UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Nov 25, 2017 · Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 44
Height 6' 3"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 235 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 250 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Shamil Abdurakhimov
2.41 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.02 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.01 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
45.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chase Sherman
6.04 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
6.65 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.09 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
74.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Shamil Abdurakhimov - Fight History
LOSS vs Jailton Almeida
TKO (punches) R2 2:56 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jailton Almeida 0 1 of 1 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 45 of 57 78% 89 of 110 3 of 5 60% 0 0 7:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jailton Almeida 0 1 of 1 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 17 82% 25 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:45
2 Jailton Almeida 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 31 of 40 77% 64 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jailton Almeida 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 45 of 57 78% 44 of 55 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 5 0 of 0 44 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jailton Almeida 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 17 82% 14 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 15
2 Jailton Almeida 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 31 of 40 77% 30 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 30 of 37
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Big Brady is extremely confident in Almeida, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Abdurakhimov has been pulled out of fights repeatedly and is being fed to Almeida. He expects Almeida to take the fight down and finish in the first round, similar to Curtis Blaydes' win over Abdurakhimov but earlier. He says you can't even think about picking Shamil.

first round TKO
"you can't pick Shamil here you can't even think about picking Shamil here it would be a massive upset a massive massive upset give me Charlton gelatin I'll say first round TKO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Cody picks Jailton Almeida confidently, expecting him to take down and smash Abdurakhimov. He notes Almeida's grappling is elite and Abdurakhimov's takedown defense is poor. He mentions Almeida's size disadvantage but thinks his skills overcome it. He says Almeida will win inside the distance, likely by submission. He acknowledges the -900 line is scary but thinks Almeida is the real deal.

considers over 1.5 rounds at +275; mentions Almeida inside the distance props
"I feel like gelatin rolls him up like I don't know that I would say he's minus 900 because again heavyweights heavyweights be heavyweights don't want to go down that road like I get it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Connor agrees, calling Almeida a great athlete with tremendous skill. He notes Abdurakhimov has some trickiness but lacks durability and speed. Almeida should win easily, likely by submission.

"Almeida is a great athlete in stupendous condition and a tremendously skilled wrestler and grappler."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Paul picks Jailton Almeida, noting his grappling and power. He says Almeida will take down and finish Abdurakhimov. He mentions Abdurakhimov's recent losses and poor takedown defense. He thinks Almeida is a future champion at 205 but is dominating heavyweights. He says Almeida inside the distance is a good bet.

mentions Almeida inside the distance; says Almeida by submission is -175
"I got all made I'll chase a better price but going on made it inside the distance I'm made of my submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

The Guru is very confident in Almeida, calling him a 'roid monster' and noting his dominant grappling. He points out that Abdurakhimov is 41, inactive, and coming off a KO loss to Pavlovich. Almeida outgrappled a Dagestani on the contender series and has been competing in grappling tournaments. The Guru predicts a first-round submission by naked choke, calling it a walkover.

submission in first round
"I reckon he's going to win this one via naked choke in the first round again I think this is going to be a walkover for jail tonight made her he's on the source"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Zane picks Almeida confidently, noting his athleticism, wrestling, and grappling are far superior. Abdurakhimov is shop-worn, lacks durability, and is too passive. Almeida should get a takedown and dominate.

Fight doesn't go to decision -1200, Almeida inside distance -550, Almeida by submission -165
"You just have to assume that an athlete like Almeida can literally fumble his way through that dangerous range, eat whatever he's got to eat, get his hands on Shamil and ragdoll him."
TKO (punches) R1 4:03 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergei Pavlovich 0 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 21 of 47 44% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergei Pavlovich 0 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 21 of 47 44% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergei Pavlovich 17 of 34 50% 4 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 13 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 21 of 47 44% 21 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 22 4 of 8 11 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergei Pavlovich 17 of 34 50% 4 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 13 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 21 of 47 44% 21 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 22 4 of 8 11 of 17
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Sergei Pavlovich

Round 1
The lone fight without a representative or fan-favorite from the region is an all-Russia battle that total 512 pounds of heavyweight in the cage, not counting referee Dan Movahedi. Abdurakhimov (20-6, 5-4 UFC) and Pavlovich (14-1, 2-1 UFC) will throw down in hopes of keeping their UFC records above .500, but only one will keep that positive record after this fight barring a draw or wacky result. The countrymen touch gloves while the crowd does not appear overly interested in this matchup, and the first strike comes from Abdurakhimov in the form of a light low kick. The pace is very slow early, with only a few leg kicks coming from “Abrek,” and the fans are letting them know. They both wing single punches and are well off the mark, and the tentative staring contest continues until they push out jabs at the same time. Pavlovich counters a leg kick with a straight right hand down the pipe, but it does not have much on it and Abdurakhimov pays it no mind. Abdurakhimov goes for a leg kick, and suddenly Pavlovich springs into action, letting loose with a salvo of punches that knock Abdurakhimov’s head around. Abdurakhimov gathers himself, circles away and dodges an overhand right, and appears no worse for wear. “Abrek” ducks in, and he meets an uppercut on the way in, while still managing to connect with a right hook. They trade jabs, and Pavlovich just misses with a swinging right. Abdurakhimov crashes forward for a takedown entry, and Pavlovich is a stone wall and he stops it in its tracks. Pavlovich measures his left hand out, only to get warned for outstretched fingers, and Abdurakhimov goes back to his slow rhythm of a leg kick every so often.
Out of nowhere, Pavlovich leans forward and rips a shovel uppercut out of the realm of “Mortal Kombat,” knocking Abdurakhimov clean off his feet. Abdurakhimov turns to his knees after hitting the ground, and he turtles up as Pavlovich tries to finish the job with hammerfists. Several blows land to the back of Abdurakhimov’s head, and Movahedi warns Abdurakhimov to keep moving, all while Pavlovich rains down hammers. As Abdurakhimov is about to get back up, Movahedi intervenes to stop the fight, leading “Abrek” to immediately protest what seems to be a premature stoppage.
There is nothing more he can complain about because the fight is over, and Pavlovich strides off to celebrate his victory in his first appearance since 2019.

