vs
-230 +210
UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 2"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Alex Morono
4.9 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
4.88 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.32 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mickey Gall
3.5 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.72 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.15 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
37.0% TD Def.
1.6 Sub. Avg
Alex Morono
Moneyline
BetRivers -230
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
BetMGM +120
Mickey Gall
Moneyline
Caesars +210
KO/TKO
DraftKings +1200
Submission
DraftKings +700
Decision
FanDuel +480
Alex Morono - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 146 27% 48 of 154 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 1 100 of 162 61% 134 of 214 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 16 of 38 42% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 1 39 of 59 66% 70 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
2 Alex Morono 0 6 of 43 13% 7 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 0 27 of 40 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
3 Alex Morono 0 18 of 65 27% 19 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 0 34 of 63 53% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 146 27% 37 of 138 2 of 7 1 of 1 36 of 137 4 of 9 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 100 of 162 61% 45 of 99 21 of 28 34 of 35 82 of 134 7 of 11 11 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 16 of 38 42% 13 of 33 2 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 39 of 59 66% 23 of 42 8 of 9 8 of 8 25 of 37 3 of 5 11 of 17
2 Alex Morono 6 of 43 13% 6 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 39 1 of 4 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 27 of 40 67% 9 of 18 7 of 10 11 of 12 24 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Alex Morono 18 of 65 27% 18 of 63 0 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 34 of 63 53% 13 of 39 6 of 9 15 of 15 33 of 60 1 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo picks Daniil Donchenko despite believing Alex Morono is the better fighter skill-for-skill. He explains that Morono is a 'moron' who will stand and trade instead of using his high-level jiu-jitsu. Donchenko hits hard and Morono is on a three-fight skid. He thinks Morono has the easiest path to victory by grappling but won't do it, so he picks Donchenko.

"Denil Donenko is the pick. I I I He just hits too hard and Alex is going to stand there and try to go slike with him. It's just dumb."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko, praising his aggressive style and dangerous striking. He questions Alex Morono's commitment to fighting, noting he has other pursuits and has looked poor in recent fights. He expects Donchenko to pressure and finish Morono early, similar to Carlos Liao's win over Morono.

by first round knockout
"I like Donchenko. I like Donchenko by first round knockout. I think he runs through Alex Morono."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Cody agrees, highlighting Donchenko's power and Morono's chin issues. He notes Donchenko's tendency to gas but expects an early finish. Cody suggests betting Donchenko live after the first round if he doesn't finish, but overall picks Donchenko.

"Donchenko is just highly aggressive and sits down on his punches and you know, maybe he can topple him over."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Morono is a subpar athlete who has lost his speed and durability. He notes that Donchenko is young and technical, and that Morono's wins were over past-prime fighters. Connor concludes that Donchenko will win purely based on age and physical decline.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So it makes perfect sense to then match him up with Daniil Donchenko right now. And that's definitely a fight I have to think about hard to figure out how it's going to go."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko to win by TKO in round two or three. He trusts Donchenko's youth, physicality, and improvement, while noting that Morono is aging and has a questionable chin. James expects Morono to start well but fade as the fight progresses.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm trusting Donenko. I'm trusting in his youth, physicality, power, durability, upside. and I'm trusting in his improvement upside to get the job done. I think be a TKO in round two or round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Donchenko by first-round knockout, calling it a horrible stylistic matchup for Morono. He highlights Donchenko's Muay Thai, especially his elbows and knees, and his aggressive pressure. He notes Morono's chin is fading and he struggles with cardio, making him vulnerable to an early finish.

round 1 knockout
"So once again, give me Denil Donenko round one knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Paul picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his power and aggression. He notes Morono's recent losses and declining durability. Paul expects Donchenko to finish early but warns about his cardio if it goes past the first round. He suggests betting Donchenko but not at heavy favorite odds.

"It's got to be Don Shenko favorite status on this side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Daniil Donchenko over Alex Morono. He is very confident, predicting a first-round TKO. He notes Donchenko's aggressive style, elbows, body work, and low kicks. He thinks Morono can take a beating but Donchenko's cutting shots and pressure will overwhelm him early.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Danil Donchenko getting a first round TKO over Alex Morono all day long."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Zane picks Donchenko based on age and decline of Morono. He notes that Morono is slower and more fragile, and that Donchenko is a young, technical, and violent fighter who can execute at multiple levels. Zane believes Donchenko will simply wreck Morono, as Morono has lost to late-career Niko Price and is past his prime.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So Donchenko is just going to wreck him. Yeah. That's it. It's just going to go out there and wreck him."
LOSS vs Carlos Leal
KO R1 4:16 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 95 42% 41 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Carlos Leal 0 79 of 120 65% 81 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 40 of 95 42% 41 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Carlos Leal 0 79 of 120 65% 81 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 95 42% 32 of 82 4 of 9 4 of 4 35 of 87 5 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 79 of 120 65% 49 of 89 28 of 29 2 of 2 54 of 91 25 of 29 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 40 of 95 42% 32 of 82 4 of 9 4 of 4 35 of 87 5 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 79 of 120 65% 49 of 89 28 of 29 2 of 2 54 of 91 25 of 29 0 of 0
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 0 123 of 257 47% 126 of 260 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Alex Morono 0 74 of 257 28% 91 of 276 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 0 25 of 56 44% 25 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 0 31 of 81 38% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Rodriguez 0 44 of 99 44% 44 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 0 23 of 91 25% 23 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Rodriguez 0 54 of 102 52% 57 of 105 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Alex Morono 0 20 of 85 23% 37 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 123 of 257 47% 44 of 153 56 of 80 23 of 24 117 of 251 6 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Morono 74 of 257 28% 58 of 228 9 of 21 7 of 8 74 of 256 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 25 of 56 44% 7 of 32 11 of 17 7 of 7 25 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Morono 31 of 81 38% 20 of 67 5 of 8 6 of 6 31 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Rodriguez 44 of 99 44% 19 of 65 18 of 27 7 of 7 44 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Morono 23 of 91 25% 20 of 83 2 of 7 1 of 1 23 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Rodriguez 54 of 102 52% 18 of 56 27 of 36 9 of 10 48 of 96 6 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Morono 20 of 85 23% 18 of 78 2 of 6 0 of 1 20 of 84 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Angelo makes a low-confidence pick for Daniel Rodriguez, citing Alex Morono's unreliability. He notes that Morono is the overall better fighter but can never be trusted. Angelo suggests a plus 3.5 bet on Morono instead, as he believes Morono can win at least one round. He does not bet the moneyline on either fighter.

Considering plus 3.5 bet on Alex Morono if plus money
"The wildly low confidence pick will be Daniel because you just cannot trust Alex morono."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by decision, but notes he needs to see the weigh-ins to confirm. He criticizes Morono's awful performance against Niko Price, where he was gassed after one minute, and notes Morono is on short notice again. He thinks Rodriguez is the better striker and less washed, though both are declining. If Morono looks bad on the scale, Brady would change his pick to a knockout. He expects a decision but is open to a finish if Morono looks terrible.

Rodriguez by decision; if Morono looks awful, change to knockout
"I'm picking D Rod regardless I think he's the better Striker quicker harder hitter and looks less less washed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Rodriguez is a technical brawler who throws combinations and sets up shots, while Morono is a bad athlete who relies on game planning. He points out that Morono's jab is his best weapon but Rodriguez hits harder and is more durable. Connor expects Rodriguez to win a competitive fight.

Same odds commentary.
"Got to go with d rod agreed. But I like the fight a lot because oh, yeah the fight that morono will hang in he will keep it competitive."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel notes that Rodriguez has declined significantly in speed and reflexes, as seen in the Kelvin Gastelum fight, but he still has a speed advantage over Morono, who has never been fast. He thinks Rodriguez's jab and straight punches will get there first against Morono's wild overhands. However, he is not confident and expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest.

"Sure, pure pick I'll go with D Rod because historically he does have a big speed advantage... but there's a potential this fight plays out closer than the line indicates."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Rodriguez is more well-rounded and technical than Morono. Morono uses footwork but will struggle with Rodriguez's counters and straight shots down the pipe. Rodriguez will walk Morono down, land big strikes, and win on the scorecards.

