Career Averages - Alateng Heili
Career Averages - Kleydson Rodrigues
Alateng Heili - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 125 of 273 | 45% | 127 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 61 of 190 | 32% | 61 of 191 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 37 of 78 | 47% | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 11 of 45 | 24% | 11 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 40 of 96 | 41% | 42 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 25 of 60 | 41% | 25 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 48 of 99 | 48% | 48 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 25 of 85 | 29% | 25 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 125 of 273 | 45% | 75 of 200 | 37 of 50 | 13 of 23 | 123 of 270 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 61 of 190 | 32% | 34 of 148 | 19 of 34 | 8 of 8 | 60 of 189 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 37 of 78 | 47% | 17 of 45 | 15 of 21 | 5 of 12 | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 11 of 45 | 24% | 7 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 40 of 96 | 41% | 24 of 74 | 11 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 39 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 25 of 60 | 41% | 11 of 41 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 48 of 99 | 48% | 34 of 81 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 47 of 97 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 25 of 85 | 29% | 16 of 69 | 5 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his athleticism, speed, power, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Alateng Heili struggles to combine his skills, and that Blackshear's technical boxing and clean takedowns should prevail. He has Blackshear in a parlay with Joselyne Edwards.
Big Brady is confident in Da'Mon Blackshear, highlighting his superior grappling and Alateng Heili's low volume and lack of wrestling. He expects Blackshear to get the fight to the ground and submit Heili, noting a massive skill gap on the mat. He predicts a second-round submission.
The host acknowledges Heili's wrestling could cause issues but believes Blackshear's striking power and BJJ black belt will keep him safe and allow him to grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear to win by finish in the first two rounds. He cites Blackshear's reach advantage (5.5 inches), activity, and ability to dictate range. He notes Heili is not a pressure fighter and fights once a year, which hurts his development. He expects Blackshear to hurt Heili and finish via TKO or submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 18 of 59 | 30% | 107 of 183 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 37 of 88 | 42% | 70 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 49 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 24 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 31 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 18 of 59 | 30% | 14 of 50 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 37 of 88 | 42% | 15 of 55 | 10 of 15 | 12 of 18 | 37 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 19 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 19 of 50 | 38% | 9 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 12 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 7 of 28 | 25% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 16 of 34 | 47% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.
Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.
Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.
Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 39 of 143 | 27% | 56 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 49 of 131 | 37% | 60 of 148 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 13 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 14 of 53 | 26% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 13 of 47 | 27% | 29 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 28 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 39 of 143 | 27% | 25 of 118 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 11 | 35 of 139 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Chad Anheliger | 49 of 131 | 37% | 30 of 102 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 22 | 43 of 123 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 12 of 43 | 27% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 4 | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Anheliger | 16 of 44 | 36% | 9 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 14 of 53 | 26% | 8 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Anheliger | 16 of 45 | 35% | 9 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 13 of 47 | 27% | 6 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Chad Anheliger | 17 of 42 | 40% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Chad Anheliger, liking his power and ability to not be fazed by takedowns. He notes Anheliger has been taken down nine times in two UFC fights but still won, showing he scrambles back up and keeps firing. He expects Heili to work in grappling but believes Anheliger's resilience and power will get the job done.
Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger as a live dog, citing Alateng Heili's reluctance to wrestle despite having a wrestling background. He notes Heili has zero takedowns in his last three fights and poor striking volume, while Anheliger has power and has shown durability. He predicts Anheliger wins by decision, though he is not sure if he will bet it.
Cody picks Alateng Heili, noting his wrestling advantage and durability. He believes Heili will take Anheliger down and control the fight. He points out that Anheliger looked bad against Jesse Strader, getting taken down multiple times, and that his cardio is questionable. He thinks Heili is the better fighter.
Daniel Levi picks Alateng Heili, citing his physicality and improved wrestling. He respects Anheliger's toughness and comeback ability, but thinks Heili's size and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that if Heili gasses, Anheliger could take over, but expects Heili's conditioning at Fight Ready to hold up.
