Career Averages - Gabriel Bonfim
Career Averages - Trevin Giles
Gabriel Bonfim
Trevin Giles
Gabriel Bonfim - Fight History
The host picks Belal Muhammad, citing his pace and cardio over five rounds as the deciding factor. He acknowledges that Bonfim is more technical and skilled, but believes Muhammad's relentless forward pressure and grappling will wear Bonfim down, especially in the later rounds. He notes that Bonfim's lone loss came to a pace-pusher in a three-round fight, and now he faces five rounds of Muhammad.
AJ picks Gabriel Bonfim but acknowledges the risk due to Bonfim's cardio concerns. He believes Bonfim is the better striker with dangerous weapons and could hurt Belal Muhammad early, but Muhammad could overwhelm him if the fight goes long. AJ sees pathways for Bonfim to win but calls it a close fight.
AJ picks Bonfim to win, citing his youth, precise striking, leg kicks, and jiu-jitsu. He believes Bonfim's footwork and accuracy will trouble Muhammad, and that Muhammad's wrestling edge is negated by Bonfim's grappling. AJ expects Bonfim to do damage on the feet and possibly win by decision or late finish.
AJ believes Belal Muhammad will bounce back from recent losses to top competition, using his wrestling and control time to neutralize Gabriel Bonfim. He notes Bonfim's height advantage and striking volume but questions his takedown defense (76%) compared to Muhammad's (90%). AJ acknowledges the risk of Muhammad's age and recent striking deficits but expects a rebound win, possibly by decision.
Angelo picks Belal Muhammad, believing he will slow the pace and use his wrestling to grind out a win. He notes Muhammad's toughness, cardio, and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Muhammad needs to make the fight boring and avoid giving Bonfim room to strike. He has never seen Muhammad break, while Bonfim has been broken before.
Big Brady picks Belal Muhammad to win by decision. He highlights Muhammad's elite durability and takedown defense, and thinks the five-round fight favors Muhammad's cardio. He doubts Bonfim can take Muhammad down or knock him out, and expects Muhammad to take over as the fight goes on. He also notes that Bonfim's recent wins are questionable.
Belal Muhammad has heart and a great gas tank, and he will push the pace to win a close decision. Gabriel Bonfim is overrated, with a controversial win over Stephen Thompson and a loss to Nicolas Dalby. Bonfim tends to not push the gas pedal, while Muhammad will outwork him.
Cody picks Belal Muhammad, emphasizing that the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Muhammad due to Bonfim's poor cardio and lack of durability. He notes Bonfim is explosive early but fades, and Muhammad has proven five-round cardio and durability. He suggests live betting Muhammad after the first two rounds for better value.
Belal Muhammad is picked due to his superior cardio and pressure, which will break Gabriel Bonfim over five rounds. The host notes Bonfim's only loss was to Nicolas Dalby, who maintained a high pace, and Belal's boxing and wrestling are better. He sees Belal winning by unanimous decision or late stoppage, as Bonfim's submission skills are from top position and Belal is good at avoiding danger. The host is not sold on Bonfim as a prospect and believes Belal's championship experience is key.
Muhammad's wrestling and cardio are elite, and Bonfim has never faced a wrestler of his caliber. Bonfim's takedown defense is questionable, as he was taken down by lesser fighters. Muhammad should control the fight for 25 minutes and win a unanimous decision.
Lucrative James picks Belal Muhammad despite the 10-year age disadvantage, citing Belal's superior experience, gas tank, and wrestling. He believes Bonfim is a 'finish or bust' fighter who will fade after the first couple of rounds, and that Belal's durability and veteran savvy will allow him to survive early submission threats and take over in later rounds. He predicts a round 4 or 5 knockout via ground and pound.
Muhammad's high pace, durability, and cardio should overwhelm Bonfim, who has cardio issues. Bonfim's best chance is an early stoppage, but if it reaches the third round, Muhammad will take over and likely get a TKO in round 4.
Paul picks Belal Muhammad but is hesitant, noting Bonfim could land something early. He prefers to watch live and has placed prop bets on Muhammad winning in rounds 4 and 5 at high odds, expecting Muhammad's cardio to prevail in later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 35 of 64 | 54% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 33 of 87 | 37% | 33 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 24 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 35 of 64 | 54% | 11 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 27 | 33 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 33 of 87 | 37% | 11 of 48 | 9 of 21 | 13 of 18 | 33 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 24 of 43 | 55% | 6 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 22 | 23 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 19 of 61 | 31% | 7 of 33 | 3 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 26 | 53% | 4 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-180); Brown (+150)
Round 1
We’re here. It’s the main event. Without a doubt, this is one of the headliners of all time. Welterweights grace the Octagon for the next five rounds or fewer, and at night’s end, only one of these two athletes will likely be ranked—right now, only Bonfim (18-1, 5-1 UFC) is for the UFC. Brown (20-6, 14-6 UFC) feels he has finally turned the corner, other than a pair of tough losses to Bryan Battle and Jack Della Maddalena holding him back from breaking out of the “action fighter” category of his division. Referee Mark Smith brings them to the middle to issue final instructions, stepping back to allow the athletes to touch ‘em up. They do. It’s on with the show.
The athletes are tentative to engage, stabbing out jabs and the occasional low kick as the bout begins. Brown slowly, steadily builds up a work rate with distance in his favor, but the Brazilian is still able to reach him with kicks. Brown checks one kick, but a few more land with audible thuds. Bonfim keeps battering the lead leg, so Brown kicks him in the chest to back him off. The Brazilian strides through to connect with another chopping kick, and Brown is struggling to react to it. When he kicks, Brown throws himself off-balance, as he his having a hard time putting his full weight on his lead calf. Bonfim keeps targeting it with impunity, and he uses it to open up jabs. The kicks by themselves are proving extremely effective, as Brown rushes forward after taking one and knees Bonfim in the sternum. Brown wings a left hand, and he has to switch stances from the damage to his limb.
Bonfim kicks the front leg when available, catching Brown before Brown can punch him. The calf of Brown is swelling and welted just three minutes into the bout, and Brown’s power is already declining due to his struggles planting on his lead wheel. Bonfim works his way in through the gangly arms of his adversary to tag him with punches, with the leg kick rarely far away. Brown rattles off a one-two, but Bonfim’s low kicks have made Brown limp. The Brazilian chambers and fires a low kick on the other leg, nearly knocking Brown down. Brown goes for his own calf kick, and it gets checked hard. Brown bounces on his heels before doubling up on a jab to hurl a right hand behind it, and Bonfim sways with it and resets. A calf kick from Bonfim is so immediately effective that Brown leaps at him with his knee out, hand extended, and his finger jams in Bonfim’s eye socket. Luckily, Bonfim takes a few seconds to clear his vision, and they resume and stay generally out of range until the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
Brown leads behind his jab to start off the round and keep his distance, although his front kick reaches out to cover much more ground. He uses it to set up a right hand, and strings several strikes behind it to the body and head. Bonfim counters and reaches his man with a pair of left hands. Brown gets up close to trade hands, and Bonfim meets him in the middle and ends his combo with a calf kick. He drives home a kick a bit higher on the thigh, and rips a right hand that Brown barely shoulder rolls in time. Bonfim doubles up on his chopping kick, and Brown is not a happy camper just six-and-a-half minutes into their fight. Bonfim flicks out a jab, and Brown ducks down to throw back a right hand. Bonfim answers with a crushing knee on the jaw, and Brown falls to his back with his hands at his side, the back of his melon clattering off the Octagon floor. On first glance, it appeared to be a double knockdown because Bonfim hits the canvas as well, but it was because he threw himself off-balance tossing the knee. Smith sprints over to stop the fight, with Brown not defending himself, but Brown rolls to his side and raises a ruckus that it was an early stoppage. He is cooled down quickly as replays show this was probably a fair and just stoppage—those that bet on Brown may disagree—but some fans, media and commentator Dominick Cruz express frustration that Brown did not have any more time to defend himself or possibly recover. The winning Brazilian calls for just one name: Colby Covington, whom he says he will retire. If that fight comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Randy Brown R2 1:40 via TKO (Knee)
Angelo picks Randy Brown because he believes Brown is the better striker with great range and solid takedown defense. He notes that Gabriel Bonfim struggled with takedowns against Wonderboy and that Brown's length and boxing from the outside will be key. He also mentions that Brown was screwed in a previous decision and is a very good fighter.
