UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Aug 04, 2018 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JJ Aldrich
3.96 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.32 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Polyana Viana
2.74 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
2.5 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
1.7 Sub. Avg
JJ Aldrich - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 50 of 149 33% 52 of 154 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 70 of 230 30% 73 of 233 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 43 16% 9 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 54 38% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 88 23% 22 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 60 45% 27 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 28 of 88 31% 28 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 50 of 149 33% 35 of 127 5 of 8 10 of 14 50 of 149 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 70 of 230 30% 28 of 158 25 of 48 17 of 24 70 of 230 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 43 16% 5 of 38 0 of 0 2 of 5 7 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 54 38% 11 of 33 8 of 15 2 of 6 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 16 of 46 34% 11 of 39 2 of 3 3 of 4 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 88 23% 7 of 67 5 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 60 45% 19 of 50 3 of 5 5 of 5 27 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 28 of 88 31% 10 of 58 12 of 23 6 of 7 28 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her power, range control, and higher fight IQ. He notes that JJ Aldrich is coming off a layoff and was never dangerous, and that Horth's takedown defense is a concern but JJ is not a strong wrestler. He expects Horth to win a shutout decision.

"This should be Jamie Lynn Horth. It should be. Like we have a lot of Canadians on this card for obvious reasons. Some of them have good matchups and some of them absolutely don't."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her size, strength, and physicality. He believes Horth will win in the clinch and grind out a close split decision, despite Aldrich having better striking at distance. He expects an unexciting fight.

split decision
"Give me Jamie Lynn Horth to win a very close split decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physical strength and ability to pressure. He notes that JJ Aldrich has mental toughness issues and tends to fade when pressured. He expects Horth to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I actually just got to take Horth to out muscle her, get her up against the cage, work her a little bit, land the bigger, more impactful blows."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich because she is a much better technician with faster hands and superior skills everywhere. He notes that Horth is not the kind of athlete that beats Aldrich, and Aldrich has beaten similar fighters like Jillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos. However, he expresses concern that Aldrich's tendency to abandon what works could make the fight closer than it should be.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Connor notes the odds are disrespectful to Aldrich
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich is the better fighter everywhere: more technical boxing, southpaw stance, improved takedown defense, and better MMA grappling. Horth has home advantage but poor fight IQ and is an inexperienced striker. Aldrich's main issue is putting her stamp on rounds, but she should do enough to win a close decision. The odds are off; Aldrich should be at least 50%.

plus 3.5 on Aldrich at 3.80; fight likely goes to decision
"I do think Aldrich is a very good bet here. For me, at worst, this fight is 50/50."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

James picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He thinks Aldrich's boxing and takedown defense will keep the fight competitive, and that Horth's advantages are overstated. He predicts a decision win.

"I'll pick JJ Aldridge cuz I'm a sports bet... JJ Aldridge to get this one via decision as another underdog is my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host thinks Aldrich is the superior striker technically and has a strength of schedule advantage. He believes she will land more effective shots and withstand Horton's power. He notes that Horton throws with more power, which gives him pause, but sees value on Aldrich as a live underdog. He predicts Aldrich by decision.

"I still believe that there is good enough value here on Aldrich with her strength of schedule, her crisp boxing, her ability to withstand damage. I think she'll be able to land more effective shots here against Horton, and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks JJ Aldrich as a slight underdog, citing her experience and plus money. He notes that both fighters are similar but Aldrich has fought better competition. He expects a close decision and likes the value on Aldrich.

"I'd rather have the plus money on on on Aldrich who has frankly fought way way more competition."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Aldrich is a good technician and solid grappler who has beaten better fighters than Horth. He notes that Horth's best win is over Vanessa Demopoulos, while Aldrich has wins over better competition. He also points out that Horth is not a reckless fighter like Andrea Lee, so Aldrich may not get easy counters, but she should still win handily.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Zane calls the odds 'disrespectful'
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 53 of 175 30% 66 of 192 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 74 of 137 54% 77 of 142 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 43 48% 23 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 58 25% 18 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 25 of 46 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Andrea Lee 0 20 of 60 33% 30 of 74 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 28 of 48 58% 29 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 53 of 175 30% 13 of 109 25 of 44 15 of 22 52 of 174 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 74 of 137 54% 54 of 114 10 of 13 10 of 10 68 of 130 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 18 of 57 31% 1 of 32 8 of 12 9 of 13 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 21 of 43 48% 14 of 34 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 39 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 58 25% 3 of 35 6 of 14 6 of 9 15 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 25 of 46 54% 17 of 37 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrea Lee 20 of 60 33% 9 of 42 11 of 18 0 of 0 19 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 28 of 48 58% 23 of 43 4 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.

Value bet at +163; do not bet heavily
"Andrea Lee at plus 163 are decent odds like this is pretty good ODS there's some good value there and it might be worth a step"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.

Aldrich by split decision
"I'm going to pick JJ Aldridge and I'm going to take Aldridge to win probably by a split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.

"I have to lean with the Aldrich side as I believe that she can go out there and utilize her striking approach to nullify the kickboxing of Lee shut down the grappling that Lee might might look to initiate and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over Andrea Lee... she's a little bit more well-rounded than Andrea Lee and she'll probably be able to get a few takedowns in this fight."
LOSS vs Veronica Hardy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 67 of 204 32% 70 of 209 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 65 of 135 48% 66 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 55 34% 20 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 63 33% 23 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 20 of 44 45% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 26 of 56 46% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 67 of 204 32% 41 of 172 13 of 16 13 of 16 59 of 184 8 of 20 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 65 of 135 48% 55 of 122 9 of 11 1 of 2 58 of 124 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 55 34% 14 of 48 0 of 2 5 of 5 17 of 49 2 of 6 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 19 of 35 54% 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 2 16 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 21 of 63 33% 10 of 49 7 of 8 4 of 6 19 of 56 2 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 20 of 44 45% 15 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 86 31% 17 of 75 6 of 6 4 of 5 23 of 79 4 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 26 of 56 46% 22 of 51 4 of 5 0 of 0 24 of 52 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Angelo picks Montana De La Rosa because she is a very good wrestler with a straightforward game plan of taking opponents down. He notes that JJ Aldrich is decent at everything but great at nothing, and that Aldrich was taken down in her last fight. He also mentions that Montana's losses are to quality fighters like Tatiana Suarez, while Aldrich has had poor performances. He placed a half-unit bet on Montana at +135, noting the line has since moved.

