UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Age 26
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tatsuro Taira
2.94 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
2.44 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
3.12 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
45.0% TD Def.
1.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Park Hyun-sung
3.38 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.14 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.5 TD Avg
31.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
1.8 Sub. Avg
Tatsuro Taira
Moneyline
Caesars -320
KO/TKO
BetWay +600
Submission
FanDuel +160
Decision
BetRivers +235
Park Hyun-sung
Moneyline
BetMGM +275
KO/TKO
Unibet +1050
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetMGM +900
Tatsuro Taira - Fight History
LOSS vs Joshua Van
KO R5 1:32 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 2 131 of 209 62% 190 of 269 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:21
Tatsuro Taira 0 55 of 151 36% 100 of 199 8 of 21 38% 0 0 10:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 16 of 26 61% 20 of 31 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:40
2 Joshua Van 1 21 of 32 65% 47 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 19 26% 16 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:53
3 Joshua Van 1 57 of 89 64% 64 of 96 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:50
Tatsuro Taira 0 14 of 49 28% 16 of 51 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:42
4 Joshua Van 0 19 of 37 51% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Tatsuro Taira 0 13 of 34 38% 41 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:15
5 Joshua Van 0 27 of 38 71% 27 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 131 of 209 62% 118 of 195 12 of 12 1 of 2 104 of 173 9 of 10 18 of 26
Tatsuro Taira 55 of 151 36% 45 of 131 3 of 10 7 of 10 43 of 131 4 of 7 8 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 16 of 26 61% 12 of 22 1 of 1 3 of 3 9 of 16 2 of 2 5 of 8
2 Joshua Van 21 of 32 65% 20 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 14 of 22 1 of 1 6 of 9
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 19 26% 3 of 15 2 of 3 0 of 1 3 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 57 of 89 64% 54 of 85 3 of 3 0 of 1 41 of 68 4 of 4 12 of 17
Tatsuro Taira 14 of 49 28% 13 of 46 0 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 1
4 Joshua Van 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 18 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 13 of 34 38% 10 of 29 0 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 30 0 of 0 3 of 4
5 Joshua Van 27 of 38 71% 18 of 29 9 of 9 0 of 0 24 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 7 of 23 30% 7 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 2 7 of 21 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Flyweight Title Fight: Joshua Van vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-170), Van (+142)

Round 1
They say a champion is only truly a champion when they successfully defend their title. Van (16-2, 9-1 UFC) earned it in December by forcing Alexandre Pantoja to snap his arm during a post when Pantoja defended a takedown. His first test as a beltholder will be once-beaten Taira (18-1, 8-1 UFC), who may have the edge on the mat and is currently the betting favorite. Referee “Shaolin” Vitor Ribeiro will issue instructions, standing back as the flyweights touch ‘em up.
Taira gets right behind his jab, bouncing in and out to score a hard low kick. Taira sets up another low kick, and he shoots after it with a deep double-leg entry. These Japanese fighter peels Van away from the cage and wrenches him down with a body lock, landing in a dominant position he uses to climb into full mount. Fans start raining down boos as Taira resides on top, and Taira ignores them all to smother the champ. Van bucks to get some space, and he recovers back to half guard thanks to a butterfly hook he sneaks in. Van uses his legs to push Taira away, only for Taira to practically step over to side control like he was in a day-one BJJ course. Van muscles his way back to his feet, finding that Taira wraps up a guillotine choke on him to keep him down. Van shrugs it off to stand, and he walks the Japanese fighter down to punch him square in the face.
Both men land flush jabs on the other, and Taira gathers himself to connect with a heft y low kick. Van slowly, calmly works forward, snapping the head back with a jab. Taira races forward to complete a takedown, putting Van’s seat on the floor and back to the cage. Taira prefers at this point to maintain control rather than inflict damage, so Van is able to wall-walk back to his feet practically uncontested. Taira leans on Van and yanks him to the floor with a body lock, stepping into full mount in seconds. Van sits up, and Taira forces him back down and misses with an elbow. When Van stands, Taira lashes out with punches. Van strikes back from up close, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 2
The flyweights rush towards one another to start off the round, and when they reach striking range, they bounce backwards simultaneously. Van is the one who opts to push forward, and he fights off a faked takedown entry. Taira puts a one-two and a jab on the nose, offering a half-hearted shot and then a strong one after. Taira switches quickly from a double to a single, and they jostle one another around with Taira thumping his man in the sternum with a knee. Van stands up him with fast, powerful hands, and Taira’s face starts to glow red. Van chases after Taira, whose hands are down, and he rocks him with a right hand. Taira has to circle away to regain his composure, and he darts in to strike but Van is out of the way. Taira times an advancing Van to take him off his feet, and he climbs to mount practically the moment they hit the mat.
Van bucks and wriggles to break out of the mount position without absorbing any damage, but he remains stuck on his back as Taira smothers him and reapplies mount. Taira rides the champion like a bucking bronco, getting pulled back to half guard when Van keeps active off his back. Van hacks away from his back, and he appears to be the only one attacking with anything of note. Van sits up and finds himself in choke danger, shucking off the choke to explode back to his feet. Taira stands tall and is about to rush after a takedown, only for Van to knock him clean off his feet with a right hand. Taira hits the deck, and Van leaps down after him in hopes of finishing the job. He cannot, and Taira makes it to Round 3 and wobbles back to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
Brimming with confidence, Van stalks down the challenger and jabs his way in. Taira shoots for a desperate takedown, and Van shoves him to the floor and lets him stand back up so he can do work on the feet. Van no-sells a takedown shot and puts his fists in Taira’s face repeatedly. Taira gets his bell rung with a three-punch combo ending with an uppercut, and he throws back single strikes but is nowhere near as fast as his opponent. Taira’s takedown shot fails again, and Van rails him with an overhand right and a left to the liver. Taira circles out to reposition himself in the center of the cage, and his nose gets blooded up by the champ’s jab. Taira throws a calf kick and rushes for a takedown, but he sprints face-first into a flush but questionable knee that rocks him to his core. Taira’s nose bleeds from both nostrils, and he takes a quick count of his teeth and rebounds off the cage wall to swing back. Van beats him to the punch figuratively and literally with speedy combinations, an effective jab and a constant pace. The jabs of Van knock Taira to his seat, who looks around confused but is still in the fight.
Taira tries for a takedown to get his wits about him, so Van turns it against him and slings him to the floor like a side of beef. Van, rather than going after a ground-and-pound finish, slips around to take the back and hunt for a rear-naked choke. Van settles on a neck crank, and Taira steels himself to survive it. Van reapplies the crank, and once more, Taira toughs it out. Van’s third try slips his arm beneath the neck, and the rear-naked choke is tight and appears academic. The Japanese challenger somehow wills himself back into the fight, working out of the choke danger and twisting to work to his feet. Van has no issue with this, as he continues beating three shades of something into Taira’s face. Blood pours from several places around his visage, but he still wants the takedown. He shoots and completes the takedown, and on Van’s return to his feet, Taira hits a mat return. Van gets out of this as well, and Taira walks him down and busts him in the nose. The horn sounds, with Taira surviving after that onslaught.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 4
The championship rounds are here, and the flyweights are ready to fight again. Taira nails his opponent with a stern calf kick that draws a big reaction out of the champ, and he uses his momentum to rush forward and grip hold of a body lock to chuck Van to the mat. Van on his back uses his butterfly guard to keep Taira from moving to a dominant position. Van looks for a sweep, and Taira lowers himself flat to slip into full mount again. Taira pummels Van with his shoulder from above, and he stops Van from turning to the side by clubbing him with his free right hand. Van tries to buck and kick, but Taira transforms himself into a 125-pound lead weight.
Van sits up, and Taira throws his legs up to grip hold of a triangle armbar. Van wriggles free and stands back up, and he motions for Taira to follow him. Taira obliges him and gets behind his jab, but Van nails him in the nose a few times to force blood to flow some more. Taira slaps himself in the face a few times after absorbing damage like Curly from the “Three Stooges,” and Van stays right in front of him putting fist to face. Taira kicks low and high, reaching behind his long jab to chain them together. Taira runs face-first into the ground when going after a takedown, avoiding a knee that Van has ready for him by a margin of inches. Taira grinds on the champ until 10 seconds remain, with Van breaking off and jabbing into a right hand. The fourth round is now over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 5
The fighters share a smile, having reached the last round. It is jab city when they resume fighting, with Van working his way in behind a right hand. Taira ducks strikes to shoot for a takedown, and he gets stood up when Van’s back hit the wall. Taira tries again, and Van pushes off and lets him have it. Both men trade heavy leather, with Taira ending a combination with another failed shot.
Van rips a few punches to the body, bending the challenger over to open up head shots. The champ stabs out with a front kick to the stomach and hurls a rapid barrage of punches at his adversary until Taira turns to his side and tries to circle out, stumbling all the while. This is apparently enough for Ribeiro to think he should step in. Riberio waves things off, and Taira instantly protests that it was premature.
His cries call on deaf ears, so he throws his mouthguard away in frustration. The result is what it is, as Van has successfully defended his flyweight strap with a fifth-round stoppage, while becoming the first fighter to finish Taira. In his victorious post-fight interview, Van tells former champ Pantoja to heal up so that they can run it back.

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Tatsuro Taira R5 1:32 via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van, emphasizing his striking pressure and volume. He notes Van lands a high number of strikes and has shown takedown defense against wrestlers. He thinks Taira's striking pressure is weak and Van will keep the fight standing. He expresses concern about a possible injury to Van that caused the fight to be moved, but assumes both are healthy. He compares Taira's loss to Brandon Royval as a blueprint for Van.

"I'm picking Josh Van. I'm picking the guy that lands a ridiculous amount of strikes. The guy that has shown us on more than one occasion... that he can defend takedowns and stay composed and get his hands going."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van, citing his incredible volume and takedown defense. He believes Van's striking will be too much for Taira, similar to how Royval beat Taira with volume. He notes that Van doesn't get frustrated when taken down and focuses on getting back up.

