UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Age 37
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 6' 0"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Azamat Murzakanov
4.7 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
2.86 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.55 TD Avg
15.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Tafon Nchukwi
5.57 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.11 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.76 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Azamat Murzakanov
Moneyline
BetRivers -182
KO/TKO
FanDuel +175
Submission
BetMGM +700
Decision
BetRivers +350
Tafon Nchukwi
Moneyline
BetWay +170
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +3400
Decision
FanDuel +380
Azamat Murzakanov - Fight History
LOSS vs Paulo Costa
TKO R3 1:23 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 34 of 70 48% 34 of 70 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:20
Paulo Costa 1 55 of 80 68% 61 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 7 of 26 26% 7 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paulo Costa 0 21 of 31 67% 23 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:20
Paulo Costa 0 19 of 31 61% 23 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:49
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paulo Costa 1 15 of 18 83% 15 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 34 of 70 48% 26 of 59 8 of 11 0 of 0 30 of 65 4 of 5 0 of 0
Paulo Costa 55 of 80 68% 27 of 44 16 of 23 12 of 13 44 of 66 6 of 7 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 7 of 26 26% 6 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paulo Costa 21 of 31 67% 8 of 14 5 of 9 8 of 8 14 of 22 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Azamat Murzakanov 23 of 38 60% 16 of 30 7 of 8 0 of 0 20 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
Paulo Costa 19 of 31 61% 9 of 17 7 of 10 3 of 4 15 of 26 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Azamat Murzakanov 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paulo Costa 15 of 18 83% 10 of 13 4 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov, citing his power, wrestling, and knockdowns in every UFC fight. He acknowledges Paulo Costa's recent good performance but is skeptical of Costa moving up in weight and his history of canceled fights. He expects Azamat to bring pressure and suggests a possible over 1.5 rounds bet.

over 1.5 rounds
"Azamat's going to be the pick. Maybe we get lucky enough for a one and a half round line because I do think this is going to go a little bit longer."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady is impressed with Murzakanov's speed, power, takedown defense, and defensive striking. He notes that Murzakanov's cardio has improved and he carries power late. He doubts Paulo Costa's recent performances, citing losses to Vettori, Strickland, and Adesanya. He predicts Murzakanov wins by decision, possibly hurting Costa but not finishing him.

decision
"I like Merzikanov in this matchup... give me Azamat Merzikanov to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Cody picks Costa as an underdog, believing he can weather Murzakanov's early storm and outwork him in later rounds. He notes Murzakanov's low volume and Costa's durability, expecting a decision win for Costa.

"I am actually going to take Paul Costa. Very small stakes, but I feel like he weathers the early storm and just outworks him down in rounds two and three."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Connor picks Murzakanov, citing Costa's inconsistency and lack of defensive awareness. He notes that Murzakanov is a one-shot knockout artist with excellent timing and defensive awareness, and that Costa's high-volume, low-defense style leaves him vulnerable. Connor also questions Costa's motivation and his move up to light heavyweight, suggesting that Murzakanov's calm, patient approach will allow him to land a clean shot. He compares Murzakanov to Fedor Emelianenko in terms of timing and cage craft.

Odds comment: Murzakanov opened -155, currently -187; Costa opened +135, currently +162.
"I got to take, I got to take Merzicon off just wait, Costa..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel believes Murzakanov is being disrespected and sees him as a heavy hitter with good takedown defense. He thinks Costa gets discouraged in fights and that Murzakanov will box him up.

"I feel like people are disrespecting Mzakanov and I'm going to come out here and pick him and I think that he boxes up Paulo Costa."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Vreeland picks Azamat Murzakanov because he believes Murzakanov is criminally underrated and has been disrespected by oddsmakers. He notes that Murzakanov has heavy hands and good wrestling, and that Costa's cardio and discipline are questionable. He also points out that Costa's move up to light heavyweight may not help his psyche or performance.

"I got Murzakanov here, and I think he's being disrespected again, coach."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Paulo Costa

The host thinks the odds are too aggressive favoring Murzakanov (implied probability 67%) and would cap the fight closer to 50/50. He believes Costa has better cardio and is the more complete striker, while Murzakanov is a better boxer with more power but fades after the first round. He prefers the underdog value on Costa but is not confident in a win.

Likes Costa +3.5 on the fight spread; thinks fight likely goes to decision.
"If I were capping this fight personally, I would probably have it closer to 50/50. I don't really know why Merab Dvalishvili is such a big favorite."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

James picks Murzakanov, citing his power, speed, and accuracy advantage over Costa, who he believes is on a downtrend and not suited for light heavyweight. He expects Murzakanov to hurt Costa early and possibly finish him.

"I did end up picking Azimat Makanov as my official pick. And I do think he's going to win this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Costa's durability and volume should be too much for Murzakanov, who relies heavily on knockout power. Murzakanov has been close to losing in several fights and his power may not phase Costa. Costa's athleticism and counter-striking can neutralize Murzakanov's blitzes. Costa looked sharp against Kopylov and can outpoint or even knock out Murzakanov. This is a winnable fight for Costa at plus money.

Costa wins by knockout
"I'm gonna go Costa here to pull off the upset. I think he ends up landing a big shot on Mzakonov."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul favors Murzakanov due to Costa's questionable commitment and Murzakanov's knockout power. He thinks Costa may be one foot in, one foot out, while Murzakanov's sole purpose is knocking dudes out.

"Makana is a side for me. What about you? Yeah, I'm gonna go with Paulo Costa..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Paulo Costa

The MMA Guru picks Paulo Costa over Azamat Murzakanov. He is very confident, calling it a 'masterclass'. He believes Costa's speed, body kicks, and technical striking will be too much for Murzakanov, who he thinks is overrated and whose best days are behind him. He predicts a TKO in round two via body kick or similar.

"You're about to witness a Paulo Costa masterclass."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Zane picks Murzakanov, emphasizing Costa's psychological fragility and tendency to fade when pressured. He notes that Murzakanov does a lot of maintenance work—cutting off the cage, feinting, and being defensively aware—which will set up his knockout power. Zane also points out that Costa's only recent good performance was against Roman Kopylov, and that moving up to light heavyweight again raises questions about his commitment. He believes Murzakanov's timing and power will be too much for Costa, who is prone to getting hit and may not want to engage.

