UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Jun 01, 2018 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 4"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Sijara Eubanks
4.3 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.43 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.9 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Lauren Murphy
3.94 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
5.19 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.09 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Sijara Eubanks - Fight History
LOSS vs Melissa Gatto
TKO (body kick and punches) R3 0:45 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 14 of 45 31% 32 of 68 1 of 4 25% 0 1 6:05
Sijara Eubanks 1 17 of 34 50% 64 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 8 of 18 44% 23 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:30
Sijara Eubanks 0 2 of 5 40% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Melissa Gatto 0 4 of 11 36% 7 of 15 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:35
Sijara Eubanks 0 9 of 13 69% 37 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
3 Melissa Gatto 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 1 6 of 16 37% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 14 of 45 31% 10 of 37 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 33 2 of 2 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 17 of 34 50% 11 of 27 2 of 2 4 of 5 13 of 29 2 of 2 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 8 of 18 44% 8 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Melissa Gatto 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 9 of 13 69% 7 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Melissa Gatto 2 of 16 12% 1 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 6 of 16 37% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.

0.5 units on moneyline at +190
"i like melissa gatto i put a half a unit on the money line i got it at plus 190"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.

decision
"I'm gonna pick cru banks to win by decision but um I don't think I'm gonna be betting her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.

Gatto by submission; underdog play
"I'm gonna end up actually taking the dog because I think she's got a little bit more tenacity more ferocity."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.

5 units moneyline at +146, 4 units inside distance decision no action at +170, 2 units under 2.5 rounds at +165, 1 unit Gatto by submission at +1000
"i've never been so confident in a lock of the week pick in my entire life"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.

Eubanks by decision (+150)
"I like me some eubanks i like her at minus 160 but i even like her prop here at decision uh via decision which i currently believe is plus 150"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert pick date unknown

Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks want to see the weigh-ins though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.

first round armbar submission
"i'm gonna go with melissa gato in an upset win here"
WIN vs Elise Reed
TKO (punches) R1 3:49 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Jul 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 22 of 40 55% 37 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 22 of 40 55% 37 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 22 of 40 55% 22 of 37 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 34
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 22 of 40 55% 22 of 37 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 34
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elise Reed

Angelo picks Elise Reed because Sijara Eubanks has cardio issues and is dropping to flyweight, which will exacerbate those problems. He notes that Eubanks is much better than her record but her cardio is a big issue. He already placed a half-unit moneyline bet on Reed. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line and the 3.5 round prop (buying a round on the scorecard), expecting Reed to win at least one round.

half unit moneyline bet on Elise Reed; over on monkey knife fight line; 3.5 round prop (buy a round on judge's scorecard)
"i did already do a half a unit money line on a lease read because i do like elise here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks to win by submission. He notes Eubanks has fought much better competition and is a legit black belt, while Reed is green and moving up a weight class. He expects Eubanks to take the fight down and grind out a finish, though he warns about Eubanks' weight cut (dropping to 125) and potential to gas. He believes even if Eubanks fades, she will have secured two rounds.

Eubanks by submission
"i think eubanks does get it done and i'm gonna say she gets it done by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Cody picks Eubanks, calling it a walk in the park stylistically. He notes Eubanks' size, wrestling, and BJJ are too much for Reed, who has poor takedown defense. He is concerned about Eubanks' weight cut but thinks if she makes weight, she wins easily. He does not include her in parlays due to weight cut risk.

"this should be a walk in the park no problem for sinjar eubanks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks, acknowledging her experience and black belt, but notes she has dropped similar prices before. He warns that Reed is tough and could make it interesting on the feet, but Eubanks should get the job done. Levi doesn't buy into the gassing narrative, but says Eubanks makes bonehead mistakes.

"i'm gonna go to jar right here but again it could get very interesting"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elise Reed

Jacob picks Elise Reed based on value, noting that Sijara Eubanks is a -300 favorite despite having nine straight decisions and cardio issues. He sees Reed at +690 as great value and believes the line should be closer to -300 for Eubanks. He is worried about Reed's inexperience but thinks her volume and pressure will be too much for Eubanks, who has cardio problems and is dropping weight.

"i'm taking 6 900 and the value in elise reed"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Sijara Eubanks, citing her size and grappling advantage over Elise Reed, who is moving up from strawweight. He believes Eubanks will drag the fight to the ground and use her BJJ to secure a submission, possibly her first UFC finish. He notes Reed's takedown defense issues and Eubanks' improved cardio, though he acknowledges Eubanks has never submitted anyone professionally. He likes Eubanks inside the distance at +170.

Eubanks inside the distance +170; Eubanks by decision +120 (Cody's lean)
"i do like to draw eubanks inside the distance in the spot i think it's plus 175 is what i'm looking at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Paul agrees, noting Eubanks' size and grappling advantage. He criticizes Reed's takedown defense and grappling. He thinks if Eubanks does even half of what she's capable of, she wins. He warns about weight cut issues but still picks Eubanks.

"if she just does even half of what she's capable of doing she wins this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Eubanks, citing her toughness, experience, and close fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes Reed's split decision wins outside the UFC against lower-level competition. He believes Eubanks' UFC experience and desperation (fighting for her career) will lead to a unanimous decision win.

