UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024 · Catchweight (127.5 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis
Age 35
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Jimmy Flick
1.67 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.7 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
2.36 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
3.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Malcolm Gordon
2.5 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
2.0 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
1.72 TD Avg
35.0% TD Acc.
26.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Jimmy Flick - Fight History
LOSS vs Matt Schnell
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Schnell 0 35 of 61 57% 88 of 117 0 of 0 --- 3 1 3:53
Jimmy Flick 0 12 of 20 60% 48 of 60 5 of 7 71% 1 1 8:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Schnell 0 6 of 15 40% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jimmy Flick 0 8 of 11 72% 33 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:41
2 Matt Schnell 0 18 of 25 72% 46 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:28
Jimmy Flick 0 3 of 4 75% 11 of 13 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:14
3 Matt Schnell 0 11 of 21 52% 22 of 32 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:25
Jimmy Flick 0 1 of 5 20% 4 of 10 2 of 3 66% 0 1 1:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Schnell 35 of 61 57% 33 of 58 1 of 1 1 of 2 12 of 34 4 of 4 19 of 23
Jimmy Flick 12 of 20 60% 8 of 13 0 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 16 2 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Schnell 6 of 15 40% 5 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 8 of 11 72% 4 of 5 0 of 1 4 of 5 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Matt Schnell 18 of 25 72% 18 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 1 15 of 19
Jimmy Flick 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Matt Schnell 11 of 21 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 2 4 of 14 3 of 3 4 of 4
Jimmy Flick 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jimmy Flick vs. Matt Schnell
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Schnell (-285), Flick (+230)

Round 1
An interesting matchup between flyweight finishers concludes the long prelims. This is a pivotal one for both men, as they are both struggling as of late. Schnell (16-9, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC) fell below .500 in the UFC while riding a three-fight skid, with the third of those nearly forcing him into retirement. Like Schnell, Flick (17-8, 2-3 UFC) also offered a retirement that did not stick a few years ago, but with one win in his last four outings, it’s make or break for him. Referee Dan Miragliotta may be needed for the bout’s entire duration, but the judges might be able to kick back and relax when the two 125ers engage. Before searching for the stoppage that may soon come, the fighters cordially touch ‘em up first. Schnell is light on his feet as he ramps up his offense, not letting Flick get off much of his own as he peppers his foe with strikes. Flick walks into a right hand and ducks away to reset, and Schnell splits the guard with a jab. Flick surges into action with three swiping left hands, and he uses the surprise offense to shoot in for a single. Schnell remains on his feet, and Flick chases after him and bullies him to the wall. Flick pursues the takedown, tripping out Schnell’s right leg to place him on his seat. As Schnell scrambles, Flick jumps over to half guard and then the side, where he looks for an arm-triangle choke. Schnell walks off the face, pushing Flick off of him and setting up a potential triangle choke. Schnell loops his left leg around the shoulder, and Flick powers his weight down to stifle the triangle. Schnell drags Flick back to half guard, and he wraps punches around the head and lands a few to the back of the dome as well. Schnell re-closes his guard, and Flick takes advantage of this opportunity by hacking down with elbows. Schnell’s possible triangle setup comes up short as Flick no-sells it, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Flick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Flick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Flick

Round 2
Schnell comes out of his corner looking for kicks, and his first is a calf kick. Flick comes up top with a right hand, and he shoots in for a takedown. Schnell defends with a guillotine choke, but the impact of the two hitting the canvas breaks the grip. Flick lands in half guard and pressures down with his shoulder for the first step of an arm-triangle choke, and he wraps his hands together to further go after it. Flick keeps staying after the arm-triangle, and he allows Schnell to turn to his side so he can slither around and take the back. Flick adjusts his grip and searches for a side-naked choke, but Schnell’s arm is in to give him enough space to survive. Schnell turns using his feet on the wall to fight out of the sub, and Flick is subsequently returned to full guard. “The Brick” imposes his body weight down, and Schnell defends by hooking his leg around Flick’s shoulder for an omoplata. Flick sits up, and he jumps guard for a guillotine choke. Schnell tosses the arm grip aside and starts mounting offense, hammering the submission specialist with punches until Flick uses butterfly hooks to gain some space. When Schnell stands upright, Flick beans him with an upkick. Schnell shakes it off and keeps Flick on the ground by striking him. Flick again postures up and jumps for a guillotine and it is much tighter. “Danger” remains composed and is not concerned of the danger of the sub, and he wriggles his neck free and lashes out with nasty ground-and-pound that splits Flick’s forehead open. Schnell defends with a hard elbow and jumps guard for a guillotine, and Miragliotta thinks the 10-second clapper is the bell again and touches the fighters. Schnell releases the grip, expecting the round is over, and Flick is arguably saved by this mistake as the power guillotine was frighteningly tight. As Schnell rolls Flick over, the horn does sound.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Schnell

Round 3
The third round opens with Schnell willing to engage in the striking, and Flick does the same for a brief spell until he grabs hold of Schnell’s leg for a single. Schnell hits his back and wraps his leg up for a possible triangle, and when that fails, he kicks Flick off of him. Flick appears dazed as blood streams down his face, and Schnell is the fresher of the two and jumps to his feet first. Flick follows him, and he shoots for a double. Schnell defends with a 10-finger guillotine, and Flick appears to tap a single time as he was pushing on Schnell’s leg to thwart the submission. Flick breaks out of the sub and lowers himself to his back, and he turns to his side and sits up to try to put Schnell on his back. Schnell leans against the wall, and Flick still tries to wrap him up with a guillotine choke. Flick stands up with the choke, and he knees Schnell in the chest. Schnell stands so he does not take another knee, and Flick shoots for a double. When Flick transitions to a single, Schnell grips a guillotine and drags Flick to the canvas. “Danger” uses the maneuver to roll over into top position with 85 seconds to spare, and he is quick to take advantage of the position change by elbowing Flick in the cut. Flick scrambles and gives up his back, and Schnell gets both hooks in and instantly fastens a rear-naked choke. Flick fights the top hand to keep breathing, and Schnell briefly considers a neck crank but is more intent on maintaining a body lock than getting the tap. Schnell concludes the matchup with some ground strikes, and the two men hear the final bell and raise their arms in the air.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Schnell (29-28 Schnell)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Schnell (29-28 Schnell)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Schnell (29-28 Schnell)

The Official Result
Matt Schnell def. Jimmy Flick via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Matt Schnell

Angelo picks Matt Schnell, calling him the better fighter despite his compromised chin. He notes that Schnell is a solid striker with good BJJ, while Jimmy Flick is a one-dimensional grappler with terrible striking stats (5.43 significant strikes absorbed per minute). He compares the choice to cat poop vs. dog poop, but concludes Schnell is the real fighter.