"I'm gonna pick Josh Van here. And I'm only gonna pick Josh Van because I think his takedown defense is good and I'm 100% sure he is going to let his hands go no matter what."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his elite back-taking and grappling. He notes Van has been submitted before and Taira has power on the feet. Brady expects Taira to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission. He acknowledges Van's volume but thinks grappling will decide the fight.

"Give me Tatsuro Taira. I'll take Taira to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody picks Taira, emphasizing his well-rounded skills and ability to take Van down and control him. He notes Taira's improved striking and grappling, and believes he can neutralize Van's volume by wrestling. Cody expects Taira to win by submission or decision, as Van's takedown defense is suspect.

Taira by submission (plus 200)
"I got Tyra because again, I'm minus 160. He'll be minus 200 after the first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Connor picks Van, emphasizing his faith in Van's game in Taira's area of expertise (striking) over Taira's game in Van's area. He notes Taira's lack of pocket feel, as seen against Moreno, and Van's ability to metabolize takedown threats. Connor believes Van's fight-building style will break Taira down, as Taira has no build-back plan.

Odds: Taira opened -200, now -160; Van opened +170, now +140. Connor surprised Taira is favorite.
"I got to pick Van, but it's a cool fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Daniel picks Van, agreeing with Cody and Malcolm. He highlights Van's superior striking and ability to defend takedowns, though he notes Taira's back-taking ability and heart. Daniel is confident Van will make the fight his and Taira will have to absorb many strikes.

"I think Joshua Van is just really good at what he does. He keeps it simple. He doesn't do anything flashy. He has the same basic jab, the twos, simple footwork, a straightforward approach. But he is so good at …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host leans toward Taira but does not place a pre-fight bet. He notes Taira's superior grappling and back takes, but Van's dangerous boxing and potential cardio advantage. He prefers to live bet this fight to get more information on Van's takedown defense. He mentions Van +5.5 fight spread as interesting but holds off.

No pre-fight bet. Suggests live betting. Mentions Van +5.5 fight spread as interesting.
"My lean is Tyra, but I could see it going both ways. And to be honest with you, this is probably one of those fights that is better left for live betting."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Predicted method: Submission Round 3. Taira's grappling-heavy style (3.12 takedowns per round, 1.6 submission average) poses a clear threat to Van, who has 81% takedown defense but has faced less relentless wrestlers. Van's striking volume (8.84 SLpM) is impressive, but Taira's 2.44 SApM indicates he absorbs few strikes, and his recent KO win over Brandon Moreno shows improved power. Taira's reach advantage (70" vs 65") helps him close distance for takedowns. Expect Taira to mix in takedowns, neutralize Van's striking, and secure a submission or dominant decision.

Taira by submission +220
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Jacob is confident in Joshua Van, praising his confidence and athleticism. He thinks Van's takedown defense and cardio will be key, and that Taira will struggle to get takedowns in later rounds. He believes Van will dominate once the takedowns stop working.

"I think Joshua Van is just going to stay alive until the takedowns stop working. When the takedowns stop working, he's in a world of fucking hurt with Joshua Van in front of him."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Lucrative James favors Tatsuro Taira because he believes the grappling gap is larger than the striking gap at flyweight, and submissions are more decisive than knockouts at this weight class. He notes Taira needs one moment to finish, while Van needs multiple moments. He also cites Van's high fight frequency (5 fights in 13 months) as a potential negative, and Van's chin issues. He predicts Taira by submission.

"I'm going to go with Tatsuro Tyra here. ... inside the distance via submission is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host picks Van, believing his defensive grappling has improved enough to keep Taira from dominating. He expects Van to outstrike Taira, work the body, and win on the scorecards. He notes that Taira is dangerous early but Van's pace and striking will be too much in championship rounds.

"I got to go with Van here. I think he outstrikes Tyra, defends well enough in the grappling and I think he retains his title here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul also picks Taira, citing his grappling advantage and experience in five-round fights. He thinks Taira's takedowns and control will be key, and that Van's slow starts and defensive holes will be exploited. Paul expects Taira to win by submission or decision.

Taira by submission (plus 200)
"I just don't think Josh Van's grappling has been tested to the capabilities. I like Tyra by sub."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The MMA Guru picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his superior grappling and reach advantage. He notes Taira's ability to secure dominant positions and improved ground and pound. He believes Van's takedown defense against lesser grapplers won't hold up against Taira's explosive entries. He predicts a finish in the second or third round.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Tatsu Roter getting this one done by finish in the second or third round over Joshua Van."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Zane picks Van, noting his superior striking and ability to handle takedown threats. He points out that Van has good wrestling instincts and has faced grapplers like Durden and Suraya, defending well. Zane believes Van's fight-building style will break Taira down, as Taira struggles in the pocket and relies on range. He sees Taira's only chance as a submission, but Van's defensive wrestling makes that unlikely.

Odds: Taira opened -200, now -160; Van opened +170, now +140. Zane surprised Taira is favorite.
"I got to pick Van, but it's a cool fight."
KO R2 2:24 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Moreno 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Tatsuro Taira 0 28 of 48 58% 45 of 65 1 of 4 25% 0 1 4:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Moreno 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Tatsuro Taira 0 2 of 9 22% 18 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:33
2 Brandon Moreno 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 26 of 39 66% 27 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Moreno 9 of 17 52% 8 of 14 0 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Tatsuro Taira 28 of 48 58% 23 of 42 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 19 2 of 4 19 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Moreno 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2
Tatsuro Taira 2 of 9 22% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 3 1 of 2
2 Brandon Moreno 7 of 13 53% 6 of 10 0 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 26 of 39 66% 22 of 35 2 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 15 1 of 1 18 of 23
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-142), Moreno (+120)

Round 1
Mark Smith is the referee. Taira opens up with a quick and powerful right hand in what is a largely deliberate opening minute. Taira thinks about a shot, then resets and gets reversed on his takedown attempt. Moreno is on his back with a triangle locked in early. This is bad news for Taira to be trapped in this maneuver so early in the fight. Fortunately for the Japanese prospect, Moreno doesn’t quite have the position he needs to really apply the squeeze. Taira has Moreno stacked and he lifts and slams his foe down. That might have allowed Moreno to adjust the hold and tighten it. Taira seems to be OK with a little more than a minute remaining. Taira tries to fire some punches while in the awkward position. Moreno finally loses the hold in the waning seconds. Taira grabs a front headlock and they separate before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moreno
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Moreno
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moreno

Round 2
Moreno pumps a jab but Taira answers with an uppercut. Moreno with a low kick and he follows that with a combination, landing a crafty lead hook. Taira drops low for a takedown, but Moreno sprawls effectively and counters. Taira doesn’t give up, and he closes the distance ands a trip takedown moments later. The Japanese prospect takes the back, locks in a body triangle and begins to tee off with ground-and-pound from back control. Taira flattens the former champ out and continues to unload with unanswered punches. Moreno is still moving from the bottom, but Smith has seen enough. As Taira tosses his mouthguard in celebration, Moreno questions if the stoppage might have been premature. It won’t matter, as Taira becomes the first person to finish Moreno in professional MMA competition.

The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Brandon Moreno via TKO (Punches) R2 2:24
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Angelo picks Brandon Moreno, citing his experience, well-rounded skills, and relentless pace. He believes Moreno's striking will be a problem for Taira and that Taira's takedowns are not good enough to keep Moreno down. He notes that Alex Perez outstruck Taira before his knee injury. Angelo is surprised that Moreno is an underdog and considers betting if the odds become favorable.

potential bet if odds reach +150
"Brandon Moreno is the pick. I think he gets it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his elite grappling and control, and believes he will take Moreno down and win rounds. He acknowledges Moreno's striking advantage but expects Taira's takedowns to be decisive. He predicts Taira wins by decision.

Taira by decision
"I'm going to take the Turret Tayara to win this fight. I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Cody picks Moreno, highlighting his experience, durability, and scrambling ability. He notes that Moreno has never been finished as a pro and has fought the best in the division. He believes Taira is not a refined product and relies on getting the back, which Moreno's scrambling will neutralize. He expects Moreno to outwork Taira and win by decision.

"I go with Brendon Moreno. I think it's like super slight plus money and basically a pick them."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Connor picks Moreno, citing his experience and technical edge. He notes that Taira struggles to set up takedowns and relies on opponents overextending, while Moreno has strong wrestling defense and can hit his own takedowns. Connor acknowledges that Moreno sometimes fights stupidly, but even then he has a good chance. He believes Moreno's methodical pressure and straight punches will be effective against Taira's limited striking arsenal.

Odds: Moreno opened -110, now +105; Taira opened -110, now -125. Notes that the line movement is an age play, but Moreno is only 31.
"I'm going to pick Moreno as well, but I do have my worries. My worries are mostly couched in: will Brandon Moreno go out there and just throw one overhand over and over again?"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Daniel picks Taira, impressed by his back-taking ability and heart shown in the Royval fight. He believes Taira's grappling is elite and that Moreno may struggle with it, similar to how Pantoja took Moreno's back. He sees Taira's standup improving and thinks he can win a competitive fight, possibly by controlling rounds with back takes.

"I like Tyra here, man. I feel like his standup is catching up. He's making leaps and so young."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Lucrative James favors Moreno on the feet and believes his takedown defense is better than Brandon Royval's, which will help him avoid Taira's grappling. He notes Moreno's preparation with Mikey Musumeci and thinks Moreno's experience in five-round fights gives him an edge in a three-round contest. He expects a close split decision but picks Moreno to edge it.

"My official pick is going to be Brandon Moreno."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The host believes Taira will continue his winning ways by putting Moreno in bad positions. He notes that Moreno is not as good a scrambler as Brandon Royval, which will keep him in bad positions for at least two rounds, allowing Taira to win on the scorecards.

win by decision
"I think Tyra will continue his winning ways as he puts Moreno into bad positions... that will ultimately keep Moreno in bad positions for at least two rounds to allow Tyra to win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Moreno's advantages in striking, experience, durability, and cardio. He notes that Taira's only top-tier fight was against Brandon Royval, where he lost and was outstruck. He believes Moreno's leg kicks and scrambling will be key, and he picks Moreno by decision.

