Career Averages - Brunno Ferreira
Career Averages - Phil Hawes
Brunno Ferreira
Phil Hawes
Brunno Ferreira - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-280); Ferreira (+220)
Round 1
Middleweights are up again, this time in the form of offense-minded maulers Aliskerov and Ferreira. The third man in the cage is Marc Goddard. Both men are in orthodox stance but as Aliskerov advances, Ferreira switches to southpaw, and then back. Ferreira comes up short with a sweeping overhand right. Aliskerov meets his next entry with a level change and runs him to the fence. Ferreira grabs an underhook but Aliskerov hoists and dumps him anyway. Ferreira turns his back in order to stand and manages to disengage without giving up back control. They separate and Aliskerov promptly boots him to the cup in the next exchange. Goddard halts the action and warns Aliskerov while the Brazilian catches his breath. When they go back to work, Aliskerov lands a hard low kick. Aliskerov nails Ferreira with a knee up the middle. Ferreira backs up to the cage and Aliskerov comes in behind a flying knee, then seamlessly drops for a double-leg takedown, hauling Ferreira down and away from the fence. Beautiful mixing of the martial arts there. With 90 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov is in Ferreira’s full guard near the warning track, throwing short punches to the ribs while Ferreira closes his guard and controls his posture. Ferreira opens up his guard and looks for some possible offense from his back, elevating his hips for an armbar or triangle. Aliskerov lets Ferreira up and lands a right hand before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 2
Aliskerov throws a high front kick that misses short. He meets Ferreira’s next entry with a push kick up the middle. Ferreira is struggling badly to navigate the reach of the taller, longer Aliskerov; he’s eating a strike or two on the way in every time, and even when they don’t do a ton of damage, they disrupt whatever Ferreira was planning to do. Like clockwork, as I type that, Ferreira wades into the pocket and runs right into a perfectly timed level change. Aliskerov deposits him on the canvas and, as Ferreira scrambles, ends up kneeling over him in an almost north-south position. Aliskerov looks to isolate an arm for a kimura or armbar. Ferreira escapes but gives up his back. Aliskerov is draped all over him, but Ferreira is patient and methodical, and gets back to his feet without giving up back mount. Aliskerov drills Ferreira with two punches, but there isn’t much behind them. Ferreira steps forward and throws punches, and several land before Aliskerov gets onto his hips and drags him back to the canvas. Ferreira escapes back to his feet around the 30-second mark, and Aliskerov hustles him back to the ground again. Ferreira looks for a calf slicer as Aliskerov stands over him, but can’t get it before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 3
Ferreira surges forward and throws a pair of big punches that bounce off of the high guard of Aliskerov. Ferreira with a high kick that just touches. Aliskerov has slowed drastically, but Ferreira has been too wild to capitalize in the early going. Aliskerov with a long jab and a front snap kick, backing Ferreira up to the fence, and when Ferreira rebounds from the cage, Aliskerov uses a trip to spin him down to the floor with ease. Aliskerov goes into Ferreira’s guard. Ferreira shrimps, then goes onto all fours, but before he can explode to his feet, Aliskerov slides into back mount and locks up a body triangle. Serious tactical blunder by Ferreira, and Aliskerov is fishing for a choke. Ferreira is wise to it and fights off the choke, and tries to twist out of back mount, but ends up in a very uncomfortable-looking sideways mount. Aliskerov, in no hurry to go anywhere, squeezes with his legs and drops punches. Under 90 seconds to go and Aliskerov has completely taken over the fight. Ferreira goes to all fours with 30 seconds to go and Aliskerov is on his back, dropping punches from back mount until the horn. Dominant performance by Ikram Aliskerov.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Brunno Ferreira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, calling Aliskerov overrated and questioning his durability. He thinks Ferreira's power and judo background pose problems, and that Aliskerov's chin will be tested. He believes the odds are too wide and that Ferreira is live for an upset.
AJ picks Ferreira as a sizable underdog, citing his power and Aliskerov's shaky chin. He thinks Ferreira can land an uppercut as Aliskerov shoots, and that Ferreira's improved conditioning will help. AJ acknowledges Aliskerov's wrestling advantage but believes Ferreira can hurt him on the feet.
AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, believing Aliskerov is overrated and hittable. Ferreira has knockout power in both hands and good jiu-jitsu to defend takedowns. Aliskerov's chin is questionable, and Ferreira's athleticism and improved conditioning should lead to an upset.
AJ DeVito picks Brunno Ferreira as a wild underdog at +235, citing Ikram Aliskerov's chin problems and Ferreira's power, judo background, and improved conditioning. He thinks Ferreira can stop takedowns and land a knockout, and likes the KO prop at +550. He acknowledges Aliskerov could wrestle to a win but believes Ferreira is live.
Angelo picks Bruno despite his cardio concerns, because Bruno is the most dangerous striker Ikram has faced. He worries that Ikram may fold under pressure, as hinted by his corner's comments. He acknowledges Bruno's tendency to fade after the first round but is willing to shoot his shot.
Angelo sees Bruno Ferreira as a solid underdog at +235, describing him as a coiled snake with one-punch knockout power and high-level judo. He acknowledges Bruno's poor cardio as a major weakness, but argues that Bruno is the most dangerous fighter Ikram has ever faced, more dangerous than Robert Whittaker in terms of finishing ability.
Angelo picks Ferreira as an underdog, citing his dangerous striking and judo. He worries about Ferreira's cardio but thinks he can land a big shot early or use judo to defend takedowns. He notes the odds are widening and may wait to bet.
Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by decision. He notes Aliskerov has knockout power but also a wrestling background, having taken down opponents outside the UFC. Ferreira is a dangerous power puncher with questionable takedown defense and cardio. Brady thinks Aliskerov will use wrestling to control the fight, possibly earning a late finish or decision. He acknowledges many outcomes are possible and will stay away from betting.
Cody picks Aliskerov, calling him a favorable matchup. He highlights Aliskerov's wrestling and size advantage over Ferreira, who he sees as undersized and vulnerable. He expects Aliskerov to win via takedowns and control, possibly by decision.
Daniel Levi picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting he is more well-rounded and technically sound, with multiple paths to victory (striking, grappling, point fighting). He acknowledges Brunno Ferreira's puncher's chance but believes Aliskerov has matured since his loss to Robert Whittaker and showed improved cardio against the Iron Turtle. Levi respects Ferreira but favors Aliskerov's versatility.
Jacob picks Aliskerov by submission, arguing that Ferreira is susceptible to straight shots and has been knocked out twice. He thinks Aliskerov has better cardio and grappling, and will finish Ferreira in round 2 or 3. He includes Aliskerov in his slam of the week.
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov despite being hesitant, citing Aliskerov's massive grappling advantage and better training partners in Dagestan. He notes that Brunno Ferreira has power and can knock anyone out, but has looked unimpressive in his UFC career and has been knocked out twice. He acknowledges the fight is volatile and could end with whoever lands first, but favors Aliskerov's overall skills and cardio upside. He says he will only bet if the odds are really good.
The host believes Aliskerov will land decent combinations and mix in his grappling to cause Ferreira to slow down, leading to a late finish. However, he notes his interest in Ferreira has increased as the number balloons, and he might have a small sprinkle on Ferreira by fight time, but his official prediction remains Aliskerov by knockout.
Aliskerov is more well-rounded and has improved his striking, but Ferreira is dangerous with power and BJJ. Aliskerov should win by knockout as Ferreira slows down, but Ferreira has a real chance to clip him. The line is too wide; a small play on Ferreira is possible.
Paul picks Aliskerov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and Ferreira's size and durability issues. He notes Ferreira's power but thinks Aliskerov can grind him out with takedowns and control. He likes Aliskerov by decision at plus odds.
The Guru picks Ferreira, citing his explosiveness, power, and ability to land a KO. He believes Aliskerov gives too much space and is hittable, which plays into Ferreira's strengths. He notes Ferreira's submission threat and sees value in the underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 1 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 1 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo notes that both fighters are similar with heavy hands and poor cardio, but Gregory is larger and has better fight IQ. He expects Gregory to wrestle early to avoid another knockout, as Bruno knocked him out in their first fight when Gregory was ill-prepared. He believes Gregory will slow the pace and win on the scorecards.
