Career Averages - Ben Rothwell
Career Averages - Chris Barnett
Ben Rothwell
Chris Barnett
Ben Rothwell - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcos Rogério de Lima | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Rogério de Lima | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 14 of 24 | 58% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcos Rogério de Lima | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 14 of 24 | 58% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Ben Rothwell, reasoning that he only needs one takedown to finish, while de Lima needs 15 minutes of a clean game plan. He acknowledges de Lima's path to victory through stick-and-move but thinks Rothwell's size and durability are key.
Big Brady is confident in Ben Rothwell, citing de Lima's atrocious cardio and tendency to fade after one round. He notes Rothwell has a legendary chin (not knocked out since 2009) and superior takedown defense. Brady expects Rothwell to take over as the fight progresses and predicts a second-round submission, as de Lima has been submitted five times.
Cody emphasizes Rothwell's durability (not finished since 2009) and de Lima's tendency to fade. He points out de Lima's poor takedown defense and submission vulnerability. He expects Rothwell to pressure, take de Lima down, and eventually submit him. He also notes Rothwell's 70% takedown defense and that de Lima gasses quickly.
Daniel Levi picks Ben Rothwell by submission, predicting that de Lima will be faster and more athletic early but will eventually make a mistake and tap to a choke. He references Rothwell's history of opportunistic finishes, including the comeback against Brandon Vera and the gogoplata against Josh Barnett. Levi notes de Lima's tendency to quit when put in a choke, making Rothwell's submission threat a key factor.
Jacob picks Ben Rothwell, believing he will plod forward, make it dirty, and grind out a win. He notes that Rothwell has a granite chin and hasn't been TKO'd since 2009. Jacob thinks de Lima has no way to win except maybe a weird decision.
Paul notes that de Lima is a quitter when things go south and has a pattern of alternating wins and losses. He thinks Rothwell is durable, has better submission skills, and will wear de Lima down. He predicts Rothwell wins by submission in round 2, and mentions a prop at 13-1.
The Guru picks Ben Rothwell by unanimous decision (29-28). He expects a close first round with de Lima landing big shots, but Rothwell's pressure and physicality will take over in later rounds. Rothwell will break de Lima down with clinch work and strikes, winning the last two rounds clearly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 60 of 101 | 59% | 72 of 120 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 33 of 85 | 38% | 34 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 42 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 17 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 50 | 60% | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 60 of 101 | 59% | 47 of 88 | 10 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 54 of 94 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 33 of 85 | 38% | 20 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 31 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 51 | 58% | 20 of 41 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 16 of 43 | 37% | 10 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 50 | 60% | 27 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 17 of 42 | 40% | 10 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.
Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.
Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.
Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.
Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.
The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 89 of 276 | 32% | 95 of 287 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 94 of 183 | 51% | 155 of 274 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 46 of 134 | 34% | 47 of 135 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 28 of 66 | 42% | 31 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 30 of 93 | 32% | 34 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 44 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 13 of 49 | 26% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 25 of 45 | 55% | 80 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 89 of 276 | 32% | 63 of 247 | 16 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 78 of 260 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 94 of 183 | 51% | 69 of 154 | 15 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 89 of 165 | 3 of 12 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 46 of 134 | 34% | 38 of 124 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 39 of 124 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 28 of 66 | 42% | 23 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 60 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 30 of 93 | 32% | 19 of 82 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 41 of 72 | 56% | 27 of 55 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 38 of 67 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 13 of 49 | 26% | 6 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 25 of 45 | 55% | 19 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 |
Big Brady picks Rothwell due to his durability and power, noting Tybura has been knocked out four times and has a questionable chin. He expects Rothwell to pressure Tybura against the cage and land bombs. He acknowledges Rothwell is older (38) but believes his power and durability are key. He mentions the fight could be low output.
Daniel picks Ben Rothwell primarily because he believes Rothwell is tougher and hits harder. He acknowledges that Rothwell has looked slow since returning from suspension and takes a lot of damage, but he thinks Rothwell's pressure and durability will be enough. He also notes that Tybura has questionable toughness and may fold under pressure, but he wouldn't be surprised if Tybura wins a sloppy decision.