"Brandon Marino is one of these guys that you can trust will fight for your dollar. And that's all I'm asking for."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The Guru picks Tatsuro Taira over Brandon Moreno, citing Taira's back-taking ability and Moreno's recent decline. He notes Taira's grappling and range striking will be effective in a three-round fight. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision win for Taira.

"I'm going to go with Tatirote here. Momentum back on his side after his recent victory."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Zane also picks Moreno, emphasizing that Taira's takedown entries are telegraphed and that Moreno's wrestling is far superior to Royval's, who still managed to defend takedowns. He notes that Taira's striking is limited to a 1-2 with occasional kicks, while Moreno can apply pressure from range. Zane worries about Moreno's tendency to fight recklessly but believes his advantages in experience and grappling outweigh that risk.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"I think I'm calling it for Brandon Moreno personally. I think it's hard to call because... is Brandon Moreno going to look normal?"
CANCEL vs Amir Albazi
SUB R2 1:06 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuro Taira 1 7 of 11 63% 13 of 20 4 of 5 80% 1 0 4:41
Park Hyun-sung 0 3 of 9 33% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuro Taira 1 6 of 9 66% 12 of 18 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:56
Park Hyun-sung 0 2 of 5 40% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tatsuro Taira 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:45
Park Hyun-sung 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuro Taira 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4
Park Hyun-sung 3 of 9 33% 1 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuro Taira 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4
Park Hyun-sung 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1
2 Tatsuro Taira 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor sees Taira as a developing fighter who has improved his striking, footwork, and clinch work. He believes Taira's reach, submission grappling, and ability to punish opponents at range will be too much for Park, especially on short notice. He notes Park's style relies on bullying smaller opponents, which won't work against Taira's size and skill.

"Got to take Tyra here. Odds makers like that as well. They tie open to minus 300 is currently a minus 355."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Lucrative James sees Tatsuro Taira as the superior grappler with better back-taking ability and transitions. He notes Taira's impressive performance against Brandon Royval despite the loss, showing heart, cardio, and grappling skill. He believes Taira's youth and training at High Altitude with Cory Sandhagen will lead to improvement. He expects Taira to eventually take Albazi's back and secure a submission in the later rounds, as Albazi has shown vulnerability when giving up his neck or back. He also questions the quality of Albazi's wins, calling his win over Kai Kara-France a robbery.

Submission in round 3 or 4
"I'm expecting an improved Tatsurotara... I'm expecting Tatsurotara to win this fight against Amir Albazi this weekend."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane acknowledges Park's pressure striking and combination punching could trouble Taira, but believes Taira's improved distance management and counter-striking will allow him to punish Park's entries. He notes Park's tendency to fall into grappling exchanges, where Taira is superior. Zane concludes that Park's style is made to take advantage of lesser athletes, and Taira is not that.

"I do think Tyra has gotten to the point where it will be an actual test of how good Park's defense is... but I need to see it before I would ever pick him over somebody like Tatsu or Tyra."
LOSS vs Brandon Royval
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 124 of 232 53% 172 of 287 3 of 3 100% 3 2 2:23
Tatsuro Taira 0 42 of 99 42% 80 of 143 6 of 15 40% 1 0 12:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 10 of 22 45% 11 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:44
2 Brandon Royval 0 3 of 14 21% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 7 71% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:10
3 Brandon Royval 0 56 of 78 71% 81 of 105 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:57
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 21 23% 7 of 23 0 of 4 0% 1 0 1:45
4 Brandon Royval 0 5 of 11 45% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 8 of 13 61% 18 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:29
5 Brandon Royval 0 43 of 74 58% 57 of 93 1 of 1 100% 2 2 1:26
Tatsuro Taira 0 14 of 36 38% 15 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 124 of 232 53% 114 of 216 10 of 16 0 of 0 97 of 203 11 of 12 16 of 17
Tatsuro Taira 42 of 99 42% 34 of 91 5 of 5 3 of 3 38 of 93 0 of 1 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 17 of 55 30% 12 of 46 5 of 9 0 of 0 16 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 10 of 22 45% 6 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brandon Royval 3 of 14 21% 1 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Brandon Royval 56 of 78 71% 54 of 76 2 of 2 0 of 0 32 of 52 9 of 10 15 of 16
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
4 Brandon Royval 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4
5 Brandon Royval 43 of 74 58% 43 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0 41 of 72 1 of 1 1 of 1
Tatsuro Taira 14 of 36 38% 12 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-225), Royval (+185)

Round 1
The UFC has chosen well with this all-action flyweight scrap capping off the fight card. Fresh off a revenge win over Brandon Moreno, Royval (16-7, 6-3 UFC) is energized and fully capable of playing spoiler. Taira (16-0, 6-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat, and his performances continue to dazzle as he works his way up the 125-pound ladder. The two are brought to the middle of the cage by referee Jason Herzog for final instructions, and they gladly bump fists before madness ensues. It’s on with the show. Royval hops in and out searching for an early jab, and he pitches out a high kick to further gauge his range. Royval has another head kick miss, and Taira tests his mettle with a light low kick. Royval connects with a body kick, and Taira changes levels on him. Royval defends with a guillotine choke, and he breaks free of the attempt with his back bouncing off the wall. Royval walks through a right hand to get off his own, and his subsequent head kick efforts continue missing. A straight left from Royval reddens the Japanese fighter’s nose, and he catches Taira coming in with another left hand. Royval kicks the body and spins around, with Taira getting off a right hand. Royval scores another body kick that does not get caught, and he snaps out a one-two to get Taira’s attention. Royval clubs his foe with a left hand, and he gets off another in short order before dancing away to a safe distance. Royval measures and clubs Taira once more with a left, having found its range with it and a body kick. Taira bends over and gets his hair buzzed with a back fist. Two more body kicks from Royval get through, and his jab splits the guard. Taira walks into a pair of punches, and he makes Royval stumble with a short combo and grabs hold of Royval from behind to drag him to the floor. Royval attacks a kneebar as soon as he hits a mat, and he transitions into a heel hook and tugs on it from the other side for an inverted variety. Taira turns but cannot get out of the leg danger, as Royval commits to it by rolling over. Taira slithers away from the submission, and Royval breaks free and darts after him with long punches before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 2
Royval is right in the center of the cage ready to pick up where he left off, and his long punches lead to a step-in knee. Taira threatens with a double, scooping Royval up and pushing off the fence to drag Royval down and take his back. Taira flattens Royval out for a moment, but Royval is a scrambler and he keeps moving any direction he can. Taira secures the body triangle to stifle the former title challenger’s escape attempts, and he slides over to take mount before stretching Royval out further. Royval scoots his way to put the wall behind him, with Taira sitting up and the leg grip still around his waist. Royval hand-fights to defend from a submission, and Taira looks to isolate a choke. Royval rolls over, turning twice until he grabs hold of Taira’s knee to spin him around. Taira further maintains control from behind, with Royval’s efforts in vain. Royval is warned for grabbing the inside of the glove, and Taira sells out for a rear-naked choke. Taira turns to the other side to further sneak it in, and Royval is able to stop these attempts for the time being. Royval sits back down with Taira holding an unorthodox grip around his shoulder, and he uses it to put Royval on his back and reassume mount. Royval spins around to escape the first bad position, and Taira deftly slides through to get his back and shut Royval down by getting in half guard. Royval attacks a leglock, forcing Taira to stand up and pull his leg away. Royval works back to his feet in the waning seconds, and one body kick is all he gets off before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 3
Fists are bumped to get going, and a more tentative Royval gets countered over the top with a left hand. Taira reaches him with another left hook over the top, and Royval slugs him in the chops with a right hand. A straight left from Royval finds its home on the jaw, and he lands another few punches and a knee when Taira shoots for a takedown. Royval defends the double with several elbows to the side of the head, and he stands Taira up with a sharp knee. Royval breaks out of the attempt and goes wild with a flurry of strikes, shaking Taira up briefly. Taira’s recoverability is excellent, as he does not back up and instead stays just out of range. Royval bears down on him with a long left and an uppercut, and his uppercut clips Taira again when Taira tries to strike back. Royval gets energized by landing flush, hurting Taira with a flurry of fists. Taira shoots desperately for a takedown when he gets hurt with a salvo from “Raw Dawg.” Taira’s takedown is used against him, as Royval throws him to the mat and works on him with hammerfists. Royval thwarts another attempt, and Taira is fading fast as the woodchipper in Royval is on him chewing him up with punches and knees. Taira goes after another takedown, and it is not effective as he ducks face-first into a clean knee. Taira drops to the mat, and Royval follows him and beats on him with hammerfists on either side of the head. Taira tries to move, and Royval circles around to take Taira’s back and get hooks in. Royval searches for an armbar, rolling to his bell to lock it down, and Taira miraculously fights his way out of the sub and turns Royval around to get his back. Taira fastens the body triangle and starts hunting for his own submission. A rear-naked choke from the Japanese youngster sneaks around the jaw of his foe, and Royval decides to punch instead of fighting the hands. Royval grits it out and survives to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 4
Royval is fired up after his corner very loudly and dramatically informs him that he needs to crush this kid. Taira is not about to go down lightly, and the two flyweights meet in the center of the cage and trade hands violently. When Taira gets stung, he shoots in for a takedown. Royval balances thanks in part to a fence grab, although Taira still wrests him to the mat. Taira gets his hooks in and locks down the body triangle, with Royval pulling off the fence to try to spin himself about. Taira hunts for a choke, and Royval fights the body lock and turns to his knees. Taira’s body lock remains firmly around the midsection even sitting upright, and Royval rolls but is still snared in the web. Taira softens him up from behind with punches as Royval keeps turning, and he lands an elbow as he moves from position to position. When absorbing one particularly fierce elbow, Royval turns to his stomach, and he uses two-on-one control to wriggle himself out. Taira’s savvy back control further nullifies “Raw Dawg,” and he lets Royval roll to his back to get the body triangle again. Royval fights it off on one side, but Taira fastens it on the other. When the 10-second clapper sounds, Royval sits up and is near to escape, but time expires before he can. It could be all tied up now.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 5
With five minutes left in the fight very likely even on the scorecards, Royval strikes first in the final round. Connecting with four or five early punches, Royval is forced to sprawl to stop a level change. Taira walks into a few punches after Royval stands up, and he reaches with a right but gets clubbed with an uppercut. Royval reaches out with a left hand, and he snipes Taira coming in with a few punches. Royval eats a pair of lefts to get driven back, and he slips in an uppercut. Taira swings a right hand into a takedown, and he puts Royval on his seat with three and a half minutes left in the round. Taira moves to north-south position with Royval pushing his heels off the fence to flip around. Taira nearly gets the back, but Royval reverses the position and pursues his own takedown to place Taira on his seat. Royval holds on from behind as Taira stands, and he elevates and slams the Japanese fighter down. Royval jumps on the back as Taira gets to his feet again, and slides off in a hurry. Taira breaks the grip and separates, and Royval walks him down and bloodies his foe’s nose. Taira loads up on power strikes, and Royval’s straight left remains a money punch. Royval seems to land cleanly whenever he wishes, and Taira dives after a desperate single but Royval stops it and knees his foe in the chest. Royval breaks free again and rails Taira with a step-in knee, and Taira knocks him back with a big right hand. Royval gets back in his face with a series of punches, and he gets pushed over when spinning back. Taira shoots for a double, and Royval jumps guard with a guillotine choke that he uses to roll into full mount. Royval sits up and lets Taira turn over to take his back, and he snatches up a rear-naked choke. Royval gets the body triangle at the same time, and he cranks on the neck. The neck crank does not get a tap, and tough as nails Taira survives to turn himself over. The final horn blares, and this back-and-forth battle comes to a close in an easy “Fight of the Night” candidate and one possibly worthy of “Fight of the Year” consideration. No matter who picks up the win, these two put on a show and stamp their places in the elite echelon of the 125-pound division.
Springing the upset, Royval showers his defeated opponent with compliments, while saying that he would be happy to do anything to further Taira’s career—a fighter that he confidently proclaims will be a champion one day. Royval states he alone deserves the next title shot at flyweight, due to wins over top-five talents Brandon Moreno, Kai Kara-France and now Taira. He asks to be backup for the Alexandre Pantoja-Kai Asakura championship bout, or offers to fight in hostile territory to beat either man in their home country after UFC 310. If he gets the next crack at gold, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)