The Official Result
Sergei Pavlovich def. Shamil Abdurakhimov R1 4:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Angelo picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by knockout, assuming he is the same fighter as before his two-year layoff. He notes that Pavlovich has great power and speed, and trusts his chin. He thinks Abdurakhimov will look to wrestle but will struggle to keep Pavlovich down, leading to a knockout. He advises against betting due to the layoff.

prediction: wins by knockout; advice: don't bet
"one of these heavyweights has not fought in two full years this is not the type of fight that you want to take your hard-earned money and throw it down on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Big Brady picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by first-round knockout. He notes Pavlovich is 11 years younger, has an eight-inch reach advantage, and the fight will stay standing. He believes Shamil Abdurakhimov has taken a lot of damage recently and is 40 years old with health issues. Brady expects Pavlovich to knock him out early.

first round knockout
"i think he does knock out chamill in the first round here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Cody picks Pavlovich, citing his power and Abdurakhimov's age and decline. He thinks Pavlovich's layoff is a concern but believes his power will be too much. He notes Abdurakhimov has been knocked out by lesser fighters and Pavlovich should finish early.

"i got sergey here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Daniel Levi picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by knockout inside the distance. He notes Pavlovich's age advantage (29 vs 40), reach advantage (8 inches), and recent KO wins, while Abdurakhimov has taken brutal beatings in his last two fights. Levi acknowledges the inactivity concern for Pavlovich but believes if he's motivated, he will finish the older fighter. He also mentions that Abdurakhimov's durability has been questioned.

Inside the distance feels like the bet
"give me sergey pavlovic to come out here and knock on shamila abdulrah came off inside the distance feels like the bet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Pavlovich has power and speed, but his wins over Marcelo Golm and Maurice Greene aren't convincing. Abdurakhimov is disciplined and has decent knockout power, plus a grappling advantage if the fight goes long. Pavlovich in round one at -105 is the best bet, as he tends to finish early. If the fight stretches, Abdurakhimov could surprise. I'm picking Pavlovich via first-round KO, but I can't get behind the -300 line.

Pavlovich in round 1 (-105); Abdurakhimov via decision (+500)
"I will still pick Pavlovic to win this fight but I just can't get behind those odds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Paul picks Pavlovich, emphasizing his power and Abdurakhimov's lack of durability. He thinks the layoff is a red flag but believes Pavlovich's youth and training at Eagles MMA will help. He notes the price is high but expects a first-round KO.

"i would say that this seriously favors pavlovic"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

The Guru picks Sergei Pavlovich, impressed by his physical attributes (84-inch reach, 6'2"). He notes Abdurakhimov has been KO'd multiple times and taken damage. He believes Pavlovich's power and speed will be too much, predicting a first-round KO. He compares Pavlovich favorably to Shamil and thinks he has real potential in the heavyweight division.

first round KO
"i am going to go have sergey pavlovich here... i'm going to call a first round ko for him"
LOSS vs Chris Daukaus
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 1:23 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Daukaus 0 23 of 63 36% 23 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 2 38 of 93 40% 38 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Daukaus 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 28 of 65 43% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
2 Chris Daukaus 0 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 10 of 28 35% 10 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Daukaus 23 of 63 36% 13 of 48 6 of 11 4 of 4 22 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 38 of 93 40% 34 of 88 2 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 58 2 of 5 18 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Daukaus 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 6 of 11 4 of 4 18 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 28 of 65 43% 25 of 62 1 of 1 2 of 2 12 of 39 2 of 5 14 of 21
2 Chris Daukaus 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 10 of 28 35% 9 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Angelo picks Daukaus, citing his speed, technical boxing, and combination striking. He notes that Abdurakhimov has more power but is less clean and hasn't fought in two years. Angelo believes Daukaus will use his speed and angles to put Abdurakhimov away, though he acknowledges the unknown of Daukaus' takedown defense.

Angelo likes Daukaus at $8,000 in DraftKings and suggests a moneyline bet or inside the distance. He also mentions the line has moved to -210 and recommends inside the distance decision no action at -170.
"Chris Dawkins wins this"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Big Brady picks Chris Daukaus to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Shamil Abdurakhimov is 40 years old, has a two-year layoff, and has health issues, while Daukaus has improved significantly and has power. He believes Daukaus will stuff takedowns and land a knockout.

first round knockout
"give me chris dawkins to win and chris stock is to get another first round at knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Cody picks Daukaus, citing his speed advantage, youth, and recent improvements. He notes Abdurakhimov is 40, hasn't fought in two years, and was throttled by Blaydes. He expects Daukaus to finish him, possibly inside the distance.

Daukaus inside the distance (+100)
"i expect uh darkest to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Daniel Levi picks Chris Daukaus, citing his fast hands for a heavyweight and his black belt in jiu-jitsu. He notes that Daukaus has finished opponents quickly but has been finished himself when fights go past the first round. Levi is curious to see how Daukaus handles the second round but believes his speed and momentum will be enough against Shamil Abdurakhimov, who has been out for a while.

"i gotta go with chris dawkis the age gap the the speed the momentum all that"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Jacob picks Daukaus, calling him a real deal heavyweight prospect. He notes that Abdurakhimov's wrestling is not effective and that Daukaus has a ton of first-round finishes. Jacob believes this is a setup win for Daukaus and expects a finish.

Jacob likes Daukaus by KO/TKO at +120 and plans to include him in DraftKings lineup. He calls it a 'quadruple lock of the week' and mentions knockout Kings.
"Chris Dawkins honestly is a real deal Prodigy in the heavyweight Division"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Chris Daukaus

The host picks Chris Daukaus by first-round knockout. He believes Daukaus' striking is improving fight by fight and his speed and movement will keep Abdurakhimov at bay. He expects Daukaus to land crisp straight shots down the middle and eventually find the knockout blow. He notes that Abdurakhimov has the grappling advantage but Daukaus' striking is too good to fade.

"official prediction for this fight will be darkest and i'm going to take him to one by first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Paul picks Daukaus, noting his speed, boxing advantage, and youth. He mentions Abdurakhimov's age, layoff, and recent loss. He expects Daukaus to win but is unsure about the over/under rounds.