Bet 0.5 units at +135; line movement noted
"I put a half a unit on Montana DEA Rosa at plus 135"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Big Brady leans toward Montana De La Rosa, noting that she has a grappling advantage over JJ Aldrich. He believes De La Rosa's wrestling is solid for the division and that she can control the fight on the ground. He mentions that Aldrich has been taken down by lesser grapplers like Liang Na, so De La Rosa should be able to secure takedowns. However, he admits the fight could be close if De La Rosa cannot get the takedown, and he preferred her at plus money. He predicts a decision win.

decision win for Montana De La Rosa
"I do lean the Montana de la Roa side here I liked her a lot more at at plus money because at the end of the day I do think this is going to be a pretty close fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Cody picks De La Rosa, citing her toughness, wrestling, and ability to pressure. He notes that Aldrich has struggled against grapplers and that De La Rosa's tenacity will be key. He expects De La Rosa to make the fight dirty and win a decision.

"final verdict would be Montana Del Rosa... she probably makes this dirty again in Aldridge and wins"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa, noting her toughness and improved hands. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich is the cleaner striker but thinks Montana can bully her and take her back. He mentions that the value has shifted to Aldrich now that Montana is favored, but his pure pick is Montana.

notes that those who got Montana at plus money made the right play; suggests hedging with Aldrich plus money
"my pure pick is Montana De la Rosa"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Montana De La Rosa

Lucrative James sees this as a close fight, likely 29-28 either way. He leans Montana De La Rosa because he has seen JJ Aldrich 'flake' a few times against physical opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Bara. He believes De La Rosa's physicality can cause Aldrich to falter, though he acknowledges it's a toss-up.

"I lean Montana de Roa the reason is because I've seen JJ Aldridge kind of flake a few times now... I do think a physical girl can make a flake"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich took this fight on short notice, which suggests she believes she has an edge from training with De La Rosa in the past. She has good takedown defense and superior striking, and should be able to stuff takedowns or work back to her feet. De La Rosa is on a two-fight losing streak and relies on wrestling, but Aldrich has shown she can handle grapplers. Expect Aldrich to land more damage and win by decision.

"give me Aldridge to go out there land more damage to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Paul picks De La Rosa, agreeing with the line movement. He notes that Aldrich has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers, and that De La Rosa's wrestling and heart should be enough. He expects a decision win.

"Montana De la Rosa for me as well... likely wins by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Montana De La Rosa over JJ Aldridge. He believes De La Rosa is underrated and notes her decent performance against Macy Barber and competitive rounds with Tatiana Suarez. He points to a common opponent, Ariane Lipski, who finished De La Rosa but later beat Aldridge, suggesting De La Rosa is stronger. He also mentions a slight reach advantage for De La Rosa and describes Aldridge as 'two hit and miss.'

"I'm gonna go with Montana De la Rosa here I do believe that she's somewhat of an underrated female fighter"
WIN vs Liang Na
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 41 26% 27 of 61 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Liang Na 0 47 of 65 72% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 1 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 28 25% 21 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Liang Na 0 11 of 20 55% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 JJ Aldrich 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
Liang Na 0 36 of 45 80% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 11 of 41 26% 7 of 30 3 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 47 of 65 72% 46 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 37 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 28 25% 6 of 21 1 of 5 0 of 2 5 of 23 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 11 of 20 55% 10 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 5
2 JJ Aldrich 4 of 13 30% 1 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 36 of 45 80% 36 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"
LOSS vs Ariane da Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 101 of 204 49% 113 of 216 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 49 of 99 49% 56 of 106 0 of 12 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 67 52% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 20 55% 14 of 23 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 0 31 of 64 48% 38 of 71 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 40 45% 22 of 44 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 101 of 204 49% 47 of 134 42 of 56 12 of 14 77 of 176 24 of 28 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 49 of 99 49% 42 of 92 4 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 95 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 35 of 67 52% 17 of 42 15 of 20 3 of 5 22 of 53 13 of 14 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 73 47% 15 of 48 15 of 20 5 of 5 30 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 31 of 64 48% 15 of 44 12 of 16 4 of 4 25 of 55 6 of 9 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 18 of 40 45% 15 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.

1.5 unit bet at -220
"I've got a one and a half unit bet that's a lot of money on JJ Aldridge but I got a one and a half unit bet at minus 220. I'm just very confident in her ability to go out …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.

win by TKO in round 3
"I like Aldrich to have success in the Striking mixing the takedowns win minutes on the on the feet on the mat and I'm gonna say Aldridge eventually gets a TKO here late late fight uh late third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.

"we're gonna take JJ Aldridge she'll probably be somewhere around like the second or third lot I don't want her on the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.

Aldrich opened at unknown, now -380 to -450; Lipski +285 to +350. Connor says the odds feel appropriate.
"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.

"I think a combination of aldrich's output footwork and ability to stay safe at distance is going to overwhelm lipsky here and I think Aldrich boxes her way to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"JJ Aldridge can win this fight standing she can win this fight to the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.

by decision
"I'm definitely gonna side with JJ Aldridge here being the better more well-rounded fighter overall and a bit tougher"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.

"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 48 of 100 48% 68 of 121 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:56
JJ Aldrich 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 77 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 23 of 58 39% 27 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 43 37% 21 of 48 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 42 59% 41 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:13
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 48 of 100 48% 29 of 76 11 of 11 8 of 13 46 of 96 2 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 32 of 71 45% 29 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0 31 of 68 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 23 of 58 39% 13 of 44 7 of 7 3 of 7 22 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 43 37% 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 42 59% 16 of 32 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 28 57% 14 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.

may throw a moneyline bet on Blanchfield, waiting to see line movement
"I think it's more of the same from aaron here i think she dominates in a heavy grappling win and betting wise i may throw a money line bet on aaron"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.

Blanchfield by decision
"I like blanchfield here do I like the minor 600 no I don't but I do think she is one of the safer picks as far as uh picking a win on this card see me blanchfield give me blanchfield …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.

Blanchfield by decision
"i'm a bland shield supporter through and through"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.

"i think that aaron blanchfield's got the skills to pay the bills so i'm gonna go with aaron"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.

Blanchfield by decision (minus 138)
"the bet that i did make this week was blanchfield by decision minus 138."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.

