vs
-188 +160
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 0"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 37
Height 6' 0"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ikram Aliskerov
6.86 SLpM
64.0% Str. Acc.
5.47 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
3.2 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Phil Hawes
5.33 SLpM
59.0% Str. Acc.
3.72 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.11 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Ikram Aliskerov
Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
BetRivers +280
Submission
FanDuel +320
Decision
BetRivers +390
Phil Hawes
Moneyline
FanDuel +160
KO/TKO
BetRivers +335
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +700
Ikram Aliskerov - Fight History
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Jun 27, 2026
Ikram Aliskerov Stat Brunno Ferreira
0 KD 0
47 Sig. Str. 19
5 TD 0
1 Sub. Att. 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-280); Ferreira (+220)

Round 1
Middleweights are up again, this time in the form of offense-minded maulers Aliskerov and Ferreira. The third man in the cage is Marc Goddard. Both men are in orthodox stance but as Aliskerov advances, Ferreira switches to southpaw, and then back. Ferreira comes up short with a sweeping overhand right. Aliskerov meets his next entry with a level change and runs him to the fence. Ferreira grabs an underhook but Aliskerov hoists and dumps him anyway. Ferreira turns his back in order to stand and manages to disengage without giving up back control. They separate and Aliskerov promptly boots him to the cup in the next exchange. Goddard halts the action and warns Aliskerov while the Brazilian catches his breath. When they go back to work, Aliskerov lands a hard low kick. Aliskerov nails Ferreira with a knee up the middle. Ferreira backs up to the cage and Aliskerov comes in behind a flying knee, then seamlessly drops for a double-leg takedown, hauling Ferreira down and away from the fence. Beautiful mixing of the martial arts there. With 90 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov is in Ferreira’s full guard near the warning track, throwing short punches to the ribs while Ferreira closes his guard and controls his posture. Ferreira opens up his guard and looks for some possible offense from his back, elevating his hips for an armbar or triangle. Aliskerov lets Ferreira up and lands a right hand before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 2
Aliskerov throws a high front kick that misses short. He meets Ferreira’s next entry with a push kick up the middle. Ferreira is struggling badly to navigate the reach of the taller, longer Aliskerov; he’s eating a strike or two on the way in every time, and even when they don’t do a ton of damage, they disrupt whatever Ferreira was planning to do. Like clockwork, as I type that, Ferreira wades into the pocket and runs right into a perfectly timed level change. Aliskerov deposits him on the canvas and, as Ferreira scrambles, ends up kneeling over him in an almost north-south position. Aliskerov looks to isolate an arm for a kimura or armbar. Ferreira escapes but gives up his back. Aliskerov is draped all over him, but Ferreira is patient and methodical, and gets back to his feet without giving up back mount. Aliskerov drills Ferreira with two punches, but there isn’t much behind them. Ferreira steps forward and throws punches, and several land before Aliskerov gets onto his hips and drags him back to the canvas. Ferreira escapes back to his feet around the 30-second mark, and Aliskerov hustles him back to the ground again. Ferreira looks for a calf slicer as Aliskerov stands over him, but can’t get it before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 3
Ferreira surges forward and throws a pair of big punches that bounce off of the high guard of Aliskerov. Ferreira with a high kick that just touches. Aliskerov has slowed drastically, but Ferreira has been too wild to capitalize in the early going. Aliskerov with a long jab and a front snap kick, backing Ferreira up to the fence, and when Ferreira rebounds from the cage, Aliskerov uses a trip to spin him down to the floor with ease. Aliskerov goes into Ferreira’s guard. Ferreira shrimps, then goes onto all fours, but before he can explode to his feet, Aliskerov slides into back mount and locks up a body triangle. Serious tactical blunder by Ferreira, and Aliskerov is fishing for a choke. Ferreira is wise to it and fights off the choke, and tries to twist out of back mount, but ends up in a very uncomfortable-looking sideways mount. Aliskerov, in no hurry to go anywhere, squeezes with his legs and drops punches. Under 90 seconds to go and Aliskerov has completely taken over the fight. Ferreira goes to all fours with 30 seconds to go and Aliskerov is on his back, dropping punches from back mount until the horn. Dominant performance by Ikram Aliskerov.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Brunno Ferreira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert 4 video updates
Latest Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, calling Aliskerov overrated and questioning his durability. He thinks Ferreira's power and judo background pose problems, and that Aliskerov's chin will be tested. He believes the odds are too wide and that Ferreira is live for an upset.

Ferreira by KO +550; over 1.5 rounds +100.
"I'm going Bruno Ferrer knockout. Plus 550 is the KO."
Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight) Lean Brunno Ferreira

AJ DeVito picks Brunno Ferreira as a wild underdog at +235, citing Ikram Aliskerov's chin problems and Ferreira's power, judo background, and improved conditioning. He thinks Ferreira can stop takedowns and land a knockout, and likes the KO prop at +550. He acknowledges Aliskerov could wrestle to a win but believes Ferreira is live.

Ferreira by KO at +550.
"Bruno Ferrer plus 235. This might be my wildest call of the night, but I think Iram Allescarov has chin problems... I'm going Bruno Ferrer. I think he's live to get a knockout."
Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight) Lean Brunno Ferreira

AJ picks Ferreira as a sizable underdog, citing his power and Aliskerov's shaky chin. He thinks Ferreira can land an uppercut as Aliskerov shoots, and that Ferreira's improved conditioning will help. AJ acknowledges Aliskerov's wrestling advantage but believes Ferreira can hurt him on the feet.

"I'm going Bruno Ferrer by knockout. I think he's live to crack Alistarov here."
Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, believing Aliskerov is overrated and hittable. Ferreira has knockout power in both hands and good jiu-jitsu to defend takedowns. Aliskerov's chin is questionable, and Ferreira's athleticism and improved conditioning should lead to an upset.

Ferreira by KO. Aliskerov -265 favorite, AJ disagrees with the line.
"Bruno Ferrer by knockout. I just think Bruno Ferrer is a hard matchup for Ikram."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert 3 video updates
Latest Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight) Lean Brunno Ferreira

Angelo sees Bruno Ferreira as a solid underdog at +235, describing him as a coiled snake with one-punch knockout power and high-level judo. He acknowledges Bruno's poor cardio as a major weakness, but argues that Bruno is the most dangerous fighter Ikram has ever faced, more dangerous than Robert Whittaker in terms of finishing ability.

"Bruno Ferreira is one of them. You guys don't love my take on that, but at plus 235, I think Bruno Ferreira could absolutely win this fight."
Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Ferreira as an underdog, citing his dangerous striking and judo. He worries about Ferreira's cardio but thinks he can land a big shot early or use judo to defend takedowns. He notes the odds are widening and may wait to bet.

"I'm going to pick Bruno Fa here because I do think he's dangerous. He hits hard as hell. He does have the judo on if he comes out like a bat out of hell, has no regard for his own cardio, which unfortunately does suck, and starts swinging wild. He …"
Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Bruno despite his cardio concerns, because Bruno is the most dangerous striker Ikram has faced. He worries that Ikram may fold under pressure, as hinted by his corner's comments. He acknowledges Bruno's tendency to fade after the first round but is willing to shoot his shot.

"I'm going to shoot my shot. I'm going to pick Bruno here. ... He'll look great the first round and then slow down after that."
BI
Big Brady Expert
Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by decision. He notes Aliskerov has knockout power but also a wrestling background, having taken down opponents outside the UFC. Ferreira is a dangerous power puncher with questionable takedown defense and cardio. Brady thinks Aliskerov will use wrestling to control the fight, possibly earning a late finish or decision. He acknowledges many outcomes are possible and will stay away from betting.

win by decision
"I'm going to go Iram Alaska here to win. I'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Aliskerov, calling him a favorable matchup. He highlights Aliskerov's wrestling and size advantage over Ferreira, who he sees as undersized and vulnerable. He expects Aliskerov to win via takedowns and control, possibly by decision.

Aliskerov by decision at +450
"I feel like this is actually just a good style clash for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Levi picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting he is more well-rounded and technically sound, with multiple paths to victory (striking, grappling, point fighting). He acknowledges Brunno Ferreira's puncher's chance but believes Aliskerov has matured since his loss to Robert Whittaker and showed improved cardio against the Iron Turtle. Levi respects Ferreira but favors Aliskerov's versatility.