"i think dog is just dances around shamil um and honestly chamill is basically uh almost on the level with like olynyk at this point"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

The MMA Guru picks Chris Daukaus over Shamil Abdurakhimov, citing Daukaus' speed and power, and Abdurakhimov's two-year layoff and history of being knocked out. He notes that Daukaus showed good takedown defense against Alexei Oleinik and is a fast starter. He expects Abdurakhimov to be hesitant early due to ring rust, and Daukaus to land a counter blow and finish with a TKO in the first round.

first round tko
"i'm going to be going with chris dalcause here by first round tko over shimila abdurakimov"
LOSS vs Curtis Blaydes
TKO (elbow and punches) R2 2:22 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 25 of 43 58% 46 of 74 5 of 5 100% 0 0 6:08
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 12 of 24 50% 25 of 43 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:02
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 13 of 19 68% 21 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 25 of 43 58% 23 of 41 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 23 of 33
Shamil Abdurakhimov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 12 of 24 50% 10 of 22 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 17
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Curtis Blaydes 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 16
Shamil Abdurakhimov 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Marcin Tybura
TKO (punches) R2 3:15 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 1 36 of 87 41% 36 of 87 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 0 19 of 53 35% 19 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 34 41% 14 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 1 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 28 of 70 40% 17 of 58 6 of 7 5 of 5 26 of 65 2 of 5 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 36 of 87 41% 24 of 72 10 of 13 2 of 2 26 of 74 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 36 38% 10 of 31 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 19 of 53 35% 11 of 43 6 of 8 2 of 2 14 of 47 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 34 41% 7 of 27 4 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 29 2 of 5 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 17 of 34 50% 13 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 27 5 of 7 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Sep 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 18 of 58 31% 27 of 71 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:19
Andrei Arlovski 0 32 of 70 45% 67 of 108 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 9 of 22 40% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 5 of 16 31% 25 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 17 29% 9 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
Andrei Arlovski 0 16 of 23 69% 30 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
3 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 4 of 19 21% 7 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 11 of 31 35% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 18 of 58 31% 8 of 45 6 of 9 4 of 4 9 of 39 6 of 13 3 of 6
Andrei Arlovski 32 of 70 45% 19 of 50 9 of 16 4 of 4 12 of 41 6 of 11 14 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 9 of 22 40% 3 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 4 of 11 3 of 7 2 of 4
Andrei Arlovski 5 of 16 31% 3 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 6 2 of 4 2 of 6
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 17 29% 2 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 2 of 4 1 of 2
Andrei Arlovski 16 of 23 69% 12 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 12
3 Shamil Abdurakhimov 4 of 19 21% 3 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 11 of 31 35% 4 of 20 4 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Chase Sherman
KO (punch) R1 1:24 · UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Nov 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 13 38% 4 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 13 38% 4 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
TKO (punches) R4 3:42 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Dec 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 0 39 of 90 43% 46 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:42
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 15 of 37 40% 77 of 106 4 of 11 36% 1 0 7:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 1 of 7 14% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 4 of 11 36% 23 of 31 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:37
2 Derrick Lewis 0 7 of 14 50% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 9 of 11 81% 43 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:00
3 Derrick Lewis 0 4 of 22 18% 6 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 8 12% 8 of 19 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:18
4 Derrick Lewis 0 27 of 47 57% 28 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:10
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 7 14% 3 of 9 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 39 of 90 43% 32 of 81 5 of 7 2 of 2 8 of 46 4 of 7 27 of 37
Shamil Abdurakhimov 15 of 37 40% 5 of 23 5 of 6 5 of 8 5 of 23 5 of 7 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 1 of 7 14% 0 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 2
2 Derrick Lewis 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 4 3 of 4
Shamil Abdurakhimov 9 of 11 81% 2 of 4 5 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 2 4 of 5
3 Derrick Lewis 4 of 22 18% 3 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Derrick Lewis 27 of 47 57% 25 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 12 2 of 2 24 of 33
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 7 14% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov

Round 1
Referee Dan Miragliotta is the third man in the cage for tonight's heavyweight main event. Lewis starts out in the center of the cage, slowly pressing outward toward Abdurakhimov, who cuts short angles around the perimeter. Abdurakhimov catches hold of Lewis' first kick and takes the "Black Beast" to the ground in the center of the cage. Straight to side control goes Abdurakhimov, leaning left to right across Lewis' body to frame up a keylock. Lewis rolls to his left, instantly relieving pressure on the arm and allowing him to stand up. Abdurakhimov stays with him, holding a rear waistlock until he's able to push Lewis against the fence. Lewis throws a knee, has the leg caught but keeps his balance and stays standing, while Abdurakhimov goes back to muscling him against the wall. Abdurakhimov gets double underhooks as they hit the midway point of round one, but Lewis pushes him away with a forearm to the face. With 90 seconds on the clock, Lewis initiates a clinch on the fence, but he's quickly spun around by Abdurakhimov. The big men split with one minute on the clock, but Abdurakhimov comes back for a late takedown and finishes the round in full mount.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 2
Both men throw big right hands at the start of round two, and they wind up clinching with over-unders in the center of the cage. Lewis gives Abdurakhimov a shot to the body before the Russian presses him against the fence. Referee Miragliotta warns Abdurakhimov for grabbing the fence behind Lewis' back, and seconds later, Lewis nearly tosses Abdurakhimov to the side. The ref separates the fighters and brings them back to the center after a few seconds of ineffective clinching. Lewis slings a big right hand but it's deflected by the arms of Abdurakhimov as he steps inside to clinch again with three minutes left. Lewis breaks away, nearly slips to the ground throwing a high kick, now walks forward on Abdurakhimov once again. Lewis lands a body kick, but it's caught by Abdurakhimov and converted to another takedown. Abdurakhimov works from Lewis' wide open guard with 90 seconds on the clock, but there's not much happening on the ground, drawing boos from the Albany crowd. Lewis gets hold of a leg and drops back to try a heel hook; Abdurakhimov escapes and latches onto Lewis' left leg as he stands. Lewis hops backward to the fence, socking Abdurakhimov in the face with a few punches before ultimately being taken down again in the closing seconds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 3
Lewis steps in with a knee, caught by Abdurakhimov and turned into another takedown. This time, Lewis springs back to his feet and starts firing punches at Abdurakhimov, keeping the Russian on the outside through the first minute of the round. Abdurakhimov shoots an ugly shot, gets pushed away and clipped by an uppercut from Lewis, who steps back to reset in the center of the cage. Lewis is walking in slow, small steps, not expending a lot of energy as he follows Abdurakhimov around the perimeter. This time, it's Lewis who ducks inside, pushes Abdurakhimov to the fence and drops for a double-leg. Abdurakhimov easily blocks the takedown attempt and circles away. Abdurakhimov whiffs on a spinning backfist, dodges Lewis' counter right hand and goes low to drive "The Black Beast" back to the canvas. Under two minutes left in the round as Abdurakhimov works from Lewis' closed guard. After almost a minute of inactivity, referee Miragliotta stands up the fighters. Lewis plods forward slowly as boos rain down again; Abdurakhimov, who continues to back away, receives a verbal warning from the referee for failing to engage.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Lewis
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 4
Lewis tries to go upstairs with a left high kick, but his leg is grabbed by Abdurakhimov once again. The heavyweights tangle up on the fence for a few seconds, then Lewis snuffs out an Abdurakhimov double-leg shot. Abdurakhimov resets and then comes right back to hold Lewis on the wall. Almost immediately, referee Miragliotta tells the fighters to "get busy," and Abdurakhimov obliges by breaking off the clinch with an elbow strike. Halfway through the round, Lewis pulls down Abdurakhimov's head in the Thai clinch and partially lands with a knee. Lewis changes levels and scores a takedown at the fence, and suddenly it's Abdurakhimov on his back, covering up as Lewis postures up to land big right hands. Lewis goes knee-on-belly, then over to full mount; Abdurakhimov bucks and rolls underneath, trying to escape, but Lewis is relentless and smashes away with punches until the referee stops the fight.