"i'll go with ciara eubanks to get the job done here against a newcomer elise reed"
LOSS vs Pannie Kianzad
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 104 47% 70 of 131 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Sijara Eubanks 0 92 of 143 64% 132 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:23
Sijara Eubanks 0 3 of 9 33% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 15 53% 14 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 28 of 40 70% 56 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:39
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 34 of 77 44% 36 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 61 of 94 64% 67 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 49 of 104 47% 43 of 94 5 of 9 1 of 1 38 of 90 4 of 7 7 of 7
Sijara Eubanks 92 of 143 64% 57 of 105 22 of 25 13 of 13 65 of 114 26 of 28 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 6
Sijara Eubanks 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Pannie Kianzad 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 1
Sijara Eubanks 28 of 40 70% 16 of 26 11 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 20 of 22 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 34 of 77 44% 30 of 69 3 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 73 1 of 4 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 61 of 94 64% 38 of 70 11 of 12 12 of 12 55 of 88 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.

goes to decision
"that is going to be kianzad against eubanks eubanks is a seven and four fighter i think and if you look at her card if you look like at her recent fights they're all decisions her last night nine fighter …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.

"i'm going to say kansai stuff's the majority of the takedowns keeps it on the feet for the majority of the time wins rounds two and rounds three and wins a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Pannie Kianzad

The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.

"i still will side with the dog here i think penny will go out there and outstrike sajara for about two rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.

"i think i'm going to go with ciara eubanks being just a bit more lesbian than panikianzad... split decision ciara eubanks getting it done"
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 68 of 171 39% 93 of 203 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:27
Sijara Eubanks 0 69 of 149 46% 72 of 152 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 70 41% 36 of 80 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:36
Sijara Eubanks 0 26 of 59 44% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 17 of 41 41% 35 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:51
Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 36 36% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 22 of 60 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 0 30 of 54 55% 31 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 68 of 171 39% 65 of 165 3 of 6 0 of 0 66 of 169 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 69 of 149 46% 34 of 102 22 of 34 13 of 13 65 of 143 2 of 3 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 29 of 70 41% 27 of 66 2 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 68 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 26 of 59 44% 13 of 39 7 of 14 6 of 6 24 of 56 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 17 of 41 41% 16 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 13 of 36 36% 7 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 13 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 22 of 60 36% 22 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0 22 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 30 of 54 55% 14 of 36 11 of 13 5 of 5 28 of 51 0 of 0 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ketlen Vieira vs. Sijara Eubanks

Round 1
In the first and only women’s match on the card, Vieira (10-1, 4-1 UFC) will look to bounce back from her first career defeat against Eubanks (6-4, 4-2 UFC), despite the Brazilian losing the majority of her corner team due to COVID-19. The Octagon ranger for this women’s bantamweight tilt is referee Jason Herzog, and the two women greet with a glove touch. Eubanks starts off with a jab, and Vieira crashes forward to punch her way in to clinch up. Eubanks thanks her for it by punching her opponent in the thigh once, and Vieira knees her a few times before Eubanks turns her around. The Brazilian grabs the knee as soon as Eubanks brings it up to try to take the fight down, but “SarJ” stops it from happening. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Eubanks counterattacks with an overhand right. Eubanks scores a heavy leg kick and the two women slug it out for a moment. Eubanks stings her with a reaching right hand, and she avoids the right hand that aims at her body. Vieira walks through a left hook to try to clinch up in the center of the cage, and Eubanks knees her in the belly. Vieira sells out for a trip takedown, but Eubanks stuffs it and snaps her head back with an uppercut. Vieira jabs only to have her lead leg kicked, and she backs away instead of following it up. The Brazilian comes up short with a one-two, and she follows it with a looping left hand that rings off the side of Eubanks’ head. Eubanks zings a right hand over the top, but Vieira is unfazed and delivers one right back. Eubanks rips the body with a right hand and is just able to get out of the way of a big right hook. Vieira stings Eubanks with a one-two, and she lands another after landing a body shot. Eubanks decides to target the body too, and when she throws out a naked leg kick, Vieira wings a right hand that tags Eubanks. The American wears it well and engages in a short slugfest only to come up missing with her strikes while Vieira is much sharper. Vieira gets off a crisp combination that rings Eubanks’ bell, and when Eubanks tries to fire back, the Brazilian lands a takedown. “Fenomeno” stays on top until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
Vieira opens the round with a jab, and she follows it with a one-two that Eubanks is able to swat away. Eubanks fires up a head kick that gets blocked before reaching the mark, and Vieira strides forward to clinch up. From there, the Brazilian lands a body lock takedown to get into Eubanks’ guard, where she drops down some punches as Eubanks tries to lock her down. Vieira tries to pull her arms free so that she can stay busy and keep Herzog from standing the fight up, and she does while Eubanks scoots her way to the fence. Eubanks shrugs at her corner when Vieira is trying to keep her grounded, and Vieira smacks her in the face when she does. Herzog stands the fight up without audible warning, and Eubanks appreciates the standup by letting loose several jabs and a massive right hand. Vieira blocks the right hand and lets her jab flow, leading Eubanks to crash forward and attack the body and head. Vieira is unable to counter her effectively, but she does halt an advancing Eubanks a few times with stiff jabs. When both jab at the same time, the reach advantage for Vieira allows her to land cleanly while Eubanks does not. Vieira keeps jabbing and breaking up combinations, but she takes a side kick to the body. Vieira comes back with a one-two, and ducks an overhand right that skims past her hair. Eubanks throws her foot up for a high kick, but it bounces off Vieira’s shoulder. Vieira dings her with a right hand, and then aims low when Eubanks ducks down to catch her bending over. Both women miss with one-two combination, and they swing until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The two women touch both gloves to start off the round, and an energized Eubanks comes out firing. She slings a few looping punches that glance off the head but do not land flush, and Vieira tries to counter but comes up short. Vieira rushes in for a clinch, and when Eubanks attempts a trip, the Brazilian shoves her away. Eubanks bites down on her mouthpiece and slings a big right hook, but it is nowhere near the target. She follows it with a shorter left hook that does get Vieira’s attention, and she plants a right hand on Vieira’s face. The two women swing for the fences for a moment, with the two bantamweights windmilling punches but not connecting on much. Vieira lands a right hand as Eubanks tries to roll with it, and “SarJ” connects with a low kick to make up for it. Vieira tries to charge forward, but Eubanks greets her with a right hand to make the Brazilian back away. Vieira gets her jab back going until they start swinging with reckless abandon, and both land a few times in a wild flurry. Vieira lands a left but allows Eubanks to circle out and work the body. Vieira attempts to clinch up again, and Eubanks makes her pay with a body shot. A right hand finds its home from Vieira, and Eubanks aims one back but only partially connects. Vieira shoots in for a double but Eubanks easily sees it coming and pushes her away. When Vieira goes up top, Eubanks kicks her to the body and counters her with a right hand. The two tie up in the clinch and both try to toss the other, and the ensuing scramble from Eubanks allows her to take the Brazilian’s back standing up. Vieira rolls for a kneebar right before the 10-second clapper, and Eubanks lands several hammerfists until the final horn puts this fight in the books.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sijara Eubanks via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Ketlen Vieira

