Career Averages - Julian Marquez
Career Averages - Maki Pitolo
Julian Marquez
Maki Pitolo
Julian Marquez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Brundage | 1 | 44 of 79 | 55% | 68 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 37 of 73 | 50% | 53 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Brundage | 1 | 44 of 79 | 55% | 68 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 37 of 73 | 50% | 53 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Brundage | 44 of 79 | 55% | 39 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 34 of 65 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 |
| Julian Marquez | 37 of 73 | 50% | 31 of 64 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 51 | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Brundage | 44 of 79 | 55% | 39 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 34 of 65 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 |
| Julian Marquez | 37 of 73 | 50% | 31 of 64 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 51 | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marquez (-155), Brundage (+130)
Round 1
The year is 2025, and the UFC has placed Brundage (10-6, 1 NC; 4-5, 1 NC UFC) and Marquez (9-5, 3-4 UFC)—two men with UFC records below .500—in a co-main event slot. With dueling walkouts of “Fantasy” by Mariah Carey for the former and the Beastie Boys’ “Sabotage” for the latter, all 50 or so people visible in the Apex are having a blast. The middleweights will be joined in the cage by referee Mark Smith. They touch gloves. Marquez runs forward and stops just before getting kicked in the head, but Brundage comes at him with a knee and a massive right hand. A second bomb of a right hand hurts Marquez, who stumbles back and bounces off the fence to stay afloat. Brundage leaps at him with a flying knee, and when he misses, Marquez pushes him away and may have gotten away with an eye poke. Brundage wipes at his eye and lets loose a head kick, and he chops at the front leg with a kick. Brundage sits down on a right hand when Marquez is aiming at the body, and he beats “The Cuban Missile Crisis” to the punch with a jab and an overhand right. Brundage snaps the head back with an uppercut, and he gets pushed back from the blunt force of a clubbing punch from his opponent. Brundage leaps at his man and lands on the ground, and Marquez dives down for a possible takedown. Brundage locks up a Dave Schultz front headlock, and Marquez fights out of it, gets to his feet and drills Brundage with a left hand. Brundage shakes it off and strikes back with a right hand up top, and both men start swinging for the fences from up close. Brundage breaks up the firefight with a head kick, and he leans back as a right hook zooms past him. Brundage settles himself down and chips at the front leg, and Marquez snaps out a power jab and follows it with a monster right hand that dislodges Brundage’s mouthpiece. Brundage, in grave danger, leans over and finds himself in guillotine choke danger. Through sheer force of will, Brundage leans up and surges into action with hilariously damaging punches. Brundage knocks Marquez’ mouthpiece out as well in a scene out of an action movie, and both men blast one another with everything they have. Smith finds a moment to pause and give them both their gumshields back, and they replace them and come back out swinging.
With shades of the Toughman contests of old, both middleweights decide that it is time to slug one another in the face violently and brutally until Marquez hits the deck courtesy of a tremendous right hand. Brundage leaps on top and starts blasting with his free right hand, and Marquez desperately shoots for a takedown to try to get his wits back. Brundage does not let his man off the hook, hammering the MMA Lab fighter with thudding blows. Smith implores Marquez to fight back, but the way Brundage is positioned from behind with his left arm wrapping up Marquez, Marquez is unable to posture up or defend himself. As punches continue rapping Marquez upside the head, Smith has no choice but to say enough is enough and call an end to this ridiculous slobberknocker.
Overcome with emotions, a tear-stricken Brundage roars, and the Apex gets about as loud as it possibly can be after that gunslinger’s duel giving it up for the two men in the Octagon. Marquez removes his gloves after the terrific match but does not appear to leave them in the cage, perhaps deciding not to make a rash decision after such a fun clash.