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Shamil Abdurakhimov via TKO (Punches) R4 3:42
Chase Sherman - Fight History
LOSS vs Karl Williams
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karl Williams 0 70 of 165 42% 85 of 191 1 of 10 10% 0 0 2:35
Chase Sherman 0 54 of 158 34% 64 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karl Williams 0 19 of 43 44% 34 of 69 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:41
Chase Sherman 0 11 of 39 28% 17 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karl Williams 0 23 of 63 36% 23 of 63 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Chase Sherman 0 13 of 56 23% 15 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karl Williams 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:31
Chase Sherman 0 30 of 63 47% 32 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karl Williams 70 of 165 42% 53 of 147 6 of 6 11 of 12 65 of 159 2 of 3 3 of 3
Chase Sherman 54 of 158 34% 26 of 124 10 of 15 18 of 19 46 of 148 8 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karl Williams 19 of 43 44% 14 of 38 2 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 38 2 of 2 3 of 3
Chase Sherman 11 of 39 28% 6 of 32 0 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 36 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Karl Williams 23 of 63 36% 17 of 56 2 of 2 4 of 5 23 of 62 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 13 of 56 23% 5 of 47 1 of 2 7 of 7 13 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Karl Williams 28 of 59 47% 22 of 53 2 of 2 4 of 4 28 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 30 of 63 47% 15 of 45 9 of 11 6 of 7 23 of 56 7 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Angelo is very confident in Karl Williams, calling him a powerful striker with solid wrestling. He notes Chase Sherman is hittable with no head movement and doesn't have one-punch knockout power. He says Williams should dominate bell to bell and is a safe parlay piece. He urges to smash the line even at -400.

Safe parlay piece
"you need to smash this line you need to smash it it's already not great at minus 400 but Carl Williams should dominate this Bell to Bell"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Big Brady is very confident in Williams, calling this a tailor-made matchup. He notes Sherman has terrible takedown defense and one of the worst ground games in the UFC, citing his losses to Romanov and Collier. Williams has good wrestling, as shown in his Contender Series win over Jimmy Lawson. Brady predicts Williams will take Sherman down, pound him out, and get a finish inside the distance. He says if Williams doesn't finish Sherman here, he never will.

inside the distance (submission or TKO)
"I think if Carl Williams does not finished Chase Sherman he will never finish anybody and the rest of his career because this is like a tailor-made matchup for Carl Williams"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Cody picks Williams confidently, citing Sherman's poor takedown defense and tendency to gas. He notes that Williams will take Sherman down and control him, and that Sherman's punching power is overrated. He expects Williams to win by decision or late stoppage, and likes the over 3 takedowns prop for Williams.

over 3 takedowns for Williams on PrizePicks
"I gotta go with Williams I mean here's the thing about Chase too though is that like he's not exactly like a power puncher"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Williams is much faster and a rare heavyweight with good wrestling. He notes that Sherman's style requires a brawl, but Williams can avoid that by taking him down. Connor feels bad for Sherman, who seems to dislike fighting, and expects Williams to win easily.

"I just expect that line to get wider. Frankly. It honestly should."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Daniel Levi picks Karl Williams, emphasizing his wrestling advantage and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes that while Williams may have cardio concerns, Sherman is not a cardio machine either. Levi expects Williams to implement his game plan and break Sherman late, securing his second UFC win. He also mentions calling Williams' amateur fights and being impressed by his journey.

"I think ultimately Carl Williams can be able to implement that takedown game break Sherman late come out here and get a second UFC win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Sherman has a gut feeling pick; Williams has cardio issues and leaves openings. Sherman can survive the early onslaught, work back to his feet, and land big punches for a knockout. Williams slows down and Sherman has the experience to capitalize. Low confidence but Sherman by knockout is the call.

"I'm gonna go chase Sherman by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Paul picks Sherman as a value underdog due to heavyweight volatility, but is hesitant. He notes Sherman's puncher's chance and the fact that Williams is not a real heavyweight. He mentions a previous Shoei bet on Williams and is considering waiting for better odds. He acknowledges Williams' grappling advantage but is not confident.

Shoei bet (3-1) on Williams if accepted
"I'm gonna say heavyweight volatility for the purpose of this show I'm picking Chase Sherman but I'm a little bit more hesitant a little bit less gung-ho than last time"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karl Williams

The MMA Guru picks Karl Williams, noting his wrestling advantage and Sherman's tendency to lose by being taken down. He believes Williams will take Sherman down and beat him up on the ground, as Sherman has a lot of miles on him.

"I'm gonna go if Carl Williams here over Chase Sherman... I think that Carl Williams is going to be able to take down Chase Sherman and even do okay on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karl Williams

Zane is confident in Karl Williams, citing his speed advantage and wrestling ability as clear edges over Chase Sherman. He notes that Sherman lacks defense and enjoyment in fighting, and that Williams can take him down at will. Zane expects Williams to dominate, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound.