"I do favor Alis Carv. I think he's the more well-rounded guy. And simply put, I just think that he's more technically sound, a little bit more confident."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert
Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Jacob picks Aliskerov by submission, arguing that Ferreira is susceptible to straight shots and has been knocked out twice. He thinks Aliskerov has better cardio and grappling, and will finish Ferreira in round 2 or 3. He includes Aliskerov in his slam of the week.

Ikram Aliskerov wins by submission
"I'm going to go by submission. And a little spoiler for the boys, he's going to be in the slam of the week."
LU
Lucrative James Expert
Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov despite being hesitant, citing Aliskerov's massive grappling advantage and better training partners in Dagestan. He notes that Brunno Ferreira has power and can knock anyone out, but has looked unimpressive in his UFC career and has been knocked out twice. He acknowledges the fight is volatile and could end with whoever lands first, but favors Aliskerov's overall skills and cardio upside. He says he will only bet if the odds are really good.

I'll only bet if there's really good odds.
"I'll pickramisk for all of the advantages I've mentioned, but volatile fight and I'll only bet if there's really good odds, but ultimately I'll pick to win this fight. Icramaliskarov via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert 2 video updates
Latest Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov will land decent combinations and mix in his grappling to cause Ferreira to slow down, leading to a late finish. However, he notes his interest in Ferreira has increased as the number balloons, and he might have a small sprinkle on Ferreira by fight time, but his official prediction remains Aliskerov by knockout.

Aliskerov wins by knockout; possible small bet on Ferreira
"I might have a little bit of a sprinkle on Ferreira by fight time, but my official prediction will still remain with Aliskerov and I think he wins this fight by knockout."
Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight) Hesitant Ikram Aliskerov

Aliskerov is more well-rounded and has improved his striking, but Ferreira is dangerous with power and BJJ. Aliskerov should win by knockout as Ferreira slows down, but Ferreira has a real chance to clip him. The line is too wide; a small play on Ferreira is possible.

Aliskerov by knockout; considered small play on Ferreira
"My prediction is still going to remain with Alaskar. I I just think he's a more well-rounded fighter here, and I think his improvements will help him stay safe in some spots, but FA is more than capable of flipping the script."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and Ferreira's size and durability issues. He notes Ferreira's power but thinks Aliskerov can grind him out with takedowns and control. He likes Aliskerov by decision at plus odds.

Aliskerov by decision at +450
"I'm probably going to have to play him in the top two lines because there's similar higher, you know, bigger favorites on the card that I trust way less."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

The Guru picks Ferreira, citing his explosiveness, power, and ability to land a KO. He believes Aliskerov gives too much space and is hittable, which plays into Ferreira's strengths. He notes Ferreira's submission threat and sees value in the underdog.

Underdog pick, inside the distance
"I'm going to go with Ferreira here. I just feel like it's a good stylistic match up for him."
WIN vs JunYong Park
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 91 of 134 67% 126 of 174 5 of 7 71% 0 0 6:07
JunYong Park 0 78 of 132 59% 91 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 46 76% 37 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:36
JunYong Park 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 52 67% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
JunYong Park 0 38 of 55 69% 42 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Ikram Aliskerov 0 21 of 36 58% 43 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
JunYong Park 0 23 of 34 67% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 91 of 134 67% 57 of 94 26 of 29 8 of 11 79 of 120 3 of 4 9 of 10
JunYong Park 78 of 132 59% 57 of 108 18 of 20 3 of 4 73 of 127 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 46 76% 17 of 25 14 of 14 4 of 7 33 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1
JunYong Park 17 of 43 39% 13 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 52 67% 21 of 36 10 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 45 2 of 2 4 of 5
JunYong Park 38 of 55 69% 29 of 46 8 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 51 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Ikram Aliskerov 21 of 36 58% 19 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4
JunYong Park 23 of 34 67% 15 of 25 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Jun Yong Park
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-258), Park (+210)

Round 1
It’s Russia vs. South Korea in this classic historical matchup at middleweight, with well-rounded Aliskerov (16-2, 3-1 UFC) repping the former against World Top Team’s Park (19-6, 9-3 UFC). The victor of this pairing could find himself vaulted into a ranked bout his next time out, so the two are taking it as seriously as referee Rich Mitchell. A high-five is shared before the athletes ply their trades against one another.
Park introduces himself with a calf kick, and he zips away from one coming at him from the Russian. Aliskerov kicks the inner thigh, and his foot slides up and bangs into the cup. Mitchell recognizes the accidental foul and gives Park time to get his bearings. Park takes under 30 seconds to shake it off, and when they resume, Aliskerov attacks the body. Aliskerov flicks out his jab, and Park retaliates with a one-two. Aliskerov pitches a kick the waist, and he checks a calf kick and sneaks in a left hand. Park scores at the end of a right hand, but it is one-and-done as he resets. Aliskerov walks him down and knees him in the stomach, pushing off the face as Park feels he was poked in the eyes. They do not pause, and instead Aliskerov corners park and jabs his way into a head kick. Park backs him off with an effective one-two, and Aliskerov reaches him with a low kick.
Park swipes out a left hand when Aliskerov jabs at him, and he goes to the body to open up a right hand upstairs. He does this combination again, and Aliskerov gets right back to jabbing. Park connects with a right hand up top, and the two jab one another in the face before trading calf kicks. Aliskerov shoots in in the hips and takes the South Korean off his feet, where he circles around to take the back. Aliskerov does not bother getting a hook in, so Park is able to get up after taking a few right hands and a kick to the back of his leg. Aliskerov jabs to the body and head, and he completes another double with ease all while pulling on Park’s shorts. Mitchell admonishes him of the foul, and Park stands back up and re-laces the tie around his waist. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 2
The middleweights touch ‘em up after five minutes of combat, and they resume where they left off with Aliskerov jabbing aplenty while Park offers other options including his one-twos and some effective calf kicks. Aliskerov doubles up on low kicks to fire one at the midsection, and Park loops a left at his sternum in response. Park drives home another right hand, and Aliskerov ties him up and knees him in the chest. Aliskerov slips when landing the knee, and Park lets him back up. Both men land short shots in the pocket, and Aliskerov steps back and boots Park in the face before stepping in to blast him with a left. Park wipes at his face and gets right back into the fray, and Aliskerov kicks him in the stomach as his heel scrapes down to bump into the groin cup. Mitchell tells the Russian there can be no more fouls, and Park uses a little over 30 seconds before resuming. Aliskerov jabs and slides out of the way of a one-two, leaning forward to land two power hooks. Park drills him back with a left hand and waves him on, and Aliskerov does not oblige in a brawl but is trading shots. Aliskerov does not appreciate the pressure, so he shoots for a double and dumps the South Korean to the floor.
When Park hits his seat, he checks to see that his nose is indeed bleeding, and he frames off to sit back up. Aliskerov drags Park back down, lacing his own legs around Park’s to stifle him. Park returns to a knee, and Aliskerov elbows him in the cheek. Park elbows him back from up close, so Aliskerov whips two short but effective hooks at him from close range. Aliskerov controls Park by clinging to Park’s left ankle with his right hand, and he is warned for grabbing the fence with his free hand. They proceed to trade strikes while on their knees, until Park powers his way back upright. With 30 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov shoots, and he is warned loudly to not grab Park’s shorts. Park stands him up and walks him down, busting him in the nose and opening a cut on the bridge of it. The round ends with Park mashing his man on the fence.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to open the final frame, and Park is the one who immediately presses the action. The South Korean punches his way into a body lock takedown try, only for Aliskerov to break off and reset. Park walks down the fatiguing Aliskerov and jacks him in the jaw with a right hand and a quick left. Park’s momentum results in a brief clinch, and he fights out of it but is met with a Aliskerov double attempt. Park goes down and turns to his knees, so Aliskerov follows him and takes his back with one hook in. Park stands through it and elbows Aliskerov in the face from behind, and he turns his back to the wall so he can break away. Park punches through several jabs to work the body, and Aliskerov intercepts him with a knee. “The Iron Turtle” tanks the knee and walks Aliskerov down, bashing him with heavy swings.
Aliskerov gains a full head of steam and bulldozes Park over, completing the double and putting Park on the mat. This time, he gets his hooks in and wraps up the body triangle around the waist. Aliskerov allows Park to turn so he can smack him upside the head on either side, and Park is warned for tugging on the chain links to get free. Park sways, shifts and squirms, but the body lock is completely stifling him from escaping. Aliskerov slowly, methodically lands strikes while otherwise controlling Park. Park hand-fights before any maneuver can remotely be started, but his valiant comeback is totally nullified at this point. Aliskerov wraps up a neck crank with his left arm draped on the face of “The Iron Turtle,” and he squeezes it to use up what remaining energy he has until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Jun Yong Park via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.

