UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 5"
Reach 66"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alateng Heili
2.82 SLpM
32.0% Str. Acc.
5.12 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
43.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kleydson Rodrigues
4.58 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
2.29 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.6 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Alateng Heili - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 125 of 273 45% 127 of 275 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 61 of 190 32% 61 of 191 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 37 of 78 47% 37 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 11 of 45 24% 11 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 40 of 96 41% 42 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 48 of 99 48% 48 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 25 of 85 29% 25 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 125 of 273 45% 75 of 200 37 of 50 13 of 23 123 of 270 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 61 of 190 32% 34 of 148 19 of 34 8 of 8 60 of 189 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 37 of 78 47% 17 of 45 15 of 21 5 of 12 37 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 11 of 45 24% 7 of 38 1 of 4 3 of 3 11 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 40 of 96 41% 24 of 74 11 of 15 5 of 7 39 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 25 of 60 41% 11 of 41 13 of 18 1 of 1 24 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Da'Mon Blackshear 48 of 99 48% 34 of 81 11 of 14 3 of 4 47 of 97 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 25 of 85 29% 16 of 69 5 of 12 4 of 4 25 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his athleticism, speed, power, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Alateng Heili struggles to combine his skills, and that Blackshear's technical boxing and clean takedowns should prevail. He has Blackshear in a parlay with Joselyne Edwards.

Parlay with Joselyne Edwards at -105 odds
"De Man Blackshere is the pick. He is in the other half of that parlay with Joselyn Edwards."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Big Brady is confident in Da'Mon Blackshear, highlighting his superior grappling and Alateng Heili's low volume and lack of wrestling. He expects Blackshear to get the fight to the ground and submit Heili, noting a massive skill gap on the mat. He predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The host acknowledges Heili's wrestling could cause issues but believes Blackshear's striking power and BJJ black belt will keep him safe and allow him to grind out a decision win.

"I believe Black Shear's power in his striking as well as his BJJ black belt should allow him to stay safe in most of these positions and end up grinding this fight out and winning it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The MMA Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear to win by finish in the first two rounds. He cites Blackshear's reach advantage (5.5 inches), activity, and ability to dictate range. He notes Heili is not a pressure fighter and fights once a year, which hurts his development. He expects Blackshear to hurt Heili and finish via TKO or submission.

finish in first two rounds
"I'm actually going to go De Man Blackshere getting a finish in the first two rounds. I don't know what way he's going to do it. Maybe he hurts him and then finishes him with a submission."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 18 of 59 30% 107 of 183 3 of 4 75% 0 0 8:16
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 37 of 88 42% 70 of 126 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 3 of 6 50% 49 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:10
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Alateng Heili 0 8 of 25 32% 24 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 19 of 50 38% 30 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 7 of 28 25% 34 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 16 of 34 47% 31 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 18 of 59 30% 14 of 50 3 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 53 0 of 0 3 of 6
Kleydson Rodrigues 37 of 88 42% 15 of 55 10 of 15 12 of 18 37 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 8 of 25 32% 6 of 19 1 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kleydson Rodrigues 19 of 50 38% 9 of 31 3 of 7 7 of 12 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 7 of 28 25% 5 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues 16 of 34 47% 6 of 23 6 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.

"I'm still leaning Clayton here CU I do like the pressure and alang doesn't love pressure"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.

"I can try to fade that which I'll try to do here by taking the uh the Chinese fighter at slight plus money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.

Line movement noted: some love on the Mongolian fighter, so waiting for better line on Rodrigues.
"I think we'll see Rodriguez utilizes Superior striking threaten enough off of his back but mainly do his best work in the Striking real and then from there he should be able to box up alang halei and win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.

"Alanga Le will be the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.

"I'm going with heli Len as the underdog here over Clayton Rodriguez I know a lot of people are picking Clayton again but you know what I'm going to do chat I'm not just gon to play the game"
LOSS vs Chris Gutierrez
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 39 of 143 27% 56 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 49 of 131 37% 60 of 148 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 12 of 43 27% 13 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 16 of 44 36% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alateng Heili 0 14 of 53 26% 14 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 16 of 45 35% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 13 of 47 27% 29 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 17 of 42 40% 28 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 39 of 143 27% 25 of 118 8 of 14 6 of 11 35 of 139 0 of 0 4 of 4
Chad Anheliger 49 of 131 37% 30 of 102 6 of 7 13 of 22 43 of 123 0 of 0 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 12 of 43 27% 11 of 35 1 of 4 0 of 4 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 16 of 44 36% 9 of 33 2 of 2 5 of 9 16 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 14 of 53 26% 8 of 45 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 16 of 45 35% 9 of 36 4 of 4 3 of 5 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 13 of 47 27% 6 of 38 3 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 43 0 of 0 4 of 4
Chad Anheliger 17 of 42 40% 12 of 33 0 of 1 5 of 8 11 of 34 0 of 0 6 of 8
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chad Anheliger