Big Brady picks Gregory Rodrigues over Brunno Ferreira in a rematch. He notes Ferreira knocked out Rodrigues in the first fight, but Rodrigues has elite jiu-jitsu that he underutilizes. Brady believes if Rodrigues fights smart, mixes in takedowns, and uses his grappling, he can submit Ferreira, who gassed badly against Abus Magomedov. He predicts a second-round submission, warning that if Rodrigues stands and bangs, he could get knocked out again.
Cody also picks Ferreira, highlighting Rodrigues' defensive flaws and tendency to gas. He notes Ferreira's speed and power, and that Rodrigues has been knocked out before. He expects Ferreira to land a big shot and finish.
Connor picks Rodrigues despite the first loss, noting that Rodrigues was styling on Ferreira before getting caught. He believes Rodrigues's improved grappling and willingness to test Ferreira's submission defense will be key. However, he acknowledges that Ferreira's one-punch power and Rodrigues's tendency to fade late make this a risky pick. Connor sees it as a well-matched rematch where either outcome is possible.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira as a plus-170 underdog, believing the odds should be closer. He notes that Ferreira knocked out Rodrigues in their first fight and has power that can end the fight early. Vreeland acknowledges both fighters have cardio issues and one-shot power, but he likes the value on Ferreira.
James picks Brunno Ferreira as the value side, noting that Ferreira already knocked out Rodrigues in their first fight and has the power to do it again. He highlights Rodrigues' poor chin and tendency to get hit, while Ferreira's leaping left hook is a dangerous weapon. James admits he is not confident but cannot trust Rodrigues at minus-200 odds due to his chin issues. He expects Ferreira to win by KO, likely early.
Rodrigues has a height and reach advantage and will play it safe early before finding a knockout as Ferreira slows. He learned from the first fight and should be more assertive. The fight finishes inside the distance. Waiting for a better line is advised.
Paul picks Ferreira as a dog, citing Rodrigues' durability issues and poor head movement. He notes Ferreira's speed and power, and that he already knocked out Rodrigues. He sees value at plus money and expects a knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, citing his previous KO win over Rodrigues. He believes Ferreira's power and finishing ability will be too much, and that Rodrigues is chinny. He predicts a KO win, possibly in a scrappy fight.
Zane picks Rodrigues, echoing Connor's reasoning. He notes that Rodrigues has become more willing to grapple and can use ground-and-pound to finish. Zane points out that Ferreira's game is limited to wild overhands and sacrificial submissions, and Rodrigues should be able to avoid the big shot if he fights smart. However, he admits that Ferreira's power makes it a dangerous fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 88 of 186 | 47% | 90 of 188 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 77 of 149 | 51% | 77 of 149 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 30 of 55 | 54% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 30 of 66 | 45% | 31 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 22 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 88 of 186 | 47% | 78 of 176 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 | 86 of 181 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 77 of 149 | 51% | 60 of 130 | 9 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 73 of 143 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 27 of 49 | 55% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 25 of 47 | 53% | 18 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 31 of 71 | 43% | 27 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 68 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 30 of 55 | 54% | 21 of 45 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 30 of 66 | 45% | 29 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 22 of 47 | 46% | 21 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vettori (-118), Ferreira (-102)
Round 1
Chris Tognoni is the referee. Ferreira circles on the outside and the middleweights exchange low kicks. The Brazilian lunges in with a punching combination. Vettori closes the distance but Ferreira denies a takedown. Vettori backs up his foe with straight punches. A straight left from Ferreira gets through Vettori’s guard. Ferreira kicks the midsection. The Brazilian is active, lunging forward with power shots. Vettori lands a low kick. Ferreira lands a heavy leg kick of his own. Vettori shoots behind a combination but it’s denied. Ferreira is throwing bombs, mostly missing the mark thus far. Vettori follows a double jab with a stiff straight left that lands with impact. Ferreira fires off a 1-2. Ferreira tries a head kick and falls to the floor, just missing with the attack. Ferreira counters Vettori as he moves forward. Ferreira grounds Vettori late in the round but the Italian scrambles up. Ferreira stays on the attack, but Vettori counters in turn. Vettori lands a solid combination before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Round 2
Vettori looks for a single leg but Ferreira stops it and tags him with some punches. A hard body kick connects for the Brazilian and Vettori lands one of his own. Vettori goes back to the 1-1-2, and it’s effective. Ferreira lands a counter left hook as the Italian pressures. Vettori has a haed kick blocked. Ferreira fakes a takedown and misses a looping right hand. A straight left lands for Vettori. Vettori lands a leg kick, and then counters with a short left. Ferreira turns up the heat and attacks behind a combination. Ferreira snaps his foe’s head back with a left. Vettori shakes it off. Vettori stumbles after another combination by the Brazilian. Vettori sticks a jab, but Ferreira partially lands a calf kick. Heavy punches are exchanged. Ferreira moves forward and lands a body-head combination. Ferreira changes levels but Vettori stuffs it. A front kick lands for the Brazilian, and they both connect in an exchange. The frame ends with Vettori circling on the outside.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Round 3
Ferreira with a hard kick to the body, and he dumps Vettori on his back. Vettori scrambles up and is briefly trapped in a guillotine before assuming top position. Ferreira is able to return to his feet and they’re back to standing. Vettori pressures and stuffs a Ferreira takedown, shoving his foe into the fence. Vettori pursues a takedown against the fence. He connects his hands and gets his first takedown. Ferreira scrambles up, eating a knee in the process. Vettori sticks a solid 1-2. Ferreira responds with a jab. Vettori moves in and lands an uppercut. A right hook from the Brazilian snaps Vettori’s head back. He lands a couple more hard shots to put the Italian on the retreat. Vettori defends a single leg takedown. Vettori is bloodied, and he eats a stiff left from “The Hulk.” The volume is close, but Ferreira is landing the heavier shots in the fight. Vettori ducks under a spinning elbow. Another exchange ends with a left from Ferreira. Moments later, Vettori backs up Ferreira with punches. Time is running out for the former title challenger. Both middleweights are swinging, but it’s Ferreira who steps in with a big uppercut. One more exchange ensues before the final horn. Vettori is wearing the worst of the damage after 15 minutes.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira (30-27 Ferreira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (29-28 Ferreira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (29-28 Ferreira)
The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Marvin Vettori via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28 R3 5:00
Angelo picks Marvin Vettori, citing his incredible durability and experience against top competition. He notes that Vettori has been fighting the top 10 for years, while Ferreira has not faced the same level. Angelo acknowledges Ferreira's power and judo but doubts his cardio and ability to hurt Vettori. He expects Vettori to weather an early storm and win a decision, and he bet on the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Marvin Vettori despite calling him 'washed'. He notes Vettori's durability and volume, and Ferreira's cardio issues, referencing Ferreira's loss to Abus Magomedov. He expects Vettori to mix in takedowns, grind on Ferreira, and submit him in the third round.
Cody picks Vettori, citing his durability and volume. He notes that Vettori has never been finished and has gone the distance with top competition. He believes Ferreira relies on early finishes and will fade if he doesn't get them. He thinks Vettori will outwork Ferreira and win by decision.
Connor picks Brunno Ferreira, citing that Vettori has lost his way after leaving Kings MMA and now fights without a clear game plan. He notes that Ferreira is a power puncher with submission threats, and while Vettori should win on paper, his recent performances show he is adrift. Connor calls it a vibes pick.
Daniel picks Ferreira, citing Vettori's decline (1-5 since title fight), lack of power, and fading durability. He believes Ferreira's power and finishing ability will be too much, and he expects Ferreira to become the first to finish Vettori in the UFC. He notes Vettori's volume edge but doubts it matters.
Lucrative James believes Marvin Vettori has looked washed recently, with declining durability. He notes Ferreira's power and thinks Vettori's chin may finally crack. He acknowledges the risk of betting against a proven chin but sees value in Ferreira as an underdog. He leans towards a KO win for Ferreira but does not predict the method definitively.
