UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 13, 2019 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 36
Height 6' 1"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 39
Height 6' 1"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Khalil Rountree Jr.
3.88 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
4.33 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Eryk Anders
3.44 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.03 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.83 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Khalil Rountree Jr. - Fight History
KO R3 3:04 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 1 71 of 138 51% 71 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 66 of 158 41% 66 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 43 27% 12 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 24 of 65 36% 24 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jiří Procházka 1 47 of 71 66% 47 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 71 of 138 51% 44 of 100 16 of 25 11 of 13 61 of 127 10 of 11 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 66 of 158 41% 44 of 127 12 of 17 10 of 14 62 of 151 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 12 of 24 50% 7 of 17 1 of 2 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 15 of 32 46% 9 of 22 4 of 6 2 of 4 15 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 12 of 43 27% 7 of 34 1 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 24 of 65 36% 10 of 47 7 of 9 7 of 9 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jiří Procházka 47 of 71 66% 30 of 49 14 of 19 3 of 3 37 of 60 10 of 11 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 27 of 61 44% 25 of 58 1 of 2 1 of 1 23 of 54 4 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo picks Jiří Procházka but is not confident, as he thinks the odds are too wide. He believes Procházka's relentless forward pressure and threat of takedowns will be key against Khalil Rountree, who struggles when moving backwards. However, he notes Procházka gets hit a lot and has been knocked out twice recently, while Rountree has power and durability. He calls it a very close fight.

"I'm going to pick Yuri here because I think that relentless crazy person forward pressure is going to be tricky for Khalil who does not fight as well backing up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady acknowledges Procházka's poor striking defense but believes he is built differently and will break Rountree as the fight goes on. He notes that Procházka often switches to an aggressive style in the second round, as seen in the Rakic fight. He predicts Procházka wins by second-round knockout.

Jiří Procházka by second round knockout.
"I like Yuri Bhashka to win this fight. I think he's going to break Khalil as the fight goes on. I'm going to take Gary Bhashka by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka, emphasizing that Rountree's technical improvements have not overcome his mental fragility. He notes that Procházka's relentless pressure and willingness to exchange will force Rountree into defensive mode, and that Procházka's athleticism and relaxed style give him an edge. Connor also acknowledges the possibility of Rountree landing a knockout or leg kicks, but believes Procházka's overall dynamics favor him.

"I got to just go with Proshaska here in terms of the general overall dynamics."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The host expects a violent matchup, but Rountree's improvements will help him find Procházka's chin and his power will put Procházka away by knockout.

"I believe this will be a very violent matchup, but the improvements in Rountree's game, I think, will help him find the chin of Procházka. And I think Rountree has the type of power to put Procházka away."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The MMA Guru picks Jiří Procházka, believing his chaos and durability will overwhelm Khalil Rountree. He notes Rountree's lack of one-punch KO power and tendency to fade under pressure. He predicts a third-round TKO.

third-round TKO
"I'm going to say that Jiri Prochazka gets a third round TKO win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Zane picks Procházka because he believes Rountree's mentality is his biggest weakness, as seen in the Jamal Hill fight where Rountree fought with fear despite having a technical advantage. Zane argues that Procházka's fearless, chaotic pressure will overwhelm Rountree, who tends to tense up and fight with a panic response. He also notes that Procházka is a better athlete, faster, and more dynamic, and that Rountree's leg kicks could be a threat but are unlikely to stop Procházka's forward pressure.

"I think that's just going to make him terrified of fighting Yuri Prashaska. Just terrified."
WIN vs Jamahal Hill
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamahal Hill 0 69 of 172 40% 70 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 1 102 of 181 56% 102 of 181 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamahal Hill 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 17 of 30 56% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamahal Hill 0 15 of 33 45% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 15 of 35 42% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamahal Hill 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 1 15 of 29 51% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Jamahal Hill 0 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Jamahal Hill 0 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 37 of 57 64% 37 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamahal Hill 69 of 172 40% 47 of 142 7 of 12 15 of 18 68 of 170 0 of 1 1 of 1
Khalil Rountree Jr. 102 of 181 56% 30 of 91 42 of 54 30 of 36 102 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamahal Hill 14 of 30 46% 2 of 17 3 of 3 9 of 10 14 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 17 of 30 56% 2 of 13 7 of 8 8 of 9 17 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jamahal Hill 15 of 33 45% 10 of 25 2 of 5 3 of 3 14 of 32 0 of 0 1 of 1
Khalil Rountree Jr. 15 of 35 42% 3 of 19 5 of 7 7 of 9 15 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamahal Hill 6 of 25 24% 6 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 2 6 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 15 of 29 51% 7 of 17 2 of 5 6 of 7 15 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Jamahal Hill 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 18 of 30 60% 8 of 17 6 of 7 4 of 6 18 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Jamahal Hill 26 of 56 46% 21 of 49 2 of 4 3 of 3 26 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 37 of 57 64% 10 of 25 22 of 27 5 of 5 37 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Angelo picks Khalil Rountree Jr., citing his durability and power. He notes that Rountree went toe-to-toe with Alex Pereira and showed he belongs. He thinks Jamahal Hill has good footwork but may slow down, and that Rountree has more upside. He expects a fun fight and thinks Rountree can win if he pressures.

Mentions upside for fantasy; expects a fun fight.
"I'm going to pick Khalil Roundtree. I'm probably going to put him in my lineup because I think the upside is on his side."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Big Brady picks Jamahal Hill as a plus money underdog, but he is very hesitant due to Hill's recent performances after a gruesome injury. He notes that if Hill were the same fighter who beat Glover Teixeira, he would be max betting him, but the Hill who fought Pereira and Prochazka looked bad. Brady worries about Hill's durability and whether the injury took something out of him. He ultimately picks Hill but says he's not sure if he wants to put money on him, predicting a late finish or decision.

plus money underdog, not sure if I want to put my money on him
"I'm going to go Jamal Hill. I'm going to take the dog here to get it done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Connor picks Rountree, emphasizing that Rountree is a much more consistent technician while Hill is a bad technician with poor footwork and defense, leaving him open to be picked apart. He notes that Hill's durability against Prochazka may not hold against a cleaner puncher like Rountree, and that Rountree's roteness gives him consistency similar to Pereira. He believes if Rountree can't finish early, Hill's pressure could turn the fight, but he still favors Rountree.

"I'm picking Roundtree because I think I just can't like that 30 seconds of the 30 seconds of footage. It's just so stark."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

The host notes Rountree opened around -160 but has moved to -120 as money came in on Hill, and he agrees with that movement. He thinks this is a great stylistic matchup for Hill to batter Rountree from distance, counter strike effectively, and pull away in deep water, predicting a round three or four KO finish.

round 3 or 4 KO finish
"I think this is a great stylistic match up for Hill to batter round tree from distance, counter strike effectively and then start pulling away in deep water which is where I expect Jamal Hill to come through with either …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr., despite acknowledging Jamahal Hill's underrated skills. He believes Rountree's low kicks will be decisive, and notes Hill's predictable movement. He also cites Rountree's longer recovery time since his loss to Pereira compared to Hill's recent brutal loss to Prochazka. He predicts a leg kick TKO in round 2 or 3.

Rountree wins by TKO (leg kicks) in round 2 or 3
"I'm gonna go with Khil Roundree Jr. I think the low kicks are going to be really good for him. I think we're going to see a rare leg kick TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Zane picks Rountree based on the stark technical advantage he sees in 30 seconds of footage: Rountree is much cleaner as a striker with better footwork, power, speed, and a more varied arsenal. However, he acknowledges Hill's comfort in messiness and ability to up the intensity over five rounds, drawing a parallel to Diaz vs Edwards. He is hesitant because Hill's durability and scrapping mentality could turn the fight late, but he ultimately sticks with Rountree.

