UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 41
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Muslim Salikhov
3.37 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.96 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.07 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - André Fialho
3.3 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
6.26 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.25 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Muslim Salikhov
Moneyline
BetMGM -105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +320
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
FanDuel +290
André Fialho
Moneyline
FanDuel +100
KO/TKO
FanDuel +180
Submission
BetWay +1800
Decision
BetRivers +650
Muslim Salikhov - Fight History
CANCEL vs Jake Matthews
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Jake Matthews

Angelo picks Jake Matthews to win and finish, noting that his original opponent Muslim Salikhov was replaced by Carlston Harris. He believes Harris is past his prime, less durable, and stepping up on short notice, while Matthews is well-rounded and should find a finish.

finish predicted; Jake Matthews in lineup
"Not only do I think Jake Matthews wins, I think Jake Matthews finds a finish. And I will put Jake Matthews in a lineup."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Lucrative James picks Jake Matthews, citing his youth (31 vs 38), better boxing, head movement, and overall skill set compared to Carlston Harris. He notes Matthews' unfortunate last loss due to a referee error but believes he is the better fighter everywhere. He highlights Harris's poor durability, cardio, and recent knockout losses, and expects Matthews to land clean shots and get a knockout. He also mentions Matthews' improved chin and comfort in the UFC.

Jake Matthews via knockout
"I think Jake Matthews gets a knockout in this fight. I don't see Carson Harris lasting."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

The MMA Guru picks Jake Matthews to win by knockout. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is a one-dimensional grappler at 39 years old with poor striking, while Matthews is a good offensive boxer and grappler. He believes Matthews will keep the fight on the feet and land a knockout.

odds glitched, Matthews between -3000 and -150
"I think we're going to see Jack Matthews win this fight and win the fight by knockout."
LOSS vs Uroš Medić
KO R1 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Uros Medic vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Medic (-180); Salikhov (+150)

Round 1
If rankings and relevant pairings do not litter the lineup, at least the matchmakers have lined up a few bangers. At 41, Salikhov (22-5, 9-4 UFC) may be looking as good as ever, with three wins in a row including two knockouts making his twilight years quite something. He will have to contend with brick-fisted Serb Medic (11-3, 5-3 UFC), who has come from Alaska to train down in California at Kings MMA. The two welterweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Kerry Hatley, who has already donned his proverbial hard hat, fully cognizant that this one could be a doozey. There is a touch of gloves to open things up.
Medic tries early to swat away Salikhov’s staging left hand, stomping his way forward to threaten with strikes to the lead knee. Both men lash out with blows at the same time, and they need some time before re-engaging. They kick simultaneously, with Medic putting a scare in the Dagestan native by going upstairs. Medic tosses one out with his other leg, wrapping it around the back of the Russian’s melon.
Salikhov has to back off, and Medic rifles off a straight left hand that puts Salikhov on his seat. Salikhov tries to scoot around to grab hold of the leg of “The Doctor,” but Medic slams him in the side of the head with his angry Alaskan fist a few times until Salikhov shells up.
Hatley sees that Salikhov has physically surrendered at that point and steps in to save the Russian from any further harm. That is two knockouts in a row for Medic right around one minute, as he iced Gilbert Urbina in August in 63 seconds. The 100% finish rate remains intact as well, as Medic calls for bigger opportunities in the future.

The Official Result
Uros Medic def. Muslim Salikhov R1 1:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uros Medic because he is younger, faster, and more technical, but he is not confident. He notes that Muslim Salikhov hits extremely hard and has wrestling, making him a phenomenal underdog. He acknowledges that Medic was almost finished by Gilbert Urbina, which raises concerns about his chin.

"I'm going to pick the younger, faster, more technical striker, but damn, like this is a tough-ass fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady has a hot take predicting Salikhov wins by spinning wheel kick knockout in the first round. He highlights Salikhov's patented spinning wheel kick, which he has used to knock out multiple opponents, including Carlos Leia. He questions Medić's durability, noting he got knocked down by Gilbert Urbina, which is a bad sign. He expects an early knockout.

spinning wheel kick knockout, first round, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go Salakov here. Salakov spinning old kick. First round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov, noting his power and counter-striking ability. He thinks Medić's aggressive, forward-moving style plays into Salikhov's hands, and that Salikhov will land a knockout early.

"It's a solo play for me as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Lucrative James picks Muslim Salikhov despite acknowledging the volatility of the matchup. He notes Salikhov's higher level of competition and experience, as well as his recent training camp improvements. However, he admits both fighters have poor chins and heavy hands, making it a coin flip. He predicts Salikhov wins by knockout in round one, but also considers betting on the under or 'doesn't go to decision'.

KO in round 1
"I will pick Muslim Salikov for those reasons I just mentioned. I will pick him via knockout in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The host expects a firecracker fight and loves the under 1.5 rounds. He believes Medic will snipe Salikhov from distance and win by knockout within five minutes.

Under 1.5 rounds, knockout
"I love the under one and a half in this fight, but I ultimately think it's going to be Medic from distance who ends up sniping Salakov and getting him out of there within five minutes."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, calling the fight a 'car crash' and expecting a knockout. He likes the plus money on the older fighter and thinks Medić's durability issues will be exposed.

"Give me the old man Salikov because he's plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The Guru picks Muslim Salikhov to win by first-round KO. He believes Uroš Medić is too easily hit and erratic, lunging in with punches, while Salikhov has powerful spinning attacks and counters. He expects Salikhov to catch Medić coming in and finish him early.

round 1 KO
"I'm going to go with Muslim Salakov getting this one done by KO victory in the first round."
WIN vs Carlos Leal
KO R1 0:42 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Muslim Salikhov vs. Carlos Leal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Leal (-400); Salikhov (+320)

Round 1
The old guard of the UFC is not entirely falling apart as of late. The example in this matchup is Salikhov (21-5, 8-4 UFC), who has won two in a row—his last victory via his beloved spinning wheel kick—and now is at the tender age of 41. He will be trying to show Leal (22-6, 1-1 UFC), 10 years his junior, that age is nothing but a number. The welterweight strikers will be joined in the Octagon by referee Dan Movahedi, who initiates the proceedings and bears witness to a brief fist bump.
Salikhov gets right on his bike firing off kicks to the lead leg and body. Leal marches him down to reach boxing range, where he intends on lining up one-twos down Broadway. The Brazilian swings hard, not giving Salikhov much space, and a straight left hand gets Salikhov’s attention.
The 41-year-old bites down on his mouthpiece to give his foe back some fire, slipping a jab and lobbing a massive right hand from his hip that careens into the forehead of Lean. The Brazilian hits the deck, devoid of his senses, and Salikhov walks away knowing that his work here is done.
He strides over to the commentary team to remind them of his age, and it is hard to say if he knows that he just became the first fighter to ever knock out the ultra-durable Leal. This marks the first time since 2019 that “The King of Kung Fu” picked up back-to-back consciousness-depriving knockouts, as he obliterated Kenan Song last November with a spinning wheel kick. To stick the landing, Salikhov calls for a matchup against Stephen Thompson that would undoubtedly display some traditional martial arts fireworks.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Carlos Leal R1 0:42 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Angelo picks Carlos Leal, citing his dangerous Muay Thai, forward pressure, durability, and power. He notes Muslim Salikhov is 41 with a declining chin, and Leal's pressure will prevent Salikhov from using his unorthodox karate. He considers -400 odds appropriate but will parlay Leal rather than bet straight.

Will parlay Leal; odds -400
"Carlos is going to be the pick. I do think if Muslim has success with the unorthodox striking, then Carlos is just going to start to wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal Miranda, citing his pressure style and power. He notes Salikhov is old (calls him 60+), needs space to throw spinning attacks, and does not like being pressured. He compares it to the Leech fight where pressure led to a finish. He predicts a second-round knockout, warning only about a potential spinning wheel kick.

second round knockout
"I like Carlos Liao here. ... I think he should go out there and knock out Salakov."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Leal is a big favorite and deservedly so. He is expected to walk down Salikhov, take his best shots, but throw even harder in return, leading to a knockout victory.

knockout
"Lal big favorite here and deservedly so. Expect him to walk down Salakov, take some of his best shots, but throw even harder in return leading to a Lal knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Leal, calling him a 'monster' and noting his physicality and pressure. He believes Salikhov is aging and has a reach disadvantage, and that Leal will get in his face and beat him up against the cage. He predicts a second-round TKO after a tricky first round.