The host notes the opposite recent records but sees this as a step up in competition for Ferreira. He highlights Vettori's never-been-finished durability and Ferreira's lack of decision wins, expecting Vettori to bully Ferreira and pull out the win in deep water.
Paul agrees, emphasizing Vettori's chin and experience against elite fighters. He notes that Ferreira's wins are all first-round finishes and that he has never won a decision. He believes Vettori's size and durability will allow him to outlast Ferreira and win by decision or late finish.
The Guru picks Brunno Ferreira to finish Marvin Vettori, despite Vettori's legendary chin. He notes Vettori is becoming more hittable and showing damage, and Ferreira has KO power and submissions. The Guru predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission.
Zane picks Brunno Ferreira, agreeing that Vettori has destroyed his own ability to fight with a good process. He notes that Ferreira is a power puncher with poor footwork but has knockout wins. Zane believes Vettori's indecision and gun-shyness could lead to Ferreira landing a big shot.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Jackson McVey | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Jackson McVey | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 7 of 9 | 77% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jackson McVey | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 7 of 9 | 77% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jackson McVey | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ferreira (-600), McVey (+440)
Round 1
Violence is almost guaranteed in this next preliminary tilt, as these two middleweights each celebrate 100% finish rates. Ferreira (13-2, 4-2 UFC) will now draw McVey (6-0, 0-0 UFC) after a round robin of opponent switches for both men, and they are more than ready to hit something. Referee Kerry Hatley will make sure that they do so on the up-and-up. Before looking to lop one another’s head off, the intense 185ers touch gloves.
Ferreira gets right on his bike and circles around to find his way in, trying to look for angles towards the taller newcomer. Ferreira fires off a body kick after about 30 seconds of inactivity, and he circles all the way around his adversary with nary another strike thrown. McVey offers a few pawing front kicks to see if he can reach “The Hulk,” and he has a high kick skim across Ferreira’s shoulder. Ferreira steps in to jack McVey in the jaw with a right hook, but it is one-and-done as he backs off to avoid counters. Ferreira scores a low kick and shells up to block a few punches and a high kick. He blasts the front leg with a kick, and McVey stumbles and smiles to try to keep a poker face. Ferreira turns around carelessly to reset, and McVey tackles him to the mat from behind and briefly takes his back.
The incredibly strong Brazilian stands up with McVey on his back, leans over and slams McVey over his head to the mat. McVey lands with a grunt, and Ferreira leisurely sits down in side control to start doing work with elbow. When McVey looks to scramble, Ferreira slices into full mount like a hot knife through butter.
Ferreira lowers himself down for an arm-triangle choke setup, but it is a ruse as he traps McVey’s arm from the side and rolls him over, the armbar already set. Ferreira turns belly-down to complete the submission
, and the newcomer is shocked at how fast Ferreira nailed that sub and taps out frantically. “The Hulk” releases the grip immediately and runs to his corner to embrace them. His 100% finish rate remains intact.
The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Jackson McVey R1 3:35 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira to win, citing his power, grappling, and experience. He notes that Jackson McVey has had a chaotic lead-up with multiple fight cancellations and weight cuts, which will work against him. However, he warns against betting heavy on Ferreira due to cardio issues.
Big Brady expects Brunno Ferreira to knock out Jackson McVey in the first round, citing Ferreira's scary power and McVey's step up in competition. He feels bad for McVey but sees a mismatch.
Connor picks Ferreira, citing his experience, power, and durability. He notes that McVey is incredibly raw and only comfortable in the clinch, while Ferreira has multiple layers to his game and can find fight-changing shots. However, he acknowledges Ferreira's gaps in defense and wrestling.
The host notes that McVey is on short notice and facing the most difficult opponent he's ever come across. He believes Ferreira will crush him and finish him within the first round, indicating a high confidence in a first-round finish.
The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira over Jackson McVey, calling it a mismatch. He notes that McVey is a debutant who was originally scheduled to fight someone else and has been in a depleted state due to weight cuts. Ferreira is described as a very good middleweight with dynamic striking and power, having knocked out Gregory Rodriguez in the first round. The Guru predicts a second-round TKO for Ferreira, as McVey's stand-up is hesitant and rushed, and he will likely get caught.
Zane picks Ferreira, noting that McVey is too green and lacks the range game to deal with Ferreira's pressure. He believes Ferreira's comfort in the cage and ability to hang tough will be decisive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 31 of 63 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 0 | 46 of 83 | 55% | 47 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 27 of 56 | 48% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 25 of 53 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 46 of 83 | 55% | 19 of 54 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 22 | 46 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 13 of 25 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 22 of 39 | 56% | 6 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brunno Ferreira | 14 of 31 | 45% | 8 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Armen Petrosyan | 24 of 44 | 54% | 13 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petrosyan (-148), Ferreira (+124)
Round 1
Fists and feet and the other four limbs are about to start flying when referee Mark Smith tells these two gunslinging middleweights to get after it. Fans will be finally able to answer the live-action question of whether “The Hulk” Ferreira (12-2, 3-2 UFC) could beat “Superman” Petrosyan (9-4, 3-3 UFC) in the ultimate Marvel vs. DC nickname battle. Everyone in the building takes a sharp inhale when the two get going, as they touch gloves first. Petrosyan stalks a retreating Ferreira down, with Ferreira on the outer edge of the cage circling. Petrosyan chops at his foe’s front leg, and Ferreira misses the check on it. He has his leg ready for a second. The lunges from Ferreira are forcing Petrosyan to jump back, but he does not strike. They trade low kicks from a safe distance, and Petrosyan doubles up on his kick effort. Ferreira roars forward, getting off a right hand and blasting Petrosyan in the face with a huge left hand. Petrosyan takes it on the button without flinching, and he kicks the inside leg and skips his foot into Ferreira’s cup. Smith calls time, and Ferreira takes less than 30 seconds before he wants to go again. Petrosyan leads off with an inside leg kick, and the impact is much harder and louder as it ricochets off Ferreira’s cup. Smith recognizes the foul again and once more issues a time-out. While Ferreira is recovering, Smith deducts one point from Petrosyan for the foul. After one minute, Ferreira is good to go, and he has to immediately block a head kick. Petrosyan wants nothing to do with low kicks again, aiming his next several kicks high or extremely low. Ferreira charges forward, nearly gets caught in the groin again from a framing Petrosyan knee, and Petrosyan backs off and chops at his front leg. Ferreira sits down on a blistering right hand, and Petrosyan again eats it without batting an eye. “Superman” comes out swinging, catching Ferreira with a response, and Ferreira walks him down and targets his body. Petrosyan mixes up kicks to the body and lower leg, and he gets bounced into the wall by a front kick. Ferreira rushes at his opponent, looking for a takedown using sheer horsepower. The second attempt does get Petrosyan down, but Petrosyan springs back up and flashes his jab in Ferreira’s face. Petrosyan presses forward with a right hand and a jump knee, opening a cut on the corner of Ferreira’s right eyebrow. Petrosyan keeps close, whipping a head kick at him, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Ferreira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Ferreira
Round 2
The middleweights clap hands to re-engage, and Ferreira keeps his knee up to block incoming strikes. Petrosyan uses the opportunity to kick him upside the head, and Ferreira shrugs it off and throws bombs. Petrosyan hand-fights and uses head movement and footwork to evade the worst hurled at him, jogging from side to side and kicking high again. Ferreira responds with a body kick, and his leg kick is met with a sharp jab. Petrosyan splits the guard with his own jab, snapping out a body kick when Ferreira walks him down. Ferreira winds up with a bomb of a right hand, catching Petrosyan with one and forcing Petrosyan to run to the side to reset. The Brazilian reaches Petrosyan with a right hand to the body and a left up top, and Petrosyan replies with a body kick and a few jabs that have further damaged Ferreira’s eye. Ferreira times a kick to tackle Petrosyan to the mat, and Petrosyan scoots himself upright and escapes. Ferreira walks him down and jabs him in the face, following it with a mean overhand right. Petrosyan kicks his foe in the lead leg and lead arm, and he sneaks an uppercut beneath the guard. Ferreira targets the body with a few punches, and Petrosyan runs away. When Ferreira punches him in the midsection, Smith calls time as if it was a low blow, but it was nowhere near the groin. Smith quickly restarts the round, and Petrosyan flashes out his right hand a few times. They blast one another with loud body kicks, and Ferreira runs at his opponent like a lineman and tackles him to the mat. Petrosyan gets away with grabbing the fence, and Ferreira is still able to keep him on his knees but is prevented from going flat.
