UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Rinat Fakhretdinov
5.03 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
3.61 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
3.91 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
91.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
4.16 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.56 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.79 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Moneyline
FanDuel -335
KO/TKO
FanDuel +300
Submission
FanDuel +390
Decision
BetRivers +175
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Moneyline
BetWay +300
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetMGM +2200
Decision
BetRivers +500
Rinat Fakhretdinov - Fight History
KO R1 0:54 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andreas Gustafsson 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andreas Gustafsson 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andreas Gustafsson 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 42 54% 19 of 38 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 29 8 of 11 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andreas Gustafsson 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 42 54% 19 of 38 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 29 8 of 11 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rinat Fakhretdinov vs. Andreas Gustafsson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gustafsson (-115); Fakhretdinov (+100)

Round 1
Moving right along, a pair of welterweights who have yet to taste defeat in the cage—recent controversial decision notwithstanding—will throw down and try to hand the other their first loss in the Octagon. Gustafsson (12-2, 1-0 UFC) is 1-for-1 in the promotion thus far, while Russia’s Fakhretdinov (23-1-1, 5-0-1 UFC) has much more experience although most thought Carlos Leal beat him in his last time out. What happened before matters not, as these two are only focused on the man in front of them, plus referee Patricio Carlos. The athletes touch ‘em up before throwing down.
Gustafsson immediately goes on the offensive, swinging for the fences right out of the gate. Gustafsson chases Fakhretdinov around, scoring with every few strikes as the Russian is able to protect himself from the worst of the big swings. Fakhretdinov counters and tags Gustafsson with a one-two, and this completely changes the complexion of the berserker Gustafsson. It may not appear to be the most concussive blow, but it catches “Bane” just right and sends him squirrely.
Backing off to the cage, Gustafsson shells up, but Fakhretdinov goes after him and assaults him with an elbow, the end of a high kick and a veritable kitchen sink of offense. Gustafsson leans against the fencing, and Fakhretdinov clubs him with an onslaught of punches and arcing hammerfists. When the Swede hits the deck, Carlos has seen enough and waves the fight off.
Controversy? What past controversy? Fakhretdinov takes the judges out of the equation by drumming out Gustafsson in under a minute, handing “Bane” his first finish defeat while extending his impressive unbeaten streak one more.

The Official Result
Rinat Fakhretdinov def. Andreas Gustafsson R1 0:54 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but with low confidence, noting the line has flipped from Rinat being favorite to underdog. He acknowledges Rinat's wrestling credentials but points out his poor takedown efficiency (2 for 19 in last fight) and chinny nature. He thinks Gustafsson's relentless pressure and grinding style could cause problems, especially if he defends takedowns. However, he admits Rinat is more experienced and accomplished, and calls this a huge test for Gustafsson. He placed a small bet at +125.

small bet at +125
"Andreas Gustoson is the pick. A very small bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, praising his unique clinch game and unlimited cardio. He acknowledges Gustafsson's striking is poor at range but believes he will impose his clinch, wearing on Fakhretdinov with elbows and knees. He sees a potential late finish but predicts a decision win.

Gustafsson by decision
"I just see Gustoson pushing Renat against the cage here, holding him there, grinding on him, landing elbows, landing knees, wearing on him."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

Connor picks Gustafsson, emphasizing his relentless pressure and mental toughness. He notes that Fakhretdinov has a history of gassing and that Gustafsson's style of making the fight a punishment will be effective. Connor also points out that Gustafsson's losses have been close decisions and that he has the right mentality to break Fakhretdinov.

Fakhretdinov opened at -300, now -105; Gustafsson opened at +250, now -115
"He is an actual viking."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

The host acknowledges the hype around Gustafsson after his last performance but warns not to overlook Fakhretdinov's wrestling and smothering approach. He leans with Gustafsson winning on the scorecards by landing more damage and getting more meaningful control.

"I'm still going to end up leaning with Gustiffson winning this fight on the scorecards as he just lands a little bit more damage and gets more meaningful control."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

The Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson because he believes Rinat Fakhretdinov has been fortunate in close decisions and that his opponents often fall short. He argues that Gustafsson's constant pressure and volume will overwhelm Fakhretdinov, who won't be able to impose his wrestling. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gustafsson, winning the last two rounds.

"I'm going with Andreas Gustoson over Renat for Cretinov because if there's one thing I've noticed about Renat for Cretin's last few fights is that he leaves it very, very close."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

Zane picks Gustafsson, citing his relentless pressure and fearlessness. He believes Gustafsson's style will wear down Fakhretdinov, who tends to gas in fights. Zane notes that Fakhretdinov's wrestling is good but Gustafsson's ability to keep coming and make the fight a punishment for his opponent will be key. He also mentions that Gustafsson has only lost close decisions to tough opponents.

Fakhretdinov opened at -300, now -105; Gustafsson opened at +250, now -115
"I think I'm going to pick him. I think I will too. I think it's just, it's just a stylistic thing."
WIN vs Carlos Leal
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 109 of 222 49% 119 of 236 2 of 19 10% 0 0 3:14
Carlos Leal 0 107 of 246 43% 146 of 292 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 24 of 53 45% 28 of 59 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:57
Carlos Leal 0 28 of 63 44% 56 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 33 of 68 48% 37 of 73 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
Carlos Leal 0 37 of 86 43% 44 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 52 of 101 51% 54 of 104 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:24
Carlos Leal 0 42 of 97 43% 46 of 103 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 109 of 222 49% 82 of 184 15 of 26 12 of 12 96 of 197 13 of 25 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 107 of 246 43% 72 of 207 16 of 20 19 of 19 94 of 231 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 24 of 53 45% 17 of 43 3 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 47 0 of 6 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 28 of 63 44% 19 of 53 5 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 33 of 68 48% 24 of 56 5 of 8 4 of 4 31 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 37 of 86 43% 25 of 72 3 of 5 9 of 9 35 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 52 of 101 51% 41 of 85 7 of 12 4 of 4 41 of 85 11 of 16 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 42 of 97 43% 28 of 82 8 of 9 6 of 6 35 of 89 7 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Fakhretdinov, emphasizing his dominant wrestling. He acknowledges Leal has good striking and takedown defense but believes Fakhretdinov will implement his will with cage pushing and control time. He predicts a decision win, possibly boring.

"I got to go ferin off here um I just think he's going to implement his will I think he's going to push out against the cage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Cody picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Leal has questionable takedown defense and that Fakhretdinov can grind out a decision. However, Cody is not confident because Fakhretdinov has gassed in recent fights and struggled against strikers. He expects a decision win.

Fakhretdinov by decision
"I got R Faker enough Rea Faker Enough by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, agreeing that Leal is a good veteran but his game is not modern MMA. Leal relies on kicks and clinch wrestling but lacks pace and volume. Fakhretdinov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Leal, and this fight was made to give Fakhretdinov a decisive win.

