vs
+270 -295
UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz Next Fight
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gerald Meerschaert
3.01 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.52 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
1.82 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Bruno Silva
3.86 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
5.35 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.77 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
74.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Gerald Meerschaert
Moneyline
FanDuel +270
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1600
Submission
BetRivers +550
Decision
FanDuel +850
Bruno Silva
Moneyline
DraftKings -295
KO/TKO
BetWay -138
Submission
BetRivers +1800
Decision
FanDuel +500
Gerald Meerschaert - Fight History
LOSS vs Jacob Malkoun
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacob Malkoun 0 36 of 82 43% 54 of 103 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:17
Gerald Meerschaert 0 32 of 76 42% 53 of 100 0 of 3 0% 3 2 4:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacob Malkoun 0 6 of 12 50% 11 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Gerald Meerschaert 0 4 of 5 80% 15 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 1 3:56
2 Jacob Malkoun 0 18 of 42 42% 30 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Gerald Meerschaert 0 16 of 32 50% 18 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jacob Malkoun 0 12 of 28 42% 13 of 29 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:41
Gerald Meerschaert 0 12 of 39 30% 20 of 47 0 of 2 0% 2 1 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacob Malkoun 36 of 82 43% 30 of 74 6 of 8 0 of 0 36 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 1
Gerald Meerschaert 32 of 76 42% 23 of 66 6 of 7 3 of 3 31 of 74 0 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacob Malkoun 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jacob Malkoun 18 of 42 42% 16 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 16 of 32 50% 11 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jacob Malkoun 12 of 28 42% 9 of 23 3 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 1
Gerald Meerschaert 12 of 39 30% 9 of 36 2 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacob Malkoun vs. Gerald Meerschaert (190: Missed Weight)

Round 1
Malkoun (9-3; 5-3 UFC) enters the cage as a massive favorite against the reeling and overweight Meerschaert (37-21; 12-13 UFC), with Mike Beltran drwaing his first ref assignment of the evening. Malkoun is orthodox, Meerschaert southpaw, and it’s Malkoun connecting first with a solid right hand that backs the American off. Malkoun is the much faster man on the feet in the early going. Malkoun, bizarrely, changes levels for a takedown attempt against the fence and Meerschaert counters with his trademark guillotine. Malkoun is in real danger for a moment, but manages to extricate his neck. Meerschaert is in top position, in Malkoun’s half guard, looking perhaps to try for another guillotine. Half the round is down, and Meerschaert is still on top, in control. Malkoun manages to stick him back into full guard, but Meerschaert passes to half guard again near the base of the fence. Beltran is talking to them, presumably telling them to keep working, but it’s far from a static position, as they are moving and exchanging short shots. Meerschaert postures up and drops an elbow to the face. Meerschaert wraps up a guillotine from top position but can’t make a serious attempt out of it before the horn. 10-9 Meerschaert.

Round 2
They go back to work on the feet and once again, Malkoun’s edge in speed and accuracy is stark. Malkoun bounces into range against the taller man, pops him with a two or three-punch combo, then exits untouched, several times in a row. Meerschaert appears to be looking for the right moment to shoot for a takedown, but through 90 seconds he has not made a serious attempt. Malkoun backs him up to the fence and belts him with a right to the body. Meerschaert lands a glancing head kick, and Malkoun tags him with two punches. They collide in the pocket and Meeerschaert pulls guard. He controls Malkoun’s posture with a shoulder lock, but Malkoun pulls his right arm out of danger, sets up in Meerschaert’s half guard and throws a flurry of ground strikes. With under a minute to go, Malkoun throws a final series of punches and stands up out of his foe’s guard. Beltran motions Meerschaert to stand, and Malkoun quickly tags him with another series of punches. The round ends. 10-9 Malkoun.

Round 3
It’s anyone’s fight—on our scorecard, at least—as these two go back to work for Round 3. Malkoun stalks forward, sticking out his left jab, backing Meerschaert off. Malkoun is getting much the better of the orthodox vs. southpaw hand fight. A minute in, neither man has really committed to a power strike on the feet, but Malkoun has been the more active, more accurate man. Malkoun steps into the pocket and lands a clean three-piece combination that makes Meerschaert blink and back off. Malkoun hits him with a lead left. He is landing nearly at will, but not forcing the issue at all despite his clear superiority on the feet. Malkoun steps into the pocket and Meerschaert falls to guard in the ensuing collision. Malkoun follows him down, settles into his guard, but lets him back up a moment later. They return to the center of the cage and exchange strikes. Meerschaert is the aggressor, stalking forward and throwing single strikes. They collide and Meerschaert throws on a guillotine choke, shoving Malkoun to the canvas and trying for the last-second finish. It’s pretty obvious he won’t get it, but the round ends with the American on top and in control. The horn sounds on a strange, frankly lousy fight. 10-9 Malkoun (29-28 Malkoun).

The Official Result
Jacob Malkoun def. Gerald Meerschaert via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Angelo is extremely confident in Jacob Malkoun, calling Gerald Meerschaert washed and stating he has no chance. He criticizes Meerschaert's poor takedown defense and chin, and believes Malkoun's wrestling will dominate. He even threatens to ban anyone who picks Meerschaert by submission.

No prop bets mentioned; odds noted as -800.
"Jacob Malcoun is a very expensive minus 800. I think that's a discount off what it should actually be."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Cody picks Malkoun by TKO, noting Meerschaert's recent knockout losses and Malkoun's improved striking. He believes Malkoun will finish him early, possibly in the first round.

TKO prop
"Malcoun wins. Malcoun wins easy, but you got to chase a prop. And I do take the knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Malkoun a smart technician who uses his jab and single-leg effectively. He notes that Meerschaert is a slow, aging fighter who relied on opponents being bad, and now faces a composed fighter who won't make those mistakes. He sees it as a clear win for Malkoun.

"Yeah, I you know, even when Mirchard was improving he was relying on the opponents being bad and clueless to get wins."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Daniel Vreeland picks Jacob Malkoun to knock out Gerald Meerschaert in the first round. He believes Malkoun's high pace and power will overwhelm Meerschaert, who he thinks is past his prime and likely to cover up when hit.

"I got Jacob Malcun to come out here and knock out GM3 in the first round."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Malkoun is a massive favorite with an implied probability of 92%, but the odds offer no value. He is a solid MMA grappler with better wrestling, striking, cardio, and home advantage. Meerschaert is old, missed weight, and only has a Hail Mary submission path. The over 1.5 rounds at 1.64 is interesting because Malkoun is a decision eater and Meerschaert is tough, but not super confident due to Meerschaert's decline.

Over 1.5 rounds at 1.64 (small bet)
"I don't really see any path to victory for Meerschaert other than hitting a crazy Hail Mary submission... I do quite like the over 1.5 rounds on this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Lucrative James picks Jacob Malkoun to win via TKO. He believes Malkoun is a much better fighter and that Meerschaert is washed up. He notes Malkoun's wrestling and improved striking should be enough to finish Meerschaert, though he is not super confident on the method.

"I got Jacob Malcoun comfortably winning this fight... I'll take him to win, I guess, TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

The host expects Malkoun to run through Meerschaert, citing Malkoun's superior BJJ, youth, and striking. He thinks Malkoun will get a TKO or submission inside the distance, as Meerschaert is on a four-fight losing streak and his durability is fading. The host does not like betting minus 1000 but expects a finish.

Inside the distance
"I think Malcoun gets the win. I don't like betting minus 1000s anyway. Um, uh, obviously the inside the distance line will probably be very chalky as well, but I think we'll see Malcoun get a a TKO, maybe a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Paul picks Malkoun, citing his improved boxing and wrestling. He believes Malkoun will knock out Meerschaert, who has been knocked out repeatedly in the first round.

KO prop
"I'm just probably going the Malccom by KO prop."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

The MMA Guru picks Jacob Malkoun, noting he is a -1100 favorite but thinks the odds are too high. He praises Malkoun's skills and recent performances, while criticizing Gerald Meerschaert's recent losses and age. He acknowledges Meerschaert's submission threat but believes Malkoun is too good.

odds comment: -1100 favorite, should be -400
"Jacob Malkoun is a minus 1,100 favorite and I don't think he should be that big of a favorite first of all, but Malkoun's pretty good."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Zane picks Malkoun confidently, stating that Meerschaert is done—slow, old, and has been finished in three of his last four fights. He notes that Malkoun is a smart, strategic fighter with a good jab and single-leg takedown, which will be too much for Meerschaert's limited skills. He calls it a gentle send-off for Meerschaert.

"So Malcolm is just going to chew him up. Yeah, it is. It is truly sad because Gerald Marshard is one of the only guys in the entire UFC who I think seems like a actually chill dude."
LOSS vs Kyle Daukaus
Submission R1 0:50 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyle Daukaus 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Gerald Meerschaert 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyle Daukaus 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Gerald Meerschaert 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyle Daukaus 8 of 11 72% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 4
Gerald Meerschaert 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyle Daukaus 8 of 11 72% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 4
Gerald Meerschaert 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyle Daukaus vs. Gerald Meerschaert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Daukaus (-375), Meerschaert (+295)

Round 1
Herb Dean is the referee. Daukaus immediately tags Meerschaert with a straight left. Daukaus wades in with a straight left hand that rocks Meerschaert, who is already in retreat mode. Meerschaert falls to the floor after absorbing another shot. Daukaus follows him down and tees off with hammerfists before locking in a brabo choke.
Daukaus powers Meerschaert to his back and applies the squeeze, and it’s only a matter of moments before the veteran middleweight is forced to tap out.
Daukaus now has back-to-back first round finishes since returning to the UFC.

The Official Result
Kyle Daukaus def. Gerald Meerschaert via Submission (Brabo Choke) R1 0:50
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Angelo picks Kyle Daukaus, noting that Gerald Meerschaert has poor takedown accuracy and hasn't taken anyone down in three fights. Daukaus is a good grappler with length and solid takedown defense. Angelo is confident but questions the -325 odds, suggesting Daukaus' last win was against a distracted opponent.

"Kyle's going to be the pick, but I hate that this dude could even be in the same room as these odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Big Brady picks Kyle Daukaus, noting his improved striking and power since being cut from the UFC. He criticizes Gerald Meerschaert's chin as 'dust' and his recent poor performances, including gassing out badly. Brady believes Daukaus is the better grappler and striker at this point and predicts a first-round knockout, referencing Daukaus's own claim that he will knock out Meerschaert.

first round knockout
"I'm going to go Kyle Dawkins to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Meerschaert is on a losing streak and has been knocked out multiple times. He points out that Daukaus is bigger and has better striking. Cody thinks Daukaus will finish the fight inside the distance, possibly by TKO in the first round. He is confident in the pick.

inside the distance by TKO
"Daukaus is the guy to put that nail in the coffin, so inside the distance by TKO possibly in the first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Connor also picks Daukaus, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Meerschaert has lost a step and that Daukaus showed aggression and certainty in his last fight. However, he warns that Daukaus might get overly ambitious and get submitted, but overall trusts Daukaus to win.

Odds: Daukaus opened -260, currently -500.
"I think it's possible we might be getting a Kyle Dawkins, a young veteran run here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Daniel believes Daukaus is on a resurgence with newfound confidence and power, as shown in his knockout of Michelle Pereira. He expects Daukaus to feast on an aging Meerschaert, who has been finished in recent fights. He predicts a first-round knockout for Daukaus.

first round knockout
"I think that DACA is going to come out here and feast on the carcass again. And so for that reason, I'm going to go Kyle Dawkins to come out here and actually get a first round knockout."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Lucrative James picks Kyle Daukaus to win, stating that Gerald Meerschaert is washed and Daukaus has better striking and grappling. He notes Daukaus' resurgence after a first-round KO in his return fight, and believes his takedown defense and top control will neutralize Meerschaert's submission threats. He predicts a finish or clear decision for Daukaus.

"I think Doras is going to win this one, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Daukaus is a better and younger version of Meerschaert. He can win whichever way he chooses, whether by knockout or submission. He wins inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I think Dawis can pretty much win this fight whichever way he chooses. ... I'm just going to go with the broad finishing method here and say inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Paul picks Daukaus, citing his size, striking, and submission defense. He notes that Meerschaert has poor durability and has been knocked out frequently. Paul believes Daukaus will win by TKO, possibly in the first round. He also mentions that Daukaus has looked good on the regional scene and is a big middleweight.

Daukaus by KO +215
"Daukaus by KO plus 215. I I just I just hit submit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

The Guru picks Kyle Daukaus to win by TKO in round two. He notes that Gerald Meerschaert is on a three-fight losing streak and aging, while Daukaus is coming into his prime with improved striking and grappling. Daukaus' clinch work and power should be too much for Meerschaert, who may no longer have the craftiness to pull off a submission.

TKO in round 2
"I'll say TKO win in round two for Dorcas. I reckon he'll get a finish here over Mot."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Zane picks Daukaus confidently, noting that Meerschaert has lost a step and never had much physical edge. He thinks Daukaus has surprisingly fast hands and is too willing to grapple, but that he can be fast and slick. He believes Daukaus might be starting a veteran run and that Meerschaert is past his prime.

Odds: Daukaus opened -260, currently -500. Meerschaert opened +220, currently +385.
"I got to pick that cause he's always had surprisingly fast hands."
KO R1 3:03 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo notes Oleksiejczuk is a pure striker with power and fast hands, while Meerschaert is a grappler with questionable chin and takedown accuracy. He thinks it's easier for Oleksiejczuk to stay on the feet and land strikes than for Meerschaert to get the fight to the ground. He leans Oleksiejczuk but says he should not be a -225 favorite in such a tricky matchup.

Under no circumstances should he be a minus 225 in a very tricky matchup
"I'm going to lean McCall because I think it's easier for him to stay away from the takedowns while letting his hands fly against a somewhat chinny Gerro Mirard."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oleksiejczuk is a phenomenal striker with bodywork, volume, and power, while Meerschaert is at a massive striking disadvantage. However, he acknowledges the grappling danger: Meerschaert has 30 submission wins and Oleksiejczuk has been submitted six times. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can keep the fight standing and knock out Meerschaert, especially if he has improved his takedown defense. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's ability to get back up when taken down.

Oleksiejczuk by KO, round 1
"I think Oluk knocks out Mirart, and I think he does it in round number one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host believes Oleksiejczuk's improvements from training with the fighting nerds will carry over, though it may result in a more measured approach. He expects Oleksiejczuk to wear Meerschaert down with striking and secure a finish in the third round.

finish in the third round
"I think he'll eventually be able to muster up a finish in the third round of this fight as he wears Mirard down with his striking approach"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by TKO in the first or second round. He believes Oleksiejczuk has improved since joining the Fighting Nerds and has nasty ground and pound and power. The Guru notes that Meerschaert is on borrowed time and doesn't move his head well, making him vulnerable. He also mentions that Oleksiejczuk has good grappling defense and reversals, so he won't be a fish out of water on the ground.

