vs
+110 -115
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 5' 5"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JJ Aldrich
3.96 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.32 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Gillian Robertson
2.71 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
2.86 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
2.76 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
38.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
JJ Aldrich
Moneyline
BetMGM +110
KO/TKO
FanDuel +750
Submission
FanDuel +1500
Decision
BetRivers +200
Gillian Robertson
Moneyline
Caesars -115
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
FanDuel +200
Decision
FanDuel +380
JJ Aldrich - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 50 of 149 33% 52 of 154 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 70 of 230 30% 73 of 233 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 43 16% 9 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 54 38% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 88 23% 22 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 60 45% 27 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 28 of 88 31% 28 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 50 of 149 33% 35 of 127 5 of 8 10 of 14 50 of 149 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 70 of 230 30% 28 of 158 25 of 48 17 of 24 70 of 230 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 43 16% 5 of 38 0 of 0 2 of 5 7 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 54 38% 11 of 33 8 of 15 2 of 6 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 16 of 46 34% 11 of 39 2 of 3 3 of 4 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 88 23% 7 of 67 5 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 60 45% 19 of 50 3 of 5 5 of 5 27 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 28 of 88 31% 10 of 58 12 of 23 6 of 7 28 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her power, range control, and higher fight IQ. He notes that JJ Aldrich is coming off a layoff and was never dangerous, and that Horth's takedown defense is a concern but JJ is not a strong wrestler. He expects Horth to win a shutout decision.

"This should be Jamie Lynn Horth. It should be. Like we have a lot of Canadians on this card for obvious reasons. Some of them have good matchups and some of them absolutely don't."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her size, strength, and physicality. He believes Horth will win in the clinch and grind out a close split decision, despite Aldrich having better striking at distance. He expects an unexciting fight.

split decision
"Give me Jamie Lynn Horth to win a very close split decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physical strength and ability to pressure. He notes that JJ Aldrich has mental toughness issues and tends to fade when pressured. He expects Horth to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I actually just got to take Horth to out muscle her, get her up against the cage, work her a little bit, land the bigger, more impactful blows."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich because she is a much better technician with faster hands and superior skills everywhere. He notes that Horth is not the kind of athlete that beats Aldrich, and Aldrich has beaten similar fighters like Jillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos. However, he expresses concern that Aldrich's tendency to abandon what works could make the fight closer than it should be.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Connor notes the odds are disrespectful to Aldrich
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich is the better fighter everywhere: more technical boxing, southpaw stance, improved takedown defense, and better MMA grappling. Horth has home advantage but poor fight IQ and is an inexperienced striker. Aldrich's main issue is putting her stamp on rounds, but she should do enough to win a close decision. The odds are off; Aldrich should be at least 50%.

plus 3.5 on Aldrich at 3.80; fight likely goes to decision
"I do think Aldrich is a very good bet here. For me, at worst, this fight is 50/50."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

James picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He thinks Aldrich's boxing and takedown defense will keep the fight competitive, and that Horth's advantages are overstated. He predicts a decision win.

"I'll pick JJ Aldridge cuz I'm a sports bet... JJ Aldridge to get this one via decision as another underdog is my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The host thinks Aldrich is the superior striker technically and has a strength of schedule advantage. He believes she will land more effective shots and withstand Horton's power. He notes that Horton throws with more power, which gives him pause, but sees value on Aldrich as a live underdog. He predicts Aldrich by decision.

"I still believe that there is good enough value here on Aldrich with her strength of schedule, her crisp boxing, her ability to withstand damage. I think she'll be able to land more effective shots here against Horton, and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks JJ Aldrich as a slight underdog, citing her experience and plus money. He notes that both fighters are similar but Aldrich has fought better competition. He expects a close decision and likes the value on Aldrich.

"I'd rather have the plus money on on on Aldrich who has frankly fought way way more competition."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Aldrich is a good technician and solid grappler who has beaten better fighters than Horth. He notes that Horth's best win is over Vanessa Demopoulos, while Aldrich has wins over better competition. He also points out that Horth is not a reckless fighter like Andrea Lee, so Aldrich may not get easy counters, but she should still win handily.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Zane calls the odds 'disrespectful'
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 53 of 175 30% 66 of 192 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 74 of 137 54% 77 of 142 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 43 48% 23 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 58 25% 18 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 25 of 46 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Andrea Lee 0 20 of 60 33% 30 of 74 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 28 of 48 58% 29 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 53 of 175 30% 13 of 109 25 of 44 15 of 22 52 of 174 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 74 of 137 54% 54 of 114 10 of 13 10 of 10 68 of 130 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 18 of 57 31% 1 of 32 8 of 12 9 of 13 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 21 of 43 48% 14 of 34 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 39 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 58 25% 3 of 35 6 of 14 6 of 9 15 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 25 of 46 54% 17 of 37 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrea Lee 20 of 60 33% 9 of 42 11 of 18 0 of 0 19 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 28 of 48 58% 23 of 43 4 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.

Value bet at +163; do not bet heavily
"Andrea Lee at plus 163 are decent odds like this is pretty good ODS there's some good value there and it might be worth a step"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.

Aldrich by split decision
"I'm going to pick JJ Aldridge and I'm going to take Aldridge to win probably by a split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.

"I have to lean with the Aldrich side as I believe that she can go out there and utilize her striking approach to nullify the kickboxing of Lee shut down the grappling that Lee might might look to initiate and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over Andrea Lee... she's a little bit more well-rounded than Andrea Lee and she'll probably be able to get a few takedowns in this fight."
LOSS vs Veronica Hardy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 67 of 204 32% 70 of 209 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 65 of 135 48% 66 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 55 34% 20 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 63 33% 23 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 20 of 44 45% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 26 of 56 46% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 67 of 204 32% 41 of 172 13 of 16 13 of 16 59 of 184 8 of 20 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 65 of 135 48% 55 of 122 9 of 11 1 of 2 58 of 124 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 55 34% 14 of 48 0 of 2 5 of 5 17 of 49 2 of 6 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 19 of 35 54% 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 2 16 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 21 of 63 33% 10 of 49 7 of 8 4 of 6 19 of 56 2 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 20 of 44 45% 15 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 86 31% 17 of 75 6 of 6 4 of 5 23 of 79 4 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 26 of 56 46% 22 of 51 4 of 5 0 of 0 24 of 52 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Angelo picks Montana De La Rosa because she is a very good wrestler with a straightforward game plan of taking opponents down. He notes that JJ Aldrich is decent at everything but great at nothing, and that Aldrich was taken down in her last fight. He also mentions that Montana's losses are to quality fighters like Tatiana Suarez, while Aldrich has had poor performances. He placed a half-unit bet on Montana at +135, noting the line has since moved.

