UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026 · Welterweight · Completed
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Next Fight
Age 39
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 1"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gilbert Burns
3.15 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.64 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
2.12 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mike Malott
3.93 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.06 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.88 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
14.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Gilbert Burns
Moneyline
BetWay +375
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
BetRivers +1050
Mike Malott
KO/TKO
FanDuel -115
Submission
FanDuel +650
Decision
BetRivers +700
Gilbert Burns - Fight History
LOSS vs Mike Malott
KO R3 2:08 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 40 of 92 43% 42 of 94 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 56 of 121 46% 56 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 11 of 38 28% 12 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gilbert Burns 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 22 of 53 41% 22 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gilbert Burns 0 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 21 of 34 61% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 40 of 92 43% 16 of 60 10 of 12 14 of 20 39 of 89 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Malott 56 of 121 46% 51 of 112 3 of 6 2 of 3 44 of 103 1 of 4 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 11 of 38 28% 3 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5 10 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Malott 13 of 34 38% 10 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 13 of 32 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gilbert Burns 23 of 37 62% 11 of 23 3 of 3 9 of 11 23 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Malott 22 of 53 41% 21 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 1 22 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gilbert Burns 6 of 17 35% 2 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 4 6 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 21 of 34 61% 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 11 of 14
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-375); Burns (+275)

Round 1
The year is 2026, and the UFC has elected to put a fighter in Burns (22-9, 15-9 UFC) on a four-fight losing streak in a main event. He will be placed in hostile territory, perhaps set up as a stepping stone. Ready to prove that he still has plenty left in the tank, he comes to blows with proud Canadian Malott (13-2-1, 6-1 UFC). Whether a passing of the torch moment or one that shows levels to the game, referee Herb Dean will be here for them every step of the way. He brings them together to issue final instructions, and they share a fist bump. It’s on with the show.
Burns lashes out with a leg kick, and Malott sees it coming and brings his leg in to partially check it. Burns kicks off, and his foot bounces into the cup. Malott adjusts his groin and tells Dean he is good to continue, so they do not pause. Malott chases Burns to the cage behind a pair of punches, and he leans over to let a massive overhand right from the Brazilian buzz behind his neck. Burns whiffs on two more big hooks, but his digging left to the liver gets in twice. Malott swings back hard enough to make Burns think twice about coming in recklessly, and he goes for a takedown only to get stood up. Malott resets and sticks out four punches. Burns fights off a takedown shot, lets Malott hit the ground and bounce back up, and fires out a kick that pounds into his foe’s pectoral. Malott calmly jabs and rolls with the right hand he knows is coming.
Burns kicks at the front leg and is backed off with a left hand, and he defends the uppercuts and wings a right hand as Malott bends over. Burns ducks down for a takedown shot, and he bails it to loose two haymakers that hit nothing but air. Malott times a straight right hand down Broadway as Burns is aiming a leg kick, giving chase as Burns circles away. Burns shoots again, and the Canadian is a stone wall and does not give an inch. Burns backs off and bounces on his heels, tossing out a left hook that brushes the nose. Both men let fly heavy hooks, and Burns follows his land with a chopping kick. Malott looks for a hefty counter, and Burns evades it but cannot get out of the way of a calf kick. Malott leaps forward to land a body kick on the abdomen, landing to sling two hooks behind it. Burns tries to jump for an attack of his own, but time expires while he is in the air so he just lands normally.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The two men bump fists before getting after it. Burns nails the front leg with a kick so hard, Malott drops to a knee. His calf is glowing red just a few seconds into the second round, and Burns is aware of this and does not go after it recklessly. Instead, Burns sets up the kick with blows to other targets. As he is backed off from a one-two, a thin trickle of blood leaks out of the Brazilian’s nostril, who shoots for a takedown that is stopped in its tracks. Burns rebounds to kick the inner leg of his foe, and he drills a right hand on the side of Malott’s head. Burns kicks low to punch high again, even leaping with a Superman punch. Malott backs him off behind his fists, even as Burns loops a left hand back at him. Burns scores with one more hard calf kick and a left hand after it. Malott splits his guard with an uppercut and appears to shake Burns up, who retreats in a hurry. A shiner and some blood immediately develops under Burns’ left eye, as he backs off to defend himself while Malott goes on the offensive. Malott rips uppercuts and loops his right hand around the guard, staying in range just long enough to land but not leaving himself open for Burns’ big swings.
Burns wears the strikes well but is showing damage all over, and he cannot quite secure the home run blow he is seeking. Malott sneaks in an uppercut, and Burns counters with an overhand right and waves Malott on for more. When Malott does not bite, Burns shoots for a takedown. Malott shucks him to the side and sticks a jab in his face, staying calm and composed. Malott beats Burns to the punch and forces him to spin away with a left hook. Both men lunge at one another with power, but nothing significant lands as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Burns takes directly to the center of the cage to engage, doubling up on a jab to sling his big right hand. Malott shies away from the heavy blow and circles around to give chase to Burns. After almost 30 seconds of staring, Burns swings for the bleachers with his right hand twice. Malott laughs them off and sprawls smoothly to defuse the takedown attempt before anything comes of it. Malott backs Burns to the fence with his long, straight punches, staying at his preferred distance to not get caught with the counter. Burns tries and fails to bash him with his right hand, but he leaves himself wide open for an uppercut and a left hook that puts Burns down hard. Burns climbs back up but is compromised, leading to Malott knocking him down again with a blistering right hand. Burns hits his side and is not about to go anywhere, so Malott hammers the nail with a final onslaught of concussive fists that force Dean to step in. The crowd, understandably, goes wild. Malott has earned the biggest win of his career in his most significant fight to date, and he does it by knockout after going toe-to-toe with a powerful striker. Canada may not have won the night in terms of individual matchups, going 4-5 throughout the billing, but Malott prevailed when it mattered most.
The logjam of the welterweight title picture has yet another contender, and as this sport gives, it also takes. A heartbroken “Durinho” leaves his gloves in the center of the cage to signal his retirement, overcome by emotion but still more than willing to give it up for the man that just put him down. The respectful victor has nothing but positive things to say about his opponent, his team and his fans. He does not have any opponent set as he hopes to work his way up the ladder, instead saying he will do so the “Proper” way. When he competes again, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Gilbert Burns R3 2:08 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott with extreme confidence, calling Gilbert Burns too old, slow, and not durable. He notes Gilbert is on a four-fight losing streak and has not submitted anyone recently. He recommends parlaying Malott heavily, saying the odds are too wide and should be much higher.

Parlay Mike Malott heavily, even if he's minus 11,000.
"Mike Malott's the pick. Parlay the [ __ ] out of him, even if he's minus 11,000. Like, this is unbelievably straightforward."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady hesitantly picks Mike Malott, despite calling him overrated. He criticizes Malott's takedown defense, questionable cardio, and low volume, but notes his power. Brady also doubts Gilbert Burns' durability and age (40). He predicts Malott wins by second-round knockout but says he will not bet on the fight.

second round knockout; no bet
"I'm taking Mike Malott. I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout, but this is a fight I will not be betting on."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Gilbert Burns because he sees value in the plus money and questions Mike Malott's cardio in later rounds. He notes that Burns has fought top competition and that Malott has never been past three rounds. He also mentions that the line movement towards Burns supports his pick.

round 4 and round 5 props
"I end up with a Gilbert Burns play. I know it's going to upset some people I know personally. And you know, don't shoot the messenger. It's just uh sometimes it's more economics than you going with your heart."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel believes Mike Malott is catching Gilbert Burns at a great time, as Burns is nearly 40 and on a decline. He thinks Malott's explosiveness and freshness will be key, and that Burns will show signs of aging when hit. He predicts Malott will finish Burns.

"I think Mike Malot's going to come out here in Winnipeg, Canada, and I think he's going to finish Gilbert Dorinho Burns."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

Burns is a value underdog despite being older and on a losing streak. Malott fades in later rounds and has shown weakness on the ground. Burns has excellent grappling and cardio for five rounds. If Burns survives the early rounds, he can take over. The odds are too wide; this fight is closer to 50/50.

fight not to go to decision (odds terrible)
"I think this fight is way closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

James believes the line is too wide and that Gilbert Burns has value as a plus 425 underdog. He thinks Burns can weather the early storm and take over in later rounds due to his experience and cardio. Despite picking Malott as the pure winner, he confidently sides with Burns for the moneyline.

"I'm going to say Gilbert Burns gets the upset here. And that's because I'm a sports better."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions the main event but does not make a pick for either fighter. He only notes that Gilbert Burns has been bet down from a massive underdog to a big underdog.

"Gilbert Burns has been getting bet down from a massive underdog to now just a big underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host believes Mike Malott will land a big shot and put Gilbert Burns away, but does not like the chalk on Malott. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds as the best way to play the matchup, expecting pocket exchanges and a striking battle. He notes Burns' age and four-fight losing streak, and thinks Malott's power will be the difference.

under 2.5 rounds
"I like Malott here. I don't like the chalk on him. I think he'll end up landing a big shot to put Burns down, but I think the under two and a half would probably be the best way to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul also picks Gilbert Burns, citing the same concerns about Malott's cardio and the value on Burns. He mentions he has a bet on Burns at plus 316 and likes late round props. He believes Burns can win if the fight goes into the later rounds.

round 4 and round 5 props
"Burns is the side for me. Um, I see some other people saying that like, you know, he's going to run, you know, Burns going to get knocked out in the first round. I mean, it's possible. It's MMA. Anything …"
LOSS vs Michael Morales
KO R1 3:39 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:30
Michael Morales 2 33 of 56 58% 35 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:30
Michael Morales 2 33 of 56 58% 35 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 5 of 18 27% 4 of 13 0 of 3 1 of 2 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Morales 33 of 56 58% 31 of 52 0 of 0 2 of 4 25 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 5 of 18 27% 4 of 13 0 of 3 1 of 2 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Morales 33 of 56 58% 31 of 52 0 of 0 2 of 4 25 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Morales (-850), Burns (+575)

Round 1
In keeping with the theme of fights that promise action and intensity, the main event should be just what the doctor ordered. Former title challenger Burns (22-8, 15-8 UFC) may have his best days behind him, but “Durinho” is still as dangerous at it comes at 170 pounds. To keep himself in top contention, he will need to deflate the momentum of Morales (17-0, 5-0 UFC), who would like nothing more than to have a breakout performance at the expense of the vaunted grappler. Referee Herb Dean brings these two to the center of the cage to issue final instructions, and they stoically bump fists to seal the cage and make things official. It’s time for some action. It is Morales who claims the center of the Monster Logo on the floor, while Burns circles around him. Burns circles away from the power side of the Ecuadorian, and he lets loose a low kick that slaps loudly. When Morales retaliates with a calf kick, it is a thudding sound. Burns leaps forward to strike, and Morales dances out of the way and punches him around the back of the ear. Burns launches a kick up high, and Morales parries and lobs a jab back. Burns throws a fastball of a right hand that is well off the mark, but his check left hook does catch the chin. Morales lines up a heavy right hand that back off Burns, and he gets clipped by the older man. Burns marches him down looping hooks, and Morales rolls with the punches and jabs his way forward. Burns counters and takes a few more jabs on the nose, and he absorbs a thumping kick on his calf. Morales connects with a crisp uppercut, shaking up the grappler and forcing him to shoot for a takedown. Morales is dragged to his seat for a moment, and Burns wraps his arms around him as Morales stands. Burns leans in close and tight, but Morales pushes him back and unloads with power punches. Morales knocks Burns back to the wall courtesy of a clubbing right hand, and his onslaught slowly breaks Burns down and puts him on the ground.
Dean calls for Burns to fight back, and Burns answers by ducking under and grabbing his foe's legs awkwardly for some kind of desperation takedown. Morales steps over it, allows Burns to stand and lays into him with a blistering salvo of bombarding fists that puts “Durinho” down for the count again. This time, as Dean observes that Burns’ face is bleeding and he is in a bad way, he waves the fight off.
Burns sits up, but he does not protest, knowing that the day is not his. Morales has just passed the biggest test of his career with flying colors, destroying a durable top talent in the first round and not looking back. When Burns gets back to his feet, he needs a minute to recover, but he embraces the man who ran through him like no one has at 170 pounds. The 25-year-old handles the huge moment with poise, dedicating the victory to his mother and thanking her for her advice while declaring that he is ready for the next challenge, whatever that may be. Morales says he is healthy and ready to go, so with any luck, he will be back in the cage at least one more time this year. When he fights next, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Michael Morales def. Gilbert Burns R1 3:39 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Angelo picks Michael Morales confidently, citing that Morales is a better wrestler, striker, bigger, faster, stronger, and younger than Gilbert Burns. He notes that Burns is on the wrong side of 35 and coming off a loss to Sean Brady where his grappling was neutralized. Angelo questions what game plan Burns could have, as Morales is a national wrestling champion and Burns was just knocked out. He is shocked Morales is only -600 and expects the line to close at -1000.

Angelo is shocked Morales is only -600, expects line to close at -1000.
"Mic Morales is the pick. He's a better wrestler, a better striker. He's bigger. He's faster. He's stronger. He's younger."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Big Brady picks Michael Morales, citing Burns' age (38), three-fight skid, and declining durability. He notes Morales is a much better striker with volume and power, and expects him to find Burns' chin. He predicts a second-round knockout.

Morales by KO, round 2
"I like Morales. I like him quite a bit. ... I'll take Michael Morales to win this fight. And I think he's going to find the chin of Gilbert Burns. And I think he finds it within the first probably …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michael Morales

The host thinks Morales is a huge favorite but not justified given Burns' strength of schedule; Burns' three-fight losing streak came against top competition. He gives Burns the benefit of the doubt as a championship gatekeeper but worries if Burns can't dictate pace or get takedowns, his cardio fades and Morales can take over and knock him out. He picks Morales to win by knockout, but notes minus 800 is tough to get behind. He also leans under 3.5 rounds.

Morales by KO; under 3.5 rounds; odds comment: minus 800 tough to get behind
"I think the Ecuadorian improves his record to 18 and 0 by knocking out Gilbert Burns."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michael Morales

The Guru picks Michael Morales, calling him a crazy natural athlete who controls distance well and switches stances. He thinks Burns is past his prime and lacks the grit to engage, citing the Sean Brady fight where Burns didn't let his hands go. He believes the five-round fight benefits Morales' picking style and predicts a decision win (49-46). He notes the -850 odds are insane and thinks Morales is not that good, but still picks him.