"I'm picking Roundtree because I think I just can't like that 30 seconds of the 30 seconds of footage. It's just so stark."
LOSS vs Alex Pereira
TKO (punches) R4 4:32 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Pereira 1 127 of 209 60% 129 of 211 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 61 of 191 31% 62 of 193 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Pereira 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 10 of 42 23% 10 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Pereira 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 11 of 42 26% 11 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alex Pereira 0 31 of 49 63% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Alex Pereira 1 63 of 92 68% 65 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 15 of 53 28% 16 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Pereira 127 of 209 60% 92 of 167 17 of 20 18 of 22 123 of 205 4 of 4 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 61 of 191 31% 34 of 155 16 of 23 11 of 13 60 of 189 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Pereira 15 of 27 55% 7 of 17 3 of 4 5 of 6 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 10 of 42 23% 8 of 39 1 of 1 1 of 2 10 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alex Pereira 18 of 41 43% 11 of 31 2 of 3 5 of 7 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 11 of 42 26% 10 of 38 1 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Pereira 31 of 49 63% 22 of 39 5 of 5 4 of 5 30 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 25 of 54 46% 7 of 32 12 of 15 6 of 7 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Alex Pereira 63 of 92 68% 52 of 80 7 of 8 4 of 4 60 of 89 3 of 3 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 15 of 53 28% 9 of 46 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Fight: Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-535), Rountree (+400)

Round 1
Possibly not the fight that fans wanted, the UFC has put Pereira (11-2, 8-1 UFC) in another headlining spot as he plans on defending his light heavyweight throne for the third time this year. While Rountree (13-5, 1 NC; 9-5, 1 NC UFC) has won five in a row, with four of those by knockout, he did recently fail a post-fight drug test and was still elevated to a championship opportunity. “Poatan” does not care, as he seeks to crush, maim and destroy any challenger standing before him. Referee Marc Goddard dons his proverbial hard hat and hopes to stay away from any errant blows, although he is relieved when the strikers come together and respectfully tap their gloves together to demonstrate sportsmanship. It’s on with the show. Pereira lashes out with a front kick to introduce himself, and it brushes past Rountree’s face as he grabs hold of it and hurls Pereira down to a knee. Rountree lets him up and backs off, and he lunges in with a right hand but pulls back when he is out of range. Pereira goes high with a kick that is blocked, and he parries a left hook. Rountree reaches the target with a left hand, and he sticks the champ with a one-two. Rountree again lands a long left hand, and Pereira smacks him with a front-leg calf kick. Rountree shuts up chants of “Chama” by launching strikes at his opponent, catching the favorite before he can block them. Pereira counters a strike with a right hand down the pipe, and Rountree is no worse for wear and throws back with a left. Pereira hacks at the front leg, keeping his hands up to block jabs or power strikes. When Pereira kicks high, Rountree charges through them but does not quite have his range nailed down. Pereira backs him up against the wall, but Rountree escapes before absorbing anything. They both land single shots, and Pereira smacks him upside the head with a kick. The calf kick that follows is more effective for the champ, and he hand-fights jabs but gets caught with a lunging left hand. Rountree gets to him with another left, and he dances away from a head kick and a leg kick that follows. Rountree misses a left hand by an inch, and he blocks a high kick and tries to sweep the leg. Rountree gets a right hand in on the champion, and Pereira jabs him back away. Rountree blitzes forward with three punches, and Pereira darts away but still eats one or two. Pereira comes out firing, and Rountree ducks away to get out of harm’s way. Rountree wings a right hand over the top, and a leg kick irritates him in response. Rountree takes two strong jabs and steels himself to loose a right hand, and he circles away as the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rountree
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rountree

Round 2
Pereira is eager to get going again, and Goddard has to back him up before clocking them in again. Rountree gives him back a few blitzes to think about, but none of them land cleanly. Pereira kicks low and then high, and Rountree comes up hitting air on the counter. Rountree counters a body kick with a right hand, and he swats out a pair of hooks that make Pereira back off but for a moment. “Poatan” clips the challenger with a right hand, and he gets in a left hook to further wobble Rountree’s knees. Rountree gathers his thoughts and struggles with a low kick, and the punches split open the bridge of his nose. Pereira goes after another calf kick but is shy of his intended target, and his jab further bloodies the nose. Pereira jabs the body with his toes extended, and he lowers his hands to encourage Rountree to come at him. Rountree checks a kick and jabs to the body, but Pereira is walking him down fearlessly. The Brazilian jabs his way into a strike, and Rountree clips him behind the ear but absorbs a hard calf kick. They trade jabs in their alternating stances, and Rountree comes up short with his big left hook. Rountree again tries to connect with a right hook, and Pereira lashes out with a head kick. Rountree sees it coming, allows Pereira to plant and bashes him in the face with a right hand. Pereira drops to a knee and is staggered, his bell rung, and he stands to spin around and shake it off in a hurry. Pereira recovers quickly, as he is right in front of the challenger plugging him with jab after jab. Three punches from Rountree manage to get through, and the crowd starts to get behind him as they chant “USA.” Pereira tosses out a right hand, and he gets drilled with a head kick as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rountree
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rountree
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira

Round 3
“Poatan” crowds the challenger the second Goddard clocks them in, moving forward with purpose. He does not throw more than a single jab early, until he goes after a right hand and gets his head snapped back from a powerful left hook from “The War Horse.” Rountree lands cleanly to the body, and Pereira has to take a moment to reset as he reacts strangely to the blow while bounding off the fence. Rountree wings a right hand to the body, and he brushes another few punches off the champ’s face. Rountree keeps his hands busy, and a left to the body finds the sternum flush. Rountree goes there again when avoiding a single right hand, and they both tag one another with hard hooks. When Pereira gets in two jabs, Rountree answers with two hooks and a body shot. Pereira has a low kick checked, but two more find their home as Rountree thinks about changing stances as a limp slowly develops. When Rountree comes out swinging, Pereira intercepts with a front leg, and it nearly gives way beneath him. Rountree ducks a head kick and tags the champ with a left hook, and he goes after an inside leg kick to pay “Poatan” back for his investment in leg strikes. Rountree lands to the head and goes to the body, and he backs away. Rountree’s head kick is blocked, and Pereira tosses one back that is similarly rebounded off the guard. Rountree swipes out with a right hand, and he reaches the champ with a left as Pereira backs away. Pereira kicks him in the ribs and then steps in with a knee, and his jab snaps the head back. Rountree reacts poorly from absorbing the strikes, giving Pereira confidence. The Brazilian strides after him, finding jab after jab further damaging the nose of the challenger. They trade low kicks, and Pereira splits the guard with two punches and a knee before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira

Round 4
When the championship rounds hit, Pereira is quick to attack the front leg to further invest in disabling it. Rountree gives him a few kicks back to think about, and they trade front kicks as “Poatan” nods at him. It is the Brazilian’s kicks that are breaking through the defenses, and they open up strikes over the top as a jab from Pereira stings the challenger. Strikes from Pereira are starting to have additional, compounding impact on Rountree’s mug, and swelling is growing under Rountree’s right eye. Rountree tries to pay him back, but Pereira is in his stride, tagging Rountree with a flurry of fists. When Rountree starts to flag, Pereira pours it on, and this only excites Rountree. He might be hurt and bloodying up fast, but he is swinging for the fences and Pereira is not backing down. The eyebrow of Rountree is ripped wide open and hanging over Rountree’s eye, and Pereira is a man possessed. “Poatan” marches down the challenger, clubbing him with punishing strikes, picking them to the head and body and knocking Rountree around the cage. Rountree’s volume falls off a cliff, and his strikes are labored as he is low on energy. Pereira tags Rountree, and Rountree gathers every bit of energy left in him and throws back with the worst of intentions. Pereira walks him down like a Terminator, laying into him with ruthless punches and a few knees for good measure. Rountree unloads with hook after hook in hopes of keeping Pereira at bay, but Pereira is a man on a mission and knows the finish is around the corner. Rountree bounces weakly off the cage wall, and Pereira switches up his head shots to a few to the body while blood sprays everywhere. Seeing Rountree’s guard is wide open, “Poatan” splits it with a merciless uppercut and nearly dislodges the mouthpiece. Roasting Rountree’s ribs with a ruthless right and a mighty left, “The War Horse” folds like wet cardboard box. The spirit is willing but the flesh is bloody and wounded, and Rountree falls to a knee and is done. Goddard knows he needs to get involved before any further punishment is inflicted, and he waves things off to save Rountree from his impossible toughness. Pereira has done it, outlasting an extremely dangerous challenger that took the first two rounds. Pulling off the outstanding feat of three defenses in a calendar year, Pereira is entering rarified air as he adds to his legendary status. With options in several divisions, “Poatan” suggests that he will stay away from middleweight for the time being, hints about a possible heavyweight move and ultimately notes that he is happy as a light heavyweight. With the crowd in the palm of his hand, the Brazilian gets the thousands in attendance chanting his catchphrase of “Chama.” No matter who he fights next, we will be here it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Alex Pereira def. Khalil Rountree R4 4:32 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Angelo picks Alex Pereira to win, citing his power, size, and reach advantage. He acknowledges Khalil Rountree is the most dangerous striker Pereira has faced, with lightning speed and power, but believes Pereira's kickboxing pedigree and preparation at elevation will prevail. He notes the line is juiced at -550 and does not recommend a bet at those odds, but is confident in the win. He also expresses a dream scenario of Pereira moving up to heavyweight.