"I think Rodriguez will do a good job in terms of walking Morono down landing his big strikes and winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez, criticizing Alex Morono for lacking talent, athleticism, and fast-twitch fibers. He praises Rodriguez's crisp, technical boxing and power, and expects a TKO in the second round. He dismisses Morono's grappling and overall game, calling him a 'flabby soft no Talent having hard worker'.

TKO second round
"I'm going to go with D Rod getting this one done way crisper boxing way more technical boxing way Slicker boxing way more power I'm going to say D Rod gets this one done by TKO second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Zane picks Rodriguez because he believes Rodriguez's power and durability will be too much for Morono. He notes that Morono often struggles against athletic fighters with power, and Rodriguez, despite being messy, has the tools to outwork and hurt Morono. Zane thinks Morono may have moments but will eventually get cracked.

Rodriguez opened at -190, now -201; Morono opened at +167, now +176.
"I'm still inclined to take rodriguez. It just feels like to me i've seen too many times where morono can get into a fight like this where you're like oh, yeah. No, you've got the right idea to hang with …"
LOSS vs Niko Price
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 108 of 224 48% 138 of 259 5 of 5 100% 0 1 3:37
Alex Morono 0 96 of 210 45% 111 of 225 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 16 of 51 31% 21 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:10
Alex Morono 0 34 of 72 47% 40 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
2 Niko Price 0 34 of 65 52% 50 of 83 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:04
Alex Morono 0 21 of 43 48% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
3 Niko Price 0 58 of 108 53% 67 of 118 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Alex Morono 0 41 of 95 43% 41 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 108 of 224 48% 78 of 181 24 of 33 6 of 10 78 of 182 9 of 19 21 of 23
Alex Morono 96 of 210 45% 74 of 184 13 of 15 9 of 11 91 of 204 2 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 16 of 51 31% 12 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 1 14 of 47 0 of 2 2 of 2
Alex Morono 34 of 72 47% 26 of 63 4 of 4 4 of 5 32 of 70 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Niko Price 34 of 65 52% 22 of 48 8 of 12 4 of 5 16 of 44 3 of 5 15 of 16
Alex Morono 21 of 43 48% 19 of 40 1 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Niko Price 58 of 108 53% 44 of 88 12 of 16 2 of 4 48 of 91 6 of 12 4 of 5
Alex Morono 41 of 95 43% 29 of 81 8 of 9 4 of 5 39 of 92 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Alex Morono, ignoring their first fight because it was a while ago and both have evolved. He believes Morono is the more technical striker and better grappler, and that his awkward striking will avoid Niko Price's power. He notes Price is always dangerous but thinks Morono's well-roundedness will prevail.

"I think morono is just the better fighter I think he's the more technical Striker he certainly is the better Grappler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady thinks this fight ends inside the distance with someone getting knocked out. He leans toward Alex Morono getting the knockout, citing Niko Price's shot durability and recent KO loss to Robbie Lawler. He compares it to Morono's KO of Donald Cerrone. However, he notes Price has power and a 90% finish rate, so he will play both sides. He considers Price a live dog at 7,300.

fight doesn't go to decision (-200), Alex Morono wins by knockout
"I think it's probably is marona going out there and getting The Knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody leans toward Price, noting his volume and power. He acknowledges Price's durability is questionable but believes Morono's low volume and lack of power make Price live. Cody mentions Price's previous KO of Morono in 2017 and thinks Price can do it again. He warns that Morono may wait for a perfect shot, but Price's pressure could overwhelm him.

"I'm gonna go with the Niko Price direction too... Price has got sickening volume... Morono is not that guy."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Niko Price

Daniel recalls Morono's struggle against Court McGee and notes Price's power. He thinks it's a dog or pass situation and picks Price to win again.

"I'm gonna go Nico price here to beat him a second time"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Morono dominated before getting caught. Price's chin is compromised after recent knockouts, and his confidence is low. Morono's stick-and-move style, power, and defensive jiu-jitsu should allow him to land big shots and finish Price, likely by knockout in the second round.

round 2 knockout
"I think we'll see morono capitalize on that... I think it's ultimately going to be a big shot on the chin that puts Nico price out here so give me Alex morono second round knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul leans toward Price, despite acknowledging Price's durability may be fading. He notes Price has sickening volume and power, and Morono's recent performance against Court McGee was poor. Paul thinks Price can outwork Morono and possibly land a KO. He mentions Price's power is the last thing to go and that Morono may be over the hill.

"Everything in my being I know Niko Price is kind of washed but it's like how does Alex Morono lose fights? He gets knocked out... I'm tempted."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono, citing Niko Price's recent chin issues and inactivity. He notes that Price has lost his last two by TKO and looked scripted against Lawler. Morono has been more active and consistent, though he didn't look great in his last fight. He predicts Morono by decision, possibly TKO.

Morono by decision
"I'm going to go with Alex morono here um morono by decision TKO maybe but I'll say decision"
WIN vs Court McGee
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 60 of 160 37% 78 of 184 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:20
Court McGee 0 38 of 141 26% 42 of 149 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 22 of 52 42% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 12 of 50 24% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Morono 0 20 of 41 48% 36 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:12
Court McGee 0 9 of 28 32% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Alex Morono 0 18 of 67 26% 20 of 71 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:08
Court McGee 0 17 of 63 26% 18 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 60 of 160 37% 14 of 73 29 of 55 17 of 32 52 of 148 0 of 1 8 of 11
Court McGee 38 of 141 26% 26 of 118 9 of 18 3 of 5 38 of 139 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 22 of 52 42% 3 of 16 13 of 25 6 of 11 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 12 of 50 24% 8 of 42 2 of 6 2 of 2 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alex Morono 20 of 41 48% 7 of 21 8 of 12 5 of 8 12 of 30 0 of 1 8 of 10
Court McGee 9 of 28 32% 6 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Morono 18 of 67 26% 4 of 36 8 of 18 6 of 13 18 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 1
Court McGee 17 of 63 26% 12 of 51 4 of 9 1 of 3 17 of 61 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Alex Morono because he believes Morono is a step ahead everywhere in this fight and could potentially finish an aging Court McGee. He notes that McGee relied on his work ethic and chin, but at 39, that chin is gone and hard work alone won't get wins. Morono is somewhat unreliable himself, but Angelo thinks he should be good here.

"Morono is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win by decision. He notes that Morono is six years younger, has better striking volume, and good jiu-jitsu. He believes Court McGee's durability is waning after recent knockouts, but doesn't expect a finish. He thinks Morono will be better wherever the fight goes.

win by decision
"I'm taking morono here I'm taking morono to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Cody agrees, noting McGee's recent knockout losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He thinks Morono's volume and speed will be too much, and that McGee's pressure game won't work against a more technical striker. Cody also mentions Morono's competitive fight with Joaquin Buckley has aged well.

"morona kills him... I think it's Justified Chuck on Alex morono"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Alex Morono to finish Court McGee in the first round. He compares McGee to past veterans Morono has stopped, like Josh Burkman and Tim Means, noting McGee is 40 and slow. Vreeland believes Morono's speed, power, and vicious intent will overwhelm McGee, and even if taken down, Morono can pop back up. He predicts a first-round knockout or submission.

first round finish
"I actually think Alex Morano gets a first round finish man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Morono is younger, more durable, and has better striking volume and power. McGee's chin is fading after recent knockouts. Morono's defensive grappling should be enough to keep the fight standing, where he can land damaging combinations. Expect a finish in the second or third round.

Morono by KO/TKO or submission (club and sub)
"I think he knocks out or clubs and Subs McGee at some point in this matchup early going should be a little bit grindy a little bit close but as this fight starts to wear on is and as morono …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Paul is confident in Morono, citing McGee's age, declining durability, and recent knockout losses. He notes McGee's wins are over one-dimensional grapplers, while Morono has better footwork, volume, and takedown defense. Paul thinks Morono will outwork McGee and possibly knock him out, as McGee's durability is gone.

by KO
"morona kills him... don't mind Alex morono knockout one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The host picks Morono based on output and commitment. He notes Morono looked amazing against Buckley and is better than Ventre. He criticizes McGee's recent losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He predicts neither will get a KO or dominate grappling, so Morono's higher volume will win a decision.

