UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Mar 02, 2019 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 67"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cody Stamann
4.32 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
2.17 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Alejandro Pérez
3.45 SLpM
35.0% Str. Acc.
3.18 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.54 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Cody Stamann - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo believes Da'Mon Blackshear is the better fighter with far better striking and good wrestling. He thinks Cody Stamann will get outstruck and then shoot sloppy takedowns. However, he notes Blackshear is 2-4 in the UFC and hasn't had a key win over a division staple like Stamann, so he is not confident enough to bet. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Stamann if the odds are good.

considering plus 3.5 round bet on Cody Stamann if odds are favorable
"Daman is just the better fighter here in my opinion he's got the far better striking even though Cody's been boxing for a very long time Daman is faster and he's more than just hands"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Big Brady favors Blackshear due to his size, reach, and youth advantage over the 35-year-old Stamann. He believes Blackshear's striking is underrated and his grappling is elite, with a black belt in BJJ. He expects Blackshear to have success wherever the fight goes and predicts a decision win, though he acknowledges the line may be too wide.

Blackshear by decision
"I'm going to take blackshire to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is high on Stamann as a dog, citing Blackshear's cardio issues and lack of power. He notes Stamann's wrestling credentials and ability to get back up from takedowns. Cody expects a close decision and thinks the +230 line is too wide for a veteran like Stamann.

"I think Cody ston as a doger pass type situation plus 230 on Cody staman like me likey me likey."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor picks Stamann, noting Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it has cost him. He thinks Stamann's neutralizer style will make Blackshear make mistakes. Connor expects a narrow split decision, possibly ugly. He mentions Stamann is the underdog at +217 to +232.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Connor says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Daniel Vreeland picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his physical advantages (reach, height) and higher aspirations compared to Cody Stamann, who may be nearing retirement. He acknowledges Stamann's takedown defense and ability to make fights close, but believes Blackshear's grappling and motivation give him the edge. Vreeland expects a close fight.

"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I would not at all be surprised if this was a very close fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann is being overlooked as a +230 underdog. His defensive wrestling should keep him away from Blackshear's BJJ, allowing him to dictate the striking pace and pull away in the second and third rounds as Blackshear slows down. Expect a decision win.

underdog +230, wins by decision
"I do believe staman is being overlooked as he is a plus 230 Underdog I believe his defensive wrestling will allow him to stay away from the BJJ heavy approach of black here allowing him to dictate the pace in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, questioning how Blackshear can be such a favorite given his recent KO loss and cardio problems. He thinks Stamann's experience and wrestling will keep the fight competitive, and the price is too good to pass up. Paul calls it a clear dogger pass.

"Clear clear dogger pass I will have money on staman as well this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his size, strength, and youth. He criticizes Cody Stamann's lack of finishing ability and short reach. He notes Blackshear gave Mario Bautista a tough fight and believes he is the better fighter. He mentions the odds might be worth betting on Blackshear as a favorite.

Might be worth some money as a favorite
"I'm very confident he's going to win this fight um I got them on Black Shear I think he's just way better as a fighter"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann, agreeing with Connor. He describes Stamann as a solid defensive striker who can bang in the pocket, but notes he never presses advantages. Zane thinks Blackshear's poor striking and tendency to start from negative positions will allow Stamann to neutralize him. He expects a narrow split decision.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Zane says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
LOSS vs Taylor Lapilus
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taylor Lapilus 0 59 of 143 41% 64 of 150 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:24
Cody Stamann 0 100 of 180 55% 107 of 190 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Cody Stamann 0 30 of 58 51% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 49 44% 24 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 66 53% 40 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
3 Taylor Lapilus 0 15 of 46 32% 18 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 56 62% 37 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taylor Lapilus 59 of 143 41% 23 of 101 28 of 33 8 of 9 47 of 125 12 of 18 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 100 of 180 55% 60 of 132 25 of 31 15 of 17 84 of 162 16 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 48 45% 10 of 32 11 of 15 1 of 1 17 of 40 5 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 30 of 58 51% 12 of 37 14 of 16 4 of 5 22 of 50 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 49 44% 8 of 33 10 of 11 4 of 5 16 of 41 6 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 66 53% 21 of 48 7 of 10 7 of 8 29 of 58 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Taylor Lapilus 15 of 46 32% 5 of 36 7 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 56 62% 27 of 47 4 of 5 4 of 4 33 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.