Big Brady sees this as Bonfim early or Brown late. He notes Bonfim has power and an opportunistic submission game, and Brown has been submitted and knocked out before. He thinks Bonfim can get an early finish, possibly by first-round submission, but if it goes to the third round, Brown will take over. He mentions a potential live bet on Brown.
Cody thinks Bonfim's cardio is suspect in a five-round fight and that Brown's length, straight punches, and volume will pose problems as the fight goes on. He notes Bonfim's takedowns are explosive early but fade, and Brown can survive early rounds and take over later. He prefers to bet Brown live after the first round rather than straight up.
Lucrative James picks Gabriel Bonfim to win, but he is not confident. He notes Bonfim's strong first round and submission threat (72% of wins via submission), but questions his cardio and ability to finish Randy Brown. He expects Bonfim to win round one and then edge out a decision, as Brown's style may not pressure Bonfim into gassing. He also mentions a potential over bet or goes to decision prop.
The host expects chaos and considers the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He believes Bonfim will drag Brown to the ground and use his superior BJJ to secure a submission within two and a half rounds.
Paul picks Bonfim but has no interest in the minus 180 price. He thinks Bonfim's cardio has improved and he can get a finish early, possibly by submission or knockout. He suggests betting the under 2.5 rounds as a better play than the moneyline.
The Guru picks Randy Brown to win by third-round TKO. He believes Brown's experience and striking will be key, especially if he survives Bonfim's early grappling. He notes Bonfim's tendency to fade if he doesn't get a quick submission, and Brown's ability to stuff takedowns and pick him apart at range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Thompson | 0 | 42 of 92 | 45% | 78 of 135 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 40 of 72 | 55% | 55 of 93 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Thompson | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 17 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 2 | Stephen Thompson | 0 | 29 of 47 | 61% | 37 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 16 of 30 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 3 | Stephen Thompson | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 22 of 35 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Thompson | 42 of 92 | 45% | 21 of 61 | 14 of 20 | 7 of 11 | 37 of 83 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 40 of 72 | 55% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 30 | 34 of 65 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Thompson | 6 of 24 | 25% | 1 of 13 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 14 of 24 | 58% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 16 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stephen Thompson | 29 of 47 | 61% | 18 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 16 of 30 | 53% | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stephen Thompson | 7 of 21 | 33% | 2 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 10 of 18 | 55% | 2 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-380); Thompson (+310)
Round 1
The final two battles will have the betting favorite of each 15 years younger than their respective underdog. Former title challenger Thompson (17-8-1, 12-8-1 UFC) knows at the age of 42, his time at welterweight is running out. Meanwhile, at 27, Bonfim (17-1, 4-1 UFC) is ready for his meteoric rise. Depending on the Brazilian’s strategy, a number of different types of fights could play out. Like referee Blake Grice, we will see how this interesting stylistic clash plays out shortly. They sportingly clap hands.
Thompson strikes first with a low calf kick. He goes to the same spot again, and Bonfim answers him back three times. They keep chopping at one another until Thompson kicks high. Thompson tries a spin kick that buzzes past his target, and Bonfim stays composed working on the lead leg. Bonfim brushes the side with a kick, and Thompson kicks him back much harder. Bonfim is quick to get in and out with his speedy kicks, allowing him to dodge a side kick aimed at his face. Thompson does not budge or flinch at what is offered at him, allowing Bonfim to chip away at his calf because it is primarily his only weapon. Bonfim shoots, a full-throated double, and he grasps Thompson from behind, lifts him up and slams him down. Thompson works his way back to his feet, and Bonfim chucks him right back down like a side of beef.
Bonfim starts to pursue a rear-naked choke, and he climbs on the back of “Wonderboy” and forces him to lower himself to a knee. Bonfim only has a face crank, but he is squeezing with all of his might as he is still relatively fresh. Thompson breaks free, and the crowd erupts as Thompson starts beating on Bonfim. Bonfim still works his way back to his feet, ignoring the short knees aimed at his torso to lean on the karateka. Thompson breaks out of the tie-up and grins, and he is quick to launch a head kick at the Brazilian. Thompson walks his foe down, landing a body kick and potshotting him with distant strikes. Bonfim reaches him with a left hook, and a second when Thompson is backing up wobbles Thompson briefly. “Wonderboy” checks a calf kick, and he kicks high while Bonfim spins. They collide legs together, and then smile and high-five as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
Bonfim forgets his mouthpiece between rounds, and he is able to replace it before they get started. Thompson is able to stay at a safe enough range, just missing with a hook kick but scoring his calf kick. Bonfim’s head kick slaps off Thompson’s hand, and he changes levels and shoots for a double, which turns quickly into a single. Thompson defends by pushing off the fence and the back of Bonfim’s neck to shut it down. Thompson gets free, and he is free to kick before marching in with two straight punches. He checks a kick, and a second lands. Bonfim intercepts a blitzing Thompson with a hard left hook, but Thompson’s chin holds up just fine as he digs a kick to the ribs. Thompson kicks it a little higher to slam into the raised guard, and he dances out of the way of the swinging Brazilian.
Thompson is able to kick intercept his opponent, his hands still low as can be as he spins with a wheel kick. Bonfim times a takedown shot, and it fails. A second attempt allows Bonfim to get Thompson down for a second, but Thompson bounces back upright with the fence at his side. Bonfim clings to his opponent and takes away all of his weapons, frustrating the crowd and his opponent equally. Thompson frames off with his knee and gets out with 80 seconds to spare. He jabs the body, avoids a left hook and comes back with his own overhand right. Bonfim presses forward, walking into a side kick and taking a head kick clean on the side of the dome. Bonfim takes it like a champ and keeps plodding forward, drilling Thompson in the chin with a stiff right hand. Thompson shakes his head and spins with a kick that Bonfim sees coming. Bonfim knocks Thompson off his feet with a left hand after kicking Thompson’s shin so hard it splits open. Thompson bounces off the floor and pushes through the pain to clobber Bonfim with a massive head kick. Bonfim’s balance nearly gives way, and he blasts him with a second to further hurt him. Thompson tries to finish the job, and Bonfim desperately goes for a takedown he cannot get. Before he gets his finish, the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thompson
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Thompson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thompson
Round 3
The welterweights hug it out to get going, but the mean streak of Bonfim does not go anywhere. Thompson kicks Bonfim in the head several times, slamming into the guard or the side of the head indiscriminately. Blood pours out of the open wound on Thompson’s shin, which leaves Thompson with a slight bloody footprint bouncing around the cage. Bonfim tries to grapple his opponent, resulting in a clinch but no takedown. Instead, he uses heel strikes to pound at the gash on “Wonderboy.” The commentary booth is not amused. When they separate, Thompson looks at his shin and goes “whew,” but promptly throws a head kick from that wounded limb. Bonfim tries to stop the strikes from coming by going after another takedown, and Thompson breaks off much faster this time as he turns Bonfim around on the fence.
The karateka knows his best chance of victory is with his legs, and he brushes the Brazilian’s hair with a wheel kick. Thompson grins and Bonfim smiles back. Thompson blasts Bonfim in the dome about as hard as one possibly can, and the Brazilian tanks it and even tries to offer back his own head kick. Bonfim shoots for a double, putting Thompson on his seat as the crowd rejects his approach and lets him have it. Bonfim hangs on to “Wonderboy” and takes an elbow on the side of the noggin for good measure. Bonfim continues to cling to his adversary rather than do anything more with his position, and Grice asks for them to do something. Thompson spins his man around for a second, but Bonfim is able to leverage him back to a knee. Thompson hits a trip and nearly puts Bonfim down, and Bonfim stands and leans as the fight ends in the clinch. It could go either way, which is something not too many people expected.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Stephen Thompson via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, expecting him to get frustrated with Thompson's range and shoot takedowns, which will be successful due to Thompson's poor takedown defense. He notes Thompson is 42 and was just knocked out, while Bonfim is a finisher with good wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He thinks the odds are justified.