Bet 0.5 units at +135; line movement noted
"I put a half a unit on Montana DEA Rosa at plus 135"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Big Brady leans toward Montana De La Rosa, noting that she has a grappling advantage over JJ Aldrich. He believes De La Rosa's wrestling is solid for the division and that she can control the fight on the ground. He mentions that Aldrich has been taken down by lesser grapplers like Liang Na, so De La Rosa should be able to secure takedowns. However, he admits the fight could be close if De La Rosa cannot get the takedown, and he preferred her at plus money. He predicts a decision win.

decision win for Montana De La Rosa
"I do lean the Montana de la Roa side here I liked her a lot more at at plus money because at the end of the day I do think this is going to be a pretty close fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Cody picks De La Rosa, citing her toughness, wrestling, and ability to pressure. He notes that Aldrich has struggled against grapplers and that De La Rosa's tenacity will be key. He expects De La Rosa to make the fight dirty and win a decision.

"final verdict would be Montana Del Rosa... she probably makes this dirty again in Aldridge and wins"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa, noting her toughness and improved hands. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich is the cleaner striker but thinks Montana can bully her and take her back. He mentions that the value has shifted to Aldrich now that Montana is favored, but his pure pick is Montana.

notes that those who got Montana at plus money made the right play; suggests hedging with Aldrich plus money
"my pure pick is Montana De la Rosa"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Lucrative James sees this as a close fight, likely 29-28 either way. He leans Montana De La Rosa because he has seen JJ Aldrich 'flake' a few times against physical opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Bara. He believes De La Rosa's physicality can cause Aldrich to falter, though he acknowledges it's a toss-up.

"I lean Montana de Roa the reason is because I've seen JJ Aldridge kind of flake a few times now... I do think a physical girl can make a flake"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich took this fight on short notice, which suggests she believes she has an edge from training with De La Rosa in the past. She has good takedown defense and superior striking, and should be able to stuff takedowns or work back to her feet. De La Rosa is on a two-fight losing streak and relies on wrestling, but Aldrich has shown she can handle grapplers. Expect Aldrich to land more damage and win by decision.

"give me Aldridge to go out there land more damage to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

Paul picks De La Rosa, agreeing with the line movement. He notes that Aldrich has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers, and that De La Rosa's wrestling and heart should be enough. He expects a decision win.

"Montana De la Rosa for me as well... likely wins by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Montana De La Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Montana De La Rosa over JJ Aldridge. He believes De La Rosa is underrated and notes her decent performance against Macy Barber and competitive rounds with Tatiana Suarez. He points to a common opponent, Ariane Lipski, who finished De La Rosa but later beat Aldridge, suggesting De La Rosa is stronger. He also mentions a slight reach advantage for De La Rosa and describes Aldridge as 'two hit and miss.'

"I'm gonna go with Montana De la Rosa here I do believe that she's somewhat of an underrated female fighter"
WIN vs Liang Na
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 41 26% 27 of 61 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Liang Na 0 47 of 65 72% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 1 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 28 25% 21 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Liang Na 0 11 of 20 55% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 JJ Aldrich 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
Liang Na 0 36 of 45 80% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 11 of 41 26% 7 of 30 3 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 47 of 65 72% 46 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 37 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 28 25% 6 of 21 1 of 5 0 of 2 5 of 23 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 11 of 20 55% 10 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 5
2 JJ Aldrich 4 of 13 30% 1 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 36 of 45 80% 36 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"
LOSS vs Ariane da Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 101 of 204 49% 113 of 216 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 49 of 99 49% 56 of 106 0 of 12 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 67 52% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 20 55% 14 of 23 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 0 31 of 64 48% 38 of 71 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 40 45% 22 of 44 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 101 of 204 49% 47 of 134 42 of 56 12 of 14 77 of 176 24 of 28 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 49 of 99 49% 42 of 92 4 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 95 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 35 of 67 52% 17 of 42 15 of 20 3 of 5 22 of 53 13 of 14 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 73 47% 15 of 48 15 of 20 5 of 5 30 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 31 of 64 48% 15 of 44 12 of 16 4 of 4 25 of 55 6 of 9 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 18 of 40 45% 15 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.

1.5 unit bet at -220
"I've got a one and a half unit bet that's a lot of money on JJ Aldridge but I got a one and a half unit bet at minus 220. I'm just very confident in her ability to go out …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.

win by TKO in round 3
"I like Aldrich to have success in the Striking mixing the takedowns win minutes on the on the feet on the mat and I'm gonna say Aldridge eventually gets a TKO here late late fight uh late third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.

"we're gonna take JJ Aldridge she'll probably be somewhere around like the second or third lot I don't want her on the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.

Aldrich opened at unknown, now -380 to -450; Lipski +285 to +350. Connor says the odds feel appropriate.
"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.

"I think a combination of aldrich's output footwork and ability to stay safe at distance is going to overwhelm lipsky here and I think Aldrich boxes her way to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"JJ Aldridge can win this fight standing she can win this fight to the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.

by decision
"I'm definitely gonna side with JJ Aldridge here being the better more well-rounded fighter overall and a bit tougher"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.

