Manon Fiorot vs Rose Namajunas

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-250); Jasudavicius (+200)

Round 1
As the main card continues, the victor of this match may be arguably closer than any other on the card—besides perhaps Reinier de Ridder should he get it done—to a title shot. Fiorot (12-2, 7-1 UFC) lost in her last time out vying for it, but a win would go a long way in keeping her right in the conversation. On her way up is Canada’s Jasudavicius (14-3, 8-2 UFC), who might punch her ticket for flyweight gold if she pulls off the upset. Referee Dan Miragliotta—the crowd doesn’t like his assignment—will be the first to know who that winner will be, although he does not want to interfere and stays back as the ladies opt not to bump gloves together.
Fiorot gets right behind her jab, peppering the Canadian right out of the gate by doubling and tripling up on it. Fiorot pecks at Jasudavicius and scoots out of the way, beating the Canadian to the punch repeatedly. The quick punches have already started to have an effect on Jasudavicius’s nose. Jasudavicius sells out with a big right hand, and it skims off the shoulder. Fiorot slips to the side and delivers a sneaky left hand on the way out, and she times a sharp one-two that shocks Jasudavicius down to her core. Jasudavicius’ legs nearly give out beneath her like a baby deer on an icy lake, and Fiorot sees her opening and immediately strikes.
The Frenchwoman drives a knee to the stomach, and she puts another on Jasudavicius’ face as she throws her foe to her seat. Fiorot unleashes a fury of left hands to brutalize Jasudavicius, and with Jasudavicius on her knees reaching out with her left arm to Fiorot’s hip, Miragliotta decides that enough is enough and waves the fight off.
The audience is silenced in an instant, except for Jasudavicius screaming at Miragliotta that she was not out and that she was still fighting back. This is a huge win for Fiorot, not only ending her own stretch of decision wins but destroying the win streak of a promising up-and-comer who would have been a fresh new face for flyweight queen Valentina Shevchenko. Much like Joe Benavidez as the unrelenting gatekeeper to Demetrious Johnson’s historic reign, Fiorot eradicates a rising contender with one of the speediest finishes in women’s flyweight history.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jasmine Jasudavicius R1 1:14 via TKO (Punches)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.

Fiorot wins decision, low fantasy scoring for both

"I think Manon Fiorot wins this fight."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.

"I'm going to say Jasmine wins this fight. Picks up two rounds and wins this fight by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.

Fiorot by decision

"So for me it's a FO pick and a FO by decision."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"I think that that is really where Giussudevisius is going to land here."

MMA Vivisection

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.

"I got to pick man on throw here. Too physical, too much of a better striker, powerful. I don't think she finishes Jazz just cuz Jazz is so effing tough, but I'm picking man on throw here via decision."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.

"I think Fido's perpetual movement, footwork, uh, and her distance striking will cause Jaz Deviscious too many problems."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.

"I think it's a horrible stylistic matchup for her. Um Mopia Rose the side for me."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.

decision win 29-28 or 30-27

"I'm going against Jasudavicius and I'm trusting in Manon Fiorot to get this one done by decision win, 29-28 or 30-27."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"But unfortunately, I think I have to pick Firo."

MMA Vivisection

LOSS vs Valentina Shevchenko

Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko	1	72 of 149	48%	173 of 251	2 of 9	22%	0	0	1:52
Manon Fiorot	0	71 of 160	44%	150 of 239	1 of 12	8%	0	0	7:07

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Valentina Shevchenko	0	19 of 36	52%	57 of 75	1 of 1	100%	1:34
1	Manon Fiorot	0	13 of 32	40%	20 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Valentina Shevchenko	0	8 of 20	40%	21 of 33	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	0	12 of 28	42%	31 of 47	1 of 5	20%	1:59
3	Valentina Shevchenko	0	14 of 28	50%	36 of 50	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 28	50%	29 of 43	0 of 5	0%	1:40
4	Valentina Shevchenko	1	16 of 32	50%	29 of 45	1 of 2	50%	0:18
4	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 33	42%	32 of 51	0 of 2	0%	1:31
5	Valentina Shevchenko	0	15 of 33	45%	30 of 48	0 of 2	0%	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	0	18 of 39	46%	38 of 59	0 of 0	---	1:57

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Valentina Shevchenko	72 of 149	48%	48 of 118	7 of 12	17 of 19	62 of 126	7 of 18	3 of 5
Manon Fiorot	71 of 160	44%	29 of 113	35 of 37	7 of 10	40 of 124	29 of 33	2 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Valentina Shevchenko	19 of 36	52%	15 of 31	0 of 1	4 of 4	18 of 35	0 of 0	1 of 1
1	Manon Fiorot	13 of 32	40%	6 of 25	5 of 5	2 of 2	13 of 32	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	8 of 20	40%	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	12 of 28	42%	7 of 22	4 of 4	1 of 2	5 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 3
3	Valentina Shevchenko	14 of 28	50%	6 of 18	1 of 2	7 of 8	11 of 22	3 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	14 of 28	50%	5 of 16	8 of 10	1 of 2	4 of 18	10 of 10	0 of 0
4	Valentina Shevchenko	16 of 32	50%	10 of 26	1 of 1	5 of 5	14 of 22	0 of 6	2 of 4
4	Manon Fiorot	14 of 33	42%	5 of 23	8 of 8	1 of 2	7 of 25	7 of 8	0 of 0
5	Valentina Shevchenko	15 of 33	45%	12 of 27	2 of 4	1 of 2	14 of 31	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	18 of 39	46%	6 of 27	10 of 10	2 of 2	11 of 30	7 of 9	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

UFC Women’s Flyweight Title Fight: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-148), Shevchenko (+124)

Round 1
For the first time since 2022, champion Shevchenko (24-4-1, 13-3-1 UFC) will be facing a woman not named Grasso. She draws surging Frenchwoman Fiorot (12-1, 7-0 UFC), who could become the first French-born undisputed champion in UFC history—Ciryl Gane won the interim heavyweight strap. To the surprise of some, Fiorot will close as the betting favorite, but when the cage door closes, it’s all between the two flyweights and referee Marc Goddard. They cordially tap their gloves together to make it official. Shevchenko slaps out a leg kick and leans to avoid a head kick, with Fiorot advancing early. Shevchenko pushes her away to score a body kick, and she zips away before another high kick can reach her. Shevchenko clips the challenger with a one-two, who seems surprised by the blows and has to blink them out. Shevchenko blocks a kick to get off a right hand, and she ducks a right hook when Fiorot strikes. Fiorot plants a kick on the lead leg, and she is countered when trying a second. Shevchenko lets Fiorot come in so she can catch her with a check right hook, and Fiorot looks for a kick on the other side. Shevchenko considers changing levels, but ends up blocking a kick and skirting to the side. Shevchenko stands the Frenchwoman up with a right hand, and her low kick continues to find its mark. Shevchenko flicks up a kick to the nose that reddens it up fast, and Fiorot adjusts it. Shevchenko spins with a wheel kick, and Fiorot dodges but cannot get her hands on the champ. Fiorot walks face-first into a right hand, and she bangs her lead leg into her foe’s guard. The right hand from Shevchenko bloodies up Fiorot’s nose, and she stings her again and shakes her up. The nose for the challenger is busted and bleeding badly just three minutes in, and Fiorot ignores it and surges forward. Shevchenko dances easily out of the way to reset, and she is met with a kick that she catches and tackles Fiorot to the ground. Shevchenko lands in half guard, where she lords over her foe and completely controls her. Goddard asks for more action, with Shevchenko content to impose heavy shoulder pressure. Fiorot elbows her opponent in the posterior while Shevchenko lands a few punches, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 2
Fiorot starts the round with her foot flying, and she shoots in for a double. Shevchenko leans against the wall to defend it, and she ducks away to escape. Shevchenko whips a kick up high that starts the bleeding again, and Fiorot promptly wipes her nose. Shevchenko spins with a back kick that slams into her ribs, and she skips away to evade a counter. Fiorot level changes and hits a 5-foot-5 wall that punches her in the face. Fiorot comes up short with a head kick, and she goes after a single that is equally futile. Shevchenko stands and waits for her opponent to come to her, countering her and hitting a trip to put the Frenchwoman on the mat. Fiorot scrambles madly to flip Shevchenko over, and they both get to their feet. Shevchenko beats Fiorot to the punch with her jab repeatedly, and she shoots for a double and cannot quite get it as Fiorot hops around skillfully. Fiorot pushes her foe back to get back to kickboxing range, and she raises up a high kick that gets blocked. Fiorot shoots for a takedown, and Shevchenko sprawls against the wall. Fiorot peels her leg away and grabs her from behind, leaning on the champ and kneeing her to the back of the thigh. Shevchenko spins away, but not before eating an elbow. Fiorot’s head kick cannot find its target, and she times a right hand with a takedown shot. Fiorot uses pure brute force to lift Shevchenko up in the air and dump her down, where she laces her legs around “Bullet” to pin her to her seat. Shevchenko posts off her right arm and barely blocks an illegal knee while she was grounded that Goddard did not see. Shevchenko does not protest, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Goddard issues a hard warning between rounds, having acknowledged the near-foul, and the ladies get back to combat. They trade leg kicks to start, and Shevchenko goes high while Fiorot goes low a second time. Fiorot ignores a head kick that soars past her, and she stands there waiting for more offense to come at her. It is another blockable head kick, and she stuffs a takedown and reaches out with a right hand as Fiorot abandons it. The champ kicks the inside of the lead leg and flicks out a few jabs to get some space, and she nearly gets caught with a high kick. Shevchenko kicks the outer side of the leg, and they crash together when both going for level changes. Fiorot brings up a knee and an elbow, and Shevchenko scores a few jabs. When Fiorot charges, Shevchenko turns to the side and sprints around the cage to reset. Shevchenko shoots for a takedown that is unsuccessful, and she comes up top with a right hand. Fiorot fails on her own takedown effort, and she clinches up to drive four knees to the midsection. Shevchenko misses on a front kick to break, and she proceeds to work the front leg further. Fiorot flails her way in, inaccurate with her approach, and Shevchenko knees her in the face when Fiorot ducks down. This does not deter the Frenchwoman, who looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot scores a knee or two to the inner thigh, and she plants one on the groin that Shevchenko once again does not protest. On the break, Shevchenko busts her foe’s nose open again with a right hand. The jab is soon to follow from the champ, who spins with a powerful back fist that forces Fiorot to shoot. Fiorot uses pure power to elevate her foe, and Shevchenko is able to hop around and keep her balance with the wall at her side. Fiorot knees the back of the leg, and Shevchenko pushes off the cage as Fiorot’s team claim falsely that she grabbed the fence—Goddard replies, “not even close.” Shevchenko pushes off with a punch and a kick, and the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The women meet the championship rounds, and Fiorot is amped up and ready to continue as she pitches kicks and jabs out. Fiorot lands a side kick, and Shevchenko surges forward with two hooks. Shevchenko times a head kick to spin with a wheel kick that nails the challenger on the chin. Fiorot shakes her head, and she has her nose bleeding early with peppery jabs. Fiorot ducks under one in pursuit of a double, and she succeeds in pushing Shevchenko against the cage but no further. Fiorot settles for a few knees up close and personal, and she transitions to a single that Shevchenko thwarts with a few punches up top. Fiorot zips past her foe with offense, and Shevchenko is calm and a cucumber and counters her. Shevchenko tries a quick takedown, and Fiorot backs her off with a knee to the midsection. Shevchenko knees Fiorot and skirts to the side to let the Frenchwoman go past her again, playing the matador. She drills Fiorot with a stern spinning kick to the ribcage, and all Fiorot can do is reset and try to move forward and clinch. Fiorot scores a knee in the tie-up before pushing her to the wall, where she leans heavily on her adversary and scoring a few more knees. Shevchenko breaks free while dodging a knee up the middle, and she kicks the lead leg of her advancing foe. Fiorot leaps forward and is out of range, and Shevchenko times a sneaky takedown to drag Fiorot to her seat. Fiorot rushes back to her feet and starts kneeing the champ in the side. Fiorot manages to get off an elbow in the clinch, and she pushes out a side kick. Fiorot spins with nothing, and Shevchenko counters her with a right hand that sends her flying to the ground. Shevchenko pounces, ending the round in style with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 5
The fifth round has arrived, and it could be split leading into it. Fiorot acknowledges this and fights behind her jab, while Shevchenko shifts to the side and keeps moving. Fiorot chases her down and knees her once in the belly before tying her up, and she looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot whiffs with an elbow on the break, and a high kick grazes her chin on the way out. Shevchenko counters her over the top with a left hand, and Fiorot bites down on her mouthpiece and slings leather back her direction. Shevchenko ducks a few punches to change levels, and Fiorot stonewalls her and shoves her back. Shevchenko smacks the front leg with a kick, continuously moving and blasting Fiorot with a spinning back fist. Fiorot is tough as a stale baguette, and she pushes forward into the clinch. Shevchenko breaks away and kicks her in the side. Shevchenko pecks out a jab, and she leaps forward with a Superwoman punch and a level change. Fiorot turns her about and pushes her to the wall, but she cannot keep the champ there. Fiorot fakes a spin, and she is at least a foot away from a head kick. Shevchenko connects with a punch, and Fiorot darts towards her with a short punch salvo before clinching up again. Fiorot knees her in the belly and leans on her, winding up with distance to plant the knees on the thigh. Fiorot sneaks around to grab the back of the champion, who spins around with a right hand as Fiorot tosses a head kick at her. Shevchenko counters a kick with a right hand, and her one-two comes up short. Her second lands, but not before Fiorot scores too. Shevchenko dings the challenger with a spinning back fist, and Fiorot pays her back with a knee and an elbow. Shevchenko knees back, and she aims a head kick at the bell. They go the distance, and the scores could go either way. Both women put their hands in the air after 25 minutes of fairly evenly-matched combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko (48-47 Shevchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot to become the new champion, citing her size, power, takedown defense, and striking. He acknowledges Valentina Shevchenko's evolution into wrestling but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and power will be too much. He thinks Fiorot controls the striking and keeps the fight on her feet.

