UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Next Fight
Age 31
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jamie Mullarkey
4.1 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
4.28 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
2.46 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Rolando Bedoya
6.23 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.5 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Jamie Mullarkey
Moneyline
BetOnline, Bovada -105
KO/TKO
BetWay +450
Submission
Bovada +1800
Decision
BetRivers +190
Rolando Bedoya
Moneyline
Caesars +115
KO/TKO
BetRivers +440
Submission
FanDuel +1900
Decision
FanDuel +280
Jamie Mullarkey - Fight History
Submission R1 3:02 · UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Quillan Salkilld 0 5 of 8 62% 18 of 21 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:39
Jamie Mullarkey 0 1 of 4 25% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Quillan Salkilld 0 5 of 8 62% 18 of 21 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:39
Jamie Mullarkey 0 1 of 4 25% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Quillan Salkilld 5 of 8 62% 1 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 4 3 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Mullarkey 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Quillan Salkilld 5 of 8 62% 1 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 4 3 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Mullarkey 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jamie Mullarkey vs. Quillan Salkilld
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salkilld (-850), Mullarkey (+500)

Round 1
The UFC knows exactly what it did matching these two Aussies together. On the one hand, rising talent Salkilld (10-1, 3-0 UFC) is coming off a huge knockout and the biggest win of his career. On the other is a chinny, off-and-on striker in Mullarkey (18-8, 6-6 UFC) whose last four defeats have all come from punches in bunches. Betting odds are massively lopsided in favor of the 26-year-old, and referee Dan Movahedi will serve as the arbiter of what some have called a mismatch. In the sport of MMA, there are no sure things, other than that these two countrymen will touch gloves—and do—to begin.
Salkilld keeps a wide berth early to find his range, slapping the lead leg with a few kicks before shooting for a double. He puts Mullarkey down on his hands and knees, but Mullarkey is able to get up thanks to the wall behind him. Salkilld dings him with a short punch and an elbow, and Mullarkey shuts down the additional takedown effort and turns him about in the clinch. Mullarkey lifts up a single, and he dumps the younger man to the floor. Salkilld bounces up and counters with his own single, and Mullarkey connects with several punches before Salkilld bails on it. Salkilld then puts his arms up in the air to signal that he was not harmed by any of the blows, so Mullarkey runs at him and lifts up a knee on the way. He closes the distance to get hold of Salkilld, wrapping his arms around the waist and looking for some takedown, and Salkilld turns the tables of him and drops him square on his head.
Salkilld wraps his legs around the body to lock up a triangle, and he grabs hold of a rear-naked choke that is on the chin.
He elects to crank the neck to the side rather than get a choke, and with a full head of steam, he squeezes. The torque from the sub is too much for Mullarkey to bear, and because of the excruciating neck crank, he forces Mullarkey to tap out.
The victorious Salkilld promptly climbs to the top of the cage to celebrate, while declaring that he is now 4-0 in the promotion with his sights set high.

The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Jamie Mullarkey R1 3:02 via Submission (Neck Crank)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his well-rounded skills, good takedown defense, and BJJ black belt. He notes that Jamie Mullarkey has no chin and will likely look to wrestle, but Salkilld's takedown defense and jiu-jitsu are good. He acknowledges Mullarkey's volume but says without a chin he can't hang. He plans to bet on Salkilld once odds are available.

will probably have a bet on him
"Qualin should win this fight. I'm going to pick him to win. I We don't have odds yet. But once we do, I will probably have a bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Big Brady is very confident in Quillan Salkilld, calling Jamie Mullarkey's chin the second worst in the UFC. He notes Mullarkey was running from Rolando Bedoya and is likely finished. Salkilld has first-round knockouts in his last two fights, and Brady expects the same here.

Salkilld by KO in round 1
"Give me Quill and Sill by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Cody is very confident in Salkilld, citing his well-rounded game, takedown defense, and power. He notes that Mullarkey has a weak chin and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. He expects Salkilld to win by knockout, likely in the second round.

Salkilld by KO
"Salk is like minus 900, but if you go over into the props section here, by KO is like minus 125. I got money on that."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Connor picks Salkilld, describing him as a creative counter puncher with good eyes and diverse tools. He notes that Mullarkey is slow, not durable, and relies on crashing into opponents, which plays into Salkilld's strengths. He also mentions that Salkilld finished Haqparast, who also finished Mullarkey, indicating a clear stylistic advantage.

Odds: Salkilld -900, Mullarkey +600. Connor notes the odds are wide but justifies the booking as a step back for Salkilld to gain experience.
"Salkilld is a counter puncher. If you give him space, he will eat you up with creative things. He will make you have to make decisions."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Salkilld to dominate and likely finish Mullarkey. He praises Salkilld's durability, knockout power, and wrestling, while noting that Mullarkey is a veteran past his prime. Vreeland expects Salkilld to either knock him out or outwork him en route to a clear win.

"I'm expecting pure dominance by Quinnland Southfield."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

James picks Salkilld to win by finish, calling him a rising force in the lightweight division. He believes Mullarkey is an aging veteran with durability issues and that Salkilld will run through him in round one or two.

"I'm taking Quilan Sal Keel here all day long via finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Salkilld is a BJJ black belt with dangerous striking, as shown by his headkick knockout of Nazaret Hackparast. He is on a 10-fight win streak and has good cardio. Mullarkey is a veteran but has durability issues and is on short notice. The host expects Salkilld to win but thinks the line is too high; he prefers the over 2.5 rounds at +125 because Mullarkey may grapple and make it competitive early. Salkilld should pull away late for a decision or late finish.

over 2.5 rounds (+125); Salkilld by decision
"I think Skild will end up landing more damage throughout this matchup. And I think he ends up winning it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Paul agrees, highlighting Mullarkey's history of getting knocked out and Salkilld's impressive wrestling and striking. He notes that Salkilld is younger, bigger, and more durable. He expects a finish, possibly by knockout.

"I like this kid. I think he's getting better. I faded him a little bit against Hack Ross last time out thinking Nazarro would have a lot of veteran savvy... but I like him a lot and nine to one. …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

The Guru picks Quillan Salkilld, calling him a level above Jamie Mullarkey. He notes Salkilld's finishing ability and predicts a first-round TKO, comparing it to Ruffy's win over Mullarkey. He acknowledges the odds are excessive but agrees with the pick.

first round TKO, odds -1200
"I think Quill and Sfield's going to win this one by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Quillan Salkilld

Zane picks Salkilld, agreeing that Mullarkey is a bad matchup for himself. He notes that Mullarkey has to be able to crash into opponents with strikes, clinch, and wrestling, but Salkilld can stop him at any point and strand him in a vulnerable position. He also points out that Mullarkey's wins are against older or slower fighters, while dynamic athletes tend to catch him.

Odds: Salkilld -900, Mullarkey +600. Zane says the odds are wide but it's a good booking for Salkilld's development.
"That seems like a nightmare matchup for Jamie Mullarkey. Slow, not durable, has to be able to do everything."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 43 of 89 48% 47 of 94 3 of 17 17% 0 0 5:41
Rolando Bedoya 0 46 of 116 39% 55 of 129 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 9 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:49
Rolando Bedoya 0 5 of 10 50% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 15 of 27 55% 18 of 30 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:38
Rolando Bedoya 0 10 of 33 30% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 25 of 54 46% 26 of 55 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:14
Rolando Bedoya 0 31 of 73 42% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 43 of 89 48% 32 of 74 7 of 10 4 of 5 40 of 82 3 of 6 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 46 of 116 39% 32 of 93 8 of 13 6 of 10 37 of 99 9 of 16 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 5 of 10 50% 2 of 5 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Jamie Mullarkey 15 of 27 55% 12 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 10 of 33 30% 6 of 25 2 of 4 2 of 4 8 of 28 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 25 of 54 46% 19 of 47 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 31 of 73 42% 24 of 63 6 of 7 1 of 3 24 of 62 7 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey despite his weak chin, because he believes Mullarkey is the better overall fighter with good grappling and striking. He notes that Mullarkey's opponent Rolando Bedoya has no power and is essentially a human punching bag. Angelo is surprised Mullarkey is the underdog and thinks the line will swing back.