Morales by decision (49-46); odds comment: -850 is insane
"I'm going to go with Michael Morales here over Gilbert Burns."
CANCEL vs Michael Morales
LOSS vs Sean Brady
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Brady 0 47 of 97 48% 76 of 126 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:43
Gilbert Burns 0 130 of 217 59% 274 of 368 7 of 17 41% 0 0 10:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Brady 0 6 of 14 42% 7 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
Gilbert Burns 0 23 of 42 54% 58 of 79 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:15
2 Sean Brady 0 8 of 20 40% 12 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:45
Gilbert Burns 0 33 of 54 61% 59 of 81 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:26
3 Sean Brady 0 17 of 27 62% 29 of 39 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:28
Gilbert Burns 0 19 of 38 50% 77 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:26
4 Sean Brady 0 7 of 16 43% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Gilbert Burns 0 24 of 34 70% 44 of 54 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:48
5 Sean Brady 0 9 of 20 45% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 31 of 49 63% 36 of 57 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Brady 47 of 97 48% 25 of 72 19 of 21 3 of 4 32 of 80 15 of 17 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 130 of 217 59% 97 of 179 12 of 16 21 of 22 118 of 202 11 of 13 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Brady 6 of 14 42% 2 of 9 4 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 9 4 of 5 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 23 of 42 54% 17 of 36 2 of 2 4 of 4 20 of 39 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sean Brady 8 of 20 40% 5 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 33 of 54 61% 24 of 43 6 of 8 3 of 3 29 of 50 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Sean Brady 17 of 27 62% 9 of 19 7 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 19 8 of 8 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 19 of 38 50% 16 of 32 2 of 4 1 of 2 15 of 32 4 of 6 0 of 0
4 Sean Brady 7 of 16 43% 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 24 of 34 70% 17 of 27 1 of 1 6 of 6 24 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Sean Brady 9 of 20 45% 4 of 15 4 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 31 of 49 63% 23 of 41 1 of 1 7 of 7 30 of 47 0 of 0 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brady (-185), Burns (+154)

Round 1
With the welterweight title picture in flux thanks to a glut of contenders, the winner of this main event might need to get one more victory after tonight to get a crack at gold. Nevertheless, it is a big one at 170 pounds as former title challenger Burns (22-7, 15-7 UFC) looks to show that age is nothing but a number at 38 years young when he throws down with much younger grappler Brady (16-1, 6-1 UFC). This bout could take place anywhere, and it likely will go everywhere before it is all settled. Referee Herb Dean will hand the particulars for the headliner, and he brings the fighters together to respectfully touch gloves. It’s on with the show. Brady strikes first in the form of an inside low kick. Burns jumps forward with a knee that does not come up, and he backs off as Brady slaps him with another leg kick. Brady attacks the same spot with his kick once more, and he punches his way into a combination of fists that makes Burns smile at him. Burns lunges with a left hook, and Brady backs him off with a handful of punches. Brady scoops an uppercut through the guard, and he interrupts an advancing Burns with a straight left. Burns lets loose a few hooks, and Brady is wise to them and counters the Brazilian with a quicker combo. Burns times a punch to shoot in for a double, and he deposits the Philadelphia native to his seat. Brady climbs back to his feet thanks to the wall behind him, and they trade knees in the clinch as Brady walks Burns from one side of the cage to the other. Brady uppercuts on the break, and he races forward landing a series of punches that Burns largely blocks. Brady considers changing levels, but the Brazilian stops it from going anywhere. Brady gets in a short uppercut, and they trade knees on the inside in a clinch. Burns spins him about and looks for a single, allowing Brady to knee him in the face. Brady trips Burns up, and Burns topples to his knee, jumps back up and lashes out with an elbow that is inches away from his intended target. Brady reaches with longer punches than Burns is throwing, and he backs Burns up with a chain of strikes and pushes him to the chain links. Brady lifts Burns up and sets him on the mat, and Burns is quick to wall-walk to get upright. Brady hangs on from the side, tripping Burns up but not grounding him with a mat return effort. Burns spins out with seconds to spare, kneeing Brady once before the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brady
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brady
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brady

Round 2
Burns absorbs a clean body kick to start the round, and he responds with an overhand right that sends Brady flying into the wall. Burns leaps after him, but is grabbed and spun around in the clinch. Brady drops down for a double, and his first try lifts Burns up but does not put him on his back. Brady knees the Brazilian in the thigh a few times until Burns turns him about, and they break up. Brady gets off a trio of one-twos, and Burns walks through them and pushes out his own jab. Brady lands three punches in rapid succession, and he takes another hard right hand as Burns surges into action. After taking another powerful punch on the chin, Brady gets hold of the clinch. Burns wraps a right hand over the guard on the break, and he winds up with two more power hooks that Brady ducks and tries to counter with wrestling. Burns spins him to the fence, but he lets go so he can punch Brady in the face. Brady hits a takedown, and Burns scrambles, spins him around and dumps Brady to a knee. Burns grabs Brady from behind as Brady leans against the wall, and Brady fights out of the grip and uses a jab. Brady lands a jab and a low kick, and he lands another leg kick on the inside. Brady swarms forward with punches, clubbing Burns on the side of the head around the guard. Brady rifles off three quick punches, and he ducks a right hand to double up on a jab. Burns loads up on his power hook, and Brady is more accurate and far more active. They shadowbox until the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brady
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brady
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brady

Round 3
The welterweights meet in the middle, and Brady’s jabs are the first blows to lead off the round. Burns responds with a low kick and a body kick, and he dings Brady on the nose with a right hand. Brady chains several punches together in response until Burns ties him up. Burns is spun around and eats several body shots, and he gives one back before Brady goes after a single. Burns pulls his leg out and puts his guard up to defend the attack from Brady. Brady goes for a takedown, and Burns spins him around and throws him to his knees. Burns lets fly a pair of huge hooks, and Brady thanks his lucky stars he did not absorb them flush. Brady splits the guard with an uppercut, and he walks face-first into a right hand that stuns him. Brady still has the wherewithal to power forward into the clinch, and he considers a level change until Burns spins him about and attacks a single. Brady hops back to remain on his feet, and they split apart after some dirty boxing. Brady charges forward to go after a single, and Burns pushes on the back of Brady’s neck to stifle it. Burns gets a bit of space and throws punches, but it is an elbow on the inside when Brady comes towards him that does some damage. Burns lays into Brady’s body with knees, and Brady backs away. Burns slips a jab and counters with a right hand, and he turns to his side when Burns takes him down. Burns tags him with an overhand right on the standup, and Brady explodes through to scoop the Brazilian up with a double and loudly dumps Burns to the floor. Burns pushes off and defends himself until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brady

Round 4
The two reach the championship rounds, and they share a fist bump to kick off the fourth frame. Brady paws out a few jabs, and he offers out a leg kick that bumps into Burns’ cup. Dean calls time, and Burns walks away to lean on the fence and recover. Burns takes a minute to get his wind back, and the two share another fist bump. Burns whips a kick to the body as Brady comes at him, and this time Burns has kicked Brady in the groin. As Dean calls time again, Brady falls to his knees in pain, and he takes a little bit and winks at the camera. Brady paces back and forth until another minute elapses, and Dean tells them to please keep it clean. On the next restart, Brady kicks the lead leg on the outside and then twice on the inside. Burns kicks the front leg once, and Brady fires right back. Brady releases a solid body kick, and he plants his left hand on Burns’ chin when setting down. Brady drives a few jabs through the guard, and Burns clubs him behind the ear and makes him stumble. Burns ducks a jab to respond with another heavy right hand, and Brady knows it is coming and still has to shake it off. Brady rushes at him with six punches in a row, resulting in a clinch. As Brady keeps Burns against the fence, he holds his fingers in the links, and he is warned for it. Burns gets a little space and knees Brady in the face and releases a right hand on the side of the dome. They break apart to reset, and Brady punches his way into a single that lands and puts Burns on his seat. Burns defends with a guillotine choke and uses it to work his way to his feet, only for Brady to sling him down with a mat return. Burns responds with a leglock, and Brady scrambles enough but gives up his back. Burns rolls through and keeps hold of Brady’s back in a grappling exchange, and they stand up with Burns behind him. Burns lifts Brady up and slams him down, and Brady climbs back up after landing on his face. Burns cannot get the takedown again before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brady
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brady

Round 5
The two touch gloves to start off the last round, and even though Brady might be ahead in terms of raw numbers, it might still be anyone’s fight. Brady adds to his totals when it commences with a stream of punches, and Burns ducks away and has his front leg kicked. Burns wings a right hand over the top, and Brady pecks at him from a safer distance with jabs and leg kicks. Burns winds up with a right hand that gets Brady’s attention, and Brady steels himself to throw hands and rushes into a legal knee where the foot lifts and bounces into the cup. Dean calls time and checks the replay to make sure it struck Brady’s groin, and Brady takes 50 seconds before resuming. They get back to it with a brief firefight, throwing hard at one another. Brady doubles up on leg kicks, and he also sticks out a double jab and a right hand. Burns slams his low kick home, and he leaps at Brady and cracks him in the chin with his knee. A shocked Brady turns him around and goes after the single, but Burns is a stone wall. Burns pushes Brady back and wings a right hand that brushes past the hair. Brady shoots for a high single and lifts Burns up to dump him to the floor. Brady peels precious time off the clock as he maintains ground control, until Burns threatens with an omoplata that he uses to turn himself around and work his way to his feet. Brady trips Burns out and slams him to the floor like a sack of potatoes, landing in half guard for a moment before Burns pushes off his chest. Burns turns to grab hold of a leglock, and Brady smartly turns through it and lowers himself back down to not let Burns get any extension on it. Burns works to his feet only to get muscled down to the mat, and when time expires, Brady collapses to the floor in exhaustion. This brings to a close an intriguing back-and-forth battle that answered a slew of questions for the resurgent Brady, including how he can perform in a five-rounder. While the top of welterweight is a mess, the Brady victory likely puts on the shortlist of top contenders. Brady knows that a title fight may not be the immediate next challenge for him, so he calls for anyone in the top five or the unbeaten Ian Garry—the latter Brady says could work because they share the same management. If that matchup comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brady (48-47 Brady)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brady (50-45 Brady)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brady (50-45 Brady)

The Official Result
Sean Brady def. Gilbert Burns via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sean Brady

Angelo picks Sean Brady because he is bigger, has good takedowns and Jiu-Jitsu, and is coming off a dominant win over Kelvin Gastelum. He questions how Gilbert Burns can win, noting Burns' small size, 50% takedown defense, and 38% takedown accuracy. He believes Brady's new-generation black belt will be too much for Burns, though he acknowledges Burns could control on top if he gets takedowns.

"I think Shawn Brady wins this fight and I'll tell you why"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sean Brady

Big Brady picks Sean Brady to win by decision but admits he doesn't have a ton of confidence. He notes Burns is 38 and talking retirement, while Brady is 31 and improving. Brady thinks Brady's wrestling could win minutes and he might hurt Burns, but acknowledges Burns' phenomenal grappling and underrated striking. He expects a decision.

"I got to go Shawn Brady here I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody argues that Burns is the better striker with proven five-round experience, while Brady has poor cardio and striking volume. He notes Brady gassed against Belal Muhammad and relies solely on takedowns, which Burns' 80% takedown defense can neutralize. Despite concerns about Burns' age and coaching distractions, he sees value at +150 and picks Burns as a dog, but admits it's a rollercoaster and not a high-confidence play.

Gilbert Burns submission prop if juicy could be interesting
"I'll take Gilbert Burns uh but yeah it's it's not going to be high up"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 14, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Michael Morales, noting that Morales is 25, undefeated, and improving each fight. He expects Morales to take over as the fight goes into later rounds due to his youth and cardio advantage. Cody also mentions the reach advantage and judo background of Morales, and suggests live betting or over totals rather than laying -800.

over 2.5 rounds
"I do have Morales, but I can fully admit that minus 800, like there's no value there."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sean Brady

Daniel believes Brady is catching Burns at the perfect time, as Burns is 38 and coming off two losses (to Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena). He notes Brady's improved mindset after losing his undefeated record, and his strong performance against Kelvin Gastelum, where he showed heart and cardio. Daniel thinks Brady's physical strength and short, stocky frame will make him hard to submit, and that Brady can tire Burns out and potentially have success on the feet.

"I think that Brady is catching Burns at the perfect time this weekend... I'm going Shawn Brady here in the main event."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sean Brady

Brady is younger and should dictate the pace with wrestling and clinch work. Burns is 38 and on a two-fight losing streak, often gassing in later rounds. Brady can wear Burns down and finish in the third or fourth round. The only hesitation is that it's Brady's first five-round fight, but he is still favored.

Brady inside the distance (round 3 or 4)
"I like Brady in the spot... I'm going to go Brady here I just think he's at this stage of his career uh much better than Burns at 38."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sean Brady

Paul acknowledges Burns' cardio issues and recent decline, noting he gassed against Jack Della Maddalena and seems to have lost his grappling edge. He sees Brady's path via takedowns and control, especially in a five-round fight where Burns' cardio is a bigger liability. However, he is hesitant because he has never been a Sean Brady fan and dislikes the -175 price. He ultimately picks Brady but with low confidence, calling it a 'gun to my head' pick.

"Shawn Brady is the pick for me I mean I kind of hate it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 14, 2025 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

Paul picks Gilbert Burns as a dog, taking a small poke on Burns by submission at +1800. He acknowledges Burns is likely washed but sees value in the prop given Burns' submission history and the possibility of catching Morales. Paul admits he doesn't expect to win but likes the long odds.

Gilbert Burns by submission +1800
"I took a little small poke on that. Do I expect it to win? No."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sean Brady

The MMA Guru picks Sean Brady over Gilbert Burns. He cites the age difference (Burns is 38) and notes Brady has improved massively. He mentions Brady's wins over Kelvin Gastelum and Jake Matthews, and that he neutralized Craig Jones in grappling. He criticizes Burns' recent performance against JDM, arguing Burns didn't do enough. He believes Brady's size and strength will allow him to stall on the ground and win a slow-paced decision.

decision prediction
"I'm going with Shawn Brady... I'm going to go Brady with decision maybe... a really boring Main Event win for Shawn Brady"
KO (knee and elbows) R3 3:43 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Della Maddalena 0 27 of 58 46% 31 of 63 7 of 11 63% 0 0 5:07
Gilbert Burns 1 67 of 123 54% 85 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Della Maddalena 0 18 of 35 51% 20 of 37 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:15
Gilbert Burns 0 18 of 38 47% 23 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Della Maddalena 0 9 of 20 45% 11 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:39
Gilbert Burns 0 21 of 48 43% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jack Della Maddalena 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:13
Gilbert Burns 1 28 of 37 75% 35 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Della Maddalena 27 of 58 46% 16 of 43 8 of 11 3 of 4 23 of 52 3 of 5 1 of 1
Gilbert Burns 67 of 123 54% 54 of 104 9 of 15 4 of 4 47 of 100 4 of 6 16 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Della Maddalena 18 of 35 51% 9 of 23 7 of 9 2 of 3 14 of 29 3 of 5 1 of 1
Gilbert Burns 18 of 38 47% 13 of 33 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jack Della Maddalena 9 of 20 45% 7 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 21 of 48 43% 15 of 36 5 of 11 1 of 1 21 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jack Della Maddalena 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 28 of 37 75% 26 of 35 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 18 1 of 2 16 of 17
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Jack Della Maddalena
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Della Maddalena (-162), Burns (+136)

