vs
-155 +199
UFC 328 · May 09, 2026 · Featherweight · Completed
Age 35
Height 5' 8"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 28
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Pat Sabatini
1.69 SLpM
59.0% Str. Acc.
1.09 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
4.48 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
1.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - William Gomis
3.48 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.76 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.86 TD Avg
38.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Pat Sabatini
Moneyline
Caesars -155
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1200
Submission
FanDuel +270
Decision
FanDuel +190
William Gomis
Moneyline
Pinnacle +199
KO/TKO
BetRivers +525
Submission
FanDuel +2500
Decision
FanDuel +310
Pat Sabatini - Fight History
WIN vs William Gomis
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 25 of 70 35% 78 of 125 3 of 20 15% 0 0 11:12
William Gomis 0 23 of 64 35% 54 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 3 of 11 27% 16 of 24 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:36
William Gomis 0 2 of 4 50% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 8 of 30 26% 31 of 54 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:17
William Gomis 0 10 of 30 33% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pat Sabatini 0 14 of 29 48% 31 of 47 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:19
William Gomis 0 11 of 30 36% 26 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 25 of 70 35% 7 of 44 6 of 10 12 of 16 18 of 57 7 of 13 0 of 0
William Gomis 23 of 64 35% 12 of 50 8 of 10 3 of 4 13 of 49 10 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 3 of 7 0 of 0
William Gomis 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 8 of 30 26% 2 of 19 2 of 5 4 of 6 7 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
William Gomis 10 of 30 33% 5 of 22 4 of 6 1 of 2 7 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 14 of 29 48% 3 of 15 3 of 4 8 of 10 11 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
William Gomis 11 of 30 36% 6 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 22 5 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sabatini (-205), Gomis (+170)

Round 1
An interesting stylistic clash will move the prelims along, with grappling ace Sabatini (21-5, 8-2 UFC) ready and willing to burst out after 10 previous walks to the cage. He will square off with MMA Factory product Gomis (15-3, 5-1 UFC), with the two featherweights under observation by referee Vincent Dudley. Fists are bumped before they are traded.
The taller Gomis marches forward, watching Sabatini kicks fly past him. Sabatini shoots in low for a single, forcing Gomis to the wall and hurling him to the floor. Gomis climbs back up but is still in the arms of his opponent. This strategy totally stifles the Frenchman, with Sabatini controlling and not needing to take the fight down to keep Gomis from landing anything. Johnny Cage, the Pennsylvanian isn’t, as he would much rather wrestle than throw hands, feet, elbows or his sunglasses.
Gomis turns to put his shoulder on the fence and try to escape, but he is stuck without answers. Sabatini slugs him a few times in the face with his free hand, otherwise controlling for long stretches at a time. Little else happens while they do this. Sabatini goes low for a single, briefly dragging Gomis to a knee. Gomis stands, and Sabatini complains to Dudley that his glove is being grabbed. Dudley clears Gomis from any foul, and while they are paying attention to the referee, Sabatini slings Gomis to his seat. Gomis tries for a few elbow strikes from a funny angle, and the slog of a round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Gomis walks Sabatini down to start the round, but he does not commit to anything as he knows a takedown attempt is coming. Sabatini feints, fakes and works his way forward to back Gomis off, and he shoots in on his hips. Gomis stands him up by putting his back to the cage wall, with Sabatini leaning on him kneeing him once or twice. Sabatini lifts Gomis’ left leg all the way in the air to set him down on the canvas, but he can only keep Gomis down for a second or two before he is back up. Sabatini lifts Gomis off the ground completely to slam him on his face, and once more, Gomis is speedy at rushing back to his feet. The grind is firmly embraced by Sabatini, as he has controlled and neutralized the Frenchman largely to this point.
Gomis times the right moment to escape, and he takes a right hand on the beard as he resets. Gomis kicks Sabatini in the groin, and Sabatini waves him off and keeps plodding forward. Sabatini loops a right hand, a left, and a jumping switch kick behind it. Gomis times a body kick when he is landing, and he just misses a head kick to follow. Sabatini ducks a one-two to attack a takedown, pushing Gomis to the fencing to defend it. He holds Gomis in place, but does not ground him. With 15 seconds left in the round, Gomis breaks out. They clash kicks at the same time, and both trade fierce hands before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 3
The athletes touch gloves, and Gomis wants to punch him in the face directly thereafter. They clash leg kicks together, their shins slamming together loudly. Gomis loads up on power, hoping for the home run blow as he is likely down on the scorecards. Two takedown shots from Sabatini fail, and Gomis stands him up with a flush elbow on the cheek. Sabatini, swelling growing under his left eye fast from that elbow, plods forward threatening and faking strikes on his way in. He dives after a single, pushing Gomis to the fence with three-plus minutes left on the clock. Fans do not appreciate the ubiquitous grappler who is somehow able to get all over Gomis and completely overwhelm him with his approach at once.
Gomis knees him in the stomach, and he gets dragged down to the floor on his face. Sabatini briefly grinds Gomis face on a part of the canvas with blood drops on it that make a pattern reminiscent of a gruesome ladybug, and Gomis fights as best he can to stand back up. Sabatini chains attempts to hit mat returns, and otherwise rips precious seconds off the clock. Gomis gets space with seconds left and starts throwing hands wildly like a spinning top. Sabatini rocks him with a right hand, and the grueling contest ends. Gomis raises his hand in hopes that he sneaks out two of three rounds to get the unexpected nod. We’ll see what happens.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. William Gomis via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo is confident in Pat Sabatini, noting his incredible grappling and control. He believes Sabatini will take down William Gomez repeatedly and that Gomez's slow technical style won't be enough to stop the takedowns. He mentions that Sabatini has looked incredible lately and that the odds are good value.

has some bets on him
"Pat's going to be the pick and I'm definitely more confident than these odds are in him."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, citing his dominant wrestling and takedown ability. He notes Sabatini took down Chepe Mariscal seven times and expects similar against Gomis. He says Gomis can be taken down and lacks one-punch knockout power, so Sabatini faces no risk of being KO'd. He loves the minus 133 odds and thinks it's a dominant win.

Angelo mentions the odds are minus 133 and he absolutely loves those odds.
"Pat Sabatini is the pick and unless he decides to go out there and showcase to a hometown crowd and start only throwing hands, it's not going to be an exciting fight, but it should be a dominant one that …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Big Brady is confident Pat Sabatini wins, citing his elite wrestling and control. He notes Gomis lacks power and has been taken down and put in bad spots before. Brady expects Sabatini to get takedowns and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission, as Gomis has shown vulnerability to submissions.

"I actually think Pat Sabatini not only wins this fight, but potentially gets a submission as well. I'll take Pat Sabatini to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, citing his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Gomis's takedown defense issues and thinks Sabatini can control him on the ground. Cody expects Sabatini to win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission (plus 200)
"Sabatini by sub has my attention, too, because it's like plus 200."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Connor picks Sabatini, believing his wrestling is good enough to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Sabatini is a better wrestler than others who have had success against Gomis. Connor expects a razor-thin decision, possibly a split, but thinks Sabatini's dedication to his game plan will earn him the nod.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170.
"I'll take Sabatini for the hell of it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Daniel picks Sabatini, reasoning that Gomis is a point fighter who doesn't dish out much damage, so Sabatini will take him down and control him on the ground. He believes Sabatini's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm also going Sabatini. The reason why is the way to beat him is to put the damage on him. And Gome is very good point fighter, but point fighter, he doesn't really dish out too much damage. I think …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Sabatini has home advantage and a relentless grappling style that will smother Gomis. Gomis is a volume striker who needs distance, but Sabatini will either be far outside or in the clinch/takedown range. Gomis has poor takedown defense and takes a long time to get back up; he's been in many split decisions. Sabatini's cardio allows him to grapple for three rounds. Unless Gomis has significantly improved his takedown defense, Sabatini should control the fight.

Bet at 1.46 odds (implied -216). No stake mentioned explicitly, but implied from context. No other props.
"I think that Pat Sabatini is a great bet this weekend for lots of different reasons... I do like Sabatini a lot this weekend. I know he's a big favorite... 1.46 minus 216 for an implied probability of 68% is …"
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Lean picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Pat Sabatini

Predicted method: Submission Round 2. Sabatini's grappling-heavy style (4.48 takedowns per round, 1.5 submission average) is a clear path to victory against Gomis, who has only 72% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times. Gomis has a reach advantage (73" vs 70") and solid striking, but Sabatini's pressure and top control will neutralize that. Sabatini has won three straight and is a proven finisher on the ground. Expect Sabatini to secure takedowns and win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission +270
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Jacob agrees with Angelo, stating that Gomez will either land a knee or headkick on an entry or get taken down and controlled. He praises Sabatini's wrestling and control, noting that Gomez is comfortable fighting off his back foot but that Sabatini's pressure and takedowns will be too much. He thinks the price is about right.

"I just think Williams probably going to land a knee or he isn't. And then if he's not, you know, I think it's priced pretty right."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini because he believes Sabatini's grappling will be too much for William Gomis, who is a pure striker without power or strong takedown defense. He notes that Gomis prefers to stay on the outside, which plays into Sabatini's game of closing distance and taking the fight to the ground. He predicts Sabatini wins by submission in round two.

"Pat Sabatini to win this fight. ... via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The host picks Sabatini, emphasizing his dominant grappling and ability to control opponents on the ground. He notes that Sabatini's striking is a liability but believes his wrestling will be too much for Gomis, who has shown defensive grappling improvements but may struggle to keep the fight standing. He expects Sabatini to win by decision, possibly at a better price if the line moves.

"I'm still going to go with Sabatini here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Paul picks Sabatini, citing his grappling advantage and Gomis's vulnerability. He thinks Sabatini will get takedowns and control the fight. Paul expects Sabatini to win by decision.

"Pat Sabatini is the man. Now how does he lose fights is when he doesn't shoot the takedowns."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini, praising his elite grappling. He notes Sabatini dominated Shep Mariscal and Joe Anderson Britto, while Gomis had close fights with Britto and others. He worries about Sabatini's chin on the feet but believes his takedowns and top control will secure a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

"I'm going to go with Pat Zabatini to get this one done. Also, William Gomez, um not Clayton Carpenter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
William Gomis

Zane picks Gomis hesitantly. He notes that Gomis is a back-foot neutralizer who can make Sabatini work hard for takedowns. However, Gomis is not a finisher and may not do enough to win rounds decisively. Zane thinks Sabatini's one-dimensional wrestling could be neutralized, leading to a close decision, but Gomis's ability to avoid damage and counter could edge it.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170. Feels like a coin flip.
"I think I am still going to pick Gomes."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 29 41% 40 of 61 7 of 12 58% 0 0 10:37
Chepe Mariscal 0 7 of 19 36% 48 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 15 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:33
2 Pat Sabatini 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 4 of 8 50% 0 0 3:36
Chepe Mariscal 0 5 of 10 50% 32 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Pat Sabatini 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:22
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 12 of 29 41% 10 of 24 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 18 2 of 2 6 of 9
Chepe Mariscal 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3 6 of 13 1 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 4 of 11 36% 3 of 7 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 6
Chepe Mariscal 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 2
3 Pat Sabatini 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, praising his pressure, wrestling, and scrambling ability. He believes Chepe is the better striker and wrestler, and that Pat Sabatini's striking is stiff and he is chinny. Angelo is confident and placed a bet at -113, expecting the line to expand.

bet at -113 odds
"Chepee is the pick. And right off the rip, we've got a pretty affordable money line."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal as a slight underdog, acknowledging a clear path for Sabatini via wrestling but favoring Mariscal's striking power. He notes Sabatini's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Damon Jackson and Diego Lopez, and believes Mariscal can exploit that. Brady sees Mariscal's judo as helpful in getting back to his feet and predicts a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"Give me Chepe Mariscal to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, noting that his grappling is elite and that Mariscal has been taken down by everyone. He believes Sabatini has learned from his knockout losses and will stick to wrestling. Cody thinks Sabatini can grind out a decision or possibly submit Mariscal. He is not fully confident but sees the path.

"I actually have him going Pat Sabatini."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Connor also picks Mariscal, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Mariscal is one of the most fluidly offensively minded fighters and that Sabatini needs to dominate and stop the fight from happening, which he can't do against Mariscal. He thinks Mariscal's style is a nightmare for Sabatini.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently -130? Connor says 'I agreed'.
"I agreed."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Daniel sees this as a close fight and picks the underdog Mariscal to win again. He notes that Sabatini's chin is suspect and Mariscal's judo and wild style could keep the fight standing, where Sabatini is vulnerable. He expects a back-and-forth scrap that could end in a knockout for Mariscal.

"I'm going to take the underdog chep Marisk to beat Pat Sabatini for a second time."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini to win, believing his elite grappling and top control will be too much for Mariscal. He notes Sabatini's improved control since their first fight and Mariscal's tendency to be taken down. He expects Sabatini to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision.

"I'm picking Patrick Sabatini to get his revenge and win this fight as the underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal makes it look more dominant than their first fight. He scrambles and stays ahead of Sabatini, then overwhelms him on the feet leading to a TKO victory.

TKO victory
"I expect him to make it look more dominant while he scrambles and stays ahead of the game with Sabatini and then eventually overwhelms Sabatini on the feet leading to a TKO victory for Jeep Mariscal."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, noting that he is a better striker and has knockout power. He points out that Sabatini has been knocked out when he tries to strike. Paul thinks Mariscal could win by knockout if he keeps the fight standing. However, he acknowledges the risk of Sabatini's grappling and is not fully committed.

Chepe by knockout (suggested at +370)
"Chepe by knockout if you get a good price on it, 100% on the table."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, highlighting his pressure, volume, chin, and scrambling ability. He believes Mariscal's stocky frame will make him hard to hold down for Sabatini, who relies on control. The Guru also notes that judging trends may favor Mariscal if the fight is close. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Mariscal.