"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 48 of 100 48% 68 of 121 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:56
JJ Aldrich 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 77 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 23 of 58 39% 27 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 43 37% 21 of 48 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 42 59% 41 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:13
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 48 of 100 48% 29 of 76 11 of 11 8 of 13 46 of 96 2 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 32 of 71 45% 29 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0 31 of 68 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 23 of 58 39% 13 of 44 7 of 7 3 of 7 22 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 43 37% 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 42 59% 16 of 32 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 28 57% 14 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.

may throw a moneyline bet on Blanchfield, waiting to see line movement
"I think it's more of the same from aaron here i think she dominates in a heavy grappling win and betting wise i may throw a money line bet on aaron"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.

Blanchfield by decision
"I like blanchfield here do I like the minor 600 no I don't but I do think she is one of the safer picks as far as uh picking a win on this card see me blanchfield give me blanchfield …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.

Blanchfield by decision
"i'm a bland shield supporter through and through"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.

"i think that aaron blanchfield's got the skills to pay the bills so i'm gonna go with aaron"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.

Blanchfield by decision (minus 138)
"the bet that i did make this week was blanchfield by decision minus 138."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.

Dislikes the odds, says 'the odds are really annoying'
"i am going to go there in blanchfield but i don't like the odds the odds are really annoying on a lot of fights on these cards"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 60 of 118 50% 76 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:07
Gillian Robertson 0 52 of 139 37% 67 of 154 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 23 of 44 52% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:16
Gillian Robertson 0 17 of 40 42% 19 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
3 JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 39 46% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 42 45% 32 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 60 of 118 50% 56 of 114 3 of 3 1 of 1 49 of 105 9 of 11 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 52 of 139 37% 17 of 81 18 of 36 17 of 22 45 of 131 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 35 54% 17 of 33 1 of 1 1 of 1 18 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 16 of 57 28% 4 of 30 4 of 16 8 of 11 16 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 23 of 44 52% 22 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 36 7 of 8 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 17 of 40 42% 7 of 26 7 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 18 of 39 46% 17 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 36 1 of 1 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 19 of 42 45% 6 of 25 7 of 11 6 of 6 14 of 36 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Gillian Robertson because she is a well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base, averaging almost three takedowns per fight. He believes Robertson will be more physical and work the fight to the ground, as JJ Aldrich has not faced someone as physical or wrestling-heavy. He notes that the -150 odds are spot on and expects the line to move further in Robertson's favor.

Odds comment: -150 is spot on, expects line to move
"I like jillian here and i think these minus 150 odds that the bookmakers are keeping i think those are pretty spot on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks the underdog JJ Aldrich to win by decision. He praises Aldrich's underrated grappling, takedown defense, and ability to control opponents on the mat, citing her performances against Vanessa Demopoulos and Paulina Viana. He notes Robertson has poor takedown defense (16%) and is content to play off her back, but Aldrich's BJJ is good enough to avoid submissions. He thinks Aldrich has more paths to victory: out-striking or controlling on the ground.

"i'm actually going to take the dog here in orders to win i'm going to take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking advantage. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Daniel Levi picks JJ Aldrich, arguing that Aldrich's stand-up is way higher than Robertson's and that she keeps her distance well. He believes if Aldrich stuffs the first few takedowns, Robertson will start flopping to her back, allowing Aldrich to take advantage. Levi acknowledges that if Robertson gets on top, Aldrich is a brown belt and can survive, but he sees Aldrich neutralizing Robertson and winning a decision.

"give me jj to kind of neutralize jillian and come out here and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich has good boxing and takedown defense, but hasn't faced a relentless grappler like Robertson recently. She can keep the fight standing and use top control if taken down. Robertson is a submission specialist but may struggle to get takedowns. Aldrich is predicted to win via decision, with the over 2.5 rounds also considered.

Over 2.5 rounds at minus 125 is mentioned as a good look.
"I still land up on the JJ Aldrich side. She she's been good to me in the past."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Gillian Robertson, going against the grain. He highlights Aldrich's takedown defense, noting she hasn't been taken down since 2019 and pops right back up. He believes Aldrich is capable on the feet, training with Rose Namajunas and Valentina Shevchenko, and that Robertson won't be able to utilize her grappling. He predicts a grinding decision or a late-round TKO, as Aldrich is tough to submit.

decision or late round TKO
"i'm taking jj aldridge i'm going against a grain again here um jj aldridge i believe gets this one done she's very consistent she don't get held down by no one"
Gillian Robertson - Fight History
WIN vs Amanda Lemos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Lemos 0 42 of 73 57% 51 of 84 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:04
Gillian Robertson 0 12 of 26 46% 64 of 81 3 of 7 42% 0 2 9:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Lemos 0 25 of 37 67% 27 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:40
Gillian Robertson 0 5 of 15 33% 9 of 20 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:38
2 Amanda Lemos 0 10 of 19 52% 11 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:14
Gillian Robertson 0 2 of 3 66% 26 of 28 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:06
3 Amanda Lemos 0 7 of 17 41% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Gillian Robertson 0 5 of 8 62% 29 of 33 1 of 4 25% 0 1 3:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Lemos 42 of 73 57% 31 of 61 8 of 8 3 of 4 27 of 57 2 of 2 13 of 14
Gillian Robertson 12 of 26 46% 5 of 12 2 of 4 5 of 10 10 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Lemos 25 of 37 67% 18 of 29 6 of 6 1 of 2 12 of 23 1 of 1 12 of 13
Gillian Robertson 5 of 15 33% 2 of 7 1 of 2 2 of 6 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Lemos 10 of 19 52% 7 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2 9 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
Gillian Robertson 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Amanda Lemos 7 of 17 41% 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 5 of 8 62% 3 of 5 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Gillian Robertson but expresses nervousness. He acknowledges Robertson's poor takedowns and atrocious striking, but believes her relentless pressure and submission threats will cause Amanda Lemos to freeze. He also notes the smaller cage helps Robertson. He points out that Lemos has good takedown defense, having defended nine takedowns from Tatiana Suarez, but still thinks Robertson's volume will win out.

"I'm a little nervous, but I do think Jillian wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady picks Gillian Robertson to win by third-round submission. He likes her move to strawweight (5-1 record) and improved wrestling and ground-and-pound. He notes Lemos's age (38) and 64% takedown defense, and believes Robertson can get takedowns, control top position, and eventually submit her.