The Official Result
Brandon Royval def. Tatsuro Taira via Split Decision (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Brandon Royval, calling himself a Tatsuro Taira hater. He notes that Taira is undefeated but hasn't beaten top competition, and that Royval's pressure and experience will be too much. He mentions Royval's win over Brandon Moreno and his ability to land strikes even when taken down. Angelo bet half a unit on Royval at +170 and is also considering a plus 5.5 bet.

Bet half a unit at +170; considering plus 5.5 bet
"I think Brandon Royal wins this fight I bet on him plus 170 those odds were just too good to pass up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira to win by decision. He notes that if it were a three-round fight, he'd be more confident, but the five rounds give him pause due to Royval's elite cardio and durability. However, Royval has terrible takedown defense (40%), and Taira's grappling control is elite. He compares it to Royval's fight with Pantoja, where Pantoja controlled him on the ground. Brady believes Taira can get takedowns at will and control rounds, though rounds 4-5 could get interesting. He expects Taira to win at least three rounds.

Taira by decision
"I'll go Tyra to win this fight and I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2025 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody believes Taira is a believer after his performance against Royval, showing improved striking, timing, physicality, and elite grappling. He notes Taira's ability to take down Royval six times and control him, despite Royval's scrambling and cardio. Cody sees Taira as more polished and refined than Park, with five-round experience and superior competition level. He expects Taira to roll through Park.

"I'm starting to become a Tyro believer and you know me, I've tried to fade this guy a few times."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Royval's defensive wrestling is nonexistent and that Taira's grappling is a huge advantage. He notes that Royval's recent striking approach is static and ineffective, and that Taira should be able to take him down and control the fight. Connor is confident Taira wins unless he fights poorly.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think of royville's fight with kykara france... If you're facing tatsuru taira you're not going to jump the ghillie and submit tatsuru taira."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel acknowledges Taira's immense talent and undefeated record but questions if he's ready for a top-five test at age 24. He notes Royval's proven durability, pace, and experience against elite competition like Moreno and Pantoja. Daniel is tempted by the plus-190 odds on Royval and believes Taira may need to pay his dues first. He emphasizes that Royval gets better as fights progress and that Taira hasn't faced anyone with Royval's relentless pressure.

"I'm just not convinced he's that guy right now... I'm more tempted to take a small shot on Brandon Royval and see if he can set back the ultra talented Tatsuro Taira."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The host looked for a reason to take Royval as a big underdog but couldn't due to Taira's control and grappling. Royval is more disciplined but will struggle when Taira crashes the pocket and wraps him up. The host is not super high on Taira's chalk and prefers the over 3.5 rounds, but expects Taira to control the majority of the fight via grappling and win on the scorecards.

over 3.5 rounds
"I actually like the over three and a half more than anything but I think we're going to see Taira controlling the majority of this matchup by getting it into the grappling realm"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2025 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Taira's striking improvement and elite grappling. He highlights Taira's ability to get to the back and control opponents, and his five-round experience against top competition. Paul thinks Taira wins more often than not even at a sizable favorite price.

"I expect him to roll through park."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

The MMA Guru picks Brandon Royval as an upset, citing his scrambling ability, pressure, and durability. He questions Taira's hype, noting close fights with Perez and Shevchenko, and believes Royval can make Taira break in a five-round fight. He expects Royval to win by late-round TKO, as Taira hasn't faced someone as lanky and rangy, and Royval has shown he can hang with top flyweights like Pantoja and Moreno.

late rounds TKO
"I am going to go Roy Val... I think he can make tayra break I think he can put pressure on him... I'm going to say Roy Val gets this one done by like late rounds TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane picks Taira because Royval's defensive wrestling is terrible and Taira is a good takedown artist with dangerous ground control. He notes that Royval's striking volume is often ineffective and that Taira can find takedowns consistently. Zane believes Royval's only path is if Taira fights terribly, but otherwise Taira should win.

Royval opened at +170, now +213; Taira opened at -194, now -248. Odds drifting Taira's way.
"I am going to be picking tatsura taira. I think he is going to have all kinds of ways of finding takedowns on royville and it's just really is a question of if he goes for them consistently and I …"
WIN vs Alex Perez
TKO (knee injury) R2 2:59 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuro Taira 0 41 of 77 53% 45 of 81 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Alex Perez 0 31 of 66 46% 43 of 78 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuro Taira 0 23 of 43 53% 27 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Alex Perez 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tatsuro Taira 0 18 of 34 52% 18 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Perez 0 14 of 23 60% 25 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuro Taira 41 of 77 53% 22 of 49 10 of 13 9 of 15 31 of 64 10 of 13 0 of 0
Alex Perez 31 of 66 46% 25 of 57 2 of 4 4 of 5 28 of 59 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuro Taira 23 of 43 53% 9 of 23 9 of 12 5 of 8 16 of 34 7 of 9 0 of 0
Alex Perez 17 of 43 39% 14 of 38 2 of 3 1 of 2 14 of 36 3 of 7 0 of 0
2 Tatsuro Taira 18 of 34 52% 13 of 26 1 of 1 4 of 7 15 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
Alex Perez 14 of 23 60% 11 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 3 14 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-185), Perez (+154)

Round 1
The final fight of the evening comes in a rare non-title flyweight tilt, with former title challenger Perez (25-8, 7-4 UFC) coming in on short notice. He will try to hand high-flying unbeaten Japanese contender Taira (15-0, 5-0 UFC) his first pro loss. Action is sure to come from these two fighters, but before it does, they come together in front of referee Herb Dean to hear their final instructions and bump fists. It’s on with the show. While Taira is in the center of the cage, he steps back when a leg kick flies by. He throws one back, and Perez targets his front leg once more. The former title challenger goes after one more kick, and the two end up closed in on one another. Taira tries to set up the Thai clinch, and Perez dirty boxes and fights off level changes until he can break away. Perez sneaks in a knee on the break, and he digs several punches to the body. Taira pushes him away and lines up a power right hand, and Perez ducks and thwacks his front leg wither another two kicks. Taira splits the guard with two punches, and Perez darts at him with three punches, landing the third of them. Taira sticks out a jab and a head kick, and Perez rings his bell with two compact hooks. Perez again crowds him throwing bombs, and Taira gets his head knocked around briefly before disengaging. Taira settles down and jabs a few times, but Perez blasts with a number of uppercuts. Taira aims a knee to the head to break off the clinch, and he keeps his jab flowing. Taira follows one jab with a right hand, and he dodges the counter one-two. Taira rails his man with a sharp uppercut, and he finds another as Perez backpedals. Taira slaps the front leg with a kick, and Perez returns fire with one before charging in to tie him up. Taira cannot hold on, and Perez escapes and darts forward with his hands flying. Taira pushes off and swipes his fingers into the Californian’s eye, and Dean calls time. Perez uses a cloth brought in from the doctor to wipe his eye clean, and Dean goes over to warn Taira. After about a minute, Perez is good to go. Perez swings hard with punches to the body and scoops the Japanese fighter up to dump him on the floor. Taira attempts to sweep, but he settles for standing up and getting away. Perez pushes out a front kick and dodges a head kick as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Perez