"I'm going to go with Shet Mariscal here. Um, I actually might take him by finish for once."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, noting that Mariscal is an excellent scrambler who never stops fighting and that Sabatini struggles to lock him down. He thinks the fight will be uncomfortable for Sabatini because Mariscal is fluid and creative in scrambles. He also notes that Mariscal has never been submitted and has a good chin.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently +110? Actually, transcript says 'Marasco is an underdog mind open a minus 200 currently plus one 10' but then '17, you the favorite, but a plus one 70 currently minus one 30' - likely confusion. Based on context, Mariscal is favorite at -130. Zane says 'I don't understand that at all' about the odds.
"I still think it's going to be a fight that it's just fundamentally uncomfortable for Sabatini because it's very difficult to lock Chepe Marasco down and keep him out of the fight."
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 24 of 31 77% 135 of 158 4 of 5 80% 1 0 13:47
Joanderson Brito 0 3 of 9 33% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 14 85% 22 of 28 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:43
Joanderson Brito 0 1 of 1 100% 10 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 8 75% 52 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:34
Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 4 50% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 9 66% 61 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:30
Joanderson Brito 0 0 of 4 0% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 24 of 31 77% 22 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 23
Joanderson Brito 3 of 9 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 12 of 14 85% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 12
Joanderson Brito 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Joanderson Brito 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 6
Joanderson Brito 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-205), Sabatini (+170)

Round 1
It is a grappler against a wild man in the co-main event, one where the winner might potentially have a number next to their name on Monday. Philly-based grappler Sabatini (19-5, 6-2 UFC) will present danger for as long as the bout is on the mat, but every fight starts on the feet. Brito (17-4-1, 5-2 UFC) is no slouch when grappling, so fun exchanges could come early and often. Referee Keith Peterson will have his hands full with these featherweights, although he is able to take a breath as the fighters look to collide with no nonsense in the building. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brito gest right to walking the American down. Sabatini springs from side to side, tossing out one kick and having Brito respond with a kick. Sabatini follows the Brazilian’s kick with a single, which he uses to deposit Brito on the canvas easily. Brito defends with the guillotine off his back, opening himself up to Von Preux choke danger as Sabatini traps him with an arm-triangle at the same time. Brito scoots his way to the wall to take a bit of pressure off of him, and he follows the moving legs of his opponent to maintain half guard or guard. Sabatini tries again for the Von Flue, and he pulls his own head out of Brito’s sub. Sabatini stays flat on his man, squeezing down with an arm-triangle setup while Brito smacks him with short but frustrating strikes off his back. Sabatini gets off the heavier of the blows while above, but Brito still manages to put his back on the wire. Sabatini pulls him away from the fence, and Brito sits to stand while Sabatini threatening with a guillotine choke. Sabatini lands a single knee before letting go of the choke, and he lifts Brito in the air and slams him down to the floor. With Brito hanging on with the guillotine, the Von Preux counter is troubling him as Sabatini clings to his neck with his left arm. Sabatini uses his weight to push Brito against the wall and hope for the leverage to be right for a submission. Brito stays calm and wriggles his neck out of danger, and Sabatini climbs into half guard and assaults him with punches and elbows. Brito attacks off his back, and again Sabatini’s are far more effective. The one-sided round ends with both men flailing at one another.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Sabatini motions awkwardly to his opponent, offering the glove touch while also wanting to stay far away from the grappler. Brito kicks, and Sabatini sells out for a takedown. Brito hits his seat searching for a front choke, and Sabatini laughs it off and pushes Brito to his back. Sabatini establishes himself on top in half guard, smothering Brito and preventing the expected explosions thanks in part to heavy chest pressure. Sabatini looks to hook up a crucifix with his knee, and he opens things up to try to pass guard, only for Brito to drag him back. Sabatini strikes when he finds openings, irritating the dangerous “Tubarao” while energy is drained from his tank. Brito uses butterfly hooks to push off, and Sabatini is so singularly focused on the top control that he is not budging. Sabatini scores several left hands on the chin, and he times Brito sitting up to flatten him back out in an instant. The Brazilian is out of ideas, with Sabatini two steps ahead of him at every turn. Sabatini renders his foe fairly powerless until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 3
Brito jogs out of his corner to touch gloves, and he dodges a spin strike to come up top with a huge right hand. Sabatini rolls with the punch and switches stances to work his way forward. Brito absorbs a spinning back fist to swing back a right hand, and he jumps guard with a guillotine choke when Sabatini shoots in for a single. Sabatini issues the thumbs-up a few times as the submission is not under his chin, and he threatens with another Von Preux until Brito releases the grip. Sabatini resides in the half guard, where he has spent most of this fight, and he bludgeons Brito every so often. When Brito goes for broke swinging with his back stuck on the floor, Sabatini postures up to drill him with some ground-and-pound. The smothering continues for the Renzo Gracie Philly fighter, displaying that there are levels to this grappling thing. Brito, a savvy submission artist in his own right, has been blanked tonight, with a ceiling that is very clear above him. Sabatini circles around to take Brito’s back, getting his hooks in, and he starts hunting for a kneebar. When Brito turns over, he gives up mount, and Sabatini starts whaling on him. Brito gets to a knee despite taking strikes on the sides of the head, and Sabatini takes any remaining hope and deposits it in the local trash can with dominant control and grappling wizardry. It might not have been the most scintillating to watch, but Sabatini sends a message that the fearsome marauder Brito has met his match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-25 Sabatini)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. Joanderson Brito via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo acknowledges this fight has trap written all over it. He notes Joanderson Brito has power and Pat Sabatini is chinny, but also that Brito's BJJ off his back is poor while Sabatini is phenomenal on top. He predicts the fight won't go the distance, with Brito likely knocking out Sabatini or Sabatini submitting Brito. He picks Brito due to cardio improvements and power, but warns Sabatini could sneak a win as a dog.

does not go the distance
"I'm going to pick breu and maybe he's going to land clean and that'll be the end of it or maybe he plants his feet overcommits gets taken down and put in a lot of trouble early either way does …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito, citing Pat Sabatini's questionable chin and Brito's power. He believes Sabatini needs a perfect 15-minute grappling performance to win, but Brito will eventually land a big shot and knock him out, likely in the first round.

first round knockout
"give me Joe Anderson bre2 to win this fight I'll say it's first round knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Brito. He highlights Brito's dangerous athleticism and Sabatini's stiffness on the feet. Connor notes that Brito's chaotic style often leads to finishes, and while Sabatini could win by grinding him down, Brito's ability to create scrambles and his durability make him the pick. He also mentions Brito's tendency to put himself in bad positions but believes Sabatini is too breakable.

"Sounds right to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Sabatini could have success with his chain wrestling and BJJ, but Brito's striking and power are favored. Brito is expected to land big power shots that Sabatini cannot handle, leading to a knockout in the first or second round.

knockout in round 1 or 2
"I have to lean with the Striking and power of Bru sabatini could have some success with his chain wrestling and his BJJ but look for britu to land big Power shots that sabatini is unable to handle leading to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, calling him too powerful, fast, and dangerous on the feet. He notes Brito's win over Diego Lopez and believes he will stuff Sabatini's takedowns and land strikes for a TKO. He expects a first-round finish, possibly within two minutes, and considers the matchup a mismatch.

Joanderson Brito wins by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Joe Anderson Britto. Powerful start. probably draw out a bad panicked shot from Pat Sabatini pretty early on and then just start cruising and bruising for a TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito, emphasizing Sabatini's stiff striking and vulnerability to being overwhelmed. He notes Brito's athleticism and tendency to finish fights, but also his recklessness. Zane believes Sabatini's anxious, structured style will struggle with Brito's chaotic, high-pressure approach, and that Brito's athleticism will create a moment where Sabatini can't secure a takedown and gets caught.

Brito opened -206, now -236; Sabatini opened +169, now +213. Zane notes the line shouldn't get wider.
"I'm gonna take britu I'm gonna take britu as well. I think there's just gonna be a moment in this fight where Sabatini can't keep that takedown or can't force that takedown."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:06 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 2 of 2 100% 32 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jonathan Pearce 0 3 of 5 60% 19 of 25 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 2 of 2 100% 32 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jonathan Pearce 0 3 of 5 60% 19 of 25 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jonathan Pearce 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jonathan Pearce 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jonathan Pearce vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pearce (-130), Sabatini (+110)

Round 1
Grapplers enter the Octagon in what should be a fun stylistic clash. On a rare losing streak, Pearce (14-6, 5-3 UFC) has his back against the wall, but the same might be said for Sabatini (18-5, 5-2 UFC), who has dropped two of three. Someone will turn things around in the next 15 minutes or less, and referee Chris Tognoni will follow them every step of the way. Before throwing hands, “JSP” walks over to the other corner to deliver a friendly fist bump. Pearce takes to the center of the cage, and they clash body kicks at the same time. As they tangle up, Sabatini manages to sneak around and grab Pearce from behind, where he hops on his back to take the form of a mean-spirited backpack. Sabatini locks a body triangle around the waist, slugging his left hand around the raised guard of his foe. Pearce leans against the wall to relieve himself of some of the extra weight, and he turns his shoulder to sling Sabatini off of him. The Pennsylvanian turns the corner to get his arms around Pearce once more, and “JSP” is warned for fence grabs to keep himself on his feet. Rules are mere suggestions in the sport of MMA. Sabatini scoops up Pearce’s legs and steps over him to ground him, and Pearce is warned for elbowing the spine and attempting 12-6 elbows—these will be allowed next month. Pearce uses a butterfly guard to keep Sabatini from establishing a more traditional top position, only for Sabatini to smother him and move to half guard. Sabatini steps over to three-quarter mount, hunting for a choke when Pearce turns the wrong direction. Sabatini looks for another submission as Pearce gets to his knees, and Sabatini’s body triangle is wrapped firmly around the ribs. Pearce stands up and elbows Sabatini’s thigh to try to break up the body lock.
Sabatini leans to add his weight to different places on the back, and he slithers his forearm beneath the chin and fastens a nasty rear-naked choke. Pearce’s head turns a brilliant shade of red, and he thinks about going out on his shield but elects to fight another day and taps out.
Sabatini releases the lock and walks to the center of the cage, letting out one triumphant shout before calming himself. Sabatini tries his best to stay cool, but cannot help but flip around the cage, bellowing and fist-pumping in celebration.

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. Jonathan Pearce R1 4:06 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Angelo picks Jonathan Pearce, citing his relentless wrestling pressure and awareness of Sabatini's jiu-jitsu. He notes that Sabatini hasn't improved his skills since entering the UFC and that Pearce's non-stop takedown attempts will be key. Angelo also thinks Pearce can have success on the feet, as Sabatini's striking is technical but lacks head movement. He mentions he placed a half-unit bet on Pearce at -131.

Bet half a unit at -131
"I think Jonathan Pierce wins this fight... threw a little bit of a half a unit on him at minus 131."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Big Brady picks Jonathan Pearce to win by TKO in the second round. He considers this one of his favorite fights on the card, noting both have paths: Sabatini via submission (Pearce has been submitted three times), but Pearce via knockout (Sabatini has been knocked out by Diego Lopes, Damon Jackson, and dropped by Jamall Emmers). He worries about Sabatini's durability and cardio, and believes Pearce's pace will break him down. Despite Pearce potentially getting into bad spots, Brady trusts his ability to fight out of them.

Pearce by TKO in round 2
"I'm leading Jonathan Pierce here and I think he wins this fight via TKO in the second round"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Pearce's striking is all fencing and he cannot keep opponents down. He points out that Pearce lost to David Onama despite having control time, and that Sabatini is a better grappler who can win if he gets top position. Connor is surprised Sabatini is the underdog.

"Yeah, I agree"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Daniel thinks Pearce is more well-rounded and has better volume on the feet, but he acknowledges Sabatini's grinding wrestling and durability. He is not confident because Sabatini could easily grind out a win. Daniel leans toward Pearce to outwork him but admits he wouldn't be surprised by a Sabatini decision.

"I'll lean JSP to outwork him... I'm not confident."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Pearce is on a two-fight losing streak but looked good in his last fight against David Onama even in defeat. He should use defensive grappling to keep the fight standing and put a pace on Sabatini, who is uncomfortable in the striking realm. Pearce will keep it upright, push the pace, and finish Sabatini in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"look for a Pierce to keep this fight upright push a pace on Sabatini eventually break him and finish him in the second or third round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini, highlighting his technical grappling edge over Jonathan Pearce. He notes that Pearce is tough with good cardio but makes mistakes in grappling, often losing position. Sabatini has good submissions and control, and the Guru believes he can submit Pearce. He acknowledges Pearce could TKO Sabatini due to a suspect chin, but favors Sabatini's grappling.

submission win
"I'm actually going to go with Pat sabatini here over Jonathan Pierce... I think that Pat satini actually has a grappling Edge over Jonathan Pierce"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Zane thinks Sabatini will win because he is a more willing and confident striker, though both are stiff. He notes Sabatini has paid for trying to do other things and will just go for takedowns. Zane points out that Pearce has poor control time (23%) and cannot keep opponents down, while Sabatini has 52% control time. He believes Sabatini can get takedowns and win on the ground.

"I got to take Sabatini"
LOSS vs Diego Lopes
KO (punches) R1 1:30 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Lopes 1 13 of 18 72% 13 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Pat Sabatini 0 7 of 12 58% 10 of 16 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Lopes 1 13 of 18 72% 13 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Pat Sabatini 0 7 of 12 58% 10 of 16 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Lopes 13 of 18 72% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 8 3 of 3 6 of 7
Pat Sabatini 7 of 12 58% 3 of 7 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Lopes 13 of 18 72% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 8 3 of 3 6 of 7
Pat Sabatini 7 of 12 58% 3 of 7 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Diego Lopes vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sabatini (-120), Lopes (+100)

Round 1
The main card is upon us, and it should provide a grappler’s delight as the two featherweights about to invade the Octagon combine for 23 submission victories without a single defeat via tapout. Aiming to prove he is not just a grappler, action-packed Brazilian contender Lopes (22-6, 1-1 UFC) will bring his 89% finish rate and try to threaten every step of the fight. With not a great deal of New Yorkers on the card, the UFC dipped into the Tri-State Area to pull Pennsylvanian Sabatini (18-4, 4-1 UFC) up onto the billing, and he too would like to showcase his jiu-jitsu chops when it counts. Referee Keith Peterson will draw the assignment for the pay-per-view opener, and the fighters quickly touch ‘em up. No nonsense will be permitted for the next 15 minutes or less. Both men bounce up and down while quite distant from one another, and Lopes tries to reach with a kick. Sabatini surges forward with a three-punch salvo that gets Lopes’ attention, and Lopes has to shake it off early. Sabatini jumps with a switch kick to the body, and Lopes looks to catch it but lets it go all while chants for “USA” rain down in support of Sabatini. The Pennsylvanian comes up short with another jump kick, and the two come together for a possible takedown effort of some sort. Lopes stands his man up with an uppercut as they try to get upright, and Sabatini is stunned when he tries to take a step back. The Brazilian immediately follows suit with a vicious right hand on the temple, and Sabatini might be out on his feet as he turns to another direction and his eyes go wide. Lopes will not let this fish get away, and he charges after Sabatini with powerful fists until pushing Sabatini down to his side. Lopes traps the Pennsylvania native’s arm behind his back and begins battering Sabatini with his free hand. Sabatini, unable to block his face and clinging to consciousness, gets knocked out, back in, and out again as Lopes punishes him with right hands. Peterson recognizes that Sabatini cannot defend himself at all, and he calls a stop to the beating. What a performance for Lopes, who likely catapults himself into featherweight contendership by wrecking a tough out in about a minute and a half.

