Career Averages - Maycee Barber
Career Averages - Miranda Maverick
Maycee Barber
Miranda Maverick
Maycee Barber - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 1 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 1 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 12 of 38 | 31% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maycee Barber | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 12 of 38 | 31% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maycee Barber | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber, believing she has improved more than Alexa Grasso and that Grasso has lost confidence. He thinks Barber's wrestling and pressure will be key, but notes the odds are a touch wide given their history. He advises waiting for weigh-ins before betting due to Barber's weight cut issues.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber to win by decision. He notes that Barber has improved significantly since their first fight, now on a seven-fight winning streak. He expects the fight to be close on the feet but believes Barber's strength and physicality will be the difference, as she can push Grasso against the cage and take her down. He cautions that Barber must avoid getting reversed and submitted, as happened in the first fight, but if she stays on top and is smart, she should win.
Cody thinks the fight is close to 50-50 and sees value on Grasso as the underdog. He notes Grasso's regression but believes Barber's takedown defense is poor and Grasso can win the rematch. He's hesitant but picks Grasso due to the plus money.
Connor notes that Barber has tightened up her striking and evolved a ton as a clinch fighter, landing nasty short shots, elbows, knees, and hockey punches. He believes Barber can force the clinch again and has only gotten better at winning that kind of fight, while Grasso has stagnated and become aimless. He points out that Grasso's recent performances show no plan or goal.
Daniel notes Barber is on a career-best win streak and physically matured, while Grasso has declined since her title win. He expects Barber to bully Grasso and avenge her earlier loss, securing a title shot.
The host initially liked Barber at -149 but missed the odds as they steamed to -153. He still leans Barber due to her power, improved scrambling, and ability to hold her own on the feet. Grasso is more technical but lacks power and is weak off her back. However, the host passes because the current odds (-153) reflect fair value and he cannot give Barber more than a 65% chance.
The host leans towards Grasso as the slicker striker, expecting her to out-strike Barber and win a close decision. He acknowledges Barber's improvements in grappling and clinch but thinks Grasso's technical striking and control will be enough. He notes the odds are wide due to recent momentum and sees value in the underdog.
Paul doesn't make a firm pick, calling it a dog or pass situation. He acknowledges the value on Grasso but doesn't commit to a side.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, citing her physical density and toughness. He believes Barber's pressure and improved grappling will overcome Alexa Grasso, who he thinks has stagnated. He notes Grasso's recent losses and predictable striking. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28, and suggests the UFC may favor Barber as a fresh contender.
Zane agrees with Connor, stating that Barber has gotten better at making her fight happen and forcing it on the opponent. He notes that Grasso is aimless and will have whatever fight the opponent wants to dictate. He also mentions that Barber is tough to finish and has only lost by decision, one of which was to Grasso in a close fight where Barber won the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 55 of 85 | 64% | 89 of 130 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 6:20 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 57 of 87 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 21 of 25 | 84% | 32 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 16 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 55 of 85 | 64% | 41 of 66 | 4 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 25 of 32 |
| Karine Silva | 21 of 45 | 46% | 8 of 30 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 15 of 31 | 48% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 8 of 18 | 44% | 1 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 21 of 25 | 84% | 18 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 16 |
| Karine Silva | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 19 of 29 | 65% | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barber (-192), Silva (+160)
Round 1
Mark Smith is the referee. Barber looks to get in range behind her jab, but Silva lands a hard low kick. A “USA” chant breaks out within 30 seconds. Barber is firing off her right hand, but hasn’t quite found the range yet. Silva is having success with low kicks early. Barber kicks the body and Silva answers with another low kick. Barber partially lands a high kick, but Silva takes the opportunity to close distance and take the American down. Silva is trying to take the back, but she’s falling off the side. The Brazilian adjusts the position and locks in a body triangle. Silva almost falls off the side again, but Barber can’t shake free. Silva recovers once again and they’re now seated against the fence. Silva creates openings for some short punches. Silva attacks the choke as they fall to the mat. The arm was only across the face, and Barber frees herself. Silva is still on Barber’s back. Barber is able to spin and take top position with about 20 seconds to go. Barber wastes no time, as she attacks with purposeful ground-and-pound while dodging upkicks until the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 2
Barber comes out slinging right hands at the outset of the round. Silva with a body kick. Barber lands a combination followed by a low kick. Barber catches a leg and takes Silva to the fence. Silva jumps a guillotine with her back to the fence. Silva adjusts to avoid winding up on the bottom. Barber pops her head free and eventually dumps Silva on the canvas. Silva creates a scramble but inadvertently lands an upkick on the downed Barber. Barber points it out and Smith calls time. The kick lands to Barber’s chin, but Smith tells her it’s only a glancing shot. A doctor comes in to examine Barber during the break. Barber says she’s a little dizzy but she’s ready to go. The action resumes with no point deduction. Barber wastes no time taking Silva down in the center of the cage. Barber lands some solid punches from top position. Silva is turtled, eating punches and fighting off Barber’s hands. Barber is now looking to take the back. In the meantime, she punishes Silva with several elbows to the side of the head. Barber continues to work, alternating between right hands and elbows to the head. Barber pulls her foe back to the mat with her. Rather than hunt for a submission, Barber transitions to top position. Silva looks to frame a triangle from her back and then she rolls into top position with the triangle in place. Fortunately for Barber, there were only a few seconds left in the period.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 3
Silva fires a front kick and Barber responds with a pair of leg kicks. Barber pumps her jab into Silva’s face. Barber partially lands a high kick. Silva marches forward, and Barber lands a front kick. The flyweights nearly clash heads during an exchange. Barber lands a front kick down the middle. A left gets through for Barber, and Silva shoots for a takedown against the fence. Silva lands the takedown and is in her foe’s full guard. Barber is active with her guard, and Silva falls back for a heel hook. Barber scoots away, but Silva switches focus to the other leg. Barber frees herself and scrambles into top position with 2:00 to go. Silva wants to set up a triangle from her back. Silva can’t quite complete the maneuver, and Barber stacks her up. Barber stands and kicks her foe’s legs. Barber eats an upkick and then shoves Silva into the fence as she stands. Silva is taken down one more time at the final horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber (29-28 Barber)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
The Official Result
Maycee Barber def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Angelo picks Maycee Barber assuming she is healthy after recent medical issues including a seizure. He considers her the more well-rounded fighter with better striking and athleticism. He notes that if she can defend takedowns, she should win on the feet. However, he expresses uncertainty about her health and the risk of her being rushed back. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, citing Barber's long layoff, mental and physical question marks, and poor takedown defense. He notes Silva's finishing ability and ground game, and expects Silva to win by decision, though he mentions she could win by submission.