Round 2 TKO
"I'm going to go with Liao. ... Carlos Liao round two TKO."
WIN vs Song Kenan
KO (spinning wheel kick) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kenan Song vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
Two welterweights with finish rates of 75% or above collide as the main card continues, with two relative elder statesmen in the weight class plying their trade against one another. Song (22-8, 6-4 UFC) celebrates an equal number of knockouts to submissions, while “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (20-5, 7-4 UFC) is all about the former. Referee Mark Craig will serve as the cage commander for a tense showdown, one that kicks off as the fighters clap hands. Song comes in, and before he can throw, Salikhov kicks his front leg. Song tries again, this time reaching out with a left hand first. Salikhov chops at the leg again, and he blocks a high kick. They both attempt leg kicks, and Salikhov doubles up on his efforts. Song guards against a few punches and throws a few back to counter, and he is driven away with a spinning back kick that lands square on his ribs. Salikhov kicks and then opens up with two left hooks, and as there are lulls in the action, the crowd begins riling up in support of the Chinese competitor. Salikhov darts in and out to attack, picking his shots until getting met with a spinning back kick coming back his way. Salikhov grits it out and blasts the lead wheel with a kick. Song does not like this, and he blitzes forward, drilling Salikhov in the side of the head and stunning him. As Song closes in, he clinches, and a knee bangs into Salikhov’s cup. Song backs away apologetically to allow Craig to call time, and Salikhov takes 40 seconds to get his wind back. They restart, and Salikhov picks up where he left off with calf kicks. Salikhov scores a right hand, catches a head kick and dumps Song to the mat. Salikhov backs off, with no interest in exploring the ground game, and instead he keeps adding money in the bank with these vicious calf kicks. Song shakes his leg out and hops away from a spinning back fist, and he races forward with a left hand.
The Russian, known for his spinning arsenal, dips into the well with a wheel kick that smashes cleanly into the melon of Song. “The Assassin” crumples to the ground in a heap, rolling to his side as he is bordering on the edge of consciousness. Salikhov drums him out with two hammerfists that are academic at best, and Craig gets between them to tend to the defeated fighter.
Song comes to before long and he graciously accepts the loss. Meanwhile, Salikhov becomes the first fighter in company history to deliver multiple knockouts via wheel kick. The “King of Kung Fu” is for real, even at the ripe age of 40.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Kenan Song via R1 3:49 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Angelo picks Muslim Salikhov, criticizing Song Kenan's low fight IQ and lack of killer instinct. He notes Salikhov's wrestling and striking power, and expects him to capitalize on Song's mistakes. He calls Song 'one punch or bust' and an idiot inside the cage.

"salov has to be the pick when you're fighting an idiot it is what it is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady picks Muslim Salikhov to win by knockout. He admits he usually picks against Salikhov due to his age (40, possibly older), low volume, and questionable cardio, but he sees Song Kenan as a walking punching bag with low volume and poor durability. Brady thinks Salikhov can knock out Song, who has been knocked out four times. However, he is hesitant and wants to stay away from this fight.

Salikhov wins by KO
"I'll take salikov to to get the win here but we are in China which uh wouldn't very favor s Canan um sakov is 40 at this point or he's actually probably like 80 but I don't know just just …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov but with low confidence, citing Song Kenan's poor defensive striking and tendency to absorb high volume. He thinks Salikhov's flashy, low-volume style can land the more significant shots and potentially clip Song. He expects a close decision or a late knockout for Salikhov, but warns that Song could outwork him if he walks into the fire.

"I'm going to take Muslim solakov but quite honestly that could be I would call it the PRP pick but some of these road to the UFC guys will probably be down there because I just don't care"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Song Kenan's pace is exactly what Salikhov thrives on—slow and methodical, allowing Salikhov to use feints and set up his strikes. He also points out that Salikhov's traditional martial arts background gives him a soft landing for aging, and he remains uninjury-prone. Connor acknowledges Song's power but thinks Salikhov's technical edge wins.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Song Kenan's pace is the kind of pace that Salikhov will absolutely eat up. He will get the faint love hurts. It's so relaxing."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muslim Salikhov but expresses concern about his age (40). He acknowledges Salikhov's superior skills, spinning attacks, and counter striking, but worries about durability and slowing down. He notes Song Kenan has heavy hands but lacks volume and takedown defense. Vreeland thinks Salikhov has more ways to win and should stay at range to avoid exchanges.

"pure pick I'm going Muslim sakov here I think he's way better than this guy"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

James confidently picks Song Kenan as an underdog, believing Muslim Salikhov is washed at 40 years old with declining durability and cardio. He thinks Song's power and youth can lead to a knockout, and sees value at +160.

"plus 160 Underdog I think that's a good Underdog on the card"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, noting that Song Kenan is hittable and Salikhov is more defensively sound. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 years old but believes his experience and ability to land flashy techniques will edge him a close decision. He expects a low-volume, tactical fight where Salikhov steals rounds with significant strikes.

"I'll go with the guy who's a little bit more defensively sound even though he is a 40 he is like 40 years old now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The MMA Guru picks Muslim Salikhov over Song Kenan, despite initially considering Song. He notes Song has been tricky but has losses to Max Griffin and a split decision with Santiago Ponzinibbio. He criticizes Song's win over Ricky Glenn as not dominant. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 but coming off a win and active. He believes Salikhov is powerful and faster.

"I'm going to go Muslim salikov"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Zane picks Salikhov, arguing that Song Kenan's one-punch-at-a-time striking style will be neutralized by Salikhov's educated jab and range control. He notes that Song loses to good strikers who can out-volume him, and Salikhov's feints and kicking game will keep Song guessing. Zane also mentions Salikhov's durability and consistent activity despite being 40.

Salikhov opened -153, now -178; Song opened +137, now +157. Zane says 'it does feel like Salikhov should be the favorite in general.'
"I gotta pick him here. Salikhov is 40 but he's a very wonder boy kind of 40."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 41 of 117 35% 42 of 118 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:29
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 46 of 121 38% 69 of 146 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 14 of 43 32% 14 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 16 of 45 35% 16 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 14 of 48 29% 16 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 11 of 29 37% 12 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:01
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 15 of 36 41% 36 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 41 of 117 35% 31 of 102 5 of 7 5 of 8 40 of 116 1 of 1 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 46 of 121 38% 20 of 87 20 of 27 6 of 7 45 of 120 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 14 of 43 32% 9 of 36 4 of 5 1 of 2 14 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 17 of 37 45% 7 of 27 8 of 8 2 of 2 16 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Muslim Salikhov 16 of 45 35% 13 of 41 0 of 1 3 of 3 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 14 of 48 29% 7 of 37 4 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muslim Salikhov 11 of 29 37% 9 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 3 10 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 15 of 36 41% 6 of 23 8 of 11 1 of 2 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ponzinibbio (-205), Salikhov (+170)

Round 1
From one pair of knockout artists to another we go, this time in the welterweight division. The co-main event presents powerful Argentinian Ponzinibbio (29-7, 11-6 UFC) against the self-proclaimed “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (19-5, 6-4 UFC), and both men celebrate the majority of their victories via strikes. Unfortunately for the aging 170ers, they have each gone 1-3 in their last four, so a win would mean keeping things going while a defeat might push them closer towards the end. Referee Dan Miragliotta will be the third man in the Octagon, and he steps back as the heavy hitters touch ‘em up. Ponzinibbio pushes the pace early, jabbing his way forward only to get pushed back by a front kick. Salikhov delivers a solid kick to the body as he shifts to the side, and he lands one on the lead leg and has a head kick blocked right after. Ponzinibbio whiffs on a low kick, and Salikhov leaps at him with a left hook that grazes the jaw. Salikhov tries that strike again, and Ponzinibbio sees it coming and parries it, following with a high kick. Salikhov blocks it and gives him one back, and that too bounces off the guard. Salikhov lands a body kick backing up, and he cannot get away from a jab to his ribs. Salikhov spins with no telegraphing and has it ricochet off the shoulder, and he bursts his way into a short combo of punches. Ponzinibbio lands with two of three punches on his way forward, catching the Russian and bullying him back to the wire. Ponzinibbio lands a calf kick and protects his mug from an overhand right, and he ducks a spinning back fist and stumbles—not from absorbing the blow, but from dodging it. Ponzinibbio wags his finger to signal the strike did not land, and he recovers and stays evasive to not get caught with subsequent strikes from the “King of Kung Fu.” Salikhov connects with a left hand, and Ponzinibbio counters and drops Salikhov. The Russian gets back to his feet, and Ponzinibbio is marching him down winding up with serious power. Salikhov drives him back with a solid uppercut, but not before a cut opens up on the inner eyebrow. Both men appear to slip on the canvas surface but not because of damage, and they race at one another to trade. Salikhov lands a heavy right hand, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio

Round 2
The fighters clap hands to begin the second stanza, and Salikhov takes two attempts to blitz forward and pulls back each time. He then spins with a wheel kick that buzzes past the jaw, and he keeps spinning, this time with a back fist. Ponzinibbio backs him away with a few jabs and a head kick, and he pushes aside a front kick to wing a right hand. Salikhov scores two left hooks before spinning with a back kick to the ribs, and Ponzinibbio no-sells it and tries to respond with a left. Salikhov has another spin broken up when Ponzinibbio rushes him, and they bounce off one another and reset. Salikhov jabs out with his toes outstretched, and they tag one another with punches. Ponzinibbio appears to get the worse of a left hand, and Salikhov gives chase and swarms him with big punches. Ponzinibbio absorbs a spinning wheel kick, where even while blocked it further staggers him. Ponzinibbio rebounds off the fencing and finds his footing again, and he swings his way forward to close the distance and stay out of kicking range. Salikhov responds with a looping right hook that does not connect and a low kick that does. Salikhov tries another wheel kick, but Ponzinibbio is wise to it and gets up close and personal. The Russian allows him to do this so he can time an uppercut, and he plants the ball of his foot on Ponzinibbio’s sternum for good measure. Ponzinibbio drives home a one-two, and Salikhov trips him up with a takedown effort. Salikhov cannot keep him down, and they return upright to trade hands. The Argentinian fighter swings inaccurately with two hooks, and his foe answers him with a front kick and a leaping punch. Salikhov has a left hook parried, and he jumps forward with a second that is ducked. Spinning with a kick to the body, Salikhov lands the strike but finds himself on his seat a moment later when Ponzinibbio surprises him with a takedown. Ponzinibbio hangs on until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 3
The fighters shake hands and bro-hug to commence the last round, and strikes are soon to follow. Salikhov lands a swiping left hook and hops back to avoid a low kick, and the Argentinian ducks to avoid a second. Salikhov spams front kicks, and Ponzinibbio lets fly a right hook that bangs into the temple. Salikhov wears it well and is jabbed back by subsequent strikes, but he gathers steam and marches forward landing a front kick. Both fighters trade hooks, and Salikhov dodges a leg kick and spins with a wheel kick that does not connect. A trio of punches from the Russian do not find their home, and he whips a left hook that grazes the top of his foe’s head. Ponzinibbio rushes after him with a pair of punches and is pushed back by a teep kick, only to crash the pocket and push “King of Kung Fu” to the cage wall. Salikhov breaks away and strafes one direction and then the other, and he has a telegraphed left hook miss the mark by a wide margin. Ponzinibbio attempts a single that is easily stopped, although he does manage to put Salikhov against the cage wall. A second attempt manages to bring Salikhov to his knees, and he drapes himself over Salikhov while keeping him on a single knee. Salikhov takes a seat, and Ponzinibbio thinks about moving around to take the back but decides instead to pursue top position. Ponzinibbio slows the fight to a crawl by holding the Russian down, and Salikhov sucks wind and tries with all his might to stand. He eventually gets back to his feet, and Ponzinibbio is dead set on getting that takedown again. The last try fails, and the close fight ends in a clinch while the crowd showers them with boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Santiago Ponzinibbio via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Angelo picks Santiago Ponzinibbio, believing he will dominate the striking exchanges and that Muslim Salikhov will fade at elevation. He notes that both fighters are older and coming off losses, but Ponzinibbio's volume and range management should be key. He thinks the odds are too wide for a favorite and would only bet if the line moves to around -120.

Would consider betting if odds move to around -120.
"I'm going to pick ponan nibio here I do think he's going to own the Striking exchanges"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Cody picks Ponzinibbio but is hesitant, noting both fighters are past their prime and have cardio issues at altitude. He thinks Ponzinibbio's speed and volume will outwork Salikhov, but fears Salikhov could land a big shot late. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.

"I think pwn and nio more often than not gets the job done."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muslim Salikhov to upset Santiago Ponzinibbio. He believes Ponzinibbio has never been the same after a severe bacterial infection, losing speed and durability. He notes that both fighters are past their primes, but at the odds, he prefers the underdog Salikhov. He mentions that Ponzinibbio's recent performances have been poor, including a life-and-death fight with Miguel Baeza and knockout losses. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and goes with Salikhov.

"I'm going go salikov here to uh upset ponan nibio at these odds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Santiago Ponzinibbio is slightly favored. He is a bit faster and slicker with his shots. Durability is shaky on both sides, but Ponzinibbio's speed should allow him to land the first big shot and put Salikhov away. The line has dropped from -220 to -180, still a bit wide.

"I do believe Pon nio is a little bit faster and a little bit slicker with the shots and I think that'll eventually allow him to land that big shot on salikov and put him away"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Paul picks Ponzinibbio but is cautious, citing Salikhov's power and cardio concerns for both. He believes Ponzinibbio's speed and volume will be key, but acknowledges the fight could end violently for either. He expects a competitive fight.

"I think pwn and nio more often than not gets the job done."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
KO (punches) R1 3:17 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-245), Salikhov (+200)

Round 1
A killer welterweight matchup originally scheduled for UFC 296 in December, rescheduled due to Brown falling ill, now blesses “UFC Vegas 85.” While Brown and Salikhov lose the full-arena vibe, they do see their scrap promoted from curtain-jerker to feature fight. Lubbock, Texas’ own Kerry Hatley draws his final referee assignment of the night. The “Rude Boy” and “King of Kung Fu” immediately begin exchanging kicks. Salikhov goes low with quick calf kicks, which Brown counters with long flicking front kicks to the midsection. Salikhov tries a spinning wheel kick which falls short, but had murderous speed on it. A minute and a half in, not much has landed outside of low kicks, but it feels as though either man might bust this fight—and maybe his foe—wide open at any moment. Salikhov’s chopping kicks to Brown’s lead leg are starting to land with increasing frequency and force. Brown reaches out with his left hand and the extended fingers swipe Salikhov’s eye. The two touch hands in recognition of the foul before Hatley even calls time, but Salikhov does take his time to blink it out. They go back to work and Brown stocks out a fast jab, feints with his right hip and then comes back with a kick from the other side.
Out of nowhere, Brown crushes Salikhov with a jab and a blistering right cross. Salikhov goes down and Brown appears to hesitate before following up. With no stoppage forthcoming Brown lands a single standing-to-ground right on the turtled Russian, and that’s enough to spur Hatley into action.
Highlight-reel knockout from Randy Brown.

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Muslim Salikhov R1 3:17 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his length and range management. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is dangerous but slowing down at 39, losing cardio and power. He expects Brown to use his reach, work takedowns, and out-technique the aging veteran.

"Randy Brown's going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown to win by second-round submission (club and sub). He notes that Brown is younger, bigger, has a massive reach advantage, better cardio, and better grappling. He questions Salikhov's age (believes he's older than 39) and notes his low volume, poor cardio, and grappling holes. Brady has been burned by Brown as a favorite before but thinks this is a good matchup.

second round, submission (club and sub)
"I'm going to take Brown here um last time these two fought I did pick like a club and sub I'll stick with that give me Randy Brown Club and sub second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, citing Salikhov's age (39), poor cardio, and low volume. Brown's reach and movement should keep him safe, and he expects Brown to win a decision or possibly a late finish. He notes Salikhov's only path is an early KO.

Randy Brown by decision
"I'm gonna take Randy Brown probably by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Brown uses his long reach and distance striking to pick opponents apart, and should be able to circle away from Salikhov's power. Salikhov is 39 and slowing down, with a speed disadvantage. Brown's takedown defense and ability to get back to his feet if taken down will be key. The host expects Brown to win decisively by decision.

"I think we'll see brown win this fight pretty decisively and I think it comes in the form of him outp pointing outworking and out striking salikov on the feed on route to a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, agreeing with Cody. He notes Brown's 9-inch reach advantage and Salikhov's decline. He likes Brown by decision at +120 but says the market is accurate and he may not bet it heavily.

Randy Brown by decision +120
"Randy Brown by decision I mean it's plus 120 plus 125 like definitely gets you off of that money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Muslim Salikhov, predicting a late TKO. He notes Salikhov is 39 and has looked his age, while Brown has an 8-inch reach advantage. He believes Brown can keep Salikhov at range with jabs, teeps, and low kicks, and that Salikhov's power is limited to a few shots. He trusts Brown's ability to avoid Salikhov's right hand, as he did against Khaos Williams.

late TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown over Muslim salikov... I am going to go with Randy Brown actually getting a late TKO here."
LOSS vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolas Dalby 0 86 of 140 61% 104 of 158 2 of 5 40% 0 0 6:36
Muslim Salikhov 0 57 of 88 64% 70 of 101 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolas Dalby 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Muslim Salikhov 0 27 of 45 60% 27 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
2 Nicolas Dalby 0 17 of 27 62% 24 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:21
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 14 71% 18 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
3 Nicolas Dalby 0 48 of 69 69% 58 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Muslim Salikhov 0 20 of 29 68% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolas Dalby 86 of 140 61% 41 of 84 36 of 43 9 of 13 43 of 91 36 of 41 7 of 8
Muslim Salikhov 57 of 88 64% 34 of 58 21 of 28 2 of 2 47 of 78 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolas Dalby 21 of 44 47% 7 of 25 6 of 8 8 of 11 17 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
Muslim Salikhov 27 of 45 60% 14 of 26 11 of 17 2 of 2 27 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nicolas Dalby 17 of 27 62% 9 of 17 7 of 9 1 of 1 6 of 13 8 of 10 3 of 4
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 14 71% 5 of 9 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nicolas Dalby 48 of 69 69% 25 of 42 23 of 26 0 of 1 20 of 38 24 of 27 4 of 4
Muslim Salikhov 20 of 29 68% 15 of 23 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 21 8 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salikhov (-190), Dalby (+160)

