Career Averages - Kevin Vallejos
Career Averages - Danny Silva
Kevin Vallejos
Danny Silva
Kevin Vallejos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Emmett | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 2 | 36 of 55 | 65% | 43 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Emmett | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 2 | 36 of 55 | 65% | 43 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Emmett | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 36 of 55 | 65% | 30 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 21 | 10 of 14 | 14 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Emmett | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 36 of 55 | 65% | 30 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 21 | 10 of 14 | 14 of 20 |
Angelo sees this as a setup fight designed to boost Kevin Vallejos. He notes that Josh Emmett is an aging fighter who no longer wrestles and relies on knockout power, but is too old and slow to keep up with Vallejos's speed and power. He believes Vallejos will win straightforwardly, possibly by knockout, and that Emmett's wrestling is no longer a factor.
Big Brady picks Kevin Vallejos to win by dominant decision. He is very worried about Josh Emmett's age (41) and the damage he took in the Ilia Topuria fight. He believes Vallejos is younger, hungrier, and will destroy Emmett on the feet over five rounds. He sees Emmett's only path as a lucky catch, but Vallejos has a good chin.
Cody picks Kevin Vallejos based on the 17-year age gap, speed advantage, and superior jab. He notes Emmett's power is his only win condition, but Vallejos has durability and can outwork him. He acknowledges the price is too rich for a parlay anchor but expects Vallejos to win.
Connor picks Vallejos, banking on his durability. He believes Vallejos will get plugged by Emmett's power but can take the shots, as evidenced by his fight with John Silva. He thinks Vallejos can build a lead over five rounds with a steady work rate.
James picks Kevin Vallejos to win, citing his boxing advantage, better technique, and ability to break Emmett down with calf kicks. He notes Emmett's durability and experience in five-round fights but believes Vallejos will win a decision. He mentions that Vallejos is improving and has a skill advantage on the feet, though he cautions about Vallejos' unproven cardio over five rounds.
The host picks Vallejos to win by decision but is hesitant due to the steep odds. He expects Vallejos to be more active and land more damage over five rounds, but acknowledges Emmett's durability and power make him a live dog. He likes the over 3.5 rounds and notes that Emmett's experience could make it competitive. He suggests Emmett at +475 has value.
Paul agrees Vallejos is talented but can't pull the trigger at -550. He would take a small shot on Emmett as a hedge, believing Emmett's durability and experience could cause problems over five rounds. He expects Vallejos to win 75% of the time but the price is too steep.
The Guru picks Kevin Vallejos, calling him the next Ilia Topuria. He believes Vallejos will weather Emmett's early power, use his shoulder roll and guard, and then piece together combinations to the body and head for a TKO in the second or third round. He notes Emmett is diminished and weak to the body.
Zane picks Vallejos based on durability and pace. He notes that Vallejos has a hell of a chin and can dictate a better pace, while Emmett is 41 and choosy. However, he acknowledges it's not clear cut and Emmett could have a good night.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 1 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 12 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 1 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 12 of 22 | 54% | 2 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 2 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 20 of 32 | 62% | 14 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 9 of 17 | 52% | 1 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 9 of 18 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 11 of 14 | 78% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vallejos (-300); Chikadze (+240)
Round 1
A potential banger at 145 pounds may treat fans over the next three rounds or fewer, as former Glory kickboxer Chikadze (15-5, 8-3 UFC) plies his trade against surging Argentinian Vallejos (16-1, 2-0 UFC). Before the feet, elbows, knees and fists fly, referee Mark Smith has to clock the fighters in. When he does, they opt to touch gloves.
After about 20 seconds of the two measuring one another, Vallejos breaks the silence with a low kick. The two stay at a wide berth from one another, too far for kicking range so they just shadowbox and hop around. Chikadze is well short of his intended target when he finally does throw his first kick, and when he tries another, he slips. Vallejos runs at him to take advantage of the moment, but Chikadze recovers and bails before Vallejos can pin him down. They get back to the center of the Octagon bobbing and faking at one another, striking totals in the single digits after two minutes. Vallejos lobs a low kick, and Chikadze checks it and splits his shin wide open.