Odds comment: Murzakanov opened -155, currently -187; Costa opened +135, currently +162.
"I think this may be one of those fights where that genuinely is the deciding factor. Yeah, because Marzakonov landing a clean shot on Paula Costa may not be so different from Israel, out of Sonia landing a clean shot …"
KO R1 3:11 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 9 of 14 64% 13 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Azamat Murzakanov 1 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 9 of 14 64% 13 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Azamat Murzakanov 1 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 9 of 14 64% 0 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 7 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Azamat Murzakanov 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 9 of 14 64% 0 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 7 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Azamat Murzakanov 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo leans toward Azamat Murzakanov despite acknowledging Rakic's reach and technical striking. He notes Murzakanov has knockdowns in all six UFC fights and is powerful, but also small for the division. Angelo thinks Rakic is too low-volume and used to losing, and he might sprinkle a small bet on Murzakanov if the odds widen.

I might sprinkle sprinkle a little bit on him.
"I am still going to lean Murzakanov. I think Rakic is too safe, too low-volume, and honestly, too used to losing at this point. ... Azamat Murzakanov's the pick. We'll see if these odds widen or tighten, and I might …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Big Brady leans toward Aleksandar Rakić, despite Murzakanov's undefeated record. He notes Rakić has faced elite competition (former champions) and has a significant size advantage (4-inch height, 7.5-inch reach). Brady expects Rakić's superior cardio and leg kicks to be decisive as Murzakanov slows down in fights. He predicts a close decision win for Rakić, though he hates picking against Murzakanov.

Rakić by decision
"I'm leaning Rakić's way. It's very tough to pick against Murzakanov cuz Murzakanov just kind of looks like he's just kind of he's going to keep winning. But I feel like I got to go Rakić here. I'm going to …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody picks Azamat Murzakanov despite the size disadvantage, citing his undefeated record and knockout power. He notes that Rakić is on a three-fight losing streak and may have confidence issues, while Murzakanov finds a way to win. Cody acknowledges that Rakić is world-class and will have moments, but believes Murzakanov's power and finishing ability will prevail, though he expects a close fight.

"Murzakanov at some point finds the kill shot for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Connor picks Rakić, arguing that Murzakanov's level of competition has been low and his size disadvantage will be too much. He believes Rakić's reach and kicking game will keep Murzakanov at bay, and that Murzakanov's low output will cost him rounds. Connor thinks this is a step too far for Murzakanov.

"I'm going to pick Rockach here. I think that this is really just the point where Mirza Kannav's small, small, small guy who takes huge chances game just can't overcome."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Vreeland questions Rakić's confidence and durability, noting his tendency to fade and his recent losses. He believes Murzakanov's pressure, southpaw power, and ability to close distance will overwhelm Rakić. He predicts Murzakanov will walk Rakić down, get into punching range, and knock him out. He acknowledges Murzakanov's cardio issues but thinks he can finish early.

wins by KO
"I'm going to pick Mzakanov to extend his win streak and to come out here and knock out Alexander Rockic."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Lucrative James picks Aleksandar Rakić, but hesitantly. He cites Rakić's experience against top competition (Jan Błachowicz, Jiri Prochazka, Magomed Ankalaev) and his size advantage, which could make his head kicks effective. He notes Murzakanov's power and explosiveness but questions his cardio and level of competition. He believes Rakić can win the minutes and land kicks from the outside, but acknowledges Murzakanov's danger.

"I am going to pick Rakage here, boys. I've decided I'm going to pick Rakage because I think he might be a little bit underrated coming off three losses to three of the best in the division."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The host believes Rakić can stay away from Murzakanov's power, chip away with calf kicks, and mix in grappling. He thinks Rakić's size and strength will lead to a knockout.

knockout
"I think that Rakage is going to be too big and too strong for Mzrizzakonov, which should lead to Rakage finding that knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul also picks Murzakanov but is hesitant, noting the size difference and Rakić's speed. He plans to wait for weigh-ins to get a better price, as Murzakanov may drift to plus money. Paul acknowledges that Murzakanov's cardio is a concern, but believes his power and the Abu Dhabi crowd support give him an edge.

"Murzakanov is the side for me. I'm going to wait until weigh-ins cuz I feel like you may get a better price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić by decision, but admits he is hesitant. He notes that Azamat Murzakanov is undefeated and has KO power, but Rakić has a significant reach advantage and has trained with Jon Jones. He believes Rakić's low kicks and range management will be key, and that Murzakanov's shorter frame may struggle to land. He references Rakić's close fight with Magomed Ankalaev and his performance against Jiri Prochazka before getting injured. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with a scare in the third round.

"I'm going with Aleksandar Rakic. Sad, I know. I don't know why I keep doing it, but I can't [ __ ] help myself."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Zane picks Murzakanov, comparing him to a wolverine who will not accept losing. He believes Murzakanov will absorb early damage from Rakić's kicks but then storm forward and steal rounds with crushing offense. Zane notes Rakić's tendency to fall apart under pressure and thinks Murzakanov's aggression will be the difference.

"I'm still going to pick Mirza Kannav here. I think, um, he's going to soak up a lot of damage, but I think there's enough of what we saw from Uncle I have against Rockach and Mirza Kannav that at …"
KO R1 3:25 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 1 27 of 36 75% 29 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Brendson Ribeiro 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 1 27 of 36 75% 29 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Brendson Ribeiro 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 27 of 36 75% 23 of 32 4 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 26
Brendson Ribeiro 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 2 3 of 4 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 27 of 36 75% 23 of 32 4 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 26
Brendson Ribeiro 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 2 3 of 4 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov confidently, noting his power, wrestling, and durability. He highlights that Azamat has a knockdown in all five UFC fights and showed a second gear when rocked by Alonzo Menifield. He thinks Brendson Ribeiro is hittable and has a quit button. He includes Azamat in a parlay as one of his most confident picks.