The Official Result
Diego Lopes def. Pat Sabatini R1 1:30 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Sabatini, believing his takedowns and BJJ will neutralize Lopes. He criticizes Lopes' takedown defense and striking, and thinks Sabatini will control the fight on the ground. He plans to bet on Sabatini later in the week.

"I think Pat sabatini is going to win this fight and I'm somewhat confident in that."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

Big Brady picks Diego Lopes as the underdog, predicting a second or third round submission. He likes Lopes' evolving striking, power, and dangerous submission game off his back. He worries about Sabatini's durability on the feet, noting he has been dropped early in fights. Brady thinks Lopes has more ways to win and that Sabatini will have to fight off submissions for 15 minutes.

Lopes by submission in rounds 2-3
"I'm going to take the dog here in Lopez, I think he gets it done by second or third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, expecting him to get takedowns and control the fight on top. He notes Sabatini's suffocating top game and ability to avoid submissions. He thinks Lopes' guard is dangerous but Sabatini's grappling is good enough to avoid trouble, and he sees value at even money.

"I like Pat sabbatini I think he gets the takedowns I think he establish top control he avoids those tricky submission attempts"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

James leans Diego Lopes because he believes Lopes has a clear advantage on the feet with more power and a better chin, while Sabatini's wrestling may not be sufficient to consistently control Lopes. He notes that Sabatini has been submitted before and is chinny, and Lopes has submission upside. However, he acknowledges Sabatini could have control time on top, making it a tricky matchup.

"I lean Lopez in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Sabatini is the better wrestler and will dictate where the fight takes place. He is a good enough BJJ artist to fend off Lopes' submission attempts. Sabatini will control positions and grind out a decision win. The line at -120 is a good value. Notes that recency bias from Lopes' highlight finishes is inflating his line.

"at minus 120 sign me up for Pat sabatini"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Paul picks Sabatini, emphasizing his wrestling and top control. He notes Lopes has been taken down easily in the past and relies on submissions from guard. He thinks Sabatini's suffocating style will neutralize Lopes' offense and lead to a decision win.

"sabatini is just way too suffocating man"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

The MMA Guru picks Diego Lopes, noting his superior Jiu-Jitsu and comfort on the ground, which neutralizes Sabatini's back-taking game. He also highlights Lopes' striking advantage, size, and reach. He predicts a TKO win for Lopes, referencing his recent performances against Movsar Evloev and Gavin Tucker.

TKO
"I'm going with Diego Lopez I think he's slick dangerous everywhere I think he's going to get a TKO on Pat satini"
WIN vs Lucas Almeida
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 1:48 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 27 of 35 77% 88 of 97 2 of 3 66% 1 0 6:27
Lucas Almeida 0 2 of 4 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 23 of 31 74% 81 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:50
Lucas Almeida 0 0 of 1 0% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 4 of 4 100% 7 of 7 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:37
Lucas Almeida 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 27 of 35 77% 25 of 32 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 24 of 31
Lucas Almeida 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 23 of 31 74% 23 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 23 of 30
Lucas Almeida 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 4 of 4 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1
Lucas Almeida 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lucas Almeida vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sabatini (-190), Almeida (+160)

Round 1
In a fight that could end in the blink of an eye, submission specialist Sabatini (17-4, 4-1 UFC) takes on once-beaten finisher Almeida (14-1 1-0 UFC). Together, the two featherweights combine for 26 stoppages in their 31 pro wins, so referee Chris Tognoni could have his hands full. Before they throw down, they opt to bump fists. Almeida advances first, but Sabatini ducks any offense and pursues a quick takedown. Almeida fights off a trip attempt on the way back, and Sabatini looks for a body lock throw. Sabatini secures the drop, and he lands right in half guard while pinning Almeida to his back using his shoulder. Almeida sits up against the fence, but Sabatini hooks both his legs and peels him away from it. Sabatini smoothly maneuvers to keep Almeida trapped on the floor, and he drops down left hands. Sabatini pins Almeida’s right arm down to land several unanswered blows, and he frustrates the Brazilian with his active top control. When Almeida attempts to escape in some direction, Sabatini is aware and follows him every step of the way. Sabatini controls his foe and moves into mount briefly, while nullifying anything that Almeida can do to him. Sabatini leaps back into mount with 75 seconds left in the round, and he also traps Almeida’s arm behind the back and blasts him in the face with left hands. Sabatini hammers Almeida with a few elbows, and Almeida defenselessly takes them flush. Sabatini postures up and batters Almeida with punches and elbows, and Almeida is clinging to his foe with all he has left. Sabatini considers an armbar, but he thinks against it and elbows Almeida repeatedly. Sabatini smashes down with punches right to the bell, and Almeida has survived.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini

Round 2
Sabatini rushes out of his corner to tap gloves, and he immediately hunts for a single to make the Brazilian’s life miserable again. Almeida backs himself against the wall in defense, and Sabatini switches up to a body lock in pursuit of another trip. Sabatini drills a knee to the body and drops down low for a double, and he lets it go to snake his leg between Almeida’s. Sabatini successfully yanks Almeida to the floor, first bringing him to a knee and pushing him flat on his back. Sabatini slashes down with an elbow on the forehead to slice open a cut, and blood leaks down into Almeida’s eyes.
Sabatini transitions over to the side, man on a mission, and he sets up an arm-triangle choke while Almeida fails to clear his vision. The Philadelphia native locks it down and crushes with his shoulder and full body weight, and Almeida has no choice but to tap.
As Tognoni pulls them apart, Sabatini has just become the first fighter to ever finish the Brazilian featherweight, doing so in a spectacular and one-sided performance.

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. Lucas Almeida R2 1:48 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini because he has a huge grappling advantage. He notes that Sabatini's chin is a concern after recent knockouts, but he has been recovering. Lucas Almeida has dangerous hands and good scramble skills, but Sabatini's takedowns and top control should be the difference. Angelo also considers a prop bet on Almeida inside the distance/decision no action.

inside the distance decision no action on Lucas Almeida (considering)
"the pick is going to be Pat though because he's got an incredible advantage on the ground in the grappling and that is wider than the Striking advantage that Lucas has"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Lucas Almeida

Big Brady picks Lucas Almeida to win by first-round knockout. He likes both fighters but sees Almeida as a live dog due to his power and volume. Brady questions Sabatini's durability, noting he was hurt by Jamall Emmers and Damon Jackson. Almeida has a 100% finish rate and hits very hard, as seen in his fight with Daniel Zellhuber. Brady thinks Sabatini needs to wrestle early and often, but Almeida's takedown defense looks solid and he is physically strong. If Almeida can keep the fight standing for even a few minutes, he likely gets the knockout.

"I'm gonna say Lucas Almeida goes out there and gets a first round knockout in this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody is hesitant on Sabatini, acknowledging that Almeida has crushing power and improved cardio, and that Sabatini's chin is questionable. He notes that Sabatini's wrestling is good but not elite, and that he tends to stall rather than finish. Cody thinks Sabatini will likely get takedowns and control the fight, but it will be a butt-clencher because Almeida can shut the lights off at any time. He doesn't love the -200 price.

Almeida by KO in round 1 at +700 (sprinkle)
"I think I'm gonna end up picking him it's gonna be a butt clencher the whole time Paul"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Connor also picks Sabatini, acknowledging that Almeida could KO him but trusting Sabatini's grappling. He notes that Sabatini is awkward on the feet but has shown the ability to recover and submit opponents after being hurt. Connor is less confident than he would like but sees Sabatini as the safer pick.

"I got to pick Sabatini too."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lucas Almeida

Daniel Levi leans toward Lucas Almeida, believing if the fight stays standing, Almeida will knock Sabatini out. He notes Sabatini's low volume and chin issues, citing knockouts by Damon Jackson and Jamall Emmers. However, he expresses hesitation because Sabatini's wrestling could neutralize Almeida, leading to a frustrating loss. He considers it a coin flip but prefers the dog.

"if if almaid is able to keep it on the feed he's Gonna Knock sabatini Out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Sabatini is the best grappler Almeida has faced. He should get takedowns and rack up control time, possibly even a submission. However, there is concern about how Sabatini rebounds from his knockout loss to Damon Jackson. Almeida has power but has shown grappling deficiencies. Sabatini wins by decision.

"I'm gonna go Pat sabatini by decision not with a ton of confidence just because I want to see how he rebounds from a such a devastating knockout loss"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lucas Almeida

Paul is not laying -200 on Sabatini, calling him one-dimensional. He notes that Sabatini's takedowns are not always effective and that Almeida has power and durability. Paul thinks Almeida could be in big trouble if the fight stays on the feet, and he likes the plus money on Almeida. He also mentions a prop on Almeida by KO in round 1 at +700.

Almeida by KO in round 1 at +700 (sprinkle)
"there's no way I'm laying minus two on there I'm Pat seven do you need clear clear dogger pass for me he's just so one-dimensional"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lucas Almeida

The MMA Guru picks Lucas Almeida over Pat Sabatini, arguing Sabatini doesn't do much with takedowns and has been stuffed before. He notes Almeida's durability and finishing ability, referencing his comeback win over Mike Trizano. He believes Almeida can survive bad positions on the ground and land a big shot on the feet.

"I'm gonna go with Lucas Almeida over Pat sabatina... Lucas al-made is going to beat pat sabatina"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Zane picks Sabatini despite concerns about his striking. He believes the grappling disparity is too wide and that Almeida takes too many risks standing, which will lead to Sabatini getting takedowns. Zane notes that Almeida has never faced a wrestler of Sabatini's caliber and that Sabatini can survive early trouble to win on the mat.

"I'm going to pick Pat Sabatini because I think that the grappling disparity is going to be too wide."
LOSS vs Damon Jackson
TKO (punches) R1 1:09 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Damon Jackson 0 11 of 20 55% 16 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Pat Sabatini 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Damon Jackson 0 11 of 20 55% 16 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Pat Sabatini 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Damon Jackson 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 15
Pat Sabatini 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Damon Jackson 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 15
Pat Sabatini 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Damon Jackson vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sabatini (-180), Jackson (+155)

Round 1
A pair of surging featherweights are on deck to provide what should be a scintillating clash of grappling styles. With 25 combined submissions between the two, any ground exchanges should be worth watching. Responsible for 15 of those tapouts/chokeouts is “The Leech” Jackson (21-4-1, 1 NC; 4-2-1, 1 NC UFC), while Renzo Gracie Philly rep Sabatini (17-3, 4-0 UFC) posts the other 10. This will be an emotional affair, as Jackson's brother passed away earlier this week. Referee Keith Peterson is ready to step in at a moment’s notice should nonsense materialize out of thin air, and there is no need of a glove touch as these two want to get after it. The first 30 seconds lead to nothing, and out of nowhere, Jackson fires off a front kick to the chin that stuns Sabatini. Sabatini lunges forward, and Jackson turns him about and throws him on his back. Jackson begins to pound on him with his fists, and Sabatini is in a bad way.
Jackson allows Sabatini to give up his back so that he can climb aboard and drop hammers. Sabatini shells up, flattened out on his stomach, and Jackson continues to bombard him with unanswered punches to the side of the head. The blows are fierce and furious, and Jackson does not slow down until Sabatini cries out and Peterson steps in to call a halt to the match.
Jackson climbs off his fallen foe, and he goes over to his corner and collapses to his knees and breaks down in tears. It is an emotional moment for Jackson and his family in the crowd, as he fights to honor his fallen brother.

The Official Result
Damon Jackson def. Pat Sabatini R1 1:09 via TKO (Submission to Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Sabatini, citing his superior wrestling and pure grappling. He notes that Sabatini has technical striking and controls range well, but his main path is through takedowns and top control. Angelo worries about Jackson's pressure but believes Sabatini's grappling will prevail. He is surprised the line has tightened.

"pat is the pick uh he's got the better wrestling the better pure grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Big Brady picks Pat Sabatini to win inside the distance, but acknowledges it's a tough fight to call. He notes that both fighters are similar—BJJ black belts with wrestling backgrounds and mediocre striking. Brady gives the edge to Sabatini due to his youth, power on the feet, and training at Renzo Gracie Philly (which has a 15-0 or 16-0 UFC record). He also points out that Damon Jackson has been finished in all four of his losses (three by KO). Brady predicts Sabatini will hurt Jackson on the feet and then submit him.

inside the distance
"i'm gonna take pat sabatini to win i'm gonna say he catches damage jackson i'm gonna say he um hurts him on the feet and and submits him here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damon Jackson

Cody thinks Jackson's BJJ black belt and striking advantage will trouble Sabatini, who is one-dimensional. He notes Sabatini struggles when takedowns are stuffed and Jackson can make it ugly on the feet. Cody calls it a potential apple pie (underdog pick).

"i'm sniffing this one as my first potential apple pie i'll just avoid sabatini if anything"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Daniel Levi picks Pat Sabatini, trusting his wrestling and submission game to win rounds. He views Sabatini as a reliable round-winner despite low output, while Jackson can be slowed down and give up positions. He thinks Sabatini is more likely to seal rounds with late takedowns. He does not bet due to the price.

"I trust sabatini more to be the guy who hits that last takedown to get the judge's attention and and just seal it off on the judge's scorecards"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Jacob is a big fan of Sabatini, calling him 'my dude' and noting his 4-0 lock of the week record. He praises Sabatini's control on the ground and his ability to keep opponents against the cage. Jacob worries about Sabatini's striking improvements but believes his grappling will dominate. He jumped on the -200 line and may double down.

"my dude absolutely is past 17. i was actually surprised he was even a minus 200"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Damon Jackson

Jackson is the best grappler Sabatini has faced; once it hits the mat, it's a 50-50 fight. Sabatini may be the better wrestler but Jackson has high-level Jiu-Jitsu and experience against tough competition. Jackson's ability to reverse and get back to his feet will be key. The line should be closer to a pick'em, so Jackson at plus money is worth a shot. I see Jackson winning a decision.

