Career Averages - Vanessa Demopoulos
Career Averages - Maria Oliveira
Vanessa Demopoulos
Maria Oliveira
Vanessa Demopoulos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 101 of 167 | 60% | 115 of 183 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 36 of 119 | 30% | 44 of 131 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 35 of 57 | 61% | 36 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 5 of 39 | 12% | 7 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 33 of 50 | 66% | 44 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 101 of 167 | 60% | 64 of 123 | 24 of 31 | 13 of 13 | 90 of 153 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 36 of 119 | 30% | 15 of 87 | 17 of 26 | 4 of 6 | 30 of 107 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 35 of 57 | 61% | 22 of 43 | 8 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 33 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 5 of 39 | 12% | 0 of 30 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 33 of 60 | 55% | 22 of 45 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 20 of 52 | 38% | 7 of 33 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 45 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 33 of 50 | 66% | 20 of 35 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 11 of 28 | 39% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-520), Demopoulos (+390)
Round 1
Atlanta! The capital of Georgia! The City in a Forest, The A, The Gate City, Hollywood of the South, ATL, Hotlanta, A City Among the Hills, Dogwood City…and many other names. The UFC has arrived to the city that holds over six million people in its metropolitan area, returning for the first time since Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier threw down for the second time all the way back in 2019. While no all-time banger is slated for this event’s lineup, with 13 bouts of varied significance, something is bound to bring the goods. UFC on ESPN 69 kicks off with a women’s flyweight contest pitting a Canadian in Horth (7-2, 2-2 UFC) struggling to find her way against a former strawweight in Demopoulos (11-7, 5-4 UFC) also trying to figure things out. Even with Horth sporting massive odds in her favor around -600, she is not even in top three heaviest betting favorites tonight. Here be squash matches. Referee Nate Mann takes the wheel for the first fight of the night, and the ladies touch gloves before his eyes to get started. Demopoulos, the shorter and smaller woman of the two by a wide margin, tries to get her offense going but is well out of range. Horth, meanwhile, easily slaps her opponent in the face with the first strike she throws: a front kick. Horth flicks out a low kick and avoids the return fire, with the former strawweight too distant. Horth goes to the well with another kick, and Demopoulos’s calf is already welting and reddening. Demopoulos lunges forward a few times, to no avail. Horth nearly wraps her head kick around the guard, forcing Demopoulos to mind her P’s and Q’s. Horth pitches a high kick to the other side, and the impact alone makes Demopoulos have to take a step back. Horth uses her long legs to do work, and she pins a body kick and follows it with a front kick to the midsection. Demopoulos’s responses rebound off the guard or come up short, so she engages in a clinch. The two jockey for position as soon as they find their way tied up, turning one another about, and Horth clocks Demopoulos with a right hand. Horth walks her foe down, landing with impunity, and turning the older woman’s face a brilliant shade of red. Horth picks away with jabs, stepping in with a kick to the body and giving Demopoulos all she can handle. Horth splits the guard with a one-two, and she again finds her target with a front kick. A trickle of blood appears on the side of Demopoulos’ nose, and Horth sees it and kicks at it. The front kick is one of the Canadian’s best weapons, freezing Demopoulos with one and then stinging her with a one-two. Demopoulos whiffs when trying to pay her back, and she looks for a takedown or something to get hold of her steamrolling opponent. Horth shucks it off and starts blasting the former dancer, allowing Demopoulos to try to get hold of her so she can toss Demopoulos to the mat. Horth lands in an awkward position as Demopoulos tries to reverse somersault, and the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 2
The ladies touch ‘em up to get going in the second round, and Demopoulos tries to take advantage of the close proximity but ends up missing on a few punches. Horth steps back and pops her with a right hook. Demopoulos chambers and fires a single kick, only to get her jaw jacked with a hook combination. Horth pounds the midsection with a liver kick, and she chains a front kick and two right hooks behind it. When the Canadian attacks another kick, Demopoulos grabs her and tries to tie her up. Demopoulos’ cheek starts leaking crimson fluid, with Horth’s strikes having a visible effect while Demopoulos might not have connected with 10 significant strikes over six and a half minutes in. On the break, Horth drills her opponent with a left hand that spins Demopoulos all the way around. Demopoulos recovers and loops a right hand back at her, but her six-plus inch reach deficiency is her worst enemy. Horth watches Demopoulos soar past her with strikes, chipping at her with jabs and punishing her with a right hand when Demopoulos charges her. Demopoulos gets off first and shoots for a double-leg takedown, but the taller woman turns her about and drills her in the jaw with a knee. The size discrepancy is jarring, as Horth can reach her at will with kicks while even Demopoulos’ kicks do not always get there. An axe kick from Demopoulos is nowhere near the mark, but she gets aggravated and wings a right hand that surprises Horth. The Canadian has to shake it off, and she marches forward and drives a kick to the ribcage. Demopoulos is tough as nails, but Horth is connecting constantly and effectively. When they clinch, Horth breaks it out of thanks to a few knees. A home run right hand from Demopoulos misses by a mile, and she takes a punch to give one back but is seemingly out-powered as well. Horth chains a kick into two punches, and she ducks the right hook at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