The Official Result
Cody Brundage def. Julian Marquez R1 4:45 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Cody Brundage, citing his wrestling background, power, and the fact that Julian Marquez is coming off back-to-back knockout losses with a year layoff. He acknowledges Brundage's questionable fight IQ but believes he is a good fighter overall. He also notes that both fighters are exciting and expects the fight to end early.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Julian Marquez, citing his durability and heart, as well as a slick submission game. He notes Cody Brundage is more skilled but has a bad nail and may quit if hurt. He predicts Marquez will win by first-round submission after Brundage gets hurt and shoots for a takedown.
Connor picks Marquez, noting that Brundage has a single idea that quickly exhausts, while Marquez is a willing scrapper who can fight through adversity. He mentions that Marquez has been getting knocked out lately but still has the toughness to outlast Brundage. Connor also jokes about Marquez's personality but sticks with him as the pick.
The host expects a chaotic matchup and suggests the under 1.5 rounds is the best bet. He leans with Marquez, believing his power striking and slick submissions can catch Brundage, who has been hurt repeatedly. However, he notes Brundage could also catch Marquez, who has lost three straight by knockout. He predicts a club-and-sub within the first round and a half.
The Guru picks Cody Brundage over Julian Marquez. He notes Marquez is on a three-fight losing streak, older, and possibly struggling with drinking. Brundage is younger, hungrier, and has finishing potential. He predicts a finish for Brundage.
Zane picks Marquez despite his recent knockout losses, citing Marquez's willingness to scrap and fight through adversity. He notes that Brundage has a one-plan approach that falls apart after 30 seconds, and while Brundage might have a good idea early, Marquez's brawling will eventually overwhelm him. Zane acknowledges the fight is low-level but favors Marquez's toughness.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 1 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 1 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Angelo leans Zachary Reese, but with low confidence. He notes that Reese is massive for the weight class and has power, but he looked stiff in his last fight and was power bombed. Julian Marquez is tough and dangerous everywhere, but he has been knocked out in his last two fights and has a year layoff. Angelo thinks Reese can weather the early storm and beat a fading Marquez.
Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by first-round knockout. He is not sold on Zachary Reese's UFC caliber, noting his poor competition and tendency to end up on bottom. He thinks Marquez is the much better striker and will smoke Reese if his suspicions are correct.
Cody picks Reese as a slight underdog, noting that Marquez has significant health issues and has not looked good in recent fights. Reese is a big, athletic fighter with first-round finishing ability, but his cardio is untested. Cody believes if Reese can survive the first round, Marquez's poor cardio and durability issues will allow Reese to take over. He acknowledges it's a shot in the dark but leans towards Reese.
Daniel picks Marquez based on experience, noting that Reese has never faced real competition and was fraud-checked by Cody Brundage. He acknowledges Marquez has looked terrible since returning from injury but believes his durability and veteran tactics can overcome Reese's size and reach. He calls it a dart throw but leans Marquez.
Jacob picks Julian Marquez, noting that Reese eats right hands and was slammed by Cody Brundage. He thinks Marquez will come forward and land bombs, and Reese's chin is suspect. He also warns that going to the ground with Reese is dangerous due to his length, but Marquez's power should be enough. Jacob is confident Marquez gets the win.
Marquez is a veteran power puncher with a sneaky submission game, while Reese is reckless and was knocked out by a slam in his last fight. This should be a barn burner with both throwing heavy shots. Marquez should finish Reese quickly, making under 1.5 rounds a strong play at -155.
Paul picks Reese, citing Marquez's health issues and inactivity. He notes that Reese is younger, longer, and has more pop in his hands. Paul thinks this will be a sloppy fight and favors the younger fighter with less wear and tear. He expects Reese to have a chance if he can avoid Marquez's early power.
