UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov Next Fight
Age 32
Height 6' 2"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 6' 3"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Sharabutdin Magomedov
5.93 SLpM
62.0% Str. Acc.
3.85 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Michael Page
2.28 SLpM
58.0% Str. Acc.
1.51 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
0.19 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Sharabutdin Magomedov
Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
DraftKings +350
Submission
DraftKings +3000
Decision
FanDuel +130
Michael Page
Moneyline
Caesars +180
KO/TKO
FanDuel +750
Submission
FanDuel +2400
Decision
FanDuel +310
Sharabutdin Magomedov - Fight History
SCHED vs Michel Pereira
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 93 of 142 65% 103 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:57
Marc-André Barriault 0 39 of 77 50% 60 of 100 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 36 61% 23 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 17 29% 12 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 37 of 61 60% 37 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Marc-André Barriault 0 29 of 44 65% 39 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:47
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 34 of 45 75% 43 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 16 31% 9 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 93 of 142 65% 42 of 82 27 of 33 24 of 27 58 of 93 30 of 39 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 39 of 77 50% 24 of 54 13 of 19 2 of 4 21 of 56 18 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 36 61% 5 of 15 4 of 7 13 of 14 19 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 17 29% 4 of 12 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 37 of 61 60% 19 of 40 14 of 15 4 of 6 20 of 40 17 of 21 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 29 of 44 65% 16 of 28 12 of 13 1 of 3 13 of 26 16 of 18 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 34 of 45 75% 18 of 27 9 of 11 7 of 7 19 of 23 10 of 12 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 16 31% 4 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting he is the much better striker with power and a granite chin. He expects Shara to test Barriault's chin and light him up, as Barriault relies on empty forward pressure and volume but lacks power. He dismisses Shara's loss to MVP as a stylistic mismatch.

"Shara Bullet is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a clear setup spot. He notes Barriault is likely washed and has a compromised chin, having been knocked out by lesser fighters. He expects Barriault to stand and trade, which plays into Magomedov's hands. He predicts a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I got Shara here. I think Shara knocks him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor believes Barriault's recent durability issues and tendency to stand and trade will play into Shara's hands. He notes Shara's incredible speed and creativity, and while Barriault could win by clinch pressure, he expects him to kickbox and get outclassed.

Odds are too wide; Connor says 'That's a little wide, frankly.'
"I got to take Shara, like Barrio is going to go out there and try to kick box with him and just be a step slower."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Although the host usually fades Magomedov at high chalky lines, Barriault cannot eat the shots Magomedov will throw. Magomedov will land big shots and find a finish within a round and a half.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"Look for Magov to land those big shots and find that finish within a round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a 'layup' and criticizing the matchmaking. He notes Magomedov's high-volume striking on the back foot and believes Barriault's pressure will play into his hands. He predicts a second or third-round TKO after breaking Barriault down.

TKO, round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go with Sharon Magamemedov getting this one done. second or third round TKO after breaking down Mar Andre Barry all in the first and second."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane agrees, noting that Barriault's best chance is to wrestle and clinch, but he expects Barriault to stand and trade. He points out that Shara's speed and power will be too much, and Barriault's chin is questionable after recent knockouts.

"Yeah."
LOSS vs Michael Page
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 38 of 87 43% 50 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 43 of 75 57% 47 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 7 of 30 23% 9 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 32 68% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 16 of 29 55% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 38 of 87 43% 8 of 42 17 of 20 13 of 25 34 of 82 4 of 5 0 of 0
Michael Page 43 of 75 57% 23 of 53 11 of 12 9 of 10 38 of 69 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 9 of 25 36% 1 of 10 2 of 3 6 of 12 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Page 13 of 21 61% 7 of 14 1 of 2 5 of 5 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 7 of 30 23% 0 of 18 5 of 7 2 of 5 7 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Page 14 of 25 56% 5 of 16 6 of 6 3 of 3 13 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 32 68% 7 of 14 10 of 10 5 of 8 18 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
Michael Page 16 of 29 55% 11 of 23 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo picks Michael Page, calling it his 'last ride' with MVP. He notes Page's unorthodox karate style, speed, and ability to cover distance. He believes Page's striking will frustrate Sharabutdin Magomedov, who is creative but may struggle with Page's movement. He acknowledges Page's age (37) and the risk of a knockout loss, but thinks Page can win a decision. He suggests looking at prop bets like MVP +3.5.

Suggests MVP +3.5 (spread) and decision prop.
"I'm going to pick MVP this is probably my last ride with MVP"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady thinks the odds make no sense and favors Michael Page at plus money. He praises Page's striking defense, noting he made Kevin Holland and Ian Garry look silly. Sharabutdin Magomedov has 42% striking defense and is there to be hit. Brady expects a close fight but predicts Page wins by decision, possibly split. He doesn't see Magomedov wrestling.

decision
"I got to go paig here especially at like plus 170 I I just don't see in what world Shara is looking anywhere near minus 200 he's not going to wrestle he's not going to he's going to have a …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks MVP, expecting him to produce his typical frustrating fight. He notes that Magomedov is directionally aimless and has a punchable face that invites aggression, but MVP's style of staying at range and countering is difficult to deal with. Connor believes Magomedov's leg kicks could be a factor, but MVP's willingness to make the fight boring and his reach advantage give him the edge.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, primarily due to hometown bias in Saudi Arabia favoring the Russian Muslim fighter. He also cites Magomedov's leg kick advantage against Page's karate stance, better durability, and finishing upside. He notes Page moves up to middleweight at 37-38, which is a disadvantage. He expects a close fight but sees Magomedov winning by decision, with potential for a knockout.

Magomedov by decision is implied; mentions leg kick damage and finishing upside.
"overall my prediction is going to be sh magedov wins the fight I'm going to say that he wins a fight via decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Page is very hard to hit and will set up counters effectively, potentially scoring a knockout if he lands the perfect shot. Magomedov lacks a wrestling background despite his name, which will be an issue. Page is expected to pick him apart similar to the Kevin Holland fight and win on the scorecards.