"Yeah. Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win, but with low confidence due to Fakhretdinov's recent performances and questionable gas tank. He notes that Fakhretdinov has dominant top-time upside and that Leal is taking the fight on short notice. Vreeland would need a better price to bet Fakhretdinov, but expects him to get takedowns and potentially grind out a win.

"I'm going renat here"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland sees Rinat Fakhretdinov as a tough matchup for Carlos Leal, especially on short notice. He notes that Leal lost twice to Magomed Umalatov in PFL, who used clinch and takedowns to outmuscle him, and Fakhretdinov has similar skills. Vreeland believes Fakhretdinov will grind out a win via takedowns and control, and thinks the -250 line is still low.

higher than 3 takedowns for Fakhretdinov (Underdog fantasy pick)
"give me rat ferin off here I think negative 250 probably still low for him"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Jeff Fox agrees with Vreeland, calling Fakhretdinov a tough matchup for anyone. He notes that Leal has weight-cutting issues and is making his UFC debut on short notice, which makes it even harder. Fox expects Fakhretdinov to grind out a win, though he doesn't provide additional technical detail.

"he's pretty much he's a tough match up for anyone at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov has a wrestling and grappling advantage over the short-notice UFC debutant Leal. He should be able to grind out a decision victory by controlling the fight on the ground. Leal deserves to be in the UFC but this is a bad stylistic matchup for him.

"look for fard of to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, citing his wrestling and control. He notes that Leal is a good striker but has been taken down before. Paul believes Fakhretdinov can implement a grappling-heavy game plan and win by decision. He is not highly confident due to Fakhretdinov's cardio issues.

"I think Faker dinov just takes him down and grinds on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his pressure and well-rounded game will be too much for Carlos Leal, who took the fight on short notice. He notes Fakhretdinov's win over Brian Battle was impressive and that Leal's preparation was for a different opponent. He predicts Fakhretdinov will win by decision or submission, possibly facing some danger early.

Decision or submission
"I'm going to go with Rinat Fakhretdinov getting this one done by decision or submission maybe a tough fight maybe some danger in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane picks Fakhretdinov because he is a pressure fighter who will clash with Leal and win the clinch wrestling exchanges. Leal is awkward, flat-footed, and lacks pace and volume, while Fakhretdinov keeps pushing and is tough to dissuade. Zane sees this as a clear matchup made for Fakhretdinov to get a statement win.

"Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back foot, …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Carlos Leal

Zane clearly picked Leal, calling the decision a robbery. He argued that Fakhretdinov was doing less damage and fighting from behind in every round, while Leal fought well and was in control. Zane dismissed the idea that the crowd influenced the judges, noting there was no crowd. He called it one of the worst robberies of the year.

"this is a straight up robbery might be one of the worst robberies of the year"
WIN vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 68 of 134 50% 99 of 173 5 of 11 45% 0 0 6:17
Nicolas Dalby 0 66 of 134 49% 123 of 195 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 52 51% 40 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:36
Nicolas Dalby 0 17 of 41 41% 31 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:17
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 24 of 46 52% 37 of 62 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Nicolas Dalby 0 31 of 53 58% 48 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:57
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 17 of 36 47% 22 of 45 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:18
Nicolas Dalby 0 18 of 40 45% 44 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 68 of 134 50% 53 of 113 10 of 13 5 of 8 49 of 109 19 of 25 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 66 of 134 49% 36 of 96 25 of 33 5 of 5 38 of 95 28 of 39 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 52 51% 21 of 43 4 of 5 2 of 4 21 of 45 6 of 7 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 17 of 41 41% 6 of 27 7 of 10 4 of 4 11 of 32 6 of 9 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 24 of 46 52% 17 of 36 6 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 34 10 of 12 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 31 of 53 58% 17 of 34 13 of 18 1 of 1 15 of 33 16 of 20 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 17 of 36 47% 15 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2 14 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 18 of 40 45% 13 of 35 5 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 30 6 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fakhretdinov (-355), Dalby (+280)

Round 1
The welterweights set up in orthodox stance and go right at one another, with referee Thomas Fan looking on. They exchange kicks at range before Dalby walks through a flurry of punches to shove Fakhretdinov into the fence. Dalby throws knees from the outside while Fakhretdinov answers with knees up the middle. Fakhretdinov gets off the cage and shucks Dalby away from him, and they go back to kickboxing at range. Dalby flicks a kick up top that is blocked, then a question mark kick. Fakhretdinov tags Dalby with a pair of punches, then changes levels for a single-leg. He hoists the leg and Dalby hops on one foot while continuing to punch the head. Fakhretdinov drives him all the way across the cage before losing the single-leg. He pushes Dalby into the cage, then gets reversed. Fakhretdinov shucks Dalby off of him and nails him with a single punch that drops Dalby to his knees. Dalby pops back up, but he’s hurt, and Fakhretdinov pushes him to the fence. They disengage and Fakhretdinov hits him with an elbow. Fakhretdinov lands a switch knee to the gut before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov

Round 2
Dalby scores first, with a low calf kick. Dalby switches stances, and is backed off by a punching combo from Fakhretdinov. Fakhretdinov gets him to the fence, then changes levels and drives him to the canvas. Dalby gets right back up, his back against the fence. They break off and return to the middle of the cage. Dalby initiates the clinch and shoves Fakhretdinov to the cage. They exchange short strikes on the inside. Dalby releases the clinch and nails Fakhretdinov with a nice right hand. They move back towards the center of the Octagon, and Dalby marches forward, landing a kick and a pair of punches, then another kick. Dalby backs Fakhretdinov into the fence and holds him there with underhooks. Dalby digs his head under the chin of Fakhretdinov and hits him with knees to the thighs. They separate and Fakhretdinov lands a one-two, then changes levels for a smooth double-leg. He drops Dalby to his seat at the base of the fence, lacing the legs. He can’t flatten Dalby out, and they return to their feet seconds before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dalby

Round 3
Dalby flicks out a jab, but Fakhretdinov wastes no time in changing levels and running him to the fence. Fakhretdinov tries to lock his hands and pick Dalby up, but Dalby has an underhook and keeps his hips back. They break away from the fence and Dalby grabs a front headlock, then lands a single punch before Fakhretdinov launches another double-leg. Dalby tries to hit an inside switch, but can’t get it. Fakhretdinov has his arms around the waist of the kneeling Dalby, working to finish the takedown as Dalby tries to stand. Halfway into the round, Dalby gets to his feet in a wide-leg stance against the fence, and he separates. Dalby wades forward with punches, and Fakhretdinov drops for another takedown. He gets Dalby to his seat against the fence, but Dalby gets right back up and gets on Fakhretdinov’s back. Fakhretdinov escapes and runs Dalby back to the cage. Dalby reverses the position and throws knees to the thighs of Fakhretdinov. Under a minute left and Dalby separates, then tags Fakhretdinov with a head kick at short range. They swing away at short range until the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)

The Official Result
Rinat Fakhretdinov def. Nicolas Dalby via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat, citing his phenomenal non-stop wrestling and power. He notes Rinat gassed in his last fight after chasing the finish, but still dominated the first two rounds. He thinks Dalby is hitable and will be taken down repeatedly. He acknowledges Dalby's win over Bonfim was more about Bonfim's cardio than Dalby's skill. He plans to spend $9,200 on Rinat in DraftKings.