TKO first or second round; Oleksiejczuk finishes Meerschaert
"I'm going with Macaux. ... TKO first or second round."
LOSS vs Brad Tavares
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Tavares 0 47 of 109 43% 56 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gerald Meerschaert 0 38 of 83 45% 51 of 97 0 of 8 0% 0 0 4:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Tavares 0 13 of 36 36% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gerald Meerschaert 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Brad Tavares 0 26 of 51 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gerald Meerschaert 0 23 of 44 52% 23 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
3 Brad Tavares 0 8 of 22 36% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gerald Meerschaert 0 7 of 15 46% 20 of 28 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Tavares 47 of 109 43% 29 of 85 12 of 18 6 of 6 45 of 105 2 of 4 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 38 of 83 45% 27 of 66 7 of 10 4 of 7 36 of 79 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Tavares 13 of 36 36% 10 of 30 2 of 5 1 of 1 13 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 8 of 24 33% 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 4 8 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Brad Tavares 26 of 51 50% 15 of 38 7 of 9 4 of 4 24 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 23 of 44 52% 18 of 35 4 of 6 1 of 3 21 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Brad Tavares 8 of 22 36% 4 of 17 3 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 7 of 15 46% 4 of 12 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Brad Tavares
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tavares (-258), Meerschaert (+210)

Round 1
As the main card carries on, the few hundred fans in the building will be treated to a fascinating clash of styles pitting the UFC middleweight decision leader against the division’s all-time top finisher. Tavares (20-10, 15-10 UFC) prefers to stand, while Meerschaert (37-18, 12-10 UFC) is hunting for his 30th submission—and Tavares has never before been submitted. Something might have to give before all is said and done here. Referee Mike Beltran draws the assignment, ready to step in at a moment’s notice. The grizzled veterans show respect for one another with a glove touch, and Tavares pops out his jab. Meerschaert surges forward, pulling back before letting go with anything. Tavares prepares for a counter when Meerschaert comes at him, dinging the grappler with a hard left hand. Meerschaert zooms forward, looking for a double and ending up pushing the Hawaiian against the fencing. When Tavares breaks free, Meerschaert goes after him and plants a left hand on the chin. He ducks down to try this strike again, and this time it lands cleaner. Tavares backs him off with a crisp boxing combo, and Meerschaert shoots in for a double but is totally shut down. Tavares misses a right hand by a matter of inches, but the body kick that follows does land. Tavares puts his fist on Meerschaert’s chin, and he dips in with a shovel uppercut that brushes past the jaw. The two crash together, and Tavares rings his foe’s bell with an elbow, giving chase with a left hand and a body kick. Meerschaert fakes a level change to buzz by his foe, and he pitches out a couple calf kicks. Tavares advances, is intercepted and still snaps out a jab. Meerschaert kicks him in the lead leg again, and he leans back and gets drilled with a long two-punch string right down the middle. Tavares clips Meerschaert a second time with a right hand, and “GM3” catches a kick and zips a kick back at his adversary’s head. Tavares comes up short with a spinning back fist, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tavares

Round 2
Fists are bumped to start off the second round, and Tavares gets right behind a double jab. Tavares plunks Meerschaert with a right hand and has a high kick buzz past his hair. Tavares plants a heavy leg kick that strips the legs out beneath the grappler, and Beltran allows him to stand up as Tavares does not want to hit the ground with him. Meerschaert blitzes forward, landing at the end of a pair of combinations and backing off from front kicks. He then charges again, scoring twice with a solid lefts before mashing Tavares against the cage. “GM3” slashes with an elbow on the break, and he sneaks in a left hand as Tavares clutches his jaw awkwardly. Tavares overswings, and Meerschaert ducks down to level change. Tavares stonewalls him, boots him in the face and then slams a leg kick home. Two heavy punches from the Hawaiian get through, and Meerschaert answers him with two doubled lefts. He tries this double-left attack two more times, and Tavares sees it coming and circles off. Meerschaert connects with a powerful uppercut to push Tavares back, and he hammers Tavares with a body kick after they split up. Meerschaert sells out for a single that comes up way short of succeeding, and Tavares backs him away with a front kick and a blistering uppercut. Meerschaert shells up to defend a body kick, and the front kick that follows gets through. Tavares skirts away from looping punches, and they clash legs when kicking at the same moment. Tavares slips in a one-two, gets his head snapped back and still lands. Meerschaert throws back harder, and he gets Tavares’ attention just a moment. Body kicks fly from both men, and Tavares winds up with a right hand that staggers the grappler. “GM3” shakes out the cobwebs and scores as left hand down the middle. The bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tavares

Round 3
Fists are bumped, and fighters engage right after it with clubbing punches. Meerschaert darts in for a takedown, and he runs directly into a body kick. Tavares hops back and in with a jab, and he runs forward and is tripped. Meerschaert lets him back up so he can target the body a few times, and Tavares kicks him in the guts and has to defend a takedown. Meerschaert nearly gets him down, Tavares pulls a finger off the wall and bounces off well enough to stay upright. Meerschaert clings to his side, fishing his legs in for a trip. Beltran asks for more activity as “GM3” hangs on from partial back control standing, and he kicks out Tavares’ other foot for a second of instability. He kicks the same foot again, and Tavares has to rejigger himself to not get tripped up. Meerschaert keeps attacking the feet when not trying to use his body weight to wrench Tavares down, and the Hawaiian is able to defend well enough as precious seconds tick off the clock. Beltran needs something more from the fighters, and Meerschaert exerts himself but is not able to get it down. Tavares puts his back to the fence, and his takedown defense is enough to stifle the Kill Cliff FC fighter’s every effort. Beltran breaks them apart with 70 seconds left, and Meerschaert practically runs towards his opponent flailing his fists, Tavares is more composed with straight strikes, and he has his kick parried and he rolls with a punch. Meerschaert lunges at him with two left hands to then go after a single, and Tavares breaks free with 15 seconds to go. Meerschaert runs forward, lets fly a body kick, and he slings three unsuccessful head kicks to conclude the lackluster pairing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-28 Tavares)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-28 Tavares)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-28 Tavares)

The Official Result
Brad Tavares def. Gerald Meerschaert via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo notes Brad Tavares has fought everyone and has solid striking and 80% takedown defense, while Gerald Meerschaert is a good grappler but sucks on the feet and gets hit a lot. He warns that taking Meerschaert down is dangerous, but Tavares has the fight IQ to avoid that. Angelo picks Tavares but thinks the odds are high for a guy with only one win in three years, and suggests a 'win inside the distance' prop might be a sharp play.

win inside the distance decision no action might be a Mir sharp play here
"Brad tovares is going to be the pick this actually could be an entertaining fight though."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Big Brady picks the underdog Gerald Meerschaert, citing Brad Tavares's decline after the Dricus du Plessis fight and poor recent performances. He believes Meerschaert has underrated striking and a huge grappling advantage, and expects him to submit Tavares in the second round.

second round submission
"give me Gerald mirart Gerald mirart second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Meerschaert. He emphasizes that Tavares is a neutralizer who no longer believes in his own power and doesn't follow up on damage. Connor notes that Meerschaert has become craftier on the feet and that Tavares's defensive shell will be his downfall. He calls the matchup terrible matchmaking but sees Meerschaert as the logical winner.

"I'm fine with it. Okay. Okay. Yeah."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Tavares is clearly diminishing at 1-4 in his last five fights. Meerschaert can push a pace and get the grappling going in the first and second rounds, leading to a classic Meerschaert submission in round two or three.

submission in round 2 or 3
"I think mirart can push a pace and really get the grappling going in the first and second round eventually leading to a classic mirart submission either in round one or sorry in round two or round three."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The Guru picks Brad Tavares, emphasizing his takedown defense and ability to keep the fight standing. He thinks Meerschaert's body kicks and takedown attempts will be slow and predictable, and Tavares will be snappier on the feet. He expects a decision win for Tavares, though notes Meerschaert comes alive in the third round.

Brad Tavares by decision
"I am going to lean towards Brad Savvarez here. And I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision as the fight goes on."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Zane picks Meerschaert, arguing that Brad Tavares is 'cooked' and no longer dangerous. He notes Tavares's lack of motivation, tendency to shell up when hurt, and inability to finish fights. Zane points out that Meerschaert has improved his boxing and reach usage, and has a win over Bruno Silva who knocked out Tavares. He believes Meerschaert's willingness to win and Tavares's decline make Meerschaert the clear pick.

Tavares opened -257, now -202; Meerschaert opened +206, now +191. Zane finds the line weird given Tavares's recent losses.
"You still got to pick Mirchardt, right? Yeah, you have to pick me a shirt. I can't pick Brad Tavares against anyone anymore."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 1:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Reinier de Ridder 0 30 of 54 55% 44 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:53
Gerald Meerschaert 1 38 of 66 57% 82 of 114 5 of 13 38% 1 0 3:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Reinier de Ridder 0 21 of 34 61% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:10
Gerald Meerschaert 1 28 of 53 52% 33 of 59 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:44
2 Reinier de Ridder 0 9 of 17 52% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:25
Gerald Meerschaert 0 5 of 6 83% 35 of 39 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:49
3 Reinier de Ridder 0 0 of 3 0% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Gerald Meerschaert 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Reinier de Ridder 30 of 54 55% 27 of 49 3 of 5 0 of 0 22 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 7
Gerald Meerschaert 38 of 66 57% 19 of 42 10 of 13 9 of 11 34 of 61 3 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Reinier de Ridder 21 of 34 61% 19 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 28 of 53 52% 14 of 34 5 of 8 9 of 11 26 of 51 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Reinier de Ridder 9 of 17 52% 8 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 7
Gerald Meerschaert 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Reinier de Ridder 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Reinier de Ridder
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: De Ridder (-290), Meerschaert (+235)

Round 1
In their combined 54 pro wins, these two co-headlining middleweights have earned 50 finishes. Referee Mike Beltran better buckle up as soon as these two get started, as Meerschaert (37-17, 12-9 UFC) is just as dangerous in the first minute as he is in the last. Ridder (17-2, 0-0 UFC) will be coming over from One Championship, where level of competition and some other policies differ significantly, and it remains to be seen if there are any immediate growing pains. If this hits the ground, hang on tight. The 185ers touch ‘em up, and de Ridder starts out with multiple front kicks. Meerschaert chases after him with a one-two, and de Ridder’s front kick gets plenty of work early. De Ridder awkwardly lunges his way in, and he gets popped with a right hand before backing off. “RDR” chips at the front leg twice before Meerschaert gets his hands on him, with Meerschaert connecting with a series of punches that redden the newcomer’s face up. De Ridder uses a low kick to set up a takedown attempt, scooping up the middleweight submission leader in the UFC and putting him down to the ground. De Ridder passes briefly, but Meerschaert flips him over and fights off a triangle choke setup to allow them both to stand. Meerschaert stabs out a jab, and he rips a left to the ribcage. Meerschaert scores two left hands, and his subsequent right hand draws a funny reaction out of the UFC debutant. Meerschaert checks a body kick and swarms forward with several powerful punches. De Ridder wobbles back, gets clipped with a left hand and ducks down to prevent any further harm. “GM3” shuts down a takedown with ease and slides to the side, and he eats a jab on the way out. A de Ridder low kick gets checked, and he sets up a few punches with a jab and takes a few on the chin before backing off. Meerschaert connects with a solid left hook and jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but de Ridder shucks him out of the way. Meerschaert kicks him off, stands up and deals with a jump knee. Meerschaert stuffs a takedown and sets up a power guillotine, only to use the grip to push off. De Ridder swings wide, has a low kick checked and shoots for a failed entry. Meerschaert drills him with an elbow when fighting of the takedown, and de Ridder pecks at him with distant jabs. Meerschaert gives him one jab back to think about, and de Ridder sits down on a right hand that gets Meerschaert’s attention. Meerschaert closes in and dings him with an uppercut, and he gets sent flying with an elbow and a looping left hand. Before “RDR” can put a stamp on things, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder

Round 2
To start off the second round, de Ridder wants to put hands on what he thinks to be a wounded fighter. Meerschaert appears to have his sea legs out him, and he swings back and tags the newcomer a few times. “RDR” walks him down, wraps up a body lock and hits an easy trip. Meerschaert turns to his side as de Ridder hopes to establish to half guard. De Ridder sneaks in an elbow before Meerschaert hand-fights with two-on-one wrist control on the Dutchman’s left arm, and de Ridder uses the opportunity to nearly slide out of danger. De Ridder sets up a choke while on his seat, and Meerschaert pushes him off and unloads with a lengthy punch combination. De Ridder still works his way upright, threaten with a throw and falls over. Meerschaert jumps on top, moving right into half guard and opening up with strikes. A brief arm-triangle choke from the American is flirted with, but Meerschaert bails on it to nail the debuting fighter with an elbow. De Ridder re-fastens his guard before tugging his toes on the fencing, and he pushes Meerschaert to his feet. “GM3” lowers himself back down while smacking de Ridder in the chops with punches. De Ridder fires back, and he lifts a leg up in hopes of hooking up a triangle. Meerschaert is wise to it and shucks it off, and he takes a few punches from “RDR” off his back. De Ridder fishes for an arm, and he uses it to work his way back to his feet. De Ridder turns the tables with a trip, placing the underdog on his back before having to fight out of an armbar. Meerschaert goes for one more submission as the 10-second clapper sounds, and he flips “RDR” over before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert

Round 3
The middleweights touch ‘em up to get the last round going, and Meerschaert is the one pushing the pace in pursuit of a clinch and possible takedown. De Ridder fights his way off the wall, only for Meerschaert to trip him down to his face. De Ridder stands back up, and Meerschaert shoots for a single that is defended. De Ridder drives a knee to the torso while Meerschaert stands up, and he trips “GM3” up and tosses him to the mat like a side of beef. Meerschaert squirms the right direction and puts de Ridder on the mat, evading a front choke while scurrying as fast as he can to put de Ridder on his back.
De Ridder repositions to full mount, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke in a hurry. Meerschaert defends by answering the telephone, and he quickly finds the submission is a bit too tight for his liking. Rather than get put to sleep, a disappointed Meerschaert taps out twice.
Both exhausted fighters fall to their backs, sucking wind now that the fight is over. De Ridder becomes the first fighter since Jack Hermansson in 2018 to force “GM3” to surrender, introducing himself to his new company in a big way.

The Official Result
Reinier de Ridder def. Gerald Meerschaert R3 1:44 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Angelo picks Reinier de Ridder as the next evolution of Gerald Meerschaert: high-level BJJ with much better takedowns. He notes de Ridder uses his length well and can hang with anyone on the ground. He expects a high-level grappling fight and thinks the UFC matched him up this way on purpose. He will probably bet on de Ridder.

probably will bet on de Ridder
"reer is going to be the pick I think the UFC matched him up this way on purpose so yeah probably going to bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Big Brady goes back and forth but ultimately picks Meerschaert, citing de Ridder's poor cardio and striking. He expects de Ridder to come out strong but fade, allowing Meerschaert to take over in the later rounds. He predicts a third-round submission for Meerschaert.