Cody leans toward Barber, citing her power and striking advantage. He notes that Barber has never been submitted and has bullied opponents. He acknowledges concerns about her mental state and layoff but believes she will keep the fight standing and land bigger shots. He is not fully confident due to the narrative noise.
Connor picks Maycee Barber, citing her improved clinch game and physical strength. He notes that Silva is still the same fighter who relies on opponents' mistakes, while Barber has never been submitted and has shown durability. He believes Barber's physicality and persistence will be too much for Silva.
Lucrative James heavily factors in Maycee Barber's recent medical scare (passing out before a fight) and her history of being taken down. He believes Karine Silva's physicality and black belt jiu-jitsu will lead to a submission, especially early. He notes Barber's cardio advantage but thinks Silva can finish before it becomes a factor. He picks Silva as the underdog.
The host conditions his pick on Barber making weight and looking like her old self. He expects her to be physical enough to keep Silva standing and then use her superior striking to secure a knockout victory.
Paul leans toward Silva, citing Barber's takedown defense issues and Silva's submission threat. He notes that Barber has been taken down in her last six fights and Silva has good wrestling and submissions. He is concerned about Barber's mental state and long layoff. He thinks Silva can take Barber down and submit her.
The Guru picks Maycee Barber, despite concerns about her motivation. He believes Barber's takedown defense and clinch work will neutralize Silva's submission game. The Guru predicts a TKO finish in round two or three.
Zane picks Maycee Barber, noting that Barber has developed a sharp clinch game and is physically strong. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but points out that Barber has never been submitted and has survived tough spots. Zane believes Barber's physicality and durability give her the edge.
Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield, expecting her to move forward, absorb strikes, and get the fight to the ground where she can dominate. He notes that Maycee Barber's takedown defense is midlevel (53%) and that Blanchfield is tough and relentless. He predicts a decision win for Blanchfield, though she may have close calls.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her superior grappling and Barber's poor takedown defense (50%). He notes that Barber has been taken down by lesser fighters like Roxanne Modafferi and Andrea Lee. He believes Blanchfield will have no trouble taking Barber down and controlling her on the ground, leading to a decision win.
Connor picks Barber based on a gut feeling that Barber is the kind of fighter who does not wilt under pressure, unlike the opponents Blanchfield has thrived against. He argues that Blanchfield's entire style relies on breaking opponents' spirits, but Barber's confidence and aggression make her unlikely to fade. Connor also notes that Barber's improved striking and ability to adjust could allow her to win exchanges on the feet, and that Blanchfield's grappling opportunities may be limited if Barber can get back to her feet.
Matt picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield's wrestling and top pressure will be the difference, as Barber lacks the footwork and movement of Manon Fiorot to keep Blanchfield at bay. Blanchfield should get takedowns and grind out a decision, though submission props are also intriguing.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield by decision, citing her pressure and takedowns. He notes Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, and Blanchfield is better. He believes the Apex benefits Blanchfield and that Barber's movement won't be as effective. He predicts a competitive five-rounder with Blanchfield winning via grappling.
Zane picks Blanchfield because he believes Barber's clinch-heavy style will give Blanchfield too many opportunities to take the fight to the ground, where Blanchfield's exceptional top control is a major advantage. He notes that Barber has improved her striking and adjustments, but her tendency to explode into the clinch plays into Blanchfield's strengths. Zane also points out that Blanchfield's pressure and volume could overwhelm Barber, though he acknowledges Barber's durability and confidence.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 66 of 152 | 43% | 99 of 186 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 84 of 150 | 56% | 122 of 189 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 29 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 48 | 64% | 46 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 35 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 20 of 64 | 31% | 30 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 41 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 66 of 152 | 43% | 44 of 122 | 21 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 43 of 124 | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 84 of 150 | 56% | 59 of 121 | 18 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 107 | 36 of 39 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 32 | 68% | 9 of 18 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 48 | 64% | 26 of 43 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 24 | 20 of 22 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 24 of 56 | 42% | 20 of 50 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 22 of 48 | 45% | 12 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 42 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 20 of 64 | 31% | 15 of 54 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 56 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 54 | 57% | 21 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 41 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo slightly leans Maycee Barber due to her recent surge and well-rounded game, but warns that Katlyn Cerminara can drag opponents into a boring decision. He thinks Barber is too big a favorite. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber to win, but is scared of the judges. He notes that Barber is younger, more physical, and has power, while Cerminara has zero finishes and low striking accuracy. He expects Barber's power shots to be the difference, but fears a split decision due to Cerminara's history of controversial wins.
Cody thinks Barber is overvalued and has shown poor takedown defense, while Cerminara is a smart fighter who can mix in takedowns and use her volume and movement. He believes Cerminara can win a close decision by outworking Barber.
Daniel picks Barber but has no confidence. He notes Barber has power and gets violent when she closes the distance, but she has had controversial decisions and can be held down. He sees Cerminara as a gatekeeper who can outstrike with volume. Daniel is not interested at the price and calls it a no-confidence pick.