Line is juiced at -550, no bet recommended
"Alex P is the more powerful Striker... I have to pick him to win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Big Brady picks Alex Pereira to win by second-round knockout, noting that Rountree has said he won't wrestle and will strike. He believes Pereira is the better striker and has been dominant in title defenses. He acknowledges Rountree hits hard and Pereira has been knocked out before, but still favors Pereira strongly.

second round knockout
"I got to go I got to go prair here give me PR to win this fight by second round knockout I think it's going be a fun fight for as long as it last but yeah give me prer …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Cody picks Pereira because of his superior striking credentials, length, and technique. He notes that Rountree has a puncher's chance but lacks wrestling, and Pereira's path to victory is clear. He also mentions that Pereira could mix in takedowns but expects a standup fight.

"I'm going to take Alex Pereira here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Connor also picks Pereira, agreeing with Zane's assessment. He emphasizes that Rountree's best chance is a counter right hook from southpaw, but Pereira is defensively aware and can lure Rountree into coming forward. Connor notes that Pereira's low kicks and jab will force Rountree to change his approach, and that Rountree's clinch is powerful but Pereira is the bigger clinch fighter.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I think roundtree makes more sense than Nikita Krylov who's ranked above him or volkan uzdimir who's ranked above him. And i'd certainly rather see him in there than alexander rakic or magma at uncle i have and …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Daniel Vreeland picks Alex Pereira. He notes that Pereira is a kickboxing champion who has beaten elite competition. He believes Rountree cannot out-technique Pereira and that his only path to victory is a power shot landing. Vreeland thinks Pereira will pick Rountree apart and likely finish him early, suggesting the under 1.5 rounds at +140 is a good bet.

Under 1.5 rounds +140
"I don't think you can out technical Alex P like I I don't think you can go in like I said before like maybe that you're gonna have to try to surprise him some way but like he's he's almost …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Daniel Vreeland believes Alex Pereira's left hook and calf kicks will be too much for Khalil Rountree Jr. He notes that Rountree swings wide and wild, leaving openings for Pereira's counter left hook. Vreeland also points out Pereira's black belt in Jiu-Jitsu and his takedown against Adesanya as advantages. He acknowledges Rountree's power but thinks Pereira's experience against top competition will prevail.

"I think that khil swings a little bit too wide and I think that check or counter left hook is going to be there waiting for him and I think Alex is gonna get another knockout"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Jeff Fox picks Alex Pereira. He notes that this is a good style matchup for Pereira, as Rountree has no way to make it a grappling fight. Fox believes Pereira will win a kickboxing fight and likely knock Rountree out. He appreciates that Pereira takes any fight and finishes opponents.

"I think P definitely wins a kickboxing fight and that's what this is going to be yeah I don't think Rountree has any way to make this a grappling fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Alex Pereira

The host thinks the line is a bit wide considering the fight takes place in the striking realm and Rountree has knockout power. However, he leans with Pereira's technical advantages, expecting him to keep the fight at distance and counter effectively, eventually landing a big shot (likely his left hook) to finish Rountree within two rounds.

line is a little bit wide for my liking
"I will still be leaning with the technical advantages that Pereira has and I think he'll eventually get khil to walk into a big shot probably his pass left hook look for Pereira to keep this fight at distance and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, acknowledging Rountree's power and improvements but emphasizing Pereira's elite striking and the fact that Rountree has never attempted a takedown in the UFC. He believes Pereira's experience and technique will prevail.

"we're both picking the champ to retain"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Alex Pereira to KO Khalil Rountree Jr. in the first round. He dismisses Rountree's hype, noting his close fight with Anthony Smith and robbery win over Jacoby. He believes Pereira's composure, low kicks, and body work will be too much, and that Rountree will get caught with a left hook. He also mentions Pereira's recent injury revelation but still expects a dominant win.

"I'm going with Alex Pereira by KO in the first round I'm going to say he just sleeps kill with a left hook"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Zane picks Pereira confidently, citing Pereira's ability to chew up Rountree with low kicks from long range and work his jab. He notes that Rountree's counter-punching is passive and subtractive, relying on waiting for a big mistake rather than forcing opportunities. Zane also points out that Rountree struggles under pressure and that Pereira's size and clinch work will be problematic for Rountree.

Pereira is a big favorite at -493; Rountree opened at +352 and is now +383. Zane feels the odds are correct but notes Pereira's fights can be razor-edge despite his knockouts.
"I am uh going to confidently pick pareda all the same. Yeah, I just don't I don't think roundtree is at his best under pressure like that, yeah."
WIN vs Anthony Smith
TKO (punches) R3 0:56 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 47 of 84 55% 52 of 89 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Anthony Smith 1 53 of 114 46% 56 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 19 of 30 63% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 23 of 48 47% 24 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Anthony Smith 0 23 of 58 39% 25 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 1 10 of 16 62% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 47 of 84 55% 27 of 62 14 of 16 6 of 6 46 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 53 of 114 46% 33 of 94 14 of 14 6 of 6 51 of 109 1 of 3 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 19 of 30 63% 9 of 19 6 of 7 4 of 4 19 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 20 of 40 50% 12 of 32 6 of 6 2 of 2 20 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 23 of 48 47% 15 of 39 7 of 8 1 of 1 22 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 23 of 58 39% 17 of 52 4 of 4 2 of 2 21 of 54 1 of 2 1 of 2
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 5 of 6 83% 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 10 of 16 62% 4 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

Cody likes Anthony Smith as a plus 190 underdog. He notes that Smith is taking the fight on short notice but is likely in shape due to his commentary work in Vegas. Cody highlights Smith's durability, cardio, and experience against top competition. He believes Smith can survive Rountree's early onslaught and take the fight to the ground, where he has a massive grappling advantage. Cody also mentions the small Apex cage helps Smith cut off the cage and get takedowns. He acknowledges Rountree's power but thinks Smith can outwork him in later rounds.

Smith by submission possible; small cage favors Smith's takedowns
"I think I'm going to hit some of that because again if he hits if he gets the fight to the ground I rear nak could choke is possible honestly there's a lot that could go right for us if …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)

Lucrative James calls this a 'weird ass fight' and refuses to break it down in detail. He sees Khalil potentially teeing off with leg kicks and body shots, but also notes Khalil's mental inconsistency and cardio issues. He thinks Anthony Smith could out-veteran him in later rounds with takedowns, but Smith doesn't shoot takedowns much anymore. He says it's a massive stay-away and if anything, he'd play Smith as a plus-money underdog due to volatility. He makes no pick.

if anything you just played a plus 190 on Smith
"this is a weird ass fight to me don't ask me to break this one down guys"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

Paul agrees with Cody on Anthony Smith at plus 190. He notes that Smith is likely staying in shape in Vegas and has a good chance to survive Rountree's early power. Paul points out that Smith has five-round cardio and can take a shot. He thinks Smith's grappling and experience will be key, especially if he can get the fight to the mat. Paul is not a huge Smith supporter but finds the underdog price too good to pass up.

"I hate that I agree with you but you know we were on Cody budge so let's do it again I haven't been the biggest Anthony Smith supporter whatsoever but yeah at this number it is short notice but at …"
WIN vs Chris Daukaus
TKO (punches) R1 2:40 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 1 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Chris Daukaus 0 8 of 21 38% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 1 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Chris Daukaus 0 8 of 21 38% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 16 of 24 66% 12 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 11 of 17 3 of 4 2 of 3
Chris Daukaus 8 of 21 38% 6 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 16 of 24 66% 12 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 11 of 17 3 of 4 2 of 3
Chris Daukaus 8 of 21 38% 6 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Angelo picks Rountree, citing his Muay Thai, speed, and kicks as the difference. He notes Daukaus is a pure boxer who doesn't use takedowns, and the speed advantage at light heavyweight will be key. He expects a decision win.

"I've got to go with Khalil here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree to win by first-round knockout. He notes Rountree's power and aggression when he is 'on', but questions his consistency. He doubts Daukaus's durability and speed at light heavyweight, and believes Rountree will finish him early. He mentions Daukaus's three consecutive knockout losses at heavyweight and thinks the weight cut won't help.

first round knockout
"Round Tree Round Tree first round knockout for me but sometimes Roundtree doesn't show up man sometimes he doesn't show up"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Cody picks Rountree, citing Daukaus' lack of cardio at heavyweight and the unknown of his 40-pound cut to light heavyweight. He notes Daukaus has never attempted a takedown in the UFC and has no history of grappling, while Rountree has shown he can go three rounds. He thinks if the fight stretches, Rountree's power and durability will prevail. He also mentions a potential live betting opportunity if Daukaus takes Rountree down early.