Meerschaert by submission, round 3
"I'll take mirart I'll say third round submission for mirart"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Cody highlights de Ridder's elite grappling credentials, including a draw with Andre Galvao and a competitive loss to Tye Ruotolo. He believes de Ridder's judo and BJJ black belt will neutralize Meerschaert's submission game, and his striking is good enough to win on the feet. Cody expects de Ridder to pass this barometer test and win, possibly by knockout or decision.

"I think he passes it but it's not a walk in the park still a tough fight but I think he should go out there and excel with his skill set."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Connor also picks Meerschaert, agreeing that de Ridder's striking is terrible and that Meerschaert can piece him up. He notes the size difference but thinks Meerschaert's boxing will prevail. He also comments that the odds are too wide in favor of de Ridder.

Odds too wide; de Ridder should not be such a heavy favorite.
"I'm taking Mirchard too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Daniel Vreeland picks Gerald Meerschaert as a dog, citing concerns about Reinier de Ridder's stamina and recent performances, including a knockout loss and a quit job. He notes Meerschaert's durability, awkward striking, and record for most submissions in UFC middleweight history. Vreeland expects a late finish if de Ridder doesn't get an early submission.

Meerschaert by late finish
"I'm going with GM3 via late finish."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Lucrative James picks Reinier de Ridder to win, but is hesitant due to the wide odds. He notes that de Ridder is a one-dimensional grappler with poor striking, while Meerschaert is a submission specialist who could catch him. He believes de Ridder's wrestling and size advantage should allow him to dictate where the fight goes, but acknowledges that Meerschaert is dangerous off his back and could pull off a submission. He also mentions considering a bet on Meerschaert due to the value.

"I'll pick the r but honestly I'm considering a bet on gm3"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

De Ridder's ability to take the back will be key. As his grappling wears on Meerschaert, he should open up a submission or ground-and-pound opportunity and get a finish in his UFC debut.

wins by finish
"I believe as the riters grapple heavy approach wears on him he should be able to open up a submission opportunity or a ground and pound opportunity which he should be able to get and get his hand raised in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Paul is not excited about laying -278 on a UFC debutant, but acknowledges de Ridder's experience in big fights and his grappling advantage. He notes that Meerschaert struggles when opponents don't gas and have comparable grappling. Paul thinks de Ridder can win on points or by taking Meerschaert down and controlling him.

"I'm not too excited about laying minus 278 on a guy who hasn't been tested in the UFC yet but he's obviously been in some big fights so he'll be my pick as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

The Guru picks Reinier de Ridder, citing his jiu-jitsu advantage and ability to avoid being fraud-checked in grappling. He worries about de Ridder's stand-up but believes his clinch knees and body work will be key. He predicts de Ridder finishes Meerschaert with knees to the body in the second or third round, surviving any guillotine danger.

TKO via knees to the body, round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go with Raina darid here I may regret this but um M sharts wins Edmund shabazian fumbles everything can't go cardio rounds"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Zane picks Meerschaert, noting that de Ridder cannot strike at all and has no functional pressure. He thinks Meerschaert can outbox him easily. He also mentions that de Ridder's wins are over regional competition and that Meerschaert is a tough out. He suggests a prop on Meerschaert by decision.

Meerschaert wins by decision at +800; fight goes the distance at +150.
"I'm taking Mirchard for sure."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 4:12 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 48 of 113 42% 48 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:21
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 21 of 44 47% 31 of 54 1 of 6 16% 1 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Gerald Meerschaert 0 26 of 63 41% 26 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:18
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 7 of 11 63% 15 of 19 1 of 5 20% 1 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 48 of 113 42% 31 of 94 16 of 18 1 of 1 26 of 60 5 of 9 17 of 44
Edmen Shahbazyan 21 of 44 47% 11 of 33 6 of 7 4 of 4 20 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 22 of 50 44% 12 of 38 9 of 11 1 of 1 21 of 46 1 of 4 0 of 0
Edmen Shahbazyan 14 of 33 42% 5 of 24 5 of 5 4 of 4 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gerald Meerschaert 26 of 63 41% 19 of 56 7 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 14 4 of 5 17 of 44
Edmen Shahbazyan 7 of 11 63% 6 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Shahbazyan (-310), Meerschaert (+250)

Round 1
If Reese vs. Medina was the appetizer for middleweight finishers—although it did not go down the way matchmakers likely intended—this pairing between aggressive youngster Shahbazyan (13-4, 6-4 UFC) and crafty opportunist Meerschaert (36-17, 11-9 UFC) is the main course. Together, they sport three wins by decision across their combined 49 victories. Referee Mark Smith needs to be on his A-game for this one, although he is well-prepared for the bout that commences with a touch of gloves. Meerschaert introduces himself with a well-placed body kick, and Shahbazyan frowns and responds with a right straight to the ribs. Meerschaert scores another thudding body kick, and Shahbazyan measures his left hand and walks “GM3” down. A third body kick from Meerschaert connects cleanly, and he scores a one-two and is countered. Shahbazyan absorbs an inside leg kick and a jab, and he fights off a takedown but gets uppercutted twice in the exchange. Meerschaert lands a right hand and eats a right to the body and a left to the head. Shahbazyan rushes in, and he slashes out with an elbow to break. “GM3” sneaks in a left hand, and Shahbazyan boots him in the ribcage. Meerschaert does the same with his kick, and Shahbazyan targets his midsection in response. Doubling up on a jab, Shahbazyan punches his way in and follows a right hand with a head kick. Meerschaert blocks the second kick and loops a left hand in, and they get up close and personal to trade fierce punches. “GM3” further attacks the body, and a left hand that follows reddens up the nose of “The Golden Boy.” Shahbazyan splits the guard with a right cross, and he has a leg kick checked. Meerschaert kicks the inner thigh, and it slides up and slaps into the cup. Shahbazyan grimaces in pain, and Smith calls time. Shahbazyan clutches his groin and paces around to get his wind back, and he takes 75 seconds before resuming. Smith tells Meerschaert to “stay away from that area,” and he nods. On the restart, Meerschaert loops a right around the jab, and he parries a high body kick. Shahbazyan sticks him with a left and comes up short on a big left hand, and they clash with kicks at the same time. Shahbazyan walks through a punch to get Meerschaert’s attention with a right hook, and a body kick from “The Golden Boy” ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 2
The middleweight clap hands to start the round, and Meerschaert is on the attack immediately. Jabbing his way into a takedown effort, he fails on it and pulls back to try a second time. Meerschaert kicks the body of his foe, and he trips to his back and climbs back up. Shahbazyan defends from another takedown, and he clips “GM3” with a short right hook to the body and a pounding knee that puts Meerschaert down. Shahbazyan opens up with ground-and-pound, spamming punches and hammerfists as Smith tells him to fight back. Meerschaert stays busy enough to survive, slowing things down by tying up Shahbazyan’s hand. Shahbazyan tries his hardest to finish the fight, but Meerschaert is savvy enough to block most of them. When Shahbazyan takes mount, “GM3” times an explosion to buck Shahbazyan off of him. Meerschaert threatens with a guillotine off his back, and he reassumes the guard and looks to tie Shahbazyan up with a kimura. Shahbazyan stands up and tells Meerschaert to stand back up. Meerschaert immediately shoots for a takedown and is met with a knee, and he looks for a standing guillotine when Shahbazyan bullies him to the fence. Meerschaert does not have the sub, so he lets it go and blasts Shahbazyan with three ferocious punches. Shahbazyan gives him back two knees to the body and a right hand to back him away. Shahbazyan times a jump knee as Meerschaert tackles him to the mat, and with one minute to go, Meerschaert assumes to position.
In the blink of an eye, Meerschaert latches onto the arm-triangle choke, and he lowers himself down when sensing the resistance of “The Golden Boy” is not what it was before. “GM3” completes the submission without even stepping over to the side, instead hanging on in half guard, and that is all he needs. Shahbazyan surrenders to a sub for the first time in his career
, and Meerschaert has pulled off the upset and the comeback. In doing so, Meerschaert becomes the UFC’s all-time finish leader at middleweight, breaking his tie with Anderson Silva for sole possession of the record.

The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Edmen Shahbazyan R2 4:12 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Angelo picks Gerald Meerschaert as an underdog, acknowledging his chinny reputation but noting his improved takedowns in his last fight. He thinks Meerschaert's grappling is the best it's looked and that if he can take Shahbazyan down, he'll be in trouble. He mentions that Shahbazyan is a 3-to-1 favorite which seems crazy, and that Apex cards are ripe for upsets. He also suggests a plus 3.5 bet on Meerschaert.

plus 3.5 points (decision win)
"I'm picking him Jared Mard is going to be the pick and this is another great plus three and a half bet spot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Cody picks Meerschaert because he thinks Shahbazyan is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. He notes Meerschaert has good BJJ, cardio, and a comeback ability. He believes if Shahbazyan doesn't knock him out in the first round, Meerschaert will take over and submit him. He also mentions that Shahbazyan has been stopped by wrestlers and grapplers before.

Gerald Meerschaert by submission (round 3)
"I'm going take a gm3 shot and that's rare for me but I'm gonna take a gm3 shot"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Daniel Vreeland picks Gerald Meerschaert for the upset, noting Shahbazyan is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He believes if Shahbazyan doesn't get a first-round KO, Meerschaert will take over with submissions or ground-and-pound. He acknowledges the risk of Shahbazyan winning early.

submission or ground-and-pound TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'll go Gerald mirar for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

JP picks Shahbazyan by KO, noting his losses were to elite competition and he has looked great lately. He thinks Meerschaert is old, slow, and his standup is not good. Brevin agrees, adding that Meerschaert is reckless and has been taking bad punishment recently, including a one-punch KO loss to Chimaev. Shahbazyan is bigger, younger, and has good wrestling to stuff takedowns.

Shahbazyan by KO
"I'm gonna take shabazian and I'm gonna take shabazian by KO I think he's better I think Mard slow give me shabazian by KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Paul leans towards Shahbazyan by KO but doesn't like the price. He thinks Shahbazyan has the power to finish Meerschaert early, but notes that Meerschaert is durable and could survive. He prefers to bet live or take a prop on Shahbazyan by KO rather than the moneyline. He also mentions that Meerschaert's chin is suspect.

Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (round 1)
"I would way rather BET live wait for Shian to fall off if I missed Theus 170 on Edmond shabazian by KO which I think is the most likely outcome"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

The MMA Guru picks Edmen Shahbazyan by first-round KO. He believes Shahbazyan is much more talented on the feet and that Meerschaert is getting old. He cites Shahbazyan's wins over Barbarena, AJ Dobson, and Dingi Andula, and notes Meerschaert's recent win over Barbarena was unimpressive. He predicts a first-round finish.

first round KO
"I think he's way more talented on the feet than Gerald and I actually think this is actually recipe for a first round KO for Edmund shabazian"
Submission R2 4:23 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 11 of 17 64% 30 of 36 3 of 7 42% 2 0 5:03
Bryan Barberena 0 12 of 37 32% 25 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 7 of 13 53% 12 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:15
Bryan Barberena 0 10 of 25 40% 13 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Gerald Meerschaert 0 4 of 4 100% 18 of 18 1 of 3 33% 2 0 2:48
Bryan Barberena 0 2 of 12 16% 12 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 11 of 17 64% 7 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Barberena 12 of 37 32% 9 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 8 10 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Barberena 10 of 25 40% 7 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 7 8 of 22 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Gerald Meerschaert 4 of 4 100% 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Barberena 2 of 12 16% 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bryan Barberena vs. Gerald Meerschaert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Meerschaert (-245), Barberena (+200)

Round 1
The prelims kick off with a stylistically opposite middleweight matchup pitting a submission magician against a burly brawler. Meerschaert (35-17, 10-9 UFC) will be the rare betting favorite in a match, because it comes against former welterweight Barberena (18-11, 9-9 UFC). This fight may not need the judges at its conclusion, but referee Herb Dean is on call for what comes next. The grizzled veterans touch gloves, and Meerschaert crowds forward and paws out a low kick. Barberena replies with one as he hops from side to side, not letting himself get cornered or stay too long in one spot. Barberena misses with another leg kick, and he reaches out with a swatting right hook. Meerschaert loads up on a right hand that skims the bears, and he digs a left to the body before backing away to dodge a counter. Barberena chips at the lead leg with a kick, and Meerschaert ducks a punch to tie him up. Barberena frantically escapes the clinch, not allowing the grappler to get hold of him for more than a second or two. Barberena keeps sliding to the side until Meerschaert shoots in on a double, and he takes “Bam Bam” off his feet. Barberena posts off his arm to remain upright, and Meerschaert jumps on top of him to secure the position. Meerschaert clings to the side of his opponent, with one hook in, as Barberena fights to maintain wrist control and keep Meerschaert from establishing a dominant position. Barberena climbs back to his feet, and he threatens with an overhand right but misses the mark. Meerschaert walks straight into a one-two, and Barberena charges into him and bowls him over. Meerschaert absorbs a few low kicks from on his back before popping back up, and he reaches out with a right hand when upright again. Meerschaert slips a few punches and shoot for a double, and he lands in the guard before quickly advancing to half guard. “GM3” slides into side control, and he isolates Barberena’s left arm to pursue a kimura. Meerschaert steps over and wrenches on the kimura behind his foe’s back, but Barberena leans up against the wall to defend it. Meerschaert drops down to snatch up a guillotine choke, but the leverage is not there from his angle to get it set. Meerschaert lets Barberena up and lands a few punches before backing up, and Barberena lumbers towards him throwing inaccurate hands until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert

Round 2
Meerschaert accepts a fist bump to get started, but he is on a mission as he crowds Barberena and chases him around the cage. Barberena keeps moving, and he swings a right hand that is ducked by a shooting “GM3.” Barberena defends the single and pushes off with a left hook, and he reaches out with a pair of punches to back Meerschaert off for a moment. Barberena just misses with a windmilling left hand, and Meerschaert shoots for a single that is stuffed. Meerschaert kicks the ribs and parries a one-two, and he sticks out a jab. Meerschaert prods out another jab, and Barberena answers with his own. Meerschaert shoots, turns the corner and succeeds in putting Barberena on his back. Barberena maintains butterfly hooks to defend from anything, until Meerschaert steps over to half guard. Meerschaert grabs hold of an arm-triangle choke and presses down while his body is draped on the alternate side, and Barberena grits his teeth and scoots his way to the fencing. Meerschaert hangs on from the side and hunts for a rear-naked choke, and Barberena hand-fights to stop it. When Barberena attempts to stand back up, Meerschaert gets the hook in on the other side and acts as a mean-spirted backpack. “GM3” locks up a rear-naked choke while standing, but Barberena is tough as a two-dollar steak and fights it out as he drops to his knee.
Meerschaert grips the rear-naked choke grip on the chin, squeezing with all power on the face crank. Meerschaert does not adjust his grip, and Barberena searches for options and suddenly loses consciousness—from a face crank. The forearm never slid under the chin, and yet Barberena is out cold!
When Dean gets between them, the sportsman Meerschaert rushes over the lift Barberena’s legs up to force the blood to flow back to the head, while Dean tends to the groggy, defeated fighter. The victorious Meerschaert now ties Anderson Silva for the most finishes in the UFC’s middleweight division, and when asked what he wants next, he calls for a beer and a nap.