Angelo picks Chad Anheliger, liking his power and ability to not be fazed by takedowns. He notes Anheliger has been taken down nine times in two UFC fights but still won, showing he scrambles back up and keeps firing. He expects Heili to work in grappling but believes Anheliger's resilience and power will get the job done.

"I like Chad's power I like his ability to just completely not give a crap if he's taken down he doesn't let it frustrate him at all he just works right back up and he just starts firing away."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chad Anheliger

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger as a live dog, citing Alateng Heili's reluctance to wrestle despite having a wrestling background. He notes Heili has zero takedowns in his last three fights and poor striking volume, while Anheliger has power and has shown durability. He predicts Anheliger wins by decision, though he is not sure if he will bet it.

"I'm going to take another dog here I'm going to take the dog shot on Chad Anheliger in terms of a pick."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody picks Alateng Heili, noting his wrestling advantage and durability. He believes Heili will take Anheliger down and control the fight. He points out that Anheliger looked bad against Jesse Strader, getting taken down multiple times, and that his cardio is questionable. He thinks Heili is the better fighter.

"i think he's got a big wrestling advantage against chad he loses the fight if he gets if he falls behind the punch numbers"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Daniel Levi picks Alateng Heili, citing his physicality and improved wrestling. He respects Anheliger's toughness and comeback ability, but thinks Heili's size and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that if Heili gasses, Anheliger could take over, but expects Heili's conditioning at Fight Ready to hold up.

"I'm gonna go with highly alatang just think he's a little bit more physical and i think that his wrestling in this fight is probably going to make the difference."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Jacob picks Alateng Heili but is hesitant, calling it the toughest fight to pick. He notes Heili is technical with power and has backdoor wrestling if he uses it. He worries about Anheliger's hands-down head movement and thinks Heili's technical striking and power could catch him. However, he admits if Anheliger wins, he wouldn't be surprised.

"I'm gonna side with Aletang just because he's got a little bit of the power advantage and I don't love the head the hands down head movement of Chad."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Alateng Heili

The host picks Alateng Heili, believing he has too many tools for Anheliger. He expects Heili to mix in wrestling to set up his striking, avoid trading in the pocket, and win a decision. He notes Anheliger's power but thinks Heili is the more complete fighter and that the line is accurate.

decision
"I think Hailey is the better overall fighter and I don't mind that -170 line personally."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul picks Alateng Heili, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Anheliger has cardio issues and was taken down multiple times by Jesse Strader. He believes Heili's wrestling and durability will be the difference, and that he is the more reliable fighter.

"i'm with you as well um give me ella tang hilly don't really have i don't really have anything to add to what you said there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Chad Anheliger

The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by decision, 30-27. He expects a scrappy fight where both rock each other and get takedowns, but Anheliger recovers quicker, scrambles harder, and ends up in dominant positions with better ground and pound. He out-hustles Alateng in every occasion.

decision 30-27
"I'm gonna be going with Chad and halika by decision 30 27"
WIN vs Kevin Croom
TKO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 9 of 17 52% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kevin Croom 2 of 12 16% 0 of 5 1 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 9 of 17 52% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kevin Croom 2 of 12 16% 0 of 5 1 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Angelo picks Alateng Heili, but thinks the odds are a bit wide. He notes that Heili is a technical striker who can struggle with brawlers like Croom. He believes Heili can get the fight to the ground if needed, but must be wary of Croom's submissions. He considers Croom a far better fighter than his recent record shows.

wins inside the distance decision no action bet on Kevin Croom (if Croom wins by KO or submission, gets paid; if loses decision, refund)
"the bet that i will place here will probably be a wins inside the distance decision no action bet on kevin crone because he's tough enough to survive"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Big Brady picks Kevin Croom for the upset by decision. He notes Croom has a massive size advantage (6 inches taller, 6.5 inch reach) and will throw more volume than Alateng Heili, who has low output (max 47 significant strikes in a UFC fight). He expects Croom to win minutes on the feet and avoid Heili's power. He acknowledges Croom's takedown accuracy is poor but thinks Heili's wrestling plays into Croom's ground game.

win by decision
"i'm going to take kevin kroom for the upset to start off the card i'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody picks Heili, emphasizing his wrestling and top pressure. He notes Croom's size but thinks Heili can take him down and win from guard. He believes Heili's camp at Fight Ready will help him execute the right game plan.