I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is.
"Park's not the better striker, he's not the better grappler, and I don't think he's winning this fight. Ikram's the pick. I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is."
BI
Big Brady Expert
Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight) Lean JunYong Park

Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.

Park by decision; staying away from betting
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Park side. It just this whole fight to me feels like a big trap. I'm probably staying away from this one, but in terms of a pick, I'm going to go Park here. I'll go Park to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.

"Ikram's the play for me, but another one of these guys maybe similar to Asamat Bakoev last week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.

Aliskerov is a solid favorite at -225; Park is +190.
"Jun Young Park is a guy who, he's my favorite kind of fighter... but it does mean that he will regularly meet athletic walls where he just gets stopped."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert
Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight) Lean Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.

"Because we're in the desert, I'm going to take the guy with the OV as the last two letters of his last name. And I'm going to take Iram Aliscerov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert
Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.

"I'm picking Ikram Aliskarov here. I can't say that there's much value on his money line currently."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight) Confident JunYong Park

The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I expect Park to really start running away with this matchup and eventually finding a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight) Lean JunYong Park

Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.

under 2.5 rounds
"for me it's dog or pass. Like um I'm not laying chalk on a guy who seems mostly, at least in his UFC iteration, like a one-round fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.

TKO in first or second round; also mentioned in a PrizePicks parlay for less than 2.5 total rounds
"I think Ikram Aliskerov's going to put him away by TKO, the same way he's put away near enough every opponent bar Whittaker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.

"I think he will also be consistently open to a kill shot. And Aliskerov is pretty damn good at finding them."
CANCEL vs Brunno Ferreira
WIN vs André Muniz
KO R1 4:54 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Andre Muniz
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-650), Muniz (+470)

Round 1
At long last, the main card is here for six matchups that hopefully promise violence for the packed arena. We kick things off in it with middleweight pairing that could get quite middleweighty when it is all said and done. Dagestan native Aliskerov (15-2, 2-1 UFC) hit a clear ceiling when Robert Whittaker pasted him last year, and he gets a bounce-back opportunity against armbar aficionado Muniz (24-6, 6-2 UFC). The Brazilian will present danger on the feet or the mat, so the KHK MMA fighter will need to be on his best behavior. Referee Jason Herzog will take charge of the proceedings, and the combatants bop gloves together. Aliskerov immediately assumes the center of the cage, where he says hello with a low kick. The two hand-fight in their alternating stances, even clasping their fingers together a few times. Aliskerov’s kicks land with thuds and not slaps, and Muniz eventually responds with one. Aliskerov kicks him to the side, and them midsection. Muniz answers with the latter, only to be bounced back with a straight right to the ribs. Muniz gets some space by offering out a right hand, and the two try to find their respective range. Aliskerov gets through with a clubbing right hand, and Muniz rebounds off the fence and tells Herzog that Aliskerov is about to poke him in the eye with his outstretched fingers. Aliskerov aims to the body with punches and a side kick, and he reaches Muniz with a right hand and gets caught in a clinch. Aliskerov elects to remain tied up, pushing the Brazilian to the wall and leaning on him heavily when not ramming knees into his gut. Aliskerov pushes out, and Muniz shoots for a single. Aliskerov pitches him to the side and fires off a head kick, and Muniz is out of the way. Muniz reaches with a low kick and a pair of punches, and Aliskerov skips his left hand over the guard and pushes a front kick down the middle. Aliskerov goes to the body with a heavier right hand, and he does the same a second time and ducks the counter that he sees coming. Muniz reaches his target with a left upstairs, and he jabs the body with a kick.
Aliskerov connects with a long left hand, and Muniz appears to need a second to register that his legs have buckled and awkwardly collapses to his back. Aliskerov pounces, hammering “Sergipano” with Donkey Kong-esque hammerfists and clobbering punches
. The Russian continues dropping down bombs, hearing the 10-second clapper and not slowing down. Herzog is cognizant of the time remaining in the round, but it does not matter, as he has seen enough with Aliskerov pounding on the wounded Muniz. Herzog gave the Brazilian every chance he could to survive, but the damage continued to accumulate and crossed the threshold for a good stoppage. In a daze, Muniz lays on his back for a time, but he eventually recovers and returns to his feet much to the delight of his team and the crowd.

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Andre Muniz R1 4:54 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.

Parlay with Jaqueline Amorim and Zhang Mingyang at -150
"Iram Skirov is going to be the pick. Minus 650 seems crazy, but I have parlayed Icram with Jacqueline Amore."
BI
Big Brady Expert
Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Give me Alaskarov to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight) Lean Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.

"I think Alaskarov is going to catch him. Yeah. Yeah. That's where my gut tell what my gut tells me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe the wrestling of Aliasarov will allow him to shut down the jiu-jitsu game of Munes... eventually find that big shot as Munes slows down probably in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.

TKO round 2
"I'm going to go with Vikramiskov getting this one done by TKO. Round two. I think there'll be some moments early where Manz has a hold of him against the cage... but I'm going to go Maliskarov getting this one done by second round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight) Lean André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.

"The temptation is a very strong and even undeniable to just pick Andre Muniz as the more proven quantity."
CANCEL vs André Muniz
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov confidently, stating that outside of a Hail Mary submission, André Muniz has no path to victory. He notes that Aliskerov is a strong wrestler with improving striking, while Muniz has been exposed by fighters who pressure him. He believes Aliskerov will dominate on the feet and can defend takedowns.

"ikal Skov is absolutely the pick and unfortunately these odds don't get insane they're already bad but they're very accurate"
KO (punches) R1 1:49 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ikram Aliskerov 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ikram Aliskerov 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 2 12 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
Ikram Aliskerov 5 of 15 33% 3 of 10 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 2 12 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
Ikram Aliskerov 5 of 15 33% 3 of 10 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Robert Whittaker vs. Ikram Aliskerov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Whittaker (-142), Aliskerov (+120)

Round 1
The main event of “UFC Saudi Arabia” sees former middleweight champ Whittaker looking to stay in the title picture, as he faces short-notice opponent Aliskerov, who stepped up for the ailing Khamzat Chimaev and finds himself with the opportunity of a lifetime, in position to jump the line at 185 pounds. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Marc Goddard. They touch gloves and set up in matching orthodox stances, and Aliskerov reaches out with a high front kick that comes up short. Whittaker scores with a right leg kick. Aliskerov throws a body kick that Whittaker parries with his arm. Whittaker ducks into range with a double jab. Whittaker blisters Aliskerov with a short right hand, then a left. The Dagestani goes staggering back and Whittaker follows up with a head kick that doesn’t land perfectly, but does damage as well.
“The Reaper” lives up to his name, claiming Aliskerov’s soul with a crushing right uppercut
. Aliskerov drops in place, and only one or two follow-up blows get through before Goddard is there for the stoppage. Fantastic work from “Bobby Knuckles.”

The Official Result
Robert Whittaker def. Ikram Aliskerov R1 1:49 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Aliskerov, citing a changing of the guard. He thinks Whittaker is starting to phase out, showing chin issues and getting hit more. He notes Aliskerov has genuine one-punch KO power and can wrestle, though he hasn't shown it in the UFC. He is not confident enough to bet due to the short notice for Aliskerov, but as a pick he goes with the younger fighter.

No bet due to short notice concerns
"I think rram wins this fight not confident enough to bet on it I wish the odds were wider so I could but I am going to pick rram here"
BI
Big Brady Expert
Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight) Confident Robert Whittaker

Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker confidently, citing the many disadvantages for Aliskerov: short notice, weight cut issues, travel, and a massive step up in competition from Antonio Trócoli to Whittaker. He expects Whittaker's experience and cardio to take over as the fight goes on, predicting a late finish or decision. Brady acknowledges Aliskerov's early danger but believes Whittaker's chances skyrocket after the first round.

"I got to go Whitaker here there's no way I can I can pick against Whitaker it's a show me spot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight) Confident Robert Whittaker

Cody picks Whittaker based on his superior striking, footwork, and experience in deep rounds. He notes Whittaker's takedown defense and ability to use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan, while Aliskerov has not faced top-level competition and may fade in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Aliskerov's power and the risk of Whittaker getting caught early.