"Matchell is the better fighter though. So cat poop's better than dog poop."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick, citing Matt Schnell's poor chin, takedown defense, and submission defense. He notes Schnell has been submitted three times and has no knockout power. He expects Flick to get a takedown and submit Schnell, predicting a first-round submission. He is shocked Schnell is a -300 favorite.

first round submission
"I'll take Jimmy Flick to to tap out Matt Schnell and retire him uh once again. So, yeah, they give me Jimmy Flick by first round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jimmy Flick

The host got Flick at plus 200 and believes his unorthodox grappling and jiu-jitsu will allow him to catch Schnell in a submission, despite Flick's absent striking game.

submission, got him at +200
"I believe he has a unorthodox enough grappling and jiu-jitsu game to eventually catch Snell in something and eventually pull off a submission victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

The MMA Guru picks Jimmy Flick as an underdog, despite acknowledging Schnell is technically better. He cannot trust Schnell's chin, as he gets knocked out too often at flyweight. He thinks Flick can make it a dirty fight and has submission ability. He admits his pick is based on a weird feeling and Schnell's chinny reputation.

"I'm gonna go Jimmy Flick for some [__] weird reason. I just can't trust Matt Neell to make it through a fight without being chinned."
LOSS vs Nate Maness
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Maness 0 37 of 75 49% 41 of 80 1 of 8 12% 2 0 2:41
Jimmy Flick 0 89 of 168 52% 139 of 234 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Maness 0 14 of 31 45% 14 of 31 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:05
Jimmy Flick 0 30 of 56 53% 37 of 68 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:27
2 Nate Maness 0 5 of 16 31% 7 of 19 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:50
Jimmy Flick 0 33 of 61 54% 46 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:46
3 Nate Maness 0 18 of 28 64% 20 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:46
Jimmy Flick 0 26 of 51 50% 56 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Maness 37 of 75 49% 8 of 26 21 of 35 8 of 14 28 of 64 9 of 11 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 89 of 168 52% 63 of 135 17 of 23 9 of 10 64 of 131 19 of 26 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Maness 14 of 31 45% 1 of 10 9 of 14 4 of 7 12 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 30 of 56 53% 19 of 44 8 of 9 3 of 3 24 of 50 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Nate Maness 5 of 16 31% 1 of 5 2 of 6 2 of 5 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 33 of 61 54% 26 of 50 6 of 10 1 of 1 23 of 42 6 of 10 4 of 9
3 Nate Maness 18 of 28 64% 6 of 11 10 of 15 2 of 2 11 of 20 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 26 of 51 50% 18 of 41 3 of 4 5 of 6 17 of 39 7 of 10 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Nate Maness

Angelo picks Nate Maness confidently, calling it a mismatch. He notes Nate is well-rounded with good submissions, power, and takedown defense, while Jimmy Flick is a one-dimensional grappler with poor striking and takedowns. He believes Nate wins 29 out of 30 times and should dominate, possibly by finish. He suggests parlaying Nate.

Parlay suggestion
"Nate Maness is the pick man I don't see Nate Maness getting caught in a flying triangle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Maness

Cody picks Nate Maness, highlighting his takedown defense, power, and cardio. He notes that Maness has fought tough competition at 135 and is now at his natural weight class of 125. Cody believes Flick is one-dimensional (submission or bust) and that Maness will avoid submissions and knock him out or win a decision. He warns that flyweight fights can be unpredictable but is confident in Maness.

"Nate Maness rightful favorite... I think he wins this fight I'm picking him likely a top ticket guy."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Maness

Daniel Vreeland picks Nate Maness, citing his length and range striking. He expects Maness to pick Flick apart and make him shoot sloppy shots. He notes Flick's pattern of getting beaten up before finishing or being finished, and believes Maness will pound him out as Flick fatigues and pulls guard.

"I'm gonna go with Nate Maness in this spot"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Nate Maness

Jacob picks Nate, emphasizing he should not grapple with Jimmy and should stay on the feet to avoid submissions. He notes Nate's length and striking advantage, and that Jimmy is dangerous only if he gets a hold on the ground. He expects Nate to win easily by keeping the fight standing.

"Nate should be able to use his length stay on the [__] feet don't grapple with this guy and just hit him in the face"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 13, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Maness

Maness should win by knockout if he keeps the fight upright, but Flick is squirmy and dangerous in the clinch and on the back. This makes me hesitant to take the chalk on Maness. I'll predict Maness by knockout but a small sprinkle on Flick by submission is not bad.

small sprinkle on Flick by submission
"I will still predict Maness to win this fight by knockout but a small sprinkle on flick by submission is is not a bad way to go about it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Maness

Paul picks Nate Maness, noting that Flick's only path to victory is a submission and that Maness has good takedown defense. He points out that Flick has been knocked out multiple times and that Maness has power. Paul thinks Maness will win, possibly by knockout.

"I like Nate Maness I think he wins and I do think that Jimmy Flick is probably sub or bust."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nate Maness

The MMA Guru picks Nate Maness but expresses worry about Jimmy Flick's knack for pulling off random wins. He thinks Maness has a wrestling background and a standup advantage, and that he will be big enough at flyweight not to be manhandled. He criticizes Maness for his poor performance against Umar Nurmagomedov but believes Flick's inconsistency and past desire to quit make Maness the safer pick. He expects Maness to avoid submissions and find a TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Nate Maness I think he's a little bit more well-rounded and I think he can avoid the submissions and find a TKO maybe"
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 1:17 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmy Flick 0 37 of 70 52% 74 of 116 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:13
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 7 42% 7 of 11 1 of 4 25% 4 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmy Flick 0 19 of 39 48% 55 of 84 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:13
Malcolm Gordon 0 0 of 2 0% 4 of 6 0 of 3 0% 2 0 0:28
2 Jimmy Flick 0 18 of 31 58% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmy Flick 37 of 70 52% 35 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 41 5 of 5 14 of 24
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmy Flick 19 of 39 48% 18 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 13 2 of 2 14 of 24
Malcolm Gordon 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jimmy Flick 18 of 31 58% 17 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 5 60% 2 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Angelo sees both fighters as chinny grapplers with poor takedown defense and mediocre takedown offense. He believes Flick is the more dangerous grappler and that if Flick can get past Gordon's 9% takedown defense, he will have a significant advantage. However, he calls the fight super close and advises not betting on it due to too many variables.