$9,200 DraftKings salary mentioned
"I do think he gets all the takedowns in the world all the control time I think it absolutely Works"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and power. He notes Dalby's 60% takedown defense and that fighters like Claudia Silva and Tim Means have controlled him. Brady expects Fakhretdinov to win by decision due to Dalby's toughness, but a finish wouldn't surprise him. He also mentions a PrizePicks play on Fakhretdinov's fantasy score under 94.5.

PrizePicks: less on fantasy score (under 94.5) because control time and non-significant strikes don't count
"give me fov to win this fight I'll say by decision because Dolby is very tough but a finish would not Shock Me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Cody picks Fakhretdinov but is hesitant due to the price and Dalby's comeback ability. He notes Fakhretdinov's wrestling and power, but also his cardio issues and Dalby's experience and durability. He expects Fakhretdinov to win early but warns of a potential fade.

"I'll take the cowards way and take faero but bad price tag"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win a decision, expecting him to take the first two rounds with wrestling pressure. He notes Dalby's third-round resurgence but believes Fakhretdinov's takedowns and grinding style will secure a win. He acknowledges Dalby's cardio and finishing ability but sees Fakhretdinov controlling the fight early.

"I think that renat probably takes the first two rounds loses the third and wins a unanimous decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Jacob picks Rinat but does not trust him due to his mentality—he was happy with a draw after nearly getting finished. Jacob worries Rinat will try to knock Dalby out instead of wrestling, which could lead to trouble. He compares Rinat's attitude to Loopy Godinez, saying it's not a killer mentality. However, he acknowledges Rinat should win if he sticks to wrestling.

"rat should win the fight if he does win the fight it's probably going to look like spectacular fashion but if he comes in swinging wild trying to just take this guy head off he could [ __ ] lose"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

JP is confident in Fakhretdinov, citing his 22-2 record with 11 KOs and 7 subs, and notes Dalby's tendency to go to decision (12-4 in decisions). He expects Fakhretdinov to win by decision. Brevan agrees, highlighting Fakhretdinov's strong wrestling base and ability to control Dalby on the ground. He suggests a prop bet on Fakhretdinov by decision if the odds are plus money. Both see Fakhretdinov as the clear winner.

Fakhretdinov by decision (if plus money)
"I think re not's too good man from what we've seen he's hard to stop 22-2 I mean he's 11-0 in Ko 7-0 in Subs the only way he loses if it's going to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert pick date unknown

Paul does not make a winner pick but suggests Dalby as a live bet. He notes Fakhretdinov will likely get takedowns but may gas, and Dalby's ability to get up and outwork him. He prefers to watch and potentially bet Dalby live.

"I think Dolby makes for a great live bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Nicolas Dalby, after initially considering Dalby. He rewatched Dalby's fight with Gabriel Bonfim and was less impressed, noting that Dalby was held down for significant periods. He believes Fakhretdinov's patient top game will be effective, as he doesn't chase submissions and is content to hold opponents down. He contrasts this with Bonfim's scrambling, which allowed Dalby to escape. He also notes Fakhretdinov's win over Brian Battle as impressive.

"I'm gonna go renat fenov I was going to lean towards maybe a Nicholas dby pick honestly but um no I'm going to go rat fenov D I wanted to pick dby but i rewatched his Gabriel Bon firm fight …"
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 87 of 186 46% 109 of 216 1 of 9 11% 0 1 4:25
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 211 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 37 of 61 60% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 10 of 34 29% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 73 36% 32 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 22 of 50 44% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 52 44% 30 of 63 0 of 5 0% 0 1 0:29
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 43 of 68 63% 76 of 119 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 87 of 186 46% 50 of 144 11 of 16 26 of 26 65 of 156 7 of 8 15 of 22
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 75 of 152 49% 47 of 113 17 of 26 11 of 13 57 of 129 2 of 3 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 37 of 61 60% 17 of 40 5 of 6 15 of 15 21 of 39 1 of 1 15 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 10 of 34 29% 5 of 25 2 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 73 36% 15 of 57 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 70 3 of 3 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 22 of 50 44% 12 of 38 6 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 46 0 of 1 3 of 3
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 52 44% 18 of 47 3 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 43 of 68 63% 30 of 50 9 of 13 4 of 5 28 of 49 2 of 2 13 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.

safe to parlay
"I love Rena in this fight you guys know I've been very high on him I have literally made money on him him in every single one of his UFC fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.

"give me we're not fuer enough to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.

Fakhretdinov wins by decision, Fakhretdinov wins inside distance
"I'm going Rinat here and I think he makes a statement."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.

James mentions he has Russian intel that Fakhretdinov may be injured and striking rather than grappling. He also notes that Zaleski is +290.
"I bet on zaleski man I bet on zaleski I don't love it... but I just think the line's a little bit wide here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.

win by decision
"I believe that Fakhretdinov can go out there and implement his style without too much resistance allowing him to get his hand raised like I said by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go rat for ketanov... renat is just undeniable I think at this point"
WIN vs Kevin Lee
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:55 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Lee 1 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Lee 1 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Lee 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Lee 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing his offensive wrestling, heavy hands, and insane cardio. He believes Kevin Lee's only chance is to come forward and initiate takedowns, but he doubts Lee can take down Fakhretdinov. He notes the line has moved from -260 to -190, indicating money on Lee, but he is shocked the odds are close.

"this has to be a Renault pick for me Kevin Lee is a gamer been around forever it's fought everybody but we're not offensive wrestling it's just on another level"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision, but is not confident. He notes Fakhretdinov has a size and cardio advantage, and is in his prime, while Kevin Lee has been battling injuries and is small for welterweight. However, he acknowledges if prime Kevin Lee shows up, the price would be a steal. He thinks Fakhretdinov's wrestling and pace will be too much for the current version of Lee.

"I'm gonna I'm gonna take vodka dinov don't feel amazing about it though I really don't"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Kevin Lee

Cody reluctantly picks Kevin Lee as a plus-money underdog. He notes Lee's past success against top competition, his never losing a first round in the UFC, and his improved knees after surgery. He thinks Fakhretdinov's wins over Andreas Michailidis and Brian Battle are unimpressive and that Lee's striking and wrestling are superior. However, he acknowledges Lee's poor performance against Diego Sanchez and the size disadvantage.