Parlayed with Yoo Joo-sang.
"Azimat Makonov is the pick. I do have him in a parlay."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady is confident in Murzakanov despite his age (jokes he is in his 70s). He praises Murzakanov's striking and well-rounded game, and thinks Ribeiro is hittable and doesn't like getting hit. He expects Murzakanov to find a knockout early, possibly in the first round, noting his history of second- and third-round KOs but thinking this one comes sooner.

Murzakanov by KO in round 1
"I think Mzakana probably puts this guy to sleep. So I'm going to take uh the old man Ozamot Mzakonov. He's 90 years old, but I think he gets it done. I think he gets it done by first round …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The fight might be closer than the odds indicate, especially if Murzakanov leans on his striking. Ribeiro has a huge height and reach advantage that could cause trouble, but Murzakanov is expected to eventually get to his grappling and find a ground-and-pound finish.

win by ground and pound
"I think it's just a matter of time before Makonov decides to get to his grappling, eventually taking this fight to the ground and finding that ground and pound finish."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov, praising his deceptive speed, composure, and power. He compares his striking to Fedor and notes he beat Dustin Jacoby and destroyed Yorgan De Castro. He believes Murzakanov sets traps and will finish Ribeiro by TKO in round one or two. He calls the matchmaking dumb as Murzakanov is a level above.

Finish prediction: TKO in round one or two.
"I'm going to go with Azamat Makanov. I just think his striking's too quick."
KO (punches) R2 3:18 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 1 45 of 85 52% 48 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Alonzo Menifield 0 15 of 74 20% 19 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 22 of 40 55% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Alonzo Menifield 0 8 of 32 25% 10 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
2 Azamat Murzakanov 1 23 of 45 51% 23 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alonzo Menifield 0 7 of 42 16% 9 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 45 of 85 52% 34 of 69 11 of 16 0 of 0 43 of 82 0 of 1 2 of 2
Alonzo Menifield 15 of 74 20% 14 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 22 of 40 55% 14 of 28 8 of 12 0 of 0 22 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 8 of 32 25% 8 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 23 of 45 51% 20 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0 21 of 42 0 of 1 2 of 2
Alonzo Menifield 7 of 42 16% 6 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alonzo Menifield vs. Azamat Murzakanov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Murzakanov (-205), Menifield (+170)

Round 1
It took seven fights for the promotion to matchmake a fight between two members of the UFC roster with records in it over .500. Murzakanov (13-0, 3-0 UFC) puts his unbeaten record on the line as the winner of three straight in the Octagon, while powerhouse Menifield (15-4-1, 8-4-1 UFC) hunts to take that “0” away. Fists are sure to fly in a moment, but the light heavyweights first wait for referee Dan Movahedi to check in the fight. They hesitantly touch gloves, and Menifield is the one looking for offense first but is not running at his opponent. Murzakanov times an uppercut as Menifield dips down, and he snaps out a powerful jab. Menifield gets jabbed and reaches with a right hand, and he tries again but is out of range. “The Professional” steps in with a heavy left, and he backs Menifield up and drills him with a clean knee. Menifield shakes it off and blocks a head kick, and Murzakanov bears down on him and lays into him with heavy punches and a knee. Menifield blocks the worst of the blows, but the body shots are landing cleanly on him. Menifield ties him up, and Murzakanov lands a few punches to the back of the head before pushing the Texan to the wire. Murzakanov is warned twice for hooking his fingers in the cage, and again strikes Menifield in the back of the head. They jockey for position against the wall, and fans in the building grow restless while Movahedi asks for more from the two. Menifield breaks away and ducks into an uppercut, and he takes a knee and winds up with a big right hand. Murzakanov is warned for another foul, and he blocks a right hand as they clash heads due to both going forward. Menifield takes a body shot and gives a right back, and he eats a short combination and gets his bell rung. Murzakanov bullies him to the fencing again, and Menifield wants nothing to do with it and breaks off. Murzakanov lashes out with an elbow, and his uppercut clangs off the forehead. The Russian plants a right hand on the dome and a left to follow, and he slips away from a punch and draws some blood over the eye of his foe. Menifield goes up with a kick that is blocked, and he absorbs a flush body kick. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Murzakanov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Murzakanov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Murzakanov

Round 2
The light heavies are ready to get after it, and Movahedi has to ask them to back off before beginning. When they do, Menifield swarms into action, only to walk into a knee and an uppercut. Menifield launches big shots back, but Murzakanov’s defense is solid and his counters are sharp. Murzakanov draws further blood with an uppercut on the left eye that is leaking, and he slips punches and does not stand still long enough to eat big strikes. Menifield shrugs off two uppercuts that would knock out lesser fighters and punch his way into the distance. Murzakanov loops two right hands around the guard, and Menifield tanks vicious punches without batting an eye. Murzakanov drives a knee to the chin and a huge right hand on the temple, and gets caught with a clean uppercut that surprises him. Murzakanov punches and pushes off, and he jumps with a knee and rips a left to the body. Menifield lumbers forward swinging hooks, and Murzakanov is the faster and crisper, and he blocks a head kick. Murzakanov whiffs on a booming uppercut and ties his man up, pushing the Fortis MMA-trained fighter to the wall while watching the clock. Menifield turns him around and shoots low for a double, bailing on it when Murzakanov stands him up and threatens with a counter trip. This results in a reset, and both men attack with uppercuts. Menifield walks face-first into a monster left hand, and he hurts Murzakanov with a sudden counter. This only infuriates the Russian, who swings with bad intentions and rocks Menifield badly.
Three ferocious punches from “The Professional” knock Menifield’s head around, who stumbles back and falls over when retreating. Murzakanov runs at the downed man, bludgeoning him with a hammerfist and a punctuating right hand, with the second shutting Menifield’s lights out.
Movahedi pulls Murzakanov off of the doomed Menifield, and Murzakanov walks off to celebrate with his corner. Menifield comes to, spitting out his mouthpiece, and his team might need to explain what happened. Murzakanov is now 14-0 with 10 knockouts, with this one undoubtedly the biggest of his career.