"I gota go with Robbie Knuckles to uh to get a win here but I'm expecting it to be a competitive main event that you're going to be puckered up in because I mov is a first round knockout guy"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert
Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight) Lean Robert Whittaker

Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Whittaker but with caution. He notes Whittaker's elite takedown defense, scrambling, and striking (left hook, high kick) but questions his durability and chin, citing recent wobbles. He acknowledges Aliskerov's power and potential but sees the step up in competition as too big. He leans Whittaker but is not fully confident due to Whittaker's long career and possible decline.

"I'm gonna go Robert Whitaker here but proceed with caution because again when Fighters are I don't know if I want to call it the Twilight of his career because again he's only 33"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert
Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Jacob picks Aliskerov, comparing the situation to Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira. He thinks Whittaker's win over Paulo Costa is overrated and that Costa is not a top-five guy. He notes Whittaker gets wobbled often and blitzes in, which plays into Aliskerov's power. He worries about Aliskerov's short notice and two weight cuts but thinks if he lands, he knocks Whittaker out. He has not bet it but picks Aliskerov.

No bet placed
"I'm going rram here but I'll be honest I I haven't bet it you I still respect Bobby and you know that short notice and you know five rounds and I haven't eded yet but as a pick I'm going aam"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

JP picks Aliskerov by decision, comparing him to Dricus du Plessis who beat Whittaker. He believes Aliskerov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Whittaker, who has looked a step slower. Brevan agrees, noting Whittaker's decline and Aliskerov's hunger. Both see great value in Aliskerov as a dog and expect him to dominate. They suggest betting on Aliskerov moneyline and possibly by decision.

Aliskerov by decision (dog money)
"I see rram doing the exact same thing I think it goes to decision because I think Rob's tough I think Rob can hang in there I think rro by decision dog money"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight) Confident Robert Whittaker

Paul picks Whittaker, citing his proven track record and the step-up in competition for Aliskerov. He mentions travel advantages for Whittaker and notes that Aliskerov hasn't proven himself against top-tier opponents. Paul expects a competitive fight but leans on Whittaker's experience.

"I can't really back him at this price until he kind of proves against a higher level of competition that he belongs in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight) Confident Robert Whittaker

The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker over Ikram Aliskerov, arguing that Aliskerov's regional wins are not impressive enough to suggest he can finish a former champion. He notes that Aliskerov went to the third round with Dennis Tulin and struggled with other lower-level opponents, while Whittaker has a proven chin and has faced elite competition. He believes Whittaker's experience, takedown defense, and ability to adapt will be key, and that Aliskerov's best path is a knockout, but Whittaker doesn't make the same mistakes as Aliskerov's previous opponents. He admits that if Whittaker loses, it would change his entire view of MMA.

"I am going to go with Whitaker I believe in Whitaker here if he loses it will change my entire opinion on MMA so we'll see."
WIN vs Warlley Alves
TKO (flying knee and punches) R1 2:07 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 26 of 36 72% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Warlley Alves 0 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 26 of 36 72% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Warlley Alves 0 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 26 of 36 72% 20 of 29 6 of 6 0 of 1 26 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Warlley Alves 12 of 16 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 26 of 36 72% 20 of 29 6 of 6 0 of 1 26 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Warlley Alves 12 of 16 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Warlley Alves
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-535), Alves (+410)

Round 1
Getting a new opponent on short notice, surging Dagestan native Aliskerov (14-1, 1-0 UFC) closes as the heaviest betting favorite on the card around -650 as he takes on company staple Alves (14-6, 8-6 UFC). Winner of the third season of “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil,” Alves moves back up that weight class of middleweight for this late test, and he does not mind the odds. Thankful to remain on this card, Aliskerov offers a glove touch to his new foe, and it is accepted. Referee Lukasz Bosacki is ready for what comes next. Aliskerov coolly walks forward, with a front kick to keep Alves from coming up on him. Alves slams a few kicks on the inside of the Russian’s lead leg, and Aliskerov tries to check one and gets knocked back with a pair of punches. Aliskerov swings back and misses, and Alves is on him and delivers one more hefty kick on the same spot of the leg. Both men throw hard punches, and Aliskerov checks another kick. Alves swarms forward but is out of arm’s reach, and Aliskerov reaches him with a right hand and staggers him with a jab. Aliskerov confidently leaps forward with a knee up the middle, and he knows Alves is in big trouble. Aliskerov unloads a flurry of fists into the chin, and Alves gets rocked and rocked again as he is barely able to stay on his feet. One particularly nasty uppercut separates Alves from his senses, and he collapses to the mat, totally defeated. Aliskerov continues punching right until Bosacki pulls him off, and he walks off to celebrate his handiwork.

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Warlley Alves R1 2:07 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, noting his wrestling pressure and that he was preparing for a good striker originally. He thinks Alves has cardio issues and is on short notice. He expects Ikram to avoid a slugfest and control the fight with wrestling. He has Ikram in parlays.

parlay inclusion
"aram's the pick I have him in parlays as well I think he's pretty safe to do that"
BI
Big Brady Expert
Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by second round knockout. He notes that Warlley Alves is coming up a weight class on short notice, has questionable cardio, and has been finished in the second round multiple times. Aliskerov is a heavy favorite and Brady expects him to overwhelm Alves as the fight extends.

second round knockout
"give meam alisar to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Aliskerov, highlighting that Alves is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He notes that Aliskerov has good wrestling and striking, and that Alves has been submitted and out-struck in recent fights. Cody believes Aliskerov will take Alves down and control him, leading to a finish or clear decision. He also mentions that Alves is giving up size and reach.

"Aliskerov is the pick but I mean at the number and what is available even on the props it just doesn't feel like something I'm going to get to on my betting card this week"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel picks Ikram Aliskerov to win, noting his dominant finishes and wrestling, but acknowledges that Aliskerov went to a split decision with a low-level opponent, suggesting he might be slightly overrated. He describes Warlley Alves as a talented flake who can beat anyone or lose to anyone, and notes that Alves has fraud-checked prospects before. Daniel says it's a 'dog or pass' situation and that picking a -550 favorite is obvious, but he wouldn't be surprised if Alves pulls an upset.

Aliskerov minus 550, Alves plus 400; mentions Alves as a 'talented flake' and potential fraud check
"It doesn't take a [ __ ] genius to to pick a minus 550 favorite um and I will pick rram to win this fight but it's not going to surprise me if warley... looks amazing."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Aliskerov is a big fan, impressed with his wrestling and improving hands. He can shut down Alves' kicking game by taking the fight to the ground, grinding him out, and doing damage from top position. Alves has cardio issues and slows down, so Aliskerov can find a TKO in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"give me Ali scar of by TKO in round let's call it round two I might even take a sprinkle on round three"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov, noting that Alves is on a two-fight losing streak, has poor cardio, and is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. Aliskerov is a natural middleweight with a full camp, while Alves is moving up on short notice. Paul expects Aliskerov to out-volume Alves and mix in takedowns, leading to a finish or dominant decision.

"I'm getting Ikram Aliskerov who got ready for a better fighter he's got a full camp now he's getting Warlley Alves short notice Alves doesn't have a great gas tank to begin with"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov, though he is not fully sold on him. He notes Aliskerov has good grappling and striking, and is in his prime with a full camp. He criticizes Aliskerov's split decision with Chad Hanam at Brave FC. He thinks Alves has taken too much damage and hasn't been active, so Aliskerov should win.

"I'm going to go with ikram alisov winning this fight for sure"
WIN vs Phil Hawes
KO (punches) R1 2:10 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Phil Hawes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-210), Hawes (+180)

Round 1
On home soil for the first time in his career, Hawes (12-4, 4-2 UFC) will have the full support of the New Jersey crowd at his back for this middleweight tilt. He welcomes Dagestan’s Aliskerov (13-1, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon in this preliminary affair, and finish rates of 69% or higher for the two men means that referee Gasper Oliver could be busy. There is a sporting glove touch, and Hawes leads the dance with a jab and a low kick. When Aliskerov looks to counter, Hawes goes over the top with a pair of sharp punches. Hawes jabs at the body and ignores one coming back at him so that he can let loose a high body kick. Hawes swings and misses with a few fastballs, and he cannot get out of the way from a leg kick from the Dagestan-based fighter. Hawes retaliates with one of his own, and he doubles up on it. When Aliskerov advances, Hawes greets him with a right hand over the top and a slamming kick to the liver. Hawes bears down on his man, sensing he might have some damage with the combo, and he repeats it to decent effect. Aliskerov backs off, and Hawes is on him with another ripping kick to the body. Aliskerov cracks his foe with a three-punch salvo, but Hawes gives him a couple punches right back. Hawes throws a body kick, and Aliskerov slips and drops to his knee. Aliskerov lets him back up, and the two start brawling. Aliskerov sneaks a head kick up that stings Hawes, and Aliskerov looks to follow it with a slashing elbow.
When Hawes dips down, the Dagestan native fires off a piston-like one-two that crashes perfectly into the chin of “No Hype,” and Hawes is out cold before he hits the canvas. Knowing his work here is done, Aliskerov does not follow his wrecked opponent to hammer any nails.
What a way to make your UFC debut, posterizing out a solid fighter with a blistering blow. Aliskerov maximizes his time on the microphone, calling out the heavily hyped Bo Nickal, while claiming that Nickal needs to take on someone from Dagestan.