Horth springs out of her corner behind her jab, allowing Demopoulos to come at her so she can do work. Demopoulos’ charges put her at risk to getting kicked in the stomach, and Horth does this twice—the second sends Demopoulos flying. Demopoulos stands up and nods that she got hit with a good one, and she tries to grab hold of Horth. The Canadian allows Demopoulos to sell out for a takedown so she can wind up on top, and she hops away and trips. Demopoulos gives chase, but Horth is upright before she gets grounded for real. The Factory X fighter sells out for a takedown, even giving up dominant position in hopes of taking the back, but Horth turns her about and reams her with an elbow. Horth sits comfortably in the full guard of her foe, listening to her corner’s instructions while pummeling “Lil Monster” with ground-and-pound. Any time Demopoulos tosses her legs up for a submission of some kind, Horth busts her in the chops. Horth elects to stand back up, and she sways back to partially dodge a one-two. Chants for “USA” in support of Demopoulos rain down, and she salutes the crowd and takes a knee square on the jaw when not paying attention. Horth potshots her from a safe distance, her body kick about as clutch at it can be. Demopoulos walks through a head kick to wind a big right hand, and her power strikes are one-and-done while Horth is much busier, accurate and stronger. Demopoulos sprints towards her foe for a level change, and she tries to pull guard but Horth walks away. Demopoulos comes out firing with a one-two when getting back to her feet, and she snaps Horth’s head to the side with a solid jab. The prodding jabs from Horth keep her safe from the worst of it, and Demopoulos tries to catch a body kick but ends up eating four punches instead. Horth’s body kick leads to a shot up top, and she springs away to avoid a looping punch. Demopoulos fakes a takedown to throw hands, and she even attempts an Imanari roll to get hold of the Canadian. They trade hands, with Horth landing the flusher of the two, until the final bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Horth because of her size advantage and ability to defend takedowns against the cage. He believes her range, length, and striking will be too much for Demopoulos, who is stepping up on short notice.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth due to her significant size and strength advantages, noting a 5-inch height and 6.5-7 inch reach advantage. He believes Horth will use her size to push Demopoulos against the cage and take her down, similar to how Allen Carr controlled Demopoulos. He acknowledges Demopoulos has been on the winning side of questionable decisions but expects Horth to win a boring decision. He is surprised Horth is a -475 favorite but agrees with the line.
Horth's size, physicality, and strength are expected to overwhelm Demopoulos, who is coming up a weight class on short notice. Horth will pin Demopoulos against the cage, drag her to the ground, and grind out a decision win.
The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth based on her physicality advantage, noting she is 5'7" to Demopoulos's 5'2" with more reach. He criticizes Demopoulos's lack of technical skill, saying she 'has no idea what she's doing' and spent 13 minutes on bottom in her last fight. He expects Horth to outgrapple Demopoulos and win a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 34 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Talita Alencar | 0 | 45 of 75 | 60% | 107 of 150 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 12:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Talita Alencar | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 19 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:25 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Talita Alencar | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 40 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Talita Alencar | 0 | 25 of 34 | 73% | 48 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 10 of 34 | 29% | 9 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Talita Alencar | 45 of 75 | 60% | 39 of 67 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 35 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Talita Alencar | 9 of 17 | 52% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Talita Alencar | 11 of 24 | 45% | 7 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Talita Alencar | 25 of 34 | 73% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 27 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alencar (-112), Demopoulos (-108)
Round 1
