Career Averages - Josh Fremd
Career Averages - Sedriques Dumas
Josh Fremd
Sedriques Dumas
Josh Fremd - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Petroski | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 60 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 30 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 12:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 14 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | |
| 2 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 26 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 | |
| 3 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 23 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 13 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Petroski | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Josh Fremd | 12 of 18 | 66% | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Petroski | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 6 of 7 | 85% | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Andre Petroski | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Josh Fremd | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andre Petroski | 10 of 14 | 71% | 7 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fremd (-110), Petroski (-110)
Round 1
A pair of middleweights happy to get the job done any way they can will meet as the prelims roll on. Both Fremd (11-5, 2-3 UFC) and Petroski (10-3, 5-2 UFC) celebrate exactly four wins by knockout and four by submission, and both are coming in off rough knockout losses. Taking charge of the cage will be referee Nick Berens, who is ready for what is about to come next. The Pennsylvanians touch gloves, and Petroski drifts back to move to the middle of the Octagon. Both men measure one another in opposing stances, and Berens warns them for outstretched fingers. When Petroski engages, he fires off a mean right hand that knocks Fremd to his seat. As Fremd climbs up to his feet, Petroski rushes at him and hits a clean double-leg takedown to land in a guillotine setup from his opponent. Petroski breaks out of the choke and quickly shifts over to side control, and Fremd frames off with an elbow and pounds it into Petroski’s nose to draw a trickle of blood out of the bridge of it. Petroski pays it no mind as he uses heavy chest pressure and hunts for a potential arm-triangle choke, only to bail on it when Fremd defends by turning to his side. Petroski resides on top, and the crowd starts booing his control while Berens mentions that Petroski should do more. Petroski answers by stepping over, in hopes of isolating Fremd’s left arm. Fremd twists and turns to not let Petroski set anything up, but the result is more ground control and little more. Petroski steps over to full mount as 80 seconds remain on the clock, and Fremd bucks like a bronco but cannot get the cowboy that trains out of Renzo Philly off of him. Petroski moves himself back to half guard to keep Fremd on his back, and he jams down a few elbows while otherwise grinding Fremd out. Petroski gets back to mount, and he smacks Fremd with a single elbow before Fremd turns around. Fremd gives his back up, and as the horn sounds, Petroski drills him behind the ear with a strike or two. Berens calls him on it, and the two go back to their corners.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Round 2
Petroski is warned between rounds to avoid any late strikes, and when they begin, Petroski says hello to his opponent with a clubbing right that shakes Fremd up. Fremd responds with a body kick, and he dips back as Petroski clips him with a head kick. Fremd tries to reply with one of his own, and Petroski grabs hold of the leg and use it to dump Fremd to the mat. Petroski jumps on top, and the two continue moving until Petroski latches onto a guillotine choke. Fremd shifts to his knees to prevent the choke from succeeding, but this lets Petroski take his back. Petroski quickly relocates to full mount, and he starts hunting for an arm-triangle choke. Petroski clasps his hands together, and he uses his full body weight to press down while turning Fremd’s head a brilliant shade of red. Fremd gets a modicum of space as he punches Petroski in the side, and Petroski comfortably rests on top and lets the choke go. Fremd kicks him off, and Petroski is forced back to full guard. It does not take long for Petroski to jump into the half guard and employ another arm-triangle choke, and Fremd grits it out once more. Fremd scoots his way to the cage wall, and he throws his legs up in search of a desperate inverted triangle that transitions into an armbar. Petroski stays heavy on top until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Round 3
Petroski offers a glove touch to begin the final frame, and Fremd wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Fremd attacks, practically sprinting at his opponent with punches and leaping at him with a flying knee. Petroski backs himself to the wall, taking strikes from the pumped-up Fremd, but that offense quickly tapers off as Petroski shifts to the side and gets away. When Fremd gives chase, Petroski pursues a single-leg takedown and hits it to put Fremd down once more. The crowd, knowing what is about to come for the next three-plus minutes, starts booing. Petroski tries to shut some of those naysayers up by moving straight into full mount, and Fremd answers after eating one strike by turning around to give up his back. When Petroski starts fishing for a choke, Fremd turns over again, only for Petroski to be ready with an arm-triangle choke setup. Petroski lets it go when Fremd climbs his feet off the wall, and Fremd’s mad scramble after it gets hold of a quick inverted triangle choke again. Petroski breaks out of it and gets himself to side control in a hurry, and his attempt to isolate Fremd’s left arm begins. Petroski grinds his elbow on Fremd’s face while considering some armlock, but there is nothing to it as Berens calls for more action. Fremd explodes to turn to his side, and Petroski follows him as he twists to partially take Fremd’s back. Petroski smacks his foe on the sides of the head, and Fremd crawls to the fence and lean against it. Petroski pounds on him, and Fremd tugs on the fence in hopes of standing. Petroski hands on from behind with one hook in, and Fremd shakes his head in disappointment. The round ends as the audience rains down boos.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Josh Fremd via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his two-fight losing streak and bizarre self-knockout in his last fight. He believes Petroski is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling, power, and speed. However, he acknowledges Josh Fremd's cardio advantage and the elevation factor, which could favor Fremd if he pressures early. Angelo warns against betting on this fight due to its unpredictability.
Cody picks Fremd, citing Petroski's poor cardio and tendency to fade. He notes Fremd's altitude training and generalist skills, and believes Fremd can survive the first round and take over. He expects a late finish or decision for Fremd.
Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Fremd but is hesitant. He notes that Fremd has been waiting for a big knockout and that Petroski is a front-runner who gasses when he can't dominate early. He thinks Fremd can weather the storm and take over. He mentions that Petroski wants a first-round KO to avoid going deep, which plays into Fremd's hands. He has bet on Fremd before and trusts him.
Josh Fremd is a pick 'em and worth a shot. He utilizes pressure and pace, which will come through against Petroski, who tends to slow down. If Fremd can survive the early onslaught from Petroski, he should start to grind and eventually find a finish in the third round.