Round 1
A potential all-action welterweight tilt will kick off the main card, as blood-and-guts Dalby (21-4-1, 2 NC; 5-3-1, 1 NC UFC) stands across the cage from “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (19-3, 6-2 UFC). This will be the eldest bout on the billing, as Dalby is over 38 while Salikhov just turned 39, so the clock is absolutely ticking for these two 170-pound competitors in hopes of making a run. They do not plan on touching gloves, and referee Mark Smith sits back to observe the proceedings. Dalby slings a high kick early, and Salikhov replies with a solid calf kick as if he had watched the last bout and wanted to replicate that success. Dalby goes for another head kick that is blocked, and he puts a jab in the Russian’s face. Salikhov rifles out a left hand, and he absorbs a kick on the inside of his knee. Salikhov aims a front kick to the chest, and Dalby is quick to kick low again. Salikhov scores a pair of dangerous leg kicks, and they trade punches until Dalby decides to give Salikhov a taste of his own medicine with a kick. Salikhov reaches out with a left hook, and he pushes out with a front kick. The two trade leg kicks, and Dalby ducks a Superman punch right in time. Salikhov spins suddenly with a back fist, and Dalby raises his guard and takes a clean spinning back kick right after to the chest. Dalby picks at the lead leg with a kick, and they both go after one another with heavy right hooks. Dalby aims a shin to the midsection, and he walks into a solid right hand. When Dalby tries to kick low, Salikhov stands him up with an overhand right. Both men crash together with thudding fists, and Salikhov reaches his man in a subsequent strike. “King of Kung Fu” beats Dalby to the punch, and he clips him with a left hand to stagger Dalby. Dalby gathers his thoughts and retaliates with a right hand and a huge head kick. Salikhov is damaged from the blow, and he pursues a takedown to drag Dalby to the ground to recover. The two both stand up in the clinch, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 2
The welterweights come together in the center of the cage, and Dalby initiates offense with a head kick that is blocked. Salikhov replies with a front kick, leading Dalby into a charge that pushes him against the cage to the wall. Salikhov turns him around, and Dalby reaches him with high knees even with his back against the fence. Salikhov breaks off, and he defends a body kick and spins with a back kick to the midsection. The two measure one another with one-twos, and Dalby ducks straight into a knee when pursuing a takedown. Salikhov keeps his back to the wire as he stays upright, and Dalby lifts up a high knee. This is the worst thing Dalby can do, as Salikhov grabs hold of it, turns Dalby around and deposits him to the canvas. Dalby calmly works his way back up with the fence behind him, and he spams short knees to the side. Dalby wrenches the Dagestan native to the mat, and he moves straight into mount. Salikhov turns to the side and ends up giving up his back, and Dalby gets a hook in and drapes his arm around the chest. Salikhov turns enough to free himself from a hook, and Dalby traps Salikhov’s left leg while turning the torso. Dalby nearly has a twister set up, and he threatens with a choke that transitions from a rear-naked choke to an arm-triangle choke. This is a means to an end, as Dalby steps over into half guard and looks for ground-and-pound. Salikhov explodes back to his feet with a minute to go, and Dalby presses on the Russian when standing up and knees him a few times. Dalby fishes for a trip with his foot, and Salikhov breaks away with an elbow. Dalby chases after him with a head kick, and Salikhov replies with one and falls to his knees. The round ends as Dalby jumps on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dalby

Round 3
Dalby picks up where he left off, with a head kick attempt. Salikhov backs away and holds his arms high to block it and one that follows, but he cannot stop a few punches from Dalby. The Danish fighter attempts a third head kick, and he races forward to either change levels or settle for a clinch. Salikhov looks to muscle out, but Dalby turns him back to the wall, as Salikhov appears frustrated. Dalby grinds and works the body with several active knees, until Salikhov breaks away and gets to striking range. Dalby rushes after him and spears the Russian with a right hand and looks for a head kick. Salikhov is not fazed by the blows, and he jams his foot into Dalby’s midsection. Dalby punches his way into a clinch, but he cannot hold Salikhov there for long. Salikhov escapes, and he rushes backwards. Dalby practically sprints at him, tossing up a head kick and a right hand before engaging in the tie-up once more. When Salikhov drags them away from the cage, Dalby elbows him several times before kneeing him and pushing him to the fencing. Dalby slips a punch over the top and does not lose his clinch grip, and they both give one another mean elbows on the chin. Dalby slings a high kick, and he re-engages Salikhov before dragging him to his knee. Dalby jumps into mount with a little under 15 seconds left, and he beats down on Salikhov with hammerfists and an elbow until the final horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)

The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Muslim Salikhov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Angelo has a slight lean to Muslim Salikhov because he has better wrestling, but he calls this a 50/50 fight. Both are older strikers with traditional martial arts backgrounds. Dalby's 65% takedown defense could be a factor. Angelo is waiting for props to drop and is not betting the moneyline.

"the only reason the slight lean from me is going to be Muslim salkov is because he has the better wrestling but dalby's 65 takedown defense could end up playing parlay Buster for this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Big Brady picks Nicolas Dalby to win by decision, but he is low on both fighters. He criticizes Salikhov for low volume, poor cardio, and being 39 years old. Dalby is slightly younger and showed high volume in his last fight against Warlley Alves, landing 119 strikes. Brady thinks Dalby can push Salikhov against the cage, tire him out, and be more active. He notes Dalby has never been knocked out and is very tough. However, he admits he is very low on both guys and this is not an exciting fight.

"I'm gonna take Dolby here I think he's gonna be more active on the feet he's a touch younger he's gonna have the better cardio."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody has a tough time reading this fight. He notes Salikhov is a low-volume counter puncher with heavy power, and that opponents often freeze up against him. He thinks Dalby's wrestling is not good enough to take Salikhov down, and if Dalby tries to out-volume him, he risks walking into a big shot. Cody leans Salikhov to land the better strikes and possibly get a knockout, but he doesn't want much exposure. He likes Salikhov by knockout at +240.

Salikhov by knockout at +240 (small bet)
"I'm gonna go with Muslim I like salukov and I actually like style club by knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Connor picks Dalby, citing his grinding approach as effective against a fighter like Salikhov who needs space. He notes that Salikhov has not been tested by wrestling since Alex Garcia, and Dalby's physicality should be a problem. Connor sees Dalby muscling his way to a win.

"I'll take Dolby here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Levi picks Muslim Salikhov, citing a significant firepower advantage and Salikhov's ability to land damaging shots. He notes Dalby's history of being dropped and his lower volume, while Salikhov can knock him out. He gives the cardio edge to Dalby but thinks Salikhov's power will be decisive. He has a good betting history with Salikhov and plans to bet him as long as the line stays under -200.

bet if line under -200, potential knockout
"I'm going to go back to the well and I'm looking to fade uh dalby again just as long as it doesn't go to minus 200"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Dalby has a speed and athleticism advantage, a good output game, and decent takedowns to mix in. Salikhov is one-dimensional with a kung fu striking style and has shown durability issues. Dalby's awkward striking and volume should outwork Salikhov over three rounds. However, Dalby's durability is a slight concern. Dalby wins by decision.

"I think Dobby wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Dalby's pitter-patter striking won't work against Salikhov, who hits hard. He points out that Dalby has been knocked down by lesser fighters and that Salikhov's power is a real threat. Paul sees Salikhov by knockout at +240 as a potential small bet, though he wishes the price were higher.

Salikhov by knockout at +240 (small bet)
"I see a plus 240 out there which I was hoping would be a little bit higher to be perfectly honest maybe I'll wait"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The MMA Guru picks Muslim Salikhov over Nicolas Dalby, stating Salikhov is simply better. He notes Dalby lacks finishing potential, submission ability, and great grappling, while Salikhov has momentum and can finish or win a decision. He mentions Dalby was KO'd by Jesse Ronson, and expects Salikhov to catch Dalby with a right hand.

"I'm gonna definitely be going with Muslim salakov over Nicholas dalbyn... Muslim salakov is just better than him flat out"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Zane picks Dalby because he believes Dalby's grinding pressure will overwhelm Salikhov. He notes that Salikhov is a sniper who needs time and space, and that Dalby's high output and physicality will not allow that. Zane acknowledges Salikhov could crack Dalby early, but favors Dalby's consistency.

"I'm definitely taking Dolby though."
WIN vs André Fialho
TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) R3 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 17 of 66 25% 29 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 56 of 95 58% 77 of 123 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 11 of 38 28% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 11 of 22 50% 19 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:19
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 5 of 18 27% 7 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 37 of 57 64% 50 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:48
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 1 of 10 10% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 17 of 66 25% 10 of 55 4 of 6 3 of 5 14 of 60 3 of 6 0 of 0
André Fialho 56 of 95 58% 38 of 70 14 of 21 4 of 4 35 of 60 3 of 8 18 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 11 of 38 28% 6 of 29 3 of 5 2 of 4 8 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
André Fialho 11 of 22 50% 5 of 12 2 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 1
2 Muslim Salikhov 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 37 of 57 64% 28 of 47 9 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 2 of 3 17 of 26
3 Muslim Salikhov 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 2 0 of 0
André Fialho 8 of 16 50% 5 of 11 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Fialho vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fialho (-110), Salikhov (-110)

Round 1
Striker faces striker in what has slotted itself in the “featured fight of the night” spot, although their approaches could scarcely be more different even if the end result is the same. The heavy-handed Portugal native Fialho (16-5, 1 NC; 2-2 UFC) will throw down with a spinning specialist nicknamed “King of Kung Fu” in Salikhov (18-3, 5-2 UFC), and referee Chris Tognoni will have his hands full here. The respect is ample with a clap of hands to begin the scheduled melee, and Salikhov strikes first with a calf kick. Fialho responds with two. A front kick from the Dagestan native pushes Fialho back as Fialho delivers a third kick to the lead leg. Fialho gets his balance and leaps forward with a left hook, but it hits the guard of his opponent. Fialho looks to sweep the leg, and Salikhov responds with his own low kick. A left hand from Salikhov splits the guard, and he sits down on a loud low kick to follow. The tense striking match largely consists of single-shot offerings, and Salikhov spins with a wheel kick but misses the mark. Fialho slips a winging right hand and drives Salikhov back with a straight left hand, and he finds the mark with an uppercut shortly thereafter. Salikhov absorbs a right hand and spins with a back kick, and he surprisingly grabs hold of Fialho’s leg and drags him down to the floor. Salikhov wades into the closed guard of his opponent, and Fialho defends with hacking elbows off his back. The fighter from Portugal defends himself from danger as he swats at Salikhov while on his back, and he jumps up and absorbs a spinning back kick right to the midsection. Fialho drives a right hand into the eye socket, and Salikhov blinks it out and swelling develops quickly. Fialho blasts him with an uppercut, with Salikhov grabbing hold of his foe and ramming a few knees to the midsection to slow Fialho down. Fialho settles for a clinch as he gets his back turned to the wall, and he frees himself right as the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fialho
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fialho