Daukaus by submission at 20-1 (opened), now 8-1; mentions a 14-1 still available
"I think I'm gonna add joke a little Roundtree and uh it would be like a good live betting situation if he does get taken down"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)

James has no strong opinion on this fight, calling it a 'weird one' with too much volatility. He notes Rountree is inconsistent and Daukaus is moving down in weight after three bad knockout losses. He doesn't want to speak on it further and says he has nothing to say.

"I don't really have a big opinion about this one... anything can happen."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Rountree is on a winning streak and has improved his confidence and aggressiveness. He is dangerous on the feet and should keep the fight upright. Daukaus is dropping to light heavyweight after three straight KO losses at heavyweight. Rountree has the power advantage and should knock him out. The fight not going to decision is a strong prop.

fight doesn't go to decision, Rountree by KO
"I think that Roundtree will do a good enough job in terms of keeping this fight upright and utilizing his Superior striking to eventually find the chin of darkest and put him all clean here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Paul picked Daukaus at plus 182 two weeks ago and is confident in the move to light heavyweight. He believes Daukaus' speed and power from heavyweight will translate well, and that he has a significant grappling advantage if he chooses to use it. He notes Rountree's poor ground game and thinks Daukaus can get the fight to the mat and finish. He also mentions the submission prop at 20-1 that got smashed down to 8-1.

Bet Daukaus at +182 two weeks ago; mentions Daukaus by submission prop at 20-1 (opened), now 8-1
"I took him out like plus 182 like two weeks ago like basically as soon as the number opened I was just like I think he's at least live"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr. over Chris Daukaus, stating Daukaus was never good at heavyweight and is moving down to a higher skill division. He criticizes Daukaus's poor distance management and notes he has been brutally finished three times in a row. He predicts Rountree will KO Daukaus in round one.

KO in round one
"I'm going with a little round tree over Chris Dorcas"
WIN vs Dustin Jacoby
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 120 of 255 47% 122 of 257 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Dustin Jacoby 0 85 of 237 35% 88 of 241 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 34 of 66 51% 35 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 20 of 57 35% 22 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 39 of 105 37% 40 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Dustin Jacoby 0 35 of 88 39% 36 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 92 32% 30 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 120 of 255 47% 69 of 194 27 of 34 24 of 27 116 of 250 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 85 of 237 35% 49 of 193 18 of 23 18 of 21 80 of 231 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 34 of 66 51% 12 of 38 12 of 16 10 of 12 34 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 20 of 57 35% 11 of 44 3 of 4 6 of 9 19 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 39 of 105 37% 30 of 93 5 of 7 4 of 5 39 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 35 of 88 39% 20 of 72 7 of 8 8 of 8 35 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 47 of 84 55% 27 of 63 10 of 11 10 of 10 43 of 79 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 92 32% 18 of 77 8 of 11 4 of 4 26 of 88 4 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree Jr. to win by knockout, but admits it's a tough fight to call due to Rountree's inconsistency. He notes that if the best version of Rountree shows up, he can knock out Jacoby, who has been dropped before. He mentions the smaller cage favors Rountree's pressure. However, he acknowledges that Jacoby is the better striker and could easily outpoint Rountree if the inconsistent version appears.

Rountree wins by knockout
"give me round three to pull off the upset and knock out Dustin Jacoby in this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his Glory kickboxing experience, superior cardio, and technical striking. He notes that Jacoby has shown durability (surviving knockdowns against Max Grisham) and should win on volume if he doesn't get knocked out. Cody acknowledges Khalil Rountree's power and potential but believes Jacoby's kickboxing skills will prevail in a 15-minute striking battle.

"I mean that practical fight kind of leaves me to believe that like Jacoby at -160 doesn't seem like a Bad Bet"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his consistency, kickboxing experience (Glory), and titanium plate in his forearm that adds power. He acknowledges Khalil Rountree's knockout power and inconsistency, but trusts Jacoby's process. He is not betting due to the risk of Rountree's power, but picks Jacoby to win.

"Give me Jacoby For the Win not interested in betting it but my pick will be Jacoby."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacob is confident in Dustin Jacoby, calling him a real deal striker with great kickboxing. He acknowledges Rountree's power and inconsistency but believes technique wins. Jacoby can defend takedowns and should outpoint Rountree, though he admits bias.

"my official pick for this matchup is my dude Dustin Jacoby"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's disciplined striking, footwork, and distance management will neutralize Rountree's power. Rountree's confidence is high but he struggles against technical strikers. Jacoby has more paths to victory and should win a decision. A small one-unit bet on Jacoby is recommended.

Jacoby by decision
"I like the favorite here I think it's a perfectly priced fight I don't mind a small shot here on uh Jacoby to even just win one unit"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Paul is tempted by Khalil Rountree as a plus-money underdog, noting his sheer power and aggression. He mentions that when Rountree is in shape and motivated (as seen against Modestas Bukauskas and Karl Roberson), he can be dangerous. Paul says he needs to see the weigh-ins and dig into Rountree's personal life before deciding, but considers Rountree the most live underdog on the card.

"I'm super nervous on this one like uh in terms of which Underdog have we talked about so far that I would like the most is cool around tree listen if you're gonna give him plus money with what he …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Khalil Rountree, noting that Rountree's wins are against low-level opponents and he lost to Marcin Prachnio, who Jacoby should outperform. He highlights Jacoby's kickboxing credentials, reach, and chin, and believes Jacoby will fight on the outside, avoid Rountree's power, and win by 30-27 decision. He expects Rountree to have moments but fade.

"I'm gonna go if Dustin Jacob be winning this fight by a 30-27 decision"
WIN vs Karl Roberson
TKO (body kick and punches) R2 0:25 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 2 26 of 69 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karl Roberson 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 18 of 54 33% 18 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karl Roberson 0 17 of 27 62% 17 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 2 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karl Roberson 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 26 of 69 37% 16 of 53 5 of 9 5 of 7 17 of 55 5 of 7 4 of 7
Karl Roberson 17 of 28 60% 4 of 10 6 of 9 7 of 9 16 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 18 of 54 33% 10 of 41 3 of 6 5 of 7 14 of 48 4 of 6 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 17 of 27 62% 4 of 9 6 of 9 7 of 9 16 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 8 of 15 53% 6 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 4 of 7
Karl Roberson 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Angelo gives a slight edge to Karl Roberson because he believes Roberson can hang in the striking and has a clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes that the skill gap on the ground is wider than on the feet, favoring Roberson. However, he acknowledges that Khalil Rountree is a very good striker and could knock Roberson out at any moment.

"i am giving the slight edge to roberson here because i think he can hang in the striking and there is a clear path to victory him for him with the takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Big Brady picks Karl Roberson to win by third-round submission. He notes Roberson has never been knocked out and has underrated grappling, despite being submitted by elite grapplers. He points out that Rountree has zero takedowns in 11 UFC fights, so Roberson will likely keep the fight standing where he is the better striker. He also thinks Roberson can mix in takedowns and submit Rountree, who has poor takedown defense (50%). He expects Roberson to out-strike Rountree for two rounds then get a submission in the third.

third round submission
"i'm gonna say he wins this fight by like a third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Cody leans Rountree, citing his durability, power, and pressure. He notes Roberson's ground game is weak but Rountree won't exploit it. He sees it as a striking battle where Rountree's forward pressure and power give him the edge.

"i just think i'm going to go with durability towards khalil roundtree power towards kill roundtree"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Daniel Levi leans with Khalil Rountree Jr., citing his speed advantage and the fact that when Rountree is mentally on and there's no takedown threat, he can be a serious problem. He notes that both fighters have been flaky and can't be fully trusted, but Rountree's speed gives him the edge. Levi acknowledges that Karl Roberson might be tougher but thinks Rountree's speed is the difference.

"i'm going to lean with khalil roundtree with the speed advantage here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Roberson is seen as the more technical striker with a better overall MMA game, including grappling and clinch work. He can nullify Rountree's early power and then chip away with kicks and takedowns. Rountree has been inconsistent, with losses to Prachnio and Cutelaba. Roberson is expected to win via decision, using a grapple-heavy game plan.

Decision line for Roberson at plus 300 is mentioned as intriguing; submission line also noted.
"I think Roberson is the side here. I'm not 100% sold on him yet though, but I do think he is the side."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Paul has no clear pick, calling it a dogger pass. He notes both fighters have moments but he doesn't trust either. He mentions Rountree's inconsistency and Roberson's cancellations.

"this one's more of a dogger pass to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr. over Karl Roberson, expecting a stand-up contest. He believes Rountree has a big advantage on the feet and will pull the trigger more than in his last fight. He predicts a KO in round two, as Rountree lands powerful shots and gains respect. He notes that Roberson has shown some grappling ability but doesn't think it will be enough to stop Rountree.