Jacob picks Alateng Heili but is hesitant, calling it the toughest fight to pick. He notes Heili is technical with power and has backdoor wrestling if he uses it. He worries about Anheliger's hands-down head movement and thinks Heili's technical striking and power could catch him. However, he admits if Anheliger wins, he wouldn't be surprised.
The host picks Alateng Heili, believing he has too many tools for Anheliger. He expects Heili to mix in wrestling to set up his striking, avoid trading in the pocket, and win a decision. He notes Anheliger's power but thinks Heili is the more complete fighter and that the line is accurate.
Paul picks Alateng Heili, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Anheliger has cardio issues and was taken down multiple times by Jesse Strader. He believes Heili's wrestling and durability will be the difference, and that he is the more reliable fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by decision, 30-27. He expects a scrappy fight where both rock each other and get takedowns, but Anheliger recovers quicker, scrambles harder, and ends up in dominant positions with better ground and pound. He out-hustles Alateng in every occasion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alateng Heili, but thinks the odds are a bit wide. He notes that Heili is a technical striker who can struggle with brawlers like Croom. He believes Heili can get the fight to the ground if needed, but must be wary of Croom's submissions. He considers Croom a far better fighter than his recent record shows.
Big Brady picks Kevin Croom for the upset by decision. He notes Croom has a massive size advantage (6 inches taller, 6.5 inch reach) and will throw more volume than Alateng Heili, who has low output (max 47 significant strikes in a UFC fight). He expects Croom to win minutes on the feet and avoid Heili's power. He acknowledges Croom's takedown accuracy is poor but thinks Heili's wrestling plays into Croom's ground game.
Cody picks Heili, emphasizing his wrestling and top pressure. He notes Croom's size but thinks Heili can take him down and win from guard. He believes Heili's camp at Fight Ready will help him execute the right game plan.
Daniel Levi leans Alateng Heili, noting this is his proper weight class and he is likely fight-ready with good conditioning. He respects Croom's size and finishing ability but worries about Croom cutting to 135 and fading late, as he has a history of losing decisions. Levi expects Heili to win a decision.
Paul picks Heili, citing his wrestling advantage and durability. He thinks Heili can take Croom down and control him. He notes Heili's poor decision-making in the past but believes he will wrestle here.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom as an underdog, believing the odds are incorrect. He notes Croom's 7-inch reach advantage and awkward striking style, and doubts Heili's chin and technical ability. He expects Croom to win a 29-28 unanimous decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 44 of 115 | 38% | 47 of 119 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 36 of 118 | 30% | 37 of 120 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 11 of 42 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 26 of 54 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 10 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 44 of 115 | 38% | 32 of 93 | 5 of 10 | 7 of 12 | 35 of 99 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 36 of 118 | 30% | 23 of 102 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 35 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 11 of 42 | 26% | 7 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 11 of 35 | 31% | 5 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 15 of 41 | 36% | 10 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 23 of 50 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 10 of 35 | 28% | 6 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.
Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.
Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.
Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Kenney | 0 | 109 of 263 | 41% | 109 of 263 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 46 of 171 | 26% | 46 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 40 of 94 | 42% | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 19 of 64 | 29% | 19 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 29 of 79 | 36% | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 14 of 52 | 26% | 14 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 40 of 90 | 44% | 40 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 13 of 55 | 23% | 13 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Kenney | 109 of 263 | 41% | 57 of 192 | 41 of 58 | 11 of 13 | 109 of 261 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 46 of 171 | 26% | 26 of 140 | 11 of 20 | 9 of 11 | 46 of 171 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey Kenney | 40 of 94 | 42% | 21 of 69 | 15 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 19 of 64 | 29% | 9 of 53 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Casey Kenney | 29 of 79 | 36% | 11 of 58 | 15 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 14 of 52 | 26% | 9 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Casey Kenney | 40 of 90 | 44% | 25 of 65 | 11 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 40 of 88 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 13 of 55 | 23% | 8 of 44 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Casey Kenney to win by decision. He highlights Kenney's superior striking volume and takedown defense, noting that Heili is low volume and gets outlanded. He thinks Kenney is better everywhere and that Heili's only chance is a knockout.