"I'm going to go Alex morono more committed to the game more volume on the feet and I doubt either of them get a KO over over each other"
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 0 40 of 141 28% 54 of 161 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Alex Morono 0 68 of 176 38% 77 of 186 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 12 of 33 36% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 0 10 of 41 24% 14 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:35
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 15 of 52 28% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 0 18 of 45 40% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
3 Joaquin Buckley 0 13 of 56 23% 17 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Alex Morono 0 40 of 90 44% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 40 of 141 28% 29 of 122 10 of 17 1 of 2 37 of 133 3 of 8 0 of 0
Alex Morono 68 of 176 38% 41 of 134 24 of 36 3 of 6 55 of 141 2 of 9 11 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 12 of 33 36% 9 of 29 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Morono 10 of 41 24% 6 of 32 2 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 15 of 52 28% 11 of 44 3 of 6 1 of 2 15 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Morono 18 of 45 40% 10 of 31 8 of 13 0 of 1 17 of 41 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Joaquin Buckley 13 of 56 23% 9 of 49 4 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 51 3 of 5 0 of 0
Alex Morono 40 of 90 44% 25 of 71 14 of 17 1 of 2 28 of 59 1 of 5 11 of 26
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Alex Morono
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Buckley (-175), Morono (+145)

Round 1
From one action fight to the next we go, as exciting welterweights Morono (23-8, 1 NC; 12-5, 1 NC UFC) and Buckley (16-6, 6-4 UFC) toe the line in search of another highlight-reel finish. Referee Kerry Hatley will have his hands full, as the match could take place anywhere and end in the blink of an eye. Buckley dances his way to the cage with Beyonce playing, while Morono goes hard with Prong. There is no glove touch to start the fight, and instead Buckley charges like a bull, throwing fists. He ends up grabbing hold of Morono’s legs. Morono pulls his limbs out and returns to striking range, and the welterweights calm down and proceed to measure one another with single blows. Buckley lands a body kick, and Morono splits the guard with a right hand. Morono ducks away from a haymaker and counters with a right hand. Morono catches his man with a right, and Buckley loads up with a right in response to put his man on rubber legs. Morono shakes out the cobwebs and bounces off the fencing, and he chambers a right hand that just misses the forehead. Buckley springs into action with an uppercut, and he spins with a back kick that ends up getting crowded by the Texan. Morono drives a straight right hand after following a jab, and the power punch in response from Buckley grazes off the side of his noggin. Buckley blitzes with a few punches, and Morono is able to parry or avoid them all. A second surge from “New Mansa” also misses the mark each and every time, but Morono does not make him pay for these reckless attacks and instead allows Buckley to hit air. Buckley leaps at him with a knee extended, but Morono is nowhere to be found. Morono hand-fights until putting a right hand on the jaw, and Buckley races after him and tags him right back. Buckley attempts to spin, and Morono’s safe distance disallows it from succeeding. From out of nowhere, Buckley runs at his foe and lifts him off the ground with a double. Morono hits his back and defends with an armbar, and Buckley wriggles his arm out and backs off to escape the guard before upkicks or other submission attempts find him. Buckley lifts him up again, and Morono latches onto a guillotine choke. Buckley ends up slamming Morono down hard to break up the submission, and the energetic round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
At the beginning of the round, Buckley is not quite as wild as before, instead lining up a head kick. The Texan counters him with a picture-perfect right hand that sends Buckley flying, and Buckley scrambles back to his feet. Morono allows him to reset so that he can further trade with his opponent, and Buckley aims a few strikes to the body. Morono looks for a high kick that is feet away from the target, and he leans back from a pair of looping hooks that whiz at him. Buckley lumbers forward and suddenly unloads a few huge hooks, and Morono is out of range in time. Morono aims a front kick down the middle when he expected Buckley will come at him, but Buckley does not bite. Buckley kicks the body, and Morono responds with a kick that slaps him in the posterior and makes Buckley grin. Buckley explodes into a combination that is largely blocked and defended by the Fortis MMA fighter, and when he backs off to measure his man, he drills Morono in the ribs with a stern kick. Morono flicks out a number of jabs, and he leans and ducks a punch so that he can catch Buckley with a right hook on the side of the head. Morono measures and releases a head kick that pounds into the guard, and Buckley kicks him in the body again. Buckley tries to corner his foe with a flurry of punches, but Morono will not have it and backs Buckley off. Buckley whiffs on a kick but lands with a body shot, and he ducks a spinning back fist just in the nick of time. Morono strings a few punches together, gets clipped, and responds with a right. Buckley continues to target the body and head indiscriminately in attacks, keeping Morono guessing and not allowing a pattern to emerge. Buckley digs a left to the body and aims a right over the top, but it is a charging left hook when Morono dodges him that catches Morono. Buckley rushes at his man to jam him up against the fencing, and they trade knees before separating at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 3
The welterweights meet in the middle, and Buckley leads the dance with a series of punches. Commentator Daniel Cormier starts barking when saying that the fighters “need to bring the dog out,” and Buckley lashes out with power strikes that finally find their home cleanly. A left hand from “New Mansa” busts Morono’s lip, and blood immediately trickles out of his mouth. Morono aims counters, but Buckley appears slightly fresher and able to beat his foe to the punch. Buckley runs forward with a looping left hook, and he slams his right fist into the body. Morono backs him off with a front kick, and the kick rams into his cup. Buckley waves off Hatley and does not want to allow Morono to recover. Morono eats several clean shots, and he is taking damage and trying to back off to survive. Buckley lays into him with a number of unanswered body shots and a few to the head, and Morono hits nothing but air when he replies with a right hand. Buckley spins with a wheel kick, and Morono tackles him to the ground. Buckley bursts back to his feet after only a few seconds on his back, and he smashes Morono in the face with a left hand. Buckley hammers his foe with a number of punches to the body and head, and Morono is leaning against the fence and struggling to stay on his feet. Morono shoots desperately for a takedown, and it is a feeble attempt as he falls to his knees. Buckley lets him stand up so that he can punch the Texan in the face again and again. Morono takes a deep breath and starts firing back, but it is a takedown shot that he goes for a full-throated effort. Buckley stonewalls him and pushes Morono to his back, and he lowers himself into the guard to drop down some heavy ground-and-pound. Morono maintains a high guard, and Buckley opens up with several right hands until Morono adjusts. Buckley keeps tightly pressed to “The Great White” to not allow Morono to latch on with a submission, and he sneaks in some ground strikes when he finds openings. Buckley stands up, and lets Morono up with 15 seconds to spare. Morono meanders forward, and he throws everything into one final right hand that ultimately misses and sends him toppling to the mat. Morono rolls to his back, and Buckley returns to the guard to do a little more damage before the final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Buckley (30-26 Buckley)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley (30-27 Buckley)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley (30-27 Buckley)

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Alex Morono via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Angelo picks Joaquin Buckley because he is the much better striker with more power, speed, and technique. He notes that Alex Morono is well-rounded and underrated but has low takedown accuracy (20%), so he cannot trust him to wrestle. Buckley has decent takedown defense and has faced good wrestlers. Angelo plans to avoid betting on this fight.

"waim Buckley is going to be the pick he's the more dangerous Striker decent takedown defense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley, emphasizing Buckley's significant power advantage over Alex Morono. He notes that Morono is more of a decision fighter and has been hurt more often recently. He expects the fight to stay standing and that Buckley will eventually land a big shot, predicting a third-round knockout.

third round knockout for Joaquin Buckley
"give me Buckley to win this fight I'll take Buckley to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Cody picks Buckley, citing his speed, athleticism, and ability to land the more impactful strikes. He notes that Morono has taken a lot of damage recently and may be hesitant. Buckley's takedowns and movement should allow him to win rounds, though Cody acknowledges Buckley's history of getting knocked out.

