UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019 · Heavyweight · Completed
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik Next Fight
Age 46
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 48
Height 6' 2"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 240 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alistair Overeem
3.67 SLpM
64.0% Str. Acc.
2.44 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.42 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Aleksei Oleinik
3.29 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.8 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
1.82 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
37.0% TD Def.
1.9 Sub. Avg
Alistair Overeem - Fight History
TKO (punches) R2 2:06 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Volkov 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Alistair Overeem 1 54 of 88 61% 54 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Volkov 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 33 of 53 62% 33 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Alexander Volkov 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Alistair Overeem 1 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Volkov 10 of 20 50% 3 of 13 2 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 54 of 88 61% 47 of 81 3 of 3 4 of 4 40 of 65 11 of 18 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Volkov 8 of 14 57% 3 of 9 2 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 33 of 53 62% 26 of 46 3 of 3 4 of 4 22 of 34 8 of 14 3 of 5
2 Alexander Volkov 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0 18 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov

Round 1
Five hundred nineteen and one-half pounds, not counting referee Jason Herzog, are in the cage now for our headliner. The two heavyweight strikers in Overeem (47-18, 1 NC; 12-7 UFC) and Volkov (32-8, 6-2 UFC) will determine who is perhaps a win away for a title shot, while the other falls to the middle of the pack with their hopes dashed. The big men respectfully touch gloves, and the cage door seals behind them as we begin. Volkov lands a huge leg kick, and Overeem backs off to shell up against the fence. Volkov lands a few strikes but does not fall into a trap of Overeem letting loose a counter strike. The Russian pulls back at the last second of a big kick to draw a reaction out of his opponent, and his strikes are already making Overeem flinch. Volkov lands a front kick down the middle, and Overeem tries to catch it and lets it go. Volkov chops at the calf with a kick, and he does not follow it and instead eats a huge right hand from “The Demolition Man.” Overeem loads up with another, and Volkov eats it like borscht and retreats against the cage wall. Volkov stalks down his opponent, but he takes a right hand and clinches up. Volkov separates, and he absorbs a left hand and fights off a takedown attempt. Volkov fires off a high kick that is blocked, and a single jab is pawed away without issue. Overeem ducks forward to land a big uppercut, and he continues along with a thudding body kick. Overeem backs off to land a kick to the thigh, and Volkov counters him with a left hand that puts Overeem down. Overeem might not be hurt and he may have slipped, but Volkov chases after him to hammer him with punches. Not sensing a finish, Volkov lets him back up and reaches out with his left jab. Volkov lands a couple punches and a knee up the middle, and he backs off to land a heavy kick to the body. Overeem lunges forward with a left hand, and Volkov picks at him with a low kick and a jab. Volkov chambers a right hand but does not throw it, and Overeem swings and misses wildly with a looping left. Volkov assaults Overeem with a barrage of punches, and Overeem covers up and takes some damage as his face is marked up. The round ends with Overeem aiming a punch to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Volkov

Round 2
The heavyweights touch gloves to stat off the second round, and Overeem rushes forward shoulder first and eats a right hand. Overeem lets loose a head kick that gets blocked, and Volkov triples up on his left hand to sting Overeem. A solid one-two snaps Overeem’s head back, and Overeem ducks down to wing a left hook but it glances off the guard. Overeem crashes in to tie the Russian up, but he pushes Volkov away and gets jabbed. Volkov splits the guard with a few punches, and Overeem is stalking him down and pushes him back into the cage wall. “Drago” connects with a heavy one-two, and Overeem is in the danger zone. Overeem turns away as he takes another punch, and Volkov rips into him with punches in bunches. Volkov measures his shots and does not punch himself out, and Herzog cautions Overeem to defend himself. Overeem attacks a takedown but it is easily stuffed.
Volkov measures his strikes and lands punches that make Overeem’s legs wobble. “Drago” fires off a deadly one-two, and a bloodied Overeem stumbles to the canvas and topples over. Herzog has seen enough, and Volkov walks off knowing his work tonight is done.
We have a legitimate, new heavyweight contender on the rise, as Volkov notched a very impressive win against a devastatingly effective striker with a penchant for nasty finishes. Volkov goes down to join Overeem on his knees to thank him for the fight, showing respect for the legendary Dutchman in victory. In his post-fight interview, an eerily calm Volkov says it is his time, and that he is not done improving. With this fight card in the books, we return next week with a pay-per-view offering putting the welterweight title on the line.