Dislikes the odds, says 'the odds are really annoying'
"i am going to go there in blanchfield but i don't like the odds the odds are really annoying on a lot of fights on these cards"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 60 of 118 50% 76 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:07
Gillian Robertson 0 52 of 139 37% 67 of 154 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 23 of 44 52% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:16
Gillian Robertson 0 17 of 40 42% 19 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
3 JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 39 46% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 42 45% 32 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 60 of 118 50% 56 of 114 3 of 3 1 of 1 49 of 105 9 of 11 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 52 of 139 37% 17 of 81 18 of 36 17 of 22 45 of 131 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 35 54% 17 of 33 1 of 1 1 of 1 18 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 16 of 57 28% 4 of 30 4 of 16 8 of 11 16 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 23 of 44 52% 22 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 36 7 of 8 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 17 of 40 42% 7 of 26 7 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 18 of 39 46% 17 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 36 1 of 1 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 19 of 42 45% 6 of 25 7 of 11 6 of 6 14 of 36 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Gillian Robertson because she is a well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base, averaging almost three takedowns per fight. He believes Robertson will be more physical and work the fight to the ground, as JJ Aldrich has not faced someone as physical or wrestling-heavy. He notes that the -150 odds are spot on and expects the line to move further in Robertson's favor.

Odds comment: -150 is spot on, expects line to move
"I like jillian here and i think these minus 150 odds that the bookmakers are keeping i think those are pretty spot on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks the underdog JJ Aldrich to win by decision. He praises Aldrich's underrated grappling, takedown defense, and ability to control opponents on the mat, citing her performances against Vanessa Demopoulos and Paulina Viana. He notes Robertson has poor takedown defense (16%) and is content to play off her back, but Aldrich's BJJ is good enough to avoid submissions. He thinks Aldrich has more paths to victory: out-striking or controlling on the ground.

"i'm actually going to take the dog here in orders to win i'm going to take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking advantage. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel Levi picks JJ Aldrich, arguing that Aldrich's stand-up is way higher than Robertson's and that she keeps her distance well. He believes if Aldrich stuffs the first few takedowns, Robertson will start flopping to her back, allowing Aldrich to take advantage. Levi acknowledges that if Robertson gets on top, Aldrich is a brown belt and can survive, but he sees Aldrich neutralizing Robertson and winning a decision.

"give me jj to kind of neutralize jillian and come out here and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich has good boxing and takedown defense, but hasn't faced a relentless grappler like Robertson recently. She can keep the fight standing and use top control if taken down. Robertson is a submission specialist but may struggle to get takedowns. Aldrich is predicted to win via decision, with the over 2.5 rounds also considered.

Over 2.5 rounds at minus 125 is mentioned as a good look.
"I still land up on the JJ Aldrich side. She she's been good to me in the past."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Gillian Robertson, going against the grain. He highlights Aldrich's takedown defense, noting she hasn't been taken down since 2019 and pops right back up. He believes Aldrich is capable on the feet, training with Rose Namajunas and Valentina Shevchenko, and that Robertson won't be able to utilize her grappling. He predicts a grinding decision or a late-round TKO, as Aldrich is tough to submit.

decision or late round TKO
"i'm taking jj aldridge i'm going against a grain again here um jj aldridge i believe gets this one done she's very consistent she don't get held down by no one"
Polyana Viana - Fight History
LOSS vs Alice Ardelean
SUB R2 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alice Ardelean 0 46 of 94 48% 80 of 139 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:05
Polyana Viana 0 34 of 75 45% 80 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alice Ardelean 0 41 of 85 48% 44 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
2 Alice Ardelean 0 5 of 9 55% 36 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:05
Polyana Viana 0 3 of 4 75% 49 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alice Ardelean 46 of 94 48% 22 of 61 10 of 17 14 of 16 45 of 93 1 of 1 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 34 of 75 45% 9 of 44 13 of 19 12 of 12 29 of 66 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alice Ardelean 41 of 85 48% 21 of 57 9 of 15 11 of 13 40 of 84 1 of 1 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 31 of 71 43% 9 of 43 12 of 18 10 of 10 26 of 62 5 of 9 0 of 0
2 Alice Ardelean 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. They trade leg kicks early. Viana with a front kick and then a long right hand. Ardelean answers with a solid right. The fight is halted briefly due to what was thought to be an eye poke, but it’s determined that Viana was punched in the eye. The fight resumes in short order and the strawweights trade punches furiously. Ardelean is putting on the pressure and she tags Viana in close. Viana answers with a knee. They clinch and Viana lands a slashing elbow. Moments later, Ardelean stuns and briefly drops Viana. The Brazilian hustles to her feet and tries to regain her bearings. They clinch and trade knees. Viana turns her foe into the wire. Ardelean frees herself and returns to the center. Viana lands a hard body kick. Ardelean lines up a big right hand that finds the mark. Viana continues to have success with body kicks, using her superior range. Ardelean keeps the pressure on and she snaps the Brazilian’s head back with a three-punch combination. Another body kick for Viana. Ardelean ends a combination with a body kick, and Viana responds with a body kick of her own before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean

Round 2
Ardelean backs Viana up and lands a combination. Ardelean forces her way into the clinch and plants the Brazilian on the mat. Ardelean is in half guard. The Romanian utilizes heavy top pressure but isn’t doing much in the way of ground-and-pound. McMahon asks for some better work. Ardelean with some short punches to the ribs and Viana recovers full gaurd. Viana gets active from her back with elbows and punches as she controls Ardelean with a body triangle. They remain in this position, and Ardelean is doing her best to find openings from ground-and-pound from above as . McMahon calls for action from Ardelean again, and just when it seems like a standup might be ordered,
Viana suddenly taps out with the body triangle still in place. As it turns out, Ardelean had stepped over the foot while moving her foe’s leg to the inside to apply significant pressure to Viana’s knee.
A clever way to end the fight for Ardelean after what had largely been a pedestrian round. It's believed to be the first submission of its kind in UFC history.

The Official Result
Alice Ardelean def. Polyana Viana via Verbal Submission (Capsule Lock) R2 4:36
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Angelo picks Alice Ardelean, citing her durability, cardio, and well-roundedness. He notes Polyana Viana has declined and has quit in her. He believes Ardelean can find a finish or win a decision. He acknowledges the -200 line seems high but thinks the matchup is favorable.