"Damon Jackson has way better of a chance than that this fight in my opinion should be closer to a pickum that's how I'm gonna go with the underdog here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damon Jackson

Paul leans Jackson, noting Sabatini's lack of striking and that Jackson can stuff takedowns. He admits he hasn't been a Jackson guy historically but sees a path. He's not very confident.

"i'll lean towards the underdog in jackson with you um which you know historically will probably mean that uh that sabatini's gonna absolutely roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini by submission in the third round. He notes Damon Jackson often wins by barely doing enough and has trouble with shorter opponents, as seen against Daniel Argueta. He believes Sabatini's jiu-jitsu and shorter stocky frame will cause problems, and that Sabatini is younger and closer to his prime. He expects Sabatini to get a submission win.

submission in the third round
"i'm gonna go with pat sabatini in this fight by submission in the third round"
WIN vs T.J. Laramie
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 36 of 63 57% 124 of 162 6 of 10 60% 0 0 7:59
T.J. Laramie 0 15 of 31 48% 22 of 39 1 of 4 25% 0 1 4:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 9 of 16 56% 25 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:21
T.J. Laramie 0 9 of 15 60% 15 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:53
2 Pat Sabatini 0 24 of 40 60% 71 of 94 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:57
T.J. Laramie 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:42
3 Pat Sabatini 0 3 of 7 42% 28 of 36 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:41
T.J. Laramie 0 6 of 14 42% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 36 of 63 57% 29 of 55 5 of 6 2 of 2 13 of 24 1 of 2 22 of 37
T.J. Laramie 15 of 31 48% 9 of 23 2 of 3 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 9 of 16 56% 4 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
T.J. Laramie 9 of 15 60% 4 of 9 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Pat Sabatini 24 of 40 60% 23 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 22 of 37
T.J. Laramie 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
T.J. Laramie 6 of 14 42% 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 2 4 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
T.J. Laramie vs. Pat Sabatini

Round 1
Many UFC fighters come up through Dana White’s Contender Series these days, with the farm system churning year after year to pump prospects into the ranks. Sabatini (16-3, 3-0 UFC), who has won three fights since his 2021 debut on the roster, is not one of those fighters, as he came up the old-fashioned way by claiming belts on the regional scene – Cage Fury FC, to be precise. He will meet Laramie (12-4, 0-1 UFC), who was picked up from the 2020 season of DWCS, and is looking for his first UFC victory. The featherweights touch gloves in front of referee Herb Dean, and they both circle one another in the early going trying to find a striking range. They kick one another low, one after the next, and they do the same again. Sabatini shoots in low for a takedown, only to get stuffed with ease on the way in. Laramie is well-prepared for the second attempt, which follows soon after. Laramie turns him around in the fence, and when he does, Sabatini sets up a guillotine choke standing up. Sabatini goes for a trip takedown, and Laramie manages to scramble mid-air to put Sabatini on his back. Sabatini keeps an active guard, and he uses his right leg to wrap around the shoulder in a possible triangle or even omoplata setup. Laramie shucks it off, but he cannot keep Sabatini on his back, as the Pennsylvanian fights his way back up. Laramie kicks the body, and Sabatini kicks the inside leg. As soon as Sabatini sets his own leg down, he snatches up the Canadian’s leg and hits a single to take him down. “The Truth” springs back up, and he scores a trio of punches when Sabatini rumbles towards him. They both land strikes simultaneously, as they have been doing for much of the fight, and they clinch up with Sabatini pushed up the wall. Sabatini unloads with a brutal kick to the liver, and the toes stab into it in such a way that Laramie leans over in trouble. Sabatini chases after him and wings a high kick that slams into the side of the Canadian’s head. Instead of trying to finish the job on the feet, Sabatini jumps guard for a guillotine, and Laramie somehow manages to yank his head free. Briefly taking mount, Laramie settles for half guard to ride out the rest of the round and recover.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Sabatini practically runs out of his corner to start off the second round, and he wings a pair of looping punches before shooting in low for a single. Laramie defends the takedown with a guillotine choke of his own, with it threatening just enough to make Sabatini think about it. The two stand back up, and Laramie presses him up against the wall. Sabatini gets turned around, and he changes levels for another takedown, only for Laramie to rebuff him as they both drop to their knees. Sabatini goes after a double, and Sabatini pummels, turns the corner in search of a single, and lifts Laramie’s leg up in the air high enough to scoop Laramie off the ground. Laramie hits the ground on his backside, and Sabatini is already circled around to the back in pursuit of a choke. Looping his legs beneath Laramie’s, Sabatini holds Laramie down and works him on the side of the head with punches. The punches keep coming from the Pennsylvanian until Laramie wrenches his leg out, but Sabatini does not let him free completely and still bullies him with punches. Laramie rolls to his back, but Sabatini keeps him in his preferred position with a partial hook in. A few more punches fluster Laramie enough to turn, which lets Sabatini pursue a choke. Sabatini winds up on power punches from on top, pounding into the side of the Canadian’s head. Laramie is surviving but slowly fading as the punishment begins to add up. Sabatini has his foe on one knee, having taken his back with one hook in, and he makes Laramie’s life miserable with effective ground-and-pound. Laramie attempts to turn out, but Sabatini is riding him like a horse, while busting him up on both sides. No choke presents itself, so Sabatini elects to sit on his back and land irritating punches right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini

Round 3
The featherweights touch gloves to start off the last round, and Laramie is fired up and hellbent for leather. Sabatini wings a right hand at him, and it bounces off the dome as he distracts his man and shoots for a takedown. Laramie defends it and pushes him back to the wall, but Sabatini is able to break free and swing a high kick. When the kick misses, Sabatini spins with a back fist, and that too misses the mark. The momentum from the Pennsylvania native allows him to press forward to a takedown that simply bowls Laramie over. Laramie defends off his back with a leglock, and he keeps Sabatini at bay when that does not succeed with a pushing upkick. Sabatini jumps down on top, and he pushes the Canadian over to take half guard. Staying busy on top with punches and an arm-triangle choke setup, Sabatini is not in danger of Dean standing them up. Instead, Laramie takes it upon himself to get up, as he explodes up to his feet so that he is not losing control time. Getting up by wall-walking, Sabatini trips him back out shortly after he stands, and he gets back to that partial back-take position where he rode out much of the second round. Sabatini winds up with several knees to the thigh when he pulls his hook free, as Laramie tries to stand. A trip from Sabatini drops “The Truth” back down on his hands and knees, and Sabatini snakes a hook in so that he can get back to his smothering top control with surprisingly effective punches. Laramie looks to push through to get up, only for Sabatini to take his back and cinch up Laramie’s arm with his legs. Laramie twists with all his might to put Sabatini on his back, and Sabatini defends with a shoulder lock before going after a leg. The submission attempts from his back keep coming right until the bitter end, when the final bell rings and the fight comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. T.J. Laramie via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, continuing to ride the Sabatini train. He praises Sabatini's outstanding grappling and decent striking, noting his ability to control range and set up takedowns. He acknowledges that T.J. Laramie is dangerous with power and submissions, but believes Sabatini's technical striking will avoid big shots. He thinks the odds are a bit wide but still picks Sabatini.

"i will continue to ride the pat sabatini train because his grappling is outstanding and i think his striking is technical enough to avoid the big shots from laramie"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Big Brady picks Pat Sabatini to win by first-round submission. He highlights Sabatini's relentless wrestling and BJJ black belt, predicting he will take Laramie down and submit him early. He acknowledges Laramie has better striking but believes the grappling gap is huge. He expects Sabatini to take Laramie's back and tap him out in the first round.

win by submission, round 1
"give me sabatini first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, emphasizing his wrestling and physicality. He notes Laramie's size disadvantage and thinks Sabatini will impose his grappling. He acknowledges Laramie's potential but believes Sabatini's game plan is clear.

"i think past 17 you should get the victory so i don't agree with the price tag but not enough for me to pull the trigger on the canadian"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Daniel Levi picks Pat Sabatini, citing his ability to overcome adversity (as seen against Jamal Emmons), his submission skills, and his pace-setting wrestling. He notes Laramie is too small for featherweight (listed 5'6" but likely 5'4") and has a 66-inch reach, making him undersized. Levi expects Laramie to be game but believes Sabatini's ceiling is higher and he should win, though the fight might be closer than the line suggests.

Mentions possible early sub or grind fest; says 'the pick is pat sabatini'
"I still got to go with pat sabatini because I think the ceiling is higher on a kid like that."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Paul picks Sabatini, noting his size and grappling advantage. He thinks Sabatini will take Laramie down and control him, despite Laramie's striking edge. He mentions he already bet Sabatini at -350 as part of a parlay.

"i tried to beat some of the lime movement early i took pat sabatini he was minus 350 at the time"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini by first-round submission. He notes Sabatini's grappling expertise and win streak, and criticizes T.J. Laramie's physique and debut performance. He expects Sabatini to submit Laramie easily, possibly by guillotine or other submission.

first round submission
"pat sabatini gets this one done by first round sub"
William Gomis - Fight History
LOSS vs Pat Sabatini
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 25 of 70 35% 78 of 125 3 of 20 15% 0 0 11:12
William Gomis 0 23 of 64 35% 54 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 3 of 11 27% 16 of 24 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:36
William Gomis 0 2 of 4 50% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 8 of 30 26% 31 of 54 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:17
William Gomis 0 10 of 30 33% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pat Sabatini 0 14 of 29 48% 31 of 47 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:19
William Gomis 0 11 of 30 36% 26 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 25 of 70 35% 7 of 44 6 of 10 12 of 16 18 of 57 7 of 13 0 of 0
William Gomis 23 of 64 35% 12 of 50 8 of 10 3 of 4 13 of 49 10 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 3 of 7 0 of 0
William Gomis 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 8 of 30 26% 2 of 19 2 of 5 4 of 6 7 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
William Gomis 10 of 30 33% 5 of 22 4 of 6 1 of 2 7 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 14 of 29 48% 3 of 15 3 of 4 8 of 10 11 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
William Gomis 11 of 30 36% 6 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 22 5 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sabatini (-205), Gomis (+170)

Round 1
An interesting stylistic clash will move the prelims along, with grappling ace Sabatini (21-5, 8-2 UFC) ready and willing to burst out after 10 previous walks to the cage. He will square off with MMA Factory product Gomis (15-3, 5-1 UFC), with the two featherweights under observation by referee Vincent Dudley. Fists are bumped before they are traded.
The taller Gomis marches forward, watching Sabatini kicks fly past him. Sabatini shoots in low for a single, forcing Gomis to the wall and hurling him to the floor. Gomis climbs back up but is still in the arms of his opponent. This strategy totally stifles the Frenchman, with Sabatini controlling and not needing to take the fight down to keep Gomis from landing anything. Johnny Cage, the Pennsylvanian isn’t, as he would much rather wrestle than throw hands, feet, elbows or his sunglasses.
Gomis turns to put his shoulder on the fence and try to escape, but he is stuck without answers. Sabatini slugs him a few times in the face with his free hand, otherwise controlling for long stretches at a time. Little else happens while they do this. Sabatini goes low for a single, briefly dragging Gomis to a knee. Gomis stands, and Sabatini complains to Dudley that his glove is being grabbed. Dudley clears Gomis from any foul, and while they are paying attention to the referee, Sabatini slings Gomis to his seat. Gomis tries for a few elbow strikes from a funny angle, and the slog of a round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Gomis walks Sabatini down to start the round, but he does not commit to anything as he knows a takedown attempt is coming. Sabatini feints, fakes and works his way forward to back Gomis off, and he shoots in on his hips. Gomis stands him up by putting his back to the cage wall, with Sabatini leaning on him kneeing him once or twice. Sabatini lifts Gomis’ left leg all the way in the air to set him down on the canvas, but he can only keep Gomis down for a second or two before he is back up. Sabatini lifts Gomis off the ground completely to slam him on his face, and once more, Gomis is speedy at rushing back to his feet. The grind is firmly embraced by Sabatini, as he has controlled and neutralized the Frenchman largely to this point.
Gomis times the right moment to escape, and he takes a right hand on the beard as he resets. Gomis kicks Sabatini in the groin, and Sabatini waves him off and keeps plodding forward. Sabatini loops a right hand, a left, and a jumping switch kick behind it. Gomis times a body kick when he is landing, and he just misses a head kick to follow. Sabatini ducks a one-two to attack a takedown, pushing Gomis to the fencing to defend it. He holds Gomis in place, but does not ground him. With 15 seconds left in the round, Gomis breaks out. They clash kicks at the same time, and both trade fierce hands before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 3
The athletes touch gloves, and Gomis wants to punch him in the face directly thereafter. They clash leg kicks together, their shins slamming together loudly. Gomis loads up on power, hoping for the home run blow as he is likely down on the scorecards. Two takedown shots from Sabatini fail, and Gomis stands him up with a flush elbow on the cheek. Sabatini, swelling growing under his left eye fast from that elbow, plods forward threatening and faking strikes on his way in. He dives after a single, pushing Gomis to the fence with three-plus minutes left on the clock. Fans do not appreciate the ubiquitous grappler who is somehow able to get all over Gomis and completely overwhelm him with his approach at once.
Gomis knees him in the stomach, and he gets dragged down to the floor on his face. Sabatini briefly grinds Gomis face on a part of the canvas with blood drops on it that make a pattern reminiscent of a gruesome ladybug, and Gomis fights as best he can to stand back up. Sabatini chains attempts to hit mat returns, and otherwise rips precious seconds off the clock. Gomis gets space with seconds left and starts throwing hands wildly like a spinning top. Sabatini rocks him with a right hand, and the grueling contest ends. Gomis raises his hand in hopes that he sneaks out two of three rounds to get the unexpected nod. We’ll see what happens.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini (30-27 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. William Gomis via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, citing his dominant wrestling and takedown ability. He notes Sabatini took down Chepe Mariscal seven times and expects similar against Gomis. He says Gomis can be taken down and lacks one-punch knockout power, so Sabatini faces no risk of being KO'd. He loves the minus 133 odds and thinks it's a dominant win.