The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Bryan Barberena R2 4:23 via Technical Submission (Face Crank)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Angelo notes that Meerschaert is a very good grappler always live for a submission, though he has a questionable chin and poor takedown accuracy. Barberena is a fun brawler who doesn't use his wrestling and has been taken down 18 times in his last three fights. Angelo thinks the more likely outcome is Meerschaert gets a takedown and snatches a submission, but warns he cannot be trusted as a 2-to-1 favorite.

"mir's going to be the pick but you cannot trust this guy let alone as a two to one favorite but I do like meard here just because his skills play into barbar's skill Gap"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Big Brady picks Gerald Meerschaert to win by second-round submission. He notes Barberena's poor takedown defense and submission losses, and expects Meerschaert to get the fight to the mat and submit him. He is wary of Meerschaert's chin but thinks Barberena's recent form is too poor.

by second round submission
"I'm going to take mirart here I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Cody picks Gerald Meerschaert, emphasizing the size advantage. He notes Barberena is undersized at middleweight, having ballooned to 240 lbs and struggled to make 170. He points out Barberena was taken down 13 times in his last fight and lacks the power to hurt Meerschaert. He sees Meerschaert's size and grappling as decisive.

"Size matters man and Brian Barberena is giving up so much that it's got to be Gerald for me."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Lucrative James picks Gerald Meerschaert to win by submission, likely in round two or three. He believes Barberena is on a downward trajectory and lacks the power to knock out Meerschaert. He notes that Barberena has a significant grappling disadvantage and that Meerschaert is opportunistic with submissions. He mentions that he won't play the moneyline but might bet on a round prop.

Meerschaert by submission in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to pick Gerald M up to get the submission win here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Barberena

The host is surprised Meerschaert is a big favorite, as he believes Barberena has good enough defensive grappling to deal with Meerschaert's less-than-average wrestling. He notes Barberena has shown improvements in getting back to his feet and letting his hands go, and expects Barberena to have the striking advantage, leading to a knockout in the third round as Meerschaert fails on his grappling attempts.

knockout in round 3
"I believe that we see barbarena get his hand raised in the third round by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Paul also picks Meerschaert but with hesitation. He acknowledges Barberena's toughness and grit, but notes Meerschaert's inconsistency and tendency to lose rounds before pulling off a finish. He warns that this could be a 'pie in the sky' situation where Meerschaert's flaws are overlooked. Still, he expects Meerschaert to win due to size.

"Part of me wants to take that dog shot on Brian Barberena... but his body is not responding."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

The Guru picks Gerald Meerschaert by submission in round three. He notes Barberena was outgrappled by Makhmud Muradov, whom Meerschaert submitted. He expects Meerschaert to get dominant position and submit the 'melting vanilla ice cream' Barberena. He mentions Meerschaert's typical third-round finishes.

submission in the third round
"I'm going to go with Gerald mirot High test Alpha version of Jake Gyllenhaal he gets it done by submission in the third round."
LOSS vs Andre Petroski
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 1 57 of 132 43% 67 of 143 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:06
Gerald Meerschaert 0 76 of 149 51% 92 of 166 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 13 of 42 30% 13 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Gerald Meerschaert 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andre Petroski 1 29 of 61 47% 31 of 63 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:36
Gerald Meerschaert 0 23 of 54 42% 23 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Andre Petroski 0 15 of 29 51% 23 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Gerald Meerschaert 0 42 of 65 64% 58 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 57 of 132 43% 39 of 114 12 of 12 6 of 6 46 of 117 3 of 4 8 of 11
Gerald Meerschaert 76 of 149 51% 65 of 135 6 of 9 5 of 5 60 of 131 10 of 10 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 13 of 42 30% 10 of 39 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 11 of 30 36% 8 of 27 0 of 0 3 of 3 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andre Petroski 29 of 61 47% 20 of 52 5 of 5 4 of 4 21 of 50 0 of 0 8 of 11
Gerald Meerschaert 23 of 54 42% 18 of 47 3 of 5 2 of 2 22 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 15 of 29 51% 9 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0 14 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gerald Meerschaert 42 of 65 64% 39 of 61 3 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 48 9 of 9 6 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-245), Meerschaert (+200)

Round 1
Grappling fans will likely get their money’s worth with this early preliminary headliner at middleweight. A perfect 4-0 in the Octagon since coming into the league off his unsuccessful jaunt on Season 29 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” Petroski (9-1, 4-0 UFC) is a man on a mission with an equal distribution of knockouts and submissions on his ledger. Standing in his way is the ultra-dangerous Meerschaert (35-16, 10-8 UFC), who can snatch up a limb or neck in the blink of an eye. It could be a wild one for as long as it lasts, and referee Herb Dean will be the one keeping tabs on this affair. The crowd cheers louder for Dean than either fighter. There is ample respect, as the two fighters touch ‘em up before handling their business. Petroski moves to the center of the cage, and Meerschaert paws out a few jabs and narrowly avoids a sudden overhand left. Petroski chambers his left hand again, and Meerschaert ducks it and keeps his guard high to block three more strikes. Petroski sits down on a leg kick, and he takes a jab on the nose. Petroski swings for the fences, and Meerschaert responds with a short right hook. Petroski fires off a right hand, and he lumbers forward with two looping strikes. Meerschaert steps in with a sneaky left hand, and he pops Petroski with a second as he keeps moving. Petroski whiffs on a home run punch, and Meerschaert sees that and a second whiz by his face as he prods out with his own jab. Meerschaert’s jab continues to find its home, and he pushes out a one-two when Petroski comes at him, hands down. Petroski unloads with a vicious combination, and Meerschaert dodges most of them but takes one or two flush. “GM3” peppers the lead wheel with a kick, and he stutter-steps forward to draw a reaction out of Petroski. The Pennsylvanian has his right hand ready to fire off in a moment’s notice, and he leaps forward with three strikes that all come up short thanks to Meerschaert leaning and sliding backwards. Meerschaert starts to put his punches together, with a few short combinations that bounce off the guard of his foe. Petroski misses the mark by a mile, and Meerschaert pushes off as Petroski complains about an eye poke. Meerschaert does not acknowledge he committed a foul, and Dean allows him 30 seconds to recover before Petroski says he is good to go. When they resume, Petroski rushes forward but does not swing. Meerschaert gets in a left hand, and he scores a jab to follow. Petroski shoots in for a takedown, and Meerschaert falls to his back and sets up an inverted triangle immediately. Petroski is trapped in this position but does not appear to be overly concerned, and they ride out the round in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
The two touch gloves to get back to it, and Meerschaert strikes first with a left hand over the top. Petroski connects with a leg kick, and he rushes forward in pursuit of a single-leg takedown. Meerschaert matadors him out of the way and allows Petroski to reset. When Meerschaert advances, Petroski lands a right hand. Meerschaert continues trotting forward, and Petroski throws hard and misses, and he goes after a single to follow it. Meerschaert shuts it down and gets off a shovel uppercut, and Petroski comes up high with a kick. They both trade right hands, and Petroski lands a pull-back two-punch combo. Meerschaert replies with a left hand that surprises Petroski, and he catches a Petroski kick that allows Meerschaert to trip his foe to the floor. Petroski jumps back up, and Meerschaert peppers him with a few jabs. Petroski throws hooks, and Meerschaert dodges and chips at Petroski’s lead leg. Meerschaert jumps forward with a jab, and he walks into a right hand that loops around his guard. Meerschaert backs Petroski off with three punches, and Petroski lets his hands go and belts him with a right hook. Meerschaert sticks his tongue out, and Petroski loads up and lands another. Meerschaert dips down and smacks Petroski with his own left hook, and he chains a head kick into it. Meerschaert flashes his jab and puts an uppercut on the chin, and Petroski disguises a single but falls into a potential guillotine trap. Petroski lets it go, and he gets shoved back and has his lead leg kicked again. Petroski drives a left to the body and goes for a right to the head, and Meerschaert defends against it and lands a short right of his own. Petroski leaps into action with a massive right hand, and it sends Meerschaert crashing to the canvas. When Meerschaert hits his back, he throws up a triangle choke, and he manages to gather his thoughts and threaten with another guillotine before the two stand up. As Meerschaert retreats, he is still a little hurt, and Petroski bears down on him and stops a lazy single from “GM3.” Petroski pushes Meerschaert to the floor and lands a few punches before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Petroski
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Petroski

Round 3
Meerschaert is amped up and ready to go, and he rushes at his man and gets off a solid left hand down the middle. Meerschaert snatches up a kick that flies at his side and trips Petroski up, and he succeeds in taking Petroski down and climbing into top position. Petroski attacks with a triangle choke off his back, and Meerschaert fights it off and gets pushed back in the process. Meerschaert jumps back down into the guard of his opponent, and he smothers Petroski without doing much offensively. Dean warns Meerschaert that he needs to do more from here, and this spurs Meerschaert into action, who drops down some ground-and-pound. Petroski swings his legs high for an armbar effort, and Meerschaert shucks it off and elbows Petroski on the head hard. A cut opens up on Petroski’s cheek under his left eye, and Petroski muscles his way back to his feet. Meerschaert pressures his foe, who appears slightly fatigued, and he lays into him with a combination. Petroski throws back with a vengeance, with one punch that does not have the pop on it that it once did. Meerschaert connects with a few more strikes until Petroski shoots for a takedown, and Meerschaert drops to his back and hunts for a guillotine choke. Petroski fights out of it and steps over to the side while threatening with his own counter choke in the form of a Von Preux, and Meerschaert sees this and releases his own grip. Petroski sits up on a guillotine choke as he moves to mount, and Meerschaert traps Petroski’s leg to thwart it. Meerschaert explodes up to his seat and back to his feet, and when clinched up, he knees Petroski right in the breadbasket. Meerschaert rails Petroski with a huge left hand, and the two decide to abandon their grappling ways and throw everything they have. The two begin to brawl, and Meerschaert lands the better of the strikes and knocks Petroski back to the wall. Meerschaert unloads with everything he has left, and Petroski barely survives to the bell. As soon as it sounds, he drops to the floor, totally spent. This could be a close one, depending on how the first round is scored. It may come to the surprise of many that it managed to go the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-28 Meerschaert)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-27 Petroski)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert (29-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Gerald Meerschaert via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski, trusting his wrestling and power, but leaves him out of the safety parlay due to Gerald Meerschaert's submission threat. He notes that Meerschaert has poor takedown defense and a suspect chin, but could pull off a Hail Mary submission. He has Petroski in a parlay with Natália Silva at -133.

Parlay with Natália Silva at -133
"Andre petrovski should win this fight right he's a big time favorite for a reason... I do have Andre petrovski parlayed with Natalia Silva and I got that at minus 133."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Big Brady picks Gerald Meerschaert as a big underdog to win by third-round submission, acknowledging Petroski could knock him out early. He notes Meerschaert has 27 submission wins and is dangerous when opponents tire. Brady worries about Petroski's cardio, as he slows in the second and third rounds, and believes Meerschaert can capitalize on mistakes.

win by submission, round 3
"I'm actually gonna pick a pretty big dog here and Joe muirshire... third round submission as always"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Cody thinks Petroski's wrestling and physical strength will overwhelm Meerschaert, who has a poor chin and is coming off a knockout loss. He expects a finish, but notes Petroski's gas tank could be an issue if the fight goes long.

live bet Meerschaert if fight goes late
"Andre petrovski probably just knocks out jeremere Shard he's a much better wrestler if the fight hits the ground I think he stays out of Harm's Way"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel Levi picks Andre Petroski, noting that he has been improving and showed better pacing in his last fight. He acknowledges that Meerschaert is live to catch Petroski with a submission, especially since Petroski has been guillotined before. Levi is not comfortable laying the price and prefers props, playing Petroski KO in round 1 and Meerschaert submission in rounds 2-3.

Petroski KO1 plus 900; Meerschaert submission round 2 and 3
"I'm picking petrovski here but usually when I pick against Mir Shard that's when he wins"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Lucrative James leans towards Gerald Meerschaert as an underdog, noting that Andre Petroski tends to gas out in the second round before recovering in the third, leaving openings for submissions. He acknowledges the risk of Petroski finishing early but sees value in Meerschaert's patented round 2-3 submission. He suggests a live bet after round one.

live bet after round one
"I'm kind of leaning on the side that gm3 wins this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Petroski is the stronger wrestler with power and cardio improvements. He should take Meerschaert down and control him, likely finishing in the first two rounds. Meerschaert has durability issues and struggles when pressured early. The moneyline is a bit wide, but the fight not going to decision is a solid play.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to lean with the ladder here and say that petrovsky gets this done by the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski to out-grapple and possibly submit Gerald Meerschaert. He notes Meerschaert's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Petroski's scrambles will neutralize Meerschaert's guillotine attempts. He was impressed by Petroski's performance against Wellington Turman and thinks he can dominate on the ground. He predicts a TKO by ground and pound or decision.

TKO by ground and pound or decision
"Andre petrovsky is gonna out grapple him and probably submit him"
Bruno Silva - Fight History
KO R1 1:27 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc-André Barriault 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Bruno Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc-André Barriault 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Bruno Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc-André Barriault 14 of 24 58% 11 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 10 7 of 10 3 of 4
Bruno Silva 6 of 12 50% 4 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 5 of 5 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc-André Barriault 14 of 24 58% 11 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 10 7 of 10 3 of 4
Bruno Silva 6 of 12 50% 4 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 5 of 5 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva (187: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barriault (-148), Silva (+124)

Round 1
Two skidding knockout artists will try to smash the other, with a pink slip very likely awarded to the losing party. What was a middleweight contest transformed into a catchweight affair as Silva (23-12, 4-6 UFC) missed weight by a pound after asking matchmaker Mick Maynard to give him one more chance. Barriault (16-9, 1 NC; 5-8, 1 NC UFC) also has his back against the wall, but he will have the crowd on his side at least. The two hard-swinging gentlemen do not touch gloves, as referee Luc Lefebvre watches on. Barriault sticks out his jab almost immediately, and he walks face-first into a right hand and fires back to make Silva clutch his eye. The Brazilian recovers and resets, lashing out with two punches that miss the mark and darting back to avoid the counter. Silva reaches out with a right hand and digs a knee to the body, switching stances to set up a kick that does not come. Barriault boots him in the body, and Silva catches the kick and knocks him over with swarming punches. Barriault climbs back up to his feet and jams Silva against the fence, where he unloads with titanic elbows.
His power bar maximum, “Power Bar” smashes Silva in the temple with elbow after ruthless elbow. Silva’s legs wobble and quickly give way, and he collapses face-first on the mat, totally done while Barriault finishes the job with four concussive punches
. The crowd explodes in favor of the Canadian, with “Ole ole ole” chants drowning out any other thought. Silva is still down, as medical officials tend to him. He slowly regains consciousness, but is completely disoriented and clutches his head while Barriault walks to the center of the cage and puts his hands in the prayer gesture. Silva rolls to his back, in serious agony, and Barriault’s celebration is tempered but emotional as he embraces his team. This marks the first time that Silva had ever been knocked out as a pro, and it is a rough one as the medical team tends to him and stretchers him out of the cage.