"I am gonna go yokine Buckley... I recognize this as live Underdog potential... but ultimately I do think that Buckley's... rounding out his game"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Daniel Levi picks Joaquin Buckley, citing his superior speed, athleticism, and hand speed. He notes that both fighters have suspect chins but Buckley is the better athlete and is dropping to his proper weight class at 170. He expects Buckley's speed and explosiveness to be the difference, though he acknowledges a chance someone gets knocked out.

"I'm going with Buckley in this fight and I do think there's a chance someone hits the deck here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Joaquin Buckley

Lucrative James picks Buckley by knockout in round two or three. He thinks Morono will be winning early but Buckley will figure out his awkwardness and land heavy shots. He compares it to the Ponzinibbio fight where Morono kept getting caught. He likes over 1.5 rounds as well.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think Buckley's gonna get around two or three knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Buckley has the power and agility to catch Morono in pocket exchanges. Morono is durable but leaves openings and has been knocked out before. Buckley should land a big shot and finish him. Morono may win minutes but Buckley's power is the difference. Expect a knockout victory for Buckley.

knockout
"I think Buckley catches him and I think Buckley puts him away give me Buckley by knock out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Paul picks Buckley, expecting a close fight that goes to decision with Buckley landing the more damaging strikes. He notes that both fighters are similar in size, which favors Buckley. Paul mentions that Morono has a questionable chin but hasn't been knocked out recently, so he leans toward Buckley by decision.

Buckley by decision, Over 36.5 significant strikes for Buckley
"Buckley's a pick for me as well... if I was chasing a prop it would probably be Buckley by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley over Alex Morono, predicting a TKO in the second round. He believes Buckley's intention to take Morono's head off will be the difference, as Morono tries to outpoint to a decision. He notes Morono was doing well against Ponzinibbio until he got knocked out in round three, and that Morono's wins haven't aged well. He also mentions Buckley's size and reach advantage.

TKO second round
"I'm going Joaquin Buckley over Alex morono"
WIN vs Tim Means
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:09 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 87 45% 45 of 92 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:46
Tim Means 0 33 of 92 35% 42 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 32 of 64 50% 34 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Tim Means 0 18 of 58 31% 27 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Morono 0 8 of 23 34% 11 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
Tim Means 0 15 of 34 44% 15 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 87 45% 16 of 52 18 of 29 6 of 6 30 of 74 10 of 13 0 of 0
Tim Means 33 of 92 35% 29 of 86 4 of 6 0 of 0 31 of 86 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 32 of 64 50% 10 of 32 16 of 26 6 of 6 23 of 52 9 of 12 0 of 0
Tim Means 18 of 58 31% 16 of 55 2 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 52 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alex Morono 8 of 23 34% 6 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tim Means 15 of 34 44% 13 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo leans on Morono, noting his clean striking and recent improvements. He says Tim Means is gritty and well-rounded, and that unless you're ranked or dangerous, you shouldn't be a 2-to-1 favorite over Means. He calls it a close fight and is not betting on it.

"I am gonna lean on him for the pick here but holy crap is this a close fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady is a huge Tim Means fan but has serious concerns about Means' durability at 39 years old and after 48 fights. He notes Means has been getting dropped and finished recently, and questions his focus as he seems more into coaching. Brady compares this to the Morono vs. Cerrone fight, predicting Morono will land a big shot, swarm, and finish Means. He picks Morono by second-round knockout and suggests Means may retire after this fight.

second round knockout
"give me Alex marona to win this fight I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout I think he knocks out Tim Means on Saturday"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Cody picks Morono, citing Tim Means' age (39) and 50 pro fights, leading to durability and speed decline. He notes Means' tendency to gas after the first round and Morono's volume and pressure. He expects Morono to chew away at Means and possibly get a late stoppage. He acknowledges Means' skill but believes his best days are behind him.

"I'm just doubting it on a personal level so we'll take Alex morono to get the job done which pains me because we've been doing this show for like nine years and we've been covering Tim Means fights pretty much …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Connor picks Morono, agreeing that Means is past his prime and gets hurt too often. He highlights Morono's lateral movement, jab, and counter-punching, which will frustrate Means. He thinks Means will have moments but ultimately lose a decision or get dropped.

"I got to take Morono, even if it's by decision, I think it's much more likely that Tim Means gets dropped in a couple of rounds."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel Levi picks Alex Morono but with low confidence, citing Tim Means' age (39-40) and declining durability as the deciding factor. He notes that statistically, Means is competitive and would be a live dog if younger, but Means' recent fights show he can't take damage like before. Levi expects a competitive fight but favors Morono's unorthodox style and durability. He passes on betting due to the price, calling it a dog-or-pass situation.

pass on betting at -225; fight could go to decision or be a war
"I'm gonna pick Alex Morano but it's not a confident pick and it's not something I'm interested it's a dog or pass situation"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Morono's pressure, pace, and volume will be too much for Means, who has diminished durability at 39. Means is the better technical striker but can't take shots like before. Morono will march forward, land big shots, and likely find a knockout or submission. Means may have moments but Morono's relentless style will overwhelm him.

inside the distance, TKO
"gimme Alex morono inside the distance I'm gonna call it via TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Morono. He notes that Means gasses after 6-7 minutes and lacks a grappling game. He mentions that Morono might mix in takedowns and fish for a submission, and that the market has moved on that prop. He sees Morono as the rightful favorite.

submission prop (market moved from 9-1 to 6.5-1)
"my biggest struggle yeah I just I just can't get behind the dirty bird at this point he seems to really absolutely guess about six seven minutes into every single fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono, noting that he had a full training camp and has better hand speed and cardio. He believes Tim Means has slowed down and will struggle with Morono's pace. He predicts a dominant decision or a late finish.

dominant decision win 30-27
"Alex morono I think is going to win this matchup... I see him getting finished on the feet maybe as the fight goes on or maybe there'll be a dominant decision win for morono here 30 27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Zane picks Morono, citing Tim Means' age (39) and tendency to get hurt now. He notes that Means' pressure-counter style leaves him vulnerable, and Morono's awkward but effective striking, good footwork, and jab will cause problems. He thinks Morono will land a big counter and potentially drop Means, though a decision is likely.

"I got to take Morono, even if it's by decision, I think it's much more likely that Tim Means gets dropped in a couple of rounds."
KO (punches) R3 2:29 · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Santiago Ponzinibbio 1 66 of 155 42% 66 of 155 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Alex Morono 1 38 of 131 29% 38 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 22 of 42 52% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 1 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 26 of 73 35% 26 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alex Morono 0 13 of 50 26% 13 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1 18 of 40 45% 18 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Alex Morono 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Santiago Ponzinibbio 66 of 155 42% 31 of 99 26 of 47 9 of 9 65 of 153 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alex Morono 38 of 131 29% 34 of 120 4 of 11 0 of 0 34 of 124 0 of 0 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 22 of 42 52% 6 of 19 11 of 18 5 of 5 22 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Morono 17 of 55 30% 14 of 51 3 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 48 0 of 0 4 of 7
2 Santiago Ponzinibbio 26 of 73 35% 12 of 48 12 of 23 2 of 2 26 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Morono 13 of 50 26% 12 of 45 1 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Santiago Ponzinibbio 18 of 40 45% 13 of 32 3 of 6 2 of 2 17 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alex Morono 8 of 26 30% 8 of 24 0 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Angelo picks Ponzinibbio, noting his clean striking, range control, and volume. He warns that Ponzinibbio must avoid Lawler's power and treat him with respect. He believes Ponzinibbio can get a finish if he maintains a high pace like Barbarena did. He acknowledges Lawler is dangerous even at 40 but thinks Ponzinibbio's technical approach will win.

"ponzanibio is the pick but avoid the power do what you do stay technical use the range pour on some volume"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Big Brady picks Santiago Ponzinibbio, but is not confident in the price. He notes Ponzinibbio has lost a step but still competes at a high level, while Morono is a short-notice replacement. He expects a close fight that goes to decision, with Ponzinibbio outpointing Morono.