Both men land flush, and Vallejos pushes after the kickboxer and pressures him to the wall. Smith admonishes someone for chattering at him during the fight, and they split apart. The shin wound from before gradually widens, with blood streaming down his foot. Vallejos walks the striker down and pumps him in the jaw, and he dodges a spinning wheel kick as the uneventful round wraps.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Round 2
The two strikers once again are tentative to get going. Chikadze eventually goes into action with a body kick and a high kick. The kicks from the Georgian are keeping Vallejos from largely going after him, until he decides it is time to start fighting. He steps back to avoid a low kick, and reaches out with a right hand over the top. This clips Chikadze, who is surprised that the strike hurt him as badly as it did and backs off in a hurry. Vallejos loads up with a second that lands on the neck, and Chikadze shrugs at him, his back to the fence. Vallejos opens up with a right hand to the body that misses, but this is to set a deadly trap.
He spins with the momentum gained by turning into the direction of his right hook, and he crashes a spinning back fist square into Chikadze’s dome. Chikadze crumples to the floor at an odd angle, his right arm trapped beneath him and his left stuck as well. This allows the Argentinian to demolish him with three concussive elbows, each of which seem to shut off and reawaken the “Ninja” in rapid, painful succession.
Smith sees that Chikadze’s eyes are wide and staring lifelessly at the mat, and he waves the fight off. Chikadze tries to work himself back to his feet but is struggling to stay upright under his own power. This is the first time he has been knocked out, with Vallejos walking off triumphantly.
The Official Result
Kevin Vallejos def. Giga Chikadze R2 1:29 via KO (Spinning Back Fist and Elbows)
Cody picks Vallejos, citing Giga's age, injuries, and lack of interest. He notes Vallejos's youth, durability, and pressure style, and expects him to outwork Giga by mixing in takedowns and volume. He predicts a decision win for Vallejos.
Lucrative James is a fan of Kevin Vallejos and picks him to win, possibly by knockout. He highlights Vallejos' youth, athleticism, power, and multiple paths to victory, including grappling and boxing. He notes Giga Chikadze's cardio issues and susceptibility to grappling, and believes Vallejos can finish him. He projects Vallejos as a -250 favorite.
Paul also picks Vallejos, emphasizing that the key to beating Giga is constant pressure, which Vallejos excels at. He mentions Vallejos's takedown threat and body work, and suggests a Vallejos by decision prop at plus 150.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 69 of 164 | 42% | 73 of 168 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 90 of 229 | 39% | 90 of 230 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 19 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 35 of 81 | 43% | 35 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 37 of 75 | 49% | 38 of 76 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 36 of 94 | 38% | 36 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Vallejos | 69 of 164 | 42% | 51 of 135 | 12 of 17 | 6 of 12 | 68 of 160 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 90 of 229 | 39% | 60 of 184 | 27 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 81 of 217 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Vallejos | 10 of 39 | 25% | 4 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 19 of 54 | 35% | 9 of 40 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kevin Vallejos | 22 of 50 | 44% | 15 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 35 of 81 | 43% | 21 of 59 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 76 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kevin Vallejos | 37 of 75 | 49% | 32 of 69 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 36 of 94 | 38% | 30 of 85 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 88 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Connor leans toward Vallejos, citing his clear pressure-counter game and methodical aggression. He believes Vallejos's sense of goal and pressure will help him win rounds, even if Silva is a faster athlete. Connor acknowledges Silva's tricky pot-shotting but thinks Vallejos's style is more likely to impose itself.
Lucrative James admits bias as a fan of Kevin Vallejos but provides analysis. He highlights Vallejos' impressive performance against Jean Silva, taking round one and showing durability. He believes Vallejos has superior power and boxing, and will land the harder shots, possibly scoring a knockdown or knockout. He acknowledges Danny Silva's wider skill set and takedowns but trusts Vallejos' pressure and power to win a decision or finish. He calls it a potential fight of the night.
Zane picks Silva, noting his good defensive instincts, angle cutting, and ability to frustrate opponents with pot shots. He believes Silva's style is well-suited to counter Vallejos's pressure, and that Vallejos may need to show more initiative to win. Zane also mentions Silva's only loss was a majority decision, indicating competitiveness.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeungWoo Choi | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 1 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SeungWoo Choi | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 1 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeungWoo Choi | 16 of 44 | 36% | 4 of 20 | 1 of 8 | 11 of 16 | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 14 of 27 | 51% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SeungWoo Choi | 16 of 44 | 36% | 4 of 20 | 1 of 8 | 11 of 16 | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Vallejos | 14 of 27 | 51% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Kevin Vallejos over Choi Seung-woo. He is very confident in Vallejos, citing his power, speed, and the fact that Choi has been knocked out recently. He notes that UFC debuts can be nerve-wracking but believes Vallejos is the real deal. He expects the odds to move further in Vallejos' favor.