"I'm gonna take him very reluctantly I am going to take him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel confidently picks Fakhretdinov, citing his dominant grappling and striking stats (7 takedowns, 102-25 strikes against Battle; 5 takedowns, 106-48 strikes against Michailidis). He criticizes Kevin Lee as a front-runner who fades when pressured, and notes Lee's 1-4 skid before being cut. He expects Fakhretdinov to impose his will and finish Lee, possibly by submission or TKO. He dismisses the 'crotch sniffer' label, emphasizing that Fakhretdinov outstrikes opponents as well.

expects a finish; Fakhretdinov minus 190
"I got renat Factor Dean off to extend his win streak and uh you know get into you know one of those top 15 Eliminator type fights"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, citing his size advantage (natural welterweight vs Lee moving up), dominant performance against Brian Battle, and Lee's poor showing against Diego Sanchez. He notes Lee's knee surgeries and layoff, and believes Fakhretdinov's grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Lee may have peaked and is now declining.

"I'll say that it's faculty enough or pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing Kevin Lee's decline, especially his poor performance against Diego Sanchez. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominance over Brian Battle, who is a solid prospect. He predicts Fakhretdinov will dominate in later rounds, getting a third-round TKO or rear-naked choke, as Lee's cardio and chin are questionable.

third round TKO or rear-naked choke
"I'm going with renat for cretinov because Kevin Lee made Diego Sanchez look good in his last fight"
WIN vs Bryan Battle
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 16 18% 25 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 43 of 68 63% 102 of 149 7 of 9 77% 0 0 14:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 19 of 30 63% 37 of 52 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:41
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 5 20% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 10 of 15 66% 30 of 42 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:49
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 8 12% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 14 of 23 60% 35 of 55 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 43 of 68 63% 38 of 62 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 11 2 of 3 33 of 54
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 19 of 30 63% 16 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 10 of 15 66% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 14 of 23 60% 13 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.

Plans to look for plus 3.5 or win inside distance (decision no action) on Bryan Battle
"I'm gonna go with we're not here and I think his wrestling is going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.

Battle wins by submission in round 2
"I like uh Brian battle to win the fight pull off the upset and I'll say late second round submission win for Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.

"I think Brian battle could just land the better shots in that space right so uh yeah slide Underdog clay Brian battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.

"I'm just gonna pick fakratina of I think he'll just come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.

1.5 units at +112 (dog of the night)
"I love his overall style I love his Pace I love his you know never really settling for bad positions or anything like that and I think that's going to cause we're not some problems tonight make him work a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.

"I'm gonna go with renault's uh I don't think I'm gonna be betting that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.

"I'm going with renat for cretinov I know a lot of people are picking Brian Batson"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.

"I think that like an insanely clingy persistent wrestling game is like the eqr to that approach"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 45 of 61 73% 106 of 130 5 of 10 50% 0 0 13:00
Andreas Michailidis 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 17 of 25 68% 33 of 42 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:53
Andreas Michailidis 0 12 of 17 70% 24 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:24
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 5 of 8 62% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Andreas Michailidis 0 2 of 4 50% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 28 82% 42 of 51 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:32
Andreas Michailidis 0 4 of 12 33% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 45 of 61 73% 27 of 41 10 of 11 8 of 9 10 of 20 18 of 22 17 of 19
Andreas Michailidis 18 of 33 54% 7 of 22 5 of 5 6 of 6 9 of 22 7 of 9 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 17 of 25 68% 7 of 14 5 of 6 5 of 5 2 of 7 14 of 17 1 of 1
Andreas Michailidis 12 of 17 70% 7 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 7 6 of 8 2 of 2
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 5 of 8 62% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 4
Andreas Michailidis 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 28 82% 16 of 21 4 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 10 3 of 4 12 of 14
Andreas Michailidis 4 of 12 33% 0 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo notes that Andreas Michailidis is a decent striker with power but leaves openings, while Rinat Fakhretdinov is a wrestler with heavy hands making his UFC debut. He acknowledges Fakhretdinov's poor wrestling technique but says it works in fights. He worries about the -321 odds for a debutant but still picks Fakhretdinov to get the takedown and pound away.

"renat to win this fight you know i think he's going to win he's my pick but three two one odds does worry me a bit here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by late finish, specifically a third-round submission or ground-and-pound. He notes that Fakhretdinov is a solid grappler with good cardio and ground game, while Michailidis is talented but has terrible cardio and tends to fade after the first round. He expects Fakhretdinov to take the fight to the mat and wear Michailidis down, eventually finishing him. He is not betting this fight due to the -260 price but likes the pick.

Fakhretdinov wins in round 3
"I like focker dinov um I'm not gonna be touching this fight from a betting perspective but I do want to see how this guy performs and I'm actually going to say he he uh gets a late finish here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Andreas Michailidis

Cody is uncertain but leans toward Michailidis, noting Fakhretdinov's questionable competition and Michailidis' size at 170. He thinks the line is too wide and may take the dog, but is not confident.

"i would look to probably pass on this one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, noting Michailidis's history of being finished and his cardio issues. He believes Fakhretdinov has the power and pressure to get the job done, especially with his training at American Top Team. He recommends the inside distance prop at -110 as a better bet than the moneyline.

Fakhretdinov inside distance -110
"you gotta take that renat inside a distance prop at minus 110. well i bet the minus 275 or minus 300 in the parlay i think you attack this in the prop market"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Andreas Michailidis

Paul picks Michailidis as an underdog, arguing that Fakhretdinov's record is padded with cans and he lacks wrestling. He notes Michailidis' size advantage at 170 and thinks the price is too wide. He is not highly confident but sees value.

"i think i'm going to take andreas mikulis for no other reason than the scary russian dude who's 280 is in fact not a scary russian dude"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by first-round KO. He notes Fakhretdinov has stepped up against decent competition recently, with first-round finishes over Eric Spicely and Alberto Uda. He worries about early career padding but trusts his recent performances. He sees Michailidis as vulnerable, having been finished in four of five losses, and believes Fakhretdinov's power and grappling will be too much. He predicts a first-round KO.

First round finish by KO
"i'm going to go the first round finish by ko for renat because i don't see anything andreas micheladas can do to him"
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos - Fight History
LOSS vs Neil Magny
KO/TKO R2 4:39 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 42 of 67 62% 80 of 113 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 20 of 42 47% 42 of 69 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 17 of 36 47% 29 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 18 of 36 50% 24 of 42 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:03
2 Neil Magny 0 25 of 31 80% 51 of 63 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:03
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 2 of 6 33% 18 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 42 of 67 62% 38 of 61 4 of 4 0 of 2 19 of 43 3 of 3 20 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 20 of 42 47% 5 of 24 4 of 5 11 of 13 17 of 38 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 17 of 36 47% 13 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 2 16 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 18 of 36 50% 5 of 20 4 of 5 9 of 11 15 of 32 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 25 of 31 80% 25 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski, noting that Magny has looked increasingly hurtable and gun-shy, while Zaleski still has power and violence in his game. He acknowledges both fighters may be declining, but Zaleski's underlying physicality and scrambling ability give him the edge. Connor doubts Magny can replicate his past comeback wins.