"I got to go with Alice Hardling here. Minus 200 on a lady that's had seven losses in her career. Seems crazy, but matchups are the difference here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Big Brady picks Alice Ardelean, noting her superior volume and improvement compared to Polyana Viana, whom he views as more of a part-time fighter. He expects Ardelean to win by third-round TKO, as Viana tends to fade after the first round. However, he is hesitant due to the steep price.

third round TKO
"I'm going to take her to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Cody is confident in Alice Ardelean, noting her high work rate (7.3 significant strikes per minute) and physical strength. He believes Polyana Viana is not committed to fighting and relies on early submissions, but Ardelean is tough, comes forward, and can outwork her. He expects Ardelean to bully Viana and win by decision or late stoppage.

"I think styles make fights and she's got a really good style to just out muscle and bully Pauliana Vienna."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Connor picks Ardelean, agreeing with Zane. He notes Viana looks like she is hardly paying attention anymore and has unlearned her wild swinging, making her even worse. Ardelean has improved from an OnlyFans content creator to a professional fighter.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Viana 'literally worse than when she debuted'.
"Yep. I agree. You know, I agree with that logic. Viana looks like she is hardly paying attention anymore."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 16, 2026 (fight day)
Alice Ardelean

Ardelean is the better striker with better cardio, fight IQ, and pace. Viana gives up cheap takedowns and is weak off her back, while Ardelean understands position over submission. Ardelean will outwork Viana in the second half of the fight.

"This is a really good stylistic match-up for Aldeline because she's the better striker in my opinion."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Lucrative James picks Alice Ardelean, citing her physicality, durability, and focus on MMA compared to Viana's social media distractions. He believes Ardelean's strength and cardio will wear down Viana, leading to a decision win.

"I'll pick Alice to win the fight via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

The host thinks Ardelean is well-rounded enough to take advantage of Viana's recklessness, but he is hesitant to bet her at -200 due to Viana's volatility and finishing ability. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at +200, predicting Ardelean wins inside the distance, possibly by TKO or submission.

under 2.5 rounds (+200), Ardelean inside the distance
"I think Ardellion will be able to take advantage of the recklessness of Vienna. Whether that's in the striking realm or in the grappling realm, I think Ardellion is well-rounded enough to be able to take advantage of Vienna there."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

The host picks Reedelion (Ardelean) over Polyana Viana, citing Ardelean's grit, determination, and forward movement. He expects Ardelean to catch Viana's reckless nature and finish the fight, either by submission or TKO, within two and a half rounds.

finish under 2.5 rounds
"I believe she'll be able to catch the reckless nature of Viana here, and I believe that will lead to an Reedelion finish. Not sure if it's going to be club and sub or just straight-up club and drum, but …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Paul also picks Alice Ardelean, noting that Polyana Viana's wins are all first-round submissions against low-level competition, and she has been finished in her recent losses. He believes Ardelean's toughness and wrestling will be too much for Viana, who is more focused on her OnlyFans career.

"If you're going to bet Paula Vienna, the submission round one prop would be like that's how I would get involved."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Zane picks Ardelean because Viana has regressed, now only going backward and pulling guard, and has been crushed on the ground in her last three fights. Ardelean is not a technical marvel but is willing to fight and should be able to handle Viana.

Odds: Ardelean opened -250, now -200; Viana opened +210, now +170. Zane calls it a 'stupid fight' and 'completely unnecessary'.
"And Ardalene might not do that. She's not a technical Marvel anywhere, but Ardalene is very much all the way down to fight. So I'll take her."
Submission R2 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 6 of 8 75% 29 of 43 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:34
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 6 0% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 5 of 6 83% 25 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 1 0% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 1 of 2 50% 4 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:40
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 5 0% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 6 of 8 75% 5 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 5 of 6 83% 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jaqueline Amorim 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-550), Viana (+410)

Round 1
A pair of Brazilian strawweights with 100% finish rates collide with hopes of involving referee Dan Miragliotta before too long. The judges might be able to take this one off, as these two women combine for 15 submissions in their 22 pro victories. The submission rate for Amorim (9-1, 3-1 UFC) may be a bit higher, and of the two, she has not been finished. Viana (13-7, 4-6 UFC) cannot say the same, with a trio of stoppage losses in the past for her including two in a row. Amorim offers a glove touch, and when Viana accepts it, Amorim shoots in for a takedown. Viana falls to her back, and she searches for a submission off her back including an inverted triangle choke that excites the crowd because of the position. Amorim pulls her head out between Viana’s legs and shifts to the side, and positions herself in north-south where she can sit on Viana’s face. Viana looks for another inverted triangle, but Amorim sees it coming and steps out of it. Amorim exerts heavy shoulder pressure as she attempts to step into mount, and she wraps up a kimura on Viana’s left side. Amorim cranks on the limb, even considering a straight armbar with the two-on-one wrist lock, and she maintains her grip so she can successfully pass into mount. Viana puts her hand on Amorim’s mouth to disrupt her breathing and frustrate her, and Amorim postures up and looks for offense. Amorim drops down ground-and-pound, punching and elbowing her fellow countrywoman. Viana bucks and kicks her hips back and forth, but she cannot get Amorim off of her. Amorim delivers a handful of 12-to-6 elbows as she maintains her dominant position, and she fights off a half guard recovery from Viana to get back to side control in a hurry. Amorim allows Viana to turn to her knees so she can take her back, and she fastens a body triangle around the waist. Miragliotta appears to mistakenly consider the 10-second clapper as the bell, and the women look awkwardly at one another until the bell actually rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim

Round 2
Viana tries to start the round off with striking, but it takes less than 10 seconds for Amorim to engage and take her down with ease. Viana offers little defense to stop the takedown, perhaps hoping she can keep playing jiu-jitsu to catch something. Amorim gets to side control in the blink of an eye, and Viana sets up a partial crucifix position off her back by wrapping her legs around Amorim’s right arm. This allows Viana to shift to her knees, but Amorim laughs off the escape and takes her back in an instant.
Displaying that there are levels to this game, Amorim locks down the body triangle and a rear-naked choke almost simultaneously. Amorim can only cling one arm beneath the chin, and Viana is struggling but still with it. Amorim adjusts her grip, snaking her other arm under the chin and putting her palm-to-palm grip out of reach so that Viana can no longer hand-fight
. Viana knows her goose is cooked, and she taps out before long, expressing frustration that she was outdueled but otherwise accepting her defeat gracefully as she embraces her corner.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Polyana Viana R2 1:49 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, calling her a high-level grappler with power in her hands. He contrasts her serious approach with Polyana Viana's lack of career dedication, comparing it to Danni Barbosa vs. Belb. He notes the odds are moving quickly and expects Amorim to be a huge favorite by fight night.