This 11-week marathon of consecutive UFC cards soldiers on with the penultimate show on the stretch. We scoot back to the confines of the UFC Apex for better EBITDA margins, in a building that was supposed to starting renovations or construction soon. For now, it plays host to 12 fights ranging from 115 pounds to 266, but few matches on the lineup have any rankings relevance while there is likely to be ample pink slip fodder. The ladies in this curtain jerker might be safe if they lose this one, but with the promotion preparing for the summer season of Contender Series, few on the roster are safe. The two that kick this event off might be similar in age but they are a chasm apart in terms of experience. Demopoulos (11-6, 5-3 UFC) celebrates almost three times the appearances of Alencar (5-1-1, 1-1 UFC) despite the Brazilian just two years younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge for the opening bout, and it kicks off without a glove touch. Demopoulos says hello with two punches across the forward bow, and she snaps out another such combo and reaches Alencar with one more left hand before the Brazilian can get to her. Alencar ties her foe up against the cage, and she drops down and wraps up a head lock to force “Lil Monster” to her knees. Alencar uses her left arm to pressure behind Demopoulos’s neck, and she is warned for grabbing the fence when imposing her weight on her opponent. Demopoulos uses her toes to try to pull her out of danger, which too is a foul. Alencar keeps to this position, content to control rather than actually committing to the unorthodox submission. Alencar releases the grip around the neck and pushes Demopoulos’ legs out of the way to establish a more traditional top position. Demopoulos uses her legs to threaten and otherwise keep Alencar honest, allowing Alencar to punch her in the face repeatedly. Demopoulos hunts for a sweep and only bails on it when absorbing a particularly effective elbow. Alencar keeps her full weight down, jumping from one side to the other and winding up in a sudden armbar. The Brazilian punches out of it from above, and she grabs the foot of Demopoulos for a possible foot or ankle lock. Alencar sits on Demopoulos’ face as she hangs on, staying heavy until the round wraps.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Round 2
Demopoulos starts the round as aggressive as the first, firing off two one-two salvos and a right hand before she is met by her opponent. Alencar gets up close and personal, changing levels for a possible takedown, but abandons it and lets her hands go to smack Demopoulos upside the head. Demopoulos comes up short on a winging overhand right, and she wades back to let Alencar do something similar. Alencar tosses out naked leg kicks to keep Demopoulos away, and she sits down on a clean right hand but does not budge Demopoulos one inch. The moment “Lil Monster” drives through a one-two, Alencar counters her momentum to hit a double-leg takedown and plop her on her back. Alencar lands in half guard, using her shoulder pressure to flatten out Demopoulos as soon as they get horizontal. Alencar is quick to engage her smothering best, stifling Demopoulos and getting warned for striking the spine when she does attack again. “Problem Child” gives Demopoulos another problem by stepping to the other side so she can set up an arm-triangle choke. Demopoulos bucks and kicks enough to gain the space she needs to not get choked out, and this only results in her getting struck with more ground-and-pound. Alencar finds a brief opening and hammers down four right hands, and she sits back on Demopoulos’ face in a relatively unusual position. Demopoulos sells out for a leglock in hopes of reversing the position, and Alencar gets out of it by repeatedly grabbing the fence. Tognoni slaps her hand several times, and Alencar still is able to yank on it to get her leg out of the sub. Rules mean nothing with no consequences, and multiple fence grabs keeping her out of a submission go generally uncalled other than a “knock it off” from Tognoni. Alencar rides out the position on top until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Round 3
Demopoulos marches out of her corner a woman possessed, and she lashes out with multiple one-twos down the pipe. Alencar rushes towards her as well, perhaps for a takedown, and she clashes heads before changing levels. Tognoni checks to make sure neither woman sustained damage, and on the restart, Alencar tackles Demopoulos to the mat and the collective air out of the Apex as well. Alencar hangs out in guard, unafraid of anything the Factory X fighter will do to her, and she pops Demopoulos with some short, scoring strikes. Demopoulos hunts for a triangle choke, armbar or even possibly a desperate leglock, and the Brazilian laughs them all off and steps the proper direction to avoid them completely while remaining in top. Alencar shifts to half guard from the opposite side as she wants to set up an armbar, and she drops down ground-and-pound when not isolating the neck. When the sub is not there, Alencar sits up into three-quarter mount, and she attacks with strikes from above. With nothing left to lose, Demopoulos explodes to sit up and even stand. Unfortunately for her, the “Problem Child” is a problem for her, as she executes a near-immediate mat return to sling Demopoulos to her back. Alencar lords over her, dropping down standing-to-ground punches while avoiding upkicks. Alencar picks up the pace with more punches than before, and she climbs into half guard and elbows until the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Alencar (30-26 Alencar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)
The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo argues that Vanessa is the more complete fighter with solid striking, footwork, and decent grappling, while Talita Alencar is an accomplished grappler but ineffective on the feet, small, and powerless. He notes that Talita's takedowns are not great and she relies on strength, and that even if she gets it to the ground, she hasn't shown the killer instinct expected. Angelo believes Vanessa can win via striking and takedown defense, and he dismisses any bias from his past interaction with Vanessa.