KO round 2
"i'm going to go with khalil roundtree here i think he's big enough strong enough to stop the grappling of carl roberson"
TKO (leg kick) R2 2:30 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 23 of 49 46% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Modestas Bukauskas 1 38 of 92 41% 38 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 18 of 36 50% 18 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Modestas Bukauskas 0 28 of 65 43% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Modestas Bukauskas 1 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 23 of 49 46% 18 of 44 3 of 3 2 of 2 22 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 38 of 92 41% 18 of 71 7 of 8 13 of 13 38 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 18 of 36 50% 13 of 31 3 of 3 2 of 2 17 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 28 of 65 43% 15 of 52 6 of 6 7 of 7 28 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 10 of 27 37% 3 of 19 1 of 2 6 of 6 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Khalil Rountree

Round 1
A light heavyweight brawl should excite fans in this next one, when Bukauskas (11-4, 1-2 UFC) and Rountree (8-5, 1 NC; 4-5, 1 NC UFC) vie for a .500 record inside the Octagon. Something’s gotta give, and referee Herb Dean has been assigned to keep things up on the up-and-up. The gloves are not touched, and the hands are about to be traded. Bukauskas is the first to throw a strike, and Rountree prepares a big right hand counter. Rountree catches Bukauskas backing up, snapping his head back with a left hand. Rountree already knows he has his man hurt, and he starts smashing his fists into Bukauskas’ face. Rountree chases him into the wall, unloads on him, and Bukauskas runs away. This happens a few more times, with Rountree aggressively throwing deadly powerful blows that knock Bukauskas around the cage. Bukauskas’ eyes are wide open as Rountree stalks him down with murder in his eyes, and the huge punches have shattered the Lithuanian’s nose. Rountree does not recklessly pursue a finish, instead marching him down with hammers. Bukauskas tries to keep him backed off with a jab, but Rountree pounces with power punches to the busted nose and body. The American plods ahead, sizing up his strikes and waiting for openings to drop bombs. As Bukauskas gets his wits about him after every damaging blow, the onslaught of Rountree begins to slow. Rountree ends a combination with a thudding leg kick, and he stings Bukauskas again with a right hand. Bukauskas tries to step in to throw back, but Rountree snipes him on the way in. Bukauskas swipes out with a left hook, and Dean is quick to warn him for outstretched fingers. Rountree follows him with a slapping leg kick, and another right hand forces blood to splatter out of Bukauskas’ nose. “The Baltic Gladiator” goes up high with a kick, and when it is blocked, Rountree slams his foot in the thigh. A large welt has formed on the top of Bukauskas’ thigh from the kicks, and Rountree lays into him with a final combination that makes Bukauskas turn around. He cannot finish the job, and Bukauskas survives the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rountree
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rountree
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rountree

Round 2
Rountree takes the center of the cage, ready to unload with a big right hand, and the two nearly connect with these blows. When they come up short, Rountree chops at the swelling leg like he were a 2021 Pedro Rizzo. The kicks have actually drawn blood on the thigh, but Bukauskas pays it no mind as he tries to bounce himself off the fence. Rountree marches on, landing a punch to send Bukauskas careening towards the cage wall. Bukauskas gathers his thoughts and tries to figure out a way to land a jab or some meaningful offense, as Rountree kicks at that bloody spot on the leg and a right hand to follow. Bukauskas strikes back, but Rountree shrugs it off, lands a kick to the knee and then lifts his leg up several times like a muay Thai fighter.
Bukauskas lunges forward with his lead leg planted, and Rountree times it perfectly by stomping it with a short side kick that sends Bukauskas falling down to the canvas screaming.
The fight is immediately over and Rountree knows his work here is done, and Dean runs over to attend to the fallen fighter. After several minutes of medical attention, Bukauskas receives a leg brace and is helped to his feet and out of the cage. In the post-fight interview, commentator Michael Bisping remarks that the doctor informed him that multiple ligaments for Bukauskas are likely shredded.

The Official Result
Khalil Rountree def. Modestas Bukauskas R2 2:30 via TKO (Leg Kick)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree to win by first-round knockout, but with low confidence due to Rountree's inconsistency. He notes Rountree has tremendous power but sometimes fails to show up (e.g., loss to Marcin Prachnio). Bukauskas is hittable (50% striking defense) and chinny, making him a good target for Rountree's power. However, Brady is not betting Rountree because of the unpredictability.

"i think i'm going to take roundtree to knock out modesto bukowskis in the fir in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

Cody picks Bukauskas but suggests waiting for a live line after the first round. He notes Rountree's power and first-round threat, but thinks Bukauskas has better cardio and reach, and can survive the initial onslaught. He expects Bukauskas to take over in later rounds if he survives round one.

Live bet on Bukauskas after round 1
"my official play is i am going to take the justice for caucus however you're going to probably be able to get a way better price tag if he's able to survive the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

I don't trust Rountree in a fight that goes long because his cardio fades, but he's dangerous early with fast hands and hard kicks. Bukauskas has a shaky chin and is hittable. Rountree's knockdown rate is about 4.5%, and most of his wins come in round one. I think there's a 25-30% chance he puts Bukauskas out early. The plus 500 on Rountree round one is good value. I'm not betting the moneyline because if it goes to decision, Bukauskas likely wins.

Khalil Rountree Jr. round 1 +500
"I like Khalil round one plus 500... I think there's a pretty strong chance he's gonna put him out early."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul is uncertain, calling it a landmine fight. He notes Rountree's inconsistency and Bukauskas's defensive issues. He mentions Rountree by KO at +250 as a possible play but doesn't commit to a pick.

Rountree by KO (+250)
"if you're going to bet round tree i think uh draftking sports book roundtree by ko plus 250 would be the play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

The MMA Guru picks Modestas Bukauskas to win by decision. He questions Khalil Rountree's hunger after his performance against Marcin Prachnio, where Rountree seemed to lack drive. He believes Bukauskas, who trained with Jon Jones at Jackson Wink, has more desire and will out-volume Rountree with punches at range, mixing in grappling to gas Rountree out.

"i'm going to go with modestas pikowskas here um over khalil roundtree junior"
Eryk Anders - Fight History
WIN vs Brad Tavares
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Tavares 1 48 of 86 55% 55 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Eryk Anders 0 35 of 84 41% 68 of 133 3 of 9 33% 0 1 9:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Tavares 0 18 of 35 51% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eryk Anders 0 20 of 41 48% 33 of 56 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:10
2 Brad Tavares 1 18 of 31 58% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Eryk Anders 0 11 of 31 35% 22 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:25
3 Brad Tavares 0 12 of 20 60% 16 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Eryk Anders 0 4 of 12 33% 13 of 25 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Tavares 48 of 86 55% 29 of 64 17 of 20 2 of 2 31 of 59 14 of 21 3 of 6
Eryk Anders 35 of 84 41% 26 of 69 9 of 15 0 of 0 15 of 47 19 of 36 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Tavares 18 of 35 51% 7 of 23 10 of 11 1 of 1 6 of 18 12 of 17 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 20 of 41 48% 17 of 34 3 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 14 16 of 27 0 of 0
2 Brad Tavares 18 of 31 58% 11 of 22 6 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 21 2 of 4 3 of 6
Eryk Anders 11 of 31 35% 6 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 21 3 of 9 1 of 1
3 Brad Tavares 12 of 20 60% 11 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 4 of 12 33% 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo picks Brad Tavares but with very low confidence, calling it too close to bet. He notes both fighters have declining chins and the fight could be a quick knockout or a sloppy decision. He thinks Tavares is more well-rounded and faster, but Eryk Anders could bull his way forward. He ultimately goes with Tavares due to technical edge.

"I'm gonna go with Brad because he's the more well-rounded of the two and he should be faster."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady hesitantly picks Eryk Anders by split decision, calling it a '1-800 Gambler fight.' He thinks both fighters are washed but gives Anders the edge due to slightly harder punching and ability to control against the cage. He predicts a low-quality fight and even considered predicting a draw.

"Give me Eric Anders by greasy greasy greasy split decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Cody picks Tavares, citing his experience, takedown defense, and ability to outpoint Anders. He notes Anders' declining durability and retirement announcement. He expects a close decision but Tavares edges it.

"Brad Tavvar's win. Hopefully, he just finishes the job."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Connor does not make a clear pick for this fight, calling it a toss-up and meaningless. He criticizes both fighters as old and irrelevant, suggesting the fight should not be happening in the UFC. He does not express a preference.

"Yeah, that's fair. It's, it's a toss up really. It's just a, this is, this is not a fight that should be happening. It's utterly, utterly meaningless."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

James picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes that both fighters have fading durability and that Anders is more explosive. He calls the fight volatile and says no result would shock him.