Rothwell's pressure and awkward striking angles will overwhelm Tybura, who lacks output and combination punching. Tybura's takedown attempts will be unsuccessful, and Rothwell's power will break him in the second round via TKO.
The Guru picks Tybura as an underdog, believing his pressure-heavy style and improved conditioning will overwhelm Rothwell. He thinks Tybura will control the clinch against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as Rothwell lacks finishing ability. He notes the odds (Rothwell -200) are off and the fight should be 50-50.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 56 of 110 | 50% | 86 of 142 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:49 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 1 | 42 of 82 | 51% | 46 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 18 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 24 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 1 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 55 | 54% | 44 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 21 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 56 of 110 | 50% | 37 of 89 | 15 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 40 of 79 | 14 of 29 | 2 of 2 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 42 of 82 | 51% | 27 of 62 | 13 of 15 | 2 of 5 | 33 of 70 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 9 of 19 | 47% | 2 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 4 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 19 of 41 | 46% | 13 of 35 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 30 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 13 of 27 | 48% | 6 of 20 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 55 | 54% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 37 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 20 of 36 | 55% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans with Ben Rothwell as an underdog, believing Rothwell's power and chin give him a good chance to knock out Ovince Saint Preux. He thinks OSP will struggle to take Rothwell down and that the fight will stay on the feet, where Rothwell has the advantage. He acknowledges OSP could win a decision if Rothwell fights poorly, but sees a knockout as more likely and considers betting on Rothwell at plus odds.
Daniel Levi picks OSP, citing his athleticism and speed advantage over Rothwell, who has looked slow since his suspension. He notes OSP's suspect chin and cardio at heavyweight, and says he won't bet him at -140 due to those concerns, but still picks him for the win.
The MMA Guru picks Ben Rothwell, noting that OSP is moving up to heavyweight and his chin won't magically improve. He highlights Rothwell's durability, having taken shots from Junior dos Santos and Blagojevich, and believes Rothwell will smother OSP and finish him in the second round. He also points out that OSP is 37 and has been rocked in recent fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 53 of 77 | 68% | 63 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Stefan Struve | 1 | 58 of 101 | 57% | 71 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 23 of 30 | 76% | 28 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Stefan Struve | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 35 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stefan Struve | 1 | 39 of 71 | 54% | 48 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 53 of 77 | 68% | 18 of 39 | 20 of 22 | 15 of 16 | 46 of 70 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Stefan Struve | 58 of 101 | 57% | 41 of 83 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 33 of 66 | 20 of 29 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 23 of 30 | 76% | 4 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 11 | 22 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Stefan Struve | 19 of 30 | 63% | 10 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 47 | 63% | 14 of 29 | 12 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 41 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Stefan Struve | 39 of 71 | 54% | 31 of 63 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 45 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 6 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 152 of 263 | 57% | 160 of 272 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 70 of 177 | 39% | 75 of 183 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 54 of 103 | 52% | 54 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 29 of 73 | 39% | 29 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 49 of 87 | 56% | 55 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 16 of 52 | 30% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 3 | Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 49 of 73 | 67% | 51 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Arlovski | 152 of 263 | 57% | 103 of 204 | 34 of 43 | 15 of 16 | 152 of 263 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 70 of 177 | 39% | 55 of 155 | 9 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 70 of 176 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrei Arlovski | 54 of 103 | 52% | 33 of 77 | 14 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 54 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 29 of 73 | 39% | 20 of 62 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrei Arlovski | 49 of 87 | 56% | 32 of 67 | 12 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 49 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 16 of 52 | 30% | 12 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andrei Arlovski | 49 of 73 | 67% | 38 of 60 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 49 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 25 of 52 | 48% | 23 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 72 of 178 | 40% | 73 of 179 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 70 of 163 | 42% | 70 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 29 of 75 | 38% | 29 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 