"I am going to leave Taylor lean Taylor I think he's the overall strugling man call hey it's okay man"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.

"give me lapis here to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.

"I'm going to go with Lis but again I think it's just going to be close contentious type spot with Lis he's a smooth Striker Smooth Operator he likes to play to the outside he's got good leg kicks good …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.

controversial split decision
"I'm gonna go Cody Stamann via controversial Split Decision here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.

Taylor Lapilus by decision, -3.5 rounds is risky
"I think Taylor is definitely probably the better overall fighter here I you know I do it's it's kind of a weird break down here because I do agree with the odds - 250- 275"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.

"I still do end up leaning on the tailor lap side just this line is a little bit too wide for me to get comfortable with so I will pick lapis to win this fight I'll pick him to Win …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.

"I side with you that like if I I really can't trust in stamman to lean on a wrestling heavy game plan um against lapis and I feel like he's going to need that type of style to win this …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.

"Taylor lapilus is tall rangy difficult to find the inside of um and I think that's going to be a problem for Cody ston here"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 54 of 139 38% 66 of 152 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 61 of 178 34% 72 of 189 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:06
Cody Stamann 0 23 of 72 31% 23 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 44 31% 14 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 52 40% 21 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 26 of 56 46% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 54 31% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 54 of 139 38% 40 of 116 9 of 17 5 of 6 49 of 133 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 61 of 178 34% 17 of 108 23 of 43 21 of 27 60 of 175 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 39 35% 8 of 31 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 23 of 72 31% 7 of 42 7 of 15 9 of 15 22 of 69 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 44 31% 10 of 37 1 of 3 3 of 4 14 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 52 40% 4 of 30 9 of 14 8 of 8 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 26 of 56 46% 22 of 48 3 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 50 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 17 of 54 31% 6 of 36 7 of 14 4 of 4 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.

Over 2.5 rounds if bet
"I'm gonna give a slight a very slightly in the Cody here because he does have the wrestling he can stick with that pace"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.

goes to decision
"I'm going to pick andras here to win I think it's a close one I like the power of andrage I like the finishing upside from ultraage I'll take him to win just by Landing the bigger shots across three …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.

"I think stamen wins I think statement wins but again I feel like I could get owned on this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.

"I think it's a very tough test basically of the new Cody stamen game."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

Stamann by decision; Silva de Andrade has finishing upside
"I'm gonna go statement via decision that's historically I always won these fights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.

"give me Cody stamen Cody statement by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.

over 1.5 takedowns for Stamann on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna side with stamen here I think stamen that one one and a half takedowns on prospects seems a little bit low I think he goes into this matchup and really utilizes his wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.

decision 29-28
"I'm leaning towards Douglas silver deandraj... I think I'm gonna go if Douglas over the androg getting this one done by decision 2928"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.

"I have to lean on Cody Stamen, not getting hurt. If he can fight fearlessly, I think he can outwork Douglas De Silva."
WIN vs Luan Lacerda
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 80 of 181 44% 85 of 187 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 103 of 189 54% 108 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 33 of 78 42% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 52 of 87 59% 52 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Cody Stamann 0 18 of 44 40% 23 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 20 of 36 55% 25 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 80 of 181 44% 31 of 113 44 of 61 5 of 7 80 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 103 of 189 54% 62 of 139 29 of 38 12 of 12 101 of 186 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 29 of 59 49% 9 of 33 17 of 22 3 of 4 29 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 31 of 66 46% 17 of 49 8 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cody Stamann 33 of 78 42% 17 of 53 15 of 23 1 of 2 33 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 52 of 87 59% 31 of 63 17 of 20 4 of 4 50 of 85 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 18 of 44 40% 5 of 27 12 of 16 1 of 1 18 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 20 of 36 55% 14 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.