"I think that will cause him issues here as he goes up against a fighter in Page who is very hard to hit look for Page to set up a ton of counters move effectively maybe score a knockout if …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by late-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes Magomedov's kicks and clinch will cause problems for MVP, and that MVP's takedown defense is weak. He notes MVP struggled with Ian Garry's grappling and that Magomedov has been drilling takedowns. He thinks MVP's move to middleweight may reduce his presence.

late rounds finish, ground and pound TKO in the third
"I'm going to go Sharon magedov getting this one done late rounds finish maybe ground and pound TKO in the third"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks MVP, agreeing with Connor that Magomedov's lack of defensive structure and tendency to be countered will be exploited. He notes that MVP's style of frustrating opponents and waiting for mistakes is effective, and Magomedov's leg kicks may not be enough to overcome MVP's reach and movement. Zane expects a boring fight but sees MVP winning.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
KO (spinning backfists) R2 4:52 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 65 of 106 61% 67 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 77 of 140 55% 77 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 33 of 49 67% 35 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Armen Petrosyan 0 46 of 81 56% 46 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 32 of 57 56% 32 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 31 of 59 52% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 65 of 106 61% 24 of 53 29 of 34 12 of 19 63 of 104 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 77 of 140 55% 22 of 66 10 of 14 45 of 60 75 of 138 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 49 67% 12 of 24 13 of 14 8 of 11 31 of 47 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 46 of 81 56% 14 of 35 5 of 7 27 of 39 44 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 32 of 57 56% 12 of 29 16 of 20 4 of 8 32 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 31 of 59 52% 8 of 31 5 of 7 18 of 21 31 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov despite being disappointed in his lack of finishes. He believes Shara is the better striker and counter-striker, and Armen's forward pressure will play into Shara's hands. However, he also sees value in betting on Armen Petrosyan at plus money via a spread bet, as Shara has not been finishing fights and Armen could win rounds.

Sneaky good bet on Armen Petrosyan +3.5 if available; over 2.5 rounds if plus money.
"I'm going to pick Shara because I think arman's forward pressure will play in to's very good counter striking but I think a sneaky good bet... plus three and a half on Arman petosan might be a very good bet."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Big Brady picks the underdog Petrosyan, calling this the closest fight on the card. He thinks Petrosyan can hang on the feet and may mix in takedowns, which could be a key factor. He notes that Petrosyan has been taken down a lot but might have improved his wrestling, similar to Roman Kopylov. He believes at worst it's a 50/50 fight and doesn't understand the odds.

"I'm going with with the dog here I just don't understand these odds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody picks Armen Petrosyan as a slight underdog, citing Magomedov's lack of grappling and takedown defense. He notes that Petrosyan has faced strong grapplers and survived, and that he has the striking volume and power to outwork Magomedov. Cody also mentions that Petrosyan may mix in takedowns of his own. However, he is not highly confident due to potential hometown cooking for Magomedov.

"I'm actually going to go with Arman petan as well"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor picks Magomedov, noting his speed and volume, though he acknowledges his takedown defense is still a work in progress. He believes Petrosyan lacks the power to hurt Magomedov and that Magomedov's boxing improvements will be enough to win a striking battle. Connor is not fully confident but sees Magomedov as the likely winner.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosyan opened at +167, currently +142
"So unfortunately I think I have to picture our bullet Magomedov."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, citing his movement and elusiveness as key factors against the more flat-footed Petrosyan. He acknowledges Petrosyan's striking credentials but believes Magomedov's lateral movement and ability to stay on the move will frustrate Petrosyan. Vreeland also mentions the potential for favorable judging in Abu Dhabi for a fighter with a name ending in 'ov'.

"I'm going sha magam medov"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a clear pick for this fight. He sees value on Petrosyan but is not confident enough to bet. He notes that Magomedov has a unique kicking style that could trouble Petrosyan, but Petrosyan has grappling upside and may shoot takedowns. He plans to study more tape before deciding.

"it's a tough one for me guys... I'm going to say that there is some value on patan but I do want to look into the fight a little bit more"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Petrosyan is the technically superior striker with a cleaner, straighter style that will counter Magomedov's orthodox approach. He may mix in some grappling but his fundamental striking and clinch work should lead to a decision win.

"look for petosan winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul picks Petrosyan, noting that Magomedov has no wrestling and that Petrosyan has good volume and kicks. He believes Petrosyan's experience against grapplers will help him, and that he can win the striking exchanges. Paul is not confident due to potential judging bias but leans Petrosyan.

"I'll take Armen but I don't like it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov by decision, believing Petrosyan's rangey, point-fighting style plays into Magomedov's strengths. He notes that Petrosyan doesn't mix in grappling and will engage in a striking match where Magomedov's volume and durability should win rounds. He criticizes Magomedov's finishing ability but thinks he will outwork Petrosyan. The Guru also mentions Petrosyan's short reach as a disadvantage.

"I'm going to go with Sharabutdin Magomedov here getting it done by a decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane also picks Magomedov, citing his speed and volume. He notes that Petrosian is not a powerful striker and that Magomedov's improved takedown defense, while still imperfect, should be enough to avoid being controlled. Zane thinks Magomedov's pace will overwhelm Petrosian.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosian opened at +167, currently +142
"I think Magomedov is more powerful. I think Petrosian, he's much faster and Petrosian himself is not, it's not like he's a great defensive fighter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane picked Magomedov, noting his elite speed and dedication to volume. He pointed out that Petrosyan is a low-power, slightly less volume kickboxer with okay but not good wrestling, which was a good matchup for Magomedov. Zane highlighted that Magomedov is getting better at MMA, improving his takedown defense, and that Petrosyan started well but got discouraged by the absurd speed and second-guessed himself.

"chara bullet is really fast and really dedicated to volume he is elite in his speed"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 97 of 178 54% 123 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 77 of 146 52% 94 of 172 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 40 of 74 54% 42 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 53 66% 36 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 35 of 64 54% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 28 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 40 55% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 97 of 178 54% 52 of 112 33 of 52 12 of 14 89 of 163 8 of 15 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 77 of 146 52% 45 of 103 18 of 27 14 of 16 72 of 138 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 40 of 74 54% 16 of 39 17 of 26 7 of 9 38 of 69 2 of 5 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 53 66% 23 of 38 9 of 11 3 of 4 34 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 35 of 64 54% 24 of 48 7 of 12 4 of 4 33 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 12 of 35 5 of 9 7 of 8 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 40 55% 12 of 25 9 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 34 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 41 43% 10 of 30 4 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov despite concerns about his recent activity and lack of killer instinct. He thinks Magomedov is still very powerful and should be good enough to win, especially as Oleksiejczuk fades late. He notes Magomedov's busy schedule and possible lack of camp, but still expects a win.

Over 1.5 rounds if line available
"Char marov is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady is confident in Sharabutdin due to Oleksiejczuk's concerning situation: he is not with a team, training in his garage, talking about retirement, and has been finished quickly in recent fights. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's heart is not in it and he will fold after the first few minutes, predicting a first-round knockout for Sharabutdin.

"I got to go sh here I I'm not sure what's going on with meluk but whatever is going on it's it's super weird"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk has one foot out the door, training in his garage and talking about retirement. He believes Shara is still improving and has more upside, while Oleksiejczuk has stagnated. Cody thinks Shara's cardio and grappling will improve fight to fight, and that Oleksiejczuk's only path is an early knockout. He also mentions Shara is being fed winnable opponents.

"Char is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel believes Shara has a superior striking arsenal and will capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's overly aggressive style. He notes that Oleksiejczuk makes bonehead mistakes on the mat and likes to brawl, which plays into Shara's hands. He thinks Shara will blast the body and take advantage of openings, and that the time to fade Shara is not now but against a real grappler.