The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Alistair Overeem R2 2:06 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alexander Volkov

Big Brady picks Alexander Volkov, emphasizing his cardio, output, and takedown defense. He notes that Overeem's chin is completely shot and that he has been knocked out 14 times. He expects Volkov to be the 15th to knock him out, likely in the later rounds. He also suggests looking at the over 1.5 rounds prop.

method: KO, round: 4, prop: over 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go with Volkov here to get a knockout, I'm gonna say he's gonna be the 15th person to knock out Alistair Overeem... give me like a fourth round knockout."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alexander Volkov

Daniel Levi picks Alexander Volkov, citing his improved power at 265 pounds and his ability to sit down on punches. He notes Volkov's 40 pro fights and prime condition, and expects him to outpoint and eventually knock out Overeem. He respects Overeem but believes Volkov's size and power will be decisive.

"i think it's a fun competitive striking match until volkov lands on the chin of overeem"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alistair Overeem

Overeem has shown evolution in his game since joining Team Elevation, landing 7 takedowns in his last 5 fights compared to only 3 in his first 13 UFC fights. He has accrued almost 18 minutes of control time in his last 3 fights, showing he can grind out wins. Volkov's takedown defense is sketchy (66% according to UFC stats) and he was taken down 14 times by Curtis Blaydes. Overeem's chin has held up well recently, and Volkov is not a one-punch knockout artist. Overeem's clinch work, knees, and top pressure should be key. I expect Overeem to slow the fight down, take Volkov down, and control him against the cage, winning a decision.

Overeem by decision; Overeem has at least a 40-45% chance to win, so plus money is value
"i like over him here i think he could kind of just slow this fight down i like the improvements that we've been seeing from him since he changed camps"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alexander Volkov

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov, praising his patience, versatility, and takedown defense shown against Curtis Blaydes. He notes Overeem's tendency to shell up and get hit, and believes Volkov's front kicks and body work will be key. He predicts a second-round TKO via body shots, similar to Volkov's win over Walt Harris.

second round TKO by body shots
"i'm going with alexander volkov second round tko to the body shots"
WIN vs Augusto Sakai
TKO (elbows and punches) R5 0:26 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · Sep 05, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 0 92 of 114 80% 106 of 131 3 of 3 100% 0 0 5:29
Augusto Sakai 0 99 of 173 57% 120 of 196 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 11 of 18 61% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Augusto Sakai 0 22 of 36 61% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
2 Alistair Overeem 0 13 of 16 81% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Augusto Sakai 0 24 of 40 60% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Alistair Overeem 0 23 of 27 85% 26 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Augusto Sakai 0 34 of 54 62% 48 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
4 Alistair Overeem 0 40 of 48 83% 49 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:18
Augusto Sakai 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
5 Alistair Overeem 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Augusto Sakai 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 92 of 114 80% 53 of 73 30 of 31 9 of 10 28 of 43 16 of 16 48 of 55
Augusto Sakai 99 of 173 57% 66 of 130 25 of 34 8 of 9 62 of 127 35 of 43 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 11 of 18 61% 2 of 9 6 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 13 5 of 5 0 of 0
Augusto Sakai 22 of 36 61% 13 of 23 8 of 12 1 of 1 14 of 27 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Alistair Overeem 13 of 16 81% 5 of 7 7 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 7 9 of 9 0 of 0
Augusto Sakai 24 of 40 60% 12 of 24 11 of 15 1 of 1 10 of 22 14 of 18 0 of 0
3 Alistair Overeem 23 of 27 85% 10 of 14 9 of 9 4 of 4 11 of 14 2 of 2 10 of 11
Augusto Sakai 34 of 54 62% 27 of 47 4 of 4 3 of 3 21 of 37 11 of 14 2 of 3
4 Alistair Overeem 40 of 48 83% 31 of 38 8 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 9 0 of 0 33 of 39
Augusto Sakai 19 of 43 44% 14 of 36 2 of 3 3 of 4 17 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Alistair Overeem 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 5
Augusto Sakai 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Augusto Sakai

Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.

Sakai inside the distance
"i'm gonna go with sakai it's basically a fade on overeem's chin which is not an awful look at this point in his career"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Augusto Sakai

Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.

Sakai by KO in round 3
"i feel like sakai's got a very underrated chin man i haven't really seen him you know stumble get hurt drive none of that man so ... i feel like he's gonna come out here and knock alistair out i'ma …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alistair Overeem

The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.