Daniel confidently picks Kenney, praising his fight IQ and level of competition. He expects Kenney to use kicks to avoid Heili's right hand, mix in takedowns, and dominate on top. He notes Heili's toughness and power but believes Kenney is on a different level and will out-tough him.
The host is extremely confident in Casey Kenney, citing his superior grappling, scrambles, and experience against high-level grapplers like Manny Bermudez and Brandon Royval. He believes Alateng Heili's wrestling credentials won't translate to MMA grappling and that Kenney will dominate on the ground. He placed a 5-unit bet at -281, calling it his lock of the night.
The Guru picks Casey Kenney, citing his quality wins over Manny Bermudez, Ray Borg, and Louis Smolka, and noting that Alateng's close fight with Ryan Benoit was unimpressive. He acknowledges Kenney is a heavy favorite at 1-3 odds but still picks him, predicting a submission in the first or second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 47 of 131 | 35% | 72 of 160 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 68 of 128 | 53% | 84 of 145 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 12 of 50 | 24% | 15 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 28 of 65 | 43% | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 29 of 42 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 39 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 47 of 131 | 35% | 27 of 108 | 11 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 47 of 131 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 68 of 128 | 53% | 45 of 101 | 17 of 21 | 6 of 6 | 53 of 112 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 12 of 50 | 24% | 9 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 19 of 32 | 59% | 6 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 28 of 65 | 43% | 13 of 49 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 26 of 59 | 44% | 18 of 47 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 23 of 37 | 62% | 21 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Kleydson Rodrigues - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 18 of 59 | 30% | 107 of 183 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 37 of 88 | 42% | 70 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 49 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 24 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 31 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 18 of 59 | 30% | 14 of 50 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 37 of 88 | 42% | 15 of 55 | 10 of 15 | 12 of 18 | 37 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 19 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 19 of 50 | 38% | 9 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 12 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 7 of 28 | 25% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 16 of 34 | 47% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.
Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.
Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.
Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 25 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 7 of 8 | 87% | 25 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farid Basharat | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 25 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 7 of 8 | 87% | 25 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farid Basharat | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 7 of 8 | 87% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farid Basharat | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 7 of 8 | 87% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-325), Rodrigues (+260)
Round 1
The action continues in the bantamweight division, when undefeated London Shootfighters product Basharat (10-0, 1-0 UFC) tries to keep his pro record unblemished against former flyweight Rodrigues (8-2, 1-1 UFC). A rarity for this fight card, neither competitor is fighting for French honor and glory in this matchup. With referee Loic Pora keeping a watchful eye on the action, the two men touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. Basharat moves right to the center of the cage and pushes Rodrigues back, and he ignores a low kick and absorbs one to the body in rapid succession. “K.R.” wraps his foot around the head of his opponent, and Basharat responds with a speedy takedown effort. Rodrigues stifles it and attempts to take the back standing, only to jump around and try to set up an unorthodox submission maneuver. Basharat stays composed and dumps Rodrigues to his back, and he does not waste much time before passing to half guard. Rodrigues responds with a few elbows to the thigh, and Basharat pays them no mind as he steps over to full mount with little effort. Basharat stays tightly pressed to his opponent instead of setting up some offense, and he takes some of the wind out of the explosive Brazilian’s sails with this pressure. Basharat gets off some short ground-and-pound, until Rodrigues bursts out of the bad position, reverses the position and is about to put Basharat on his back. Before he can, Basharat jumps back to his feet, and the two end up in the clinch. Rodrigues sneaks in several effective strikes on the inside, but he cannot stop Basharat from tripping up one leg and placing “K.R.” on his back. Basharat again methodically looks to pass the guard, and he frustrates Rodrigues with effective blows from above. Rodrigues fights back, only to take several elbows right on the jaw.