"Williams though, doesn't even have to have that fight with him. No, no, he doesn't. He's just going to take him down."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 66 of 177 37% 73 of 187 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
Chase Sherman 0 147 of 278 52% 149 of 282 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 18 of 50 36% 23 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:03
Chase Sherman 0 29 of 71 40% 29 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 21 of 48 43% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Chase Sherman 0 71 of 121 58% 73 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 27 of 79 34% 28 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Chase Sherman 0 47 of 86 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 66 of 177 37% 25 of 130 16 of 19 25 of 28 66 of 174 0 of 3 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 147 of 278 52% 124 of 247 17 of 25 6 of 6 142 of 271 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 18 of 50 36% 6 of 36 4 of 5 8 of 9 18 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 29 of 71 40% 19 of 60 6 of 7 4 of 4 27 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 21 of 48 43% 8 of 34 6 of 7 7 of 7 21 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 71 of 121 58% 66 of 113 5 of 8 0 of 0 68 of 116 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Waldo Cortes Acosta 27 of 79 34% 11 of 60 6 of 7 10 of 12 27 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 47 of 86 54% 39 of 74 6 of 10 2 of 2 47 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Chase Sherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-210), Sherman (+180)

Round 1
The year is 2022, and because of unfortunate circumstances, Sherman (16-10, 4-9 UFC), who has won four times in 13 walks to the Octagon thus far, is serving in a UFC card’s co-main event. He is on a one-fight win streak, as he put Jared Vanderaa away in July to break a four-fight skid. “The Vanilla Gorilla” will square off against an unbeaten former baseball player in Cortes-Acosta (8-0, 1-0 UFC), who also beat Vanderaa a few weeks ago. Referee Jacob Montalvo draws the charge for a fight that could end in an instant, but he does appreciate that the two are in good spirits as they touch ‘em up before colliding. The big men aim jabs and single punches at one another to measure their range. Sherman strikes first with a powerful strike, sinking in a calf kick on the inside of the leg and the another on the outside. Cortes-Acosta snaps the head back with a jab, and Sherman smashes his shin on the calf as “Salsa Boy” does a little impromptu dance to recover. Sherman puts his jab in his foe’s face, and Cortes-Acosta responds in kind. Sherman mixes things up with his low kicks, and he plants his leg on the midsection as well. Cortes-Acosta charges with a flurry, and Sherman slides out of the way of the worst of it and sinks in another low kick. Cortes-Acosta rifles a few jabs and a right hand down the pipe, and Sherman takes it on the chin. The big men kick at the same time, and they both take an odd step back before coming back to trade hands. Sherman sticks and moves as Cortes-Acosta rushes forward in a straight line, but he does not avoid the chopping kick at the end of the salvo. Sherman backs the undefeated fighter up, but he does not walk face-first into a big overhand right. Cortes-Acosta loads up on power punches, and Sherman keeps his composure and trashes the lead leg of his opponent with a brutal kick. Cortes-Acosta reaches down and grabs it, where he uses it to bully Sherman into the wall in hopes of dragging him down. Sherman escapes and turns the tables to clinch up, and Cortes-Acosta plays the proverbial game of putting one hand down on the mat to prevent knee strikes to the head. Cortes-Acosta explodes out with a jab and an uppercut, but Sherman takes the wind out of his sails by throwing him down on the floor and landing in side control. Before anything can come of it, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sherman
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sherman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sherman

Round 2
The second round opens with several stiff jabs from the ex-baseball player, and he walks through a low kick to continue jabbing Sherman up. Sherman’s face begins to turn red as he absorbs repeated jabs, and he backs off when Cortes-Acosta turns up the offense and attacks. “Salsa Boy” blitzes Sherman with a long series of punches, knocking Sherman’s head around and hurting him badly. Sherman survives by clinching up and hanging on to clear his head, doing so long enough to shake it out before Cortes-Acosta pushes him away. When separated, Cortes-Acosta unloads again with a string of punches, and Sherman takes them all and fires back to rock Cortes-Acosta. The undefeated fighter bounces off the wall and connects with a right hand that stuns Sherman, but Sherman’s chin holds together after the ferocious blow. Cortes-Acosta rails Sherman with heavy punches, and he shrugs off a leg kick and stops a takedown that is aimed at him. Cortes-Acosta pops out several jabs to fluster Sherman, and he checks a low kick and does a showboating dance. Cortes-Acosta surges into action, battering Sherman with several fierce punches. Cortes-Acosta catches a low kick and responds with a body kick, but Sherman protests the foot hit him in the groin. Montalvo tell them to play on, and Cortes-Acosta obliges by swarming his man with punches. Cortes-Acosta unleashes a hellacious salvo of uppercuts, standing hammerfists, flailing fists and other ridiculous punches in hopes of getting Sherman out of there, but Sherman makes it through them all. Cortes-Acosta appears to have completely spent his gas tank searching for that finish, as he practically puts his hands on his hips from fatigue. The round concludes with the two clinched up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta

Round 3
The heavyweights reach the last round, and both men are feeling it. Sherman appears the fresher man of the two, as Cortes-Acosta is slowed and keeps his hands low. The volume of the two fighters has diminished greatly, relegated to bursts of one man and then the other. Cortes-Acosta checks a low kick and takes a front kick to the body, and Sherman kicks him in the side. This third kick prompts Cortes-Acosta into action, as he races forward with a booming right hand. Sherman is barely on his feet, and Cortes-Acosta pummels him with a few more fastballs that Sherman incredibly takes. The two are sucking wind, and Sherman gathers himself and walks Cortes-Acosta down and connects with a few punches and a knee up the middle. They trade punches, with defense an afterthought as exhaustion overcomes both men. Cortes-Acosta works the body and head, and starts playing around with his hands as he does not appear concerned with Sherman’s power. Sherman answers this with a few quick punches and a low kick, and a second makes Cortes-Acosta wag his finger at him. Cortes-Acosta ducks down with a right hand up top, and he is so spent that he can barely make a fist. As a result, Cortes-Acosta slaps Sherman a few times with an open hand, and Sherman jumps forward with heavy punches. Cortes-Acosta flails and swings with little mustard on his shots, and he still catches Sherman coming at him with a short right hand. Try as he might, the unbeaten fighter cannot put Sherman out of there, but he backs away and keeps throwing punches and kicks right to the final horn. Sherman is tough, doing the same, and walking through anything coming his way, and this heavyweight slobberknocker has surprisingly gone the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Chase Sherman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
TKO (punches) R3 3:10 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Sherman 0 109 of 266 40% 109 of 267 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Vanderaa 1 137 of 235 58% 137 of 235 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Sherman 0 29 of 92 31% 29 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Vanderaa 0 46 of 70 65% 46 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Sherman 0 44 of 102 43% 44 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Vanderaa 0 40 of 81 49% 40 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chase Sherman 0 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Vanderaa 1 51 of 84 60% 51 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Sherman 109 of 266 40% 76 of 224 18 of 25 15 of 17 108 of 265 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 137 of 235 58% 86 of 175 32 of 39 19 of 21 134 of 231 3 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Sherman 29 of 92 31% 15 of 75 6 of 9 8 of 8 29 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 46 of 70 65% 21 of 43 17 of 19 8 of 8 46 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Sherman 44 of 102 43% 34 of 87 6 of 9 4 of 6 44 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 40 of 81 49% 26 of 62 7 of 12 7 of 7 40 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chase Sherman 36 of 72 50% 27 of 62 6 of 7 3 of 3 35 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 51 of 84 60% 39 of 70 8 of 8 4 of 6 48 of 80 3 of 3 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