Big Brady picks Kevin Vallejos, calling Choi Seung-woo very hittable and chinny. He notes that Choi has been knocked down or finished by lesser strikers like Michael Trizano and Josh Culibao, and that his style of standing and banging when hurt will backfire against Vallejos. Brady expects Vallejos to land a brutal first-round knockout, predicting he 'pipes up' Choi on sight.
Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his speed, movement, and ability to finish. He notes that Eric Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights and is 38 years old. He believes Duncan can land a knockout, possibly in the first round, and considers the KO prop at plus 200.
Connor agrees, noting that Vallejos is a much more natural puncher inside and that Choi will relegate himself to brawling. He compares Vallejos to Jack Della Maddalena without a jab, but still fearsome. He also mentions that Vallejos looks for ways in off his opponent's offense and is a damn good combination puncher once he gets you out of position.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host believes this is a horrible matchup for Choi, who may have an output advantage but will eventually be caught by Vallejos crashing the pocket with big shots that put him clean out.
Paul also picks Duncan, noting that Anders is a low-volume fighter who has been dropped early in recent fights. He believes Duncan's speed and athleticism will be too much, and he expects a finish. He is considering the KO prop as well.
The MMA Guru is very high on Kevin Vallejos, calling him the 'people's Main Event' and a real deal prospect. He praises his striking, head movement, and defensive responsibility, noting he took Jean Silva to a decision on the Contender Series at age 21. He criticizes Choi Seung-woo's bad chin and knockout losses, including to Mike Trizano. He predicts Vallejos will get a TKO finish in the second round, possibly late first, and believes he will go far in the division.
Zane picks Vallejos because he believes Vallejos has a good chin (going three rounds with John Silva) and that Choi will eventually brawl, which favors Vallejos' natural pocket punching. He notes that Vallejos is a good combination puncher with defense, and that Choi cannot fight from distance forever. He acknowledges the competition level concern but thinks Vallejos has the tools.
Danny Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 17 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Danny Silva | 2 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 20 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 38 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:56 | |
| 2 | Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danny Silva | 2 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurtis Campbell | 17 of 41 | 41% | 12 of 29 | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 16 of 32 | 50% | 11 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 23 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kurtis Campbell | 15 of 36 | 41% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 6 of 20 | 30% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Kurtis Campbell | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 10 of 12 | 83% | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Kurtis Campbell because of his excellent wrestling and BJJ, expecting him to shoot takedowns repeatedly. He acknowledges Danny Silva is tough and has good takedown defense, but believes Campbell's wrestling will be the difference, especially fighting in England.
Big Brady is confident in Kurtis Campbell, praising his well-rounded skills, nasty ground and pound, and high ceiling. He notes that Campbell is only 23 and the hometown favorite. He thinks Campbell will mix in takedowns and get into dominant positions, but Danny Silva is extremely tough and won't be knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Campbell.
Cody echoes Paul, noting Campbell's diverse arsenal and Silva's defensive liabilities. He expects Campbell to get the job done.
Connor picks Silva as well, echoing Zane's reasoning. He notes that Silva is a fast athlete with volume, but has no sense of pace and makes exchanges he doesn't need to. Connor trusts Silva's athleticism and technique over Campbell's, but admits Campbell could win if Silva fails to dissuade his pressure. He calls Campbell a 'male Jillian Robertson' who relies on grappling.
Daniel Vreeland picks Charlie Campbell to win his UFC debut. He praises Campbell's wrestling, top pressure, and mental toughness, while criticizing Silva's tendency to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to take Silva down and control the fight.
Daniel likes Campbell's maturity and mindset, comparing him to younger prospects like Vallejos. He thinks Campbell's pressure and mixing of strikes will overwhelm Silva, who tends to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to win by decision or submission.
