Career Averages - Walt Harris
Career Averages - Chase Sherman
Walt Harris - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 59 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 59 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 23 of 40 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 4 of 10 | 40% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 23 of 40 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 4 of 10 | 40% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks Tybura is the better fighter with more ways to win, including higher output on the feet and a superior ground game. He notes Harris has 100% finish rate by KO but poor cardio and a weak ground game. He believes Tybura can survive the early storm, take Harris down as he tires, and get a late finish. He predicts a third-round TKO for Tybura.
Cody picks Tybura, agreeing with Paul. He notes Tybura's momentum and that Harris is hittable and has cardio issues. Cody expects Tybura to use body kicks and takedowns to wear Harris down. He mentions Harris's power is a threat but Tybura's chin has held up recently. Cody also likes the under 2.5 rounds.
Daniel picks Tybura despite wanting to see Harris win. He notes that Tybura is in the best point of his career, has more ways to win (takedowns, clinch, grinding), and can mix in wrestling to tire Harris out. Daniel acknowledges Harris's first-round knockout power but believes if Harris doesn't finish early, Tybura will take over with his grappling and pressure. He also mentions that Tybura has been hurt in the first round before but has shown resilience. Daniel hopes he is wrong and would love to see Harris have his moment, but objectively he favors Tybura.
Harris is a one-round fighter with poor cardio. Tybura has good body work and grappling. If Tybura survives the first round, he will take over and finish Harris in the second or third.
Paul picks Tybura, noting his recent momentum and wrestling advantage. He expects Tybura to weather Harris's early power, then take over as Harris fades. Paul highlights Tybura's body work and takedowns, similar to the Greg Hardy fight. He acknowledges Harris's one-round KO power but believes Tybura can survive and win.
The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, highlighting Harris's cardio issues shown in losses to Overeem and Volkov. He believes Tybura can survive Harris's early flurries and then take over with grappling as Harris gasses. He predicts Tybura will win by TKO in the second round via ground and pound, noting Tybura has improved defensively after previous KO losses.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 0 | 45 of 73 | 61% | 45 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 16 of 58 | 27% | 16 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 39 of 64 | 60% | 39 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 15 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 45 of 73 | 61% | 32 of 59 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 42 of 69 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 16 of 58 | 27% | 7 of 45 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 39 of 64 | 60% | 27 of 51 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 36 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 15 of 54 | 27% | 6 of 41 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Walt Harris | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Up to heavyweight, former Bellator champ Volkov (31-8, 5-2 UFC) comes to blows with heavy-handed Harris (13-8, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC). “Drago” posts 20 career knockouts on his ledger, but Harris maintains a 100 percent knockout rate in victory, so this one might not go the distance. Referee Lukasz Bosacki will take the reins on this potential slugfest, but there is a sporting glove touch before they get down to business. Volkov ducks a looping left hand as they both start throwing, and Harris flings a high kick that gets blocked. Volkov walks him down and gets jabbed to the body, and the two heavyweights trade stabbing kicks to the midsection. Harris swings and misses with lethal shots, and Volkov keeps his distance and slaps away a front kick. Harris gets clipped with a straight right as he walks in, and the two clasps hands when trying to find their range. “The Big Ticket” jabs to the body a few times and then throws up another high