Big Brady picks Vanessa Demopoulos despite acknowledging she has questionable wins and poor takedown defense. He believes Talita Alencar's cardio is a major issue, as she slowed down significantly in her Contender Series fight. He expects Demopoulos to survive early grappling and take over in later rounds, finishing a gassed Alencar via ground and pound.
Alencar's BJJ wizardry will come into play, allowing her to land takedowns and eventually find a submission. The fight could be close but Alencar's grappling advantage is expected to secure the win.
The Guru picks Vanessa Demopoulos based on her physicality, scrappiness, and experience. He dismisses Talita Alencar as not UFC-caliber, noting her claim to fame was against someone who got fraud-checked. He admits there's no technical aspect to analyze, just that Demopoulos is larger and more physical.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaqueline Amorim | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaqueline Amorim | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-310), Demopoulos (+250)
Round 1
Strawweight grapplers come to blows in a battle between ladies that like to bully their opponents. Amorim (8-1, 2-1 UFC) has yet to go the distance when notching a win, while Demopoulos (11-5, 5-2 UFC) could comfortably describe the sound of the final bell. The pairing that could see some exciting exchanges on the mat will be officiated by referee Jacob Montalvo, and it kicks off as Amorim claims the middle of the cage and no interest in a glove touch. The Brazilian lets loose with a high kick, and Demopoulos pushes her back with a front kick but has that leg caught. Amorim uses the caught kick to take Demopoulos off-balance, and she throws “Lil Monster” to her back. Demopoulos tries for inverted triangle chokes while Amorim is on top in side control and briefly north-south position. Amorim shifts back to the side, and she pushes to three-quarter mount. Amorim gets dragged back to half guard, and she allows Demopoulos to explode so she can take her back and get a hook in. Demopoulos crouches down low in hopes of standing up, while Amorim is draped over her shoulders before tugging her to the floor. Amorim looks to set up an armbar but elects to get the body triangle. Demopoulos times a moment to escape, and she shouts loudly that the Brazilian has repeatedly grabbed inside of her gloves. As Demopoulos rolls to her knees, Amorim follows her through to lock down the armbar. Demopoulos keeps shouting to protest the fouls, and in doing so, she does not properly defend the submission. Amorim rolls to her back to complete the submission, and Demopoulos has no choice but to tap out. The second Montalvo intervenes, Demopoulos screams at him that the Brazilian was not grabbing her wrist but inside of her gloves to gain advantageous position. She implores Montalvo to check the replay, and he appears to go to the replay officials to check into it. For now, the official decision stands, with Amorim notching one more armbar and keeping her finish rate at 100%.
The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Vanessa Demopoulos R1 3:28 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Jaqueline Amorim because she is a multiple-time world champion in both gi and no-gi grappling, has one-punch knockout power, and is extremely dangerous on the ground. He believes Vanessa Demopoulos, despite her cardio and forward pressure, will struggle with Amorim's grappling and power. He thinks Amorim can win by submission or knockout, and notes that the under 2.5 rounds is plus money.
Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim to win by first-round submission. He is confident Amorim wins but warns about corrupt judges favoring Demopoulos and Amorim's cardio issues. Brady believes Amorim is the better grappler and will get takedowns, possibly submitting Demopoulos. He picks submission to avoid judges' interference.
Cody picks Demopoulos, arguing that Amorim's only path is takedowns and top control, but Demopoulos has good BJJ and cardio. He notes Demopoulos' toughness and ability to win close decisions. He sees value at plus money.
Daniel thinks Amorim's takedowns and top control will be the key. He notes Demopoulos's poor takedown defense (30%) and believes Amorim can grind out a decision. He doesn't expect a submission because Demopoulos is tough and a black belt. He acknowledges the 'first-round-or-bust' narrative but thinks Amorim can win two rounds with grappling.