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Phil Hawes R1 2:10 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.

0.2 units at +175 for America
"I'm gonna ride or die with American wrestling here Phil Hall's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.

First round knockout prediction; probably not betting this fight
"I'm gonna pick Phil Hawes and you can never have confidence in in Phil Hawes honestly ever against anybody but I'm gonna take him to the stuff the takedown's here keep it on the feet and do the better work on the feed here give me Phil Hawes to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds at even money; live betting Aliskerov after round 1
"I think -210 pre-flop yeah I would bet him because I think he's gonna win but I think we can get a much better price on that after the first"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I feel pretty okay actually about picking Aliskerov. Phil Hawes just doesn't have it, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.

Aliskerov inside the distance, round 2
"I'm picking the Russian fighter to get his hand raised and I think he does it inside the distance let's call it round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Lean Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.

"I think ikram is the side at minus 210 I don't know if I'm going to attack it from a betting perspective though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.

"I'm gonna side with ikramalisker of here I just think he's going to be smart to shoot on one of the legs and make Phil Hall's balance on the other leg"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Ikram Aliskerov

Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I'm going to pick him. I hate to do it, but got to happen."
Phil Hawes - Fight History
LOSS vs Brunno Ferreira
KO (punches) R1 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brunno Ferreira 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 19 of 43 44% 24 of 49 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brunno Ferreira 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 19 of 43 44% 24 of 49 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brunno Ferreira 13 of 27 48% 8 of 18 4 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 24 1 of 3 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 19 of 43 44% 18 of 38 0 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 33 0 of 3 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brunno Ferreira 13 of 27 48% 8 of 18 4 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 24 1 of 3 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 19 of 43 44% 18 of 38 0 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 33 0 of 3 4 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Phil Hawes vs. Brunno Ferreira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ferreria (-118), Hawes (-102)

Round 1
With 20 finishes across the 22 wins of Hawes (12-5, 4-3 UFC) and Ferreira (10-1, 1-1 UFC), this might be another occasion where judges can pull out their Game Boys. All of the losses of the two fighters have come by stoppage as well, so bettors looking at various unders very well might cash soon. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of the middleweight affair that could end in the blink of an eye. There is no interest in the glove touch, with Hawes marching forward fearlessly and leaning back to get out of the way of a sudden head kick. Hawes flicks out a power jab, and he allows Ferreira to throw so hard that he stumbles. Hawes leans through a high kick and stuffs a takedown, but he absorbs a right hand from the Brazilian. Ferreira shoots in for a double, and he gets stood up and popped with a short right hook. Ferreira sits down on a right hand of his own, and Hawes absorbs it without flinching. Ferreira overswings again, and Hawes knees him in the chest. The power of “The Hulk” allows him to fling Hawes over his shoulder to put him down on the ground with emphasis. Ferreira lands on top of him in side control, where he presses down on his shoulder before lifting his arm to hack with an elbow. Ferreira stifles his man with top control, and he sits up to slug Hawes in the face with power punches. Hawes times an explosion to get up, and the two tie up and start blasting one another with uppercuts. Hawes backs off and intercepts an advancing Ferreira with a left hand, but Ferreira reaches him with his own straight left. Ferreira scores and eats one on the retreat, and he jumps with a knee that is feet away from his intended target. Ferreira lets go with a head kick that catches Hawes behind the ear, and the two land glancing power strikes. Ferreira buzzes the hair with another kick, and he follows with several big punches that hurt his opponent. Hawes shakes it off and tries to retaliate, but Ferreira grabs him and throws him to the ground. Ferreira lets him back up and gives chase, with a spinning back fist and a high kick that makes him topple over. Ferreira races in with his fists flying, and Hawes takes them on the chin. Hawes is in a bad way, and “The Hulk” is not about to let him off the hook even with mere seconds left in the round.
Ferreira unloads a straight left hand that collides with Hawes’ temple, and Hawes collapses to the ground. Ferreira hammers him with two hammerfists to completely shut the American’s lights out, and he pulls back during Tognoni’s intervention and lets out a bellow.
“The Hulk” exclaims that he is back, and Hawes comes to and is crestfallen about his devastating defeat.

The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Phil Hawes R1 4:55 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Jan 6, 2024 (7 days before fight) Lean Phil Hawes

Angelo leans Phil Hawes despite his suspect chin, believing he is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling and athleticism. He fears Hawes will get caught striking with Brunno Ferreira, who hits hard. He hopes Hawes uses his wrestling to take Ferreira down. He advises not betting on this fight due to volatility.

"I am still going to Pi Phil I just have a soft spot for my highlevel wrestlers."
BI
Big Brady Expert
Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight) Hesitant Brunno Ferreira

Big Brady acknowledges Phil Hawes is better in every skill except durability. He notes Hawes has a questionable chin and has been knocked out brutally. Ferreira has power, and Brady fears Hawes will get caught despite likely winning early. He picks Ferreira by first-round knockout, unable to trust Hawes' chin.

first round knockout
"I'm GNA take Bruno Ferrera first round knockout H is probably looking good up until he's not"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Cody picks Hawes despite historically fading him, because he sees a path to victory via wrestling. He notes that both fighters have similar power and durability issues, but Hawes has a wrestling background that could allow him to take Ferreira down and maul him. He admits it's a risky pick and expects Hawes might still find a way to lose.

"I'm gonna take Phil HW"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert
Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira to knock out Phil Hawes. He praises Hawes's athleticism and skills but notes his weak chin, predicting Hawes will school Ferreira until he gets caught. Vreeland believes Ferreira's power and Judo background will be enough to finish Hawes, as Hawes has been knocked out repeatedly.

"I think Phil Hawes is going to look really good until Bruno Ferrera knocks him out unfortunately."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight) Hesitant Brunno Ferreira

Brunno Ferreira is a BJJ black belt with power in his hands, but he was knocked out in his last fight against Nursulton Ruziboev. Phil Hawes has durability issues and has been finished in his last two fights, but he starts fast with explosive power. Both fighters have knockout power and questionable chins, making this a coin flip. I lean slightly to Ferreira because I trust his durability a bit more, but this fight likely ends in the first round. I'm passing on a moneyline bet and might play the 'fight doesn't start round 2' prop.

Fight doesn't start round 2 (under 1.5 rounds)
"I'm going to go with faera and FAA by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

Paul picks Ferreira by first-round KO, noting that Hawes has a weak chin and Ferreira has devastating power. He believes the fight will end early, either by Ferreira knockout or Hawes taking him down, but he prefers the KO prop. He took the bet at +275 early in the week.

Brunno Ferreira KO round 1 +275
"I'm taking Bruno Ferrera ko1 plus 275"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight) Confident Brunno Ferreira

The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, focusing on Phil Hawes' weak chin. He lists Hawes' KO losses to Chris Curtis, Roman Dolidze, and Ikram Aliskerov, noting that one clean shot puts him out. He believes Ferreira can land at least five clean punches and one will knock Hawes out cold.