kick, but Volkov is the one to score with a jab and a left hand that rings Harris’ bell. Harris keeps handfighting and takes a leg kick, but loads up on a big right hand that barely misses. Volkov ducks and moves to return fire, and Harris’ chin holds up. Volkov jab at the body with a kick as he closes the distance, and Harris cracks him with a big right hand. Volkov keeps his composure and walks Harris down, landing strikes and blocking the winging hooks in time. Volkov continues to work front kicks to the body, and he slaps his shin off Harris’ calf. A right hand opens a small cut around Volkov’s right eye, and Harris lets loose a leg kick and a head kick that does not find the target. Volkov stalks him down and evades a left hand, and sees a right hook coming over the top. “Drago” blasts in the body and makes Harris double over, so the Russian charges at him and pours it on to search for a finish. Harris ducks down and tries to slam big hooks in the side of Volkov’s head, attempting to pull off what Scott Smith did to Pete “Drago” Sell with a body shot that led to a knockout. Volkov is wise to it, lets a few bounce off his shoulder, and ends the round with a few more strikes but cannot get the finish he is looking for.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Round 2
The two big men clap hands to start the round, and Harris fakes a takedown to try to get off a big right hand, but the Russian sees it coming and stops it. Harris backs off and changes levels to pursue a takedown, and Volkov stuffs it without issue. Harris sticks out a few jabs, but Volkov greets him with a much cleaner right hand. Volkov pierces the midsection with a kick, and Harris doubles over in pain – the commentary team questions whether the strike was to the groin but it appeared to land square on the liver. Volkov senses that the finish is around the corner, and he rushes in to swarm him and force a stoppage. As “Drago” clubs Harris in the head and side with four or five punches, Bosacki calls a stop to the fight as Harris is no longer intelligently defending himself. This is an important win for Volkov, who bounces back from a tough loss with an impressive knockout win.
The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Walt Harris R2 1:15 via TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
Big Brady is confident in Alexander Volkov, citing his technical striking, range management, and high output. He notes Harris is dangerous early but has low output and suspect cardio. He predicts a third-round knockout, but acknowledges Harris could win with an early KO.
Daniel Levi picks Volkov as a pure pick, citing his disciplined point-fighting style and height/reach advantage. He notes that Volkov should keep the fight on the outside and win a decision, but he is concerned about Volkov coming in 18 pounds heavier than his last fight (265 lbs), which could affect his movement. He also mentions that as a fan he hopes Harris wins, but stylistically Volkov is the safer pick.
The host picks Alexander Volkov confidently, citing his reach, volume, and cardio advantage. He notes that Walt Harris is a one-round fighter with poor takedown defense and that Volkov will pick him apart from distance. He expects a third-round stoppage.
The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov to win by late second or third round TKO. He notes that Volkov is more experienced (31-8 vs 13-8), has good takedown defense (shown against Curtis Blaydes), and will use front kicks to gas out Harris. He compares Harris unfavorably to Derrick Lewis, who struggled to land on Volkov for most of their fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 68 of 85 | 80% | 97 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 48 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 1 | 41 of 52 | 78% | 49 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 68 of 85 | 80% | 58 of 75 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 74 |
| Walt Harris | 25 of 48 | 52% | 19 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 27 of 33 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 28 |
| Walt Harris | 24 of 42 | 57% | 18 of 36 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 41 of 52 | 78% | 37 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 46 |
| Walt Harris | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.
Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.