Amorim is the best BJJ opponent Demopoulos has faced, but Demopoulos has never been finished and has shown improved striking. Amorim's wrestling is weak, often pulling guard. If Demopoulos can keep it standing, she has a chance. The pick is Amorim by submission, but with low confidence; the fight is more of a pass or a play on the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul picks Demopoulos, citing her durability, cardio, and pressure. He notes Amorim's poor striking and wrestling, and that Demopoulos has never been finished. He believes Demopoulos can win by decision or even submission, and sees value at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim despite sarcastically noting that Vanessa Demopoulos often gets favorable decisions. He praises Amorim's finishing ability, citing her armbar win over Cory McKenna and third-round finish of Monserrat Ruiz. He acknowledges Amorim's loss to Sam Hughes but attributes it to lack of strength to finish a rear-naked choke. He believes Amorim is improving on the feet and training at American Top Team gives her an edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 109 of 293 | 37% | 126 of 311 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 143 of 214 | 66% | 147 of 218 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 43 of 99 | 43% | 43 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 36 of 112 | 32% | 37 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 60 of 83 | 72% | 60 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 30 of 82 | 36% | 46 of 99 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 53 of 77 | 68% | 57 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 109 of 293 | 37% | 76 of 250 | 18 of 25 | 15 of 18 | 106 of 289 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 143 of 214 | 66% | 86 of 150 | 22 of 26 | 35 of 38 | 140 of 211 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 43 of 99 | 43% | 25 of 75 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 13 | 43 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 30 of 54 | 55% | 15 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 36 of 112 | 32% | 24 of 98 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 110 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 60 of 83 | 72% | 37 of 58 | 10 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 60 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 30 of 82 | 36% | 27 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 53 of 77 | 68% | 34 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 13 | 50 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo sees Emily Ducote as the better striker with legitimate power and good wrestling defense, while Vanessa Demopoulos relies on volume and footwork but lacks real power. He expects Ducote to win a close decision, likely 29-28, due to her superior striking accuracy and durability. He notes the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet and suggests Vanessa plus 3.5 on the scorecard as a solid bet.
Cody points out Demopoulos has been gifted decisions but is often outlanded and outgrappled. He notes Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with college wrestling, a BJJ black belt, and good striking. Demopoulos's takedown attempts are often unsuccessful, and she struggles with volume. Cody expects Ducote to outland her significantly and win a clear decision.
Demopoulos got a gift decision in her last fight and is not technical with her punches. Ducote has solid all-around skills, throws great leg kicks and clean combinations, and will use her wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing. Expects Ducote to outbox and outstrike Demopoulos on the feet and win on the scorecards.
Paul believes Ducote's wrestling background and superior striking will be too much for Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos has been on the wrong end of controversial decisions but is often outworked. Ducote should be able to keep the fight standing and outpoint Demopoulos, likely winning a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Vanessa Demopoulos, citing Ducote's superior activity and output. He argues that Demopoulos arguably lost several of her UFC fights, including against Kanako Murata, and that her volume is much lower than Ducote's. He expects Ducote to win a unanimous decision, 30-27, due to her three times higher output.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 31 of 65 | 47% | 86 of 144 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:42 |
| Kanako Murata | 0 | 34 of 64 | 53% | 70 of 116 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 10:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Kanako Murata | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 17 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kanako Murata | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 30 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:22 |
| Kanako Murata | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 23 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 31 of 65 | 47% | 21 of 49 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 3 | 10 of 36 | 7 of 10 | 14 of 19 |
| Kanako Murata | 34 of 64 | 53% | 27 of 55 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 40 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 17 of 35 | 48% | 10 of 22 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 20 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 |
| Kanako Murata | 9 of 16 | 56% | 3 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 9 of 23 | 39% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 |
| Kanako Murata | 9 of 19 | 47% | 8 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 5 of 7 | 71% | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Kanako Murata | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 27 |
Angelo picks Kanako Murata despite a two-year layoff, reasoning that she is young (30) and likely to be the same or better. He highlights her great wrestling, solid BJJ defense, and constant forward pressure with takedown threats. He believes the same version of Murata from a few years ago dominates Vanessa Demopoulos. He has a small parlay including Murata, though he admits it's risky.
Big Brady is confident in Kanako Murata, praising her wrestling and grappling as some of the best in the division. He notes that Vanessa Demopoulos has poor takedown defense and is content to fight off her back, which plays into Murata's strengths. He expects Murata to control the fight on the ground and eventually find a submission, predicting a second-round submission win.
Cody picks Demopoulos as a dog, citing Murata's long layoff, broken arm, and lack of a Plan B if wrestling fails. He believes Demopoulos's BJJ and forward pressure could cause problems, and that Murata may be hesitant. He sees value in the plus money.
Daniel Levi picks Kanako Murata but is not confident at -360. He notes Murata's grinding top control and ability to neutralize opponents, but also acknowledges Vanessa Demopoulos's dangerous armbar from guard and her high effort. He sees Murata winning by decision but says it's a dog-or-pass situation and he wouldn't parlay it.
Lucrative James is confident Murata wins easily, citing her youth, prime condition, and all-around tools. He thinks Demopoulos is old and relies on low-percentage submissions like an armbar from guard. He predicts Murata by decision, as both are tough enough to survive.