Round 1
The deep card continues with a potential thriller at 170 pounds between a striker and a grappler who loves to bang. Former lightweight and Mundials medalist Burns (22-6, 15-6 UFC) will try to derail the hype train and 16-fight win streak of talented Aussie Maddalena (16-2, 6-0 UFC), and referee Dan Miragliotta is as psyched as the fans are to see it go down. Ahead of their scheduled melee, the two men bump fists. Burns whips a low kick to find his distance, and Maddalena paws out a jab. Burns aims a kick to the body and then lead leg, and Maddalena jabs him back. Chants of “Gilbert” rain down in support of the Brazilian by way of Florida, and he does not go crazy when hearing it and stays composed to land punches and a body kick. Burns shoots for a takedown, and when Maddalena scrambles, he takes the back. Maddalena scrambles and turns, and Burns drags him down from behind to assume partial control of the back again. Maddalena once more explodes to his feet, and he is pushed back to the fence as Burns wants to relocate him to a more horizontal position. Burns aims a knee to the sternum hen the takedown is thwarted, and he drops down low for a single and lets it go to hang on. Maddalena counters with a throw and knees Burns in the face with a strike that was borderline, but it was uncalled as a potential foul, so they continue. Burns appears no worse for wear, but he is less aggressive than before as Maddalena sticks out several jabs and a low kick. Maddalena sneaks in and scores a right hand, and Burns kicks him in the ribs and comes up short with a booming right hand. Burns fires off another big right, and Maddalena sees it coming and boxes him back. Maddalena tags Burns with a left hand, and he leans back to dodge a head kick that flies past his noggin. Maddalena strings three left together to the head and then body, and Burns grits his teeth and swings back with bad intentions. Maddalena times an advancing Burns to nail him with a left hook, and Burns takes it well enough and jabs back. Burns wings a right hand that just misses, and Maddalena skim a right hand off the cheek. Burns again fires off an inaccurate head kick, and he crashes forward to engage and lands a right hand, backs off and kicks the body and lead leg. Maddalena darts in with two swiping lefts, and he defends against a takedown that puts him on his back. Burns sits up and drops down hammerfists, and he concludes the close round with a standing-to-ground right hand.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 2
Maddalena jabs early to lead off, and he prods out a front kick that Burns parries. Maddalena aims a left to the body as he doubles up on jabs, and he ducks when Burns counters with an overhand right. Burns swings hard, and Maddalena sees it coming and backs him away with a straight right hand. Burns kicks high, and he is the one that bounces back when hitting the guard. Maddalena dings his man with a punch, and Burns shoots for a single and moves Maddalena to the mat. Maddalena gets to a knee, and Burns clings to him from on top. Maddalena shrugs off a potential submission from the Brazilian to stand back upright, and they both land punches at the same time. Maddalena aims a left hand straight down the middle, and Burns throws back with a heavy right that draws some swelling. Maddalena dings “Durinho” with a one-two, and Burns throws back with the same and hops away to avoid an Anderson Silva-esque back elbow. Burns winds up and bounces a right hand on the forehead, and Maddalena crowds him and chains five punches together before pulling back. Maddalena leans back, scores and evades the counters. Maddalena connects with four punches before Burns escapes out the side, and Burns smiles and throws a big right hand. Maddalena slips and digs a right to the body. Burns blasts Maddalena in the face with a huge overhand right, and Maddalena frowns and gets taken down from a blast double. Maddalena turns to his knees, and he considers his own takedown but Burns easily stops it and drags him down with his arm wrapped around the neck. Burns steps into full mount, but Maddalena scrambles perfectly to get out. Burns takes the back as they keep moving, and he get hooks in and secures the body triangle. Burns sneaks an arm around the chin, but there is nothing there as Maddalena sticks his tongue out before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 3
The last round kicks off, and Maddalena is back to his jab. Burns strafes laterally, and stops as Maddalena kicks him in the chest. Maddalena scores a right, and he leaps forward with another as Burns continues to move. Burns kicks him in the head, and Maddalena counters him with several uppercuts that rock the Brazilian. Burns leans over, and after absorbing a few more, he shoots for a single to stop himself from taking damage. Maddalena elbows him once before rolling through to stop a takedown, and the elbow smashes the Brazilian’s nose open and blood leaks down his face. Burns wrenches him down to the floor from the side. Burns presses his full body weight on his opponent, and he disallows Maddalena from standing by isolating the right leg. Maddalena looks at the video to find a better way to get up, and Burns wraps arms around the waist and drags him down. Burns gets a hook in and uses his left arm to set up a rear-naked choke, but his other arm is busy so there is no submission in sight. Burns pushes through to advance position, and they both flip all the way over. Maddalena scurries back to his feet, and Burns follows and charges directly into about the cleanest knee one could ever offer. Burns falls to his back, and Maddalena lays into the damaged Burns with a long barrage of punches and elbows. As Maddalena puts more mustard on the elbows, Miragliotta watches closely and makes the decision to intervene and wave the fight off while Burns is staring blankly into space, detached from his senses. This is a huge comeback for the Aussie, who has now won 17 fights in a row while putting away the ultra-durable “Durinho.”

The Official Result
Jack Della Maddalena def. Gilbert Burns R3 3:43 via KO (Knee and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Angelo picks Jack Della Maddalena, citing his high-volume striking and jab. He thinks Burns is past his prime and has been exposed by wrestlers. He believes Della Maddalena will piece Burns up on the feet and defend takedowns. He has a half-unit bet on Della Maddalena at -125.

Half unit bet on Della Maddalena at -125.
"Jack manalan is going to win this fight he's going to piece him up do whatever he wants to do on the feet and defend the takedowns Jack manalan is the pick and I have a half a unit bet …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Big Brady picks Jack Della Maddalena to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Della Maddalena has great striking and power, but has made grappling mistakes in the past. He believes Della Maddalena can keep the fight standing and finish Burns, though Burns could submit him if it goes to the mat. He acknowledges the fight could go either way.

win by second round knockout
"I'm going Jack Dela Melina by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody notes that Della Maddalena has been in close fights and could easily have lost, while Burns is a well-rounded grappler with a clear path to victory via takedowns. He thinks Burns's wrestling and experience will be too much for Della Maddalena.

"if you're looking for underdogs you do a lot worse than Gilbert Burns I he's live at that plus money"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Daniel is confident in Jack Della Maddalena, citing his superior boxing and underrated takedown defense. He notes that Burns has been dropped by jabs from Usman, Chimaev, and Muhammad, and that Jack has a nasty jab. Daniel acknowledges Burns's dangerous jiu-jitsu but believes Jack can avoid submissions by not getting carried away with guillotines like he did against Hiestand. He bet Jack at minus 135 and expects Jack to light Burns up and possibly knock him out.

"I bet him at minus 135 got the best of it well the best of it in terms of like you know he's gonna close What minus 180 to whatever"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Daniel Vreeland picks Jack Della Maddalena, stating he has never picked against him and doesn't plan to start. He acknowledges this is a big step up from fighting Kevin Holland to Gilbert Burns, and calls it a 'dog or pass' spot. Vreeland notes that Burns gets hit by good strikers, as seen against Kamaru Usman and Vicente Luque, and that Burns' path to victory is to grapple immediately. He believes the line should be closer to even money but still picks JDM.

"I haven't ever picked against Jack Della Maddalena and I don't plan on starting."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Jeff Fox picks Jack Della Maddalena as well, echoing that he has never picked against him. He mentions that Burns is always in people's corners coaching, which may detract from his own training. Fox also notes that Burns gets hit by good strikers, citing the Kamaru Usman knockout. He believes JDM's youth and momentum are key, and that Burns' best chance is to take the fight to the ground immediately.

"Yeah me too give me Jack as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Della Maddalena is a far superior striker with excellent range management and takedown defense, as shown in his fight against Kevin Holland. Burns relies on takedowns to win, but at 38 years old and with declining athleticism, he may struggle to get the fight to the ground. Della Maddalena should dictate the pace in the striking realm and eventually land a knockout in the second or third round. Burns' BJJ is a threat, but Della Maddalena's improved awareness should keep him safe.

Della Maddalena by KO/TKO in rounds 2-3
"I think that Melina should win this fight I think that this is a matchup where we'll see Burns stying to show the decline in his career and showcasing that he can't compete with the guys that are deserving of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul agrees, pointing out that Della Maddalena has shown holes in his takedown defense and that Burns can exploit that. He also notes that Burns has a strong wrestling game and can win rounds by controlling position on the ground.

"it's Gilbert Burns for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

The MMA Guru picks Jack Della Maddalena, arguing he clearly beat Bassil Hafez and Kevin Holland. He believes JDM's striking defense is excellent and that he will stuff Burns' takedowns and tune him up on the feet with a jab. He notes Burns' tendency to bail on takedowns with guillotine attempts and predicts JDM will TKO Burns late in round one.

TKO late round one
"I'm going to go JDM tkoos burns up against the cage late round one"
LOSS vs Belal Muhammad
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Belal Muhammad 0 132 of 283 46% 132 of 283 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 81 of 147 55% 81 of 147 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Belal Muhammad 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Belal Muhammad 0 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 15 of 28 53% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Belal Muhammad 0 25 of 59 42% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 14 of 22 63% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Belal Muhammad 0 28 of 54 51% 28 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Belal Muhammad 0 42 of 80 52% 42 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Burns 0 21 of 43 48% 21 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Belal Muhammad 132 of 283 46% 92 of 241 39 of 41 1 of 1 132 of 283 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 81 of 147 55% 35 of 96 13 of 16 33 of 35 81 of 147 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Belal Muhammad 19 of 39 48% 9 of 29 9 of 9 1 of 1 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 15 of 31 48% 7 of 22 3 of 4 5 of 5 15 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Belal Muhammad 18 of 51 35% 11 of 44 7 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 15 of 28 53% 6 of 18 0 of 0 9 of 10 15 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Belal Muhammad 25 of 59 42% 20 of 53 5 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 14 of 22 63% 7 of 14 3 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Belal Muhammad 28 of 54 51% 18 of 44 10 of 10 0 of 0 28 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 16 of 23 69% 6 of 12 4 of 4 6 of 7 16 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Belal Muhammad 42 of 80 52% 34 of 71 8 of 9 0 of 0 42 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Burns 21 of 43 48% 9 of 30 3 of 4 9 of 9 21 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Five-Round Co-Feature: Gilbert Burns vs. Belal Muhammad
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Burns (-125), Muhammad (+105)

Round 1
A rarity in the promotion the last several years, the UFC is offering up an official “title eliminator” status for a fight. This comes at 170 pounds, between two excelling talents who are stringing win streaks together at the right time. While many believe Muhammad (22-3, 1 NC; 13-3, 1 NC UFC) should have gotten a title shot already, he will look to push his unbeaten streak to 10 when he collides with brick-fisted grappler Burns (22-5, 15-5 UFC). The two will have five rounds to work, even with no championship or main event status available. This short-notice tilt will receive oversight from referee Keith Peterson, and there is no nonsense or touching of gloves to start things off. Chants for “Let’s go, Burns” rain down immediately in the building, and Burns is spurred into action with a charging right hand. Muhammad absorbs a low kick and looks to find angles and get to Burns with his footwork. Muhammad ricochets a kick off his opponent’s raised guard, and he sneaks a left hand through it. Burns loads up on his power right hand, and Muhammad darts away and aims out a jab. Another solid right from the Brazilian connects square on the chin, and Muhammad backs off and eats a leg kick to follow. Burns flicks a kick up high off the raised guard, and he sneaks a right hand through. Muhammad retaliates with a shin to the ribs, and Burns intercepts a subsequent kick to tackle his man to the mat. Muhammad climbs right back up and strikes a few more kicks to the liver, and he dodges a swatting left hook. Muhammad stays composed and utilizes his jab effectively, mixing in kicks occasionally to stay busier. Burns comes up short on a winging hook, and he kicks the body. Muhammad counters with a straight left hand that staggers Burns, and Burns grits his teeth and slams his right fist into Muhammad’s jaw twice to make “Remember the Name” remember his power. Burns has a kick caught, and he scrambles out of the way before getting dumped to the floor. Burns goes up high with a kick, and Burns stumbles back right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 2
The second frame kicks off as the two welterweights meet in the middle, and Burns strikes first with a stomping kick to the kneecap. Muhammad strafes to his right, and Burns follows him with a kick to the inside of the knee. Burns comes up short with a right hook, allowing Muhammad to sink in another liver kick. Burns chambers and fires a low kick and a massive right hand, and Muhammad’s beard absorbs it without much issue. Muhammad whips a high kick up, and he aims one to the body as Burns retaliates low to the inner calf. Burns paws away a one-two, and he gathers his thoughts to blast Muhammad in the face with a power right. Muhammad replies with a blocked head kick, and Burns hops around to shake it out. Muhammad is far less active, as Burns steps in with a right. The jabs from Muhammad are less constant, and Burns stings him with a right hand on the temple. Muhammad flashes his jab a few times, and Burns walks into one and storms forward. Muhammad times a body kick, and Burns gives him one to the calf back. Burns fires off a short right hand when Muhammad bears down on him, and he lets go with an inside low kick. Muhammad rips a kick to the side, and Burns surges into action and has a right hand slide off the shoulder. Burns lets fly a low kick, and he dodges a zipping left hand. Muhammad gives chase, and his fists collide with the guard. The slower round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 3
The round begins with a body kick from the Brazilian, and Muhammad retaliates with a front kick that grazes the cup. There is no pause, as Burns waves it off, and the crowd grows restless from the otherwise lack of action in the first minute. Muhammad gets off a jab or two, and Burns chambers his right hand and blocks a head kick. Burns gets off a single jab of his own, and he steps back from a looping punch. Burns kicks the lead leg a few times, and he stumbles when walking forward. Muhammad fires off a high kick that smacks into a shoulder, and Burns swings and misses wit ha haymaker. The pace is very deliberate and ineffective on both sides, and Muhammad throws two punches at a time if he can. Burns backs off, and Muhammad follows him with a head kick that bounces off the shoulder and a few straight punches. Burns tags him with a big right hand, and Muhammad shakes it off and sneaks a kick under Burns’ elbow. Burns steps in with a knee to the chest, and he gets kicked in the neck for his effort. The Brazilian appears no worse for wear, and he backs away when Muhammad jabs and front kicks at him. Burns throws a high body kick that smacks into the armpit, and Muhammad chains two kicks together with his left leg. Muhammad jabs quickly when Burns races forward, and he stays active with kicks. Muhammad gets into his groove of head kicks and jabs, stifling Burns. “Durinho” swings and misses with his right, and Muhammad makes him pay with a body shot. The tepid round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 4
Between rounds, Burns appears to be struggling with his left arm, and he complains to his corner that he cannot use it. Despite this, the championship rounds are upon them, and Burns’ body language and face show he is not having a good time in the cage. Muhammad compounds this by starting off Round 4 with a body kick and a few punches, and Burns blinks hard and drills Muhammad with a right hand on the jaw. Muhammad shakes it targets the same spot on the ribs with one more kick. Burns shells up as Muhammad kicks his body, and Burns replies with one of his own. Muhammad narrowly blocks a head kick in time, with Burns surprising him with the sudden strike. Muhammad stutter-steps his way into action, with a one-two off the guard as he leans back from a home run punch soaring at him. Burns drops down to snatch up a single, and he nails Muhammad with a blistering right hand that gives Muhammad a little wobble. Burns celebrates this with a body kick, a knee to the body and a leg kick, and he backs Muhammad away with a feint. Burns considers another single, and he abandons it because he cannot use his arm to secure it. Muhammad kicks high to the hurt arm, and Burns grimaces. Seeing this, Muhammad attacks it again with a kick up high. Muhammad shrugs off a leg kick to the inside of his knee, and he fires off two kicks to the shoulder. Burns blocks the strikes that come at him, and he splits a right hand down the pipe that shakes Muhammad up again. Muhammad weathers it and goes to jab, and the round ends with the crowd booing the welterweights.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 5
A dejected Burns is able to come out of his corner to start the last round, and a corner stoppage would not be out of the question given Burns condition. This sport rarely allows for such a courtesy, and the last round begins. Burns blocks an early head kick and loops two right hands over the top. Burns drops down for a takedown, and he abandons it and absorbs a few kicks to the head and body. Muhammad reaches his foe with a lunging right, and he is out of range when Burns attempts his overhand right. Burns is caught with a right hand coming in, and he wobbles back but gathers his balance. Muhammad punishes the ribs with the umpteenth kick to that same target, and Burns toughs it out. They both clash together with their fists, and Muhammad is the one to land better and backs Burns away. Burns secures a leg kick to buckle Muhammad’s knee for a second, but Muhammad speedily recovers and he takes another. Burns leaps in with a few rights, and Muhammad counters and fearlessly walks Burns down. Muhammad leans back from the obligatory right hook and tags him with a few punches, and he sees the telegraphed bomb and dodges it again. Burns knocks Muhammad back with his right, only for Muhammad to step in front of him and connect with a one-two. Burns swings and misses with two missiles that are right hands, with his left completely out of the picture in this fight other than as a blocking limb. They both trade heavy fire, and Muhammad darts out of harm’s way when Burns looks to reach him. When the 10-second clapper sounds, Muhammad kicks high and then aims one to the body, and the disappointing 25-minute affair comes to a merciful conclusion. The two immediately hug it out after the bell rings, and Muhammad should finally have done enough to earn a crack at the 170-pound throne.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (49-46 Muhammad)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (50-45 Muhammad)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (49-46 Muhammad)

The Official Result
Belal Muhammad def. Gilbert Burns via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Angelo picks Belal Muhammad, citing his wrestling pressure and improved striking. He notes that Gilbert Burns is coming off a quick turnaround (fought three weeks ago) and that fighters in that situation often lose. Angelo believes Belal's wrestling pace will overwhelm Burns, and he questions Burns' submission threat off his back. He has a quarter unit on Belal at +105, noting the line has tightened from Burns being a big favorite.

quarter unit at +105
"I got a quarter of a unit on below at Plus 105."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Big Brady picks Muhammad in this five-round fight. He believes Burns is the better striker early with more power, but Muhammad's cardio, pressure, and volume will wear Burns down in the later rounds. He notes Burns has questionable cardio and chin, and Muhammad has excellent takedown defense and get-up game. He predicts Muhammad will weather the early storm and finish Burns late, possibly by fourth-round TKO.