The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 1 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 1 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 |
| Serghei Spivac | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 |
| Serghei Spivac | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 0 | 44 of 93 | 47% | 48 of 97 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 24 of 93 | 25% | 26 of 95 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 13 of 40 | 32% | 14 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Walt Harris | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 4 of 32 | 12% | 4 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 44 of 93 | 47% | 20 of 60 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 16 | 43 of 90 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 24 of 93 | 25% | 13 of 72 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 85 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 15 of 36 | 41% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 13 of 40 | 32% | 8 of 30 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 17 of 28 | 60% | 7 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 7 of 21 | 33% | 2 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Walt Harris | 12 of 29 | 41% | 5 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 4 of 32 | 12% | 3 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 1 | 29 of 79 | 36% | 30 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 11 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 1 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Daniel Spitz | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Harris | 29 of 79 | 36% | 19 of 61 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 11 |
| Daniel Spitz | 17 of 42 | 40% | 1 of 17 | 5 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Harris | 11 of 32 | 34% | 5 of 21 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Spitz | 7 of 16 | 43% | 0 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Walt Harris | 18 of 47 | 38% | 14 of 40 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 11 |
| Daniel Spitz | 10 of 26 | 38% | 1 of 12 | 1 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Godbeer | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Godbeer | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Godbeer | 21 of 38 | 55% | 17 of 31 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Walt Harris | 3 of 15 | 20% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Godbeer | 21 of 38 | 55% | 17 of 31 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Walt Harris | 3 of 15 | 20% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Chase Sherman - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Williams | 0 | 70 of 165 | 42% | 85 of 191 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 54 of 158 | 34% | 64 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Williams | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 34 of 69 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 17 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Karl Williams | 0 | 23 of 63 | 36% | 23 of 63 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 13 of 56 | 23% | 15 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karl Williams | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 32 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Williams | 70 of 165 | 42% | 53 of 147 | 6 of 6 | 11 of 12 | 65 of 159 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| Chase Sherman | 54 of 158 | 34% | 26 of 124 | 10 of 15 | 18 of 19 | 46 of 148 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Williams | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Chase Sherman | 11 of 39 | 28% | 6 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karl Williams | 23 of 63 | 36% | 17 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 13 of 56 | 23% | 5 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karl Williams | 28 of 59 | 47% | 22 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 30 of 63 | 47% | 15 of 45 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 23 of 56 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Karl Williams, calling him a powerful striker with solid wrestling. He notes Chase Sherman is hittable with no head movement and doesn't have one-punch knockout power. He says Williams should dominate bell to bell and is a safe parlay piece. He urges to smash the line even at -400.
Big Brady is very confident in Williams, calling this a tailor-made matchup. He notes Sherman has terrible takedown defense and one of the worst ground games in the UFC, citing his losses to Romanov and Collier. Williams has good wrestling, as shown in his Contender Series win over Jimmy Lawson. Brady predicts Williams will take Sherman down, pound him out, and get a finish inside the distance. He says if Williams doesn't finish Sherman here, he never will.
Cody picks Williams confidently, citing Sherman's poor takedown defense and tendency to gas. He notes that Williams will take Sherman down and control him, and that Sherman's punching power is overrated. He expects Williams to win by decision or late stoppage, and likes the over 3 takedowns prop for Williams.
Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Williams is much faster and a rare heavyweight with good wrestling. He notes that Sherman's style requires a brawl, but Williams can avoid that by taking him down. Connor feels bad for Sherman, who seems to dislike fighting, and expects Williams to win easily.
Daniel Levi picks Karl Williams, emphasizing his wrestling advantage and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes that while Williams may have cardio concerns, Sherman is not a cardio machine either. Levi expects Williams to implement his game plan and break Sherman late, securing his second UFC win. He also mentions calling Williams' amateur fights and being impressed by his journey.
Sherman has a gut feeling pick; Williams has cardio issues and leaves openings. Sherman can survive the early onslaught, work back to his feet, and land big punches for a knockout. Williams slows down and Sherman has the experience to capitalize. Low confidence but Sherman by knockout is the call.
Paul picks Sherman as a value underdog due to heavyweight volatility, but is hesitant. He notes Sherman's puncher's chance and the fact that Williams is not a real heavyweight. He mentions a previous Shoei bet on Williams and is considering waiting for better odds. He acknowledges Williams' grappling advantage but is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Karl Williams, noting his wrestling advantage and Sherman's tendency to lose by being taken down. He believes Williams will take Sherman down and beat him up on the ground, as Sherman has a lot of miles on him.