Murata has been out for over two years, but she is a strong wrestler with top pressure. She should be able to close the distance, drag Demopoulos to the ground, and control her from top position. Demopoulos has shown holes in her striking and has been submitted before. However, the long layoff makes me hesitant on the chalky line. Expect Murata to win by decision.
Paul picks Demopoulos, agreeing with Cody. He notes Murata's low striking volume and long layoff, and believes Demopoulos can win a volume striking fight or via submission. He likes the plus 275 price and considers a submission prop.
The MMA Guru picks Kanako Murata over Vanessa Demopoulos. He likes that Murata took time off after an injury and likely improved. He notes Murata's win over Emily Ducote on the regional scene and her confidence in fighting a veteran early in her career. He criticizes Demopoulos for being 'coddled' and having questionable decisions, and believes Murata is more consistent. He predicts a close competitive decision but mentions potential finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 139 of 237 | 58% | 148 of 249 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 68 of 221 | 30% | 83 of 237 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 42 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 28 of 71 | 39% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 55 of 82 | 67% | 56 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 22 of 86 | 25% | 22 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 42 of 71 | 59% | 50 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 18 of 64 | 28% | 25 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 139 of 237 | 58% | 94 of 187 | 30 of 33 | 15 of 17 | 134 of 230 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 68 of 221 | 30% | 49 of 190 | 13 of 23 | 6 of 8 | 65 of 216 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 42 of 84 | 50% | 33 of 73 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 37 of 77 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 28 of 71 | 39% | 20 of 62 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 66 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 55 of 82 | 67% | 30 of 55 | 16 of 17 | 9 of 10 | 55 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 22 of 86 | 25% | 13 of 71 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 42 of 71 | 59% | 31 of 59 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 42 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 18 of 64 | 28% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 18 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Vanessa Demopoulos because he thinks Karolina is aging out and didn't look good in her last fight, needing grappling to get a sketchy decision. He believes Vanessa is a solid grappler herself, sets a nice pace, and can hang with the striking. He expects Vanessa to outwork Karolina and win by decision.
Big Brady picks Vanessa Demopoulos as the underdog to submit Karolina Kowalkiewicz in the second round. He notes Demopoulos has improved her wrestling and has a dog mentality, while Kowalkiewicz is the better striker but has been inconsistent. He believes if Demopoulos can get takedowns, she can control and submit Kowalkiewicz. However, he admits he doesn't have a ton of confidence in the pick.
Cody believes Kowalkiewicz's striking and takedown defense will be enough to outpoint Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos's grappling is a threat but Kowalkiewicz has faced high-level grapplers and should be able to keep the fight standing and win a decision.
Connor picks Kowalkiewicz, noting that she has shown signs of a renaissance in her last two fights, looking like she knows how her game works again. He highlights her surprisingly strong clinch and ground game, which could overwhelm Demopoulos. However, he acknowledges that Kowalkiewicz has been in dark places and her striking at range is not damaging, making this a hesitant pick.
Daniel Levi picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz, citing her experience and recent win. He believes Kowalkiewicz at her best is clearly ahead of Demopoulos, who is still developing. He acknowledges Demopoulos's grit and Jiu-Jitsu but thinks Kowalkiewicz's striking and veteran savvy will earn her a decision. He has a soft spot for Kowalkiewicz since she cashed a plus-215 underdog bet for him against Rose Namajunas.
The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, believing her BJJ black belt and strength in clinch and wrestling positions will allow her to take the fight to the ground. He thinks Kowalkiewicz's improved grappling confidence may get her into trouble. He predicts a submission win for Demopoulos, though notes if it stays standing, Kowalkiewicz has the advantage.
Paul is surprised by the line and sees value on Kowalkiewicz. He notes her experience and recent wins, and thinks Demopoulos's grappling is not at a level to trouble her. He expects Kowalkiewicz to win a clear decision.
The MMA Guru sides with Karolina Kowalkiewicz, believing she is more well-rounded and has better striking. He dismisses Vanessa Demopoulos as not very talented and suggests she has received gifted decisions due to promotability. He notes Kowalkiewicz's recent wins over Silvana Gomez Juarez and her competitive losses to top fighters. He expects Kowalkiewicz to outbox Demopoulos and win a decision.