Round 2
Perez rushes out of his corner to invite a glove touch, and it is accepted as Dean warns Taira for outstretched fingers. Perez swings wildly with wide punches, and Taira spins him around with a leg kick. Taira snipes him on the way in with a right hand, and he appears to push off and poke the eye again. Perez complains it was a foul, and Dean calls time and asks for replay to check it. The replay shows the eye poke, and Dean goes over to Taira to give him a hard warning. They start up after around 45 seconds, and Perez re-measures his jab. Taira holds his left hand out and blasts the former title challenger with an uppercut, but Perez pays it no mind and unleashes a series of haymakers to knock Taira back. Taira scores a low kick and lands with his own heavy blows, but Perez lands the heavier of the two and it shows by Taira’s face changing shade. Perez works on the front leg with kicks on the inside and out, and Perez gets stood up on the way back with one coming back his direction. Perez shrugs off an uppercut to lob bombs, and he catches Taira flush and lets the counters graze his cheeks. Taira rushes at him and takes the fight down, and as soon as Perez turns, Taira takes his back while standing. Taira leans to one side in hopes of wrenching Perez down, and he keeps the body triangle tight while softening Perez up.
Taira keeps leaning to one side to tug Perez off-balance, and Perez falls awkwardly when leaning back. As he does, Perez’ right knee figuratively explodes, and Perez lets out a screech of pain as Taira is on top of him. Perez taps the canvas to make sure that Dean is getting involved, and Taira dismounts him and looks on with concern. Perez rolls to his back and writhes in agony, clutching his damaged limb as medical professionals swarm him.
This is an unusual situation because it is not simply a freak occurrence from a strange landing, but rather something Taira set up to target one leg and drag him down in that specific angle. Whether he was intending on causing fight-ending injury or simply moving to a more dominant position, it worked, and Taira moves his stellar undefeated record to 16-0 while passing the largest test of his career. The victorious youngster from Japan shouts on the interview that he is very happy, and he asks for a title shot. He confidently declares that he wants everyone in the flyweight division to line up in front of him, and he will mow them down. When Taira gets back into the cage again, it will likely be in a huge fight at 125 pounds. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too.

The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Alex Perez R2 2:59 via TKO (Knee Injury)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Alex Perez

Angelo picks Alex Perez as an underdog, arguing that Perez has shown he can defend takedowns against elite wrestlers like Muhammad Mokaev. He believes Taira's takedowns are not as good, and Perez has the striking advantage. He notes Perez's recent knockout win and experience. He thinks the plus 170 odds offer value and plans to place a bet.

Odds comment: +170, plans to place a bet
"Alex Perez is going to be the pick I'm going with him in the underdog slot here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Perez

Cody picks Alex Perez as a plus money underdog, arguing that flyweight fights are always close and Perez is a veteran with a wrestling base, BJJ black belt, and decent striking. He highlights Perez's 82% takedown defense and notes that Taira's wrestling is not good enough to take him down. Cody also points out that Taira struggled with Edgar Chairez, got dropped, and showed questionable cardio, which could be a problem in a five-round fight. He believes Perez's experience and power will take over as the fight goes on.

underdog in main event, plus money
"I'm kind of feeling Underdog main event... if you can get plus two to one on one side like why not."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Daniel Vreeland acknowledges Alex Perez's resurgence and boxing/wrestling advantages but leans toward Taira due to his youth, reach, defensive striking, and opportunistic finishing ability. He notes Taira's incremental development and believes he can get past Perez, possibly by submission. However, he admits it could be a vet lesson and is not fully confident.

by submission
"I'm going to lean towards Tyra with his opportunistic finishing ability let alone with the submissions particularly"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Jacob picks Tatsuro Taira, arguing that Perez has been outgrappled by top competition and Taira is more well-rounded than Mokaev. He believes Taira's striking and grappling are superior, and he will set up takedowns with strikes. He thinks Perez's takedown defense won't hold up and Taira will submit him. He is confident and offers to bet openly.

Offers to bet openly
"Tatsuro Taira is going to come in he's going to set up the strikes the takedowns with the striking"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Perez

Perez's defensive grappling will shut down Taira's wrestling, which I'm not sold on. In the striking, Perez will dictate the pace with calf kicks to slow Taira and then open up his hands, finishing Taira in the third or fourth round.

"I believe his defensive grappling will allow him to shut down the grappling attempts of Tyra whose wrestling I am not completely sold on and then in the Striking game as long as Tyra does not have some Godlike power …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Perez

Paul agrees with Cody, stating that Taira is a prospect who may look like a stud one day but the level of competition Perez has faced is far superior. He notes that Perez has been fighting the best in the division for years and is a big-time gatekeeper. Paul acknowledges the risk of Taira getting takedowns and taking the back, but he is still with Cody on betting Alex Perez.

dogger pass, plan on betting Alex Perez
"I'm with you I think it's a pretty clear dogger pass I plan on betting Alex Perez in the main event."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The MMA Guru picks Tatsuro Taira by TKO. He believes Taira is better technically on the feet than Muhammad Mokaev, and that his grappling is more opportunistic and technical. He notes Taira's ability to take the back, reverse positions, and his good right hand. He thinks Perez may crumble under pressure and that Taira's youth and improvement over his career, plus having more notice for this fight, will lead to a finish. He also mentions the narrative of Taira opening doors for Japanese MMA.

TKO
"I am going to go with Tatsu Roa and you know what I'm actually going to take him by TKO"
TKO (punches) R2 0:55 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuro Taira 1 33 of 43 76% 44 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:36
Carlos Hernandez 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuro Taira 0 12 of 19 63% 20 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:21
Carlos Hernandez 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
2 Tatsuro Taira 1 21 of 24 87% 24 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Carlos Hernandez 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuro Taira 33 of 43 76% 30 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 8 0 of 1 26 of 34
Carlos Hernandez 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuro Taira 12 of 19 63% 12 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 12 of 17
Carlos Hernandez 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tatsuro Taira 21 of 24 87% 18 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 17
Carlos Hernandez 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Carlos Hernandez vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-410), Hernandez (+320)

Round 1
Buried on the prelims is a young man fast on the rise, as 23-year-old Japanese prospect Taira (14-0, 4-0 UFC) looks for win no. 15 at the expense of the speedy Hernandez (9-2, 2-1 UFC). The latter recently picked up a win in June when a slam knockout ended up overturned to a decision thanks to an inadvertent clash of heads on the way down. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Mark Smith, and he kicks off the fight as the 125ers touch gloves. Hernandez is the initial aggressor, pushing the action at least from a movement standpoint. Neither man commit to a strike in the first 30 seconds, until Hernandez paws out with a left hand that sneaks around the guard. Taira responds with a front kick, and Hernandez chases him to the ground. Taira immediately sweeps his opponent, and the resulting wild scramble results in both men getting back to their feet. Hernandez pushes the Japanese fighter against the wall, and he lifts Taira up and attempts to slam him down. Instead, Taira positions himself midair to shift his body weight, and he pushes Hernandez over and lands on top of him. Taira steps over to three-quarter mount briefly, but remains comfortable in half guard so he can control and land sporadic left hands or an elbow. Taira jumps over to full mount, and he looks to hook his left arm around the side of the head while lacing Hernandez’ legs between his own. Taira bails on the arm-triangle choke setup so he can posture up and land shots from on top. Hernandez turns over, and Taira flattens him out and starts fishing for a submission. When that does not come, he starts laying into Hernandez with his fists. Hernandez turns about again, giving up his back, and Taira follows him every step of the way and looks to fasten in a rear-naked choke grip. Hernandez defends it and continues twisting himself around, and Taira drills him with punches any time he has an opening. Taira sits up and blasts Hernandez in the face with an emphatic right hand, and he rides out the remainder of the round on top and lands one more right hand.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 2
The flyweights come together, and Hernandez is again the first to push the pace. Taira smacks him in the temple with a left hand, and he follows with a calf kick. Taira rifles a straight right hand down the pipe, rocking Hernandez down to his core, and
he strings together a chain of punches until Hernandez crumbles to the mat. Taira follows him down, continuing his bombardment of strikes, and Hernandez turtles up on his knees, barely still with it. Smith watches on as Taira beats on him, and he determines that Hernandez is no longer in the fight and waves it off.
This is a big win for Taira, who records his first career knockout in years by lifting himself to a perfect 15-0 as a pro.

The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Carlos Hernandez R2 0:55 via TKO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Taira is a legitimate prospect with excellent back-taking skills. Cody points out that Hernandez has poor takedown defense and gives up his back. He thinks Taira will bait Hernandez in, shoot for a takedown, take the back, and sink in a rear-naked choke. Cody acknowledges that Taira will eventually face a tough wrestler but believes Hernandez is not that guy.

Taira by submission at +120
"Tyra by sub is how I see this one shaking out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Hernandez's grappling is solid but not elite, and he was submitted quickly by Alan Nascimento. Paul thinks Taira is systematic in getting to the back and finding the choke. He is interested in Taira by submission at plus 120 but is a bit concerned about Hernandez's ability to survive the full 15 minutes. Overall, Paul expects Taira to win by submission.