Do not bet on this fight
"I will ever so slightly lean flick here and that is only based off the grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging both fighters have terrible durability. He notes Flick's wrestling looked better than expected in past fights and believes Flick is the better grappler against Malcolm Gordon's 9% takedown defense. However, he expresses major concerns about Flick's mentality after a retirement and two knockout losses. He says he is not betting Flick but predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"give me flick to go out there and sub Malcolm Gordon in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Cody picks Flick as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage and Gordon's 9% takedown defense. He believes Flick will take Gordon down and submit him or control the fight. He notes Flick's motivation and improved cardio.

Flick by submission at +345
"I think this is a Jimmy flick pick... flick by submission is live."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland refuses to pick a winner, calling both fighters fragile and untrustworthy at the UFC level. He notes both have no chins and are black belts who can submit each other, but he does not trust either. He advises against betting on this fight.

"I don't even want to pick this fight I don't even want to watch this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Flick vs Gordon.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

I'm leaning with the underdog Jimmy Flick here. I don't think Gordon provides enough issues on the feet for Flick, and it's just a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. Even though Gordon might think he has the advantage there, I think Flick is a little too crafty for him and should get the better of him on the mat. I expect a submission finish within the first two rounds.

submission finish, inside first two rounds, plus 110 underdog
"I'm actually going to lean with the underdog ever so slightly here with Jimmy flick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

Paul picks Gordon but is not confident, noting his chin issues and lack of knockout power. He thinks Gordon's striking and jiu-jitsu should be enough, but he won't bet the -190. He acknowledges Flick's grappling threat.

"Malcolm Gordon will be the pick for me... I ain't betting Gordon as a chalk favorite."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

The MMA Guru leans towards Malcolm Gordon due to physicality and reach advantages at flyweight. He notes Gordon's straight punches and ability to keep the fight standing as key factors. He acknowledges Gordon's chinny nature but believes his competition level is higher than Flick's. He predicts a TKO in the second round via straight punches.

TKO in round 2
"I am leaning towards Malcolm Gordon here over Jimmy flick for multiple reasons one little bit of a physicality Advantage at flyweight over Jimmy flick in my opinion two re Advantage at flyweight he's got three inches of reach over …"
TKO (elbows) R2 1:03 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alessandro Costa 0 14 of 37 37% 14 of 37 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:14
Jimmy Flick 1 65 of 91 71% 65 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alessandro Costa 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Jimmy Flick 1 54 of 77 70% 54 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Alessandro Costa 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jimmy Flick 0 11 of 14 78% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alessandro Costa 14 of 37 37% 6 of 27 5 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 65 of 91 71% 37 of 58 12 of 15 16 of 18 54 of 76 0 of 0 11 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alessandro Costa 14 of 36 38% 6 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 54 of 77 70% 27 of 45 12 of 15 15 of 17 53 of 75 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Alessandro Costa 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jimmy Flick 11 of 14 78% 10 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alessandro Costa vs. Jimmy Flick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Costa (-255), Flick (+215)

Round 1
Capping off the prelims, flyweights of Flick (16-6, 1-1 UFC) and Costa (12-3, 0-1 UFC) square off. “The Brick” has never before landed a knockout, with 88% of his wins coming by tapout, while Costa has never once been submitted. Something might have to give, and referee Keith Peterson is here for it if it does. The fight opens with a no nonsense glove touch, and Flick paws out after with a front kick. Costa slams a leg kick with emphasis on the calf, and Flick tries to get him back with another front kick only to miss. Costa stuffs a takedown after checking a kick, and he pushes Flick away and nails him with another calf kick. Flick jabs with the ball of his foot, and he ducks down low for an overhand right. Costa drills a kick to the body, and he starts chaining body shots together as Flick can do nothing but shell up. Costa pins two punches on Flick’s head before Flick realizes he has been struck, and he circles away while Flick is calculating the damage. Costa aims another left to the body, and Flick kicks low and just buzzes the hair with a high kick to follow. Costa backs Flick off with a one-two, and he absorbs a front kick to the midsection. Costa delivers another kick to the lead wheel, and he doubles up on it. Costa strings three punches together and kicks the calf, and the kick knocks Flick clean off his feet. Flick falls to his back, and Costa kicks at it once more before letting “The Brick” up. Flick stands, and he keeps that left leg back, as it is totally compromised. Costa decides to kick the other leg, and when Flick swaps again, he chops at it once more to nearly topple Flick over. “Nono” smashes Flick’s calf one more time, and Flick dives forward with a takedown. Flick cannot secure it, and he looks for a leglock that Costa shakes off and lets him get up. Flick is unable to plant on his leg, and Costa throws him down to the floor. Costa lines up several punches to the chin when Flick gets back up, and he nails Flick with a flying knee. Flick walks through a low kick to throw punches, and Costa is faster and more accurate. Costa rings Flick’s bell with speedy punches, and Flick’s face turns red as Costa seemingly cannot miss. Costa hammers Flick’s left leg with one last kick, and rips a right to the body as the horn sounds. Flick barely is able to limp back to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Costa
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-8 Costa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Costa

Round 2
Flick is able to make it out of his corner, and he starts off in southpaw to keep his left leg behind him. Costa does not attack right out of the gate, and he lets Flick kick at him high. Costa times one single low kick, and Flick’s balance is shot and he can barely even lift his foot up.
Flick shoots in after hobbling back to put his arm in the fence to stay up, and Costa bowls him over and starts elbowing him. Flick threatens with some kind of submission, but Costa does not let him set anything up and starts blasting him with elbows. The Brazilian, seeing the finish might be around corner, batters Flick with these nasty elbows until Peterson has seen enough.
Costa strides away, his work done, and he celebrates his first victory inside the Octagon.