"I gotta go stand in here I think he's the rightful favorite fighting the better competition being the minute winner but lacerda is a dangerous guy for what it's worth but give me a statement for the I'll say decision …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann's wrestling is key
"I like Cody's stadium and I actually like him a decent amount uh he's extremely professional good shape shows up got skills everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.

"Cody Stamann is a tough dude to take apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann is one of the safer guys
"stamen seems like one of the safer guys going I would say"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.

"I'm going with Cody stamen this is a dangerous one to pick because you know we never really know when a guy like Cody stamen's really going to start showing that decline"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.

"I'm going to take Cody Stamann."
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, citing his well-rounded skills, wrestling background, and pace. He notes Stamann averages almost 3 takedowns per fight and has no problem getting in his opponent's face. He acknowledges Eddie Wineland's experience and danger but believes Stamann's wrestling and pace will be the difference.

"cody stayman is the pick here but proper respect should be shown to somebody as experienced and as dangerous as eddie weinland"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Stamann is a wrestler but believes he can outstrike Wineland, who has poor striking defense and a weak chin. He notes Wineland's takedown defense is historically good, but Stamann's power and Wineland's decline make a knockout likely.

second round knockout
"I'm actually going to pick stamen to knock out weinland um kind of a hot take but kind of not really"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann, noting his tough competition and advanced skill set. He thinks Wineland's chin and reflexes are gone, and Stamann will win by decision or TKO. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins due to Stamann's weight cut issues.

"i think cody stamen is probably top ticket if not second ticket material"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi confidently picks Cody Stamann, noting Eddie Wineland is damaged goods at 38 and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Stamann is a competent, well-rounded fighter who wins rounds, though he rarely finishes. Levi expects a unanimous decision but acknowledges the -700 price is not worth betting. He simply states Stamann is the pick.

Stamann -700 is too high to bet; expects decision
"cody stamen's the pick you know it doesn't take much courage or smarts to pick a minor 700 favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, noting Wineland's age and recent KO losses. He thinks the UFC is giving Stamann a favorable matchup and he should win easily. He also suggests waiting for weigh-ins.

"i think the ufc is totally doing the guy a favor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Cody Stamann, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Eddie Wineland is 37 and has taken a lot of damage, while Stamann is younger and has good grappling. He expects Stamann to use his wrestling to secure takedowns and ride out a 30-27 decision, as Wineland is a veteran unlikely to be submitted but unable to stop the grappling.

"cody stamen's going to get this one done against eddie wineland i just don't see first of all eddie weinland being able to stop the grappling of cody stamen at this point in his career"
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:47 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, expecting his pace and takedowns to frustrate a ring-rusty Nurmagomedov. He compares it to Barcelos vs Nurmagomedov where Barcelos won a decision. He admits it's not a confident pick but likes Cody in that matchup.

"i like cody here cody's the pick it's not like a tent pole underdog pick where i'm a thousand percent sure but i do like cody in that match up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov to win by decision, citing his striking advantage, volume, defense, and significant reach and height advantages. He notes that Stamann's path to victory is takedowns, but Stamann struggles to control opponents and Nurmagomedov has good takedown defense and scrambling. He expects the fight to stay on the feet where Nurmagomedov will outpoint Stamann.

Nurmagomedov by decision; mentions the fight will be closer than the line indicates
"give me your margaret off i do think the fight is going to be closer than the line does indicate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, arguing that the line is off because people assume Nurmagomedov has grappling like other Nurmagomedovs, but Said is primarily a striker. He notes that Said has been taken down before (e.g., by Bibilatov) and that Stamann has good wrestling and game plans. Cody believes Stamann will use takedowns and top control to win a decision, and likes the plus money.

Cody Stamann by decision +260
"I think Cody Stamann's a live dog here... the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Daniel Levi leans toward Said Nurmagomedov but is not confident enough to lay the -200 price. He notes Nurmagomedov's explosive striking and six-inch reach advantage, but acknowledges Stamann's wrestling and ability to make fights close. Levi thinks Stamann can be competitive with anyone and that the fight could be a split decision. He ultimately gives a slight edge to Nurmagomedov due to his flashy striking and crowd-pleasing style.