Zane picks Demopoulos, believing she is a good athlete who is improving quickly and will keep showing up and surprising. He thinks Kowalkiewicz may get a round of dominant grappling but will have trouble controlling Demopoulos and putting a stamp on other rounds. Zane is not confident in Kowalkiewicz's current form and sees Demopoulos's athleticism and power as potential factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 55 of 80 | 68% | 121 of 154 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:59 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 83 of 154 | 53% | 95 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 31 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 27 of 36 | 75% | 58 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 28 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 32 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 55 of 80 | 68% | 44 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 38 |
| Maria Oliveira | 83 of 154 | 53% | 55 of 124 | 20 of 21 | 8 of 9 | 80 of 151 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 23 | 60% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 46 | 52% | 15 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 27 of 36 | 75% | 23 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 19 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 43 | 55% | 15 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Maria Oliveira | 35 of 65 | 53% | 25 of 55 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 66 of 139 | 47% | 71 of 144 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 62 of 133 | 46% | 81 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 35 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 66 of 139 | 47% | 34 of 100 | 25 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 107 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 62 of 133 | 46% | 49 of 116 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 58 of 128 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 17 of 45 | 37% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 24 of 52 | 46% | 14 of 41 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 44 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 56 | 48% | 20 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 27 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 31 of 55 | 56% | 14 of 35 | 15 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 18 of 32 | 56% | 14 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.
Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.
Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.
Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.
The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.
Maria Oliveira - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 106 of 208 | 50% | 154 of 258 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 64 of 168 | 38% | 85 of 200 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 41 of 84 | 48% | 60 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 28 of 66 | 42% | 36 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 45 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 29 of 85 | 34% | 30 of 86 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 106 of 208 | 50% | 71 of 165 | 20 of 25 | 15 of 18 | 76 of 176 | 22 of 24 | 8 of 8 |
| Maria Oliveira | 64 of 168 | 38% | 45 of 142 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 62 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 41 of 84 | 48% | 30 of 68 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 33 of 76 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 28 of 66 | 42% | 19 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 22 of 37 | 59% | 9 of 24 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 12 of 13 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 43 of 87 | 49% | 32 of 73 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 37 of 80 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Maria Oliveira | 29 of 85 | 34% | 21 of 72 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maria Oliveira as an underdog. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has been out for over a year due to injuries, while Maria has fought three times in that span. He believes Maria's durability and forward pressure will be key, and that Diana may struggle with takedowns or slow down. He sees Maria winning a close fight.
Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă because she can exploit Maria Oliveira's poor takedown defense with her judo and throws. Oliveira is the better technical striker, but Belbiţă throws high volume and can mix in takedowns to win close rounds. He also notes the Canadian factor may help in a close decision. He is not confident and has little interest in the fight.
Cody picks Diana Belbiţă, noting that Oliveira is willing to stand and trade, which plays into Belbiţă's hands. He believes Belbiţă has improved her cardio and counter-wrestling under Kruelion. He thinks Oliveira's lack of wrestling will allow Belbiţă to keep the fight standing and win a striking battle. He expects a decision win for Belbiţă.
Connor also picks Maria Oliveira, agreeing that Belbiţă lacks core strength and can be pushed around. He notes that Oliveira's losses are to very good athletes like Vanessa Demopoulos, Tabitha Ricci, and Kana Asakura, while Belbiţă is not at that level. Connor thinks the odds could be more skewed toward Oliveira, as Belbiţă has struggled against anyone who takes her out of her game.
Daniel Levi picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her higher volume and better cardio compared to Maria Oliveira, who he considers one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes that Oliveira pushes her punches and has poor fundamentals, while Belbiţă puts out a ton of volume and has shown grit. He believes Belbiţă will outwork Oliveira and win a decision, especially with the Canadian crowd behind her.
James picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision. He notes that Belbiţă has better striking fundamentals with her hands up and sharp punches, while Maria Oliveira is wild with her chin up. He believes Belbiţă can also take Oliveira down if she wants, as Oliveira has a terrible ground game. He predicts the fight goes to decision but suggests betting on the fight ending inside distance at plus money due to the volatility of low-level women's MMA.
Belbiţă has an aggressive striking style with good body work and forward pressure. She's been improving her defensive grappling and should land more effective strikes than Oliveira, who was dropped multiple times in her last fight. The home crowd advantage in Vancouver may help her in a close decision. However, this is a low-confidence lean given both women are similar strikers.
Paul leans toward Maria Oliveira, citing her slight grappling advantage and reach. He notes that Belbiţă's big win over Hannah Goldie came with a significant reach advantage, and Oliveira is similarly sized. He thinks Oliveira's takedowns and submission threat could be the difference. He acknowledges it's a close fight and expects a decision.