The Official Result
Alessandro Costa def. Jimmy Flick R2 1:03 via TKO (Elbows)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Big Brady picks Alessandro Costa to win by late first-round knockout. He is high on Costa, praising his BJJ black belt, grappling, and knockout power. He thinks Costa can dictate where the fight takes place and has good takedown defense. Flick's path is an early submission, but Brady doubts he can submit Costa. He questions Flick's cardio, toughness, and chin, noting Flick has five knockout losses. Brady expects Costa to land a big shot and finish Flick after weathering an early storm.

"I think he gets knocked out here late first round knockout for me for Alessandra Costa."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Cody is confident in Costa, citing Flick's poor durability and cardio. He notes that Flick has been knocked out in five of his six losses, often early, and that his boxing is poor. Costa showed good takedown defense against Amir Albazi, and Cody thinks he can stuff Flick's takedowns and win on the feet. He also plans to live bet Costa if Flick takes him down early and fails to submit him.

plans to live bet Costa if Flick takes him down early
"I will take Costa but of course with uh anytime you're betting against a Jimmy flick"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Connor picks Costa, citing his more functional and modern MMA game compared to Flick's one-dimensional grappling. He notes that Costa is a cleaner puncher and that Flick's success depends entirely on landing a submission. Connor is concerned that Flick's aggression could be neutralized if Costa stays standing, as seen in Flick's loss to Charles Johnson. He acknowledges Costa's downside is matching Flick's aimlessness but believes Costa's power and takedown defense give him the edge.

Costa by decision or TKO; Costa at -252 is 'undeservedly good odds'
"I'll stick with coast. I don't believe in this flick return and I don't like it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Daniel Levi picks Alessandro Costa, citing his BJJ black belt under Diego Lopez and ability to defend submissions. He views Flick as submission-or-bust and believes Costa can handle that threat. He notes Flick's poor durability and that Costa should win if he avoids submissions. He acknowledges the high juice but sees it as a slam dunk.

"I think this is pretty much a slam dunk spot for Costa"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Flick is a high-level BJJ player who is crafty from top position. Costa is a solid striker but his takedown defense and control on the ground are not impressive. Flick's stationary style of Costa should allow takedown opportunities. Even though Costa is a BJJ black belt, Flick's submission threat is real. The plus 210 line offers value. Flick wins by submission.

Flick wins by submission at +210
"I like flick at this number I agree that Costa should be the favorite I just don't know if the line should be this wide so give me Jimmy flick here and I think he might pull off a submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Paul is hesitant to lay -255 on Costa, given the question marks around him, but he picks Costa because Flick's cardio and durability are major issues. He notes that Flick looked terrible in his return against Charles Johnson and that Costa held his own against Albazi. Paul would not bet the moneyline but expects Costa to win.

"I guess he'll be my pick I just don't know if I can get back to to Jimmy until I see it uh in action"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

The MMA Guru picks Alessandro Costa over Jimmy Flick, questioning Flick's return after a retirement and a first-round TKO loss to Charles Johnson. He notes Costa's loss to Amir Albazi is no shame, and that Costa has fought good opponents and learned lessons. He predicts Costa will finish Flick by TKO.

"I'm gonna side with Alessandro Costa here over Jimmy flick I don't like why Jimmy flick is coming back"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Zane picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging his limited game, which relies heavily on back takes and submissions. He notes that Flick is a consistent finisher and that Costa is 'just a guy' who may not have the foundation to stop Flick's chaos. However, he admits Flick's style is a Hail Mary and that Costa could win if he keeps it standing. Zane is hesitant because Flick's return is uncertain and he was easily handled by Charles Johnson.

Flick by submission; Flick is a big underdog at +218
"I'm going to take flick for finishing potential."
LOSS vs Charles Johnson
TKO (elbows and punches) R1 4:33 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 0 34 of 57 59% 44 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:39
Jimmy Flick 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 34 of 57 59% 44 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:39
Jimmy Flick 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 34 of 57 59% 20 of 39 10 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 38 0 of 0 12 of 19
Jimmy Flick 7 of 13 53% 3 of 6 3 of 4 1 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 34 of 57 59% 20 of 39 10 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 38 0 of 0 12 of 19
Jimmy Flick 7 of 13 53% 3 of 6 3 of 4 1 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo picks Johnson, citing his well-roundedness and cardio. He thinks Flick's two-year layoff will be a factor and Johnson's takedown defense and boxing will prevail. He notes Johnson's power and pressure, but acknowledges Flick's submission threat. He considers -305 appropriate.

"Charles Johnson should get this done to three to one odds makes sense to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson confidently, citing Johnson's takedown defense shown against Muhammad Mokaev and his striking advantage. He notes that Jimmy Flick is a submission specialist but struggles to get fights to the mat, and if he can't, he fades after the first round. He believes Johnson will keep the fight standing and finish Flick by knockout in the second round, as Flick has been knocked out before.

Johnson by second round knockout
"I think Charles Johnson gives Jimmy flick his fifth knockout loss here and I think Charles Johnson gets it done in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Cody picks Johnson, citing his submission defense and cardio. He notes Flick's poor chin and tendency to fade after the first round. He expects Johnson to survive early submission attempts and win by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He likes Johnson by TKO props.

Charles Johnson round 2 at +500, round 3 at +900
"Charles Johnson is going to put a straight up beating on him"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Connor also picks Johnson, agreeing that Johnson has built-in advantages and is hard to outgrapple. However, he is not confident it will be decisive and notes that Flick could pull off a submission. Connor emphasizes that Johnson's passivity is a concern and that Flick's weird grappling could create opportunities.

"I will also pick Charles Johnson okay because he does have just built-in advantages but I'm not sure it's gonna be very decisive one way or the other"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Jacob picks Flick as an underdog, citing Johnson's overconfidence and potential grappling vulnerability. He notes Johnson's close fight with Zalgas and his cocky attitude. He thinks Flick's submission threat and layoff could lead to a surprise. He is not betting the moneyline but has bets on Flick for premium members.

Has bets on Jimmy Flick for premium members
"I put some bets on Jimmy Floyd"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Paul picks Flick as a value underdog, having bet him at +385 and +420. He notes Johnson's poor takedown defense and believes Flick's submission game can cause problems. He acknowledges the line has corrected and sees it as a hedge play.