The Official Result
Marc-Andre Barriault def. Bruno Silva R1 1:27 via KO (Elbows and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault confidently, noting Bruno Silva is on a four-fight losing skid and looks like a shell of himself. He believes Barriault will win with sheer volume and that Silva will fade. He advises jumping on the -179 odds before they shorten further, predicting Barriault may become a 3-1 favorite by fight night.

"This has to be a Mark Andre pick. He's on his own losing skid, but it's very different vibes. His losses are more about skill and matchup. Mark Andre is just losing to better people."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady calls this the '1800 gambler fight of the week', comparing it to choosing between a turd sandwich and a giant douche. He notes Barriault has no chin and was brutally knocked out recently, but at least he wants to be there. Bruno Silva has lost 7 of 8 and admitted he doesn't want to fight. Brady leans Barriault because Silva's lack of desire is worse than a weak chin. He predicts a second-round knockout for Barriault.

Barriault wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going to lean with the guy that can't take a shot in Mark Andrebario. ... I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host expresses low confidence due to both fighters being flaky—Barriault's durability issues and Silva's anxiety. He leans on Silva landing a big shot within a round and a half to get a knockout victory.

Wins by KO within 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to lean on Silva landing that big shot on Bario within a round and a half and eventually getting that knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

The MMA Guru picks Barriault, believing Bruno Silva has declined significantly since the Pereira fight. He thinks Barriault's pressure, volume, and grappling will overwhelm Silva, who lacks pop and aggression. He predicts a decision win, noting Barriault's consistency and Silva's recent poor performances.

decision
"I actually feel like Mark Andre Barry is going to get this one done. I think he's going to win it by decision."
LOSS vs Ismail Naurdiev
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismail Naurdiev 0 66 of 116 56% 107 of 166 3 of 13 23% 0 0 5:51
Bruno Silva 0 36 of 97 37% 38 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismail Naurdiev 0 13 of 27 48% 21 of 38 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:03
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 27 44% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ismail Naurdiev 0 20 of 39 51% 40 of 62 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:10
Bruno Silva 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ismail Naurdiev 0 33 of 50 66% 46 of 66 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:38
Bruno Silva 0 10 of 37 27% 10 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismail Naurdiev 66 of 116 56% 42 of 87 15 of 20 9 of 9 51 of 96 11 of 16 4 of 4
Bruno Silva 36 of 97 37% 28 of 83 4 of 6 4 of 8 30 of 85 6 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismail Naurdiev 13 of 27 48% 6 of 18 4 of 6 3 of 3 8 of 19 5 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 12 of 27 44% 7 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ismail Naurdiev 20 of 39 51% 15 of 31 4 of 7 1 of 1 15 of 33 1 of 2 4 of 4
Bruno Silva 14 of 33 42% 12 of 28 1 of 2 1 of 3 12 of 29 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ismail Naurdiev 33 of 50 66% 21 of 38 7 of 7 5 of 5 28 of 44 5 of 6 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 10 of 37 27% 9 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 33 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ismail Naurdiev vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-625), Hugo (+455)

Round 1
Fresh off a prolonged stint in Brave CF—one where he only went .500 while getting finished three times—Austria’s Naurdiev (23-7, 2-2 UFC) has somehow worked his way back to the organization while moving up to 185 pounds. His comeback draws powerhouse Silva (23-11, 4-5 UFC), who has bricks for fists but has struggled to land them cleanly as of late. High finish rates of 78% and 87% collide, which puts referee Mark Smith on notice while likely letting the judges take it easy. Gloves are touched before they are traded, and Silva strikes first with a sharp guard-splitting jab. Silva flicks out a few more, and Naurdiev’s nose is already reddening. Naurdiev opens up with wide punches and a power low kick, and Silva absorbs a flush body kick on the way back. Silva pushes out another jab, and Naurdiev goes for one to the midsection. Silva throws off-balance and gets countered with an overhand right, and his offense slows. He attempts a one-two and a low kick, and Naurdiev responds with a right hand over the top. Silva tosses a high kick that gets caught, and Naurdiev uses it to pushes his man to the fence. Silva sprawls with his back to the cage, and he posts off one hand to stop himself from being taken down. Naurdiev opens up with an elbow and a few punches to break, and as Silva throws back, Naurdiev whips a head kick at him. Silva chops at the front leg, turns around slowly, and gets nailed by a much quicker Naurdiev. The Austrian by way of Morocco shoots for a potential takedown, dragging Silva to his hands but not to the mat. Naurdiev leans on his opponent until Silva stands up, and he knees the Brazilian in the gut. Both men score elbows as they split up, and Silva attacks a low kick on the break. Naurdiev shoots in for a double-leg takedown, putting “Blindado” on his seat and hooking his legs around Silva’s. Silva bursts back to his feet, and Naurdiev hops onto his back and immediately starts fishing for a rear-naked choke. Silva leans against the fence and hand-fights to protect his neck, and Naurdiev slides off in part to Silva grabbing the fence, forcing a reset to kickboxing range. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev

Round 2
The second round opens with Silva tossing out low kicks. Naurdiev replies with a loud body kick, and Silva catches it and releases it when missing on a right-hand counter. Naurdiev jabs the body and walks into a left hand, and he fakes a level change to open up an overhand right. Silva tosses out a lazy low kick, and Naurdiev responds with a body shot. Naurdiev times a right hand over the top when Silva pitches another slow leg kick, and he shoots in on the Brazilian’s hips and puts him on the mat. Silva tugs on the fence to hope to improve his position, and Naurdiev climbs on top of him as Smith issues a warning. Naurdiev hacks at his man with elbows as Silva works his way up, and he sells out for a double and lifts Silva up but cannot deposit him on the floor. Silva knees and punches his way out of the tie-up, and he walks Naurdiev down and takes a few jabs on the jaw. Silva attempts a takedown, and Naurdiev easily defends it and sets up a power guillotine choke. Silva throws him off of him rather than technically fighting the choke, and he stalks “The Austrian Wonderboy” down and walks into a takedown entry. Naurdiev resets, punching his way into a double, and he secures it and dumps Silva to his backside. Naurdiev wrangles his opponent, sitting on top in half guard while working him over with punches. Silva once more grabs the fence, and Smith issues yet another warning. Silva returns to his feet, and he jabs his way to get some space. Naurdiev jabs him back and pitches out a front kick, and Silva tries to sway to dodge the attacks. Naurdiev flicks out a question-mark kick, and he dives after a double and settles for a single-leg entry to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev

Round 3
The fighters touch ‘em up to get going, and Silva appears to have a little fire under his belly as he launches attacks at his opponent. Silva’s swings are lumbering and telegraphed, and Naurdiev is sharper and picks him off before shooting for a double. Naurdiev pushes Silva from one end of the cage to the other, and he scores knees to the body and a right hand over the top to break off. Silva whips a kick to the ribs, and he shoots low for a takedown that fails miserably. Silva puts his hands on the mat to defend his face from getting kneed while leaned over, and he leans back up against the wall when the Austrian hangs onto him. Naurdiev backs off to put jabs on Silva’s face, and he lines up a right hand that glances off the temple. Naurdiev allows Silva to throw a weak high kick, and when Silva turns around slowly like a Lazy Susan, Naurdiev charges him. Silva gets pushed to the wall, doggedly pursuing the takedown while hunting for trips. Silva sets up a Thai clinch, getting off one knee before absorbing several heavier blows. Naurdiev backs off and trades hands with his opponent, and they bounce on their heels to shake things out. Naurdiev chases Silva to the fencing, letting his hands go and blasting his foe’s front leg with a kick. Silva gets off two punches and a knee, and Naurdiev dances in and out with jabs and leg kicks. Silva tries to wing a left hand over the top, and his second fails as well and a leg kick turns him around. When Naurdiev crashes towards him, Silva manages to turn around in time, but he does not throw anything intercepting. Silva pushes out long left hands, and Naurdiev is light on his feet, sliding from side to side while pecking at the Brazilian with a body kick. The fight comes to a conclusion.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev (30-27 Naurdiev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev (30-27 Naurdiev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev (30-27 Naurdiev)

The Official Result
Ismail Naurdiev def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Big Brady picks Naurdiev, citing his well-rounded skills and multiple paths to win. He notes that Bruno Silva has looked washed since the Alex Pereira fight, appearing disinterested and fighting poorly. He believes Naurdiev can mix in takedowns and win on the feet or the mat. He predicts a decision win.

"I'll take Ismael nardev to win this fight I'll take him to win the fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva, citing Naurdiev's history of quitting and poor durability. He notes that Naurdiev has lost as a favorite multiple times and has cardio issues. Cody believes Silva's power and experience could lead to a knockout if Naurdiev fades. However, he is not confident and suggests a small play or pass.

"I'm also going to take Bruno Silva for really no good reason"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Connor picks Silva, agreeing that Naurdiev is not durable and walks into hard strikes. Silva is a big puncher and Naurdiev is knockoutable. Connor notes that both fighters are bad and this fight has no reason to exist.

"I'll take Silva just for the hell of it. Sure. Punch hard. And already have likes to get punched. Yep. Yep. He's knockoutable. Certainly."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Daniel Vreeland picks Ismail Naurdiev to win, citing Silva's declining durability and poor minute-winning since the Pereira fight. He notes that Naurdiev has grappling upside and is the better minute winner, while Silva relies on a puncher's chance. Vreeland believes the current line is about right and that Naurdiev will pick Silva apart if he doesn't get knocked out early.

"I'm picking Nord EV in this one"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Vreeland is taking the underdog Bruno Silva despite his recent poor form. He notes that Naurdiev's last win was against an out-of-shape opponent and that Silva hits hard. Vreeland admits it's a stab at plus money, acknowledging Silva's takedown defense issues but hoping for a knockout.

"I'm going dog here Gumby I'm taking Bruno Silva despite how bad he's looked"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Jeff Fox strongly disagrees with Vreeland, calling Naurdiev infinitely better than Silva. He highlights Silva's terrible takedown and submission defense, and Naurdiev's legitimate wrestling and submission game. Fox sees Naurdiev's path to victory via takedowns and a rear-naked choke, and notes the odds of a submission are high.

higher than 1.5 takedowns for Naurdiev (Underdog fantasy pick); submission prop implied
"I think he's infinitely better than Bruno and as you mentioned Bruno Silva's takedown defense and his submission defense is terrible"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Naurdiev will mix martial arts effectively, using his wrestling to get top position and grind out a decision. He may leave some striking defense openings that Silva could exploit, but Naurdiev should avoid most of them and also find striking opportunities. The pick is Naurdiev by decision.

"look for nard of to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting that Naurdiev has a history of quitting and that Silva has power. He believes Silva can win if he survives the first round, as Naurdiev tends to fade. Paul is not confident but leans Silva due to the line movement.

"I'll take the plus 150 on Bruno Silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

The Guru picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing Bruno Silva's age (35) and recent unimpressive performances. He notes Naurdiev is a younger, more athletic welterweight moving up, and believes his striking and takedown defense will be enough. He acknowledges Naurdiev's regional losses but thinks he is growing into his prime. The Guru also mentions Silva's losses to Chris Weidman and Brendan Allen as signs of decline.

"I'm going to go with Ismail Naurdiev to start the card I don't believe in Bruno Silva anymore."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Zane picks Silva just for the hell of it, noting that Naurdiev is not durable, not defensively sound, and walks into hard strikes. Silva is a powerful puncher and Naurdiev is knockoutable. However, Zane acknowledges that both fighters are bad and this is a terrible filler fight.

"I'll take an audience. I'll take Silva just for the hell of it. Sure. Punch hard. And already have likes to get punched. Yep. Yep. He's knockoutable. Certainly."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Ismail Naurdiev

Zane picked Naurdiev, but was unimpressed with the fight overall. He noted that Silva looked like he doesn't want to fight anymore and has been washed since Gerald Meerschaert outboxed him. Zane acknowledged Naurdiev's hard luck story but said he still didn't look great and will likely wash out against better competition.

"nardiev looked better than bruno silver bruno silver looked like he doesn't want to fight anymore"
LOSS vs Chris Weidman
Technical Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 2:18 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Weidman 1 75 of 111 67% 88 of 129 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:15
Bruno Silva 0 30 of 88 34% 30 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Weidman 0 20 of 30 66% 32 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:09
Bruno Silva 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Weidman 0 45 of 64 70% 45 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 19 of 63 30% 19 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Weidman 1 10 of 17 58% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Bruno Silva 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Weidman 75 of 111 67% 44 of 74 14 of 19 17 of 18 56 of 88 5 of 7 14 of 16
Bruno Silva 30 of 88 34% 28 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 3 29 of 86 1 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Weidman 20 of 30 66% 9 of 16 2 of 4 9 of 10 6 of 13 5 of 7 9 of 10
Bruno Silva 4 of 8 50% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Weidman 45 of 64 70% 25 of 42 12 of 14 8 of 8 45 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 19 of 63 30% 18 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 3 18 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 1
3 Chris Weidman 10 of 17 58% 10 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 6
Bruno Silva 7 of 17 41% 7 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Chris Weidman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-285), Weidman (+230)

Round 1
The feature fight of “UFC Atlantic City” features former middleweight champ Weidman, fighting near his Long Island home turf and looking to reverse the fortunes that have seen him go 2-7 since his title loss to Luke Rockhold eight years ago. His foe, Silva, will attempt to reclaim some of the shine he earned after knocking out his first three UFC foes upon his arrival in 2021, before embarking on a dismal 1-4 run of his own. Overseeing the proceedings will be referee Gary Copeland. Weidman is orthodox, Silva southpaw. Weidman is reaching out with the lead hand, looking to tie up or parry the hand of Silva. Weidman throws a right kick, then another, getting some work for the leg he broke against Uriah Hall a couple of years ago. Weidman goes upstairs with the left leg, then throws a pair of punches up the middle that hurt Silva. Silva ties Weidman up and looks for a takedown. Weidman takes a front headlock and throws some knees to the head of Silva. Weidman moves to the back, holding Silva with a rear waistlock and dragging him to his knees. Silva posts his hands on the ground, forestalling any more knees to the head, and builds back up to all fours. Silva uses the fence to deny Weidman full back control, but Weidman is throwing short strikes and keeping the Brazilian completely corralled. Under a minute to go and it’s all Weidman, as Silva is parked against the fence, defending himself but doing nothing else. Weidman is throwing knees to the back of Silva’s legs, and the round ends in that position.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman

Round 2
Silva is bouncing on his toes, showing both stances. He catches a Weidman kick and pushes him over onto his seat, but Weidman pops back up. Weidman comes forward, reaching with the left hand and throwing kicks with both legs. Weidman lands a right kick to the body. Silva comes back with a pair of punches that land. Silva steps in and throws a pair of big hooks that glance off of Weidman’s arms. Weidman lands a body punch, then in the next collision, thumbs Silva right in the eye. Copeland calls time and gives Silva time to recover. There is a moment of confusion as Copeland requests a towel to clear the eye, but thankfully it arrives and they go back to work a few seconds later. Weidman immediately goes back to the right body kick, and Silva answers with a pair of punches. Weidman changes levels but Silva is all over it. Weidman catches Silva with a punch that makes him stumble, but Silva recovers quickly. Silva throws a huge hook that misses by a mile, nearly spinning him around. Silva rushes forward with hooks, all of them wild, but several land nonetheless. Weidman answers with punches of his own. Both men have been rocked. Weidman catches Silva with another left hook, backs him up to the fence and lets fly. Silva is in some trouble, even as he tries to throw back, but the round expires before either man can capitalize.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman

Round 3
Silva throws a lead right hook, which Weidman slips and counters with a left. Seconds later, each man pokes the other in the eye almost simultaneously, though Silva appears to get much the worse of it, going to his hands and knees in pain as Weidman steps away blinking. During the ensuing time-out, Copeland tries to determine whether both blows were fingers or one was a fist. It turns out that both strikes were fouls, and the fighters go back to work after a warning. Weidman goes back to reaching with the left hand, and Silva goes upstairs with a huge head kick that misses high. Two minutes gone in the rounds and Weidman steps in with a straight right.
Silva leaps in with a pair of punches, and Weidman levels him with a short counter punch. Silva goes down pawing at his eye, but Weidman swings away and Copeland is there in seconds for the stoppage. Weidman celebrates to the roars of the crowd as Silva protests.
Replay shows that Weidman actually managed to poke Silva in both eyes—one with each hand!—rather than any clean punch. This is going one of the weirdest endings to a fight on a card full of weird fight endings.
The fight result is initially announced as a TKO win for Weidman. A few minutes later, however, the UFC booth states that the result will go down as a unanimous decision win for Weidman, based on the scorecards up to the point of the fight-ending foul. No individual scores are announced, nor is it clear whether the third round was scored at all, or if any point deduction was assessed for the final pair of eye pokes.