Parlay with Ikram Aliskerov and Zhang Mingyang
"Jacqueline is going to run through Polyiana Viana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her high-level BJJ and Polyana Viana's poor takedown defense (38%). He expects Amorim to take Viana down and submit her quickly, noting Viana's vulnerability on the ground as seen in past fights. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"Give me Amarim to win this fight by first round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The host believes Amorim is significantly better than Viana, expecting her to get the fight to the ground easily and eventually sink in a submission.

submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before she eventually sinks in a submission and forces the tap."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim, believing she takes her career more seriously than Viana. He notes Amorim's submission skills and cheating incident against Demopoulos, but still favors her. He expects a finish, as Viana is not fully committed to fighting. He criticizes Viana's dedication and says Amorim trains harder.

finish
"I reckon she'll win by finish at some point as well. I don't rate Polyana Vanna. I don't think she's taken it as a fighter."
TKO (punches) R2 3:12 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 23 of 39 58% 49 of 91 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:06
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 41 29% 33 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 8 of 13 61% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:52
Polyana Viana 0 8 of 18 44% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Gillian Robertson 0 15 of 26 57% 33 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 23 17% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 23 of 39 58% 20 of 35 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 13 0 of 0 18 of 26
Polyana Viana 12 of 41 29% 10 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 1 9 of 37 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
Polyana Viana 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Gillian Robertson 15 of 26 57% 13 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 12 of 18
Polyana Viana 4 of 23 17% 3 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Robertson (-230), Viana (+190)

Round 1
Strawweight grapplers are up next, with Robertson trying to even things up at 2-2 for Team Canada against her Brazilian counterpart. The referee is Kevin Macdonald. Both women are in orthodox stance, and Viana is the first to land, sticking Robertson with a long jab. They exchange jabs and Viana punctuates with a body kick. Robertson times a nice single-leg and hauls Viana down with ease. Robertson is on top in Viana’s half guard, leaning across her body and elbowing the ribs. Viana locks down the left leg and Robertson works for a straight armlock on the far arm. Robertson gives up on the arm attack and goes heavy on top, working to pass her guard as she does. Robertson throws two elbow strikes and slides right into mount. A couple more elbow strikes and Viana turns to the side. Robertson applies an arm-triangle choke and tries to move out to the side to finish. Viana manages to regain guard, but gives up her back a moment later. A minute to go in the round and Robertson is in back mount. She goes supine, rolls Viana on top of her, and Viana gives up mount. Robertson peels off for an armbar. It’s locked in and close to danger territory, but Viana extricates her arm and escapes. They return to their feet at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Robertson

Round 2
Viana lands a low kick and slips the counter coming back her way. Viana tags Robertson with a straight right, then another, both of which glance off the guard. Robertson steps in, grabs a single-leg and gets another effortless takedown. She moves quickly to mount and Viana turns her back. Robertson is on top, drops an elbow and is in position to look for a choke if the opportunity presents itself. Robertson throws several hard punches that bounce off the forearm but still rattle the Brazilian’s head.
Robertson is all over Viana at the halfway point of the round, landing ground-and-pound. She keeps pouring it on and after 10 or more solid blows with no reaction from the turtled Viana, Macdonald steps in for the stoppage.

The Official Result
Gillian Robertson def. Polyana Viana R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Robertson but with medium confidence, noting her grappling credentials and record submission wins. He criticizes her inability to get fights to the ground despite being a great grappler, and acknowledges Viana's own dangerous ground game. He expects Robertson to win via grappling but is wary of Viana's toughness and cardio.

"she should be good enough to beat paana Viana here I say medium confidence for her to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady is confident in Robertson because Viana has poor takedown defense and is content to play off her back, which plays into Robertson's strength. He notes Robertson has good ground and pound and submissions, while Viana's only path is a knockout. He predicts Robertson will get the fight down and submit Viana in the second round.

second round submission
"I'll take her to win this fight fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He questions Viana's jiu-jitsu and cardio, noting she gets tired and gives up submissions. He believes Robertson will take her down and control the fight.

"Robertson... she's got the superior grappling and the superior pace."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Daniel Vreeland picks Gillian Robertson by submission. He notes Robertson is one-dimensional but dangerous on the mat, while Viana can crack on the feet but is susceptible to submissions. He expects Robertson to chain takedowns and have her way on top, leading to a submission win.

by submission
"I'm gonna go Julian Robertson here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Robertson vs Viana.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

I expect Robertson to drag this fight to the ground and utilize her superior Jiu-Jitsu to control top position and eventually open up a submission opportunity. Viana relies too much on her guard off her back, and Robertson has good enough Jiu-Jitsu to stay out of submission threats. I think it's just a matter of time once the fight hits the mat that Robertson can work to a dominant position and sink in a submission. I like the under 2.5 rounds prop as well.

under 2.5 rounds, submission victory
"gim me Robertson again chalky under 2 and 1 half is another spot that I really like"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Paul picks Viana as a chaos pick, noting her volatility and submission threat. He acknowledges Robertson is more likely to win but has a gut feeling Viana could pull off an armbar. He suggests Viana inside the distance as a better bet.

Viana inside the distance at +600
"I'll pick Polyana Viana to pull off the upset in something super stupid."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

The MMA Guru picks Gillian Robertson, calling her a slight step above 'bottom feeder trash.' He criticizes Polyana Viana's lack of commitment and poor competition, noting she hasn't beaten anyone good. He believes Robertson can get top position safely and avoid Viana's submission threat.