"i will take over him to win this fight probably by third or fourth round stoppage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alistair Overeem

The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.

second or third round ground and pound tko
"i think overeem is actually gonna get a big ko here um maybe not a ko actually yeah no ko i think he takes down augusto sakai after rocking him gets the submission or gets a tko via crown and …"
WIN vs Walt Harris
TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris · May 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 1 68 of 85 80% 97 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Walt Harris 1 25 of 48 52% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 27 of 33 81% 48 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Walt Harris 1 24 of 42 57% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
2 Alistair Overeem 1 41 of 52 78% 49 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Walt Harris 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 68 of 85 80% 58 of 75 8 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 10 1 of 1 60 of 74
Walt Harris 25 of 48 52% 19 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 19 1 of 3 18 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 27 of 33 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 28
Walt Harris 24 of 42 57% 18 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 13 1 of 3 18 of 26
2 Alistair Overeem 41 of 52 78% 37 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 37 of 46
Walt Harris 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Walt Harris

Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.

first-round knockout, fight ends inside distance -425, emotional motivation
"I'm gonna go with Walt Harris here... I think it takes one shot to knockout over him and I think Walt Harris has that shot one of the hardest hitters in the heavyweight division so I like Walt Harris to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Walt Harris

Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.

vicious knockout
"I got Walt Harris via vicious knockout I think he is gonna have that moment I think he will touch the chin of Overeem"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Alistair Overeem

The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.

Overeem by TKO in the third round
"I think I'm gonna go of Alistair Overeem win him by a second-round TKO I think he's gonna ground and pound Walt Harris"
KO (punch) R5 4:56 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Dec 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 74 of 105 70% 101 of 135 2 of 10 20% 0 0 8:19
Alistair Overeem 1 89 of 209 42% 109 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 13 of 15 86% 27 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:14
Alistair Overeem 0 5 of 13 38% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 14 of 20 70% 17 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:06
Alistair Overeem 0 19 of 35 54% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 18 of 25 72% 27 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:30
Alistair Overeem 0 14 of 33 42% 22 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 18 of 28 64% 18 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 30 of 73 41% 30 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 11 of 17 64% 12 of 18 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Alistair Overeem 1 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 74 of 105 70% 48 of 76 12 of 13 14 of 16 46 of 76 9 of 9 19 of 20
Alistair Overeem 89 of 209 42% 57 of 169 16 of 20 16 of 20 68 of 180 19 of 27 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 13 of 15 86% 11 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 10
Alistair Overeem 5 of 13 38% 1 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 14 of 20 70% 4 of 10 8 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 13 7 of 7 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 19 of 35 54% 9 of 23 7 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 25 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 18 of 25 72% 14 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 14 1 of 1 9 of 10
Alistair Overeem 14 of 33 42% 7 of 26 4 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 26 4 of 5 2 of 2
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 18 of 28 64% 13 of 22 0 of 0 5 of 6 18 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 30 of 73 41% 23 of 63 4 of 5 3 of 5 25 of 64 5 of 9 0 of 0
5 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 0 of 0 5 of 5 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 21 of 55 38% 17 of 49 1 of 1 3 of 5 19 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
TKO (knees and punches) R1 4:45 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 1 29 of 33 87% 31 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Aleksei Oleinik 0 38 of 58 65% 78 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 1 29 of 33 87% 31 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Aleksei Oleinik 0 38 of 58 65% 78 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 29 of 33 87% 23 of 27 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8 12 of 13 12 of 12
Aleksei Oleinik 38 of 58 65% 15 of 34 23 of 24 0 of 0 12 of 26 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 29 of 33 87% 23 of 27 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8 12 of 13 12 of 12
Aleksei Oleinik 38 of 58 65% 15 of 34 23 of 24 0 of 0 12 of 26 26 of 32 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Nov 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 0 22 of 26 84% 26 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Sergei Pavlovich 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 22 of 26 84% 26 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Sergei Pavlovich 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 22 of 26 84% 13 of 16 8 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 7 12 of 14
Sergei Pavlovich 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 22 of 26 84% 13 of 16 8 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 7 12 of 14
Sergei Pavlovich 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alistair Overeem vs. Sergei Pavlovich

Round 1
Overeem crouches low with a high guard as he circles Pavlovich, feinting and testing the reactions of the Russian newcomer. Pavlovich clips “The ‘Reem” with a right hand, then shoves him away when Overeem attempts to tie up. An uppercut leaves Overeem covering up momentarily, but he recovers and drives forward to push Pavlovich against the wall. Pavlovich spins to the outside position in the clinch and walks Overeem out toward the middle, then the Dutchman reclaims control and marches him back to the fence. Pavlovich drops levels to try a double-leg, and now Overeem abandons the clinch to step back to the center. Overeem swings a big right hand at Pavlovich, tries to grab the Russian in the Thai clinch and winds up tossing him to the ground. Overeem kneels down in Pavlovich’s open guard, then stands over him with 60 seconds on the clock. Suddenly, Overeem turns up the volume on his right hands, smashing Pavlovich’s face with thunderous hammerfists. Pavlovich eats a couple punches before going fetal and turning away from Overeem. The body language is not good, and Overeem continues to pour on the right hands, prompting referee John Sharp to step in for the stoppage.