"give me Shara there to come out here and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk will crowd Magomedov, causing issues for his kicking game. If he reins in his durability, he should land big power and possibly knock out Magomedov in the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"ol shj has a little bit of a durability issue but if he can Reign it in for this matchup and really keep Mago medov on the back foot he should be able to land that big Power and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio and submission losses. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has been submitted multiple times and that Shara's striking is good enough to outvolume him. Paul expects Shara to finish late or win a decision, and mentions a potential Shara late finish prop. He also points out that Oleksiejczuk has no cardio and poor grappling.

Shara late finish prop
"I'd be interested in like um Mega mov late prop maybe this squeez into the third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Magomedov's superior striking and low kicks. He notes Oleksiejczuk's poor mindset, having commented that he will probably lose. He thinks Magomedov's technical outside work will be enough, despite his weak ground game. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's vulnerability to low kicks while moving backwards.

"I'm going to pick Shara magedov to win this fight I think he's better than maau Alex Atri on the feet"
TKO (knee and punches) R3 2:27 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 82 of 108 75% 108 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 77 0 of 7 0% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 19 of 27 70% 39 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 12 of 17 70% 26 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:05
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 30 of 40 75% 36 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 4 of 11 36% 13 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 33 of 41 80% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 82 of 108 75% 28 of 52 22 of 24 32 of 32 69 of 94 13 of 14 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 16 of 34 47% 8 of 22 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 19 of 27 70% 4 of 12 5 of 5 10 of 10 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 30 of 40 75% 8 of 18 11 of 11 11 of 11 21 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 4 of 11 36% 1 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 41 80% 16 of 22 6 of 8 11 of 11 31 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to …"
WIN vs Bruno Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 113 of 154 73% 222 of 274 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 65 of 91 71% 107 of 138 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 46 of 66 69% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 28 of 42 66% 28 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 43 of 58 74% 82 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 26 of 36 72% 44 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:25
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 24 of 30 80% 94 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 11 of 13 84% 35 of 40 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 113 of 154 73% 56 of 92 22 of 24 35 of 38 74 of 106 15 of 21 24 of 27
Bruno Silva 65 of 91 71% 51 of 76 6 of 7 8 of 8 35 of 56 5 of 5 25 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 46 of 66 69% 16 of 31 10 of 12 20 of 23 46 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 28 of 42 66% 20 of 33 3 of 4 5 of 5 27 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 43 of 58 74% 21 of 36 9 of 9 13 of 13 24 of 35 7 of 9 12 of 14
Bruno Silva 26 of 36 72% 20 of 30 3 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 3 15 of 18
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 24 of 30 80% 19 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 12 12 of 13
Bruno Silva 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Sharabutdin Magomedov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-250), Silva (+205)

Round 1
It is time for the UFC’s annual show in Abu Dhabi, and it begins early for stateside audiences. Morning mayhem is on the menu for fight fans in the Western Hemisphere, and the UFC has done its darnedest to build a card that can excite from fight no. 1 to 13. The action begins in the middleweight division between two men that crave knockouts. Making his debut with the promotion against a tough test, Magomedov (11-0, 0-0 UFC) will be taking a serious step up in competition when he battles “Blindado” Silva (23-9, 4-3 UFC). Before the fists and feet fly, referee Jason Herzog checks them in. The gloves are touched, and Magomedov swats away a few flies before engaging. Magomedov takes the center of the cage and whips a kick out low to test the waters, and Silva no-sells it and slowly walks him down. Magomedov lands another from range, but Silva is slowly backing him towards the fencing despite getting off kicks. Silva ignores a few more as he closes distance, and he paws out his foot to the waist in a single response. Silva leans over with a left hand and turns awkwardly with a heel kick to the side, but when he recovers, he cracks the Russian with two heavy punches. Silva chains a punch into a whipping low kick, and Magomedov whiffs on the leg kick reply. Magomedov nails his man with a leg kick, and Silva crowds him but gets knocked back with a few fists. Magomedov fires off a head kick out of nowhere to shock Silva, and a jump knee from “Bullet” follows to further get his attention. Silva wobbles back to the fencing, and he gathers his thoughts and bounces off it to re-engage. Silva lunges forward with punches, and he pops Magomedov at the end of them. The unbeaten fighter parries a few strikes and signals to his foe that Silva’s fingers were extended, so Silva apologizes with a glove touch offer. Magomedov nails his man with another solid kick, and when he turns around lazily, Silva sprints towards him with winging punches. As Silva turns about during an exchange, Magomedov boots “Blindado” in the groin with full force and then brings up a head kick as Silva is stung from the foul. Herzog calls the illegal blow and gives Silva time to get his thoughts, and the two get back to it. The Russian hammers Silva’s lead leg with a vicious kick that makes Silva change stances, and when Silva returns to southpaw, he attacks it again on the inside. Silva snipes Magomedov with a left hook, and Magomedov shakes it off and pins a kick to the ribcage. Magomedov stays on his bike with kicks, and Silva sits down on punches to hurt Magomedov badly. This draws a fiery brawl, and Silva lays into the heavy favorite with a flurry while Magomedov attempts to return fire with kicks. As Silva hurts Magomedov, the round ends.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves to initiate the round, and Silva is quick to pick up where he left off. Magomedov tries to keep away and uses his legs as his best weapons, with a few low kicks that set up body kicks and even a hook kick up high. Silva hammers him back with nasty punches, but the damage is starting to mount from Magomedov’s leg kicks. Magomedov lets fly a head kick that glances off the guard, and Silva keeps his wits about him and looks to line up a long right hand as Magomedov pecks and picks at him with his effective kicking game. Magomedov chains together multiple punches into a knee up the middle, and he continues bombarding Silva with kicks that land with thuds rather than slaps. Silva lunges with strikes, but he cannot quite catch Magomedov as the Russian has his preferred range. Silva checks a kick after eating a few more, and “Shara Bullet” goes up high with a hook kick. Silva times a diving takedown to take Magomedov off his feet, and he succeeds in planting his adversary on his back. Magomedov defends himself off his back by hacking with elbows, and he cuts Silva on the top of his head with them. Magomedov remains fully active from on his back, and Silva tries to get off shots but is taking damage despite being in top position. Magomedov is happy to get into a slugfest from his back, and he gets some space and smacks Silva with an upkick. Silva manages to connect with some heavy ground-and-pound as well to rip open a cut on Magomedov’s eyebrow, but Magomedov is not at all concerned by it. Silva maintains heavy top pressure and picks his moments to strike so that Magomedov cannot get to him with sneaky elbows. Silva drives home a few more punches until he gets kicked off, and Magomedov turns and whips Silva in the face with a shocker of a kick off his back. Silva blinks it out and dives back down to strike until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 3
Having reached the final round, the two men are ready for five more minutes of carnage. Magomedov reintroduces himself with a number of leg kicks, and one foot thumps into Silva’s cup. Silva tanks it so that he can charge forward, and he manages to hit a double-leg takedown in the middle of the cage to ground the Russian. Magomedov immediately spurs into action with slicing elbows, all while pushing off Silva’s chest with his feet when he can get any space. Silva lowers himself into the guard to slug Magomedov in the face with powerful, gravity-empowered punches, and he passes to half guard briefly. Magomedov keeps busy from his back, and he scoots himself to the wall in hopes of standing up. Silva cannot keep him down, and Magomedov celebrates by kneeing Silva in the face. Silva bull-rushes with a double to take the fight down, and Magomedov stuffs it and elbows Silva in the face. Silva takes every strike on the chin so that he can secure a double, and “Shara Bullet” slams the back of his head on the mat in pain. Magomedov appears stunned, and he does not attack from his back after this takedown. Herzog asks Silva to do more, as Silva is slowing down, and Silva tries to respond with some slugs on the chin. Magomedov delivers several blows despite in the disadvantageous position, and Silva shifts over to side control with 30 seconds to spare. Magomedov kicks him off, and Silva threatens one more takedown that is stuffed. Magomedov drives home one more knee up the middle, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)