Angelo picks Jared Vanderaa, noting his volume striking and size advantage. He mentions Vanderaa has wrestling in his back pocket and should cruise to a decision if he fights like he did against Andre Arlovski. He acknowledges Chase Sherman's high output but points out Sherman is very hittable, absorbing over 6 significant strikes per minute. He thinks the fight is closer than the odds suggest but favors Vanderaa.

"Jared bandera is the pick... this should be a pick and fight the odds are heavily favoring jared van dara I think this is closer to even."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

Big Brady leans toward Jared Vanderaa, emphasizing that if Vanderaa takes the fight to the mat, he will win easily due to Sherman's terrible ground game. He notes that Sherman has no striking defense and poor cardio, while Vanderaa has better cardio and defensive responsibility. However, he questions whether Vanderaa will actually attempt takedowns, as he has zero takedown attempts in his last five fights. He predicts a first-round ground-and-pound TKO if Vanderaa wrestles.

first round ground and pound TKO
"jared bandera first round grounded pound victory"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

Cody thinks Vanderaa will weather Sherman's early storm and then take over with volume and pressure. He notes Sherman tends to fade in the second and third rounds. He's not confident because both are low-level heavyweights, but he leans Vanderaa due to output and durability.

Mentions Vanderaa over 51.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
"vandarin not going to take him down early i bet what he needs to do is weather the early storm and just continuously put on pressure continuously come forward wear on him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He only mentions it in passing when asked about fights likely to go to decision, listing Sherman vs Vanderaa as one possibility. No pick or bet is made.

"Sherman vanderaa"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Paul thinks this is a dogger pass situation but picks Sherman for the show. He notes that Vanderaa has poor fight IQ and that Sherman could win if he keeps it standing. He's not confident but sees value at plus money.

"another spot i think is dog or pass but like i i don't think i can build up the courage after coming off of like such a horrible week last week to bet uh chase sherman at plus 175 but …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

The Guru calls Jared Vanderaa a lock, citing his size advantage and better grappling compared to Sherman. He notes Vanderaa's decent performance against Arlovski and Romanov, while Sherman is small and lacks grappling. He predicts a TKO or submission in the second round.

TKO or submission in the second round
"Jared Vanderaa is the lock."
Submission (americana) R1 2:11 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera · Apr 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexandr Romanov 0 8 of 14 57% 11 of 17 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:58
Chase Sherman 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexandr Romanov 0 8 of 14 57% 11 of 17 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:58
Chase Sherman 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexandr Romanov 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 14
Chase Sherman 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexandr Romanov 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 14
Chase Sherman 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 24, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Angelo picks Romanov as a lock, expecting him to steamroll Sherman. He highlights Romanov's incredible wrestling, speed, and power, and notes Sherman lacks one-punch KO power to stop Romanov's takedowns. He mentions Romanov was a -2500 favorite initially and recommends using him in parlays if the odds are reasonable.

parlay piece; was -2500 favorite initially
"alexander romanov is absolutely 100 gonna be the win here and if you can get him at odds that are not minus 2500 throw him in a parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Big Brady is extremely confident in Romanov, calling it a huge mismatch. He notes Romanov's undefeated record and finishing ability, while Sherman is a low-level opponent. He predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission, as Romanov will take the fight down and end it quickly.

first round finish, submission or TKO
"i would be shocked if this left the first round i think romanov cruises here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lock picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Cody agrees Romanov is a lock, noting Sherman's poor grappling and recent losses. He thinks Romanov will take him down and finish, likely by submission or ground and pound. Cody mentions the only potential issues are a DQ or Sherman landing a lucky shot, but considers those unlikely. He plans to use Romanov in DFS lineups.

Romanov inside the distance, Romanov first round (mentioned as -450 on his parlay)
"alexander romanov first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Daniel Levi is confident Alexandr Romanov will dominate Chase Sherman. He expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish quickly, noting Sherman's poor head movement and susceptibility to being hit. Levi calls the line unplayable due to the heavy favorite price and advises against betting on Sherman.

"i think romano's gonna dominate him and destroy him so yeah i get people are taken aback ... the odds suck so just sit back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

The host picks Romanov with high confidence, citing his dominant wrestling and ground-and-pound. He notes Sherman was submitted by Jake Collier, and Romanov is a much better grappler. Romanov's cardio has improved, and he will take Sherman down and finish him. The only path for Sherman is a lucky knockout, but Romanov's chin is durable.

Romanov inside the distance -650, Romanov round 1 -180
"romanov romanov easy money"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lock picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Paul is extremely confident Romanov wins, calling it a smash. He notes Romanov's improved physique and cardio, and that Sherman has poor grappling and was submitted by Jake Collier. Paul expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish him, likely by TKO or submission. He mentions the only risks are a DQ or injury, but otherwise Romanov should dominate.