Cerminara (formerly Chookagian) has a reliable style of staying on the outside, using her jab and kicks, and maintaining high output. She has been out for over a year but is still capable of veteran performances. Barber is on a winning streak but has had controversial decisions and can be taken down and controlled. Cerminara's volume and optics should allow her to win rounds on the scorecards. I expect her to touch up Barber from distance and win a decision. The plus money is appealing.
Paul agrees with the CF dog model but has some hesitation because Barber can be a brawler and has shown power. He thinks if Barber comes in aggressive, she could overwhelm Cerminara, but at plus money, he leans toward Cerminara.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, dismissing Katlyn Cerminara as not good and noting her inactivity (last fight in October 2022). He highlights Barber's youth (25), power, and strength, especially since moving to flyweight. He believes Barber's finishing potential and physicality will be too much for Cerminara.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 35 of 74 | 47% | 43 of 85 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 81 of 124 | 65% | 93 of 139 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 26 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 35 of 62 | 56% | 41 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 46 of 62 | 74% | 52 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 35 of 74 | 47% | 21 of 52 | 7 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 30 of 68 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 81 of 124 | 65% | 70 of 108 | 5 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 60 | 6 of 9 | 43 of 55 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 42 | 52% | 11 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 35 of 62 | 56% | 28 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 29 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 13 of 32 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 46 of 62 | 74% | 42 of 53 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 26 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her better Jiu-Jitsu, higher level of competition, and solid takedown defense. He notes Maycee Barber has been taken down nine times in the UFC and two of her wins were questionable decisions. He expects Ribas to come forward, stay busy, use takedowns, and win an easy decision. He also calls it an over 2.5 rounds play.
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ. He notes Barber's poor takedown defense (47%) and that she was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He believes Ribas will easily take Barber down and control her on the ground, unlike Andrea Lee who let Barber get up. He predicts a decision win but warns that judges favor Barber.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Ribas. He highlights Barber's takedown defense issues, especially against Andrea Lee, and believes Ribas's superior jiu-jitsu and top control will be decisive. He notes the minus 200 price is not a betting opportunity but for the show he picks Ribas.
Connor picks Ribas, agreeing with Zane that Ribas is the better fighter. He highlights Barber's awkwardness and physicality but notes that Ribas is a legitimate takedown artist and better grappler. Connor points out that Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, which bodes well for Ribas. He sees a small margin for error for Ribas due to Barber's power and toughness, but expects Ribas to win via superior technique.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Ribas, citing her technical superiority everywhere the fight goes. He notes Barber's power but believes Ribas's grappling will be the difference, as Barber was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He thinks Ribas will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly finishing. He mentions he got in at -145 and considers -200 a dog-or-pass situation.
The host picks Amanda Ribas to win by decision. He believes Ribas is a far superior grappler and that she can take Barber down and control the fight from top position. He notes Barber's takedown defense issues and thinks Ribas's pressure and pace will be key. He acknowledges Barber's power and explosivity on the feet but expects Ribas to grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Ribas, emphasizing her wrestling and grappling to neutralize Barber. He notes Ribas's improvements and her ability to take down opponents, while Barber has plateaued and struggles with takedown defense. He thinks the plus money on Barber is tempting but can't get there.
The Guru initially leaned Maycee Barber but switched to Amanda Ribas after counter-arguing his own points. He notes Ribas has a better chin at flyweight, a big advantage on the ground, and outpoints at range with reach. He criticizes Barber's win over Miranda Maverick as a robbery and points out that Maverick was recently dominated by Jasudavicius, undermining Barber's credentials. He also mentions Ribas' wins over Araujo and Jandiroba, and her competitive fight with Chookagian.
Zane picks Ribas, comparing the matchup to Jaco vs Eric Anders. He notes Ribas is the better technical fighter with superior wrestling and grappling, and expects her to come out ahead in the chaotic exchanges. He acknowledges Barber's athleticism and toughness but believes Ribas's transitional grappling and ability to work on the ground will be decisive. Zane sees Barber's technical limitations and poor wrestling as key vulnerabilities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 39 of 103 | 37% | 57 of 125 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:20 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 48 of 127 | 37% | 66 of 158 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 16 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 26 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 24 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 20 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 39 of 103 | 37% | 10 of 57 | 15 of 27 | 14 of 19 | 34 of 97 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrea Lee | 48 of 127 | 37% | 31 of 97 | 9 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 38 of 113 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 35 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 45 | 37% | 11 of 35 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 15 of 38 | 39% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 43 | 39% | 11 of 31 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 30 | 40% | 1 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrea Lee | 14 of 39 | 35% | 9 of 31 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, arguing that Barber is overrated and a decision fighter who can break mentally. He notes that Lee is a technical striker with improved grappling and has fought tougher competition. He believes Lee can keep the fight standing and out-strike Barber, and that Barber's takedowns may not be enough. He says no bet on this fight due to unknowns.
Big Brady picks Andrea Lee as a dog, believing the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He thinks Lee is the better striker with more volume, while Barber relies on physical strength and takedowns. Brady notes Barber's striking is still a work in progress and that Lee can work back to her feet if taken down. He predicts a split decision win for Lee, possibly a robbery, and expects the fight to go the distance.
Cody does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup, noting Barber's youth and cardio advantage but also her lack of takedowns in recent fights. He sees a path for Lee if she can keep the fight standing and outstrike Barber, but he is wary of Lee's tendency to fatigue. He ultimately says he wants nothing to do with the line, finding it too wide.
Connor picks Barber because Lee has a history of crumbling under pressure and bullying. He notes Barber's recent assertiveness and willingness to clinch and use her strength. He acknowledges Barber's poor kickboxing but thinks she will force a clinch-heavy fight where Lee fades.
Jacob picks Barber but admits he is biased against Lee. He thinks Barber can get takedowns and wear Lee down, similar to how Viviane Araujo did. He warns that Barber is a decision fighter and should not be put in parlays. He acknowledges Lee is dangerous on the feet and that Barber's takedowns are key.