Angelo mentions the odds are minus 133 and he absolutely loves those odds.
"Pat Sabatini is the pick and unless he decides to go out there and showcase to a hometown crowd and start only throwing hands, it's not going to be an exciting fight, but it should be a dominant one that …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo is confident in Pat Sabatini, noting his incredible grappling and control. He believes Sabatini will take down William Gomez repeatedly and that Gomez's slow technical style won't be enough to stop the takedowns. He mentions that Sabatini has looked incredible lately and that the odds are good value.

has some bets on him
"Pat's going to be the pick and I'm definitely more confident than these odds are in him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Big Brady is confident Pat Sabatini wins, citing his elite wrestling and control. He notes Gomis lacks power and has been taken down and put in bad spots before. Brady expects Sabatini to get takedowns and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission, as Gomis has shown vulnerability to submissions.

"I actually think Pat Sabatini not only wins this fight, but potentially gets a submission as well. I'll take Pat Sabatini to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, citing his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Gomis's takedown defense issues and thinks Sabatini can control him on the ground. Cody expects Sabatini to win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission (plus 200)
"Sabatini by sub has my attention, too, because it's like plus 200."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Connor picks Sabatini, believing his wrestling is good enough to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Sabatini is a better wrestler than others who have had success against Gomis. Connor expects a razor-thin decision, possibly a split, but thinks Sabatini's dedication to his game plan will earn him the nod.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170.
"I'll take Sabatini for the hell of it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Daniel picks Sabatini, reasoning that Gomis is a point fighter who doesn't dish out much damage, so Sabatini will take him down and control him on the ground. He believes Sabatini's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm also going Sabatini. The reason why is the way to beat him is to put the damage on him. And Gome is very good point fighter, but point fighter, he doesn't really dish out too much damage. I think …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Sabatini has home advantage and a relentless grappling style that will smother Gomis. Gomis is a volume striker who needs distance, but Sabatini will either be far outside or in the clinch/takedown range. Gomis has poor takedown defense and takes a long time to get back up; he's been in many split decisions. Sabatini's cardio allows him to grapple for three rounds. Unless Gomis has significantly improved his takedown defense, Sabatini should control the fight.

Bet at 1.46 odds (implied -216). No stake mentioned explicitly, but implied from context. No other props.
"I think that Pat Sabatini is a great bet this weekend for lots of different reasons... I do like Sabatini a lot this weekend. I know he's a big favorite... 1.46 minus 216 for an implied probability of 68% is …"
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Lean picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Pat Sabatini

Predicted method: Submission Round 2. Sabatini's grappling-heavy style (4.48 takedowns per round, 1.5 submission average) is a clear path to victory against Gomis, who has only 72% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times. Gomis has a reach advantage (73" vs 70") and solid striking, but Sabatini's pressure and top control will neutralize that. Sabatini has won three straight and is a proven finisher on the ground. Expect Sabatini to secure takedowns and win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission +270
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Jacob agrees with Angelo, stating that Gomez will either land a knee or headkick on an entry or get taken down and controlled. He praises Sabatini's wrestling and control, noting that Gomez is comfortable fighting off his back foot but that Sabatini's pressure and takedowns will be too much. He thinks the price is about right.

"I just think Williams probably going to land a knee or he isn't. And then if he's not, you know, I think it's priced pretty right."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini because he believes Sabatini's grappling will be too much for William Gomis, who is a pure striker without power or strong takedown defense. He notes that Gomis prefers to stay on the outside, which plays into Sabatini's game of closing distance and taking the fight to the ground. He predicts Sabatini wins by submission in round two.

"Pat Sabatini to win this fight. ... via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The host picks Sabatini, emphasizing his dominant grappling and ability to control opponents on the ground. He notes that Sabatini's striking is a liability but believes his wrestling will be too much for Gomis, who has shown defensive grappling improvements but may struggle to keep the fight standing. He expects Sabatini to win by decision, possibly at a better price if the line moves.

"I'm still going to go with Sabatini here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Paul picks Sabatini, citing his grappling advantage and Gomis's vulnerability. He thinks Sabatini will get takedowns and control the fight. Paul expects Sabatini to win by decision.

"Pat Sabatini is the man. Now how does he lose fights is when he doesn't shoot the takedowns."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini, praising his elite grappling. He notes Sabatini dominated Shep Mariscal and Joe Anderson Britto, while Gomis had close fights with Britto and others. He worries about Sabatini's chin on the feet but believes his takedowns and top control will secure a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

"I'm going to go with Pat Zabatini to get this one done. Also, William Gomez, um not Clayton Carpenter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
William Gomis

Zane picks Gomis hesitantly. He notes that Gomis is a back-foot neutralizer who can make Sabatini work hard for takedowns. However, Gomis is not a finisher and may not do enough to win rounds decisively. Zane thinks Sabatini's one-dimensional wrestling could be neutralized, leading to a close decision, but Gomis's ability to avoid damage and counter could edge it.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170. Feels like a coin flip.
"I think I am still going to pick Gomes."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 49 of 114 42% 66 of 132 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:57
Robert Ruchała 0 34 of 96 35% 54 of 116 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 14 of 30 46% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Robert Ruchała 0 10 of 29 34% 12 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:28
2 William Gomis 0 12 of 29 41% 22 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Ruchała 0 8 of 17 47% 23 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:59
3 William Gomis 0 23 of 55 41% 27 of 60 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:56
Robert Ruchała 0 16 of 50 32% 19 of 53 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 49 of 114 42% 19 of 69 17 of 29 13 of 16 37 of 102 12 of 12 0 of 0
Robert Ruchała 34 of 96 35% 14 of 62 16 of 28 4 of 6 27 of 89 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 14 of 30 46% 2 of 10 6 of 12 6 of 8 12 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0
Robert Ruchała 10 of 29 34% 2 of 17 4 of 7 4 of 5 9 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 12 of 29 41% 6 of 19 3 of 7 3 of 3 6 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0
Robert Ruchała 8 of 17 47% 3 of 10 5 of 6 0 of 1 5 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 William Gomis 23 of 55 41% 11 of 40 8 of 10 4 of 5 19 of 51 4 of 4 0 of 0
Robert Ruchała 16 of 50 32% 9 of 35 7 of 15 0 of 0 13 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
William Gomis

Angelo picks William Gomis, believing he can win either by aggression or point fighting. He notes that Ruchała is hittable and that Gomis has good defense and smooth movement. He also mentions that Gomis might get a favorable decision in France. He thinks the odds are widening too much and that Ruchała is not a bad fighter.

"I think William Gomez wins. I think the odds should not be widening because Robert doesn't suck at all."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

Big Brady picks William Gomis despite calling him boring. He believes Gomis is defensively sound and will make the fight ugly, which is his path to victory. He thinks Ruchała is not UFC caliber and will struggle to hit Gomis. He predicts a decision win, possibly split.

Gomis by decision
"I think Goi wins this fight and I think he does it by decision and maybe even a split decision because that's what William Gomei does."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

The host acknowledges Ruchała's successful KSW run but thinks he will be behind as Gomis is the sharper, faster, and slicker striker. He expects Gomis to shut down Ruchała's early grappling threat and win on the scorecards.

"I think he's going to be behind it as Gomez will be the sharper, faster, and slicker striker and he should do a good enough job in terms of shutting down Ral's early grappling threat."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Robert Ruchała

The Guru initially leans toward William Gomis but changes his mind, picking Robert Ruchała as an underdog. He notes Gomis has had many close decisions and tough weight cuts, while Ruchała has experience, finishing potential, and has been training at ATT. He predicts a TKO via ground and pound in round two or three.

TKO via ground and pound
"I'm going to take the underdog in Robert Ruchala. I'm going to take the underdog in Robert Ruchala."
LOSS vs Hyder Amil
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hyder Amil 0 115 of 202 56% 164 of 262 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:43
William Gomis 0 101 of 187 54% 116 of 205 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hyder Amil 0 18 of 38 47% 31 of 56 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
William Gomis 0 19 of 46 41% 33 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:15
2 Hyder Amil 0 45 of 78 57% 55 of 89 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
William Gomis 0 48 of 70 68% 49 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Hyder Amil 0 52 of 86 60% 78 of 117 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
William Gomis 0 34 of 71 47% 34 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hyder Amil 115 of 202 56% 60 of 140 37 of 42 18 of 20 98 of 180 15 of 20 2 of 2
William Gomis 101 of 187 54% 60 of 134 27 of 39 14 of 14 90 of 169 11 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hyder Amil 18 of 38 47% 8 of 25 7 of 9 3 of 4 15 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
William Gomis 19 of 46 41% 8 of 28 8 of 15 3 of 3 13 of 34 6 of 12 0 of 0
2 Hyder Amil 45 of 78 57% 27 of 58 11 of 13 7 of 7 38 of 68 7 of 10 0 of 0
William Gomis 48 of 70 68% 33 of 55 8 of 8 7 of 7 44 of 66 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Hyder Amil 52 of 86 60% 25 of 57 19 of 20 8 of 9 45 of 78 5 of 6 2 of 2
William Gomis 34 of 71 47% 19 of 51 11 of 16 4 of 4 33 of 69 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Hyder Amil vs. William Gomis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomis (-198), Amil (+164)

Round 1
Hoping to keep his flawless record intact, Amil (10-0, 2-0 UFC) puts his 0 on the line against surging Frenchman Gomis (14-2, 4-0 UFC). Both men sport most of their pro wins by knockout while each holding a single victory via submission, while their respective chins have never been broken. If something’s gotta give for this featherweight collision, referee Chris Tognoni will make sure it is done on the up-and-up. A clap of hands leads to Amil surging forward with a high kick. When Gomis responds with a high kick, Amil grabs it and tries to hurl the Frenchman to the mat. Gomis fights out of it thanks to a fence grab, and when they separate, Tognoni makes sure to admonish him for that. Amil bears down on Gomis, slinging a right hand and shooting for a single. Gomis keeps himself upright with the wall at his back, sneaking in a knee when Amil is jockeying for position and trying to change levels. They trade knees in the clinch until splitting up, and Amil advances aggressively and dodges a flying knee to loop a right hand over the top. Gomis skirts away and kicks the body, staying elusive and evasive enough to dodge all but a big right hand from “The Hurricane.” Amil presses on Gomis again, doing some work until Gomis escapes again. Amil keeps after him, kicking the front leg until they once more clinch. Gomis breaks free with solid knee, and Amil does not back off and continues crowding him. Amil strikes with an elbow, Gomis responds and then spins with a back elbow that opens up a cut on the corner of Amil’s left eye. Gomis spins with a back fist, and goes to the well with another in rapid succession, spinning about to crack the unbeaten fighter with a right hand. Gomis scores and Amil fires back, and Gomis tries for one more spin. Amil shrugs it off and throws caution to the wind to engage, whipping a kick up high before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 2
The fighters tap their hands and get right back to the furious melee, with Amil cracking Gomis right out of the gate and swinging with everything he has. Gomis steels himself and batters the front leg a few times, backpedaling and eating a low kick as Amil blitzes him with punches that lead to a clinch. When Gomis changes levels, Amil slings him to the mat, and they both get up and start trading. Gomis busts Amil in the chops, but he does not slow him one iota. Tognoni warns for grabbing the gloves as they are going after it, and Amil continues pressing the action as if he was double-parked. Gomis spins with two back fists and keeps turning to drill the body with a kick, and Amil laughs them off and busts Gomis in the chops with a fierce right hand. Amil is fearless and not wilting when taking damage coming forward, as Gomis is accurate and making him pay any time Amil gets a bit too reckless. Gomis uses his head movement to sway around a few punches, but Amil dings him with an inside low kick and an overhand right. Gomis flashes out a right hand, chewing up Amil’s lead leg but not making him think twice about advancing. Amil scores with a big right hand, and they trade body kicks. Amil overswings, resulting in a clinch, and he knees Gomis in the face when Gomis leans over. Amil loads up with five right hands, and Gomis bides his time to counter with a massive right hand that stuns Amil. Amil keeps plodding ever forward, throwing punches in bunches and landing cleanly on the French fighter. Gomis bounces on his feet to shake it off when he resets, and Amil is on him before long putting hands on him. Gomis drills his man with a back fist, and Amil stays in his grill punching him with everything he has. Amil shoots suddenly for a double, and when it fails, he backs away to adjust his knee sleeve. Amil then charges in again, looping a left over the guard and pushing Gomis to the wall. Amil digs a knee to the thigh before the wild round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amil
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 3
The featherweights come out swinging, taking full advantage of the 60-second respite so they can return to action. Amil does just what he did for the last 10 minutes, crashing forward throwing bombs. Gomis keeps his back to the wall, sticking his man with shots and prepping counters when he can muster them. Amil walks through punches that would fell lesser men so that he can swing back even harder. Amil gets clipped by a right hand and pushes Gomis back, and they go after one another’s lead leg with several kicks. Amil digs a kick to the body, drawing a smile out of the French fighter. Amil lets go with three right hands, and Gomis spins awkwardly with an elbow. Amil is on top of him putting punches on his target, and Gomis targets the body on hopes of slowing him down. Amil grips hold of a double, scooping Gomis up and depositing him gingerly to the canvas. Amil climbs on top in a quasi-half guard, with Gomis on his side trying to wriggle out, Amil flattens him out briefly and swarms him with left hands, and he switches to get off some right hands around the guard. Gomis gets to a knee with Amil draped behind over his back, and he explodes back to his feet. Gomis sticks out long punches to gain some space, and Amil swings for the bleachers from up close. Gomis attacks the body and gets off an uppercut, and Amil completely ignores it to drill Gomis with a crisp uppercut. Gomis has to actually shove Amil away to get just a second to breathe, and Amil is back in his face with volume to any target he can find. This is bonkers, the pace these two are putting in and the damage they have both not only sustained but ignored. The strike totals are high and extremely close, and Amil is aggressive as can be. Gomis strings several punches together, and Amil guards from them and strikes the body. Amil sells out with a throw that puts Gomis on the ground, and the French fighter gets back up. Amil relentlessly walks his man down, and they let it go right until the final bell sounds. What a fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amil (29-28 Amil)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amil (29-28 Gomis)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Amil (29-28 Gomis)

The Official Result
Hyder Amil def. William Gomis via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
William Gomis

Despite his personal dislike for Gomis, Angelo picks him because he is more tactical and well-rounded everywhere except raw power. He believes Gomis will outpoint Hyder Amil with his Muay Thai and opportunistic grappling, though he admits Amil's forward pressure could steal rounds. He suggests betting on Gomis to overcome his bias.

Betting on Gomis to overcome personal bias
"gomas is better than Haider everywhere except raw power he's more tactical more control Manish Reigns well I think Gomez dances around touches up Hider with the freaking three significant strikes per minute and haider's just punching air I think …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Hyder Amil

Big Brady leans toward Hyder Amil, despite the wide line. He notes Amil's high volume, pressure, and ability to win in multiple ways (KO, submission, decision). He criticizes William Gomis for being boring and defensively responsible but lacking offense. He predicts Amil will put a pace on Gomis and finish him in the third round by KO.