Zane is confident in Karl Williams, citing his speed advantage and wrestling ability as clear edges over Chase Sherman. He notes that Sherman lacks defense and enjoyment in fighting, and that Williams can take him down at will. Zane expects Williams to dominate, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0 | 66 of 177 | 37% | 73 of 187 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 147 of 278 | 52% | 149 of 282 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0 | 18 of 50 | 36% | 23 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 29 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 71 of 121 | 58% | 73 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0 | 27 of 79 | 34% | 28 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 47 of 86 | 54% | 47 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 66 of 177 | 37% | 25 of 130 | 16 of 19 | 25 of 28 | 66 of 174 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 147 of 278 | 52% | 124 of 247 | 17 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 142 of 271 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 18 of 50 | 36% | 6 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 29 of 71 | 40% | 19 of 60 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 69 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 21 of 48 | 43% | 8 of 34 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 71 of 121 | 58% | 66 of 113 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 68 of 116 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 27 of 79 | 34% | 11 of 60 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 27 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 47 of 86 | 54% | 39 of 74 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-210), Sherman (+180)
Round 1
The year is 2022, and because of unfortunate circumstances, Sherman (16-10, 4-9 UFC), who has won four times in 13 walks to the Octagon thus far, is serving in a UFC card’s co-main event. He is on a one-fight win streak, as he put Jared Vanderaa away in July to break a four-fight skid. “The Vanilla Gorilla” will square off against an unbeaten former baseball player in Cortes-Acosta (8-0, 1-0 UFC), who also beat Vanderaa a few weeks ago. Referee Jacob Montalvo draws the charge for a fight that could end in an instant, but he does appreciate that the two are in good spirits as they touch ‘em up before colliding. The big men aim jabs and single punches at one another to measure their range. Sherman strikes first with a powerful strike, sinking in a calf kick on the inside of the leg and the another on the outside. Cortes-Acosta snaps the head back with a jab, and Sherman smashes his shin on the calf as “Salsa Boy” does a little impromptu dance to recover. Sherman puts his jab in his foe’s face, and Cortes-Acosta responds in kind. Sherman mixes things up with his low kicks, and he plants his leg on the midsection as well. Cortes-Acosta charges with a flurry, and Sherman slides out of the way of the worst of it and sinks in another low kick. Cortes-Acosta rifles a few jabs and a right hand down the pipe, and Sherman takes it on the chin. The big men kick at the same time, and they both take an odd step back before coming back to trade hands. Sherman sticks and moves as Cortes-Acosta rushes forward in a straight line, but he does not avoid the chopping kick at the end of the salvo. Sherman backs the undefeated fighter up, but he does not walk face-first into a big overhand right. Cortes-Acosta loads up on power punches, and Sherman keeps his composure and trashes the lead leg of his opponent with a brutal kick. Cortes-Acosta reaches down and grabs it, where he uses it to bully Sherman into the wall in hopes of dragging him down. Sherman escapes and turns the tables to clinch up, and Cortes-Acosta plays the proverbial game of putting one hand down on the mat to prevent knee strikes to the head. Cortes-Acosta explodes out with a jab and an uppercut, but Sherman takes the wind out of his sails by throwing him down on the floor and landing in side control. Before anything can come of it, the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sherman
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sherman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sherman
Round 2
The second round opens with several stiff jabs from the ex-baseball player, and he walks through a low kick to continue jabbing Sherman up. Sherman’s face begins to turn red as he absorbs repeated jabs, and he backs off when Cortes-Acosta turns up the offense and attacks. “Salsa Boy” blitzes Sherman with a long series of punches, knocking Sherman’s head around and hurting him badly. Sherman survives by clinching up and hanging on to clear his head, doing so long enough to shake it out before Cortes-Acosta pushes him away. When separated, Cortes-Acosta unloads again with a string of punches, and Sherman takes them all and fires back to rock Cortes-Acosta. The undefeated fighter bounces off the wall and connects with a right hand that stuns Sherman, but Sherman’s chin holds together after the ferocious blow. Cortes-Acosta rails Sherman with heavy punches, and he shrugs off a leg kick and stops a takedown that is aimed at him. Cortes-Acosta pops out several jabs to fluster Sherman, and he checks a low kick and does a showboating dance. Cortes-Acosta surges into action, battering Sherman with several fierce punches. Cortes-Acosta catches a low kick and responds with a body kick, but Sherman protests the foot hit him in the groin. Montalvo tell them to play on, and Cortes-Acosta obliges by swarming his man with punches. Cortes-Acosta unleashes a hellacious salvo of uppercuts, standing hammerfists, flailing fists and other ridiculous punches in hopes of getting Sherman out of there, but Sherman makes it through them all. Cortes-Acosta appears to have completely spent his gas tank searching for that finish, as he practically puts his hands on his hips from fatigue. The round concludes with the two clinched up.