"Give me Gillian Robertson to win this fight by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson but with caution. He highlights her improved wrestling and submission game under Dean Thomas, but worries about Lemos' takedown defense and power. He notes Robertson's striking is poor and if she can't get takedowns, she's in trouble. He advises not going too heavy on her.

"I'm probably just going to not have the coonies to take the dog play and take Robertson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Connor picks Robertson, citing that Lemos will engage in grappling if she doesn't knock Robertson out, and Robertson's A-game is grappling. He compares it to Lemos's loss to Tatiana Suarez, where Lemos willingly clinched.

Odds: Lemos opened at +210, currently +170; Robertson opened at -250, currently -195.
"I got to pick her."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

James picks Gillian Robertson to win inside the distance via ground and pound or submission. He highlights Robertson's relentless grappling and Lemos' tendency to regrapple and make poor decisions on the ground. He notes that Lemos has a striking advantage but expects Robertson to eventually get takedowns and finish. He suggests the fight not going to decision as a potential bet.

fight doesn't go to decision
"my official prediction boys will be Jillian Robinson gets this one done inside the distance with a ground and pound or submission attack on the map."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Amanda Lemos

The host picks Lemos to win by knockout, believing her power and defensive grappling will be too much for Robertson. He expects Lemos to stuff takedowns and land big shots on the feet, eventually finishing Robertson. He notes that Robertson's lack of striking and physicality will be exposed, and that Lemos's experience against strong grapplers gives her the edge.

Lemos by KO
"I'm going to go with the Brazilian here. I know she's getting up there in age... Lemos has enough defensive grappling to shut that down from Robertson, keep this in the striking game and eventually find that knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Paul picks Robertson confidently, citing her recent run, coaching from Dean Thomas, and improved wrestling. He believes she will get takedowns and control the fight. He notes Lemos has low volume and can be taken down, though he acknowledges the price is steep.

"Julian Robertson's a pick for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson, despite her lack of striking power, because her grappling is consistent and Lemos has been out-grappled by top opponents. He thinks Robertson will get top position early and submit her in the second round, though he acknowledges Lemos could win if she stuffs a takedown and lands a big shot.

Prediction: submission in the second round
"I'm going to go with Gillian Robertson getting this one done by submission in the second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Zane leans Robertson, noting that Lemos will likely initiate grappling if she doesn't knock Robertson out immediately, which plays into Robertson's strength. He acknowledges Robertson could get nuked on the feet but thinks Lemos's tendency to wrestle will cost her.

Odds: Lemos opened at +210, currently +170; Robertson opened at -250, currently -195.
"Yeah, I think I'm leaning Robertson. I mean, it's very clearly a fight where she could get nuked, but she could just hold it together."
CANCEL vs Amanda Lemos
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her improved grappling and game planning. He notes Lemos's takedown defense issues and expects Robertson to take her down, control position, and win a decision. He likes the decision prop.

Robertson by decision +230
"Gillian Robertson's the pick for me as well."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Amanda Lemos

Connor picks Lemos, citing her athleticism and the fact that Robertson has never beaten a high-level athlete. He acknowledges Lemos's lack of development and tendency to waste time, but believes Robertson's mental block against athletic opponents will be her undoing. He notes that Lemos's recent wrestling is just a way to slow fights down, not a decisive advantage.

Odds: Lemos +170 underdog. Connor feels the line is long and sees the fight as close to even.
"I think she has unlike Lamo. She has continued to improve... but there is a conspicuous lack of meaningful athletic talent on her under her wind column."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Lucrative James picks Gillian Robertson confidently, emphasizing her relentless grappling and ground-and-pound. He notes Amanda Lemos' takedown defense and fight IQ issues, and believes Robertson will eventually get a takedown and finish via submission or ground-and-pound. He projects Robertson as a -175 favorite.

"My official prediction boys will be Julian Robinson. Gets this one done inside the distance with a ground and pound or submission attack on the map."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Paul also picks Robertson, highlighting her takedown ability and improved striking. He thinks Lemos's low volume and poor takedown defense will be exploited, and expects Robertson to win a decision. He likes the decision prop.

Robertson by decision +230
"G Rob by decision for me."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Zane picks Robertson but is hesitant, noting that Robertson has a technical advantage and has improved, but has historically struggled against athletic opponents. He worries Robertson may give too much respect to Lemos's speed and power, leading to poor takedown attempts. He sees this as a winnable fight for Robertson if she can stay confident and execute her game plan.

Odds: Robertson opened -110, now -200; Lemos opened -110, now +170. Zane notes the line feels long and sees the fight as close to even.
"I'm gonna pick my mush. I'm gonna stick with the idea that there's just a ceiling to Robertson's game that she imposes on herself."
KO R2 2:07 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marina Rodriguez 0 4 of 17 23% 7 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 16 of 41 39% 73 of 120 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marina Rodriguez 0 2 of 13 15% 5 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 11 of 25 44% 42 of 63 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:34
2 Marina Rodriguez 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 5 of 16 31% 31 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marina Rodriguez 4 of 17 23% 3 of 14 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 16 of 41 39% 12 of 32 2 of 6 2 of 3 6 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marina Rodriguez 2 of 13 15% 2 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 11 of 25 44% 7 of 17 2 of 5 2 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 8
2 Marina Rodriguez 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 5 of 16 31% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo points out that Marina Rodriguez has poor takedown defense, which Gillian Robertson can exploit with her grappling. He acknowledges that Robertson's takedowns are not spectacular but should be sufficient. He expects Robertson to get the fight to the ground and control it, though he notes it could be a close decision due to Rodriguez's striking ability.

"Jillian is the pick. And because Marina is so battle tested, this could be a split decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady is confident in Gillian Robertson, citing a clear stylistic advantage. He explains that Marina Rodriguez has poor willingness to get up after being taken down, and at 38 years old, she won't improve that. Robertson is younger and will take Rodriguez down, control her on the ground, and cruise to a 30-27 decision. He notes that Rodriguez has survived finishes against solid grapplers but loses minutes on bottom.