The Official Result
Chris Weidman def. Bruno Silva via Technical Decision (Unanimous).
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva despite being a Chris Weidman fan. He notes Silva hits hard and is tough, while Weidman looked old and slow in his last fight after a broken leg. He thinks this is one of Weidman's last winnable fights but believes Silva will get it done. He does not bet because he would be rooting against Weidman.

"I still got to pick Bruno Silva I am going to be cheering for Chris Weidman the entire time so don't expect to see a bet on Bruno"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges Weidman has a path via submission due to Silva's poor ground game, but believes Silva's power will be too much for the aging Weidman, who has been knocked out multiple times. Brady notes Weidman hasn't had a good performance since 2017 and expects Silva to land a knockout.

"I'm going to take Bruno Silva to knock him out give Chris wman like his seventh knockout loss in his career Give me Bruno Silva to win this fight by give me first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody believes Weidman is completely shot, citing his age, injuries, and poor recent performances. He thinks Silva's power and aggression will overwhelm Weidman early, possibly by leg kicks or overhand rights. He notes Silva's cardio issues but expects a finish before that becomes a factor.

"I think something just hurts why early whether it be a leg kick that just demobilizes him again hobbles him up whether it be an overhand right that just crashes in on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Vreeland picks Bruno Silva, citing his 20-0 knockout ratio and Weidman's age, leg break, and history of getting knocked out. He believes Weidman will fatigue after early takedown attempts and that Silva will land a knockout. He notes Silva's submission losses but thinks Weidman won't be able to submit him due to Silva's ability to survive and get back up.

"I got Bruno blindado and it's like I said I was already fading Wyman prior to the leg break"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Weidman is 1-4 in his last five, aging, and his body can't absorb damage like before. Silva has knockout power and should time Weidman's entries for an uppercut or explosion. Weidman may get a takedown or two but lacks finishing ability at this stage. Silva by knockout in the second or third rounds is likely, but the minus 285 line is too wide to bet.

Silva by knockout; minus 175 KO prop is still too wide
"I do think that we see Silva find that knockout in the spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva but without much enthusiasm, calling Weidman 'beyond beyond dead.' He notes Silva's inconsistent performances and high price (-260) but sees no reason to back Weidman given his decline.

"I guess I'll pick Bruno Silva but I don't really have much intention of betting this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva to win by TKO, citing Weidman's age (39), compromised leg, and lack of finishing potential on the feet. He believes Silva's low kicks will be effective and that Weidman will be hesitant. He predicts a TKO, though he initially considered a decision.

TKO
"Bruno is going to win by TKO Weidman has no finishing potential on the feet in my opinion"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 113 of 154 73% 222 of 274 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 65 of 91 71% 107 of 138 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 46 of 66 69% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 28 of 42 66% 28 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 43 of 58 74% 82 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 26 of 36 72% 44 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:25
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 24 of 30 80% 94 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 11 of 13 84% 35 of 40 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 113 of 154 73% 56 of 92 22 of 24 35 of 38 74 of 106 15 of 21 24 of 27
Bruno Silva 65 of 91 71% 51 of 76 6 of 7 8 of 8 35 of 56 5 of 5 25 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 46 of 66 69% 16 of 31 10 of 12 20 of 23 46 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 28 of 42 66% 20 of 33 3 of 4 5 of 5 27 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 43 of 58 74% 21 of 36 9 of 9 13 of 13 24 of 35 7 of 9 12 of 14
Bruno Silva 26 of 36 72% 20 of 30 3 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 3 15 of 18
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 24 of 30 80% 19 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 12 12 of 13
Bruno Silva 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Sharabutdin Magomedov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-250), Silva (+205)

Round 1
It is time for the UFC’s annual show in Abu Dhabi, and it begins early for stateside audiences. Morning mayhem is on the menu for fight fans in the Western Hemisphere, and the UFC has done its darnedest to build a card that can excite from fight no. 1 to 13. The action begins in the middleweight division between two men that crave knockouts. Making his debut with the promotion against a tough test, Magomedov (11-0, 0-0 UFC) will be taking a serious step up in competition when he battles “Blindado” Silva (23-9, 4-3 UFC). Before the fists and feet fly, referee Jason Herzog checks them in. The gloves are touched, and Magomedov swats away a few flies before engaging. Magomedov takes the center of the cage and whips a kick out low to test the waters, and Silva no-sells it and slowly walks him down. Magomedov lands another from range, but Silva is slowly backing him towards the fencing despite getting off kicks. Silva ignores a few more as he closes distance, and he paws out his foot to the waist in a single response. Silva leans over with a left hand and turns awkwardly with a heel kick to the side, but when he recovers, he cracks the Russian with two heavy punches. Silva chains a punch into a whipping low kick, and Magomedov whiffs on the leg kick reply. Magomedov nails his man with a leg kick, and Silva crowds him but gets knocked back with a few fists. Magomedov fires off a head kick out of nowhere to shock Silva, and a jump knee from “Bullet” follows to further get his attention. Silva wobbles back to the fencing, and he gathers his thoughts and bounces off it to re-engage. Silva lunges forward with punches, and he pops Magomedov at the end of them. The unbeaten fighter parries a few strikes and signals to his foe that Silva’s fingers were extended, so Silva apologizes with a glove touch offer. Magomedov nails his man with another solid kick, and when he turns around lazily, Silva sprints towards him with winging punches. As Silva turns about during an exchange, Magomedov boots “Blindado” in the groin with full force and then brings up a head kick as Silva is stung from the foul. Herzog calls the illegal blow and gives Silva time to get his thoughts, and the two get back to it. The Russian hammers Silva’s lead leg with a vicious kick that makes Silva change stances, and when Silva returns to southpaw, he attacks it again on the inside. Silva snipes Magomedov with a left hook, and Magomedov shakes it off and pins a kick to the ribcage. Magomedov stays on his bike with kicks, and Silva sits down on punches to hurt Magomedov badly. This draws a fiery brawl, and Silva lays into the heavy favorite with a flurry while Magomedov attempts to return fire with kicks. As Silva hurts Magomedov, the round ends.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves to initiate the round, and Silva is quick to pick up where he left off. Magomedov tries to keep away and uses his legs as his best weapons, with a few low kicks that set up body kicks and even a hook kick up high. Silva hammers him back with nasty punches, but the damage is starting to mount from Magomedov’s leg kicks. Magomedov lets fly a head kick that glances off the guard, and Silva keeps his wits about him and looks to line up a long right hand as Magomedov pecks and picks at him with his effective kicking game. Magomedov chains together multiple punches into a knee up the middle, and he continues bombarding Silva with kicks that land with thuds rather than slaps. Silva lunges with strikes, but he cannot quite catch Magomedov as the Russian has his preferred range. Silva checks a kick after eating a few more, and “Shara Bullet” goes up high with a hook kick. Silva times a diving takedown to take Magomedov off his feet, and he succeeds in planting his adversary on his back. Magomedov defends himself off his back by hacking with elbows, and he cuts Silva on the top of his head with them. Magomedov remains fully active from on his back, and Silva tries to get off shots but is taking damage despite being in top position. Magomedov is happy to get into a slugfest from his back, and he gets some space and smacks Silva with an upkick. Silva manages to connect with some heavy ground-and-pound as well to rip open a cut on Magomedov’s eyebrow, but Magomedov is not at all concerned by it. Silva maintains heavy top pressure and picks his moments to strike so that Magomedov cannot get to him with sneaky elbows. Silva drives home a few more punches until he gets kicked off, and Magomedov turns and whips Silva in the face with a shocker of a kick off his back. Silva blinks it out and dives back down to strike until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 3
Having reached the final round, the two men are ready for five more minutes of carnage. Magomedov reintroduces himself with a number of leg kicks, and one foot thumps into Silva’s cup. Silva tanks it so that he can charge forward, and he manages to hit a double-leg takedown in the middle of the cage to ground the Russian. Magomedov immediately spurs into action with slicing elbows, all while pushing off Silva’s chest with his feet when he can get any space. Silva lowers himself into the guard to slug Magomedov in the face with powerful, gravity-empowered punches, and he passes to half guard briefly. Magomedov keeps busy from his back, and he scoots himself to the wall in hopes of standing up. Silva cannot keep him down, and Magomedov celebrates by kneeing Silva in the face. Silva bull-rushes with a double to take the fight down, and Magomedov stuffs it and elbows Silva in the face. Silva takes every strike on the chin so that he can secure a double, and “Shara Bullet” slams the back of his head on the mat in pain. Magomedov appears stunned, and he does not attack from his back after this takedown. Herzog asks Silva to do more, as Silva is slowing down, and Silva tries to respond with some slugs on the chin. Magomedov delivers several blows despite in the disadvantageous position, and Silva shifts over to side control with 30 seconds to spare. Magomedov kicks him off, and Silva threatens one more takedown that is stuffed. Magomedov drives home one more knee up the middle, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)

The Official Result
Sharabutdin Magomedov def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo is very high on Shara Magomedov, calling him a massive prospect and the next big thing. He notes Bruno Silva's power and BJJ but questions his chin after being dropped by Brendan Allen, who isn't a one-punch knockout guy. Angelo expects Shara to win by KO and mentions he has parlays including Shara. He is confident in Shara's striking and power.

Shara by KO, parlay inclusion
"Shara by KO probably a very solid bet I think he's great to Parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by second or third round knockout. He notes Magomedov is a powerful striker with all wins by KO except one decision, while Bruno Silva has looked off lately, taking heavy damage in the Pereira fight and getting dropped by lesser opponents. Brady believes Silva's durability is fading and that Magomedov will put him away.

second or third round knockout
"I think mamedov comes in here gets his first win in the UFC and does it by second or third round knockout against Bruno Silva."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov, emphasizing his striking and cardio. He notes that Silva is a first-round KO artist who fades if he doesn't finish early. Cody believes Magomedov's pace and volume will wear Silva down, leading to a late finish or decision. He acknowledges the eye issue but thinks Magomedov has adapted.

"I'm gonna go with Shara Magomedov but yeah at the same time I understand why there's value on the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, praising his dynamic kicking and clinch knees. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's power and experience, noting that Silva has 20 knockouts and could close the distance to land. However, he believes Silva's durability is waning after taking damage in recent fights, and that Magomedov's range and body attacks will be key. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and says he would not bet at these odds.

Magomedov minus 275, Silva plus 235; mentions possibility of Silva knocking out Magomedov if they trade in the pocket
"I'm gonna go with Shara in the spot but I think at plus 235 the plus 250 I think it might be a doger pass situation."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2023 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov at -225, believing there was value as the line closed at -350. He noted that Sharabutdin beat Bruno Silva brutally for three rounds, winning 30-27 on all scorecards. He acknowledged Sharabutdin's poor takedown defense and get-ups but felt his guard was solid and his striking was elite. James considered Bruno Silva a tough opponent but thought Sharabutdin would win the majority of the time.

"We actually bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov minus 225 and that closed about minus 350... minus 225 in my opinion is value all day."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Magomedov's movement and speed advantage will allow him to touch up Silva from distance, stay on his bicycle, and roll with shots. Silva's power is a threat but Magomedov's durability looks good. Expects Magomedov to win by decision, playing it safe with the jab and leg kicks.

over 1.5 rounds at -140
"I think that the movement and the speed of advantage that magov is going to have here will be enough to allow him to touch up uh Sila from distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva as a dog, citing Magomedov's lack of wrestling and his disability (one eye). He notes that Silva has fought tough competition and has power, and that Magomedov's regional tape shows he can be taken down. Paul believes Silva can make it ugly and possibly win by KO.

"I guess I'll pick Bruno Silva here I'm picking way too many dogs Cody this is not going to end well"
LOSS vs Brendan Allen
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:39 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brendan Allen 1 30 of 56 53% 40 of 69 0 of 2 0% 1 0 2:29
Bruno Silva 0 20 of 38 52% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brendan Allen 1 30 of 56 53% 40 of 69 0 of 2 0% 1 0 2:29
Bruno Silva 0 20 of 38 52% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brendan Allen 30 of 56 53% 24 of 49 5 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 32 5 of 5 10 of 19
Bruno Silva 20 of 38 52% 17 of 33 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brendan Allen 30 of 56 53% 24 of 49 5 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 32 5 of 5 10 of 19
Bruno Silva 20 of 38 52% 17 of 33 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendan Allen vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-180), Silva (+155)

Round 1
A fight that seems destined for a finish will kick off the main card on ABC, as these two middleweights present dueling finish rates of 81% and 87%. Referee Marc Goddard is on his guard for this encounter between “All In” Allen (21-5, 9-2 UFC) and “Blindado” Silva (23-8, 4-2 UFC). The two do not bump fists before getting to it, and instead it is Allen as the attacker, swinging out a high kick that is parried with ease. Allen rushes out with a straight right hand and attempts another high kick, and the latter is blocked. Allen sneaks up a head kick, and Silva eats it and is forced to defend a takedown effort that follows. Allen rips the body with a kick, and he closes the distance and ignores a knee coming back at him. “All In” jams Silva up against the wire, and he connects with a short elbow as he does. Allen looks to muscle Silva down to the floor, and when his first try come up short, Goddard tells them to work. Allen keeps pressing on his foe to wear on him, and Goddard asks again for more activity. Allen breaks off and gets drilled with a right hand, and he counters Silva with a short right hand to shake the Brazilian up as a result. Allen drives a left hand through and rocks Silva, and he shoots for a double that gets stuffed. Silva backs him away and walks into an uppercut, and when Silva unloads with a few punches, he backs away to reset. Silva stings his man with a combination, and Allen shells up and counters with a pair of rights. Allen smashes his opponent on the side of the head with several vicious right hands, and the last one in a chain of them sends “Blindado” careening to the mat.
Allen jumps on top hoping to finish the job, and he busts Silva up with several punches on the way down. Silva turns to his side, and Allen hopes to take his back in the process. Allen hunts for a back take, and he gets a hook in. He does not need to even secure the other before he fastens a rear-naked choke up tightly.
Allen is in major trouble, and he does not have the wherewithal to fight the grip or get out of the precarious position. Instead, before he goes out, Silva is forced to tap out. That is another rear-naked choke for Allen, who waded through a firefight and showed off his improved striking before getting the club-and-sub finish.