"Mannon Fau is going to be the pick. I think she controls the striking. I think she keeps a fight on her feet and I think she becomes the new strawweight world champion."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady is hesitant but leans Fiorot. He notes Fiorot's high-volume striking, elite takedown defense (93%), and physical strength. He acknowledges Shevchenko looked great against Grasso but questions if that was due to Grasso's poor performance. He thinks Fiorot's movement and the big cage help her, and she can defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision win for Fiorot.

"I am going to go with Man on Fior to win a a close and competitive decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Connor picks Valentina Shevchenko, agreeing with Zane that she is a master of distance management. He notes that Fiorot's wrestling has not been tested against someone like Shevchenko, who has developed new takedown entries. Connor believes that Fiorot's game is not dynamic enough to exploit any potential age-related decline in Shevchenko.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The host notes Shevchenko has been an underdog three times in the UFC and is 3-0 in those fights, expecting her to go 4-0. He believes she will compete in striking but ultimately use her clinch and grappling to dictate the pace and win on the scorecards.

"Shvchenko has already come into the UFC as an underdog three times, and she's 3-0 in those matchups."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Shevchenko, believing she is being disrespected as an underdog. He notes her championship experience, reach advantage, and recent dominant win over Grasso. He questions Fiorot's performance against Rose Namajunas, who fought with a broken hand, and thinks Shevchenko's technical striking and adjustments will win her a decision.

decision

"I'm going to go with Valentina Chevhenko getting this one done by decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Zane picks Valentina Shevchenko, arguing that she is a master of distance management and preventative footwork, making it incredibly difficult for opponents to get into range. He notes that Fiorot's striking has structural flaws, with her chin rising and feet squaring when she commits. Zane believes that if Fiorot wins, it will be more a sign of Shevchenko's age than Fiorot's skill.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Erin Blanchfield

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	130 of 386	33%	135 of 394	0 of 3	0%	1	0	0:48
Erin Blanchfield	0	172 of 359	47%	181 of 369	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:53

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	22 of 60	0 of 0	---	1	0:27
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	30 of 59	1 of 1	100%	0	0:46
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	22 of 78	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	27 of 62	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	24 of 69	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	29 of 70	0 of 0	---	0	0:05
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	38 of 99	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	47 of 86	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	29 of 88	0 of 0	---	0	0:21
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	48 of 92	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	130 of 386	33%	80 of 318	25 of 40	25 of 28	124 of 371	6 of 15	0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield	172 of 359	47%	143 of 321	18 of 25	11 of 13	167 of 346	5 of 13	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	14 of 48	3 of 6	4 of 4	21 of 55	0 of 3	0 of 0
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	25 of 52	2 of 2	1 of 3	25 of 53	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	11 of 64	6 of 8	4 of 5	19 of 70	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	18 of 50	6 of 8	3 of 3	26 of 57	1 of 4	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	15 of 52	6 of 11	3 of 5	21 of 65	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	24 of 64	3 of 4	2 of 2	29 of 68	0 of 2	0 of 0
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	22 of 81	8 of 10	7 of 7	37 of 97	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	40 of 78	3 of 4	3 of 3	46 of 83	0 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	18 of 73	2 of 5	7 of 7	26 of 84	1 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	36 of 77	4 of 7	2 of 2	41 of 85	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Blanchfield (-192), Fiorot (+160)

Round 1
A possible shot at the flyweight title is on the line here as Blanchfield and Fiorot bring their dueling six-fight Octagon winning streaks into the “UFC Atlantic City” main event. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Fiorot is southpaw, Blanchfield orthodox. Fiorot sticks out the jab early. Blanchfield throws a body kick, but takes a lefty counter upstairs. Fiorot changes levels, hoists Blanchfield into the air and slams her to the canvas. Blanchfield grabs a guillotine and it’s tight. Fiorot tries to get out of Blanchfield’s guard and to safety, and Blanchfield gets to her feet, still holding the choke. They fight out the position against the cage, Fiorot fighting the hands as Blanchfield tries to tighten the choke. Blanchfield finally gives up on the submission and they split and reset in the middle of the cage. Fiorot works with the jab again, keeping the shorter woman on the outside. Blanchfield throws a high kick that glances off the chest and arms of Fiorot. Blanchfield backs Fiorot up to the fence with a string of punches, then grabs a body lock and tries to take her down. She can’t get the takedown, and eats a sharp right hand on the break. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Blanchfield bounces into range, trying to get past Fiorot’s jab, but Fiorot is wise to it. Blanchfield throws a body kick that glances off the arms. Blanchfield steps in and uses a body lock and trip to take Fiorot down. She succeeds, but Fiorot uses muscle and balance to sweep her and land on top, then stands and makes Blanchfield follow. Fiorot lands a karate-style side kick to the lead leg of Blanchfield, stopping her forward progress. Blanchfield steps in and grabs another body lock, and again Fiorot just kind of muscles her away. Fiorot steps inside a punch to clinch, then throws a knee as they separate. Blanchfield is relentless in her forward movement, but Fiorot is doing a brilliant job so far of using jabs and low kicks to keep her outside, or collapsing the distance and clinching when she gets in. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Blanchfield swings her way into the pocket and lands a couple of punches. Fiorot makes some space between them and meets Blanchfield’s next entry with a downward low kick. Blanchfield shoves into the clinch, and Fiorot simply tosses her by, throwing her toward the fence. Blanchfield draws a jab out of Fiorot and counters with a nice straight. Blanchfield is finding some success landing her right hand over Fiorot’s left. Blanchfield charges in, and once again Fiorot just kind of flings her on her way. Blanchfield spins down to one knee before turning to re-engage. Blanchfield is bleeding from a small cut outside her left eye, though the blood is thankfully not running into the eye. Blanchfield clinches, and while Fiorot shucks her off, Blanchfield connects with a nice short right on the way out. Under a minute to go, and the Atlantic City crowd is audibly restive. Fiorot meets a Blanchfield charge with a hard knee up the middle. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The main event rounds open with Blanchfield again coming forward aggressively, swinging hooks with both hands. Again, Fiorot meets her calmly with the jab and leg kick. Blanchfield, perhaps knowing that she needs to do something big, throws caution to the wind, charging into the pocket and swinging away. Fiorot gives ground, her composure momentarily shaken, and Blanchfield lands a couple of solid punches. They clinch and Fiorot grabs a body lock, considers hoisting Blanchfield for another slam, but can’t complete it and they separate. Two minutes to go in the round and Blanchfield is still the aggressor, but Fiorot is back to managing the distance and keeping the shorter woman on the outside. With under 30 seconds to go, Fiorot catches Blanchfield coming in with a kick to the body, stopping her in her tracks. The 10-second clapper sounds, and neither woman lands anything of substance before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 5
Blanchfield’s corner sends her back out with the instruction, “You need a f***in’ finish,” mirroring our scorecards here at Sherdog. Blanchfield comes out throwing with abandon, and lands a head kick that staggers the Frenchwoman. Fiorot recovers quickly, but damage was done. Fiorot enters the pocket and Fiorot shoves her with both hands, dropping her to her seat. Blanchfield is trying to walk Fiorot down, perhaps corral her against the fence, but Fiorot is wise to it and continues to dominate the distance battle. Fiorot’s lead left hook is finding the American’s head on the entry or exit from almost every exchange. Blanchfield marches forward, but Fiorot meets her with a one-two that snaps her head back. Blanchfield pushes through, clinches and shoves Fiorot into the cage with under a minute left. They disengage and Fiorot, far from sitting on her lead, throws a flying knee at the oncoming Blanchfield. Blanchfield misses with a high kick and Fiorot throws a spinning attack that ends in a collision. The final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Erin Blanchfield via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot but is not very confident. He cites Fiorot's striking power and 91% takedown defense, contrasting with Blanchfield's poor takedown attempts in her last fight. He worries that Blanchfield's toughness and forward pressure could trouble Fiorot. He notes underdogs have won 66% of main events in 2024.

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision, taking the underdog. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance. He favors Fiorot in the striking early, but worries about Blanchfield's pressure and grappling later. He notes Blanchfield's takedown accuracy is low and Fiorot's takedown defense is elite. Brady expects a split decision where Fiorot does better work early.

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody sees Fiorot as a live underdog due to her takedown defense and counter-striking. He notes Blanchfield's recent struggles with takedowns (0 for 14 against Santos) and believes Fiorot can keep the fight standing and outpoint her. However, he admits it's more of a price play and not a high-confidence pick.

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Vreeland picks Manon Fiorot at plus money, stating he bet her at +170. He believes Fiorot is very disciplined, won't get carried away, and can frustrate Blanchfield by staying on the feet and using her movement. He notes that Fiorot has survived takedowns before (e.g., against Jennifer Maia) and that Blanchfield's wrestling isn't elite. He acknowledges Blanchfield's submission threat but thinks Fiorot can avoid being finished and win a decision.

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

James sees this as a 50/50 fight due to the unknowns of whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Andrade. He notes Blanchfield's grappling is elite but her striking defense is poor, while Andrade has one-punch power and strong clinch work. He leans Blanchfield because of her youth and potential to get takedowns in later rounds, but is not confident. He mentions Blanchfield at +150 offers value.