"I think Jamie Malarkey wins this fight. I don't have a bet on him just yet. I'm going to keep an eye on the line. It's kind of tightening, but it hasn't tightened enough for me to be like, 'Ah, …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady picks Rolando Bedoya to win by third-round knockout. He argues that while Mullarkey is more skilled, his chin is extremely fragile and he has been knocked out or dropped repeatedly. He believes Bedoya's durability and volume will be key, and that Mullarkey will eventually get hurt. He notes Bedoya is 0-3 in the UFC but tough.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Bedoya does knock him out. I'm going to say Bedoya knocks out Malarkey."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey, believing his striking and wrestling will be enough to outwork Bedoya. He notes Bedoya lacks power and has poor takedown defense, while Mullarkey has fought better strikers and mixed in takedowns. He acknowledges Mullarkey's chin is a concern but thinks Bedoya doesn't have the power to exploit it.

"I end up taking Jamie Malarkey. No doubt about it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor agrees, emphasizing that Bedoya is a slow, unpowerful kickboxer with no footwork or speed, while Mullarkey is a tough wrestle-boxer who will make him fight tooth and nail. He notes that Mullarkey's losses are to athletic monsters, and Bedoya is not that. He expects Mullarkey to win a solid all-round MMA fight.

"Yeah, I mean... Mullarkey's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

James picks Jamie Mullarkey with his logical head, citing Mullarkey's better boxing fundamentals and takedown threat. However, he is very hesitant because Mullarkey's chin has degraded from wars and Bedoya throws high volume. He admits he might bet a Bedoya KO prop if the odds are right, showing low conviction.

Bedoya by KO (potential bet)
"I'm going to pick Jamie Malaki. I'm going to go with my logical head, but honestly, if they give me a prop on Bedoya, I'll probably KO prop on Bedoya, I might take the shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host thinks Mullarkey is the better overall fighter. He expects Mullarkey's durability to hold up and for him to mix in takedowns and volume to stifle Bedoya and win on the scorecards.

"I think Malarkey is the better overall fighter. If his durability can hold up, look for him to put together a better body of work, mixing in takedowns and volume to really stifle Bedoya and win this fight on the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Jamie Mullarkey, citing Mullarkey's tendency to get wobbled and cut open. He believes Bedoya can handle Mullarkey's physicality, as seen in his fight against Chaos Williams. He expects a scrap where Mullarkey is more prone to damage.

"I'm going against Jamie Malarkey here. I'm gonna go over Orlando Badoya."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane sees Mullarkey as having more breadth and options than Bedoya, who is a slow, unpowerful pocket kickboxer. He notes that Mullarkey's wrestle-boxing approach and durability should be enough to outwork Bedoya, who has lost all three UFC fights and looked bad. He points out that Mullarkey has beaten athletic fighters and lost only to elite power punchers.

Odds comment: glad the gambler has realized Bedoya shouldn't be a favorite; Mullarkey opened +140 now -120, Bedoya opened -160 now +100
"I'll take Jamie Mullarkey. He's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LOSS vs Maurício Ruffy
TKO (punches) R1 4:42 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Ruffy 1 25 of 40 62% 25 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Jamie Mullarkey 0 14 of 38 36% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Ruffy 1 25 of 40 62% 25 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Jamie Mullarkey 0 14 of 38 36% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Ruffy 25 of 40 62% 21 of 35 0 of 1 4 of 4 22 of 37 1 of 1 2 of 2
Jamie Mullarkey 14 of 38 36% 7 of 28 4 of 6 3 of 4 14 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Ruffy 25 of 40 62% 21 of 35 0 of 1 4 of 4 22 of 37 1 of 1 2 of 2
Jamie Mullarkey 14 of 38 36% 7 of 28 4 of 6 3 of 4 14 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jamie Mullarkey vs. Mauricio Ruffy
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruffy (-175), Mullarkey (+145)

Round 1
A striker’s delight at 155 pounds will treat fans to conclude the early preliminary portion of the fight card. With all of his wins and losses coming via knockout, Ruffy (9-1, 0-0 UFC) makes no bones about what he wants to do to willing brawler Mullarkey (17-7, 5-5 UFC). Fists are sure to fly in high quantity and intensity, but before they do, referee Mike Beltran checks them in. Before fists meet faces, they come together sportingly. Ruffy drops down to the floor to drill Mullarkey’s low calf with a Mortal Kombat-esque sweeping kick, and Mullarkey just looks at him. Mullarkey looks for a head kick that misses the mark, and Ruffy hammers his lead leg with a more traditional kick. Ruffy pokes out a jab that reddens the nose of his opponent, and he lands another that gets Mullarkey’s attention. Ruffy puts power behind his strikes, and multiple parts of Mullarkey are red in a hurry. Mullarkey slaps a body kick home, and it is one-and-done as he slips away. Ruffy turns to roll with a heavy right hand just in the nick of time, and he powers out a jab and a winging right hand. Ruffy hammers the lead wheel, and another jab of his opens a cut on the bridge of the nose. Ruffy slips a punch and nails Mullarkey with a right hand, and Mullarkey is tough as a two-dollar steak after eating that without flinching. Mullarkey pursues his own jabs, and Ruffy spins with a wheel kick that gets around the guard. Mullarkey crowds him with a punch salvo, and Ruffy shifts and moves and throws back with a few. Mullarkey keeps powering forward, and Ruffy’s defense is able to keep him safe from most of the harm. Mullarkey fakes a takedown, but Ruffy ignores it and smashes Mullarkey in the face with a ruthless right hand. Ruffy has a right hand skim the top of the head, and he ignores a left hand coming back at him. Ruffy dodges a wide right hand, and he leaps forward to trip Mullarkey up with a flying scissor sweep. Both men hit the ground, but they stand back up and trade. Ruffy beans Mullarkey with two stern right hands, and he times a perfect jump knee that smashes open Mullarkey’s nose. Beltran thinks about stopping the fight but lets it play out a bit longer, and Ruffy does not miss a beat as Mullarkey falls to the ground and climbs back up.
The Brazilian fearlessly marches forward, and he unloads with a long string of punches until Mullarkey collapses in a heap. With Mullarkey on his hands and knees about to take some unnecessary damage, Beltran calls a stop to the fight to save the tough Aussie from himself and the onslaught of the UFC newcomer.
This is a statement introduction for Ruffy, who dons the thick-rimmed glasses of his camp, The Fighting Nerds. Ruffy leaps on top of the cage to celebrate his handiwork, and the crowd goes wild in support of their fighter.

The Official Result
Mauricio Ruffy def. Jamie Mullarkey R1 4:42 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Angelo picks Ruffy based on skill sets alone, citing his power and takedown defense. He expresses concern about the huge step up in competition and stage for Ruffy, and notes Mullarkey has been knocked out multiple times. He only considers a bet on Ruffy by knockout if the odds are good.

Angelo says 'the only bet I would even consider is potentially ruffy by knockout' but only if odds are favorable
"I'm going to have to go with the powerful Striker that can defend takedowns I don't love it I don't love it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Big Brady emphasizes Mullarkey's poor chin and Ruffy's power, predicting a first-round knockout. He notes Ruffy's low volume but believes he will land a fight-ending shot. He also mentions a prize pick play on Ruffy under 46.5 significant strikes.

under 46.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"I'm taking him to win by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Cody picks Ruffy, citing his knockout power and Mullarkey's questionable chin. He notes Ruffy is coming down from 170 and has finishing ability. Cody expects Ruffy to knock out Mullarkey early.

Ruffy by KO
"Ruffy by knockout for me..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Daniel Vreeland picks Ruffy by KO, citing his 100% finish rate and sniper-like counter right hand. He notes Ruffy's excellent takedown defense and calf kicks that slow opponents. He believes Mullarkey's chin is vulnerable and that Ruffy will find the big shot in the second or third round after frustrating Mullarkey on the feet.