"highly alatang should be easy money takedowns good enough top pressure good enough cardio"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Daniel Levi leans Alateng Heili, noting this is his proper weight class and he is likely fight-ready with good conditioning. He respects Croom's size and finishing ability but worries about Croom cutting to 135 and fading late, as he has a history of losing decisions. Levi expects Heili to win a decision.

Picks Heili by decision
"Give me highly alating to come out here and win a decision here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul picks Heili, citing his wrestling advantage and durability. He thinks Heili can take Croom down and control him. He notes Heili's poor decision-making in the past but believes he will wrestle here.

"i think aletang haley is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom as an underdog, believing the odds are incorrect. He notes Croom's 7-inch reach advantage and awkward striking style, and doubts Heili's chin and technical ability. He expects Croom to win a 29-28 unanimous decision, possibly losing the third round.

underdog, unanimous decision 29-28
"i'm starting with kevin croom here as an underdog i think the odds are completely incorrect"
LOSS vs Gustavo Lopez
Draw (unanimous) (28–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gustavo Lopez 0 44 of 115 38% 47 of 119 3 of 8 37% 1 0 2:03
Alateng Heili 0 36 of 118 30% 37 of 120 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gustavo Lopez 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Alateng Heili 0 11 of 42 26% 12 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Gustavo Lopez 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Alateng Heili 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gustavo Lopez 0 23 of 50 46% 26 of 54 2 of 6 33% 1 0 1:38
Alateng Heili 0 10 of 35 28% 10 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gustavo Lopez 44 of 115 38% 32 of 93 5 of 10 7 of 12 35 of 99 2 of 6 7 of 10
Alateng Heili 36 of 118 30% 23 of 102 10 of 12 3 of 4 35 of 115 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gustavo Lopez 10 of 30 33% 8 of 26 1 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 11 of 42 26% 7 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gustavo Lopez 11 of 35 31% 5 of 24 1 of 2 5 of 9 11 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 15 of 41 36% 10 of 34 2 of 4 3 of 3 15 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gustavo Lopez 23 of 50 46% 19 of 43 3 of 5 1 of 2 14 of 35 2 of 5 7 of 10
Alateng Heili 10 of 35 28% 6 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 1 9 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.

"i actually think gustavo lopez is going to win this fight so gustavo is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.

"i'm going to take alatang hey lee for the wrestling i don't love it this is not something i'm going to bed"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"give me the durability and the seemingly gas tank i'll i'll lean towards i'll join the rest of twitter on alatang heli but i'm not gonna bet it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.

"i see it being a close fight i just kind of see gustavo lopez kind of pulling away landing the harder shots being able to stuff these takedowns and just winning a competitive decision so gimme gustavo lopez for the …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alateng Heili

Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds -200, Alateng Heili by decision +165
"I got to lean that highly on the tank side here I got to believe he's been making improvements over there I fight ready"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.

"if i'm saying it's a dog or pass and i would have to end up going with gustavo lopez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.

"i'm going to go with hilia latin here um he's been better recently"
LOSS vs Casey Kenney
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Casey Kenney 0 109 of 263 41% 109 of 263 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 46 of 171 26% 46 of 171 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Casey Kenney 0 40 of 94 42% 40 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 19 of 64 29% 19 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Casey Kenney 0 29 of 79 36% 29 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 14 of 52 26% 14 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Casey Kenney 0 40 of 90 44% 40 of 90 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alateng Heili 0 13 of 55 23% 13 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Casey Kenney 109 of 263 41% 57 of 192 41 of 58 11 of 13 109 of 261 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 46 of 171 26% 26 of 140 11 of 20 9 of 11 46 of 171 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Casey Kenney 40 of 94 42% 21 of 69 15 of 19 4 of 6 40 of 94 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 19 of 64 29% 9 of 53 5 of 6 5 of 5 19 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Casey Kenney 29 of 79 36% 11 of 58 15 of 18 3 of 3 29 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 14 of 52 26% 9 of 43 2 of 4 3 of 5 14 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Casey Kenney 40 of 90 44% 25 of 65 11 of 21 4 of 4 40 of 88 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 13 of 55 23% 8 of 44 4 of 10 1 of 1 13 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Casey Kenney

Big Brady picks Casey Kenney to win by decision. He highlights Kenney's superior striking volume and takedown defense, noting that Heili is low volume and gets outlanded. He thinks Kenney is better everywhere and that Heili's only chance is a knockout.