Petrosyan sits up and has his back taken, and Ferreira immediately pursues the rear-naked choke. Petrosyan keeps moving, and he finds the Brazilian has set a trap for him. “The Hulk” locks down an armbar with a triangle choke also in the works, and Petrosyan is in trouble. It does not take more than a second for the Armenian to have to surrender, lest his limb be snapped the wrong direction.
This stoppage keeps Ferreira’s finish rate at 100%, while handing Petrosyan his third straight loss inside the distance. “The Hulk” roars, blood streaming down his eye, and he goes to celebrate with his corner.
The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Armen Petrosyan R2 4:27 via Submission (Triangle Armbar)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 45 of 81 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 36 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 21 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 10 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 26 of 59 | 44% | 10 of 40 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 8 | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 29 of 71 | 40% | 20 of 59 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 14 of 29 | 48% | 4 of 17 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 8 of 23 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 20 of 42 | 47% | 16 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 4 of 7 | 57% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brunno Ferreira | 7 of 17 | 41% | 4 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-142), Ferreira (+120)
Round 1
Batten down the hatches, because an all-offense middleweight clash is about to light up the Etihad Arena for the next few minutes or less. Referee Marc Goddard is prepped and ready for the oncoming insanity. Magomedov (26-6-1, 2-2 UFC), who has seen his fair share of ups and downs in the Octagon thus far, comes to blows with Brazilian slugger Ferreira (12-1, 3-1 UFC). The over/under of 1.5 rounds is currently an even betting line, which mean that prognosticators expect some violence here. Before they swing for the fences, they touch ‘em up first. Magomedov tosses out a jumping front kick, and the two keep their safe range from one another for some time. Magomedov remains in the center of the cage, walking Ferreira down and measuring out a jab that is not there. Magomedov swings a left hook that catches the Brazilian on the chin, and “The Hulk” wears it well. Magomedov hammers the front leg with a kick, and Ferreira changes stances and tosses out a front kick. When Ferreira charges, Magomedov uses his reach advantage to pop his foe with a left hand. Magomedov gets off another chopping kick that is partially checked, and he jabs the chest with the ball of his foot. Ferreira tries his own front kick, and is otherwise relatively offensively muted. Magomedov has a head kick blocked, and he parries a punch and narrowly evades two looping hooks. Magomedov skims the side of the head with a kick, and he jabs and prods with a leg kick. Ferreira’s responding teep kick comes up short, unable to find his distance. Magomedov snaps out a front kick and dodges a counter to walk his man down. Magomedov gets away with a naked leg kick as a right hand counter clips him, and he strings a few punches together to get the Brazilian back. Magomedov jabs the body and blocks a Ferreira blitz, and the disappointing round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Round 2
The middleweights bump fists to start the second round. Magomedov gets on his bike, peppering with jabs, and Ferreira rushes after him preparing to check kicks and reaching out punches. Ferreira marches Magomedov down with two hooks, landing at least one. Magomedov walks the Brazilian down and pushes him back with a jab, and Ferreira darts at him with two winging strikes. Ferreira checks a kick and counters a jab with two punches, and two more come to catch Magomedov standing still. Ferreira pitches out a jumping switch kick as he surges forward, far different than the first round as he may have already matched last round’s strike attempt total just 90 seconds in. Ferreira blasts his man in the face with a right hand, and Magomedov ducks down directly into a head kick that shakes him down to his core. Magomedov desperately pursues a takedown, falling directly into a guillotine choke from the Brazilian. The Russian-born competitor shakes out the cobwebs and pulls his neck out of the choke, working his way around to gain top position, sneak around to take the back, and start fishing for things. Ferreira explodes out of it and walks Magomedov down, hurling heavy leather at him. Magomedov’s legs may not be fully beneath him, and Ferreira opens up with a vicious body kick and a jumping front kick. Ferreira splits the guard with a left hand, and he stops a takedown in its tracks. When Magomedov gets up, he just dodges a left hand in time, but Ferreira reaches him with a fierce left hand. “The Hulk” smashes his man in the face with power strikes, and he spins with an elbow that gives up his back. Magomedov uses the moment to tackle Ferreira to the mat from behind, and Ferreira stands back up despite Magomedov on his back. Magomedov rolls him back down to the floor, and he assumes top position to slow the Brazilian down. Magomedov shifts to half guard to maintain control, where he grinds out the remainder of the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ferreira
Round 3
There is a clap of hands to commence the final round, marking the first time that “The Hulk” has fought beyond the 10-minute mark. Ferreira appears fresh as a daisy, spearing his opponent with a power punch. Ferreira lunges forward to throw out two more, and he dips down to defend a faked takedown and eats a stunning left hand on the jaw. Ferreira raises his arms to ask Magomedov to bring it on, and Magomedov shrugs at him back. Ferreira plods forward, jabbing the body with a kick and pounding a few punches off the guard. Magomedov intercepts his advancing foe with an uppercut, and Ferreira lets his hands fly with two punches and a spinning strike. The spin works to his disadvantage, as “Abus” times an easy takedown that plants the Brazilian flat on his back. Magomedov moves into half guard, and Ferreira scrambles and gives his back up. Magomedov slips a hook in from behind, and he starts looking for a choke before getting the other in. This allows “The Hulk” to escape, and Magomedov looks at the clock and rushes at his opponent to tackle him down to the floor courtesy of a clean double. Ferreira hits his back and hacks with elbows to the back of the head, and he is warned loudly by Goddard.
Magomedov ignores the strikes and steps over to mount and then the side, simultaneously securing an arm-triangle choke. The Russian by way of Germany locks the submission down and imposes his full body weight, and it is just a matter of time with Ferreira trapped in a precarious position. “The Hulk” surrenders before his lights go out,
and Magomedov has now handed Ferreira his first career submission defeat.
The Official Result
Abusupiyan Magomedov def. Brunno Ferreira R3 3:14 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira with low confidence. He questions whether Abusupiyan Magomedov is good or not, noting his weak chin and poor performances. He thinks Ferreira's only path is an early finish, but with new gloves, finishes are less reliable. He will watch the line movement for better value on Ferreira as the underdog.
Big Brady picks Magomedov, citing his size, reach advantage, and wrestling. He is concerned about Ferreira's cardio, noting he looked like he was slowing down in the first round against Dustin Stoltzfus. He believes Magomedov can mix in takedowns and finish Ferreira in the second round by submission.
Cody picks Abusupiyan Magomedov, believing his wrestling and length will be key. He notes that Ferreira has poor takedown defense and that Magomedov can neutralize his power by taking him down. Cody is not highly confident due to Magomedov's cardio issues but thinks he can grind out a win.
Connor picks Magomedov, noting that Ferreira is much smaller and his game is shallow. He compares Ferreira to a portion of Gilbert Burns' striking without the other tools. Magomedov's size and reach will allow him to control the fight, and Ferreira is not suited for fighting off his back.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout, citing Ferreira's devastating power and Magomedov's history of being knocked out. He acknowledges that if the fight goes to decision, Magomedov likely wins, but believes Ferreira's early finishing upside is worth the pick. Vreeland is not confident and notes the risk of Ferreira fading if he doesn't get the finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Magomedov, arguing that he is more technical on the feet and has a strong wrestling game. He notes that Magomedov's losses are to top middleweights like Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland, and that Ferreira's only path is a KO. Vreeland expects Magomedov to take Ferreira down repeatedly and possibly submit him.
Jeff Fox is taking Ferreira, swayed by his recent win over Warley Alves. He believes Ferreira can land a knockout if he can keep the fight standing, though he acknowledges Magomedov's wrestling threat. Fox's pick is less confident and seems to be a contrarian choice.