Ruffy by KO/TKO
"I think huy is going to stop the takedowns and I think maybe in the scrambles... we're going to see huy land something big"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Ruffy is on a four-fight winning streak and utilizes a Conor McGregor-like striking style with a straight punch down the pipe. Mullarkey has been knocked out three times in the last two years, so his chin won't hold up against Ruffy's precision striking. Ruffy wins by knockout.

knockout
"give me huffy and Huffy by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Paul picks Ruffy, highlighting Mullarkey's history of getting knocked out and Ruffy's power. He notes Mullarkey's takedown threat is minimal and Ruffy's striking will be too much. Paul expects a knockout.

"I got to go with Mauricio Ruffy... it's just a matter of time before he gets something blown up on his chin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

The MMA Guru picks Maurício Ruffy, believing Jamie Mullarkey is on borrowed time in the UFC. He criticizes Mullarkey's recent performances and close decisions, while praising Ruffy's power, finishing ability, and toughness shown on the Contender Series. He expects Ruffy to win, possibly by knockout, and notes Ruffy's size and dangerous striking.

"I'm going to go with him to win this fight he's big he's dangerous he's got knockout ability"
TKO (punches) R1 1:44 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nasrat Haqparast 2 16 of 29 55% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jamie Mullarkey 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nasrat Haqparast 2 16 of 29 55% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jamie Mullarkey 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nasrat Haqparast 16 of 29 55% 14 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 13 6 of 8 6 of 8
Jamie Mullarkey 8 of 23 34% 3 of 16 2 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nasrat Haqparast 16 of 29 55% 14 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 13 6 of 8 6 of 8
Jamie Mullarkey 8 of 23 34% 3 of 16 2 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Cody picks Nasrat Haqparast but is not confident. He notes that both fighters are similar blue-collar types, but Mullarkey's durability is a major concern. Cody points out that Mullarkey has been knocked out by lesser power punchers and Haqparast, while not a huge power puncher, can land enough. He also criticizes Haqparast for being an overpriced favorite who often underperforms. Cody says he doesn't like the fight and is not rushing to bet it.

"I will take hack PR but I don't like it I really don't like it but I really don't like Malarkey"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
Nasrat Haqparast

Lucrative James thinks Nasrat's boxing will be too sharp for Mullarkey, especially given Mullarkey's recent KO loss and apparent chin deterioration. However, he questions his own objectivity, wondering if recency bias is skewing his view. He notes that Nasrat can be taken down and doesn't rate either fighter highly, so he is passing on betting. He picks Nasrat to win by KO but with low confidence.

KO
"I think his boxing is going to be too sharp for Jamie Malak"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Paul also picks Haqparast but is hesitant. He mentions Mullarkey's questionable durability and Haqparast's volume advantage. Paul notes that Haqparast is a career underachiever and often wins close decisions. He doesn't trust Mullarkey with his money but isn't excited about Haqparast either.

"I don't know if I can trust Jamie Malarkey with my own money um I'm gonna pick nazra but it's not a fight I'm rushing to bet"
WIN vs John Makdessi
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 88 of 179 49% 88 of 179 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 83 of 188 44% 85 of 190 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 37 of 62 59% 37 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 29 of 72 40% 29 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 38 of 76 50% 40 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 88 of 179 49% 38 of 120 13 of 20 37 of 39 88 of 179 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 83 of 188 44% 37 of 119 22 of 45 24 of 24 83 of 188 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 22 of 45 48% 5 of 24 4 of 8 13 of 13 22 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 24 of 51 47% 6 of 27 10 of 16 8 of 8 24 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jamie Mullarkey 37 of 62 59% 17 of 40 8 of 10 12 of 12 37 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 21 of 61 34% 11 of 40 5 of 16 5 of 5 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 29 of 72 40% 16 of 56 1 of 2 12 of 14 29 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 38 of 76 50% 20 of 52 7 of 13 11 of 11 38 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey but hates the -180 price. He notes that Jamie's relentless pressure and takedown attempts should get him a close decision, but he is not dangerous and has poor chin. John Makdessi has good takedown defense and if he keeps it standing, he wins. Angelo avoids betting on Jamie despite picking him.

Avoid betting at -180
"I'm gonna pick him but minus 180. that I mean that's that's on a fully eyebrow guy that's good at multiple things in fighting that's not on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Big Brady picks the underdog John Makdessi, citing his durability, high volume, and ability to get back up from takedowns. He notes Mullarkey is hittable and has a questionable chin. He thinks Makdessi can outwork Mullarkey over three rounds and predicts a decision win.

"I'm actually going to take the dog and mcessee to get it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, noting that Mullarkey has a suspect chin and has been knocked out recently. However, he believes Mullarkey's wrestling and size advantage will be too much for Makdessi, who is a natural featherweight with no knockout power. Cody likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.

Mullarkey by decision (+115); Mullarkey over 1.5 takedowns on Prize Picks
"I don't want to bet Malarkey at this price I don't I'm not I just don't see any world yeah I just don't see any world where I'm getting in on John mcdessie"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Mullarkey but is not crazy about the price. He notes that Makdessi is 38 and has been in many wars, while Mullarkey is younger and has a reach advantage. However, Mullarkey has been knocked out four times, which is a concern. Levi expects Mullarkey to outwork Makdessi down the stretch if he fights with aggression.

Odds mentioned: Mullarkey minus 260, Makdessi plus 220.
"I see a situation where Jamie is just a little bit grittier kind of outworks him a bit and just puts it on him down the stretch."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Lucrative James leans toward Jamie Mullarkey, citing his youth, tenacity, and a decent win over Prado. He acknowledges Makdessi could win a split decision but notes Makdessi is old and doesn't have knockout power. James expresses slight concern about Mullarkey's chin after a knockout loss, but believes Makdessi is unlikely to finish him. He thinks Mullarkey will dominate.

"Malarkey should win he's a lot younger he's a lot more he's a lot more tenacious"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Mullarkey has improved significantly, blending takedowns behind his striking and managing distance well. He works with the City Kickboxing camp. Makdessi is a veteran who makes fights close but is 38 and may be slowing down. Mullarkey's output and wrestling should earn him a decision win. The over 2.5 rounds is preferred over the moneyline.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'm looking for a output and wrestling approach from Malarkey to get his hand raised I would much rather the over two and a half than the Malarkey money line here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, citing Mullarkey's durability issues and the -280 price. He notes that Makdessi is a small lightweight with no recent finishes and that Mullarkey should use his wrestling to secure a decision. Paul likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.

Mullarkey by decision (+115); Mullarkey over 1.5 takedowns on Prize Picks
"I think Malarkey's job here is uses bigger frame forces Up Against the Cage don't just kind of have a tick for tack kickboxing match with mcdess because you can lose that fight but uh secure some takedowns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey over John Makdessi, citing Mullarkey's size advantage (6'0", 74" reach) and physicality. He notes that Mullarkey bullies smaller opponents, as seen in his win over Devonte Smith with body shots and knees. Makdessi is 38 and coming off a loss to Nasrat Haqparast. He believes Mullarkey will bully Makdessi and get a TKO in the first or second round, as Makdessi cannot grapple with him or knock him out.

TKO in round 1 or 2
"I got Jamie Malarkey over John mcdess"
LOSS vs Muhammad Naimov
TKO (punches) R2 2:59 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muhammad Naimov 0 39 of 71 54% 40 of 73 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:28
Jamie Mullarkey 1 28 of 70 40% 30 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muhammad Naimov 0 23 of 45 51% 24 of 46 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:41
Jamie Mullarkey 0 16 of 35 45% 18 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Muhammad Naimov 0 16 of 26 61% 16 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:47
Jamie Mullarkey 1 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muhammad Naimov 39 of 71 54% 15 of 43 14 of 18 10 of 10 27 of 56 12 of 14 0 of 1
Jamie Mullarkey 28 of 70 40% 17 of 56 5 of 8 6 of 6 20 of 60 3 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muhammad Naimov 23 of 45 51% 5 of 24 11 of 14 7 of 7 15 of 34 8 of 10 0 of 1
Jamie Mullarkey 16 of 35 45% 7 of 24 4 of 6 5 of 5 13 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Muhammad Naimov 16 of 26 61% 10 of 19 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 22 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jamie Mullarkey 12 of 35 34% 10 of 32 1 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 29 0 of 1 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Mullarkey due to short notice for Naimov, but is not touching the odds (-590). He thinks Mullarkey is a jack of all trades and should win, but Naimov is decent and could cause trouble. He notes Mullarkey was preparing for a good striker, so his grappling should be on point. He is not confident enough to bet.