Ponzinibbio wins by decision; fight goes to decision
"I'm gonna take pawns and maybe to win I'm gonna take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Cody picks Ponzinibbio, citing his volume striking, footwork, and ability to absorb damage. He notes Ponzinibbio has been competitive against high-level guys despite recent split decision losses. He thinks Morono is a 50/50 fighter who fights to his opponent's level and is taking the fight on short notice. He expects Ponzinibbio to win by decision.

Ponzinibbio by decision
"I would have to say that pausing Ebu just goes there and works morono over... I do have him winning by decision more specifically"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Connor picks Ponzinibbio, citing his full camp, powerful straight punches, and low kicks. He notes Morono is a short-notice replacement and lacks the athleticism to handle Ponzinibbio's sustained offense. Connor believes Ponzinibbio's persistence and power will overwhelm Morono, who tends to put himself in danger.

Odds: Morono opened +220, dropped to +151; Ponzinibbio opened -260, now -182.
"I still think I'm going to have to take him for having a full camp. Ponsinibio style doesn't really change ever from opponent to opponent."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Daniel Levi picks Santiago Ponzinibbio but with low confidence due to Ponzinibbio's diminished form after a health scare. He praises Ponzinibbio's prime style: stalking footwork, calf kicks, and a beautiful straight right. However, he notes Ponzinibbio is a step slower now and has gone 1-3 in his last four. Levi acknowledges Morono's toughness and awkward brawling style, but believes Ponzinibbio's cleaner striking and experience should carry him. He warns not to be surprised if Morono wins.

"I still think he gets it done but you just can't act surprised if he doesn't"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Lock likes Ponzinibbio to win, believing he will torch Morono from the jump and eventually knock him out. He sees Morono as a plodding forward fighter whose durability holds up some nights but not against Ponzinibbio's striking. From a long-term perspective, he thinks Ponzinibbio will get a decent bump but will lose against higher-level competition. He recommends a pump and dump on Ponzinibbio this weekend.

pump and dump on PredictionStrike
"pumping up this weekend on panzanibio I'd say I don't mind it I don't mind that one bit"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Ponzinibbio. He notes that Ponzinibbio has been preparing for this fight for a long time while Morono is on short notice. He thinks the minus 180 line is fair and is surprised it's not higher given the circumstances. He sees Ponzinibbio's experience and preparation as key factors.

"I'm with you I'm gonna take uh ponzanibio as well minus 180 seems relatively Fair too to be perfectly honest so I'm a little bit surprised by that number particularly with Alex morono coming in on short notice"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

The MMA Guru picks Santiago Ponzinibbio over Robbie Lawler (note: transcript says Lawler but fight is Ponzinibbio vs Morono; likely error). He believes Ponzinibbio will jab Lawler's face off and win by TKO in round two or three. He criticizes Lawler's age and recent performances, and thinks Ponzinibbio's range striking will be too much.

"I'm gonna be going with Santiago ponz nibio over Robbie Lawler"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Zane picks Ponzinibbio, emphasizing his ability to rally back in fights and his power. He notes Morono's grit but says Ponzinibbio's sustained offense and punching power are a level above Morono's recent opponents. Zane is concerned about Morono's short notice but trusts Ponzinibbio's experience.

Odds: Morono opened +220, now +151; Ponzinibbio opened -260, now -182.
"I'm going to pick Santiago Ponson to be out here. I just think that despite even beyond the short notice Ponson to be Oh getting put away early by Legion, the longest concern, but the way he's rallied back against …"
Mickey Gall - Fight History
LOSS vs Ramiz Brahimaj
KO (punches) R1 2:55 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 28 of 41 68% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 1 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 28 of 41 68% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 1 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 28 of 41 68% 25 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 31 of 56 55% 27 of 50 1 of 3 3 of 3 22 of 43 6 of 9 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 28 of 41 68% 25 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 31 of 56 55% 27 of 50 1 of 3 3 of 3 22 of 43 6 of 9 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Angelo picks Mickey Gall, reasoning that Gall is a good grappler in his own right and a better wrestler than Brahimaj, so Brahimaj won't submit him. He notes that Brahimaj is submission-or-bust and that Gall has raw talent and athleticism. However, he advises against betting on this low-level fight due to Gall's poor recent record.

Angelo explicitly says he will not bet on this fight due to self-control, calling it a 'dog [__] fight'.
"I'm going to pick Mickey G to win I think Mickey should win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Big Brady picks Mickey Gall despite calling it a low-level fight. He notes that Ramiz Brahimaj has 10 wins, all by first-round submission, and is 0-5 when he doesn't submit his opponent in the first round. Brady believes Gall has improved striking and better cardio, and that the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Gall. He also mentions Brahimaj's long layoff and poor performance in his last fight, predicting a decision win for Gall.

"I like Mickey G to win this fight probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody picks Mickey Gall, arguing Brahimaj is a fraud with poor striking and wrestling. He notes Brahimaj's only wins are against low-level opponents, and Gall has improved and has better striking and comparable grappling. Cody expects Gall to win by decision or TKO.

"I got Mickey G the numberers close enough that I'm probably going to put way more than I should on it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Connor picks Gall because he thinks Gall is more dynamic and might be able to hurt Brahimaj. He notes that Gall's striking has improved significantly, though he still has many holes. Connor acknowledges that Brahimaj could out-wrestle Gall, but he leans toward Gall's power.

"I'm gonna pick gall just because I think he's that much more dynamic that he might be able to hurt brahi mai. It's totally possible."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Vreeland picks Brahimaj, noting he has never won a fight without a submission. He believes Brahimaj will submit Mickey Gall, who has good Jiu-Jitsu but Brahimaj's submission game is strong.

Ramiz Brahimaj wins by submission (+450)
"I think brahimi is gonna sub uh Mickey g i it Mickey G is yeah Mickey G first of all really good Jiu-Jitsu R brahimi has never won a fight he hasn't won by submission"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Mickey Gall, citing Brahimaj's poor performances when he doesn't get early submissions. He notes Gall's durability and activity, despite his technical flaws. He acknowledges Brahimaj's submission threat but doubts his ability to execute. He calls it a 'reluctant' pick.

"I'm going to reluctantly pick Mickey G to win this fight"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Fox does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions Vreeland's pick but does not state his own opinion.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Mickey Gall

The host acknowledges both fighters are flaky but leans with Gall's overall advantages. He notes Brahimaj is dangerous in grappling but so is Gall, and expects Gall's Viking pressure to eventually break Brahimaj and win on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with the advantages that g should hold from an overall standpoint Bri ma is very dangerous in the grappling round but so is Mickey Gul but I do think it's going to be G Viking and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Paul picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing his BJJ and the plus money. He notes Gall has lost to everyone decent he's faced, and Brahimaj has a chance if he can get the fight to the ground early. Paul is not confident but likes the underdog value.

"briay for me what about you I think I think Mickey G absolutely rolls him up Bri M's a fraud dude"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Mickey Gall, despite acknowledging Gall's poor UFC record. He criticizes Ramiz Brahimaj's performances, calling him 'terrible' and noting his ear injury loss to Max Griffin. He expects a close decision win for Gall.

"I'm going to go with Mickey G... no rames is terrible which is worrying for me"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Zane picks Brahimaj because he thinks Brahimaj will try to impose his wrestling game and it will probably work. He notes that Gall's grappling has disappeared and that Brahimaj has a set process. However, he acknowledges that Gall is a decent puncher and could hurt Brahimaj.