The Guru picks Reese because he questions Marquez's motivation, saying Marquez seems more focused on being a personality than fighting. He notes Marquez has taken a lot of damage in his last two fights (losses to Mark-Andre Barriault and Gregory Rodrigues). Reese is younger and hungrier, and the Guru thinks Reese will catch Marquez in the first round. He acknowledges Reese lost to Cody Brundage by slam KO but was going for a submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 82 of 171 | 47% | 83 of 172 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 109 of 222 | 49% | 127 of 246 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 48 of 107 | 44% | 48 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 32 of 80 | 40% | 32 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 34 of 64 | 53% | 35 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 77 of 142 | 54% | 95 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 82 of 171 | 47% | 63 of 142 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 11 | 63 of 141 | 19 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 109 of 222 | 49% | 91 of 202 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 60 of 133 | 49 of 89 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 48 of 107 | 44% | 36 of 88 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 41 of 98 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 32 of 80 | 40% | 25 of 72 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marc-André Barriault | 34 of 64 | 53% | 27 of 54 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 43 | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 77 of 142 | 54% | 66 of 130 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 56 | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Julian Marquez, citing his toughness, power, and ability to snatch submissions in scrambles. He notes that Marquez hits harder and has proven MMA jiu-jitsu. Angelo believes Marquez will come forward and not quit, while Barriault can fold under pressure.
Big Brady picks Barriault, citing his volume, cardio, and pressure on the feet, as well as the ability to wrestle if needed. He notes Marquez has power and submissions but is less defensively sound. He predicts a decision win for Barriault, acknowledging Marquez's danger.
Cody picks Barriault, believing his volume and clinch work will overwhelm Marquez. He notes Marquez has declined in durability and explosiveness after injuries. He thinks Barriault wins by decision or late finish.
Connor picks Julian Marquez, despite concerns about his recent stylistic changes. He believes Marquez's natural dynamism and ability to fight through chaos will overcome Barriault's more methodical but less dynamic game. Connor notes that Barriault has improved but still lacks the finishing threat and creativity that Marquez possesses, and that Marquez's submission grappling could be a factor.
Jacob is very confident in Julian Marquez, stating that Barriault does not belong in the UFC. He notes Marquez's power, pressure, and no-quit attitude. Jacob believes Marquez will unload on Barriault against the fence and finish him. He also mentions that Marquez may use grappling more in this fight.
Barriault is a solid pressure fighter with good cardio and clinch work. Marquez has finishing power but his only path to victory is a KO, and he has been controlled in the clinch before. Barriault will use forward pressure and volume to win a decision, possibly with late finishing opportunities.
Paul picks Barriault and has a bet on Barriault by decision at +225. He thinks Marquez's wrestling won't be enough and Barriault's volume will carry him to a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Marc-André Barriault, noting Marquez is wild and coming off a KO loss. He believes Barriault's technical style and ability to grind out decisions against wild opponents will lead to a 29-28 win.
Zane also picks Marquez, though he is not confident. He thinks Barriault's pressure and clinch work will force Marquez to abandon his new kickboxing approach and revert to brawling, which favors Marquez. Zane notes that Marquez is a dangerous submission grappler and has a knack for winning chaotic fights, but he worries about Marquez's recent overcorrection in style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 3 | 49 of 72 | 68% | 50 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Marquez | 3 | 49 of 72 | 68% | 50 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 13 of 42 | 30% | 8 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 36 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 49 of 72 | 68% | 46 of 67 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 49 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 13 of 42 | 30% | 8 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 36 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 49 of 72 | 68% | 46 of 67 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 49 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 17 |
Angelo picks Gregory Rodrigues, noting his well-rounded skills, BJJ black belt, and takedown defense. He acknowledges Julian Marquez's sneaky submissions and toughness but believes Rodrigues will be the better wrestler and grappler. He warns that the fight could look like Rodrigues' loss to Armen Petrosyan if he gets outstruck.
Big Brady picks Gregory Rodrigues to win by decision. He believes Rodrigues has a clear path to victory by taking Marquez down, as Marquez has been controlled by wrestlers before. He notes Rodrigues is a legit BJJ black belt and should mix in takedowns, though he questions if Rodrigues will actually do it. He thinks Rodrigues can also win on the feet but prefers the grappling route.