"I got to pick Zaleski at that point."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane also picks Zaleski, pointing out that Magny's recent performances show a decline in output and durability. He notes that Zaleski has historically struggled against rangy strikers, but Magny's current form may not pose that threat. Zane believes Zaleski's wrestling and scrambling will be too much for Magny to handle.

"I mean, Zaleski's just more dangerous competitive wrestler and scrambler."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO R2 2:19 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 46 of 87 52% 46 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 17 of 49 34% 19 of 54 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 23 of 45 51% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 25 36% 11 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
2 Chidi Njokuani 1 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 46 of 87 52% 17 of 38 16 of 32 13 of 17 36 of 71 2 of 3 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 17 of 49 34% 5 of 28 2 of 5 10 of 16 13 of 44 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 45 51% 3 of 12 13 of 23 7 of 10 22 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 25 36% 3 of 13 0 of 2 6 of 10 5 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 42 54% 14 of 26 3 of 9 6 of 7 14 of 27 1 of 2 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 8 of 24 33% 2 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 6 8 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Angelo picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos over Chidi Njokuani. He acknowledges Njokuani is a better striker and younger, but he's concerned about Njokuani's volume being a one-off. Angelo trusts Zaleski's durability and wrestling, noting he almost finished Rakhmonov late. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside distance with decision no action as a possible alternative.

Chidi Njokuani win inside distance, decision no action
"I'm still going to stay on the zeleski side but only because he's so damn durable."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, noting that despite being 38, he still has good performances left. He highlights Zaleski's durability, cardio, and grappling advantage, and points out that Chidi Njokuani has a history of quitting when faced with adversity, especially when taken down. Brady believes if Zaleski gets on top or hurts Njokuani, the fight will end quickly. He predicts a second-round finish, either by KO or submission.

Zaleski dos Santos second round KO
"I like zeleski here and I think he finishes cheaty... second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown

Cody picks Erceg despite the high price, citing his level of competition and size advantage. He acknowledges Ode Osborne's reach and speed could cause early problems, but expects Erceg to take over as Osborne fades due to short notice. He is wary of the minus 600 line but still sees Erceg winning.

"Ersig's going to be the pick, but minus 600 is a walk in the park. And I I think that Joseé Osborne is a different tricky type of style fighter that Ursk hasn't really necessarily have to deal with lately."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Njokuani's desire to brawl in the pocket is exactly what Zaleski wants. He notes that Zaleski has a good chin and can outlast brawlers, and that Njokuani's range fighting is not his natural game. He also mentions that Zaleski can take the fight to the ground if needed.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert pick date unknown

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Njokuani can replicate what Randy Brown did against Zaleski, using a distance striking approach and mixing in clinch Muay Thai. He expects Njokuani to land more damage and win at least two of three rounds on the scorecards.

"I believe en kuani should be able to replicate what Randy Brown was able to do against aleski utilizing a distance striking approach maybe even mixing it up in the clinch a little bit with his Muay Thai but I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown

Paul also picks Erceg, noting his superior technique and experience against top competition. He mentions Ode Osborne's power and submission threat but believes Erceg will outclass him. He considers an Ode Osborne KO prop but prefers Erceg on the moneyline.

"The cleaner, better, more technical fighter is is Ersz. I expect to win. Um, I expect him to outclass OD, who I mean, outside of small moments tends to, you know, wilt fall apart a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his physical presence, 7-inch reach advantage, and nasty clinch effectiveness. He thinks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, a rangy kicker, will struggle with Njokuani's size and pressure. He notes Zaleski dos Santos often wins close decisions and is 38, while Njokuani is a slight underdog with good value. He predicts a 2-1 decision or a Njokuani finish.

Njokuani is a slight underdog; good value.
"I'm going to go chiding at Jani here I think he's a slight Underdog and I think there's good value on that so uh check it out"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane picks Zaleski because Njokuani is a phone booth fighter who wants to brawl in the clinch, which plays into Zaleski's strengths. He notes that Zaleski is durable, can out-grapple Njokuani, and has a path to victory if he mixes in takedowns. He also points out that Njokuani has poor takedown defense and is too content to play guard.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167. Zane says Zaleski could be a bigger favorite but understands age concerns.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
TKO (punches) R1 1:15 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Zachary Scroggin 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Zachary Scroggin 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 11 of 35 31% 7 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 29
Zachary Scroggin 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 11 of 35 31% 7 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 29
Zachary Scroggin 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Angelo picks Zaleski but with low confidence. He thinks Zaleski has heavier hands and can get takedowns, but worries about his cardio. He expects Zaleski needs to win the first two rounds because he will likely lose the third. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Scroggin if the odds are favorable. He understands people picking Scroggin due to his cardio and durability.

considering plus 3.5 round bet on Zach Scroggin
"I just think zeleski can make something happen he's got the heavier hands I think he can get a takedown or two my only concern is the freaking cardio so we're going to need zeleski to win the first two …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady sees this as a mismatch, with Zaleski being far more experienced and skilled. He notes Scroggin's low level of competition, poor takedown defense, and hittability. He believes Zaleski will win easily, likely by first-round knockout.

Zaleski by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'll take Eliza zesi by by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Cody is very confident in Zaleski, calling Scroggin a 'dead man walking.' He points out Scroggin's lack of power, poor wrestling, and weak competition. Cody notes Zaleski's experience, power, and ability to take down Randy Brown, and expects a dominant finish or clear decision.

"I think zeleski do Santos kills this man absolutely kills this man."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lock pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski as a lock, calling it a 'pick him fight'. He notes Zaleski's ability to outbrawl opponents and that Scroggin is a severely undercooked submission grappler with dreadful striking. Connor mentions Zaleski hasn't knocked anyone out in six years but wouldn't be surprised if he does here. He also comments on the odds being wide.

Odds: Zaleski -525 to -669, Scroggin +356 to +400. Connor says 'I would not expect them to get a lot closer though.'
"It's a pick him fight. It's a pick him fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Daniel Vreeland picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, believing his experience and level of competition will be too much for UFC newcomer Zach Scroggin. He notes Scroggin's padded record and lack of tested skills, while Zaleski has fought top competition and has knockout power. Vreeland expects a rude welcome for Scroggin.

"I'm going Elizio Zeleski to welcome this guy to the UFC in a very rude fashion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Scroggin is taking a huge step up in competition and despite his grappling, Zaleski should shut that down and use his striking advantage to find a finish in round two.

wins inside distance, round 2
"I think ultimately zeleski will be able to shut that down get to his striking advantage and eventually find the finish in round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul agrees, noting Scroggin's short-notice debut and unimpressive regional competition. He highlights Zaleski's power and veteran savvy, and expects him to overwhelm Scroggin on the feet. Paul thinks the -500 line is fair but warns of banana peel pricing.

"Zeleski should absolutely kill him unless the groggin guy has like great durability it should be oneway traffic."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown

The Guru picks Nicholas Dalby, citing his high output and cardio. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos is 37 and hasn't had a KO since 2018. He expects Dalby to push a pace and break Zaleski over the fight, though he acknowledges Zaleski could win by TKO.