"I'm going to go Julian Robertson now are both of them not good yes neither of them are really that good"
LOSS vs Iasmin Lucindo
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:42 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Iasmin Lucindo 0 10 of 25 40% 41 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Polyana Viana 0 10 of 24 41% 31 of 48 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Iasmin Lucindo 0 6 of 12 50% 26 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Polyana Viana 0 6 of 12 50% 17 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
2 Iasmin Lucindo 0 4 of 13 30% 15 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 12 33% 14 of 24 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Iasmin Lucindo 10 of 25 40% 2 of 15 4 of 6 4 of 4 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 10 of 24 41% 5 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Iasmin Lucindo 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Iasmin Lucindo 4 of 13 30% 0 of 7 2 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 4 of 12 33% 2 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Polyana Viana vs. Iasmin Lucindo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lucindo (-198), Viana (+164)

Round 1
Multiple fighters on this billing celebrate 100% finish rates, and Brazilian Viana (13-5, 4-4 UFC) is one of them. In fact, she has landed 12 of her 13 victories in the first round, with her latest a minute and change into Round 2. This likely means that youthful countrywoman Lucindo (14-5, 1-1 UFC) will need to be on her guard and not fall into any early traps if she hopes to put herself on a win streak. Standing by will be referee Chris Tognoni, and the bout opens up as the strawweight clap hands. Viana leads off with a kick that whizzes past the target, and Lucindo counters with a clubbing left hand that staggers Viana briefly. Viana gathers her thoughts and whips down a leg kick, and she partially checks one that eventually comes back her way. Viana scores a low kick and a punch, and she decks Lucindo in the face with her shin. Lucindo tries to punch back, and Viana closes in and grabs hold of her. Viana looks for a takedown, and she slugs Lucindo in the face a few times before dragging her down to the mat violently. Lucindo closes up her guard to try to stall things out, and Viana stays heavily pressed to her to keep her otherwise grounded. Tognoni asks for Viana to do more than sit there, and Viana does not improve her position or attack with anything else. Tognoni once again tells Viana to do something, and Lucindo is clinging tightly to shut down anything. Tognoni stands them up, and Viana helps her opponent to her feet and then offers a glove touch. Lucindo spins with a back kick that grazes off the side, and she misses with a back fist and ends up getting her leg grabbed in the air. Viana looks for a level change, but it is Lucindo who ends up tripping her up and throwing “Dama de Ferro” down to the mat. Viana hits her back and ignores light, frustrating punches bopping her on the side of the head. Viana turns to her side to potentially escape, and Tognoni now asks Lucindo to work. Lucindo postures up with a few hammerfists, and Viana kicks her off right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo

Round 2
The strawweight bump fists together to start off the second stanza, and after a lull, Lucindo springs into action with a head kick and spinning back kick. Lucindo strings together a right and a left, and she hurts Viana. “Dama de Ferro” bounces off the cage wall and shakes out any cobwebs, and Lucindo does not give her chase or pressure her one iota. Instead, Lucindo lets Viana back in the fight, as she slowly works her way forward and tosses out a blocked overhand right. Lucindo spins with a kick that ricochets off the guard, and she tries to boot the ribs only to have that blocked as well. Lucindo drills Viana with a fierce overhand right, and Viana wobbles but does not fall down. Lucindo does not follow it with anything, allowing Viana to shake it off and spin at her with a back fist and keep turning into a body kick. Lucindo meets her in the middle and tackles her to the ground, where she plops on top in half guard. Lucindo smothers and grinds without the occasional short punch. Viana has no offense of her own, prompting Tognoni to tell Lucindo to do something.
Lucindo looks to pass over to three-quarter mount, and she suddenly attacks with an arm-triangle choke. Jumping straight over to the side, the submission is complete and Viana has nothing left to offer. One single tap comes from Viana, and Tognoni recognizes it and pulls the two apart.
For the first time since 2019, Lucindo forced an opponent to tap out, doing so over a woman in Viana that typically is the one submitting others.

The Official Result
Iasmin Lucindo def. Polyana Viana R2 3:42 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Angelo picks Lucindo, trusting her takedown ability and top pressure. He notes Viana is a BJJ threat but Lucindo's defense should hold up. He expects a decision win.

"I think this is an Eisman lucindo fight all day"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Big Brady picks Iasmin Lucindo to win by decision, but hates the pick. He notes Lucindo's striking advantage and ability to win minutes, but fears Viana's submission threat, especially the armbar from guard. He says there are two outcomes: Lucindo by decision or Viana by submission. He chooses Lucindo because she has more paths to victory, but will not bet the fight.

"give me a Lucinda by decision I I hate it um but it's got to be the pick right"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Cody picks Lucindo, praising her scrappy style, speed, cardio, and volume. He criticizes Viana's inconsistency and inability to get takedowns against good competition. He thinks Lucindo's strength will prevent takedowns and that she will outwork Viana on the feet. He acknowledges the risk in women's MMA but is confident Lucindo gets the job done.

Lucindo under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Yasmine lucindo to get the job done"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

James picks Lucindo, believing she is a good fighter with strong ground skills. He thinks Lucindo's jiu-jitsu is better than Viana's and that she can even submit Viana. He notes Viana's only path to victory is on the ground, but Lucindo is likely better there. James sees value on Lucindo at the current odds, thinking she should be a bigger favorite.

"I think Lucindo's value here... I don't think she should be worse than minus 250 in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Lucindo is young but has good training partners and experience. Viana is an aggressive BJJ black belt who finishes early or fades. Lucindo should be able to use Viana's recklessness against her with takedowns and forward pressure to win a decision. It's a close fight, and a value shot on Viana is not bad, but Lucindo is cleaner.

Lucindo by decision
"I still think that lucindo is clean enough to win this fight over 50 minutes and get her hand raised"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Paul picks Viana by submission or inside the distance, citing the armbar from guard as a real threat. He thinks Lucindo might be hesitant to take Viana down due to her submission skills, and if the fight goes to the ground, Viana has a clear advantage. However, he admits he's not confident and may not bet it, as he understands Cody's points about Lucindo's volume and strength.

Viana by submission or inside the distance; mentions armbar from guard
"Viana by sub or Fiona inside the distance would be my official pick but I don't know if I'm gonna actually bet it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

The MMA Guru initially considered Polyana Viana but switched to Iasmin Lucindo, noting Lucindo's better competition and ability to go three rounds. He mentions Lucindo's wins over Brogan Walker and Yasmine Uruguay, and her experience against Sarah Frota. He believes most people are picking Viana incorrectly and that Lucindo will win.

"I'm going with Yasmine Lucindo over polyana Viana here"
WIN vs Jinh Yu Frey
KO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)

Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.

I'll probably wait till Tuesday when all the prop bets drop
"I think Fry's physicality and the veteran savvy are going to be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.

Viana wins by submission in round 1
"I kind of see her catching gignify at some point in this fight I think the fight does hit the mat and I think pauliana Viana fry and I'll probably say it's in the first round so give me Pauline …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.

Polyana Viana by submission +350
"Vienna by sub and be done with it move on it's like plus 350s are out there right now it's like that's what she attacks when she you know gets these victories so"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.

"I'm going to side with you. That Vanessa Demopolis loss was really sad."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.

"I'm gonna go with Pollyanna Vienna"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.