The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Bruno Silva R1 4:39 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Angelo leans toward Brendan Allen, thinking he probably wins if he avoids Bruno Silva's big power. He notes Allen is well-rounded and on a four-fight win streak, but historically inconsistent. He considers a bet on Bruno Silva inside the distance (finish only) at plus money if available.

Bruno Silva inside the distance (finish only) if plus money
"Brendan Allen isn't Andrew Sanchez and he probably wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Big Brady picks Brendan Allen despite not trusting him, citing Allen's tendency to make poor fight IQ decisions. He notes Silva's massive hole in grappling with seven submission losses. He believes if Allen takes the fight to the mat, he will dominate via submission. However, if Allen chooses to strike, he risks getting knocked out by Silva's power. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round sub
"I'm gonna take Brennan Allen first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Cody picks Allen, agreeing that his wrestling and jiu-jitsu will be decisive. He notes Silva's power but thinks Allen can make the fight ugly and take him down. He compares Allen to Pat Sabatini in terms of grappling advantage.

"I'm not convinced he is a great wrestler by any stretch but his mediocre wrestling if that's all it is probably still good enough to get Bruno down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Connor picks Allen, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Silva is a dangerous puncher but lacks form and consistency. Allen has been improving his striking under Henry Hoof and has become more durable. Connor points out that Allen has only been finished once early in his career and that his grappling is elite. He sees Silva's only chance as landing a lucky shot.

Allen's odds getting longer in his favor; Silva's puncher's chance is real but unlikely.
"I can't see a consistent form way for Silva to win this fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Daniel Levi picks Brendan Allen but is concerned about a letdown spot after losing a main event booking. He acknowledges Allen's superior skills but notes Silva's knockout power and Allen's history of being knocked out. He thinks Allen is the more skilled fighter but sees this as a dangerous fight and a dog-or-pass situation at -180.

Dog or pass at -180; no bet.
"I'm gonna pick Brendan but I hate this price and I hate this fight for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

The host picks Brendan Allen to win by submission. He believes Allen's grappling advantage will be too much for Silva, as Silva has struggled against grapplers in the past. He expects Allen to get the fight to the ground, work to dominant positions, and eventually find a submission. He also suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop.

fight doesn't go to decision
"look for Brendan Allen to extend his winning streak to five fights this weekend and getting the victory by by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Paul picks Allen, citing his grappling advantage and ability to take Silva down. He notes Silva's power but thinks Allen can neutralize it with wrestling and submissions. He acknowledges the risk but believes Allen's grappling is the key.

Allen by submission at plus 160 mentioned.
"I think Brandon Allen's grappling would just be the key to Victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

The Guru picks Brendan Allen but expresses worry about Allen's tendency to strike instead of grapple. He believes Allen is much better than Gerald Meerschaert, who dropped Silva, and that Allen can frustrate Silva by mixing in grappling. He predicts Allen will shoot a takedown when Silva rushes with a combo and win by TKO via ground and pound. He pleads with Allen to grapple and not trade power punches.

Predicts TKO via ground and pound.
"I'm gonna go with Brendan Allen but Brendan Allen here's the problem... Brendan Allen is dumb okay"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Zane picks Allen, emphasizing his superior grappling and improving striking. He notes that Silva is a powerful but formless brawler who over-swings and leaves himself in bad positions. Allen is a shockingly good grappler with wins over Andre Muniz and Kevin Holland. Zane believes Allen can win via submission or decision, and that Silva's only path is a puncher's chance.

Allen opened -196, went to -150, now -175. Silva +152 to +155. Allen likely wins by submission or decision.
"Brendan Allen shouldn't lose this fight. He really shouldn't."
WIN vs Brad Tavares
TKO (knee and punch) R1 3:35 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 15 of 64 23% 15 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 1 23 of 51 45% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 15 of 64 23% 15 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 1 23 of 51 45% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 15 of 64 23% 11 of 56 4 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 23 of 51 45% 17 of 40 5 of 9 1 of 2 21 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 15 of 64 23% 11 of 56 4 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 23 of 51 45% 17 of 40 5 of 9 1 of 2 21 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Brad Tavares
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tavares (-155), Silva (+135)

Round 1
A banger at 185 pounds is on deck for the co-headliner of this Fight Night, as Tavares (19-7, 14-7 UFC) looks to hold the middleweight line against the lead-fisted Silva (22-8, 3-2 UFC). One of these two fighters will get back in the win column here and potentially push their way back into the top 15, and they will have 15 minutes at max to do so. Referee Mark Smith has donned his hard hat, and the two fighters bump fists in front of his eyes. Tavares doubles up on the jab after the bump, and Silva springs out of the way. Silva walks forward and ducks a big punch, and he misses the mark with his own heavy left hook. Silva lets go with a leg kick, and Tavares intercepts him with a powerful body kick. Tavares times a right and a left, with the left landing behind the ear and getting Silva’s attention. Tavares boots Silva upside the head, and Silva blocks most of it and throws back with a vengeance. A long jab from Tavares makes Silva stumble, but Silva gathers his bearings and knocks Tavares back with a right hand. The Hawaiian releases a kick to the ribs, a one-two and a front kick in rapid succession, and Silva attempts to tie him up and knee him in the face. The two middleweights throw from their hips, and they reset to exchange from a distance. Silva leans down to guard a body kick, and he counters a reaching Tavares with an uppercut. They trade single, long punches, and Tavares lets fly a high kick. Silva sneaks a right hand over the top to rock Tavares, and the Hawaiian wobbles back but is still very much in the fight. Silva trades back when Tavares engages with him, and Silva stings Tavares with a short combination.
“Blindado” uncoils a powerful knee and a blindingly fast right hand that gets around the guard, and Tavares collapses to his back. Smith halts the fight when Tavares goes down, and Tavares immediately complains that he was not knocked out and was still in the fight.
Regardless of the feelings of the stoppage, the result is what it is, and Silva has turned things around to record a very important knockout. Silva reminds the division of the power in his fists with this victory, and he may have claimed a spot in the top 15 at the expense of ranked Chris Curtis.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Brad Tavares R1 3:35 via TKO (Knee and Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva despite his recent loss, attributing it to a bad night. He believes in Silva's raw talent, power, and BJJ, and thinks he can beat Brad Tavares who is well-rounded but not exceptional at anything. He acknowledges the risk and advises others to do their own research, noting that if you think Silva is broken, then pick Tavares. He is not betting on this fight.

No bet on this fight.
"I'm still gonna ride with Bruno here... Bruno Silva's gonna be the pick I'm not touching it with bets."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva as a dog to knock out Brad Tavares in the first round. He is hesitant because Silva looked awful in his last fight, appearing sluggish and drunk, but if the 'sober' Silva shows up, he has the power to knock out Tavares, who has been knocked out multiple times. Brady is scared by Silva's last performance and won't put a ton of money on him, but he still picks Silva to win early.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Bruno Silva here as a dog I'm gonna say he does knock out Brad Tavares ... I'll say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva as an underdog, criticizing Brad Tavares as one-dimensional and not exceptional. He notes Tavares fades in later rounds and allows opponents to outwork him, as seen against Dricus du Plessis. Cody believes Silva has power and can land damaging strikes, possibly getting a knockout or winning a decision. He mentions Silva went 15 minutes with Alex Pereira and landed heavy shots.

"this is a dog or pass fight so I'll actually take the underdog in a second straight one Bruno uh it's no disrespect to Brad Tavares just him favorite versus anybody I'm not particularly interested"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Connor picks Tavares, arguing that Silva is one-dimensional and falls apart when his wild hooks are neutralized. He notes that Tavares is a solid defensive wrestler and technical striker, and that Silva's inefficiency will cause him to gas. However, he acknowledges that Silva hits hard and could catch Tavares if he gets into a lull, but overall Tavares should grind out a win.

"I guess I'll pick Brad, but I do have a feeling that like these dudes are just going to continue having more and more chances at hurting Brad."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Brad Tavares has good striking defense and durability, as shown against Dricus du Plessis where he was not knocked down. He can mix in takedowns to avoid Bruno Silva's power. Silva is knockout-reliant and has poor takedown defense; he tends to get outstruck by technical strikers. Tavares should be able to outwork Silva over three rounds, using combinations and leg/body kicks. Silva may slow down, allowing Tavares to increase output and win a decision.

Tavares by decision
"Brad Tavares does great in terms of throwing combinations ending with leg kicks or body kicks and I think he has a good enough overall game... I'm going to say Brad Tavares by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul also picks Bruno Silva, agreeing with Cody that Brad Tavares is not someone he likes as a favorite. He sees a path for Silva to win by decision or knockout, noting Tavares' durability may be fading. However, Paul admits he is not actually betting this fight, calling it a pass for betting purposes.

"plus 130 not a fight that I'm actually gonna bet but for this purposes of this show uh Bruno Silva will be my pick as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares over Bruno Silva. He notes Silva's loss to GM3 and damage from Pereira, while Tavares has a granite chin and good grappling. He thinks Tavares can use his takedowns and technical striking to win. He is not fully confident but leans toward Tavares.

"I'm gonna go with Brad Tavares over Bruno Silva here Bruno Silva lost to gm3... I'm gonna side with Tavares he's got a granite chin so I don't see Bruno Silva finishing him"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Zane picks Tavares but is hesitant, noting that Tavares is fundamentally solid but hasn't evolved and often lulls in fights. He worries that Silva's power and awkwardness could catch Tavares, similar to how Dricus du Plessis did. However, he thinks Silva is too messy and inefficient, and that Tavares's defensive wrestling and jab should carry him to a decision win.

"I'll pick Brad Tavares along with you because Bruno Silva really does... seem like he fits the absolute bill of the kind of fighter that gets into the UFC, gets a couple of really good, shocking wins while people don't …"
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:39 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 29 of 81 35% 38 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Bruno Silva 1 46 of 114 40% 61 of 136 1 of 6 16% 1 0 2:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 10 of 26 38% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 38 31% 20 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:55
2 Gerald Meerschaert 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 19 of 51 37% 19 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Gerald Meerschaert 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Bruno Silva 1 15 of 25 60% 22 of 33 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 29 of 81 35% 17 of 60 6 of 14 6 of 7 27 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 46 of 114 40% 28 of 92 9 of 12 9 of 10 36 of 95 0 of 0 10 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 10 of 26 38% 5 of 17 3 of 6 2 of 3 9 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 12 of 38 31% 8 of 33 2 of 2 2 of 3 6 of 25 0 of 0 6 of 13
2 Gerald Meerschaert 12 of 41 29% 8 of 32 2 of 7 2 of 2 12 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 19 of 51 37% 8 of 38 6 of 8 5 of 5 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Gerald Meerschaert 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 15 of 25 60% 12 of 21 1 of 2 2 of 2 11 of 20 0 of 0 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Gerald Meerschaert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-280), Meerschaert (+235)

Round 1
Silva returns to action after having a seven-bout professional winning streak snapped by current No. 1 contender Alex Pereira at UFC Fight Night 203. Meerschaert has won three of four but is also coming off a defeat in his last outing. They touch gloves and we’re underway. Meerschaert opens with a leg kick. Silva is walking forward and he lands a body kick. Meerscheart answers with one of his own. Another hard body kick for Silva. They trade punches in close, but nothing of consequence lands. Meerschaert dodges a left but Silva follows up with a low kick. Meerschaert with a leg kick in response. Meerschaert is slipping punches well so far, but he eats another leg kick. A long jab form Silva backs up his opponent. Meerschaert lands a body kick. The Roufusport product connects with a jab. Meerschaert with a left hook in an exchange. Silva lands a body kick followed by a glancing left hand. Meerschaert times a level change and plants Silva on his back. Silva is staying active from his back by trying to throw strikes. Meerschaert is heavy on top. Meerschaert postures up and lands a series of standing left and rights before diving back into top position before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert

Round 2
Meerschaert fires off a body kick and Silva answers with a leg kick. Silva just misses a big right hand. Silva pressures and absorbs a front kick. They clinch briefly but Silva shoves his opponent away. Another nice body kick for Meerschaert and Silva swings and misses wildly. Silva counters a kick with a right hand and an off balance Meerschaert stumbles. Another body kick lands for Meerschaert and he follows up with a leg kick. Silva looks for a takedown and is momentarily trapped in a choke but he quickly escpaes. A stiff counter right lands for Silva. Meerschaert has a takedown entry denied. Meerschaert lands a standing side kick, then ducks under a winging punch. Meerschaert connects with a glancing head kick. Another level change is denied by Silva, but Meerschaert follows up with a body kick. Silva pressures with punches and Meerschaert runs away with the Brazilian in pursuit. An inside low kick lands for Meerschaert and Silva buckles to a knee. Another leg kick makes Silva stumble. Meerschaert jabs forward and Silva answers with a jab . Silva whiffs and falls forward on a massive punch just before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert

Round 3
Meerschaert goes back to the body kick that has given him so much success. Then he lands a leg kick. Silva denies a takedown attempt. Meerschaert avoids punches from an onrushing Silva, then counters with a combination. Silva shrugs off the takedown attempt, however. Meerschaert changes levels and lands a knee in close. He drops “Blindado” with a massive left hook after they separate and follows him to the canvas.
Meerschaert lands a few alternating lefts and rights before locking in the guillotine. Silva tries to escape, but Meerschaert maintains the hold and the Brazilian has no choice but to tap out.
That makes 27 career submission wins for “GM3.”

The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Bruno Silva via Submission (Guillotine Choke) R3 1:39
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo is extremely confident in Bruno Silva, citing his striking, BJJ, and toughness. He notes Meerschaert's only path is to get beaten up and pull off a submission, but Silva has solid BJJ to defend. Angelo has a 2-unit moneyline bet and will use Silva in knockout kings.