"give me casey kenny to win i'm gonna take it safe and say by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Casey Kenney

Daniel confidently picks Kenney, praising his fight IQ and level of competition. He expects Kenney to use kicks to avoid Heili's right hand, mix in takedowns, and dominate on top. He notes Heili's toughness and power but believes Kenney is on a different level and will out-tough him.

"i think casey is going to come out here throwing more kicks then he's going to mix in the takedowns and when he gets on top of hailey ala tank that's when i feel like he's going to really take …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Casey Kenney

The host is extremely confident in Casey Kenney, citing his superior grappling, scrambles, and experience against high-level grapplers like Manny Bermudez and Brandon Royval. He believes Alateng Heili's wrestling credentials won't translate to MMA grappling and that Kenney will dominate on the ground. He placed a 5-unit bet at -281, calling it his lock of the night.

Parlay suggestion with Jordan Williams or Dusko Todorovic
"I've already pulled the trigger on casey kenny here... he is my locker than i play there's no doubt about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Casey Kenney

The Guru picks Casey Kenney, citing his quality wins over Manny Bermudez, Ray Borg, and Louis Smolka, and noting that Alateng's close fight with Ryan Benoit was unimpressive. He acknowledges Kenney is a heavy favorite at 1-3 odds but still picks him, predicting a submission in the first or second round.

Odds: 1-3 (implied -300); prediction: submission round 1-2
"i'm definitely going to be picking casey kenny and to be honest he went to a decision with mourab yeah he got ragdolled but you know he was getting back up"
WIN vs Ryan Benoit
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 47 of 131 35% 72 of 160 4 of 13 30% 0 0 3:19
Ryan Benoit 0 68 of 128 53% 84 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 12 of 50 24% 15 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Ryan Benoit 0 19 of 32 59% 19 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Alateng Heili 0 28 of 65 43% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ryan Benoit 0 26 of 59 44% 26 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 7 of 16 43% 29 of 42 4 of 12 33% 0 0 3:04
Ryan Benoit 0 23 of 37 62% 39 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 47 of 131 35% 27 of 108 11 of 13 9 of 10 47 of 131 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ryan Benoit 68 of 128 53% 45 of 101 17 of 21 6 of 6 53 of 112 15 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 12 of 50 24% 9 of 46 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ryan Benoit 19 of 32 59% 6 of 19 10 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 28 of 65 43% 13 of 49 9 of 10 6 of 6 28 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ryan Benoit 26 of 59 44% 18 of 47 5 of 9 3 of 3 26 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 7 of 16 43% 5 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 2 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ryan Benoit 23 of 37 62% 21 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 22 14 of 15 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues - Fight History
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 18 of 59 30% 107 of 183 3 of 4 75% 0 0 8:16
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 37 of 88 42% 70 of 126 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 3 of 6 50% 49 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:10
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Alateng Heili 0 8 of 25 32% 24 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 19 of 50 38% 30 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 7 of 28 25% 34 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 16 of 34 47% 31 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 18 of 59 30% 14 of 50 3 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 53 0 of 0 3 of 6
Kleydson Rodrigues 37 of 88 42% 15 of 55 10 of 15 12 of 18 37 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 8 of 25 32% 6 of 19 1 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kleydson Rodrigues 19 of 50 38% 9 of 31 3 of 7 7 of 12 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 7 of 28 25% 5 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues 16 of 34 47% 6 of 23 6 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.

"I'm still leaning Clayton here CU I do like the pressure and alang doesn't love pressure"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.

"I can try to fade that which I'll try to do here by taking the uh the Chinese fighter at slight plus money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.

Line movement noted: some love on the Mongolian fighter, so waiting for better line on Rodrigues.
"I think we'll see Rodriguez utilizes Superior striking threaten enough off of his back but mainly do his best work in the Striking real and then from there he should be able to box up alang halei and win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.