Fourth round TKO prediction
"I'm going to take Muhammad here to win this fight I like him to weather the early storm put the pressure on put the pace on and break Burns as this fight goes on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Cody emphasizes that the five-round format heavily favors Belal Muhammad's proven cardio and durability over Gilbert Burns, who has questionable gas tank. He notes Belal's high ring IQ, ability to adjust game plans (lateral movement vs Luque, forward pressure vs Brady), and that Burns' recent wins are over older or less dangerous opponents. He expects Belal to survive early rounds and take over late, making the underdog line attractive.

Live betting after first round for better price
"pre-fight flop I will take the underdog Muhammad plus 110"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Connor also picks Muhammad, agreeing that Burns is uncomfortable under pressure and that Muhammad's jab will be key. He notes that Muhammad is a smart fighter who sticks to his game plan and that Burns' wrestling may not be a decisive factor. Connor expresses concern about Muhammad's short notice but trusts his conditioning.

"I'm going to pick Balal too, but that is my concern."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

The host picks Belal Muhammad, citing his pace, pressure, and cardio as key advantages over Gilbert Burns. He believes Muhammad's grappling-heavy style, similar to Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington, will wear down Burns, who has cardio issues. He expects Muhammad to finish Burns in the fourth or fifth round, and notes that the plus 120 odds look easy.

Belal Muhammad by TKO in round 4 or 5, plus 120 odds
"I think that this is a spot that he can go out there put Gilbert Burns through the grinder and finish him probably in the 4th of fifth round of this matchup give me give me below Muhammad a short …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Paul initially leaned toward Gilbert Burns but changed his mind after realizing the fight is five rounds, which makes the line more reasonable. He notes Burns' quick turnaround and Belal's experience fighting after Ramadan without issue. He says he's 'leaning ever so slightly towards Belal' because of the five rounds, but thinks the market has it right and it's a close fight.

Over 1.5 takedowns for Burns moved from 1.5 to 1; thinks one takedown is accurate
"I'm leaning ever so slightly towards below because of the fact that it's five rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

The Guru confidently picks Burns, citing his peak physical condition from fighting frequently and his power advantage on the feet. He believes Burns will set traps and land big shots as Belal comes forward, and that Belal's takedowns won't worry Burns due to his jiu-jitsu. He also questions Belal's mindset and weight cut, noting Belal's complaints and inconsistent weight claims. He predicts a TKO via right hand against the cage.

TKO prediction
"I'm going with Gilbert Burns I like the fact that he called for five rounds knowing that Bilal Muhammad might not be in a peak shape I'm gonna go Gilbert Burns getting this one done by TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Zane picks Muhammad, emphasizing that Burns tends to destruct under pressure and that Muhammad's jab-centric striking is a great weapon against Burns' catch-and-counter style. He notes that Muhammad is adaptable and well-prepared, and that Burns' recent performance against Masvidal was uninspiring. Zane also mentions that the five-round fight favors Muhammad's cardio and pressure.

"I got to pick Balal Muhammad in that kind of fight."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 42 of 99 42% 72 of 135 4 of 6 66% 0 0 5:41
Jorge Masvidal 0 39 of 91 42% 77 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 13 of 39 33% 15 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Jorge Masvidal 0 15 of 38 39% 20 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gilbert Burns 0 7 of 16 43% 27 of 40 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:05
Jorge Masvidal 0 5 of 11 45% 32 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Gilbert Burns 0 22 of 44 50% 30 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
Jorge Masvidal 0 19 of 42 45% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 42 of 99 42% 34 of 84 3 of 7 5 of 8 37 of 90 0 of 0 5 of 9
Jorge Masvidal 39 of 91 42% 14 of 61 8 of 11 17 of 19 38 of 90 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 13 of 39 33% 7 of 29 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 36 0 of 0 1 of 3
Jorge Masvidal 15 of 38 39% 5 of 26 2 of 2 8 of 10 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gilbert Burns 7 of 16 43% 6 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 3 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 3
Jorge Masvidal 5 of 11 45% 1 of 6 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gilbert Burns 22 of 44 50% 21 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1 20 of 41 0 of 0 2 of 3
Jorge Masvidal 19 of 42 45% 8 of 29 3 of 5 8 of 8 19 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Jorge Masvidal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Burns (-490), Masvidal (+390)

Round 1
The loudest pop of the evening almost certainly goes to Miami’s own Masvidal (35-16, 12-9 UFC), who walks out to this tough stylistic matchup as a heavy underdog on a losing streak. In his face for a maximum of three rounds will be “Durinho” Burns (21-5, 14-5 UFC), who can present problems on the feet and ground, depending on where his mood takes him. Action is virtually a guarantee here, and the watchful eye of referee Marc Goddard looks on. With ample respect, the gloves get touched when Goddard brings them together. There is no flying knee try from Masvidal, for those expecting him to come out firing this. Burns walks forward, but Masvidal takes the center of the cage. The two are hesitant to engage with little more than jabs, other than a single low kick from “Gamebred.” Burns throws one back, and they proceed to go tit-for-tat with these slapping strikes. Chants for “305” and “Let’s Go Jorge” rain down, but it does not spur the local fighter into action. Burns whiffs on a left hook, and neither man seems willing to commit to anything of note. Burns reaches out with a few jabs that miss the mark, but a right hand splits the guard and draws a smile from his opponent. Burns darts in with a straight right, and Masvidal slides out of the way and resets. Masvidal blitzes suddenly with three punches and a leg kick, and the crowd goes wild. Masvidal sinks another kick home on the lead calf, and Burns replies with a leg kick and one to the ribs. Masvidal sticks his tongue out, and Burns attacks with a pair of looping, blocked punches. Burns ducks a big punch and nearly takes the fight down, but Masvidal moves out of the way before he gets tripped. The Brazilian lands a single kick to the body, and he switches stances a few times and catches Masvidal with a right hand. Masvidal connects with another leg kick, and Burns chops down low. Masvidal surges into action, throwing a few heavy punches, but a left hand from Burns keeps him honest. Burns loops a right hand around the guard, and Masvidal shakes it off and pins three punches on the guard. Burns cracks him with a serious right hand, and Masvidal waves him on. Burns slings a right hand, changes levels and throws Masvidal to the ground. Burns postures up, flailing punches, and Masvidal goes crazy throwing offense from his back. The round ends, and the two high five.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 2
The second round opens up with Burns pushing forth a jab, and he slams his fist onto Masvidal’s jaw and knocks him off his feet. Masvidal jumps back to his feet, but Burns meets him with a double. When Masvidal defends with a guillotine, Burns simply lifts him off the ground like a sack of flour and slams him down to the ground. Burns lands in the guard and Masvidal is quickly warned for punches to the back of the head. Burns maintains heavy top pressure while getting off occasional strikes, but Goddard asks him to do more. Masvidal hangs on in hopes of forcing a standup, and Burns is unable to get off much offense from above. Goddard again tells Burns to work, and Masvidal clings to him to shut it down. Burns slashes down with a single elbow, and Masvidal works his way to put his head and neck against the wire. Burns partially stands up to step over, but Masvidal wall-walks at the same time and somersaults to break the grip. This backfires, as Burns takes his back and hangs onto it while Masvidal stands. Burns slams “Gamebred” on his face in a subsequent takedown, and Masvidal leans up against the wall and even threatens the BJJ world champion with a guillotine choke. Burns completely ignores it, and Masvidal manages to fight back to his feet. Burns presses him tightly in the clinch, and Masvidal spins him around and knees him a few times. Burns turns him back around, and he gets pushed back to split them up with 30 seconds to spare. Masvidal wings an inaccurate right hand, and he plants his shin on the body. Burns runs at him with his hands flying, and they both clash together with right hands. Burns acknowledges it, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 3
The fighters touch ‘em up to open the final frame, and Burns puts his foot upside the head. Masvidal shrugs it off and chops the calf with a single strike. The crowd puts its support behind the local competitor, and Burns punches him square in the face with his right hand. Masvidal blocks a lunging right hook but eats a pair of jabs. Masvidal gets off a strong low kick, and he comes up short on an uppercut. The leg kicks continue working for “Gamebred,” whose offense is otherwise generally muted. Masvidal suddenly spins with a back kick to the body, and Burns steps through it and snipes Masvidal with a left. Burns lands another, and Masvidal smiles at him. Burns lands a one-two on the chin, and Masvidal wobbles back to the fence and waves Burns on. A home run of a right hand skims off the chin, and Masvidal is still rocked but survives it. Masvidal gets some space and appears to have the cobwebs shaken out, as he puts a one-two on the Brazilian’s jaw. Burns lets his hands fly and smashes Masvidal in the face, and Masvidal again stumbles back to the fence. Burns jabs instead of falling into a Masvidal trap, so Masvidal kicks his foe’s lead leg and flashes out his own jab. Burns lands a left and a right, and “Gamebred” toughs it out and gets Burns’ respect with a few punches. The Brazilian changes levels in pursuit of a takedown, and Masvidal stands him up. Burns continues to go after it, and he trips Masvidal and throws him on his back, where he lands in side control. Burns slams Masvidal in the face with elbows, and he moves to half guard to keep Masvidal pinned to the mat. Burns considers an arm-triangle choke, but Masvidal uses two-on-one wrist control to stifle it. Masvidal is warned for grabbing inside the gloves, and Burns slides around to nearly take the back. Masvidal works to his knees, and the fight comes to a close. After the scores are read, Burns calls for a title shot. Masvidal, however, takes his gloves off and calls it a career after "20 long years."

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burns (30-27 Burns)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Burns (30-27 Burns)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns (30-27 Burns)

The Official Result
Gilbert Burns def. Jorge Masvidal via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Angelo picks Gilbert Burns but is not betting due to the steep -450 odds. He notes that Masvidal has solid takedown defense and good hands, and if the fight stays on the feet, Masvidal is the better striker. He thinks Burns will grind out a win but is wary of Masvidal's ability to defend takedowns and potentially win a decision in his hometown.

"I do think Gilbert Burns wins this fight but I am not going anywhere near these minus 450 odds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Big Brady picks Gilbert Burns to win by decision, citing his wrestling advantage and Masvidal's age. He notes Burns should take the fight to the mat and control Masvidal, who has good takedown defense but can be controlled once taken down. He does not see a finish and warns against betting at -500 odds.

not laying minus 500
"give me Burns I'll say Burns by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Burns but is hesitant at -450. He notes Masvidal is very difficult to take down, as shown in five-round fights against Usman and Covington. Cody thinks Burns wins 8 out of 10 times but sees value on Masvidal due to the Florida crowd and Masvidal's power. He mentions PrizePicks under 2.5 takedowns for Burns as a potential play because Burns might not wrestle or could get a quick submission.

Burns under 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I'm going to be picking Burns but... the fact that we're in Florida... it's not making me feel like oh lock burns up in parlays"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Connor picks Burns because Masvidal has regressed significantly: his boxing has become sloppy, he relies on trick shots that he's no longer fast enough to land, and he lets opponents dictate the fight. Burns is aggressive, assertive, and will take full advantage of Masvidal's tendency to back up and corner himself. Connor notes that Masvidal used to be a great scrambler and wrestler, but now he seems to hate grappling and makes poor decisions. He also mentions Masvidal's ego and age have eroded his game.

Burns opened around -420, now -455; Masvidal opened around +350, now +370. Connor says the line is wide and getting wider, and it doesn't feel inaccurate.
"Gilbert Burns is going to run him over."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Jacob is extremely confident in Gilbert Burns, calling Masvidal overrated and saying he is here to collect a check. He believes Burns will take Masvidal down, slam him, and submit him. He notes that Masvidal has only defended wrestlers like Usman and Colby, but Burns is a powerful grappler who will use strength and technique to finish the fight.

submission
"Gilbert's Gonna Get Us done first take down submission easy peasy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jorge Masvidal

Masvidal is on a three-fight losing streak but those were against the division's elite. He has slick boxing, deceptive power, and excellent takedown defense and get-up game. Burns is a BJJ specialist but his striking is decent, and he doesn't have the cardio or wrestling to replicate what Colby did to Masvidal. I think Masvidal's striking advantage and the Miami crowd will carry him to a knockout win.

"the line in this fight makes no sense to me at all massive at all even though he's on three in his last three fights should not be a plus 380 Underdog to Gilbert Burns"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul acknowledges the best version of Masvidal could beat Burns, but believes Masvidal at 38 has lost a step and lacks the fire. He notes Masvidal's takedown defense is good but Burns' pressure and wrestling should wear him down. Paul expects Burns to take Masvidal down, control rounds, and win a decision or late finish. He cautions that Masvidal could keep it close in Florida but ultimately picks Burns.

Burns under 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks considered
"I do gotta end up taking Gilbert Burns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

The MMA Guru picks Gilbert Burns to drop Masvidal in round one and submit him with an arm triangle. He expects Masvidal to lead with kicks, and Burns will time a right hand over the top, dropping Masvidal. Burns will then take mount, land big shots, and as Masvidal scrambles, he will give up an arm triangle and tap with 30 seconds left in the round.

first round submission, arm triangle
"I think Gilbert Burns is gonna drop masvidal in round one and sub him"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Zane picks Burns because Masvidal's game has fallen off: he's slower, gasses now, and his boxing is worse. He used to be a well-rounded technician, but now he looks for highlight-reel shots and doesn't have the speed for them. Burns will out-grapple him and doesn't even need to do that the whole time; he can just pressure Masvidal, who backs up too easily and corners himself. Zane notes that Masvidal's ego and age have combined to make him a shadow of his former self.