Under 2.5 rounds; Viana inside the distance by submission
"I do lean the Vienna side I do think she pulls off an arm bar or a submission of some sort"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.

"I gotta go the other way actually ... if I'm gonna get slight Underdog money I'm gonna take a dog or pass on this one go with Jimmy Fray"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.

submission (armbar or triangle)
"I'm gonna go if Pollyanna Viano over ginufree... I can see this being an arm bar as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.

"I'm going to pick Viana. This is right in line with the level of fight that Trey does win."
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 36 of 97 37% 126 of 212 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Polyana Viana 0 33 of 73 45% 72 of 126 5 of 10 50% 0 0 9:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 7 of 20 35% 53 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 9 of 18 50% 28 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 20 of 58 34% 40 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 34 35% 24 of 47 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:57
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 9 of 19 47% 33 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 21 57% 20 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 36 of 97 37% 18 of 74 11 of 14 7 of 9 29 of 86 3 of 7 4 of 4
Polyana Viana 33 of 73 45% 11 of 43 3 of 8 19 of 22 21 of 57 0 of 1 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 7 of 20 35% 3 of 16 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 9 of 18 50% 2 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 9 5 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
2 Tabatha Ricci 20 of 58 34% 8 of 43 6 of 7 6 of 8 16 of 52 1 of 3 3 of 3
Polyana Viana 12 of 34 35% 5 of 22 2 of 6 5 of 6 10 of 30 0 of 1 2 of 3
3 Tabatha Ricci 9 of 19 47% 7 of 15 1 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 17 0 of 1 1 of 1
Polyana Viana 12 of 21 57% 4 of 12 1 of 2 7 of 7 6 of 15 0 of 0 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tabatha Ricci vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ricci (-120), Viana (+100)

Round 1
Chris Tognoni will officiate this clash of Brazilian strawweights. Viana connects with a hard body kick at the outset. Ricci goes for a single leg takedown and Viana jumps on a guillotine. Ricci escapes without issue, but Viana transitions to an armbar. Ricci stands and kicks at her grounded foe’s legs. Viana is content to remain on her back, kicking at the knees of her opponent, one of which makes Ricci stumble. Tognoni orders a standup as Ricci backs away. Ricci moves in behind a solid jab. Ricci closes the distance and Viana jumps on a guillotine again. Ricci dumps her foe down and frees her head. Viana is active off her back with strikes as she attempts to frame a triangle. Not much action from Ricci from above. Viana remains busy with short shots to the head. With 1:00 to go, Ricci is still in top position, but it’s Viana who is more active offensively from her back. Ricci stands and backs away just before the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci

Round 2
Viana moves forward behind a kick, and the strawweights clinch briefly before separating. A lot of swings and misses from both sides early in the ruond. Ricci with an outside leg kick. Another leg kick lands with authority for Ricci. They tie up and separating in short order once again. A spinning back fist lands for Viana, at least partially. Viana steps in and lands an elbow. Ricci executes a beautifully timed level change and ground Viana near the fence. Ricci stands, and another kick to the knee by Viana makes Ricci stumble. Ricci looks to work her way in and winds up in the full guard of her opponent. Viana holds her close, landing short punches. Ricci stands and Viana is perfectly content to stay on her back, kicking at the knees of her opponent. Tognoni orders them up with 20 seconds left. Ricci powers Viana back down in the waning seconds and ends the round on top.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci

Round 3
Ricci wastes little time forcing the clinch and pressing Viana into the cage. They separate and return to the center of the Octagon. Ricci rushes forward and lands a right hand. Ricci shoots for a takedown against the fence, then trips Viana to the mat. Ricci stands, then briefly dives to side control before standing again. We’re back in a familiar position, with Viana on her back and Ricci standing and looking for openings to dive into top position. Tognoni doesn’t like the lack of action and orders them up. Ricci ducks under a punch for a single leg takedown but Viana briefly ends up on top. They scramble back up and Ricci plants Viana on her back. Ricci stands and backs away, kicking at the legs of Viana. Not much is happening here, but Viana is content to let things play out this way. Ricci can’t quite get past the legs of Viana to get on top and land ground-and-pound. The fight ends with Viana on her back and Ricci kicking away at her legs.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)

The Official Result
Tabatha Ricci def. Polyana Viana via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci because she is a very good grappler with solid forward pressure and frequent takedowns. He notes that Viana is submission-or-bust and struggles with takedown accuracy. Ricci's last win at 115 pounds showed her takedown ability. Angelo expects Ricci to wrestle heavily and win a decision, and he plans to include her in his DraftKings lineup.

Tabatha Ricci in DraftKings lineup
"i trust her to wrestle like crazy and cruz do a decision win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci to win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ black belt. He notes Viana relies on pulling guard and submissions off her back, but Ricci is a legitimate black belt who should be able to avoid submissions and control the fight on the mat. He expects Ricci to take Viana down with little resistance and win a decision.

"i got to go reach you here um and i gotta go reach you by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci, citing her wrestling, BJJ black belt, and better striking. He notes Viana's reliance on armbars from guard but believes Ricci's jiu-jitsu pedigree will prevent her from getting caught. He thinks Ricci can out-strike Viana, take her down, and win a decision, even if she fades in the third.

"i think the pick for me is tabitha richie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Tabatha Ricci

The host picks Tabatha Ricci to win, expecting her to grind out a victory. He notes that Viana is always live for a submission but does not think she gets it tonight. He believes Ricci's grappling and control time will be the difference, and he does not see the Viana side himself. He does not have a bet on Ricci but is confident in her winning.

"i don't see the vienna side myself i don't have a bet on richie but yeah i think richie can grind this one out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul picks Ricci, saying she should have the wrestling to keep the fight upright and the grappling to avoid Viana's submissions. He notes Viana's craftiness off her back but believes Ricci is the side.