The Official Result
Azamat Murzakanov def. Alonzo Menifield R2 3:18 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Murzakanov because of his high fight IQ and power, noting Menifield's poor decision-making and tendency to make mistakes. He acknowledges Menifield's talent and power but thinks Murzakanov is too dangerous to make errors against. He hopes Menifield proves him wrong.

"I got to go azamat"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady is not a big fan of Murzakanov but cannot pick Menifield after his embarrassing 12-second knockout loss. He thinks Menifield cannot wrestle, knock out Murzakanov (who has never been knocked out), or outpoint him. He predicts a lackluster fight with Murzakanov winning by decision.

"I'm going to take murak conov I kind of have a feeling this fight could suck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody picks Azamat Murzakanov, citing his slightly better volume, punch selection, and durability. He notes that both fighters are low-volume power punchers, but Murzakanov is undefeated and has never been knocked out, while Menifield was knocked out in 12 seconds recently. Cody thinks Murzakanov's cardio is slightly better and that he can win a decision or land the bigger shots. He also mentions the potential for home cooking in Abu Dhabi.

"Mur can be the play for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel picks Murzakanov, citing his cleaner striking and smarter decision-making. He notes Menifield's wins have come against questionable competition and that Murzakanov has a more polished game. He acknowledges Menifield's power but believes Murzakanov has more finesse.

"give me Azam Mikan out there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Both have knockout power, but Murzakanov has more tools. If he can stay safe from Menifield's power, he should find his own knockout within the first two rounds.

finishes within first two rounds
"I still think murak conov has more tools to get the job done here and as long as he can stay safe from the power that uh metafield provides I think he can go out there and eventually find his …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul picks Azamat Murzakanov, noting that both fighters have power but Murzakanov has better volume and durability. He mentions that Menifield has cardio issues and has been knocked out before. Paul thinks Murzakanov's technique is superior and that he can outwork Menifield. He also notes that Menifield is always live for a knockout but Murzakanov is the safer pick.

"I think m mukanov is the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov over Alonzo Menifield, trusting Murzakanov's chin more. He notes Menifield has power but is likely to get cracked first. He mentions Murzakanov's sharp hands and power, and that he broke his arm in his last fight but has had time to recover. He criticizes Menifield's performance against Karl Roberson.

"I am going to go with azamat mukanov here even though I haven't been incredibly impressed by his career"
WIN vs Dustin Jacoby
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 64 of 131 48% 96 of 167 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:06
Dustin Jacoby 1 67 of 127 52% 70 of 130 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 25 of 50 50% 25 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 21 of 40 52% 37 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Dustin Jacoby 1 26 of 45 57% 29 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 24 of 52 46% 40 of 72 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 32 50% 16 of 32 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 64 of 131 48% 36 of 95 8 of 12 20 of 24 60 of 126 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 67 of 127 52% 51 of 110 12 of 13 4 of 4 64 of 122 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 19 of 39 48% 8 of 24 2 of 4 9 of 11 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 25 of 50 50% 20 of 44 4 of 5 1 of 1 25 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 21 of 40 52% 12 of 27 2 of 4 7 of 9 20 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 26 of 45 57% 20 of 39 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Azamat Murzakanov 24 of 52 46% 16 of 44 4 of 4 4 of 4 21 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 32 50% 11 of 27 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better technical striker, noting he was ranked 2nd in the world in kickboxing. However, he is not betting because Jacoby lacks power and Murzakanov hits very hard and has comeback KO power. He expects Jacoby to need to point-fight perfectly for 15 minutes to win, which is risky.

"Dustin's gonna be the pick but I'm not gonna bet him because he's gonna have to point fight his way to a win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He cites Jacoby's size, reach, and volume advantages, as well as his good takedown defense and chin. He doubts Murzakanov's cardio and ability to take Jacoby down, and believes Jacoby will outpoint him over three rounds. He notes Murzakanov's power but thinks Jacoby can absorb it.

"give me a Dustin Jacoby to win this fight give me Dustin Jacoby to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody notes Murzakanov is a first-round finisher but low volume, while Jacoby throws high volume (120+ strikes). He thinks Jacoby's reach and cardio will be key, and that Murzakanov's power shots may not be enough to overcome Jacoby's output. He prefers to bet Jacoby live after the first round.

Live bet after first round
"I would take Justin Jacoby but these are big boys that are going to be largely in a striking Affair"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Connor also picks Jacoby, agreeing that Murzakanov's power-punching style is ill-suited for Jacoby's rangey, technical approach. He notes that Jacoby is durable and has only been knocked out by elite punchers like King Mo and Alex Pereira. Connor believes Murzakanov's lack of combination punching and setup will leave him vulnerable to Jacoby's consistent output and counter-striking.

"I came to the same conclusion. I'm just not that impressed with Azamat Murzakanov."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's range, footwork, and kicks will keep Murzakanov at distance. Murzakanov's cardio and wrestling are questionable, and he tends to fade. Jacoby's disciplined striking and cardio advantage should lead to a clear decision victory. Murzakanov is difficult to finish, so expect a full 15 minutes.

Fight goes to decision
"I think we see Dustin Jacoby control his fight pretty easily from his kicks and utilizing his range and his height Advantage."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul sides with Jacoby's volume and reach advantage (5 inches). He notes Murzakanov may be undersized at 205 and that Jacoby's output should overwhelm him. He agrees with Cody that the live market may offer better value.

"I'll side with the volume again I'm going to decide with the the numbers and Jacoby's got a five inch reach advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby to win by unanimous decision, citing Jacoby's length, footwork, and striking output. He warns Jacoby must avoid a war and use leg kicks from the outside to outpoint Murzakanov, who has fight-ending power but slow starts. He notes the -190 line is a bit high and would prefer -170, but still sides with Jacoby.