Decision win
"Got to be Robertson here. Um she's much younger. Um I think she's been looking great at Strowway."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Connor picks Robertson because she has been improving and knows her win condition, while Rodriguez has lost a step and confidence. He notes that Robertson is a bully at strawweight, willing to eat shots to impose her grappling, and that Rodriguez is a terrible defensive wrestler and a slow starter who often gives up takedowns in the first round. He also mentions that Rodriguez's recent losses show she can't think her way out of simple puzzles.

Robertson opened at -293, currently -310; Rodriguez opened at +217, currently +264. Connor says the odds are about right.
"Very hard not to pick Robertson here. It really is."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

This is a clear striker vs grappler matchup. Robertson has the grappling advantage and should exploit Rodriguez's poor takedown defense and getups. I expect Robertson to secure a submission victory.

submission
"I fully expect Robertson to grind this fight out, landing those opportune takedowns and taking advantage of the poor takedown defense and getups of Rodriguez, which should eventually lead to Robertson landing and securing a submission victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Marina Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez as an underdog, despite originally leaning towards Gillian Robertson. He argues that Robertson's offensive wrestling isn't at the level of others who have taken Rodriguez down, and that Rodriguez will outland her on the feet. He believes Rodriguez has good takedown defense and has survived submission attempts from Mackenzie Dern. He predicts Rodriguez wins on damage, possibly by third-round TKO.

underdog pick at +260, possible third-round TKO
"I'm going to go with Marina Rodriguez pulling off the upset here as a plus 260 underdog."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Zane picks Robertson because she has been getting better and is more comfortable, while Rodriguez seems aimless and has lost a step. He notes that Robertson's wrestling flows well into her grappling when she is not scared off, and that Rodriguez is a career-long slow starter who gives up takedowns. He also points out that Rodriguez's confidence is shaken, and without it her technical deficiencies are laid bare.

"I just think that Robertson has really demonstrated, like, again, she knows what she needs to do to win fights, and she will go out there and even take some damage if she needs to, just to tie up."
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 42 of 105 40% 63 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:17
Luana Pinheiro 0 52 of 108 48% 78 of 145 5 of 17 29% 0 1 8:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 14 of 38 36% 16 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Luana Pinheiro 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 35 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:33
2 Gillian Robertson 0 25 of 61 40% 29 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luana Pinheiro 0 20 of 47 42% 22 of 55 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:22
3 Gillian Robertson 0 3 of 6 50% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Luana Pinheiro 0 17 of 29 58% 41 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 1 4:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 42 of 105 40% 23 of 84 16 of 18 3 of 3 41 of 102 1 of 3 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 52 of 108 48% 33 of 72 5 of 18 14 of 18 28 of 76 4 of 4 20 of 28
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 14 of 38 36% 8 of 32 5 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 15 of 32 46% 6 of 17 2 of 5 7 of 10 9 of 23 1 of 1 5 of 8
2 Gillian Robertson 25 of 61 40% 13 of 48 11 of 12 1 of 1 24 of 59 1 of 2 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 20 of 47 42% 11 of 32 3 of 9 6 of 6 17 of 44 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Gillian Robertson 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 17 of 29 58% 16 of 23 0 of 4 1 of 2 2 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo argues that since Luana Pinheiro was submitted by Angela Hill (the least dangerous grappler), she will certainly be submitted by Gillian Robertson, who has the most submission wins in flyweight history. He acknowledges Pinheiro has decent takedown defense and striking, but the MMA math leads him to Robertson. He calls it the only logical conclusion.

"Jillian Robertson has to be the pick here that has to be the only logical conclusion that you could draw so Jillian Robertson's the pick simple done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady believes this is a terrible matchup for Pinheiro, who fades after 7.5 minutes and has been submitted before. He praises Robertson's size, strength, cardio, and ground game, predicting she will take over late and submit Pinheiro in the second round.

Robertson by submission, round 2
"I'll take Jillian Robertson second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody echoes Paul's concerns about Pinheiro's wrestling and notes her quit in the Ronda Marcos fight. He highlights Robertson's high ring IQ and ability to grind opponents down with ground and pound. Cody expects Robertson to dominate on the mat and finish or win a clear decision.

"I think Jullian Robertson rolls here I would love the CF dot model myself but minus 400 favorite seems pretty accurate for Robertson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Pinheiro's striking is aimless and formless. He thinks Robertson can ride out Pinheiro's initial success and eventually get her to the mat. He expects a submission win for Robertson.

"I think Robertson can ride out Pinero's success and eventually get her to the mat and start beating her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Gillian Robertson, highlighting her record for most submission wins in UFC women's history and her ability to get takedowns. He criticizes Luana Pinheiro's toughness and cites past performances where Pinheiro was taken down and submitted by lesser grapplers. Vreeland expects Robertson to dominate on the ground and secure a finish.

"My pick is Julian Robertson."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Lucrative James confidently picks Gillian Robertson to win by submission. He highlights that Robertson has more physicality at strawweight and is a dangerous BJJ artist, while Pinheiro has cardio issues and is not strong in grappling. He predicts Robertson will get top position and finish via rear-naked choke or armbar, and also suggests the fight won't go to decision.

by submission, fight doesn't go to decision, under 2.5 rounds
"Julian Robinson to win via submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

This is a horrible stylistic matchup for Pinheiro. If she can't get success in the first round, Robertson will wear her down with pressure and pace, leading to a submission victory in round two.

wins by submission, round 2
"this is a horrible stylistic match up for Pinero if she's unable to get success in the first round which will eventually lead to Robertson wearing her down with the pressure and Pace eventually leading to a submission victory for …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Paul sees Pinheiro's takedown defense as a major red flag, citing her struggles against Angela Hill and Michelle Waterson. He believes Robertson's relentless top control and submission threats will be too much. Paul likes Robertson by submission and thinks the -400 line is accurate.