Bet Flick at +385 and +420 for 0.5 units total
"I scooped up some plus 385 and plus 420"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Zane picks Johnson, highlighting Johnson's improved striking output in his last fight against Zuma Gulov and his strong defensive grappling, as shown against Muhammad Mokaev. He notes that Flick's striking is bad and that Johnson should be able to outgrapple him, but he is concerned that Johnson is inherently passive and may not push the pace. Zane also mentions that Flick is a dangerous submission artist who could pull off a miracle.

Odds mentioned: Johnson opened at -134, dropped to -445, currently -358; Flick opened at +114, jumped to +316, currently +279. Zane comments that the odds are too wide.
"I'm gonna pick Johnson here... I don't really see how Jimmy wins... I'm not sure I really see how he's gonna lose either"
WIN vs Cody Durden
Submission (flying triangle choke) R1 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmy Flick 0 6 of 14 42% 7 of 15 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 21 of 32 65% 30 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmy Flick 0 6 of 14 42% 7 of 15 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 21 of 32 65% 30 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmy Flick 6 of 14 42% 4 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 21 of 32 65% 17 of 28 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmy Flick 6 of 14 42% 4 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 21 of 32 65% 17 of 28 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Jimmy Flick

Round 1
Dropping to the flyweight division, two men looking to get their first win inside the Octagon come to blows as submission-minded Flick (15-5, 0-0 UFC) makes his promotional debut against fellow finisher Durden (11-2-1, 0-0-1 UFC). The third man inside the cage for this rescheduled bout – the two were previously slated to compete two weeks ago, but Durden contracted conjunctivitis – is referee Jerin Valel, who observes the two touching gloves to precede the action. Flick fires off a leg kick, and it sails past his opponent. Durden aims a counter, and steps forward to land with a stern uppercut. Flick throws a left hand into a leg kick, and Durden grabs hold of him and tosses him down. Durden sits on top and flattens out a face-down Flick, and he starts hammering his foe with punches. “The Brick” is marked up but he scrambles to get back up to his feet thanks to the fence, although Durden is aiming for a mat return. Flick manages to avoid the trip attempts, and Durden pushes off but snaps out a stiff jab. Durden ducks down to loop an overhand right around Flick’s guard, and he stings Flick with a left hand to follow. Flick targets the leg with a few picks, but Durden marks him up with his hands. Flick throws a head kick and misses, and when he fails to hit a takedown, Durden capitalizes by wailing on Flick. Flick defends himself by shelling up against the fence. Flick breaks free and scores a front kick up the middle, and he slings a head kick that gets caught.
With his left leg in the air, Flick pulls guard with a flying triangle, and Durden is instantly in the danger zone as soon as he hits the ground. Flick locks up the triangle choke around the neck, Durden is trapped and cannot break himself free. As Flick transitions into a triangle armbar, Durden pulls his arm out while allowing Flick to tighten his grip. A few seconds elapse before Durden has to tap out, as his only other choice was to fall asleep.
What a comeback for Flick, who was likely down in the early going until landing that miraculous submission.

The Official Result
Jimmy Flick def. Cody Durden R1 3:18 via Submission (Flying Triangle Choke)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick over Cody Durden, citing Durden's double weight cut as a concern and his tendency to go for takedowns, which plays into Flick's submission game. He notes Flick's questionable chin but believes the fight will hit the mat, where Flick has the advantage. Brady predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"give me jimmy flick to get it done by first round submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

The host picks Flick but is very hesitant, calling it a toss-up. He believes Flick's submission threat will be key if he can initiate grappling, but notes Durden's wrestling background and power. He recommends the fight doesn't go to decision prop as the best play.

Fight doesn't go to decision -265
"i'm gonna go with flick here though i feel like he will be able to initiate the grappling in some way or another"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The Guru picks Cody Durden, changing his original pick. He believes Durden has improved jiu-jitsu and power, and that Flick has been KO'd multiple times. He notes Durden's draw with Chris Gutierrez was competitive, while Flick was TKO'd by Gutierrez. He predicts a TKO win for Durden in the first two rounds.

Predicts a TKO win for Durden as an underdog.
"i'm going to go with cody durden getting the job done... durden's going to tko in with ground and pound in the first two rounds i'm going to go with cody durden by tko with an upset win"
Malcolm Gordon - Fight History
LOSS vs Jimmy Flick
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 1:17 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmy Flick 0 37 of 70 52% 74 of 116 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:13
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 7 42% 7 of 11 1 of 4 25% 4 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmy Flick 0 19 of 39 48% 55 of 84 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:13
Malcolm Gordon 0 0 of 2 0% 4 of 6 0 of 3 0% 2 0 0:28
2 Jimmy Flick 0 18 of 31 58% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmy Flick 37 of 70 52% 35 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 41 5 of 5 14 of 24
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmy Flick 19 of 39 48% 18 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 13 2 of 2 14 of 24
Malcolm Gordon 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jimmy Flick 18 of 31 58% 17 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 5 60% 2 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Angelo sees both fighters as chinny grapplers with poor takedown defense and mediocre takedown offense. He believes Flick is the more dangerous grappler and that if Flick can get past Gordon's 9% takedown defense, he will have a significant advantage. However, he calls the fight super close and advises not betting on it due to too many variables.

Do not bet on this fight
"I will ever so slightly lean flick here and that is only based off the grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging both fighters have terrible durability. He notes Flick's wrestling looked better than expected in past fights and believes Flick is the better grappler against Malcolm Gordon's 9% takedown defense. However, he expresses major concerns about Flick's mentality after a retirement and two knockout losses. He says he is not betting Flick but predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"give me flick to go out there and sub Malcolm Gordon in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Cody picks Flick as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage and Gordon's 9% takedown defense. He believes Flick will take Gordon down and submit him or control the fight. He notes Flick's motivation and improved cardio.

Flick by submission at +345
"I think this is a Jimmy flick pick... flick by submission is live."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland refuses to pick a winner, calling both fighters fragile and untrustworthy at the UFC level. He notes both have no chins and are black belts who can submit each other, but he does not trust either. He advises against betting on this fight.

"I don't even want to pick this fight I don't even want to watch this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Flick vs Gordon.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

I'm leaning with the underdog Jimmy Flick here. I don't think Gordon provides enough issues on the feet for Flick, and it's just a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. Even though Gordon might think he has the advantage there, I think Flick is a little too crafty for him and should get the better of him on the mat. I expect a submission finish within the first two rounds.

submission finish, inside first two rounds, plus 110 underdog
"I'm actually going to lean with the underdog ever so slightly here with Jimmy flick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

Paul picks Gordon but is not confident, noting his chin issues and lack of knockout power. He thinks Gordon's striking and jiu-jitsu should be enough, but he won't bet the -190. He acknowledges Flick's grappling threat.