Amil by KO round 3
"I gotta go with Hyder Amil here give me Hyder Amil to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by third round KO"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Hyder Amil

Connor picks Amil as a fun flyer, noting that Amil is a violent, unthinking aggressor who can hurt Gomis early. He compares Amil to Sean Porter and notes that if Amil fights the fight that Joanderson Brito should have fought, Gomis can lose. Connor admits Gomis is a better neutralizer but takes the chance on Amil's power.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm gonna take the fun flyer on hider amil."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Hyder Amil

The host expects Amil to use his high pace and pressure to keep Gomis on the defensive. He predicts either a third-round finish or a decision win for Amil.

third round finish
"I expect Amil to go out there and utilize his high pace and high pressure to shut down the game of Gomez keeping him on the defensive and eventually either getting that third round finish or winning this fight on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
William Gomis

The Guru picks William Gomis over Hyder Amil. He dismisses Amil's undefeated record, calling his wins unimpressive. He praises Gomis's performance against Joanderson Brito and his win over Francis Marshall. He predicts Gomis will pick Amil apart at range and get a late finish in the second or third round.

"I'm going to go William Gomez... I'm going to say he gets a finish later in this fight... late in the second or the third round for a finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

Zane picks Gomis, seeing this as a classic neutralizer vs. unthinking aggressor matchup. He notes that Amil is a wind-up toy who doesn't adjust, and Gomis's style of backing up and tying up should work. Zane acknowledges that Gomis can be hurt but believes Amil will walk into his clinch game repeatedly.

Gomis opened -203, now -182; Amil opened +154, now +161.
"I think I will still pick gomi."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 43 of 71 60% 69 of 101 0 of 3 0% 0 1 3:52
Joanderson Brito 0 29 of 67 43% 57 of 105 3 of 6 50% 2 0 6:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 9 of 17 52% 22 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 3:07
Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 19 47% 20 of 30 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:08
2 William Gomis 0 11 of 20 55% 22 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanderson Brito 0 8 of 21 38% 16 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:34
3 William Gomis 0 23 of 34 67% 25 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Joanderson Brito 0 12 of 27 44% 21 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 43 of 71 60% 16 of 35 18 of 27 9 of 9 30 of 57 13 of 14 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 29 of 67 43% 9 of 39 5 of 8 15 of 20 23 of 60 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 9 of 19 47% 3 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 5 7 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 11 of 20 55% 4 of 9 4 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 8 of 21 38% 4 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 William Gomis 23 of 34 67% 9 of 18 10 of 12 4 of 4 15 of 26 8 of 8 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 12 of 27 44% 2 of 13 2 of 3 8 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. William Gomis

Round 1
Paris native and MMA Factory staple Gomis (13-2, 3-0 UFC) is firmly in the hearts and minds of the majority of the fans in the building in this “featured fight of the night” slot. However, he stands across from Brito (17-3-1, 5-1 UFC), a veritable featherweight wrecking machine who has crushed his last five foes. Keeping his head on a swivel for this one will be referee Rich Mitchell, although the fighters touch gloves before the ferocity begins. Brito advances rapidly, parrying a few front kicks so he can crowd the local. Gomis sticks out a jab and slides away from a winging right hand, and he boots the Brazilian in the side. Brito swings his way into a clinch, with Gomis glad to turn him about so he can lean on him and take some of the sting out of his offense. Brito decides he does not want to deal with this and he scoops Gomis up and flips him over. Brito attempts to take back control while they are shifting, but he falls the wrong direction and lands on his back. Gomis resides in the guard of his foe, smothering and looking for positional improvements over inflicting damage thus far. Brito sits up, but he is unable to get upright. Gomis drags him back down flat, and Brito hooks his toes in the cage to turn himself over. Brito pursues an armbar off his back, and Gomis fights out of it and flattens his chest down on top of Brito’s. When Gomis advances, Brito scrambles at that exact moment to fight to his feet. Brito looks for a single of his own, and he bails on it to go for a sneaky right hand up top. Gomis ducks it, and Brito ties him up again. The two jockey for position, and Brito is smiling and laughing while watching video of himself on the big screen. Gomis tries and fails to toss Brito down, and Brito knees him flush in the belly before being warned for grabbing his opponent’s shorts. Gomis turns him around and knees him repeatedly, and Mitchell asks for more activity from the Frenchman. Gomis elevates Brito but cannot deposit him to the mat, with Brito’s balance keeping him upright. When they separate, Brito is frantic, lashing out with big punches and kicks. A massive right hand from “Tubarao” hurts Gomis, and he hunts him down and jumps guard for a guillotine choke. Before he can complete it, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Unsurprisingly, the two fighters go right after it as soon as Mitchell says “fight.” Brito swarms Gomis, throwing with everything and the kitchen sink until he gets so close to Gomis that he elects to pursue a takedown. The Brazilian wrestles the underdog to the mat, where he lands in side control raining down right hands. Brito keeps swinging until Gomis turns to the side, and Brito latches on with an arm-triangle choke from an odd angle. Brito lowers himself down to try to complete the submission, and Gomis signals a thumbs-up to indicate he is fine. Brito changes angles, and he moves himself to half guard while squeezing with all his might. Once more, Gomis shows Mitchell a thumbs-up, and Brito looks surprised that he cannot choke his foe out. Gomis is still fine, so Brito bails on it. Brito pounds on Gomis with free left hands, and Gomis sits up and gets to his knees. Brito belts him in the chops with a left hand, and Gomis explodes upright. Brito leans heavily until Gomis bursts out of the position, and Brito walks him down. Brito connects with a few hard calf kicks, and he winds up his right hand to get the French fighter’s attention. Gomis takes it on the chin and retains his composure, and Brito tightly presses himself against his opponent instead of getting completely reckless. Mitchell tells Brito he needs to do more than hold, and it is Gomis who completes the break with a knee on the chin. Gomis backs off and boots Brito in the face with his foot, and he targets the body with a kick and nearly takes Brito’s head off with his shin. Brito responds with his own kicks, and the two trade vicious leg strikes until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 3
The featherweights clap hands after 10 minutes of action, and then resume kicking one another mercilessly. Gomis catches Brito on the way in with a right hand, and he backs away and raises his guard when Brito whips a kick at him. Brito plods forward and hammers the front calf with a kick, and he sprints his way in to land another. Gomis counters him with a left hand, and Brito has to shake it off. The Frenchman lets go with is hands and a kick, and he sneaks in another power punch to intercept his marauding opponent. Brito walks through it and loads up with even bigger, more telegraphed power, and Gomis is sniping him and keeping him from hurting him. A Brito leg kick gets his adversary’s attention, and Gomis pushes him to the fence. Brito smiles to Mitchell as he takes a breath with his back on the cage, and he wriggles out of the grasp and into a front kick. Brito scores a low kick and eats a left, and he walks square into a thudding body kick. Brito keeps chasing and missing, with few strikes but his leg kicks landing cleanly. Brito stops an ankle pick from getting anywhere, jamming Gomis against the wire and going after a single. Brito wrangles Gomis down to his seat, and Gomis tugs on the fence to prevent himself from going to his back. With Brito at the right angle, he slugs Gomis in the side of the head and moves around to the back to load up with high-amplitude knees to the thigh. Brito has his hands clasped around the waist, not giving Gomis a modicum of space, all while working on him with any offense he can muster. Gomis gets in a knee before Brito dives after a single, and Gomis defends with a guillotine that he uses to drag Brito to the floor. Brito climbs up with 10 seconds to spare, and Gomis kicks him square in the head. One more high kick from the French fighter punctuates a tense and exciting battle.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Joanderson Brito via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling him the most dangerous guy at this weight class. He notes Brito's ability to finish by KO, submission, or leg kicks. He worries about Brito's cardio since he hasn't been to a decision in a long time, but believes his insane pressure will overwhelm Gomis, who is low volume and may not handle the pace.

"I am picking Joanderson Brito here... he's an absolute savage and I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito by first-round submission, calling him a killer with dangerous striking and a huge grappling advantage. He criticizes Gomis for doing nothing in fights and having poor submission defense. He expects Brito to take Gomis down and submit him quickly.

Brito by first round submission
"I'm going breu to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito due to his physicality, power, and grappling advantage. He notes that Brito is always aggressive and finishes fights early. However, he expresses concern about Brito's cardio and the possibility of Gomis evading him with footwork. Despite the trap potential, Cody believes Brito's strength and pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

"I think Breo smokes him too but feels like a trap to me... he is the play"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor picks Brito because he believes Brito's overwhelming physicality and pressure will be too much for Gomis, who relies on a range striking game without a jab. He notes that Gomis has struggled against fighters who simply storm forward, as seen in his close fights with Yannis Ghemmouri and Frank Marshall. Connor points out that Brito is a game-breaking athlete who has crushed technically superior fighters like Jack Shore. He sees no clear path to victory for Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Connor suggests Brito should be a much bigger favorite, possibly -500.
"He is going to crush William Gomi. He should. He absolutely should."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
William Gomis

Daniel Vreeland picks William Gomis for the upset. He believes Gomis is better than he has shown, with good footwork, speed, and takedown defense. He thinks the big cage and home crowd will help Gomis frustrate Brito at distance. He notes Brito's cardio issues and that Gomis has a path to victory if he avoids getting bullied.

"I'm gonna pick GES for the offset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

JP picks Joanderson Brito because he thinks Brito has more paths to victory, including power and submissions. He notes Gomis is a one-trick pony kickboxer and Brito has impressive wins over Diego Lopes and Chape. He thinks Brito's pressure and grappling will be too much.

"I'm going to go burrito Maybe by sub might bet by sub but I mean money line this is another one money Line's way too [ __ ] wide"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his physicality and power. He notes that Gomis is a low-volume point striker who may struggle with Brito's pressure. However, Paul acknowledges the risk of Gomis using movement to frustrate Brito, especially in a big cage in Paris. He still expects Brito to find a takedown or land a big shot.

"physicality man... burrito will be up in his face... I think Breo absolutely smokes this guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito over William Gomis, praising Brito's power and explosiveness. He notes Brito's wins over Diego Lopez and Shep Mariscal. He believes Gomis' rangey, low-threat style will not work against Brito's pressure. He predicts a TKO win for Brito.

TKO
"I'm going to go Jo Anderson Britto smoking him um I really believe in Jo Anderson Britto"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito because he sees Gomis as a limited range striker who lacks a jab and has poor defensive wrestling. He notes that Brito is a powerful, athletic fighter who has dominated better opponents. Zane points out that Gomis's wins have been close decisions against lower-level competition, while Brito has crushed fighters like Jack Shore. He believes Brito's crude but effective pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Zane agrees Brito should be a much bigger favorite.
"Brito is a sizable favorite, probably could be a bit bigger... I will put Brito in like minus 500 territory."
TKO (body kick) R3 2:20 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 52 of 88 59% 61 of 99 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:55
Yanis Ghemmouri 0 28 of 73 38% 40 of 88 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 27 of 46 58% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yanis Ghemmouri 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 William Gomis 0 14 of 27 51% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:55
Yanis Ghemmouri 0 8 of 22 36% 15 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:32
3 William Gomis 0 11 of 15 73% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yanis Ghemmouri 0 4 of 12 33% 9 of 19 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 52 of 88 59% 10 of 30 6 of 15 36 of 43 47 of 82 5 of 6 0 of 0
Yanis Ghemmouri 28 of 73 38% 0 of 24 7 of 11 21 of 38 24 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 27 of 46 58% 3 of 12 0 of 6 24 of 28 27 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yanis Ghemmouri 16 of 39 41% 0 of 11 2 of 3 14 of 25 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 14 of 27 51% 3 of 12 3 of 6 8 of 9 12 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Yanis Ghemmouri 8 of 22 36% 0 of 7 4 of 6 4 of 9 5 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 William Gomis 11 of 15 73% 4 of 6 3 of 3 4 of 6 8 of 11 3 of 4 0 of 0
Yanis Ghemmouri 4 of 12 33% 0 of 6 1 of 2 3 of 4 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Yanis Ghemmouri vs. William Gomis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomis (-220) vs. Ghemmouri (+180)