Jacoby wins by decision
"Dustin Jacoby will be the pick"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Zane picks Jacoby, citing his volume, durability, and technical kickboxing as too much for Murzakanov. He notes that Murzakanov is a one-dimensional power puncher who relies on timing and rhythm changes, but Jacoby's jab, kicks, and counter-punching will keep him at range. Zane also points out that Murzakanov's wins have come against lower-level competition, while Jacoby has proven himself against tougher opponents like Khalil Rountree.

"I think Jacoby's volume here carries the day."
WIN vs Devin Clark
TKO (punches) R3 1:18 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 14 of 52 26% 39 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Devin Clark 1 79 of 106 74% 95 of 127 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 6 of 23 26% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devin Clark 0 7 of 15 46% 12 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:52
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 5 of 19 26% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Devin Clark 0 41 of 52 78% 52 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:24
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devin Clark 1 31 of 39 79% 31 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 14 of 52 26% 4 of 29 3 of 7 7 of 16 13 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Devin Clark 79 of 106 74% 41 of 65 31 of 34 7 of 7 24 of 42 9 of 9 46 of 55
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 6 of 23 26% 2 of 11 0 of 2 4 of 10 6 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devin Clark 7 of 15 46% 4 of 12 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 5 of 19 26% 2 of 12 1 of 3 2 of 4 4 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Devin Clark 41 of 52 78% 12 of 21 22 of 24 7 of 7 10 of 18 9 of 9 22 of 25
3 Azamat Murzakanov 3 of 10 30% 0 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devin Clark 31 of 39 79% 25 of 32 6 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 9 0 of 0 24 of 30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov, citing his power and wrestling credentials. He notes Devin Clark has chin issues and Murzakanov is the more dangerous fighter. He likes the value at -170, believing the line should be closer to -200.

Value bet at -170
"i like the value here as well at -170 the line should probably be closer to minus 200. so at minus 170 i think azmat murzakanov is a solid bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady picks Azamat Murzakanov to knock out Devin Clark early, likely in the first round. He notes that Murzakanov has power that carries into later rounds, as shown in his last fight. Clark has poor striking defense (46%) and has been finished in six of seven losses. Murzakanov is a much better striker and has dangerous ground and pound. Brady expects a quick finish.

first round knockout
"i think marzicano does finish devin clark here um early on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody picks Murzakanov by knockout, noting he liked him coming into the TUF fight and cashed his flying knee finish. He thinks the line is moving toward Clark, so he may wait for a better price. Cody believes Murzakanov has enough grappling to keep the fight standing and will land a knockout.

Murzakanov by knockout
"i'm gonna you know hold my breath wait and uh maybe snatch an even better price than the minus 145 that we see right now"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Levi picks Azamat Murzakanov, dismissing the narrative that his last win was a fluke. He explains that Murzakanov was winning on two scorecards before the finish and that his speed and power will be too much for Devin Clark. Levi notes that Clark tends to blitz with his chin up and that Murzakanov has knockout power, predicting a KO win.

"Give me Murzakanov for the win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Azamat Murzakanov

The host expects an early finish from Murzakanov, noting his big power but not much volume. He includes Murzakanov in his totals parlay under 1.5 rounds, expecting a first-round KO.

Under 1.5 rounds (in parlay).
"clark merzokandoff under one and a half obviously expecting a merchant of early finish there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul picks Murzakanov by knockout in round two. He criticizes Clark's durability and low volume, noting Clark has been knocked out before and relies on pressing opponents against the cage. Paul believes Murzakanov has heavier hands and will clip Clark with something like a flying knee.

Murzakanov by knockout round two
"i got mercy on knockout round two"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The host picks Azamat Murzakanov, recalling his previous knockout of Devin Clark in a regional tournament. He trusts Murzakanov's stand-up and grappling, and believes Clark has taken too much damage over his career. He expects a first-round TKO in a firefight, though he acknowledges Clark's power makes it risky.

first round TKO
"i'm going to go with azamat masakanov getting a tko in the first round in a firefight"
WIN vs Tafon Nchukwi
KO (flying knee) R3 0:44 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 43 of 98 43% 50 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Tafon Nchukwi 1 28 of 69 40% 28 of 70 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 17 of 40 42% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Tafon Nchukwi 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 25 of 52 48% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tafon Nchukwi 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tafon Nchukwi 1 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 43 of 98 43% 14 of 59 17 of 27 12 of 12 35 of 88 8 of 10 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 28 of 69 40% 25 of 60 3 of 8 0 of 1 26 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 17 of 40 42% 5 of 22 7 of 13 5 of 5 12 of 33 5 of 7 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 13 of 31 41% 11 of 24 2 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 25 of 52 48% 8 of 32 10 of 13 7 of 7 22 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 12 of 31 38% 11 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 10 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Azamat Murzakanov 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov, expecting him to use his wrestling despite being known for striking. He notes that Tafon Nchukwi has more high-level experience but tends to back up and slow down under pressure. He believes Murzakanov's forward pressure and wrestling will be the difference.

"i actually think as matt will go to his wrestling here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady picks Azamat Murzakanov to win by first-round TKO. He notes Murzakanov is very well-rounded with heavy hands and a solid top game, but has cardio concerns since he's never been to a third round. He thinks Murzakanov can hurt Nchukwi on the feet or take him down and finish him, referencing Nchukwi's poor get-up game against Jung Park. However, he won't bet the fight due to the cardio and low-output risks.

first round tko
"I'm gonna take azamat murzakanov to win i'm gonna take him to win by first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev at -106
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Levi picks Azamat Murzakanov, stating that he is a little more experienced, smarter, and more comfortable in the cage. He thinks Murzakanov will point-fight for three rounds or possibly find a finish. Levi acknowledges Tafon Nchukwi's power and potential but believes Murzakanov's experience and fewer mistakes will be the difference.

"i'm gonna go with azuma to to get the win here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Murzakanov is a fast, agile striker with good cardio and takedown ability. He can close distance quickly and has power in both hands. Nchukwi has speed and cardio issues, and may overextend. Murzakanov is expected to outwork Nchukwi over 15 minutes or finish late, with a decision at plus 320 being a value play.