Big Brady believes Gabriel Bonfim is getting Stephen Thompson at the right time. He notes Thompson is 42, has been finished in his last two losses, and can be taken down. Bonfim has power on the feet and is an opportunistic submission artist. He expects Bonfim to take Thompson down and submit him early, picking a first-round submission.
Connor picks Bonfim confidently, stating that Thompson at 42 no longer has the speed or counter-wrestling to survive a blitz. He notes that Bonfim is fast, dynamic, and can change gears quickly, and that once he takes Thompson down, he will likely finish him quickly. Connor acknowledges that Thompson may make Bonfim look silly for a few minutes, but he cannot sustain it.
The host notes that Thompson is 42 and relies on speed and reflexes, while Bonfim is younger and more dangerous. He believes Bonfim can compete with Thompson on the feet and eventually drag the fight to the ground to find a submission within two rounds. The pick is based on Bonfim's youth and grappling advantage.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is a -410 favorite. He argues that Stephen Thompson's counter-striking style allows opponents to implement their game, and Bonfim's grappling and size advantage will be key. He expects Bonfim to shoot takedowns, chain them, and submit Thompson in the first or second round, comparing it to his submission of Chaos Williams. He dismisses Thompson's takedown defense as underrated but believes Bonfim's relentless grappling will prevail.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Bonfim because Thompson has reverted to a gutsy slugger who can't wrestle, and Bonfim's speed and dynamic grappling will overwhelm him. He notes that Bonfim will likely take Thompson down and finish him, as seen in the Chaos Williams fight. Zane calls the matchup 'slightly cruel but necessary' for Thompson's career stage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 35 of 72 | 48% | 35 of 72 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Khaos Williams | 0 | 20 of 90 | 22% | 23 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 7 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Khaos Williams | 0 | 7 of 41 | 17% | 10 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 28 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Khaos Williams | 0 | 13 of 49 | 26% | 13 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 35 of 72 | 48% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 5 | 15 of 17 | 35 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Khaos Williams | 20 of 90 | 22% | 8 of 54 | 2 of 13 | 10 of 23 | 20 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 7 of 23 | 30% | 2 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Khaos Williams | 7 of 41 | 17% | 3 of 23 | 1 of 6 | 3 of 12 | 7 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 28 of 49 | 57% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Khaos Williams | 13 of 49 | 26% | 5 of 31 | 1 of 7 | 7 of 11 | 13 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-225), Williams (+185)
Round 1
The first of the vaunted Bonfim brothers takes the stage in this welterweight contest. Called “Little Hammer” or “Marretinha,” Bonfim (16-1, 3-1 UFC) lets his smaller, older brother take “Hammer” outright. This Bonfim is more apt to go for submissions than the other, with a clean three-quarters of his pro victories by tapout. On the other side of the equation, Williams (15-3, 6-1 UFC) has never been finished as a pro, so something might have to give in the next 15 minutes or less. With referee Herb Dean taking a few steps back, the fighters meander towards one another but do not plan on offering a glove touch. Instead, they smack one another with calf kicks. Taking turns throwing these kicks, Williams tries to take his activity up a notch by jabbing to the body a few times. Bonfim loops a single left hand around the guard, but Williams pays it no mind. They lunge at one another with solid jabs, and Williams misses a looping right hand by a matter of inches. Williams once more whiffs on a blitz, with Bonfim sliding to the side laterally to avoid the worst of it. Williams turns his hips into a hard kick, and a second is greeted by a takedown shot. Williams drops to a knee to defend it, wrapping his arm around the neck while Bonfim has his hands around the waist. As Williams tries to scramble, Bonfim comfortably takes his back and gets both hooks in. Williams is defensively-minded to not let a choke materialize, and he explodes at the exact right moment to burst back to his feet and put Bonfim’s back to the wall. Bonfim is able to separate and stick out numerous jabs, not letting Williams get off with his heavy shots. “Khaos” gets back to delivering low kicks from either side, and Bonfim times an overswinging Williams by lifting him up and slamming him on his face. Bonfim stays tight on top of his foe to pull off a Von Preux choke, but time expires before he can complete it. When Dean tells them the round is over, he has to forcibly get Bonfim to release the choke and send him to his corner.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
It is more leg kicks from both men to get the second round started, with the occasional inaccurate surge from Williams buzzing past his opponent. Bonfim is able to successfully circle out of harm’s way, with Williams unable to cut him off and just chasing him hurling punches. Bonfim stays on his bike with stabbing jabs, and he chops at the front leg when not jabbing. The approach might not be mind-blowing but it is effective, as he occasionally follows a jab with a good overhand right. Bonfim checks a kick and the two crash together to bang their heads together, but they appear no worse for wear from it. The calf kicks from the Brazilian are starting to get Williams’ attention, who is swinging wider and appearing to flag seven minutes in. Bonfim checks another kick or two, jabs and slips away from the big Williams blows. Bonfim splits the guard with a front kick and keeps putting the pain behind low kicks. A left hook plants behind the ear of “Khaos the Ox Fighter,” who shakes it off and gets back to trading at a range he does prefer. Williams swings wildly with too much arc, while Bonfim is much straighter, allowing him to hit first and last while chewing Williams up with his kicks. Williams staggers away after taking unchecked low kicks, and he comes up hitting air when bearing down on the Brazilian. Bonfim stabs out a jab and parries a few punches, and he shoots for a takedown as soon as Williams gains as modicum of momentum.
Bonfim lands in full mount but is bounced out of it, and he turns to his knees and wraps up a brabo choke. Williams turns to his side to ride out the choke and possibly survive to the next round, but the submission is lethally tight. Williams goes out, his eyes eerily open wide and his mouthpiece nearly coughed out as he stares lifelessly into the void.
Dean recognizes that Williams has been ushered off to dreamland and waves the fight off, with Bonfim successfully becoming the first fighter to finish the dangerous “Khaos.”
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Kalinn Williams R2 4:58 via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.
Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.
Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.