"I do think Jamie Mark is going to win it is short notice but I'm not touching these odds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey, noting his favorable matchup after originally facing a tough wrestler. He highlights Mullarkey's solid cardio, ground game, and power. Cody recalls Naimov's poor Contender Series performance where he was outwrestled and out struck. He thinks Mullarkey's wrestling and durability will be too much for Naimov, even if Naimov has a puncher's chance.

"the pick the 100 Jamie Malarkey minus 400 it's kind of steamed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor picks Mullarkey, agreeing with the size and short-notice factors. He notes that Naimov's game is based on pocket exchanges and clinch knees, but Mullarkey's toughness and ability to survive should allow him to take over. Connor also points out that Naimov struggles when pressured, and Mullarkey can put his foot on the gas.

Mentions Naimov is on short notice and a natural featherweight.
"I'll take malarkey. I mean, I think there's also the possibility that he does surprise him with a takedown."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Daniel picks Mullarkey, noting that Naimov is a step up in competition and Mullarkey's experience should carry him. He acknowledges the line is high but thinks Mullarkey can use wrestling to control the fight. He mentions that Naimov showed cardio issues in his Contender Series fight, gassing in the third round.

"I think his experience should probably carry him through this one"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Jacob picks Mullarkey, believing the path to victory via wrestling is obvious. He thinks Naimov is dangerous with unorthodox striking, but Mullarkey should grapple early and win easily. Jacob notes Mullarkey has more power than people think and is a tough matchup. He is confident Mullarkey wins but acknowledges the odds are too high.

"the path for victory for Jamie Malarkey is just too obvious in my mind"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Mullarkey is the better overall fighter with a well-rounded game. Naimov is a short-notice debutant with questionable cardio and level of competition. Mullarkey will mix striking and grappling, pull ahead later, and win by decision. The odds are too high (-350), but Mullarkey should win.

over 2.5 rounds
"I think that Malarkey in terms of a prediction is going to be the side I end up going with also the over two and a half I can see a lot of grappling situations"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul picks Mullarkey confidently despite the high price. He notes Mullarkey's toughness, having been dropped by Michael Johnson and recovered. Paul thinks Mullarkey's wrestling and cardio are superior, and that Naimov's Contender Series performance was unimpressive. He expects Mullarkey to take Naimov down, grind him out, and get a TKO in the second or third round. Paul acknowledges the price is steep but sees Mullarkey as safe.

"Malarkey minus 400 I guess is the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

The MMA Guru picks Muhammad Naimov, calling this the main event for him. He notes that Jamie Mullarkey looked good in his last win but that Michael Johnson arguably beat him. He believes Naimov is a different level, with a split decision win over Damir Ismagulov and a win over Matteus Gamrot. He thinks Naimov's body kicks will be key, as Mullarkey keeps his guard high, leaving the body open. He predicts Naimov will open up shots to the head after body work.

"I think he does beat Jamie Malarkey because if there's one thing I've noticed about Jamie Malarkey's game..."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane picks Mullarkey, citing his size advantage and toughness. He notes that Naimov is a natural featherweight taking the fight on short notice, and his blitzing style may not work against Mullarkey's durability. Zane expects Mullarkey to weather any early storm and take over with his range-based game.

Mentions Naimov is on short notice and a natural featherweight.
"I'm just going to pick Malarkey to be... he's incredibly tough."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 59 of 104 56% 78 of 126 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:47
Francisco Prado 0 28 of 75 37% 31 of 78 0 of 2 0% 1 1 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 15 of 20 75% 32 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:39
Francisco Prado 0 7 of 12 58% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 25 of 49 51% 25 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Prado 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 19 of 35 54% 21 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:08
Francisco Prado 0 8 of 25 32% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 59 of 104 56% 28 of 70 13 of 14 18 of 20 49 of 92 0 of 0 10 of 12
Francisco Prado 28 of 75 37% 18 of 58 4 of 10 6 of 7 28 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 15 of 20 75% 10 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 0 8 of 9
Francisco Prado 7 of 12 58% 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jamie Mullarkey 25 of 49 51% 11 of 33 7 of 7 7 of 9 25 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 13 of 38 34% 7 of 28 1 of 4 5 of 6 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 19 of 35 54% 7 of 22 4 of 5 8 of 8 17 of 32 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francisco Prado 8 of 25 32% 6 of 21 2 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey but is not confident, as he worries about Mullarkey's willingness to engage in a striking battle with the explosive Francisco Prado. He notes that Mullarkey should stick to grappling to avoid Prado's power, but the hometown crowd might encourage him to strike. He is not betting on Mullarkey at the current odds.

"the pick's gonna be Jamie malarkey I am not betting on Jamie Malarkey especially not at these odds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Big Brady acknowledges Prado's danger early but thinks Mullarkey can weather the storm and break Prado in the second round. He compares it to Mullarkey's fight with Devonte Smith, where Mullarkey pressured and went to the body. He notes both are hittable but expects a finish, leaning Mullarkey by knockout in round 2.

second round knockout
"I'm leaning Malarkey in that second round to get that knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody is confident Mullarkey wins, citing Prado's low level of competition and questionable cardio. He notes Mullarkey is a proven UFC veteran who can grind out wins with takedowns and pressure. He thinks Prado's undefeated record is built on cans and he will be overwhelmed by the step up in competition.

"gotta go with Jamie cut the Malarkey but again it's just like the kind of price tag you don't overly want to pay"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Prado a certified can crusher with potential but lacking training. He notes that Mullarkey is a naturally aggressive fighter who doesn't know he's not good enough, which allows him to compete at a high level. Connor expects Mullarkey to dominate Prado everywhere.

"I don't have a lot to add to that breakdown. I think we tend we have a way we tend to go with certified can crushers."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Mullarkey's experience and cardio will be too much for the short-notice debutant Prado. Prado is athletic but green, and his success has come against lower competition. Mullarkey can weather the early storm, then take over with grappling and pressure. Prado will likely gas by the second round. Mullarkey's durability and length allow him to evade Prado's power shots. Expect a finish in the third round via TKO or submission.

"I think we'll see Malarkey evade those big shots I think we'll see Malarkey look to get his grappling going to try to keep protostatic try to stay away and nullify that big knockout power of Prado"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul agrees Mullarkey is the pick, noting Prado is young (20) and making a huge jump from regional scene to UFC pay-per-view. He thinks Mullarkey's experience and pressure will be too much. He is not excited about the -270 price but sees Mullarkey as a safe parlay piece.

"I'm with you malarkey"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey over Francisco Prado, noting Mullarkey's toughness and improvement. He expects Prado to come out strong but fade, and Mullarkey to finish with knees to the body in the clinch in the second round, similar to his win over Devonte Smith.

second round KO via knees to the body
"I'm gonna go Jamie Malarkey TKO in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane picks Mullarkey confidently, stating that Prado is a manufactured prospect with padded record and cannot wrestle. He notes that Mullarkey is hyper-aggressive and will take Prado down and out-wrestle him. Zane also thinks Mullarkey's attitude will be a rude awakening for Prado, and that even on the feet, Mullarkey will shock Prado with his aggression.