Paul picks Fremd, citing Petroski's cardio issues and Fremd's altitude advantage. He notes Petroski's tendency to gas and believes Fremd's volume and durability will win the fight. He expects Fremd to win by decision or late stoppage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Kopylov | 1 | 49 of 84 | 58% | 54 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 38 of 116 | 32% | 38 of 116 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Kopylov | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 28 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 22 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Roman Kopylov | 1 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 26 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 16 of 58 | 27% | 16 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Kopylov | 49 of 84 | 58% | 23 of 56 | 9 of 10 | 17 of 18 | 47 of 80 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 38 of 116 | 32% | 18 of 81 | 8 of 13 | 12 of 22 | 37 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Kopylov | 27 of 41 | 65% | 8 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 14 | 25 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 22 of 58 | 37% | 5 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 11 of 14 | 21 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roman Kopylov | 22 of 43 | 51% | 15 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 16 of 58 | 27% | 13 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 8 | 16 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kopylov (-355), Fremd (+280)
Round 1
Middleweights are next on the docket, as Kopylov (11-2, 3-2 UFC) tries to make it four wins in a row at 185 pounds. A Factory X representative, Fremd (11-4, 2-2 UFC) headlined multiple Legacy Fighting Alliance events prior to his signing with the UFC in 2022. Mark Smith answers the call as the third man in the cage. Fremd pumps out his jab from the start, eats a few leg kicks and scores with some shin to skin contact to the body. Kopylov continues to target the lead leg with kicks and seems content to allow the fight to come to him. A low blow from Fremd results in a brief pause before they resume their dance in the center of the cage. Fremd sneaks in front kick to the body and backs up the Russian with a multi-strike burst of hands and feet. Kopylov connects with a surgical two-punch combination. He seems to be getting more and more comfortable in the pocket. Fremd shoots on a single-leg but gets nowhere. Kopylov breaks away with punches, takes the center of the cage and uncorks his educated hands. He follows them with a kick to the body. Momentum is starting to turn here. Fremd shoots on another takedown attempt with 20 seconds left, only to get denied. Kopylov lands with a spinning backfist and an uppercut to close the round.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Round 2
Kopylov drives a left hand into the body, follows with an uppercut and goes back upstairs with his hands, knocking Fremd off-balance. Fremd paws with his jab and whiffs on a takedown, then eats a head kick. Damage has started to build on his face and his body. Kopylov denies a single-leg takedown, pushes away the American. Fremd’s mouth is wide open, likely due to difficulty breathing through a bloody nose. Kopylov picks his shots but catches another kick low. Smith pauses the action and issues another warning. Kopylov goes to the body and head with a beautiful combination. He backs away and narrowly misses a lunging right uppercut. A savage kick to the body forces Fremd to drop his hands. Kopylov wisely follows with a head kick.
A left hook to the liver drops Fremd to all fours and results in an immediate stoppage
.
The Official Result
Roman Kopylov def. Josh Fremd—KO (Punch to the Body) 4:44 R2
Angelo is very confident in Roman Kopylov, calling him the best value on the card at -275. He highlights Kopylov's high-level kickboxing and improved takedown defense. He dismisses Josh Fremd's grappling threat, noting Fremd struggled to take down Jamie Pickett. He believes Kopylov's striking is next level and Fremd cannot hang on the feet.
Big Brady likes Kopylov to win, citing his improved striking, durability, and body work. He notes Kopylov has been training in Dagestan to improve his wrestling and has looked better each fight. He expects Kopylov to stuff takedowns, break Fremd down with body shots, and finish him in the second or third round. He is less confident at the current minus 400 odds but still picks the win.
Cody picks Kopylov confidently, detailing his improved takedown defense after training in Dagestan. He notes Kopylov's durability, power, and recent finishes. He is concerned about Fremd's cardio and wrestling but believes Kopylov will win, possibly by knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Roman Kopylov but is not interested at the current odds of minus-410, as the line opened at minus-140. He praises Kopylov's clean hands, precise striking, and improved takedown defense, but notes that Josh Fremd has not yet shown his regional form in the UFC. Levi believes Kopylov will win but considers it a dog-or-pass situation at these prices.
Fremd is a Factory X product with improving grappling, cage pushing, and submission threats. Kopylov has cardio issues and has been slowing down in fights. Fremd should close the distance, wear on Kopylov with takedowns and clinch work, and potentially get a second or third round finish. I like the decision prop or a late finish for Fremd at plus 240.
Paul picks Kopylov but notes the minus 405 line is too high to bet. He acknowledges Kopylov's recent improvements in takedown defense and striking, and sees him as the clear winner. He mentions Fremd's recent weight miss and poor performance against Jamie Pickett.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Kopylov over Josh Fremd, stating Kopylov is at a different class. He praises Kopylov's recent performances, including a head kick KO of Claudio Ribeiro, and believes he has improved his wrestling. He criticizes Fremd's lack of power and ability to win a gritty fight. He predicts a late second or third round TKO for Kopylov.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 31 of 80 | 38% | 59 of 109 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 7:15 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 14 of 52 | 26% | 26 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 11 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 31 of 80 | 38% | 11 of 49 | 10 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 22 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Jamie Pickett | 14 of 52 | 26% | 4 of 31 | 6 of 16 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 45 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 11 of 29 | 37% | 2 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 18 | 22% | 0 of 9 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 20 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 15 | 33% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Josh Fremd | 7 of 20 | 35% | 2 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 19 | 26% | 3 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fremd, citing his improving grappling and athleticism. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy and has poor takedown defense. He expects Fremd to wrestle and grind out a win.
Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by submission in the second round. He believes Fremd has Pickett covered in every aspect, noting Pickett's three-fight skid and poor durability. He mentions Fremd's power and submission game, and says Fremd can win by decision, knockout, or submission. He is not laying -325 but is confident Fremd gets it done.
Cody picks Fremd, citing his wrestling background, cardio, and improvement. He notes Fremd's competitive fight against Fluffy Hernandez and his submission win over Cedric Dumas. He criticizes Pickett's three-fight losing streak and lack of UFC-level skills. He thinks Fremd's wrestling and grappling advantage will be too much, and that Pickett's job is on the line but he doesn't see a path to victory.
James picks Fremd but is not confident, calling it a 'bad fight' and not his type. He thinks Fremd should win but notes Pickett is tough, long, and strong in the clinch. He believes the line at -350 is too wide and should be around -250. He likely won't bet it.
Fremd showed a relentless wrestling style in his last fight, but he is a heavy favorite at -350 against a guy on a three-fight losing streak. Pickett relies on physical traits but is not great technically. Fremd's wrestling and pace should be too much, but trusting him at such a short price is risky given his limited sample size. Fremd should grind out a decision.