"I will pick Eric Anders for the sake of the show."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The host picks Tavares to win by decision, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He believes Anders will struggle to land a knockout and that Tavares's combinations and effective damage will win rounds. He notes that both fighters are aging but Tavares is the better striker and should outwork Anders over 15 minutes.

Anders by knockout hedge
"I have to give the edge to Dvarez. I believe he's the better striker and I don't think Anders can muster up the knockout power to put Dvaris away here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Paul has no clear pick, expressing uncertainty about both fighters. He notes Tavares' recent losses and Anders' inconsistency. He doesn't want to bet either side.

"I don't know what to do with this fight, Cody."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Brad Tavares

The Guru picks Brad Tavares, emphasizing his low kicks as the key difference. He notes Anders has a wide stance and has struggled with low kicks before, and that Tavares has fought higher-level competition. He predicts a decision win, 30-27, as he doesn't see Anders finishing Tavares early.

"I'm going to go with Brad Tavares here. I think the low kicks are going to be the difference... by decision, 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Brad Tavares

Zane picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares looked decent in his fight against GM3 but struggled against Robert Brishik, who pushed a pace. He believes Anders is also slow and throws single strikes, giving Tavares enough space to look like his old self. However, he acknowledges Tavares tends to lose a round due to passivity.

Tavares opened at -185, currently -138; Anders opened at +160, currently +118
"I am going to pick Brad Tavares. I'm going to pick Eric Anders. Sure. Uh, Brad, Brad Tavares looked like there might actually be a little classic Brad Tavares tread left on the tires for that GM three fight."
KO R1 3:53 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan despite questioning his fight IQ. He notes Duncan is the better striker with solid takedown defense and cardio, but he can be an idiot with game plans. If Duncan decides to wrestle, Anders could bully him. However, Anders' chin is declining, so Duncan should win if he strikes.

"So CLLD is going to have to be the pick. I'm just really hoping this dude isn't making group cheese sandwiches at night."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady is confident in Christian Leroy Duncan, though he notes Duncan sometimes lacks effort. He points out that Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights by lesser strikers like Jamie Pickett and Chris Weidman, indicating a decline. Brady believes if Duncan cares even a little, he will knock out Anders early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Duncan.

first round knockout
"I like Christian Leroy Duncan. I'm pretty confident he wins this fight. Give me Duncan. I'll take him to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, noting that Anders is limited as a strategist and technician, and that Duncan's dynamic striking and range management will be too much. He points out that Anders has only beaten low-level opponents in recent years and is slow-footed, while Duncan is dangerous and annoying to fight. Connor expects Duncan to win and move toward a top 15 matchup.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think Eric Anders is consistent enough to keep Duncan from hurting him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan's speed and power will be too much for Anders, who is slowing down and was hurt badly by Weidman in his last fight. He thinks it's just a matter of time before Duncan lands a clean shot and puts Anders down and out.

by KO
"I think that this is a matchup where the speed and power of Duncan will be too much for Eric Anders, who's starting to slow down a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan, calling it a potential schooling. He notes Anders' recent wins are over old fighters and that Anders has become too technical. He expects Duncan to piece up Anders and win a dominant decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.

"I'm going with Christian Leroy Duncan over Eric Anders."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees, calling Duncan a meme fighter with flashy skills but noting that Anders is a limited opponent who has struggled against similar fighters. He highlights that Anders has only beaten Kyle Daukaus, Jamie Pickett, and an aged Chris Weidman in recent years, while Duncan's athleticism and tricky style will cause problems. Zane thinks Duncan will win and eventually get exposed against top competition.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think he's going to have a good time against a CLD."
WIN vs Chris Weidman
TKO (punches) R2 4:51 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 1 16 of 36 44% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:15
Chris Weidman 0 62 of 102 60% 121 of 193 0 of 6 0% 0 0 4:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 1 13 of 26 50% 20 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:10
Chris Weidman 0 11 of 23 47% 12 of 29 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:41
2 Eryk Anders 0 3 of 10 30% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Chris Weidman 0 51 of 79 64% 109 of 164 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 16 of 36 44% 11 of 30 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 23 0 of 2 4 of 11
Chris Weidman 62 of 102 60% 56 of 96 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 25 7 of 12 48 of 65
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 13 of 26 50% 8 of 20 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 0 of 2 4 of 11
Chris Weidman 11 of 23 47% 8 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 7 of 12 1 of 1
2 Eryk Anders 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 51 of 79 64% 48 of 76 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 47 of 64
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo flips his pick from Chris Weidman to Eryk Anders. He cites Weidman's age (40), potential frustration from not getting paid after the canceled fight, and the loss of the Madison Square Garden atmosphere. He believes Anders' physicality, power, and aggression will overwhelm Weidman, who has a questionable chin. Angelo acknowledges the fight is at 195 lbs, which may favor Anders.

"I am going to go Eric Anders here I flip my pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Cody picks Weidman, citing his wrestling advantage and experience. He notes Anders' inconsistency and recent losses. He expects a close decision win for Weidman, possibly by outworking Anders.

Weidman by decision
"Widman by decision... I'm in agreement."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eryk Anders

Connor is very confident in Anders, stating he will never pick Chris Weidman to win again. He notes that Weidman is washed and that his recent win over Bruno Silva was against a shot fighter. Connor points out that Anders has been slowly improving technically over the years, while Weidman has not shown any improvement and is only getting older. He believes Anders' athleticism and steady development will be too much for Weidman.

Connor explicitly says: 'I'm telling you if you have money to spare and you like to bet, bet a little on eric anders.' He also notes the odds are near even, with Anders at -101.
"I don't care what happened in this last fight I don't care what the official result is i'm never picking chris wide men to win a fight again."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Daniel picks Weidman, noting Anders' tendency to choke in big fights and his recent knockdowns. He expects a clinch-heavy fight and believes Weidman's grappling will be the difference. He mentions he previously bet Weidman at better odds.

"I'm still going to go with Widman. I'm not going to change my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Weidman

This is a tough matchup to predict given both fighters are further along in their careers. However, Weidman showed impressive activity and comfort in the striking realm against Bruno Silva earlier this year. He will utilize that to mix in his clinch grappling and striking to win on the scorecards.

"I was impressed with wiman's activity and comfort in the Striking R against Bruno Silva earlier this year and I expect him to utilize that here to mix in his clinch grappling and striking game alt together to win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Paul picks Weidman, noting his superior wrestling and fight IQ. He criticizes Anders' cardio and durability, and thinks Weidman can grind out a decision. He acknowledges Weidman's age but believes he has enough left.

"I think Weidman... it's Weidman for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

The MMA Guru picks Weidman, noting the fight is at a catchweight which benefits the older Weidman. He thinks Weidman's wrestling and game plan will be too much for Anders, who he considers a B-level middleweight. He predicts Weidman out-wrestles Anders and wins by decision 30-27.

"I'm going with widman I think he's good I think weidman's good in general"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eryk Anders

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Anders confidently. He notes that Weidman is completely washed and that Anders has been getting better year after year, albeit slowly. Zane points out that Weidman's only recent win was against a similarly shot Bruno Silva, and that his other recent fights have been close against aging opponents. He believes Anders' athleticism and improved technique will be enough to beat Weidman.

"We're both picking eric anders that's all we did not pick chris wide man."
WIN vs Jamie Pickett
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 0 23 of 59 38% 83 of 147 5 of 13 38% 0 0 10:08
Jamie Pickett 1 20 of 55 36% 26 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 0 7 of 19 36% 20 of 32 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:42
Jamie Pickett 1 8 of 19 42% 9 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Eryk Anders 0 10 of 23 43% 33 of 59 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:57
Jamie Pickett 0 11 of 24 45% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Eryk Anders 0 6 of 17 35% 30 of 56 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:29
Jamie Pickett 0 1 of 12 8% 3 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 23 of 59 38% 14 of 48 7 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 38 7 of 9 4 of 12
Jamie Pickett 20 of 55 36% 11 of 45 8 of 9 1 of 1 12 of 46 8 of 8 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 8 of 19 42% 3 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 1
2 Eryk Anders 10 of 23 43% 6 of 18 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 16 5 of 6 0 of 1
Jamie Pickett 11 of 24 45% 8 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Eryk Anders 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 11
Jamie Pickett 1 of 12 8% 0 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders, citing his athleticism, durability, and ability to bully his way to a win. He notes Anders is a large favorite at -330, which is too wide for him, but he expects Anders to win. He suggests there might be value on inside the distance props.

Inside the distance (potential value)
"Eric Anders at minus 330 Eric Anders is a bigger favorite over Jamie picket than Muhammad makv is over Alex bre"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks Anders, calling it a cage-pushing fight. He notes Anders has higher volume, more power, and is physically stronger. He expects Anders to push Pickett against the cage and take him down, similar to his 24-takedown-attempt fight. He predicts a greasy decision win for Anders.