"Francisco Prado says me talking about it. He's just gonna get mopped."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 1 66 of 190 34% 68 of 194 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:37
Michael Johnson 0 96 of 217 44% 96 of 218 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 1 18 of 42 42% 20 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:34
Michael Johnson 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Michael Johnson 0 45 of 95 47% 45 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 30 of 91 32% 30 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Michael Johnson 0 31 of 69 44% 31 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 66 of 190 34% 42 of 147 22 of 41 2 of 2 58 of 179 4 of 5 4 of 6
Michael Johnson 96 of 217 44% 54 of 160 21 of 34 21 of 23 83 of 195 11 of 18 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 18 of 42 42% 12 of 33 5 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 32 3 of 4 4 of 6
Michael Johnson 20 of 53 37% 10 of 37 3 of 9 7 of 7 18 of 47 0 of 2 2 of 4
2 Jamie Mullarkey 18 of 57 31% 11 of 44 6 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Johnson 45 of 95 47% 24 of 69 11 of 15 10 of 11 34 of 79 11 of 16 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 30 of 91 32% 19 of 70 11 of 21 0 of 0 30 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Johnson 31 of 69 44% 20 of 54 7 of 10 4 of 5 31 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Angelo picks Michael Johnson as a +200 underdog, questioning why Mullarkey is a 2-1 favorite. He highlights Johnson's 78% takedown defense over 25 UFC fights, noting only Khabib and Clay Guida have taken him down multiple times. He believes Johnson's striking is underrated and he is not chinny, having been knocked out only once. He sees Mullarkey as a grappler who has been striking lately, and Johnson's experience gives him the edge.

Moneyline bet on Michael Johnson as underdog.
"I think he wins this fight... I think I'm going money line bet on michael johnson as well two to one underdog."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Big Brady picks Jamie Mullarkey, citing his youth and multiple paths to victory. He notes that Mullarkey can mix in takedowns and make it a dirty fight, which could expose Michael Johnson's questionable ground game and tendency to make mistakes. He acknowledges Johnson is the better striker and could knock Mullarkey out, but believes Mullarkey's durability and pressure will earn him a decision win. He expresses surprise at Mullarkey being a -240 favorite.

"i'm going to take jamie malarkey to win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody thinks Mullarkey's pressure and wrestling will be key against Johnson, who fades in later rounds. He notes Johnson's best round is the first, and if Mullarkey can survive that, he can take over. He believes Mullarkey's durability is still there despite the recent KO loss.

"sign me up for jamie malarkey but again the price tag is not great and i wouldn't fault anybody for for banking on michael johnson's uh great footwork and huge power"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Michael Johnson

The host bets 1 unit on Michael Johnson at +225 as a value play. He thinks Johnson is the better striker, faster, and could knock out Mullarkey quickly. However, he also acknowledges that Mullarkey could have success and possibly finish Johnson later, so he also bets on the under 2.5 rounds to cover both sides. He sees the optimal outcome as Johnson by KO under 2.5 rounds.

1 unit on Johnson moneyline +225. Also 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at -174. Parlay includes under 2.5 for this fight.
"I'm also going to go one unit on Michael Johnson plus 225. again a value play here in a sense I think he's the better Striker than malarkey I think he's faster than malarkey I think he can knock him …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul calls this a dogger pass situation. He's tempted by Johnson at plus money but notes Johnson's inconsistency. He thinks the price on Mullarkey is steep and isn't confident either way.

"i'm kind of i kind of want to bet the underdog here but i don't want to pull the trigger on michael johnson because the guy's an absolute flake"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey, praising his technical striking, solid chin, and grappling ability. He believes Mullarkey will wear Johnson down with body work and cage pressure, finishing him in the third round via cumulative damage. He notes Johnson's tendency to gas.

finish in round three
"I got to go with Jamie Mullarkey here."
Rolando Bedoya - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 43 of 89 48% 47 of 94 3 of 17 17% 0 0 5:41
Rolando Bedoya 0 46 of 116 39% 55 of 129 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 9 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:49
Rolando Bedoya 0 5 of 10 50% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 15 of 27 55% 18 of 30 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:38
Rolando Bedoya 0 10 of 33 30% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 25 of 54 46% 26 of 55 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:14
Rolando Bedoya 0 31 of 73 42% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 43 of 89 48% 32 of 74 7 of 10 4 of 5 40 of 82 3 of 6 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 46 of 116 39% 32 of 93 8 of 13 6 of 10 37 of 99 9 of 16 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 5 of 10 50% 2 of 5 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Jamie Mullarkey 15 of 27 55% 12 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 10 of 33 30% 6 of 25 2 of 4 2 of 4 8 of 28 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 25 of 54 46% 19 of 47 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 31 of 73 42% 24 of 63 6 of 7 1 of 3 24 of 62 7 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey despite his weak chin, because he believes Mullarkey is the better overall fighter with good grappling and striking. He notes that Mullarkey's opponent Rolando Bedoya has no power and is essentially a human punching bag. Angelo is surprised Mullarkey is the underdog and thinks the line will swing back.

"I think Jamie Malarkey wins this fight. I don't have a bet on him just yet. I'm going to keep an eye on the line. It's kind of tightening, but it hasn't tightened enough for me to be like, 'Ah, …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady picks Rolando Bedoya to win by third-round knockout. He argues that while Mullarkey is more skilled, his chin is extremely fragile and he has been knocked out or dropped repeatedly. He believes Bedoya's durability and volume will be key, and that Mullarkey will eventually get hurt. He notes Bedoya is 0-3 in the UFC but tough.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Bedoya does knock him out. I'm going to say Bedoya knocks out Malarkey."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey, believing his striking and wrestling will be enough to outwork Bedoya. He notes Bedoya lacks power and has poor takedown defense, while Mullarkey has fought better strikers and mixed in takedowns. He acknowledges Mullarkey's chin is a concern but thinks Bedoya doesn't have the power to exploit it.

"I end up taking Jamie Malarkey. No doubt about it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor agrees, emphasizing that Bedoya is a slow, unpowerful kickboxer with no footwork or speed, while Mullarkey is a tough wrestle-boxer who will make him fight tooth and nail. He notes that Mullarkey's losses are to athletic monsters, and Bedoya is not that. He expects Mullarkey to win a solid all-round MMA fight.

"Yeah, I mean... Mullarkey's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

James picks Jamie Mullarkey with his logical head, citing Mullarkey's better boxing fundamentals and takedown threat. However, he is very hesitant because Mullarkey's chin has degraded from wars and Bedoya throws high volume. He admits he might bet a Bedoya KO prop if the odds are right, showing low conviction.

Bedoya by KO (potential bet)
"I'm going to pick Jamie Malaki. I'm going to go with my logical head, but honestly, if they give me a prop on Bedoya, I'll probably KO prop on Bedoya, I might take the shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host thinks Mullarkey is the better overall fighter. He expects Mullarkey's durability to hold up and for him to mix in takedowns and volume to stifle Bedoya and win on the scorecards.

"I think Malarkey is the better overall fighter. If his durability can hold up, look for him to put together a better body of work, mixing in takedowns and volume to really stifle Bedoya and win this fight on the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Jamie Mullarkey, citing Mullarkey's tendency to get wobbled and cut open. He believes Bedoya can handle Mullarkey's physicality, as seen in his fight against Chaos Williams. He expects a scrap where Mullarkey is more prone to damage.

"I'm going against Jamie Malarkey here. I'm gonna go over Orlando Badoya."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane sees Mullarkey as having more breadth and options than Bedoya, who is a slow, unpowerful pocket kickboxer. He notes that Mullarkey's wrestle-boxing approach and durability should be enough to outwork Bedoya, who has lost all three UFC fights and looked bad. He points out that Mullarkey has beaten athletic fighters and lost only to elite power punchers.