24 of 64 | 37% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 33 of 82 | 40% | 33 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blagoy Ivanov | 72 of 178 | 40% | 50 of 156 | 19 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 70 of 175 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 70 of 163 | 42% | 47 of 135 | 6 of 10 | 17 of 18 | 69 of 162 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blagoy Ivanov | 19 of 39 | 48% | 11 of 31 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 9 of 22 | 40% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Blagoy Ivanov | 29 of 75 | 38% | 24 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 28 of 59 | 47% | 21 of 48 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blagoy Ivanov | 24 of 64 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 33 of 82 | 40% | 22 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 77 of 212 | 36% | 78 of 213 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 157 of 247 | 63% | 157 of 247 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 26 of 37 | 70% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 15 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 29 of 43 | 67% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 40 of 57 | 70% | 40 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 33 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 77 of 212 | 36% | 51 of 179 | 7 of 12 | 19 of 21 | 75 of 210 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 157 of 247 | 63% | 65 of 147 | 92 of 100 | 0 of 0 | 156 of 246 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 19 of 48 | 39% | 12 of 37 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 26 of 37 | 70% | 10 of 21 | 16 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 14 of 42 | 33% | 7 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 29 of 49 | 59% | 11 of 30 | 18 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 15 of 37 | 40% | 9 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 29 of 43 | 67% | 8 of 21 | 21 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 18 of 48 | 37% | 14 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 40 of 57 | 70% | 21 of 36 | 19 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 11 of 37 | 29% | 9 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Rothwell | 33 of 61 | 54% | 15 of 39 | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Chris Barnett - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 99 of 139 | 71% | 170 of 221 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 10:48 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 41 of 58 | 70% | 47 of 64 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 60 of 87 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 31 of 37 | 83% | 63 of 70 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:32 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamdy Abdelwahab | 99 of 139 | 71% | 88 of 125 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 25 | 13 of 14 | 70 of 100 |
| Chris Barnett | 18 of 35 | 51% | 7 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 10 | 14 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 41 of 58 | 70% | 35 of 51 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 36 |
| Chris Barnett | 8 of 16 | 50% | 3 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 27 of 44 | 61% | 27 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 37 |
| Chris Barnett | 5 of 7 | 71% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 31 of 37 | 83% | 26 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 27 |
| Chris Barnett | 5 of 12 | 41% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Chris Barnett despite acknowledging his own bias (he knows Barnett personally). He criticizes Hamdy Abdelwahab for being a boring, steroid-using fighter who doesn't wrestle enough despite being an Olympic wrestler. Angelo believes Barnett will at least move forward and throw punches, while Hamdy coasts. He advises not betting on this sloppy fight.
Big Brady picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, calling Chris Barnett the worst heavyweight on the roster due to age, injuries, and size. He notes Barnett is 39, 5'9", and has taken significant damage. Brady expects Hamdy to finally get his first UFC finish, using his power to hurt and stop Barnett early. He calls it a 'nut up or shut up' fight for Hamdy and predicts a first-round KO.
Cody picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, noting that Barnett is undersized at 5'9" and has poor takedown defense. He believes Hamdy's wrestling and power will be too much, and Barnett's only chance is a flashy KO. Cody expects Hamdy to win by boring decision or TKO.
Connor picks Barnett based on vibes, noting that Abdelwahab is undercooked and has poor fundamentals. He believes Barnett's unorthodox style and experience could confuse Abdelwahab, who has only five pro fights. Connor acknowledges Barnett's lack of fundamentals but thinks he can outmaneuver Abdelwahab, especially if Abdelwahab fades. He also notes that Barnett is a character and he wants him to win.
Daniel Vreeland is confident in Abdelwahab's athleticism and power, calling this a significant step down in competition. He criticizes Barnett's age, obesity, and gimmicky style, and believes Abdelwahab will win easily, possibly by knockout. He notes that Barnett has already overachieved with two UFC wins and doesn't expect a third.
Lucrative James picks Hamdy Abdelwahab confidently, calling Chris Barnett one of the worst fighters on the roster. He notes Barnett's massive size disadvantage (5'9" at heavyweight) and reliance on flashy moves like spinning wheel kicks, which have caused injuries. He believes Abdelwahab can out-jab him, take him down at will, and win by dominant decision or late finish when Barnett tires.
The host acknowledges Barnett's return from an Achilles injury but believes Abdelwahab's grappling, which he hasn't leaned on much, will be used to shut down Barnett's striking. He predicts Abdelwahab wins on the scorecards.