Robertson by submission
"I think like plus 140 Jillian Robertson by sub is how I would bet this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson, citing her grappling advantage and recent submission wins. He notes Luana Pinheiro's two-fight losing streak and that Robertson is a big favorite. He expects Robertson to implement her grappling and get a submission or TKO finish.

submission or TKO finish
"I'll go Julian Robertson getting her grappling off and implementing that part of her game"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Zane picks Robertson confidently. He notes that Pinheiro has a one-dimensional judo clinch game and no real striking. Robertson is a diligent takedown artist and ruthless on the ground. He expects Robertson to get the takedown and likely submit Pinheiro.

"I'm going to pick Jillian Robertson to beat her."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 21 of 52 40% 41 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 77 of 105 73% 122 of 156 2 of 6 33% 2 0 12:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 11 of 37 29% 15 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 27 of 43 62% 36 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:23
2 Gillian Robertson 0 4 of 6 66% 13 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 27 of 31 87% 48 of 53 1 of 3 33% 1 0 4:49
3 Gillian Robertson 0 6 of 9 66% 13 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 23 of 31 74% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 4:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 21 of 52 40% 19 of 48 1 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 37 3 of 4 9 of 11
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 77 of 105 73% 67 of 94 9 of 9 1 of 2 10 of 24 0 of 0 67 of 81
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 11 of 37 29% 9 of 33 1 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 33 0 of 1 3 of 3
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 27 of 43 62% 23 of 39 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 19 0 of 0 19 of 24
2 Gillian Robertson 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 1
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 27 of 31 87% 22 of 26 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 26 of 30
3 Gillian Robertson 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 7
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 23 of 31 74% 22 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 22 of 27
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her youth, grappling advantage, and recent improvements. He notes that Waterson is 38 and on a losing streak, and that her takedown defense has declined. Cody believes Robertson will take Waterson down and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision. He also mentions that Robertson has been working on her cardio and game planning.

"Robertson at some point's gonna get it to the ground for two of the three rounds and either wins a decision or maybe latches onto the neck and subs her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Daniel believes Robertson's path is to get takedowns and maul Waterson on the ground, either by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes Robertson holds the record for most submissions in women's UFC history. He sees Waterson's only path being keeping it standing or hitting a sneaky submission, but thinks Robertson will eventually get her down.

wins by submission or TKO
"I'm gonna go with Julian Robertson here to come through and possibly finish the karate hottie Michelle Waterson."
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The host is confident Robertson will get a submission, citing her relentless grappling and ability to take the back. He notes Waterson-Gomez is on a four-fight losing streak and slowing down at 38. He expects Robertson to eventually secure a takedown and find a choke, recommending Robertson by submission as the best bet.

Robertson by submission
"Give me Jillian Robertson to get a submission over Michelle Waterson Gomez."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Paul picks Robertson, noting that Waterson is past her prime and has lost six of her last seven. He believes Robertson's grappling will be too much for Waterson, who has been submitted before. Paul also mentions that Robertson is younger and improving, while Waterson's best days are behind her.

"Give me the younger up-and-comer in Gillian Robertson who I see making improvements."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Michelle Waterson-Gomez

The Guru picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez as an underdog over Gillian Robertson. He praises Waterson's takedown defense and striking, saying she is levels above Robertson on the feet. He doubts Robertson's ability to harm anyone standing. He expects Waterson to win by decision.

"I'm going to go with Michelle Waterson Gomez... Michelle Waterson shall win"
WIN vs Polyana Viana
TKO (punches) R2 3:12 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 23 of 39 58% 49 of 91 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:06
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 41 29% 33 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 8 of 13 61% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:52
Polyana Viana 0 8 of 18 44% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Gillian Robertson 0 15 of 26 57% 33 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 23 17% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 23 of 39 58% 20 of 35 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 13 0 of 0 18 of 26
Polyana Viana 12 of 41 29% 10 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 1 9 of 37 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
Polyana Viana 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Gillian Robertson 15 of 26 57% 13 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 12 of 18
Polyana Viana 4 of 23 17% 3 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Robertson (-230), Viana (+190)

Round 1
Strawweight grapplers are up next, with Robertson trying to even things up at 2-2 for Team Canada against her Brazilian counterpart. The referee is Kevin Macdonald. Both women are in orthodox stance, and Viana is the first to land, sticking Robertson with a long jab. They exchange jabs and Viana punctuates with a body kick. Robertson times a nice single-leg and hauls Viana down with ease. Robertson is on top in Viana’s half guard, leaning across her body and elbowing the ribs. Viana locks down the left leg and Robertson works for a straight armlock on the far arm. Robertson gives up on the arm attack and goes heavy on top, working to pass her guard as she does. Robertson throws two elbow strikes and slides right into mount. A couple more elbow strikes and Viana turns to the side. Robertson applies an arm-triangle choke and tries to move out to the side to finish. Viana manages to regain guard, but gives up her back a moment later. A minute to go in the round and Robertson is in back mount. She goes supine, rolls Viana on top of her, and Viana gives up mount. Robertson peels off for an armbar. It’s locked in and close to danger territory, but Viana extricates her arm and escapes. They return to their feet at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Robertson

Round 2
Viana lands a low kick and slips the counter coming back her way. Viana tags Robertson with a straight right, then another, both of which glance off the guard. Robertson steps in, grabs a single-leg and gets another effortless takedown. She moves quickly to mount and Viana turns her back. Robertson is on top, drops an elbow and is in position to look for a choke if the opportunity presents itself. Robertson throws several hard punches that bounce off the forearm but still rattle the Brazilian’s head.
Robertson is all over Viana at the halfway point of the round, landing ground-and-pound. She keeps pouring it on and after 10 or more solid blows with no reaction from the turtled Viana, Macdonald steps in for the stoppage.

The Official Result
Gillian Robertson def. Polyana Viana R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Robertson but with medium confidence, noting her grappling credentials and record submission wins. He criticizes her inability to get fights to the ground despite being a great grappler, and acknowledges Viana's own dangerous ground game. He expects Robertson to win via grappling but is wary of Viana's toughness and cardio.