Silva has elite cardio, toughness, and durability, which will trouble debutant Campbell. Campbell is more skilled but hasn't faced someone with Silva's pressure. Silva should win if he can survive early rounds and push pace. The odds are too wide; Silva is the value bet.
James picks Charlie Campbell, praising his high fight IQ and well-rounded skills. He thinks Campbell's grappling and ability to make the right decisions will be key. He notes that Silva is tough but lacks standout skills, while Campbell has multiple weapons.
The host is confident in Kurtis Campbell winning by finish (TKO or submission). He praises Campbell's relentless pressure, grappling, and strength, while Silva is seen as a technical striker without knockout power. He expects Campbell to mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, leading to a finish.
Paul likes Campbell's power, volume, and youth, while Silva is a generalist who struggles in close fights. He expects Campbell to win by decision or late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Kurtis Campbell to win by second-round submission. He praises Campbell's well-roundedness and ability to hurt opponents with seemingly light shots. He notes Silva has a good chin but has taken damage and has scar tissue, and Campbell's dynamic striking and grappling will be too much. He expects Campbell to open Silva up and find a rear-naked choke.
Zane picks Silva but is hesitant because Silva has a tendency to keep opponents in fights despite being athletically superior. He notes that Silva is faster and stronger than anyone Campbell has faced, and has good striking, but he lets opponents stay competitive. Zane trusts Silva's skills over Campbell's, as Campbell's wins are against low-level competition and he relies on bullying. However, he acknowledges Campbell could win if Silva makes characteristic mistakes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 69 of 164 | 42% | 73 of 168 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 90 of 229 | 39% | 90 of 230 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 19 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 35 of 81 | 43% | 35 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Kevin Vallejos | 0 | 37 of 75 | 49% | 38 of 76 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 36 of 94 | 38% | 36 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Vallejos | 69 of 164 | 42% | 51 of 135 | 12 of 17 | 6 of 12 | 68 of 160 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 90 of 229 | 39% | 60 of 184 | 27 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 81 of 217 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Vallejos | 10 of 39 | 25% | 4 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 19 of 54 | 35% | 9 of 40 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kevin Vallejos | 22 of 50 | 44% | 15 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 35 of 81 | 43% | 21 of 59 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 76 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kevin Vallejos | 37 of 75 | 49% | 32 of 69 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 36 of 94 | 38% | 30 of 85 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 88 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Connor leans toward Vallejos, citing his clear pressure-counter game and methodical aggression. He believes Vallejos's sense of goal and pressure will help him win rounds, even if Silva is a faster athlete. Connor acknowledges Silva's tricky pot-shotting but thinks Vallejos's style is more likely to impose itself.
Lucrative James admits bias as a fan of Kevin Vallejos but provides analysis. He highlights Vallejos' impressive performance against Jean Silva, taking round one and showing durability. He believes Vallejos has superior power and boxing, and will land the harder shots, possibly scoring a knockdown or knockout. He acknowledges Danny Silva's wider skill set and takedowns but trusts Vallejos' pressure and power to win a decision or finish. He calls it a potential fight of the night.
Zane picks Silva, noting his good defensive instincts, angle cutting, and ability to frustrate opponents with pot shots. He believes Silva's style is well-suited to counter Vallejos's pressure, and that Vallejos may need to show more initiative to win. Zane also mentions Silva's only loss was a majority decision, indicating competitiveness.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 0 | 82 of 137 | 59% | 85 of 141 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
| Lucas Almeida | 0 | 74 of 240 | 30% | 78 of 244 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Lucas Almeida | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 18 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 0 | 36 of 55 | 65% | 36 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Lucas Almeida | 0 | 29 of 89 | 32% | 32 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 22 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Lucas Almeida | 0 | 28 of 99 | 28% | 28 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 82 of 137 | 59% | 45 of 96 | 14 of 18 | 23 of 23 | 81 of 133 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Lucas Almeida | 74 of 240 | 30% | 49 of 203 | 14 of 23 | 11 of 14 | 73 of 239 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 24 of 43 | 55% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 13 | 24 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Almeida | 17 of 52 | 32% | 8 of 37 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 36 of 55 | 65% | 21 of 38 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Lucas Almeida | 29 of 89 | 32% | 21 of 78 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 29 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 22 of 39 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Almeida | 28 of 99 | 28% | 20 of 88 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Danny Silva, noting his durability and the fact that he showed wrestling as a backup plan in his last fight. He acknowledges that Silva's striking defense is terrible and he will get hit, but believes he can outlast Lucas Almeida and potentially use takedowns. He is hesitant due to Silva's poor striking defense and the high price tag.
