 75 of 139 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 3:42 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 71 of 137 | 51% | 121 of 199 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 3:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:57 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 35 of 63 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 32 of 67 | 47% | 32 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 6 of 19 | 31% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 64 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 49 of 104 | 47% | 30 of 83 | 16 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 45 of 98 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 71 of 137 | 51% | 42 of 94 | 10 of 19 | 19 of 24 | 50 of 110 | 12 of 17 | 9 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 10 of 24 | 41% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 16 of 29 | 55% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 16 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 33 of 61 | 54% | 20 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 32 of 67 | 47% | 19 of 46 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 11 | 29 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 6 of 19 | 31% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 23 of 41 | 56% | 18 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 9 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he has been an underdog in all three UFC fights and is 2-0, showing he is tough, can pressure, and wrestle. He believes Chepe will make the fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière. Angelo notes that Chepe is currently a +145 dog and expects the line to move, so he plans to bet on Chepe soon. He mentions Chepe's BJJ championship, kickboxing credentials, and collegiate wrestling as reasons for his confidence.
Big Brady picks Morgan Charrière to win by decision. He notes that Charrière is good everywhere, a really good striker and wrestler with vicious ground and pound. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and has the dog in him, but thinks Charrière has more ways to win and will be slightly better wherever the fight goes. He expects a back-and-forth war that goes to a split decision.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Chepe has fought tougher competition outside the UFC, including Gregor Gillespie and Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Chepe's constant work rate, durability, and takedown game. Cody thinks Charrière's low output and tendency to fight close decisions make him a bad favorite, and that Chepe's pressure will earn him the win.
Daniel Vreeland picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his toughness and Judo background. He notes Morgan Charrière is more athletic and powerful but has low output and close decisions against lesser competition. Vreeland points out Mariscal's win over Jack Jenkins was dominant, not a fluke injury, and his regional wins over UFC-level fighters like Yousef Zalal and Pat Sabatini. He expects a close fight but favors Mariscal's forward pressure and willingness to exchange.
Mariscal is more battle-tested with higher output and volume. Charrière is more hype than talent, with cardio issues and a low pace. Mariscal can mix in grappling and striking, and his durability has held up. He should outwork Charrière and win by decision, with a possible late stoppage.
Paul is confident in Chepe Mariscal at plus money. He criticizes Charrière's low-volume, counter-heavy style and notes his record is full of split decisions. Chepe is aggressive, has good durability, cardio from training at altitude, and mixes in takedowns. Paul believes Chepe's constant work rate will overwhelm Charrière, especially in the Apex where judges favor damage and volume.
The host expresses personal dislike for Charrière due to UFC signing him over Paul Hughes and Jordan Vucenic, but acknowledges Charrière is good. He notes Charrière's power, dangerous striking, great kicks, finishing instincts, and strong takedown defense. He predicts Charrière will smoke Mariscal by TKO, despite Mariscal's scrappy win over Trevor Peek.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 41 of 68 | 60% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 87 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 33 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 38 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 41 of 68 | 60% | 16 of 36 | 13 of 18 | 12 of 14 | 35 of 60 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 38 of 87 | 43% | 14 of 53 | 11 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 23 of 65 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 31 of 50 | 62% | 14 of 27 | 7 of 11 | 10 of 12 | 29 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 23 of 60 | 38% | 10 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 8 | 18 of 52 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 10 of 18 | 55% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 15 of 27 | 55% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.
Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.
Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 51 of 125 | 40% | 65 of 140 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:23 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 145 of 203 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 29 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 45 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:52 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 44 of 54 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 56 of 78 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 51 of 125 | 40% | 25 of 91 | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 105 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 71 of 117 | 60% | 51 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 78 | 20 of 23 | 10 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 24 of 59 | 40% | 14 of 45 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 50 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 26 of 51 | 50% | 18 of 41 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 13 of 22 | 59% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 14 of 44 | 31% | 5 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 33 of 49 | 67% | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.
Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.
Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.
The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.
The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.
Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.
The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.
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