Big Brady picks Vieira, believing her ground game is superior to Eubanks' BJJ. He thinks the fight will hit the mat and Vieira will have success there. He notes Eubanks' cardio may be affected by multiple weight cuts, but expects a close decision.

"give me the era to win a close decision i do think it'll be close"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel Levi slightly leans Ketlen Vieira, acknowledging she is the better fighter but has concerns about her knee injury and the loss of her coach. He believes Eubanks' grappling advantage won't be as effective against Vieira, who is a serious black belt. He expects a grappling-heavy fight with Vieira getting the better of the scrambles.

"i'm going to slightly lean with caitlyn vieira to get it done but i got my questions too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ketlen Vieira

The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her efficient striking and pressure will be too much for Sijara Eubanks. He expects Eubanks' gas tank issues to resurface as the fight goes on, leading to a third-round TKO for Vieira. He notes that Vieira is the bigger, stronger fighter and that Eubanks' takedowns will be harder to secure.

Vieira wins in round 3 (+2100)
"I think caitlyn vera could absolutely make her work for three rounds and that's where we're going to start to see the gas tank issues of cedar you bank start to showcase themselves once again."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, noting she has been more active and has better recent wins, including over Julia Avila. He thinks Vieira's win over Kaitlyn Chookagian is aged and she hasn't fought in a long time. He predicts Eubanks wins a unanimous decision dominantly.

Eubanks should be evens, not an underdog; win by unanimous decision
"i think she'll go out there and get the job done against katelyn vieira and really make a statement i think she'll win a unanimous decision"
WIN vs Julia Avila
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 34 of 87 39% 66 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Julia Avila 0 53 of 107 49% 107 of 171 3 of 7 42% 3 1 10:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Julia Avila 0 13 of 34 38% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:00
2 Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 33 39% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julia Avila 0 17 of 34 50% 44 of 67 1 of 1 100% 3 0 4:02
3 Sijara Eubanks 0 8 of 25 32% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julia Avila 0 23 of 39 58% 48 of 68 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 34 of 87 39% 26 of 76 4 of 7 4 of 4 32 of 83 1 of 3 1 of 1
Julia Avila 53 of 107 49% 46 of 98 7 of 9 0 of 0 25 of 65 0 of 1 28 of 41
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 13 of 29 44% 10 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 26 1 of 2 1 of 1
Julia Avila 13 of 34 38% 11 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 6 of 11
2 Sijara Eubanks 13 of 33 39% 10 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Avila 17 of 34 50% 15 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 20 0 of 0 8 of 14
3 Sijara Eubanks 8 of 25 32% 6 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julia Avila 23 of 39 58% 20 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 1 14 of 16
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Julia Avila

Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.

"I'm going to go with avila i think this is going to be an extremely high paced fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Julia Avila

The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.