Magomedov has the overall advantage with his ability to mix in grappling and his reach and length. He should counter Ferreira's blitzing approach and eventually put him away by knockout, similar to what Nurlan Ruziboev did to Toofan.
Paul picks Magomedov, citing his superior wrestling and cleaner striking. He notes that Ferreira is undersized for middleweight and has been taken down easily. Paul believes Magomedov can implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and win by decision or late finish. He is not highly confident.
The Guru leans toward Brunno Ferreira, trusting his doggedness and finishing instincts in a firefight. He notes that Abusupiyan Magomedov may not have the same grit and could fade. He acknowledges both are capable of finishing each other but believes Ferreira will push when the going gets tough. The Guru also comments that Magomedov is 'too westernized' and 'soy'.
Zane picks Magomedov because of his significant size and reach advantage over Ferreira. He notes that Ferreira's game is shallow and he is a short, stocky power puncher with no other tools to control a fight. Magomedov can use his reach to land one-twos and takedowns, and Ferreira's only chance is an early knockout, but Magomedov has speed and size.
Zane picked Magomedov, noting that Ferreira has great power but the rest of his game doesn't exist. He described Magomedov's game as an inch deep and a mile wide, able to do enough to stay in a fight if his opponent can't take over in any one area. Zane pointed out that Ferreira lacks consistency and a plan, so Magomedov was able to climb back and get the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 1 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 27 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 1 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 27 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ferreira (-265), Stoltzfus (+215)
Round 1
Win or lose, all 12 of Brazilian bomber Ferreira’s (11-1, 2-1 UFC) pro outings have ended before the 6:08 mark. The same cannot be said for Pennsylvania-based grappler Stoltzfus (15-5, 2-4 UFC), but he knows his way around a stoppage as well. Referee Jason Herzog dons his hard hat for the middleweight proceeding, one that commences with them coming together in the center of the cage but not to touch gloves. They back off, as Ferreira retreats around the edge of the cage while Stoltzfus walks his way forward. Stoltzfus lands a right hand as Ferreira zips away, and Ferreira lands a low kick that gets countered with a straight right. Ferreira unloads with a ferocious right hand that stings the Pennsylvanian, and he blasts him with a second as Stoltzfus counters to surprise him. Stoltzfus crashes the pocket and tosses Ferreira to the mat, and he pushes “The Hulk” over to get into his guard. Ferreira utilizes butterfly hooks to kick Stoltzfus off of him, and he turns over when he does this to stand but Stoltzfus leaps on his back to keep him grounded. Ferreira works his way back upright, and he fights off an armbar. Stoltzfus transitions into a kneebar, and Ferreira gets away with a fence grab to reposition himself. Ferreira rolls through to get out of the leglock, and Stoltzfus runs at him throwing hands before banging into him and pushing him to the wall. Stoltzfus lands a right hand, and Ferreira responds with a stern elbow before darting away to reset. Stoltzfus walks forward and kicks “The Hulk” high, and he dings him with a follow-up right hand. Ferreira misses with a right hand, and he guards another had kick effort. Stoltzfus spins with a back kick that slams square into Ferreira’s midsection, and Ferreira has to shake it out and kick him in the belly. Ferreira spins with a back elbow that hurts Stoltzfus, and the two start slugging with everything they have. Stoltzfus is in a bad way but still swinging for the fences, and he pursues a takedown but is pushed away by “The Hulk.” Stoltzfus drills his man with an elbow, but Ferreira is relentless, throwing everything he has into a right hand that slams into his foe’s temple. Stoltzfus staggers back, and Ferreira reaches him with a long right hand and whips a head kick at him that pounds into the shoulder. Ferreira leaps forward but his knee is not high enough, so he just ends up bumping chest-to-chest into his foe.
The Brazilian lands two shots to the body, takes a few steps back and spins with a mighty elbow. The strike connects cleanly on the forehead, putting Stoltzfus down as Herzog springs between them to stop the fight.
While Stoltzfus is still standing as Herzog halts the contest, he does not protest the stoppage as he is still out on his feet and needs to be caught so he does not fall over. Ferreira, who might be out of steam after his final onslaught, jumps on the ground and slams it with both hands like “The Hulk” does during his Hulk Smash move. This is a spectacular finish, and one of just a small handful of knockouts via spinning elbow in UFC history. The main card has undoubtedly picked up after a slow set of prelims, delivering a “Round of the Year” candidate along with a potential suitor for the “Knockout of the Year” list as well.
The Official Result
Bruno Ferreira def. Dustin Stoltzfus R1 4:51 via KO (Spinning Back Elbow)
Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira, citing his insane power against Dustin Stoltzfus's questionable chin. He notes that all of Ferreira's wins are finishes, and Stoltzfus has been knocked out before. He thinks it's a trap fight because it seems too easy, but he is falling into the trap. He predicts Ferreira wins inside the distance.
Big Brady picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Ferreira's incredible one-punch power and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Stoltzfus is hitable with 48% striking defense and that Ferreira will follow up if he hurts him. He mentions a potential live bet on Stoltzfus if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Stoltzfus as a greasy underdog, noting that Ferreira is a first-round knockout artist with questionable cardio and wild striking. Stoltzfus has decent cardio, wrestling, and BJJ, and has been competitive against tough opponents. Cody believes if Stoltzfus can survive the first round, he can take over with his grappling and pressure. He sees value in the plus money and expects Stoltzfus to win by decision or late submission.
Daniel picks Stoltzfus as a live dog, believing Ferreira is too small for middleweight and that Stoltzfus can survive the early onslaught and take over after the seven-minute mark. He notes Ferreira's all-first-round finishes but criticizes his awkward movement and lack of in-between striking. He warns that Stoltzfus stands straight up and gets hit early, but if he can drag the fight out, his grappling and experience could pay off.
Jacob picks Brunno Ferreira, agreeing with Angelo. He notes that Stoltzfus has a suspect chin and Ferreira has big power. However, he warns that if the fight gets out of the first round, Ferreira might fade. He has Ferreira in a parlay but is not betting him heavily. He plans to live bet Stoltzfus if the first round ends without a finish.
Stoltzfus has a reach and height advantage, and his straight shots down the pipe should keep Ferreira at bay. Ferreira is a power puncher with a BJJ black belt, but Stoltzfus showed improved performance against Soriano. At +220, Stoltzfus is a good underdog pick to win by decision, possibly even a late finish.
Paul sees this as a dogger pass situation. He acknowledges Ferreira's first-round knockout power but notes the lack of value on Ferreira by knockout props. He thinks Stoltzfus could win if he survives the early storm, but he's not confident enough to make a pick.
The Guru picks Ferreira to 'smoke' Stoltzfus, saying Stoltzfus isn't the same level of danger on the feet and will be more scared in the fight. He notes Ferreira has KO power and that Stoltzfus's wins aren't impressive (e.g., Dwight Grant, Punahele Soriano). He expects a KO win for Ferreira.
Phil Hawes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 24 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 24 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 13 of 27 | 48% | 8 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 19 of 43 | 44% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 13 of 27 | 48% | 8 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 19 of 43 | 44% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ferreria (-118), Hawes (-102)
Round 1
With 20 finishes across the 22 wins of Hawes (12-5, 4-3 UFC) and Ferreira (10-1, 1-1 UFC), this might be another occasion where judges can pull out their Game Boys. All of the losses of the two fighters have come by stoppage as well, so bettors looking at various unders very well might cash soon. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of the middleweight affair that could end in the blink of an eye. There is no interest in the glove touch, with Hawes marching forward fearlessly and leaning back to get out of the way of a sudden head kick. Hawes flicks out a power jab, and he allows Ferreira to throw so hard that he stumbles. Hawes leans through a high kick and stuffs a takedown, but he absorbs a right hand from the Brazilian. Ferreira shoots in for a double, and he gets stood up and popped with a short right hook. Ferreira sits down on a right hand of his own, and Hawes absorbs it without flinching. Ferreira overswings again, and Hawes knees him in the chest. The power of “The Hulk” allows him to fling Hawes over his shoulder to put him down on the ground with emphasis. Ferreira lands on top of him in side control, where he presses down on his shoulder before lifting his arm to hack with an elbow. Ferreira stifles his man with top control, and he sits up to slug Hawes in the face with power punches. Hawes times an explosion to get up, and the two tie up and start blasting one another with uppercuts. Hawes backs off and intercepts an advancing Ferreira with a left hand, but Ferreira reaches him with his own straight left. Ferreira scores and eats one on the retreat, and he jumps with a knee that is feet away from his intended target. Ferreira lets go with a head kick that catches Hawes behind the ear, and the two land glancing power strikes. Ferreira buzzes the hair with another kick, and he follows with several big punches that hurt his opponent. Hawes shakes it off and tries to retaliate, but Ferreira grabs him and throws him to the ground. Ferreira lets him back up and gives chase, with a spinning back fist and a high kick that makes him topple over. Ferreira races in with his fists flying, and Hawes takes them on the chin. Hawes is in a bad way, and “The Hulk” is not about to let him off the hook even with mere seconds left in the round.