The Official Result
Sharabutdin Magomedov def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo is very high on Shara Magomedov, calling him a massive prospect and the next big thing. He notes Bruno Silva's power and BJJ but questions his chin after being dropped by Brendan Allen, who isn't a one-punch knockout guy. Angelo expects Shara to win by KO and mentions he has parlays including Shara. He is confident in Shara's striking and power.

Shara by KO, parlay inclusion
"Shara by KO probably a very solid bet I think he's great to Parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by second or third round knockout. He notes Magomedov is a powerful striker with all wins by KO except one decision, while Bruno Silva has looked off lately, taking heavy damage in the Pereira fight and getting dropped by lesser opponents. Brady believes Silva's durability is fading and that Magomedov will put him away.

second or third round knockout
"I think mamedov comes in here gets his first win in the UFC and does it by second or third round knockout against Bruno Silva."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov, emphasizing his striking and cardio. He notes that Silva is a first-round KO artist who fades if he doesn't finish early. Cody believes Magomedov's pace and volume will wear Silva down, leading to a late finish or decision. He acknowledges the eye issue but thinks Magomedov has adapted.

"I'm gonna go with Shara Magomedov but yeah at the same time I understand why there's value on the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, praising his dynamic kicking and clinch knees. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's power and experience, noting that Silva has 20 knockouts and could close the distance to land. However, he believes Silva's durability is waning after taking damage in recent fights, and that Magomedov's range and body attacks will be key. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and says he would not bet at these odds.

Magomedov minus 275, Silva plus 235; mentions possibility of Silva knocking out Magomedov if they trade in the pocket
"I'm gonna go with Shara in the spot but I think at plus 235 the plus 250 I think it might be a doger pass situation."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2023 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov at -225, believing there was value as the line closed at -350. He noted that Sharabutdin beat Bruno Silva brutally for three rounds, winning 30-27 on all scorecards. He acknowledged Sharabutdin's poor takedown defense and get-ups but felt his guard was solid and his striking was elite. James considered Bruno Silva a tough opponent but thought Sharabutdin would win the majority of the time.

"We actually bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov minus 225 and that closed about minus 350... minus 225 in my opinion is value all day."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Magomedov's movement and speed advantage will allow him to touch up Silva from distance, stay on his bicycle, and roll with shots. Silva's power is a threat but Magomedov's durability looks good. Expects Magomedov to win by decision, playing it safe with the jab and leg kicks.

over 1.5 rounds at -140
"I think that the movement and the speed of advantage that magov is going to have here will be enough to allow him to touch up uh Sila from distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva as a dog, citing Magomedov's lack of wrestling and his disability (one eye). He notes that Silva has fought tough competition and has power, and that Magomedov's regional tape shows he can be taken down. Paul believes Silva can make it ugly and possibly win by KO.

"I guess I'll pick Bruno Silva here I'm picking way too many dogs Cody this is not going to end well"
Michael Page - Fight History
WIN vs Sam Patterson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Page 0 27 of 55 49% 33 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Sam Patterson 0 12 of 64 18% 25 of 78 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Page 0 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Patterson 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Page 0 10 of 24 41% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Patterson 0 2 of 26 7% 5 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
3 Michael Page 0 12 of 19 63% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Sam Patterson 0 6 of 27 22% 16 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Page 27 of 55 49% 17 of 38 4 of 8 6 of 9 27 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Patterson 12 of 64 18% 4 of 50 4 of 6 4 of 8 10 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Page 5 of 12 41% 3 of 7 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Patterson 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michael Page 10 of 24 41% 6 of 16 3 of 4 1 of 4 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Patterson 2 of 26 7% 1 of 24 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Michael Page 12 of 19 63% 8 of 15 0 of 0 4 of 4 12 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Patterson 6 of 27 22% 1 of 18 3 of 5 2 of 4 4 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo picks Michael Page with extreme confidence, calling it the easiest money. He notes MVP is faster, cleaner, more powerful, and more technical everywhere. He believes Sam Patterson is chinny and that MVP should dominate. He references MVP's public complaints about the matchup.

calls -195 easiest money ever
"This has to be this has to be MVP. Like this ha The pick is MVP. If he loses to Sam Patterson, then cut his gloves off. Leave him in the octagon."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady confidently picks Michael Page, praising his unique striking and ability to avoid being hit. He notes that Page out-lands opponents at distance and that Sam Patterson has sub-50% striking defense and a suspect chin. He thinks Page will style on Patterson and potentially knock him out, predicting a second-round KO. However, he acknowledges that if Patterson gets the fight to the ground, he could win.

Michael Page by second-round KO
"Give me Michael Page here. Give me Michael Page to get his best performance yet and knock out Sam Patterson in the second round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michael Page

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Page's experience against bigger opponents and Patterson's durability issues. He sees Page winning by KO or decision.

"I'm with you. I think MVP is the side here as well."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks Page, agreeing with Zane that Page is a clear favorite. He emphasizes that Page's style of moving around, mocking opponents, and landing clean shots is a nightmare for Patterson, who wants to step in and crack opponents. Connor notes that Page has shown he can remain calm against good fighters in the UFC, and Patterson's only path is if Page makes a rare mistake. He calls the booking a waste of both fighters' time.

Page opened at -155, dropped to -250, currently -180; Patterson opened at +135, jumped to +195, currently +155.
"If Sam Patterson is feasting out guys getting spooked by his aggression and jumping on opportunities, Michael Page is the king of never, ever, ever for a second, taking his eye off the ball."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

Daniel Vreeland picks Sam Patterson as an underdog. He notes that MVP is older and dropping back down to welterweight, and Patterson has a strong submission game. If Patterson can get the fight to the ground, he can submit MVP.

"I'm going to pick the underdog Sam Patterson to come out here and choke out Michael Venom Paige in London."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

Daniel initially thought MVP would style on Patterson, but after analysis, he sees Patterson as a live dog if he can get the fight to the mat. He notes MVP's age, speed decline, and past takedown issues. He thinks Patterson might be able to capitalize on MVP's vulnerabilities.