The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams as an underdog over Gabriel Bonfim. He doubts Bonfim's ability to immediately take Williams down and submit him, noting Bonfim's close decision with Ange Loosa and loss to Nicolas Dalby. He believes Williams has the power to knock out Bonfim and has a solid resume despite inactivity.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 101 of 225 | 44% | 106 of 232 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 52 of 153 | 33% | 60 of 166 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 27 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 23 of 45 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 35 of 87 | 40% | 36 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 21 of 73 | 28% | 21 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 43 of 88 | 48% | 43 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 101 of 225 | 44% | 64 of 182 | 32 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 85 of 204 | 16 of 20 | 0 of 1 |
| Ange Loosa | 52 of 153 | 33% | 37 of 125 | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 45 of 144 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 23 of 50 | 46% | 11 of 37 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 1 |
| Ange Loosa | 15 of 33 | 45% | 10 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 35 of 87 | 40% | 20 of 68 | 13 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 80 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ange Loosa | 21 of 73 | 28% | 18 of 64 | 0 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Bonfim | 43 of 88 | 48% | 33 of 77 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ange Loosa | 16 of 47 | 34% | 9 of 36 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-340), Loosa (+270)
Round 1
In November 2023, hyper-aggressive Brazilian welterweight Bonfim (15-1, 2-1 UFC) suffered his first career defeat, after starting things off with 15 straight stoppages. To bounce back from that loss, he will be matched against “The Last Ninja” Loosa (10-3, 1 NC; 2-1, 1 NC UFC), whose most recent appearance concluded due to an eye poke. Both men want to wash the bad taste out of their mouths, and only one will do so as referee Dan Miragliotta watches on. Hands are swiftly clapped, and they begin to trade leg kicks immediately. Loosa wings a right hand and drops down in pursuit of a single, where he pushes the Brazilian against the wall. Loosa lifts Bonfim off his feet and drops him down to a knee, and Bonfim easily stands back up. Loosa presses tightly against his foe before tossing him to the floor, and once more Bonfim is back on his feet in a second. Loosa keeps the clinch tight, and Bonfim turns him around and tries to separate. Bonfim drives three knees to the body, and Loosa backs away and is surprised by the damaging blows. Bonfim stumbles him with a clean right hand, and Loosa hits the floor and jumps up to grab hold of Bonfim and elevate him before depositing him gingerly to the canvas. Bonfim crawls to his knees towards the cage, and he wall-walks and tugs on the chain links to stand. Loosa wrenches him back down and knees him in the thigh a few times, and Bonfim answers with a back elbow or two before getting dumped down again. Loosa bops his man with several right hands until Bonfim powers back upright, and they split up to return to kickboxing range. They jab at one another, with Loosa finding his home with a few. Bonfim stops a takedown and knees his foe in the body, and he parries a jab and a right hand. They both flick jabs at one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with a one-two. Bonfim loops a left around the gloves, and he stuffs another takedown and knees Loosa in the face to break out of the tie-up. They flail at one another with awkward punches, and Loosa kicks him in the lead leg. Bonfim jabs, stops a takedown and jumps guard for a guillotine. Loosa stands up straight to not let the choke even come close, and Bonfim walks him down and busts him in the chops with a series of punches. Loosa jabs him back as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
Loosa races out of his corner to throw down, and he backs away when Bonfim is loaded for bear. Bonfim prods out several teep kicks to the body, using the leg strikes to keep Loosa away until Loosa sprints and hits an easy takedown. Bonfim climbs back up and knees Loosa as if to say thanks, and they both target the body with punches before breaking apart. Bonfim swipes a left hook at the liver, and Loosa loops a left over the top in response. Their jabs reach one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with an uppercut. Loosa takes note of this and does the same, leading Bonfim to get hold of a brief Thai plum to knee Loosa in the face once before splitting. Bonfim lands a body kick after dealing with jabs, investing in several body shots including another knee. Bonfim sneaks up an uppercut and a knee up the middle, and he clubs the fighter from DRC with a left and a hard right. Loosa stumbles to the side and eats another right hand, and he clips Bonfim with a counter left. Bonfim blasts the body with a kick, and he measures an uppercut to land in the same place. Loosa ducks down into an uppercut and shrugs it off, and he trades jabs with his opponent. Bonfim goes for another uppercut to the midsection and follows it with a knee, and Bonfim’s knees consistently find their target either to the body or chin. Bonfim lands another uppercut and gets his head snapped back with a jab, and the two men continue jabbing towards one another. Bonfim scores a left hook and lets Loosa duck down so he can time a second when Loosa lifts his head back up. Bonfim peppers his man with rangy shots while staying out of range of most of the responses, ripping a right hand over the top and shoots in for a double with seconds to spare. Loosa hits his seat, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 3
The fighters double touch gloves to commence the final round, and strikes are not far behind. Loosa picks and pokes with punches, while Bonfim puts more behind his own. Loosa kicks the lead leg and eats a one-two down the pipe. Bonfim disrupts the offense of his foe with a few jabs, and another one-two from the Brazilian lands flush. Loosa steels himself and nails Bonfim in the jaw with a right hand, and “Marretinha” absorbs it without flinching. The fighters continue working their jabs, and Bonfim gets into a rhythm of jabs and twos, getting off several in rapid succession while Loosa tries to find answers. Bonfim scores a solid uppercut and two knees to follow, and Loosa’s chin is iron while his body is as well. Bonfim stays active throwing punches, and Loosa’s offense dwindles. Bonfim jabs twice, pushes off the forehead and lands a hard cross. The fighter from the Democratic Republic of Congo shoots for a desperate takedown, driving Bonfim back to the cage but ultimately not completing it. Bonfim stays on his feet and pushes Loosa away to dings him with several right hands. Bonfim kicks Loosa upside the head, and Loosa stays cool and even takes a knee on the chin to follow without budging. Bonfim tees off on his opponent that is hardly offering much offense back, allowing him to string multiple strikes together rapidly without fear of reprisal. Loosa closes the distance and bullies Bonfim to the wall, and Bonfim wants nothing to do with the clinch and pops Loosa with numerous jabs. Bonfim smacks Loosa with several more right hands, stuffs a takedown and jumps guard for a final guillotine choke. Loosa lets the Brazilian slide off him like water off a duck’s back, and time elapses to send Bonfim to the scorecards for the first time in his career.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Ange Loosa via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim but expresses strong reservations. He notes that Bonfim is the biggest favorite on the card despite gassing out in his last fight at elevation against a durable opponent. He acknowledges Bonfim's superior skills but questions his cardio and the elevation factor. Angelo suggests that the loss to Nicholas Dalby might have prompted adjustments, but he is not confident enough to include Bonfim in a parlay.
Cody picks Bonfim despite his cardio issues, believing Bonfim's power and submission threat will finish Loosa early. He notes Loosa quit in his last fight and that Bonfim has a striking and grappling advantage. He suggests live betting Loosa if Bonfim gasses.
Daniel Vreeland picks Gabriel Bonfim to submit Ange Loosa. He believes Bonfim's front chokes are elite and that Loosa's cardio is also questionable. He notes that Bonfim's loss to Dober was due to Dober's veteran grit and that Bonfim has had time to learn from it. He expects Bonfim to get back to his finishing ways.
Gabriel Bonfim is more aggressive and should deal with Loosa's power, then take the fight to the grappling realm where his submission game is high level. Both have cardio issues, but Bonfim will hurt Loosa and find a submission in the first or second round.
Paul picks Loosa as a live dog, citing Bonfim's poor cardio and altitude. He thinks Loosa can survive the first round and take over as Bonfim fades. He notes Loosa's training at Kill Cliff FC and his Swiss striking background, but acknowledges Loosa quit in his last fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 39 of 91 | 42% | 47 of 103 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 4:19 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 53 of 113 | 46% | 64 of 128 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 35 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 9 of 31 | 29% | 12 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 42 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Dalby | 39 of 91 | 42% | 27 of 77 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 10 | 32 of 71 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 11 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 53 of 113 | 46% | 41 of 96 | 7 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 76 | 25 of 33 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolas Dalby | 30 of 60 | 50% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 10 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 11 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 16 of 47 | 34% | 11 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nicolas Dalby | 9 of 31 | 29% | 9 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | 37 of 66 | 56% | 30 of 55 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 31 | 24 of 31 | 3 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-625), Dalby (+455)
Round 1
On Friday morning, two Bonfim brothers were expected to be competing on this lineup. After elder brother Ismael missed weight by a boat anchor, Gabriel Bonfim (15-0, 2-0 UFC) will be the one repping the family tonight. Putting the family reputation as well as his spotless record and 100% finish rate on the line, Bonfim draws an extremely tough test in Dalby (22-4-1, 2 NC; 6-3-1, 1 NC UFC). While arguably the greatest fighter from Denmark to compete in MMA—Martin Kampmann may disagree—Dalby is also known from having one of the wildest fights in MMA history against Ross Houston in Cage Warriors, when so much blood was spilled on the vinyl cage floor, referee Marc Goddard had to call the title fight off in the third round. This “Just Bleed” mentality comes with him in this co-main event, and Bonfim will have his hands full here. Referee Jason Herzog is cool and collected, but inside he’s amped up and ready, and the fighters are as well. Bonfim would rather get right to business, and wastes no time with a glove touch. Instead, the Brazilian walks straight forward and busts Dalby in the chops with two big punches. The two proceed to go wild with big strikes, and Bonfim connects a number of powerful low kicks to give Dalby pause. Dalby presses forward, gathering a full head of steam, and he plows Bonfim to the fence and hunts for a trip. Bonfim defends himself against the fencing, and he splits off and resets. Dalby doubles up on a jab and follows with an overhand right, and Bonfim just misses with a head kick. The Brazilian hammers the lead wheel with a kick, and he aims a few more kicks to the same target until Dalby switches stances briefly. Dalby powers forward, keeping his high-pressure game going, and he gets knocked back with a one-two and a kick. Bonfim digs a kick to the body and reaches with a left hand, and he intercepts a countering Dalby with a chopping kick. Dalby pushes forward and just misses with a head kick, and Bonfim strings three jabs together in rapid succession. Dalby attacks the lead leg, and Bonfim snatches him up and body locks him to the ground. Landing in half guard, Bonfim has over two minutes to work should he keep it horizontal. Bonfim skips over to the side, and Dalby raises one leg up high in hopes of bucking Bonfim off of him. Bonfim slowly works with elbows, drawing a tiny bit of blood with his strikes as he isolates Dalby’s right arm. Bonfim lets it go so he can move to full mount, and he sets up an arm-triangle choke by slithering one arm beneath the neck. Dalby defends against it, but Bonfim remains in dominant position despite Dalby’s movement. Bonfim elects to move to the side so he can batter Dalby with elbows, and Dalby defends most but not all of them. Bonfim opens up an additional cut on his opponent, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
Dalby opens up the second round just as aggressive as before, with his pace trying to take some of the wind out of Bonfim’s sails. Bonfim counters that with a few powerful punches, and he scoops the Danish fighter up off the ground and slams him to the mat. Dalby sits up, and Bonfim considers a guillotine choke but lets it go. When Dalby partially stands, Bonfim sucks his hips out and deposits him to the ground with a single. Dalby defends with a guillotine choke, and Bonfim welcomes this so that he can set up a Von Preux shoulder choke. Dalby does not fall for the trap, and he releases the grip in time so that he does not get choked out. Bonfim does manage to claim side control in this position, until Dalby rolls all the way over and goes after a double. Bonfim latches his arms around the neck for a brabo choke setup, and he hops over to the back. Dalby deftly scrambles to get back to his feet, and he stands and pushes Bonfim to the wire. Bonfim welcomes him with an elbow, and Dalby throws back and continues plodding forward. Dalby maintains his suffocating pressure, and Bonfim shoots for a single that comes up short. Dalby comes up high with a pair of elbows, and the two start slugging it out. Dalby drives his knee on the chin a few times, and he ignores the strikes that belt him in the face so he can fire back fearlessly. Bonfim leans his back to the wall, and Dalby is on him like a cheap suit. Bonfim’s gas tank begins to fade as his body language starts to show he is struggling, while Dalby is ready and rearing to go for several more minutes. Bonfim drops to his knees for a single, and Bonfim shells up against the fencing as Dalby lays into him with knees and elbows. Bonfim lets loose with uppercuts, only for Dalby to completely no-sell them and further use his cardio and durability as a weapon.