Ferreira unloads a straight left hand that collides with Hawes’ temple, and Hawes collapses to the ground. Ferreira hammers him with two hammerfists to completely shut the American’s lights out, and he pulls back during Tognoni’s intervention and lets out a bellow.
“The Hulk” exclaims that he is back, and Hawes comes to and is crestfallen about his devastating defeat.
The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Phil Hawes R1 4:55 via KO (Punches)
Angelo leans Phil Hawes despite his suspect chin, believing he is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling and athleticism. He fears Hawes will get caught striking with Brunno Ferreira, who hits hard. He hopes Hawes uses his wrestling to take Ferreira down. He advises not betting on this fight due to volatility.
Big Brady acknowledges Phil Hawes is better in every skill except durability. He notes Hawes has a questionable chin and has been knocked out brutally. Ferreira has power, and Brady fears Hawes will get caught despite likely winning early. He picks Ferreira by first-round knockout, unable to trust Hawes' chin.
Cody picks Hawes despite historically fading him, because he sees a path to victory via wrestling. He notes that both fighters have similar power and durability issues, but Hawes has a wrestling background that could allow him to take Ferreira down and maul him. He admits it's a risky pick and expects Hawes might still find a way to lose.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira to knock out Phil Hawes. He praises Hawes's athleticism and skills but notes his weak chin, predicting Hawes will school Ferreira until he gets caught. Vreeland believes Ferreira's power and Judo background will be enough to finish Hawes, as Hawes has been knocked out repeatedly.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
Brunno Ferreira is a BJJ black belt with power in his hands, but he was knocked out in his last fight against Nursulton Ruziboev. Phil Hawes has durability issues and has been finished in his last two fights, but he starts fast with explosive power. Both fighters have knockout power and questionable chins, making this a coin flip. I lean slightly to Ferreira because I trust his durability a bit more, but this fight likely ends in the first round. I'm passing on a moneyline bet and might play the 'fight doesn't start round 2' prop.
Paul picks Ferreira by first-round KO, noting that Hawes has a weak chin and Ferreira has devastating power. He believes the fight will end early, either by Ferreira knockout or Hawes taking him down, but he prefers the KO prop. He took the bet at +275 early in the week.
The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, focusing on Phil Hawes' weak chin. He lists Hawes' KO losses to Chris Curtis, Roman Dolidze, and Ikram Aliskerov, noting that one clean shot puts him out. He believes Ferreira can land at least five clean punches and one will knock Hawes out cold.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 17 of 28 | 60% | 4 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 24 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 17 of 28 | 60% | 4 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 24 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-210), Hawes (+180)
Round 1
On home soil for the first time in his career, Hawes (12-4, 4-2 UFC) will have the full support of the New Jersey crowd at his back for this middleweight tilt. He welcomes Dagestan’s Aliskerov (13-1, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon in this preliminary affair, and finish rates of 69% or higher for the two men means that referee Gasper Oliver could be busy. There is a sporting glove touch, and Hawes leads the dance with a jab and a low kick. When Aliskerov looks to counter, Hawes goes over the top with a pair of sharp punches. Hawes jabs at the body and ignores one coming back at him so that he can let loose a high body kick. Hawes swings and misses with a few fastballs, and he cannot get out of the way from a leg kick from the Dagestan-based fighter. Hawes retaliates with one of his own, and he doubles up on it. When Aliskerov advances, Hawes greets him with a right hand over the top and a slamming kick to the liver. Hawes bears down on his man, sensing he might have some damage with the combo, and he repeats it to decent effect. Aliskerov backs off, and Hawes is on him with another ripping kick to the body. Aliskerov cracks his foe with a three-punch salvo, but Hawes gives him a couple punches right back. Hawes throws a body kick, and Aliskerov slips and drops to his knee. Aliskerov lets him back up, and the two start brawling. Aliskerov sneaks a head kick up that stings Hawes, and Aliskerov looks to follow it with a slashing elbow.
When Hawes dips down, the Dagestan native fires off a piston-like one-two that crashes perfectly into the chin of “No Hype,” and Hawes is out cold before he hits the canvas. Knowing his work here is done, Aliskerov does not follow his wrecked opponent to hammer any nails.
What a way to make your UFC debut, posterizing out a solid fighter with a blistering blow. Aliskerov maximizes his time on the microphone, calling out the heavily hyped Bo Nickal, while claiming that Nickal needs to take on someone from Dagestan.
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Phil Hawes R1 2:10 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.
Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.
Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.
Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.
The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.
Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.
The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.
Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 15 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 15 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 15 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 18 of 42 | 42% | 15 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 15 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 18 of 42 | 42% | 15 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Phil Hawes to win by decision, but expresses concern about Hawes' chin. He believes Hawes is the better fighter and will stuff Dolidze's takedowns and have success on the feet, but notes that Dolidze hits hard and Hawes has been knocked out before. He says Hawes should be the minute winner but cannot be overly confident due to durability issues.
Cody leans toward Roman Dolidze as an underdog, believing he can land a big shot in the clinch. He notes Dolidze's power and the fact that Phil Hawes has durability issues. Cody mentions Dolidze by knockout at +500 as a possible small sprinkle, but is not confident overall.
Connor picks Phil Hawes confidently, arguing that Hawes's single-minded offense and ability to recover from being hurt are key. He notes that Dolidze is not a good striker and relies on clinching and grinding, but Hawes has the strength to stall in clinch situations. Connor believes Hawes's recent improvements at Sanford MMA and his proven durability against tough opponents give him the edge.
Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes but is hesitant due to Hawes' questionable chin. He praises Hawes' physical attributes, wrestling, and power, but notes he has been knocked out before. He expects Hawes to win unless he gets knocked out. He does not mention a bet.
Jacob picks Phil Hawes, believing he should be the better striker with a quick jab and can withstand Dolidze's grappling. He acknowledges Dolidze's relentless pressure and scrambling ability but thinks Hawes can win on the feet. He mentions possibly looking at Hawes by points.
Hawes has improved his pacing and cardio, using grappling to grind out opponents. Dolidze is durable and aggressive, but Hawes is the better wrestler and should be able to control the fight. However, there are still questions about Hawes going the full 15 minutes. The decision prop at +210 is interesting but the moneyline is the safer play.
Paul picks Phil Hawes, noting his improved cardio, wrestling pedigree, and recent smarter fighting. He criticizes Dolidze's low volume, poor ring IQ, and reliance on leg locks. Paul believes Hawes can stuff takedowns and win a striking battle, though he admits he rarely picks Hawes and may curse him.
The MMA Guru picks Phil Hawes over Roman Dolidze, believing Hawes' strength and wrestling will prevent Dolidze from controlling him against the cage. He notes Hawes' improved striking in his last fight against Roman, where he showed great defense. He thinks Dolidze loads up his shots, making them easier to see, and predicts Hawes will finish Dolidze in the third round as Dolidze slows down.