Avila by second round TKO; fight doesn't go to decision (+130)
"I'm taking julia villa to win this fight by second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Julia Avila

The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go with judah ravilla here i really am i like julia avila she had a great performance against gina mazzani in her last fight out"
WIN vs Sarah Moras
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 85 of 171 49% 104 of 190 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:14
Sarah Moras 0 44 of 138 31% 84 of 179 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 27 of 67 40% 27 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sarah Moras 0 20 of 63 31% 20 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sijara Eubanks 0 31 of 63 49% 43 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Sarah Moras 0 13 of 44 29% 41 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sijara Eubanks 0 27 of 41 65% 34 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:33
Sarah Moras 0 11 of 31 35% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 85 of 171 49% 69 of 150 12 of 15 4 of 6 62 of 136 5 of 7 18 of 28
Sarah Moras 44 of 138 31% 22 of 104 12 of 22 10 of 12 41 of 129 3 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 27 of 67 40% 22 of 59 3 of 4 2 of 4 27 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sarah Moras 20 of 63 31% 8 of 46 6 of 9 6 of 8 20 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sijara Eubanks 31 of 63 49% 25 of 55 5 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 41 2 of 4 8 of 18
Sarah Moras 13 of 44 29% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 36 3 of 8 0 of 0
3 Sijara Eubanks 27 of 41 65% 22 of 36 4 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 28 3 of 3 10 of 10
Sarah Moras 11 of 31 35% 5 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady is very confident in Sijara Eubanks, believing she has advantages everywhere including wrestling and striking. He thinks Eubanks will dominate from start to finish, possibly with a finish, and that Moras has poor takedown defense. He calls it Eubanks' easiest UFC fight and expects a dominant decision like 30-26 or 30-25.

Eubanks wins by dominant decision (30-26 or 30-25)
"I'm gonna go Eubanks I'm gonna take her to win a very very dominant decision 30 26 1325"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks via unanimous decision, citing her black belt and top control advantage. He notes Moras' poor takedown defense and reliance on armbars, but warns Eubanks must avoid getting swept or caught in a submission.

"imma goes to Jarrah eubanks via unanimous decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sijara Eubanks

The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, but expresses disdain for both fighters, calling them 'sh*t'. He says Eubanks will win because she is the less bad option, but offers no technical analysis. He notes that both have poor records and don't deserve to be in the UFC.

"I think Eubanks is gonna win I don't care because they're both sh*t."
LOSS vs Bethe Correia
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bethe Correia 0 77 of 169 45% 94 of 186 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:24
Sijara Eubanks 0 59 of 127 46% 77 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bethe Correia 0 31 of 59 52% 48 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:17
Sijara Eubanks 0 11 of 24 45% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bethe Correia 0 21 of 45 46% 21 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Sijara Eubanks 0 24 of 48 50% 34 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Bethe Correia 0 25 of 65 38% 25 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 0 24 of 55 43% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bethe Correia 77 of 169 45% 58 of 138 12 of 23 7 of 8 55 of 140 8 of 10 14 of 19
Sijara Eubanks 59 of 127 46% 42 of 101 12 of 19 5 of 7 54 of 118 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bethe Correia 31 of 59 52% 24 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 5 17 of 40 0 of 0 14 of 19
Sijara Eubanks 11 of 24 45% 8 of 19 1 of 2 2 of 3 10 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bethe Correia 21 of 45 46% 13 of 32 6 of 11 2 of 2 19 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 24 of 48 50% 16 of 37 8 of 11 0 of 0 22 of 43 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Bethe Correia 25 of 65 38% 21 of 57 3 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 58 6 of 7 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 24 of 55 43% 18 of 45 3 of 6 3 of 4 22 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Aspen Ladd
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aspen Ladd 0 69 of 125 55% 85 of 143 3 of 4 75% 3 0 6:56
Sijara Eubanks 0 77 of 164 46% 80 of 168 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aspen Ladd 0 7 of 17 41% 8 of 18 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Sijara Eubanks 0 16 of 24 66% 19 of 28 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:10
2 Aspen Ladd 0 22 of 36 61% 34 of 50 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:46
Sijara Eubanks 0 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Aspen Ladd 0 40 of 72 55% 43 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Sijara Eubanks 0 54 of 124 43% 54 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aspen Ladd 69 of 125 55% 57 of 111 7 of 9 5 of 5 38 of 82 14 of 20 17 of 23
Sijara Eubanks 77 of 164 46% 60 of 146 16 of 17 1 of 1 61 of 140 12 of 19 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aspen Ladd 7 of 17 41% 2 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 12 3 of 5 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 16 of 24 66% 12 of 20 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 18 0 of 1 4 of 5
2 Aspen Ladd 22 of 36 61% 19 of 32 1 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 17 of 23
Sijara Eubanks 7 of 16 43% 3 of 12 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aspen Ladd 40 of 72 55% 36 of 67 4 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 57 11 of 15 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 54 of 124 43% 45 of 114 9 of 10 0 of 0 43 of 107 11 of 17 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy - Fight History
LOSS vs Eduarda Moura
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 145 26% 67 of 179 2 of 9 22% 2 0 1:03
Eduarda Moura 0 64 of 235 27% 74 of 248 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 6 of 33 18% 13 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:03
Eduarda Moura 0 19 of 58 32% 26 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:32
2 Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 51 21% 27 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Eduarda Moura 0 20 of 77 25% 22 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:23
3 Lauren Murphy 0 21 of 61 34% 27 of 68 1 of 5 20% 2 0 0:59
Eduarda Moura 0 25 of 100 25% 26 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 38 of 145 26% 38 of 144 0 of 0 0 of 1 34 of 140 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 64 of 235 27% 52 of 221 1 of 2 11 of 12 64 of 234 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 6 of 33 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1 6 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 19 of 58 32% 14 of 51 0 of 1 5 of 6 19 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Lauren Murphy 11 of 51 21% 11 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 20 of 77 25% 17 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3 20 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0 20 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 25 of 100 25% 21 of 96 1 of 1 3 of 3 25 of 100 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