Romanov inside the distance (mentioned as -550 or -700), Romanov TKO (personal pick)
"romanov should smash a hundred percent"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

The Guru picks Romanov to win by first-round TKO (ground and pound). He believes Romanov will easily take Sherman down and dominate on the ground, as Sherman lacks the grappling to deal with him. The Guru thinks Romanov may want to punish Sherman for pulling out of their previous fight, so he will opt for a TKO rather than a submission. He predicts a first-round finish.

Romanov by first-round TKO (ground and pound)
"i do believe that alexander romanov is gonna go out there as i said before and get a first round submission on chase sherman... i think i'm actually going to lean more in the favor of a ground and pound …"
LOSS vs Jake Collier
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:26 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Collier 0 20 of 49 40% 20 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:07
Chase Sherman 0 10 of 17 58% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Collier 0 20 of 49 40% 20 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:07
Chase Sherman 0 10 of 17 58% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Collier 20 of 49 40% 18 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 1 12 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 13
Chase Sherman 10 of 17 58% 8 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Collier 20 of 49 40% 18 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 1 12 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 13
Chase Sherman 10 of 17 58% 8 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Angelo picks Sherman in a close fight, citing his better athleticism and pace. He notes both are similar boxers but Sherman has better volume and durability, while Collier may fade. He expects a striking war going to decision and won't bet on it.

No stoppage expected; fight goes to decision.
"i like chase to keep a pace and take a decision here but this is another fight that's super close"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Big Brady notes Jake Collier throws high volume but has no power, while Chase Sherman hits hard and has a 93% knockout rate. He thinks Sherman's durability and power will be the difference, predicting a knockout. However, he admits neither fighter is reliable and that Collier could win a decision if he survives. He picks Sherman by knockout but is not confident.

Sherman by knockout
"i'll take sherman by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Cody picks Collier, agreeing with Paul's analysis. He notes Sherman's cardio issues and Collier's volume striking. He expects Collier to win by decision or late TKO. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds is heavily juiced, indicating a likely decision.

"i'll lean towards collier"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Daniel Levi picks Jake Collier, citing his higher work rate and slightly better technique. He warns about Chase Sherman's leg kicks and durability but notes Sherman's cardio drops off in later rounds, which has been a consistent issue even before his USADA suspension. Levi believes Collier can capitalize on Sherman's fatigue and land effective strikes. He also mentions that Collier looked good against Valente and that Sherman has shown a tendency to shy away in tough fights.

"I am also gonna go with jay collier i think that he's got the higher work rate despite what the numbers say"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jake Collier

The host favors Jake Collier due to his high output and movement, similar to Parker Porter who beat Sherman. He notes Sherman's power is a threat early, but Collier's volume and cardio should take over as the fight progresses. He expects Collier to win a decision, as he doesn't see Collier finishing Sherman. The host is confident in Collier's ability to avoid Sherman's power and accumulate strikes.

Decision bet recommended as sharper than moneyline.
"i'm going to be going jay collier and i'll be taking him to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Paul picks Collier, citing Sherman's pattern of gassing after the first round. He notes Collier's high volume and durability, and expects him to outwork Sherman in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests betting Collier live after round 1 as a hedge. He also mentions Collier by decision at +150 as a prop.

Collier by decision at +150; live bet Collier after round 1
"this one screams the exact same thing so i got jake caller and beyond that i think there's an opportunity to bet him after the first round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jake Collier

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Jake Collier, despite acknowledging that most people are picking Chase Sherman. He notes that Sherman has poor head movement and was easily beaten by Arlovski and Parker Porter. Collier, though he ballooned up from middleweight, showed some skill against Carlos Felipe and has a reach advantage. He believes Collier's technical advantages from being a former middleweight will carry him to a close split decision win in a back-and-forth fight.

"i'm leaning jake collier as dumb as it sounds i know the majority of people are picking chase sherman"
LOSS vs Parker Porter
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Parker Porter 0 149 of 278 53% 159 of 294 1 of 8 12% 0 0 2:19
Chase Sherman 0 117 of 249 46% 121 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Parker Porter 0 21 of 56 37% 30 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
Chase Sherman 0 29 of 59 49% 30 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Parker Porter 0 57 of 105 54% 58 of 107 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Chase Sherman 0 51 of 102 50% 52 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Parker Porter 0 71 of 117 60% 71 of 118 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:17
Chase Sherman 0 37 of 88 42% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Parker Porter 149 of 278 53% 116 of 243 17 of 17 16 of 18 141 of 270 7 of 7 1 of 1
Chase Sherman 117 of 249 46% 69 of 199 15 of 17 33 of 33 115 of 247 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Parker Porter 21 of 56 37% 14 of 47 1 of 1 6 of 8 19 of 54 1 of 1 1 of 1
Chase Sherman 29 of 59 49% 20 of 50 1 of 1 8 of 8 29 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Parker Porter 57 of 105 54% 48 of 96 6 of 6 3 of 3 55 of 103 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 51 of 102 50% 27 of 77 11 of 12 13 of 13 50 of 101 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Parker Porter 71 of 117 60% 54 of 100 10 of 10 7 of 7 67 of 113 4 of 4 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 37 of 88 42% 22 of 72 3 of 4 12 of 12 36 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Big Brady picks Chase Sherman confidently, citing his better competition, toughness, and power. He notes Porter is very hittable and has been finished in all his losses. Sherman has a 93% finish rate, all by knockout. He predicts a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"i like chase sherman here quite a bit i don't really think parker porter is ufc caliber"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Cody picks Sherman, citing his athleticism, leg kicks, and volume. He notes Sherman's improved game since his first UFC stint and believes he has a clear advantage. He mentions Sherman's back issues and past PED suspension but still favors him.

"i think chase has a massive athleticism advantage in this spot i think he's going to really uh go on to those uh the the light kicks are going to be key to him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Parker Porter

Porter has good durability, leg kicks, and clinch work. Sherman's volume drops in later rounds, while Porter maintains his pace. If Porter survives the first round, he can take over. I'm picking Porter by decision, but I'm hesitant as some respected people are on Sherman.

over 1.5 rounds (-165); Porter by decision (+425)
"i like porter here quarterback decision laugh at me all you want but i think he has the chops to go out there and uh definitely not look like a plus 165"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Parker Porter

Paul leans toward Porter as a live underdog, highlighting his durability, leg kicks, and pressure. He questions Sherman's cardio and mental toughness, noting Sherman looked defeated against Arlovski. He sees Porter's ability to push pace and land leg kicks as key, but worries about Porter's weight cut and shape.