Round 1
It’s France-on-France violence as the main card carries on, with the second of two matchups totally flipped on its head thanks to a few fighter withdrawals. Instead of Gomis (12-2, 2-0 UFC) vs. Lucas Almeida at 145 pounds and Ghemmouri (12-1, 0-0 UFC) taking on Loughran at bantamweight, Gomis and Ghemmouri square off. While he had to come in 10 pounds heavier than expected, Ghemmouri seems otherwise prepped and ready to make his promotional debut, but he is not favored to get his hand raised. Odds do not make fights, and referee Loic Pora knows that more than most people. The rebooked countrymen sportingly bump their fists together, and Gomis hand-fights early to not let Ghemmouri get his range. With Ghemmouri in orthodox and Gomis fighting southpaw, it allows Gomis to let loose with body kicks to the liver. He does just that, and Ghemmouri responds with multiple leg kicks on the outside. Gomis paws out a left hand, and he eats another chopping kick to the knee. The two trade kicks, one after the other. Gomis tries to double up on his strikes to outpace his foe, and the second gets caught. Ghemmouri just misses with a high kick, and Gomis springs out of the way to dodge one to the midsection. Gomis pokes out a few jabs and sticks a kick to the side, and the pace is largely in this kick-for-kick approach. Both men test one another with these kicks, and Gomis stomps down on the knee when he attacks a few times. Ghemmouri has a head kick blocked, and he avoids a spinning back kick with ease. Ghemmouri keeps his hands high to guard against a sudden high kick, and Gomis stands in front of him with his hands down. Gomis stomps the knee effectively, hyperextending the joint of Ghemmouri momentarily. Ghemmouri misses the mark with a head kick, and he shrugs at Gomis when Gomis continues chewing up his leg. When Ghemmouri goes high with his shin, Gomis intercepts him with a right hand. Ghemmouri tries to catch a kick, and it bounces up and into his cup. Pora offers the fouled fighter time to recover, but Ghemmouri tells him he is good to go. Gomis snaps into action with several punches and a kick, and he races back to block the coming strikes as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 2
The second round begins right where the two left off, smacking one another with kicks in alternating fashion. Gomis looks to push the pace earlier, and he outvolumes Ghemmouri in the early going but is still absorbing plenty that come back at him. Ghemmouri is inaccurate with a hook kick, and Gomis blitzes him with a solid right hand. Ghemmouri walks into a head kick, and he tries to clinch up only to get cracked with an elbow. Gomis leaps forward with a punch, and Ghemmouri snatches up his leg and goes after a single. “The Jaguar” jumps back to the wall, and he sets up a standing guillotine choke and keeps it tight. Gomis turns the choke into a power guillotine, and he jams Ghemmouri down to the floor. Ghemmouri appears to tap out once on Gomis’ hip, but Pora is on the other side and does not see it. Ghemmouri powers his way back up, his neck still in danger, and Gomis is hanging tight with it. Gomis presses hard in the posture until Ghemmouri pulls his neck out and turns the MMA Factory fighter around. Ghemmouri settles down, pressing Gomis against the cage, and thumping him with shoulder strikes and a solid knee to the body. Ghemmouri knees the body and they split apart, where they proceed to jab at one another using their feet. Gomis stays active with a low kick and one upside the face, and Ghemmouri wags his finger at him. Ghemmouri hops forward into a kick on the thigh, and Gomis replies with two right back. Gomis tries to swarm ahead with two looping punches, and he has a jumping switch kick bounce off the guard. Gomis spins with a back kick to the ribs, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 3
The Frenchmen high-five and then hug, and the crowd gives it up to them after a spirited 10 minutes of combat. Gomis leads off with a few stomping kicks to the knee, and Ghemmouri looks to catch a leg kick and go after a takedown. Although he cannot snag hold of a limb, he does rumble forward into a clinch that pushes Gomis to the wire. Gomis answers him with a sudden high knee, and Pora promptly tells them to do more. Gomis gets free first, and he blocks a big head kick. Gomis turns his hips into a leg kick, and Ghemmouri does not like this one and he switches stances briefly. Ghemmouri races forward in pursuit of a single, and he lifts Gomis’ right leg up and jams him against the fence. Pora asks for more action, and Gomis splits off again and lets loose two kicks to the body.
The second kick skims up and brushes the cup as it strikes on the belt line, lifting Ghemmouri off the ground, and Ghemmouri groans and bends over in pain. Pora shouts to Ghemmouri that it was a legal strike and that he needs to keep fighting. Ghemmouri protests that the kick landed on his groin, and Pora waves the fight off to declare it a knockout instead calling time for an illegal strike.
Ghemmouri is beside himself, upset and confused and angry that he has now officially suffered the first knockout loss of his career under controversial circumstances. The replay booth reviews the footage and upholds Pora’s ruling that the kick was legal, and the fight result stands for the time being.

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Yanis Ghemmouri R3 2:20 via TKO (Body Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Angelo picks Caolán Loughran due to his explosiveness and takedown style, comparing it to Jordan Burroughs. He is surprised Loughran is a 3-to-1 favorite given his stationary stance. He notes Yanis Ghemmouri has nice leg kicks and technique, but Loughran's power and wrestling give him the edge. He avoids betting on this fight.

"I'm gonna pick Lachlan literally because of the explosiveness"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
William Gomis

Big Brady hesitantly picks Gomis, despite being a self-proclaimed 'hater'. He notes Gomis' size advantage, range management, and excellent striking defense. However, he criticizes Gomis' low volume and unexciting style, expecting an ugly decision win. He acknowledges Ghemmouri is also French, but believes Gomis should win.

"give me Gomez to win a a horrible fight... gummies to win a horrible decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
William Gomis

Cody picks Gomis but notes the price is terrible (-300). He describes Gomis's style as low-output, lateral movement, and mixing in takedowns, which often leads to close decisions. Ghemmouri is moving up from 135, which is a disadvantage. Cody expects a decision and suggests Gomis by decision prop. He warns that Gomis could get screwed on scorecards due to low volume.

Gomis by decision
"I guess I take fico's decision first of all you know the over two and a half goal miss if you're gonna take him I think you take him by decision because he ain't trying to finish nothing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

Daniel Levi picks William Gomis, citing Gomis's size and athleticism advantage. He notes that Gomis is a tall featherweight who switches stances well and has a nasty left kick and straight. Levi acknowledges that Gomis has low volume and has nearly been submitted in both his UFC fights, but he believes the physicality will be too much for Ghemmouri, who is moving up from bantamweight on short notice. Levi expresses frustration that he missed a great dog spot on Ghemmouri against a different opponent, but here he favors the bigger man.

"I gotta go with gomis man"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)
Yanis Ghemmouri

Lucrative James is fading Gomis, having bet on Ghemmouri at +210. He feels Gomis's style doesn't warrant being a -300 favorite, especially against a power striker. He notes the fight is competitive and that Gomis wins on slim margins, as seen in his fight against Francis Marshall where he almost got finished. He also bet on Ghemmouri in his previous fight against Lofran.

"I've actually bet gamori as well so I'm fading Gomez I just feel like Gomez's style doesn't ever warrant him to be minus 300 minus 200."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

I'm picking Gomis to win by decision. He has a good mix of striking and grappling, and I expect him to use his grappling to overwhelm Ghemmouri. However, this fight is a pass for me because Gomis went from a +200 underdog to a -250 favorite, which feels like a market overcorrection. Ghemmouri is still a question mark. I'd rather take Gomis over 2.5 rounds.

Gomis over 2.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go with uh Gomez again over two and a half probably the best way to go about this fight but I'm going to pick Gomez to Win It by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Paul calls this a dog or pass situation, noting Gomis's extremely low output (27 and 32 significant strikes in his two UFC fights) and that his wins came against questionable competition. He says he'll wait for weigh-ins to see the size difference but leans Ghemmouri if forced to pick. He mentions the fight was made last minute so only moneyline is available.

"I think it's a dog or pass situation here Cody I'll be waiting for Wayans"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 15 of 132 11% 35 of 165 2 of 5 40% 2 0 4:20
Francis Marshall 0 27 of 79 34% 30 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 5 of 47 10% 12 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:16
Francis Marshall 0 5 of 20 25% 5 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 William Gomis 0 6 of 56 10% 6 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Francis Marshall 0 12 of 34 35% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
3 William Gomis 0 4 of 29 13% 17 of 49 2 of 4 50% 2 0 2:53
Francis Marshall 0 10 of 25 40% 11 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 15 of 132 11% 10 of 123 4 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 129 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francis Marshall 27 of 79 34% 6 of 47 8 of 17 13 of 15 27 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 5 of 47 10% 4 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francis Marshall 5 of 20 25% 1 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 6 of 56 10% 3 of 51 2 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francis Marshall 12 of 34 35% 4 of 19 4 of 10 4 of 5 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 William Gomis 4 of 29 13% 3 of 26 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francis Marshall 10 of 25 40% 1 of 14 0 of 1 9 of 10 10 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
William Gomis vs. Francis Marshall
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marshall (-205), Gomis (+175)

Round 1
Styles clash in this 145-pound affair, when the rear-naked choke minded Marshall (7-0, 1-0 UFC) attempts to keep his flawless record intact when he meets diverse striker Gomis (11-2, 1-0 UFC), out of the MMA Factory in Paris. Referee Keith Peterson is on his best nonsense-slaying behavior, ready to intervene at a moment’s notice. The two fighters bump fists in the center of the cage, and Marshall is very active with his jab right out of the gate. Marshall follows a few jabs with range-fighting straight right hands, and Gomis darts out of the way and sticks him with a straight left. Gomis slaps a kick to his foe’s midsection as they stand in alternating stances, and he fires off another as Marshall fires off an overhand right that dings the Frenchman. Marshall presses forward, and he swings all his might into another right, and this results in a clinch and not a successful strike. Marshall pushes off and circles away, and he just avoids a front kick aimed at his jaw. They both land with long punches at the same time, and neither show any ill effect. When Gomis throws a high kick, he loses his balance, but Marshall allows him to stand so that he can keep jabbing at him. The jabs from Marshall are not actually landing, but they are reaching towards his foe, while Gomis occasionally responds with power kicks from his left leg. The kick draws immediate swelling on Marshall’s right cheek, which is lumped up in a hurry. Marshall times a right hand as Gomis goes after another kick, and he swats with a left hook as Gomis escapes. Gomis whips another kick to the midsection, and he attempts to connect with an uppercut as Marshall crashes towards him in pursuit of a takedown. Gomis defends with his back against the wall, and Marshall settles down and presses on him as he knees the thigh and stomps the toes. The round ends in this tie-up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 2
The featherweights clap hands in the middle of the Octagon, and Marshall darts at him with swatting left hooks to begin. Gomis chambers his left hand and fires once in response, as he has that hand cocked back regularly waiting for a chance to unload. Gomis tosses out a low kick from either leg, and he sticks his foe with a jab. Marshall leans forward to throw, and Gomis is elusive and dodges the successive strikes while planting the ball of his foot on Marshall’s chest. Gomis ties his foe up, and Marshall is quick to turn him around. Instead of stalling, Marshall shoves off and gets back to boxing range. Gomis thanks him for this with a straight right hand down the pipe, and Marshall blinks it out and misses with a counter. Gomis slips and moves, getting off a jab or two but little else for offense. The French fighter chips at the lead leg with a kick, and Marshall is struggling to find his target regularly. Gomis stays on the outer edge and paws out a front kick, and Marshall times a right hand over the top but is one-and-done with it as Gomis slides away. Gomis punches into a high kick, and the guard is high enough to defend it. They swing at one another and largely do not connect, with Gomis’ elusiveness and range keeping him out of action both offensively and defensively. Gomis reaches Marshall with a few punches, and he counters a left hook with a front kick that jams into the cup. Peterson calls it and lets Marshall recover, and Marshall needs only a few seconds before he is good to go. When clocked back in, Marshall swings at air, and Gomis pecks and pokes at him with a few punches and a leg kick to end the tepid round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 3
The hands are clapped to start off the round, and Marshall pushes the pace but still cannot lock Gomis down. Gomis slips strikes, occasionally counters, and flusters the undefeated fighter as seconds slowly fall off the clock. Marshall sits down on a right hand, and Gomis rolls with it and ducks away. Gomis gets off a stomping front kick on the knee when Marshall bears down on him, and he suddenly fires off a jumping switch kick that nearly catches Marshall on the chin. Marshall gets pushed away with the kicks of the Frenchman, but Gomis’ blows are not particularly damaging either. Gomis slides out of the pocket until Marshall bull-rushes him, and he manages to lift Gomis in the air and throw him to the floor. Marshall gets a hook in when Gomis returns to a knee, and Gomis leans to put both hands on the floor to protect his face from getting kneed. Marshall mat returns him partially, and Gomis leans up against the fence to stay upright. Marshall hangs onto his opponent, seemingly taking full advantage of the fact that he can put his hands on his foe, and he jumps straight into back control. Marshall snatches up a rear-naked choke and wraps his arm on the chin, and he crushes with all his remaining energy reserves. Gomis fights off the first attempt, and the second to follow, and he turns to his back as Marshall hammers him with an elbow. Marshall jumps to mount and sets up an arm-triangle choke, and the French fighter answers this by leaning to his side and breaking up the submission. Gomis turns to his knees, and Marshall pounds on him and stops Gomis from scrambling until the horn blares. It likely will be too little, too late for the currently and soon-to-be no longer undefeated man from New Jersey.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (29-28 Gomis)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (29-28 Gomis)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (29-28 Gomis)

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Francis Marshall via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Angelo picks Francis Marshall, citing his power, speed, and wrestling. He notes Marshall's blast doubles and power in his hands. He acknowledges Gomis' counter-striking and sneaky power, but thinks Marshall's aggression and power will prevail. He is undecided on betting but may include Marshall in small parlays.

May include in small parlays.
"Francis is absolutely the pick... I may throw him in some bets or even some small parlays."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Big Brady picks Francis Marshall to win by decision. He notes that Marshall has more forward pressure and aggression on the feet, and is the harder hitter. He also thinks Marshall will be the better wrestler, as he has seen Gomis taken down before. Brady acknowledges that Gomis is solid but believes Marshall has more dog in him and will pressure, take down, and control the fight to a decision win.

"give me Francis Marshall I'll take him to win a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Cody picks Marshall, praising his youth, potential, and training under Kurt Pellegrino. He notes Marshall has power and grappling skills, and his takedown defense is better than Gomis'. Cody believes Marshall will pressure Gomis and win exchanges, possibly by finish. He acknowledges Gomis could use movement and jabs, but doubts he can maintain it for 15 minutes.

"I think there should be some decent value on on Francis Marshall I think he has the skills has the potential to easily win this fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Connor picks Francis Marshall, describing him as a super aggressive swarmer who leads with his jab and has good shot selection. He notes that Marshall is well-schooled in his aggression and has takedown defense. Connor contrasts this with Gomis, who is a slick but lackadaisical striker who relies on clinch work. He believes Marshall will overwhelm Gomis and not let himself be controlled.

"I got to pick Marshall."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Francis Marshall has superior North American wrestling and should be able to shut down William Gomis' clinch-based takedowns. Marshall showed improved striking in his UFC debut and has power. Gomis relies on kicks and clinch grappling, but Marshall's underhooks and reversals will neutralize that. Gomis has been hurt in previous fights and his desperation takedowns won't work against Marshall. Marshall should control the fight and win by decision, with a possible finish.

Marshall by decision
"I'm pretty big on Francis Marshall in the spot... official prediction I'm gonna go Francis Marshall by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Paul also picks Marshall, agreeing that Gomis' wrestling advantage from his debut is gone in this matchup. He thinks Marshall is young and developing, and this should be a manageable victory. However, he is not keen on the minus 205 price.

"Francis Marshall I think he's young developing not so keen on Lane minus 205 he's got a lot of work to do to continue to prove to us they belongs at this level but this should be a pretty manageable …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

The MMA Guru picks Francis Marshall, though he notes it's not a lock. He was unimpressed by William Gomis's debut and thinks Marshall is a more promising prospect. He believes Gomis leaves himself open with unorthodox techniques and that Marshall can catch him with a straight punch. He predicts a KO in the second round after a competitive first round.

KO in the second round
"I'm gonna go Francis Marshall I wasn't too impressed by William William Gomez's debut I don't think this is a lock"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Zane also picks Francis Marshall, agreeing that Gomis's striking requires escape valves that Marshall won't allow. He notes that Gomis is a weird Muay Thai fighter who throws single strikes but lacks fluidity, and that Marshall's single-minded aggression will find openings. Zane believes Marshall's wrestling and scrambling will prevent Gomis from controlling the fight.