Round 2
The gloves are touched to start off the second round, and within seconds, Salikhov bull-rushes forward to get a body lock and attempt a takedown. Fialho turns around and protects against a subsequent single, and this too fails from the Russian. Fialho lands a right hand on the break, but Salikhov replies with a kick to the liver. A left hand wraps around the guard of the Portugal native, and Salikhov gets on his bike and takes potshots of front kicks and reaching punches. Fialho prepares himself to take a flush spinning back kick as he plods forward, with his offense falling off a cliff while Salikhov is still swinging for the fences. Salikhov jabs the body and stays light on his feet, and Fialho returns fire with a jab and a low kick. “King of Kung Fu” spins with a back fist that pounds into the side of the head, and Fialho wobbles and takes a clean spinning wheel kick on the neck as well. Fialho bites down on his mouthpiece and throws hammers, leading to Salikhov clinching him up and pursuing some form of takedown. Fialho takes several punches on the chin as he slowly walks forward, still offensively muted as Salikhov picks and rips with single effective strikes. Salikhov is able to put a front kick on the body and a superman punch on the side of the head, and Fialho’s balance is shot as he swings so hard that he falls down to the ground. The Russian looks to finish the job by raining down a long series of powerful hammerfists, and Tognoni implores Fialho to fight back or show some signs of life. Salikhov slows down and makes sure not to fully gas himself out, and the damage on Fialho's face shows his nose is busted up and leaking crimson fluid on the mat. The ground strikes continue until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov

Round 3
The final round begins with an aggressive Fialho, who leaps forward to swing his fists at his opponent. Salikhov hops and springs away from the brunt of the damaging strikes, and he chambers and fires a high kick. Salikhov spins with a perfect spinning back kick to the body, and Fialho falls back against the wall but does not go down. He leans back and allows Salikhov to advance, and he might be playing possum as he suddenly springs to action with huge punches in response.
“King of Kung Fu” showcases his skills to the finest with a magnificent spinning wheel kick that smashes into the side of Fialho’s head, and Fialho clutches his head and is in a bad way. Tognoni thinks about intervening, but allows Salikhov to bludgeon Fialho with a couple more punches before stepping in for the standing TKO.
Fialho immediately protests the stoppage, but his body language before the finish was anything but positive as he was getting destroyed by the flashier striker. For the fifth time in his career, Salikhov has pulled off a finish with a spinning kick, with this one bigger than any he had registered in the past.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Andre Fialho R3 1:03 via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches)
André Fialho - Fight History
LOSS vs Tim Means
TKO (punches) R3 1:15 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Means 2 104 of 143 72% 134 of 178 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:51
André Fialho 0 51 of 103 49% 56 of 110 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Means 1 39 of 53 73% 44 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
André Fialho 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tim Means 0 48 of 69 69% 73 of 99 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:29
André Fialho 0 29 of 50 58% 32 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
3 Tim Means 1 17 of 21 80% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Means 104 of 143 72% 66 of 103 33 of 35 5 of 5 56 of 87 30 of 35 18 of 21
André Fialho 51 of 103 49% 32 of 75 15 of 23 4 of 5 35 of 86 16 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Means 39 of 53 73% 21 of 34 16 of 17 2 of 2 25 of 36 8 of 10 6 of 7
André Fialho 19 of 47 40% 8 of 31 8 of 13 3 of 3 13 of 41 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Tim Means 48 of 69 69% 33 of 53 14 of 15 1 of 1 22 of 39 14 of 16 12 of 14
André Fialho 29 of 50 58% 24 of 44 4 of 4 1 of 2 19 of 39 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Tim Means 17 of 21 80% 12 of 16 3 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 12 8 of 9 0 of 0
André Fialho 3 of 6 50% 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tim Means

Angelo thinks Means can ugly up the fight and squeak out a close decision. He notes Means is tough, busy, and has fought a who's who of welterweights. However, he is concerned about Means' age (39) and Fialho's power. He has very low confidence.

"I do think Tim Means can squeak this out super low confidence"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

Big Brady picks André Fialho to win by first-round knockout, citing his power advantage and youth (10 years younger). He notes both fighters have poor durability, but Fialho hits like a truck. He worries about Fialho's horrible cardio and thinks he must finish early. He says nobody should be confident on either side.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say Fiola gets the first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Cody picks Tim Means as a live underdog, citing Fialho's poor chin and hesitancy against strikers. He notes Means's crafty striking, wrestling, and experience. He believes Means can outwork Fialho, who has been knocked out by lesser competition.

"I'm gonna take Tim Means for the underdog selection... plus 155 that was available to me."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

Daniel hesitantly picks Fialho based on youth and power, but admits he doesn't trust either fighter. He notes Means is 39 and doesn't react well to shots anymore, while Fialho has three straight KO losses. He thinks Means is the better technical fighter but age and chin are concerns. He expects a violent fight and leans Fialho by KO, but with low confidence.

"probably a FIU win here and then we look to fed him his next fight against like a young gun"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Fialho

Lucrative James feels Fialho will knock out Means, citing Means' declining durability and reaction times. He likes Fialho's left hook and calm striking style. He considers betting Fialho inside the distance but notes the line is -135, which he doesn't love. He also mentions Means decision as a possible hedge.

Fialho inside the distance -135 considered; Means decision considered
"I kind of feel like Fialho's gonna knock him out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

The host picks Fialho to win by first-round knockout, despite normally fading him. He notes Fialho's power advantage and Means' questionable durability and age (39). He expects Fialho to land a barrage early and finish Means. He also likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a safer play, expecting either an early Fialho KO or a late Means finish.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I think that fialio gets that first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul picks Tim Means simply because he refuses to lay chalk on Fialho. He notes both fighters are quick starters and expects a finish. He has no strong confidence but likes the plus money.

"I suppose I'm leaning towards Tim The Dirty Bird means strictly because I could see this fight going both ways and he's got a plus 140 price tag next to him literally nothing more than that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

The MMA Guru initially leans toward André Fialho but changes his pick to Tim Means after a lengthy internal debate. He worries about Means' age and declining athleticism but has a 'sneaky feeling' Means will catch Fialho. He notes Fialho's tendency to get knocked out and Means' effective one-two combinations. He predicts a TKO in round one, with Means backing Fialho against the cage and landing a one-two. He admits he is hesitant and almost picked Fialho.

TKO round one
"I'm going Tim minz I'm going Tim Means getting a TKO over Andre fiallo he was winning against morono I I knew this would happen dude I told myself not to pick him but here I am..."
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
TKO (head kick) R2 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
André Fialho 1 26 of 89 29% 27 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
André Fialho 0 10 of 36 27% 10 of 36 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:20
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 1 16 of 53 30% 17 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 22 of 51 43% 14 of 42 7 of 8 1 of 1 21 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
André Fialho 26 of 89 29% 12 of 66 9 of 18 5 of 5 26 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 8 of 19 42% 4 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
André Fialho 10 of 36 27% 6 of 29 2 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 14 of 32 43% 10 of 27 3 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 16 of 53 30% 6 of 37 7 of 13 3 of 3 16 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Andre Fialho
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Buckley (-225), Fialho (+190)