"she should be good enough to beat paana Viana here I say medium confidence for her to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady is confident in Robertson because Viana has poor takedown defense and is content to play off her back, which plays into Robertson's strength. He notes Robertson has good ground and pound and submissions, while Viana's only path is a knockout. He predicts Robertson will get the fight down and submit Viana in the second round.

second round submission
"I'll take her to win this fight fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He questions Viana's jiu-jitsu and cardio, noting she gets tired and gives up submissions. He believes Robertson will take her down and control the fight.

"Robertson... she's got the superior grappling and the superior pace."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Daniel Vreeland picks Gillian Robertson by submission. He notes Robertson is one-dimensional but dangerous on the mat, while Viana can crack on the feet but is susceptible to submissions. He expects Robertson to chain takedowns and have her way on top, leading to a submission win.

by submission
"I'm gonna go Julian Robertson here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Robertson vs Viana.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

I expect Robertson to drag this fight to the ground and utilize her superior Jiu-Jitsu to control top position and eventually open up a submission opportunity. Viana relies too much on her guard off her back, and Robertson has good enough Jiu-Jitsu to stay out of submission threats. I think it's just a matter of time once the fight hits the mat that Robertson can work to a dominant position and sink in a submission. I like the under 2.5 rounds prop as well.

under 2.5 rounds, submission victory
"gim me Robertson again chalky under 2 and 1 half is another spot that I really like"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Polyana Viana

Paul picks Viana as a chaos pick, noting her volatility and submission threat. He acknowledges Robertson is more likely to win but has a gut feeling Viana could pull off an armbar. He suggests Viana inside the distance as a better bet.

Viana inside the distance at +600
"I'll pick Polyana Viana to pull off the upset in something super stupid."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The MMA Guru picks Gillian Robertson, calling her a slight step above 'bottom feeder trash.' He criticizes Polyana Viana's lack of commitment and poor competition, noting she hasn't beaten anyone good. He believes Robertson can get top position safely and avoid Viana's submission threat.

"I'm going to go Julian Robertson now are both of them not good yes neither of them are really that good"
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 100 of 315 31% 101 of 318 3 of 8 37% 0 0 0:38
Gillian Robertson 0 76 of 219 34% 78 of 225 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 29 of 80 36% 30 of 81 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:30
Gillian Robertson 0 12 of 48 25% 14 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 31 of 114 27% 31 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:08
Gillian Robertson 0 36 of 86 41% 36 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 40 of 121 33% 40 of 122 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 28 of 85 32% 28 of 86 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 100 of 315 31% 59 of 257 17 of 25 24 of 33 95 of 306 3 of 7 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 76 of 219 34% 31 of 150 24 of 40 21 of 29 74 of 212 2 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 29 of 80 36% 17 of 60 2 of 6 10 of 14 27 of 77 0 of 1 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 12 of 48 25% 4 of 34 4 of 9 4 of 5 12 of 46 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Tabatha Ricci 31 of 114 27% 16 of 94 8 of 10 7 of 10 31 of 112 0 of 2 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 36 of 86 41% 14 of 56 9 of 12 13 of 18 35 of 83 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tabatha Ricci 40 of 121 33% 26 of 103 7 of 9 7 of 9 37 of 117 3 of 4 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 28 of 85 32% 13 of 60 11 of 19 4 of 6 27 of 83 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her strength, pressure, and superior grappling. He believes Ricci is too strong for Gillian Robertson to take down and will be the better grappler on the ground. He has half a unit on Ricci at -121 and notes the line has yo-yoed. He sees Ricci as the next evolution of the wrestle-boxer style.

half unit on Tabatha Ricci at -121
"I just like Tabitha Ricci to get it done I have half a unit on her at minus 121"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady leans towards Tabatha Ricci, believing she will be the better wrestler and striker. He notes Robertson's poor takedown defense (25%) and tendency to accept being on her back. He thinks Ricci's Judo background and BJJ black belt will allow her to get takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win but acknowledges it could go either way.

"I'll say Tabitha Richie grinds this one out and wins a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her size and strength advantage. He notes her grappling credentials but acknowledges her struggles against good wrestlers. He thinks the plus money is worth it and expects a close fight.

"I'll take the plus money on whoever it is and it's Tabitha Richie so I'm taking the plus money is on Jillian Robertson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Connor picks Ricci because she is strong, an excellent grappler, and increasingly comfortable on the feet. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Connor also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.

"I got to pick Ricci just to be able to dart in and land big right hands. And hit double legs."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Daniel Levi picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her ability to keep the fight standing or wrestle in reverse. He notes Robertson's submission threat but thinks Ricci's jiu-jitsu and physicality can neutralize it. He believes Ricci has more paths to victory and can survive on the ground if needed.

"I just I just see more paths for Richie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

The host picks Tabatha Ricci to win by decision. He believes Ricci is a superior grappler and wrestler who will get top position and control Robertson. He notes Robertson's tendency to play off her back and thinks Ricci will be too privy to her submission attempts. He expects Ricci to dominate the fight with top control and win a decision.

"I think that Tabitha Richie will shut all of that down I think she is a superior Grappler"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Paul picks Ricci, citing her striking advantage and top control. He notes her training with Mackenzie Dern and thinks she can avoid Robertson's submissions. He mentions he already bet Ricci at -125.

"I've got yeah minus 125 Tabitha Ricci."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson over the majority pick Tabatha Ricci. He believes Robertson's length and reach advantage will allow her to lead the dance, and she does more damage on the ground with ground and pound. He thinks both are grapplers but Robertson's aggression and experience will win her a split decision based on damage.

Predicts split decision win.
"I'm actually gonna go with Jillian Robertson here over Tabitha for Richie"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tabatha Ricci

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricci. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Zane also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.