Odds: Gall opened -110, now -130; Brahimaj opened -101, now +119. Zane says Brahimaj should be a slight favorite.
"Um, you know what i'm gonna take brahi mai because I think he will try to impose his wrestling game. I think he will too and it probably will work."
LOSS vs Bassil Hafez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bassil Hafez 0 83 of 143 58% 93 of 153 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Mickey Gall 0 95 of 201 47% 101 of 210 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bassil Hafez 0 24 of 47 51% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 0 29 of 63 46% 29 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bassil Hafez 0 26 of 40 65% 26 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Mickey Gall 0 31 of 67 46% 34 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
3 Bassil Hafez 0 33 of 56 58% 43 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Mickey Gall 0 35 of 71 49% 38 of 76 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bassil Hafez 83 of 143 58% 70 of 126 13 of 17 0 of 0 78 of 136 4 of 6 1 of 1
Mickey Gall 95 of 201 47% 83 of 187 7 of 9 5 of 5 91 of 194 1 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bassil Hafez 24 of 47 51% 19 of 39 5 of 8 0 of 0 21 of 42 3 of 5 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 29 of 63 46% 22 of 55 4 of 5 3 of 3 28 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Bassil Hafez 26 of 40 65% 19 of 32 7 of 8 0 of 0 26 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 31 of 67 46% 27 of 63 2 of 2 2 of 2 29 of 64 0 of 1 2 of 2
3 Bassil Hafez 33 of 56 58% 32 of 55 1 of 1 0 of 0 31 of 54 1 of 1 1 of 1
Mickey Gall 35 of 71 49% 34 of 69 1 of 2 0 of 0 34 of 69 0 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

Angelo picks Bassil Hafez because he showed well on short notice against Jack Della Maddalena and should be better with a full camp. He notes Mickey Gall has been away for two years with surgery and his development is uncertain. He expects Hafez's grappling and pace to be too much, though he worries the odds might become too wide to bet.

"Basel should win this fight he is going to be the pick I'm going to keep an eye on the odds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

Cody picks Hafez but is hesitant due to the -350 price. He notes Hafez looked good against Della Maddalena but that was on short notice. Cody worries about Hafez's cardio and the possibility of Gall catching a submission. He thinks Gall may have improved during his two-year layoff. Cody plans to keep Hafez low on parlays and warns of buyer beware.

"I think Hafez is good but I don't think he's a great fighter... he's not minus 350 worthy... I got other underdogs on this card and Mickey Gall ain't one of them."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

Daniel dismisses Gall's back-taking as not elite and thinks Hafez's physicality will prevail. He expects Hafez to take Gall down and avoid giving up his back. He says he'll never pick Gall again.

"I don't think I'll ever pick Micky go to win a UFC fight ever again"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

The host sees Hafez as the stronger, more powerful fighter who can win wherever the fight goes. Hafez's wrestling and top control should overpower Gall, and his striking is also a threat given Gall's defensive lapses. Gall's submission threat is noted, but Hafez's strength and improved cardio management should lead to a finish inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I think Hoff wins this fight pretty much however he wants... I think he wins it inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

Paul picks Hafez, calling him a hard-nosed wrestler with good grappling. He notes Hafez gave Jack Della Maddalena fits in his debut and has never been finished. Paul believes Hafez's style is terrible for Gall, who is a submission specialist but not a good wrestler or striker. He thinks Hafez will take Gall down and control him. Paul was hoping for a better line but still likes Hafez.

"Basil Hafez is a hard-nosed wrestler, good grappler... he's absolute cancer for what Mickey Gall wants to do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bassil Hafez

The MMA Guru picks Bassil Hafez, praising his toughness and grit in his debut against JDM despite clearly losing on damage. He notes Hafez's good chin and takedowns, and believes he can take down Mickey Gall. However, he expresses concern about Hafez's potential PED use since he wasn't tested before his debut. He also questions why Mickey Gall is still in the UFC.

"I'm going to go with him over Mickey G I mean he had great chin JDM was putting some massive shots on him in rounds two and three he stayed in there he kept throwing back"
LOSS vs Mike Malott
TKO (punches) R1 3:41 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mickey Gall vs. Mike Malott

Round 1
Once the new kid on the block, now 30 years old and 10 UFC fights in, Gall (7-4, 6-4 UFC) finds himself in a different role than usual as he takes on a company debutant in Canada’s Malott (7-1-1, 0-0 UFC). It will be the first time since Gall took on Phil “CM Punk” Brooks that he will have an experience advantage, and he will have to take on a man in Malott who holds all of his wins by stoppage. Referee James Larry Folsom is ready for wherever the fight goes, and the welterweights do not touch gloves before getting after it. Instead, Malott comes out with a jumping side kick, pushing Gall back right out of the gate. He slows down, and then wings a high kick that Gall is able to block in time. Chants of “USA” rain down in support of Gall against the Canadian, which empower him to score a right hand across the top. Malott returns fire with a pair of punches that knock Gall back, but Gall regains his composure and pressures forward. The newcomer lands a leg kick as Gall throws hands at him, and Malott replies with a right hand that hurts Gall. Gall tries to clinch up, and he whiffs on a standing hammerfist when Malott backs away. Malott pushes out a jab and a right hand to follow it as Gall ignores them and throws caution to the wind to engage. Both men land cleanly, and a Malott right hand hurts Gall badly. Gall, cut and bleeding out of the corner of his right eye, does not look overly fazed as he shakes off the cobwebs, and he comes out to attack with straight punches with his chin straight in the air. Malott comes at him, and Gall pursues a standing guillotine choke before Malott pushes off and dings him with a left hook. Gall races forward in pursuit of a takedown, and he yanks Malott down to the mat. The Canadian does not stay grounded for long, walking off the wall back to his feet, and he pushes away as Gall is landing shots. Malott throws a left hand into a high kick, and Gall crashes forward to blast him with a barrage of blows.
As Gall blitzes him, “Proper Mike” stays composed and sits down on right hand on the ear and a left that completely shuts Gall’s lights out. Gall crumples to the mat like a bird that just had its wings clipped, and when he hits the ground face-first, he reactivates. Malott is on him in an instant, raining down hammerfists until Folsom intervenes.
Gall does get back up rather quickly after the stoppage, although he is not frustrated by it as he face-planted moments earlier. This is a big introduction to the promotion for Malott, who now celebrates half of his wins by knockout and the other half by sub. Making the most of his post-fight interview, he states that he will donate his show money ($10,000) to help a coach's daughter fight against cancer, and asks people to donate to the cause on his
Instagram
.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Mickey Gall R1 3:41 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Angelo leans Mickey Gall due to his experience and better wrestling/BJJ. He thinks Gall's wrestling is better than Malott's and his BJJ is also superior. He expects Gall to win a decision, but acknowledges Malott is dangerous and a better striker.

"i think mickey's wrestling is better than mike's i think his bjj is also better so i like mickey to win a decision here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round TKO. He likes Malott's striking power and black belt BJJ, but notes his chin is a concern as he has been knocked out before. Gall has power and submission ability but poor cardio. Brady thinks Malott's better cardio and tools give him the edge, and expects an early finish.

first round TKO
"i'll take mike a lot to win by give me like a first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody leans towards Gall as a live underdog. He notes Malott's history of gassing after the first round and his questionable chin. Cody thinks Gall's BJJ is good enough to neutralize Malott's grappling, and that Gall's striking has improved. He believes if Malott doesn't finish early, Gall can take over in later rounds.

"i think gol could be a live underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Levi respects Mickey Gall for surviving and learning in the UFC against tough competition. He criticizes Mike Malott's cardio and tendency to freeze when pressured, noting Malott has only three minutes of octagon time in seven years. He believes Gall can crowd Malott, throw combinations, and use his grappling to win. He thinks the line should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is betting Gall.

"i think this is a spot where he can come out here and capitalize at the very least i think the fight should be a pick em so at plus 170 odds which i got i'm gonna dies"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

I really like Malott in this spot. He has great striking and jiu-jitsu, and being at 170 should help his durability. He is the better striker and jiu-jitsu player. I think he will land a club and sub or get a finish inside the distance. Gall has been inconsistent and Malott should run through him.

Malott inside the distance +110
"I'm gonna go Malott... I do believe that's how he'll get it done I think he'll land probably a club and sub..."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Malott but is hesitant, noting Malott's long layoffs and questionable cardio. He acknowledges Gall's BJJ and experience, and that Malott's chin might be suspect. Paul thinks Malott's wrestling and size could be enough, but warns that Gall is live if the fight goes past the first round. He calls it a 'ride or die' pick.