Paul picks Fremd, agreeing that Pickett doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Fremd's submission skills and ability to get dominant positions. He thinks Fremd will likely win by submission. He considered Pickett at plus money but after digging, concluded Pickett is just not good enough.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Jamie Pickett, noting Fremd's losses to Anthony Hernandez (who is doing that to everyone) and Tresean Gore (a nasty guillotine). He believes Fremd is more well-rounded with grappling and striking, and that Pickett tends to fade in fights. He thinks Fremd's potential and size advantage will lead to a win, possibly ending Pickett's UFC career.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 48 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 4:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 1:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 20 of 44 | 45% | 8 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 13 | 19 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 33 of 61 | 54% | 21 of 48 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 14 of 30 | 46% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 13 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 27 of 50 | 54% | 16 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 6 of 14 | 42% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 6 of 11 | 54% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-180), Fremd (+155)
Round 1
A finish is not guaranteed but highly likely in this middleweight clash. The debuting and much-maligned Dumas (7-0, 0-0 UFC) will try to hand Fremd (9-4, 0-2 UFC) his third loss in three UFC tries, as these towering 185ers duke it out. Referee Chris Tognoni may have his hands full when these two get after it, and there is no glove touch to clock them in. Fremd walks straight into a leg kick, and he picks his leg up as if to throw one back, but there is none to come. Dumas chops at the lead leg again, and Fremd responds in kind. Dumas swings a right hand over the top to sting Fremd, and he follows a low kick with it. Fremd shakes it out, and he blocks a head kick just in the nick of time. They score with alternating low kicks, and then trade jabs. Fremd sits down on a low kick, and Dumas charges with an overhand right that zips past his foe’s face. Fremd ducks a punch and blocks a head kick, and he loads up on counters that do not successfully land. Fremd gets off another few low kicks, and Dumas cracks him with a right. Fremd replies with his own left hook, rocking the undefeated fighter, and allow him to change levels for a double. Fremd scoops “The Reaper” off his feet and drops him flat on his back, taking side control instead of trying to force a finish. Fremd hangs on from on top, and as Dumas signals to Tognoni for a standup, Fremd slashes down with an elbow. Fremd gets dragged back to the closed guard, and he slides his legs higher for a potential triangle choke setup. Fremd comfortable holds on until Dumas sits up, and Dumas’ neck is in a precarious position as Fremd laches on to a guillotine choke. The newcomer slides his head out, and he wings a high kick that glances off the shoulder. Fremd takes a few punches on the chin and turns the tables to sting Dumas again, and Dumas finds himself pursuing a takedown after getting hurt. Fremd stops this in its tracks and shoves him to the wire, and he lifts up a knee to the side. Dumas tries to throw knees up the middle, and Fremd replies with a jump knee and lands a blow after the bell. Fremd immediately apologizes, and there is no bad blood from it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fremd
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fremd
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fremd
Round 2
The second round begins with a deceptively cautious Dumas, as he tosses out a body kick, avoids a counter, and suddenly springs into action with a chain of reaching punches. Fremd side-steps them and blocks the head for a follow-up kick, and he sticks out a few jabs. Fremd measures a right hand around the guard to rock “The Reaper,” and he secures a high hip toss to slam Dumas to his back. Fremd jumps straight into half guard, and he starts to drop down some ground strikes. Dumas recovers to the full guard and gets struck in the back of the head, to which Tognoni notices and warns Fremd. Fremd sneaks back to half guard and controls his man from above, and Dumas scrambles wildly to get up. Dumas searches for a back take and tries to go after a rear-naked choke, but he falls over the top and lands on his seat.
Fremd jumps on top to replicate Jon Jones’ seated guillotine choke that landed last week on Ciryl Gane, but he releases the grip to punch Dumas upside the head a few times. Seeing that the choke is still there, Fremd locks down the guillotine and squeezes with all his might. Shocked like Gane was, Dumas instantly taps, as the pressure is too much to bear.
Fremd has now won his first fight in the UFC, doing so by knocking off an unbeaten fighter with plenty of momentum behind him.
The Official Result
Josh Fremd def. Sedriques Dumas R2 3:00 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo sees Sedriques Dumas as a well-rounded fighter with solid hands, kickboxing, and takedowns, mixing his attacks effectively. He notes Dumas is composed for a 27-year-old with only seven fights and believes the UFC is giving him Josh Fremd to push him. He acknowledges the risk of betting on a UFC debut with a street-fighting past but is confident in Dumas's potential.
Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas, liking his build, power, and grappling. He notes Dumas has dangerous transitions on the ground and can lock up submissions. However, he questions Dumas's level of competition and says he doesn't want to bet on the fight. Brady predicts Dumas will get the fight to the mat and find a first-round submission.
Cody picks Fremd but is not confident, noting Fremd's short notice and recent submission loss. He thinks Fremd has a cardio and striking advantage but may not trust him with money.
Connor leans toward Dumas due to his physicality and athleticism, but acknowledges he is a very raw and messy fighter. He notes that Dumas has natural power and can finish fights, but his technique is poor and he could be exposed by a grinder like Fremd. He is not confident in the pick.
I think Dumas has the grappling advantage and should be able to submit Fremd, who has shown vulnerability to submissions. However, Dumas is untested at this level, and Fremd is a decent all-around fighter. I'm not confident enough to bet Dumas as a favorite, but I expect him to get his hand raised, likely by submission.
Paul picks Fremd as an underdog, noting Dumas' lack of high-level competition and Fremd's durability and cardio. He thinks Fremd can outwork Dumas and calls Dumas a potential parlay killer.
The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas, calling him dangerous. He notes Dumas has a wicked guillotine and good striking, while Josh Fremd took the fight on short notice and has been finished before. He predicts Dumas will hurt Fremd on the feet and latch up a guillotine for a first-round finish.
Zane also leans toward Dumas but is very uncertain. He notes that Dumas is athletic and powerful but unschooled, while Fremd is a limited but tough grinder. He thinks Dumas's physicality might be enough, but Fremd could outwrestle him. He calls the fight a mess and advises against betting.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tresean Gore | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 14 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tresean Gore | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 21 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 12 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 | |
| 2 | Tresean Gore | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tresean Gore | 24 of 54 | 44% | 8 of 35 | 11 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 47 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tresean Gore | 18 of 40 | 45% | 4 of 24 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 33 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 8 of 14 | 57% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tresean Gore | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Fremd | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Fremd is a dangerous finisher with power and size, while Gore has looked hesitant and been knocked out by Cody Brundage. He acknowledges that Fremd is hittable and Gore has power, but trusts Fremd's aggression and finishing ability more.
Cody picks Josh Fremd, citing his wrestling base, size (6'4"), and solid regional wins. He notes Fremd's competitive performance against Anthony Hernandez on short notice and believes a full camp will benefit him. Cody criticizes Tresean Gore's inexperience, poor performance against Bryan Battle, and lack of volume. He also likes Fremd by submission at +900 as a sprinkle.
Daniel Levi is confident in Josh Fremd, citing his experience, size (6'4"), and paid dues on the regional scene. He views Gore as too green and immature, lacking seasoning despite athleticism. He bet Fremd at -170 for 2 units and plans to add more as the line improved. He expects Fremd to win via experience and possibly a finish.