Cody picks Rodrigues but is hesitant due to short notice and Rodrigues' cardio issues. He thinks Rodrigues is dangerous everywhere and Marquez has health problems and long layoffs. He plans to keep Rodrigues low on his card.
Daniel Levi picks Gregory Rodrigues, stating he is better than Julian Marquez everywhere—cleaner hands, harder punches, black belt jiu-jitsu. However, he worries about Rodrigues' decision-making, chin, and gas tank, noting Marquez has a history of coming back from adversity to finish fights. Levi thinks Rodrigues should dominate but is concerned he might find a way to lose, making the -180 price unappealing. He picks Rodrigues but with low confidence.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Rodrigues should dominate on the feet and Marquez's best work is in grappling. He's concerned about Rodrigues' short notice and cardio but thinks Marquez's health issues make Rodrigues the pick.
The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues, noting his good recent performances and power. He worries about Julian Marquez's tendency to make fights close and his long layoff (since April 2021). He believes Rodrigues has a reach advantage and will catch Marquez in a war, finishing him in the late second round. He calls Marquez a 'not bad underdog' but trusts the favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 29 of 78 | 37% | 29 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 61 of 100 | 61% | 62 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 27 of 52 | 51% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 5 of 24 | 20% | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 34 of 48 | 70% | 34 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 29 of 78 | 37% | 21 of 64 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 28 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 61 of 100 | 61% | 46 of 78 | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 41 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 24 of 54 | 44% | 16 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 27 of 52 | 51% | 19 of 38 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 5 of 24 | 20% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 34 of 48 | 70% | 27 of 40 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 24 |
Big Brady picks Marquez to win by decision, despite Marquez having a 100% finish rate. He thinks Marquez will pressure and outpoint Alvey, who has not won in a long time and takes a lot of damage. Brady is not confident in the pick and is passing on betting, as he finds the fight potentially boring and the line not appealing. He notes both fighters are durable and the fight likely goes to decision.
Cody picks Marquez, citing his recovery from ring rust, James Krause's coaching, and Alvey's difficult weight cut to 185. He notes Alvey's low output and lack of offensive wrestling, while Marquez has better timing and power. He expects Marquez to edge it.
Daniel Levi picks Sam Alvey, despite acknowledging that Alvey is a long-term fade and the blueprint to beat him is well-known. He is not sold on Julian Marquez, viewing him as an opportunistic finisher who looked horrendous against Maki Pitolo. Levi thinks the fight could be an ugly middleweight scrap that could go either way, so he goes with Alvey for the first time in years.
The host leans Alvey for the value, noting that Marquez's win over Pitolo was a sloppy fight and that Alvey has decent takedown defense and power. However, he acknowledges that Alvey fights on the back foot and hasn't won in five fights. He picks Alvey by decision, but calls the fight a 'slop fest' and advises against betting it.
Paul leans Alvey, noting his durability and ability to lull opponents into slow fights. He wants to see weigh-ins but thinks Alvey's counter-punching and experience could be factors. He is not confident due to Alvey's losing streak and weight cut.
The MMA Guru picks Julian Marquez by first-round KO, despite calling Marquez 'so bad' and 'sloppy'. He notes Marquez has big power and a great chin, while Sam Alvey is moving down to middleweight after being knocked out previously. He thinks Marquez will lose some grappling exchanges early but then land a big right hand to finish Alvey. He expects Alvey to be 'frowning' after the loss.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 32 of 65 | 49% | 70 of 110 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 9:07 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 41 of 100 | 41% | 61 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 18 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 41 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 3:02 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 3 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 32 of 65 | 49% | 16 of 46 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 52 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 5 |
| Maki Pitolo | 41 of 100 | 41% | 37 of 94 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 72 | 15 of 16 | 8 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 10 of 16 | 62% | 5 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Maki Pitolo | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Maki Pitolo | 11 of 40 | 27% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | |
| 3 | Julian Marquez | 11 of 26 | 42% | 4 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 26 of 52 | 50% | 22 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by finish, likely knockout in the second round. He thinks Marquez is the better fighter and that Pitolo has looked poor in the UFC, slowing down and being finished multiple times. He notes Marquez has a 100% finish rate and a sneaky ground game. He is concerned about Marquez's long layoff but thinks he will be prepared.