Paul agrees, calling Barnett a shell of himself after injuries and inactivity. He notes that Hamdy is an Olympic-level wrestler and will likely take Barnett down and control him. Paul believes Barnett's only win condition is a spinning kick KO, which is unlikely.
The MMA Guru picks Hamdy Abdelwahab by decision, but is hesitant. He notes that Chris Barnett is old, injury-prone, and has had knee and foot surgeries, but also sees value in Barnett as an underdog. He believes Abdelwahab can pressure Barnett, take him down, and knee him against the cage. However, he admits Barnett could win by TKO. He expects a 29-28 decision for Abdelwahab.
Zane also picks Barnett, noting that Abdelwahab has better fundamentals but is inexperienced and gasses easily. He believes Barnett's weirdness could be too much for Abdelwahab to handle, especially if Abdelwahab can't connect his game together. Zane also points out that Abdelwahab's only win is a split decision over Jamal Pogues and that he lost to Mohammed Usman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 51 of 74 | 68% | 51 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 12 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 51 of 74 | 68% | 51 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 12 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 51 of 74 | 68% | 28 of 50 | 22 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 50 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Chris Barnett | 12 of 34 | 35% | 3 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 51 of 74 | 68% | 28 of 50 | 22 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 50 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Chris Barnett | 12 of 34 | 35% | 3 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu but is very hesitant. He notes Kennedy is taller, longer, and had a full camp, but warns that Kennedy 'kind of sucks' and was a massive favorite who lost to an older opponent in his last fight. He advises staying far away from betting on this fight due to the risk.
Big Brady picks Nzechukwu, noting his significant size advantage (6'5" vs 5'9" on paper, but Barnett is likely shorter). He believes Kennedy has many ways to win: knockout, submission, or decision. He acknowledges Kennedy can be inconsistent but cannot pick Barnett. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his massive reach and height advantage. He notes that Barnett is old, overweight, and has low volume. Cody believes Nzechukwu's length and striking will keep Barnett at range, and that he will win by knockout in the second round. However, he warns that heavyweight fights are unpredictable.
Connor picks Nzechukwu, agreeing that Barnett is a total mess who can't consistently win rounds. He notes that Nzechukwu has the size to dominate but lacks confidence, but against Barnett, he should be able to use his reach and size to win. Connor is not confident in Nzechukwu long-term but sees this as a favorable matchup.
Daniel Vreeland picks Kennedy Nzechukwu to win, citing massive advantages in size, reach, and level of competition. He notes that Barnett does not belong in the UFC and that Nzechukwu can win easily by takedown or striking. Vreeland believes the true price is around -900 and that Nzechukwu is a much worse matchup for Barnett than Junior Tafa.
Daniel Vreeland is taking the huge underdog Chris Barnett. He argues that Nzechukwu has awful cardio, no motivation to come in shape now that he doesn't have to cut weight, and gets knocked out. Barnett is a heavy puncher who has won two of his last three by knockout, and Vreeland sees value at +500.
Jeff Fox is reluctantly picking Nzechukwu, pushed into a corner by Vreeland's strong argument for Barnett. He acknowledges Nzechukwu's cardio issues and lack of motivation but still believes he is better than Barnett's previous opponents. Fox seems uncomfortable with the pick but sticks with Nzechukwu.
Nzechukwu is a big favorite but tough to trust after his last performance. He should keep Barnett at bay and possibly find a finish after the 1.5 round mark. However, minus 700 is a bit too wide for comfort.
Paul picks Nzechukwu, agreeing that Barnett is a freak show fighter past his prime. He notes that Nzechukwu's reach and volume will be too much, and that Barnett's durability is questionable. Paul is confident Nzechukwu wins but avoids betting at heavy odds.
The Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing Barnett's long layoff (over two years), age (38), and questionable conditioning. He believes Nzechukwu's athleticism and range will allow him to pick apart Barnett. He notes Barnett's past fight cancellations and weight issues. The Guru predicts Nzechukwu will win by decision or late finish.
Zane picks Nzechukwu despite his lack of power and confidence, because Barnett is a tiny heavyweight with no real tools besides confidence. Nzechukwu's size and reach will allow him to crowd Barnett and overwhelm him, though he expects a messy fight. Zane notes that Barnett has lost to other former light heavyweights and lacks durability.