Jacob picks Josh Fremd, citing his wrestling and ability to withstand Gore's striking. He notes Gore is 0-2 and may fight for his life, but until Gore proves himself, Jacob defaults to Fremd. He is cautious and not confident in betting.
Gore has speed and power advantages, and his move to Fortis MMA should improve his game. However, he was flatlined in his last fight, which raises durability concerns. Fremd is more complete but Gore's takedown defense and power could lead to a knockout. The under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision are safer plays. Gore by knockout at +330 is a tempting prop.
Paul also picks Josh Fremd, highlighting his experience, pace, and pressure. He notes that Fremd has never fought someone with a losing record and has shown improvements. Paul is critical of Gore's learning on the job and lack of recent power, and expects Fremd to tire Gore out and get the victory.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Tresean Gore, citing Fremd's underrated grappling and experience. He notes Gore's lack of readiness, having been finished by Cody Brundage and outhustled by Bryan Battle. Fremd held his own against Anthony Hernandez on short notice, and the Guru believes Fremd's size and reach advantage will help him deal with Gore's power, predicting a second-round submission via guillotine choke.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 48 of 71 | 67% | 91 of 124 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 3 | 0 | 10:45 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 43 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 26 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:12 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 25 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 18 of 23 | 78% | 40 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:51 |
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hernandez | 48 of 71 | 67% | 39 of 62 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 25 | 5 of 9 | 34 of 37 |
| Josh Fremd | 31 of 54 | 57% | 16 of 37 | 13 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 35 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Hernandez | 17 of 31 | 54% | 13 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 17 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 6 |
| Josh Fremd | 16 of 30 | 53% | 7 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Anthony Hernandez | 13 of 17 | 76% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 11 |
| Josh Fremd | 13 of 20 | 65% | 8 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Anthony Hernandez | 18 of 23 | 78% | 15 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Josh Fremd | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo gives a slight edge to Anthony Hernandez due to his UFC experience and better pure BJJ. He acknowledges Josh Fremd's athleticism and potential, but notes the short notice and nerves for Fremd. He calls Fremd one of the most live underdogs on the card.
Big Brady picks Anthony Hernandez to win by second-round submission. He expects Fremd to land big shots early but Hernandez to take over with pace and cardio, eventually finishing Fremd. He notes Hernandez's submission game is very good, having submitted Rodolfo Vieira, and that Fremd is coming in on short notice.
Cody leans towards Fremd as an underdog, thinking the price is wrong. He notes Fremd's wrestling, cardio, and cleaner striking, and that Hernandez has been inactive and has a questionable chin. Cody acknowledges Fremd got knocked out by Rodrigues but thinks he can outwork Hernandez. He signs up for Fremd as a low-confidence dog.
Levi praises Josh Fremd's offensive skills (calf kicks, jab, knees) and size, but criticizes his tall man's defense and tendency to get dropped. He likes Anthony Hernandez's experience, toughness, and submission game (guillotine, d'arce). He thinks Hernandez can capitalize on Fremd's defensive openings but is not crazy about laying -200, so he passes on betting.
I love Hernandez as a prospect; he reminds me of a prime Cain Velasquez with pressure and grappling. I think he will push the pace from the start, land takedowns, and get a finish via ground and pound or submission. The fight not going to decision is one of my favorite lines. I see him getting his hand raised inside the distance.
Paul passes on this fight, saying it terrifies him too much. He notes Hernandez's submission win over Vieira was due to fatigue, and that Fremd got knocked out by Gregory Rodrigues. Paul doesn't like Hernandez at -200 and doesn't see enough in Fremd to bet. He considers the under but doesn't commit.
The MMA Guru picks Anthony Hernandez, noting that Josh Fremd is on short notice. He expects Fremd to start well but fade, with Hernandez getting a third-round submission or TKO. He highlights Hernandez's toughness and ability to survive dangerous positions.
Sedriques Dumas - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 1 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 38 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Jackson McVey | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 1 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 38 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Jackson McVey | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 21 of 29 | 72% | 16 of 22 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 18 |
| Jackson McVey | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 21 of 29 | 72% | 16 of 22 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 18 |
| Jackson McVey | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McVey (-190); Dumas (+160)
Round 1
A potential pink-slip derby comes as the prelims carry on, with struggling middleweights Dumas (10-4, 1 NC; 3-4, 1 NC UFC) and McVey (6-2, 0-2 UFC) coming to blows with one hoping of righting the ship to a degree. At 30 and 27, respectively, a prospective roster cut would not necessarily be the end of their career, with top contenders in the division hanging around 10 years their elder. For now, referee Chris Tognoni stands guard ready to intervene at a moment’s notice. There is a touch of gloves.
McVey practically sprints at his opponent, bull-rushing “The Reaper” and forcing him on his back foot immediately. McVey looks for a level change, and when he cannot readjust them to a different position, he sticks around in the clinch flustering Dumas with knees and short punches. Dumas brings up a knee that bangs into the cup, and when Tognoni calls time, both fighters look confusedly at him and say they’re fine and continue fighting. They manage to separate, and McVey marches his foe down with a purpose. As he closes in, he jacks Dumas up with an uppercut, and Dumas crashes to the floor. McVey looks to finish the job with a bombardment of punches, but Dumas is intelligently defending himself. McVey decides to stop striking and hook his arm around the neck, locking up a brabo choke in a hurry.
The submission is tight with its application cinched at McVey’s armpit, and he turns to the side to complete it. Dumas has nothing left to offer at this point of the match, and he surrenders.
We have our first finish of the night, while Dumas clutches the left side of his face that absorbed the crushing uppercut.
The Official Result
Jackson McVey def. Sedriques Dumas R1 2:14 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
Angelo confidently picks Jackson McVey, criticizing Sedriques Dumas for being a poor fighter with more court cases than wins. He notes that Dumas's wrestling is horrific and he doesn't have big one-punch knockout power, and has seen Dumas look like he's quitting. Angelo expects McVey to move forward, throw a bunch of hands, and win the fight. He says he'll be rooting for McVey big time.
Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas (referred to as Jack Marshman) over Jackson McVey (referred to as Sedriques Dumas). He criticizes Dumas's tendency to quit under adversity and tap to submissions easily. He believes Marshman's clinch work and opportunistic submission game will lead to a first-round submission.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking McVey due to Dumas's lack of skill and recent poor performances. He notes that Dumas has zero footwork, bad form, and corners himself, while McVey has aggression and a clear game plan. Connor also mentions that Dumas's personal issues likely haven't helped his training.