"I'm actually going to go with Nicholas dby I think the high output will be the thing here pushing him up against the cage kneeing the thighs shooting in takedowns"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lock pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane picks Zaleski as a lock, describing Scroggin as a regional-level fighter with a submission grappling style and empty striking. He notes Zaleski is a really good opponent and that Scroggin has never faced a good opponent. Zane says Zaleski can go to war with anyone and it's up to him how he wins.

Odds: Zaleski -525 to -669, Scroggin +356 to +400. Zane says 'I would not expect them to get a lot closer though.'
"It's a pick him fight. It's a pick him fight."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 67 of 141 47% 89 of 166 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:42
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 26 of 76 34% 42 of 94 4 of 7 57% 1 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 34 of 71 47% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 34 26% 9 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Randy Brown 0 8 of 18 44% 15 of 25 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:32
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 3 of 7 42% 19 of 25 3 of 5 60% 1 0 3:52
3 Randy Brown 0 25 of 52 48% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 14 of 35 40% 14 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 67 of 141 47% 50 of 120 5 of 8 12 of 13 61 of 133 2 of 2 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 26 of 76 34% 8 of 50 3 of 9 15 of 17 24 of 73 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 34 of 71 47% 24 of 60 2 of 3 8 of 8 33 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 34 26% 2 of 22 3 of 6 4 of 6 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Randy Brown 25 of 52 48% 19 of 44 2 of 3 4 of 5 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 14 of 35 40% 4 of 22 0 of 3 10 of 10 13 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown but with reduced confidence after studying Elizeu Zaleski. He believes Brown's length and range striking will keep him safe, and that Zaleski is chinny and can be dropped. However, he acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and ability to rally, so he leaves Brown out of the safety parlay.

"Randy Brown Remains the pick but I'm telling you my gut reaction was all right safety parlay Randy Brown and then I was like I'll leave him out of the safety parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady is fading Randy Brown, expecting the fight to go to decision. He thinks Brown won't shoot takedowns or get an early finish, and doesn't expect crazy volume. He notes if there is a finish, it likely comes from Zaleski dos Santos. He is comfortable staying away from Brown.

Fight goes to decision, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins by decision or late finish
"fade is gonna be Randy Brown 8,500 I don't think he's finishing uh dos santoso Santos early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown but is hesitant, acknowledging Zaleski's danger. He likes Brown's length, jab, and game plan but notes Brown has slowed down and his defensive grappling is suspect. Cody worries that Zaleski's power and forward pressure could sway judges. He plans to keep Brown low on parlays and might switch to Zaleski after weigh-ins.

"I think I'm going to go with Brown... but I fully recognize that Zaleski is going to be dangerous... it's going to be close and contentious."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff, emphasizing that Zaleski dos Santos relies on distance striking and leg kicks, but Brown's reach and takedown ability neutralize that. He sees Brown piecing him up from distance and potentially taking him down. Vreeland notes Brown is crafty everywhere and can adapt to any scenario.

"I think Brown's gonna piece him up from distance he's probably gonna put the pressure on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

Daniel likes Brown's recent confidence and footwork, and thinks Zaleski's chin is declining. He expects Brown to find openings with his jab and straight right, possibly getting a first-round KO. He laid -160 for two units.

"I actually took Randy Brown here minus 160"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

Jeff Fox picks Randy Brown, citing his size advantage (4 inches height, 5 inches reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Brown is sneaky good, has no real weaknesses, and can win on the feet or with takedowns. Fox believes Zaleski dos Santos will struggle to deal with Brown's reach and pressure, and that Brown can mix in wrestling to keep things interesting.

"give me the rude boy sneaky good fighter... I think the size is going to be a big issue here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

The host expects Brown to use his size, reach, and footwork to keep Zaleski at range and win a decision. Zaleski's inactivity and age are concerns, and his unorthodox style may not overcome Brown's disciplined jab and movement. Brown's recent improvements in range management should allow him to cruise to a decision victory.

"Give me Brown and Brown by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul leans toward Zaleski as a dog, citing his forward pressure, damaging blows, and ability to land bigger shots. He notes Brown's style is conservative and may not impress judges, while Zaleski's aggression and power could sway them. Paul mentions Zaleski's age (37) but says he still throws heat and has good cardio. He sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the plus money.

"I feel like the bigger shots, the forward pressure, the live crowd... Zaleski is a dog with a shot here at plus 150 in a fight that I could see being pretty 50/50."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, believing his height and reach will trouble Zaleski dos Santos. He notes that Zaleski struggles against taller opponents and is older (37) with potential decline. Brown has good boxing at range and recent TKO wins. He predicts Brown by TKO.

Brown by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown I really like this matchup for him"
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 87 of 186 46% 109 of 216 1 of 9 11% 0 1 4:25
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 211 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 37 of 61 60% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 10 of 34 29% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 73 36% 32 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 22 of 50 44% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 52 44% 30 of 63 0 of 5 0% 0 1 0:29
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 43 of 68 63% 76 of 119 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 87 of 186 46% 50 of 144 11 of 16 26 of 26 65 of 156 7 of 8 15 of 22
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 75 of 152 49% 47 of 113 17 of 26 11 of 13 57 of 129 2 of 3 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 37 of 61 60% 17 of 40 5 of 6 15 of 15 21 of 39 1 of 1 15 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 10 of 34 29% 5 of 25 2 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 73 36% 15 of 57 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 70 3 of 3 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 22 of 50 44% 12 of 38 6 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 46 0 of 1 3 of 3
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 52 44% 18 of 47 3 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 43 of 68 63% 30 of 50 9 of 13 4 of 5 28 of 49 2 of 2 13 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.

safe to parlay
"I love Rena in this fight you guys know I've been very high on him I have literally made money on him him in every single one of his UFC fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.

"give me we're not fuer enough to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.

Fakhretdinov wins by decision, Fakhretdinov wins inside distance
"I'm going Rinat here and I think he makes a statement."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.

James mentions he has Russian intel that Fakhretdinov may be injured and striking rather than grappling. He also notes that Zaleski is +290.
"I bet on zaleski man I bet on zaleski I don't love it... but I just think the line's a little bit wide here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.

win by decision
"I believe that Fakhretdinov can go out there and implement his style without too much resistance allowing him to get his hand raised like I said by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go rat for ketanov... renat is just undeniable I think at this point"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 29 of 54 53% 48 of 76 1 of 8 12% 0 0 6:16
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 42 of 113 37% 50 of 132 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 16 75% 15 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 5 of 16 31% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:20
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 22 54% 13 of 23 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:17
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 18 of 47 38% 21 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 29 of 54 53% 13 of 37 6 of 7 10 of 10 23 of 48 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 42 of 113 37% 16 of 75 13 of 22 13 of 16 27 of 87 15 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 16 75% 5 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 10 of 34 29% 3 of 21 5 of 10 2 of 3 5 of 22 5 of 12 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 5 of 16 31% 2 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 14 of 32 43% 3 of 17 4 of 6 7 of 9 10 of 26 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 22 54% 6 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 4 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 18 of 47 38% 10 of 37 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.