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot's takedown defense and movement are key; she has only been controlled for 1:40 in 77 minutes of UFC cage time. Blanchfield's takedown success has plummeted (2 of 22 in last 4 fights), and she gets hit often. Fiorot's lateral movement and ability to pivot off Blanchfield's entries should allow her to land straight shots and avoid prolonged grappling. The fight resembles Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman where the wrestler fails on takedowns and eats damage. Fiorot by decision is the most likely outcome, though the last two rounds could be close.

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves

"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody that Fiorot is a live underdog, citing Blanchfield's takedown struggles and Fiorot's technical striking. He mentions the close fight with Rose Namajunas as a reference but admits he doesn't feel great about it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The host picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He believes Blanchfield's takedown attempts and aggression will be key, especially in a five-round fight. He notes that Fiorot may struggle to stuff takedowns over five rounds and that Blanchfield is willing to shoot repeatedly. He also sees opportunities for Blanchfield to take Fiorot's back when Fiorot turns after combinations. He predicts a 49-46 decision, with Blanchfield losing one round.

decision win, 49-46

"I'm going to go with Aon blanchfield I think she'll be able to push and also I watched back her fight with Jessica and dra it wasn't what I remember... I'm actually going to pick blanchfield by decision 4946"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Rose Namajunas

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	58 of 225	25%	62 of 232	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:24
Rose Namajunas	0	60 of 150	40%	60 of 152	0 of 6	0%	0	0	0:25

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	18 of 89	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	23 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	23 of 75	0 of 1	0%	0:24
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	15 of 41	0 of 2	0%	0:12
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	21 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	22 of 54	0 of 2	0%	0:13

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	58 of 225	25%	39 of 197	15 of 22	4 of 6	53 of 214	4 of 10	1 of 1
Rose Namajunas	60 of 150	40%	32 of 107	15 of 26	13 of 17	59 of 148	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	14 of 82	2 of 4	2 of 2	18 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	11 of 37	4 of 8	8 of 11	23 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	11 of 55	7 of 11	1 of 3	17 of 62	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	10 of 31	4 of 8	1 of 1	14 of 38	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	14 of 60	6 of 7	1 of 1	18 of 64	2 of 3	1 of 1
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	11 of 39	7 of 10	4 of 5	22 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-185), Namajunas (+154)

Round 1
The bout that likely holds the greatest immediate title implications today comes in the co-main event, between two flyweights. Competing in MMA on French soil for the first time, Nice-born Fiorot (10-1, 5-0 UFC) hopes that a win over former champ Namajunas (11-5, 9-4 UFC) will propel her to the top of the weight class. On the other side of the equation, “Thug Rose” will be making her first jaunt to 125 pounds after multiple championship reigns down at strawweight. The size difference is not as significant as some might expect, and the women will have upwards of 15 minutes to state their case as elite members of the division. As referee Rich Mitchell stands by, the two ladies decide against bumping fists. Namajunas snaps out a quick right hand, and Fiorot responds with a left. Namajunas lands a low kick, and she pushes off with a side kick as Fiorot crowds her. Namajunas misses with a back fist, and Fiorot lands with a stern right hook. Fiorot stands fearlessly in front of her opponent, and she misses with a one-two and tries to catch her with a second. Namajunas slides to the side and sneak out a left hook. Fiorot catches Namajunas before the former champ can get off a combination, and she connects with a body shot when Namajunas closes the distance. Namajunas kicks low and shoots for a single, and the Frenchwoman tosses her aside with little effort. Fiorot keeps her range with a low kick and lunging jab, and her kicks are successfully keeping Namajunas at bay. Fiorot gets off a jab and a one-two, and Namajunas parries the latter. Namajunas beats Fiorot to the punch with a left hand, and she lands this same punch two more times. Namajunas kicks the lead leg, and Fiorot backs her off with short combinations of punches. Namajunas lands one kick and takes three punches off the top before she can reset. Namajunas manages to get in a single left, and Fiorot ignores it. Fiorot misses with a strike, and Namajunas slips her and connects cleanly with a left hand. As the former champ blocks a kick, she meanders forward and evades the other strikes with decent head movement. Namajunas drops down to her knees to snatch up a single, and Fiorot shuts it down and gets away. Fiorot lands cleanly with a left hand on the nose, and she bats Namajunas away with a side kick. The round ends with Fiorot jabbing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Between rounds, Namajunas informs her corner that she broke her right pink finger, and partner Pat Barry says “that’s alright, you don’t need her finger.” Namajunas is not discouraged despite the potential injury, and she is ready to resume action. Namajunas gets in Fiorot’s face early with a flurry of punches, and Fiorot stays composed and does not take many strikes cleanly. Fiorot boxes Namajunas up with a few shots ending with a short right hook, and two punches send Namajunas off-balance. Namajunas topples over, and she climbs to her knees and up as Fiorot rushes at her. Namajunas fights her way out of the clinch, only to absorb a flush knee to the body. Namajunas swipes out with a left, and her strikes do not have near the impact compared to her opponent’s – and the size difference does appear to be widening the competitive gap between the two. Fiorot takes a hook kick on the nose, and she leans back to dodge a subsequent spinning wheel kick in the nick of time. Fiorot spams punches, and Namajunas evades every single one and comes back with a right hand over the top. Fiorot times a head kick as Namajunas comes in on her, and Namajunas is able to respond with a huge right hand that shakes Fiorot up at the same time Fiorot tosses a side kick. Namajunas uses the moment to pursue a takedown, but Fiorot outmuscles her and keeps herself upright before breaking free. Namajunas lands a right hand on the break, and she holds her guard high to defend against a kick. Both women swing at the same time and duck down, and their heads clack together as a sizeable cut opens on Fiorot’s right temple. Fiorot pays it no mind and tells Mitchell she is fine, and the blood flow is not presenting any issues. Namajunas times a left hand on that target, and she gets pushed back from a side kick. Fiorot sweeps the leg, and she absorbs a good right hand on the way out. Namajunas scores a short left, but Fiorot lands two back at her. Namajunas swings hard, and she does land a left hook, only for Fiorot to completely ignore it as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
There is no plan on a glove touch to start the last round, and instead Namajunas is ready to go to battle and try to pull off a comeback. Namajunas lets go with a head kick and shoots for a single, and Fiorot blocks the former and stuffs the latter. Namajunas resets and chops at the lead leg, and she darts forward with a pair of punches that whiz past the Frenchwoman. Namajunas whips a left hand over the top, and she lands another before changing levels. Fiorot will not allow herself to be taken down, and she bucks out of the posture and gets back to kickboxing range. Fiorot gets off a stomp kick to the knee, and Namajunas rushes at her opponent only to miss wide. Namajunas sticks Fiorot during an exchange, and Fiorot retaliates with a trio of punches. Fiorot comes up just short when trying to counter a leg kick, and she absorbs a flush right hand but keeps on moving. The former champ scores a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Fiorot is well away from any strikes that could possibly follow. Fiorot snipes with her jab and swiping right hook, using it to stop Namajunas from getting on the inside. Namajunas chases after Fiorot, and they trade head kicks – Fiorot’s lands much harder. Namajunas tries to cut off the cage, but Fiorot is elusive and her timing is erratic enough to not let Namajunas track her down. Namajunas dings her foe with three left hooks, and Fiorot slips but gathers herself and leans back against the wall instead of falling down. Namajunas looks for a few strikes, and Fiorot breaks off and escapes. Namajunas continues her pursuit, and Fiorot gets out of danger and watches a spin kick soar past her as time elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Rose Namajunas via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo is confident Manon Fiorot dominates, citing her size, power, and volume. He notes Rose Namajunas is moving up in weight and lacks volume compared to Manon. He points out Manon has landed more strikes in each of her last five wins than Rose did in five-round fights. He has parlayed Manon with Ange Loosa.

parlayed with Ange Loosa for plus money

"I think mannon dominates this fight... I have parlayed her with Ange loosa for some plus money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot, citing her size, strength, power, and volume advantage over the smaller Namajunas moving up from strawweight. He doubts Rose can outgrapple, outvolume, or knock out Fiorot. He expects Fiorot to win a decision, though he acknowledges Rose's striking talent and calls it an interesting test.

"in terms of a pick I'm gonna pick Fiora to win this fight... fioro does get it done and get it done here by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot due to size and strength advantages at flyweight, and questions Rose's motivation after a lackluster performance against Esparza. He notes Rose's striking advantages were not used in that fight and she has been off for a year. Fiorot's kicking game and French crowd support are key factors. Cody sees Rose's offensive wrestling as a potential path but doubts she can take down or hold down a strong flyweight.

"the pick will be minnow Fiero for me"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, arguing that Fiorot's elusive, outside-fighting style will frustrate Rose Namajunas, who thrives in pocket boxing exchanges. He believes Fiorot will use sidekicks and movement to keep Rose at range, preventing her from letting her hands go. Levi dismisses the size narrative, stating that Fiorot is not a pressure grappler so the weight class difference is irrelevant. He expects a clear 30-27 decision, noting that Fiorot has a history of outpointing tough opponents like Mayra Bueno Silva.

Fiorot by decision

"I think Manon fioro is going to be on the outside and she's gonna make rose now my units come to her... I think she's gonna frustrate her and I see her 30-27 here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)

Manon Fiorot

Lucrative James is on Fiorot, having bet on her almost every fight. He thinks Fiorot is legit, top-five material, and that Rose is meeting her at the wrong time. He notes Rose's mental issues, long layoff, career-worst performance, and step up in weight. He believes Fiorot is bigger and stronger, and that Rose hasn't been finished except by Carla Esparza long ago. He likes Fiorot by points at +140, as he doesn't see a finish.

Manon Fiorot by decision (+140)

"I like Pharrell here and I like ferovia points at plus 140. I think that's a good bet."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

I'm leaning with Fiorot here. She has great takedown defense and a dynamic striking style with power and volume. Rose is a wild card mentally and may struggle with the weight cut to flyweight. Fiorot's footwork and ability to stay at distance should allow her to land significant strikes. However, I don't have a boatload of confidence because Rose has the experience advantage and could potentially get takedowns if she closes the distance. I think Fiorot wins by decision.

"I'm gonna lean with hero here you know she's gonna have a two inch height Advantage uh uh just an inch reach Advantage but I think it's mainly the power in which he throws and her comfortability in the Striking …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul also picks Fiorot, emphasizing her size and strength advantage. He doubts Rose's motivation and notes her inability to engage against Esparza. Paul thinks Rose's offensive wrestling could be a factor but that Fiorot's takedown defense and submission defense are solid. He expects a striking affair where Fiorot's speed and kicking game prevail, likely by decision (29-28 or 30-27).

"I'm gonna go firo five round fight... at least 29 28 hopefully a 30 27."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by TKO, citing her physicality and dangerous stand-up, while Rose Namajunas appears mentally checked out. He notes Rose's lack of activity, her poor performance against Carla Esparza, and her loss in a grappling match. He believes Fiorot will overwhelm Rose with a flurry of punches in round one.