The host thinks Dumas is a tempting bet because McVey has terrible takedown defense and is weak off his back. Dumas' grappling, while not elite, should be enough to exploit McVey's weaknesses. He believes the odds are wrong and Dumas should be favored. However, he warns about Dumas' bad fight IQ and face tattoos, making it a risky bet.
James picks McVey, citing Dumas' mental instability and poor fight IQ. He expects McVey's pressure and clinch work to lead to a submission finish, possibly a guillotine in round one.
McVey has a strong submission game and a lanky frame, but he has struggled in the UFC with two losses. Dumas has been inconsistent and has had legal issues, but he has grappling ability. McVey should overwhelm Dumas with aggression and find a submission, but the fight is low-level and hard to have confidence in.
Zane picks McVey because Dumas is aimless, has zero footwork, bad striking form, and poor positioning. He notes that McVey has directionality and aggression, and if he comes out like he did against Zach Reese, Dumas will fold. However, Zane acknowledges that McVey is a poor athlete and the fight is terrible overall.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Johnson | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 18 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donte Johnson | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 11 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Donte Johnson | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Johnson | 10 of 18 | 55% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 5 of 16 | 31% | 0 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donte Johnson | 9 of 17 | 52% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Donte Johnson | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Angelo is very confident in Dashon Johnson, calling him a big wrestler with power who will finish Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas heavily, citing his criminal record, poor performances, and lack of quality wins. He expects Johnson to run through Dumas and finish him early, and recommends putting Johnson in lineups.
Big Brady picks Dashon Johnson by first-round knockout, citing Johnson's fast hands and heavyweight power. He notes Dumas doesn't like getting hit and has been hurt in multiple fights. He mentions Johnson is coming down from heavyweight but looks in good shape. He warns that if the fight extends, Dumas's grappling could be a factor, but he expects an early finish.
Connor picks Dumas because he is a big middleweight who can lay on Johnson and use wrestling to control him. He notes that Johnson is a short, awkward fighter who throws wild hooks, and Dumas can take him down and ride him to a decision.
Lucrative James picks Dashon Johnson confidently, citing his power, speed, and striking IQ. He notes Johnson's success at higher weight classes and expects him to be too strong and patient for Sedriques Dumas, who has mental and legal issues. James predicts a first-round knockout, similar to Dumas' previous loss to Michel Alex.
Johnson is 6-0 with all first-round finishes but hasn't faced much adversity. Dumas has more UFC experience and has beaten mediocre competition. Dumas will wear down Johnson and find a submission in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Dashon Johnson (Don'Tale Mayes Johnson) over Sedriques Dumas. He is impressed by Johnson's Contender Series win over a heavyweight, showing power and grappling. He notes Dumas's inconsistent performances and foul issues. He predicts a first or second round finish, citing Johnson's physicality and -400 odds.
Zane picks Johnson because Dumas is a bully who doesn't like being attacked, and Johnson is aggressive and awkward. He notes that Johnson is not good, but Dumas is also bad and likely to fold under pressure. He acknowledges Dumas could win by wrestling but thinks Johnson's aggression will cause problems.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-240); Dumas (+200)
Round 1
Mike Beltran is the referee. Dumas comes out aggressively, with a double jab-straight combination. Fighting from opposing stances, the middleweights trade low kicks. A hard inside low kick lands for Dumas, but moments later, “The Reaper” absorbs an audible kick to the groin from Reese. Dumas immediately collapses to the canvas in agony and the crowd groans upon viewing the replay. Now a doctor has come in to talk to Dumas, who remains on his knees. He informs the doctor that, “I cannot feel my right ball.” Beltran tries to encourage Dumas to stand up, but he says he can’t get up. After that revelation, Beltran waves off the fight. Reese yells in frustration before walking over to apologize to Dumas. This one will be a no contest due to the accidental foul.
The Official Result
Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas is Ruled a No Contest (Accidental Foul) R1 0:51
Angelo picks Reese confidently, calling Dumas a disaster and not very good. He notes Reese is a massive middleweight with size and strength, well-rounded, though his wrestling is inconsistent. He says Dumas is scrappy but not skilled or dangerous, and if Reese lands a takedown or big bomb, he finds a finish. He mentions Reese is almost a 3-to-1 favorite and should be.
Big Brady picks Reese because Dumas has shown no durability, heart, or volume in the UFC. He criticizes Dumas's training environment and legal issues. He predicts Reese finishes Dumas in the first round by submission, though he notes Reese himself has questionable durability and cardio.
Reese is expected to return to his early finishing ways after defending Dumas's takedowns. The host believes Reese will dictate the pace, land big shots, and produce a round one knockout, showing strong confidence in his power and timing.
The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese, citing his athleticism, kicks at range, and ability to finish. He expects Reese to hurt Dumas with body kicks and predicts a finish late in the first or second round. He also questions Dumas's discipline and commitment due to legal issues, making him untrustworthy.
Angelo picks Jackson McVey because he is a young undefeated prospect making his short-notice UFC debut, and he believes McVey's length, footwork, and takedown ability will be too much for Sedriques Dumas, who has a questionable chin and off-the-cage distractions. He notes that Dumas is green and hasn't improved as expected, and that McVey's motivation may be higher given Dumas's legal issues. However, he admits it's hard to know what to expect from an untested prospect.
Big Brady is very critical of Sedriques Dumas, citing his lackluster performances, legal issues, and time in prison without training. He notes that Dumas has been unimpressive even in wins and that McVey, though with limited fight footage, appears aggressive and dangerous with finishes. Brady believes McVey has a pulse and is more motivated, so he picks McVey to win by first-round knockout.