2-unit moneyline bet; will use in Monkey Knife Fight knockout kings; hopes for under 2.5 rounds
"bruno silva's an easy pick for me i have two unit money line bet on him two i think he absolutely gets this done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round knockout. He calls Silva a black belt in ground and pound with tremendous power. Meerschaert is slow, hittable, and unlikely to get the fight to the mat. Silva's submission defense has improved, and Brady sees this as a terrible matchup for Meerschaert. He expects Silva to put him out cold in the first round.

first round knockout
"i like bruno silva here quite a bit um and i like him to win my first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva by KO, calling him a murderous power puncher. He notes Meerschaert's chin has been compromised and that Silva carries power through all three rounds. Cody doubts Meerschaert can take Silva down early, as he was out-wrestled by Dustin Stoltzfus.

Bruno Silva by KO
"i got bruno silva by naco"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva, citing Silva's devastating power, durability, and improved takedown defense. He notes that Silva went three hard rounds with Alex Pereira and has knockout wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov. Levi believes Silva's power and pressure will be too much for Meerschaert, and he predicts a first-round knockout. He acknowledges Meerschaert's submission threat but thinks Silva will avoid it.

Parlayed Bruno Silva with Marlon Vera at +102 odds.
"I think that Bruno Blendatto actually comes out here and as much as I love Gerald I think he knocked Gerald out in the first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva, expecting an early finish. He mentions that Meerschaert could be dangerous if it goes to the ground, but he would rather take violence in that spot. He includes Silva in his totals parlay under 1.5 rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds (in parlay).
"mirchard silva under one and a half expecting an early silver finish there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Bruno Silva by knockout, noting Silva's power and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges Meerschaert's submission threat but thinks Silva's wrestling defense is adequate. Paul warns that Meerschaert is the king of snatching submissions after getting beaten up.

Bruno Silva by knockout
"bruno silva i think by knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva, calling it a lock. He expects Silva to survive Meerschaert's early takedown attempts, work his way up, and hurt him on the feet, leading to a third-round TKO. He notes Silva's good gas tank and ability to stuff takedowns, as seen in the Andrew Sanchez fight, and criticizes Meerschaert's recent performances.

third round TKO
"i'm definitely going to be going with bruno silva though"
LOSS vs Alex Pereira
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Pereira 0 108 of 179 60% 165 of 239 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:17
Bruno Silva 0 59 of 147 40% 72 of 160 2 of 8 25% 0 0 3:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Pereira 0 27 of 51 52% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 16 of 46 34% 19 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
2 Alex Pereira 0 33 of 58 56% 53 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Bruno Silva 0 31 of 64 48% 32 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:10
3 Alex Pereira 0 48 of 70 68% 81 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 37 32% 21 of 46 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Pereira 108 of 179 60% 60 of 120 41 of 50 7 of 9 86 of 151 22 of 27 0 of 1
Bruno Silva 59 of 147 40% 39 of 119 8 of 16 12 of 12 52 of 134 7 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Pereira 27 of 51 52% 10 of 28 11 of 16 6 of 7 23 of 45 4 of 6 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 16 of 46 34% 10 of 40 2 of 2 4 of 4 13 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Alex Pereira 33 of 58 56% 19 of 41 13 of 16 1 of 1 30 of 53 3 of 4 0 of 1
Bruno Silva 31 of 64 48% 20 of 49 6 of 10 5 of 5 27 of 57 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Alex Pereira 48 of 70 68% 31 of 51 17 of 18 0 of 1 33 of 53 15 of 17 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 12 of 37 32% 9 of 30 0 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 35 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alex Pereira vs. Bruno Silva

Round 1
The matchmakers knew what they were doing with this high-stakes middleweight matchup pitting two knockout-friendly strikers against one another, even if some feel it might be too early to eliminate one as a future contender. Former kickboxer “Poatan” Pereira (4-1, 1-0 UFC) and his 100% knockout rate will aim to put “Blindado” Silva (22-6, 3-0 UFC) away with strikes for the first time in his career, and the action will likely be furious and frenetic for as long as it lasts. Referee Mark Smith might have been better suited putting on protective gear to defend against an errant blow, in light of referee Scott Manhardt getting clocked with a rolling thunder kick at an IMMAF event earlier this week. The heavy-handed Brazilians touch gloves, and Pereira throws first with a high kick that slaps off the guard. A head kick from the other leg comes from “Poatan,” who backs off and spams kicks while Silva comes towards him. Silva looks to clinch briefly, and Pereira pushes him off and keeps his kicks going. Silva stays composed, and he suddenly explodes forward with a surge of punches that are largely blocked. Pereira pushes away with his fingers out, and Smith warns him. Smith takes a punch up the middle, and he jumps forward with three punches that all hit air as Pereira dances out of the way. Two punches comes from “Poatan,” and as he looks for a knee, Silva busts him in the chops with a right hand. Silva bites down on his mouthpiece and slings another pair of booming hooks, and Pereira absorbs them and wears them well. Pereira scores a kick the body, and they both land punches at the same time. Silva ducks a punch, tries to loop several punches on the outside, and gets clinched by the kickboxer. Up close, Silva glances a knee off the cup, and Smith warns him but does not pause the match. Instead, Pereira pushes off, throws two kicks in rapid succession to the body, and Silva tries to spin with a wheel kick that just misses. Silva changes stances, meeting an advancing Pereira with a left hand and a low kick, and he does this same tactic a second time. Silva pushes forward, where he changes levels and hits a takedown, while Pereira defends with a guillotine choke that he hopes to push Silva’s neck down and stand. “Poatan” gets to a knee as Silva stays glommed on to him, wrapping one of Pereira’s legs up and dragging him down. Pereira explodes upright again, only to get met with a stern knee from “Blindado.” Pereira looks to make Silva pay, missing with a left hand and forced to block when Silva lobs hammers at him. Pereira splits the guard with a left hand, follows it with a knee and stings Silva. He pulls back instead of trying to finish the job in the latter seconds of the round, and calmly blocks a Silva head kick as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The middleweights meet in the middle to pick up where they left off, and a kick from Pereira bounces off Silva’s cup. Silva answers back with a swarming combination, and Pereira dances out of the way and tries to paw out a front kick. Silva absorbs a punch to the body as he pushes forward, and he has a right hand go over the top as Pereira rolls with it. Pereira again targets the midsection, and he wades forward to not let a looping left from Silva land on him. Pereira scores a kick to the head, and Silva eats it and rushes in to throw with bad intentions. Pereira slaps punches away as he is forced to defend, replying with strikes that get Silva’s attention. Pereira goes up high with a left and to the body with a right, but he cannot get Silva off of him. “Blindado” eats a left hand on the chin, kicks his foe’s leg, and changes levels to secure a takedown. It does not take more than a few seconds for the kickboxer to muscle his way back to his feet, while not letting Silva land anything on him. Silva presses him tightly against the fence, kneeing him to the thigh a few times as “Blindado” exerts heavy pressure. Pereira tries to fight off with slapping punches, and Silva spins with an elbow. Pereira takes the space and sneaks up a knee, but Silva replies with a powerful uppercut. As they continue to stay tangled up, Pereira scores another knee, and Silva tries and fails to take the fight down. Pereira strings together a few punches up top, and a left hand rattles Silva for a moment. “Blindado” does not seem to budge, remaining in Pereira’s face as he sticks out a jab and forces the kickboxer to fight off his back foot. Silva wings a right hand that slides off the face, and he connects with a right hand that stuns “Poatan” for a moment. Silva jumps forward with a few punches, busting Pereira’s nose open, and he chains a combination together that ends in a low kick. Pereira responds with a jump knee, and Silva takes it flush and scores the same combination as before punctuated with a leg kick. One more flying knee comes from “Poatan,” and Silva stumbles and falls to his back – it was not a knockdown, but a slip. Pereira wades into his foe’s guard, and the close, tense round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Pereira

Round 3
The strikers touch ‘em up to commence the final round, and Pereira is first to engage with a long left hand. Silva’s chain of a combination that ended the last round strong carries over to the last frame, with punches and a leg kick. From there, “Blindado” shoots for a takedown, and he gets stuffed. Silva rips the leg with another kick, and a few punches make Pereira bounce back to the wall. “Blindado” bullies his foe up to the fencing, and they trade knees while jockeying for position. Pereira turns Silva around in the clinch, and he punches Silva’s thigh as they pummel and push one another around. Pereira is constantly busy in this position, with little punches and hammerfists to any target he can find, as Silva stays tightly pressed with little other offense. Pereira knees the body, and he leans back just in time as Silva goes to the moon with an uppercut that brushes past Pereira’s chin. When Silva walks his foe down, Pereira answers with a strong series of punches. One big left hand hurts Silva, who wobbles back, and Silva aims to take the fight down to the canvas. Pereira stops it from succeeding as he knees Silva in the gut multiple times, working Silva over with a couple elbows from up close as he starts working the body. Pereira starts turning it up to try to finish the job, but Silva blocks or eats them and throws back with bad intentions. Silva’s counters go wide, and he shoots low for a takedown that is stuffed without much concern from “Poatan.” They both stand back up to their feet, and Silva trips him down when they are clinched up against the fence. Springing back to their feet but stuck up against the wire, Silva does everything he can to take the fight down. Silva unloads with punches and bunches, and Pereira counters with a right hand that smashes Silva’s nose open. Silva clutches his face and backs off, and when Pereira advances to try to finish the job, Silva blasts him with a right hand. A few more peppering punches from Pereira to the damaged nose make Silva clutch it again, and the fight ends before a finish can materialize. Silva survives and drops to his knees in pain, but he took Pereira to the scorecards – the first fighter to do so in Pereira’s MMA career.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Pereira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Pereira)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Pereira)

The Official Result
Alex Pereira def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva for the upset, citing his raw power and MMA experience. He notes that Silva has 28 professional fights compared to Pereira's five, and that the smaller UFC gloves may leave Pereira vulnerable to Silva's punches. He acknowledges Pereira's elite kickboxing but believes Silva can thread the needle and put him away. Angelo placed a 1-unit bet on Silva at +165.

Bet: 1 unit moneyline at +165
"i am taking a one unit chance on bruno silva at plus 165 he has looked absolutely unstoppable lately"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks the underdog Bruno Silva to win by first-round TKO. He believes Silva's path is to take the fight to the mat, where he has vicious ground-and-pound. He notes Silva has never been knocked out in 28 fights and has good cardio. He acknowledges Pereira is the better striker but thinks Silva can get takedowns, referencing Silva's wrestling outside the UFC. He expects a finish, as the 'fight doesn't go to decision' line is -600.

first round tko, fight doesn't go to decision -600
"i'm actually gonna take the dog here in bruno silva i'm gonna take him to get this fight down to the mat and uh tko alex prayer in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Cody is confident in Pereira, citing his striking pedigree and size advantage. He notes Silva's lack of wrestling and believes Pereira will knock him out. He mentions the line may move as people see Pereira's size.

Pereira by KO
"i think prayer ends up being a parlay piece"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva at plus 170 odds, explaining that Silva has 28 pro fights and experience against tough competition. He believes Silva will close the distance, use dirty boxing, mix in takedowns, and knock Pereira out with ground and pound. Levi warns that if Silva tries to kickbox at distance, he deserves to lose, but he trusts Silva's experience and power. He also notes that Silva knocked out Pereira's teammate Wellington.

i actually took bruno silva here at plus 170 odds
"i actually took bruno silva here at plus 170 odds"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Silva is seen as a live underdog with more MMA experience and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. He can use grappling and clinch to neutralize Pereira's striking, and has cardio to go the distance. Pereira's hype is based on a single UFC win where he struggled early. Silva is expected to win via decision, possibly grinding on Pereira.

Silva via decision line at crazy odds is mentioned as a potential poke; fight doesn't go to decision is advised against.
"I would not be doing my job if I didn't take the plus 150 that's currently hanging on Bruno Silva."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Paul is confident in Pereira, citing his striking and Silva's lack of wrestling. He notes Silva has never been knocked out but Pereira's power is different. He expects a KO.

Pereira by KO
"i think prayer ends up being a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Alex Pereira over Bruno Silva, predicting a first-round KO via check hook. He believes Silva will be hesitant and that Pereira's aura, reach, and kickboxing level will be decisive. He notes that Silva has failed many takedowns and hasn't used grappling effectively in the UFC, while Pereira showed good grappling defense against Andreas Michailidis. He acknowledges the matchup is dangerous but trusts Pereira's power and training with Glover Teixeira.

first round KO via check hook
"i'm going to go with alex peja here over bruno silva i'm going to pick him by ko probably in the first round check hook on bruno silva"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo is extremely confident in Bruno Silva, citing his striking, BJJ, and toughness. He notes Meerschaert's only path is to get beaten up and pull off a submission, but Silva has solid BJJ to defend. Angelo has a 2-unit moneyline bet and will use Silva in knockout kings.

2-unit moneyline bet; will use in Monkey Knife Fight knockout kings; hopes for under 2.5 rounds
"bruno silva's an easy pick for me i have two unit money line bet on him two i think he absolutely gets this done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round knockout. He calls Silva a black belt in ground and pound with tremendous power. Meerschaert is slow, hittable, and unlikely to get the fight to the mat. Silva's submission defense has improved, and Brady sees this as a terrible matchup for Meerschaert. He expects Silva to put him out cold in the first round.

first round knockout
"i like bruno silva here quite a bit um and i like him to win my first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva by KO, calling him a murderous power puncher. He notes Meerschaert's chin has been compromised and that Silva carries power through all three rounds. Cody doubts Meerschaert can take Silva down early, as he was out-wrestled by Dustin Stoltzfus.

Bruno Silva by KO
"i got bruno silva by naco"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva, citing Silva's devastating power, durability, and improved takedown defense. He notes that Silva went three hard rounds with Alex Pereira and has knockout wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov. Levi believes Silva's power and pressure will be too much for Meerschaert, and he predicts a first-round knockout. He acknowledges Meerschaert's submission threat but thinks Silva will avoid it.

Parlayed Bruno Silva with Marlon Vera at +102 odds.
"I think that Bruno Blendatto actually comes out here and as much as I love Gerald I think he knocked Gerald out in the first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva, expecting an early finish. He mentions that Meerschaert could be dangerous if it goes to the ground, but he would rather take violence in that spot. He includes Silva in his totals parlay under 1.5 rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds (in parlay).
"mirchard silva under one and a half expecting an early silver finish there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Bruno Silva by knockout, noting Silva's power and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges Meerschaert's submission threat but thinks Silva's wrestling defense is adequate. Paul warns that Meerschaert is the king of snatching submissions after getting beaten up.

Bruno Silva by knockout
"bruno silva i think by knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva, calling it a lock. He expects Silva to survive Meerschaert's early takedown attempts, work his way up, and hurt him on the feet, leading to a third-round TKO. He notes Silva's good gas tank and ability to stuff takedowns, as seen in the Andrew Sanchez fight, and criticizes Meerschaert's recent performances.

third round TKO
"i'm definitely going to be going with bruno silva though"