Career Averages - Danny Barlow
Career Averages - Josh Quinlan
Danny Barlow
Josh Quinlan
Danny Barlow - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 93 of 171 | 54% | 106 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 99 of 216 | 45% | 109 of 232 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 45 of 83 | 54% | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 42 of 105 | 40% | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 29 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 40 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 93 of 171 | 54% | 56 of 129 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 27 | 92 of 170 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 99 of 216 | 45% | 74 of 182 | 11 of 18 | 14 of 16 | 95 of 211 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 32 of 49 | 65% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 19 | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 27 of 49 | 55% | 17 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 45 of 83 | 54% | 32 of 68 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 42 of 105 | 40% | 35 of 93 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 30 of 62 | 48% | 22 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.
Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.
Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.
Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.
James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.
The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.
Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.
Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 18 of 34 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 18 of 34 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Angelo picks Danny Barlow, noting his longer reach and better use of range compared to Sam Patterson, who relies too much on his length. He believes Barlow will control the striking and potentially find a finish, though he has concerns about Barlow's ground game if the fight goes there. He sees Patterson as unlikely to win.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow, citing his powerful left hand and Sam Patterson's poor striking defense. He notes Patterson's chin is exposed and he's been knocked out before. He predicts a first-round knockout, but warns that if the fight goes to the ground, Patterson could be dangerous.
Connor picks Barlow all day, emphasizing that Patterson's defense is still awful and he is unconscionably hittable. He notes that Barlow has size parity and is a good athlete who fights at range, which will force Patterson to reach and expose his chin. Connor recalls his previous criticism of Patterson and sees this as a clear win for Barlow.
The host expects a fun striking battle where Patterson may try to take the fight to the ground, but Barlow's wrestling defense will keep it upright. He believes Barlow's power striking, specifically his left straight, will catch Patterson and knock him out clean.
The Guru picks Sam Patterson as an underdog over Danny Barlow. He believes Patterson's grappling and reach advantage will be key, and that he can avoid Barlow's power. He notes Patterson's submission wins at 170 and his experience at 155. He predicts a submission win, likely a rear-naked choke in the first or second round.
Zane picks Barlow confidently, noting that Barlow is a long-range outboxer who just fought a similar tall fighter and was comfortable. He points out that Patterson's defense is awful and his chin is exposed, and Barlow has size parity, negating Patterson's usual advantages. Zane sees this as a nightmare matchup for Patterson.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 47 of 99 | 47% | 52 of 107 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 50 of 92 | 54% | 59 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 47 of 99 | 47% | 25 of 63 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 23 | 46 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 50 of 92 | 54% | 23 of 59 | 22 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 45 of 87 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 17 of 32 | 53% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 8 of 11 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 10 of 15 | 66% | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 11 of 25 | 44% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 11 of 29 | 37% | 3 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 19 of 42 | 45% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 29 of 48 | 60% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barlow (-355), Veretennikov (+280)
Round 1
Welterweights are next to the stage, as the undefeated Barlow (8-0, 1-0 UFC) takes on Veretennikov (12-4, 0-0 UFC) in a three-round attraction. Barlow, who missed weight, has stopped six of his first eight opponents, five of them inside one round. Beltran administers the law and order. Glove touch gets us started. Feeling-out process unfolds. Inside leg kick from Barlow, who gets warned for extending his fingers. Veretennikov targets the body with a right hand. Barlow jumps into a knee to the body, then swipes away a front kick from his opponent. Standing hammerfist from Barlow, who steps into a left hand moments later. Barlow heavy on the kicks so far. Inside leg kick from the Memphis, Tennessee, native. Veretennikov crashes into the clinch but goes nowhere. Barlow extricates himself and floats back into open space. Barlow shoots a left hand, dodges the return fire and jumps into another knee. Front kick to the body from Veretennikov. Neither man has seized the initiative yet. Back-to-back body kicks from Barlow. They clinch in the center of the cage. Veretennikov avoids the takedown. Barlow misses a left hand over the top and wanders into the clinch once more. The horn sounds while Barlow was completing a takedown.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Round 2