"I'm going with man on Fiora TKO is my prediction I think Rose is checked out of the game"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Katlyn Cerminara

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	76 of 286	26%	76 of 286	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
Katlyn Cerminara	0	98 of 279	35%	99 of 280	1 of 2	50%	0	0	0:14

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	25 of 86	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	29 of 84	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	23 of 94	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	43 of 95	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	28 of 106	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	27 of 101	1 of 2	50%	0:14

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	76 of 286	26%	35 of 223	21 of 40	20 of 23	72 of 278	4 of 8	0 of 0
Katlyn Cerminara	98 of 279	35%	58 of 225	16 of 28	24 of 26	96 of 273	2 of 5	0 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	13 of 65	5 of 12	7 of 9	25 of 84	0 of 2	0 of 0
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	15 of 64	4 of 10	10 of 10	29 of 82	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	12 of 74	5 of 14	6 of 6	21 of 91	2 of 3	0 of 0
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	29 of 76	7 of 12	7 of 7	43 of 95	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	10 of 84	11 of 14	7 of 8	26 of 103	2 of 3	0 of 0
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	14 of 85	5 of 6	7 of 9	24 of 96	2 of 3	0 of 1

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo leans Manon Fiorot, citing her superior striking, power, and takedowns. He acknowledges that Katlyn Chookagian knows how to win decisions and could steal a close fight, but believes Fiorot should be better everywhere. He advises no money or parlays on Fiorot.

"I am gonna pick man in here because she should literally be better absolutely anywhere but if anyone is going to steal a decision on this card it is Caitlyn chikagian"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot to win by decision. He highlights Fiorot's power advantage and ability to mix in takedowns, noting she took down black belts Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva. Cerminara has low striking accuracy (35%) and poor takedown defense (54%). He believes Fiorot can land the more impactful shots and control the fight on the ground if needed.

"I like Fiora here quite a bit I like her to win by decision I don't really see a finish in this fight"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is sold on Fiorot, calling her the best in the division not named Valentina. He notes her speed, power, and complete game, and that she has been rolling through opponents. He thinks Chookagian's volume lacks impact and that Fiorot is better in every aspect. Cody expects Fiorot to win and eventually challenge for the title.

"I think fioros the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Katlyn Cerminara

Connor picks Cerminara, believing she has improved her boxing and ability to create memorable contact, making her a consistent round winner. He notes that Fiorot is often one-and-done with her striking and leaves openings, which Cerminara can exploit. He sees this as a natural gatekeeper role for Cerminara against a rising prospect.

"I think I'm gonna pick Chookagian. I think she's found her role as the gatekeeper to the elite in this division."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He thinks Fiorot can match or surpass Katlyn Cerminara's volume while minimizing strikes absorbed, citing Fiorot's 70% defense. He notes Fiorot has takedown defense and has landed takedowns herself. Levi respects Cerminara's experience and ability to win decisions, but believes Fiorot is the more promising fighter with fewer holes. He does not see value at -215 but picks Fiorot to pass this test.

Picks Fiorot by decision.

"my official pick is going to be uh manofio decision"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot does the same thing as Chookagian but with more power and efficiency. She has good takedown defense and can redirect momentum. Chookagian may try to grapple, but Fiorot is stronger in the clinch. Fiorot by decision at -110 is a better line than the moneyline.

Fiorot by decision at -110

"give me fiod give me fiod by decision which is -110 much better line than a money line"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul likely picks Fiorot but is not confident, noting that it could be a close striking battle. He mentions Chookagian's experience and that Fiorot is still improving. Paul thinks Fiorot should win but acknowledges it could be a split decision.

"likely rules but I can't say I got a whole lot of confidence in this one"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) by TKO. He believes Fiorot's stand-up is superior and that she will hurt Chookagian with body kicks, then swarm for a TKO. He notes Chookagian's tendency for close decisions and Fiorot's youth and improvement.

TKO

"I'm actually going to go over TKO for man on Fiora here"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her size, power, and ability to make Cerminara uncomfortable. He notes that Cerminara has struggled against good athletes who can get to her, and Fiorot's strength and reach will pose problems. He acknowledges it's a coin flip but leans on Fiorot's power and the fact that Cerminara's recent wins have been against smaller opponents.

"I'm going to pick Manon Fiorot. I think that the fight is ripe for Chookagian to play spoiler, but I still don't trust her to pull that off against somebody who can match her for size and speed."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Jennifer Maia

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	37 of 121	30%	56 of 141	1 of 4	25%	0	0	1:16
Jennifer Maia	0	83 of 138	60%	101 of 157	2 of 4	50%	0	0	2:37

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	16 of 57	0 of 0	---	0:09
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	34 of 68	0 of 1	0%	0:16
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	23 of 39	1 of 2	50%	0:28
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	37 of 43	2 of 3	66%	2:12
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	17 of 45	0 of 2	0%	0:39
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	30 of 46	0 of 0	---	0:09

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	37 of 121	30%	23 of 103	9 of 13	5 of 5	30 of 111	6 of 9	1 of 1
Jennifer Maia	83 of 138	60%	40 of 91	24 of 28	19 of 19	76 of 131	2 of 2	5 of 5

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	9 of 48	5 of 7	2 of 2	14 of 53	2 of 4	0 of 0
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	13 of 46	11 of 12	10 of 10	32 of 66	2 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	5 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 18	1 of 1	1 of 1
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	13 of 18	3 of 3	3 of 3	14 of 19	0 of 0	5 of 5
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	9 of 35	4 of 6	3 of 3	13 of 40	3 of 4	0 of 0
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	14 of 27	10 of 13	6 of 6	30 of 46	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Jennifer Maia

Round 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.

"i like manafort to come in here throw hands get the job done so mayna ferreau is the pick"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.

Manon Fiorot wins by decision

"You gotta go fiora here... I will take man if you were to win I'll take her to win by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i think that fioro fights the exact same game plan"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

Fiorot by decision, pass on betting due to price

"I think that this is one more on the win column for the hot prospect manon fiore"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.

Fiorot inside the distance

"i think fyro is worth the minus 400 shock in this spot because i think she'll do a good job in terms of keeping this fight standing"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i see fioro winning a a very convincing 30-27 decision"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.

"i'm gonna go with man on fiora over jessica i or jennifer meyer"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	91 of 267	34%	112 of 291	2 of 6	33%	0	0	4:05
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	48 of 111	43%	92 of 156	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:04

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	30 of 102	1 of 1	100%	0:30
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	20 of 43	0 of 0	---	0:03
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	36 of 93	0 of 2	0%	1:16
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	56 of 83	0 of 0	---	0:01
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	46 of 96	1 of 3	33%	2:19
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	16 of 30	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	91 of 267	34%	47 of 218	37 of 42	7 of 7	79 of 245	4 of 8	8 of 14
Mayra Bueno Silva	48 of 111	43%	13 of 55	21 of 32	14 of 24	39 of 100	7 of 9	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	13 of 82	12 of 13	4 of 4	28 of 95	0 of 2	1 of 2
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	0 of 11	8 of 13	9 of 15	16 of 38	0 of 0	1 of 1
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	16 of 69	11 of 15	0 of 0	24 of 80	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	7 of 25	8 of 13	3 of 7	14 of 39	4 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	18 of 67	14 of 14	3 of 3	27 of 70	1 of 2	7 of 12
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	6 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 2	9 of 23	3 of 3	1 of 1

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Round 1
A pair of flyweights with seven wins and one defeat but vastly different styles will meet in the Octagon next, when the surging French striker Fiorot (7-1, 2-0 UFC) battles Brazilian submission specialist Silva (16-2-1, 4-1 UFC). High 86% finish rates for each woman will be tested as they get ready for battle, and referee Chris Tognoni could have his hands full in this 125-pound tilt. There is no glove touch to get things started, and instead, Fiorot begins with a leg kick. Silva returns fire with a body kick and a right hand, and she is warned for her outstretched fingers already. Silva looks to sweep the leg, but the Frenchwoman is out of the way and jumps in with a solid one-two. Silva continues to miss with low leg kicks, and Fiorot drills her in the midsection with a side kick. A few punches get through from Fiorot, who side kicks the body, strings a few more punches together and once more kicks the body with a strike from traditional martial arts. Silva has a loud calf kick get off, and Fiorot kiais and connects with four or five punches. Silva puts her hands up to shrug after she blocks strikes, which allows Fiorot to kick her in the side. Fiorot connects with another such kick, and Silva again motions that it did not hurt. The showboating does not stop Fiorot from landing cleanly on her, and Silva’s offense is limited to single leg strikes. Fiorot hops out of the way from one and lands a few punches, with a side kick to end it that sends Silva flying to the ground. Silva climbs back up and high-fives her opponent for the strike. Fiorot has a few punches and a side kick get through, with this side kick to the body her most effective strike. Silva loads up on a body kick of her own, but Fiorot is there to keep her fists in her foe’s face. Silva gives chase, but Fiorot’s combinations keep her guessing and slow her down. Silva has a body and then head kick get through and up, and she gets chewed up with a few punches that have marked the top of her face up. The Brazilian continues to signal that the strikes mean nothing to her, but Fiorot’s volume is adding up quickly while Silva is content to throw single strikes. As Silva swipes at her opponent, the Frenchwoman changes things up entirely by hitting a clean takedown and putting Silva flat on her back. As Fiorot lands ground-and-pound, Silva attacks an armbar and then a kneebar. The subsequent submission try trips Fiorot up so that she falls to the ground, and Silva lords over her with a few leg kicks before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
While Silva marches out to start the round, Fiorot lands first and often. Seven punches connect for the Frenchwoman before Silva is able to respond. As she chains punches together, Fiorot dives in for a takedown. Silva is able to stuff it and stand back up, and they press up against one another in the clinch. As Fiorot grinds, her shoulder lifts the top up of the Brazilian, and Tognoni is right there to stop the action briefly to allow her to reset it before any inadvertent exposures occur. Fiorot ties up the leg and tries to trip her foe down, but bails on it to knee the thigh a few times. Tognoni asks them to stay busy as they are stuck against the fence, and before long, he intervenes to separate them. Fiorot is quick to thank Tognoni for this split by landing several punches. Silva connects back and marks Fiorot’s face up, and she signals that she has Fiorot stung. Fiorot returns fire with punches and side kicks, and Silva is loading up on counter strikes. A faked side kick allows Fiorot to go over the top with punches, as she mixes things up and lands mostly on the guard of her foe. Silva gets off a right hand that makes Fiorot grimace, and Fiorot grabs hold of her to knee before backing off to get back to combination striking. The power of Silva is far in her favor, but she lands few and far between while Fiorot is beating her to the punch early and often. Silva puts her hands behind her back to signal that Fiorot’s shots mean nothing to her, and Fiorot does not buy in and keeps to her gameplan of punches up top and side kicks to the breadbasket. Every strike from Fiorot is bolstered by a kiai, furthering the impact and emphasis of the blows, and Silva again mocks her by putting her hands behind her back. Fiorot kicks her in the chest, and the punches from the Frenchwoman have also marked Silva’s face up. There is no single punch thrown from Fiorot, and instead three or four each time. Fiorot circles on the outside and gets a head kick up that knocks Silva back and surprises her. Fiorot keeps kicking the body, and Silva rocks her with a right hand suddenly. Right before the bell, the Brazilian looks to finish the job with a head kick, but it goes over the head and brushes the hair to conclude the second frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The two flyweights meet in the middle, and a pair of one-twos come from Fiorot to begin. Fiorot chains a side kick to a left hand into a single leg takedown try. Silva looks to latch on to her, but she bails on it to kick the rear leg and wobble Fiorot’s legs. Another leg kick flusters Fiorot, and Silva marches forward with a head kick to follow. Fiorot connects to the body with yet another unanswered, unblocked sidekick, and she strings a few punches into a double leg try. The Frenchwoman lifts Silva up in the air and slams her hard on the mat, where she immediately claims half guard out of most submission danger. Fiorot delivers a few punches and elbows that bloody the nose up of the Brazilian, and she steps over to side control as she rains down punches. A few shots land to the back of the head, and she is warned for these and adjusts when Silva rolls to her back. Silva scores a powerful upkick that dislodges Fiorot’s mouthpiece, and her gumshield gets stuck between the corner of the floor and the fence, taking a few seconds to recover it. When they resume, Fiorot is ready for battle, as she lands punches and a flying knee while Silva wags her tongue at her. As the Brazilian continues to showboat instead of throw effective offense, Fiorot’s striking numbers are racking up as are her takedown attempts. The Frenchwoman leans heavily into Silva on the wire, while Silva’s nose leaks blood on her foe’s blonde locks. Silva tries to explode out of the position, or even turn her opponent around, but instead relies on Tognoni to split them up with 50 seconds to go. Three punches and a side kick come from Fiorot, but Silva catches her foe and jumps in the air with a knee to the chin. Fiorot eats it like a baguette and continues to lay into Silva with punch combinations, all while Silva recklessly walks her down. Silva has an angry look on her face while blood trickles down it, and Fiorot stays on her bike, sticks and moves and lands without issue. This continues right to the final bell, putting an end to a relatively one-sided bout for "The Beast" that will likely see a massive strike total discrepancy.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot confidently, highlighting her elite striking differential (lands 8, gets hit less than 2). She has killer instinct, solid fight IQ, and works back to her feet quickly if taken down. Mayra Bueno Silva is a good striker and grappler but her wrestling is not great, making it hard to get the fight to the ground. Angelo likes Fiorot at 8900 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