Burns opened around -420, now -455; Masvidal opened around +350, now +370. Zane says the line is reasonable and not surprising.
"I would have picked an earlier version of Jorge against an earlier version of Gilbert. But now it just seems like there's a gulf."
WIN vs Neil Magny
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 5 of 6 83% 10 of 12 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:35
Neil Magny 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 5 of 6 83% 10 of 12 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:35
Neil Magny 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 5 of 6 83% 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2
Neil Magny 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 5 of 6 83% 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2
Neil Magny 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Burns (-410), Magny (+330)

Round 1
Welterweights with a lot at stake invade the Octagon next, as former title challenger Burns (20-5, 13-5 UFC) looks to get back on the right track against the UFC welterweight division’s all-time wins leader Magny (27-9, 20-8 UFC). At 36 and 35 years of age, respectively, the time is now for these two to go on a run, lest they get left behind for the young guns nipping at their heels. This 170-pound “featured fight of the night” scrap will have referee Fernando Portella keeping tabs, and it begins with hands clapping together. The two hesitantly approach one another, and Magny uses his range to disallow Burns from coming at him. This strategy does not stay intact for long, as Burns closes in to whip a high body kick under the elbow. Burns chambers his big right hand without throwing it for a prolonged stretch, and he rushes forward and only lands a jab. The right hand from Burns is chained right into a level change, and he scoops Magny off the ground and slams him to the mat without batting an eye. The Brazilian shifts straight into half guard when landing, although the veteran Magny drags him back to his guard. Burns aims to jump into the mount, and opts to move to side control when Magny’s long legs give him issues. Magny leans to his side, and Burns hooks his left arm behind the neck and right arm beneath Magny’s left knee to pass. Burns passes to the other side, and he presses his shoulder down in a potential arm-triangle setup. "Durinho" slices over to full mount, as the crowd cheers in unison for his success. Burns again flirts with an arm-triangle, but bails on it to lock Magny’s right arm down in a potential keylock. Burns suddenly presses his full body weight down and steps to the side brilliantly for an arm-triangle choke, and he locks it up in an instant even with his side against the cage wall. Magny knows there is nothing more he can do, and he reaches his arm straight out and then taps out. Burns made that look easy, putting away a respected veteran while barely breaking a sweat. In the process, he also pulled off his first submission since returning to welterweight in 2019.

The Official Result
Gilbert Burns def. Neil Magny R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Big Brady is confident Burns will submit Magny in the first round. He notes Burns is a wizard on the mat with elite BJJ, while Magny has poor takedown defense (57%) and has been submitted five times. Burns will take the fight down easily and finish. On the feet, Magny has a reach advantage but Burns has more power. He expects a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I think Burns submits this guy and I think he does it probably early as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Gilbert Burns confidently, believing Burns should win two rounds and coast in the third. He notes Burns' pressure, wrestling, and Jiu-Jitsu are key, and that Magny's long limbs are a disadvantage on the ground. He acknowledges Burns' cardio and chin concerns but thinks the Brazilian crowd and Burns' recent form (Chimaev fight) will carry him. He says Burns' path to victory is takedowns and control.

parlayed Burns with Johnny Walker; mentions Burns' takedowns and control
"I jumped in on Gilbert Burns early I think worst case scenario turns into like the Wonder Boy fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Connor agrees with Zane, stating that Burns is a nightmare matchup for Magny. He notes that Magny has improved his jab and pressure, but Burns is a souped-up version of the fighters who have troubled Magny before. Connor believes Burns can take Magny down or beat him in the clinch, and that Magny's only path is a lucky shot.

Connor mentions the odds but does not place a bet.
"It's just a miserable net matchup for Magni. Really like RDA, just that combination of skills that whenever Magni meets it just ruins his whole day."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul picks Gilbert Burns but with some hesitation. He notes Burns' cardio and durability issues, but thinks Burns' pressure, wrestling, and Jiu-Jitsu will be too much for Magny. He mentions Magny's good cardio and ring IQ but says Burns is the better fighter. He warns that Burns could gas out or get caught, but overall expects Burns to win via takedowns and top control.

mentions Burns' cardio concerns; says Magny's long limbs are a disadvantage on the ground
"I like Gilbert Burns as well I think he's the better fighter and should win but there are versions of Gilbert Burns that exist that can make this very difficult on himself"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

The Guru picks Burns but calls it his least confident pick on the card. He notes Magny's reach advantage and straight punches could trouble Burns, who struggles with range. However, Burns has offensive takedowns and Magny makes mistakes defending them. The Guru predicts Burns will find a submission (rear-naked choke or arm triangle) or TKO via ground and pound. He worries about the style matchup but trusts Burns' grappling.

submission
"I'm going Gilbert Burns but I don't know ... this is my least confident pick funnily enough"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Zane picks Burns, calling it a 'miserable matchup' for Magny. He notes that Magny historically struggles against powerful strikers, technical top-position grapplers, and freak athletes—Burns is all three. Zane highlights Burns' toughness, power, and well-rounded game, and believes Magny's only chance is to be super aggressive and hope for a miracle.

Magny opened at +245, now +350; Burns opened at -285, now -459. Zane does not place a bet.
"This is a miserable fight for Neil Magny and I would never pick him in it."
Mike Malott - Fight History
WIN vs Gilbert Burns
KO R3 2:08 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 40 of 92 43% 42 of 94 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 56 of 121 46% 56 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 11 of 38 28% 12 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gilbert Burns 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 22 of 53 41% 22 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gilbert Burns 0 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 21 of 34 61% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 40 of 92 43% 16 of 60 10 of 12 14 of 20 39 of 89 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Malott 56 of 121 46% 51 of 112 3 of 6 2 of 3 44 of 103 1 of 4 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 11 of 38 28% 3 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5 10 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Malott 13 of 34 38% 10 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 13 of 32 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gilbert Burns 23 of 37 62% 11 of 23 3 of 3 9 of 11 23 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Malott 22 of 53 41% 21 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 1 22 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gilbert Burns 6 of 17 35% 2 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 4 6 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 21 of 34 61% 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 11 of 14
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-375); Burns (+275)

Round 1
The year is 2026, and the UFC has elected to put a fighter in Burns (22-9, 15-9 UFC) on a four-fight losing streak in a main event. He will be placed in hostile territory, perhaps set up as a stepping stone. Ready to prove that he still has plenty left in the tank, he comes to blows with proud Canadian Malott (13-2-1, 6-1 UFC). Whether a passing of the torch moment or one that shows levels to the game, referee Herb Dean will be here for them every step of the way. He brings them together to issue final instructions, and they share a fist bump. It’s on with the show.
Burns lashes out with a leg kick, and Malott sees it coming and brings his leg in to partially check it. Burns kicks off, and his foot bounces into the cup. Malott adjusts his groin and tells Dean he is good to continue, so they do not pause. Malott chases Burns to the cage behind a pair of punches, and he leans over to let a massive overhand right from the Brazilian buzz behind his neck. Burns whiffs on two more big hooks, but his digging left to the liver gets in twice. Malott swings back hard enough to make Burns think twice about coming in recklessly, and he goes for a takedown only to get stood up. Malott resets and sticks out four punches. Burns fights off a takedown shot, lets Malott hit the ground and bounce back up, and fires out a kick that pounds into his foe’s pectoral. Malott calmly jabs and rolls with the right hand he knows is coming.
Burns kicks at the front leg and is backed off with a left hand, and he defends the uppercuts and wings a right hand as Malott bends over. Burns ducks down for a takedown shot, and he bails it to loose two haymakers that hit nothing but air. Malott times a straight right hand down Broadway as Burns is aiming a leg kick, giving chase as Burns circles away. Burns shoots again, and the Canadian is a stone wall and does not give an inch. Burns backs off and bounces on his heels, tossing out a left hook that brushes the nose. Both men let fly heavy hooks, and Burns follows his land with a chopping kick. Malott looks for a hefty counter, and Burns evades it but cannot get out of the way of a calf kick. Malott leaps forward to land a body kick on the abdomen, landing to sling two hooks behind it. Burns tries to jump for an attack of his own, but time expires while he is in the air so he just lands normally.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The two men bump fists before getting after it. Burns nails the front leg with a kick so hard, Malott drops to a knee. His calf is glowing red just a few seconds into the second round, and Burns is aware of this and does not go after it recklessly. Instead, Burns sets up the kick with blows to other targets. As he is backed off from a one-two, a thin trickle of blood leaks out of the Brazilian’s nostril, who shoots for a takedown that is stopped in its tracks. Burns rebounds to kick the inner leg of his foe, and he drills a right hand on the side of Malott’s head. Burns kicks low to punch high again, even leaping with a Superman punch. Malott backs him off behind his fists, even as Burns loops a left hand back at him. Burns scores with one more hard calf kick and a left hand after it. Malott splits his guard with an uppercut and appears to shake Burns up, who retreats in a hurry. A shiner and some blood immediately develops under Burns’ left eye, as he backs off to defend himself while Malott goes on the offensive. Malott rips uppercuts and loops his right hand around the guard, staying in range just long enough to land but not leaving himself open for Burns’ big swings.
Burns wears the strikes well but is showing damage all over, and he cannot quite secure the home run blow he is seeking. Malott sneaks in an uppercut, and Burns counters with an overhand right and waves Malott on for more. When Malott does not bite, Burns shoots for a takedown. Malott shucks him to the side and sticks a jab in his face, staying calm and composed. Malott beats Burns to the punch and forces him to spin away with a left hook. Both men lunge at one another with power, but nothing significant lands as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Burns takes directly to the center of the cage to engage, doubling up on a jab to sling his big right hand. Malott shies away from the heavy blow and circles around to give chase to Burns. After almost 30 seconds of staring, Burns swings for the bleachers with his right hand twice. Malott laughs them off and sprawls smoothly to defuse the takedown attempt before anything comes of it. Malott backs Burns to the fence with his long, straight punches, staying at his preferred distance to not get caught with the counter. Burns tries and fails to bash him with his right hand, but he leaves himself wide open for an uppercut and a left hook that puts Burns down hard. Burns climbs back up but is compromised, leading to Malott knocking him down again with a blistering right hand. Burns hits his side and is not about to go anywhere, so Malott hammers the nail with a final onslaught of concussive fists that force Dean to step in. The crowd, understandably, goes wild. Malott has earned the biggest win of his career in his most significant fight to date, and he does it by knockout after going toe-to-toe with a powerful striker. Canada may not have won the night in terms of individual matchups, going 4-5 throughout the billing, but Malott prevailed when it mattered most.
The logjam of the welterweight title picture has yet another contender, and as this sport gives, it also takes. A heartbroken “Durinho” leaves his gloves in the center of the cage to signal his retirement, overcome by emotion but still more than willing to give it up for the man that just put him down. The respectful victor has nothing but positive things to say about his opponent, his team and his fans. He does not have any opponent set as he hopes to work his way up the ladder, instead saying he will do so the “Proper” way. When he competes again, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Gilbert Burns R3 2:08 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott with extreme confidence, calling Gilbert Burns too old, slow, and not durable. He notes Gilbert is on a four-fight losing streak and has not submitted anyone recently. He recommends parlaying Malott heavily, saying the odds are too wide and should be much higher.

Parlay Mike Malott heavily, even if he's minus 11,000.
"Mike Malott's the pick. Parlay the [ __ ] out of him, even if he's minus 11,000. Like, this is unbelievably straightforward."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady hesitantly picks Mike Malott, despite calling him overrated. He criticizes Malott's takedown defense, questionable cardio, and low volume, but notes his power. Brady also doubts Gilbert Burns' durability and age (40). He predicts Malott wins by second-round knockout but says he will not bet on the fight.

second round knockout; no bet
"I'm taking Mike Malott. I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout, but this is a fight I will not be betting on."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Gilbert Burns because he sees value in the plus money and questions Mike Malott's cardio in later rounds. He notes that Burns has fought top competition and that Malott has never been past three rounds. He also mentions that the line movement towards Burns supports his pick.

round 4 and round 5 props
"I end up with a Gilbert Burns play. I know it's going to upset some people I know personally. And you know, don't shoot the messenger. It's just uh sometimes it's more economics than you going with your heart."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel believes Mike Malott is catching Gilbert Burns at a great time, as Burns is nearly 40 and on a decline. He thinks Malott's explosiveness and freshness will be key, and that Burns will show signs of aging when hit. He predicts Malott will finish Burns.

"I think Mike Malot's going to come out here in Winnipeg, Canada, and I think he's going to finish Gilbert Dorinho Burns."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

Burns is a value underdog despite being older and on a losing streak. Malott fades in later rounds and has shown weakness on the ground. Burns has excellent grappling and cardio for five rounds. If Burns survives the early rounds, he can take over. The odds are too wide; this fight is closer to 50/50.

fight not to go to decision (odds terrible)
"I think this fight is way closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

James believes the line is too wide and that Gilbert Burns has value as a plus 425 underdog. He thinks Burns can weather the early storm and take over in later rounds due to his experience and cardio. Despite picking Malott as the pure winner, he confidently sides with Burns for the moneyline.

"I'm going to say Gilbert Burns gets the upset here. And that's because I'm a sports better."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions the main event but does not make a pick for either fighter. He only notes that Gilbert Burns has been bet down from a massive underdog to a big underdog.