Fight goes to decision; close fight expected
"i kind of think that syed's slightly better so i'm going to lean him but i'm not trying to lay that that big chalk price here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The host believes the line is inflated due to the 'Russian tax' on Nurmagomedov. He argues that Stamann has the wrestling advantage and will be able to take Nurmagomedov down, especially in later rounds. He notes that Nurmagomedov prefers to strike from range, but Stamann can crash the pocket and use his wrestling. He expects Stamann to win a decision by out-grappling and out-working Nurmagomedov.

Stamann by decision
"i think cody stamen wins this fight on optics and takedowns and i think that the judges gave it to him so uh official prediction here is going to be cody steeman pulling off the upset via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Stamann as a live dog. He notes that Said's wrestling hasn't been tested at UFC level and that Stamann is a bigger bantamweight who has fought tough competition. Paul believes Stamann's wrestling and game planning will expose Said's defensive weaknesses. He also mentions that Stamann has scored takedowns in his last four fights.

"I think the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov, citing his youth, improvements, and recent first-round KO of Mark Striegl. He believes Nurmagomedov can stuff takedowns and outwork Stamann, predicting a second-round spinning back kick to the body TKO. He notes Stamann's recent losses and crying incident as signs of decline.

second round spinning back kick to the body
"i'm actually going to call a second round spinning back kick to the body for saying now mkhmed off here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 71 of 192 36% 178 of 306 5 of 11 45% 1 0 1:42
Cody Stamann 0 48 of 134 35% 73 of 163 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 26 of 68 38% 34 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 51 41% 22 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:31
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 21 of 54 38% 74 of 109 4 of 4 100% 1 0 1:09
Cody Stamann 0 10 of 36 27% 19 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:07
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 24 of 70 34% 70 of 119 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 47 36% 32 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 71 of 192 36% 49 of 158 16 of 25 6 of 9 64 of 183 4 of 6 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 48 of 134 35% 27 of 102 20 of 30 1 of 2 41 of 126 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 26 of 68 38% 20 of 61 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 64 2 of 4 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 51 41% 13 of 38 7 of 11 1 of 2 19 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Merab Dvalishvili 21 of 54 38% 10 of 36 7 of 13 4 of 5 16 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 10 of 36 27% 3 of 25 7 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 32 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Merab Dvalishvili 24 of 70 34% 19 of 61 4 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 17 of 47 36% 11 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0 16 of 46 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Big Brady picks Merab Dvalishvili to win by decision. He highlights Merab's relentless pace, pressure, and takedown volume, even if he can't hold opponents down. He believes Merab will wear Stamann down with constant takedown attempts and cage pressure. Brady notes that both fighters are not finishers, so he expects the fight to go to decision. He also suggests Merab by decision as a parlay piece.

fight goes to decision, Merab by decision parlay piece
"i'm going to take rob to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is intrigued by Cody Stamann as an underdog. He notes that Merab's takedowns are often stuffed by better competition, as seen in the John Dodson fight (2 for 20). He thinks Stamann has the better striking and can stuff takedowns, making it a close competitive fight. He also mentions that Merab's main training partner Aljamain Sterling is out with surgery, which could affect his preparation. He acknowledges the sweat because Merab's grinding style is tough to bet against, but at +215 he finds it generous enough.

Merab by decision (alternative play at -125)
"i'm looking at cody stamen as an underdog play but i understand the sweat it's going to be because davash really just fights the style that we love"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to win, emphasizing his relentless pressure, takedown volume, and improved striking. He notes that Stamann is solid but tends to be a point fighter who may be outworked. Levi believes Dvalishvili's aggression and cardio will lead to a decision win.

"i'm gonna go with morab de welsh wheelie to outwork cody stamen to be a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The host picks Merab Dvalishvili by decision, citing his relentless pace and takedown volume. He notes that Stamann is a good wrestler but expects Dvalishvili's motor to be too much. He believes the fight goes the distance and Dvalishvili wins on volume.