Murzakanov via decision at plus 320 is the official prediction.
"I like Azamat here. I think he outworks Tafon over 15 minutes or he potentially finishes Tafon late in this fight. So as an official prediction, I will go with Murzakanov via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov over Tafon Nchukwi, citing his nasty hands and power advantage. He notes that Murzakanov has laid opponents out cold and has grappling to fall back on, referencing a video of him beating Ion Cuțelaba in a grappling competition. He predicts a first-round TKO, trusting Murzakanov's physicality and technique despite Nchukwi having good stand-up of his own.

first round TKO
"i'm going to start straight away with azamat mazakanov here i think he's a favorite for a reason he's a very very promising contender beat some good opponents laid a guy out cold in his last fight"
Tafon Nchukwi - Fight History
LOSS vs A.J. Dobson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
A.J. Dobson 0 67 of 134 50% 98 of 176 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:33
Tafon Nchukwi 0 53 of 99 53% 59 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 A.J. Dobson 0 34 of 65 52% 36 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Tafon Nchukwi 0 24 of 45 53% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 A.J. Dobson 0 28 of 51 54% 29 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Tafon Nchukwi 0 26 of 48 54% 27 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 A.J. Dobson 0 5 of 18 27% 33 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:57
Tafon Nchukwi 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
A.J. Dobson 67 of 134 50% 19 of 75 12 of 18 36 of 41 61 of 119 2 of 5 4 of 10
Tafon Nchukwi 53 of 99 53% 11 of 47 12 of 15 30 of 37 49 of 92 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 A.J. Dobson 34 of 65 52% 6 of 31 10 of 15 18 of 19 31 of 59 0 of 0 3 of 6
Tafon Nchukwi 24 of 45 53% 4 of 20 7 of 10 13 of 15 24 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 A.J. Dobson 28 of 51 54% 12 of 31 2 of 3 14 of 17 26 of 47 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 26 of 48 54% 6 of 25 5 of 5 15 of 18 22 of 42 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 A.J. Dobson 5 of 18 27% 1 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 5 4 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 4
Tafon Nchukwi 3 of 6 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
A.J. Dobson

Angelo picks Dobson as an underdog but with low confidence. He notes Dobson has better wrestling and a sturdier chin, but worries he may be afraid to strike with Nchukwi. He hasn't bet yet.

"I like AJ in this Underdog spot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Big Brady picks Tafon Nchukwi to win by decision, but is not confident due to chin concerns. He praises Nchukwi's volume, cardio, and wrestling, but notes he has been knocked out in his last two losses. He thinks Nchukwi should be the better striker over 15 minutes and can win minutes. He worries about Dobson's power but believes Nchukwi's volume will carry him.

"give me give me tafon by decision the chin seriously worries me a little bit though"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
A.J. Dobson

Cody picks Dobson, heavily fading Nchukwi. He questions Nchukwi's age (suspects he's older than listed), criticizes his slow speed, low volume, and lack of power. He notes Dobson is younger, faster, and still improving with a good camp (Matt Brown, Mark Coleman). He thinks Dobson's speed and wrestling will be key, and that Nchukwi may miss weight or look bad at weigh-ins.

Mentioned weigh-ins are key; will bet Dobson more if Nchukwi looks bad
"plus money on Dobson whatever I would take it I think he's got the speed of edge work some from the outside maybe mixes in a couple takedowns it's his coming out party"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
A.J. Dobson

James slightly favors Dobson, citing his speed and power. He thinks Dobson is faster and hits harder, which could be the difference. However, he calls the fight extremely close and says he would flip the lines to make Dobson -150 and Nchukwi +120. He is unsure if he will bet it due to the closeness.

"I'd play Dobson here because I don't think anyone should be the underdog... I probably favor Dobson very slightly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Nchukwi is the better technical striker and should outwork Dobson over 15 minutes. Dobson lacks technical aspects in both wrestling and striking and relies on physical capabilities. Nchukwi is on a losing streak but had good moments in those fights. As long as he stays conscious, he should win by decision.

Nchukwi by decision
"give me in chukwi though and I think as long as he stays conscious he'll do a good enough job of working AJ Dobson and eventually winning this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
A.J. Dobson

Paul also picks Dobson, agreeing with Cody's fade of Nchukwi. He notes Nchukwi's move to 185 hasn't worked due to lack of speed, and that Dobson showed grappling improvements in his last fight. He thinks Dobson's wrestling and athleticism will be too much for Nchukwi, and that weigh-ins will be crucial. He will likely bet Dobson if Nchukwi looks depleted.

Weigh-ins key; will bet Dobson if Nchukwi looks bad
"I'm actually picking the underdog uh AJ Dobson with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
A.J. Dobson

The MMA Guru picks A.J. Dobson over Tafon Nchukwi, arguing that Dobson's losses to Jacob Malkoun and Armen Petrosyan are to quality unranked middleweights. He notes Dobson's finishing potential and experience since 2012, while Nchukwi is coming off two KO losses, which may make him hesitant. He trusts Dobson to win by finish.

"I'm gonna go AJ Dobson over tap on and check where"
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
TKO (punches) R1 1:15 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Ulberg 1 15 of 19 78% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Tafon Nchukwi 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Ulberg 1 15 of 19 78% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Tafon Nchukwi 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Ulberg 15 of 19 78% 9 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3 12 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 4
Tafon Nchukwi 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Ulberg 15 of 19 78% 9 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3 12 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 4
Tafon Nchukwi 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Angelo picks Carlos Ulberg in a tough striking match. He acknowledges Tafon Nchukwi looked amazing in his last fight before getting caught, but worries that Nchukwi may be gun-shy coming off a KO loss less than three months ago. He believes Ulberg is the more technical striker and if Nchukwi lets Ulberg get into a rhythm, he'll lose a technical kickboxing match.

"i am going to pick ulberg here because stefan's ko loss is less than three months ago and not that i think his brains are still scrambled but i think he might be a little gun-shy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Big Brady picks Tafon Nchukwi to win by decision. He believes Nchukwi is the more complete MMA fighter with paths to victory via takedowns, cage control, and cardio. He notes Ulberg's untested takedown defense and ground game, and that Nchukwi has successfully taken down strong opponents. He favors Ulberg on the feet but thinks Nchukwi will make it an MMA fight and grind out a decision. He says the line should be flipped.