A ferocious knee in a series from the Danish fighter smashes right into the jaw, and Bonfim collapses to the canvas. Dalby finishes the job with a number of punishing left hands, forcing Herzog to step in and wave the fight off.
“Danish Dynamite” has exploded, blowing up the massive favorite while detonating the unbeaten record of the highly touted Brazilian finisher.
The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Gabriel Bonfim R2 4:33 via TKO (Knees and Punches)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, expecting him to grapple early and get the win. He notes Dalby is tough and could take it to a decision, which would be new for Bonfim. He likes the Bonfim brother parlay. He thinks the UFC knows what they're doing with this matchup.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's striking and opportunistic submission game, noting he subs opponents when they shoot for takedowns. He mentions Dalby has never been finished officially but was finished by Jesse Ronson (who popped for PEDs). He expects a club-and-sub sequence, with Bonfim knocking down Dalby and snatching a submission.
Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Bonfim, impressed by his undefeated record, 15 finishes, and versatile submission game including guillotines, rear-naked chokes, and triangles. He notes Bonfim's athleticism, explosiveness, and willingness to strike, but also acknowledges concerns about his striking defense and unproven cardio. Levi sees Dalby as a tough veteran who can turn fights into dogfights and drag Bonfim into deep water, but believes Bonfim's youth and tenacity will prevail. He is not laying the -600 chalk and plans to stay away from betting this fight, possibly poking at props.
James predicts Bonfim will run through Dalby, likely in round one. He notes that Dalby has been knocked out and submitted early by Jesse Ronson (overturned to NC) and sees a similar outcome here. He acknowledges that if Bonfim doesn't finish early, Dalby has a chance to come back in later rounds, but he believes Bonfim is a dangerous striker and opportunistic submission artist. He picks Bonfim to win, probably by submission in round one.
Bonfim is one of the best prospects, with great striking that sets up his submission game. He hurts opponents and then capitalizes on desperation takedowns to lock in chokes. Dalby is older and has faced lower-level competition recently. Bonfim will hurt Dalby on the feet, forcing a bad takedown attempt, and finish via submission inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Bonfim over Nicolas Dalby. He emphasizes Bonfim's athleticism, size, and finishing ability, predicting a first-round submission. The Guru notes Dalby needs to be perfect for three rounds to win, while Bonfim can end it quickly. He references Bonfim's dominant win over Trevin Giles and his signature guillotine choke. He predicts a first-round guillotine.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-320), Giles (+265)
Round 1
Concluding the prelims is a 170-pound scrap between two promising fighters age 30 or younger. With welterweight so logjammed, a win tonight for the undefeated Bonfim (14-0, 1-0 UFC) or resilient Giles (16-4, 7-4 UFC) may help raise them to greater heights in the weight class. Before said action, the two men touch ‘em up, and referee Herb Dean is ready to take charge of what comes next. Bonfim walks forward fearlessly, and he blocks a head kick that flies at him immediately. Bonfim comes forward, and he starts throwing hands. Giles gets tagged, throws back with bad intentions, and makes Bonfim reevaluate his current position. Bonfim backs off, measures his way back in and clips Giles with a left hand. Giles, perhaps from the strike or because he is off-balance, gathers himself and moves to the outside. Giles comes at him, and Bonfim grapples him, gets around to take his back, and lifts Giles off his feet and slams him down. Bonfim lands and considers a submission from on top, but he decides to maintain position while Giles is bucking. Giles manages to kick Bonfim off of him, and he leans forward while on his knees.
“Marretinha” welcomes this and licks his chops, as he snatches up and jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The submission is tight as a drum, and Giles sits up but is gurgling and the lights are flickering in his eyes. Giles surrenders, and he appears to go out right as Bonfim is releasing the grip due to Dean’s intervention.
Giles comes to, and Bonfim celebrates the victory that boosts him to 15-0 as a pro with 15 stoppages. Welterweight has one more threatening contender in the works, and Bonfim confidently claims in his post-fight interview that he will be the champion.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Trevin Giles R1 1:13 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.
Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.
James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.
Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.
Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 9 of 13 | 69% | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 9 of 13 | 69% | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-190), Lazzez (+160)
Round 1
Switching gears to the prelims on the ABC network, welterweights are up as Bonfim (13-0, 0-0 UFC) tries to make his family go 2-0 tonight at the expense of Tunisia native Lazzez (11-2, 2-1 UFC). Bonfim has yet to go the distance as a pro, with a majority of his wins by sub, while Lazzez’ own knockout rate sits at a solid 73%. Overseeing what could be a fun one is referee Herb Dean, and the two fighters do not bump fists as they have violence in mind instead. The two throw kicks at one another almost simultaneously, and Bonfim falls over when throwing too hard. Bonfim backs off and prepares to counter, and he catches an oncoming Lazzez with a clean right hand. Lazzez walks into a kick, slings a few punches, ducks one coming at him and rushes forward in pursuit of a takedown. The Brazilian is prepared, and he counters with a guillotine choke. As they move, Bonfim completely capitalizes on the momentum coming towards him to roll Lazzez over to his back, with
the guillotine choke completely secured as soon as he claims full mount. From there, it is only a matter of time, as they are bone dry and Bonfim is at full power. The squeeze is ruthless, and Lazzez grits it out for a few seconds before frantically tapping out on the side, just in time as he would likely have gone out had he not.
It is quite a night for the Bonfim brothers, as they secure exceptional finishes in their debuts over extremely tough opponents – Lazzez had never been submitted – in front of a home crowd.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Mounir Lazzez R1 0:49 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Big Brady is high on Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is dangerous everywhere, especially on the ground with submissions like the Von Flue choke. He thinks Bonfim has many paths to victory, though Lazzez is a good striker with a great chin. He expects Bonfim to take the fight down and submit Lazzez in the second round. He believes the hype on Bonfim is warranted.