"Alanga Le will be the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.

"I'm going with heli Len as the underdog here over Clayton Rodriguez I know a lot of people are picking Clayton again but you know what I'm going to do chat I'm not just gon to play the game"
LOSS vs Farid Basharat
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-325), Rodrigues (+260)

Round 1
The action continues in the bantamweight division, when undefeated London Shootfighters product Basharat (10-0, 1-0 UFC) tries to keep his pro record unblemished against former flyweight Rodrigues (8-2, 1-1 UFC). A rarity for this fight card, neither competitor is fighting for French honor and glory in this matchup. With referee Loic Pora keeping a watchful eye on the action, the two men touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. Basharat moves right to the center of the cage and pushes Rodrigues back, and he ignores a low kick and absorbs one to the body in rapid succession. “K.R.” wraps his foot around the head of his opponent, and Basharat responds with a speedy takedown effort. Rodrigues stifles it and attempts to take the back standing, only to jump around and try to set up an unorthodox submission maneuver. Basharat stays composed and dumps Rodrigues to his back, and he does not waste much time before passing to half guard. Rodrigues responds with a few elbows to the thigh, and Basharat pays them no mind as he steps over to full mount with little effort. Basharat stays tightly pressed to his opponent instead of setting up some offense, and he takes some of the wind out of the explosive Brazilian’s sails with this pressure. Basharat gets off some short ground-and-pound, until Rodrigues bursts out of the bad position, reverses the position and is about to put Basharat on his back. Before he can, Basharat jumps back to his feet, and the two end up in the clinch. Rodrigues sneaks in several effective strikes on the inside, but he cannot stop Basharat from tripping up one leg and placing “K.R.” on his back. Basharat again methodically looks to pass the guard, and he frustrates Rodrigues with effective blows from above. Rodrigues fights back, only to take several elbows right on the jaw.
Basharat uses shoulder pressure and smoothly sets up a kata gatame, and he steps over to the side while Rodrigues is attempting to break the grip. Basharat presses his full body weight down as he completely secures the arm-triangle choke, and there is nothing more that Rodrigues can do at this point. After a few seconds of this dire position, Rodrigues surrenders
, and Basharat keeps his unbeaten record intact with a slick performance over a dangerous opponent.

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Kleydson Rodrigues R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat but with low confidence, noting the betting lines should be closer. He says Farid is the more technically sound fighter but didn't like pressure from Damon Blackshear, and Kleydson is all pressure. If Kleydson brawls, he can win. Angelo is staying away from the -300 line.

"low confidence pick for freed... he's gonna be the pick but three to one I'm staying away from that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady picks Basharat, emphasizing his size, striking volume, and wrestling advantage. He notes Rodrigues' past weight issues and tough debut at bantamweight. He expects Basharat to use takedowns and control to win a decision, calling it a tough matchup for Rodrigues.

"I think fari basharat is just going to probably be better you know everywhere this fight goes... I like him to take down clutson Rodriguez control him and ultimately win a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody is high on Basharat, calling him a real prospect at 26-0. He likes his movement, striking, and improving wrestling under Jake Shields. Basharat's win over Da'Mon Blackshear is a quality victory. Rodrigues has weight issues (missed weight twice) and is moving up to 135, which will affect his takedown defense. Cody expects Basharat to pick him apart on the feet and mix in takedowns.

Basharat by decision (pick'em); Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I really like this kid... sky's the limit for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Levi picks Farid Basharat with high confidence, having bet him at -245 earlier. He praises Basharat's footwork, jab, fight IQ, and heart, noting that he passed a tough test against Damon Blackshear. Levi believes Basharat's pace and pressure will be too much for Rodrigues, who is explosive but tends to fade and has been taken down by lesser fighters. He expects a second or third round finish, citing Basharat's ground and pound and submission defense.

Basharat wins in round 2 or 3; already bet at -245
"I like everything about Fareed and again when you beat a line by over a dollar like I already have"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

I like the chalk on Basharat. He has a slick boxing/kickboxing game and blends in takedowns well. Rodrigues is moving up in weight and has cardio issues. Basharat should establish range, get the fight to the clinch, and take advantage of Rodrigues' gas tank. I also like Basharat round three as a sprinkle. If the fight escapes the first round, Basharat should dominate later rounds.