"I think if Patterson can avoid prolonged exchanges on the feet and somehow get this to the mat, he might be a live dog here."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Sam Patterson

This is a true 50/50 fight: Page has striking advantage, Patterson has grappling advantage. Patterson is the value bet at underdog odds. If Patterson grapples, he can submit or ground-and-pound Page. The under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

Under 2.5 rounds at 1.80 (-125) is a great value bet; fight likely ends inside distance.
"Patterson is still the better bet here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

James picks Sam Patterson as a big underdog, believing Patterson's grappling is a massive threat. He notes that Page is a great striker but can be taken down, and Patterson has submission skills. He also cites Patterson's hunger and age advantage, and thinks the odds are off.

Sam Patterson inside the distance, submission
"I'm going to outright pick Sam Patterson to win this fight. I'm going to pick Sam Patterson to win this fight inside the distance. And I'm going to pick him to win it via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michael Page

The host picks Michael Page by knockout. He believes Page's speed and counter-striking will be too much for Patterson, who may struggle to land cleanly. He expects Patterson to get frustrated and walk into a big shot. However, he notes the lack of reach advantage for Page could be a factor.

"Give me MVP by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michael Page

Paul thinks Page's speed and striking will be too much for Patterson, who stands upright and is hittable. He expects a KO or clear decision for Page.

"I do got uh I do got Venom Paige to pull off the victory here, likely by KO in my opinion."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

The MMA Guru picks Michael Venom Page to win by TKO, his first UFC finish. He notes Patterson is upright and has been caught with straight punches, while MVP is a crafty striker with underrated submission defense. He acknowledges Patterson's jiu-jitsu threat but believes MVP's range and timing will lead to a knockdown and finish.

first UFC finish by TKO
"I'll go MVP by finish this time. His first UFC finish by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks Page confidently, stating that Page is almost certain to beat Patterson. He notes that Page is the king of never getting shook up and always fights to his plan, while Patterson is an opportunistic finisher who relies on aggression and fear. Zane believes Patterson's style of pushing into the pocket and having terrible defense is perfect for Page to pick apart. He acknowledges a small chance Patterson could catch Page if Page times something wrong, but sees Page as a clear favorite.

Page opened at -155, dropped to -250, currently -180; Patterson opened at +135, jumped to +195, currently +155.
"I just think he's almost certainly going to beat Sam Patterson. If he doesn't, it's going to be purely based on him timing something wrong and Patterson catching him because Patterson is a great opportunist."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Cannonier 0 20 of 57 35% 46 of 88 2 of 7 28% 0 0 8:14
Michael Page 0 29 of 55 52% 36 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Cannonier 0 2 of 16 12% 10 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:10
Michael Page 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jared Cannonier 0 10 of 25 40% 12 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:56
Michael Page 0 11 of 20 55% 12 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
3 Jared Cannonier 0 8 of 16 50% 24 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:08
Michael Page 0 7 of 15 46% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Cannonier 20 of 57 35% 10 of 45 4 of 6 6 of 6 11 of 45 3 of 4 6 of 8
Michael Page 29 of 55 52% 19 of 45 8 of 8 2 of 2 27 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Cannonier 2 of 16 12% 0 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Page 11 of 20 55% 5 of 14 5 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jared Cannonier 10 of 25 40% 3 of 16 3 of 5 4 of 4 7 of 21 3 of 4 0 of 0
Michael Page 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jared Cannonier 8 of 16 50% 7 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 8
Michael Page 7 of 15 46% 5 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo believes this is a tailor-made matchup for MVP, as his speed and karate style will be too much for the powerful but slow Cannonier. He notes MVP has outstruck everyone in the UFC, including Ian Garry, and can pop in and out safely. He is surprisingly confident in MVP.

"This is a tailor made matchup for MVP. He can dance on the outside and rush in. Jared Cantaner is powerful, but he's not fast."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady picks Michael Page to win by decision. He notes Page is an incredible striker with a unique style that makes him hard to hit, and he has outlanded top strikers like Ian Garry and Kevin Holland. He thinks Cannonier will struggle to take Page down, as Cannonier has only one fight with more than one takedown. He favors Page heavily in distance striking and thinks Page wins a decision, possibly a knockout. He also mentions a prop bet on Page under 54.5 significant strikes.

Page under 54.5 significant strikes (Sleeper)
"I like Paige here. I think Paige wins a decision. Potentially even knocks out Caner, but I'll say decision here for Michael Paige."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks Page, arguing that Page can frustrate Cannonier from range and that Cannonier is slowing down and less likely to have fight-stealing moments. He notes that Page is comfortable with boring fights and can make Cannonier look slow and cumbersome. However, he acknowledges that Cannonier's strength in the clinch could be a problem, but Page's ability to tie up after striking may mitigate that.

Cannonier opened at +115, currently +165; Page opened at -135, currently -190
"I'm still going to pick page. I think that he can really frustrate Cannonier."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michael Page

The host believes Page's elusive striking style will be too much for the veteran Cannonier. He predicts Page will pick apart Cannonier and eventually find a knockout in the second round.

knockout in the second round
"I believe the elusive striking style of Paige will be too much for the veteran here and I think that we'll see him pick apart Canoneer and I think that would eventually lead to him finding that knockout in the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Michael Page

The Guru picks Michael Venom Page to win by decision over Jared Cannonier. He believes Cannonier will be too technical and hesitant to pressure Page effectively, instead opting for a low-output striking match. The Guru notes that Cannonier has a history of not taking risks, as seen in his fights with Marvin Vettori and Paulo Costa. He expects Page to outpoint Cannonier with movement and occasional highlights, winning a dull decision.

Decision win for MVP; low output fight; MVP lands about 22 significant strikes
"I'm going with Michael Venom Page over Jared Cananeer. ... I think Caner is going to lose a decision and I think it's going to be a fight where we're like why wasn't Canoneir risking it for the biscuit?"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks Page, noting that Page is a master of body language and can make even close rounds feel like his. He believes Cannonier is a middleweight version of Josh Koscheck, a tough but limited fighter who is winding down. Zane thinks Page's ability to pick his shots and avoid engagement will frustrate Cannonier, who doesn't cut off the cage well. He sees Page as a meme fighter who can carve a path to the top of the division.