Cody picks Mounir Lazzez as a dog, noting his reach, volume, and takedown defense. He says Bonfim is hittable and takes damage, and that Lazzez is the more technical striker. He acknowledges Bonfim's submission skills but thinks Lazzez can keep the fight standing and win a decision. He says this is his first underdog pick of the card.
Connor agrees, noting Lazzez is a better striker and has a reach advantage. Bonfim's game is formless and he will likely have to strike with Lazzez, which is a losing proposition.
Paul picks Mounir Lazzez, agreeing with Cody. He notes Bonfim's holes in striking and that Lazzez is the more technical striker. He says Bonfim is a good prospect but not ready for this level. He mentions Lazzez's reach and volume. He says he's not comfortable laying -170 on Bonfim.
The Guru picks Bonfim, noting he has many ways to win. Bonfim is a two-to-one favorite and has a strong submission game, with wins by d'arce choke and Von Flue choke. The Guru believes Bonfim will take Lazzez down and find a submission, possibly a rear-naked choke or TKO via ground and pound. He notes Lazzez is a striker who has beaten bottom-of-the-barrel competition.
Zane picks Lazzez because he is a technically superior kickboxer with a reach advantage. Bonfim's grappling is good but his takedown entries are not clean, and Lazzez is stable in the clinch. Bonfim's striking is not at Lazzez's level.
Trevin Giles - Fight History
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, impressed by his relentless pressure and cardio, describing him as a fighter who fights like a man possessed. He criticizes Trevin Giles for not fighting to his strengths, lacking urgency, and having poor durability (gets knocked out often). He expects Gustafsson to land a big elbow in the clinch and finish Giles in the second round.
Matt picks Andreas Gustafsson to win by knockout. He notes that Giles is on a three-fight losing streak and seems to have lost durability, allowing opponents to dictate pace. Gustafsson is a strong clinch fighter who wears opponents down. Matt expects Gustafsson to control Giles in the clinch and finish him in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson by TKO, citing Trevin Giles' lack of durability and full-time commitment (police officer). He notes Giles often takes short-notice fights and has been finished many times. He believes Gustafsson, a full-time fighter, will put Giles away.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 0 | 59 of 130 | 45% | 59 of 130 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 34 of 78 | 43% | 34 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 0 | 12 of 37 | 32% | 12 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mike Malott | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 30 | 26% | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 59 of 130 | 45% | 22 of 82 | 19 of 28 | 18 of 20 | 59 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 34 of 78 | 43% | 23 of 64 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 34 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 12 of 37 | 32% | 2 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 28 of 54 | 51% | 13 of 34 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 9 | 28 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 17 of 32 | 53% | 13 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mike Malott | 19 of 39 | 48% | 7 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 30 | 26% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-250), Giles (+205)
Round 1
As it tends to do lately, the UFC has plugged in a fight promising violence in the opener of its main card. Malott (10-2-1, 3-1 UFC) will have the crowd behind him when he battles Houston native Giles (16-6, 7-6 UFC). The former has seen all 10 of his wins end inside the distance, while all of Giles’ pro defeats have come via stoppage. Anything can and often does happen in MMA, so even with Malott one of the largest betting favorites tonight, all that matters is the activity when the cage door closes. When it does, referee Andy Social is installed as the Octagon commander, and he starts the clock while the competitors do not touch gloves. Malott tries to strike first, but his front kick misses the mark. Once more, the Canadians in the building show their lack of support for Justin Trudeau, and the fighters ignore the chants. They measure one another from afar, pitching single strikes at one another and bouncing them off one another’s guard. The enthusiasm of the crowd shifts to “Let’s go Mike,” who promptly kicks Giles upside the head. Giles keeps his jab out to not let Malott get to him, and he chops at the low calf a few times. Malott winds a right hand over the top, and Giles checks a low kick. Giles slams his foot on the front leg of his opponent, and every impact sounds more bone-on-bone than slapping off skin. Malott digs deep with a hard low kick, and the jabs from Giles have reddened up the Canadian’s nose. Malott sprints forward, and when countered, blood trickles out of a cut on the bridge of his nose. Giles targets the new cut with jabs, and Malott chambers and fires three kicks that are all guarded. Giles paws out with a low kick and rifles off a right hand that brushes past his foe’s hair. Giles keeps his guard up to defend head kicks that fly fairly frequently, and Malott mixes things up with a hard calf kick. Giles parries a front kick and absorbs another heavy low kick, and he tries to push out a jab and is countered with a combination of punches. Giles snaps out a mean jab, and he tosses away a high kick and blocks a spinning back kick. The Texan turns his shin towards a calf kick, and he ducks a few looping punches and breathes a sigh of relief. Giles comes up hitting air with an overhand right, and he blocks a head kick right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Round 2
Malott wants to get right down to business to start the second round, and Giles meets him in the middle with powerful punches. Giles defends a head kick and takes a right hand and a low kick, and he looks for a clubbing right hand over the top that glances off the shoulder. Giles kicks the front leg, and Malott responds with a front kick. When seeing it land, Malott targets the same spot on the abdomen with the ball of his foot, drawing a reaction out of an energized Giles. The Texan connects with a jab and two follow-up punches, and Malott keeps him honest by slinging head kicks at him. Giles wings two huge punches, and a third whooshes past the Canuck. Malott jabs the body with a front kick from either let, and he looses a heavy body kick that Giles catches and sets down. Giles slides back from a high kick, and he lunges in and gets countered with a short right hand. Giles plods ever forward, staying light on his feet to protect himself from kicks, and still keeps a solid base to shut down a takedown effort. Malott kicks the front leg twice, and he chambers and fires a third from the other side. Giles prods out a heavy jab, and he follows one with a wide overhand right. Malott uses front kick after front kick to keep Giles from reaching him with his big punches, but this results in them taking turns. Malott splits the guard with a big right hand, and Giles blinks it out and crouches down to try to defend a low kick. Malott has a head kick zoom past his foe, and Giles looks for a right hand over the top but absorbs a clean spinning back kick to the ribcage. “The Problem” gives Malott a problem to think about in the form of a huge right hand, and Malott welcomes it and slings back. Malott kicks his foe in the ribs, and he tries to spin with it and then turn through with a head kick, but Giles watches them all whiz by his face without concern. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Round 3
A Giles jab starts the round, but Malott is quick to hop on his bike and peck away with kicks to all targets. A front kick narrowly misses the jaw, and Giles tries to make him pay with a booming right hand. Malott rolls with it and sticks out a jab, and he bounces up and down and is slapped in the face with a surprise question-mark kick. Malott sinks two leg kicks low, and Giles has to pull his leg back and thinks about changing stances. Malott kicks him in the head, with the impact of the blow knocking him back a step despite it colliding with his glove. Malott drives a leg kick to the calf, and Giles pushes forward swinging hammers but has his hands batted away. Malott uses a jab to open up a front kick from either foot, and he overswings and is lucky to not get caught with a looping strike. Malott brings his shin up quickly, but it is his short left hand when Giles bares down on him that lands more effectively. Giles whiffs, dodges a spin kick and takes a kick on the ribs. Malott’s front kick keeps him at a safe range, and he checks a kick while switching stances. Giles hits nothing but air with huge right hands, and Malott picks his shots carefully and does not expose himself for much. A body kick from the Canadian is caught, and Giles whips a right hand at him but it just grazes off the cheek. Malott drops his hands and looses a head kick that ricochets off the raised guard of his opponent, and he is met with a jab to the body on the way out. Malott freezes up his opponent with his feints and fakes, and he shuts down a body lock attempt and thumps Giles with a calf kick. A head kick goes wide from “Proper Mike,” who properly ends the middling fight with a sharp jab.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Giles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.
Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.
Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.
Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.
Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.
Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.
Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.