The host leans towards Jackson McVey due to his more well-rounded skills and experience, noting that Christopher U (Sedriques Dumas) is taking the fight on very short notice and has a flabby build that limits his potential. He expects McVey to win by submission, as he has shown finishing ability and better grappling.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 3 of 26 | 11% | 3 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 1 | 34 of 57 | 59% | 34 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 3 of 26 | 11% | 3 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 1 | 34 of 57 | 59% | 34 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 3 of 26 | 11% | 0 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 34 of 57 | 59% | 27 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 30 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 3 of 26 | 11% | 0 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 34 of 57 | 59% | 27 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 30 |
Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 49 of 88 | 55% | 95 of 140 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 6:00 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 26 of 70 | 37% | 183 of 246 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 35 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:22 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 44 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 26 of 40 | 65% | 39 of 57 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 116 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 23 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 49 of 88 | 55% | 28 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 40 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 26 of 70 | 37% | 10 of 49 | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 6 of 10 | 60% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 26 of 40 | 65% | 13 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 10 of 24 | 41% | 3 of 13 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 17 of 38 | 44% | 12 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 13 of 39 | 33% | 6 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-218), Tiuliulin (+180)
Round 1
Fight fans on the West Coast of the U.S. will be having combat with coffee this morning, as the UFC takes to Abu Dhabi with a show featuring a number of fighters that struggle to get into the U.S. Plenty of international talent litters this event, with over a dozen countries repped at one point tonight. The fist pairing of the evening is more regular rivalry between America and Russia, as the
much-maligned
Dumas (9-2, 2-2 UFC) battles the struggling Tiuliulin (10-9, 1 NC; 1-4 UFC) in a match that might lead to at least one roster cut. Both men prefer the knockout, with the Evolve Gym fighter more inclined to headhunt. The middleweights choose not to bump fists to start the day’s festivities, and referee Keith Peterson is ready to cut all nonsense out of the equation. They lash out with dueling low kicks, and Dumas whiffs on a head kick. When Dumas fires off a low kick, he is countered by a knee that busts him in the chops. Tiuliulin gets his foe’s attention with a few additional punches, but Dumas surges forward and takes him off his feet with a sudden tackling takedown. Tiuliulin works his way towards the wall to get back up, and Dumas holds him down and knees him in the thigh repeatedly. Peterson asks for more activity, with Dumas in a holding pattern while the Russian is stuck on a knee. Dumas drags Tiuliulin down to his seat for a second, peppering the same spot with knee after short knee. Tiuliulin muscles his way upright, turning the corner and falling on top of his opponent in a surprise reversal. Dumas is on his backside and bursts his way up, and he eats a knee while standing but is no worse for wear as he looks to chuck Tiuliulin to the mat. The American presses his foe to the wire, and Dumas’ knees work the body and thigh until one bangs into the cup. There is a quick apology from Dumas, and Tiuliulin knows it was a total accident and takes a little under 30 seconds to get his wind back. When they resume, Dumas lunges forward with a right hand, and he belts Tiuliulin in the face with a lead-leg high kick. Dumas shoots in on a takedown and gets rebuffed, with Tiuliulin shoving him away and resetting. They fire off alternating jabs when upright, and Tiuliulin reaches with a one-two that leaves him vulnerable for a takedown effort from Dumas that drags Tiuliulin back to a single knee again. Dumas peppers the leg with irritating knees on the welted area until the horn awkwardly blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
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Round 2
Tiuliulin is the immediate aggressor to begin the second stanza, firing off frantic offense including a knee that catches the chin. Dumas swings back, calming himself down and sticking out jabs, but Tiuliulin stings him with a few more wild strikes before slowing. Dumas flicks out a few more jabs and shoots for a reactive double, and Tiuliulin shuts it down and is pushed away. Dumas blasts the thigh with another kick—the first developed a huge welt in the previous round—and fights behind his sharp jab. Dumas whips a kick up around the guard, and ducks a punch in pursuit of a double. Tiuliulin counters with a step-in knee, and Dumas pushes through it and presses the Russian to the wire. Dumas successfully drags Tiuliulin to his backside, and Tiuliulin is quick to return to a knee and grabs the fence to try to improve position but is warned. Tiuliulin bops his man with a number of meaningless right hands, ones that are technically scoring but have absolutely no effect while Dumas hangs on and knees him. After a lengthy stalemate, Tiuliulin finally works his way upright with the fence behind him and a minute remaining on the clock. Dumas stays pinned to him like a cheap suit, and Peterson splits them apart. Dumas restarts with a big one-two, and Tiuliulin walks him down a shrugs off a right hook. Dumas intercepts the advancing Russian with an uppercut, and his range is giving Tiuliulin fits with jabs and long punches. Dumas lets a knee fly past him, and a body kick grazes him. Dumas ends the round with a reverse crescent kick that ricochets off the raised guard.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Round 3
Dumas reintroduces himself with piston-like jabs, and Tiuliulin senses he might be down on the scorecards and approaches the last frame as such. Tiuliulin walks Dumas down, loading up on strikes, but it is his partial jump knee that catches Dumas on the jaw. Dumas staggers briefly and gets his bearings, strafing to the side and winging a right hand over the guard. Dumas ducks into a looping uppercut that comes up short, and Tiuliulin walks forward with his own uppercut that also misses the mark. Tiuliulin digs a left to the body and gets out of range of the kicks that fly at him, and Dumas spams body kicks and avoids a huge pair of hooks. Dumas jabs into a takedown, and Tiuliulin flips him all the way over and winds up on top at the three-minute mark. Tiuliulin smothers his man from above, dropping down some sporadic ground-and-pound while staying just busy enough to remain in the position. Dumas hand-fights in hopes of getting a standup, but when that does not come, he kicks off his opponent and explodes to his feet. With 60 seconds left on the clock, Tiuliulin is loaded for bear, but he finds that he has to dodge a quick spinning back fist and stifle a takedown. Tiuliulin is about to unleash a big right hand, but Dumas shoots again on the hips. Tiuliulin gets away from it and leaps with a knee that is way off the target. Tiuliulin cracks Dumas with a right hand, and Dumas appears rocked and totally spent. This does not stop Dumas from pitching kicks and looping strikes back at him. Tiuliulin ends the fight with a final takedown, with Dumas considering a guillotine but not nearly enough gas in the tank to get it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
The Official Result
Sedriques Dumas def. Denis Tiuliulin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Angelo thinks both fighters are not very good, but he gives a slight edge to Dumas because he is tough, can eat shots, and has shown some takedown ability. He notes Tiuliulin has zero grappling and poor technique, but has power. He advises saving money and not betting unless Dumas becomes an underdog.
Big Brady is shocked that Dumas is a -220 favorite given his poor UFC performances. He notes Dumas has been tentative and unimpressive, while Tiuliulin is more active and lands bigger shots on the feet. However, he has little confidence in Tiuliulin due to his poor grappling defense. He predicts Tiuliulin wins by second-round knockout.
Cody picks Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's low volume and poor wrestling. He notes that Dumas has been out struck by lesser opponents and has no power. Cody thinks Tiuliulin has better volume and power, and that Dumas's takedown game is not good enough to neutralize him. He also mentions that Tiuliulin is training under Renat Fakhretdinov and improving his takedown defense.
Daniel leans towards Dumas, citing his youth, reach, and wrestling ability against Tiuliulin's subpar grappling. He notes Tiuliulin's durability is waning and that Dumas can grind out a win. However, he warns against laying -235 on Dumas due to his low fight IQ and past struggles, calling it a lean but not a confident bet.
Tiuliulin is the superior striker if he can show takedown defense. He should be able to touch up Dumas and find a knockout.