The host believes Barber's strength and grappling improvements at Team Alpha Male will be key. He expects Barber to assert herself early, counter Lee's combinations, and eventually get clinch situations where she can rough Lee up against the cage. He notes that if Lee gets into a flow state it could be trouble, but Barber's power and explosiveness should deter her. He predicts Barber wins by decision.
The Guru picks Barber, citing her improved grappling and youth (24 vs 34). He thinks Barber can take Lee down and slow her down as the fight progresses, winning the last two rounds via decision. He notes Lee's tendency to fade when wrestled.
Zane picks Barber but notes it could easily be a fight where Barber flops around and Lee jabs her. He highlights Barber's physicality and willingness to make opponents deal with her strength. He also notes Barber's reliable third-round surge if things aren't going well.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 35 of 62 | 56% | 76 of 106 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:09 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 63 of 97 | 64% | 83 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 34 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:59 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 21 of 26 | 80% | 35 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 19 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 35 of 62 | 56% | 23 of 48 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 41 | 16 of 19 | 2 of 2 |
| Jessica Eye | 63 of 97 | 64% | 45 of 78 | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 51 | 35 of 41 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 21 of 26 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 21 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Jessica Eye | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 18 of 37 | 48% | 13 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 35 of 56 | 62% | 25 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber, citing her technical striking and improved wrestling. He acknowledges Jessica Eye's toughness and granite chin but believes Barber's superior technique and ability to mix in takedowns will be enough. He notes a slight concern about Barber's mental fragility but still sees her getting the win.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber but is hesitant, noting the line is too wide and recent women's fights have been close. He cites Barber's youth and power as advantages, but expects a close decision. He has no interest in betting this fight.
Cody thinks the line is too wide and women's MMA is unpredictable. He notes Barber takes rounds off and Eye has volume, but he's learned not to bet big favorites in this division. He passes.
Daniel Levi picks Maycee Barber, citing her youth, hunger, and physicality. He notes that Jessica Eye is inconsistent and has health issues, making her unreliable. However, he is not interested in betting at -300 due to lack of value and the risk of injury or poor performance. He believes Barber will likely win but passes on the bet.
The host expects Barber to win but is not confident at -285. He notes that heavy women's MMA favorites have been losing recently. He sees value in the fight going to decision at -250, as Barber is not a finisher and Eye can make it competitive. He does not pick a winner on the moneyline.
Paul says it's dog or pass. He notes Eye's volume and Barber's tendency to take rounds off, but doesn't have a strong lean. He might consider Eye by decision at +375.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, citing her physical strength, clinch work, and recent win over Montana De La Rosa. He believes Jessica Eye is declining at 35 and that Barber will use her size and strength to push Eye against the cage and land elbows. He predicts a 29-28 decision, noting the judges may favor Barber.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 50 of 63 | 79% | 80 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 7:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 41 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 34 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:06 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 18 of 23 | 78% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 50 of 63 | 79% | 31 of 42 | 16 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 8 | 40 of 47 | 6 of 8 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 14 of 28 | 50% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 25 of 31 | 80% | 14 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 23 of 27 | 1 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 18 of 23 | 78% | 11 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber but with zero bet, calling it a tough fight with many unknowns. He notes Barber has good striking and improved wrestling, but can break mentally. He says Montana is a pure wrestler who has improved her hands at Elevation. He is normally a sucker for wrestlers but is worried. He says his gut wants to pick Montana, but for now he goes with Barber to defend takedowns and win striking.
Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa to win by decision, citing her grappling advantage and Barber's recent poor striking performances. He notes Barber has looked bad in recent fights, with low striking accuracy and a tendency to punch air. He thinks De La Rosa can mix in takedowns and control the fight. However, he has low confidence and says he will have zero dollars on the fight.
Cody likes Barber at -190, noting her physical strength and improvement. He acknowledges she's a slow starter but believes she can overpower De La Rosa. He points out De La Rosa's poor striking defense and tendency to get hit. He warns it could be a trap line but picks Barber.
The host picks Maycee Barber as his biggest bet of the night at 2 units (-181). He believes Barber is a better striker with better footwork and will be able to get up from takedowns and dish out damage on the feet. He is confident in this pick, calling it his most confident play.
Paul is not playing Barber at -190, calling it a dogger pass situation. He thinks Barber rarely shows up and that De La Rosa could control on the mat. He plans to stay away from a betting perspective unless weigh-ins change his mind.
Miranda Maverick - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 1 | 25 of 86 | 29% | 46 of 118 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 25 of 74 | 33% | 52 of 108 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 17 of 59 | 28% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 9 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 1 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 25 of 86 | 29% | 22 of 75 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 23 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 25 of 74 | 33% | 14 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 17 of 59 | 28% | 15 of 50 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 20 of 58 | 34% | 11 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.
Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.
This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.
Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 61 of 117 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 6:50 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 15 of 55 | 27% | 63 of 111 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 3:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 21 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 15 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 2:54 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 13 of 40 | 32% | 26 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 24 of 68 | 35% | 12 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 15 of 55 | 27% | 11 of 45 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 8 of 24 | 33% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 4 of 19 | 21% | 2 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 13 of 40 | 32% | 9 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 9 of 32 | 28% | 8 of 27 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-470), Horth (+360)
Round 1
Andrew Glenn will referee the final women's MMA fight inside the UFC this year. Horth takes the middle of the cage. Maverick is circling well and entering with combinations, although they've all come up short so far. A series of left hooks lands for Maverick. Horth defends a takedown attempt against the cage. Maverick landing short knees to the leg. Maverick stays with it, locking her hands around the left knee of Horth. Maverick starts eating elbows from Horth. Slow opening round as Maverick has been obsessed with getting a takedown that she couldn't get. Just 30 seconds left. Horth eats some knees but stays upright as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
Maverick complained of shots to the back of the head between rounds. Maverick goes for another takedown, and Horth is up against the cage, defending well. The crowd is booing. Maverick landing some nice knees. Horth tries to jump the back for a second and is now looking for a takedown of her own as she gets back control standing. Maverick gives up her back and is now on the ground. Horth is looking for a rear-naked choke. The decision to grapple and go for nonstop takedown attempts has backfired for Maverick. Horth is cranking the neck currently. Maverick gets back to her feet with two minutes left and finally gets a takedown of her own. Horth gives up her back in a scramble. Maverick gets complacent for a second and is reversed. Horth is in full guard with a minute left. Horth lands a few punches on top before Maverick gets back to her feet.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
Horth eats an overhand left from Maverick to start the round. Maverick has shown a clear advantage on the feet, so her insistence on takedowns has been strange. Maverick keeping her distance and is starting to use her kicks. Horth has a longer reach but isn't using her jab. Horth swings wildly and gets taken down as a result. Maverick is in half-guard and is landing some short punches from top position. Horth needs to show some urgency to get up but isn't doing so. Maverick postures up and tries to pass but can't get side control. Horth scrambles for a leg, but they're mostly just tangled up. One minute left. Maverick is cruising to a decision win by staying on top. Horth finally gets up with 30 seconds left. Maverick lands a nice left straight and is outstriking Horth easily. The fight ends with Maverick clinching her opponent against the cage.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Jamey-Lyn Horth via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Maverick because she can dictate the grappling and get the fight to the ground, exploiting Horth's poor takedown defense. He notes Maverick's pressure, strength, and takedowns, but acknowledges she is not a finisher. He expects the fight to go to decision and suggests the over 2.5 rounds might be a better bet if the odds are close to the moneyline.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He is confident Maverick is a much better fighter than Horth, noting Horth's close fights with lower-level opponents. He thinks Maverick's losses are to elite fighters and that she was robbed against Barber. He does not see a finish likely, so picks decision.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing her wrestling advantage and Horth's inability to stop takedowns. He notes that Horth is slow and flat-footed, and Maverick's physicality should secure takedowns and control. Cody warns that the line is high but sees Maverick as a safe play.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Maverick is a much better athlete and has been improving her game. He points out that Horth is a slow, uncoordinated fighter who lacks the size and seasoning of Jasmine Jasudavicius, who beat Maverick. As long as Maverick uses her wrestling and doesn't get into unnecessary striking exchanges, she should win easily.
Daniel Vreeland picks Miranda Maverick, noting she has more tools, experience, and better competition. However, he is cautious due to the -600 price and the state of women's MMA judging. He expects Maverick to win but advises proceeding with caution.
Maverick's physicality and grinding approach will keep Horth in defensive positions, allowing Maverick to win by decision. The chalky odds are expected to come through.
Paul picks Miranda Maverick but avoids the money line due to the high price. He notes that Horth struggles with wrestlers and Maverick is the best wrestler she's faced. Paul expects Maverick to secure takedowns and control, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick without much elaboration, stating she is well-trained with talent in grappling and striking. He dismisses Jamey-Lyn Horth's recent split decision win over Iana Petrovic, calling Petrovic 'absolute garbage', and notes that Horth's close fight with Veronica Hardy doesn't impress him. He concludes that Maverick is simply a more talented fighter.
Zane picks Maverick confidently, noting that she is a much better athlete than Horth, faster and stronger. He points out that Maverick has been learning to connect her striking to her wrestling and showed better control in recent fights. Horth is slow, uncoordinated, and barely beat Petrovich, getting taken down at will. As long as Maverick doesn't trip over her own feet, she should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 30 of 88 | 34% | 102 of 188 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 8:07 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 47 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 31 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 30 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 11 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 41 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 30 of 88 | 34% | 9 of 55 | 7 of 15 | 14 of 18 | 23 of 77 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 |
| Dione Barbosa | 21 of 52 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 16 of 45 | 35% | 3 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 11 | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 21 | 33% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 7 of 28 | 25% | 1 of 16 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 16 | 43% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-218), Barbosa (+180)
Round 1