The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 68 of 102 | 66% | 70 of 105 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 37 of 72 | 51% | 38 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 35 of 55 | 63% | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 33 of 47 | 70% | 35 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 68 of 102 | 66% | 25 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 49 | 67 of 100 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 37 of 72 | 51% | 3 of 24 | 18 of 26 | 16 of 22 | 37 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 35 of 55 | 63% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 33 | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 24 of 44 | 54% | 2 of 12 | 9 of 13 | 13 of 19 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 33 of 47 | 70% | 15 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 16 | 32 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 13 of 28 | 46% | 1 of 12 | 9 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-270), Giles (+220)
Round 1
The long preliminary card wraps up with welterweights on the docket, as longtime vet Giles (16-5, 7-5 UFC) enters into his 13th UFC fight against promotional neophyte Prates (17-6, 0-0 UFC)—although the debuting Brazilian holds the overall experience edge at 23 to 21 fights. Both fighters have abilities to finish the fight anywhere, and they have also suffered more stoppage losses than by decision. Referee Mike Beltran draws the charge for this preliminary headliner, and it begins as the 170ers touch ‘em up. Giles introduces himself with a jumping side kick, and he smacks Prates’ front leg with several times in rapid succession. Prates preemptively raises his leg after the early barrage of kicks, looking to check these kicks coming at him, and Giles ignores it and keeps kicking it. Prates quickly chambers and releases a kick to the body, and Giles ignores it and kicks Prates in the knee. Beltran warns them for outstretched fingers, and Prates nods and kicks Giles in the chest. Prates goes high with a kick that bounces off the guard, and Giles plods after him and nails him with a one-two. Prates bounces off the fencing to reset, and he starts jabbing with the ball of his foot. Prates looks to use his rangy legs to keep Giles away from him, and Giles stays ready to block the bigger kicks while getting inside the others. Prates lunges forward with three punches, and Giles ducks away from it. Giles comes out swinging, and Prates defends himself and tries to reply with a kick. Giles cracks Prates with a left hook in the midst of a combination, and Prates wears it well and tries to retaliate with a knee. Giles tosses out two punches and gets away in time to avoid counters, and Prates sweeps out kicks that partially land at best. Giles continues prodding at the lead knee, and he takes a knee on the chest from his opponent. The opening frame wraps as Prates jump at him with a knee, and Giles hops away.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Round 2
The welterweights tap their gloves together before engaging, and Prates starts off by kicking the chest. Giles gets off two inside leg kicks to stumble Prates, and the taller man regains his composure only to get knocked back by the Texan’s fists. Prates kicks the body and then looks for step-in knee, and Giles grabs him in an effort to take him down. Prates shoves him away and looks for long kicks, while Giles crowds him with short three-punch salvos. Prates takes at least one clean punch each time Giles rushes him, and his counters are limited to a high knee that has not landed cleanly more than once. Giles allows Prates to swing a kick by him so that he can shoot for a double, and the American is unable to complete it. Prates defends with his back to the wall with short strikes, and Giles comes over the top with an elbow that splits the corner of Prates’ right eyebrow. Prates connects with a big knee as he shuts down Giles’ takedown efforts, but he cannot seem to stop Giles from teeing off on him with four punches at a time.
Prates comes in faking with a knee, reaches out with a right hand and rifles a left hand down the pipe. Giles is out before his head hits the mat, and Prates does not need to follow up as he sees Giles is unconscious while Beltran gets between them.
What a stunning moment, staging a mighty comeback and introducing himself to the stacked 170-pound weight class with a vicious knockout.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Trevin Giles R2 4:03 via KO (Punch)
Angelo notes that Carlos Prates is a dangerous striker with big power, good range control, and kicks to all levels, with a stance similar to Alex Pereira. Trevin Giles has a great jab and athleticism, but needs to close distance to land it, which could leave him open to kicks. Angelo thinks Prates will pass the test and win, but acknowledges Giles' jab could be frustrating.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Prates has a 78-inch reach and many tools to finish, including a jab that can knock out opponents, head kicks, and knees. He thinks Giles has poor durability and cardio, and has been brutally finished by prospects before. He expects Prates to knock him out early.
Cody picks Prates, noting his power and length. He criticizes Giles for being lethargic and lacking volume, and points out that Giles has not improved. Prates is a dangerous striker with a good chin. Cody thinks Prates will stand in the pocket and land the bigger shots, though he is not confident enough to bet heavily.
Prates has a Muay Thai background with improved takedown defense and a 4-inch reach advantage. He should be able to stuff Giles' early takedowns and then find a knockout in the second or third round as Giles slows down. Giles has durability issues from cutting to welterweight. Prates is experienced enough to handle a grappler.
Paul also picks Prates, noting Giles' inconsistency and low output. He thinks Prates' length and technical striking will be too much. Giles could win if he wrestles, but Paul doubts he will. Prates is the pick, but Paul is not forcing action at -260.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Prates because he believes Prates has hit another level in his career, with a wicked winning streak against decent competition. He praises Prates' range, kicks, and a straight right hand with no telegraph. He thinks Prates can kick at range and eventually score a second-round KO. He notes that Trevin Giles has not had impressive performances recently.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-320), Giles (+265)
Round 1
Concluding the prelims is a 170-pound scrap between two promising fighters age 30 or younger. With welterweight so logjammed, a win tonight for the undefeated Bonfim (14-0, 1-0 UFC) or resilient Giles (16-4, 7-4 UFC) may help raise them to greater heights in the weight class. Before said action, the two men touch ‘em up, and referee Herb Dean is ready to take charge of what comes next. Bonfim walks forward fearlessly, and he blocks a head kick that flies at him immediately. Bonfim comes forward, and he starts throwing hands. Giles gets tagged, throws back with bad intentions, and makes Bonfim reevaluate his current position. Bonfim backs off, measures his way back in and clips Giles with a left hand. Giles, perhaps from the strike or because he is off-balance, gathers himself and moves to the outside. Giles comes at him, and Bonfim grapples him, gets around to take his back, and lifts Giles off his feet and slams him down. Bonfim lands and considers a submission from on top, but he decides to maintain position while Giles is bucking. Giles manages to kick Bonfim off of him, and he leans forward while on his knees.
“Marretinha” welcomes this and licks his chops, as he snatches up and jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The submission is tight as a drum, and Giles sits up but is gurgling and the lights are flickering in his eyes. Giles surrenders, and he appears to go out right as Bonfim is releasing the grip due to Dean’s intervention.
Giles comes to, and Bonfim celebrates the victory that boosts him to 15-0 as a pro with 15 stoppages. Welterweight has one more threatening contender in the works, and Bonfim confidently claims in his post-fight interview that he will be the champion.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Trevin Giles R1 1:13 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.
Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.
James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.
Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.
Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 55 of 108 | 50% | 71 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 4:14 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 42 of 95 | 44% | 62 of 130 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 | 1 | 5:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:26 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 18 of 40 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 1:30 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 55 of 108 | 50% | 51 of 102 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 83 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 16 |
| Preston Parsons | 42 of 95 | 44% | 24 of 77 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 34 of 84 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Preston Parsons | 14 of 28 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 18 of 40 | 45% | 15 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Preston Parsons | 13 of 32 | 40% | 7 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 23 of 42 | 54% | 22 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 |
| Preston Parsons | 15 of 35 | 42% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parsons, noting his slick grappling and the fact that he showed he can go three rounds in his last fight. He thinks Giles is overrated due to the Roman Dolidze win, which he argues Dolidze actually won. He believes Parsons will get the wrestling going and win, possibly inside the distance. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105.
Big Brady picks Preston Parsons by submission in the second round. He questions Trevin Giles' fight IQ, durability, and volume, noting that Giles has been finished in all four losses. Brady believes Parsons' pressure and cardio will break Giles, and that Giles' weight cut to 170 will hurt his gas tank. He expects Parsons to mix takedowns, get on top, and secure a submission.
Cody picks Parsons, citing Giles' inconsistency, low output, and recent durability issues. He notes Parsons is younger, improving, and has solid wrestling. He worries about Texas judging but believes Parsons can edge out a decision or get a takedown. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Parsons.
Connor initially hesitates but ultimately sides with Zane's pick of Preston Parsons. He acknowledges that Parsons will eat a lot of straight punches early and that Giles is fast and a good straight puncher, but he doesn't trust Giles's application of his tools or his defensive absence at welterweight. Connor notes that Giles looked okay against Louis Cosce but not great, and he believes Parsons's physical pressure will be enough to exploit Giles's weaknesses.