The MMA Guru leans towards Maria Oliveira because she is faster and more talented on the feet, with a range advantage despite being shorter. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has poor grappling, having been submitted when attempting a takedown and out-grappled by Molly McCann. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts a close decision win for Oliveira.
Zane picks Maria Oliveira, citing Belbiţă's lack of core strength, which makes her easy to push around. He notes that Oliveira is a more comfortable, athletic striker who is faster and more confident. Belbiţă's striking has improved, but she lacks the athleticism to impose her will. Zane thinks Oliveira's losses have come against strong grapplers or athletes, and Belbiţă does not fit that mold, so Oliveira should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 55 of 80 | 68% | 121 of 154 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:59 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 83 of 154 | 53% | 95 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 31 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 27 of 36 | 75% | 58 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 28 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 32 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 55 of 80 | 68% | 44 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 38 |
| Maria Oliveira | 83 of 154 | 53% | 55 of 124 | 20 of 21 | 8 of 9 | 80 of 151 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 23 | 60% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 46 | 52% | 15 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 27 of 36 | 75% | 23 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 19 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 43 | 55% | 15 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Maria Oliveira | 35 of 65 | 53% | 25 of 55 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 96 of 297 | 32% | 99 of 303 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 105 of 190 | 55% | 116 of 205 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 37 of 111 | 33% | 38 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 29 of 60 | 48% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 25 of 98 | 25% | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 45 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 34 of 88 | 38% | 36 of 92 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 41 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 96 of 297 | 32% | 66 of 247 | 12 of 23 | 18 of 27 | 94 of 294 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 105 of 190 | 55% | 75 of 155 | 11 of 15 | 19 of 20 | 98 of 182 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 37 of 111 | 33% | 24 of 89 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 36 of 109 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 29 of 60 | 48% | 20 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 53 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 25 of 98 | 25% | 17 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 41 of 72 | 56% | 29 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 34 of 88 | 38% | 25 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 35 of 58 | 60% | 26 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.
Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.
Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.
Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 62 of 135 | 45% | 103 of 187 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 6:38 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 66 of 178 | 37% | 90 of 207 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 29 of 61 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 28 of 81 | 34% | 34 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 44 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 25 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 30 of 62 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 62 of 135 | 45% | 42 of 109 | 12 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 29 of 98 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 32 |
| Maria Oliveira | 66 of 178 | 37% | 34 of 128 | 18 of 33 | 14 of 17 | 61 of 172 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 21 of 52 | 40% | 11 of 39 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Maria Oliveira | 28 of 81 | 34% | 14 of 57 | 8 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 26 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 29 of 48 | 60% | 21 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 17 |
| Maria Oliveira | 19 of 48 | 39% | 8 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 12 of 35 | 34% | 10 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
| Maria Oliveira | 19 of 49 | 38% | 12 of 40 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup and always sides with the grappler. He notes Ricci is a very good grappler who is heavy on top and looks for submissions without sacrificing position. Oliveira is a tall striker who doesn't use her range and has nothing on her back. He thinks Ricci can get the fight to the ground easily and may even get a stoppage. He will spend 8900 on her in DraftKings.
Big Brady is confident in Ricci, calling her a good grappler with a black belt in BJJ, while Oliveira has poor takedown defense and ground game. He believes the UFC is giving Ricci a favorable matchup after a short-notice loss. He predicts a second-round submission despite Oliveira's size advantage.
Cody picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Ricci has a judo black belt and should be able to take Oliveira down, as Oliveira has poor takedown defense. Cody points out that Oliveira has quit in a previous fight and has not fought good competition recently. However, he worries that if Ricci cannot get the takedown, she will struggle on the feet due to her short reach. Cody believes this is a good matchup for Ricci but the price is high.
Lock picks Ricci based on massive grappling advantage. He notes Oliveira is not UFC level and has poor ground game. Ricci should take her down and submit her. He likes Ricci inside the distance and by submission.
Paul is out on this fight, citing concerns about Ricci's wrestling and the steep price. He notes that Oliveira has a significant reach advantage and that Ricci's training partners have not looked great. Paul believes that if the fight stays standing, Oliveira could win. He does not make a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as a big underdog, arguing that the public is favoring Tabatha Ricci due to her looks rather than skill. He highlights Oliveira's height, reach, and youth, as well as her training at Parana Vale Tudo with top female fighters. He questions Ricci's best win and believes Oliveira's experience and physical advantages will lead to a win.
Jamey-lyn will finish someone in the future. Vanessa was small for 125 and took a beating. Ref weren't stopping much that night Atlanta