Angelo believes Eduarda Moura is younger, faster, and a better grappler than the 41-year-old Lauren Murphy, who hasn't fought in two years. He thinks Murphy's toughness won't be enough against Moura's aggressive grappling and solid takedowns. He hates the -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.

Hates -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.
"Eduarda Mora is going to be the pick. I hate that she's minus 600."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady is disgusted by the -600 line on Eduarda Moura. He notes Moura's poor cardio and low volume, and Lauren Murphy's 70% takedown defense. However, he picks Moura by decision because Murphy is 41, hasn't fought in 2.5 years, and this is her retirement fight. He is not confident in the line.

decision
"I'm going to pick more here to win by decision, but I just don't see in what world she looks anywhere minus 600."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

Connor echoes Zane's uncertainty, noting Murphy's scrappiness and ability to win rounds, but her age and layoff are major concerns. He thinks Moura's size and athleticism should prevail, though he admits Murphy's better than she looks. He agrees the odds are too wide.

Murphy +425, Moura -600; Connor says the odds are not sensible.
"I think it might just be a size and speed thing at this point... I just kind of have to pick against her."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

The host is hesitant about this pick, noting that he doesn't understand why Moura is such a heavy favorite. He acknowledges Moura's grappling strength but also points out that Murphy has a physicality and striking advantage and could make the fight close. Ultimately, he expects Moura to win bits and pieces of the fight and get her hand raised on the scorecards.

"Mora again, prohibitive favorite. I don't really understand why. Uh she might be strong enough in the grappling realm to really put it on the 42-year-old uh Lauren Murphy, who's also been out of the cage for 2 and 1/2 …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura, citing her better grappling entries and fight IQ in knowing when to shoot for takedowns. He heavily criticizes Lauren Murphy's last performance against Jessica Andrade, where she took a record amount of damage and had no answer. He notes Murphy's long layoff and age, and expects Moura to outwrestle and outstrike her for a 30-27 decision.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Eduardo Mora over Lauren Murphy. Eduardo Mora... I think she's got better grappling entries and I think that's going to be the difference here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Eduarda Moura

Zane is torn, calling it a 'good actually vs bad actually' fight. He notes Murphy is better than she looks but is 41 and coming off a long layoff, while Moura is big, athletic, and in her prime. He thinks Moura's size and speed will likely be too much, but acknowledges Murphy could outwork her. He ultimately picks against Murphy due to age and inactivity.

Murphy opened +385, now +425; Moura opened -500, now -600. Zane comments the odds are not sensible, calling it closer to a coin flip.
"I think it might just be a size and speed thing at this point... I just kind of have to pick against her."
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 100 of 293 34% 103 of 296 0 of 15 0% 0 0 0:09
Lauren Murphy 0 231 of 369 62% 237 of 375 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 22 of 91 24% 24 of 93 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:08
Lauren Murphy 0 61 of 107 57% 62 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jéssica Andrade 0 29 of 95 30% 29 of 95 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:01
Lauren Murphy 0 75 of 121 61% 78 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Jéssica Andrade 0 49 of 107 45% 50 of 108 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Lauren Murphy 0 95 of 141 67% 97 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 100 of 293 34% 81 of 268 14 of 19 5 of 6 90 of 276 10 of 17 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 231 of 369 62% 161 of 292 23 of 27 47 of 50 208 of 338 22 of 30 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 22 of 91 24% 17 of 85 5 of 5 0 of 1 22 of 90 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 61 of 107 57% 31 of 75 3 of 3 27 of 29 58 of 101 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Jéssica Andrade 29 of 95 30% 21 of 83 6 of 10 2 of 2 23 of 86 6 of 9 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 75 of 121 61% 52 of 96 12 of 13 11 of 12 62 of 103 12 of 17 1 of 1
3 Jéssica Andrade 49 of 107 45% 43 of 100 3 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 100 4 of 7 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 95 of 141 67% 78 of 121 8 of 11 9 of 9 88 of 134 7 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Big Brady picks Andrade with good confidence, noting she has only lost to the best (Valentina, Rose, Zhang, Weili). He is not high on Murphy, calling her lucky and noting she has lost fights that went her way. Andrade is younger, more powerful, has takedown upside, and will pressure with volume. He respects Murphy's toughness and durability, predicting a decision win for Andrade, but won't lay -450.

decision
"I will pick andraj with some pretty pretty good confidence and I'll say she does win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Cody picks Jéssica Andrade confidently, expecting her to smash Lauren Murphy. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, strength, and well-rounded skills. He says Murphy is scrappy but not on Andrade's level, and that Andrade will either finish via guillotine or win a brawl. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, but thinks Andrade's skill advantage is clear. He also mentions Andrade's cardio is not half bad.

considering Andrade inside the distance at +200; mentions Andrade's guillotine choke
"I think Jessica Andrade should absolutely smash I'm surprised it's jazera fair and still in the organization"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Connor picks Andrade, noting that Murphy is glacially slow and Andrade is much faster and harder hitting. He thinks Andrade's physicality will be too much, even if she can't overpower Murphy in the clinch. Connor also points out that good athletes can take Murphy down, and Andrade is a good athlete.