Zane picks Phil Hawes but is hesitant, acknowledging Hawes's tendency to get hurt and his single-minded offense. He notes that Hawes has lost only to good fighters and that Dolidze's style is clingy and boring, but Hawes's lack of defense and tendency to get chin-checked are concerns. Zane ultimately trusts Hawes's offensive output and durability recovery over Dolidze's grinding approach.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 118 of 175 | 67% | 126 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Deron Winn | 0 | 32 of 111 | 28% | 34 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 1 | 55 of 87 | 63% | 56 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Deron Winn | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 17 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 63 of 88 | 71% | 70 of 103 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Deron Winn | 0 | 15 of 67 | 22% | 17 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 118 of 175 | 67% | 99 of 152 | 17 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 89 of 138 | 14 of 18 | 15 of 19 |
| Deron Winn | 32 of 111 | 28% | 24 of 101 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 100 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 55 of 87 | 63% | 43 of 71 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 49 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 4 |
| Deron Winn | 17 of 44 | 38% | 13 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 63 of 88 | 71% | 56 of 81 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 61 | 11 of 12 | 12 of 15 |
| Deron Winn | 15 of 67 | 22% | 11 of 61 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 59 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Phil Hawes despite acknowledging Deron Winn's superior offensive wrestling stats (almost 5 takedowns per fight, 52% accuracy vs Hawes' 33%). He compares it to the Brendan Allen vs Jacob Malkoun fight, where the more talented fighter (Hawes) can lose if he doesn't initiate takedowns first. He notes Hawes is the better mixed martial artist but Winn has a clear path if he shoots first.
Big Brady picks Phil Hawes to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio, but believes Hawes is much bigger with a six-inch height and 7.5-inch reach advantage, and has 100% takedown defense to stuff Winn's wrestling. He expects Hawes to knock out Winn early, likely in the first round.
Cody picks Hawes but is cautious due to Hawes' chin and cardio. He thinks Hawes' striking and power are advantages, and Winn's weight cuts and cardio issues are problematic. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins to see Winn's condition.
Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes confidently, stating Hawes has everything except a chin: D1 wrestling, one-punch power, and physicality. He believes Deron Winn is too short (5'4") and will struggle to take Hawes down. Levi thinks Hawes wins everywhere unless he gets knocked out, which is possible given his suspect chin. He expects Hawes to dominate and win, possibly by knockout.
Paul leans toward Hawes but is not confident. He notes both fighters are untrustworthy and the fight could be ugly. He thinks Hawes' reach and power are key, but Winn's wrestling could be a factor if he makes weight.
The MMA Guru picks Phil Hawes despite worrying about his weak chin, as seen in the Chris Curtis fight. He believes Hawes is much bigger and stronger than Deron Winn, who is too small for middleweight. He predicts Hawes will neutralize Winn's wrestling and land a knockout via a knee to the face in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 48 of 90 | 53% | 49 of 91 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Curtis | 0 | 48 of 90 | 53% | 49 of 91 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Curtis | 48 of 90 | 53% | 24 of 63 | 15 of 18 | 9 of 9 | 46 of 85 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 21 of 36 | 58% | 15 of 27 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Curtis | 48 of 90 | 53% | 24 of 63 | 15 of 18 | 9 of 9 | 46 of 85 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 21 of 36 | 58% | 15 of 27 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Phil Hawes, highlighting his wrestling, power, and improved cardio. He notes that Hawes turned down a short-notice fight earlier, showing he takes his career seriously. He believes Hawes should win by using his wrestling to control Curtis, who is a welterweight moving up. He also mentions that Curtis has poor takedown defense and fades against wrestlers.
Cody picks Curtis as a dog, citing his excellent cardio, technical boxing, and defensive wrestling. He notes Hawes is a fast starter who tires, and Curtis specializes in taking opponents into deep waters. He expects Curtis to win by late TKO, possibly round 3.
Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes to win, stating that Hawes is on a different level than Chris Curtis. He notes that Hawes has knockout power, D1 wrestling, and has improved significantly since his early losses. Levi believes Curtis's only path to victory is a lucky knockout, and that Hawes can win by decision or knockout. He mentions that Curtis is a welterweight moving up and that historically, Curtis loses to UFC-caliber opponents.
Jacob picks Phil Hawes, emphasizing that Curtis has awful takedown defense and is a pure boxer. He urges Hawes to wrestle rather than strike, as Curtis has real power. He believes Hawes will take Curtis down and get a TKO finish in the first round. He also likes Hawes in DraftKings for takedowns.
The host picks Hawes to win by decision, but he is not confident enough to bet him at -320. He notes Hawes gets hurt in fights and Curtis has knockout power. He considers a small sprinkle on Curtis round 3 at +1800-2500.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Curtis as a dog. He mentions Curtis's story and motivation, and believes Hawes is vulnerable if the fight goes past the first round. He also likes Curtis round 3 as a prop.
The Guru picks Phil Hawes, citing his size, reach, and power advantages over Chris Curtis, who is moving up from welterweight on short notice. He notes Hawes' KO wins and believes Curtis is not ready for this matchup. The Guru predicts a first-round KO for Hawes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 0 | 66 of 101 | 65% | 157 of 210 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 5:34 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 28 of 82 | 34% | 52 of 113 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:56 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 48 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 30 of 60 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 77 of 106 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 66 of 101 | 65% | 42 of 75 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 57 | 18 of 19 | 15 of 25 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 28 of 82 | 34% | 20 of 68 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 26 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 16 of 22 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 5 of 21 | 23% | 2 of 15 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 29 of 45 | 64% | 15 of 30 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 37 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 22 of 51 | 43% | 17 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Phil Hawes | 21 of 34 | 61% | 17 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 1 of 10 | 10% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The new main card opener sees a middleweight clash between representatives of rival states New Jersey and Pennsylvania, as Hawes (10-2, 2-0 UFC) will ply his knockout-friendly trade against submission specialist Daukaus (10-1, 1-1 UFC). The third man in the cage for a fight that may not last long is referee Mark Smith, and there is no serious glove touch before the two get down to business. The blonde-haired Hawes comes out aggressively, throwing bombs and backing Daukaus up immediately. Hawes has a kick clip the cup, and there is a pause for just a second or two. Daukaus adjusts himself and throws back with heavy leather, and Hawes is either hurt or off-balance, as he slips back. Hawes interrupts an advancing Daukaus with a front kick, and he goes back to stalking the Philadelphia native down and throwing big strikes. Out of nowhere, Hawes ducks down, scoops Daukaus up and slams him down. Daukaus defends off his back with a guillotine choke, but he is immediately in danger for the Von Preux choke. Hawes recognizes this and presses his shoulder down, but he cannot finish it. Instead, Daukaus uses pure power to roll Hawes over and put him on his back. “Megatron” slides right into danger with a choke attempt from Daukaus, but he scrambles and gets out of harm’s way. When he gets to his knees, Daukaus takes his back. Hawes defends the hooks, powers back to his feet, and is quick to fight off a single leg takedown attempt from Daukaus. When he does not land it, Daukaus drops to his knees for a double, and that too comes up short. Hawes, while keeping himself upright, is landing short strikes to the body and head to make Daukaus think twice about his position. Hawes lifts Daukaus up with a knee to the chest, but he cannot get the Pennsylvanian off of him. Daukaus embraces the grind, pressing Hawes into the wire and putting his full body weight on his man. Both men try to get off elbows, but neither are successful. Daukaus sells out for a double, and Hawes sprawls against the cage and keeps his balance to fight off this attempt. Hawes introduces his knee to Daukaus’ torso, and the two separate with seconds to spare. Neither throw anything of note until the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus
Round 2