Basharat uses shoulder pressure and smoothly sets up a kata gatame, and he steps over to the side while Rodrigues is attempting to break the grip. Basharat presses his full body weight down as he completely secures the arm-triangle choke, and there is nothing more that Rodrigues can do at this point. After a few seconds of this dire position, Rodrigues surrenders
, and Basharat keeps his unbeaten record intact with a slick performance over a dangerous opponent.
The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Kleydson Rodrigues R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo picks Farid Basharat but with low confidence, noting the betting lines should be closer. He says Farid is the more technically sound fighter but didn't like pressure from Damon Blackshear, and Kleydson is all pressure. If Kleydson brawls, he can win. Angelo is staying away from the -300 line.
Big Brady picks Basharat, emphasizing his size, striking volume, and wrestling advantage. He notes Rodrigues' past weight issues and tough debut at bantamweight. He expects Basharat to use takedowns and control to win a decision, calling it a tough matchup for Rodrigues.
Cody is high on Basharat, calling him a real prospect at 26-0. He likes his movement, striking, and improving wrestling under Jake Shields. Basharat's win over Da'Mon Blackshear is a quality victory. Rodrigues has weight issues (missed weight twice) and is moving up to 135, which will affect his takedown defense. Cody expects Basharat to pick him apart on the feet and mix in takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Farid Basharat with high confidence, having bet him at -245 earlier. He praises Basharat's footwork, jab, fight IQ, and heart, noting that he passed a tough test against Damon Blackshear. Levi believes Basharat's pace and pressure will be too much for Rodrigues, who is explosive but tends to fade and has been taken down by lesser fighters. He expects a second or third round finish, citing Basharat's ground and pound and submission defense.
I like the chalk on Basharat. He has a slick boxing/kickboxing game and blends in takedowns well. Rodrigues is moving up in weight and has cardio issues. Basharat should establish range, get the fight to the clinch, and take advantage of Rodrigues' gas tank. I also like Basharat round three as a sprinkle. If the fight escapes the first round, Basharat should dominate later rounds.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Basharat by decision is basically a pick'em. He notes Rodrigues has never been finished, so a decision is likely. Paul likes Basharat over 2.5 takedowns on prize picks, expecting a takedown per round.
The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his win over Damon Blackshear as having aged well, and noting that Kleydson Rodrigues has losses to CJ Vergara and a win over Shannon Ross. He believes Basharat is more well-rounded and will drown Rodrigues in the second and third rounds, though he acknowledges Rodrigues could land a spinning kick early. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Basharat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shannon Ross | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shannon Ross | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shannon Ross | 14 of 22 | 63% | 8 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kleydson Rodrigues | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shannon Ross | 14 of 22 | 63% | 8 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Kleydson Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that Shannon Ross is a tough, hittable fighter who will apply constant pressure. He worries that Rodrigues might fold under pressure and lose a close decision, as in his previous fight. He expects Ross to headhunt for the home crowd, which could play into Rodrigues' hands.
Big Brady acknowledges Ross's potential but thinks Ross is hittable and not durable. He likes Rodrigues' power and striking, predicting a second-round knockout. He notes that Ross had health issues in his last fight but still expects Rodrigues to get back on track with a finish.
Cody picks Rodrigues but is wary after Rodrigues lost as a -360 favorite against CJ Vergara. He notes Rodrigues has takedown defense issues and fights to the level of his opponent. He thinks Ross has durability problems after being dropped three times by Vinicius Salvador. He considers the under on rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.
Connor picks Rodrigues, believing in his potential and power. He notes that Ross is hittable and has durability issues, and that Rodrigues has the power to hurt him. Connor acknowledges that Rodrigues looked timid against Vergara but still threw heat all fight. He thinks Rodrigues can win via athletic cheating, possibly landing a wild kick after losing the first round.
Ross can replicate Vergara's game plan: crash the pocket, pressure, and grapple. Rodrigues has cardio issues when pressured and prefers kicking from distance. Ross's forward pressure and big punches should wear Rodrigues down as the fight goes on. Durability is a question for Ross, but Rodrigues isn't a heavy hitter with his hands. Ross likely wins a decision after a tough first round.