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Cortes-Acosta
Round 3
The heavyweights reach the last round, and both men are feeling it. Sherman appears the fresher man of the two, as Cortes-Acosta is slowed and keeps his hands low. The volume of the two fighters has diminished greatly, relegated to bursts of one man and then the other. Cortes-Acosta checks a low kick and takes a front kick to the body, and Sherman kicks him in the side. This third kick prompts Cortes-Acosta into action, as he races forward with a booming right hand. Sherman is barely on his feet, and Cortes-Acosta pummels him with a few more fastballs that Sherman incredibly takes. The two are sucking wind, and Sherman gathers himself and walks Cortes-Acosta down and connects with a few punches and a knee up the middle. They trade punches, with defense an afterthought as exhaustion overcomes both men. Cortes-Acosta works the body and head, and starts playing around with his hands as he does not appear concerned with Sherman’s power. Sherman answers this with a few quick punches and a low kick, and a second makes Cortes-Acosta wag his finger at him. Cortes-Acosta ducks down with a right hand up top, and he is so spent that he can barely make a fist. As a result, Cortes-Acosta slaps Sherman a few times with an open hand, and Sherman jumps forward with heavy punches. Cortes-Acosta flails and swings with little mustard on his shots, and he still catches Sherman coming at him with a short right hand. Try as he might, the unbeaten fighter cannot put Sherman out of there, but he backs away and keeps throwing punches and kicks right to the final horn. Sherman is tough, doing the same, and walking through anything coming his way, and this heavyweight slobberknocker has surprisingly gone the distance.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-27 Cortes-Acosta)
The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Chase Sherman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 109 of 266 | 40% | 109 of 267 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 1 | 137 of 235 | 58% | 137 of 235 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Sherman | 0 | 29 of 92 | 31% | 29 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 46 of 70 | 65% | 46 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Chase Sherman | 0 | 44 of 102 | 43% | 44 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 40 of 81 | 49% | 40 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Chase Sherman | 0 | 36 of 72 | 50% | 36 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 1 | 51 of 84 | 60% | 51 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Sherman | 109 of 266 | 40% | 76 of 224 | 18 of 25 | 15 of 17 | 108 of 265 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 137 of 235 | 58% | 86 of 175 | 32 of 39 | 19 of 21 | 134 of 231 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Sherman | 29 of 92 | 31% | 15 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 92 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 46 of 70 | 65% | 21 of 43 | 17 of 19 | 8 of 8 | 46 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chase Sherman | 44 of 102 | 43% | 34 of 87 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 44 of 102 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 40 of 81 | 49% | 26 of 62 | 7 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 40 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Chase Sherman | 36 of 72 | 50% | 27 of 62 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 51 of 84 | 60% | 39 of 70 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 48 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Jared Vanderaa, noting his volume striking and size advantage. He mentions Vanderaa has wrestling in his back pocket and should cruise to a decision if he fights like he did against Andre Arlovski. He acknowledges Chase Sherman's high output but points out Sherman is very hittable, absorbing over 6 significant strikes per minute. He thinks the fight is closer than the odds suggest but favors Vanderaa.
Big Brady leans toward Jared Vanderaa, emphasizing that if Vanderaa takes the fight to the mat, he will win easily due to Sherman's terrible ground game. He notes that Sherman has no striking defense and poor cardio, while Vanderaa has better cardio and defensive responsibility. However, he questions whether Vanderaa will actually attempt takedowns, as he has zero takedown attempts in his last five fights. He predicts a first-round ground-and-pound TKO if Vanderaa wrestles.