Connor mentions the odds but does not place a bet.
"Andrade is way faster and way harder hitting. I'm still going to pick Andrade."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Paul picks Jéssica Andrade but with some hesitation. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, and strength, and says Murphy's best version still struggles with Andrade's worst. He mentions Murphy's durability and cardio but thinks Andrade's skill set is superior. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, and says there is a world where Andrade gets tired. He thinks Andrade wins but wouldn't put a huge bet on her.

mentions Andrade's guillotine choke; says Murphy's durability is a concern
"Jessica and Josh has just got Lauren Murphy Pete everywhere if the fight stays standing Murphy's got that Scrappy striking style which will she'll stand in the pocket and exchange with you it's like Jessica's gonna drive to someone you …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

The Guru confidently picks Andrade, saying she 'throws punches like a man' and has finished top competition like Chookagian, Calvillo, and Lemos in the first round. He criticizes Murphy's fighting ability, calling her 'fighting blind.' Despite Murphy doing better against Shevchenko on paper, the Guru sees a clear difference in performance and predicts Andrade will KO Murphy.

KO
"I'm going with Jessica and Raj getting the KO win over Lauren Murphy I don't see Murphy winning this one at all"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Zane picks Andrade but with hesitation. He notes Andrade has made wrong moves lately, regressing to a cautious style, but her physicality, speed, and power should be enough against the slower Murphy. Zane worries about Andrade's approach and Murphy's strength and durability, but believes Andrade is more likely to finish.

Andrade opened at -500, now -491; Murphy opened at +385, now +367. Zane advises staying away from betting on this fight.
"I'm still going to pick Andrade because if one of them's going to finish this fight it's going to be her."
WIN vs Miesha Tate
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 102 of 184 55% 128 of 211 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:18
Miesha Tate 0 85 of 164 51% 121 of 201 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 26 of 48 54% 35 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
Miesha Tate 0 25 of 47 53% 38 of 60 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:04
2 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 66 57% 53 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:41
Miesha Tate 0 32 of 55 58% 46 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 70 54% 40 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Miesha Tate 0 28 of 62 45% 37 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 102 of 184 55% 77 of 154 24 of 29 1 of 1 68 of 142 31 of 39 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 85 of 164 51% 61 of 122 18 of 34 6 of 8 67 of 138 18 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 26 of 48 54% 17 of 37 9 of 11 0 of 0 15 of 33 11 of 15 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 25 of 47 53% 12 of 26 10 of 18 3 of 3 16 of 34 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 38 of 66 57% 31 of 57 6 of 8 1 of 1 26 of 52 9 of 11 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 32 of 55 58% 27 of 44 4 of 9 1 of 2 25 of 46 7 of 9 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 38 of 70 54% 29 of 60 9 of 10 0 of 0 27 of 57 11 of 13 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 28 of 62 45% 22 of 52 4 of 7 2 of 3 26 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Angelo picks Miesha Tate but is hesitant due to her flyweight debut. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be key, and that she can avoid being bullied by Murphy. He notes Murphy's losses came via grappling dominance, and assumes Tate will be strong at 125. He is unsure about betting.

unsure about betting
"so i'm gonna go with misha tate here anybody complaining that she's a little old she's 35 she's a younger fighter in this matchup so misha tate one big brother and i think she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by decision. He notes that Tate is the more skilled fighter overall and can get takedowns to control the fight on the mat. He is not impressed by Murphy's wins and thinks the striking will be competitive. He says he would not bet Tate at -220 odds but picks her to win.

decision win; odds comment: minus 220 too high
"i'll take misha tate but minus 220. there's no way i would touch that but gimishita misha tate bye decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Cody picks Tate, citing her wrestling advantage, strength, and experience. He notes that Tate has been preparing for this fight for a long time and has been in great shape. He believes Tate's clinch work and takedowns will be too much for Murphy, and that Murphy's only path is to bully Tate, which he doubts she can do.

"i gotta go with cupcake tate i know that you haven't eight minus one five"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Daniel Levi leans Miesha Tate but expresses disinterest in the fight. He notes Tate is past her prime and coming off a loss, while Murphy is coming off a title fight loss and has health issues. He considers it a dog-or-pass situation and won't lay the -220 price on Tate.

dog-or-pass; not laying the chalk
"i'll say it's dog or pass at the betting window you know with a price like that i'll lean misha tate"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Paul leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing the uncertainty of Tate's weight cut to 125 and the fact that Murphy is a natural 125er. He notes that Murphy has decent striking and could potentially outwork Tate. However, he admits he is not confident and will wait until weigh-ins before betting.