"Malcolm Gordon will be the pick for me... I ain't betting Gordon as a chalk favorite."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

The MMA Guru leans towards Malcolm Gordon due to physicality and reach advantages at flyweight. He notes Gordon's straight punches and ability to keep the fight standing as key factors. He acknowledges Gordon's chinny nature but believes his competition level is higher than Flick's. He predicts a TKO in the second round via straight punches.

TKO in round 2
"I am leaning towards Malcolm Gordon here over Jimmy flick for multiple reasons one little bit of a physicality Advantage at flyweight over Jimmy flick in my opinion two re Advantage at flyweight he's got three inches of reach over …"
LOSS vs Jake Hadley
TKO (punches) R1 1:01 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Hadley 1 10 of 21 47% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Hadley 1 10 of 21 47% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Hadley 10 of 21 47% 7 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 5 of 6
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 15 20% 1 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Hadley 10 of 21 47% 7 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 5 of 6
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 15 20% 1 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Angelo is confident Jake Hadley wins and thinks the odds should be wider. He notes Hadley has solid boxing and aggressive BJJ, while Malcolm Gordon is chinny and gets finished. He thinks Gordon's performance against Makayev is misleading because Makayev is not dangerous. He expects Hadley to beat Gordon up on the feet and survive any submission attempts.

"I think Jake Hadley should be like a minus 500 favorite a minus 600 favorite I think Malcolm Gordon is very good the problem is he's chinny he gets submitted."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Big Brady picks Jake Hadley, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor durability (all losses inside distance) and 9% takedown defense. He notes Hadley's takedown defense is a concern (37%), but believes Hadley can finish via KO or submission. He predicts a second-round submission, but acknowledges Gordon is a solid fighter otherwise.

"I like Hadley to win this fight obviously he's a big favorite I think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Cody picks Hadley, citing his significant advantages in boxing and wrestling. He notes Gordon has durability issues and has been submitted recently. He thinks Hadley can dictate where the fight goes and will likely finish Gordon by knockout or submission. He says Hadley is more refined and has beaten better competition.

"Hadley's gonna rough him up man this kid's pretty solid... I think this has got all the makers for good coming a party for him"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Connor picks Hadley, citing Gordon's severe durability issues. He notes that Gordon's aggressive style leaves him open to counters, and Hadley has the chin to absorb punishment and keep fighting. Connor believes Hadley's pressure and volume will eventually break Gordon, who has a history of getting knocked out.

"I'm pretty much never going to pick Malcolm Gordon because the durability issues are just too stark."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Jacob thinks Jake Hadley is the better fighter and should win, but he is worried about Malcolm Gordon's wildness and aggression. He notes Gordon goes out on his shield and takes chances, which could lead to a submission or scramble that catches Hadley. He has Hadley in a parlay but is a bit worried about it.

in a parlay
"I have been a parlay and I'm a little bit worried about it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Hadley has crisp boxing and a dangerous submission game, as shown in his last win over Candelario. Gordon is a BJJ black belt but his striking is uncomfortable and he crashes the pocket recklessly to get takedowns. Hadley is the better striker and grappler, and should be able to dictate where the fight goes. A finish inside the distance is likely, either by knockout or club-and-sub.

inside the distance
"Jake Hadley by whatever way he wants I'm going to call it via club and sub"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Paul picks Hadley but is more interested in the plus money on fight goes to decision. He notes Hadley hasn't shown huge power and Gordon is durable enough to go the distance. He likes Hadley by decision at plus 400 and thinks it could grow to plus 500. He says Hadley at home should get the nod in a close fight.

Jake Hadley by decision (plus 400)
"I'm kind of more interested in taking like the plus money side of like fight goes to the to decision in this fight I think Hadley wins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

The MMA Guru picks Jake Hadley to win by TKO or submission, praising his composure and improvement since his debut. He notes Gordon's chin is suspect and Hadley has the striking and grappling advantage. He predicts Hadley will pressure Gordon, hurt him on the feet, and potentially latch on a rear-naked choke after dropping him.

Hadley wins by TKO or submission
"I'm gonna side with Jake Hadley here I think he'll be able to get this one done by TKO as well on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Zane also picks Hadley, agreeing that Gordon's chin is a fatal flaw. He notes that Hadley is hittable but durable, and his aggressive style will create opportunities. Zane points out that Gordon's only UFC win came against a fading opponent, and he is always in danger of getting finished.

"I'll take Hadley as well."
LOSS vs Muhammad Mokaev
Submission (armbar) R3 4:26 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muhammad Mokaev 0 21 of 30 70% 119 of 130 6 of 7 85% 1 0 10:18
Malcolm Gordon 0 17 of 38 44% 38 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muhammad Mokaev 0 12 of 16 75% 52 of 57 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:20
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 13 23% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Muhammad Mokaev 0 9 of 14 64% 25 of 30 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:06
Malcolm Gordon 0 6 of 15 40% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:14
3 Muhammad Mokaev 0 0 of 0 --- 42 of 43 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:52
Malcolm Gordon 0 8 of 10 80% 18 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muhammad Mokaev 21 of 30 70% 13 of 22 8 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 18 0 of 0 12 of 12
Malcolm Gordon 17 of 38 44% 15 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 1 5 of 26 5 of 5 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muhammad Mokaev 12 of 16 75% 7 of 11 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 4
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 13 23% 1 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Muhammad Mokaev 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 8
Malcolm Gordon 6 of 15 40% 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 4
3 Muhammad Mokaev 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Malcolm Gordon 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 5 of 5 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Angelo picks Muhammad Mokaev as the largest favorite on the card, citing his non-stop wrestling pace and Malcolm Gordon's 0% takedown defense. He notes Mokaev's insane cardio and pressure, but also points out that Mokaev struggles to hold opponents down. He mentions that Gordon has a BJJ black belt but doesn't think it will matter.