Shifting gears back to the flyweight category, the U.S. battles Brazil as Maverick (13-5, 6-3 UFC) looks to bewitch “The Witch” Barbosa (7-2, 1-0 UFC) across their three-round endeavor. With exactly twice as much experience as her opponent, and as many fights in the UFC as Barbosa holds as a pro, Maverick will come into the match five years the younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of this pairing, and he claps the two in as they clap hands. Both women flirt with the middle of the cage, tossing a single strike at one another to test the waters. Maverick kicks the lead leg, and Barbosa replies with a front kick up the middle. Barbosa chops at the front leg, and Maverick replies. The two trade leg kicks, and Maverick grins after an exchange. Both women reach at one another with rangy punches and miss the mark, and then try head kicks that rebound off one another’s guards. They go tit-for-tat after one another, seemingly mirroring one another with attempted strikes. Barbosa picks up her leg after eating a particularly effective low kick, and Maverick targets it once more and ducks away from a sudden wheel kick. Maverick chops at the thigh with a kick, and when the Brazilian closes the distance, she plants two punches on the jaw and slips away. Maverick strikes the lead leg, turning it red less than halfway through Round 1, and she rushes out with jabs outstretched. They both swing and miss on distance strikes, their corners celebrating whether they land or not. Maverick continues to work the calf at the end of combinations, and Barbosa preemptively lifts her leg until crashing forward to take the fight down. Maverick reverses her and tosses the Brazilian to her back, and she fights through a leglock to lower herself down in half guard. Barbosa keeps a high guard to threaten from her back, but Maverick pushes through it to stay out of danger. Barbosa closes the high guard briefly, trying to control Maverick while Maverick controls her. Maverick’s offense dwindles to a few strikes and a knee to the posterior as seconds peel off the clock with little to show for them. Maverick raps her left hand over the top a few times to stay busy, working the head and body before hammering Barbosa with a few elbows. Barbosa looks for a submission setup, and Maverick shrugs it off to continue her ground-and-pound until the bell intervenes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The women try to clap hands to begin the second round and miss, and say heck with it and start swinging at one another. Maverick picks and pokes with low kicks before mixing it up with a head kick, and when that nearly gets through, she tries another seconds later. Barbosa defends a low single and tosses Maverick aside to kick her in the cheek, and she rushes forward to press the Missouri native against the fencing. Barbosa succeeds in hitting a throw to chuck Maverick to the floor, and Maverick is quick to climb back to her feet despite the head lock toss. Maverick breaks away from the clinch and eats a sudden spinning elbow, and she reaches out with a kick and is countered with one from the Brazilian. Maverick jabs to the head and body, keeping her hands up to block a head kick and crashing forward at the same time as her opponent to hit a takedown. Barbosa defends with a takedown, and Maverick pushes her against the wall, unconcerned by the choke, to trip “The Witch” to the canvas. Barbosa is stuck on her back absorbing sporadic punches, and Maverick stays tightly pressed to not let Barbosa sneak anything up on her. Barbosa turns to set up an armbar, and Maverick tosses Barbosa to the side and gets back on top. Barbosa uses the butterfly hooks from allowing Maverick to get her flat, but Maverick keeps to this position while kneeing Barbosa in the backside once. Maverick drops down short right hands as she assumes half guard, and she elbows Barbosa and smacks her with her shoulder before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 3
They do touch gloves to open up the last stanza, and fists are soon to fly. Maverick sits down on three punches, and she leans back as a head kick buzzes her hair. Barbosa works her way forward and reaches out with a right hand after taking a low kick, and she connects with two more before Maverick’s back hits the wall. Barbosa tries to change levels, but Maverick’s takedown defends keeps her upright. As Maverick breaks off, she lands another calf kick and a right hand behind it, and Barbosa walks her down ready to throw leather. Maverick shoots in for a single, and Barbosa scrambles effectively to flip Maverick over and even set up a kneebar. Maverick fights through it and winds up on top, moving into the butterfly guard of her opponent. Maverick keeps tight and composed from above to put Barbosa flat on her back, and she grinds with an elbow to irritate the Brazilian. Maverick gets bucked off briefly, and she remains on top while getting in elbows until Barbosa turns for an armbar. Maverick no-sells it and pulls out of it, and she relocates herself in Barbosa’s guard. Maverick lands a shoulder strike, and it appears she may have headbutted Barbosa in the chest as well, but nothing comes of it. Maverick’s 125-pound-plus frame feels like 500 pounds as Barbosa cannot get enough space, try as she might. Maverick retains control and fully embraces the grind, sliding over to half guard and using her elbow to frame up and land shots. Maverick remains active from this position, doing so until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.
Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.
Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.
Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 36 of 102 | 35% | 59 of 126 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 66 of 136 | 48% | 106 of 180 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 31 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 47 of 74 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 28 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 36 of 102 | 35% | 14 of 72 | 13 of 19 | 9 of 11 | 32 of 96 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Andrea Lee | 66 of 136 | 48% | 28 of 89 | 16 of 25 | 22 of 22 | 60 of 128 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 24 of 43 | 55% | 9 of 25 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 9 of 34 | 26% | 4 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 23 of 48 | 47% | 11 of 34 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 15 of 37 | 40% | 6 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Andrea Lee | 19 of 45 | 42% | 8 of 30 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.
Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.
Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.
Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.
Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.
Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.
Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 36 of 51 | 70% | 105 of 132 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 8:54 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 46 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 43 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 16 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 36 of 51 | 70% | 23 of 37 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 20 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 16 of 25 | 64% | 9 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 9 of 10 | 90% | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)
Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.
Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.
James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.
Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.
Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 63 of 127 | 49% | 68 of 132 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 67 of 158 | 42% | 115 of 235 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 25 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 18 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 47 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:21 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 28 of 70 | 40% | 28 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 45 of 102 | 44% | 50 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 63 of 127 | 49% | 33 of 94 | 17 of 18 | 13 of 15 | 56 of 120 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 67 of 158 | 42% | 52 of 140 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 53 of 138 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 20 of 27 | 74% | 5 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 10 of 23 | 43% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 15 of 30 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 12 of 33 | 36% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 28 of 70 | 40% | 19 of 59 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 45 of 102 | 44% | 39 of 93 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 91 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-295), Jasudavicius (+245)
Round 1