"Gilbert Burns has been getting bet down from a massive underdog to now just a big underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host believes Mike Malott will land a big shot and put Gilbert Burns away, but does not like the chalk on Malott. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds as the best way to play the matchup, expecting pocket exchanges and a striking battle. He notes Burns' age and four-fight losing streak, and thinks Malott's power will be the difference.

under 2.5 rounds
"I like Malott here. I don't like the chalk on him. I think he'll end up landing a big shot to put Burns down, but I think the under two and a half would probably be the best way to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul also picks Gilbert Burns, citing the same concerns about Malott's cardio and the value on Burns. He mentions he has a bet on Burns at plus 316 and likes late round props. He believes Burns can win if the fight goes into the later rounds.

round 4 and round 5 props
"Burns is the side for me. Um, I see some other people saying that like, you know, he's going to run, you know, Burns going to get knocked out in the first round. I mean, it's possible. It's MMA. Anything …"
WIN vs Kevin Holland
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 52 of 137 37% 76 of 162 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Mike Malott 0 49 of 95 51% 50 of 99 1 of 4 25% 1 1 2:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 9 of 31 29% 22 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Mike Malott 0 12 of 29 41% 13 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:30
2 Kevin Holland 0 23 of 70 32% 23 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kevin Holland 0 20 of 36 55% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 11 of 24 45% 11 of 24 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 52 of 137 37% 23 of 96 9 of 13 20 of 28 49 of 127 3 of 9 0 of 1
Mike Malott 49 of 95 51% 35 of 73 10 of 15 4 of 7 44 of 88 1 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 9 of 31 29% 3 of 22 3 of 5 3 of 4 8 of 26 1 of 4 0 of 1
Mike Malott 12 of 29 41% 8 of 20 1 of 3 3 of 6 11 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kevin Holland 23 of 70 32% 12 of 55 3 of 4 8 of 11 22 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Malott 26 of 42 61% 17 of 32 8 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kevin Holland 20 of 36 55% 8 of 19 3 of 4 9 of 13 19 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Malott 11 of 24 45% 10 of 21 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 18 0 of 2 4 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Holland vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-115); Holland (+100)

Round 1
The co-main event comes in the form of what should be an all-action welterweight affair that could have a little something for everybody. The fan-favorite Holland (28-14, 1 NC; 15-11, 1 NC UFC) will have to be the villain tonight as he goes into hostile territory to take on the last Canadian-born fighter on the night in Malott (12-2-1, 5-1 UFC). The two will hunt for bonus cash—and there is steep competition tonight—while regionally unpopular referee Dan Miragliotta watches on. Holland tries fairly hard to get a glove touch, but the Canadian wants nothing to do with it.
Holland puts his hand down and his foot up, to start kicking Malott in the lead leg. Malott is struggling to get in on the longer Holland, so Holland can pepper his front leg on either side without worrying about something coming back. When Malott responds with his own leg kick, Holland hops and swats out a left hand. The two appear to clash heads when coming at one another, and Malott unloads with a short combination before Holland can reach him. Malott fires off a body kick, and Holland knocks him off his feet with a fierce right hand. Holland considers slamming down high-amplitude hammerfists, and he leaps on top and delivers some damage. Holland stands back up and starts punching the Canadian in the thigh. Malott hits a sneaky sweep to put Holland on his seat.
Holland fights his way back up, and when Malott tries for a mat return, Holland bends like a reed in the wind and rolls all the way through the takedown attempt to end up on top. The welterweights scramble back to their feet, and clashing kicks leads to Malott inadvertently kicking Holland in the groin. Miragliotta calls time, and Holland laughs it off and is good to go within 20 seconds. They resume, and Holland appears fine, as he reaches Malott and knocks him back with a clean left hand. “Trailblazer” leaps at his man with a right hand, and he keeps his balance when Malott wraps him up to drag him down. When they tie up, Malott drills him in the groin with a knee, and Holland is not so jovial about it as he collapses to his knees.
Miragliotta tells the replay officials that he could hear the impact of the second groin strike, and he tells Malott that he knows that it was an accident but reminds him that it was two infractions already and the second appears to have clearly compromised the Texan. Holland gets to his knees but is still clutching his groin, and he reaches in to try to adjust himself and nearly exposes himself on camera. The replay officials appear to be confused, even though it is clear on the video that there was contact on the cup. Holland tries to stand after two-and-a-half minutes, and he is frustrated that the crowd is booing him and pulls himself up to his feet all while shaking his head repeatedly. Miragliotta tells Holland to take as much time as he needs, which is a smidge over a minute remaining. Miragliotta gives Malott a stern warning for the second groin shot, with no point deduction as commentator Daniel Cormier laments there is no consistency in regards to officiating these days with a fighter earlier losing a point from the first foul. Holland tries as hard as he can to shake off the injury, and he tells Miragliotta he is good to go 15 seconds later than stoppage time.
He is still in serious pain, and he takes more time to tap gloves with Malott and backpedals. Holland still adjusts his cup while dodging swings aimed at his head, and Malott allows him to recover even longer before going at him with a right hand and a head kick that are out of range. Holland gets up close to deliver an uppercut, and he bounces back in pain. Holland walks off before time elapses, and Malott throws his hands in the air out of frustration. The round ends with Holland suffering greatly, and it’s anyone’s guess what will happen between rounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
Miragliotta calls in the doctor between rounds to check on Holland, who has not yet recovered. The doctor tells Holland that he will have to stop the fight if Holland cannot keep going, and again confusion and chaos is about as they are trying to ask him if he is able to continue. Holland doesn’t say yes or no, and instead grimaces in pain and adjusts himself. As he waits, eventually someone signals that he can keep going and that he cannot keep taking more time. The minute break may have been doubled based on that. Holland flashes his jab to keep his range and not let the Canadian to get him as he still tries to bounce around and relieve the pressure. Malott tosses out a half-hearted front kick, and Holland responds with a heavier one. Malott opens up with a flurry of fists, and Holland shoulder rolls them and takes a body kick. He keeps being his jab, and wings a clubbing right that is easily blocked, unable to put much power behind his punches. He ducks a takedown attempt and scoops a left around the guard to surprise his opponent. Holland swats out with lefts, and Malott tags him with a right hand. Malott’s front kick reaches the target of the jaw, and the replies from “Trailblazer” are a front kick and one to the calf.
The Texan narrowly avoids a left hand and pitches out a side kick, and they crack one another with simultaneous right hands. Holland slips back, and a front kick brushes the top of Malott’s shorts. Holland takes a heavy left hand and gathers his thoughts, sticking Malott with a low kick and a front kick. Holland sits down on a crisp right hand, and Malott walks through it. Holland adjusts his athletic support that is still bothering him, and a clinch leads to nowhere so they split up. Malott walks Holland down and decks him with several punches and a knee, and Holland rebounds off the fencing and fires back with a right hand to keep Malott honest. Holland tries for a one-two, and he is intercepted on the way out. Holland bloodies the Canadian’s nose with a jab and an uppercut that follows, and Malott tries to drive him back with a front kick but is elbowed for his handiwork. The round ends with Malott’s nose positively gushing blood.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Holland is still messed up from the groin shots, and tells Malott to keep things clean. They get down to it, with scores possibly two up for Malott or all tied up. Malott jabs the body with his toes outstretched, and Holland chips at his front leg a few times before darting him behind two left hands. Malott counters him up top, and lets Holland throw a kick to go for a big left hand. Holland re-opens Malott’s nose with jabs, and Malott takes a deep breath and blitzes forward. Holland keeps himself largely clear of danger, although the Canadian catches him with a few strikes. Holland’s own offense bounds off the guard, other than a stomping kick to the knee that briefly hyperextends it. Malott reaches out with a push kick to the upper chest, and Holland’s response is to the calf. Holland scores a single right hand and leans back from the obligatory counter, and Malott slides to the side and gets off a side kick and one high. Holland scoots his way forward and eats a few punches.
Holland lands a one-two, and Malott appears to get his attention as Holland bends over and briefly considers a takedown. He bails on it to stand up and further bloody up the Canadian. Malott runs at his opponent and lifts him off the ground, and Holland’s arm goes out of the cage as he apologizes and says he is not grabbing anything but just has long arms. Malott pulls him back inside and down flat on his back, and he smothers “Trailblazer” and bashes him with right hands. Holland uses upkicks and butterfly hooks to frame off, only for Malott to slice through and climb into half guard with 60 seconds remaining. Malott threatens with an arm-triangle choke, stepping over to full mount and then to the side to complete the submission. The ultra-slippery Holland reverse-somersaults to somehow get out of the submission, and he worms his way back to his feet with Malott right after him. The Canadian bullies him to the wire, and looks for a mat return to wrap things up. Instead, he elbows Holland once, and they shake hands after time expires with no bad blood between them. That was certainly a fight of all time.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott (30-27 Malott)

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Kevin Holland via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, citing his high fight IQ, technical improvements after the Magny loss, and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Kevin Holland's inconsistency and poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, calling it an all-time low. He trusts Malott's control and power.

"I got to go with Mike Malott."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady has zero trust in Kevin Holland after his loss to Daniel Rodriguez, calling him a dumbass and declining. He questions Malott's durability and cardio but picks him by default. He predicts Malott takes Holland down and submits him, noting Holland's ground game stinks.

Malott by submission
"I'm going to pick Mike Malott. I'm gonna pick Mike Malot to win this fight by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Malott, citing Kevin Holland's recent durability issues and high fight frequency. He notes Holland was knocked down twice by Daniel Rodriguez, a sign of declining chin. Malott has a wrestling advantage and can mix takedowns with striking. Cody believes Malott will win by decision or late stoppage, especially with home crowd support.

"I'm not going to take Kevin Holland. I'm going to go with Mike Malot."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, emphasizing that Holland cannot be trusted to fight disciplined. He notes that Malott is proficient and consistent, with sharp boxing in the pocket. Connor points out that Holland's approach of 'having fun' leads to messy fights, and his chin may be deteriorating after getting hurt by Daniel Rodriguez. He believes Malott can outwork Holland.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"I definitely have a lot more faith in Mike Molotu fight a smart fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

James admits he has a poor track record betting on Malott fights but picks Malott due to his skill set and potential improvements after the Neil Magny loss. He questions Kevin Holland's recent form and durability, noting Holland's poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez. James expects a slow-paced fight and predicts Malott via decision, though he is not confident.

"I will pick Mike Malot in this fight. I think that he's still coming into his own. I think he may have improved after that Neil Magny fight. I think he might manage his cardio a little bit better. I …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host thinks this is a tough stylistic matchup for Malott. He believes Holland can pick Malott apart from distance with his speed, range, and distance work, and will eventually find a big shot to put Malott away.

win by knockout
"I think Holland can really pick apart Melot from distance and Meot on paper is a better skill for skill fighter than Holland but I just don't think he can keep up with the speed, range or distance work of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, arguing that the D-Rod fight was on short notice and Holland has had three months to prepare. He believes Holland's length and reach advantage will be key, and that Malott may gas as he did against Magny. Paul sees value in Holland as a dog and plans to bet him.

"Holland Holland's the pick for me at a pick on price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott over Kevin Holland. He notes Malott's submission skills and takedowns, and his game plan against Neil Magny. He criticizes Holland's inconsistency and chin issues. He predicts Malott will chew at the leg, get takedowns, and finish by arm triangle submission in round two.

arm triangle submission in round two
"I'm going with Mike Malott, and I'm going to take Mike Malott by arm triangle submission."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing his composure, defensive soundness, and ability to pick targets. He notes that Malott can outwrestle Holland and kick his legs. Zane is concerned about Holland's inconsistency and recent poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, where Holland made terrible errors and got hurt. He believes Malott will fight a smart fight.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"So yeah, I'll take Molot over Holland, but it's not a bad test from a lot."
KO R2 0:26 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 36 of 61 59% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 1 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 36 of 61 59% 21 of 42 5 of 9 10 of 10 28 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 10 of 33 30% 9 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 27 of 47 57% 12 of 29 5 of 8 10 of 10 25 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 10 of 29 34% 9 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 9 of 14 64% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-192), Radtke (+160)

Round 1
Halifax native Malott (11-2-1, 4-1 UFC) will attempt to put a bow on the prelims for his home country fans, and with 10 stoppages in his 11 pro wins, referee Marc Goddard will need to be on his A game. Standing across from him is a frustrated but very dangerous Radtke (10-4, 3-1 UFC), who does not like being booed even though he is in hostile territory. Tensions ran high at the weigh-ins as Radtke flipped off the crowd while draped in an American flag, and he will have the next 15 minutes or less to send an additional message. There is no touch of gloves to get going. Radtke reaches the center of the cage first, advancing forward and walking through a stomping kick to his knee so he can lash out with a right hand. Radtke dodges it and pushes off with a side kick, and he steps in with a left hand and a push kick. Malott sits down on a trio of punches to catch Radtke unaware, who tanks them well and responds with an overhand right. Malott kicks the lead knee a few more times, and he connects with a left hand over the top. Crude chants against Radtke rain down, who is promptly kicked in the ribs by the Canadian. Malott pins a one-two on the chin, and he dances out of the way of a counter. Malott sits down in four crisp punches, with Radtke’s chin holding up well. The chants rain down again, directing Radtke to do something inappropriate as Malott wraps a head kick around his guard and chains a spinning back kick into it. Radtke plods forward, clubbing Malott with a pair of hooks. Malott aims a front kick and connects at the end of a one-two, and he continues to beat on Radtke’s knee. The chants come a third time, and Malott channels that energy by kicking “Chuck Buffalo” in the head. Radtke swarms him, catching Malott with several punches that shake him up. Malott responds with a knee to the gut and breaks off, kicking the front leg on the way out. The punches from the American bust Malott’s nose open, who crashes the pocket and misses the mark with a swinging left. Malott connects with a body kick, leaning back to avoid a left hand and working on Radtke’s knee again. Radtke eats a few punches to swing on Malott, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle, and they promptly throw hands. Malott backs off, parrying the advancing Radtke and blasting him with a left hook that makes him crash into the cage. Malott whiffs on a high kick as Radtke circles away to get his bearings, and he walks the American down and plants a one-two square on his forehead.
This time, Malott does not stop with two punches, and the third, a crisp left hook, sends “Chuck Buffalo” collapsing to his seat. Radtke lays on his back clutching his head, and Malott sprints towards him and bombards him with five blistering punches that knock Radtke all the way out and back in again. As the Canadian drums Radtke’s skull off the cage floor, blood spraying from his busted jaw, Goddard runs towards them to stop the fight
. The audience that had already voiced full-throated support for their man goes ballistic, and it is deafening in the building. “Proper Mike” hoists the Canadian flag and climbs to the top of the cage, waving it in the air as he drinks in all the love in the building. Radtke sits up and tries to stand, but he has to be helped to the stool. Malott goes to shake hands with everyone willing to engage him, and he slams his hand on the corner post of a sponsor to make a point. The fighters shake hands, burying any beef that had developed during the week.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Charlie Radtke R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.

Placed parlay with Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money
"Mike's the better fighter here. He's faster, he's more athletic, he's has cleaner skills overall, but he's not the tougher guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.