Basharat round three
"I like the chalk on bash right if I'm being honest if you want to hedge anything here maybe Clayton round one but if this fight escapes that first round I won't have any worries on the free Bachelorette side …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Basharat by decision is basically a pick'em. He notes Rodrigues has never been finished, so a decision is likely. Paul likes Basharat over 2.5 takedowns on prize picks, expecting a takedown per round.

Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I'm with you with you through thick and thin there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his win over Damon Blackshear as having aged well, and noting that Kleydson Rodrigues has losses to CJ Vergara and a win over Shannon Ross. He believes Basharat is more well-rounded and will drown Rodrigues in the second and third rounds, though he acknowledges Rodrigues could land a spinning kick early. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Basharat.

"I'm going with farrid Basher out here this is one of the easier ones on the card to call"
WIN vs Shannon Ross
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo picks Kleydson Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that Shannon Ross is a tough, hittable fighter who will apply constant pressure. He worries that Rodrigues might fold under pressure and lose a close decision, as in his previous fight. He expects Ross to headhunt for the home crowd, which could play into Rodrigues' hands.

"Clayton's going to be the pick but very low confidence spot in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady acknowledges Ross's potential but thinks Ross is hittable and not durable. He likes Rodrigues' power and striking, predicting a second-round knockout. He notes that Ross had health issues in his last fight but still expects Rodrigues to get back on track with a finish.

second round knockout
"I do like Rodriguez here to win I do like him to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Rodrigues but is wary after Rodrigues lost as a -360 favorite against CJ Vergara. He notes Rodrigues has takedown defense issues and fights to the level of his opponent. He thinks Ross has durability problems after being dropped three times by Vinicius Salvador. He considers the under on rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.

under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision at -145
"I'm gonna side with youth here minus 320 is way too heavy of a price for me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Connor picks Rodrigues, believing in his potential and power. He notes that Ross is hittable and has durability issues, and that Rodrigues has the power to hurt him. Connor acknowledges that Rodrigues looked timid against Vergara but still threw heat all fight. He thinks Rodrigues can win via athletic cheating, possibly landing a wild kick after losing the first round.

"I'm still going to pick Rodriguez here. This is me. This is me hold the clean to hope clean to life because I think he I think the right experience and the right training and all that like it might …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Ross can replicate Vergara's game plan: crash the pocket, pressure, and grapple. Rodrigues has cardio issues when pressured and prefers kicking from distance. Ross's forward pressure and big punches should wear Rodrigues down as the fight goes on. Durability is a question for Ross, but Rodrigues isn't a heavy hitter with his hands. Ross likely wins a decision after a tough first round.

"I think Ross has some good value as an underdog in this matchup especially if he can stay conscious like I said that's a big hold up for me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Rodrigues but is not confident. He notes Ross's poor durability and the fact that Ross lost to Vinicius Salvador as a favorite. He thinks Rodrigues has better grappling and volume, but the -320 price is too high. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Rodriguez wins likely inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues over Shannon Ross, criticizing Ross's entry into the UFC after a loss on the contender series. He believes Rodrigues is dangerous on the feet and will find a TKO finish, possibly a head kick in the first round. He notes Ross has been submitted early in his career.

first round TKO
"I'm gonna go with Clayton Rodriguez I reckon you'll find a TKO finish as well"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Zane picks Ross, citing Rodrigues' inexperience and rough style matchup. He notes that Ross is aggressive and will stay in Rodrigues' face, finding wrestling opportunities, while Rodrigues has not learned to deal with pressure and tends to fire off kicks when pressured. Zane acknowledges that Ross is not impressive but thinks Rodrigues is not ready yet.