Odds comment: glad the gambler has realized Bedoya shouldn't be a favorite; Mullarkey opened +140 now -120, Bedoya opened -160 now +100
"I'll take Jamie Mullarkey. He's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 1 82 of 178 46% 89 of 185 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:33
Rolando Bedoya 0 67 of 199 33% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 1 16 of 34 47% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Rolando Bedoya 0 21 of 58 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Jai Herbert 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 30 of 78 38% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Jai Herbert 0 37 of 84 44% 43 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
Rolando Bedoya 0 16 of 63 25% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 82 of 178 46% 47 of 132 27 of 36 8 of 10 79 of 173 3 of 4 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 67 of 199 33% 29 of 134 10 of 23 28 of 42 64 of 192 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 16 of 34 47% 7 of 24 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 21 of 58 36% 4 of 27 3 of 10 14 of 21 21 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 29 of 60 48% 16 of 38 11 of 18 2 of 4 28 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 30 of 78 38% 12 of 51 7 of 11 11 of 16 27 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 37 of 84 44% 24 of 70 8 of 9 5 of 5 37 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 16 of 63 25% 13 of 56 0 of 2 3 of 5 16 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Jai Herbert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-155), Bedoya (+130)

Round 1
Like the last pairing, these two combatants have their backs against the wall here. Winner of just two of his seven UFC outings, Herbert (12-5-1, 2-4-1 UFC) needs to get his hand raised today, but the same can be said for Chute Boxe’s Bedoya (14-3, 0-2 UFC), who wants the third time to be a charm. Something’s gotta give between these lightweights, and referee Lukasz Bosacki will be the first to know. There is a quick glove touch between the two, and Bedoya takes to the center of the cage pushing out a front kick and a body kick to find his range. Bedoya lands with a low kick as he bounces from stance to stance, keeping Herbert guessing early. Herbert paws out a jab that is at least two feet away, and Bedoya pitches a few kicks his way. Herbert gets one leg kick back, and he counters a leg kick with a jab to the body as the kick bounces into his cup. Herbert adjusts his athletic supporter and does not need a pause, and Bedoya takes a moment before drilling him in the face with an overhand right. Bedoya remains busy with low kicks, and Herbert looks for overhand right counters. One lands perfectly, briefly short-circuiting “The Machine,” who drops to a knee. Bedoya is able to get his bearings before Herbert can finish the job, and he works his way upright but is still not totally clear. Herbert pins a one-two on the jaw, forcing the Peruvian to tie him up against the fencing. Herbert gets off a pair of knees and escapes from the clinch, and he puts out a front kick that slaps off the chest of his opponent. Herbert slips from side to side, a cut suddenly developed under his right eye, and Bedoya walks him down throwing hands. Herbert replies with a big knee that is caught, and Bedoya slugs him backwards. Bedoya leaps in with a right hand that misses, and a leg kick does connect. Bedoya goes for another low kick that is not accurate, and he has a winging right hand ricochet off the shoulder. Herbert just misses on a counter right, and he takes two low kicks from the Chute Boxe Diego Lima fighter. Bedoya jams more kicks on the front leg, and Herbert replies with a combination ending with a stiff body kick. Bedoya does not slow kicking the front leg of the Brit, with it glowing red, but he eats another power right hand before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
Any bleeding beneath Herbert’s right eye is ceased between rounds, but some serious swelling has developed. Bedoya is quick to target that damage, going after straight left hands and following them with leg kicks. Bedoya gets off a right hook and a left on the eye socket, and he parries a body kick and skirts away. Bedoya loads up on power punches as Herbert tries to keep him at bay with a push kick, resulting in some damage on the Brit’s nose. Bedoya gives chase with a few lunging kicks, and he snaps the head back with a right hand when Bedoya gets careless. Bedoya gets excited and wants to brawl, and Herbert clips him two more times when Bedoya comes at him. Herbert gets caught with a right hand as Bedoya corners him, but he manages to pay him back. As Bedoya rushes at him, they tie up, and he knees Herbert square in the groin. Bosacki calls time and warns Bedoya for the foul, and gives Herbert 30 seconds to recover before Herbert is good to go. Herbert is active at the restart with jabs and front kicks, and Bedoya responds with similar strikes and some to the front leg. Herbert uses a number of jabs to catch Bedoya coming at him with his hands down, and he kicks the ribs and just misses with a high kick. Bedoya strides towards him, belts him with an elbow and escapes. Bedoya kicks at the same time as his opponent, but Herbert doubles up on the body kick. Herbert quadruples his jab and dances away from a looping punch, although he does absorb a low kick. Herbert gets a sneaky left hook in when Bedoya is bearing down on him, and Bedoya tanks it and swings back with reckless abandon. Bedoya assaults the front leg and kicks the body, and they trade heavy punches. Herbert backs him off with a thudding knee, and he ducks the swarming punches when Bedoya approaches him again. Herbert zings a right hand that catches Bedoya flush, and a second stuns Bedoya for a moment. Herbert drills the front leg and rips a left to the ribs, and Bedoya replies with a heavy low kick. They clash together, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
The fighters pick up right where they left off, trading strikes from kickboxing range. Bedoya is a bit more reckless than before, swinging just a little harder and slower. Herbert is accurate and quick, beating Bedoya to the punch and mixing things up to throw Bedoya to the mat. The Peruvian springs back up without issue and looks for a trip and throw, only for Herbert to thwart it in part due to a fence grab. Herbert counters with a throw, and Bedoya pulls himself back to his feet by grabbing the fence too—offsetting fouls, but a not particularly thrilled Bosacki. They resume striking, with Herbert jabbing his way into twos, and Bedoya gets his chin checked a few times but is able to take them cleanly. Herbert’s boxing remains crisp, and he mixes in body kicks and slides away from counters. Bedoya reaches him with a low kick, and Herbert doubles up on it and backs off with a right hand. Herbert stumbles, but that might be more due to an awkward step on the edge of the cage, and he recovers. Bedoya closes in on him and tries to take advantage of the moment, but Herbert gets out of danger. Bedoya slips several punches but walks into jabs, and Herbert scoots away from him and again takes a funny step. Bedoya clips Herbert with a right hand, and he lands it again after absorbing a jab. Herbert steps in with a knee, and he chops at the front leg. Bedoya walks him down consistently, keeping his guard up to block a pair of punches. Bedoya connects with a low kick, eats a knee and comes back with a right hand. Bedoya attempts to check a kick and eats a few punches for his effort. Herbert gets in a few punches, and Bedoya goes wide with responsive strikes. Bedoya loads up on a right hand that is easily dodged, and he gets blasted with a right hand but wears it shockingly well. Bedoya misses with a lumbering hook and runs into the wall, and when he recovers, he catches Herbert with a left. Bedoya attempts a spinning back fist, and Herbert boxes him up to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Rolando Bedoya via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo picks Bedoya because of his high output and pressure, noting Herbert is a low-volume technical striker who often stares at opponents. He expects Bedoya to land over 100 significant strikes and win a decision. He placed a half-unit bet on Bedoya at +145, expecting the line to tighten.

Bet half a unit at +145
"Rolando's the pick and I threw a half a unit on him at plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady is taking another underdog here, citing Jai Herbert's low volume and poor durability. He notes Herbert has become tentative and lacks the chin for brawls, while Bedoya is cutting to lightweight for the first time and has volume and durability advantages. He predicts Bedoya wins by decision.

"I'm going with Boya here ji Herbert is a guy that I've never really been high on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his high volume and pressure. He notes that Bedoya lands over 100 significant strikes per fight, while Herbert has low output and tends to fade under pressure. Cody thinks Bedoya's durability and pace will overwhelm Herbert, who has been knocked out in three of four losses. He also mentions that Bedoya arguably beat Chas Skelly and should have won.

"Rolando bedya is my pick too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Bedoya, viewing him as a high-volume brawler who can close the distance and overwhelm Herbert. He criticizes Herbert's low output and compares him to a poor man's Leon Edwards. He believes Bedoya's pace and pressure will be too much, especially now that he's at his natural weight class.

"I'm gonna go shoot the Box shoot the Box"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is the technically better fighter. If his durability holds up, he should out-volume and outpace Bedoya to win on the scorecards.

"ji Herbert if his durability can hold up for him I expect him to go out there out volume and outpace bedya and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Paul picks Rolando Bedoya, noting that Herbert has low volume and has been knocked out multiple times. He thinks Bedoya's volume and pressure will be too much for Herbert. Paul also mentions that Herbert was not booked for the UK card, which suggests the UFC doesn't value him highly. He believes Bedoya can win a decision or even stop Herbert.

"I'm going to be taking another Underdog here in Rolando badya."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert over Rolando Bedoya, noting Bedoya's lack of power and that he is moving down in weight. He believes Herbert's record is forged within the UFC and that Herbert will hurt Bedoya, possibly getting a TKO. He criticizes Bedoya's body and power, suggesting Herbert could land a front kick or knee to the body.