The Result
Alistair Overeem def. Sergey Pavlovich via TKO (Punches) R1 4:21
LOSS vs Curtis Blaydes
TKO (elbows) R3 2:56 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 7 of 12 58% 24 of 31 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 37 of 53 69% 62 of 85 4 of 4 100% 0 0 7:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 1 of 3 33% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 1 of 5 20% 9 of 15 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 4 of 5 80% 11 of 12 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 13 of 20 65% 25 of 36 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:31
3 Curtis Blaydes 0 2 of 4 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 23 of 28 82% 28 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alistair Overeem 37 of 53 69% 32 of 48 5 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 16 12 of 14 22 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alistair Overeem 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Curtis Blaydes 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 13 of 20 65% 10 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 6 2 of 3 11 of 11
3 Curtis Blaydes 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 23 of 28 82% 21 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 10 of 11 10 of 11
LOSS vs Francis Ngannou
KO (punch) R1 1:42 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 1 6 of 14 42% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 1 6 of 14 42% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 6 of 14 42% 4 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 6 of 14 42% 4 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1
Aleksei Oleinik - Fight History
LOSS vs Ilir Latifi
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 38 of 48 79% 74 of 88 3 of 6 50% 0 0 8:29
Aleksei Oleinik 0 28 of 70 40% 68 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 11 of 14 78% 45 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:16
Aleksei Oleinik 0 4 of 12 33% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilir Latifi 0 17 of 21 80% 19 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:45
Aleksei Oleinik 0 17 of 30 56% 30 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ilir Latifi 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:28
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 28 25% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 38 of 48 79% 32 of 40 6 of 8 0 of 0 18 of 27 5 of 6 15 of 15
Aleksei Oleinik 28 of 70 40% 9 of 46 7 of 9 12 of 15 27 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 11 of 14 78% 8 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 12 33% 1 of 8 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilir Latifi 17 of 21 80% 15 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 6
Aleksei Oleinik 17 of 30 56% 5 of 17 5 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ilir Latifi 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 8 4 of 5 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 28 25% 3 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 5 6 of 25 1 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ilir Latifi

Cody picks Ilir Latifi to win, highlighting his power and the favorable matchup. He notes that Oleinik has a compromised chin and that Latifi's big hooks could knock him out. He expects Latifi to either knock out Oleinik early or grind out a decision. He mentions that Latifi has been training at All-Stars in Sweden and looks motivated.

Latifi by KO +195/+200; Latifi by decision +250
"I just think stylistically he gets this job done even if it's a knockout or a boring decision regardless I still just think he gets the job done"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ilir Latifi

Paul picks Ilir Latifi to win, citing his takedown ability and top control. He notes that Oleinik is unlikely to submit Latifi due to his lack of a neck, and that Latifi's power could lead to a knockout. He expects a slow, grinding fight but believes Latifi's style is a bad matchup for Oleinik. He is not betting due to emotional attachment to both fighters.

"I'm picking the sledgehammer I'm not going to be betting this fight because you know my heart's too invested on both sides"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, despite acknowledging the difficulty of submitting Latifi due to his lack of a neck. He believes Oleinik has the cardio advantage and can outlast Latifi, who hasn't knocked anyone out since 2016. He thinks Oleinik will win a decision by outworking Latifi with volume and grappling. He calls the plus money on Oleinik 'crazy' and bets on him.

Oleinik by decision
"Oleinik by decision is my pick... I think Oleinik has the gas and always kind of surprises with those weird shovel shots."
Submission (scarf hold) R1 3:39 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
Jared Vanderaa 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
Jared Vanderaa 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 15 of 40 37% 13 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 30 1 of 1 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 15 of 40 37% 13 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 30 1 of 1 7 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Angelo picks Aleksei Oleinik despite his age (45). He notes that Oleinik is a submission threat anywhere on the ground, and that Latifi's low-volume wrestling style plays into Oleinik's strengths. He also mentions Latifi's recent illness and doubts about his conditioning.