Merab Dvalishvili by decision at -135; Fight goes the distance at +300
"I'm expecting to murab to be a step ahead pretty much at all times and i think that he gets the decision victory here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Paul is leaning toward Merab, noting that he has made tons of improvements and is a grinding machine. He acknowledges that Stamann is a better striker and has decent wrestling, but Merab's relentless takedown pace could overwhelm him. He mentions that Merab's takedown numbers are impressive (11-13 per fight) and that even if Stamann gets up, Merab will drag him back down. However, he is not convinced Merab can dominate wrestling exchanges against Stamann, and he prefers the 'Merab by decision' prop at -125.

Merab by decision at -125
"if i was gonna play anything and i haven't played it but it would be marab by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili over Cody Stamann, citing Dvalishvili's superior grappling and pace. He notes that Dvalishvili controlled John Dodson, who has great takedown defense, and that Stamann has struggled in grappling exchanges. He predicts Dvalishvili will win a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Stamann possibly winning the first round on strikes but Dvalishvili taking over in the later rounds.

"i'm going with marab de velashvali i like cody stamen i think he's a good fighter i think marab has proven that he's above the rest"
LOSS vs Jimmie Rivera
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmie Rivera 0 48 of 89 53% 90 of 134 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 26 of 72 36% 62 of 108 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 25 60% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 16 43% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 23 65% 21 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Cody Stamann 0 11 of 28 39% 28 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
3 Jimmie Rivera 0 18 of 41 43% 42 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:34
Cody Stamann 0 8 of 28 28% 20 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmie Rivera 48 of 89 53% 16 of 44 13 of 16 19 of 29 32 of 68 12 of 16 4 of 5
Cody Stamann 26 of 72 36% 13 of 55 8 of 11 5 of 6 18 of 61 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 25 60% 5 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 13 11 of 17 1 of 4 3 of 4
Cody Stamann 7 of 16 43% 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 3 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 23 65% 7 of 11 5 of 6 3 of 6 10 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1
Cody Stamann 11 of 28 39% 4 of 19 5 of 7 2 of 2 7 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jimmie Rivera 18 of 41 43% 4 of 22 7 of 9 7 of 10 11 of 33 7 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 8 of 28 28% 4 of 23 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

Big Brady picks Jimmie Rivera, believing he is the better striker and faster fighter. He thinks Rivera's 95% takedown defense will neutralize Stamann's wrestling, and that Rivera will land more and harder strikes. He predicts a decision win, noting neither fighter is a finisher, and suggests betting on Rivera by decision or the fight going to decision.

Might bet on Rivera at -135; suggests Rivera by decision or fight goes to decision as potential bets
"I like Jimmie Rivera here I really do I think this is a great stylistic matchup for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, citing his versatility, fight IQ, and ability to fight in multiple stances. He believes Rivera has an old-school style and hasn't evolved, while Stamann can outpoint and outwork him, possibly even knocking him down.

"I actually think Cody statements are live underdog here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

The Guru picks Jimmie Rivera, noting his losses are to elite fighters (Petr Yan, Aljamain Sterling, Marlon Moraes) while his wins include John Dodson, Thomas Almeida, and Urijah Faber. He believes Rivera's takedown defense and reach advantage will be key. Cody Stamann's best win is over Song Yadong, but that win has lost value. Rivera is a level above and should win by decision.

decision
"I think Jimmy rivera wins short a guy reach advantage hard to get on the inside of great takedown defense Cody stamen I mean other than somebody losses Jimmy Rivera's had which you can't really blame him for I mean …"
Alejandro Pérez - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Martinez 1 52 of 146 35% 52 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Alejandro Pérez 0 74 of 144 51% 74 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Martinez 1 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jonathan Martinez 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 0 17 of 38 44% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jonathan Martinez 0 25 of 67 37% 25 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 0 35 of 61 57% 35 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Martinez 52 of 146 35% 34 of 125 8 of 11 10 of 10 50 of 144 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 74 of 144 51% 36 of 92 23 of 34 15 of 18 72 of 139 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Martinez 9 of 30 30% 3 of 23 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 22 of 45 48% 5 of 21 10 of 16 7 of 8 20 of 40 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Martinez 18 of 49 36% 14 of 43 2 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 17 of 38 44% 6 of 24 4 of 5 7 of 9 17 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jonathan Martinez 25 of 67 37% 17 of 59 5 of 5 3 of 3 24 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 35 of 61 57% 25 of 47 9 of 13 1 of 1 35 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Big Brady picks Jonathan Martinez to win by decision. He praises Martinez's striking volume, accuracy, and takedown defense. He criticizes Perez's recent performance against a 45-year-old Johnny Eduardo, where Perez was outlanded and looked poor on the feet. Brady believes Martinez is younger, improving, and training at a good camp. He thinks Perez's takedown attempts will be ineffective and that Martinez will pick him apart on the feet.