Radtke wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going Charles Raky here to win this fight. ... I think Raky lands that left hook and knocks out Mike Malot in the second round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Not a whole lot of confidence here and I think fight doesn't go to decision will likely be the best course of action in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radkkey getting this one done in an upset by TKO. I'm assuming this is an upset."
WIN vs Trevin Giles
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 59 of 130 45% 59 of 130 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 34 of 78 43% 34 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 12 of 37 32% 12 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 0 28 of 54 51% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Malott 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 8 of 30 26% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 59 of 130 45% 22 of 82 19 of 28 18 of 20 59 of 129 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 34 of 78 43% 23 of 64 3 of 5 8 of 9 34 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 12 of 37 32% 2 of 24 4 of 7 6 of 6 12 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 9 of 16 56% 4 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 28 of 54 51% 13 of 34 8 of 11 7 of 9 28 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 17 of 32 53% 13 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mike Malott 19 of 39 48% 7 of 24 7 of 10 5 of 5 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 8 of 30 26% 6 of 26 1 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trevin Giles vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-250), Giles (+205)

Round 1
As it tends to do lately, the UFC has plugged in a fight promising violence in the opener of its main card. Malott (10-2-1, 3-1 UFC) will have the crowd behind him when he battles Houston native Giles (16-6, 7-6 UFC). The former has seen all 10 of his wins end inside the distance, while all of Giles’ pro defeats have come via stoppage. Anything can and often does happen in MMA, so even with Malott one of the largest betting favorites tonight, all that matters is the activity when the cage door closes. When it does, referee Andy Social is installed as the Octagon commander, and he starts the clock while the competitors do not touch gloves. Malott tries to strike first, but his front kick misses the mark. Once more, the Canadians in the building show their lack of support for Justin Trudeau, and the fighters ignore the chants. They measure one another from afar, pitching single strikes at one another and bouncing them off one another’s guard. The enthusiasm of the crowd shifts to “Let’s go Mike,” who promptly kicks Giles upside the head. Giles keeps his jab out to not let Malott get to him, and he chops at the low calf a few times. Malott winds a right hand over the top, and Giles checks a low kick. Giles slams his foot on the front leg of his opponent, and every impact sounds more bone-on-bone than slapping off skin. Malott digs deep with a hard low kick, and the jabs from Giles have reddened up the Canadian’s nose. Malott sprints forward, and when countered, blood trickles out of a cut on the bridge of his nose. Giles targets the new cut with jabs, and Malott chambers and fires three kicks that are all guarded. Giles paws out with a low kick and rifles off a right hand that brushes past his foe’s hair. Giles keeps his guard up to defend head kicks that fly fairly frequently, and Malott mixes things up with a hard calf kick. Giles parries a front kick and absorbs another heavy low kick, and he tries to push out a jab and is countered with a combination of punches. Giles snaps out a mean jab, and he tosses away a high kick and blocks a spinning back kick. The Texan turns his shin towards a calf kick, and he ducks a few looping punches and breathes a sigh of relief. Giles comes up hitting air with an overhand right, and he blocks a head kick right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles

Round 2
Malott wants to get right down to business to start the second round, and Giles meets him in the middle with powerful punches. Giles defends a head kick and takes a right hand and a low kick, and he looks for a clubbing right hand over the top that glances off the shoulder. Giles kicks the front leg, and Malott responds with a front kick. When seeing it land, Malott targets the same spot on the abdomen with the ball of his foot, drawing a reaction out of an energized Giles. The Texan connects with a jab and two follow-up punches, and Malott keeps him honest by slinging head kicks at him. Giles wings two huge punches, and a third whooshes past the Canuck. Malott jabs the body with a front kick from either let, and he looses a heavy body kick that Giles catches and sets down. Giles slides back from a high kick, and he lunges in and gets countered with a short right hand. Giles plods ever forward, staying light on his feet to protect himself from kicks, and still keeps a solid base to shut down a takedown effort. Malott kicks the front leg twice, and he chambers and fires a third from the other side. Giles prods out a heavy jab, and he follows one with a wide overhand right. Malott uses front kick after front kick to keep Giles from reaching him with his big punches, but this results in them taking turns. Malott splits the guard with a big right hand, and Giles blinks it out and crouches down to try to defend a low kick. Malott has a head kick zoom past his foe, and Giles looks for a right hand over the top but absorbs a clean spinning back kick to the ribcage. “The Problem” gives Malott a problem to think about in the form of a huge right hand, and Malott welcomes it and slings back. Malott kicks his foe in the ribs, and he tries to spin with it and then turn through with a head kick, but Giles watches them all whiz by his face without concern. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
A Giles jab starts the round, but Malott is quick to hop on his bike and peck away with kicks to all targets. A front kick narrowly misses the jaw, and Giles tries to make him pay with a booming right hand. Malott rolls with it and sticks out a jab, and he bounces up and down and is slapped in the face with a surprise question-mark kick. Malott sinks two leg kicks low, and Giles has to pull his leg back and thinks about changing stances. Malott kicks him in the head, with the impact of the blow knocking him back a step despite it colliding with his glove. Malott drives a leg kick to the calf, and Giles pushes forward swinging hammers but has his hands batted away. Malott uses a jab to open up a front kick from either foot, and he overswings and is lucky to not get caught with a looping strike. Malott brings his shin up quickly, but it is his short left hand when Giles bares down on him that lands more effectively. Giles whiffs, dodges a spin kick and takes a kick on the ribs. Malott’s front kick keeps him at a safe range, and he checks a kick while switching stances. Giles hits nothing but air with huge right hands, and Malott picks his shots carefully and does not expose himself for much. A body kick from the Canadian is caught, and Giles whips a right hand at him but it just grazes off the cheek. Malott drops his hands and looses a head kick that ricochets off the raised guard of his opponent, and he is met with a jab to the body on the way out. Malott freezes up his opponent with his feints and fakes, and he shuts down a body lock attempt and thumps Giles with a calf kick. A head kick goes wide from “Proper Mike,” who properly ends the middling fight with a sharp jab.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Giles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.

quitters discount
"Mike mot's going to be the pick I do have some Vietnam meme style flashbacks of him just quitting with a couple of seconds left so it's hard for me to pull the trigger in a bet but I should …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.

submission in round 2
"give me a Mike mot I'll say submit trevan Giles in the second round maybe even a club and Subs yeah Mike mot second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.

"I got Mike mot I think he'll probably end up on the second line but just a little sliver of uncertainty is going to keep him off the first line likely for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.

"I'm G pick Mike mot to to get an opportunistic finish"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.

fight doesn't go to decision
"small bet on trevan Gils at the price makes sense for me and maybe a bigger bet on the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"I believe Giles's striking speed and overall Advantage here should allow him to put up pace on Malott and run away late with this matchup and end up getting a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.

"I think he's the rightful favor and I figure he probably going to be relatively at the top of your PRP this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.

submission
"I'm going to go with Mike mallow here I think he'll be able to outg Grapple Trevon Giles and I'll take him by submission"
LOSS vs Neil Magny
TKO (punches) R3 4:45 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 57 of 102 55% 110 of 159 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:47
Mike Malott 0 45 of 67 67% 100 of 128 4 of 6 66% 0 0 6:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 5 of 25 20% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Mike Malott 0 20 of 31 64% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
2 Neil Magny 0 6 of 15 40% 18 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 21 of 30 70% 67 of 79 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:08
3 Neil Magny 0 46 of 62 74% 80 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Mike Malott 0 4 of 6 66% 13 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 57 of 102 55% 52 of 95 3 of 3 2 of 4 13 of 44 0 of 2 44 of 56
Mike Malott 45 of 67 67% 19 of 40 4 of 4 22 of 23 30 of 49 0 of 0 15 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 5 of 25 20% 4 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 3 5 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 20 of 31 64% 2 of 13 1 of 1 17 of 17 20 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 21 of 30 70% 14 of 22 3 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 17 0 of 0 12 of 13
3 Neil Magny 46 of 62 74% 44 of 60 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 44 of 56
Mike Malott 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Neil Magny vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-340), Magny (+270)

Round 1
With Malott looking to show he is a Top 15 fighter, and Magny aiming to prove that he can do more than man the velvet rope for that category even at age 36, only one is likely to get his wish. Kevin Macdonald is the referee. Both fighters are in orthodox stance, and Malott lands a front kick to Magny’s lead leg immediately. Magny comes forward behind a high guard and Malott goes back to the lead leg with another push kick. Moments later, he hits Magny with a calf kick to that leg, then another. A strategy appears to be emerging. Malott steps in behind an overhand right, and Magny meets him, grabbing a clinch. Malott immediately shoves him off. Malott surges forward with a pair of big looping hooks. They fall short but succeed in backing Magny straight to the fence. Malott throws a lightning-fast head kick, but Magny just as quickly steps inside and takes the clinch again. Malott drives Magny to the fence and pummels his way out of the position, moving away from the cage and forcing Magny to follow. Malott goes back to the leg kicks, all aimed at the lead left leg of Magny. Malott is now getting Magny to bite on hip feints, indicating the effect the kicks have had so far. Malott lands a glancing low kick at the 10-second clapper, the last offense of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
Magny throws a low kick to open the round, which Malott checks. Magny stalks forward and Malott gives ground, then plants and catches Magny with a clean two-punch combination that stings. Malott lands an inside kick to the lead leg, followed by a body kick on the other side. Magny comes crashing forward, but Malott uses a body lock to take him down, landing in full guard. Magny works to create some space to escape, but Malott more or less lets him up. Malott closes the distance again and uses a body lock and trip to dump the taller man to the floor at the base of the fence. Malott is in a sort of loose half guard, hovering over Magny, and when he dives in with an elbow strike, Magny locks down his right leg. Malott gets a few shots in from half guard, then stands over Magny. Magny throws a upkick and Malott jumps right back onto him, moving to mount. Magny spins to put his feet against the fence, looking to use the cage to bridge and escape, but Malott scoots him away from the cage and stays in mount, throwing methodical, heavy elbows and forearms. Malott isolates Magny’s left arm, perhaps considering a submission, but at the 10-second clapper gives up on it and throws strikes until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Malott throws a leg kick and backs Magny up with punches, then changes levels and more or less bowls him over for a fast takedown, landing in mount. Magny wraps his arms around Malott, keeping him from posturing up and doing major damage, then bucks and returns to his feet. Malott follows him across the cage and launches himself at his hips, scoring another easy takedown. Magny gets to full guard, then grapevines the legs, trying to keep Malott from going anywhere. Malott throws some short strikes before standing up out of guard and dives back in, but ends up in full guard again. Magny stands and Malott grabs a guillotine, pulling guard as he does, but Magny pops his head out and ends up on top, where he starts throwing punches with some urgency. Malott is suddenly looking exhausted and Magny is all over him. Malott turns to his side, but otherwise offers no real defense as Magny continues throwing a stream of unblocked punches with both hands. There’s less than 30 seconds left. Referee Macdonald is looking on closely, and as motivated as he might be to avoid any possibility of a quick stoppage, after at least two dozen unanswered blows, he interposes himself for the TKO with just 15 seconds left on the clock. What a comeback by the ageless, indefatigable Neil Magny.

The Official Result
Neil Magny def. Mike Malott R3 4:45 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Malott, viewing this as a showcase for the Canadian prospect. He acknowledges Magny's experience and toughness but notes Magny has looked declining in recent fights. He warns against overexposure on Malott since this is his toughest opponent, but plans to have some action on him.

Will have some action on Malott; avoid overexposure
"this has to be a Mike mot pick this is the matchup in Canada for a reason"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady is very confident in Malott, calling it a setup fight. He notes Malott is dangerous everywhere with 100% finish rate, while Magny is 36, has taken damage, and has been submitted six times. He expects Malott to get a takedown and submit Magny in the first round.

first round submission
"give be Mike mot to win this fight by first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody is confident Malott wins, citing his size, strength, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Malott's quick finishes but acknowledges Magny's durability and cardio. He suggests Malott by decision as a prop because Magny is tough to finish.

Malott by decision at +400 to +450
"Mot definitely the pick... the prop is a little tricky... maybe mot by decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott to win but is hesitant due to Malott's unproven ceiling and Magny's veteran tactics. He acknowledges Malott's dangerous finishing ability and guillotine series, but worries about Magny's clinch game and length. He notes Magny has been fading but has also been a tough fade historically. He passes on betting the -400 line.

"I'm going to pick Mike mot to continuous streak and show out"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Vreeland picks Magny as a dog, citing the massive step up in competition for Malott. He notes Magny's size, reach advantage, and ability to impose his game plan. Vreeland questions Malott's path to victory, doubting he can outwrestle Magny or overcome the reach disadvantage on the feet. He sees value in the plus money.

plus 310 dog money
"I am going dog that's going to surprise you probably right Neil Magny I had a feeling you Neil Magny big step up like this is this is a real big step up from lot unless Magny is totally from …"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Fox also picks Magny, agreeing with Vreeland on the step up in competition. He notes Magny's reach advantage and good wrestling defense. Fox doesn't see a clear path for Malott, as Magny is a tall fighter who knows how to use his reach. He likes the dog money.

plus 310 dog money
"I don't really like the pass to Victory here from a lot do you think he's like gonna out wrestle Neil Magny like mag's got pretty good wrestling right like he he's at least defensively seems like he's got good …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Magny vs Malott.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

I fully expect Malott to play with Magny on the feet, eventually drag the fight to the ground, and strangle him with a submission. Malott's grappling advantage is huge, and Magny has historically struggled against strong grapplers. The -365 line is a bit wide for a prospect against a veteran, but I think the fight will look like a cakewalk for Malott. I'm looking for a first-round submission.

submission victory, first round finish
"I fully expect Mike mot to play with Magny on the feet a little bit eventually drag this fight to the ground and strangle Neo Magny on route to a submission Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul agrees Malott wins but won't bet the -400 moneyline. He thinks Malott has the power and grappling advantage but Magny is durable and has gone the distance with top guys. He considers Malott by decision as a possible prop.

Malott by decision (mentioned as a possibility)
"I think mot wins... there's no way I touch the minus 400."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, citing Magny's age and recent KO loss to Ian Garry. He trusts Malott's pressure and leg kicks, and predicts a submission via arm triangle in round two. He also mentions Magny's personal issues (custody battle) as a potential distraction.

submission, round 2
"I'm going to go with Mike Mallet I was going I was honestly hedging the idea of picking Neil Magny here"
WIN vs Adam Fugitt
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 1:06 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 19 of 41 46% 19 of 41 2 of 2 100% 1 1 1:26
Adam Fugitt 0 9 of 28 32% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:19
Adam Fugitt 0 7 of 23 30% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Mike Malott 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:07
Adam Fugitt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 19 of 41 46% 9 of 29 10 of 10 0 of 2 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 9 of 28 32% 2 of 17 6 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 7 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 7 of 23 30% 2 of 15 4 of 6 1 of 2 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 5 of 8 62% 2 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Adam Fugitt vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-205), Fugitt (+175)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night” slot, two unranked welterweights with plenty to prove and sky-high finish rates will do their darnedest to pump up the masses before the final two big bouts on the card. Surging into this main card opportunity, Haligonian Malott (9-1-1, 2-0 UFC) will throw down with Oregon native Fugitt (9-3, 1-1 UFC) in a vintage U.S. vs. Canada affair. Before the fight begins, during Malott’s entrance, fans lean on the railing by the walkout area and break it, and a number of them fall down to the floor. Hopefully everyone is ok. Back to the fight action, keeping a lid on things in the cage will be referee Dan Miragliotta. There is no glove touch, as these two want to start trading and do exactly that. Malott scores a few right hands, and he digs a body kick that hurts the Oregonian early. Malott rushes after him, throwing strikes, and Fugitt backs him off with a counter hook. Malott watches a few head kicks soar past him, and he aims another kick to the ribs. The right hand from Malott has marked up Fugitt’s left eye already, and he is making the body change colors as well from his kicks. Fugitt swipes out with a left hand, and Malott lashes out a head kick to keep him honest. As Malott is circling, he slips unexpectedly, but he is able to get back up without issue. Malott releases a body kick that bangs into the top of Fugitt’s cup, and Miragliotta sees it and steps in. Fugitt waves him off, declaring he is fine, and they get back to it. Fugitt, on the restart, punches his way into a takedown. Malott counters it by throwing the American down to the floor with a lateral drop, and he lands in half guard and is quick to line up an arm-triangle choke. Fugitt pulls him back to the guard, so Malott stands up. Fugitt uses his upkicks to toss his man off of him, and he fights back to his feet. Malott fires off a head kick, and Fugitt spins with a kick that misses. Malott punches his way to a head kick, and all three strikes miss as Fugitt is out of the way. Fugitt similarly misses with a head kick, and he chambers and fires a body kick. The Canadian catches it and dumps Fugitt to the floor. Malott moves to half guard, and Fugitt employs butterfly guard to try to kick Malott off. A temporary effort of rubber guard is abandoned by Fugitt, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The second round begins with Malott leading off from a head kick. Fugitt blocks it and marches forward, and the two hand-fight with alternating stances. Malott jabs the body with his toes extended, and Fugitt misses the mark with his own head kick. Malott steps in with a kick, and he blasts Fugitt with a right and a left. The American topples to the mat, and Malott surges after him in an effort to secure the stoppage. Fugitt tries to get to a knee so that he can stand up again, and this is the worst idea he can have, as Malott leaps to snatch up a guillotine choke trained well by his gym of Team Alpha Male. Malott rolls Fugitt over to his back and locks down the mounted guillotine, and it is only a matter of time now. Fugitt realizes he is caught in a web, and he taps out frantically. That makes it a clean sweep for Canadian fighters tonight at 5-0 against the world, which might be a statistical achievement for the Great White North at a UFC card. The crowd erupts for their fighter, and for shared success, after a sensational performance for a fast-rising welterweight talent.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Adam Fugitt R2 1:06 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, believing he is better everywhere except straight wrestling. He notes that Malott is a well-rounded prospect with three stoppage wins in the UFC. He expects a fun fight and thinks Malott will get it done. He plans to bet on Adam Fugitt to have more takedowns when prop lines drop.