"i like alexionic i liked him two weeks ago i like him now i think alexia olenek pulls off the upset here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Big Brady picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission. He notes Vanderaa has terrible takedown defense (20%) and striking defense (43%), and is coming in on short notice. Oleinik has good takedown accuracy and can take Vanderaa down or pull guard, then submit him quickly.

first round submission
"give me alexia olynyk to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jared Vanderaa

Cody picks Vanderaa, arguing that Oleinik is too old and undersized. He notes Oleinik's cardio fades quickly and that Vanderaa has a 50-pound weight advantage. Cody thinks Vanderaa's volume and durability will overwhelm Oleinik in the later rounds. He expects Vanderaa by TKO, possibly after surviving an early submission attempt.

Vanderaa by TKO
"i got jared vander i got jared vander after the first round and i would like to save andra by tko"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Levi acknowledges Oleinik's age (turning 45) but notes heavyweights can have resurgences. He does not see UFC-caliber skills in Vanderaa, who has lost to better guys. He thinks Oleinik could get an Ezekiel choke, but is hesitant because of the age factor. He picks Oleinik but advises caution.

"i just can't pick jaren vader in a ufc fight period"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jared Vanderaa

I lean Vanderaa because he can keep Oleinik on the outside with his striking and movement, especially in the bigger cage. He's not a big knockout puncher but can use volume and leg kicks. If he can avoid takedowns for 12 minutes, he can cruise to a decision. However, it's a volatile fight and he's on short notice.

"The pick here is going to be Vanderaa slight lean towards him... if he's able to go out there and give us a solid 12 minutes without getting taken down I could see him cruising to a decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Paul picks Oleinik at plus money, believing the old man has one more win. He notes Vanderaa's poor takedown defense, as seen against Romanov and Spivak. Paul thinks Oleinik can get takedowns and find his signature scarf hold or Ezekiel choke. He acknowledges Oleinik's cardio issues but thinks he can finish early. He has already bet Oleinik at +100.

Oleinik by submission +165
"i think the old man oh linux got another one in the tank cody i bet i'm at plus 100"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, expressing disdain for Jared Vanderaa's physique and performance. He expects Oleinik to get a first-round submission, possibly by arm triangle or rear-naked choke, citing Vanderaa's grappling issues and Oleinik's full camp.

first round submission prediction
"i'm gonna go with alexi olynyk here jared vandira is garbage"
LOSS vs Serghei Spivac
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Serghei Spivac 0 59 of 121 48% 98 of 162 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:31
Aleksei Oleinik 0 71 of 136 52% 112 of 181 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Serghei Spivac 0 25 of 59 42% 27 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:37
Aleksei Oleinik 0 23 of 53 43% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Serghei Spivac 0 10 of 22 45% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:51
Aleksei Oleinik 0 20 of 32 62% 37 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:54
3 Serghei Spivac 0 24 of 40 60% 55 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Aleksei Oleinik 0 28 of 51 54% 51 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Serghei Spivac 59 of 121 48% 33 of 92 13 of 16 13 of 13 52 of 110 4 of 6 3 of 5
Aleksei Oleinik 71 of 136 52% 67 of 132 3 of 3 1 of 1 55 of 112 4 of 8 12 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Serghei Spivac 25 of 59 42% 11 of 45 8 of 8 6 of 6 23 of 55 1 of 3 1 of 1
Aleksei Oleinik 23 of 53 43% 21 of 51 2 of 2 0 of 0 22 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Serghei Spivac 10 of 22 45% 5 of 15 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 3
Aleksei Oleinik 20 of 32 62% 19 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 14 of 25 0 of 0 6 of 7
3 Serghei Spivac 24 of 40 60% 17 of 32 3 of 4 4 of 4 20 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1
Aleksei Oleinik 28 of 51 54% 27 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 36 3 of 6 6 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, citing his wrestling, ground and pound, and Oleinik's declining chin. He thinks Spivac will control the fight on top and avoid Oleinik's submissions. He bet the over on rounds (1.5) at +135, expecting the fight to last into the second round. He likes the over on strikes for both.

over 1.5 rounds (+135); monkey knife fight: more more
"i have spivak in my lineup i'm very confident in this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Big Brady picks Spivac due to youth and Oleinik's age (43) and poor cardio. He thinks Spivac should keep the fight standing to avoid Oleinik's submissions and finish him in the third round via TKO. He is not betting due to the high price.

win by TKO in round 3
"I'm gonna take sergey spivak to win I'm gonna say third round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Cody picks Spivac, emphasizing Oleinik's age (43) and decline, while noting Spivac's youth (27) and improved cardio and grappling. He predicts Spivac will win by TKO late in the second round, as Oleinik will struggle with Spivac's jab and clinch, and his cardio will fade.