"i think richie should have the wrestling to keep this fight upright she should have the grappling training with you know mackenzie dern and all of those that if she goes into vianna's guard that she won't get um that …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, citing her experience, size, and reach advantage. He thinks Tabatha Ricci is a small strawweight and may get overexcited on the ground, leading to a submission. He predicts an armbar win for Viana.

submission by armbar
"i'm gonna go for another arm bar in a row for pollyanna viana here"
Submission (armbar) R1 3:18 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 16 25% 71 of 89 0 of 0 --- 5 0 0:18
Mallory Martin 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 0 4 of 16 25% 71 of 89 0 of 0 --- 5 0 0:18
Mallory Martin 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 4 of 16 25% 0 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 4 of 16 25% 0 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Polyana Viana vs. Mallory Martin

Round 1
Up next is a women’s strawweight bout as finish-minded Brazilian Viana (11-4, 2-3 UFC) looks to even her UFC record to .500 at the expense of Invicta FC vet Martin (7-3, 1-1 UFC). Drawing the assignment for this interesting style matchup is referee Mark Smith, and the two ladies touch ‘em up before getting down to business. Martin immediately throws a pair of punches to the body, and she gets countered but walks forward to plant her fists on Viana’s midsection again. Martin walks forward with a similar salvo, but this time, Viana is ready for her. Viana has a one-two blocked, but she lands a body kick and falls to her back pulling guard. Martin obliges by wading into the Brazilian’s guard, where she stays tight and does not expose her limbs or put herself in unnecessary danger. Viana starts throwing strikes off her back, with punches landing on the ear and elbows hacking on the scalp. Martin postures up, and she falls into a triangle choke that is instantly locked up. Martin rolls with the position but does not break it, and Viana pursues an armbar before bailing it to slash at Martin’s forehead with elbows. Martin loosens the grip to breathe a little as she gets to a crouching position, but she slams Viana down and puts herself in even worse position. “Dama de Ferro” tightens her legs and Martin is still fighting through the very bad spot, taking elbows all the while.
Viana wrenches on to a keylock while Martin is trapped tightly, and Martin rolls to her back but falls victim to an armbar attempt. Viana wrenches on the arm with everything she has, and Martin can gut through it no more, tapping out lest her arm get snapped.
With her submission victory, Viana maintains her perfect finish rate through 12 career wins.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Mallory Martin R1 3:18 via Submission (Armbar)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

Big Brady picks Mallory Martin to win by decision. He initially leaned towards Viana but after digging in, he thinks Martin will get top control and stay safe. He notes that Viana was submitted by Veronica Macedo and that Hannah Cifers stayed safe on top against Viana. He believes Martin's wrestling and top control will be the difference, though he is not high on Martin after her fight with Cifers.

Martin by decision; stay away from betting perspective; possible armbar from guard
"I'm going to take malory martin like i said at first i was on the viana side but after digging into it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana to win by first-round finish. He notes that Viana is a first-round finish or bust, with most wins coming in the first round. He acknowledges Martin's toughness and heart but points out her slow starts. He believes Viana can catch Martin early, but if it goes to the scorecards, he would edge Martin. He predicts a first-round finish for Viana.

Viana by first-round finish; mentions Martin's slow starts and Viana's first-round finishes
"i'm gonna say vienna comes out here and gets a first round finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host picks Viana as a dog, believing her jiu-jitsu will be the difference if the fight goes to the ground. He notes that Martin's wrestling could play into Viana's submission game, and that Viana's reckless style makes a finish likely. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop at +190.

under 2.5 rounds at +190
"i'm actually siding with poliana vienna side i think that if martin decides to go out there and try to wrestle she's just jumping into the jaws of the shark"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

The Guru picks Mallory Martin, largely because Polyana Viana lost to Hannah Cifers, which he considers disqualifying. He believes Martin will win the ground exchanges and positional control, earning a unanimous decision. He does not see a submission for Martin but expects her to edge out a grappling-heavy decision.

"i'm going to be going with mallory martin here to get the job done over pollyanna viana... pollyanna viana lost to hannah ciphers that should be all i have to say"
Submission (armbar) R1 1:53 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Emily Whitmire 0 2 of 11 18% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Emily Whitmire 0 2 of 11 18% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3
Emily Whitmire 2 of 11 18% 1 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3
Emily Whitmire 2 of 11 18% 1 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Emily Whitmire vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Remaining at what should be the strawweight division for another tilt is TUF 26 vet Whitmire (4-3, 2-2 UFC) against “Dama de Ferro” – or Iron Lady -- Viana (10-4, 1-3 UFC). Drawing the assignment for this match between a woman whose losses are all by finish (Whitmire) and a woman whose wins are all by stoppage (Viana) is referee Jason Herzog. The glove touch precedes what comes shortly after in the form of a leg kick from Viana, and Whitmire fires back. Viana slings another kick, and Whitmire throws several punches that land flush. Both women trade leg kicks, and Viana has already switched stances. They come together and land right hands at the same time, but a right hand from Viana forces Whitmire to shoot in and take the Brazilian down. Viana tries to trip her, but Whitmire counters to take top position. “Spitfire” lands in side control and hangs on to two-on-one wrist control until Viana shucks her off and gets her back to full guard. Viana slams several elbows in the side of her opponent’s head, and looks to set up an armbar off her back but Whitmire sees it coming and adjusts.
Viana repositions and snags the arm, and Whitmire falls to her back but is still trapped. She screeches as she taps out in obvious pain, and “Dama de Ferro” racks up another finish.
All 11 of Viana’s career wins have come inside the distance, with 10 now in the first round.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Emily Whitmire R1 1:53 via Submission (Armbar)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Emily Whitmire

Big Brady favors Whitmire slightly in striking and wrestling, expecting her to get takedowns and control the fight. However, he is hesitant because Whitmire has been submitted in all three losses, and Viana has good BJJ. He notes that Viana was unable to submit Hannah Cifers, which gives him some confidence, but he cannot bet this fight at the current line.

"give me emily lee whitmire i'm gonna pick her to win by i'm gonna say decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, arguing that her ceiling is higher than Whitmire's. He points out that Viana has beaten Amanda Ribas (who Whitmire lost to) and that Whitmire's ground game is questionable. He believes Viana can finish with an armbar or triangle, but acknowledges she is inconsistent.

"i'mma go with vienna just because i think her ceiling is higher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Polyana Viana

Viana has better overall jiu-jitsu and both women are finishers, so the fight likely ends via submission. Whitmire is overrated due to recency bias; Viana's submission skills should be the difference. I see a first-round rear-naked choke.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"i do like vienna to win this fight again i do expect it to play out in the grappling realm"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host favors Polyana Viana due to her jiu-jitsu world champion background and better stand-up. He notes that Viana's back is against the wall and she knows a loss could mean being cut. He believes Whitmire's only path is grappling, but Viana has the jiu-jitsu to avoid submissions. He also mentions Viana's reach advantage and better striking.

"i think she's going to go out there and get the job done over emily whitmire"