TKO
"I'm going to go J Herber over Rolando bedya... I just don't think Rolando badya has the power to get respect from ji Herber"
LOSS vs Song Kenan
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 1 75 of 149 50% 85 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Rolando Bedoya 0 112 of 258 43% 112 of 260 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 16 of 34 47% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Song Kenan 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Rolando Bedoya 0 39 of 85 45% 39 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
3 Song Kenan 1 35 of 65 53% 42 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Rolando Bedoya 0 41 of 96 42% 41 of 97 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 75 of 149 50% 54 of 118 16 of 24 5 of 7 68 of 140 6 of 8 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 112 of 258 43% 36 of 146 27 of 49 49 of 63 104 of 245 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 16 of 34 47% 7 of 22 6 of 8 3 of 4 15 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 32 of 77 41% 11 of 40 4 of 16 17 of 21 30 of 72 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 24 of 50 48% 20 of 42 3 of 6 1 of 2 23 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 39 of 85 45% 10 of 49 14 of 19 15 of 17 36 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Song Kenan 35 of 65 53% 27 of 54 7 of 10 1 of 1 30 of 60 4 of 4 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 41 of 96 42% 15 of 57 9 of 14 17 of 25 38 of 92 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo believes Bedoya has a good chin to withstand Song's power, forward pressure, and grinding ability. He notes that Bedoya is a three-to-one favorite but winless in the UFC, so he includes him in a small two-fighter parlay to improve the odds. He is confident Bedoya wins.

Included in a small two-fighter parlay
"Ronaldo bedoya should win this fight he's got good enough chin to wear songs power probably won't matter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady highlights Bedoya's incredible chin and durability, noting he has a brick for a head and can eat shots. He criticizes Bedoya's striking defense but believes his volume and power will overwhelm Song Kenan. He questions how Song can knock out someone with such a durable chin and predicts Bedoya will land big shots and finish Song.

knockout
"give me badoi to win this fight I'll say knocks out song Canon"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Bedoya despite the high price, noting his impressive debut against Chaos Williams. He thinks Bedoya's durability and cardio will overwhelm Song Kenan, who has been inactive. Cody is not thrilled with the price but expects Bedoya to win.

"I think you walk so 350 yeah it's too much for an 0-1 guy but I mean that all in one guy should probably go out here and perform"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his massive volume advantage. He notes that Bedoya landed more strikes in round three of his last fight than Song has in any UFC fight. He believes Song's only path is a knockout, but Bedoya has a great chin and head movement. He mentions that Bedoya's calf kicks will be a major weapon against Song's heavy lead leg. He bet 2 units at -225 and is confident.

"I took Rolando at minus 225 about a week or two ago and uh you know so I take it on minus 225 and then the next day the line has already moved to minus 240 minus 250"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Rolando Bedoya

James is confident Bedoya wins, citing his pace, pressure, and durability after surviving Chaos Williams' power. He notes Song Kenan has low volume, poor cardio, and is getting older. He expects Bedoya to put the pace on Song and likely finish him late. He also mentions Bedoya's youth and grit as advantages.

Bedoya round 2 or 3 finish mentioned as likely
"I think bedoy is going to put the pace on him probably finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The host notes Song Kenan is on a two-fight losing streak and has moved to Kill Cliff FC to save his roster spot. He believes Song can be outworked and that Bedoya's forward pressure, relentless combinations, and power will catch up to Song. The host expects Bedoya to get his first UFC win by knockout, possibly in the second or third round, and calls Bedoya a 'star waiting to pop'.

"I think that bedoya is a star with waiting to pop he just needs a little bit more experience and this was the perfect matchup for him to try to bounce back."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul is tempted by the underdog on Song Kenan, citing the Asian fighter advantage and potential overvaluation of Bedoya after one fight. He notes Bedoya's price is inflated and Song Kenan has power. Paul is not confident but likes the value.

"I don't like song but like plus 250 you know Asian fighter in Asia"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The MMA Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Song Kenan, impressed by Bedoya's debut against Chaos Williams where he landed cleaner shots and showed composure. He notes Bedoya's youth (26), boxing technique, and low kicks. He criticizes Song Kenan's recent losses and damage taken, including a KO by Max Griffin and a beating from Ian Garry. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Bedoya, possibly 30-27.

Unanimous decision predicted
"I'm gonna swipe with Rolando bedoya very impressed with his debut and for a 26 year old I think he's got a bright future in the sport"
LOSS vs Khaos Williams
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 130 of 283 45% 131 of 284 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Rolando Bedoya 0 149 of 209 71% 150 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 44 of 88 50% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Rolando Bedoya 0 44 of 56 78% 45 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 39 of 90 43% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Rolando Bedoya 0 40 of 60 66% 40 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khaos Williams 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Rolando Bedoya 0 65 of 93 69% 65 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 130 of 283 45% 68 of 205 29 of 38 33 of 40 126 of 276 4 of 7 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 149 of 209 71% 103 of 150 15 of 17 31 of 42 136 of 196 13 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 44 of 88 50% 21 of 59 15 of 19 8 of 10 42 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 44 of 56 78% 26 of 34 9 of 10 9 of 12 37 of 49 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 39 of 90 43% 17 of 60 8 of 13 14 of 17 37 of 87 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 40 of 60 66% 25 of 38 3 of 4 12 of 18 37 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 47 of 105 44% 30 of 86 6 of 6 11 of 13 47 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 65 of 93 69% 52 of 78 3 of 3 10 of 12 62 of 90 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-305), Bedoya (+255)

Round 1
Carrying on the prelims is a welterweight clash when power puncher Williams (13-3, 4-2 UFC) introduces Peruvian newcomer Bedoya (14-1, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion. Fists are sure to fly soon, and referee Keith Peterson is right on top of the nonsense-free action when it begins. Before the looming slugfest, they tap their gloves together. Bedoya starts off with a leg kick, and Williams marches him down and slugs him in the face. Bedoya wobbles back, keeping his head on a swivel, and he appears no worse for wear after the charging salvo. Williams continues plodding forward, stringing punches together, and Bedoya skirts on the outside to protect his mug from the brunt of the damage. Williams shows no fear and throws caution to the wind, catching Bedoya but not hurting him, and the two wind up in the clinch. Bedoya sneaks up a few knees before breaking off, and he flashes out a jab when Williams comes at him. Bedoya pushes out a front kick and a one-two, and Williams no-sells it and throws a straight right hand down the pipe. Bedoya attacks the body with a kick, and he loads up with a few punches to the midsection. Bedoya grins and circles away, smacking the lead leg with a kick but getting belted in the face with a right hand from “Khaos.” Bedoya hammers the breadbasket with a few knees, and Williams gets one off on the break. Williams whiffs with a right hand, and he counters with a left over the guard. Williams intercepts his foe with a short right hand, and Bedoya flashes a big grin after taking it flush. “The Ox Fighter” goes for a kick to the body, and he strings several punches into a body kick as Bedoya grimaces. Bedoya fires back, and Williams grabs hold of his foe to conclude the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The second round kicks off with a body kick from the Peruvian fighter, and brimming with confidence, he throws one low. Williams counters with a calf kick, and he slides back from a windmilling right hand that zooms past his face. “Khaos” digs in another low kick, and he catches a front kick to land his shin on the inside. Williams cracks the chin with a few punches, and Bedoya smiles at him and shakes it off, only to absorb a chopping low kick at the end of a combination. Bedoya lets go with a leg kick, and he counters a kick with a right hand around the guard. Williams surges forward with three punches, making the Peruvian smile. They trade leg kicks, and Bedoya gets in a right hand and a front kick. Williams ignores it and comes out firing, and Bedoya catches him with another right on the chin. After a brief clinch, Williams splits it up with a sharp uppercut, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that makes Williams frown. Williams scores two punches coming forward, and Bedoya shakes them off and starts showboating and taunting his foe. Williams does not bite, instead loading up with two leg kicks, and Bedoya makes a matador motion. Williams clubs his man with a looping left and a hard right leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a knee up the middle. The Peruvian fighter kicks low and then high, surprising “Khaos” with his shin to the chin. Williams tanks it without flinching, and he springs into action with a few punches and a body kick. Williams splits the guard with a pair of punches, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that irritates Williams. To respond to that, the American pops him with a few punches, and both men tag the other in a fierce exchange. The two welterweights clash legs together with one final kick, and the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
There is a final clap of hands to open up the last round, and they begin trading shortly thereafter. Williams smacks his shin on the inside of the leg, and he counters Bedoya’s kick with two punches down Broadway. This leads to a clinch, and they break away and sting one another with power shots. Williams lets fly four punches and a leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a few leg kicks to draw a reaction. Williams is intercepted when lunging, and he takes an elbow that stuns him. Bedoya decides to throw leather, and Williams obliges him and does not throw as many kicks. Bedoya flicks out a few jabs and shells up when Williams swings back at him with a vengeance. Bedoya slips back when tossing out a low kick, and Williams stands right in front of him and strikes. Williams absorbs a flush leg kick that makes him stumble, and his plant leg is compromised and he cannot throw quite as hard as before. Bedoya jabs and sticks a leg kick, and Williams replies in kind. They both push off with lefts, and Bedoya pops his man with a one-two. Williams gets clinched and breaks away with a vertical elbow, and he loops a right hand that smashes square into the newcomer’s chin. Bedoya’s beard is made of tougher stuff, as he does not appear fazed and instead goes right back to chopping at Williams’ leg. Bedoya throws, and Williams replies. Bedoya doubles up on a few jabs, and Williams hurts him with a leg kick. The two rock one another with right hands, and they gather their bearings and hear the final horn blare. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Rolando Bedoya via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams confidently, citing his insane power and durability. He notes that Rolando Bedoya is hittable, as seen in his fight against Pablo de Horta where he was consistently landed on. Angelo believes if Khaos lands with even 10% of the accuracy Pablo did, he will win by knockout. However, he acknowledges that if Bedoya's chin holds up, his volume could win a decision. Angelo plans to wait for round props before betting.