Cannonier opened at +115, currently +165; Page opened at -135, currently -190
"I think I'll take page as well. I think, I mean, this is the thing with Michael Page and why he's so annoying to fight."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 38 of 87 43% 50 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 43 of 75 57% 47 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 7 of 30 23% 9 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 32 68% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 16 of 29 55% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 38 of 87 43% 8 of 42 17 of 20 13 of 25 34 of 82 4 of 5 0 of 0
Michael Page 43 of 75 57% 23 of 53 11 of 12 9 of 10 38 of 69 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 9 of 25 36% 1 of 10 2 of 3 6 of 12 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Page 13 of 21 61% 7 of 14 1 of 2 5 of 5 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 7 of 30 23% 0 of 18 5 of 7 2 of 5 7 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Page 14 of 25 56% 5 of 16 6 of 6 3 of 3 13 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 32 68% 7 of 14 10 of 10 5 of 8 18 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
Michael Page 16 of 29 55% 11 of 23 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo picks Michael Page, calling it his 'last ride' with MVP. He notes Page's unorthodox karate style, speed, and ability to cover distance. He believes Page's striking will frustrate Sharabutdin Magomedov, who is creative but may struggle with Page's movement. He acknowledges Page's age (37) and the risk of a knockout loss, but thinks Page can win a decision. He suggests looking at prop bets like MVP +3.5.

Suggests MVP +3.5 (spread) and decision prop.
"I'm going to pick MVP this is probably my last ride with MVP"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady thinks the odds make no sense and favors Michael Page at plus money. He praises Page's striking defense, noting he made Kevin Holland and Ian Garry look silly. Sharabutdin Magomedov has 42% striking defense and is there to be hit. Brady expects a close fight but predicts Page wins by decision, possibly split. He doesn't see Magomedov wrestling.

decision
"I got to go paig here especially at like plus 170 I I just don't see in what world Shara is looking anywhere near minus 200 he's not going to wrestle he's not going to he's going to have a …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks MVP, expecting him to produce his typical frustrating fight. He notes that Magomedov is directionally aimless and has a punchable face that invites aggression, but MVP's style of staying at range and countering is difficult to deal with. Connor believes Magomedov's leg kicks could be a factor, but MVP's willingness to make the fight boring and his reach advantage give him the edge.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, primarily due to hometown bias in Saudi Arabia favoring the Russian Muslim fighter. He also cites Magomedov's leg kick advantage against Page's karate stance, better durability, and finishing upside. He notes Page moves up to middleweight at 37-38, which is a disadvantage. He expects a close fight but sees Magomedov winning by decision, with potential for a knockout.

Magomedov by decision is implied; mentions leg kick damage and finishing upside.
"overall my prediction is going to be sh magedov wins the fight I'm going to say that he wins a fight via decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Page is very hard to hit and will set up counters effectively, potentially scoring a knockout if he lands the perfect shot. Magomedov lacks a wrestling background despite his name, which will be an issue. Page is expected to pick him apart similar to the Kevin Holland fight and win on the scorecards.

"I think that will cause him issues here as he goes up against a fighter in Page who is very hard to hit look for Page to set up a ton of counters move effectively maybe score a knockout if …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by late-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes Magomedov's kicks and clinch will cause problems for MVP, and that MVP's takedown defense is weak. He notes MVP struggled with Ian Garry's grappling and that Magomedov has been drilling takedowns. He thinks MVP's move to middleweight may reduce his presence.

late rounds finish, ground and pound TKO in the third
"I'm going to go Sharon magedov getting this one done late rounds finish maybe ground and pound TKO in the third"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks MVP, agreeing with Connor that Magomedov's lack of defensive structure and tendency to be countered will be exploited. He notes that MVP's style of frustrating opponents and waiting for mistakes is effective, and Magomedov's leg kicks may not be enough to overcome MVP's reach and movement. Zane expects a boring fight but sees MVP winning.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Machado Garry 0 19 of 39 48% 65 of 101 2 of 5 40% 2 0 7:29
Michael Page 0 21 of 38 55% 52 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Machado Garry 0 2 of 6 33% 27 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:52
Michael Page 0 2 of 6 33% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ian Machado Garry 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:41
Michael Page 0 14 of 23 60% 31 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Ian Machado Garry 0 8 of 12 66% 28 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:56
Michael Page 0 5 of 9 55% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Machado Garry 19 of 39 48% 12 of 26 3 of 7 4 of 6 9 of 25 5 of 7 5 of 7
Michael Page 21 of 38 55% 15 of 28 4 of 5 2 of 5 19 of 34 0 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Machado Garry 2 of 6 33% 2 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2
Michael Page 2 of 6 33% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ian Machado Garry 9 of 21 42% 4 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 15 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michael Page 14 of 23 60% 9 of 16 3 of 4 2 of 3 12 of 20 0 of 0 2 of 3
3 Ian Machado Garry 8 of 12 66% 6 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 5
Michael Page 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Cody picks Garry, emphasizing his youth, grappling advantage, and cardio. He notes that Page is 37 and has shown takedown defense issues, while Garry is a judo black belt with improving wrestling. Cody believes Garry will use leg kicks and clinch work to neutralize Page's movement, and that he can win a decision or possibly get a submission. He also mentions that Page's win over Kevin Holland was unimpressive and that Garry has the skills to implement a game plan.

"I'll take Ian Garry here likely by decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Daniel Vreeland picks Ian Garry because he believes Garry is smart enough to not let Michael Page fight his fight. He notes that Page's best performances come against opponents who are 'a little nuts' and willing to engage in chaos, but Garry is disciplined and won't be lured out of his game plan. Vreeland expects Garry to crowd Page, press him against the cage, and possibly mix in grappling to neutralize Page's striking range. He also points out that Garry has better grappling stats and is younger and more active.

"I think he's smart enough to not do that... Ian Gary I think you know despite the fact that some people haven't really liked him... the reason he's not exciting is because he's a guy who won't be lured out …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Daniel took MVP at plus 125 for two units, his first time picking against Garry. He believes MVP's speed and unorthodox style can fluster Garry, and that Garry's wrestling advantage is mitigated by MVP's improved takedown defense. He acknowledges the age difference (11 years) but sees MVP as an anomaly. He is worried about Garry's top control but is letting it ride.

"I took a MVP here I think plus 125 for two units this is my first time ever picking against Gary... I like MVP to come out here and kind of fluster Ian Gary with his speed."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Jeff Fox picks Ian Garry, stating that Garry has proven he knows how to stay safe and use range and distance better than Page. He notes that Page did not look impressive in his win over Kevin Holland and didn't put his foot on the gas, which could get him in trouble against Garry. Fox believes Garry is a very good deal at minus 137.

"Give me the Irishman give me Ian masary... he's proven that he has what it takes... he knows how to stay safe in fights and how to use range and distance."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

The host is confident in Garry, emphasizing his superior grappling. He believes Garry will exploit Page's takedown defense and use his wrestling to take the fight to the mat, where he can control or submit Page. He notes Garry is not outmatched on the feet and expects the line to move to -160 or -170 by fight time. He also mentions a submission prop at +900 as a sprinkle.

Garry by submission at +900
"I think we will see mad Gary for the first time in his UFC career look to utilize his grappling and I think it's going to happen very effectively here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michael Page

Paul picks Page by knockout, admitting he is betting with his heart because he dislikes Garry. He acknowledges that Garry has a grappling advantage but believes Page's power and flashy striking can end the fight at any moment. Paul notes that Page looked good against Kevin Holland and that Garry has been rocked before. He also mentions that Page is a plus-500 underdog by knockout, which offers value.

by knockout +500
"I may bet with my heart here and bet Michael Venom Page by knockout plus 500."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michael Page

The Guru picks Michael 'Venom' Page over Ian Garry. He believes MVP can make the fight boring and win by being selective with exchanges. He notes Garry's dismissive attitude as coping and thinks Garry is chinny. He predicts MVP will win by KO in round one or two, citing reach advantage and MVP's ability to win on the outside.