Barlow probes with low kicks. Veretennikov seems a little gun-shy to this point. Barlow counters a leg kick with an overhand left. Jabs from Barlow, though not much behind them. Veretennikov blocks a head kick. Output an issue for both welterweights. Jab from Barlow, who avoids a two-punch volley from the Kazakhstan native. They circle one another in the center of the cage. Jab from Barlow. Midway through the round. Barlow walks him into a clubbing left hand and forces Veretennikov to briefly shell up. He engages Barlow in the clinch but loses the battle for head position and winds up with his back to the fence. Barlow feeds him knees to the legs. A knee from Veretennikov strays south of the border and prompts Beltran to pause the action. They restart in the clinch. Ninety seconds on the clock. Barlow bails on double underhooks and moves back to the center of the cage. Veretennikov throws out his jab but fails to find a home for it. Jab from Barlow, who is doing just enough to stay in front. Uneventful round.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Round 3
Veretennikov tests the waters with his jab, but his punches lack conviction. He airmails an overhand right. Barlow alternating stances. Veretennikov steps into a right hand to the chest, fires an overhand behind it and wanders into the clinch. Front kick to the body from Veretennikov. One-two narrowly misses for the newcomer. Barlow chops away with punches. Veretennikov answers with a multi-punch volley. He then clips Barlow with a right hand and follows up with sharp jabs. Veretennikov lands a left hand over the top. Barlow responds with a jab. Leg kick from Barlow. Veretennikov picking up the pace with his jabs, finally showing some urgency. He steps into a right hand and sneaks in a looping left hook. Barlow on the defensive here, perhaps believing he has already salted away two rounds. Thirty seconds left. They trade left hands. Veretennikov plods forward, throws shots with both hands and connects with a body kick. He lands a right hand over the top before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
The Official Result
Danny Barlow def. Nikolay Veretennikov—Split Decision (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
Angelo picks Danny Barlow due to his well-roundedness and range striking, but is hesitant because Barlow is unproven with only 8 fights and the odds are too wide at 3-to-1. He notes that Veretennikov is durable, powerful, and pressures forward, which could exploit Barlow's weakness against pressure. He advises staying away from betting this fight due to lack of value.
Barlow is a talented prospect with speed and power, especially his straight left. He has good takedown defense and should showcase it against Veretennikov, who may look to grapple. Barlow's striking advantage should lead to a knockout within the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, noting his reach advantage (79 inches) and power. He acknowledges Veretennikov's good first round against Michael Morales but worries about his short notice and tendency to slow down. He predicts a first-round TKO for Barlow, calling it a 'star-making performance.'
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 39 of 90 | 43% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 95 of 185 | 51% | 96 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 36 of 79 | 45% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 25 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 39 of 90 | 43% | 22 of 68 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 95 of 185 | 51% | 77 of 161 | 13 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 88 of 175 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 11 of 37 | 29% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 35 of 69 | 50% | 23 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 31 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 36 of 79 | 45% | 32 of 71 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 7 of 12 | 58% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 24 of 37 | 64% | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Danny Barlow but thinks the line is crazy and the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Barlow's patience, power, and grappling, while Quinlan struggled to get his hands going in his last fight. He believes Barlow can control the striking pace.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Barlow's massive 80-inch reach (8-inch advantage), devastating left hand, and power. He notes that Josh Quinlan struggled against Trey Waters' reach and that Barlow hits much harder. He believes Quinlan's never been knocked out but that will change here, with Barlow landing a big shot early.
Cody picks Barlow, sharing a story about Barlow's punching power at a Nashville event. He notes Quinlan's inactivity and poor performance after his suspension. He believes Barlow's power and skills will be too much for Quinlan, who is primarily a striker. He expects a knockout.
Daniel picks Danny Barlow as well, agreeing with Jeff. He notes that Barlow is a big, long knockout artist facing a guy on less than a full camp. He thinks Barlow's reach and power will be too much for Quinlan.
Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Quinlan at dog odds, but admits he is not confident. He notes Quinlan's heavy hitting and BJJ black belt, while Barlow is green. He says if forced, he takes the plus money, but is not betting this fight.
Jeff picks Danny Barlow, citing his range and power. He notes that Barlow's nickname 'Left Hand of God' is fitting as he puts people out with that hand. He points out that Quinlan is on short notice and that Barlow shares similarities with Quinlan's last opponent, Trey Waters, who outworked him. He sees great value on Barlow.
Barlow is a solid striker with power and speed, especially from southpaw. He has a wrestling background to defend takedowns. Quinlan may rely on BJJ but Barlow keeps it upright and finds a knockout in the first or second round.
Paul picks Barlow, noting his speed and slick striking from Contender Series. He mentions Quinlan's poor performance after a USADA suspension and questions his activity. He sees Barlow as the rightful favorite and a good parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, calling him 'nasty work' with explosive but composed striking. He notes Barlow's seven-inch reach advantage and believes he can keep Quinlan at range and sting him with vicious shots. He predicts a brutal first-round KO, citing Quinlan's limitations shown against Trey Waters.
Josh Quinlan - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fugitt | 0 | 53 of 126 | 42% | 53 of 126 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 80 of 205 | 39% | 80 of 205 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Fugitt | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Adam Fugitt | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 27 of 62 | 43% | 27 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Adam Fugitt | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 31 of 85 | 36% | 31 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fugitt | 53 of 126 | 42% | 25 of 93 | 11 of 14 | 17 of 19 | 53 of 126 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 80 of 205 | 39% | 29 of 131 | 40 of 59 | 11 of 15 | 80 of 204 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Fugitt | 23 of 45 | 51% | 8 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 12 | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 22 of 58 | 37% | 4 of 34 | 11 of 14 | 7 of 10 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Adam Fugitt | 16 of 39 | 41% | 8 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 27 of 62 | 43% | 8 of 35 | 16 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Adam Fugitt | 14 of 42 | 33% | 9 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 31 of 85 | 36% | 17 of 62 | 13 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 31 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Quinlan, noting his power and striking advantage over Adam Fugitt's loose boxing. He thinks Josh can defend takedowns and land meaningful shots. He also notes Adam's year layoff and submission loss, and that Vegas judges don't favor wrestlers. He considers it a close fight but leans Josh.
Cody picks Josh Quinlan, citing his power and ability to knock out Fugitt, who has been knocked down before. He notes that Quinlan is a BJJ black belt but relies on power punching. Cody is concerned about Quinlan's cardio and volume but thinks he can catch Fugitt early. He calls it a 'dogger pass' and is not highly confident.
Daniel Vreeland is critical of Adam Fugitt's athleticism, speed, and chin, calling him too slow and hittable for the UFC level. He favors Josh Quinlan for his power and athleticism advantage, despite Quinlan's past steroid failures and brutal loss. He believes Quinlan is the harder hitter and more athletic, and that Fugitt is the least athletic guy on the roster.
Jacob picks Josh Quinlan but is not betting it. He thinks Josh is the better striker and may use his jiu-jitsu if taken down. He notes Josh has been hard to trust since the USADA issues but considers this a step down in competition. He expects a close fight.
Fugitt is coming off a year-long layoff but has changed training camps to Fight Ready in Arizona. His pace, movement, and overall game should be too much for Quinlan's power punching style, leading to a decision win.