more more on monkey knife fight

"Such a killer on her feet so much power so accurate she's so impressive striking that you gotta go with man and she will be in my draftkings lineup 8900 bucks i love it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot by third-round knockout, citing her striking advantage and Silva's poor striking defense. He notes Silva has attempted zero takedowns in the UFC, which is a major concern. If Silva doesn't grapple, Fiorot will dominate on the feet. He acknowledges Silva's dangerous ground game but doubts she can get the fight there.

by TKO in round 3

"i'm going to take man off fiora to win i'm going to take her to win by um i'm actually going to say she wins by third round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is very confident in Fiorot, citing her high-level kickboxing background, lateral movement, and improved clinch and takedown defense. He believes Bueno Silva's aggressive, forward-marching style plays into Fiorot's strengths of kicking from distance and moving laterally. His only concern is if the fight goes to the ground, but he thinks Fiorot's jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive.

"i'm really sold on what i see from her"

Bookie Beatdown

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Fiorot the pick of the week. He notes her impressive UFC wins, including a head-kick KO, and her maturity at 31 years old. He thinks she will chew Bueno Silva up on the feet and that the only way it gets greasy is if it goes to the mat.

"i got my no fioro as long as you're not against that i'm feeling confident about it"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by late second-round TKO, citing her takedown defense and striking. He expects Bueno Silva to pressure and attempt takedowns but fail, leading to Fiorot lighting her up on the feet. He notes Fiorot's recent head-kick KOs and believes she will finish as Bueno Silva tires.

late second round tko

"i think man on fierroth's going to be good enough and i think she's going to get a late second round tko again"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Tabatha Ricci

TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	1	84 of 172	48%	85 of 173	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:40
Tabatha Ricci	0	17 of 90	18%	17 of 91	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	31 of 80	38%	31 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Tabatha Ricci	0	11 of 63	17%	11 of 63	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	1	53 of 92	57%	54 of 93	1 of 1	100%	0:40
2	Tabatha Ricci	0	6 of 27	22%	6 of 28	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	84 of 172	48%	68 of 154	8 of 10	8 of 8	61 of 140	17 of 24	6 of 8
Tabatha Ricci	17 of 90	18%	6 of 69	5 of 12	6 of 9	16 of 89	1 of 1	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	31 of 80	38%	22 of 70	4 of 5	5 of 5	30 of 79	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Tabatha Ricci	11 of 63	17%	6 of 51	2 of 7	3 of 5	11 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	53 of 92	57%	46 of 84	4 of 5	3 of 3	31 of 61	16 of 23	6 of 8
2	Tabatha Ricci	6 of 27	22%	0 of 18	3 of 5	3 of 4	5 of 26	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Tabatha Ricci

Round 1
The first women’s match of the night takes place in the flyweight division, as French powerhouse Fiorot (6-1, 1-0 UFC) meets Brazilian newcomer Ricci (5-0, 0-0 UFC). Referee Herb Dean will take charge of this 125-pound contest, and the ladies do not touch gloves before coming out swinging. Fiorot opens up with a side kick that pushes Ricci back, and she uses another that catches the Brazilian unaware. Fiorot continues to walk Ricci down, and she kicks high and low as she looks a weight class larger than her opponent. Fiorot takes advantage of her size by landing more side kicks and punches, and Ricci tries to fire back but her strikes are far less impactful. Ricci uses jabs to keep her distance, and Fiorot marches forward with a pair of looping right hands. Ricci’s counters are all inaccurate, and a potential takedown attempt is shoved away with ease. “The Beast” rages with kicks to the legs and head, and Ricci is forced to charge forward to break these up, where she scores a single right hand. Fiorot chows down on it like a baguette and strides forward to land a swarm of punches and a knee up the middle. Fiorot splits the guard with a left hand, and Ricci gathers herself and slings a right hand that catches Fiorot flush. Fiorot scores a few punches and a kick to the knee, and she chains a few punches together to knock Ricci back. “Baby Shark” swims forward to consider a takedown, but she is easily rebuffed as Fiorot tees off on her. Ricci tries to keep her at bay with punches buoyed by kiais, but Fiorot’s are louder and her strikes are heavier. Two big punches from Fiorot surprise Ricci, and she slips as she rushes forward and gets countered to the body. Fiorot shakes it off and lands a stern left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The Frenchwoman comes out of her corner possessed, landing a few side kicks and heavy punches as Ricci throws wildly in response. Fiorot plants the ball of her foot on Ricci’s body, and she pushes forward to take the fight down. Ricci breaks free and pushes off, where she takes a few jabs in the face when backing off. A few punches from “The Beast” score directly, and she has found the mark and is teeing off on Ricci. Ricci stays tough, blocking the heaviest kicks and backs out of danger before any of the biggest shots connect flush. Fiorot stings her foe with a left hand, and she continues wading forward with punches and a few elbows when Ricci is on the fence. Fiorot turns up the heat as she lands strikes, and Ricci tries and fails with a takedown.
Fiorot clubs Ricci with several ferocious punches, making the newcomer stumble to the ground in dire straits. Fiorot does not let her off the hook, holding on tight and blasting Ricci again and again while Dean keeps a close eye on the action. Ricci works her way up, but she takes a short, final barrage of punches to give Dean cause to stop the fight.
With this drubbing, Fiorot becomes the first woman to defeat Ricci.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Tabatha Ricci R2 3:00 via TKO (Punches)

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady sees Fiorot as a phenomenal striker with power and volume, though her level of competition is low. He notes Ricci is hittable with 53% striking defense and negative strike differential. He doubts Ricci can take Fiorot down or hold her down, citing Ricci's poor takedown accuracy (18%) and Fiorot's strong takedown defense and get-up game. He predicts Fiorot wins by decision, calling it a big test she will pass.

"give me fioro by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, noting her diverse striking and improvements in grappling. He thinks her size and strength will be too much for Ricci, who is moving up on short notice. Cody expects Fiorot to win comfortably.

"monofiero looks like a serious problem man like a serious problem"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel picks Fiorot to win by knockout, specifically a body kick knockout. He notes that Fiorot is much bigger (5'7" vs 5'1"), physical, has nasty kicks, and improving takedown defense. He believes Ricci is too small and that Fiorot will be able to keep the fight standing and land her strikes. Daniel is confident Fiorot will steamroll Ricci and get a finish.

"i'm gonna go with manon fiore via uh she got a head kick knockout last night i'm gonna say body kick knockout this time"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot is bigger, stronger, and a better striker. Ricci is on short notice and moving up in weight. Fiorot should keep the fight standing and win by decision or TKO.

Fiorot inside distance -140, Fiorot by decision +240, fight goes distance +155

"I think fido will be successful in keeping this fight on the feet butchering her on the feet with her striking"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot confidently, citing her striking and size advantage. He notes Ricci is a natural strawweight taking the fight on short notice. Paul thinks Fiorot's kicks and clinch will be too much. He expects Fiorot to be a heavy favorite.

"fioro looks like the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The Guru picks Manon Fiorot, praising her striking and grappling. He notes she has finishes in later rounds, which he finds impressive for a French fighter. He believes she is arguably undefeated (he thought she beat Leah McCourt). He predicts a TKO in round 1 or 2 against Marina Moroz (note: transcript says 'marina marazz' but likely refers to Tabatha Ricci's opponent; however, the fight is Fiorot vs Ricci, so the pick is for Fiorot).

TKO round 1 or 2

"i'm going to go with man on fiorock getting a tko round one or two against marina moroz"

THE MMA GURU

View all 9 fights

Rose Namajunas - Fight History

LOSS vs Natália Silva

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Natália Silva	0	51 of 133	38%	63 of 147	1 of 2	50%	0	0	1:24
Rose Namajunas	0	26 of 94	27%	46 of 119	1 of 5	20%	0	0	2:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Natália Silva	15 of 44	34%	15 of 44	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	13 of 39	33%	13 of 39	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	Natália Silva	8 of 27	29%	15 of 34	0 of 1	0%	0:37
2	Rose Namajunas	5 of 18	27%	25 of 43	1 of 3	33%	2:09
3	Natália Silva	28 of 62	45%	33 of 69	1 of 1	100%	0:47
3	Rose Namajunas	8 of 37	21%	8 of 37	0 of 1	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Natália Silva	51 of 133	38%	25 of 95	8 of 14	18 of 24	50 of 132	1 of 1	0 of 0
Rose Namajunas	26 of 94	27%	11 of 64	3 of 13	12 of 17	26 of 92	0 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Natália Silva	15 of 44	34%	10 of 32	1 of 3	4 of 9	15 of 44	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	13 of 39	33%	4 of 22	1 of 6	8 of 11	13 of 39	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Natália Silva	8 of 27	29%	4 of 22	0 of 1	4 of 4	8 of 27	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	5 of 18	27%	3 of 16	1 of 1	1 of 1	5 of 17	0 of 1	0 of 0
3	Natália Silva	28 of 62	45%	11 of 41	7 of 10	10 of 11	27 of 61	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Rose Namajunas	8 of 37	21%	4 of 26	1 of 6	3 of 5	8 of 36	0 of 1	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Angelo picks Natália Silva, calling her faster, cleaner, and a better athlete. He praises her footwork and timing. He acknowledges Rose Namajunas's experience and fight IQ but believes Silva's youth and speed will prevail. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a likely lock.

I think over two and a half is likely the lock of the card.

"I'm going to go with the younger, faster, better athlete here, and I think that is Natalya Silva."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Big Brady believes Silva is one of the best flyweights, with elite takedown defense (92%) and great striking volume and power. He thinks Rose will struggle similar to her fight with Fiorot, and Silva will piece her up over 15 minutes for a dominant decision win.

Silva by decision

"I think Silva's going to kind of kind of piece her up over the course of 15 minutes. I think it's going to be a pretty frustrating fight for Rose."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Cody confidently picks Natália Silva, citing her 92% takedown defense and striking volume. He believes Rose Namajunas struggles at 125 pounds and won't be able to secure takedowns. Cody expects Silva to win a unanimous decision, outworking Rose on the feet.