"i think the fawn has more paths to victory here... i think he takes down olberg and ultimately grinds out a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Cody leans towards Nchukwi, citing Ulberg's cardio issues and inexperience. He thinks Nchukwi's physical strength and wrestling could be key, especially in the smaller Apex cage. He also likes Nchukwi by submission at 18-1 as a longshot prop.

Nchukwi by submission +1800
"i'm leaning towards to find jaquie and enjoy by submission 18 to 1."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ulberg hasn't looked good and Nchukwi has a path via takedowns. He thinks the price is even and Nchukwi is live.

"it's an even money fight both sides of minus 110 both sides there's no real underdog but i'm i'm leaning towards to find jaquie"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

The host picks Tafon Nchukwi as an underdog, believing he will make improvements at 27 while Ulberg is older and less likely to improve. He notes Nchukwi nearly beat Azamat Murzakanov and looked good against Mike Rodriguez. He expects a KO in the second or third round, citing Ulberg's lack of toughness and Nchukwi's power.

KO prediction in round 2 or 3
"i'm going to go with taffon chuckwe"
KO (flying knee) R3 0:44 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 43 of 98 43% 50 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Tafon Nchukwi 1 28 of 69 40% 28 of 70 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 17 of 40 42% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Tafon Nchukwi 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 25 of 52 48% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tafon Nchukwi 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tafon Nchukwi 1 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 43 of 98 43% 14 of 59 17 of 27 12 of 12 35 of 88 8 of 10 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 28 of 69 40% 25 of 60 3 of 8 0 of 1 26 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 17 of 40 42% 5 of 22 7 of 13 5 of 5 12 of 33 5 of 7 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 13 of 31 41% 11 of 24 2 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 25 of 52 48% 8 of 32 10 of 13 7 of 7 22 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 12 of 31 38% 11 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 10 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Azamat Murzakanov 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov, expecting him to use his wrestling despite being known for striking. He notes that Tafon Nchukwi has more high-level experience but tends to back up and slow down under pressure. He believes Murzakanov's forward pressure and wrestling will be the difference.

"i actually think as matt will go to his wrestling here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady picks Azamat Murzakanov to win by first-round TKO. He notes Murzakanov is very well-rounded with heavy hands and a solid top game, but has cardio concerns since he's never been to a third round. He thinks Murzakanov can hurt Nchukwi on the feet or take him down and finish him, referencing Nchukwi's poor get-up game against Jung Park. However, he won't bet the fight due to the cardio and low-output risks.

first round tko
"I'm gonna take azamat murzakanov to win i'm gonna take him to win by first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev at -106
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Levi picks Azamat Murzakanov, stating that he is a little more experienced, smarter, and more comfortable in the cage. He thinks Murzakanov will point-fight for three rounds or possibly find a finish. Levi acknowledges Tafon Nchukwi's power and potential but believes Murzakanov's experience and fewer mistakes will be the difference.

"i'm gonna go with azuma to to get the win here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Murzakanov is a fast, agile striker with good cardio and takedown ability. He can close distance quickly and has power in both hands. Nchukwi has speed and cardio issues, and may overextend. Murzakanov is expected to outwork Nchukwi over 15 minutes or finish late, with a decision at plus 320 being a value play.

Murzakanov via decision at plus 320 is the official prediction.
"I like Azamat here. I think he outworks Tafon over 15 minutes or he potentially finishes Tafon late in this fight. So as an official prediction, I will go with Murzakanov via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov over Tafon Nchukwi, citing his nasty hands and power advantage. He notes that Murzakanov has laid opponents out cold and has grappling to fall back on, referencing a video of him beating Ion Cuțelaba in a grappling competition. He predicts a first-round TKO, trusting Murzakanov's physicality and technique despite Nchukwi having good stand-up of his own.

first round TKO
"i'm going to start straight away with azamat mazakanov here i think he's a favorite for a reason he's a very very promising contender beat some good opponents laid a guy out cold in his last fight"
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
LOSS vs JunYong Park
Decision (majority) (30–25, 29–26, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 08, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 71 of 145 48% 79 of 155 2 of 5 40% 2 0 3:49
Tafon Nchukwi 0 58 of 136 42% 64 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 30 of 69 43% 30 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tafon Nchukwi 0 30 of 69 43% 32 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 JunYong Park 0 16 of 35 45% 16 of 35 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:34
Tafon Nchukwi 0 21 of 43 48% 24 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:34
3 JunYong Park 0 25 of 41 60% 33 of 51 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:15
Tafon Nchukwi 0 7 of 24 29% 8 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 71 of 145 48% 61 of 134 4 of 5 6 of 6 48 of 117 3 of 3 20 of 25
Tafon Nchukwi 58 of 136 42% 20 of 83 25 of 33 13 of 20 51 of 127 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 30 of 69 43% 24 of 62 2 of 3 4 of 4 28 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 30 of 69 43% 9 of 39 13 of 16 8 of 14 25 of 63 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 16 of 35 45% 13 of 32 1 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tafon Nchukwi 21 of 43 48% 9 of 28 8 of 10 4 of 5 19 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 25 of 41 60% 24 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 16 0 of 0 20 of 25
Tafon Nchukwi 7 of 24 29% 2 of 16 4 of 7 1 of 1 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady likes Park's durability and chin, noting he has never been knocked out. He thinks Park will mix in takedowns to wear out Nchukwi, who may have cardio issues despite a good gas tank in his last fight. Brady is concerned about Nchukwi's striking defense after being hit by Pickett. He calls it a close fight that can go either way but leans Park by decision. He explicitly says no bet for him.