"give me Eric Anders to win this fight win this fight by Greasy greasy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Cody picks Anders, calling him a gatekeeper who beats lower-level opponents like Pickett. He notes Pickett's terrible output and lack of finishing ability, and that Anders has been competitive with better fighters. Cody believes Anders will win but calls it a bad bet at minus-500, though he admits he'll include Anders in parlays as a degenerate.

"I think he wins and I'm a degenerate and I'll pay minus 500 on him and some stupid parlays but if they lost I got nobody to blame but myself because it's B it's a bad bet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Anders should be able to force the action, push Pickett against the cage, and land takedowns. However, Anders is 36 and slowing down, and -400 is not a number to trust with him. The fight is expected to be closely competitive and go to the scorecards, with Anders likely getting his hand raised. The host prefers the over or fight goes to decision.

fight goes to decision
"minus 400 is not a number that I really want to trust Andre with I expect this fight to be closely competitive in certain spots but I think that we see this fight go to the judge's scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Paul picks Anders but is hesitant due to the minus-500 price. He notes Anders has been inconsistent but has faced better competition and has shown improved cardio and output recently. He thinks Pickett is on a losing streak and lacks volume or power. Paul expects Anders to win but acknowledges the price is steep and that Pickett could make it close.

"Eric Anders is uh he's the rightful favorite he should win the fight he wins the fight more often than not but like at minus 500 you got to realize with Anders is he fights with his foot not on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

The MMA Guru initially considered Pickett but decided Anders is the pick. He notes Anders was close with Marc-André Barriault and had a scrap, while Pickett is on a four-fight losing streak and has no impressive wins. He calls Pickett 'awful' and says his wins are unimpressive.

"We're going to go Eric Anders over Jamie Pickett in 2024... Jamie Pickett's awful"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc-André Barriault 1 95 of 192 49% 103 of 200 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Eryk Anders 0 83 of 169 49% 87 of 173 1 of 11 9% 0 0 3:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc-André Barriault 1 30 of 49 61% 37 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Eryk Anders 0 37 of 62 59% 38 of 63 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:40
2 Marc-André Barriault 0 24 of 61 39% 24 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eryk Anders 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:59
3 Marc-André Barriault 0 41 of 82 50% 42 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eryk Anders 0 22 of 56 39% 25 of 59 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc-André Barriault 95 of 192 49% 62 of 148 32 of 43 1 of 1 67 of 154 26 of 35 2 of 3
Eryk Anders 83 of 169 49% 42 of 122 39 of 45 2 of 2 41 of 115 42 of 52 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc-André Barriault 30 of 49 61% 23 of 41 7 of 8 0 of 0 10 of 25 18 of 21 2 of 3
Eryk Anders 37 of 62 59% 18 of 42 19 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 25 27 of 35 0 of 2
2 Marc-André Barriault 24 of 61 39% 11 of 44 13 of 17 0 of 0 20 of 54 4 of 7 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 24 of 51 47% 12 of 36 10 of 13 2 of 2 14 of 41 10 of 10 0 of 0
3 Marc-André Barriault 41 of 82 50% 28 of 63 12 of 18 1 of 1 37 of 75 4 of 7 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 22 of 56 39% 12 of 44 10 of 12 0 of 0 17 of 49 5 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault to win, but plans to bet on Eryk Anders by inside the distance. He explains that Barriault is more well-rounded and technical, but Anders is more dangerous and powerful. He expects Anders to either finish Barriault or lose a decision, so he will bet on Anders inside the distance (no action if decision).

Bet: Eryk Anders inside the distance (no action if decision) - prop not yet available
"I'm gonna pick Mark Andre to win right he's the pick... but I'm gonna bet on Eric Anders when it drops I'm going inside the distance decision no action on Eric Anders"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault by decision. He notes that Barriault is high volume (6 significant strikes per minute) while Anders is low volume and will likely try to wrestle, but his takedown attempts are inefficient and will tire him. Barriault should win the striking exchanges and take over as the fight goes on, winning the second and third rounds.

"I'm gonna take Mark Andre Barry to win this fight give me Mark Andre Barrio by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Cody picks Barriault, expecting a close competitive fight that will likely go to a decision. He notes that Anders relies heavily on clinch work, but Barriault thrives in the clinch and has better cardio. He thinks Anders will slow down in the third round, allowing Barriault to pull ahead. He also mentions that Canadian judging may favor Barriault in a close fight.

Barriault by decision; over 63.5 significant strikes for Barriault on PrizePicks
"I think Mark Andre Barrio to win by decision on prize picks um I like the 63 and a half significant strikes"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Connor picks Anders, citing his recent technical improvement and physical advantages. He notes that Anders has learned to put combinations together and use his jab effectively. He believes Anders' strength and wrestling will be too much for Barriault, who is not a power puncher. He acknowledges Barriault's improvement but thinks Anders' ceiling is higher.

Anders opened at +119, currently +116; Barriault opened at -132, currently -128. Connor notes the odds should be closer to 50/50.
"I think, I think I'm going to pick Anders here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders in a coin-flip fight, noting that Anders looked good against Dacus and has better defense, while Barriault has more volume but is slower. He is unsure about Canadian judges and the fact that Anders is no longer at Fight Ready, which could affect his conditioning. He sees this as a close fight that could go either way, so he takes the dog, but warns against making Anders a heavy play.

"I'm gonna go with Erica boy Anders just because I think it could be a coin flip type fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)

James has no strong opinion on this fight. He sees both fighters as similar and expects a close fight if it goes to decision. He notes it could finish inside the distance due to pace, but he is leaning towards the fight going over. He passes on betting because he doesn't like betting on fights he expects to be very close unless there is a big number.

"I'm definitely passing I don't like to bet on fights where I think it's going to be super close"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Barriault's cardio and forward pressure are his key weapons; he wears opponents down with volume and durability. Anders relies on physical advantages but has shown limited technical improvements. Barriault should outwork Anders, especially in later rounds, and could even secure a late finish. Anders' only path is an early KO, but Barriault's durability is underrated.

Barriault wins by decision or late finish (round 3)
"give me Barrio similar to what he did against Julian Marquez may be possible late finish for barrio here at worst I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul picks Barriault, citing volume as the key factor. He notes that Anders will need to make it ugly with takedowns, but he is not confident in Anders' wrestling to hold Barriault down. He expects Barriault to outwork Anders over three rounds, similar to the Daukaus fight. He also likes the over on Barriault's significant strikes.

Over 63.5 significant strikes for Barriault on PrizePicks
"I think it really comes down to the volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

The MMA Guru picks Marc-André Barriault, criticizing Eryk Anders for being stiff and having a history of injuries and beatings. He notes Barriault is fluid and coming off a great performance, and that Anders must finish early or he fades. He expects Barriault to pick up the pace and win by decision or late finish in front of his Canadian home crowd.

"I'm gonna go with Mark Andre Barrio over Eric Anders"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Zane picks Anders, emphasizing his physicality and improved striking. He notes that Anders' strength makes him difficult to take down and that he has become more fluid. He believes Barriault's volume will not be enough to overcome Anders' power and wrestling. He also mentions that Barriault is not a power puncher.

"Me too. The danger of the strength barrio, even volume barrio is still not a power puncher really."
WIN vs Kyle Daukaus
TKO (punches) R2 2:45 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 1 49 of 94 52% 97 of 159 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:26
Kyle Daukaus 0 37 of 79 46% 38 of 83 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 1 29 of 62 46% 36 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
Kyle Daukaus 0 33 of 63 52% 33 of 63 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
2 Eryk Anders 0 20 of 32 62% 61 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
Kyle Daukaus 0 4 of 16 25% 5 of 20 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 49 of 94 52% 27 of 70 14 of 14 8 of 10 23 of 55 6 of 8 20 of 31
Kyle Daukaus 37 of 79 46% 14 of 55 8 of 9 15 of 15 35 of 76 2 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 29 of 62 46% 12 of 43 9 of 9 8 of 10 20 of 46 5 of 7 4 of 9
Kyle Daukaus 33 of 63 52% 13 of 43 8 of 8 12 of 12 31 of 61 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Eryk Anders 20 of 32 62% 15 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 22
Kyle Daukaus 4 of 16 25% 1 of 12 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Eryk Anders vs. Kyle Daukaus
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Daukaus (-215), Anders (+185)