"I do I do have Silva to get the job done by unanimous decision."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2026 (2 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that Rose Namajunas has not adapted well to flyweight. He notes that Rose's power and speed have diminished, and that she now has to outwork opponents—a style she never excelled at. Connor points out that Silva is faster, hits harder, and throws more, and that Rose's best chance (wrestling) is untested against Silva. He believes Silva's dynamism will be too much for Rose to handle.

Silva opened at -150, now -350; Namajunas opened at +130, now +285. Connor says the odds seem reasonable.

"I think it's a good matchup. I do over feel that I have to pick Silva."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Daniel Vreeland picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He praises Silva's confidence, well-rounded game, and impressive wins over former champions. He notes that Silva is younger, hungrier, and has speed that matches Namajunas. Vreeland believes Silva will beat Namajunas decisively and earn a title shot against Valentina Shevchenko.

"I'm calling a 3027 decision by Natalya Silva in this fight."

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)

Natália Silva

James is confident in Silva, noting her superior footwork neutralizes Namajunas's best asset. He expects Silva to win via decision, possibly hurting Namajunas with kicks but not finishing her. He mentions Silva's taekwondo background and that she has cashed for him multiple times.

"Natalia Silva is literally taking away Rose's Namunis' best asset and attribute in this fight."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Natália Silva

The host leans towards Silva by decision, praising her distance management and blitzing style. However, he finds the -410 line too wide and believes Rose Namajunas is live as a plus-310 underdog. He notes Namajunas's experience, improved grappling, and ability to counter mobile strikers. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds is a no-brainer and recommends betting on Namajunas for value.

Over 2.5 rounds, Namajunas moneyline recommended for betting

"minus 410 Silva is whack. That is way too far out of whack. I I am gonna lean her in terms of a prediction. Obviously, over two and a half would be a no-brainer here."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Silva's speed and combination punching. He doubts Rose can get the wrestling going and believes Silva's quickness will overwhelm her. Paul sees a decision win for Silva, noting that a knockout prop is not worth the price.

"I think it just really comes down to speed. I don't know if Rose is going to be able to get the wrestling going. And on the feet, there's really nobody quicker um men or woman really out there than …"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Natália Silva

The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva, praising her kicking game and ability to fight off the back foot. He notes that Rose Namajunas often leaves fights close and lacks offensive grappling at flyweight. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27.

decision, 30-27

"Natalyia Silva is going to get this one done by decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2026 (2 days before fight)

Natália Silva

Zane picks Natália Silva confidently, highlighting her incredible speed and high output. He notes that Silva's bad defensive habits (chin in the air) are mitigated by her speed and ability to counter, and that she has hurt every opponent she's faced. Zane argues that Rose Namajunas has lost power and speed at flyweight, and that she can no longer rely on fight-changing shots. He believes Silva's volume and pace will overwhelm Rose over three rounds.

Silva opened at -150, now -350; Namajunas opened at +130, now +285. Zane says the odds seem reasonable.

"I am going to be picking Natalia Silva. She is the coming woman in this division."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Miranda Maverick

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Rose Namajunas	1	25 of 86	29%	46 of 118	2 of 4	50%	0	0	6:33
Miranda Maverick	0	25 of 74	33%	52 of 108	0 of 2	0%	1	1	1:48

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Rose Namajunas	0	17 of 59	28%	18 of 60	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:15
1	Miranda Maverick	0	20 of 58	34%	20 of 58	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
2	Rose Namajunas	0	5 of 17	29%	9 of 26	2 of 2	100%	0	0	3:05
2	Miranda Maverick	0	5 of 14	35%	22 of 33	0 of 0	---	1	1	0:45
3	Rose Namajunas	1	3 of 10	30%	19 of 32	0 of 0	---	0	0	3:13
3	Miranda Maverick	0	0 of 2	0%	10 of 17	0 of 2	0%	0	0	1:03

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Rose Namajunas	25 of 86	29%	22 of 75	3 of 10	0 of 1	23 of 83	1 of 1	1 of 2
Miranda Maverick	25 of 74	33%	14 of 61	5 of 6	6 of 7	25 of 73	0 of 1	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Rose Namajunas	17 of 59	28%	15 of 50	2 of 8	0 of 1	16 of 58	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Miranda Maverick	20 of 58	34%	11 of 47	4 of 5	5 of 6	20 of 57	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	5 of 17	29%	5 of 16	0 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 17	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Miranda Maverick	5 of 14	35%	3 of 12	1 of 1	1 of 1	5 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Rose Namajunas	3 of 10	30%	2 of 9	1 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 8	0 of 0	1 of 2
3	Miranda Maverick	0 of 2	0%	0 of 2	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 2	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.

"Rose Namayuma should absolutely be the just better fighter across the board."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.

"I'll take Rose to win this fight and win it by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220.

"I think this is just a really good style matchup for nami units"

MMA Vivisection

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.

odds comment: closer fight than the odds suggest

"This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but I expect Nama Ununas is striking to reign supreme here..."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.

"I'm going to go with Rose Namunas. She's a much better martial artist. This is a bit of a mismatch. Um a very big mismatch."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220. Zane thinks the line could get longer.

"I think rose is fully capable of just kind of being much craftier and more consistent than maverick and and taking a decision off of her"

MMA Vivisection

LOSS vs Erin Blanchfield

Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield	0	110 of 281	39%	193 of 387	2 of 8	25%	0	0	8:54
Rose Namajunas	0	94 of 245	38%	101 of 254	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:15

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Erin Blanchfield	19 of 68	27%	19 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	30 of 61	49%	30 of 61	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 67	37%	28 of 70	0 of 2	0%	0:15
2	Rose Namajunas	23 of 65	35%	26 of 69	1 of 1	100%	0:08
3	Erin Blanchfield	11 of 28	39%	48 of 82	1 of 2	50%	3:38
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 21	42%	10 of 22	0 of 1	0%	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 93	43%	43 of 97	0 of 1	0%	0:53
4	Rose Namajunas	25 of 79	31%	25 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:07
5	Erin Blanchfield	15 of 25	60%	55 of 70	1 of 3	33%	4:08
5	Rose Namajunas	7 of 19	36%	10 of 22	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Erin Blanchfield	110 of 281	39%	81 of 248	15 of 16	14 of 17	103 of 269	2 of 6	5 of 6
Rose Namajunas	94 of 245	38%	68 of 212	18 of 24	8 of 9	91 of 241	3 of 4	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Erin Blanchfield	19 of 68	27%	11 of 58	3 of 4	5 of 6	19 of 68	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	30 of 61	49%	22 of 52	2 of 3	6 of 6	30 of 61	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 of 67	37%	21 of 61	2 of 2	2 of 4	25 of 65	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	23 of 65	35%	17 of 58	5 of 5	1 of 2	22 of 64	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	11 of 28	39%	7 of 24	2 of 2	2 of 2	10 of 24	0 of 2	1 of 2
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 21	42%	7 of 18	2 of 3	0 of 0	7 of 19	2 of 2	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	40 of 93	43%	29 of 82	6 of 6	5 of 5	40 of 93	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Rose Namajunas	25 of 79	31%	16 of 67	8 of 11	1 of 1	25 of 78	0 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	15 of 25	60%	13 of 23	2 of 2	0 of 0	9 of 19	2 of 2	4 of 4
5	Rose Namajunas	7 of 19	36%	6 of 17	1 of 2	0 of 0	7 of 19	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas confidently, calling her an all-time great and a better striker than Erin Blanchfield. He notes Blanchfield's inability to get takedowns was exposed against Manon Fiorot, and without that, she is stuck in a striking match with a superior striker. He thinks five rounds help Rose, as she can afford to lose a round if taken down. He placed a half unit bet on Rose at plus 100 (even money).

half unit on Rose Namajunas at +100

"Rose should absolutely win this fight five rounds only helps Rose because if she does get taken down in a round and gives one up she's got four more to cover the distance she's not only the pick but she …"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision. He questions Erin Blanchfield's wrestling, noting her low takedown accuracy (33%) and failure to take down opponents like Fiorot and Santos. He believes on the feet, Rose is clearly superior, and even if taken down, Rose's scrambling is good. Brady likes the plus money and thinks the big cage favors Rose.

plus money

"at plus money I'm going to I'm going to take the dog here and and Rose nunas I think it's going to be a very close fight... I'll take her to win this fight by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas as an underdog, arguing that Blanchfield's takedown struggles against Manon Fiorot (0 for 3) and Taila Santos (0 for 14) show she can't reliably take down elite grapplers. He believes Rose's striking, footwork, and takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes Rose's experience in five-round fights and her ability to mix in takedowns herself.

"I do kind of feel like maybe the plus money on Rose Nom units is a little more warranted so I'm going to go with that and I'm going to take RADS."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Vreeland picks Erin Blanchfield to win, arguing that the line is influenced by recency bias from Blanchfield's loss to Manon Fiorot. He points out that Rose Namajunas has poor takedown defense (under 60%) compared to Fiorot's 93%, and that Blanchfield's grappling is a different level—she can take the back and submit opponents. Vreeland expects Blanchfield to pressure Namajunas, get takedowns, and potentially finish via ground-and-pound or submission.

"I'm going Aaron blanchfield to get back on track regain her hype"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win inside the distance, emphasizing her grappling advantage. He notes Rose has been taken down in recent fights and that Blanchfield's wrestling will be decisive. He believes Rose has lost some athleticism and that Blanchfield can finish via submission, likely a rear-naked choke.

wins inside the distance

"I'm taking Aaron blanchfield in this one and I actually think she gets it done inside the distance"

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements, and that will get her a victory over Blanchfield. She will win at least three of the five rounds by out-pointing and out-damaging Blanchfield, winning on the scorecards and positioning herself for a title shot.

"Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements and I believe that will get her a victory here over Blanchfield look for Namajunas to win at least three of the five rounds here by out pointing and out damaging Blanchfield and …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul sides with Rose but is less confident, expecting a close split decision. He notes that Blanchfield's path to victory is through takedowns, but Rose has shown improved takedown defense and can win on the feet. He mentions the common opponent Jessica Andrade, where Rose won by decision and Blanchfield by submission, but sees the fight as competitive. He plans to bet the split decision prop rather than the moneyline.

split decision prop

"I expect the fight to be incredibly close on the feet on the mat and I'm going to side with rose but I don't plan on betting this but yeah I'll be looking for the split decision prop."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Erin Blanchfield, calling Blanchfield overrated. He praises Namajunas's technical skills, scrambles, and wrestling reactions. He notes Blanchfield's poor performance against Manon Fiorot and believes Namajunas will win as an underdog.