Spivac by TKO late in the second round; price minus 140
"not only do i take speed back but speed probably gets a tko late in the second price is like minus 140 on that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Daniel Levi sees this as a passing of the torch fight. He notes the 18-year age gap and believes Spivac has shown he can make adjustments and handle adversity, as seen in his wins over Tai Tuivasa and Carlos Felipe. He thinks Spivac can grapple with Oleinik and even beat him at his own game, and that Oleinik's skills are declining. He expects Spivac to win, possibly by ground and pound or knockout.

"i got spit back for the win here um and you know i hope him and uh alexi can hug and you know raise his hand in the middle of the cage"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Jacob picks Serghei Spivac, but worries about Spivac's willingness to grapple with Oleinik. He hopes Spivac keeps it standing and uses his striking to exploit Oleinik's chin. He has Spivac in his lineup at $9,200. He also likes the over on strikes.

"i went with sergey just because we've seen olynyk's chin lately."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

The host picks Serghei Spivac by decision, believing he can grind out Oleinik with cage clinching and striking. He notes Spivac's slight striking advantage and that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but Spivac will play it safe. He expects a slow-paced fight and likes the over 1.5 rounds. He mentions Spivac's decision prop at +677 as an attractive line. He is not confident in paying -230 but thinks Spivac wins.

Spivac by decision at +677; over 1.5 rounds at +135; Spivac round 3 at +850 mentioned
"i'm going to go spivak i'm going to go with i think speedvac round three could be live here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

Paul picks Spivac but is hesitant due to his fandom for Oleinik. He notes Oleinik's age and recent poor performances, but acknowledges Spivac's lack of elite speed and power, making this a more favorable matchup for Oleinik than recent fights. Paul passes on betting.

"i'm gonna pick spivak if i had to but i can't i can't touch money i'll be cheering uh against my bed if i bet on sergey spivak so it's a straight up pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Serghei Spivac

The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Oleinik to try to earn respect on the feet but Spivac will stick a jab in his face. Oleinik will shoot takedowns, but Spivac will stuff them and land elbows. In round two, Oleinik will shoot a bad takedown, Spivac will take mount and land ground and pound for the TKO.

second round TKO, ground and pound
"i'm gonna go with sergey spivak round two ground and pound tko"
LOSS vs Chris Daukaus
TKO (punches) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Daukaus 0 5 of 10 50% 6 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Aleksei Oleinik 0 34 of 56 60% 34 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Daukaus 0 5 of 10 50% 6 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Aleksei Oleinik 0 34 of 56 60% 34 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Daukaus 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 34 of 56 60% 32 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0 28 of 49 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Daukaus 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 34 of 56 60% 32 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0 28 of 49 2 of 3 4 of 4
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chris Daukaus

Daniel Levi is impressed with Chris Daukaus's hand speed and accuracy, noting his quick knockouts of Parker Porter and Nascimento. He believes Daukaus only needs 20-30 seconds of pocket exchanges to knock out Oleinik, who is a liability standing. Levi acknowledges Oleinik's 45 submission wins but thinks Daukaus has the grappling skills to avoid submissions and keep the fight standing. He expects a first-round knockout and sees Daukaus as a rising heavyweight prospect.

first round knockout
"i'm going with chris dyches by first round starching of alexia olynyk getting into that top ten"
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
TKO (punches) R2 0:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 1 35 of 42 83% 35 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:39
Aleksei Oleinik 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 1 of 1 100% 2 1 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:27
Aleksei Oleinik 0 2 of 4 50% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 2 1 2:21
2 Derrick Lewis 1 22 of 23 95% 22 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Aleksei Oleinik 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 35 of 42 83% 34 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 30 of 35
Aleksei Oleinik 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 14
Aleksei Oleinik 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Derrick Lewis 22 of 23 95% 21 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 21
Aleksei Oleinik 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Alexey Oleynik