"I think I'm with you. I just think Julian Robertson's wind condition is very narrow, like she has to be able to out wrestle somebody because she has to get on top of them."
Submission (armbar) R2 4:21 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 26 of 39 66% 46 of 62 2 of 3 66% 1 0 6:23
Piera Rodríguez 0 12 of 33 36% 25 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 34 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:12
Piera Rodríguez 0 12 of 29 41% 24 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
2 Gillian Robertson 0 13 of 14 92% 26 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:11
Piera Rodríguez 0 0 of 4 0% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 26 of 39 66% 20 of 29 1 of 4 5 of 6 12 of 23 0 of 0 14 of 16
Piera Rodríguez 12 of 33 36% 10 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 13 of 25 52% 8 of 16 1 of 4 4 of 5 11 of 22 0 of 0 2 of 3
Piera Rodríguez 12 of 29 41% 10 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gillian Robertson 13 of 14 92% 12 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 13
Piera Rodríguez 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Angelo picks Piera Rodríguez as a live underdog, citing her nasty striking, finishing ability, and 77% takedown defense. He notes that Gillian Robertson's takedowns are terrible and her striking is not good enough to hang. He expects Rodríguez to defend takedowns, win striking exchanges, and potentially get her own takedowns. He has a small quarter-unit bet on her at +102.

quarter unit moneyline bet at +102
"I have a small quarter of a uni money line bet on for her Rodriguez at plus 102"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Big Brady picks Piera Rodríguez to win a close decision. He notes Rodríguez's striking advantage and solid takedown defense (77%), while Robertson has poor takedown defense (28%). He is concerned about Robertson's weight cut to strawweight but leans Rodríguez due to her ability to keep the fight standing and potentially land takedowns.

"I actually lean uh the Rodriguez side I think she's going to have some advantages here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Cody bet Robertson earlier at plus money and notes her grappling is strong, especially at strawweight where she is undefeated. He thinks the weight cut may help her strength and control. He acknowledges Rodriguez's improvements but sticks with Robertson.

Bet Robertson at +109 earlier
"I've got Robertson at like a half decent price but um not gonna be stunned if I uh if I absolutely lose it but I'm gonna pick Robertson"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Connor agrees, noting that Robertson's striking is bad and she looks surprised when hit. He believes Rodriguez has the control of distance and wrestling to handle Robertson's grappling, and that Robertson's only chance is to get on top, but the process of getting there is chaotic.

"Yeah, I'm inclined to agree. I would really like to see Robertson turn that corner and it might still happen."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Rodríguez's striking and improved grappling will be too much for Robertson, who is one-dimensional with her BJJ. Robertson struggles to get fights to the ground and gets outstruck. Rodríguez has shown good takedown defense and can work back to her feet. Her aggression and clinch knees should win rounds. Robertson's experience won't overcome the skill gap.

"I like everything that I'm seeing from Rodriguez I'm loving the improvements I'm seeing as well and I would be happy to take her as the underdog."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Paul likes Rodriguez as a slight underdog, citing her wrestling, cardio, and training camp. He thinks Robertson's striking is poor and that Rodriguez can win the stand-up and avoid submissions. He expects a 29-28 decision for Rodriguez.

"I think she wins the fight does it didn't really matter what the odds were she could have been the minus 130 versus plus 110 Julian Robinson I was picking Rodriguez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

The MMA Guru edges Piera Rodríguez in a close fight, citing her well-rounded skills, striking accuracy, and takedown defense (77%). He was initially leaning toward Robertson but was impressed by Rodríguez's tape. He thinks Rodríguez can stuff takedowns and outpoint Robertson, though Robertson's grappling is always a threat.

"I will Edge Pierre Rodriguez"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Piera Rodríguez

Zane picks Rodriguez because she looks controlled, moves in combination, and gets out of the pocket quickly. He notes that Robertson's striking is bad and she closes her eyes when hit, and that Rodriguez has the requisite control of distance and is a solid wrestler.

"I'm going to pick Rodriguez. I think she's looked controlled in her fights."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Gillian Robertson because she is a well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base, averaging almost three takedowns per fight. He believes Robertson will be more physical and work the fight to the ground, as JJ Aldrich has not faced someone as physical or wrestling-heavy. He notes that the -150 odds are spot on and expects the line to move further in Robertson's favor.

Odds comment: -150 is spot on, expects line to move
"I like jillian here and i think these minus 150 odds that the bookmakers are keeping i think those are pretty spot on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks the underdog JJ Aldrich to win by decision. He praises Aldrich's underrated grappling, takedown defense, and ability to control opponents on the mat, citing her performances against Vanessa Demopoulos and Paulina Viana. He notes Robertson has poor takedown defense (16%) and is content to play off her back, but Aldrich's BJJ is good enough to avoid submissions. He thinks Aldrich has more paths to victory: out-striking or controlling on the ground.

"i'm actually going to take the dog here in orders to win i'm going to take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking advantage. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Daniel Levi picks JJ Aldrich, arguing that Aldrich's stand-up is way higher than Robertson's and that she keeps her distance well. He believes if Aldrich stuffs the first few takedowns, Robertson will start flopping to her back, allowing Aldrich to take advantage. Levi acknowledges that if Robertson gets on top, Aldrich is a brown belt and can survive, but he sees Aldrich neutralizing Robertson and winning a decision.

"give me jj to kind of neutralize jillian and come out here and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich has good boxing and takedown defense, but hasn't faced a relentless grappler like Robertson recently. She can keep the fight standing and use top control if taken down. Robertson is a submission specialist but may struggle to get takedowns. Aldrich is predicted to win via decision, with the over 2.5 rounds also considered.

Over 2.5 rounds at minus 125 is mentioned as a good look.
"I still land up on the JJ Aldrich side. She she's been good to me in the past."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Gillian Robertson, going against the grain. He highlights Aldrich's takedown defense, noting she hasn't been taken down since 2019 and pops right back up. He believes Aldrich is capable on the feet, training with Rose Namajunas and Valentina Shevchenko, and that Robertson won't be able to utilize her grappling. He predicts a grinding decision or a late-round TKO, as Aldrich is tough to submit.

decision or late round TKO
"i'm taking jj aldridge i'm going against a grain again here um jj aldridge i believe gets this one done she's very consistent she don't get held down by no one"