KO in round one or two
"I'm gonna go with MVP over Ian Gary... I think MVP is going to put him away and catch him on the chin"
WIN vs Kevin Holland
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Page 0 29 of 61 47% 64 of 99 2 of 5 40% 1 0 4:22
Kevin Holland 0 41 of 62 66% 59 of 81 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Page 0 11 of 26 42% 30 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Kevin Holland 0 17 of 27 62% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
2 Michael Page 0 16 of 27 59% 26 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:05
Kevin Holland 0 10 of 15 66% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michael Page 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 15 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:23
Kevin Holland 0 14 of 20 70% 20 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Page 29 of 61 47% 11 of 37 4 of 6 14 of 18 18 of 47 4 of 5 7 of 9
Kevin Holland 41 of 62 66% 28 of 47 8 of 10 5 of 5 38 of 58 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Page 11 of 26 42% 4 of 19 1 of 1 6 of 6 9 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Holland 17 of 27 62% 12 of 21 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Michael Page 16 of 27 59% 7 of 15 3 of 4 6 of 8 8 of 16 2 of 3 6 of 8
Kevin Holland 10 of 15 66% 6 of 10 3 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Michael Page 2 of 8 25% 0 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kevin Holland 14 of 20 70% 10 of 16 2 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Holland vs. Michael Page
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holland (-135), Page (+114)

Round 1
It is a striker’s delight coming up next, with a former Bellator fighter hoping to represent the UFC brand well. That ex-Bellator name would be Holland (25-10, 1 NC; 12-7, 1 NC UFC), who prevailed at Bellator 195 against Teagan Dooley prior to his Contender Series fight. He greets Super Fight League veteran Page (21-2, 0-0 UFC), who may have also fought somewhere that that the commentary booth will not likely say. This could be a wacky one, so referee Andrew Glenn better know what he is getting himself into. Although they have had a back-and-forth leading up to this “featured fight of the night,” the welterweights do touch gloves first. Page springs back and forth, his hands down, and he swats away a punch from his opponent. Holland swings wide, and Page nails him with a low kick. Holland lands a jab, and he misses with a heavy left hand as Page is quick in and out. Holland misses on a punch, and Page tags him back and tells the crowd to hush because it was just a punch. Holland grins at him, and he comes forward and swings with everything he has as Page starts doing the Ali shuffle. Holland ties him up against the fence, where he stomps Page’s toes and smacks him with his shoulder. Holland continues thumping the Brit with his shoulder, until Page throws him aside and resets to his preferred striking range. Page reaches with a right hand over the top, and he elbows Holland on the temple when leaping forward. Page backs off and then jumps back in to grab Holland from behind, and Holland shrugs it off and absorbs an elbow when they break. Page delivers a kick to the side, and he hurts Holland with a right hand and makes a face at him. Holland charges and catches Page with a single elbow, but he gets blasted with an overhand right from the awkward Page. Page scores another huge right hand, and Holland responds with a low kick that knocks him off his feet momentarily. Page springs up and the two tie up, and Holland heel kicks the back of the thigh of Page. Holland uses open-handed slaps to box the ears, and he pulls himself free. Page dodges and connects with a clean right hand, and he strafes out of the way. Holland lunges forward, and even with a reach advantage, he cannot quite get off a shot on his opponent. Holland kicks the lead leg, and they crash together in a clinch. Holland pushes him to the wall, and he knees the Brit once before Page splits away. Page spins with an elbow that drill Holland in the forehead, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Page
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Page
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Page

Round 2
Holland is all smiles to start off the second round, and after a glove touch, he narrowly avoids a spinning wheel kick. Holland charges and catches Page at the end of a right hand, and he bullies Page to the fence. Holland uses the close range to knee his foe in the thigh a few times before Page splits off, and they resume their distant striking approaches. Holland comes up short on a winging right hand as Page is in and out like the wind, and Page pops him with a short right hand. Page considers an axe kick, and when he spins with a back kick, he topples over. “Trailblazer” charges after him, nearly dragging Page down from behind, and Page stands up. Holland drags him down from behind, and he practically falls into back control. Holland hooks up a choke, and Page turns to put his back to the mat so he can break it up. Holland lowers himself down and slashes with elbows, and he smothers his opponent in half guard. Page tries to sit up, and Holland presses him back down and elbows him a few more times. Page works his way to his knees and gets back to his feet, and he makes Holland pay for the ground game by nailing Holland with an overhand right. Holland almost walks face-first into a short right on the way in, and he whiffs with his own big right. Holland kicks behind the knee of his opponent, and Page connects with a short right hand. Page lands with a hard right hand, and he slings Holland to the ground. Holland is hurt, but Page does not bother finishing him in this position and instead lets him get back to his feet. Holland kicks the body and head, and he walks into a spinning back elbow. Holland races ahead after him, missing with most of his strikes, and the clinch ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Page
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Page
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Page

Round 3
The last round begins with Page charging, and he connects with a right hand and trips Holland up to throw him down. Holland laughs when he hits the ground, and Page appears to offer an apology, perhaps because he missed the glove touch. Holland climbs back up, and he ties Page up. Page tosses his foe down to a knee, and Holland pops back up and grabs Page from behind. Holland brings Page down to his knees, and Page fights his way to his feet and shoves Holland away. Page clips him with a fierce right hand, and he tosses Holland down and starts dancing. Holland rolls back to his feet and looks frustrated as Glenn lets him up. Page sprints in with two punches and a head kick, and Holland defends against it and takes a jumping side kick. Holland’s gas tank runs on empty as Page kicks him in the stomach. When Holland advances, Page spins with a back elbow that cuts Holland on the cheek. Page then trips and dumps him to the ground, and Holland climbs back up and crashes forward only to miss. Page ties him up, and the two start talking when clinched up. Page pushes him away, and he steps away from a low kick and lands a straight left hand. Holland grips a single, and this only pushes Page back to the wall so he can stomp his toes. Page stops any possible takedown and scoots away, and he leaps forward to nail Holland with a right hand. Holland stops the sweep that follows, and he walks into a body shot. Holland flails at air, unable to find his mark, and he dances away and is angry while telling Page to fight him. Page does not bite, so Holland pushes up close to him to clinch as the fight ends. The crowd does not love the conclusion of the fight, but it was the end of a one-sided performance for the showman Page, who has introduced himself to the UFC in a memorable way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Page (30-27 Page)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Page (30-27 Page)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Page (30-27 Page)

The Official Result
Michael Page def. Kevin Holland via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo leans Michael Page, citing his unorthodox karate style, speed, and power. He thinks Page's awkwardness will cause Kevin Holland to miss and then look to wrestle. He acknowledges this is Page's toughest test and that Holland is durable and composed. He has a small bet at even money but won't parlay Page.