Paul picks Denis Tiuliulin, noting that Dumas has low volume and has not shown knockout power. He thinks Tiuliulin's striking volume and power are superior. Paul also mentions that Dumas's wrestling is not elite and that Tiuliulin can defend takedowns. He believes the line is mispriced and that Tiuliulin has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas over Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's youth (28 vs 36), longer reach, and wrestling advantage. He notes Tiuliulin's known weakness in wrestling and expects Dumas to mix in takedowns for control time, leading to a 29-28 decision. He mentions Dumas's recent loss was due to eye pokes, not a true defeat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 1 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 1 of 16 | 6% | 1 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 1 of 16 | 6% | 1 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 12 of 32 | 37% | 11 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 1 of 16 | 6% | 1 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nursulton Ruziboev | 12 of 32 | 37% | 11 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 |
| Sedriques Dumas | 1 of 16 | 6% | 1 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruziboev (-265), Dumas (+215)
Round 1
Ruziboev and Dumas go to work under the supervision of referee “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Both middleweights are in orthodox stance, and Dumas comes forward with kick feints and a long jab. Ruziboev isn’t throwing anything back, but once he has the read, he nails Dumas with a righty counter over the jab. Dumas backs off, and when they come together again, Ruziboev meets him with an uppercut up the middle. Ruziboev tries a lead left hook that glances, and backs away from a Dumas front kick. Dumas continues to match forward, but he backs away from the ensuing collision pawing at his right eye. He looks at the referee, but Ribeiro either didn’t see a foul, or saw a legal strike.
Ruziboev gives no quarter, coming forward and laying into Dumas with a string of punches. Dumas wilts under the barrage, covering up as Ruziboev pours on the punishment. Ribeiro interposes himself for the stoppage, but this is going to be one heavily viewed replay.
The replay, when it comes, shows Ruziboev appearing to drag his open fingers across Dumas’ face during one of the final exchanges. We will see if that leads to any sort of appeal in the coming days.
The Official Result
Nursolton Ruziboev def. Sedriques Dumas R1 3:18 via KO (Punches)
Angelo is very confident in Nursulton Ruziboev, calling him a 'grappling beast' who will ragdoll Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas as 'kind of terrible' and notes that even Cody Brundage took him down. He believes Ruziboev should be the biggest favorite on the card and recommends betting now before the line moves.
Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by first-round submission. He highlights Ruziboev's size (6'5" at middleweight), power, and dangerous submission game, noting he has many rear-naked choke wins. He criticizes Dumas for poor performances, getting hurt by lesser opponents, and questionable cardio. Brady believes Ruziboev is a level above everywhere and will submit Dumas when the fight hits the mat.
Cody acknowledges Ruziboev's first-round finishing ability but worries about his cardio if the fight goes past the first. He notes Dumas's poor life choices and questionable cardio but thinks Ruziboev's durability and skill advantage should carry him, though the price (-260) is unappealing.
Daniel Vreeland picks Nursulton Ruziboev, citing his massive experience (over 40 fights) and finishing ability. He notes Dumas is still green, has been submitted before (by Josh Fremd), and may have distractions outside the cage. He thinks Ruziboev will expose Dumas on the ground, though he doesn't advocate betting at -250.
Ruziboev has a height advantage and aggressive striking, but Dumas has a 3-inch reach advantage. Ruziboev's experience (42 fights) and recent camp at Marquez MMA in Philly are positives. Dumas is still unproven; his wins came against Cody Brundage (who jumped guillotine) and Abdul Razak Alhassan (coming off long layoff). Ruziboev's aggressiveness should be the difference, but he must avoid leaving his neck open for a choke. Prediction: Ruziboev inside the distance.
Paul is high on Ruziboev, calling him a 'monster' and noting his size, power, and training in Philly. He contrasts Ruziboev's focused Instagram with Dumas's partying and legal issues, believing Ruziboev will starch him early.
The host picks Nursulton Ruziboev, criticizing Sedriques Dumas' wins as coming against opponents with low fight IQ. He believes Ruziboev is more experienced and has a higher fight IQ. He predicts Ruziboev will win, possibly by using his grappling and striking advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 41 of 106 | 38% | 87 of 153 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Abu Azaitar | 0 | 34 of 79 | 43% | 72 of 117 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 50 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Abu Azaitar | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 43 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 20 of 50 | 40% | 21 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Abu Azaitar | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Abu Azaitar | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 15 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 41 of 106 | 38% | 21 of 78 | 13 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 31 of 90 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 10 |
| Abu Azaitar | 34 of 79 | 43% | 11 of 45 | 5 of 11 | 18 of 23 | 31 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Abu Azaitar | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 20 of 50 | 40% | 13 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
| Abu Azaitar | 14 of 29 | 48% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 11 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 16 of 47 | 34% | 4 of 31 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 15 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Abu Azaitar | 15 of 43 | 34% | 6 of 25 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 10 | 15 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-205), Azaitar (+170)
Round 1
Despite both middleweight hailed as knockout artists, Azaitar (14-3-1, 1-1 UFC) and Dumas (8-1, 1-1 UFC) both sport knockout rates of exactly 50%. It will be well over two years since the Moroccan Azaitar has competed in the cage, while Dumas has fought eight times in the meantime. The referee assignment of the matchup goes to Jason Herzog, who clocks the fighters in as they decide against tapping their hands together. Dumas advances as chants for “Abu” rain down from the crowd, and the first strike is a low kick from the Floridian. When Dumas attempts another kick, Azaitar is able to time a right hand and send Dumas flying. Dumas recovers, largely pushed over for momentum and not due to the damage of the strike. When Dumas stands, he surprises Azaitar by locking his hands together and taking Azaitar for a ride. Dumas lands on top position in half guard, and he opens up with short strikes to the body and grinding elbows on the chin. Staying close to not let Azaitar get any space to push off, Dumas makes his foe’s life miserable with his smothering top control. Dumas winds up with a knee to the body, and he postures up to bust Azaitar in the face. Azaitar tugs on Dumas’ hair to sit him up and punch him, and he strikes Dumas in the back of the head repeatedly despite Herzog’s warnings to knock it off. Dumas isolates an arm but does not appear to have the chops to go for a straight armbar or an armlock like a kimura or keylock. “The Reaper” hangs on in this risk-averse position until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Round 2