"my pick canada malot my guy we wish each other happy birthday you know i got i got a ride or die on this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, citing his long training at Team Alpha Male and experience despite a 7-1 record. He expects a first-round submission, noting that Mickey Gall can be sloppy and leave openings.

first round submission prediction
"i am going to go with mike mallett here over mickey gall and i reckon he gets this one done by finnish at some point in the first round by submission"
LOSS vs Alex Morono
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 1 90 of 230 39% 93 of 233 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Mickey Gall 0 65 of 144 45% 69 of 149 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 1 26 of 56 46% 29 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Mickey Gall 0 15 of 32 46% 17 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Morono 0 29 of 78 37% 29 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 0 23 of 47 48% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alex Morono 0 35 of 96 36% 35 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 0 27 of 65 41% 28 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 90 of 230 39% 70 of 200 18 of 28 2 of 2 82 of 216 1 of 1 7 of 13
Mickey Gall 65 of 144 45% 35 of 106 28 of 36 2 of 2 64 of 142 1 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 26 of 56 46% 21 of 51 4 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 42 1 of 1 7 of 13
Mickey Gall 15 of 32 46% 6 of 21 8 of 10 1 of 1 15 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Alex Morono 29 of 78 37% 21 of 64 8 of 14 0 of 0 29 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 23 of 47 48% 12 of 32 11 of 15 0 of 0 23 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Morono 35 of 96 36% 28 of 85 6 of 10 1 of 1 35 of 96 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 27 of 65 41% 17 of 53 9 of 11 1 of 1 26 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Morono as the more well-rounded fighter, better everywhere. He notes Morono's striking, wrestling, and grappling are superior, and that Gall's takedown accuracy is low. However, he acknowledges Gall showed improvement in his last win, so the line is too wide for a bet.

Line too wide for a bet
"pretty clear pick i'm going with morono here the line's a little too wide for me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win, likely by decision. He notes Morono's well-rounded skills, experience against good competition, and superior striking output (5.14 sig strikes/min). He points out Mickey Gall's wins are over lower-level opponents and that Gall's primary path to victory (submission) is unlikely against Morono, who has never been submitted and is a BJJ black belt. Brady suggests Morono could make it look easy if he wrestles, but even on the feet he favors Morono.

by decision
"give me alex morono here to win... alex moreno by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody also picks Gall, noting his narrative of improvement and that he just received his BJJ black belt. He thinks Gall's grappling could be the difference, but admits cardio is a concern. Cody is tentatively picking Gall but not with high confidence.

"i will very tentatively go with mickey goal can't say i love it but it's another underdog shot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel Levi picks Alex Morono to win, citing his experience and being better across the board. He notes that Morono is a seasoned vet with close to three times the pro fights of Gall, and that he can beat Gall up standing and avoid attacks on the mat. He acknowledges Gall's improvements but thinks Morono is still a level above.

"Give me murano here but i mean this is one of the most positive i've ever been on mickey gall"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Jacob picks Mickey Gall as an upset, calling him the backup lock of the week at +180. He believes Gall will shoot takedowns aggressively and control on top, noting Morono doesn't want to grapple. Jacob thinks Gall's aggression from the Jordan Williams fight carries over.

Backup lock of the week at +180
"i like mickey goal backup lock of the week uh plus 180 i'll probably take some action on that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alex Morono

I like Morono. He has better cardio and output, and he should overwhelm Gall as the fight goes on. Gall has poor cardio and is a finish-or-bust fighter. Morono is durable and can grapple as well. I expect Morono to finish Gall in the second or third round. The inside the distance prop at plus 265 and round three at plus 1300 are both appealing.

Morono inside the distance +265, Morono round 3 +1300
"i think morono mike wipes the floor with the mickey goal here i think uh gaul max has about three to four minutes of success at best and then after that i think he's gonna start to get taken over …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Paul picks Gall as an underdog, citing his grappling improvements and recent win over Jordan Williams. He thinks Gall's BJJ and striking have improved, and that he can take Morono down and control him. Paul worries about Gall's cardio but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"i think that mickey goes another one of these live underdogs he's just got to be able to continue it for two of the three rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono to win by third-round TKO. He expects Gall to attempt takedowns but Morono will defend and land shots. In the third, Morono will land a counter right hand and then finish Gall against the cage with flurries, similar to Daniel Rodriguez's style.

third round tko
"i'm going with alex morona via late third round tko against mickey goal"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:57 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Jul 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mickey Gall 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 1 of 2 50% 2 1 0:58
Jordan Williams 0 13 of 35 37% 13 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mickey Gall 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 1 of 2 50% 2 1 0:58
Jordan Williams 0 13 of 35 37% 13 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mickey Gall 11 of 20 55% 9 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 2 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jordan Williams 13 of 35 37% 7 of 29 1 of 1 5 of 5 13 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mickey Gall 11 of 20 55% 9 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 2 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jordan Williams 13 of 35 37% 7 of 29 1 of 1 5 of 5 13 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Williams

Angelo picks Jordan Williams because he thinks Mickey Gall is not very good and that Williams is the better MMA fighter. He notes that Gall's only notable win is over CM Punk. He expects Williams to win by outstriking Gall, though he acknowledges that if Gall wrestles heavily, he could win a decision. He has no bets on this fight due to too many unknowns.

"i think jordan williams is the better mma fighter i think jordan williams uh wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Williams

Big Brady picks Jordan Williams to win by knockout. He highlights Williams' takedown defense (88%) and power, expecting him to stuff Gall's takedowns and keep the fight standing. He notes both fighters are hittable but Williams is the better striker with volume and a good chin. He expects Williams to be a big welterweight cutting from 185 and to finish Gall, who has been stopped by strikes before.

Williams by knockout
"i will go with george williams and stuff the takedowns keep it on the feet and maybe knock out mickey goal"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Williams

Cody picks Williams, citing his power and durability. He notes Williams has been fighting bigger guys at middleweight and should have a striking advantage. He is concerned about Williams' weight cut due to diabetes but expects him to be fine. He thinks Gall's cardio and striking are suspect.

"williams is the pick"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Williams

Daniel Levi picks Jordan Williams to finish Mickey Gall, citing Williams' hunger, preparation, and power. He notes that Gall's submission threat is overrated and that Williams is more physical and a better wrestler. Levi criticizes Gall's cardio and tendency to flop when tired, while Williams pushes through fatigue. He predicts Williams will set up his shots and knock Gall out.

predicts Williams by knockout
"i think jordan williams is coming in prepared and i think he will put him away i got jordan williams here to come out here and finish mickey all"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Jacob picks Mickey Gall because he believes Gall is more talented on the ground and has good submissions. He notes that Jordan Williams has cardio issues due to being a type 1 diabetic, which could affect him in the fight. He expects Gall to shoot takedowns repeatedly, wear Williams down, and find a submission. He has Gall in his DraftKings lineup.

"i actually like mickey gall in this um fight and i think i ended up putting him in my lineup"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Williams

The host leans toward Jordan Williams, citing his power and durability. He notes both fighters have cardio issues but believes Williams' toughness and ability to push forward will be key. He mentions Gall's improvements but questions his cardio. He likes the over 2.5 rounds and Williams by decision as a less confident play.

Over 2.5 rounds +100; Williams by decision (not specified odds)
"i would say williams was this fight i would say williams was a fight decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Williams

Paul also picks Williams, noting his heart and durability. He criticizes Gall's career as a sideshow and his one-dimensional grappling. He expects Gall to win the first round but fade, while Williams' forward pressure will take over. He assumes the weight cut goes well.

"i'm going to end up going williams and we're just assuming the way cut's going to go good"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Williams

The Guru picks Williams, citing his cardio, volume, and body work. He criticizes Gall's losses to past-prime Mike Perry and Diego Sanchez. He believes Williams will outgrind Gall over three rounds, with Gall possibly taking him down early but fading. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Williams.