Taira by submission at +120
"Tyra by sub is is how I see this one shaking out"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuro Taira 0 61 of 78 78% 121 of 148 2 of 3 66% 1 1 9:53
Édgar Cháirez 1 25 of 38 65% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuro Taira 0 27 of 30 90% 36 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:43
Édgar Cháirez 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:11
2 Tatsuro Taira 0 17 of 26 65% 57 of 76 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:10
Édgar Cháirez 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Tatsuro Taira 0 17 of 22 77% 28 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:00
Édgar Cháirez 0 15 of 21 71% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuro Taira 61 of 78 78% 40 of 54 2 of 4 19 of 20 26 of 36 0 of 0 35 of 42
Édgar Cháirez 25 of 38 65% 15 of 23 5 of 6 5 of 9 25 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuro Taira 27 of 30 90% 18 of 18 0 of 2 9 of 10 11 of 14 0 of 0 16 of 16
Édgar Cháirez 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tatsuro Taira 17 of 26 65% 16 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 22
Édgar Cháirez 4 of 7 57% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 3 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tatsuro Taira 17 of 22 77% 6 of 11 2 of 2 9 of 9 14 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 4
Édgar Cháirez 15 of 21 71% 10 of 14 4 of 5 1 of 2 15 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Edgar Chairez vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-950), Chairez (+650)

Round 1
Thanks in part to some late card rejiggering, highly regarded prospect Taira (13-0, 3-0 UFC) moves his way up the billing. Originally planning on meeting Kleydson Rodrigues, the Japanese prodigy now faces late replacement Chairez (10-4, 0-0 UFC) out of Mexico. The match will take place at a pre-planned 130-pound catchweight, and it will be overseen by referee Herb Dean. It begins with a half-hearted reach of a glove touch try from Chairez, and Taira ignores it so he can get offense going in the form of a chopping leg kick. Chairez gives it back, and chants of “Mexico” rain down in support of the debuting Chairez. Chairez comes up short on another attempt, and he is reached by the man from Japan. The action is largely muted other than occasional kicks from both fighters, with Taira working from both legs. Chairez steps in with a jab as Taira crashes towards him, and when Taira backs off, he continues bludgeoning the lead wheel of his opponent. Taira jabs to force Chairez to backpedal, and he gets kicked off his feet by the Mexican. Chairez gets off a body shot, and he tags Taira with a left hand. Taira wobbles to his seat, and he recovers and moves over to tackle Chairez over to gather himself. Chairez grips hold of a guillotine choke, and it is tight until Taira settles down and drives Chairez back to the corner between the floor and the wall. This allows Taira to threaten with a Von Preux choke, as he keeps Chairez stuck in a bad position. Chairez recognizes the danger, and he releases the grip. Taira slowly and methodically works to pass guard, and Chairez is warned for interlocking his toes in the cage to stifle the pass. Dean slaps and pulls Chairez’ toes out of the links, and he keeps warning Chairez for doing it repeatedly. This foul gets called a few times, but as he is focused on tugging on the links with his big toe, Taira sits on top of him and isolates his left arm to set up a crucifix. Taira elbows Chairez several times, and he is admonished for the angle he uses of the 12-to-6 variety. Taira looks up confusedly at Dean, and he changes his angle of attack until the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Chairez

Round 2
The second round begins with the two combatants getting off kicks on one another. Taira changes levels and shoots in for a takedown, and Chairez jumps guard to grab hold of a guillotine choke. The Japanese fighter easily slides his neck out of the choke, where he moves right to half guard and even takes mount briefly before getting bucked back to guard. Chairez shifts his hips, and Taira times it perfectly to move right into mount. Taira smothers his foe when he willingly moves back to half guard, doing so to pin Chairez down. Taira elbows Chairez on the side of the head with light but effective blows, and he hooks his legs together in an effort to trap Chairez’ right arm. Taira continues working with elbows before transitioning to a straight armlock from the other side of the body. Taira, who steps back into mount, postures up to rain down punches and elbows. With 80 seconds to spare, he hammers Chairez with strikes until Chairez turns and almost gives up his back. Taira slashes down with elbows, hurting his opponent, and he calmly lands strikes from a dominant position. Taira considers an arm-triangle choke, and Chairez sits up and wraps his arms around Taira’s waist to hang on. Taira rolls to his back to lock down a triangle choke, and he elbows Chairez on the dome and tightens it up. Pulling the head down to cut off the blood flow to the brain and hopefully deprive his man of oxygen as well, Taira tries with all his might but cannot get the tap before the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 3
The last frame kicks off with kicks. Taira wades his way into a striking exchange, and he gets backed off with a left hand. Taira checks a low kick and throws it back. A right hand from the Japanese fighter sneaks over the guard, and Chairez slings a few punches back his direction much to the delight of the crowd. The undefeated fighter pecks at Chairez with leg kicks, and he ducks a looping left hook in the nick of time. Chairez reaches out with a one-two and a subsequent jab, and he shrugs off a body kick. Taira shoots in for a double-leg takedown, and he plants Chairez on his back without Chairez hunting for a guillotine this time. Taira uses shoulder pressure while in half guard to keep Chairez flat on his back, and he elbows his foe on the ear. Taira grinds his elbow on the forehead and forearm on the throat, as he settles for control over offense as the clock keeps ticking. Fans grow restless as Taira clings to top position, even when he lands the occasional elbow. Taira threatens with a guillotine when Chairez sits up, and Chairez is able to fight it off and get back to his feet. Taira goes after a double, and Chairez pulls guard for a guillotine. Chairez locks his feet together and squeezes with every bit of energy he has left, and he rolls over to secure the mounted guillotine choke. Taira toughs it out, with no plan of tapping out no matter how bad it gets, and time expires before the submission puts him out. The scorecards could be all over the map for this one, depending on the potential assessment of a 10-8 in Round 2 and how the first stanza panned out.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira (30-27 Taira)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Chairez (29-28 Taira)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Taira (29-28 Taira)

The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Edgar Chairez via Unanimous Decision (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Angelo gives a slight lean to Taira at 50.1%, but he actually bet on Cháirez at +600. He acknowledges Cháirez's solid striking, takedowns, and BJJ, but worries about short notice. He sees Taira's path to victory through grappling and control, but thinks Cháirez is just as dangerous on the ground. The lean is extremely slight, and he encourages viewers to watch tape on Cháirez.

Bet 0.25 units on Cháirez at +600
"the slightest lean of all time is going to be for Tatsu rotira so if I was picking this in percentages I would say tatsuro Tyra 50.1 percent but I'm gonna bet on Edgar"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Taira is a well-rounded fighter with underrated striking and slick grappling, especially back takes and submissions. He believes Cháirez will slow down as the fight goes on, leading to a finish in the second or third round. He mentions that Cháirez has been submitted before by Jesus Aguilar, whom Taira beat in the first round.

submission in round 2
"give me a tatsura tyara to get this guy out of there I'll say second round submission for tayara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody is confident Taira wins but the price is unplayable. He thinks Taira will likely finish Cháirez in the first or second round via submission. He notes Taira's back-taking and submission skills are elite. He considers the under 1.5 rounds at -145 but isn't in love with it because Taira may be patient.

Under 1.5 rounds (-145), Taira by submission
"Tyra is gonna end up being our pick here but uh how quickly does he do it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor picks Taira because he is a great problem solver who starts fights passively but uses opponent aggression to set up takedowns and submissions. Cháirez is a wild, aggressive fighter who will likely come forward, and Taira excels at countering that aggression. Taira's ability to blast opponents off their feet when pressured makes him a clear winner.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"If you pressure him instead... Tyra, he solves that problem."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Daniel Levi picks Taira, calling him one of the best Japanese prospects he has ever seen. He praises Taira's ground game, composure, and ability to chain striking to takedowns. Levi respects Cháirez's toughness and his controversial win on Fury FC, but believes Taira's ceiling is much higher and that he is headed straight for the top 15. He notes that the minus-1100 price is prohibitive for betting but still picks Taira to win.

"I'm going to retire here to get this done."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)

James does not make a clear pick on the winner. He disagrees with Taira being a -1000 favorite, capping him around -500 to -600, but does not see enough value on Cháirez at plus money. He discusses props: he likes Taira by decision at +500 more than the submission prop at -200 to -250, and also considers the KO prop at +700. He ultimately passes on betting the fight due to lack of a strong read.

Taira by decision at +500; Taira by KO at +700; over 1.5 rounds (lean, not played)
"I don't agree with Tyra being a minus 1000 favorite I have to say that straight off the bat"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Taira is a skilled Japanese prospect with a strong submission game, especially the rear-naked choke. Cháirez is aggressive and flashy but will likely be taken down and submitted. The fight should be closer than the odds suggest, but Taira will eventually secure a submission victory.

submission
"I do think of the Japanese Prospect continues his undefeated run and stretches his record to 14-0 and that win coming by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul agrees Taira wins easily. He notes Cháirez is a short-notice replacement with no clear path to victory. He thinks Taira's grappling is far superior. He says the real question is how quickly Taira finishes, possibly in the first or second round.

Under 1.5 rounds (-145), Taira by submission
"I'm thinking he gets it done probably first or second round I would lean towards second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The MMA Guru picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his patient top grappling and submission threat. He notes that Cháirez was taken down by Clayton Carpenter on the contender series, and believes Taira's methodical style will lead to a submission. He acknowledges Cháirez's momentum but sees Taira as a different level of grappler.

"I am gonna have to go with tattoo rotara here to start off the card"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane picks Taira because he is a great problem solver who can take whatever Cháirez gives him and turn it into an advantage. Cháirez is overly aggressive and will likely come forward, which plays into Taira's takedown and positional grappling game. Taira is a huge favorite and should be able to submit Cháirez if he gets taken down.