Martinez by decision
"I gotta go martinez here i don't know what it is with perez is he on a decline you know was it the layoff but you know he was on a two-fight losing streak takes a a couple year layoff …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his striking, takedown defense, and youth. He notes Pérez's declining chin, low volume, and poor takedown accuracy. Cody believes Martinez wins by volume and suggests watching weigh-ins due to Martinez's past weight issues.

"i think martinez wins the fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Daniel Levi picks Jonathan Martinez to win, possibly by knockout. He notes Martinez has superior striking and range control, and that Pérez has looked older and less durable. Levi warns that Martinez can be complacent and Pérez could weasel a split decision, but believes Martinez's technique and knees will be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation betting-wise.

"i'm going to go with uh martinez to knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

The host is confident in Martinez, citing his length, striking from the outside, and 72% takedown defense. He expects Martinez to keep the fight standing and pick apart Pérez with kicks and punches, similar to his performance against Zviad Lazishvili. He notes Pérez is flat-footed and may struggle to close distance. He predicts a decision win for Martinez.

"i like martinez here -210 is roughly accurate in terms of where i think the odds should be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Paul agrees with Martinez, noting his superior striking and takedown defense. He points out Pérez's poor volume and recent KO loss. Paul thinks the line is fair and expects Martinez to win by decision or late stoppage.

"the line the line probably does make sense to be perfectly honest here yeah martinez wins likely by volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

The MMA Guru picks Jonathan Martinez to win, possibly by third-round finish. He criticizes Alejandro Pérez's striking, calling it terrible with poor range control, and notes that Pérez was clipped by Johnny Eduardo. He highlights Martinez's takedown defense improvements, as seen against Vince Morales, and believes Martinez will stuff takedowns and beat up Pérez on the feet. The Guru expects Martinez to dominate and potentially finish Pérez in the third round.

third round finish
"i'm gonna bet he stuffs the takedowns and beats up perez and maybe finishes him in the third round"
Submission (scarf hold armlock) R2 4:13 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 23 of 55 41% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 31 of 59 52% 38 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 11 of 24 45% 22 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 11 of 24 45% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 23 of 55 41% 11 of 40 10 of 12 2 of 3 18 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 31 of 59 52% 7 of 33 8 of 9 16 of 17 28 of 55 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 12 of 31 38% 5 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 20 of 35 57% 3 of 17 5 of 5 12 of 13 20 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 11 of 24 45% 6 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 11 of 24 45% 4 of 16 3 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 20 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Angelo picks Alejandro Pérez despite the long layoff, citing his fresher chin, better striking, and wrestling backup plan. He notes that Pérez has good boxing and speed, though not insane power, and that his wrestling background is used defensively to keep the fight standing. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters have been out for years and are coming off two losses, making this a high-variance matchup. He explicitly says he is not betting on Pérez due to too many unknowns, but he did bet on the fight not going the distance at -115.

fight does not go the distance at -115
"i like alejandro perez in this fight he's a decent favorite i get why he's got the fresher chin he's got the better striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Big Brady picks Alejandro Pérez to win by finish, citing Eduardo's age (43 years old) and long layoff (3 years 3 months). He notes Eduardo is dangerous early but fades, and Pérez is over 10 years younger. He expects Pérez to survive the first round and then take over for a finish, possibly by submission given Eduardo has been submitted nine times.

Pérez by finish (submission or KO)
"i gotta go perez i'm gonna take perez to win by finish could be uh submission or knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Cody picks Perez but is not confident. He notes that Eduardo is 41 and hasn't fought in three years, but Perez has chin issues and poor takedown accuracy. He expects Perez to win by decision or inside the distance, but acknowledges Eduardo's early power. He suggests betting Perez inside the distance or the under.