"I just think that Gomes isn't going to have the escape valves and his striking requires escape valves."
WIN vs Jarno Errens
Decision (majority) (29–28, 29–28, 29–29) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Sep 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 32 of 70 45% 69 of 121 3 of 5 60% 0 0 8:04
Jarno Errens 0 20 of 53 37% 31 of 64 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 10 of 24 41% 17 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
Jarno Errens 0 7 of 17 41% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 William Gomis 0 10 of 22 45% 27 of 46 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:18
Jarno Errens 0 8 of 24 33% 12 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
3 William Gomis 0 12 of 24 50% 25 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:27
Jarno Errens 0 5 of 12 41% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 32 of 70 45% 14 of 43 10 of 18 8 of 9 27 of 62 2 of 3 3 of 5
Jarno Errens 20 of 53 37% 10 of 32 8 of 14 2 of 7 15 of 47 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 10 of 24 41% 4 of 14 3 of 7 3 of 3 7 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1
Jarno Errens 7 of 17 41% 2 of 7 4 of 7 1 of 3 4 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 10 of 22 45% 5 of 14 3 of 5 2 of 3 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jarno Errens 8 of 24 33% 4 of 15 3 of 6 1 of 3 6 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 William Gomis 12 of 24 50% 5 of 15 4 of 6 3 of 3 10 of 19 0 of 1 2 of 4
Jarno Errens 5 of 12 41% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jarno Errens vs. William Gomis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomis (-220), Errens (+195)

Round 1
Two UFC neophytes will take center stage on a surprisingly high placement on the main card, with MMA Factory product Gomis (10-2, 0-0 UFC) aiming to be the last fighter to get on the board for France until the main event. He will square off against recent Brave CF victor Errens (13-3-1, 0-0 UFC), with the winner hoping to impress the bosses in this matchup booked on quite short notice. Both happy to be inside the UFC cage for the first time, the featherweights happily touch gloves as referee Jason Herzog waits in the wings. Errens pushes the pace, but he gets struck first when Gomis lets go with a body kick. Errens cautiously approaches his foe, as they are both tense and coiled to strike. Gomis misses a front kick, and Errens darts forward with a straight right hand to the body. Gomis reaches out with a couple leg kicks, and he blocks a high kick that darts at him. The Dutch fighter goes for a spinning wheel kick, and Gomis sees it coming and is well out of the way. Gomis blasts the body with his shin, and Errens tries to punch the same spot in response. Gomis continues to work the body with his legs, and he is forced to back off as Errens leaps at him with a flying knee. Errens checks a kick and punches his way in, but Errens is able to swat it away and stomp the knee with his heel. They go kick for kick low, until Gomis crashes the pocket with a few swarming punches. Gomis gets grabbed in the clinch, but he manages to put Errens on his back through sheer power. In the full guard, the Frenchman can do little more but hang on, as Errens clings to him tightly. Errens scoots his back to the wall, and he opens his guard as he considers a triangle choke. The angle is such that he cannot set anything up, so Gomis holds on and punches him once. Errens grips the wrist to protect himself from harm, and he gets bulled and smacked with an elbow and a few short punches before threatening with a double off his back. The attempt allows Errens to stand back up, and Gomis jams him up against the wall. They trade knees, and one bounces off a cup but there is no pause. They break apart, and Gomis lets fly kicks with both legs until the horn ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 2
A touch of gloves starts off the second stanza, and they are tentative to trade like the previous round. Gomis strikes first with two looping punches, and he blocks a counter kick with his knee and jumps with a switch kick. Errens pushes forward, throwing hands, and the crowd begins conflicting chants for each man. Errens catches Gomis with a knee, but he does not capitalize and slowly works his way in while Gomis backs off. Gomis jumps forward with a superman punch, and Errens clocks him with a counter right. Gomis is staggered but still remains upright, and he shoots in only to get met on the way down with a flying knee. Gomis still powers through it, possibly hurt badly from the concussive blow, but he manages to ground the Dutchman. Errens scoots his back to the wall again, but his closed guard is preventing him from escaping. Gomis is comfortable in this position, occasionally landing strikes but more content to nullify his opponent. Errens sits up and turns to a side, but Gomis pushes him back over. Errens puts his feet on Gomis’ hips to kick him off, and when they both stand back up, Errens begins to trade. The Dutch fighter plods forward with a stream of punches, only to be backed off when Gomis kicks high at him. Gomis fires an inside thigh kick that slides up to the cup, and they do not break, so Herzog tells them they are even in terms of uncalled groin strikes. Gomis shoots for a takedown, and Errens rolls all the way through and even gets mount for a second. “Jaguar” keeps moving, doing enough to fight all the way to his feet again and in pursuit of a takedown once more. Gomis has his hands clasped around the waist, and Errens counters with a judo through only to get turned to his back once more. The round ends in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis

Round 3
Double high-fives and a hug start off the last round, and the two featherweights motion to the crowd to let their voices be heard. The audience begins to chant as Gomis starts his offense, kicking while fighting off his back foot. Gomis turns his hips with a body kick, and Errens meets him with punches to the face and two more to the body. The Frenchman threatens with a flying knee and a spinning back kick, and the latter slams into the side of Errens. Errens takes it and keeps coming forward, half-checking a low kick so that he can crack Gomis with a right hand over the top. Gomis clinches up and turns Errens to the fencing, where he begins to knee the thigh repeatedly. Herzog asks them to work as they stall out, so Gomis replies by lifting Errens up with a powerful double and setting him down gingerly. Errens defends when he hits his back with a guillotine choke, only to bail on it when Gomis wriggles his neck out of harm’s way. Errens tightens up a body triangle from off his back, and Gomis breaks it by slamming his fists into Errens’ jaw. Errens drags his backside to the wall, and he keeps a high guard with a possible triangle or armbar setup as he attempts to roll for a sweep. Gomis is tightly pressed to him and keeps him trapped, and he opens up with heavy punches to the body and elbows to the jaw. Errens keeps working and turns to his side, but Gomis is able to toss him back over. As Gomis scrambles to maintain top position, Errens flings his legs up and traps Gomis in a triangle choke. Gomis stands up, and in the process, allows his right arm to be snagged with a triangle armbar. The Frenchman slowly but calmly slides his neck out, and the crowd goes wild for Gomis’ smooth escape. Gomis moves to half guard and stays in that position until the horn blares. Even if the next two French fighters end up suffering defeats, France has beaten the world with three wins tonight for five fighters.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Jarno Errens via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-29)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2022 (7 days before fight)
William Gomis

Angelo picks William Gomis because Gomis is a counter-striker and Errens likes to come forward, which plays directly into Gomis's strength. He notes Gomis has solid clinch work and is well-rounded, but warns the odds are too wide and Errens is legitimately good. He advises not to look at the betting line and make a decision, and does not consider Gomis a parlay piece.

Odds are too wide; not a parlay piece
"i do think gomus gets this done because of that counter-striking and he's got solid clinch work but these odds are far too wide"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
William Gomis

Big Brady picks William Gomis to win by decision. He notes that Jarno Errens has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Gomis has a clear path to victory by taking him down and controlling him on the mat. He warns that if Gomis chooses to strike, it could be close, but trusts the wrestling advantage.

"give me a gomez to win go mr win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jarno Errens

Cody picks Jarno Errens as a dog, arguing that William Gomis is a green prospect who was signed on short notice to fill a local spot. He notes that Gomis backs straight up to the cage and swings wild, while Errens has better experience, cardio, and a more well-rounded game. Cody believes the line is too wide and that Errens has a solid chance to win.

"I'll take the dog shot on narrow air... it just screams underdogs got a shot here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
William Gomis

Daniel Levi leans toward William Gomis, citing his African physicality and explosiveness, but is cautious due to Gomis's low volume and the fact that both are debutants. He notes that Errens has more volume and leg kicks, but Gomis has the edge in power and grappling. He is not confident in the -215 price.

"I'll lean gomi to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
William Gomis

The host picks Gomis due to his persistent grappling and cardio, expecting him to land takedown after takedown and grind out a decision. He notes Errens has striking advantages but poor defensive grappling. He finds the over 2.5 rounds at plus 100 intriguing.

over 2.5 rounds (plus 100)
"Give me Gomez by decision but the over two and a half seems to be the most intriguing betting line for this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jarno Errens

Paul changes his pick to Jarno Errens after hearing Cody's reasoning, admitting he was initially leaning toward Gomis. He agrees that Gomis is unproven and that Errens has a better chance than the odds suggest. Paul says he may not bet it but will pick Errens for the show.

"I'm changing my pick on cody's advice to uh to the dutch yarno aaron's."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2022 (5 days before fight)
William Gomis

The MMA Guru picks William Gomis over Jarno Errens, believing in Gomis as a prospect with good finishing ability and momentum. He notes that Gomis has an eight-fight win streak and has beaten decent opponents, while Errens has mostly decision wins and lacks finishing ability. He predicts Gomis will get a finish by TKO or submission in the early rounds.

Gomis wins by TKO or submission in rounds 1-2
"i'm gonna be going with william gomez here i believe in this guy as a prospect"
Expert Picks (14)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo is confident in Pat Sabatini, noting his incredible grappling and control. He believes Sabatini will take down William Gomez repeatedly and that Gomez's slow technical style won't be enough to stop the takedowns. He mentions that Sabatini has looked incredible lately and that the odds are good value.

has some bets on him
"Pat's going to be the pick and I'm definitely more confident than these odds are in him."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, citing his dominant wrestling and takedown ability. He notes Sabatini took down Chepe Mariscal seven times and expects similar against Gomis. He says Gomis can be taken down and lacks one-punch knockout power, so Sabatini faces no risk of being KO'd. He loves the minus 133 odds and thinks it's a dominant win.

Angelo mentions the odds are minus 133 and he absolutely loves those odds.
"Pat Sabatini is the pick and unless he decides to go out there and showcase to a hometown crowd and start only throwing hands, it's not going to be an exciting fight, but it should be a dominant one that cashes at very solid odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Big Brady is confident Pat Sabatini wins, citing his elite wrestling and control. He notes Gomis lacks power and has been taken down and put in bad spots before. Brady expects Sabatini to get takedowns and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission, as Gomis has shown vulnerability to submissions.

"I actually think Pat Sabatini not only wins this fight, but potentially gets a submission as well. I'll take Pat Sabatini to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, citing his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Gomis's takedown defense issues and thinks Sabatini can control him on the ground. Cody expects Sabatini to win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission (plus 200)
"Sabatini by sub has my attention, too, because it's like plus 200."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Connor picks Sabatini, believing his wrestling is good enough to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Sabatini is a better wrestler than others who have had success against Gomis. Connor expects a razor-thin decision, possibly a split, but thinks Sabatini's dedication to his game plan will earn him the nod.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170.
"I'll take Sabatini for the hell of it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Daniel picks Sabatini, reasoning that Gomis is a point fighter who doesn't dish out much damage, so Sabatini will take him down and control him on the ground. He believes Sabatini's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm also going Sabatini. The reason why is the way to beat him is to put the damage on him. And Gome is very good point fighter, but point fighter, he doesn't really dish out too much damage. I think he's going to be on his back for the majority …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Sabatini has home advantage and a relentless grappling style that will smother Gomis. Gomis is a volume striker who needs distance, but Sabatini will either be far outside or in the clinch/takedown range. Gomis has poor takedown defense and takes a long time to get back up; he's been in many split decisions. Sabatini's cardio allows him to grapple for three rounds. Unless Gomis has significantly improved his takedown defense, Sabatini should control the fight.

Bet at 1.46 odds (implied -216). No stake mentioned explicitly, but implied from context. No other props.
"I think that Pat Sabatini is a great bet this weekend for lots of different reasons... I do like Sabatini a lot this weekend. I know he's a big favorite... 1.46 minus 216 for an implied probability of 68% is a steep price to pay. But on this occasion, I …"
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Lean picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Pat Sabatini

Predicted method: Submission Round 2. Sabatini's grappling-heavy style (4.48 takedowns per round, 1.5 submission average) is a clear path to victory against Gomis, who has only 72% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times. Gomis has a reach advantage (73" vs 70") and solid striking, but Sabatini's pressure and top control will neutralize that. Sabatini has won three straight and is a proven finisher on the ground. Expect Sabatini to secure takedowns and win by submission or decision.

Sabatini by submission +270
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Jacob agrees with Angelo, stating that Gomez will either land a knee or headkick on an entry or get taken down and controlled. He praises Sabatini's wrestling and control, noting that Gomez is comfortable fighting off his back foot but that Sabatini's pressure and takedowns will be too much. He thinks the price is about right.

"I just think Williams probably going to land a knee or he isn't. And then if he's not, you know, I think it's priced pretty right."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini because he believes Sabatini's grappling will be too much for William Gomis, who is a pure striker without power or strong takedown defense. He notes that Gomis prefers to stay on the outside, which plays into Sabatini's game of closing distance and taking the fight to the ground. He predicts Sabatini wins by submission in round two.

"Pat Sabatini to win this fight. ... via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The host picks Sabatini, emphasizing his dominant grappling and ability to control opponents on the ground. He notes that Sabatini's striking is a liability but believes his wrestling will be too much for Gomis, who has shown defensive grappling improvements but may struggle to keep the fight standing. He expects Sabatini to win by decision, possibly at a better price if the line moves.

"I'm still going to go with Sabatini here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Paul picks Sabatini, citing his grappling advantage and Gomis's vulnerability. He thinks Sabatini will get takedowns and control the fight. Paul expects Sabatini to win by decision.

"Pat Sabatini is the man. Now how does he lose fights is when he doesn't shoot the takedowns."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini, praising his elite grappling. He notes Sabatini dominated Shep Mariscal and Joe Anderson Britto, while Gomis had close fights with Britto and others. He worries about Sabatini's chin on the feet but believes his takedowns and top control will secure a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

"I'm going to go with Pat Zabatini to get this one done. Also, William Gomez, um not Clayton Carpenter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
William Gomis

Zane picks Gomis hesitantly. He notes that Gomis is a back-foot neutralizer who can make Sabatini work hard for takedowns. However, Gomis is not a finisher and may not do enough to win rounds decisively. Zane thinks Sabatini's one-dimensional wrestling could be neutralized, leading to a close decision, but Gomis's ability to avoid damage and counter could edge it.

Sabatini opened at -270, now -200; Gomis opened at +230, now +170. Feels like a coin flip.
"I think I am still going to pick Gomes."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 3 weeks, 6 days ago

sab is 30 for the heel hook