Taira opened at -847, currently -1100; Cháirez opened at +607, currently +691. Zane notes the wide lines.
"This is a chance for Tyra to shine against a very dangerous opponent."
Park Hyun-sung - Fight History
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
Submission R3 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 1 46 of 74 62% 60 of 92 5 of 9 55% 1 0 4:49
Park Hyun-sung 0 31 of 108 28% 56 of 136 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:40
Park Hyun-sung 0 10 of 31 32% 15 of 37 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:42
2 Bruno Silva 1 12 of 18 66% 26 of 36 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:25
Park Hyun-sung 0 7 of 31 22% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Bruno Silva 0 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 2 of 4 50% 1 0 0:44
Park Hyun-sung 0 14 of 46 30% 14 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 46 of 74 62% 30 of 57 14 of 14 2 of 3 44 of 72 2 of 2 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 31 of 108 28% 18 of 86 11 of 15 2 of 7 23 of 95 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 20 of 33 60% 13 of 25 5 of 5 2 of 3 19 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 10 of 31 32% 5 of 20 3 of 6 2 of 5 7 of 26 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Bruno Silva 12 of 18 66% 8 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 7 of 31 22% 6 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Bruno Silva 14 of 23 60% 9 of 18 5 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 14 of 46 30% 7 of 37 7 of 8 0 of 1 10 of 40 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Hyun Sung Park vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Park (-250); Silva (+200)

Round 1
The good news for these two flyweights is that one of them will get back in the win column. The bad is that the losing party will be on or will continue their losing streak, and that is not a great place to be after the UFC signed more fighters from this year’s Contender Series than any other. Silva (14-7-2, 1 NC; 4-4, 1 NC UFC) has dropped two straight after registering a mighty four-fight finish streak, while South Korea’s Park (10-1, 3-1 UFC) is aiming to bounce back from his first career defeat. Referee Sal Ram draws the charge for these action-packed 125ers, who race together to bump fists.
The athletes immediately start with jabs from either side, trying to figure out how far away they need to be to engage. Silva is the aggressor, although neither man commits to much in the opening 55 seconds. The Brazilian races forward with a flurry of punches, and Park ducks them and hits a counter double to take the wind out of Silva’s sails. Park climbs on from the side, and before he can get his legs around his foe, Silva explodes up to his feet. Silva leaps forward after his opponent to score a pair of scooping uppercuts, and Park shrugs them off and drops to his knees in pursuit of a takedown. Silva sprawls and spins around to take the back.
Silva lifts Park up from behind and slams him to the floor, and Park works his way up and knees Silva in the sternum to break. Silva’s uppercut scores again, but this time Park is waiting for it with a counter overhand right. Silva sneaks in an uppercut that bloodies Park’s mouth, who smiles at him and fires back with a vengeance. Silva hops back and forth between stances, and his swiping left hand further damages Park’s lower mandible. Silva aims that punch at the same target again, and Park stands him up with a head kick. Silva pushes off and a finger scrapes the eye, and Park protests but the foul is not called. A few seconds later, Ram tells Silva to watch his fingers. Silva answers with a hacking elbow that splits a cut open on the top of Park’s hairline. Blood dribbles down his forehead, and he looks for a spinning back elbow but Silva is out of the way in time. When Silva escapes, he points at Park. They both trade short punches on the inside when clashing together, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
A high-five is shared to open things up, and Park reintroduces himself with a chopping low kick and a pair of looping hooks. When Silva fires back, Park clips him with a right on the temple. The Brazilian puts everything behind a leaping left hook, and he knocks the South Korean to the canvas. The speedster Silva leaps on top and keeps Park from standing, assuming back control and following Park’s scrambles to briefly threaten. Park spins and works his way upright, chasing Silva around the cage, whipping an elbow at his man. Both men swing for the bleachers with right hooks, and Silva gets his fist on Park’s face first and disorients him. “Bulldog” bull-rushes his man and tackles him to the mat, and he tosses aside a submission setup to establish top control.
Silva smothers to keep Park from escaping, and Park tries creative scrambles, twist and turns to get out. Silva maintains his position by securing half guard, only for Park to pull his own feet beneath himself so he can pop back up to his feet. Silva rushes right at him, bullying the South Korean to the fence and working him over with short but effective left hands. Silva lifts Park’s leg up, and Park threatens by wrapping his arms around the neck. Silva backs off, and he welcomes the opportunity for Park to swing on him because he is hitting harder and more accurately. A pair of uppercuts get Park’s attention, and Silva manages to bowl Park back over and reestablish himself on top. Silva largely holds Park down for the remainder of the round, smacking him with the occasional ground strike.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
Ram calls time when the round begins to bring in the doctor and check on Park’s lip that is split. He is cleared to continue without issue. The fighters come together and touch gloves, and then go right after it. Park starts to smile as he connects with quick punches, and he swings while cognizant that a level change is coming. Park shuts down a takedown shot and he cracks Silva, forcing Silva to sprint away to recover. Park marches his man down, laying into him and shutting down takedown efforts. Silva just misses with a spinning back fist, and Park is still on him giving him everything he can handle. Silva replies with an uppercut, and Park catches him with a right hand. “Bulldog” steps in with a crisp knee to the solar plexus, and he catches a kick and wrenches Park to the floor. Park turns over immediately so he can post off and stand, and Silva grabs him from behind and mat returns him. Park’s mouth hangs open after the damage he has taken in this match, and Silva wraps his hooks around the waist and threatens with a choke. Park spins all the way around the break up the submission and get to his knees, but Silva follows him every step of the way. Silva hops on to snatch up an unusual rear-naked choke without a single hook in, crouched behind his adversary squeezing the life out of him. It only takes seconds before Park frantically taps out, with the choke completely locked up and going nowhere. Silva immediately releases his grip and climbs atop the cage to perform a skillful back flip, nearly sticking the landing but not having quite enough left in the tank to keep himself upright. Instead, he backwards somersaults and has a laugh, having sprung the upset by placing Park on his first career losing streak.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Hyun Sung Park R3 2:15 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva as an underdog, arguing he is tough, gritty, and dangerous everywhere. He notes Silva's recent losses were to elite strikers (Joshua Van, Manel Kape) and believes he can win a dogfight. He acknowledges Park's grappling and power but questions his resume and durability.

Underdog pick, Bruno Silva wins by dogfight
"I am actually going to pick Bruno Silva here. I think he's a good underdog."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Big Brady notes Park is unproven against top competition but likes his youth, power, and slick grappling. He worries about Bruno Silva's age, damage taken, and questionable durability. He thinks Park will pressure and finish Silva as the fight goes on, predicting a third-round finish.

Park wins in round 3 (KO or sub)
"I'm going to side with uh Hung Park to get it done. I think he's going to kind of put it on Bruno Silva more and more as the fight goes on... give me Hong Park to win this fight. …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes Park has been knocked down by lesser competition and has poor durability. Silva is a dog who fights for your dollar. Cody expects Silva to win by knockout or decision.

"Bruno Santos is one of those guys that overperforms. So, if you can get him at dog money, he's going to fight for your dollar."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Connor picks Bruno Silva, highlighting Silva's dynamic counter-punching and ability to find big shots even when losing. He notes that Park has thrived on athleticism and size but lacks technical depth, and that Silva's right hand is a major threat to Park's square stance. Connor also points out that Park's only real test was against Tatsuro Taira, who dominated him, and that Silva is a much tougher step up.

Park opened -300, now -210; Silva opened +250, now +180. Connor expects the odds to tighten further.
"I'm gonna take Bruno Silva and it might just be the wrong size of the age or the wrong part of the size and age demographic where Silva can't find that kill shot."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)

James is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's skills but questions his durability and age (35) after two brutal knockout losses. He also notes Park's finishing ability but doubts his cardio if the fight goes long. James plans to do more tape study before making a final decision.

"I can't help but feel like Bruno Silva might pull off the upset in this fight. But that's only if these things are true. One, Hung Park isn't as good as maybe his record shows... And then two, if Bruno …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

The host sees this as a great spot for Park to get back in the win column, utilizing his athleticism, speed, and power advantages over the veteran Bruno Silva. He expects Park to land a seminal blow in the second or third round and win by knockout.

win by knockout in round 2 or 3
"Look for Park to eventually land that seminal blow in the second or third round to win this fight by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Park's striking is not elite and his durability is questionable. Silva has fought tougher competition and has power. Paul sees value at plus 215.

"plus 215. It's dog or pass for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva over Kyung Ho Kang Park (Park Hyun-sung). He notes Silva's dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he won't be submitted. He thinks Park's loss to Tatsuro Taira shows he is bottom-of-the-barrel flyweight level. He predicts a hard-fought split decision win for Silva, taking him as an underdog.

underdog pick, split decision victory
"I'm going to go with Bruno Silva getting this one done. ... Bruno Silva split decision victory."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Zane also picks Bruno Silva, citing Silva's underrated toughness and ability to figure out opponents who crash into him. He notes that Park has been pushed past his level of experience and has no easy answers to problems. Zane believes Silva is a lot more difficult than he gets credit for, and that Park's athleticism won't be enough.

"I'm going with Bruno Silva. I have a big soft spot for him and I still think Park is a great athlete with a ton of potential, but I think he's been pushed past the point of familiar."
LOSS vs Tatsuro Taira
SUB R2 1:06 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuro Taira 1 7 of 11 63% 13 of 20 4 of 5 80% 1 0 4:41
Park Hyun-sung 0 3 of 9 33% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuro Taira 1 6 of 9 66% 12 of 18 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:56
Park Hyun-sung 0 2 of 5 40% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tatsuro Taira 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:45
Park Hyun-sung 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuro Taira 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4
Park Hyun-sung 3 of 9 33% 1 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuro Taira 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4
Park Hyun-sung 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1
2 Tatsuro Taira 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Park Hyun-sung 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor sees Taira as a developing fighter who has improved his striking, footwork, and clinch work. He believes Taira's reach, submission grappling, and ability to punish opponents at range will be too much for Park, especially on short notice. He notes Park's style relies on bullying smaller opponents, which won't work against Taira's size and skill.

"Got to take Tyra here. Odds makers like that as well. They tie open to minus 300 is currently a minus 355."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Lucrative James sees Tatsuro Taira as the superior grappler with better back-taking ability and transitions. He notes Taira's impressive performance against Brandon Royval despite the loss, showing heart, cardio, and grappling skill. He believes Taira's youth and training at High Altitude with Cory Sandhagen will lead to improvement. He expects Taira to eventually take Albazi's back and secure a submission in the later rounds, as Albazi has shown vulnerability when giving up his neck or back. He also questions the quality of Albazi's wins, calling his win over Kai Kara-France a robbery.

Submission in round 3 or 4
"I'm expecting an improved Tatsurotara... I'm expecting Tatsurotara to win this fight against Amir Albazi this weekend."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane acknowledges Park's pressure striking and combination punching could trouble Taira, but believes Taira's improved distance management and counter-striking will allow him to punish Park's entries. He notes Park's tendency to fall into grappling exchanges, where Taira is superior. Zane concludes that Park's style is made to take advantage of lesser athletes, and Taira is not that.