Bet 0.25 units on Nurmagomedov at +120.
"I like him in this matchup I picked him I bet him early I got him at plus 120"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.

"I'm not under Santa's guy so normally made of definitely the worst of the normagamedovs that's still pretty good right so I will take"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.

Odds shift from Zaleski -142 to -103, Abubakar +128 to -107
"I'm gonna pick zalaski. I think abubakar will fade and zalaski will rally"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.

"I'm actually going abubakar nor magomedov and I'm considering a bet"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.

"I'm going zoleski all the way I'm pretty confident in him in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.

"I'm gonna lean with the more reliable fighter in nuremaga made of gimme him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by KO at +400; Over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I'm interested in Elijah's zoleski dos Santos he could get himself in trouble throwing a bunch of spinning stuff getting taken down in that way but it's like if you're on abubakar I feel like while they're on the feet …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.

"I'm gonna go with Abu Bakr name again of I think it's the logical match up here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.

"I am going to take namaga made off"
Decision (unanimous) (29–26, 29–26, 29–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 149 of 259 57% 167 of 279 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:00
Benoît Saint Denis 0 67 of 148 45% 80 of 162 2 of 14 14% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 30 of 53 56% 31 of 54 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Benoît Saint Denis 0 19 of 45 42% 21 of 47 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:58
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 94 of 160 58% 106 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Benoît Saint Denis 0 28 of 67 41% 37 of 76 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:25
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 25 of 46 54% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:15
Benoît Saint Denis 0 20 of 36 55% 22 of 39 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 149 of 259 57% 96 of 200 37 of 42 16 of 17 112 of 207 32 of 47 5 of 5
Benoît Saint Denis 67 of 148 45% 40 of 114 20 of 27 7 of 7 64 of 140 3 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 30 of 53 56% 11 of 34 9 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
Benoît Saint Denis 19 of 45 42% 7 of 29 8 of 12 4 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 94 of 160 58% 76 of 139 17 of 20 1 of 1 63 of 116 29 of 42 2 of 2
Benoît Saint Denis 28 of 67 41% 22 of 59 5 of 7 1 of 1 25 of 62 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 25 of 46 54% 9 of 27 11 of 13 5 of 6 20 of 41 2 of 2 3 of 3
Benoît Saint Denis 20 of 36 55% 11 of 26 7 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Benoît Saint Denis

Angelo picks the underdog Benoît Saint Denis, citing his wrestling style as a key advantage. He notes that Benoît's low-level takedowns and pressure on top can neutralize Zaleski's dangerous capoeira striking. However, he expresses concern about Benoît's inexperience at this level, as he is only 8-0 and this is a big step up. He mentions he would bet if the line moved to +170, but is hesitant at current odds.

Would bet at +170; considering over 1.5 rounds; mentions 58 strikes as a concern
"i'm gonna side with the underdog here i like zaleski athletic dangerous good forward pressure really good wrestling i i i you know i i like it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to win by knockout in the second or third round. He views Saint Denis as too green, sloppy, and making too many mistakes. Zaleski is a well-rounded veteran with good striking and grappling. He expects Zaleski to teach Saint Denis a veteran lesson and get a finish. He is confident in the pick despite Saint Denis's finishing ability.

Zaleski by knockout (round 2 or 3)
"I'm going to take elijah's los quiero santos to win i'm gonna take him to win by knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Cody agrees, noting Zaleski's experience and wins over Sean Strickland, Lyman Good, Max Griffin. He thinks Saint Denis will have early success with wrestling but will fatigue, and Zaleski will take over. He compares Saint Denis to a Contender Series fighter who gassed when faced with resistance.

"i feel like zoloskuro santos is rightfully so the favorite"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Daniel picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, citing his battle-tested experience and versatility. He notes Zaleski's wins over Sean Strickland and his submission game. Daniel believes there are levels to the game and Zaleski will catch Saint Denis on a sloppy shot, possibly by submission or flying knee. He respects Saint Denis's regional success but thinks the step up in competition is too much.

predicts submission or flying knee
"give me elizabeth to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his striking and ability to get back to his feet in scrambles will be decisive. He acknowledges Benoît's wrestling but thinks Zaleski can hold his own on the ground and win the striking exchanges. He is not super confident and dislikes the -850 line, but if forced to pick, he goes with Zaleski.

Mentions -850 line as unfavorable; considers over 1.5 rounds
"i'm gonna go zelesky on this not super confident i don't like the 8 500 but um if i had to pick i would pick zleski"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zaleski is the more experienced veteran with good takedown defense and striking. Saint Denis is a submission hunter who gives up positions; if he doesn't finish early, Zaleski will find a knockout on the feet. Zaleski should survive the early onslaught and finish in the second round.

Under 2.5 rounds if better than +150, Zaleski by KO.
"I do lean the veteran though i do think that zaleski will be able to keep the fight standing or at least get it to the point where it's standing and then find that knockout shortly thereafter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski, citing his experience (12 UFC fights) and striking advantage. He thinks Saint Denis is hittable and robotic. He notes Zaleski has BJJ black belt in case it goes to the ground. He expects Zaleski to use veteran craftiness to keep it standing and eventually finish or win a decision.

"you're gonna have to go with the right rifle favorite aleski uh zaleski to santos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Benoît Saint Denis

The MMA Guru picks Benoît Saint Denis as an underdog. He highlights Saint Denis's great grappling, youth (25 vs 35), and activity. He notes that Zaleski has slowed down in recent fights, throwing less volume to conserve energy. He expects Saint Denis to pressure and stick to Zaleski with sticky grappling, taking him down repeatedly. He predicts a third-round submission as Zaleski fades.