Jacob also picks Parsons, agreeing that Giles is a good boxer but does not use his jab enough and struggles with pressure. He thinks Parsons will get in Giles' face, disrupt his striking, and win inside the distance. He says he is 'pressing Parsons all the way'.
The host likes Parsons' relentless grappling style and believes he can push a pace that Giles may not handle at welterweight. He notes Parsons showed good cardio in his last fight, and expects him to find a finish from top dominant position. He has questions about Giles' energy levels and weight cut.
The Guru picks Giles, citing his experience and athleticism. He notes that Parsons hasn't fought since his debut and lacks a standout skill. He expects Giles to win by decision, using his physicality and technique.
Zane picks Preston Parsons because he believes Trevin Giles's athletic advantages are less pronounced at welterweight and his defensive flaws are more exploitable. Giles backs up with his hands down and is prone to getting hurt, while Parsons is a pressuring bully who will walk through shots and wear Giles down. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 and tends to gas when having success, making him vulnerable to Parsons's relentless pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 25 of 46 | 54% | 45 of 66 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 21 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 25 of 46 | 54% | 10 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 13 of 21 | 61% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 2 of 18 | 11% | 0 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 7 of 17 | 41% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Giles but hates the odds, calling them far too wide. He notes that Giles is athletic with a good jab and should be able to get the fight to the ground, where he has a wide advantage. However, he acknowledges that Cosce is the more powerful striker and could finish early. Angelo suggests an inside the distance/decision no action bet on Cosce at +170.
Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by late first-round submission, but with hesitation. He acknowledges Giles has poor fight IQ and cardio, but notes that Giles has all the skills—powerful jab, good wrestling, BJJ black belt. Brady expects Louis Cosce to come out aggressively looking for a finish, as he has a 100% finish rate all in the first round. If Giles survives the initial onslaught (2.5-3 minutes), Brady believes Giles will take over and submit Cosce, who gassed in his last fight. Brady also mentions that Giles recently quit his police job to focus on fighting, which could be a positive sign.
Cody thinks Cosce has a wrestling advantage and power, and that Giles has a questionable chin and low volume. He notes Cosce's two-year layoff could have helped him improve. He calls Cosce 'live' but admits it's a low-confidence pick.
Daniel Levi leans Trevin Giles due to his experience and level of competition, but is not interested at the price. He notes Giles has been knocked out in two straight fights and questions his fight IQ, but thinks his jab and takedown mix should be enough to give Cosce a vet lesson. He sees Cosce as unproven with weak competition.
Jacob picks Cosce, believing he will get a first-round finish. He notes that Cosce is a dangerous striker with power and pressure, and that Giles can wilt when pressured. Jacob acknowledges Cosce's cardio issues but thinks he will finish early. He suggests live betting Giles if Cosce fades after the first round.
Cosce is a first-round finisher with all his wins coming in round one, but he fades if the fight goes longer. Giles is vulnerable early but if he survives, he should take over with his jab and aggression. The fight likely ends inside the distance. I lean Giles surviving and finishing Cosce later, but Cosce by round one at +750 is a live sprinkle.
Paul picks Cosce but is not confident, calling it 'gross'. He notes Giles' poor takedown numbers and thinks Cosce could have a wrestling advantage. He says he'll blame Cody if it loses.
The MMA Guru picks Trevin Giles by 29-28 decision. He thinks Louis Cosce is athletic but lacks hype, and Giles is bigger with a reach advantage. He expects Giles to use his jab and wear down Cosce, surviving any early power shots. He notes Giles has good grappling and should win the later rounds, possibly losing the first round but coming back to win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morales | 1 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Morales | 1 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morales | 26 of 42 | 61% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 15 | 53% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Morales | 26 of 42 | 61% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 15 | 53% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Michael Morales, calling him a killer with national championships in wrestling and Muay Thai. He notes Morales' footwork and jab, and believes he is better everywhere except pace. He sees Trevin Giles as a good measuring stick but expects Morales to win.
Big Brady picks Michael Morales to win a close decision, citing his volume, reach advantage, and well-rounded game. He heavily criticizes Trevin Giles for poor fight IQ, cardio, and low volume, and notes Giles is cutting to 170 which is a concern. He acknowledges Giles has a grappling advantage but doesn't trust him to fight smart. He expects Morales to outpoint Giles in a close fight.
Cody picks Trevin Giles as an underdog, citing Giles' experience against higher-level competition and his well-rounded skills. He notes that Giles has fought at 205 and 185, and moving to 170 may benefit him. Cody acknowledges Giles' cardio issues and past submissions, but believes his boxing and grappling are superior to Morales'. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Michael Morales but admits he is hesitant and will not bet the fight. He acknowledges the classic spot where an unproven prospect faces a grizzled vet at dog money, which often goes the vet's way. However, his gut tells him Morales is the more talented fighter and will get it done. Levi notes that Giles has a history of making mistakes and getting choked out, but also that Morales could suffer from debut nerves. He compares it to the Ignacio vs Makdessi fight where the better fighter didn't win.
The host is skeptical of Morales being a favorite given his unproven competition. He notes that Giles is a tested veteran with fast hands and good movement, and that Morales has not faced anyone like Giles. He thinks Giles can use his jab and movement to discourage Morales and win a decision. However, he admits he is not a big Giles fan and may not bet it, but his prediction is Giles by decision.
Paul picks Michael Morales, noting his youth (22) and wrestling from the contender series. He acknowledges that Morales' striking is a work in progress but believes his ceiling is higher. Paul is not a fan of Trevin Giles, citing his underwhelming UFC run and cardio issues. However, he is not highly confident and suggests this fight could be passed.
The MMA Guru picks Michael Morales, praising his stand-up, grappling, and all-around skills. He notes Giles' recent KO loss and poor performance against James Krause on short notice. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision, with Morales schooling Giles on the feet for three rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 26 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 15 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:31 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 10 of 32 | 31% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 25 of 48 | 52% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 15 | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 6 of 20 | 30% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 14 of 29 | 48% | 2 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks du Plessis, citing his striking advantage and movement to avoid takedowns. He thinks du Plessis will piece up Giles on the feet and potentially get a late stoppage. He notes Giles is a grappler but du Plessis can avoid being pressed against the cage.
Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Giles is the better fighter everywhere, with better striking and grappling. He notes Giles' power and finishing ability (79% finish rate). However, he has concerns about Giles' fight IQ, cardio, and output. He acknowledges du Plessis is dangerous with fight-changing power, but believes Giles can keep distance and land. He mentions Giles' losses are both third-round submissions, so he expects an early finish.
Cody leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' power and submission game, and Giles' history of being submitted by guillotine. He thinks du Plessis can finish inside the distance. He calls it a dog or pass.
Daniel Levi leans toward Trevin Giles. He notes Giles' UFC experience, speed, and lightning-fast jab, and believes Giles will win the minutes. However, he warns that Giles can make mental mistakes and get caught, while du Plessis is extremely durable and has opportunistic finishing ability with submissions and knockout power. He sees value on both sides but slightly favors Giles.
Jacob picks Giles, noting his intelligence and ability to win close rounds. He references Giles' previous lock of the week win over Roman Rodriguez. He thinks Giles can find a way to win, possibly by stealing rounds late. He almost made Giles his lock of the week again.
I lean towards Giles by decision. He has a speed and jab advantage, and I expect him to out-strike du Plessis on the feet. Du Plessis is too patient and gives up his back foot. Giles' cardio is a concern, but I think he can win rounds with his striking. I don't have high confidence, but I like Giles to get it done via decision.
Paul leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' leg kicks and submission threat, and Giles' cardio issues. He thinks du Plessis can win by finish. He calls it a volatile fight.
The Guru predicts du Plessis will win by third-round guillotine choke. He expects du Plessis to chew up Giles' lead leg with kicks in the first round, while Giles is boxing-heavy. Giles will have a better second round, but du Plessis will continue chopping the leg. In the third round, Giles' leg will be damaged, and du Plessis will land good shots. Giles will panic and shoot a takedown, putting his neck in a guillotine, which du Plessis will capitalize on. The Guru notes Giles has been choked out twice before when panicking.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.
Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.
James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.
Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.
Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.
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