"i think it's a very very clear dogger pass lauren murphy for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Lauren Murphy, criticizing Murphy's lack of skill and Tate's experience. He believes Tate will win grappling exchanges and has slightly better striking. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Tate, with Tate winning the first two rounds clearly before slowing down due to weight cut.

"i'm gonna go with misha tate here lauren murphy has no idea what she's doing she's terrible at fighting"
TKO (elbows and punches) R4 4:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 98 of 170 57% 132 of 204 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:04
Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 91 12% 19 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 20 of 39 51% 24 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Lauren Murphy 0 3 of 24 12% 3 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 17 58% 30 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Lauren Murphy 0 1 of 18 5% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 21 of 48 43% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Lauren Murphy 0 5 of 30 16% 6 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 47 of 66 71% 53 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:12
Lauren Murphy 0 2 of 19 10% 2 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 98 of 170 57% 62 of 126 19 of 24 17 of 20 72 of 137 6 of 8 20 of 25
Lauren Murphy 11 of 91 12% 4 of 73 3 of 13 4 of 5 11 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 20 of 39 51% 9 of 24 5 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 3 of 24 12% 2 of 21 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 17 58% 6 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 3
Lauren Murphy 1 of 18 5% 1 of 15 0 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Valentina Shevchenko 21 of 48 43% 9 of 33 6 of 8 6 of 7 20 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 5 of 30 16% 0 of 23 2 of 4 3 of 3 5 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 47 of 66 71% 38 of 56 5 of 6 4 of 4 25 of 38 4 of 6 18 of 22
Lauren Murphy 2 of 19 10% 1 of 14 1 of 4 0 of 1 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting a finish in round three. He also mentions betting on Shevchenko by stoppage in each round to guarantee profit.
"Valentina will go down as one of the best to ever do it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.

fourth round tko
"i'm going to take valenciano to finish lauren murphy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.

over 2.5 rounds (-120), Shevchenko inside the distance
"i think we're all on the same page that she's going to win the fight she can win this fight anywhere she chooses to"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.

"give me valentina i guess the big question is inside the distance or by decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.

Jacob agrees with less less on Monkey Knife Fight. He mentions knockout Kings and might include Shevchenko.
"Chevy's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.

Over 2.5 rounds at +100; round 4 prop for Shevchenko
"i'm gonna go with chevchenko and i'm gonna call it fourth round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.

over 2.5 rounds (considering)
"breaking news shevchenko is my pick um i think she wins inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.

second round crucifix tko
"second round crucifix tko just like the andraj fight"
WIN vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 148 54% 121 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:54
Joanne Wood 0 123 of 228 53% 153 of 259 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 29 of 57 50% 40 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Joanne Wood 0 55 of 97 56% 64 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 16 of 22 72% 43 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:15
Joanne Wood 0 9 of 17 52% 26 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 35 of 69 50% 38 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 59 of 114 51% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 148 54% 66 of 131 14 of 17 0 of 0 55 of 119 10 of 13 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 123 of 228 53% 62 of 137 30 of 41 31 of 50 99 of 201 23 of 25 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 29 of 57 50% 25 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 55 of 97 56% 22 of 50 16 of 22 17 of 25 43 of 85 12 of 12 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 16 of 22 72% 14 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 9 of 17 52% 4 of 9 1 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Lauren Murphy 35 of 69 50% 27 of 60 8 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 61 7 of 8 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 59 of 114 51% 36 of 78 13 of 16 10 of 20 48 of 101 11 of 13 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.

Wood by decision
"i will ultimately take jojo calderwood to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.

"lauren murphy plus 130 is where i would attack this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.

split decision
"i'll go with lauren murphy for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Joanne Wood

Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.

Wood by decision
"I do like Joanne Wood again I think she's a little bit better all around... I do have some solid confidence in Joanne Wood to go out there and outstrike Lauren Murphy for the majority of 15 minutes and take …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.

"the official pick is going to be joanne calderwood but from a betting perspective i think i'm just looking to pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.

"i'm going with joanne calderwood i've watched the pair of them fight"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:31 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 22 of 85 25% 32 of 96 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:10
Liliya Shakirova 0 23 of 75 30% 27 of 80 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 12 of 48 25% 18 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Liliya Shakirova 0 15 of 47 31% 16 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
2 Lauren Murphy 0 10 of 37 27% 14 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:05
Liliya Shakirova 0 8 of 28 28% 11 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 22 of 85 25% 16 of 78 6 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 72 8 of 11 2 of 2
Liliya Shakirova 23 of 75 30% 7 of 45 7 of 17 9 of 13 23 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 12 of 48 25% 10 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 41 5 of 7 0 of 0
Liliya Shakirova 15 of 47 31% 4 of 27 6 of 12 5 of 8 15 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 10 of 37 27% 6 of 32 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 31 3 of 4 2 of 2
Liliya Shakirova 8 of 28 28% 3 of 18 1 of 5 4 of 5 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Big Brady picks Lauren Murphy but is hesitant due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Murphy's experience against better competition and good takedown defense, but acknowledges Shakirova looks decent on tape. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"give me laura murphy by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy confidently, noting her transformation under a new doctor and her recent knockout wins. He believes Shakirova is a talented newcomer but is outclassed and outsized, and that Murphy's pressure and clinch work will be too much. He expects a unanimous decision or a TKO stoppage.