Daniel Levi leans toward Julian Marquez but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Marquez's size and power, and that he can wear on Pitolo. However, he worries about Marquez's layoff and cardio, and thinks Pitolo could have improved training with Brad Tavares. He believes if Marquez doesn't finish early, Pitolo's volume and hands could take over. He ultimately says the lean is Marquez but it might be a pass.
The host leans toward Pitolo as an underdog, citing his better technical striking and hand speed. He notes that Marquez has been out for three years and relies on forward pressure and big shots, which Pitolo can counter with movement. He expects Pitolo to outpoint Marquez over three rounds, though he admits some hesitation.
The Guru picks Maki Pitolo as an underdog, citing Julian Marquez's long layoff and sloppy technique. He believes Pitolo's cardio and chin will allow him to survive Marquez's early power, then wear him down with body shots in the clinch and secure a third-round TKO. He notes that Marquez has never looked impressive and that Pitolo is more technical.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 50 of 116 | 43% | 55 of 122 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 47 of 147 | 31% | 49 of 149 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 19 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 48 | 22% | 11 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 18 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 23 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 19 of 60 | 31% | 20 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Di Chirico | 50 of 116 | 43% | 30 of 90 | 14 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 48 of 107 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 7 |
| Julian Marquez | 47 of 147 | 31% | 28 of 120 | 16 of 21 | 3 of 6 | 42 of 141 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessio Di Chirico | 19 of 45 | 42% | 10 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 11 of 48 | 22% | 7 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alessio Di Chirico | 9 of 28 | 32% | 6 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 7 |
| Julian Marquez | 17 of 39 | 43% | 10 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 14 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alessio Di Chirico | 22 of 43 | 51% | 14 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Marquez | 19 of 60 | 31% | 11 of 49 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 32 of 64 | 50% | 37 of 69 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Darren Stewart | 0 | 33 of 58 | 56% | 37 of 66 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 26 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Darren Stewart | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 23 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 3:22 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 11 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Darren Stewart | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 32 of 64 | 50% | 29 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 30 | 17 of 24 | 7 of 10 |
| Darren Stewart | 33 of 58 | 56% | 28 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 34 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 21 of 40 | 52% | 19 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 11 of 16 | 7 of 10 |
| Darren Stewart | 19 of 36 | 52% | 16 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 24 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 11 of 24 | 45% | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Darren Stewart | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Maki Pitolo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 67 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 67 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 13 of 29 | 44% | 5 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 30 of 53 | 56% | 28 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 30 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 13 of 29 | 44% | 5 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 30 of 53 | 56% | 28 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 30 |
Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.
Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.
Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.
Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.
Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.
I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.
Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.
The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 32 of 65 | 49% | 70 of 110 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 9:07 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 41 of 100 | 41% | 61 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 18 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 41 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 3:02 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 3 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 32 of 65 | 49% | 16 of 46 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 52 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 5 |
| Maki Pitolo | 41 of 100 | 41% | 37 of 94 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 72 | 15 of 16 | 8 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 10 of 16 | 62% | 5 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Maki Pitolo | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Maki Pitolo | 11 of 40 | 27% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | |
| 3 | Julian Marquez | 11 of 26 | 42% | 4 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 26 of 52 | 50% | 22 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by finish, likely knockout in the second round. He thinks Marquez is the better fighter and that Pitolo has looked poor in the UFC, slowing down and being finished multiple times. He notes Marquez has a 100% finish rate and a sneaky ground game. He is concerned about Marquez's long layoff but thinks he will be prepared.