Round 1
A welterweight striker’s delight is about to be on display between the power-punching Fialho (16-6, 1 NC; 2-3 UFC) and furious finisher Buckley (15-6, 5-4 UFC). With 24 knockouts across their 31 pro wins, referee Kerry Hatley will need to bring his A-game to the party. Interested solely in trying to knock the other’s block off shortly, they do not share a glove touch. The offense is relatively muted for the first 30 seconds, until Buckley engages with a swift body kick. Buckley attempts a kick on the other side, and Fialho watches him closely without striking back. “New Mansa” skims the top of the head with his shin, and Fialho shakes it off and keeps his arm high to block it. The kicks keep coming from Buckley, and he darts forward with a looping right hand that Fialho turns his face to barely avoid. Buckley throws two punches and a kick, and he spins with a wheel kick. Buckley charges with another spinning kick, and Fialho finally attempts to counter with a check hook. Buckley runs at his foe, throwing fists, and Fialho sits down on his punches to respond. They trade fierce fists, and Fialho kicks Buckley in the head when Buckley is leaned over. The former middleweight eats it like a steak, and he walks forward to throw two booming hooks. Fialho backs him off with a jab, and he dodges a flying knee and a right hand to score a short left when Buckley lands. Buckley explodes into a takedown attempt, dumping the Portuguese fighter to the mat. Fialho is not on the ground for more than a second before climbing back up. Buckley spins without throwing anything, and he absorbs a loud body kick on the way out. Buckley gets tagged on the way forward, and he runs from one side of the cage to the other to deposit Fialho to the canvas. Once more, Fialho works his way up, and he is thrown to the mat right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
The welterweights meet in the middle, and Fialho loops a left hand around the guard and follows it with a body kick that bumps into the cup. Buckley immediately protests as the fight is paused by Hatley, and he takes about 25 seconds before going again. Fialho starts off again with a head kick, and he reaches his foe with a straight right hand. Buckley shakes it off and is tagged once again, and he rushes out with a barrage of inaccurate punches. The two trade punches, with Buckley ending the exchange with a right over the top. Buckley races in with a flying knee, and he wings a right hand and a left that bangs into the temple. Fialho appears no worse for wear, and Buckley kicks up to the same spot but it is blocked. Buckley, in a blitz, reaches Fialho and makes the Portuguese fighter bounce off the wall. Fialho gathers his bearings and lets off another body kick that hits the cup. Buckley shakes it a few times and they get back to trading. Fialho looks to time an advancing Buckley with a right hook, and Buckley attacks awkwardly without a lot of telegraphing to take advantage of. Fialho walks Buckley down with straight punches, but Buckley backs him away before long with a looping right hand and a spinning kick to the ribs. Buckley dances on the outside and sprints in, and he bangs his head into Fialho’s chin. Fialho takes a few seconds to clear his thoughts, and Buckley is on him.
Releasing a vicious head kick that slams square into the ear, Buckley knocks Fialho clean off his feet and down for the count. Fialho, grinning but barely clutching to his consciousness, succumbs to one follow-up right hand with Buckley lording over him that knocks him senseless. Hatley, who considered stopping the fight from the kick itself but waited an extra second, moves in to shove Buckley off of the downed Fialho when that last fist bashes into Fialho’s skull, with that blow arguably a late hit as Hatley had his hands on Buckley at the time.
There will be a question of whether Fialho should have taken some extra time after the clash of heads, but the head kick sealed the deal and then some. Buckley, in his victorious post-fight interview, maximizes his mic time by calling out the UFC sponsor of Prime and the Paul brother that runs it, telling them to sponsor athletes and not just the promotion itself.

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Andre Fialho R2 4:15 via TKO (Head Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Angelo picks Buckley to win because he has wrestling if needed, better defense, and is faster and more athletic. However, he is wary of betting at -170 since both fighters have been knocked out recently. He suggests waiting for props, possibly 'does not go the distance' if the line is good.

Considering 'fight doesn't go to distance' prop if line is around +230
"I do think Buckley's gonna win this fight because he has the wrestling if he needs it he's got better defense he's certainly faster and more athletic Buckley's gonna be the pick but Jesus Christ Andre fiallo can knock out …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
André Fialho

Big Brady picks André Fialho as the underdog to knock out Joaquin Buckley in the first round. He notes both fighters have power and poor durability, but he likes Fialho's early-round danger. He also mentions Buckley is moving down to welterweight after five years, which could affect his performance. He expects a stand-up war and believes Fialho lands the big shot first.

knockout in round 1
"give me if y'all to land that big shot knock out walking Buckley and I think it's in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Cody believes Buckley's power and athleticism will be too much for Fialho, who has questionable durability and cardio. He expects Buckley to knock Fialho out, possibly early. He notes Buckley's move to welterweight is a positive and that Fialho's striking defense is lacking.

Buckley by knockout
"Buckley by knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Connor also picks Buckley, echoing Zane's reasoning. He highlights that Fialho's indecision and poor chin are major liabilities, and that Buckley's creative striking will cause problems. He notes that Fialho has moments of being a good fighter but is inconsistent, and that Buckley's ability to mix up his attacks will keep Fialho guessing. He also expresses doubt about Buckley's move to welterweight but thinks Fialho is not the fighter to exploit it.

Fialho opened at +138, currently +192; Buckley opened at -155, currently -218.
"My instinct is that Andre Fialho does not have a good time with that. I think Buckley's creative combinations will overwhelm him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Daniel Levi picks Joaquin Buckley but notes he missed the better line. He believes Buckley is faster, has better volume, and that 170 lbs is the right weight class for him. He worries about Buckley's tendency to engage in pocket exchanges, where Fialho's power could be dangerous, but thinks if Buckley fights smart on the outside, he can out-volume Fialho. He calls it a 'pure pick' and says he's not interested in betting at -225.

"pure pick Buckley but I mean I missed the line a long ass time ago so I'm not interested in betting it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The host picks Joaquin Buckley, expecting a knockout as Fialho fades in later rounds. He notes Buckley's technical boxing and high guard should allow him to crash the pocket and land cleaner punches. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop and predicts a round three TKO.

fight doesn't go to decision, round three TKO
"I like fight doesn't go to decision most in this matchup but I'm gonna go with Buckley to get this win and I think it comes by knockout and I'm gonna be targeting that round three spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Paul agrees, noting that Buckley's move to welterweight is beneficial and that Fialho's durability is a concern. He mentions that Buckley can be methodical and that the fight could end early. He also likes the under on significant strikes for Buckley.

under 41.5 significant strikes for Buckley
"I'll be adding that to my prize picks card this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru sides with Joaquin Buckley, despite praising Fialho's activity. He worries about Fialho's chin and notes he took damage in recent fights without enough time to improve. He believes Buckley is more elusive and has a better chin, and that Fialho lacks one-shot KO power. He expects Buckley to win, possibly by KO, but acknowledges it could go either way if there's a finish.

"I'm sliding with Joaquin Buckley here over Andre fialjo"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Zane picks Buckley, noting that despite Buckley's predictable entries and history of getting knocked out, Fialho's inconsistency and poor chin make him vulnerable. He argues that Fialho's confidence breaks easily and he tends to become indecisive, while Buckley's creative combinations and willingness to trade will overwhelm him over time. He also mentions that Fialho has been staggered by relatively innocuous shots.

Fialho opened at +138, currently +192; Buckley opened at -155, currently -218. Zane notes the line is a little wide given Buckley always gets hurt.
"I'm leaning Buckley. I don't think Fialho is going to sustain the confidence needed to win in any way other than a quick knockout."
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) R3 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 17 of 66 25% 29 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 56 of 95 58% 77 of 123 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 11 of 38 28% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 11 of 22 50% 19 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:19
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 5 of 18 27% 7 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 37 of 57 64% 50 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:48
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 1 of 10 10% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 17 of 66 25% 10 of 55 4 of 6 3 of 5 14 of 60 3 of 6 0 of 0
André Fialho 56 of 95 58% 38 of 70 14 of 21 4 of 4 35 of 60 3 of 8 18 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 11 of 38 28% 6 of 29 3 of 5 2 of 4 8 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
André Fialho 11 of 22 50% 5 of 12 2 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 1
2 Muslim Salikhov 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 37 of 57 64% 28 of 47 9 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 2 of 3 17 of 26
3 Muslim Salikhov 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 2 0 of 0
André Fialho 8 of 16 50% 5 of 11 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Fialho vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fialho (-110), Salikhov (-110)

Round 1
Striker faces striker in what has slotted itself in the “featured fight of the night” spot, although their approaches could scarcely be more different even if the end result is the same. The heavy-handed Portugal native Fialho (16-5, 1 NC; 2-2 UFC) will throw down with a spinning specialist nicknamed “King of Kung Fu” in Salikhov (18-3, 5-2 UFC), and referee Chris Tognoni will have his hands full here. The respect is ample with a clap of hands to begin the scheduled melee, and Salikhov strikes first with a calf kick. Fialho responds with two. A front kick from the Dagestan native pushes Fialho back as Fialho delivers a third kick to the lead leg. Fialho gets his balance and leaps forward with a left hook, but it hits the guard of his opponent. Fialho looks to sweep the leg, and Salikhov responds with his own low kick. A left hand from Salikhov splits the guard, and he sits down on a loud low kick to follow. The tense striking match largely consists of single-shot offerings, and Salikhov spins with a wheel kick but misses the mark. Fialho slips a winging right hand and drives Salikhov back with a straight left hand, and he finds the mark with an uppercut shortly thereafter. Salikhov absorbs a right hand and spins with a back kick, and he surprisingly grabs hold of Fialho’s leg and drags him down to the floor. Salikhov wades into the closed guard of his opponent, and Fialho defends with hacking elbows off his back. The fighter from Portugal defends himself from danger as he swats at Salikhov while on his back, and he jumps up and absorbs a spinning back kick right to the midsection. Fialho drives a right hand into the eye socket, and Salikhov blinks it out and swelling develops quickly. Fialho blasts him with an uppercut, with Salikhov grabbing hold of his foe and ramming a few knees to the midsection to slow Fialho down. Fialho settles for a clinch as he gets his back turned to the wall, and he frees himself right as the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fialho
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fialho