Perez inside the distance at +175; Under 1.5 rounds at -140
"i will go with eduardo i can't see myself betting a 41 year old bantamweight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Daniel Levi picks Alejandro Pérez, citing Eduardo's age (42 at bantamweight) and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Pérez is younger, fresher, and coming off a long layoff after a KO loss, which may have allowed him to heal. Levi warns that Eduardo is dangerous early with his Muay Thai power, but if Pérez survives the first five minutes, he can win a decision or get a late finish. He has a soft spot for Eduardo but picks Pérez.

"my pick is going to be alejandro perez to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

I think Pérez's durability will carry him through Eduardo's early aggression. Eduardo tends to fade as the fight goes on, and Pérez should take over later. I'm not worried about Eduardo's power compared to Song Yadong, who finished Pérez. I like Pérez by decision at +250 as a prop, but the moneyline is fine too.

Pérez by decision +250
"I feel like you got to go with perez here man he's been showing his durability"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Paul picks Perez, noting that Eduardo is 41 and has been out for three years. He believes Perez's youth and activity will be key. He expects Perez to win by decision or late stoppage. He also mentions that Eduardo has poor fight IQ, as seen in his submission loss to Nathaniel Wood.

Perez inside the distance at +175
"it's got to be alejandro perez in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

The MMA Guru picks Alejandro Pérez, noting that Johnny Eduardo is 43 years old and returning after three years off. He believes Pérez is in his athletic prime and has shown good grappling against Cody Stamann. Eduardo's only chance is a first-round KO, but Pérez has only been KO'd once. He predicts Pérez will wear down Eduardo and get a late second-round TKO.

Pérez by TKO in round 2 or 3
"i'm going with perez by third round tko just wearing down an older man in johnny eduardo and piecing him up maybe a late second round tko for alejandro perez"
LOSS vs Song Yadong
KO (punch) R1 2:04 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Yadong 0 1 of 14 7% 1 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 1 8 of 20 40% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Yadong 0 1 of 14 7% 1 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 1 8 of 20 40% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Yadong 1 of 14 7% 0 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 8 of 20 40% 6 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Yadong 1 of 14 7% 0 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 8 of 20 40% 6 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alejandro Perez vs. Yadong Song

Round 1
It’s time for a bantamweight bout between Alejandro Perez and Yadong Song. The referee is Herb Dean. They touch gloves and the fight is on. Perez takes the center of the Octagon and lands a straight right. Song gets inside and lands a left hook. He lands another left hook over the top. Song lands a counter straight right as Perez moves towards him. Perez lands a jab and Song returns with a left hook.
Perez lands a low kick and drops his hands as Song capitalizes and lands a brutal counter overhand right that sendings Perez flying to the canvas. Song lands some nasty ground and pound and the referee jumps in and saves Perez from any further damage
. Tremendous finish by Song.