"I'm going to bet that Bruno FAA can land at least five clean punches on the chin of Phil hores in this fight and I think if he lands five of them one of them is going to put him out cold"
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
KO (punches) R1 2:10 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Phil Hawes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-210), Hawes (+180)

Round 1
On home soil for the first time in his career, Hawes (12-4, 4-2 UFC) will have the full support of the New Jersey crowd at his back for this middleweight tilt. He welcomes Dagestan’s Aliskerov (13-1, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon in this preliminary affair, and finish rates of 69% or higher for the two men means that referee Gasper Oliver could be busy. There is a sporting glove touch, and Hawes leads the dance with a jab and a low kick. When Aliskerov looks to counter, Hawes goes over the top with a pair of sharp punches. Hawes jabs at the body and ignores one coming back at him so that he can let loose a high body kick. Hawes swings and misses with a few fastballs, and he cannot get out of the way from a leg kick from the Dagestan-based fighter. Hawes retaliates with one of his own, and he doubles up on it. When Aliskerov advances, Hawes greets him with a right hand over the top and a slamming kick to the liver. Hawes bears down on his man, sensing he might have some damage with the combo, and he repeats it to decent effect. Aliskerov backs off, and Hawes is on him with another ripping kick to the body. Aliskerov cracks his foe with a three-punch salvo, but Hawes gives him a couple punches right back. Hawes throws a body kick, and Aliskerov slips and drops to his knee. Aliskerov lets him back up, and the two start brawling. Aliskerov sneaks a head kick up that stings Hawes, and Aliskerov looks to follow it with a slashing elbow.
When Hawes dips down, the Dagestan native fires off a piston-like one-two that crashes perfectly into the chin of “No Hype,” and Hawes is out cold before he hits the canvas. Knowing his work here is done, Aliskerov does not follow his wrecked opponent to hammer any nails.
What a way to make your UFC debut, posterizing out a solid fighter with a blistering blow. Aliskerov maximizes his time on the microphone, calling out the heavily hyped Bo Nickal, while claiming that Nickal needs to take on someone from Dagestan.

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Phil Hawes R1 2:10 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.

0.2 units at +175 for America
"I'm gonna ride or die with American wrestling here Phil Hall's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.

First round knockout prediction; probably not betting this fight
"I'm gonna pick Phil Hawes and you can never have confidence in in Phil Hawes honestly ever against anybody but I'm gonna take him to the stuff the takedown's here keep it on the feet and do the better work on the feed here give me Phil Hawes to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds at even money; live betting Aliskerov after round 1
"I think -210 pre-flop yeah I would bet him because I think he's gonna win but I think we can get a much better price on that after the first"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I feel pretty okay actually about picking Aliskerov. Phil Hawes just doesn't have it, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.

Aliskerov inside the distance, round 2
"I'm picking the Russian fighter to get his hand raised and I think he does it inside the distance let's call it round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Lean Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.

"I think ikram is the side at minus 210 I don't know if I'm going to attack it from a betting perspective though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.

"I'm gonna side with ikramalisker of here I just think he's going to be smart to shoot on one of the legs and make Phil Hall's balance on the other leg"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Ikram Aliskerov

Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I'm going to pick him. I hate to do it, but got to happen."
LOSS vs Roman Dolidze
KO (punches) R1 4:09 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Dolidze 0 11 of 26 42% 15 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Phil Hawes 1 18 of 42 42% 29 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Dolidze 0 11 of 26 42% 15 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Phil Hawes 1 18 of 42 42% 29 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Dolidze 11 of 26 42% 5 of 15 5 of 9 1 of 2 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 18 of 42 42% 15 of 38 2 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 36 2 of 4 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Dolidze 11 of 26 42% 5 of 15 5 of 9 1 of 2 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 18 of 42 42% 15 of 38 2 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 36 2 of 4 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert
Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Phil Hawes to win by decision, but expresses concern about Hawes' chin. He believes Hawes is the better fighter and will stuff Dolidze's takedowns and have success on the feet, but notes that Dolidze hits hard and Hawes has been knocked out before. He says Hawes should be the minute winner but cannot be overly confident due to durability issues.

Hawes wins by decision
"I'll go with Haws you can't be too confident in it because the chin but I do think he wins this fight I'll say he wins it by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight) Lean Roman Dolidze

Cody leans toward Roman Dolidze as an underdog, believing he can land a big shot in the clinch. He notes Dolidze's power and the fact that Phil Hawes has durability issues. Cody mentions Dolidze by knockout at +500 as a possible small sprinkle, but is not confident overall.

Dolidze by knockout at +500 (small sprinkle)
"I think the leads is gonna land like just once like I think he's gonna knock him out"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Connor picks Phil Hawes confidently, arguing that Hawes's single-minded offense and ability to recover from being hurt are key. He notes that Dolidze is not a good striker and relies on clinching and grinding, but Hawes has the strength to stall in clinch situations. Connor believes Hawes's recent improvements at Sanford MMA and his proven durability against tough opponents give him the edge.

"I'm Dave. I'm taking Phil. I'm happy."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes but is hesitant due to Hawes' questionable chin. He praises Hawes' physical attributes, wrestling, and power, but notes he has been knocked out before. He expects Hawes to win unless he gets knocked out. He does not mention a bet.

"I'm gonna pick Phil Haas to win the fight but uh you know if he gets knocked out you know you can't act surprised."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert
Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Jacob picks Phil Hawes, believing he should be the better striker with a quick jab and can withstand Dolidze's grappling. He acknowledges Dolidze's relentless pressure and scrambling ability but thinks Hawes can win on the feet. He mentions possibly looking at Hawes by points.

Phil Hawes by points
"my official pick is Phil Hawes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight) Lean Phil Hawes

Hawes has improved his pacing and cardio, using grappling to grind out opponents. Dolidze is durable and aggressive, but Hawes is the better wrestler and should be able to control the fight. However, there are still questions about Hawes going the full 15 minutes. The decision prop at +210 is interesting but the moneyline is the safer play.

Hawes by decision +210
"the pick is Phil Hawes I'm going to be sitting back and just watching this one as a spectator but I think that Phil Haas is the side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Paul picks Phil Hawes, noting his improved cardio, wrestling pedigree, and recent smarter fighting. He criticizes Dolidze's low volume, poor ring IQ, and reliance on leg locks. Paul believes Hawes can stuff takedowns and win a striking battle, though he admits he rarely picks Hawes and may curse him.

"I honestly just feel like he's fighting way smarter these days he's gonna be faster he's going to be able to stop this the takedowns get this fight standing and just chip away at him or land something big"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

The MMA Guru picks Phil Hawes over Roman Dolidze, believing Hawes' strength and wrestling will prevent Dolidze from controlling him against the cage. He notes Hawes' improved striking in his last fight against Roman, where he showed great defense. He thinks Dolidze loads up his shots, making them easier to see, and predicts Hawes will finish Dolidze in the third round as Dolidze slows down.

"I'm going to be going with Phil Hawes here over Roman Deliza"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Zane picks Phil Hawes but is hesitant, acknowledging Hawes's tendency to get hurt and his single-minded offense. He notes that Hawes has lost only to good fighters and that Dolidze's style is clingy and boring, but Hawes's lack of defense and tendency to get chin-checked are concerns. Zane ultimately trusts Hawes's offensive output and durability recovery over Dolidze's grinding approach.

"I'll go with you. I'll pick Phil Hall's, which it sounds like you're doing."
WIN vs Deron Winn
TKO (elbows) R2 4:25 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Phil Hawes 1 118 of 175 67% 126 of 191 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:47
Deron Winn 0 32 of 111 28% 34 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Phil Hawes 1 55 of 87 63% 56 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Deron Winn 0 17 of 44 38% 17 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Phil Hawes 0 63 of 88 71% 70 of 103 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:43
Deron Winn 0 15 of 67 22% 17 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Phil Hawes 118 of 175 67% 99 of 152 17 of 21 2 of 2 89 of 138 14 of 18 15 of 19
Deron Winn 32 of 111 28% 24 of 101 4 of 6 4 of 4 29 of 100 3 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Phil Hawes 55 of 87 63% 43 of 71 10 of 14 2 of 2 49 of 77 3 of 6 3 of 4
Deron Winn 17 of 44 38% 13 of 40 1 of 1 3 of 3 15 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Phil Hawes 63 of 88 71% 56 of 81 7 of 7 0 of 0 40 of 61 11 of 12 12 of 15
Deron Winn 15 of 67 22% 11 of 61 3 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 59 1 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes despite acknowledging Deron Winn's superior offensive wrestling stats (almost 5 takedowns per fight, 52% accuracy vs Hawes' 33%). He compares it to the Brendan Allen vs Jacob Malkoun fight, where the more talented fighter (Hawes) can lose if he doesn't initiate takedowns first. He notes Hawes is the better mixed martial artist but Winn has a clear path if he shoots first.

"i am gonna pick phil hawes here because he is the better mixed martial artist but there is a clear path for duron win"
BI
Big Brady Expert
Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Phil Hawes to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio, but believes Hawes is much bigger with a six-inch height and 7.5-inch reach advantage, and has 100% takedown defense to stuff Winn's wrestling. He expects Hawes to knock out Winn early, likely in the first round.

first round knockout
"I think phil haas finishes the wrong win in that very first round so phil has first round knockout to kick off the banger of a card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes confidently, stating Hawes has everything except a chin: D1 wrestling, one-punch power, and physicality. He believes Deron Winn is too short (5'4") and will struggle to take Hawes down. Levi thinks Hawes wins everywhere unless he gets knocked out, which is possible given his suspect chin. He expects Hawes to dominate and win, possibly by knockout.