Round 2
The gloves are touched to start off the second round, and within seconds, Salikhov bull-rushes forward to get a body lock and attempt a takedown. Fialho turns around and protects against a subsequent single, and this too fails from the Russian. Fialho lands a right hand on the break, but Salikhov replies with a kick to the liver. A left hand wraps around the guard of the Portugal native, and Salikhov gets on his bike and takes potshots of front kicks and reaching punches. Fialho prepares himself to take a flush spinning back kick as he plods forward, with his offense falling off a cliff while Salikhov is still swinging for the fences. Salikhov jabs the body and stays light on his feet, and Fialho returns fire with a jab and a low kick. “King of Kung Fu” spins with a back fist that pounds into the side of the head, and Fialho wobbles and takes a clean spinning wheel kick on the neck as well. Fialho bites down on his mouthpiece and throws hammers, leading to Salikhov clinching him up and pursuing some form of takedown. Fialho takes several punches on the chin as he slowly walks forward, still offensively muted as Salikhov picks and rips with single effective strikes. Salikhov is able to put a front kick on the body and a superman punch on the side of the head, and Fialho’s balance is shot as he swings so hard that he falls down to the ground. The Russian looks to finish the job by raining down a long series of powerful hammerfists, and Tognoni implores Fialho to fight back or show some signs of life. Salikhov slows down and makes sure not to fully gas himself out, and the damage on Fialho's face shows his nose is busted up and leaking crimson fluid on the mat. The ground strikes continue until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov

Round 3
The final round begins with an aggressive Fialho, who leaps forward to swing his fists at his opponent. Salikhov hops and springs away from the brunt of the damaging strikes, and he chambers and fires a high kick. Salikhov spins with a perfect spinning back kick to the body, and Fialho falls back against the wall but does not go down. He leans back and allows Salikhov to advance, and he might be playing possum as he suddenly springs to action with huge punches in response.
“King of Kung Fu” showcases his skills to the finest with a magnificent spinning wheel kick that smashes into the side of Fialho’s head, and Fialho clutches his head and is in a bad way. Tognoni thinks about intervening, but allows Salikhov to bludgeon Fialho with a couple more punches before stepping in for the standing TKO.
Fialho immediately protests the stoppage, but his body language before the finish was anything but positive as he was getting destroyed by the flashier striker. For the fifth time in his career, Salikhov has pulled off a finish with a spinning kick, with this one bigger than any he had registered in the past.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Andre Fialho R3 1:03 via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches)
LOSS vs Jake Matthews
KO (punches) R2 2:24 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Matthews 0 18 of 51 35% 19 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 1 47 of 89 52% 47 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Matthews 0 12 of 38 31% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 27 of 53 50% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jake Matthews 0 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 1 20 of 36 55% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Matthews 18 of 51 35% 13 of 44 1 of 3 4 of 4 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 2
André Fialho 47 of 89 52% 35 of 75 4 of 4 8 of 10 44 of 86 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Matthews 12 of 38 31% 8 of 33 0 of 1 4 of 4 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 2
André Fialho 27 of 53 50% 16 of 41 3 of 3 8 of 9 27 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jake Matthews 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 20 of 36 55% 19 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 1 17 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Fialho vs. Jake Matthews
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-280), Malkoun (+225)

Round 1
Before losing the Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape pairing – Bontorin withdrew due to a botched weight cut that hospitalized him with kidney issues – this welterweight fight was slated to take place on the prelims. As such, Fialho (16-4, 1 NC; 2-1 UFC) and Matthews (17-5, 10-5 UFC) will be the benefactors of that unfortunate situation, slotting on the main card right before a rematch of one of the greatest fights of all time. Fialho has somehow quietly strung together two solid knockouts since mid-April, and a third win in 57 days, knockout or not, would smash the record for the quickest accumulation of three victories in the UFC’s modern era. Whether he can do it or get rebuffed, referee Jason Herzog will be the first to know. There is no glove touch, and Fialho begins to stalk Matthews down early on. Matthews stays on the outside with a few low kicks, and Fialho replies with a single jab. Matthews continues to move and work the lead calf with kicks, reddening and welting it up early. Fialho replies with one of his own, and he slips when Matthews throws a straight left hand at him. Matthews reaches Fialho with a swiping right hand, and he scores a few low kicks and wings a head kick over the top that clangs off the top of Fialho’s head. Matthews tries to pre-emptively counter Fialho on the way in, and Fialho is stuck guessing and not able to pull the trigger. Matthews kicks the leg to solid success, and a left hand to follow is flipped out to decent effect. Matthews just brushes the side of the head with a wide right hand, and Fialho wades into the fray and gets clipped with a right hook. Matthews slides past his man, and he gets touched with a right hand that backs him up to the wall. Fialho crowds Matthews, and they both smash one another on the jaw with clean punches, and it is Fialho that has to back off and gather his thoughts. Matthews jumps forward with a front kick to the body, and he checks a low kick that zips at his calf. Fialho strikes with his shin on Matthews’ lead leg, and he tags his foe with crisp punches. They nail one another with heavy blows, and Matthews lands clean and makes Fialho back up. With seconds to spare, Fialho drills Matthews with a single punch, and Matthews’ legs give way seconds later in a delayed reaction. Matthews falls to his back, threatening with a submission off his back, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Matthews

Round 2
Fialho begins the second round confidently, marching Matthews down while chambering a right hand. Matthews tries to keep his distance with long jabs, and he gets off a shovel uppercut that hurts Fialho. Matthews cracks his man with a right hand, and he gives chase with an uppercut that buckles Fialho. The man from Portugal does not go down, but he is still on baby deer legs, and he manages to swing wide enough to make Matthews think twice. Fialho gets nipped with a right and an uppercut, and he darts back and bounces off the wall while Matthews is feeling himself. Matthews goes up high with a kick, and it slaps off the high guard. Matthews rings Fialho’s bell with a straight right hand over the top, and Fialho appears to have gathered himself right until Matthews cracks him with another right. Fialho backpedals and loads up on everything he has, sensing he might be in trouble and needs to get Matthews to respect his power. Matthews does not let him off the hook, eating a few shots and firing back harder, with his furious fists crashing into Fialho’s dome. “The Celtic Kid” scores a clean left hand that wobbles Fialho, and he chains punches to the body and the head until Fialho is on the ropes. The Aussie unleashes a fury with one final combination, separating Fialho from his senses and putting him down to the mat for good. Herzog recognizes that there is no more fight left in the ferocious Fialho, and he steps in to save Fialho from further punishment. Matthews puts himself back on the map with that performance, outslugging an exceedingly dangerous striker and beating the power puncher at his own game.

The Official Result
Jake Matthews def. Andre Fialho R2 2:24 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
André Fialho

Angelo picks Fialho despite his own gut feeling, citing Fialho's activity and recent knockout streak. He notes Fialho is hittable but believes Matthews' poor fight IQ will lead him to strike instead of wrestle. He acknowledges if Matthews wrestles, he could win, but he trusts Fialho's momentum.

"i'm going fiallo i'm going against my gut on this one again i might change my mind post weigh-ins but i gotta go with fiallo here he's been more active he's shown how deadly he is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Big Brady picks Jake Matthews as an underdog, expecting him to survive Fialho's early power and take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Fialho has poor cardio and is hittable, while Matthews is well-rounded with solid wrestling and cardio. He predicts a decision win for Matthews, barring a first-round knockout from Fialho.

"I'm gonna take Jake Matthews for the decision upset here so give me Jake Matthews for the win give me Jake Matthews to survive the early storm not getting knocked out and get that decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Cody picks Matthews as a live underdog, citing Fialho's untested grappling and Matthews' improved striking and size at 170. He thinks Matthews can take Fialho down and control him, and notes Fialho's losses have come against grapplers. He is wary of Matthews' history but sees value.

"live underdog here plus 120 jake matthews... i think he's just got to get in there and get those takedowns"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Fialho

Daniel Levi picks André Fialho, citing Jake Matthews' history of being broken in fights and his poor training situation with his dad. He believes Fialho has the left hook to knock Matthews out, as Matthews leaves openings. He notes that Matthews has been finished multiple times and that Fialho has overcome adversity. He is not crazy about the price but sees Fialho winning, possibly by knockout.

Fialho by KO
"I think free audio actually comes out here and is not the first man to stop him but the first man to knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Matthews is the better grappler and has never been knocked out; his only TKO loss was due to grappling. Fialho is on a hot streak but his wins are over fighters with questionable chins. Matthews has the experience and the grappling to neutralize Fialho's power. The line is inflated due to recency bias. I'm all in on Matthews, and the submission prop at +900 is egregious value.

Matthews by submission (+900), Matthews inside distance (+450)
"I am all in on jake matthews here like this is i think like i personally right now i have two units on my plus 140."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Paul also leans Matthews, agreeing that Fialho's grappling is unproven. He notes Matthews' improvements and thinks he can grind out a win. He acknowledges Matthews' past inconsistencies but sees this as a good spot.