Cody thinks Vanderaa will weather Sherman's early storm and then take over with volume and pressure. He notes Sherman tends to fade in the second and third rounds. He's not confident because both are low-level heavyweights, but he leans Vanderaa due to output and durability.
The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He only mentions it in passing when asked about fights likely to go to decision, listing Sherman vs Vanderaa as one possibility. No pick or bet is made.
Paul thinks this is a dogger pass situation but picks Sherman for the show. He notes that Vanderaa has poor fight IQ and that Sherman could win if he keeps it standing. He's not confident but sees value at plus money.
The Guru calls Jared Vanderaa a lock, citing his size advantage and better grappling compared to Sherman. He notes Vanderaa's decent performance against Arlovski and Romanov, while Sherman is small and lacks grappling. He predicts a TKO or submission in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Romanov as a lock, expecting him to steamroll Sherman. He highlights Romanov's incredible wrestling, speed, and power, and notes Sherman lacks one-punch KO power to stop Romanov's takedowns. He mentions Romanov was a -2500 favorite initially and recommends using him in parlays if the odds are reasonable.
Big Brady is extremely confident in Romanov, calling it a huge mismatch. He notes Romanov's undefeated record and finishing ability, while Sherman is a low-level opponent. He predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission, as Romanov will take the fight down and end it quickly.
Cody agrees Romanov is a lock, noting Sherman's poor grappling and recent losses. He thinks Romanov will take him down and finish, likely by submission or ground and pound. Cody mentions the only potential issues are a DQ or Sherman landing a lucky shot, but considers those unlikely. He plans to use Romanov in DFS lineups.
Daniel Levi is confident Alexandr Romanov will dominate Chase Sherman. He expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish quickly, noting Sherman's poor head movement and susceptibility to being hit. Levi calls the line unplayable due to the heavy favorite price and advises against betting on Sherman.
The host picks Romanov with high confidence, citing his dominant wrestling and ground-and-pound. He notes Sherman was submitted by Jake Collier, and Romanov is a much better grappler. Romanov's cardio has improved, and he will take Sherman down and finish him. The only path for Sherman is a lucky knockout, but Romanov's chin is durable.
Paul is extremely confident Romanov wins, calling it a smash. He notes Romanov's improved physique and cardio, and that Sherman has poor grappling and was submitted by Jake Collier. Paul expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish him, likely by TKO or submission. He mentions the only risks are a DQ or injury, but otherwise Romanov should dominate.
The Guru picks Romanov to win by first-round TKO (ground and pound). He believes Romanov will easily take Sherman down and dominate on the ground, as Sherman lacks the grappling to deal with him. The Guru thinks Romanov may want to punish Sherman for pulling out of their previous fight, so he will opt for a TKO rather than a submission. He predicts a first-round finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Collier | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Collier | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Collier | 20 of 49 | 40% | 18 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 13 |
| Chase Sherman | 10 of 17 | 58% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Collier | 20 of 49 | 40% | 18 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 13 |
| Chase Sherman | 10 of 17 | 58% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sherman in a close fight, citing his better athleticism and pace. He notes both are similar boxers but Sherman has better volume and durability, while Collier may fade. He expects a striking war going to decision and won't bet on it.
Big Brady notes Jake Collier throws high volume but has no power, while Chase Sherman hits hard and has a 93% knockout rate. He thinks Sherman's durability and power will be the difference, predicting a knockout. However, he admits neither fighter is reliable and that Collier could win a decision if he survives. He picks Sherman by knockout but is not confident.