Fight goes over 1.5 rounds (-165); fight goes the distance (+155)
"i honestly see the fight going over one and a half minus 165 and i think fight goes the distance at plus 155 sounds crazy not crazy at all"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman to win by TKO. He notes Sherman is bigger, has good cardio, and a reach advantage. He expects Sherman to use elbows against the cage on the shorter Porter. He acknowledges Porter's win over Josh Parisian but considers it unimpressive.

TKO by elbows against the cage
"i'm gonna go chase sherman good cardio he's a massive guy for the heavyweight division much bigger than parker porter"
LOSS vs Andrei Arlovski
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrei Arlovski 0 105 of 222 47% 109 of 226 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Chase Sherman 0 88 of 192 45% 99 of 203 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrei Arlovski 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 33 of 69 47% 33 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrei Arlovski 0 32 of 69 46% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Chase Sherman 0 21 of 58 36% 32 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Andrei Arlovski 0 46 of 88 52% 46 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 34 of 65 52% 34 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrei Arlovski 105 of 222 47% 54 of 154 26 of 39 25 of 29 103 of 217 2 of 5 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 88 of 192 45% 55 of 154 16 of 20 17 of 18 84 of 187 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrei Arlovski 27 of 65 41% 15 of 51 4 of 6 8 of 8 25 of 61 2 of 4 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 33 of 69 47% 22 of 55 6 of 8 5 of 6 31 of 66 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Andrei Arlovski 32 of 69 46% 16 of 47 10 of 12 6 of 10 32 of 68 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 21 of 58 36% 12 of 49 4 of 4 5 of 5 20 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Andrei Arlovski 46 of 88 52% 23 of 56 12 of 21 11 of 11 46 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 34 of 65 52% 21 of 50 6 of 8 7 of 7 33 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Andrei Arlovski

Big Brady picks Andrei Arlovski to win by decision, though he is not very confident. He notes that Arlovski is a favorite for the first time in many fights and that Sherman is the easiest opponent Arlovski has faced in a long time. He highlights Sherman's poor striking defense (absorbs 5.55 significant strikes per minute) and Arlovski's good defense (absorbs 2.83). However, he is concerned about Arlovski's age (42) and lack of knockout power. He sees the fight as close and likely to go to decision.

"i'm gonna take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Cody thinks Arlovski is old and boring, landing only 30-50 significant strikes per fight. He notes Sherman is younger, has better output, and is improving. He sees Sherman outpointing Arlovski and considers it a dog or pass fight, leaning towards Sherman as the underdog.

"chase german is a plus 105 underdog and to be quite honest i'm kind of feeling the same thing it's a dodger path type fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Andrei Arlovski

Daniel Levi leans toward Arlovski, noting that he is the better fighter and a sharp counter-puncher. He acknowledges that Chase Sherman has good leg kicks and is 10 years younger, and that Arlovski is coming off a loss to Tom Aspinall. Levi mentions that he has faded Arlovski in the past with mixed results, but this time he thinks Arlovski can win a close decision. He also speculates that Sherman might still be using performance-enhancing drugs.

"i'm going to lean arlowski i think he's the better fighter here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Chase Sherman

Manpreet leans toward Sherman by KO, citing his improved calf-kick-heavy style and the fact that Arlovski's movement-based game could be neutralized by leg kicks. He acknowledges the uncertainty around Sherman's post-suspension performance but believes Sherman's pressure and power can lead to a finish, likely in the second round after wearing Arlovski down.

Sherman by KO +255; under 2.5 rounds +135
"i think chase sherman could go out there and beat up that front leg of uh andre arlovski and really start to go to work with his hands"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Paul says friends don't let friends bet on Chase Sherman, but he is leaning towards Sherman as the underdog. He acknowledges both fighters are bottom heavyweights and that Sherman is 11 years younger. He is not confident and calls it a pitbull or pass fight.

"friends don't let friends bet on chase sherman cody all right let's move on"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Andrei Arlovski

The MMA Guru picks Andrei Arlovski to win by unanimous decision. He notes Arlovski is a tricky veteran who is patient and pushes a good pace. He believes Chase Sherman needs to overwhelm opponents to win, but Arlovski's level of opposition is much higher. He expects Sherman to go all out in the first round, but Arlovski will take over in the second and third for a 29-28 decision.

"i'm going to go with olofsky here against chase sherman"
TKO (elbow and punches) R2 0:49 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Sherman 1 51 of 87 58% 51 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ike Villanueva 0 16 of 54 29% 16 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Sherman 0 39 of 69 56% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ike Villanueva 0 14 of 48 29% 14 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Sherman 1 12 of 18 66% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ike Villanueva 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Sherman 51 of 87 58% 27 of 57 13 of 15 11 of 15 46 of 80 4 of 6 1 of 1
Ike Villanueva 16 of 54 29% 13 of 50 3 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Sherman 39 of 69 56% 17 of 42 13 of 15 9 of 12 39 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ike Villanueva 14 of 48 29% 11 of 44 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Sherman 12 of 18 66% 10 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 3 7 of 11 4 of 6 1 of 1
Ike Villanueva 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Big Brady leans with Chase Sherman due to his UFC experience and size advantage, noting that Ike Villanueva is moving up from light heavyweight and will be the smaller fighter. He acknowledges Villanueva's speed and power but believes Sherman can weather the early storm and take over in the second round, predicting a second-round knockout. However, he calls it a very low-level fight and is not highly confident.

Sherman wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm gonna go with Sherman second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Chase Sherman

Daniel Levi leans with Chase Sherman, citing his size, UFC experience, and thunderous leg kicks. He notes that Villanueva is a former middleweight/light heavyweight and smaller, but admits Sherman's head movement is poor and a knockout from Villanueva wouldn't surprise him.

"I'll lean with Sherman for that reason but it's not gonna surprise me one bit if the newcomer comes out here and knocks him out either"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman, citing his better chin and experience against tougher opponents, including a fight with Rashad Coulter. He notes that Ike Villanueva lost to Trevin Giles, a middleweight, in the first round, and questions his durability. He predicts Sherman will finish Villanueva in the second round via TKO once Villanueva gasses.

second round TKO
"I'm gonna go chase Sherman... by second round or first round TKO once Villanueva gets rid of his initial burst of juice."