The middleweights rush out of their corners to meet in the middle, but it does not take long for Hawes to push the pace and start backing Daukaus up against the fence. Daukaus tries to spring forward with a kick to the body, and Hawes interrupts him and lands a few punches. Daukaus swings a spinning strike, and Hawes does not completely avoid it. “Megatron” is suddenly rocked, and Daukaus lays into him with a salvo of punches to try to finish the job. Hawes gains the wherewithal to embrace the grappling, and even though he cannot get the takedown, he gains valuable time clearing his head. The two clinch briefly, and push off, where both men trade heavy shots. Daukaus gets the better of an exchange, and Hawes bends over and slams his right hand into the torso. A cracking right hand puts Daukaus on roller skates for a moment, and the Philadelphia native crashes in to clinch and try to take the fight down. Daukaus looks to trip his man down, attack singles or otherwise plant Hawes on his back, but the Sanford MMA fighter stands tall and looks frustrated. Hawes frames off to nail Daukaus with a stern elbow, and this forces Daukaus to backpedal quickly. Hawes parries a strike to fire back at Daukaus, and he mixes things up with body strikes and head shots. “Megatron” notices his body work is starting to make a difference, and he lifts up a knee to the body. The knee does not rise high enough, and it clunks straight into Daukaus’ cup. Thirty seconds are all Daukaus needs to catch his breath, and Hawes picks up where he left off with body shots. As he targets the body and again with impunity, Daukaus shoots in low for a takedown to stop this. Hawes stuffs it and pushes Daukaus back, where he drills Daukaus with a right hand and a front kick that nails Daukaus in the head when Daukaus bends over. Hawes hunts Daukaus down with strikes until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hawes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hawes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hawes
Round 3
Smith calls in the doctor between rounds to check a cut around Daukaus’ eye, but there is no concern and the fight clocks in normally. Hawes loads up on several big shots to begin the round, alternating between the head and body with punches and kicks. Hawes works the body, catches a body kick, and puts Daukaus on his back. Daukaus throws up his legs quickly to defend with a triangle choke off his back, but “Megatron” laughs it off, breaks the position and postures up in Daukaus’ guard. There may have been an eye poke for Hawes, but he is warned in passing as Daukaus complains. Daukaus opens and closes his guard to try to find a better way out, all while Hawes pounds on him with short strikes. Individually, they may not be especially damaging, but they are adding up quickly as time ticks off the clock. Daukaus punches the back of the head a few times in passing, and he grimaces when his own blood trickles into his eye. Hawes steps into half guard, where he begins to unleash a series of punches to try to pound Daukaus out. Daukaus twists and nearly climbs to his feet, but Hawes pushes him back over and continues to work him over with left hands. Smith asks for Daukaus to keep moving and defend himself, and Hawes uses this as an opportunity to start slamming down elbows. Hawes continues to batter Daukaus with punches and elbows, and once more, Hawes appears to scrape the eye with his fingers. Daukaus appears miserable as blood is in his eyes, Hawes relentlessly punches him, and he cannot do anything but get Hawes back to his full guard. The 10-second clapper leads Daukaus to close his guard to lock Hawes down, where he survives and does not take much more punishment until the fight is over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)
The Official Result
Phil Hawes def. Kyle Daukaus via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
Big Brady picks Hawes but is not confident, noting Hawes is typically first-round-or-bust. He thinks Hawes needs to land an early knockout, otherwise Daukaus will take over. Brady likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and suggests live betting Daukaus if Hawes doesn't finish in the first round. He mentions Hawes's last fight went to decision but that was an anomaly. He picks Hawes by first-round knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes, arguing that Hawes is underappreciated and has been rushed against tough competition. He notes Hawes' D1 wrestling, freak athleticism, and one-punch knockout power. He believes Hawes learned from his past mistakes and will win a decision, as he did against Imavov. He views Daukaus as an average athlete and black belt, and thinks Hawes can lean on him and get takedowns.
The host favors Kyle Daukaus, believing his jiu-jitsu and cardio will be the difference. He expects Daukaus to survive Hawes' early power and then submit him later. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and Daukaus by submission prop.
The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus over Phil Hawes, noting that Daukaus is the slight favorite. He believes Daukaus's smothering clinch game and technical stand-up will overwhelm Hawes, who showed a hole in his last fight against the cage. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Daukaus winning the second and third rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 0 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 101 of 128 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 11:06 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 57 of 93 | 61% | 87 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 41 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 36 of 44 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 24 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 31 of 54 | 57% | 13 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 23 of 42 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 57 of 93 | 61% | 39 of 71 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 62 | 27 of 30 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 16 of 24 | 66% | 5 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 9 of 19 | 47% | 3 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Phil Hawes | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 16 of 25 | 64% | 8 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Phil Hawes | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 32 of 49 | 65% | 28 of 43 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 31 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi argues that Phil Hawes's early career was mismanaged, being thrown in with tough opponents too soon, but now he has matured and learned to pace himself. He highlights Hawes's D1 wrestling, one-punch knockout power, and improved defense. Levi believes Hawes will be too physical and explosive for Imavov, who fights with his hands down. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting that Imavov was pushed around by the smaller Jordan Williams.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 1 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 1 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Hawes | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In a matchup that might seem out of place on the main card among other bouts containing top-ranked fighters, exciting prospects Hawes (8-2, 0-0 UFC) and Malkoun (4-0, 0-0 UFC) nevertheless make their UFC debuts against one another at middleweight. Watching on to see which one pans out will be referee Jason Herzog, and a respectful glove touch begins the fight. Hawes pushes the pace early, chasing after Malkoun and landing a few serious punches. A right hand hurts Malkoun, and “Megatron” smells blood and unleashes a thunderous barrage of strikes. When Malkoun falls back to the fence, a right and a left hook put the Aussie not just down, but out cold as he falls face-first to the canvas. What a way to introduce yourself to the organization in your debut, doing so on one of the biggest of stages imaginable in lightning-quick fashion. Wow.
The Official Result
Phil Hawes def. Jacob Malkoun R1 0:18 via KO (Punches)
Big Brady picks Phil Hawes, citing his power and finishing ability (75% of wins by KO). He notes Malkoun's lack of experience (4-0) and that Hawes has faced better competition. He predicts a first-round knockout, but advises staying away from betting at -260.
Daniel Levi slightly leans with Phil Hawes based on experience and athleticism, noting that Hawes has paid his dues with tough fights against Luis Taylor and Julian Marquez. He questions Malkoun's level of competition, as he is only 4-0 against subpar opponents. Levi thinks it might be a dog-or-pass situation at the betting window, but as a pure pick he goes with Hawes.
The host picks Phil Hawes but with low confidence, citing his athleticism and power. He notes that Hawes has cardio and durability concerns, while Malkoun is inexperienced. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds if the line is favorable.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo leans Phil Hawes despite his suspect chin, believing he is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling and athleticism. He fears Hawes will get caught striking with Brunno Ferreira, who hits hard. He hopes Hawes uses his wrestling to take Ferreira down. He advises not betting on this fight due to volatility.
Big Brady acknowledges Phil Hawes is better in every skill except durability. He notes Hawes has a questionable chin and has been knocked out brutally. Ferreira has power, and Brady fears Hawes will get caught despite likely winning early. He picks Ferreira by first-round knockout, unable to trust Hawes' chin.
Cody picks Hawes despite historically fading him, because he sees a path to victory via wrestling. He notes that both fighters have similar power and durability issues, but Hawes has a wrestling background that could allow him to take Ferreira down and maul him. He admits it's a risky pick and expects Hawes might still find a way to lose.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira to knock out Phil Hawes. He praises Hawes's athleticism and skills but notes his weak chin, predicting Hawes will school Ferreira until he gets caught. Vreeland believes Ferreira's power and Judo background will be enough to finish Hawes, as Hawes has been knocked out repeatedly.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
Brunno Ferreira is a BJJ black belt with power in his hands, but he was knocked out in his last fight against Nursulton Ruziboev. Phil Hawes has durability issues and has been finished in his last two fights, but he starts fast with explosive power. Both fighters have knockout power and questionable chins, making this a coin flip. I lean slightly to Ferreira because I trust his durability a bit more, but this fight likely ends in the first round. I'm passing on a moneyline bet and might play the 'fight doesn't start round 2' prop.
Paul picks Ferreira by first-round KO, noting that Hawes has a weak chin and Ferreira has devastating power. He believes the fight will end early, either by Ferreira knockout or Hawes taking him down, but he prefers the KO prop. He took the bet at +275 early in the week.
The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, focusing on Phil Hawes' weak chin. He lists Hawes' KO losses to Chris Curtis, Roman Dolidze, and Ikram Aliskerov, noting that one clean shot puts him out. He believes Ferreira can land at least five clean punches and one will knock Hawes out cold.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!