Half unit bet on Page at +100.
"MVP is going to be the pick I have a small bet on him at plus 100 even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady picks Michael Page to win by decision. He notes that Holland has poor fight IQ and likely won't grapple, so the fight will stay on the feet. He expects a close, competitive striking match that goes the distance, and he takes the dog in Page. He has low confidence and thinks the judges could get it wrong.

win by decision
"I'll take Paige to here to win the win a close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Cody thinks Holland has the durability and volume to overwhelm Page, and that Holland can exploit Page's lack of recent activity and questionable chin. He notes that Holland has a clear path to victory via wrestling, but acknowledges Holland might choose to strike instead.

Holland by submission (+800)
"I think Holland goes to his wrestling he wins this fight if he chooses to be an idiot and not go to his wrestling I think there's a good chance that he could actually just clip MVP with a nice …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michael Page

Daniel is confident in MVP, citing his unorthodox striking, speed, and improved takedown defense. He dismisses the idea that Holland will wrestle, noting Holland averages less than one takedown per 15 minutes and is not a wrestler. Daniel believes MVP's distance and angles will frustrate Holland, and that Holland makes boneheaded mistakes. He bet MVP at plus 115 and expects a low-output striking match that could go to a split decision or a knockout of Holland.

"I think MVP is the side here I bet him at dog ODS May the best man win"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Daniel Vreeland also picks Michael Page, though he initially hesitates. He notes that Page's recent results are actually improving and that his only losses are to Douglas Lima and Logan Storley, both via wrestling-heavy game plans. Vreeland argues that Page is still a better kickboxer than Holland and that Holland's path to victory is wrestling, but he doubts Holland can execute that game plan. He points out that even Douglas Lima couldn't consistently wrestle Page, so Holland may struggle. Vreeland concludes that Page's striking is enough to win.

"I think I might buck that fact that I don't know if this is the prime version of him anymore cuz like I mean look at his recent results it seems like the results are getting better."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Jeff Fox picks Michael Page as a dog, citing Kevin Holland's tendency to strike rather than grapple. He believes Holland will choose to strike with Page, which plays into Page's strengths. Fox notes that Page is past his prime but still has the striking prowess to beat Holland. He references Page's losses to Douglas Lima and Logan Storley, but argues that Page's striking is still elite and that Holland is not a strong wrestler. Fox is confident that Page's kickboxing will overwhelm Holland.

"Give me the dog I'm going with Michael Venom Page here uh I don't trust Kevin Holland I don't trust that he's going to Grapple which probably should be what he does here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Page is a devastating striker with incredible speed, precision, and power. Holland will likely try to strike with him early, but his wrestling is not good enough to consistently take Page down. Page has good footwork and distance management to avoid takedowns and land his own shots. I expect Page to touch up Holland and eventually find a knockout in the second or third round. Holland's tendency to leave openings when his wrestling fails will be his downfall.

Page by KO/TKO in rounds 2-3
"I do like paig here to touch up Kevin Holland uh maybe even knock him out in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul believes Page is past his prime and hasn't fought in a year, while Holland is durable and has a significant experience advantage. He thinks Holland can use his wrestling to control Page, but also notes that Holland might choose to stand and trade, which could be risky.

Holland by submission (+800)
"I think Holland goes to his wrestling he wins this fight if he chooses to be an idiot and not go to his wrestling I think there's a good chance that he could actually just clip MVP with a nice …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michael Page

The MMA Guru picks Michael Page, predicting a boring fight but a win. He believes Page's low kicks will be key, as Holland has poor leg kick defense. He expects Holland to get frustrated and drop his output, and Page will drop him off-balance with a straight right. He cites Holland's losses to fighters who used leg kicks effectively.

low kicks, drops Holland
"MVP is going to drop Holland ... I think MVP is going to chew up his leg at range"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo picks Michael Page, calling it his 'last ride' with MVP. He notes Page's unorthodox karate style, speed, and ability to cover distance. He believes Page's striking will frustrate Sharabutdin Magomedov, who is creative but may struggle with Page's movement. He acknowledges Page's age (37) and the risk of a knockout loss, but thinks Page can win a decision. He suggests looking at prop bets like MVP +3.5.

Suggests MVP +3.5 (spread) and decision prop.
"I'm going to pick MVP this is probably my last ride with MVP"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady thinks the odds make no sense and favors Michael Page at plus money. He praises Page's striking defense, noting he made Kevin Holland and Ian Garry look silly. Sharabutdin Magomedov has 42% striking defense and is there to be hit. Brady expects a close fight but predicts Page wins by decision, possibly split. He doesn't see Magomedov wrestling.

decision
"I got to go paig here especially at like plus 170 I I just don't see in what world Shara is looking anywhere near minus 200 he's not going to wrestle he's not going to he's going to have a hard time finding Paige Paige is impossible to find"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks MVP, expecting him to produce his typical frustrating fight. He notes that Magomedov is directionally aimless and has a punchable face that invites aggression, but MVP's style of staying at range and countering is difficult to deal with. Connor believes Magomedov's leg kicks could be a factor, but MVP's willingness to make the fight boring and his reach advantage give him the edge.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, primarily due to hometown bias in Saudi Arabia favoring the Russian Muslim fighter. He also cites Magomedov's leg kick advantage against Page's karate stance, better durability, and finishing upside. He notes Page moves up to middleweight at 37-38, which is a disadvantage. He expects a close fight but sees Magomedov winning by decision, with potential for a knockout.

Magomedov by decision is implied; mentions leg kick damage and finishing upside.
"overall my prediction is going to be sh magedov wins the fight I'm going to say that he wins a fight via decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Page is very hard to hit and will set up counters effectively, potentially scoring a knockout if he lands the perfect shot. Magomedov lacks a wrestling background despite his name, which will be an issue. Page is expected to pick him apart similar to the Kevin Holland fight and win on the scorecards.

"I think that will cause him issues here as he goes up against a fighter in Page who is very hard to hit look for Page to set up a ton of counters move effectively maybe score a knockout if he can land the perfect shot but I think for …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by late-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes Magomedov's kicks and clinch will cause problems for MVP, and that MVP's takedown defense is weak. He notes MVP struggled with Ian Garry's grappling and that Magomedov has been drilling takedowns. He thinks MVP's move to middleweight may reduce his presence.

late rounds finish, ground and pound TKO in the third
"I'm going to go Sharon magedov getting this one done late rounds finish maybe ground and pound TKO in the third"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks MVP, agreeing with Connor that Magomedov's lack of defensive structure and tendency to be countered will be exploited. He notes that MVP's style of frustrating opponents and waiting for mistakes is effective, and Magomedov's leg kicks may not be enough to overcome MVP's reach and movement. Zane expects a boring fight but sees MVP winning.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

dddd