Cody picks Collier, agreeing with Paul's analysis. He notes Sherman's cardio issues and Collier's volume striking. He expects Collier to win by decision or late TKO. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds is heavily juiced, indicating a likely decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jake Collier, citing his higher work rate and slightly better technique. He warns about Chase Sherman's leg kicks and durability but notes Sherman's cardio drops off in later rounds, which has been a consistent issue even before his USADA suspension. Levi believes Collier can capitalize on Sherman's fatigue and land effective strikes. He also mentions that Collier looked good against Valente and that Sherman has shown a tendency to shy away in tough fights.
The host favors Jake Collier due to his high output and movement, similar to Parker Porter who beat Sherman. He notes Sherman's power is a threat early, but Collier's volume and cardio should take over as the fight progresses. He expects Collier to win a decision, as he doesn't see Collier finishing Sherman. The host is confident in Collier's ability to avoid Sherman's power and accumulate strikes.
Paul picks Collier, citing Sherman's pattern of gassing after the first round. He notes Collier's high volume and durability, and expects him to outwork Sherman in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests betting Collier live after round 1 as a hedge. He also mentions Collier by decision at +150 as a prop.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Jake Collier, despite acknowledging that most people are picking Chase Sherman. He notes that Sherman has poor head movement and was easily beaten by Arlovski and Parker Porter. Collier, though he ballooned up from middleweight, showed some skill against Carlos Felipe and has a reach advantage. He believes Collier's technical advantages from being a former middleweight will carry him to a close split decision win in a back-and-forth fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 149 of 278 | 53% | 159 of 294 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 117 of 249 | 46% | 121 of 253 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 30 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 30 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 57 of 105 | 54% | 58 of 107 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 51 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 71 of 118 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 37 of 88 | 42% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 149 of 278 | 53% | 116 of 243 | 17 of 17 | 16 of 18 | 141 of 270 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Chase Sherman | 117 of 249 | 46% | 69 of 199 | 15 of 17 | 33 of 33 | 115 of 247 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 21 of 56 | 37% | 14 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Chase Sherman | 29 of 59 | 49% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 57 of 105 | 54% | 48 of 96 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 55 of 103 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 51 of 102 | 50% | 27 of 77 | 11 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 71 of 117 | 60% | 54 of 100 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 67 of 113 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 37 of 88 | 42% | 22 of 72 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 12 | 36 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Chase Sherman confidently, citing his better competition, toughness, and power. He notes Porter is very hittable and has been finished in all his losses. Sherman has a 93% finish rate, all by knockout. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Sherman, citing his athleticism, leg kicks, and volume. He notes Sherman's improved game since his first UFC stint and believes he has a clear advantage. He mentions Sherman's back issues and past PED suspension but still favors him.
Porter has good durability, leg kicks, and clinch work. Sherman's volume drops in later rounds, while Porter maintains his pace. If Porter survives the first round, he can take over. I'm picking Porter by decision, but I'm hesitant as some respected people are on Sherman.
Paul leans toward Porter as a live underdog, highlighting his durability, leg kicks, and pressure. He questions Sherman's cardio and mental toughness, noting Sherman looked defeated against Arlovski. He sees Porter's ability to push pace and land leg kicks as key, but worries about Porter's weight cut and shape.