"i'll go jordan williams i like jordan williams"
LOSS vs Mike Perry
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 1 76 of 131 58% 103 of 158 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:44
Mickey Gall 0 55 of 106 51% 59 of 111 0 of 6 0% 0 1 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 20 of 51 39% 20 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:28
Mickey Gall 0 21 of 40 52% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Perry 1 26 of 33 78% 41 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Mickey Gall 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:51
3 Mike Perry 0 30 of 47 63% 42 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:11
Mickey Gall 0 22 of 42 52% 24 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 76 of 131 58% 49 of 98 14 of 20 13 of 13 51 of 100 6 of 6 19 of 25
Mickey Gall 55 of 106 51% 39 of 89 8 of 9 8 of 8 51 of 97 3 of 6 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 20 of 51 39% 10 of 39 5 of 7 5 of 5 15 of 41 2 of 2 3 of 8
Mickey Gall 21 of 40 52% 11 of 30 5 of 5 5 of 5 19 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 1
2 Mike Perry 26 of 33 78% 20 of 26 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 19 2 of 2 11 of 12
Mickey Gall 12 of 24 50% 9 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 21 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Mike Perry 30 of 47 63% 19 of 33 7 of 10 4 of 4 23 of 40 2 of 2 5 of 5
Mickey Gall 22 of 42 52% 19 of 39 0 of 0 3 of 3 22 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Mike Perry

Big Brady picks Mike Perry despite concerns about Perry's personal life (girlfriend cornering him). He believes Perry's wrestling and strength will neutralize Gall's takedown attempts, and that Perry's superior competition and power will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Gall's only path is getting Perry down, which he thinks is unlikely.

Perry by KO in round 1; wouldn't put him in a parlay due to concerns; Gall at +255 is a shot but not for him
"I like Perry to win here... probably gonna get a knockout on Mickey Gall in that first round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Daniel Levi picks Mickey Gall for the upset, citing Perry's chaotic personal life, lack of coaching, and stagnation in skill development. He notes Gall's improvement in his last fight against Salim Touahri, showing better fight IQ and cardio. Levi believes Gall's jiu-jitsu black belt and submission threat could catch Perry if he overextends. He acknowledges Perry's strength and clinch game but thinks the line is too wide and Gall has a chance to submit him.

Gall wins by submission
"I think this Saturday has all the ingredients for him to rise to the occasion and choke out Mike Perry somewhere along the way."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Mike Perry

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Perry to win by KO, stating that Mickey Gall's only chance is to get the fight to the ground, but Perry's takedown defense is strong. He predicts Perry will break Gall in the clinch and land an elbow or shot for a first-round TKO. He dismisses concerns about Perry's girlfriend being in his corner, believing his gym will prevent that from being a distraction.

Perry by KO/TKO in first round; Perry to land an elbow or shot off the break
"I think Mike Perry wins by KO pretty brutally... I think it's gonna be a first round... Mike Perry is gonna eventually break and land an elbow or a shot off the break that's gonna KO Mickey go"
WIN vs Salim Touahri
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mickey Gall 0 50 of 117 42% 66 of 136 1 of 7 14% 0 0 5:00
Salim Touahri 0 48 of 96 50% 65 of 118 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mickey Gall 0 16 of 28 57% 25 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:33
Salim Touahri 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Mickey Gall 0 11 of 40 27% 17 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:45
Salim Touahri 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
3 Mickey Gall 0 23 of 49 46% 24 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:42
Salim Touahri 0 24 of 50 48% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mickey Gall 50 of 117 42% 41 of 103 3 of 8 6 of 6 24 of 82 18 of 26 8 of 9
Salim Touahri 48 of 96 50% 23 of 64 20 of 25 5 of 7 32 of 68 9 of 15 7 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mickey Gall 16 of 28 57% 12 of 22 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 16 2 of 4 8 of 8
Salim Touahri 7 of 16 43% 3 of 9 1 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 12 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Mickey Gall 11 of 40 27% 9 of 37 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 27 9 of 13 0 of 0
Salim Touahri 17 of 30 56% 8 of 18 7 of 10 2 of 2 11 of 20 2 of 2 4 of 8
3 Mickey Gall 23 of 49 46% 20 of 44 0 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 39 7 of 9 0 of 1
Salim Touahri 24 of 50 48% 12 of 37 12 of 12 0 of 1 15 of 36 6 of 9 3 of 5
LOSS vs Diego Sanchez
TKO (punches) R2 4:13 · UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Mar 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Sanchez 0 56 of 87 64% 61 of 92 4 of 4 100% 0 0 6:00
Mickey Gall 0 23 of 65 35% 35 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Sanchez 0 15 of 31 48% 19 of 35 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:08
Mickey Gall 0 16 of 43 37% 28 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Diego Sanchez 0 41 of 56 73% 42 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:52
Mickey Gall 0 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Sanchez 56 of 87 64% 37 of 63 13 of 18 6 of 6 7 of 28 10 of 11 39 of 48
Mickey Gall 23 of 65 35% 19 of 59 2 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 44 9 of 14 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Sanchez 15 of 31 48% 5 of 18 5 of 8 5 of 5 3 of 18 8 of 9 4 of 4
Mickey Gall 16 of 43 37% 12 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 25 9 of 14 3 of 4
2 Diego Sanchez 41 of 56 73% 32 of 45 8 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 10 2 of 2 35 of 44
Mickey Gall 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Morono as the more well-rounded fighter, better everywhere. He notes Morono's striking, wrestling, and grappling are superior, and that Gall's takedown accuracy is low. However, he acknowledges Gall showed improvement in his last win, so the line is too wide for a bet.

Line too wide for a bet
"pretty clear pick i'm going with morono here the line's a little too wide for me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win, likely by decision. He notes Morono's well-rounded skills, experience against good competition, and superior striking output (5.14 sig strikes/min). He points out Mickey Gall's wins are over lower-level opponents and that Gall's primary path to victory (submission) is unlikely against Morono, who has never been submitted and is a BJJ black belt. Brady suggests Morono could make it look easy if he wrestles, but even on the feet he favors Morono.

by decision
"give me alex morono here to win... alex moreno by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody also picks Gall, noting his narrative of improvement and that he just received his BJJ black belt. He thinks Gall's grappling could be the difference, but admits cardio is a concern. Cody is tentatively picking Gall but not with high confidence.

"i will very tentatively go with mickey goal can't say i love it but it's another underdog shot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel Levi picks Alex Morono to win, citing his experience and being better across the board. He notes that Morono is a seasoned vet with close to three times the pro fights of Gall, and that he can beat Gall up standing and avoid attacks on the mat. He acknowledges Gall's improvements but thinks Morono is still a level above.

"Give me murano here but i mean this is one of the most positive i've ever been on mickey gall"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Jacob picks Mickey Gall as an upset, calling him the backup lock of the week at +180. He believes Gall will shoot takedowns aggressively and control on top, noting Morono doesn't want to grapple. Jacob thinks Gall's aggression from the Jordan Williams fight carries over.

Backup lock of the week at +180
"i like mickey goal backup lock of the week uh plus 180 i'll probably take some action on that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alex Morono

I like Morono. He has better cardio and output, and he should overwhelm Gall as the fight goes on. Gall has poor cardio and is a finish-or-bust fighter. Morono is durable and can grapple as well. I expect Morono to finish Gall in the second or third round. The inside the distance prop at plus 265 and round three at plus 1300 are both appealing.

Morono inside the distance +265, Morono round 3 +1300
"i think morono mike wipes the floor with the mickey goal here i think uh gaul max has about three to four minutes of success at best and then after that i think he's gonna start to get taken over here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Paul picks Gall as an underdog, citing his grappling improvements and recent win over Jordan Williams. He thinks Gall's BJJ and striking have improved, and that he can take Morono down and control him. Paul worries about Gall's cardio but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"i think that mickey goes another one of these live underdogs he's just got to be able to continue it for two of the three rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono to win by third-round TKO. He expects Gall to attempt takedowns but Morono will defend and land shots. In the third, Morono will land a counter right hand and then finish Gall against the cage with flurries, similar to Daniel Rodriguez's style.

third round tko
"i'm going with alex morona via late third round tko against mickey goal"