A place among the top 15 at flyweight looms for these next two women. Bolstered by her entrance to the “Top Gun” theme, Maverick (11-4, 4-2 UFC) is ready to disappoint the Canadian audience by handing Ontario’s Jasudavicius (8-2, 2-1 UFC) a defeat. This pairing will be joined by referee Jerin Valel, and they want to get right to it and blow past touching gloves. Maverick hops forward with a leg kick and hops away before she gets reached. The Canadian checks a leg kick and sticks out a jab, and Maverick moves around and scores one on either side of the inside calf. Jasudavicius flicks out a few punches, and Maverick retaliates with a solid body kick that leads to a clinch. Maverick aims punches and knees to the body when they are tied up in the middle of the cage, and Jasudavicius responds with some clinch strikes. Maverick frames off with an elbow and a right hand to break off, and she reaches a left to the body when she circles. Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a rangy right hand, and Maverick is on her bike chipping with kicks. Jasudavicius blocks a head kick, and she nearly hits a split to stuff a takedown from the Missouri native. Jasudavicius turns her around and throws her to her back, and Maverick is quick to set up a high guard with one leg on top of her foe’s shoulder. Maverick transitions to an armbar, and she sneaks her legs around to isolate Jasudavicius’s right arm and places the Canadian in the Danger Zone. Jasudavicius stacks Maverick up and presses her knee on Maverick’s neck to counter her uncomfortably. With Jasudavicius keeping her opponent squeezed awkwardly against the fencing, the leverage from Maverick is not right to secure the submission. Maverick holds on in this position until the horn stops the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the Octagon, and Jasudavicius leads off with a head kick. Maverick keeps her left arm high to block it, and she gets knocked back by a pair of punches from the Canadian. Maverick goes back to chipping at the lead wheel of her foe, working it from both sides and staying out of the way of the longer reaching Jasudavicius. The Canadian does get off a left hand and she aims a front kick, and Maverick stands in front of her and pops her with two crisp punches. Maverick gets off a few punches, and Jasudavicius from up close manages to smack Maverick in the face with a head kick. Maverick is shaken up, and this allows Jasudavicius to press her to the fence and knee her a few times. Maverick breaks away with an uppercut, and she just manages to dodge a head kick. When she resets and advances, Jasudavicius meets her coming in with a one-two. Maverick shoots from afar for a single, and Jasudavicius sweeps Maverick and dumps her to her back. Jasudavicius transitions to the side, only to get dragged back to the guard of the American. Jasudavicius keeps moving, and she takes mount and is tossed to half guard in a quick series of shifts. Maverick turns to her side and she eats several short punches, and elects to lay on her back. Jasudavicius steps over to secure mount, and she lets Maverick turn over to take Maverick’s back and get a hook in. Jasudavicius rolls along with Maverick and locks down the body triangle, and she starts smacking Maverick with left hands. Maverick gets her arm trapped, and Jasudavicius slithers her arm around the chin in pursuit of a rear-naked choke. Maverick barrel rolls, but Jasudavicius follows her every step of the way and gets the body triangle locked up again. Maverick spins to reverse the position, and Jasudavicius is slick and keeps her dominant position. Jasudavicius gets off several left hands when she takes mount back with seconds to spare, and this is where she ends the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
The last round begins with a Superwoman punch from Maverick, and Jasudavicius defends against it and flicks out a few jabs. Maverick spins with an elbow that is blocked, and she keeps her momentum going to kick the ribs. Jasudavicius grimaces and swipes out with a left hand, and Maverick targets the liver again. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down, and Maverick leans over to punch the same spot. Jasudavicius backs her up with long, straight punches, and she snaps the head back with a left. Jasudavicius attempts a head kick, and Maverick closes the distance to not let it catch her up to. Maverick times an advancing Jasudavicius with an uppercut, and this fires Jasudavicius up. Jasudavicius unleashes a fire and fury in the form of a long string of punches, and Maverick ricochets off the fence and retreats from that salvo of blows. Maverick reaches a left hand over the guard, and Jasudavicius tags her with a combination. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down and chains a knee to a few punches to an elbow. Jasudavicius grows some swelling around the eye of the American quickly from her heavy shots, and Maverick stops her in her tracks for a second with a step-in elbow. Maverick dodges a front kick to the face, responds with a high kick that slaps in the armpit, and she gets knocked back with a right hand. Maverick shoots for an ill-advised takedown, and like the previous rounds, Jasudavicius is the one to come up with the better position. Maverick turns to her knees and looks to wall-walk when Jasudavicius has her hands clasped from behind. Maverick stands, and Jasudavicius has her from behind and lets Maverick turn to the wall. With seconds to spare, Jasudavicius lays into Maverick with a series of punches, and she ignores one coming back from Maverick when Maverick escapes with seconds to spare. Jasudavicius pops Maverick once more before the final bell rings, and Canada may have another winner tonight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a significant underdog. He highlights her high-level wrestling credentials as a Canadian national champion, and believes she can outwrestle Miranda Maverick. He notes that Miranda's game plan will be to outwrestle a national champion, which he doubts will work. He placed a quarter unit bet on Jasmine at +250.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick but is hesitant due to the high price. He notes that Jasudavicius has a path to victory via takedowns and top control, which is concerning. However, Maverick is younger, a better striker, and a black belt in BJJ. He expects Maverick to keep the fight standing or scramble back up if taken down, winning a decision. He cautions against betting at -290.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing advantages in speed, distance management, and wrestling. He notes that Jasudavicius likes to stand and brawl, but Maverick is fleet-footed and can stay in and out of the pocket. He believes Maverick can win standing or on the ground, and expects a decision. He also likes the over on Maverick's significant strikes.
Connor also picks Miranda Maverick, emphasizing her physical edge: she is harder hitting, stronger, and more mobile. He notes that Maverick has a straightforward game plan to win easily and can afford to make more mistakes than Jasudavicius. However, he warns that if Jasudavicius gets underhooks first and takes Maverick down, she will do a lot of damage and narrow the room for error. Connor believes Maverick's athleticism and improved instruction will carry her.
Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius for value, noting that she moves better than Maverick and has a longer reach. He thinks if she can stuff takedowns, she can win with volume. He is concerned about her cardio in round three, but sees Maverick's striking as awkward and slow. He believes the line is too wide and that Jasudavicius has a real path to victory, possibly by decision.
James picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a live underdog at +250. He thinks the line is inflated; he would line Maverick at -165. He acknowledges Maverick is better or equal in most areas but by slim margins. Jasudavicius has higher pace and aggression, and James believes she can win rounds and possibly land takedowns. He expects a close back-and-forth fight that could go to a split decision. He also mentions the plus-3.5 spread as a potential bet.
Jasudavicius has a size and wrestling advantage, and she showed improved striking setups in her last fight. Maverick struggles against grapplers who can take her down, as seen in the Blanchfield loss. However, Maverick's jiu-jitsu off her back is dangerous, and Jasudavicius must maintain top pressure without gassing. The odds are closer than implied, making Jasudavicius a live underdog.
Paul picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Jasudavicius' typical clinch and wrestling advantages won't work against Maverick's strength and leverage. He believes Maverick's speed and footwork will allow her to outpoint Jasudavicius on the feet, and she can also score takedowns. He expects a decision win for Maverick.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her solid grappling and competitive losses to top fighters like Erin Blanchfield and Macy Barber (where he believes she was robbed). He thinks Jasudavicius is primarily a striker and cannot out-grapple Maverick. He expects Maverick to mix in grappling and win a decision.