Paul picks Rodrigues but is not confident. He notes Ross's poor durability and the fact that Ross lost to Vinicius Salvador as a favorite. He thinks Rodrigues has better grappling and volume, but the -320 price is too high. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues over Shannon Ross, criticizing Ross's entry into the UFC after a loss on the contender series. He believes Rodrigues is dangerous on the feet and will find a TKO finish, possibly a head kick in the first round. He notes Ross has been submitted early in his career.
Zane picks Ross, citing Rodrigues' inexperience and rough style matchup. He notes that Ross is aggressive and will stay in Rodrigues' face, finding wrestling opportunities, while Rodrigues has not learned to deal with pressure and tends to fire off kicks when pressured. Zane acknowledges that Ross is not impressive but thinks Rodrigues is not ready yet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 81 of 143 | 56% | 93 of 156 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 2 | 3:14 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 71 of 127 | 55% | 155 of 221 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 48 of 88 | 54% | 52 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 54 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:09 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 26 of 39 | 66% | 65 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:58 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 2:11 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 36 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 81 of 143 | 56% | 39 of 91 | 32 of 40 | 10 of 12 | 70 of 131 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 71 of 127 | 55% | 42 of 89 | 18 of 25 | 11 of 13 | 45 of 92 | 7 of 10 | 19 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 48 of 88 | 54% | 20 of 52 | 18 of 24 | 10 of 12 | 44 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 27 of 51 | 52% | 12 of 31 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 9 | 25 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 13 of 17 | 76% | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 26 of 39 | 66% | 21 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 24 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 20 of 38 | 52% | 11 of 28 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 18 of 37 | 48% | 9 of 26 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 30 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks C.J. Vergara despite the bookies favoring Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes Vergara can get inside Rodrigues' looping punches and beat him to the punch. He notes that Vergara is a beast in the clinch but worries about Rodrigues' takedowns from the clinch. He references Vergara's striking output in his UFC debut.
Big Brady picks Kleydson Rodrigues to win by decision. He is impressed by Rodrigues' striking volume, mixing kicks to the legs, body, and head. Vergara is tough and had a close fight with Ode Osbourne, but Rodrigues is a much tougher matchup on the feet. Rodrigues has good get-up game if taken down. Brady thinks Rodrigues has more tools and will outwork Vergara over three rounds, though the -280 price is steep. He expects a decision win for Rodrigues.
Cody picks Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a promising prospect with excellent technique. He notes Rodrigues' knees, elbows, and cardio, and that he improves as the fight goes on. Cody contrasts Vergara's straight-line movement and poor footwork. He believes Rodrigues will outwork Vergara and likely win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Kleydson Rodrigues confidently, though he does not bet due to the high price. He likes Rodrigues' athleticism, kicks, and takedown defense, and thinks he has a much higher ceiling than Vergara. He acknowledges Vergara's toughness and cardio but expects Rodrigues to win. He does not bet at -350.
The host is very high on Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a future top 5-7 flyweight. He praises his striking and jiu-jitsu, though notes cardio is questionable. He dismisses C.J. Vergara as a solid striker but not UFC caliber, pointing to Vergara's close decisions and draws on the regional scene. He expects Rodrigues to win via decision, as Vergara is durable. He might include Rodrigues in a parlay.
Paul picks Kleydson Rodrigues, impressed by his defensive capabilities and well-rounded game. He notes that Rodrigues barely got hit on the Contender Series and has good striking defense. Paul believes Vergara is limited, throwing looping left hooks, and that Rodrigues will cover the price tag. He acknowledges the debut nerves but is confident.
The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues, praising his unorthodox style and power. He believes Rodrigues' movement and kicks will keep Vergara guessing, and that Vergara may become overwhelmed. He predicts Rodrigues will win the first two rounds, possibly scoring a knockdown, and win 29-28. He notes Rodrigues is a big, powerful flyweight at 26 years old.
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.
Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.
Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.
Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.
Heili price too good