Big Brady picks Danny Silva, citing his youth, durability, volume, and wrestling/grappling upside. He questions Lucas Almeida's ground game, noting he gets stuck on his back. He predicts Silva will mix in takedowns and submit Almeida in the second round.
The host believes many are overlooking the Brazilian's chances, especially at plus 160 odds. He expects Almeida to utilize his Muay Thai approach to cut up Danny Silva and impress the judges, winning a decision.
The Guru picks Danny Silva over Lucas Almeida. He likes Silva's toughness, grit, and cardio shown on the contender series and in his UFC debut. He views Almeida as a 50/50 fighter with mixed results, and favors the prospect Silva. He predicts a 29-28 decision in a back-and-forth scrap.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 0 | 87 of 202 | 43% | 89 of 205 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 45 of 107 | 42% | 56 of 119 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 5:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 0 | 32 of 80 | 40% | 32 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 13 of 32 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 29 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 23 of 49 | 46% | 31 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 87 of 202 | 43% | 59 of 168 | 20 of 26 | 8 of 8 | 86 of 199 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 45 of 107 | 42% | 28 of 82 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 7 | 44 of 106 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 32 of 80 | 40% | 23 of 69 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 80 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 11 of 28 | 39% | 6 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 27 of 55 | 49% | 17 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 11 of 30 | 36% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 55 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 64 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 23 of 49 | 46% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised the line is -170 for Culibao, but he thinks Culibao is the much better fighter everywhere. Culibao is a solid, aggressive striker who throws with heat and is always live for a knockout, while Silva has clean technique but is not dangerous and can be taken down. He notes Culibao looked terrible in his last loss but still expects him to win, and advises jumping on the line early as it may widen.
Big Brady picks Danny Silva to win by third-round knockout. He likes Silva's relentless pressure and high volume, and thinks he can break Culibao, who has been finished before. He acknowledges Culibao's power but believes Silva's chin and pace will be too much.
Cody picks Danny Silva as the underdog, citing his high volume and durability. He notes Culibao has low output (career high 53 significant strikes) and no takedowns in the UFC. Silva throws volume and can outwork Culibao, though he may get caught. He sees Silva's activity swaying the judges.
The host expects a firefight on the feet but believes Culibao will eventually drag the fight to the ground and implement a submission-heavy game. He predicts Culibao will snatch a submission and mentions that the under 2.5 rounds is likely the best value.
Paul picks Josh Culibao, citing his experience and power. He is not impressed by Silva's regional competition and thinks Culibao can intercept Silva's recklessness with his own power. He acknowledges Silva's volume but believes Culibao's power and experience give him the edge.
The Guru picks Danny Silva, impressed by his contender series performance and pace. He criticizes Culibao's recent wins as unimpressive, noting he was manhandled by Jai Herbert and struggled against low-level opponents. He believes Silva's body shots and power will be key, and that Culibao is 'soft-bodied' and vulnerable. He also mentions Culibao took a beating from Lerone Murphy.
Expert Picks (3)
Connor leans toward Vallejos, citing his clear pressure-counter game and methodical aggression. He believes Vallejos's sense of goal and pressure will help him win rounds, even if Silva is a faster athlete. Connor acknowledges Silva's tricky pot-shotting but thinks Vallejos's style is more likely to impose itself.
Lucrative James admits bias as a fan of Kevin Vallejos but provides analysis. He highlights Vallejos' impressive performance against Jean Silva, taking round one and showing durability. He believes Vallejos has superior power and boxing, and will land the harder shots, possibly scoring a knockdown or knockout. He acknowledges Danny Silva's wider skill set and takedowns but trusts Vallejos' pressure and power to win a decision or finish. He calls it a potential fight of the night.
Zane picks Silva, noting his good defensive instincts, angle cutting, and ability to frustrate opponents with pot shots. He believes Silva's style is well-suited to counter Vallejos's pressure, and that Vallejos may need to show more initiative to win. Zane also mentions Silva's only loss was a majority decision, indicating competitiveness.
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