The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman to win by TKO. He notes Sherman is bigger, has good cardio, and a reach advantage. He expects Sherman to use elbows against the cage on the shorter Porter. He acknowledges Porter's win over Josh Parisian but considers it unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 105 of 222 | 47% | 109 of 226 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 88 of 192 | 45% | 99 of 203 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 27 of 65 | 41% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 33 of 69 | 47% | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 32 of 69 | 46% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 21 of 58 | 36% | 32 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 46 of 88 | 52% | 46 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 34 of 65 | 52% | 34 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Arlovski | 105 of 222 | 47% | 54 of 154 | 26 of 39 | 25 of 29 | 103 of 217 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 88 of 192 | 45% | 55 of 154 | 16 of 20 | 17 of 18 | 84 of 187 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrei Arlovski | 27 of 65 | 41% | 15 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 61 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 33 of 69 | 47% | 22 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 31 of 66 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrei Arlovski | 32 of 69 | 46% | 16 of 47 | 10 of 12 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 21 of 58 | 36% | 12 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andrei Arlovski | 46 of 88 | 52% | 23 of 56 | 12 of 21 | 11 of 11 | 46 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 34 of 65 | 52% | 21 of 50 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 33 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Andrei Arlovski to win by decision, though he is not very confident. He notes that Arlovski is a favorite for the first time in many fights and that Sherman is the easiest opponent Arlovski has faced in a long time. He highlights Sherman's poor striking defense (absorbs 5.55 significant strikes per minute) and Arlovski's good defense (absorbs 2.83). However, he is concerned about Arlovski's age (42) and lack of knockout power. He sees the fight as close and likely to go to decision.
Cody thinks Arlovski is old and boring, landing only 30-50 significant strikes per fight. He notes Sherman is younger, has better output, and is improving. He sees Sherman outpointing Arlovski and considers it a dog or pass fight, leaning towards Sherman as the underdog.
Daniel Levi leans toward Arlovski, noting that he is the better fighter and a sharp counter-puncher. He acknowledges that Chase Sherman has good leg kicks and is 10 years younger, and that Arlovski is coming off a loss to Tom Aspinall. Levi mentions that he has faded Arlovski in the past with mixed results, but this time he thinks Arlovski can win a close decision. He also speculates that Sherman might still be using performance-enhancing drugs.
Manpreet leans toward Sherman by KO, citing his improved calf-kick-heavy style and the fact that Arlovski's movement-based game could be neutralized by leg kicks. He acknowledges the uncertainty around Sherman's post-suspension performance but believes Sherman's pressure and power can lead to a finish, likely in the second round after wearing Arlovski down.
Paul says friends don't let friends bet on Chase Sherman, but he is leaning towards Sherman as the underdog. He acknowledges both fighters are bottom heavyweights and that Sherman is 11 years younger. He is not confident and calls it a pitbull or pass fight.
The MMA Guru picks Andrei Arlovski to win by unanimous decision. He notes Arlovski is a tricky veteran who is patient and pushes a good pace. He believes Chase Sherman needs to overwhelm opponents to win, but Arlovski's level of opposition is much higher. He expects Sherman to go all out in the first round, but Arlovski will take over in the second and third for a 29-28 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Sherman | 1 | 51 of 87 | 58% | 51 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 16 of 54 | 29% | 16 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Sherman | 0 | 39 of 69 | 56% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 14 of 48 | 29% | 14 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Chase Sherman | 1 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Sherman | 51 of 87 | 58% | 27 of 57 | 13 of 15 | 11 of 15 | 46 of 80 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Ike Villanueva | 16 of 54 | 29% | 13 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Sherman | 39 of 69 | 56% | 17 of 42 | 13 of 15 | 9 of 12 | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 14 of 48 | 29% | 11 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chase Sherman | 12 of 18 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Ike Villanueva | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans with Chase Sherman due to his UFC experience and size advantage, noting that Ike Villanueva is moving up from light heavyweight and will be the smaller fighter. He acknowledges Villanueva's speed and power but believes Sherman can weather the early storm and take over in the second round, predicting a second-round knockout. However, he calls it a very low-level fight and is not highly confident.
Daniel Levi leans with Chase Sherman, citing his size, UFC experience, and thunderous leg kicks. He notes that Villanueva is a former middleweight/light heavyweight and smaller, but admits Sherman's head movement is poor and a knockout from Villanueva wouldn't surprise him.
The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman, citing his better chin and experience against tougher opponents, including a fight with Rashad Coulter. He notes that Ike Villanueva lost to Trevin Giles, a middleweight, in the first round, and questions his durability. He predicts Sherman will finish Villanueva in the second round via TKO once Villanueva gasses.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!