"i'll side with you... dogger pass we'll go with jake matthews"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
André Fialho

The MMA Guru picks André Fialho to win by late second-round TKO. He argues that Fialho's activity (fourth fight this year) and pressure will be key against Jake Matthews, who has been out for over a year. He believes Matthews is a good all-rounder but doesn't excel in any area, and that Fialho's scrappy style will overwhelm him. He notes that Matthews was wobbled by Emil Meek, and Fialho is a better finisher. He expects Matthews to win the first round but Fialho to take over in the second.

late second round tko
"i'm gonna go with andre fiaoho here i am and i'm gonna pick him by late second round tko"
KO (punch) R1 2:35 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Fialho 1 17 of 24 70% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cameron VanCamp 0 19 of 31 61% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Fialho 1 17 of 24 70% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cameron VanCamp 0 19 of 31 61% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Fialho 17 of 24 70% 12 of 19 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cameron VanCamp 19 of 31 61% 9 of 19 4 of 6 6 of 6 19 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Fialho 17 of 24 70% 12 of 19 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cameron VanCamp 19 of 31 61% 9 of 19 4 of 6 6 of 6 19 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
André Fialho

Big Brady picks André Fialho to win by first-round knockout. He believes this is a massive mismatch, as VanCamp is stepping up in competition and Fialho has fought tougher opponents. Fialho has excellent takedown defense and devastating power, as shown in his knockout of Miguel Baeza. VanCamp will want to take the fight down but will struggle to do so. Brady expects Fialho to starch VanCamp in the first round, noting that Fialho's power is some of the best in the division.

first round knockout
"I think fiola knocks out van camp in the very first round you know maybe if fan cam's able to get it down to the mat if he's able to extend the fight you know fiolo does slow down as …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Fialho

Cody picks André Fialho, noting that VanCamp has fought low-level competition and is hittable. Fialho is a power puncher who has improved his chin and cardio. Cody points out that Fialho knocked out Miguel Baeza and is still young (28). He expects Fialho to clip VanCamp and finish him, though the price is high.

"i would think fiolo just absolutely kills van camp"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

Daniel Levi picks André Fialho confidently, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Fialho's power and activity, and that VanCamp is a low-level regional fighter who does not belong at UFC level. He thinks Fialho will cover the -400 price tag. He does not bet due to the high price but is confident in the pick.

Daniel does not bet this fight. He mentions Fialho by KO but no bet.
"I think Fialho is going to come out here pick his shots put this guy away barring some kind of epic stunt so give me Fialho to come out here and cover that price tag."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
André Fialho

The host picks Fialho to win by first-round knockout but is hesitant due to Fialho's poor performance in longer fights. He notes VanCamp's all-action style and submission threat. He thinks the line is too wide but still expects Fialho to land early. His favorite bet is 'fight doesn't go to decision' at -300, citing both fighters' high finish rates (30 of 39 fights finished inside distance). He also mentions a possible VanCamp submission prop if plus money.

fight doesn't go to decision at -300; VanCamp submission if better than +700
"i am going to still pick fiallo to win to potentially land that first round knockout and get the win but the spot that i like the most is the fight doesn't go to decision at -300"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Fialho

Paul picks André Fialho, agreeing with Cody that Fialho should win. He notes that VanCamp is making his UFC debut against a power puncher and has defensive liabilities. Paul believes Fialho's power and experience will be too much, and that VanCamp's head movement is poor. He expects a Fialho knockout.

"i'm not gonna disagree with you whatsoever"
WIN vs Miguel Baeza
TKO (punches) R1 4:39 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Fialho 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 32 of 56 57% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Fialho 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 32 of 56 57% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Fialho 24 of 58 41% 15 of 48 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 32 of 56 57% 19 of 41 5 of 7 8 of 8 25 of 49 5 of 5 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Fialho 24 of 58 41% 15 of 48 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 32 of 56 57% 19 of 41 5 of 7 8 of 8 25 of 49 5 of 5 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Angelo picks Miguel Baeza, citing his more technical striking and fantastic grappling. He notes that Baeza has good fight IQ and uses kicks well to wear down opponents. He acknowledges Baeza's chin issues but believes his technical edge will be the difference. He warns that Baeza needs to avoid Fialho's power.

"i do think baeza's more technical striking and fantastic grappling will be the difference here so baez is the pick but he needs to avoid the big power of philo in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza to win by decision. He cites Baeza's speed, volume, cardio, and BJJ black belt as advantages. He notes that Fialho has power but is hittable, low-volume, and fades as the fight goes on. Brady expects Baeza to outpoint Fialho over three rounds, though he acknowledges Fialho's puncher's chance.

win by decision
"i got to go by aza i think he's going to be the clear minute winner here throwing more better cardio especially i'm gonna take buys it to win i'm gonna take them to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
André Fialho

Cody leans towards Fialho, noting his improved striking at Sanford MMA and his power. He thinks Fialho can clip Baeza, who has shown durability issues in prolonged striking battles. However, he lacks high confidence, especially if the fight extends into later rounds.

"i would lean towards fiallo but it's not like there's a ton of confidence"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Daniel Levi leans Miguel Baeza but is hesitant due to Baeza's confidence after two losses, including a KO. He notes Baeza's calf kicks, range, and jiu-jitsu black belt, but worries about his mental state and whether he will be hesitant early. Fialho is dangerous early with power and aggression, but Levi expects Baeza to take over as the fight progresses if he survives the initial onslaught. He is not willing to lay the -185 price.

Not laying the chalk on Baeza; mentions Fialho's early power and Baeza's potential hesitation
"I lean by aza but I am not going to be laying the chalk on baeza in this spot."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick, calling it a 'dogger pass'. He notes both fighters have power and chin issues, and expects a striking battle that may not go the distance. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision as potential props.

under 1.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision
"dogger pass and i'm thinking fight doesn't go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
André Fialho

The MMA Guru picks André Fialho by first-round KO. He criticizes Miguel Baeza's chin and notes his recent KO loss to Khaos Williams. He believes Fialho's training at Sanford MMA and full camp will lead to an early finish, as Baeza may be hesitant after his last KO.

first round KO
"andre fiojo gets this one done first round ko"
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 107 of 202 52% 112 of 209 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:44
André Fialho 0 45 of 135 33% 48 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
2 Michel Pereira 0 47 of 81 58% 51 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
André Fialho 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Michel Pereira 0 43 of 78 55% 44 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 17 of 65 26% 20 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 107 of 202 52% 49 of 122 44 of 66 14 of 14 96 of 188 11 of 14 0 of 0
André Fialho 45 of 135 33% 40 of 128 5 of 7 0 of 0 36 of 122 7 of 7 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 17 of 43 39% 4 of 24 11 of 17 2 of 2 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 12 of 41 29% 12 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 2 of 6
2 Michel Pereira 47 of 81 58% 18 of 47 23 of 28 6 of 6 37 of 68 10 of 13 0 of 0
André Fialho 16 of 29 55% 13 of 25 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 43 of 78 55% 27 of 51 10 of 21 6 of 6 42 of 77 1 of 1 0 of 0
André Fialho 17 of 65 26% 15 of 63 2 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his speed, athleticism, and improved cardio. He notes Fialho's lack of head movement and tendency to throw one strike at a time, which Pereira can exploit. However, he acknowledges Fialho's real power and durability, making him dangerous late in the fight.

"i like michelle pajada in this fight short notice aside i love paja's speed and athleticism i think andre's lack of head movement will get him into some trouble here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Michel Pereira to win by decision, citing Pereira's massive volume, speed, and cardio advantages over Fialho. He notes that Fialho is powerful but low volume, slow, and takes fights on short notice. Pereira is durable (only one KO loss in 37 fights) and has solid wrestling and BJJ as alternate paths. He acknowledges Fialho's power but believes it's a bad matchup for him.

Pereira by decision; mentions Fialho's power and short notice
"give me michelle pereira to win i'm going to take him to win by the decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Michel Pereira, stating that Pereira is leveled above Fialho in striking and that Fialho's game falls apart if he doesn't finish early. He notes that Fialho has been released by Bellator and PFL, and that his cardio and defensive striking are poor. Cody warns that Pereira can be reckless and may get disqualified, but believes Pereira's speed, durability, and power will prevail. He also mentions that Pereira has shown improved cardio in recent decisions.

"The pick has got to be for Michel Pereira and just a tough debut for Andre Fialho all around."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Levi leans toward Michel Pereira but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He acknowledges Fialho's momentum and power but believes Pereira's athleticism, discipline at 170, and recent improvements make him the pick. Levi notes that Pereira has faced hard hitters before and that Fialho's competition hasn't been at the same level. He expects Pereira to land a big knee or straight right and finish Fialho.

Pereira by KO/TKO
"eileen pereira but honestly i think it actually might be a dog or pass situation um here so my pick is pereira but i wouldn't sleep on fiaglio man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host sees this as a perfect stylistic matchup for Pereira, who will stay on the outside and avoid Fiallo's preferred boxing range. He notes that Fiallo struggles when opponents dictate the pace and that Pereira's movement and the larger cage will benefit him. He expects Pereira to touch Fiallo up and possibly knock him out, predicting a second-round KO.

Pereira inside the distance, Pereira by KO round 2
"i'm going pereira i'll actually take him to win this fight inside the distance uh i'm going to say knockout let's call it second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Michel Pereira but is hesitant due to Pereira's tendency to do reckless things like backflips that could lead to disqualification. He notes that Pereira's cardio is questionable and that he gassed against Niko Price. However, Paul acknowledges that Fialho is not a high-level opponent and that Pereira should win if he fights smart. He advises being careful with the bet.

"I'm picking Michel Pereira but be very very careful because this guy is a walking disqualification if there ever was one."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira, predicting a first-round KO via flying knee. He notes Fialho's power and training at Sanford MMA but believes Fialho's short-notice aggression will leave him open. He compares the matchup to Pereira's win over Chaos Williams, expecting Pereira to land a big shot on the advancing Fialho.

first round ko with a flying knee
"i'm going to go with mikhail page here over andre feel how and i'm actually going to pick him by first round ko with a knee like a flying knee"