Hawes -270; expects domination; Winn's only chance is a puncher's chance
"phil haas don't get knocked out and you win this fight literally everywhere it goes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

The MMA Guru picks Phil Hawes despite worrying about his weak chin, as seen in the Chris Curtis fight. He believes Hawes is much bigger and stronger than Deron Winn, who is too small for middleweight. He predicts Hawes will neutralize Winn's wrestling and land a knockout via a knee to the face in the second round.

ko in second round
"i'm going to be going with phil hawes here i worry... i do worry about his chin... phil gets a ko with a knee to the face in the second round"
LOSS vs Chris Curtis
KO (punches) R1 4:27 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Curtis 0 48 of 90 53% 49 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 21 of 36 58% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Curtis 0 48 of 90 53% 49 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 21 of 36 58% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Curtis 48 of 90 53% 24 of 63 15 of 18 9 of 9 46 of 85 2 of 5 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 21 of 36 58% 15 of 27 5 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Curtis 48 of 90 53% 24 of 63 15 of 18 9 of 9 46 of 85 2 of 5 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 21 of 36 58% 15 of 27 5 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes, highlighting his wrestling, power, and improved cardio. He notes that Hawes turned down a short-notice fight earlier, showing he takes his career seriously. He believes Hawes should win by using his wrestling to control Curtis, who is a welterweight moving up. He also mentions that Curtis has poor takedown defense and fades against wrestlers.

More more on monkey knife fight (strikes)
"phil has power phil has the wrestling phil should absolutely win this fight but chris could potentially stick and move his way to a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes to win, stating that Hawes is on a different level than Chris Curtis. He notes that Hawes has knockout power, D1 wrestling, and has improved significantly since his early losses. Levi believes Curtis's only path to victory is a lucky knockout, and that Hawes can win by decision or knockout. He mentions that Curtis is a welterweight moving up and that historically, Curtis loses to UFC-caliber opponents.

decision or knockout
"give me a phil haas for the dub"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert
Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Jacob picks Phil Hawes, emphasizing that Curtis has awful takedown defense and is a pure boxer. He urges Hawes to wrestle rather than strike, as Curtis has real power. He believes Hawes will take Curtis down and get a TKO finish in the first round. He also likes Hawes in DraftKings for takedowns.

Less less on monkey knife fight (strikes)
"if you're phil halls just wrestle man just wrestle get your win get out of there... i'm telling you phil if you try to strike with this guy it could be a problem"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

The Guru picks Phil Hawes, citing his size, reach, and power advantages over Chris Curtis, who is moving up from welterweight on short notice. He notes Hawes' KO wins and believes Curtis is not ready for this matchup. The Guru predicts a first-round KO for Hawes.

first round ko
"I'm going to be going with phillip hawes here um i get you can pick chris curtis but it's not smart to do so."
WIN vs Kyle Daukaus
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 08, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Phil Hawes 0 66 of 101 65% 157 of 210 2 of 4 50% 1 0 5:34
Kyle Daukaus 0 28 of 82 34% 52 of 113 0 of 7 0% 0 1 4:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Phil Hawes 0 16 of 22 72% 32 of 39 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:33
Kyle Daukaus 0 5 of 21 23% 18 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:56
2 Phil Hawes 0 29 of 45 64% 48 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
Kyle Daukaus 0 22 of 51 43% 30 of 60 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:17
3 Phil Hawes 0 21 of 34 61% 77 of 106 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:26
Kyle Daukaus 0 1 of 10 10% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Phil Hawes 66 of 101 65% 42 of 75 23 of 25 1 of 1 33 of 57 18 of 19 15 of 25
Kyle Daukaus 28 of 82 34% 20 of 68 6 of 11 2 of 3 26 of 78 2 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Phil Hawes 16 of 22 72% 10 of 15 5 of 6 1 of 1 6 of 11 10 of 11 0 of 0
Kyle Daukaus 5 of 21 23% 2 of 15 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 1
2 Phil Hawes 29 of 45 64% 15 of 30 14 of 15 0 of 0 21 of 37 8 of 8 0 of 0
Kyle Daukaus 22 of 51 43% 17 of 44 4 of 5 1 of 2 21 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Phil Hawes 21 of 34 61% 17 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 25
Kyle Daukaus 1 of 10 10% 1 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Phil Hawes vs. Kyle Daukaus

Round 1
The new main card opener sees a middleweight clash between representatives of rival states New Jersey and Pennsylvania, as Hawes (10-2, 2-0 UFC) will ply his knockout-friendly trade against submission specialist Daukaus (10-1, 1-1 UFC). The third man in the cage for a fight that may not last long is referee Mark Smith, and there is no serious glove touch before the two get down to business. The blonde-haired Hawes comes out aggressively, throwing bombs and backing Daukaus up immediately. Hawes has a kick clip the cup, and there is a pause for just a second or two. Daukaus adjusts himself and throws back with heavy leather, and Hawes is either hurt or off-balance, as he slips back. Hawes interrupts an advancing Daukaus with a front kick, and he goes back to stalking the Philadelphia native down and throwing big strikes. Out of nowhere, Hawes ducks down, scoops Daukaus up and slams him down. Daukaus defends off his back with a guillotine choke, but he is immediately in danger for the Von Preux choke. Hawes recognizes this and presses his shoulder down, but he cannot finish it. Instead, Daukaus uses pure power to roll Hawes over and put him on his back. “Megatron” slides right into danger with a choke attempt from Daukaus, but he scrambles and gets out of harm’s way. When he gets to his knees, Daukaus takes his back. Hawes defends the hooks, powers back to his feet, and is quick to fight off a single leg takedown attempt from Daukaus. When he does not land it, Daukaus drops to his knees for a double, and that too comes up short. Hawes, while keeping himself upright, is landing short strikes to the body and head to make Daukaus think twice about his position. Hawes lifts Daukaus up with a knee to the chest, but he cannot get the Pennsylvanian off of him. Daukaus embraces the grind, pressing Hawes into the wire and putting his full body weight on his man. Both men try to get off elbows, but neither are successful. Daukaus sells out for a double, and Hawes sprawls against the cage and keeps his balance to fight off this attempt. Hawes introduces his knee to Daukaus’ torso, and the two separate with seconds to spare. Neither throw anything of note until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus

Round 2
The middleweights rush out of their corners to meet in the middle, but it does not take long for Hawes to push the pace and start backing Daukaus up against the fence. Daukaus tries to spring forward with a kick to the body, and Hawes interrupts him and lands a few punches. Daukaus swings a spinning strike, and Hawes does not completely avoid it. “Megatron” is suddenly rocked, and Daukaus lays into him with a salvo of punches to try to finish the job. Hawes gains the wherewithal to embrace the grappling, and even though he cannot get the takedown, he gains valuable time clearing his head. The two clinch briefly, and push off, where both men trade heavy shots. Daukaus gets the better of an exchange, and Hawes bends over and slams his right hand into the torso. A cracking right hand puts Daukaus on roller skates for a moment, and the Philadelphia native crashes in to clinch and try to take the fight down. Daukaus looks to trip his man down, attack singles or otherwise plant Hawes on his back, but the Sanford MMA fighter stands tall and looks frustrated. Hawes frames off to nail Daukaus with a stern elbow, and this forces Daukaus to backpedal quickly. Hawes parries a strike to fire back at Daukaus, and he mixes things up with body strikes and head shots. “Megatron” notices his body work is starting to make a difference, and he lifts up a knee to the body. The knee does not rise high enough, and it clunks straight into Daukaus’ cup. Thirty seconds are all Daukaus needs to catch his breath, and Hawes picks up where he left off with body shots. As he targets the body and again with impunity, Daukaus shoots in low for a takedown to stop this. Hawes stuffs it and pushes Daukaus back, where he drills Daukaus with a right hand and a front kick that nails Daukaus in the head when Daukaus bends over. Hawes hunts Daukaus down with strikes until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hawes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hawes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hawes