"I'm going to go Rose wellt Tred fighter I don't think she's like man on fioro level but she took it to man on fioro and she broke her hand in that fight"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Tracy Cortez

Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Rose Namajunas	1	96 of 180	53%	119 of 215	5 of 5	100%	0	0	6:36
Tracy Cortez	0	58 of 198	29%	85 of 233	2 of 5	40%	0	0	0:58

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Rose Namajunas	1	26 of 50	52%	30 of 55	0 of 0	---	0:28
1	Tracy Cortez	0	12 of 43	27%	14 of 45	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Rose Namajunas	0	26 of 46	56%	27 of 48	1 of 1	100%	0:23
2	Tracy Cortez	0	11 of 41	26%	12 of 42	1 of 2	50%	0:16
3	Rose Namajunas	0	5 of 12	41%	15 of 31	2 of 2	100%	3:47
3	Tracy Cortez	0	2 of 9	22%	8 of 16	0 of 1	0%	0:03
4	Rose Namajunas	0	11 of 28	39%	17 of 35	1 of 1	100%	1:06
4	Tracy Cortez	0	12 of 44	27%	15 of 49	1 of 1	100%	0:24
5	Rose Namajunas	0	28 of 44	63%	30 of 46	1 of 1	100%	0:52
5	Tracy Cortez	0	21 of 61	34%	36 of 81	0 of 1	0%	0:15

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Rose Namajunas	96 of 180	53%	66 of 146	17 of 20	13 of 14	93 of 175	3 of 5	0 of 0
Tracy Cortez	58 of 198	29%	31 of 162	14 of 17	13 of 19	52 of 189	6 of 9	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Rose Namajunas	26 of 50	52%	16 of 39	4 of 5	6 of 6	26 of 50	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Tracy Cortez	12 of 43	27%	4 of 32	1 of 1	7 of 10	12 of 43	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	26 of 46	56%	16 of 33	5 of 7	5 of 6	25 of 45	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Tracy Cortez	11 of 41	26%	7 of 36	2 of 3	2 of 2	10 of 40	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Rose Namajunas	5 of 12	41%	5 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 10	2 of 2	0 of 0
3	Tracy Cortez	2 of 9	22%	1 of 7	1 of 1	0 of 1	1 of 8	1 of 1	0 of 0
4	Rose Namajunas	11 of 28	39%	8 of 25	2 of 2	1 of 1	11 of 27	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Tracy Cortez	12 of 44	27%	7 of 37	4 of 5	1 of 2	10 of 40	2 of 4	0 of 0
5	Rose Namajunas	28 of 44	63%	21 of 37	6 of 6	1 of 1	28 of 43	0 of 1	0 of 0
5	Tracy Cortez	21 of 61	34%	12 of 50	6 of 7	3 of 4	19 of 58	2 of 3	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas, citing her superior striking and overall skill. He believes Tracy Cortez's path to victory is through wrestling, but doubts she can take Rose down for 25 minutes, especially since Cortez was training for a three-round fight and now faces five rounds at elevation. He notes that Rose was taken down four times by Amanda Ribas, but Ribas used clinch tosses rather than traditional shots, which are easier to defend. Angelo plans to have multiple bets on Rose.

Plans to have a few bets on Rose.

"I got to go rose rose should win this fight she should probably dominate this fight"

We Want Picks

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas, citing her experience at altitude, full camp, and superior striking. He notes Tracy Cortez's inactivity and short notice, and believes Rose's wrestling defense and offensive takedowns will be key. He expects a decision win for Rose.

"I think Thug Rose is a very rightful favorite here at minus 200."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Tracy Cortez

Daniel Vreeland picks Tracy Cortez to upset Rose Namajunas. He argues that Cortez has a legitimate wrestling background, which historically gives Rose trouble, and that Rose is a 'hot and cold' fighter who struggles when faced with adversity. He notes Cortez's 11-fight win streak and that she was already preparing for a fight next week, so short notice isn't a major issue. He also mentions Rose's age and mileage, suggesting she may be slowing down. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and prefers the plus 185 underdog.

"I'm gonna go ahead and pick Tracy Cortez to upset Rose nunas and surprise a lot of people."

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Rose Namajunas has the striking advantage and the cardio edge, especially at altitude. Cortez will land some takedowns, but over 25 minutes, Namajunas will land better strikes and even some takedowns of her own late, cruising to a decision. The line is a bit wide, but the former champion reigns supreme.

Namajunas by decision; odds comment: line a bit wide, wouldn't hate an underdog shot on Cortez

"I think from there she should be able to cruise to a decision the line for my liking a little bit too wide again I wouldn't hate anybody taking an underdog shot on Cortez but I do think the former …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Rose's full camp, altitude advantage, and five-round experience. He points out that Cortez's wrestling has been neutralized by upper-echelon opponents and that Rose's scrambling ability will nullify takedowns. He sees Rose winning by decision.

"I agree she's a rightful favorite I'm picking her to win."

Bookie Beatdown

WIN vs Amanda Ribas

Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Rose Namajunas	0	83 of 270	30%	137 of 342	4 of 8	50%	0	0	1:38
Amanda Ribas	0	93 of 188	49%	169 of 281	1 of 3	33%	0	1	6:59

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Rose Namajunas	16 of 47	34%	30 of 63	2 of 3	66%	0	0:18
1	Amanda Ribas	23 of 34	67%	35 of 55	0 of 0	---	1	1:55
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 49	30%	22 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0	0:00
2	Amanda Ribas	19 of 39	48%	43 of 65	0 of 1	0%	0	2:00
3	Rose Namajunas	18 of 50	36%	31 of 70	2 of 3	66%	0	1:20
3	Amanda Ribas	19 of 36	52%	20 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0:24
4	Rose Namajunas	10 of 39	25%	29 of 66	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
4	Amanda Ribas	7 of 25	28%	45 of 68	1 of 1	100%	0	2:40
5	Rose Namajunas	24 of 85	28%	25 of 86	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
5	Amanda Ribas	25 of 54	46%	26 of 55	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Rose Namajunas	83 of 270	30%	39 of 195	19 of 42	25 of 33	76 of 259	4 of 6	3 of 5
Amanda Ribas	93 of 188	49%	45 of 124	44 of 60	4 of 4	81 of 176	12 of 12	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Rose Namajunas	16 of 47	34%	8 of 33	2 of 6	6 of 8	14 of 45	2 of 2	0 of 0
1	Amanda Ribas	23 of 34	67%	6 of 16	16 of 17	1 of 1	16 of 27	7 of 7	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 49	30%	7 of 34	3 of 8	5 of 7	14 of 48	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Amanda Ribas	19 of 39	48%	12 of 27	6 of 11	1 of 1	18 of 38	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Rose Namajunas	18 of 50	36%	10 of 39	3 of 5	5 of 6	15 of 44	0 of 1	3 of 5
3	Amanda Ribas	19 of 36	52%	11 of 26	7 of 9	1 of 1	17 of 34	2 of 2	0 of 0
4	Rose Namajunas	10 of 39	25%	3 of 28	2 of 5	5 of 6	10 of 39	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Amanda Ribas	7 of 25	28%	4 of 19	3 of 6	0 of 0	7 of 25	0 of 0	0 of 0
5	Rose Namajunas	24 of 85	28%	11 of 61	9 of 18	4 of 6	23 of 83	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	Amanda Ribas	25 of 54	46%	12 of 36	12 of 17	1 of 1	23 of 52	2 of 2	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite rooting for Amanda Ribas. He acknowledges Rose's superior skills and accomplishments but is concerned about her mental state and training camp. He notes that Rose has not looked bad in recent losses, being outstruck by a larger striker in Manon Fiorot and having a boring fight with Carla Esparza. He hopes Ribas wins but cannot pick against Rose's talent.

"I got to pick rose rose is going to be the pick Amanda's going to stay in her face hopefully Amanda rips her to the ground and just beats on her and breaks her and wins this fight let's have …"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas, stating she is the much better fighter with a better resume. He notes Rose is the better striker, has good grappling, and has gone five rounds before. He points out Ribas is less durable (knocked out three times) and this is her first five-round fight. He predicts a decision win for Rose.

"I got to go Rose here I mean I I just think she's the much better fighter... I'm going to take rose on my un to win this fight and to Win It by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody acknowledges Rose's technical skills and well-rounded game, but highlights her mental inconsistency and tendency to have flat performances like the Carla Esparza fight. He notes that Rose is capable of looking like a -500 favorite or just handing rounds away. He ultimately picks Rose but with hesitancy due to these red flags.

"I will take Rose but again there's always going to be some hesitancy there."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Amanda Ribas

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Amanda Ribas if the fight goes past the first two rounds, citing Rose's tendency to fade or lose focus when extended. He notes Ribas has better output, wrestling, and durability in later rounds, while Rose's path is an early knockout. He acknowledges Rose's danger but prefers the dog at plus money.

"if this fight gets extended I think that her output's on the higher side as well and it's one of those things where Rose is very momentum based"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has superior technical striking and should be able to set traps and land clean shots. Ribas is durable but leaves openings and has been finished by technical strikers before. Namajunas should stop takedowns and control the striking, likely finishing by TKO in the third round. The under on 4.5 rounds is favored, indicating a finish is expected.

Namajunas by TKO (round 3); under 4.5 rounds

"I think we see Nami yunas control this fight in the Striking realm I think she stops the takedowns... and then I think we obviously see Nami unas find that knockout I'm going to call it round three."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul points out that Amanda Ribas has been bouncing between weight classes and hasn't filled out her frame at 125. He credits Rose's performance against Manon Fiorot, where she fought through a broken hand, and believes Rose will learn from her flat performance against Carla Esparza. He picks Rose but acknowledges the possibility of another lackluster showing.

"I got Rose as well... I'll hope that she's learned her lesson from that absolutely flat performance."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Amanda Ribas, citing Rose's shot placement and five-round experience. He thinks Ribas' chin is suspect and that Rose will hurt her on the feet. He predicts a second-round rear-naked choke after dropping Ribas with a punch.

second round rear-naked choke

"I'm going Rosen am yunas over Amanda Ribas... second round re naked choke to Rose nunas"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Manon Fiorot

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	58 of 225	25%	62 of 232	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:24
Rose Namajunas	0	60 of 150	40%	60 of 152	0 of 6	0%	0	0	0:25

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	18 of 89	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	23 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	23 of 75	0 of 1	0%	0:24
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	15 of 41	0 of 2	0%	0:12
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	21 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	22 of 54	0 of 2	0%	0:13

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	58 of 225	25%	39 of 197	15 of 22	4 of 6	53 of 214	4 of 10	1 of 1
Rose Namajunas	60 of 150	40%	32 of 107	15 of 26	13 of 17	59 of 148	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	14 of 82	2 of 4	2 of 2	18 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	11 of 37	4 of 8	8 of 11	23 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	11 of 55	7 of 11	1 of 3	17 of 62	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	10 of 31	4 of 8	1 of 1	14 of 38	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	14 of 60	6 of 7	1 of 1	18 of 64	2 of 3	1 of 1
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	11 of 39	7 of 10	4 of 5	22 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

parlayed with Ange Loosa for plus money

"I think mannon dominates this fight... I have parlayed her with Ange loosa for some plus money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"in terms of a pick I'm gonna pick Fiora to win this fight... fioro does get it done and get it done here by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"the pick will be minnow Fiero for me"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot by decision

"I think Manon fioro is going to be on the outside and she's gonna make rose now my units come to her... I think she's gonna frustrate her and I see her 30-27 here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)

Manon Fiorot

Manon Fiorot by decision (+140)

"I like Pharrell here and I like ferovia points at plus 140. I think that's a good bet."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm gonna go firo five round fight... at least 29 28 hopefully a 30 27."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm going with man on Fiora TKO is my prediction I think Rose is checked out of the game"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Carla Esparza

Decision (split) (47–48, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Carla Esparza	0	37 of 136	27%	38 of 137	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:10
Rose Namajunas	0	30 of 133	22%	30 of 133	2 of 11	18%	0	0	0:22

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Carla Esparza	4 of 19	21%	4 of 19	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	4 of 19	21%	4 of 19	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Carla Esparza	3 of 14	21%	3 of 14	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Rose Namajunas	4 of 22	18%	4 of 22	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Carla Esparza	11 of 36	30%	11 of 36	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 32	28%	9 of 32	0 of 3	0%	0:02
4	Carla Esparza	6 of 28	21%	7 of 29	0 of 0	---	0:02
4	Rose Namajunas	8 of 29	27%	8 of 29	2 of 5	40%	0:20
5	Carla Esparza	13 of 39	33%	13 of 39	1 of 1	100%	0:08
5	Rose Namajunas	5 of 31	16%	5 of 31	0 of 2	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Carla Esparza	37 of 136	27%	30 of 122	6 of 12	1 of 2	36 of 135	1 of 1	0 of 0
Rose Namajunas	30 of 133	22%	15 of 108	4 of 11	11 of 14	27 of 128	3 of 5	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Carla Esparza	4 of 19	21%	4 of 18	0 of 1	0 of 0	4 of 19	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	4 of 19	21%	2 of 17	0 of 0	2 of 2	4 of 19	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Carla Esparza	3 of 14	21%	3 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	4 of 22	18%	1 of 17	1 of 2	2 of 3	4 of 22	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Carla Esparza	11 of 36	30%	10 of 33	1 of 2	0 of 1	11 of 36	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Rose Namajunas	9 of 32	28%	7 of 28	2 of 3	0 of 1	8 of 31	1 of 1	0 of 0
4	Carla Esparza	6 of 28	21%	6 of 27	0 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 27	1 of 1	0 of 0
4	Rose Namajunas	8 of 29	27%	3 of 22	1 of 3	4 of 4	6 of 25	2 of 4	0 of 0
5	Carla Esparza	13 of 39	33%	7 of 30	5 of 8	1 of 1	13 of 39	0 of 0	0 of 0
5	Rose Namajunas	5 of 31	16%	2 of 24	0 of 3	3 of 4	5 of 31	0 of 0	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite acknowledging Carla's wrestling. He argues that Weili Zhang took Rose down five times but still lost, and that Carla's top pressure isn't as good as it should be. He believes Rose only has to worry about the wrestling, whereas Weili was a threat on the feet too.