waiting for round props
"chaos is going to be the pick here he's as I mentioned the at least for now the biggest favorite on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Williams, calling it a terrible matchup for Bedoya. He notes Bedoya has awful striking defense, walking forward with his hands low, and Williams has elite power. He believes Williams will knock Bedoya out within the first two minutes, as Bedoya's style of eating punches won't work against a power puncher like Williams.

First round knockout prediction
"I think chaos Williams starches bedoya within the first two minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody is very confident in Williams, describing Bedoya as a 'dead man walking.' He notes Bedoya's competition in Peru is weak, his striking is wild and technical, and he has no wrestling to avoid Williams' power. Williams has improved significantly, training with top guys, and has knockout power in both hands. He expects an early KO.

Williams inside the distance; Williams round 1
"I would think Roland bedoya is a Dead Man Walking On The Green Mile"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor agrees, noting Williams has power and a blitzing style that will work against Bedoya's poor defense. He mentions Williams is durable and has been in scrappy fights. Bedoya is fun but too reckless, and Williams should win.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"Yeah, I mean, I think the prevailing feeling about this matchup should be, why is it happening?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams by knockout in the second round. He believes Williams' higher level experience and bigger knockout power will be decisive in a wild exchange. He notes there is value on Bedoya but prefers the more battle-tested fighter. He also recommends the fight doesn't go to decision.

Fight doesn't go to decision, Williams by knockout round 2
"give me chaos Williams by knockout probably in the second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul agrees, saying the obvious play is Williams inside the distance. He notes Williams has 'death touch' and is overdue for a knockout. He expects Williams to come out aggressive and finish early.

Williams inside the distance
"the obvious play is chaos Williams inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The Guru picks Williams, calling Bedoya's debut a terrible matchup. He notes Williams' reach advantage and power, and that Bedoya has been off for over a year. He expects Williams to land a first-round KO, as Bedoya will have octagon jitters on a PPV card.

first round KO
"I think it's a recipe for a first round KO for chaos Williams here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Williams because of his massive power and blitzing style, which should overwhelm Bedoya's poor defense. He notes Bedoya is fun but messy, and Williams is durable and can force his fight. Bedoya is likely to get sucked into Williams' brawl and won't make him do something else.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"I don't see Bedoya making him do something else. Everybody should be picking Williams until proved otherwise."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey despite his weak chin, because he believes Mullarkey is the better overall fighter with good grappling and striking. He notes that Mullarkey's opponent Rolando Bedoya has no power and is essentially a human punching bag. Angelo is surprised Mullarkey is the underdog and thinks the line will swing back.

"I think Jamie Malarkey wins this fight. I don't have a bet on him just yet. I'm going to keep an eye on the line. It's kind of tightening, but it hasn't tightened enough for me to be like, 'Ah, let me bet him now before we lose it.'"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady picks Rolando Bedoya to win by third-round knockout. He argues that while Mullarkey is more skilled, his chin is extremely fragile and he has been knocked out or dropped repeatedly. He believes Bedoya's durability and volume will be key, and that Mullarkey will eventually get hurt. He notes Bedoya is 0-3 in the UFC but tough.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Bedoya does knock him out. I'm going to say Bedoya knocks out Malarkey."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey, believing his striking and wrestling will be enough to outwork Bedoya. He notes Bedoya lacks power and has poor takedown defense, while Mullarkey has fought better strikers and mixed in takedowns. He acknowledges Mullarkey's chin is a concern but thinks Bedoya doesn't have the power to exploit it.

"I end up taking Jamie Malarkey. No doubt about it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor agrees, emphasizing that Bedoya is a slow, unpowerful kickboxer with no footwork or speed, while Mullarkey is a tough wrestle-boxer who will make him fight tooth and nail. He notes that Mullarkey's losses are to athletic monsters, and Bedoya is not that. He expects Mullarkey to win a solid all-round MMA fight.

"Yeah, I mean... Mullarkey's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

James picks Jamie Mullarkey with his logical head, citing Mullarkey's better boxing fundamentals and takedown threat. However, he is very hesitant because Mullarkey's chin has degraded from wars and Bedoya throws high volume. He admits he might bet a Bedoya KO prop if the odds are right, showing low conviction.

Bedoya by KO (potential bet)
"I'm going to pick Jamie Malaki. I'm going to go with my logical head, but honestly, if they give me a prop on Bedoya, I'll probably KO prop on Bedoya, I might take the shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host thinks Mullarkey is the better overall fighter. He expects Mullarkey's durability to hold up and for him to mix in takedowns and volume to stifle Bedoya and win on the scorecards.

"I think Malarkey is the better overall fighter. If his durability can hold up, look for him to put together a better body of work, mixing in takedowns and volume to really stifle Bedoya and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Jamie Mullarkey, citing Mullarkey's tendency to get wobbled and cut open. He believes Bedoya can handle Mullarkey's physicality, as seen in his fight against Chaos Williams. He expects a scrap where Mullarkey is more prone to damage.

"I'm going against Jamie Malarkey here. I'm gonna go over Orlando Badoya."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane sees Mullarkey as having more breadth and options than Bedoya, who is a slow, unpowerful pocket kickboxer. He notes that Mullarkey's wrestle-boxing approach and durability should be enough to outwork Bedoya, who has lost all three UFC fights and looked bad. He points out that Mullarkey has beaten athletic fighters and lost only to elite power punchers.

Odds comment: glad the gambler has realized Bedoya shouldn't be a favorite; Mullarkey opened +140 now -120, Bedoya opened -160 now +100
"I'll take Jamie Mullarkey. He's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
Comments (2)
Half the Battle Daniel
Half the Battle Daniel Expert 8 months, 1 week ago

**Pick:** Rolando Bedoya **Analysis:** This pick is based entirely on the belief that Mullarkey's chin is 'gone.' Despite Bedoya not being a known power puncher, Mullarkey's durability is so compromised that Bedoya could score a surprise knockout. **Props:** Bedoya by knockout.

Bookie Beatdown Cody
Bookie Beatdown Cody Expert 8 months, 1 week ago

**Pick:** Jamie Mullarkey **Analysis:** The main factor is Bedoya's perceived lack of power. While Mullarkey's chin is a major weakness, Bedoya is a high-volume, low-impact striker who has struggled to earn respect from judges. Mullarkey is the better striker with more power and can also mix in takedowns against Bedoya, who has a poor takedown defense percentage. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.