Daniel Levi leans toward Julian Marquez but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Marquez's size and power, and that he can wear on Pitolo. However, he worries about Marquez's layoff and cardio, and thinks Pitolo could have improved training with Brad Tavares. He believes if Marquez doesn't finish early, Pitolo's volume and hands could take over. He ultimately says the lean is Marquez but it might be a pass.
The host leans toward Pitolo as an underdog, citing his better technical striking and hand speed. He notes that Marquez has been out for three years and relies on forward pressure and big shots, which Pitolo can counter with movement. He expects Pitolo to outpoint Marquez over three rounds, though he admits some hesitation.
The Guru picks Maki Pitolo as an underdog, citing Julian Marquez's long layoff and sloppy technique. He believes Pitolo's cardio and chin will allow him to survive Marquez's early power, then wear him down with body shots in the clinch and secure a third-round TKO. He notes that Marquez has never looked impressive and that Pitolo is more technical.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impa Kasanganay | 0 | 71 of 173 | 41% | 72 of 174 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 85 of 198 | 42% | 86 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impa Kasanganay | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 31 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 29 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Impa Kasanganay | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 30 of 70 | 42% | 30 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Impa Kasanganay | 0 | 21 of 57 | 36% | 21 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 27 of 59 | 45% | 27 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impa Kasanganay | 71 of 173 | 41% | 54 of 141 | 13 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 71 of 172 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 85 of 198 | 42% | 68 of 164 | 12 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 82 of 190 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impa Kasanganay | 31 of 66 | 46% | 21 of 52 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 31 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 28 of 69 | 40% | 20 of 55 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Impa Kasanganay | 19 of 50 | 38% | 15 of 42 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 30 of 70 | 42% | 27 of 61 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 66 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Impa Kasanganay | 21 of 57 | 36% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 27 of 59 | 45% | 21 of 48 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kasanganay but is hesitant, acknowledging Pitolo is being disrespected by the odds and should be a slight favorite. He thinks Kasanganay can grind out a decision by using his size, takedowns, and top control, but worries about Pitolo's power and finishing ability in the first round. He notes Kasanganay has only one finish in seven fights.
Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, citing his heart and ability to dig deep in tough spots, as seen on Contender Series. He believes Kasanganay's wrestling and clinch work will tire Pitolo, and that Pitolo has a history of making mistakes and getting finished. He expects Kasanganay to win by decision, though the first round could be a sweat due to Pitolo's power.
Kasanganay is more well-rounded with better striking and can wrestle if needed. Pitolo has power but poor cardio and has been submitted recently. Kasanganay should avoid early bombs and take over later, winning by decision via grappling and clinch work.
The host picks Maki Pitolo, noting that Impa Kasanganay has not fought good competition and his legs were chewed up in his Contender Series fight. He believes Pitolo's experience and ability to build momentum as the fight goes on will lead to a finish in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Stewart | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Stewart | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Stewart | 12 of 31 | 38% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 9 of 32 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Stewart | 12 of 31 | 38% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 9 of 32 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Pitolo as an underdog, believing his volume striking and improved cardio at 185 will be key. He notes Stewart's power but thinks Pitolo can outwork him and possibly get a knockout, as Stewart has never been knocked out. He predicts a second-round knockout for Pitolo.
Daniel Levi picks Maki Pitolo to win, citing that Pitolo is a different fighter at 185 pounds compared to 170, where he had brutal weight cuts. He notes Pitolo's improved durability, volume striking, and wrestling, and believes he is the better fighter across the board. Levi acknowledges the risk of Stewart's knockout power but thinks Pitolo can avoid it and win a decision or finish.