The Official Result
Yadong Song def. Alejandro Perez via KO (Punches) R1, 2:04
LOSS vs Cody Stamann
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Mar 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 48 of 121 39% 49 of 122 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:21
Alejandro Pérez 0 41 of 121 33% 51 of 133 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 12 of 32 37% 13 of 33 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:20
Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 37 35% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 14 of 42 33% 14 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:23
Alejandro Pérez 0 10 of 32 31% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Cody Stamann 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Alejandro Pérez 0 18 of 52 34% 23 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 48 of 121 39% 21 of 77 19 of 30 8 of 14 46 of 117 2 of 4 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 41 of 121 33% 17 of 87 8 of 13 16 of 21 33 of 108 3 of 8 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 12 of 32 37% 5 of 19 3 of 7 4 of 6 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 13 of 37 35% 7 of 28 3 of 4 3 of 5 10 of 30 1 of 5 2 of 2
2 Cody Stamann 14 of 42 33% 6 of 26 5 of 10 3 of 6 13 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 10 of 32 31% 3 of 24 2 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 22 of 47 46% 10 of 32 11 of 13 1 of 2 22 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 18 of 52 34% 7 of 35 3 of 6 8 of 11 14 of 48 1 of 1 3 of 3
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 48 of 183 26% 48 of 183 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Eddie Wineland 0 53 of 214 24% 53 of 214 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 65 33% 22 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Eddie Wineland 0 22 of 74 29% 22 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 10 of 58 17% 10 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Eddie Wineland 0 13 of 70 18% 13 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 16 of 60 26% 16 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 0 18 of 70 25% 18 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 48 of 183 26% 23 of 135 20 of 43 5 of 5 47 of 181 1 of 1 0 of 1
Eddie Wineland 53 of 214 24% 40 of 197 4 of 7 9 of 10 52 of 212 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 22 of 65 33% 10 of 47 9 of 15 3 of 3 22 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 22 of 74 29% 17 of 68 2 of 3 3 of 3 21 of 72 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 10 of 58 17% 5 of 46 3 of 10 2 of 2 10 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 1
Eddie Wineland 13 of 70 18% 10 of 66 1 of 2 2 of 2 13 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 16 of 60 26% 8 of 42 8 of 18 0 of 0 15 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 18 of 70 25% 13 of 63 1 of 2 4 of 5 18 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Matthew Lopez
TKO (knees and punches) R2 3:42 · UFC on Fox: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Apr 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 36 61% 32 of 47 3 of 7 42% 2 0 3:07
Matthew Lopez 0 44 of 100 44% 81 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 25 3 of 4 75% 2 0 2:59
Matthew Lopez 0 8 of 24 33% 45 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 21 61% 14 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Matthew Lopez 0 36 of 76 47% 36 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 22 of 36 61% 14 of 28 7 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 2
Matthew Lopez 44 of 100 44% 27 of 79 8 of 8 9 of 13 39 of 92 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
Matthew Lopez 8 of 24 33% 3 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 8 6 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 21 61% 8 of 16 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matthew Lopez 36 of 76 47% 24 of 63 8 of 8 4 of 5 33 of 70 3 of 6 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Dec 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 35 of 97 36% 38 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:54
Iuri Alcântara 0 38 of 99 38% 39 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 7 of 29 24% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Iuri Alcântara 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 30 43% 13 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Iuri Alcântara 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
Iuri Alcântara 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 35 of 97 36% 16 of 72 4 of 4 15 of 21 29 of 90 6 of 7 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 38 of 99 38% 9 of 63 15 of 21 14 of 15 38 of 98 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 7 of 29 24% 5 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 4 7 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 12 of 30 40% 3 of 18 4 of 7 5 of 5 12 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 30 43% 5 of 20 2 of 2 6 of 8 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 18 of 36 50% 5 of 21 6 of 7 7 of 8 18 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 15 of 38 39% 6 of 27 2 of 2 7 of 9 9 of 32 6 of 6 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 8 of 33 24% 1 of 24 5 of 7 2 of 2 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Aug 05, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 44 of 141 31% 97 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:13
Andre Soukhamthath 3 43 of 107 40% 44 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 15 of 44 34% 15 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Andre Soukhamthath 2 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 42 30% 58 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Andre Soukhamthath 1 16 of 32 50% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 16 of 55 29% 24 of 64 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
Andre Soukhamthath 0 14 of 46 30% 15 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 44 of 141 31% 22 of 107 6 of 9 16 of 25 38 of 128 3 of 7 3 of 6
Andre Soukhamthath 43 of 107 40% 26 of 86 9 of 11 8 of 10 42 of 102 1 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 15 of 44 34% 5 of 30 1 of 2 9 of 12 14 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
Andre Soukhamthath 13 of 29 44% 8 of 24 0 of 0 5 of 5 13 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 42 30% 10 of 32 1 of 3 2 of 7 11 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 2
Andre Soukhamthath 16 of 32 50% 8 of 22 6 of 7 2 of 3 15 of 29 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 16 of 55 29% 7 of 45 4 of 4 5 of 6 13 of 49 0 of 2 3 of 4
Andre Soukhamthath 14 of 46 30% 10 of 40 3 of 4 1 of 2 14 of 44 0 of 2 0 of 0