Round 1
Middleweights open up the main card in a fight that will get one man back up to .500 inside the Octagon. Whether that is former light heavyweight Anders (14-7, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC) or submission specialist Daukaus (11-3, 1 NC; 2-3, 1 NC UFC), that remains to be seen. They bump fists in front of referee Keith Peterson, who clocks them in right after ejecting nonsense from the Amway Center. Anders strikes first with a body kick, and Daukaus strides forward with two punches and two low kicks in response. Anders stutter-steps his way forward, and Daukaus intercepts him with a few punches and makes Anders turn around. As they trade leather, commentators Michael Bisping and Daniel Cormier talk about popular television shows. Daukaus gets off a knee to the body, and he shoots in for a double but is stuffed by the brick wall former football player. Daukaus sticks out a jab, and when he kicks the body, Anders lifts him up and throws him to the ground like a sack of potatoes. Anders lords over his grounded opponent with several slapping low kicks, and Daukaus considers a leglock before Anders hops away. Daukaus allows his opponent to adjust his shorts, and they touch ‘em up before re-engaging. Daukaus feints and gets kicked, and he wings a left hand over the top that slams into the side of Anders’ head. Anders backs his man up and punches the body, prompting Daukaus to spring into action. The Philadelphia native leaps forward, and after landing a few, Anders clips him with a right hand and sends Daukaus tumbling to the mat. Anders considers kicking the legs a few times before letting Daukaus back up, and Daukaus takes a few deep breaths when coming back to his feet. Anders is swinging heavily, and Daukaus does not shy away from these exchanges as he similarly slugs back. Daukaus scores thudding hooks on the side of Anders’ head, but Anders is tough and throws back with a ferocious uppercut that snaps the head back. Anders reddens the nose with a one-two, and he continues to push the pace as he works the body and head. The fighters rush together, and the crown of Anders’ head slams square into Daukaus’ face and drops him to his knees. Peterson sees it and immediately calls it, and he informs the outside officials that it was an accidental clash of heads. Daukaus takes the time he needs and gets right back to it, but Anders is on him and belts him with a few punches with a left hand that send Daukaus straight back to the floor. As Daukaus attempts to scramble and look for some kind of late submission, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Anders
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Anders
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Anders

Round 2
Anders senses that Daukaus may not be fully recovered, and he immediately pushes the pace to start Round 2 with a vengeance. A few heavy strikes prompt “The D’Arce Knight” to shoot for a takedown, and he chains singles into doubles as Anders gets away with a fence grab. Anders slugs Daukaus on the side of the head, and these punches may be hurting Daukaus, as he lets go and flops to his back. Anders kicks the legs a few times, and this time, he lowers himself to the ground to drop a few hammerfists. Anders lands several standing-to-ground punches in rapid succession, and Daukaus kicks him back. Peterson lets Daukaus stand back up, and
Anders coils his fist and cracks Daukaus in the face with a brutal left hand. Daukaus awkwardly slumps to his knees and half-heartedly pursues a low single takedown, only to get shoved to his back, as Anders beats him down with right hand after merciless right hand. The hammerfists and punches continue to get through while Daukaus is shelled up, and Peterson has no choice but to call it on account of rain.
The knockout victory for Anders is his first finish in almost three and a half years, while he also snaps a two-fight skid in the process.

The Official Result
Eryk Anders def. Kyle Daukaus R2 2:45 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders as a solid underdog, expecting him to bully Kyle Daukaus with better wrestling and power. He criticizes Daukaus's chin and mediocre striking, calling him a 'jiu jitsu nerd' who can snatch submissions but lacks wrestling control. He believes Anders will avoid submissions and take Daukaus's head off with strikes.

Calls Anders one of the best underdogs on the card
"I am going to go Eric Anders though I think he's going to come in here just bully the hell out of Kyle Dawkins he's gonna Big Brother him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks the underdog Anders, citing his takedown defense (75%) and power advantage on the feet. He notes Daukaus is hittable (40% striking defense) and not a great wrestler. He expects Anders to keep the fight standing and win a close decision, though he acknowledges it could go either way.

Anders wins by decision
"I actually like the dog here in Eric Anders... I will take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Cody provides a detailed breakdown of Anders' career, calling him untrustworthy. He thinks Daukaus will land combinations and has a grappling advantage. He expects a boring decision win for Daukaus.

"I just feel like delkus is going to land the combinations when it is in the open field when it's up against the cage he's going to be landing those short shots"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Daniel Levi leans Daukaus to slightly out-hustle Anders, but he has concerns about Daukaus not putting a stamp on fights and Anders' physicality. He notes Anders' lack of activity and tendency to not pull the trigger. He picks Daukaus but is not confident.

"I uh I'm gonna lean with Kyle Dockers to come out here and just slightly out hustle Eric Anders"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

The host leans towards Daukaus but is not confident enough to bet the minus 200 line. He thinks Daukaus may have a slight striking advantage and could win by decision, but he is concerned about Anders' strength and grappling. He prefers the over 2.5 rounds as a bet, expecting a clinch-heavy fight that goes to decision.

over 2.5 rounds -175; Daukaus by decision
"I do like Kyle docus to get his hand raise and for him to get his hand race via decision but I want none of that minus 200th line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Paul picks Daukaus, noting Anders' inconsistency and poor performances. He thinks Daukaus has a grappling edge and will land more strikes. He is cautious about betting but expects Daukaus to win cleanly.

"I'm just not betting Eric Anders um on the back on the back uh half of this part of his career"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus, believing Eryk Anders has lost his touch. He notes Anders looked bad against Jun Yong Park and Darren Stewart, while Daukaus has more potential and looked good against Jamie Pickett. He predicts Daukaus will win a decision with grappling and submission attempts.

Daukaus by decision (29-28)
"I'm gonna go with Kyle Dorcas"
LOSS vs JunYong Park
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 142 45% 75 of 155 3 of 24 12% 0 0 4:45
Eryk Anders 0 105 of 184 57% 108 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 16 of 30 53% 22 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:32
Eryk Anders 0 25 of 36 69% 26 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 JunYong Park 0 16 of 38 42% 20 of 44 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:36
Eryk Anders 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
3 JunYong Park 0 33 of 74 44% 33 of 74 0 of 12 0% 0 0 0:37
Eryk Anders 0 49 of 96 51% 49 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 142 45% 45 of 112 17 of 25 3 of 5 56 of 131 9 of 11 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 105 of 184 57% 74 of 152 16 of 17 15 of 15 85 of 161 20 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 16 of 30 53% 12 of 22 4 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 25 of 36 69% 11 of 21 11 of 12 3 of 3 16 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 16 of 38 42% 9 of 29 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 31 of 52 59% 21 of 42 1 of 1 9 of 9 27 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 33 of 74 44% 24 of 61 7 of 11 2 of 2 33 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 49 of 96 51% 42 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3 42 of 88 7 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.

Eryk Anders plus 3.5 round bet (buy a round on judge's scorecard) - available at BetOnline
"i'm on the honors side and honestly i think he's a perfect one you're this big of an underdog he's a perfect plus three and a half bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.

"give me jungyeon park to win a buy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.

"i gotta go with the logical thinking here and the logical thinking is park's just gonna come forward back him up outland him hopefully not get caught by anything and then uh slowly just grind away in route to what …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.

over 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"tough fight i'm passing man if anything i bet the over two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.

"i'm with you on that one bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.

"i'm going to have to go of yoon yong park here over ericander's"
LOSS vs André Muniz
Submission (armbar) R1 3:13 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, but with low confidence. He notes that Muniz is a phenomenal grappler with a wizard-like BJJ, but his striking is poor and he has been knocked out in all four losses. Anders has good takedown defense (76%) and power, and if he can stuff takedowns and extend the fight, he can finish Muniz by knockout. However, if the fight hits the mat, Muniz is extremely dangerous. Brady is concerned about Muniz's cardio and Anders' fight IQ.

Anders by knockout
"i'm going to go with eric anders here to stuff the takedowns get into the second round the third round and eventually finish andre minis and give him his fifth knockout loss"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders to upset André Muniz. He argues that Muniz will have difficulty taking Anders down due to Anders' size and strength, and that Anders' jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive on the mat. Levi notes that Anders has never been submitted and rarely taken down. On the feet, he believes Anders throws more and has knockout power. Levi acknowledges Muniz's elite jiu-jitsu but thinks Anders can sprawl-and-brawl to a decision or KO.

"give me eric anders to upset someone i respect very much in andre muniz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission (rear-naked choke). He highlights Muniz's dangerous grappling, as seen in his armbar win over Jacaré. He notes Anders is taking the fight on short notice and has been taken down before. He suggests a live bet on Anders if the fight goes to the third round, as Muniz has slowed down in the past.

first-round rear-naked choke; live bet on Anders in third round if Muniz fails to secure early submission
"i think he's going to get this one done on draymond is by the way by real naked choke in the in the first round"