third round submission
"i'm gonna go with the underdog i do believe i haven't seen odds anywhere so i think he's the underdog uh saint denis benoit i'm gonna go with him"
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 46 of 138 33% 46 of 138 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:53
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 40 of 88 45% 40 of 88 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 20 of 50 40% 20 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 41 21% 9 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 46 of 138 33% 23 of 98 11 of 25 12 of 15 35 of 124 3 of 4 8 of 10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 40 of 88 45% 23 of 64 8 of 14 9 of 10 38 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 20 of 50 40% 11 of 36 4 of 9 5 of 5 10 of 37 2 of 3 8 of 10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Muslim Salikhov 9 of 41 21% 3 of 28 5 of 9 1 of 4 8 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 13 of 27 48% 8 of 20 2 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muslim Salikhov 17 of 47 36% 9 of 34 2 of 7 6 of 6 17 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 13 of 38 34% 9 of 30 3 of 6 1 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
In what could be a terrific battle between two high-flying strikers, it’s Capoeira vs. Kung Fu as Zaleski dos Santos (22-6, 8-2 UFC) comes to blows with Salikhov (16-2, 0-0 UFC). Hanging on tight is referee Herb Dean, who will have a tall task ahead in this welterweight scrap. The two flashy strikers touch gloves, and both paw out left hands that fall short. Zaleski dos Santos kicks low, and fakes to kick high, drawing a reaction from his opponent. The Dagestani fighter counters with a looping right, and Zaleski dos Santos evades it in time. Salikhov lands with a low kick, and Zaleski dos Santos connects to the body, which marks up Salikhov’s torso immediately. He slaps another body kick, so Salikhov counters with a right and follows it with a leg kick. Salikhov throws a low kick, avoids the counter and catches Zaleski dos Santos at the end of a left hand. Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a salvo of punches, and lands a few in the process. Salikhov spins with a kick, and Zaleski dos Santos blocks it without much effort. When Zaleski dos Santos kicks to the lead leg, Salikhov times an overhand right that zings across the hair of his foe. Salikhov digs to the body with a spinning back kick, and this time Zaleski dos Santos is not quick enough to defend it. He comes back with a spinning wheel kick, and Salikhov blocks it, so Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a few punches. Salikhov blocks them and fires another quick spinning back kick to the midsection. A powerful left hand from Salikhov stings Zaleski dos Santos, pausing the Brazilian for a moment. Zaleski dos Santos shoots in low for a takedown, and the Dagestani fighter stuffs it but gets tied up in a clinch. Zaleski dos Santos lifts a few knees up to the body, until Salikhov pushes himself free. Zaleski dos Santos wings up with a massive right hand, hurting Salikhov, so “Capoeira” chases after him with a few more. Salikhov shoots for a desperation takedown, and he lands it, but Zaleski dos Santos reverses the position and ends the round wailing on him with punches.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos

Round 2
Zaleski dos Santos opens up the round with a low kick, and a one-two finds its home as “King of Kung Fu” looks to back off and get in his own rhythm. Zaleski dos Santos stings him with a right, and Salikhov fires back with a powerful left that makes Zaleski dos Santos take a step back. Salikhov kicks low, and takes a few jabs and backpedals to avoid a blitz from the Brazilian. Salikhov kicks to the body, so Zaleski dos Santos spins with a wheel kick. Salikhov catches the kick in midair, and throws Zaleski dos Santos down to the ground like a sack of flour. When Zaleski dos Santos gets back up, the two laugh it off, until Zaleski dos Santos winds up with a massive right hand that rings his opponent’s bell. As he plows forward with offense, Zaleski dos Santos ties him up and tries to wrench the fight down with a body lock takedown. Salikhov staves it off, so Zaleski dos Santos delivers a couple knees up the middle. Salikhov pushes away, and the two take the center of the cage again. Zaleski dos Santos flicks out a few jabs, and follows one with a windmilling right hand that Salikhov sees coming from a mile away. Salikhov throws another spinning kick, and Zaleski dos Santos returns fire with an identical kick. Zaleski dos Santos chains that kick with a high kick, and Salikhov blocks it and fires a speedy wheel kick that just misses Zaleski dos Santos’s head. The Brazilian pops out a jab, and a one-two is delivered part and parcel. The two trade single strikes until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos

Round 3
The two men touch gloves to start the last round, and Zaleski dos Santos introduces his foot to the side of Salikhov’s midsection. A few jabs from the Brazilian keep Salikhov back, until the Dagestani fighter rings home a right hand. Zaleski dos Santos digs to the body with a front kick, and keeps his momentum by spinning into a capoeira kick. Salikhov evades it and responds with an overhand left that gets Zaleski dos Santos’ attention. After a tepid moment where the two lazily throw out jabs, Salikhov misses with a leaping left hand. The two jab each other in the face at the same time, and Zaleski dos Santos works a low kick into a right hand that is inches short of full impact. Salikhov rushes in with a big punch, and Zaleski dos Santos catches him with a thudding counter, forcing Salikhov to take step backwards. “King of Kung Fu” is stalking down Zaleski dos Santos around the cage, with a leg kick and a few punches to try to make the Brazilian back away. A right hand from Salikhov connects, and when he sees a punch coming, he counters Zaleski dos Santos with a stiff right. Two punches swing by Salikhov’s head, so the Dagestani fighter comes back at him with a right. Salikhov jabs to the body as he avoids a foot to the face, but these two strikers are dwindling to single strikes. With no setup, Salikhov fires off a spinning back kick that glances off the side of Zaleski dos Santos’ head. Salikhov stalks him down but does not unload on him, and backs away while goading his opponent to come at him. “Capoeira” winds up with seconds to go with a spinning tornado kick, and Salikhov is well out of the way, applauding as the kick goes flying. Time expires, and this fight goes the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos (30-27 Zaleski dos Santos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by decision, believing he will outwork Salikhov with higher output. He thinks Salikhov's only path is a knockout, but Zaleski has a good chin and can also win via takedowns or submission. He considers Zaleski underrated and the slight favorite should be him.

"i am going with eliza zalewski here ... i think he's gonna throw more ... i'm banking on the output here i'm banking on zaleski to land more avoid that knockout shot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Levi picks Muslim Salikhov, emphasizing his speed, accuracy, and power on the feet. He believes Salikhov will knock out Zaleski if they stand, and notes improved takedown defense. He criticizes the narrative that Zaleski can out-volume Salikhov, saying Salikhov's shots are fight-changing. He also mentions the location (Abu Dhabi) may favor Salikhov in a decision.

predicts KO or decision win for Salikhov
"I think when Muslim Sulli cough touches him it's gonna either drop him rock him or knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zaleski is a better grappler and jiu-jitsu player. He can use his capoeira striking to set up takedowns and exploit Salikhov's flaws on the ground. The line at +115 is good value, as the fight should be closer to a pick'em. Picks Zaleski by second-round submission.

submission in second round, dog odds +115
"I like Zaleski dos Santos to win this fight by second round submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

The Guru picks Zaleski dos Santos by TKO, saying he thinks he gets it done by decision or TKO. He does not elaborate further.

"I've got a Liz user Leske dos Santos by - huge I think he gets it done by this ish"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.

safe to parlay
"I love Rena in this fight you guys know I've been very high on him I have literally made money on him him in every single one of his UFC fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.

"give me we're not fuer enough to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.

Fakhretdinov wins by decision, Fakhretdinov wins inside distance
"I'm going Rinat here and I think he makes a statement."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.

James mentions he has Russian intel that Fakhretdinov may be injured and striking rather than grappling. He also notes that Zaleski is +290.
"I bet on zaleski man I bet on zaleski I don't love it... but I just think the line's a little bit wide here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.

win by decision
"I believe that Fakhretdinov can go out there and implement his style without too much resistance allowing him to get his hand raised like I said by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go rat for ketanov... renat is just undeniable I think at this point"