Round 3
Smith calls in the doctor between rounds to check a cut around Daukaus’ eye, but there is no concern and the fight clocks in normally. Hawes loads up on several big shots to begin the round, alternating between the head and body with punches and kicks. Hawes works the body, catches a body kick, and puts Daukaus on his back. Daukaus throws up his legs quickly to defend with a triangle choke off his back, but “Megatron” laughs it off, breaks the position and postures up in Daukaus’ guard. There may have been an eye poke for Hawes, but he is warned in passing as Daukaus complains. Daukaus opens and closes his guard to try to find a better way out, all while Hawes pounds on him with short strikes. Individually, they may not be especially damaging, but they are adding up quickly as time ticks off the clock. Daukaus punches the back of the head a few times in passing, and he grimaces when his own blood trickles into his eye. Hawes steps into half guard, where he begins to unleash a series of punches to try to pound Daukaus out. Daukaus twists and nearly climbs to his feet, but Hawes pushes him back over and continues to work him over with left hands. Smith asks for Daukaus to keep moving and defend himself, and Hawes uses this as an opportunity to start slamming down elbows. Hawes continues to batter Daukaus with punches and elbows, and once more, Hawes appears to scrape the eye with his fingers. Daukaus appears miserable as blood is in his eyes, Hawes relentlessly punches him, and he cannot do anything but get Hawes back to his full guard. The 10-second clapper leads Daukaus to close his guard to lock Hawes down, where he survives and does not take much more punishment until the fight is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Hawes (29-27 Hawes)

The Official Result
Phil Hawes def. Kyle Daukaus via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert
May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Hawes but is not confident, noting Hawes is typically first-round-or-bust. He thinks Hawes needs to land an early knockout, otherwise Daukaus will take over. Brady likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and suggests live betting Daukaus if Hawes doesn't finish in the first round. He mentions Hawes's last fight went to decision but that was an anomaly. He picks Hawes by first-round knockout.

Fight doesn't go to decision; live bet Daukaus if Hawes doesn't finish first round
"I'm going to take cause to get that first round knockout might be a live betting situation but the prop i really do like is that fight doesn't go to decision."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes, arguing that Hawes is underappreciated and has been rushed against tough competition. He notes Hawes' D1 wrestling, freak athleticism, and one-punch knockout power. He believes Hawes learned from his past mistakes and will win a decision, as he did against Imavov. He views Daukaus as an average athlete and black belt, and thinks Hawes can lean on him and get takedowns.

"i think phil has is so underappreciated to a point where like when this guy was three and noah as a pro they put him in there with andrew sanchez like what"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
May 7, 2021 (1 day before fight) Confident Kyle Daukaus

The host favors Kyle Daukaus, believing his jiu-jitsu and cardio will be the difference. He expects Daukaus to survive Hawes' early power and then submit him later. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and Daukaus by submission prop.

under 2.5 -150, Daukaus by sub +250
"i really like dalkist in the spot kind of surprised at the land movement as in terms of making it closer of a pickum fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
May 3, 2021 (5 days before fight) Confident Kyle Daukaus

The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus over Phil Hawes, noting that Daukaus is the slight favorite. He believes Daukaus's smothering clinch game and technical stand-up will overwhelm Hawes, who showed a hole in his last fight against the cage. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Daukaus winning the second and third rounds.

unanimous decision, 29-28
"i'm gonna be going with kyle alkaus here ... i just think it's a bad matchup"
Decision (majority) (28–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Phil Hawes 0 31 of 54 57% 101 of 128 4 of 7 57% 0 0 11:06
Nassourdine Imavov 0 57 of 93 61% 87 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Phil Hawes 0 16 of 24 66% 41 of 50 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:38
Nassourdine Imavov 0 9 of 19 47% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Phil Hawes 0 6 of 11 54% 36 of 44 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:15
Nassourdine Imavov 0 16 of 25 64% 30 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Phil Hawes 0 9 of 19 47% 24 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:13
Nassourdine Imavov 0 32 of 49 65% 37 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Phil Hawes 31 of 54 57% 13 of 31 7 of 9 11 of 14 23 of 42 7 of 11 1 of 1
Nassourdine Imavov 57 of 93 61% 39 of 71 14 of 17 4 of 5 29 of 62 27 of 30 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Phil Hawes 16 of 24 66% 5 of 12 3 of 4 8 of 8 11 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1
Nassourdine Imavov 9 of 19 47% 3 of 11 4 of 5 2 of 3 4 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Phil Hawes 6 of 11 54% 3 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 3 4 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0
Nassourdine Imavov 16 of 25 64% 8 of 17 6 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 17 6 of 7 1 of 1
3 Phil Hawes 9 of 19 47% 5 of 13 2 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0
Nassourdine Imavov 32 of 49 65% 28 of 43 4 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 31 16 of 18 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi argues that Phil Hawes's early career was mismanaged, being thrown in with tough opponents too soon, but now he has matured and learned to pace himself. He highlights Hawes's D1 wrestling, one-punch knockout power, and improved defense. Levi believes Hawes will be too physical and explosive for Imavov, who fights with his hands down. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting that Imavov was pushed around by the smaller Jordan Williams.

first round knockout
"i'm going phil has to be a first round knockout"
WIN vs Jacob Malkoun
KO (punches) R1 0:18 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Phil Hawes 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacob Malkoun 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Phil Hawes 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacob Malkoun 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Phil Hawes 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacob Malkoun 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Phil Hawes 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacob Malkoun 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Phil Hawes vs. Jacob Malkoun

Round 1
In a matchup that might seem out of place on the main card among other bouts containing top-ranked fighters, exciting prospects Hawes (8-2, 0-0 UFC) and Malkoun (4-0, 0-0 UFC) nevertheless make their UFC debuts against one another at middleweight. Watching on to see which one pans out will be referee Jason Herzog, and a respectful glove touch begins the fight. Hawes pushes the pace early, chasing after Malkoun and landing a few serious punches. A right hand hurts Malkoun, and “Megatron” smells blood and unleashes a thunderous barrage of strikes. When Malkoun falls back to the fence, a right and a left hook put the Aussie not just down, but out cold as he falls face-first to the canvas. What a way to introduce yourself to the organization in your debut, doing so on one of the biggest of stages imaginable in lightning-quick fashion. Wow.

The Official Result
Phil Hawes def. Jacob Malkoun R1 0:18 via KO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert
Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight) Confident Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Phil Hawes, citing his power and finishing ability (75% of wins by KO). He notes Malkoun's lack of experience (4-0) and that Hawes has faced better competition. He predicts a first-round knockout, but advises staying away from betting at -260.

first round knockout
"give me haws here you know seen him face some pretty decent competition i think better competition than malcoon here um i think he's going to get him out of there in that first round probably a first round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert
Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi slightly leans with Phil Hawes based on experience and athleticism, noting that Hawes has paid his dues with tough fights against Luis Taylor and Julian Marquez. He questions Malkoun's level of competition, as he is only 4-0 against subpar opponents. Levi thinks it might be a dog-or-pass situation at the betting window, but as a pure pick he goes with Hawes.

Dog or pass situation; can't lay -240 on Hawes but picks him based on experience
"i'll slightly lean with the experience of phil haas and the athleticism but i wouldn't be surprised either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight) Lean Phil Hawes

The host picks Phil Hawes but with low confidence, citing his athleticism and power. He notes that Hawes has cardio and durability concerns, while Malkoun is inexperienced. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds if the line is favorable.

under 2.5 rounds
"i'm gonna go with my [ __ ] to win by tko in round two"
Expert Picks (8 experts, 8 updates)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert
Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.

0.2 units at +175 for America
"I'm gonna ride or die with American wrestling here Phil Hall's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Hesitant Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.

First round knockout prediction; probably not betting this fight
"I'm gonna pick Phil Hawes and you can never have confidence in in Phil Hawes honestly ever against anybody but I'm gonna take him to the stuff the takedown's here keep it on the feet and do the better work on the feed here give me Phil Hawes to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds at even money; live betting Aliskerov after round 1
"I think -210 pre-flop yeah I would bet him because I think he's gonna win but I think we can get a much better price on that after the first"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I feel pretty okay actually about picking Aliskerov. Phil Hawes just doesn't have it, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.

Aliskerov inside the distance, round 2
"I'm picking the Russian fighter to get his hand raised and I think he does it inside the distance let's call it round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert
May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight) Lean Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.

"I think ikram is the side at minus 210 I don't know if I'm going to attack it from a betting perspective though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert
May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight) Confident Ikram Aliskerov

The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.

"I'm gonna side with ikramalisker of here I just think he's going to be smart to shoot on one of the legs and make Phil Hall's balance on the other leg"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert
May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight) Hesitant Ikram Aliskerov

Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I'm going to pick him. I hate to do it, but got to happen."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 1 year ago

Ok KO, but not amazing either