"I'm going to take park to win a very close decision but man like i said this fight can go either way but give me the underdog in jungyeon park no bet for me on this one."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Daniel Levi picks Tafon Nchukwi, arguing that African power can make up for experience and technique. He notes Nchukwi's good technique, cardio, and ability to go the distance as seen in the Pickett fight. He believes Nchukwi's takedown defense and get-up game will neutralize Park's wrestling, and that Nchukwi will outstrike Park. He respects Park but thinks Nchukwi is the better athlete.

"i'm gonna go with stefan chukwue uh to handle biz here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2021 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

The host favors JunYong Park as a live underdog, citing his durability, cardio, and ability to push the pace. He believes Nchukwi is one-dimensional and will struggle if he doesn't get an early knockout. He likes the over 2.5 rounds, fight goes to decision, and Park by decision props.

over 2.5 rounds, fight goes to decision -110, Park by decision +250
"i absolutely agree with the public underdog here in junior park as i think that he can put on a base on chukwue"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 3, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

The MMA Guru picks Tafon Nchukwi over JunYong Park, acknowledging it's a tough fight to predict. He thinks Nchukwi's size and strength will allow him to stop Park's takedowns and win by decision, possibly 30-27. He notes Nchukwi showed he can go three rounds in his last fight, which alleviates cardio concerns.

"i am going to be going with taffon chuckwee here i think he's just going to be a little bit too big and strong for jung young park"
WIN vs Jamie Pickett
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tafon Nchukwi 1 120 of 187 64% 159 of 234 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:51
Jamie Pickett 0 40 of 81 49% 40 of 81 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tafon Nchukwi 0 35 of 58 60% 43 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Jamie Pickett 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
2 Tafon Nchukwi 0 41 of 69 59% 54 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Jamie Pickett 0 25 of 43 58% 25 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Tafon Nchukwi 1 44 of 60 73% 62 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:37
Jamie Pickett 0 6 of 21 28% 6 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tafon Nchukwi 120 of 187 64% 70 of 133 49 of 53 1 of 1 59 of 118 57 of 63 4 of 6
Jamie Pickett 40 of 81 49% 28 of 68 8 of 9 4 of 4 39 of 77 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tafon Nchukwi 35 of 58 60% 22 of 44 13 of 14 0 of 0 20 of 41 15 of 17 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 9 of 17 52% 7 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Tafon Nchukwi 41 of 69 59% 19 of 45 22 of 24 0 of 0 16 of 41 25 of 28 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 25 of 43 58% 15 of 33 6 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Tafon Nchukwi 44 of 60 73% 29 of 44 14 of 15 1 of 1 23 of 36 17 of 18 4 of 6
Jamie Pickett 6 of 21 28% 6 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

Big Brady picks Tafon Nchukwi over Jamie Pickett, noting Nchukwi's power and takedown defense (stuffed all takedowns seen on tape). He believes Pickett has no path to victory, as he cannot take Nchukwi down and will likely get knocked out. Brady predicts a first-round KO, though he notes Nchukwi's low output and the weight cut to 185 as potential concerns.

first round knockout
"i think he's gonna knock out picket here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

The host is confident in Nchukwi, citing his power, combinations, and high guard. He notes Pickett's tall-man defense and cardio issues. He predicts a first or second-round KO for Nchukwi and considers him a safe parlay piece, but advises waiting for weigh-ins due to Nchukwi's weight cut.

Nchukwi inside the distance, first or second round KO
"i think tufan could definitely be a problem for a lot of people"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Tafon Nchukwi

The Guru picks Tafon Nchukwi, believing he is a massive favorite. He notes Nchukwi's youth and improvement, and that he knocked out William Knight. He criticizes Jamie Pickett's level of competition and says Pickett is moving up in weight. He predicts a brutal first-round KO for Nchukwi.

Predicts a first-round KO/TKO.
"i think the chickwe is going to get a brutal ko in the first round... i think he'll get the job done against pika in the first round by tko"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov, expecting him to use his wrestling despite being known for striking. He notes that Tafon Nchukwi has more high-level experience but tends to back up and slow down under pressure. He believes Murzakanov's forward pressure and wrestling will be the difference.

"i actually think as matt will go to his wrestling here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Big Brady picks Azamat Murzakanov to win by first-round TKO. He notes Murzakanov is very well-rounded with heavy hands and a solid top game, but has cardio concerns since he's never been to a third round. He thinks Murzakanov can hurt Nchukwi on the feet or take him down and finish him, referencing Nchukwi's poor get-up game against Jung Park. However, he won't bet the fight due to the cardio and low-output risks.

first round tko
"I'm gonna take azamat murzakanov to win i'm gonna take him to win by first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev at -106
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Levi picks Azamat Murzakanov, stating that he is a little more experienced, smarter, and more comfortable in the cage. He thinks Murzakanov will point-fight for three rounds or possibly find a finish. Levi acknowledges Tafon Nchukwi's power and potential but believes Murzakanov's experience and fewer mistakes will be the difference.

"i'm gonna go with azuma to to get the win here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Murzakanov is a fast, agile striker with good cardio and takedown ability. He can close distance quickly and has power in both hands. Nchukwi has speed and cardio issues, and may overextend. Murzakanov is expected to outwork Nchukwi over 15 minutes or finish late, with a decision at plus 320 being a value play.

Murzakanov via decision at plus 320 is the official prediction.
"I like Azamat here. I think he outworks Tafon over 15 minutes or he potentially finishes Tafon late in this fight. So as an official prediction, I will go with Murzakanov via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul is confident in Murzakanov, citing his speed, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Nchukwi's size but believes Murzakanov's speed and pressure will be too much. He mentions a parlay with Ankalaev.

Parlay with Ankalaev
"i think murzakanov seems to be a pretty complete package"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov over Tafon Nchukwi, citing his nasty hands and power advantage. He notes that Murzakanov has laid opponents out cold and has grappling to fall back on, referencing a video of him beating Ion Cuțelaba in a grappling competition. He predicts a first-round TKO, trusting Murzakanov's physicality and technique despite Nchukwi having good stand-up of his own.

first round TKO
"i'm going to start straight away with azamat mazakanov here i think he's a favorite for a reason he's a very very promising contender beat some good opponents laid a guy out cold in his last fight"