"rose is the pick i'm gonna be rooting for carla i want carla to win but if five takedowns and 162 strikes landed didn't get wei lee the nod i just don't know what carla's gonna be able to do"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He acknowledges that Esparza will likely take Rose down multiple times, as Rose's takedown defense is only 51% and she hasn't faced many wrestlers. However, he believes Rose's get-up game and activity off her back will prevent Esparza from holding her down for long. On the feet, Rose has a clear advantage. He notes that if this were a three-round fight, he might pick Esparza, but over five rounds, Esparza's wrestling-heavy style is harder to sustain. He is not in love with the price tag.

decision

"I like rose nominee units to win this fight I don't think she like wins every round I do think esparza is going to take off a round or two but I do think as far as picking a winner …"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody agrees with Paul, picking Rose Namajunas. He notes that Esparza's wrestling was effective a lifetime ago but Rose has improved her grappling significantly. Cody cites Tatiana Suarez's take that Esparza isn't physically strong and may not outmuscle Rose. He points out that Esparza has never fought into a fourth round, while Rose has championship-round experience. Cody believes Rose can nullify takedowns, get back up, and eventually win by late stoppage or decision.

"i think it's a favorable fight for rose nominess for sure"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas but is not confident, calling it a 'dog or pass' fight. He acknowledges Carla Esparza will land takedowns and has a path to victory, but believes Rose has more ways to win, especially on the feet. He says he would take Rose if the odds were closer to pick'em, but at -220 he is not betting. He respects the value on Esparza at plus 180 and thinks the true odds are around Rose -145 to -150.

Daniel mentions he is not betting this fight. He notes the under 4.5 rounds at +155 is interesting but does not bet it.

"I would take Rose if pick'em fight, I'd take Rose. Maybe minus 150 I'd consider, but I just don't want to lay chalk."

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The host picks Rose Namajunas, believing her striking and range management have improved significantly since their first fight. He expects Rose to focus on defending takedowns and getting back to her feet. He notes Carla's takedowns can be sloppy and she doesn't do much damage on top. He thinks Rose's ability to create space and her deceptive power will be key. He is not betting Rose at -205, but likes under 4.5 rounds at +135.

under 4.5 rounds +135

"so give me rose and still"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul picks Rose Namajunas, calling it a straightforward striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Rose's camp has focused on sprawl training and that if the fight stays on the feet, Esparza cannot compete. Paul suggests live betting Esparza if she gets an early takedown, but overall expects Rose to retain her title. He notes the -210 line might be a bit wide but still favors Rose.

live betting Esparza if she gets early takedown

"i think rose rates the ship here gets back on track it's a very very straightforward fight for her"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her improved stand-up and grappling. He notes that Esparza's recent wins have been close and that she doesn't dominate on the ground anymore. He believes Namajunas will stuff takedowns, chew up Esparza's legs, and eventually submit her in the fourth round via rear-naked choke. He mentions the odds are close because Esparza has a previous win, but thinks Namajunas is the better fighter.

Rose Namajunas by fourth round finish, rear-naked choke

"i'm going to have to go with rose and amy eunice and i'll go over rose nami eunis by uh fourth round finish real naked choke"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Zhang Weili

Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Rose Namajunas	0	86 of 168	51%	130 of 219	2 of 2	100%	0	1	7:00
Zhang Weili	0	83 of 173	47%	162 of 272	5 of 11	45%	0	0	3:37

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Rose Namajunas	20 of 36	55%	22 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
1	Zhang Weili	22 of 38	57%	36 of 56	1 of 3	33%	0	1:08
2	Rose Namajunas	20 of 45	44%	22 of 48	1 of 1	100%	0	0:31
2	Zhang Weili	16 of 39	41%	21 of 44	1 of 3	33%	0	0:38
3	Rose Namajunas	14 of 38	36%	16 of 40	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
3	Zhang Weili	25 of 51	49%	29 of 55	1 of 1	100%	0	0:57
4	Rose Namajunas	14 of 23	60%	39 of 49	0 of 0	---	1	2:32
4	Zhang Weili	12 of 27	44%	32 of 50	2 of 3	66%	0	0:54
5	Rose Namajunas	18 of 26	69%	31 of 44	1 of 1	100%	0	3:55
5	Zhang Weili	8 of 18	44%	44 of 67	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Rose Namajunas	86 of 168	51%	57 of 131	12 of 17	17 of 20	60 of 136	6 of 6	20 of 26
Zhang Weili	83 of 173	47%	36 of 112	14 of 16	33 of 45	64 of 138	5 of 8	14 of 27

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Rose Namajunas	20 of 36	55%	11 of 25	3 of 5	6 of 6	17 of 33	3 of 3	0 of 0
1	Zhang Weili	22 of 38	57%	6 of 19	5 of 5	11 of 14	19 of 34	1 of 1	2 of 3
2	Rose Namajunas	20 of 45	44%	12 of 36	5 of 6	3 of 3	16 of 39	2 of 2	2 of 4
2	Zhang Weili	16 of 39	41%	6 of 28	4 of 5	6 of 6	13 of 36	1 of 1	2 of 2
3	Rose Namajunas	14 of 38	36%	11 of 33	0 of 0	3 of 5	13 of 37	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Zhang Weili	25 of 51	49%	13 of 33	4 of 4	8 of 14	19 of 43	3 of 4	3 of 4
4	Rose Namajunas	14 of 23	60%	9 of 16	3 of 5	2 of 2	10 of 18	0 of 0	4 of 5
4	Zhang Weili	12 of 27	44%	6 of 20	1 of 1	5 of 6	9 of 16	0 of 2	3 of 9
5	Rose Namajunas	18 of 26	69%	14 of 21	1 of 1	3 of 4	4 of 9	0 of 0	14 of 17
5	Zhang Weili	8 of 18	44%	5 of 12	0 of 1	3 of 5	4 of 9	0 of 0	4 of 9

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Zhang Weili

Angelo picks Zhang Weili, believing she will make adjustments after the first fight. He thinks Weili will protect her chin, push the pace, and use her boxing to outwork Rose. He notes that Rose's win came from a single head kick and that there wasn't much to analyze from the short fight. He sees Weili's power and determination as key factors.

"i'm leaning towards wayley here honestly uh i think she'll make the adjustments she'll protect her chin i think she'll push the pace in this fight"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Zhang Weili

Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by decision. He notes Zhang's power, volume, and cardio advantage, while Rose may slow down as the fight goes on. Brady thinks the first few rounds will be competitive, but Zhang's pressure and durability will wear on Rose. He also mentions Zhang's move to Fight Ready and her takedown potential, though Rose is dangerous on the ground. He expects Zhang to win down the stretch, possibly with a late finish.

win by decision

"give me zhang waili to win give me zhang wai lee to win by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Rose's precision striking and ability to find openings. He notes Zhang's durability but believes Rose's technique and submission game give her the edge. He compares it to Rose's first win over Joanna and sees value in the champion as an underdog.

"i agree 100 with you my friend i don't think you can turn away from it i think it's a live dog shot"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas to defend her belt, expressing that the line is disrespectful to Rose at plus 105. He believes Rose is the better striker with more power and setups, and that Zhang Weili may be in denial about the first fight. Levi expects adjustments from Zhang, such as calf kicks, but thinks Rose's toughness and experience in rematches (3-0) will carry her. He notes that Rose is undefeated at Madison Square Garden and that Zhang's cardio advantage may be overstated.

plus 105 underdog

"why is rose nominees the underdog in this spot i mean ... i am going to pick her to defend her belt here against wylie"

Half the Battle

Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Jacob picks Rose Namajunas, saying he will never bet against her again. He believes Weili's new focus on wrestling with Henry Cejudo could backfire, as Rose has excellent jiu-jitsu. He has a moneyline bet and a submission prop on Rose. He thinks Rose has the 'it factor' and thrives in big moments.

Submission win prop; Moneyline bet at -102 (2 units)

"i'm never gonna bet against rose again man i think she's burned me so many times... i put a money line bet on her like a two unit bet i even put so i put a submission win on her …"

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Zhang Weili

The host leans Zhang by decision, expecting her to use takedowns to sway judges in close rounds. He thinks the fight goes 25 minutes and likes the over 4.5 rounds at -125. He notes Zhang's new camp but limited time to adjust.

Over 4.5 rounds (-125), Zhang by decision (+250)

"i'm going to go wildly zhang i'm going to pick her by decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

Paul picks Rose as a live underdog, noting she knocked Zhang out in the first fight and is being undervalued. He questions Zhang's wrestling improvements with Cejudo and believes Rose's precision striking and submission threat are key. He sees the line as too easy to pass up.

"rose is the pick for me"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her youth, reach advantage, and grappling edge. He believes Zhang's mindset will be affected by her first KO loss and the crowd booing her. The Guru predicts a third-round rear-naked choke submission, noting Namajunas' ability to bounce back and her training with Trevor Wittman.

third round rear naked choke

"I'm going to go over eunis uh mainly because."

THE MMA GURU

View all 19 fights

Expert Picks (8)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

parlayed with Ange Loosa for plus money

"I think mannon dominates this fight... I have parlayed her with Ange loosa for some plus money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"in terms of a pick I'm gonna pick Fiora to win this fight... fioro does get it done and get it done here by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"the pick will be minnow Fiero for me"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot by decision

"I think Manon fioro is going to be on the outside and she's gonna make rose now my units come to her... I think she's gonna frustrate her and I see her 30-27 here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)

Manon Fiorot

Manon Fiorot by decision (+140)

"I like Pharrell here and I like ferovia points at plus 140. I think that's a good bet."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm gonna go firo five round fight... at least 29 28 hopefully a 30 27."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"I'm going with man on Fiora TKO is my prediction I think Rose is checked out of the game"

THE MMA GURU

Manon Fiorot

Rose Namajunas

Career Averages - Manon Fiorot

Career Averages - Rose Namajunas

Manon Fiorot

Rose Namajunas

Manon Fiorot - Fight History

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