Paul picks Fugitt for the purpose of the show but states he has no intention of betting the fight. He notes that Fugitt's durability is questionable and Quinlan's power may be overrated. Paul thinks Fugitt could win if he pushes the pace and uses wrestling, but he is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Quinlan by TKO. He does not rate Adam Fugitt at all, calling him slow and lacking fast-twitch muscle fibers. He thinks Quinlan is more athletic, better in grappling speed and strength, and that Fugitt has to be consistently better for 15 minutes to win, which he doubts. He notes Quinlan took big shots from Danny Barlow and kept trying, and that Fugitt is not a threat to knock him out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 39 of 90 | 43% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 95 of 185 | 51% | 96 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 36 of 79 | 45% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 25 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 39 of 90 | 43% | 22 of 68 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 95 of 185 | 51% | 77 of 161 | 13 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 88 of 175 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 11 of 37 | 29% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 35 of 69 | 50% | 23 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 31 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 36 of 79 | 45% | 32 of 71 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 7 of 12 | 58% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 24 of 37 | 64% | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Danny Barlow but thinks the line is crazy and the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Barlow's patience, power, and grappling, while Quinlan struggled to get his hands going in his last fight. He believes Barlow can control the striking pace.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Barlow's massive 80-inch reach (8-inch advantage), devastating left hand, and power. He notes that Josh Quinlan struggled against Trey Waters' reach and that Barlow hits much harder. He believes Quinlan's never been knocked out but that will change here, with Barlow landing a big shot early.
Cody picks Barlow, sharing a story about Barlow's punching power at a Nashville event. He notes Quinlan's inactivity and poor performance after his suspension. He believes Barlow's power and skills will be too much for Quinlan, who is primarily a striker. He expects a knockout.
Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Quinlan at dog odds, but admits he is not confident. He notes Quinlan's heavy hitting and BJJ black belt, while Barlow is green. He says if forced, he takes the plus money, but is not betting this fight.
Daniel picks Danny Barlow as well, agreeing with Jeff. He notes that Barlow is a big, long knockout artist facing a guy on less than a full camp. He thinks Barlow's reach and power will be too much for Quinlan.
Jeff picks Danny Barlow, citing his range and power. He notes that Barlow's nickname 'Left Hand of God' is fitting as he puts people out with that hand. He points out that Quinlan is on short notice and that Barlow shares similarities with Quinlan's last opponent, Trey Waters, who outworked him. He sees great value on Barlow.
Barlow is a solid striker with power and speed, especially from southpaw. He has a wrestling background to defend takedowns. Quinlan may rely on BJJ but Barlow keeps it upright and finds a knockout in the first or second round.
Paul picks Barlow, noting his speed and slick striking from Contender Series. He mentions Quinlan's poor performance after a USADA suspension and questions his activity. He sees Barlow as the rightful favorite and a good parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, calling him 'nasty work' with explosive but composed striking. He notes Barlow's seven-inch reach advantage and believes he can keep Quinlan at range and sting him with vicious shots. He predicts a brutal first-round KO, citing Quinlan's limitations shown against Trey Waters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 0 | 50 of 128 | 39% | 50 of 128 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 104 of 203 | 51% | 106 of 205 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 29 of 40 | 72% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 35 of 79 | 44% | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 0 | 20 of 59 | 33% | 20 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 40 of 84 | 47% | 41 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 50 of 128 | 39% | 26 of 102 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 19 | 46 of 124 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Quinlan | 104 of 203 | 51% | 93 of 189 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 102 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 12 of 28 | 42% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Quinlan | 29 of 40 | 72% | 23 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 18 of 41 | 43% | 7 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 35 of 79 | 44% | 31 of 73 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 20 of 59 | 33% | 14 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 40 of 84 | 47% | 39 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Quinlan but is hesitant, noting that Quinlan is undefeated and has knockout power, but has never been tested in later rounds. He worries about Quinlan's cardio and the fact that Waters is tall with a reach advantage. He suggests that if Waters survives the early onslaught, he could work his way back into the fight. He also mentions Quinlan has submissions on his record, which could be a factor.
Connor is high on Quinlan, comparing him to a young Robbie Lawler. He thinks Quinlan's power and athleticism will overwhelm Waters, who has a slick but fragile style. He notes Waters' lack of power and defensive issues, and believes Quinlan will knock him out.
Paul picks Quinlan and suggests early Quinlan props, noting that Quinlan is a powerful finisher and Waters is on short notice. He is surprised the line is not higher and thinks Quinlan by knockout early is likely. He also mentions that Quinlan has submissions, but the main path is via knockout.