"I just kind of take this as a Rodriguez's inexperience combined with a rough style matchup."
LOSS vs C.J. Vergara
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
C.J. Vergara 0 81 of 143 56% 93 of 156 2 of 7 28% 1 2 3:14
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 71 of 127 55% 155 of 221 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 C.J. Vergara 0 48 of 88 54% 52 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 27 of 51 52% 54 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 C.J. Vergara 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:09
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 26 of 39 66% 65 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
3 C.J. Vergara 0 20 of 38 52% 21 of 40 1 of 3 33% 1 1 2:11
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 18 of 37 48% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
C.J. Vergara 81 of 143 56% 39 of 91 32 of 40 10 of 12 70 of 131 6 of 7 5 of 5
Kleydson Rodrigues 71 of 127 55% 42 of 89 18 of 25 11 of 13 45 of 92 7 of 10 19 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 C.J. Vergara 48 of 88 54% 20 of 52 18 of 24 10 of 12 44 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues 27 of 51 52% 12 of 31 8 of 11 7 of 9 25 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 C.J. Vergara 13 of 17 76% 8 of 11 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 3
Kleydson Rodrigues 26 of 39 66% 21 of 32 3 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 24
3 C.J. Vergara 20 of 38 52% 11 of 28 9 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2
Kleydson Rodrigues 18 of 37 48% 9 of 26 7 of 9 2 of 2 13 of 30 4 of 6 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Angelo picks C.J. Vergara despite the bookies favoring Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes Vergara can get inside Rodrigues' looping punches and beat him to the punch. He notes that Vergara is a beast in the clinch but worries about Rodrigues' takedowns from the clinch. He references Vergara's striking output in his UFC debut.

"I think cj can get inside of them and literally beat clayton to the punch"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady picks Kleydson Rodrigues to win by decision. He is impressed by Rodrigues' striking volume, mixing kicks to the legs, body, and head. Vergara is tough and had a close fight with Ode Osbourne, but Rodrigues is a much tougher matchup on the feet. Rodrigues has good get-up game if taken down. Brady thinks Rodrigues has more tools and will outwork Vergara over three rounds, though the -280 price is steep. He expects a decision win for Rodrigues.

decision
"I like clinton rodriguez here quite a bit ... I like rodriguez here and I like him quite a bit and I'm excited to see him make his debut"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a promising prospect with excellent technique. He notes Rodrigues' knees, elbows, and cardio, and that he improves as the fight goes on. Cody contrasts Vergara's straight-line movement and poor footwork. He believes Rodrigues will outwork Vergara and likely win a decision.

"i would think i'm leaning towards decision for clayton rodriguez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Daniel Levi picks Kleydson Rodrigues confidently, though he does not bet due to the high price. He likes Rodrigues' athleticism, kicks, and takedown defense, and thinks he has a much higher ceiling than Vergara. He acknowledges Vergara's toughness and cardio but expects Rodrigues to win. He does not bet at -350.

Daniel does not bet this fight. He mentions possibly putting Rodrigues in a parlay but does not.
"My pick is Clayton. I think he's got the much higher ceiling. I think he's the much more potential. But CJ, he's got that spirit about him. So it's gonna be a good fight but give me Clayton to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The host is very high on Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a future top 5-7 flyweight. He praises his striking and jiu-jitsu, though notes cardio is questionable. He dismisses C.J. Vergara as a solid striker but not UFC caliber, pointing to Vergara's close decisions and draws on the regional scene. He expects Rodrigues to win via decision, as Vergara is durable. He might include Rodrigues in a parlay.

"clayton i think this guy is the [ __ ] i think he truly has the potential to be a top five to seven guy in this division"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Kleydson Rodrigues, impressed by his defensive capabilities and well-rounded game. He notes that Rodrigues barely got hit on the Contender Series and has good striking defense. Paul believes Vergara is limited, throwing looping left hooks, and that Rodrigues will cover the price tag. He acknowledges the debut nerves but is confident.

"i'm picking clayton to win in this spot i do think that he's uh he's a real decent uh prospect coming up into this division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues, praising his unorthodox style and power. He believes Rodrigues' movement and kicks will keep Vergara guessing, and that Vergara may become overwhelmed. He predicts Rodrigues will win the first two rounds, possibly scoring a knockdown, and win 29-28. He notes Rodrigues is a big, powerful flyweight at 26 years old.

Rodrigues 29-28
"i'm gonna go i've played some rodriguez 29-28 winning the first two rounds on his unorthodoxy and his power"
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.

"I'm still leaning Clayton here CU I do like the pressure and alang doesn't love pressure"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.

"I can try to fade that which I'll try to do here by taking the uh the Chinese fighter at slight plus money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.

Line movement noted: some love on the Mongolian fighter, so waiting for better line on Rodrigues.
"I think we'll see Rodriguez utilizes Superior striking threaten enough off of his back but mainly do his best work in the Striking real and then from there he should be able to box up alang halei and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.

"Alanga Le will be the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.

"I'm going with heli Len as the underdog here over Clayton Rodriguez I know a lot of people are picking Clayton again but you know what I'm going to do chat I'm not just gon to play the game"