Most likely unanimous decision but a TKO stoppage wouldn't surprise
"i'm gonna go with lord murphy most likely unanimous decision but a tko stoppage somewhere along the way won't surprise me either"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

The host picks Lauren Murphy but is not confident, citing her experience, volume, and physicality. He notes that Shakirova is making her UFC debut on short notice and may struggle with the step up in competition. He sees value on Shakirova if she is a big dog.

Murphy by decision
"i'm going murphy here uh not the most confident in it either"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lauren Murphy to win, noting that Shakirova is taking the fight on short notice and has lost to a fighter with a 4-4 record. He respects Murphy's technical fighting style and believes she will get the job done.

"i'm gonna go with lauren murphy getting it done mostly because lilia shakira... is taking it on short notice"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 44 of 174 25% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:08
Roxanne Modafferi 0 72 of 158 45% 92 of 178 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 12 of 54 22% 18 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Roxanne Modafferi 0 19 of 48 39% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 10 of 45 22% 20 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:44
Roxanne Modafferi 0 23 of 48 47% 36 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
3 Lauren Murphy 0 22 of 75 29% 33 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Roxanne Modafferi 0 30 of 62 48% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 44 of 174 25% 34 of 152 5 of 15 5 of 7 39 of 163 5 of 11 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 72 of 158 45% 46 of 127 8 of 12 18 of 19 65 of 150 3 of 3 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 12 of 54 22% 9 of 46 1 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 19 of 48 39% 11 of 36 0 of 4 8 of 8 19 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 10 of 45 22% 8 of 37 2 of 7 0 of 1 9 of 41 1 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 23 of 48 47% 13 of 37 5 of 5 5 of 6 18 of 42 3 of 3 2 of 3
3 Lauren Murphy 22 of 75 29% 17 of 69 2 of 3 3 of 3 19 of 71 3 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 30 of 62 48% 22 of 54 3 of 3 5 of 5 28 of 60 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Big Brady favors Lauren Murphy to win by decision, believing she can stuff Roxanne Modafferi's takedowns and out-strike her on the feet. He notes Murphy's strong takedown defense and ability to get back up if taken down. He acknowledges Modafferi's recent wins as an underdog but thinks Murphy is the better striker and will land more shots.

odds: Modafferi minus 120, Murphy plus 100; pick by decision
"I do favor Murphy to win here I think she's going to be able to stuff the takedowns of Roxanne"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy, arguing that Modafferi is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns. He believes Murphy's improved aggression and takedown defense will be key. Levi notes that Murphy looked great against Andrea Lee and should be a slight favorite, not an underdog. He expects a close decision win for Murphy.

"My pick will be Lauren Murphy in this spot as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Roxanne Modafferi

Modafferi has better grappling and a reach advantage. She was winning against Barber before the injury. Murphy hasn't shown much. Modafferi will win by decision.

"I'm gonna go over rocks and mowed a ferry here the odds are really close and I don't understand why... motor ferry gets it done by decision"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Feb 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 197 40% 107 of 228 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:31
Andrea Lee 0 104 of 267 38% 107 of 271 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 32 of 80 40% 33 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
Andrea Lee 0 43 of 104 41% 44 of 106 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Lauren Murphy 0 33 of 73 45% 41 of 84 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:22
Andrea Lee 0 38 of 103 36% 39 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 15 of 44 34% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:40
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 60 38% 24 of 61 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 197 40% 70 of 181 9 of 15 1 of 1 75 of 190 5 of 7 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 104 of 267 38% 51 of 194 34 of 51 19 of 22 99 of 261 4 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 32 of 80 40% 28 of 74 4 of 6 0 of 0 31 of 77 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 43 of 104 41% 18 of 74 16 of 20 9 of 10 41 of 101 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Lauren Murphy 33 of 73 45% 30 of 68 2 of 4 1 of 1 31 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 38 of 103 36% 21 of 77 11 of 20 6 of 6 38 of 103 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 15 of 44 34% 12 of 39 3 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 60 38% 12 of 43 7 of 11 4 of 6 20 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee by decision, stating she is the better striker with more volume. He notes that Lauren Murphy has improved but still has a basic fighting style. He warns against betting at -365, but expects Lee to win a decision, possibly with close rounds.

I ain't laying -365 to find out
"I'm gonna go with Andrea Lee by decision but I would be very careful at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

The host picks Andrea Lee by decision, citing her speed, striking, and improved grappling. He believes she is the quicker fighter and can outpoint Lauren Murphy, though he is not willing to bet her straight at -340. He considers her as a parlay piece with Jon Jones.

Lee by decision, considered as parlay piece with Jones
"I like and really here I think that she you know how to strike Lauren Murphy take it to the ground if she needs to I think if she does get caught up against the fence she'll have a decent …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

The MMA Guru picks Andrea Lee because she is younger, more technical, and will light up Lauren Murphy with combinations on the feet. He notes Murphy's questionable losses and expects Lee to win a unanimous decision.

unanimous decision win
"I'm gonna go with and really both girls similar-sized Laura Murphy a bit chunkier I feel like this fight is gonna take place on the feet and really younger in the game a little bit more technical I think she's …"