Mokaev over 3.5 takedowns (implied from discussion of BetOnline props)
"Muhammad makayev is the largest favorite on this card and he should be his non-stop wrestling pace is going to be too much for Malcolm"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Big Brady is extremely confident in Mokaev, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He highlights Gordon's poor chin (knocked out four times, finished in all five losses) and zero percent takedown defense. He believes Mokaev can win by knockout or submission, predicting a first-round finish, likely by knockout on the feet.

first round finish
"I think mccove runs through Malcolm Gordon and I think he does it less than in less than five minutes I think he does it in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Cody is confident in Mokaev, noting his youth and improvement. He thinks Mokaev's wrestling and submission game will be too much for Gordon, who has durability issues. Cody expects a finish, likely by TKO or submission in the first or second round.

Mokaev over 2 takedowns (PrizePicks)
"I gotta go in the same boat here uh I'm not the biggest mokai of guy but... Makaya I feel like the best time to catch him was probably early"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Daniel Levi picks Muhammad Mokaev to win dominantly, possibly by knockout. He is impressed by Mokaev's record-setting takedown performance and finishing ability. Levi questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and heart, noting Gordon has been finished before and made mistakes. He thinks Mokaev can win by any method he chooses.

"I think Muhammad Makaya was going to come out here and I think it's gonna brutally knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Mokaev has relentless wrestling and cardio, as shown against Charles Johnson. Gordon's best path is grappling, but Mokaev is safe with his jiu-jitsu and can dominate on top. Gordon is less durable than Johnson, so Mokaev inside the distance is a strong play. The under 1.5 rounds is also appealing.

Mokaev inside the distance at -200; under 1.5 rounds at -105
"I do think that mokai will go out there and run through Malcolm Gordon relatively easy in this fight so uh mokai inside the distance minus 200 I think it's it's worthy of it honestly"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Paul is confident in Mokaev, noting Gordon's poor chin and durability. He thinks Mokaev will spam takedowns and finish. Paul likes the TKO prop at +260 to +280.

Mokaev wins by TKO (+260 to +280)
"if I were to bet anything it would probably be he finds that chin the chin that we've seen be issues for Malcolm Gordon"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

The MMA Guru confidently picks Muhammad Mokaev to win by first-round TKO. He believes Mokaev will establish dominant grappling early, threaten submissions, and then switch to striking when Gordon is hesitant defending takedowns, landing a TKO. He questions Gordon's chin and expects a quick finish.

first round TKO
"I think we're going to see a first round TKO win from Mohammed makayev"
WIN vs Denys Bondar
TKO (arm injury) R1 1:22 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 11 27% 6 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:15
Denys Bondar 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 11 27% 6 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:15
Denys Bondar 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Malcolm Gordon 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Angelo picks Denys Bondar for his wild, aggressive style and offensive wrestling. He notes Bondar's wild punches and old-school slams, while Gordon has a suspect chin and low takedown accuracy. Despite Gordon's speed and technique advantage on the feet, Bondar's power and wrestling should secure the win.

"dennis bodnar is the absolute pick here i think gordon's gonna have a speed advantage and honestly a technique advantage on the feet as well but badner's wild punches that the power comes from the craziness and his just very …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Bondar has better wrestling and cardio, and Gordon has a weak chin. He thinks Bondar will take him down and grind him out or knock him out. He is confident Bondar wins and likes the round one prop.

Bondar wins in round one (+275)
"bondar round one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Daniel Levi picks Denys Bondar, citing his devastating ground and pound, forward pressure, and dog mentality. He questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and mental toughness, noting that Gordon folds when put in bad spots. Levi acknowledges Bondar's competition level is questionable but likes his skills and progression. He expects Bondar to win his UFC debut, likely by finish.

"give me uh denny's bonder to come out here and win his ufc debut and most likely get a finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Lock of the Night picks Bondar, citing his grappling advantage and Gordon's fragility. He expects Bondar to take the fight to the ground and finish. He likes Bondar inside the distance at +100.

Bondar inside the distance +100
"i'm gonna go up on there my favorite prop on it and i might actually sprinkle a little bit on it myself is bonder inside the distance at plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Paul thinks Bondar is being set up for a win. He notes that Gordon has a weak chin and has been knocked out multiple times. Bondar has power and good wrestling. He is confident Bondar wins, likely by knockout in round one.

Bondar wins in round one (+275)
"dennis bondar looks like the kind of guy i want to get into business with"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

The MMA Guru picks Denys Bondar, citing Malcolm Gordon's weak chin and poor grappling defense. He notes Bondar has a grappling advantage and predicts a submission win by rear-naked choke in the second round. He references Gordon's previous loss to Amir Albazi via triangle choke as evidence of his vulnerability on the ground.

submission, round 2, rear-naked choke
"i'm gonna go dennis bonder i think he's got a grappling advantage... i will see a submission win for dennis bonder in the second round route by real naked choke"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moises · Jul 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Malcolm Gordon 0 28 of 45 62% 52 of 70 2 of 2 100% 0 1 4:15
Francisco Figueiredo 0 46 of 84 54% 100 of 145 2 of 11 18% 0 0 6:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Malcolm Gordon 0 6 of 8 75% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:46
Francisco Figueiredo 0 15 of 20 75% 34 of 40 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:48
2 Malcolm Gordon 0 20 of 34 58% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Francisco Figueiredo 0 22 of 55 40% 26 of 59 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:47
3 Malcolm Gordon 0 2 of 3 66% 16 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:14
Francisco Figueiredo 0 9 of 9 100% 40 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Malcolm Gordon 28 of 45 62% 16 of 30 7 of 10 5 of 5 18 of 32 4 of 5 6 of 8
Francisco Figueiredo 46 of 84 54% 40 of 78 2 of 2 4 of 4 22 of 54 5 of 7 19 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Malcolm Gordon 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 5
Francisco Figueiredo 15 of 20 75% 11 of 16 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 14
2 Malcolm Gordon 20 of 34 58% 10 of 21 5 of 8 5 of 5 17 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
Francisco Figueiredo 22 of 55 40% 21 of 54 0 of 0 1 of 1 18 of 49 3 of 5 1 of 1
3 Malcolm Gordon 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francisco Figueiredo 9 of 9 100% 8 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 8
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Cody is confident in Francisco Figueiredo, but he prefers prop bets. He has placed bets on Figueiredo inside the distance and under 2.5 rounds, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor chin and durability issues. He acknowledges Figueiredo's lack of power but believes Gordon's susceptibility to getting knocked out makes this a good prop play.