Bet: Adam Fugitt over 2.5 takedowns or more takedowns (prop not yet available)
"I think Mike Milan is absolutely gonna get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Malott is dangerous everywhere, with solid striking and high-level BJJ, while Fugitt is hittable and not as skilled. Malott has never been past the first round (all wins in round 1), and Brady expects an early finish. However, if the fight extends, Fugitt could take over if Malott gasses.

first round knockout
"give me Mike milot I'll say first round knockout for Mike milot the guy hits like a truck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, highlighting his well-rounded skills (BJJ black belt, good striker) and smart fight IQ. He thinks Malott will use his speed advantage and stay on the outside, avoiding wrestling with Fugitt. He notes that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, as most of his wins are early finishes. He expects Malott to land a big shot or secure a submission if the fight goes to the ground.

"I think the great thing about Mike Milo and he's been around the Canadian scene for a long time he's kind of like known as that next breakout Canadian star"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Fugitt reacts poorly to getting hit and has bad body language when eating strikes. He believes Malott's aggressive pocket boxing will overwhelm Fugitt, who is technically limited. He also notes that Malott is a credible submission threat on the ground.

Malott opened at -200, currently -201; Fugitt opened at +177, currently +178.
"I'm taking a lot. No question."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Levi picks Mike Malott but with almost zero faith, acknowledging that Malott has holes in his striking defense and that the fade is coming. He notes that Malott is a better athlete and has first-round finishing upside, but he sees openings that could be exploited. He mentions that he played Fugitt at plus odds for value, but thinks Malott will still find a way to win. He warns against parlaying Malott heavily.

played Fugitt at +277 for value
"I'm gonna go milot with almost zero faith"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Adam Fugitt

James picks Adam Fugitt, despite having lost money fading Malott in the past. He thinks Fugitt has a good chance to win, especially if the fight goes past round one. Malott is a strong round-one finisher but tends to fade. James believes Fugitt is the perfect archetype to break Malott. He sees the fight as a pick'em: Malott has a 50% chance to win early, Fugitt 50% to win late. He also includes Fugitt inside the distance in a degenerate parlay.

Adam Fugitt inside the distance (in parlay)
"I'm betting Adam fugit here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Malott has a Muay Thai base and improving jiu-jitsu, and he's on a hot streak since moving to welterweight. Fugitt is a solid fighter but may be capped at this level. Both have finishing upside, making the under 2.5 rounds attractive. Malott should find a submission after getting the fight to the ground, but Fugitt's power makes this a risky chalk play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-230), Malott wins by submission
"I'm going to lean with them a lot side here who eventually finds this takedown finds a submission and wraps it up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Mike Malott but with hesitancy, noting that Fugitt is being overlooked. He points out that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, and Fugitt is a bigger, rugged welterweight with a reach advantage. However, he believes Malott's superior footwork and striking will allow him to chip away or find a finish. He expects Malott to win but is not fully confident.

"I will take Mike Malad as well but uh bit of hesitancy this is a good fight it's actually well matched"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, noting he is a Canadian prospect given a favorable matchup. He praises Malott's easy wins over tricky opponents and his great grappling. He believes Fugitt lacks the ability to knock out or out-grapple Malott. He predicts a first-round submission via arm triangle.

prediction of first round submission via arm triangle
"I'm going with Mike Mallett he's been given an opponent although they'll never say this we know what it is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing that Fugitt's wrestling is not reliable enough to implement a game plan. He notes that Malott is aggressive on the ground and can scramble, making it hard for Fugitt to hold him down. He also mentions that Fugitt's striking is a mess and Malott will have opportunities.

"I'm going to pick him largely because even though I suspect Fujit will take him down, I don't really trust Fujit to put together a game plan built entirely around that."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Yohan Lainesse vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-215), Lainesse (+185)

Round 1
The main card commences with all-Canadian violence, which might sound oxymoronic but comes in the form of a welterweight clash pitting Malott (8-1-1, 1-0 UFC) against Lainesse (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Combined, the two have 14 stoppages across their 17 wins, so referee Mark Smith’s services might be required sooner than later. The countrymen will save admiration and respect for later and do not opt to touch gloves. Lainesse lands the first blow in the form of an inside low kick, and Malott dances on the outside and brings a kick up high that glances off the guard. “Proper Mike” turns to plant a side kick on Lainesse’s belly, and he has another high kick blocked. Lainesse retreats and absorbs a booming body kick, and Malott lets him off the hook to recover. Lainesse lines up a body kick and a high kick, with the former getting through, and Lainesse does not attempt to counter or even throw a strike in response. Lainesse tosses out a half-hearted strike in the open space, and Malott is feet away. In response, Malott darts forward with a stomping kick to the knee. Lainesse comes up short with a head kick, and Malott whips a kick that pounds into the forearm. Malott gets off a side kick into a leaping right hand, and Lainesse suddenly surges into action with a looping left hand. Malott catches the advancing man and uses his momentum against him to hit an inside trip and dump him on the mat, where he lands in half guard. Lainesse clings tightly to his man on top to disallow him from opening up with strikes, and this nullifies Malott for a time.
Malott steps through again to return to half guard again, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke and crushes his shoulder on Lainesse’s windpipe. Before even moving to mount, Malott has Lainesse in danger. Malott does move to full mount to secure the choke, but it does not take more than a couple seconds for Lainesse to surrender.
That marks nine finishes in nine wins for the rising Malott, who has still never needed more than five minutes to record a victory.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Yohan Lainesse R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Lainesse is not a good wrestler and has no change-up; he has to get a knockout. Connor points out that Lainesse's solution to gassing was to reduce output, which is not sustainable. Malott, while not a great wrestler, is willing and has a nice left hook. Connor also mentions that Lainesse may never have faced someone who throws good punches, and Malott's compact punching could be a problem for him.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I guess I'll take him a lot because the other thing with Linus is that he's not a good wrestler it's not a good wrestler there's not really any change-up that Linus can throw in here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott because he is the smoother, more defensively mindful fighter with better pocket mechanics. He notes that Malott has a great sense of spatial awareness in the pocket and throws compact, solid punches. Lainesse, on the other hand, is a raw power puncher who gasses easily and has poor wrestling. Zane believes if Malott survives the first round, he can push Lainesse to fatigue and potentially hurt him with his left hook.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I'm gonna take a lot I think being the smoother slicker more defensively mindful guy inside with better mechanics as long as he survives the first round I think he can push Linus to the point that yeah Linus is …"
WIN vs Mickey Gall
TKO (punches) R1 3:41 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mickey Gall vs. Mike Malott

Round 1
Once the new kid on the block, now 30 years old and 10 UFC fights in, Gall (7-4, 6-4 UFC) finds himself in a different role than usual as he takes on a company debutant in Canada’s Malott (7-1-1, 0-0 UFC). It will be the first time since Gall took on Phil “CM Punk” Brooks that he will have an experience advantage, and he will have to take on a man in Malott who holds all of his wins by stoppage. Referee James Larry Folsom is ready for wherever the fight goes, and the welterweights do not touch gloves before getting after it. Instead, Malott comes out with a jumping side kick, pushing Gall back right out of the gate. He slows down, and then wings a high kick that Gall is able to block in time. Chants of “USA” rain down in support of Gall against the Canadian, which empower him to score a right hand across the top. Malott returns fire with a pair of punches that knock Gall back, but Gall regains his composure and pressures forward. The newcomer lands a leg kick as Gall throws hands at him, and Malott replies with a right hand that hurts Gall. Gall tries to clinch up, and he whiffs on a standing hammerfist when Malott backs away. Malott pushes out a jab and a right hand to follow it as Gall ignores them and throws caution to the wind to engage. Both men land cleanly, and a Malott right hand hurts Gall badly. Gall, cut and bleeding out of the corner of his right eye, does not look overly fazed as he shakes off the cobwebs, and he comes out to attack with straight punches with his chin straight in the air. Malott comes at him, and Gall pursues a standing guillotine choke before Malott pushes off and dings him with a left hook. Gall races forward in pursuit of a takedown, and he yanks Malott down to the mat. The Canadian does not stay grounded for long, walking off the wall back to his feet, and he pushes away as Gall is landing shots. Malott throws a left hand into a high kick, and Gall crashes forward to blast him with a barrage of blows.
As Gall blitzes him, “Proper Mike” stays composed and sits down on right hand on the ear and a left that completely shuts Gall’s lights out. Gall crumples to the mat like a bird that just had its wings clipped, and when he hits the ground face-first, he reactivates. Malott is on him in an instant, raining down hammerfists until Folsom intervenes.
Gall does get back up rather quickly after the stoppage, although he is not frustrated by it as he face-planted moments earlier. This is a big introduction to the promotion for Malott, who now celebrates half of his wins by knockout and the other half by sub. Making the most of his post-fight interview, he states that he will donate his show money ($10,000) to help a coach's daughter fight against cancer, and asks people to donate to the cause on his
Instagram
.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Mickey Gall R1 3:41 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Angelo leans Mickey Gall due to his experience and better wrestling/BJJ. He thinks Gall's wrestling is better than Malott's and his BJJ is also superior. He expects Gall to win a decision, but acknowledges Malott is dangerous and a better striker.

"i think mickey's wrestling is better than mike's i think his bjj is also better so i like mickey to win a decision here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round TKO. He likes Malott's striking power and black belt BJJ, but notes his chin is a concern as he has been knocked out before. Gall has power and submission ability but poor cardio. Brady thinks Malott's better cardio and tools give him the edge, and expects an early finish.

first round TKO
"i'll take mike a lot to win by give me like a first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody leans towards Gall as a live underdog. He notes Malott's history of gassing after the first round and his questionable chin. Cody thinks Gall's BJJ is good enough to neutralize Malott's grappling, and that Gall's striking has improved. He believes if Malott doesn't finish early, Gall can take over in later rounds.

"i think gol could be a live underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Levi respects Mickey Gall for surviving and learning in the UFC against tough competition. He criticizes Mike Malott's cardio and tendency to freeze when pressured, noting Malott has only three minutes of octagon time in seven years. He believes Gall can crowd Malott, throw combinations, and use his grappling to win. He thinks the line should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is betting Gall.

"i think this is a spot where he can come out here and capitalize at the very least i think the fight should be a pick em so at plus 170 odds which i got i'm gonna dies"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

I really like Malott in this spot. He has great striking and jiu-jitsu, and being at 170 should help his durability. He is the better striker and jiu-jitsu player. I think he will land a club and sub or get a finish inside the distance. Gall has been inconsistent and Malott should run through him.

Malott inside the distance +110
"I'm gonna go Malott... I do believe that's how he'll get it done I think he'll land probably a club and sub..."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Malott but is hesitant, noting Malott's long layoffs and questionable cardio. He acknowledges Gall's BJJ and experience, and that Malott's chin might be suspect. Paul thinks Malott's wrestling and size could be enough, but warns that Gall is live if the fight goes past the first round. He calls it a 'ride or die' pick.

"my pick canada malot my guy we wish each other happy birthday you know i got i got a ride or die on this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, citing his long training at Team Alpha Male and experience despite a 7-1 record. He expects a first-round submission, noting that Mickey Gall can be sloppy and leave openings.

first round submission prediction
"i am going to go with mike mallett here over mickey gall and i reckon he gets this one done by finnish at some point in the first round by submission"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott with extreme confidence, calling Gilbert Burns too old, slow, and not durable. He notes Gilbert is on a four-fight losing streak and has not submitted anyone recently. He recommends parlaying Malott heavily, saying the odds are too wide and should be much higher.

Parlay Mike Malott heavily, even if he's minus 11,000.
"Mike Malott's the pick. Parlay the [ __ ] out of him, even if he's minus 11,000. Like, this is unbelievably straightforward."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady hesitantly picks Mike Malott, despite calling him overrated. He criticizes Malott's takedown defense, questionable cardio, and low volume, but notes his power. Brady also doubts Gilbert Burns' durability and age (40). He predicts Malott wins by second-round knockout but says he will not bet on the fight.

second round knockout; no bet
"I'm taking Mike Malott. I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout, but this is a fight I will not be betting on."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Gilbert Burns because he sees value in the plus money and questions Mike Malott's cardio in later rounds. He notes that Burns has fought top competition and that Malott has never been past three rounds. He also mentions that the line movement towards Burns supports his pick.

round 4 and round 5 props
"I end up with a Gilbert Burns play. I know it's going to upset some people I know personally. And you know, don't shoot the messenger. It's just uh sometimes it's more economics than you going with your heart."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel believes Mike Malott is catching Gilbert Burns at a great time, as Burns is nearly 40 and on a decline. He thinks Malott's explosiveness and freshness will be key, and that Burns will show signs of aging when hit. He predicts Malott will finish Burns.

"I think Mike Malot's going to come out here in Winnipeg, Canada, and I think he's going to finish Gilbert Dorinho Burns."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

Burns is a value underdog despite being older and on a losing streak. Malott fades in later rounds and has shown weakness on the ground. Burns has excellent grappling and cardio for five rounds. If Burns survives the early rounds, he can take over. The odds are too wide; this fight is closer to 50/50.

fight not to go to decision (odds terrible)
"I think this fight is way closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host mentions the main event but does not make a pick for either fighter. He only notes that Gilbert Burns has been bet down from a massive underdog to a big underdog.

"Gilbert Burns has been getting bet down from a massive underdog to now just a big underdog."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

James believes the line is too wide and that Gilbert Burns has value as a plus 425 underdog. He thinks Burns can weather the early storm and take over in later rounds due to his experience and cardio. Despite picking Malott as the pure winner, he confidently sides with Burns for the moneyline.

"I'm going to say Gilbert Burns gets the upset here. And that's because I'm a sports better."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host believes Mike Malott will land a big shot and put Gilbert Burns away, but does not like the chalk on Malott. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds as the best way to play the matchup, expecting pocket exchanges and a striking battle. He notes Burns' age and four-fight losing streak, and thinks Malott's power will be the difference.

under 2.5 rounds
"I like Malott here. I don't like the chalk on him. I think he'll end up landing a big shot to put Burns down, but I think the under two and a half would probably be the best way to go in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul also picks Gilbert Burns, citing the same concerns about Malott's cardio and the value on Burns. He mentions he has a bet on Burns at plus 316 and likes late round props. He believes Burns can win if the fight goes into the later rounds.

round 4 and round 5 props
"Burns is the side for me. Um, I see some other people saying that like, you know, he's going to run, you know, Burns going to get knocked out in the first round. I mean, it's possible. It's MMA. Anything can happen, but like I'm going to give Gilbert Burns …"