Zane picks Miranda Maverick, citing her physical advantages: she is faster, stronger, and more mobile than Jasudavicius. He notes that Maverick has a lot of room for error due to her athleticism, and that she has shown good signs of taking her career seriously at Team Elevation. However, he worries that Jasudavicius has figured out her game faster—using pressure and body lock takedowns—and that if she gets top position, she can do a lot of damage. Zane thinks Maverick can win by staying at range and not letting Jasudavicius tie up.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 63 of 108 | 58% | 172 of 240 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 | 0 | 9:14 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 29 of 82 | 35% | 29 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 41 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 52 of 67 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 6 of 19 | 31% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 79 of 99 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 63 of 108 | 58% | 43 of 85 | 14 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 38 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 25 |
| Shanna Young | 29 of 82 | 35% | 20 of 73 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 22 of 52 | 42% | 13 of 40 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Shanna Young | 18 of 48 | 37% | 13 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 22 of 30 | 73% | 13 of 21 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 12 |
| Shanna Young | 6 of 19 | 31% | 4 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 19 of 26 | 73% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Shanna Young | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Maverick, expecting her to come forward, get takedowns, and bully her way to a win similar to her last fight. He notes Young is a solid boxer but lacks takedowns in the UFC and has BJJ gaps. He calls Maverick a parlay piece and says the odds will be stupid wide, advising to bet early.
Big Brady recalls their previous fight where Maverick submitted Young in the first round in Invicta. He believes Maverick is the better striker and grappler, and Young's takedown defense is not enough to stop Maverick. He expects a repeat performance with a first-round submission.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, noting that she already finished Young in the first round in Invicta. He acknowledges that Young has improved since moving to Las Vegas and getting a win over Gina Mazany, but he doesn't see where Young wins. Maverick is more physical, has superior ground game, and is training with top competition. He predicts Maverick will submit Young, likely in the second or early third round. He is not excited about the -650 moneyline but likes Maverick by submission.
Connor agrees with Zane, adding that Maverick is comfortable pressuring and converting clinch into takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young is a poor matchup for Maverick because she lacks the defensive wrestling to stop takedowns, and Maverick's recent improvements make this a gimme.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating she is simply outmatched and the odds reflect that. He notes Maverick's country girl strength, improved striking-to-takedown flow, and intelligence, while Shanna Young may be hungry but is outclassed.
The host is very high on Maverick, citing her improving skills, new gym (Elevation Fight Team), and superior ground game. He expects her to dominate Young, who is a decent striker but weak on the ground. He predicts a finish inside the distance and may bet the under 2.5 rounds if plus money.
Paul agrees with Cody and is loading up on the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -110. He notes that Maverick already finished Young in the first round, so he likes the prop over the moneyline. He thinks Maverick will get the job done inside the distance again.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, calling her underrated and noting she clearly beat Maycee Barber. He highlights her training at Elevation Fight Team, age 25, and wrestling skills. He dismisses Shanna Young's win over Gina Mazany and believes Maverick will win a 30-27 unanimous decision, outclassing Young.
Zane is confident Maverick will dominate, citing her pressure, clinch work, and takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young was easily controlled by Gina Mazany, and Maverick is a better athlete and grappler. Maverick's recent move to a new camp had a rough transition but looked better against Mazo, and Young will give her free rein to work her clinch and takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 45 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 35 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 15 of 48 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 19 of 50 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 21 | 42% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 10 of 31 | 32% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 10 of 29 | 34% | 5 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).
Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.
Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.
Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a more diverse striker and grappler, with more ways to win. He notes that Maycee Barber has not made adjustments after two losses and that Maverick is a killer. He thinks the -150 moneyline is solid value. He likes the less/more on monkey knife fight, expecting Barber to be high volume but Maverick to mix in grappling.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick, noting her massive improvements each fight, especially in striking. He acknowledges Barber may have a slight edge in striking but believes Maverick's volume, pressure, and takedown mixing will be key. He expects Maverick to win a decision, as Barber is on a two-fight losing streak and Maverick is trending up.
Cody picks Barber, citing her ferocious striking and damaging shots. He thinks Barber's grappling is not horrible and that she has better pop and volume. He notes Barber's move to Team Alpha Male and her youth. He sees it as a dogger pass and has a little bit on Barber.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, citing her well-rounded game and ability to mix takedowns, which could frustrate Barber. He acknowledges Barber's power and the question of how Maverick reacts to being hit, but if technique prevails, he favors Maverick. Levi notes that Barber showed heart in the Grasso fight but still has clinch issues, while Maverick is more technical.
Jacob picks Miranda Maverick because she has incredible fight IQ and is nasty. He notes that Maycee Barber will look sharp but it won't be enough. He expects scrambles where Maverick will come out on top. He did not put Maverick in his DraftKings lineup because he thinks Barber will come out sharp, but he believes Maverick will be too much.
The host picks Miranda Maverick, citing her fight IQ and takedown ability. He believes Maverick will use well-timed takedowns to control Barber, who has been inconsistent and switched gyms. He notes Barber's power but thinks Maverick's grappling and cardio will be decisive. He likes Maverick by decision at +145.
Paul picks Maverick, favoring her size, strength, and consistent improvements. He criticizes Barber's camp changes and overprotective father, comparing her to Sage Northcutt. He thinks Maverick's grappling is a wash and that she has better footwork and striking improvements. He notes Barber's output numbers are inflated by finishes.
The Guru picks Maverick for her technical striking, range control, and reach advantage. He criticizes Barber's technical flaws at range and her tendency to brawl. He notes Maverick's superior grappling and recent performances, including wins over Liana Jojua and Gillian Robertson. He predicts a decision win by keeping the fight at range and mixing in takedowns.
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