Figueiredo inside the distance (+125), under 2.5 rounds (-125)
"I took figareto inside the distance plus 125 and i got figurator gordon under two and a half minus 125."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo, but he is not high on him. He notes that Malcolm Gordon cannot take a punch and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He thinks Figueiredo just needs to land one clean shot to win, but he also acknowledges that Gordon could have success if the fight stays standing. Ultimately, he goes with Figueiredo.

"I'm gonna have to go figure rado."
LOSS vs Sumudaerji
KO (punches) R1 0:44 · UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 28, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sumudaerji 1 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Malcolm Gordon 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sumudaerji 1 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Malcolm Gordon 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sumudaerji 9 of 18 50% 6 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 1
Malcolm Gordon 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sumudaerji 9 of 18 50% 6 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 1
Malcolm Gordon 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Su Mudaerji vs. Malcolm Gordon

Round 1
Dropping down to the flyweight division, Mudaerji (12-4, 1-1 UFC) will be scrapping it out against Gordon (12-4, 0-1 UFC) in a classic battle of China vs. Canada. The third man inside the Octagon is handsomely bearded referee Dan Miragliotta, and the glove touch precedes the action. Gordon walks forward but Mudaerji is ready with a leg kick and a high kick. “Malcolm X” wades through it and Mudaerji is ready to play the matador, as he slips in a quick right hand as he dances out of the way. A piston-like left hand from Mudaerji smashes Gordon in the face, and Gordon is hurt.
Mudaerji sees that he has his man in trouble, and he targets two more that split the guard and find Gordon’s chin. Two more clubbing punches are all it takes for Gordon to topple over, with his mind wanting to continue fighting but his body and legs giving out on him. Gordon falls face-first, and he curls up as he is already done.
One more punch is merely academic as Gordon appears to have physically surrendered, and Miragliotta races in to rescue the defeated fighter. When the official time is read, this may go in the books as one of the quickest knockouts in UFC flyweight history -- but it will not beat Dustin Ortiz' 15-second dusting of Hector Sandoval in 2017.

The Official Result
Su Mudaerji def. Malcolm Gordon R1 0:44 via KO (Punches)
LOSS vs Amir Albazi
Submission (triangle choke) R1 4:42 · UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Jul 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amir Albazi 0 3 of 16 18% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
Malcolm Gordon 0 12 of 28 42% 28 of 46 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amir Albazi 0 3 of 16 18% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
Malcolm Gordon 0 12 of 28 42% 28 of 46 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amir Albazi 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 4 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Malcolm Gordon 12 of 28 42% 8 of 24 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amir Albazi 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 4 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Malcolm Gordon 12 of 28 42% 8 of 24 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

Big Brady is confident in Gordon as an underdog, believing he is better everywhere: striking (harder hits, improved technique) and grappling (BJJ black belt, excellent scrambles). He thinks Gordon's 83% finish rate and hunger make him a live dog, and predicts a second-round submission. He notes Gordon's three KO losses but doesn't think Albazi has the power to exploit that.

submission, round 2
"I like Gordon I've been checking his Instagram he looks hungry ... I'm going to take Gordon to win I want to say submission I'm going to say second round submission for Malcolm Gordon there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amir Albazi

Daniel Levi picks Amir Albazi, noting that he has been solid and his only losses are to top flyweights outside the UFC. He mentions that Gordon has a questionable chin but can scramble. He expects an exciting fight but leans toward the Swede.

"i'll take the uh i'll take the swede albini on this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

The MMA Guru initially picks Albazi but then reverses, picking Gordon. He notes Gordon has a better record, more experience, and has beaten decent guys outside the UFC. He predicts Gordon gets a TKO finish.

Gordon by TKO
"of course Malcolm X Gordon's gonna get the job done I think he gets it done over a mere hour bazi getting a TKO finish"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Angelo sees both fighters as chinny grapplers with poor takedown defense and mediocre takedown offense. He believes Flick is the more dangerous grappler and that if Flick can get past Gordon's 9% takedown defense, he will have a significant advantage. However, he calls the fight super close and advises not betting on it due to too many variables.

Do not bet on this fight
"I will ever so slightly lean flick here and that is only based off the grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging both fighters have terrible durability. He notes Flick's wrestling looked better than expected in past fights and believes Flick is the better grappler against Malcolm Gordon's 9% takedown defense. However, he expresses major concerns about Flick's mentality after a retirement and two knockout losses. He says he is not betting Flick but predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"give me flick to go out there and sub Malcolm Gordon in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

Cody picks Flick as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage and Gordon's 9% takedown defense. He believes Flick will take Gordon down and submit him or control the fight. He notes Flick's motivation and improved cardio.

Flick by submission at +345
"I think this is a Jimmy flick pick... flick by submission is live."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
No clear pick

Daniel Vreeland refuses to pick a winner, calling both fighters fragile and untrustworthy at the UFC level. He notes both have no chins and are black belts who can submit each other, but he does not trust either. He advises against betting on this fight.

"I don't even want to pick this fight I don't even want to watch this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)
No clear pick

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Flick vs Gordon.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jimmy Flick

I'm leaning with the underdog Jimmy Flick here. I don't think Gordon provides enough issues on the feet for Flick, and it's just a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. Even though Gordon might think he has the advantage there, I think Flick is a little too crafty for him and should get the better of him on the mat. I expect a submission finish within the first two rounds.

submission finish, inside first two rounds, plus 110 underdog
"I'm actually going to lean with the underdog ever so slightly here with Jimmy flick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

Paul picks Gordon but is not confident, noting his chin issues and lack of knockout power. He thinks Gordon's striking and jiu-jitsu should be enough, but he won't bet the -190. He acknowledges Flick's grappling threat.

"Malcolm Gordon will be the pick for me... I ain't betting Gordon as a chalk favorite."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Malcolm Gordon

The MMA Guru leans towards Malcolm Gordon due to physicality and reach advantages at flyweight. He notes Gordon's straight punches and ability to keep the fight standing as key factors. He acknowledges Gordon's chinny nature but believes his competition level is higher than Flick's. He predicts a TKO in the second round via straight punches.

TKO in round 2
"I am leaning towards Malcolm Gordon here over Jimmy flick for multiple reasons one little bit of a physicality Advantage at flyweight over Jimmy flick in my opinion two re Advantage at flyweight he's got three inches of reach over Jimmy flick"