The middleweights kick off Round 2 with kicks, as Dumas goes high with a front kick while Azaitar goes low with his own shin. Dumas attacks the lead leg of his foe as well, and Azaitar replies with the same kick. Azaitar bull-rushes forward to stun Dumas with a combination, and Dumas hops back and shakes out any cobwebs. Azaitar swings leather, and Dumas ducks, circles away and kicks his calf hard. When chants for “Abu” drown out any other sound in the arena, Azaitar does not acknowledge them, instead waiting for Dumas to come his way. Dumas looks for a takedown from range, and he abandons it when noticing that Azaitar is winding up with nasty counters. Azaitar has a kick checked that produces a noise like a tree limb snapping, and he takes a jab in the nose for good measure. Dumas uses his longer range to snipe from afar, and Azaitar grabs one of Dumas’ outstretched legs and dings him with two punches. The Floridian goes to the body, and he feints and fakes to draw reactions out of “Captain Morocco.” Azaitar gets off a clean body kick, and the two trade punches in a rapid exchange. Dumas sneaks in a leg kick, and Azaitar replies with an overhand right on the cheek. When Dumas kicks the side, Azaitar takes him off his feet and lays into him with right hands behind the ear and on the back of the head. Dumas scrambles back to his feet, and Azaitar meets him with a knee to the body and a low kick. The horn briefly honks, and then squeaks.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar
Round 3
The two men meet in the middle of the cage, and Dumas sees a head kick coming from a mile away and smoothly dodges it. Dumas settles down with a chopping leg kick, and he tries to double up on it only to come up short. Neither fighter commits to much, as they are largely relegated to single strikes like a front kick from Azaitar or a jab from Dumas. The Florida native kicks low and then turns his hips to put a side kick on the body of his foe. Spinning with a back kick, Dumas mixes things up, but it is again one-and-done. Azaitar kicks the lead leg, and then after a few seconds, decides to do that again. This spurs Dumas into a punch to the thigh. As they clash together, Dumas skirts away, and Azaitar pulls his hair and yanks the tie out of Dumas’ hair. Hair pulling is a serious foul, one that commentator Daniel Cormier "jokes" about not knowing, but Azaitar is only warned for it. Dumas, when he puts it back, proceeds to walk Azaitar down and stings him with a jab. Azaitar wobbles and he recovers, walking right into another jab from Dumas. The best strikes from Dumas are his jab, although his volume is paltry. Azaitar is not much better, with his kicks likely accounting for most of his strikes in the frame. Dumas tries to add to his tally with two front kicks, but they slide off the block. Azaitar digs a right to the body, and Dumas responds with a right over the top and a body kick that is caught. Both middleweights paw at one another without landing anything, although Azaitar gets off two that glance at the end of his glove. Dumas chips away with a kick, and Azaitar charges at him with a takedown that fails. Dumas punts him in the nose with a head kick, breaking it and splitting open a cut on the bridge of it, and the lackluster match comes to a conclusion.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)
The Official Result
Sedriques Dumas def. Abu Azaitar via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Abu Azaitar despite the age and layoff, citing his grit, pressure, and power. He notes that Sedriques Dumas gets taken down easily and was nearly finished by Cody Brundage before Brundage made mistakes. He expects Abu's wrestling and pressure to be too much. He is monitoring the line movement to get better odds.
Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas to win by third round knockout, but hesitantly. He notes that Dumas is a favorite despite being unproven, while Abu Azaitar has had only two fights in seven years, shows poor cardio and wrestling, and throws one shot at a time. Brady cannot pick Azaitar due to inactivity and lack of skills, so he goes with Dumas despite his reservations.
Cody picks Dumas but is hesitant, noting that Dumas is improving but still has many holes. He believes Dumas's youth and athleticism will overcome Azaitar's inactivity and poor cardio. Cody expects Dumas to take over in later rounds.
Daniel picks Sedriques Dumas to win, citing his youth, athleticism, and hunger compared to Abu Azaitar, who he believes is not fully committed to fighting. He notes that Dumas is a heavy pot smoker and may struggle with withdrawal in Abu Dhabi, which could affect his performance. He also mentions Dumas's lack of travel experience. Despite these concerns, he thinks Dumas's trajectory is upward while Azaitar's is flat, so he picks Dumas but passes on betting.
Dumas has a good enough chin to deal with Azaitar's striking and can use his kicking game to stay at distance. He should drag the fight to the ground and do damage from top position, potentially finding a finish in the latter half. However, there are big question marks about both fighters, so he prefers to pass on betting.
Paul picks Azaitar as a dog, citing the suspicious line movement and Azaitar's wealthy connections in Abu Dhabi. He notes that Dumas is still raw and has poor fight IQ, while Azaitar is strong and has good judo. However, Paul is not confident due to Azaitar's three-year layoff and age.
The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas by second-round TKO. He questions Abu Azaitar's commitment to the sport, noting his long layoff and age (37). He believes Dumas is in a do-or-die situation and has more talent. He also thinks Azaitar will try to strike with Dumas, which plays into Dumas's strengths. He mentions that Dumas has a long-range advantage and will catch Azaitar with his shots.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo sees Sedriques Dumas as a well-rounded fighter with solid hands, kickboxing, and takedowns, mixing his attacks effectively. He notes Dumas is composed for a 27-year-old with only seven fights and believes the UFC is giving him Josh Fremd to push him. He acknowledges the risk of betting on a UFC debut with a street-fighting past but is confident in Dumas's potential.
Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas, liking his build, power, and grappling. He notes Dumas has dangerous transitions on the ground and can lock up submissions. However, he questions Dumas's level of competition and says he doesn't want to bet on the fight. Brady predicts Dumas will get the fight to the mat and find a first-round submission.
Cody picks Fremd but is not confident, noting Fremd's short notice and recent submission loss. He thinks Fremd has a cardio and striking advantage but may not trust him with money.
Connor leans toward Dumas due to his physicality and athleticism, but acknowledges he is a very raw and messy fighter. He notes that Dumas has natural power and can finish fights, but his technique is poor and he could be exposed by a grinder like Fremd. He is not confident in the pick.
I think Dumas has the grappling advantage and should be able to submit Fremd, who has shown vulnerability to submissions. However, Dumas is untested at this level, and Fremd is a decent all-around fighter. I'm not confident enough to bet Dumas as a favorite, but I expect him to get his hand raised, likely by submission.
Paul picks Fremd as an underdog, noting Dumas' lack of high-level competition and Fremd's durability and cardio. He thinks Fremd can outwork Dumas and calls Dumas a potential parlay killer.
The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas, calling him dangerous. He notes Dumas has a wicked guillotine and good striking, while Josh Fremd took the fight on short notice and has been finished before. He predicts Dumas will hurt Fremd on the feet and latch up a guillotine for a first-round finish.
Zane also leans toward Dumas but is very uncertain. He notes that Dumas is athletic and powerful but unschooled, while Fremd is a limited but tough grinder. He thinks Dumas's physicality might be enough, but Fremd could outwrestle him. He calls the fight a mess and advises against betting.
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