Zane agrees, calling Waters' game 'quadruple A' and noting his defensive flaws. He thinks Quinlan's power and pressure will be too much, and that Waters' style is not sustainable at higher levels. He sees Quinlan as a straightforward pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Jason Witt | 1 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Quinlan | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Jason Witt | 1 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Quinlan | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jason Witt | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Quinlan | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jason Witt | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Quinlan because of his dangerous striking and power, noting that if Quinlan can defend takedowns he will get a knockout. He acknowledges Jason Witt's wrestling is a threat but questions Witt's chin, which makes him vulnerable. Angelo also mentions he hammered a prop bet on Witt to have more takedowns at -325, but that line has been removed.
Big Brady picks Josh Quinlan to knock out Jason Witt. He notes that all eight of Witt's losses are inside the distance, with six knockouts, and his cardio is poor. Quinlan is a powerful striker who should land something big as Witt slows down. Brady acknowledges the sketchy PED history but sticks with the knockout prediction.
Cody picks Quinlan, though he is more nervous due to the catchweight and Quinlan's UFC debut. He notes Witt's wrestling advantage but believes Quinlan's power will eventually land. Cody is not switching his pick from last week.
The host mentions Witt as a possible underdog with control time and takedowns, but does not explicitly bet him. He lists him among underdogs that could score well if they win, but does not express strong confidence.
Paul picks Quinlan by first-round knockout, noting Witt's poor chin. He mentions Quinlan's power and that the catchweight of 180 lbs might help Witt, but he still expects Quinlan to win early. Paul also likes Quinlan over 95.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks.
The host picks Josh Quinlan, noting his steroid use (M3 metabolite) as an advantage and his undefeated prospect status. He expects a first-round KO victory over Jason Witt, who has shown chin issues. The host dismisses USADA's clearance, believing Quinlan still has the substance in his system.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Danny Barlow but thinks the line is crazy and the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Barlow's patience, power, and grappling, while Quinlan struggled to get his hands going in his last fight. He believes Barlow can control the striking pace.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Barlow's massive 80-inch reach (8-inch advantage), devastating left hand, and power. He notes that Josh Quinlan struggled against Trey Waters' reach and that Barlow hits much harder. He believes Quinlan's never been knocked out but that will change here, with Barlow landing a big shot early.
Cody picks Barlow, sharing a story about Barlow's punching power at a Nashville event. He notes Quinlan's inactivity and poor performance after his suspension. He believes Barlow's power and skills will be too much for Quinlan, who is primarily a striker. He expects a knockout.
Daniel picks Danny Barlow as well, agreeing with Jeff. He notes that Barlow is a big, long knockout artist facing a guy on less than a full camp. He thinks Barlow's reach and power will be too much for Quinlan.
Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Quinlan at dog odds, but admits he is not confident. He notes Quinlan's heavy hitting and BJJ black belt, while Barlow is green. He says if forced, he takes the plus money, but is not betting this fight.
Jeff picks Danny Barlow, citing his range and power. He notes that Barlow's nickname 'Left Hand of God' is fitting as he puts people out with that hand. He points out that Quinlan is on short notice and that Barlow shares similarities with Quinlan's last opponent, Trey Waters, who outworked him. He sees great value on Barlow.
Barlow is a solid striker with power and speed, especially from southpaw. He has a wrestling background to defend takedowns. Quinlan may rely on BJJ but Barlow keeps it upright and finds a knockout in the first or second round.
Paul picks Barlow, noting his speed and slick striking from Contender Series. He mentions Quinlan's poor performance after a USADA suspension and questions his activity. He sees Barlow as the rightful favorite and a good parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, calling him 'nasty work' with explosive but composed striking. He notes Barlow's seven-inch reach advantage and believes he can keep Quinlan at range and sting him with vicious shots. He predicts a brutal first-round KO, citing Quinlan's limitations shown against Trey Waters.
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