Round 1
The headliner of the evening sees a fascinating style matchup between a knockout artist in Lewis (23-7, 1 NC; 14-5 UFC) against the submission wizardry of Oleynik (59-13-1, 8-4 UFC). This five-round heavyweight contest may very well end one of two ways, with Lewis one knockout away from the all-time UFC heavyweight record, while Oleynik could notch his 47th by tapout should he elicit a submission. Referee Herb Dean will be right there to make sure everything is copacetic as it all plays out, and the two large men – Lewis weighs 38 pounds more than his opponent – touch gloves to introduce themselves. Lewis opens with a head kick, and a hard one-two to hurt Oleynik and push him to the fence. Oleynik quickly sets up an Ezekiel choke, but he abandons it to try to gain a better position with his back to the fence. Lewis throws him down to the ground like Tim Boetsch’s hip toss, and he starts slamming the Russian in the head with punches. Oleynik sits up and looks for a leg, so Lewis spins out from on top to pop over to half guard. Oleynik ties him up from his back as he tries to sit up, but Lewis is content to press his full body weight down on his opponent. Oleynik gets back to his knees and ties up Lewis’ leg to land his own single and wind up on top. He gets to side guard with ease, and secures a scarf hold headlock and wrenches on Lewis’ neck. Lewis powers out of the bad spot and starts raining down punches, but Oleynik ties him back up and clings to him like Saran wrap. Oleynik reverses the position and gets back to side control, where he aims for a scarf hold headlock on the opposite side. He lets go to readjust, and Lewis wriggles and turns his head while Oleynik puts everything he has into the choke. Lewis appears unconcerned and rides it out as veins bulge on Oleynik’s forehead while he applies the torque. The Russian recommits to the choke, and Lewis is trapped but not entirely in danger. Oleynik bails on the choke and elects to take side control and set up a keylock. Time expires before he can land it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik

Round 2
Oleynik reaches with a front kick, and Lewis leaps at him with a flying knee.
A bomb of a right hand takes the legs out from the Russian, and as “The Black Beast” rains down punch after punch from on top, Oleynik turns to his side. Unleashing a barrage of nasty punches. Lewis smells blood and knows the finish is right around the corner. Lewis keeps clubbing Oleynik in the face until Dean has seen enough and stops the fight.
Lewis is now the all-time leader in heavyweight knockouts, scoring his 11th inside the Octagon. Lewis survived adversity and got the Russian out of there to end the night with style points. See you next week, for a much higher stakes heavyweight contest at UFC 252.

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Alexey Oleynik R2 0:21 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Big Brady picks Oleinik as an underdog, believing he can get the fight to the ground and secure a submission. He notes that Lewis has poor takedown defense and often rests on the ground, which could be dangerous against a submission specialist like Oleinik. However, he acknowledges Lewis's explosive power and ability to pop up from bottom, making this a tough call. He leans Oleinik by submission in the first round.

Oleinik by submission at plus 200 or plus 250; fight does not go to decision (minus 800); Lewis by KO at minus 150
"i'm gonna take alexia linux to win this fight um i do think he gets louis on the ground and louis is going to try to rest and and by the time you know lewis tries to get his rest …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Derrick Lewis

Daniel Levi picks Derrick Lewis to win by knockout. He notes that Lewis has a tendency to lose the first two rounds but then come back with his signature 'black beast blitz' and knock out his opponent. He also mentions that Oleinik has a 7-10 minute window to get a submission, but if he doesn't, Lewis will likely finish him. Levi acknowledges that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but believes Lewis's power is a different level.

"i'm gonna go with lewis to get the knockout win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Derrick Lewis

Lewis has freakish power and can knock anyone out, but Oleinik is a dangerous submission artist who can get the fight to the ground. Lewis has shown the ability to get back to his feet, but Oleinik's jiu-jitsu is elite. The line at -265 is too wide; Oleinik offers value. Lewis likely wins by first-round KO, but it's not a bet.

Oleinik by submission, Oleinik moneyline +225
"I'm gonna go with Lewis to win by first round ko but definitely not a bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission via rear naked choke. He criticizes the oddsmakers for making Lewis such a big favorite, citing Lewis's close fights against Ivanov and Latifi. He believes Oleinik's grappling will be too much for Lewis, who loads up on big shots and leaves himself open for takedowns. He notes that Oleinik has a reach advantage and will transition from position to position, eventually taking Lewis's back.