Stewart is the better striker with more power and technical kicking. Pitolo may try to grapple, but his takedowns are not as good as Stewart's previous opponents. Stewart's cardio is a question, but Pitolo has also gassed in the past. The fight likely ends inside the distance, but the line at -160 is a bit steep. Stewart by TKO in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Darren Stewart because he is too big, strong, and dangerous in the clinch. He notes that Pitolo has dangerous body shots in the clinch, but Stewart has nasty elbows there. He expects Stewart to crack Pitolo with an elbow and win by unanimous decision, possibly a TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 16 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:54 |
| Charles Byrd | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 33 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maki Pitolo | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:54 |
| Charles Byrd | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Maki Pitolo | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Charles Byrd | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 27 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maki Pitolo | 11 of 25 | 44% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
| Charles Byrd | 29 of 59 | 49% | 20 of 48 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maki Pitolo | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
| Charles Byrd | 2 of 10 | 20% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Maki Pitolo | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Byrd | 27 of 49 | 55% | 18 of 38 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
Big Brady picks Charles Byrd by first-round submission, confident that Byrd's superior ground game will overcome Pitolo's one-dimensional striking. He notes Pitolo hits hard but has no ground game, and Byrd should take him down early to avoid getting knocked out. He acknowledges Byrd's age and recent losses but believes he is the better fighter overall.
Daniel is not confident in Byrd, calling him basic and old, but still leans toward him as the more skilled fighter. He notes Pitolo is undefeated at 185 but has been knocked out badly at 170. He says he would not lay -170 on Byrd and that nothing would surprise him, but ultimately picks Byrd by decision.
Charles Byrd is a grappler who will look to take the fight to the ground, where he has a submission threat. Maki Pitolo has gas tank issues and has been submitted before. If Pitolo doesn't get a knockout in the first round, he tends to fade, and Byrd can exploit that. Byrd's takedowns and top control should wear on Pitolo. Byrd is a solid play at -170.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Byrd over Maki Pitolo. He notes that Byrd was doing well against Darren Stewart before getting KO'd, while Pitolo is a glider coming off a loss to Callum Potter. He expects Byrd to use his size advantage to bully Pitolo against the cage and win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callan Potter | 0 | 48 of 96 | 50% | 127 of 198 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 8:25 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 60 of 155 | 38% | 103 of 198 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Callan Potter | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 35 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 26 of 62 | 41% | 45 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Callan Potter | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 49 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 27 of 73 | 36% | 45 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Callan Potter | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 43 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callan Potter | 48 of 96 | 50% | 44 of 91 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Maki Pitolo | 60 of 155 | 38% | 49 of 142 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 60 of 155 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Callan Potter | 20 of 38 | 52% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 26 of 62 | 41% | 21 of 56 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Callan Potter | 23 of 48 | 47% | 19 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 27 of 73 | 36% | 24 of 69 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Callan Potter | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Maki Pitolo | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by finish, likely knockout in the second round. He thinks Marquez is the better fighter and that Pitolo has looked poor in the UFC, slowing down and being finished multiple times. He notes Marquez has a 100% finish rate and a sneaky ground game. He is concerned about Marquez's long layoff but thinks he will be prepared.
Daniel Levi leans toward Julian Marquez but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Marquez's size and power, and that he can wear on Pitolo. However, he worries about Marquez's layoff and cardio, and thinks Pitolo could have improved training with Brad Tavares. He believes if Marquez doesn't finish early, Pitolo's volume and hands could take over. He ultimately says the lean is Marquez but it might be a pass.
The host leans toward Pitolo as an underdog, citing his better technical striking and hand speed. He notes that Marquez has been out for three years and relies on forward pressure and big shots, which Pitolo can counter with movement. He expects Pitolo to outpoint Marquez over three rounds, though he admits some hesitation.
The Guru picks Maki Pitolo as an underdog, citing Julian Marquez's long layoff and sloppy technique. He believes Pitolo's cardio and chin will allow him to survive Marquez's early power, then wear him down with body shots in the clinch and secure a third-round TKO. He notes that Marquez has never looked impressive and that Pitolo is more technical.
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