"I do think Tyra has gotten to the point where it will be an actual test of how good Park's defense is... but I need to see it before I would ever pick him over somebody like Tatsu or Tyra."
Submission R1 2:26 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Park Hyun-sung 0 14 of 22 63% 17 of 27 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:33
Carlos Hernandez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Park Hyun-sung 0 14 of 22 63% 17 of 27 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:33
Carlos Hernandez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Park Hyun-sung 14 of 22 63% 5 of 13 6 of 6 3 of 3 11 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0
Carlos Hernandez 4 of 17 23% 2 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Park Hyun-sung 14 of 22 63% 5 of 13 6 of 6 3 of 3 11 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0
Carlos Hernandez 4 of 17 23% 2 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Angelo picks Park Hyun-sung but notes that the 2:1 odds seem a bit off. He describes Park as a slick grappler who is a finisher but has looked uncomfortable on his feet. He notes that Carlos Hernandez is a grappler with okay striking and improving wrestling. Angelo thinks this fight is a test for Park and that Hernandez is tough, so he might consider the over if a 1.5 round line is available.

Angelo might consider the over on a 1.5 round line if available.
"The pick is going to be Park, but I'm curious to see what we're going to get for round lines."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Big Brady picks Park Hyun-sung, citing his finishing upside and slick grappling. He notes Carlos Hernandez is okay everywhere but lacks knockout power and has poor takedown defense. He expects Park to mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision.

Park by decision
"Hung Park, I think it'll be competitive, but I think he's going to land the bigger shots. I think he can mix in some takedowns here or there and I think he ultimately wins a decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

The host is high on Park as one of his favorite Korean prospects, citing his firepower, physicality, and athleticism. He believes Park can land more significant damage whether striking or mixing in takedowns, and that will be the difference maker. The pick is confident but not a lock.

"Park is one of my favorite Korean prospects right now, and I believe he has enough firepower, physicality, and athleticism to really put it on Carlos Hernandez here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

The Guru picks Park Hyun-sung, calling him a great prospect with finishing potential. He notes Carlos Hernandez has lost too many times and lacks fluidity. He acknowledges Hernandez could make it gritty and win later rounds, but leans toward Park getting a TKO. He does not see Park as a legitimate contender yet.

Hernandez to land less than 49.5 significant strikes (via Prize Picks)
"I'm gonna go with uh Hyong Park over Carlos Hernandez."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Big Brady is impressed with Hyun-sung Park's slick grappling and believes he has a significant advantage on the ground. He notes that Tumendemberel has questionable takedown defense and cardio, and if Park gets the fight to the mat, he will likely find a submission. However, he warns that if Park chooses to stand and trade, Tumendemberel has power and could make it dangerous. Brady predicts a first-round submission.

"I like hsung Park to to kick it off here I think he goes out there gets his fight down to the mad and eventually finds a sub here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Park is considered one of the best South Korean prospects from the region. His counter-striking speed and grappling are expected to overcome the finishing threat of Tumendemberel. The pick is for Park to win by submission, indicating confidence in his grappling advantage.

submission
"look for the counter- Striking speed and grappling of Park to overcome the finishing threat of tuman denau leading to park winning this fight by submission"
WIN vs Shannon Ross
TKO (knee and punches) R2 3:59 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Park Hyun-sung 2 50 of 124 40% 65 of 154 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:21
Shannon Ross 0 47 of 115 40% 61 of 135 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Park Hyun-sung 1 24 of 48 50% 38 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:58
Shannon Ross 0 16 of 39 41% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Park Hyun-sung 1 26 of 76 34% 27 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Shannon Ross 0 31 of 76 40% 34 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Park Hyun-sung 50 of 124 40% 33 of 101 11 of 15 6 of 8 36 of 88 6 of 14 8 of 22
Shannon Ross 47 of 115 40% 25 of 88 9 of 12 13 of 15 46 of 107 1 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Park Hyun-sung 24 of 48 50% 17 of 40 3 of 3 4 of 5 14 of 31 4 of 4 6 of 13
Shannon Ross 16 of 39 41% 10 of 30 4 of 5 2 of 4 15 of 34 1 of 5 0 of 0
2 Park Hyun-sung 26 of 76 34% 16 of 61 8 of 12 2 of 3 22 of 57 2 of 10 2 of 9
Shannon Ross 31 of 76 40% 15 of 58 5 of 7 11 of 11 31 of 73 0 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Cody picks Park Hyun-sung, though he is not high on him. He notes that Shannon Ross has an atrocious chin and gets knocked out by anyone. Cody points out that Ross was knocked out by Jesus Aguilar, who had no prior KOs. He thinks Park, even as a grappler, can land a shot and finish. Cody is interested in Park by submission at plus money but acknowledges the knockout prop is also possible. He feels forced to pick Park because Paul would never let him hear the end of it if Ross loses quickly.

Park by submission at +200; Park by KO at +120
"I guess I'm forced at taking a guy I don't really like other Park"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Paul picks Park Hyun-sung emphatically. He states that Shannon Ross has one of the worst chins in UFC history and cannot take a punch. Paul notes that Ross was knocked out by Jesus Aguilar, who had no prior KOs. He believes anyone against Ross is live to win by knockout. Paul is not interested in the moneyline due to the price but thinks there is value on Park by submission or KO props.

Park by submission or KO prop
"anybody against Shannon Ross in the UFC is live to win by knockout"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:11 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Park Hyun-sung 1 20 of 69 28% 30 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:38
Choi Seung-guk 0 38 of 91 41% 59 of 125 1 of 3 33% 3 0 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Park Hyun-sung 0 5 of 22 22% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Choi Seung-guk 0 10 of 29 34% 21 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Park Hyun-sung 1 12 of 35 34% 12 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Choi Seung-guk 0 23 of 46 50% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
3 Park Hyun-sung 0 3 of 12 25% 6 of 15 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
Choi Seung-guk 0 5 of 16 31% 7 of 22 1 of 3 33% 3 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Park Hyun-sung 20 of 69 28% 12 of 54 3 of 5 5 of 10 20 of 67 0 of 2 0 of 0
Choi Seung-guk 38 of 91 41% 20 of 61 1 of 3 17 of 27 37 of 88 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Park Hyun-sung 5 of 22 22% 3 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 5 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Choi Seung-guk 10 of 29 34% 2 of 12 0 of 1 8 of 16 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Park Hyun-sung 12 of 35 34% 7 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Choi Seung-guk 23 of 46 50% 16 of 36 0 of 1 7 of 9 23 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Park Hyun-sung 3 of 12 25% 2 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Choi Seung-guk 5 of 16 31% 2 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Big Brady sees Park as more dangerous everywhere, especially on the mat, with an 86% finish rate. He criticizes Choi's low volume and thinks Park will get a submission. He predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I'm leaning hung sunk Park to go out there and get a submission at some point this fight I think he does get the fight down to the mat and I'll say he wins by second round submission here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Choi Seung-guk

Cody picks Choi as an underdog, noting his grinding style and ability to stick to a game plan. He thinks Park may be overvalued due to quick finishes against lesser competition. He likes the prop of Park under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks, as he doesn't see Park as a wrestler.

Park under 2 takedowns (PrizePicks)
"at plus 160 considering him as as a dog shot here I'll pick them for the purposes of this show but yeah the uh the park less than two takedowns I think that's the best prize picks uh leg on …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Connor agrees, noting that Park looks like a better athlete and stronger. He highlights that Choi's takedown attempt bounced off his opponent, while Park gets to good positions and completes takedowns. He believes the physical difference will be most pronounced when they tie up.

Odds: Park opened -185, now -196; Choi opened +155, now +161.
"I do think bark is a better looking athlete, yeah, he looks stronger."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Paul leans toward Park but is not confident. He notes Park's technique, power, and grappling, but thinks the line is too high. He sees Choi as a grinder who could win by decision, but Park has more ways to win. He prefers to pass on betting.

"I think I think a smart guy just passes all together because the line on Parts too much but at the same time I don't know that I pull the trigger on a dog play here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Zane picks Park because he has found ways to finish fights and has more drive for the kind of fights he wants to have. He notes that both fighters are messy and unathletic, but Park looks stronger and more capable of enforcing his grappling. He points out that Choi bounced off an opponent on a takedown attempt, while Park completes his takedowns.

Odds: Park opened -185, now -196; Choi opened +155, now +161.
"I'm gonna go with the hyun-seung park just because he has found ways to finish people and I think he has more drive."
Expert Picks (3)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor sees Taira as a developing fighter who has improved his striking, footwork, and clinch work. He believes Taira's reach, submission grappling, and ability to punish opponents at range will be too much for Park, especially on short notice. He notes Park's style relies on bullying smaller opponents, which won't work against Taira's size and skill.

"Got to take Tyra here. Odds makers like that as well. They tie open to minus 300 is currently a minus 355."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Lucrative James sees Tatsuro Taira as the superior grappler with better back-taking ability and transitions. He notes Taira's impressive performance against Brandon Royval despite the loss, showing heart, cardio, and grappling skill. He believes Taira's youth and training at High Altitude with Cory Sandhagen will lead to improvement. He expects Taira to eventually take Albazi's back and secure a submission in the later rounds, as Albazi has shown vulnerability when giving up his neck or back. He also questions the quality of Albazi's wins, calling his win over Kai Kara-France a robbery.

Submission in round 3 or 4
"I'm expecting an improved Tatsurotara... I'm expecting Tatsurotara to win this fight against Amir Albazi this weekend."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane acknowledges Park's pressure striking and combination punching could trouble Taira, but believes Taira's improved distance management and counter-striking will allow him to punish Park's entries. He notes Park's tendency to fall into grappling exchanges, where Taira is superior. Zane concludes that Park's style is made to take advantage of lesser athletes, and Taira is not that.

"I do think Tyra has gotten to the point where it will be an actual test of how good Park's defense is... but I need to see it before I would ever pick him over somebody like Tatsu or Tyra."