first round submission, rear naked choke
"i think olynyk is going to go out there he's going to engage in the grappling situations and hold lewis up against the cage eventually get him down in a bit of a tangle"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 94 of 183 51% 149 of 241 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:53
Fabrício Werdum 0 53 of 83 63% 70 of 101 3 of 7 42% 1 1 3:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 54 of 94 57% 71 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Fabrício Werdum 0 25 of 37 67% 28 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Aleksei Oleinik 0 26 of 63 41% 40 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
Fabrício Werdum 0 24 of 38 63% 29 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:19
3 Aleksei Oleinik 0 14 of 26 53% 38 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:26
Fabrício Werdum 0 4 of 8 50% 13 of 18 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 94 of 183 51% 79 of 167 10 of 10 5 of 6 72 of 149 22 of 33 0 of 1
Fabrício Werdum 53 of 83 63% 27 of 52 16 of 21 10 of 10 34 of 60 16 of 20 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 54 of 94 57% 47 of 86 5 of 5 2 of 3 39 of 76 15 of 18 0 of 0
Fabrício Werdum 25 of 37 67% 14 of 24 7 of 9 4 of 4 17 of 26 8 of 11 0 of 0
2 Aleksei Oleinik 26 of 63 41% 21 of 58 3 of 3 2 of 2 22 of 53 4 of 10 0 of 0
Fabrício Werdum 24 of 38 63% 12 of 23 7 of 10 5 of 5 15 of 29 6 of 6 3 of 3
3 Aleksei Oleinik 14 of 26 53% 11 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 20 3 of 5 0 of 1
Fabrício Werdum 4 of 8 50% 1 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Fabrício Werdum

Big Brady picks Fabricio Werdum, citing a favorable stylistic matchup due to Werdum's superior submission game and Oleinik's poor ground game. He expects Werdum to take Oleinik down early and finish with ground and pound or submission, likely in the first round. He notes the line at minus 320 is steep but believes it's a good matchup.

Werdum by first round TKO/submission; fight ends inside first round
"I like Verdoom here. Um, due to the fact that I think it's a good, uh, stylistic match up for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Fabrício Werdum

Daniel Levi picks Fabricio Werdum, stating he is the better striker and has the ground game to handle Oleinik's submissions. He notes Oleinik is reckless and makes mistakes, and that Werdum's improved striking and Thai clinch will be key. Levi expects Werdum to capitalize on Oleinik's errors and win inside the distance.

Werdum inside the distance
"I'm actually gonna go with Fabricio Vacaville or doom here to win this fight inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Fabrício Werdum

Matt picks Werdum but thinks the -300 line is too wide due to Werdum's long layoff and age. He believes Werdum has the advantage on the feet and can finish Oleinik in the second round, but he is hesitant to bet at the current price. He would consider a bet if the line drops to -250.

Werdum by second-round TKO, fight doesn't go to decision (-250)
"I'm gonna pick over doom to win here but that line is a little bit too wide for me"
Submission (armbar) R2 4:38 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 22 31% 25 of 46 3 of 3 100% 3 0 7:25
Maurice Greene 0 13 of 29 44% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 1 of 7 14% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:13
Maurice Greene 0 3 of 6 50% 26 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Aleksei Oleinik 0 6 of 15 40% 20 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:12
Maurice Greene 0 10 of 23 43% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 22 31% 4 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 6
Maurice Greene 13 of 29 44% 10 of 25 1 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
Maurice Greene 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksei Oleinik 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 5
Maurice Greene 10 of 23 43% 9 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Aleksei Oleinik

Daniel picks Aleksei Oleinik via rear-naked choke finish, but admits he's been going back and forth on this fight. He notes that Oleinik has 40+ submissions and is a total badass, while Greene has power and length but questionable grappling. He says someone is most likely getting finished.

finish, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna roll the dice flip a coin and I'm gonna land on Alexei Olynyk via rear-naked choke finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Maurice Greene

The host picks Maurice Greene to win by TKO, likely in the second round, but expresses low confidence, stating he doesn't trust Greene. He notes Greene's speed and footwork as advantages, but worries about Oleinik's jiu-jitsu and the possibility of both fighters gassing. He sees the fight as risky and is not planning to bet on it.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -675 considered too steep; over/under 1.5 rounds at -165 sketchy; Greene by TKO in second round predicted.
"I like green here to get the TK over Olynyk probably in the second round but it's a very risky fight I don't trust green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Maurice Greene

The host is surprised this fight is on the main card but picks Maurice Greene. He notes Greene's size and difficulty to take down, and Oleinik's age (42) and history of KO losses. He predicts Greene will land a good combo on Oleinik's chin and finish him in the first round.

first round finish
"I could see Maurice green landing a good combo on his chin and getting him out of there in the first round"
LOSS vs Walt Harris
KO (knee and punches) R1 0:12 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2