Zane picked Nzechukwu, noting that Barnett is a fun fighter but not going to beat big heavyweights. He highlighted that Barnett injured his leg in the pre-fight intro and further during a wheel kick, which was predictable given his rushed recovery from an Achilles injury. Zane praised Nzechukwu's size and form but questioned his confidence, suggesting he may struggle against other big heavyweights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnett | 1 | 51 of 98 | 52% | 57 of 107 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Jake Collier | 0 | 54 of 98 | 55% | 83 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Barnett | 1 | 42 of 81 | 51% | 48 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Jake Collier | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Chris Barnett | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jake Collier | 0 | 38 of 61 | 62% | 65 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnett | 51 of 98 | 52% | 40 of 85 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 70 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 12 |
| Jake Collier | 54 of 98 | 55% | 48 of 89 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 51 | 1 of 5 | 28 of 42 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Barnett | 42 of 81 | 51% | 32 of 70 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 57 | 10 of 12 | 10 of 12 |
| Jake Collier | 16 of 37 | 43% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Barnett | 9 of 17 | 52% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jake Collier | 38 of 61 | 62% | 37 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 28 of 42 |
Angelo picks Jake Collier, noting he is tougher and more well-rounded. He thinks Chris Barnett will plant and throw big bombs looking for a knockout, which will allow Collier to outwork him. He believes the line is disrespectful to Barnett, but expects Collier to win by pressuring and using his grappling.
Big Brady picks Jake Collier to win inside the distance, calling Chris Barnett one of the worst heavyweights on the roster. He notes Barnett is undersized at 5'9", has poor takedown defense and cardio, while Collier has solid cardio and volume. He predicts Collier can finish via ground-and-pound or submission, specifically a second-round submission.
Cody picks Jake Collier, noting his volume, cardio, and ground game are superior. He points out that Barnett is a freak show fighter with no wrestling or grappling, and that he quit in his last fight. He believes Collier will dominate and likely win by submission, and mentions the Collier by submission prop at +900 (now +650).
Daniel Levi picks Jake Collier, calling him the more skilled fighter. He notes Collier's ground prowess as seen against Chase Sherman, and his spinning attacks. He warns that laying -400 on Collier is not a long-term winning strategy, but expects Collier to win. He also sends condolences to Barnett for personal issues.
Jacob agrees, saying the playbook for Collier is to copy Martin Buday's approach: crowd Barnett, press him against the cage, and make it boring. He notes Barnett is athletic but needs space to shine, and Collier will take that away. He thinks Collier will lay on him and get the win.
The host picks Jake Collier but is queasy about betting him at -410. He expects Collier to be the better overall fighter with better combinations and pace, and could finish late. He notes Barnett's power is a threat but trusts Collier's durability and versatility.
Paul picks Jake Collier, noting his pattern of never losing back-to-back fights. He believes Collier's volume and cardio will be too much for Barnett, who is undersized and has no intangible other than a puncher's chance. He says he won't bet Collier at -425 but expects him to win.
The MMA Guru picks Jake Collier to win by third-round TKO. He notes Chris Barnett has a massive cardio problem, while Collier pushes a hard pace. Barnett may land good shots early, including spinning techniques, but Collier will block or move out of the way and push forward. As Barnett slows, Collier will get a TKO via ground and pound in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 0 | 23 of 52 | 44% | 44 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Chris Barnett | 1 | 56 of 83 | 67% | 131 of 172 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 7:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 45 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:15 | |
| 2 | Martin Buday | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 66 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:08 | |
| 3 | Martin Buday | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Barnett | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 23 of 52 | 44% | 12 of 38 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 43 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 56 of 83 | 67% | 30 of 56 | 25 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 44 | 29 of 32 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 9 of 24 | 37% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 20 of 29 | 68% | 8 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 18 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Martin Buday | 10 of 24 | 41% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 25 of 38 | 65% | 13 of 25 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 22 | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Martin Buday | 4 of 4 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 11 of 16 | 68% | 9 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 7 |
Angelo sides with Martin Buday's power and the bookies, but is uncertain. He notes that Chris Barnett is athletic and dynamic, but Buday has heavy hands and technical striking. He mentions that Barnett was a step behind in his last fight until landing a spinning back kick. He considers live betting Barnett if he starts getting ahead on strikes.
Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by finish inside the distance, likely in the second round. He notes Buday is a natural heavyweight with a size advantage, good takedowns, and a brown belt in BJJ. He expects Buday to push Barnett against the cage, take him down, and finish with ground and pound or a submission. He criticizes Barnett's ground game and size disadvantage.
Cody picks Buday, noting his size and clinch game. He thinks Buday can control Barnett against the cage and grind him down. However, he acknowledges Barnett's striking power and unpredictability.
Daniel Levi picks Martin Buday, citing his size advantage and ability to wear on opponents with clinch work and knees to the thigh, as seen in his Contender Series win. He notes Buday gets hit but is tough, while Barnett is deceptively athletic for his size but likely to be overwhelmed by Buday's size and pressure. Levi is rooting for Barnett but picks Buday.
Paul does not make a clear pick, calling it a 'dogger pass'. He notes the fight is low-level heavyweight with high variance. He mentions Barnett by knockout as a potential prop but is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Martin Buday despite wanting Chris Barnett to win. He notes Buday's size and clinch pressure, and that Barnett struggles when pressured and against high pace. He expects Buday to win a 30-27 unanimous decision by clinching and grinding.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 30 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Gian Villante | 1 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 44 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Barnett | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Gian Villante | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 24 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Chris Barnett | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gian Villante | 1 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnett | 30 of 51 | 58% | 6 of 24 | 21 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gian Villante | 38 of 70 | 54% | 13 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 24 | 28 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Barnett | 22 of 40 | 55% | 3 of 19 | 17 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gian Villante | 21 of 34 | 61% | 3 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 15 | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Barnett | 8 of 11 | 72% | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gian Villante | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 17 |
Angelo picks Chris Barnett, citing his personal familiarity with Barnett from his time managing fighters in XFC. He describes Barnett as incredibly athletic and dynamic despite his appearance, with real power and surprising speed. He believes Villante is a middleweight who doesn't take his career seriously, and that Barnett will win via his diverse striking and power. He has a moneyline bet on Barnett.
Big Brady picks Chris Barnett to win by decision, citing Barnett's cardio advantage over Gian Villante, who has notoriously poor stamina. He notes Villante has looked horrible at heavyweight, gassing out and even tapping to a non-existent submission. Barnett is undersized but can go 15 minutes, while Villante slows down drastically. Brady wants to stay away from this low-level fight but leans Barnett.
Cody picks Barnett, emphasizing Villante's history of losing as a favorite and his retirement announcement. He notes Barnett's size and athleticism. He expects Villante to find a way to lose, making Barnett a live dog.
Daniel Levi picks Chris Barnett, going against the grain. He criticizes Gian Villante's tendency to mess up fights, citing the Maurice Green loss and getting choked out. Levi notes that Barnett is explosive and has knockout power, but also has been knocked out by lower-level guys. He says it's a fight between two big guys swinging, and he trusts Barnett more than Villante, who he feels is unreliable.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Chris Barnett. He notes that Barnett is the better athlete and that Villante's only path to victory is to make the fight boring. He believes the UFC is giving Barnett a showcase fight, and expects Barnett to throw spinning attacks and find a finish. He also mentions that Barnett can be found at plus money on BetOnline, which he took advantage of.
The host leans Villante due to a grappling edge and the retirement motivation, but he is not confident. He expects the fight to go to decision and advises against betting on it. He thinks Villante can take Barnett down and control him, but both have cardio issues.
Paul picks Barnett, citing Villante's retirement announcement and history of underperforming as a favorite. He notes Barnett's athleticism and size advantage. He expects a sloppy fight but thinks Barnett's motivation gives him the edge.
The Guru picks Chris Barnett, praising his taekwondo and stand-up skills despite his appearance. He criticizes Gian Villante's lack of conditioning and commitment, noting Villante's poor performances. The Guru believes Barnett has takedown defense and power, predicting a first-round KO, possibly via a wheel kick or spinning back kick to the body.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 0 | 60 of 101 | 59% | 72 of 120 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 33 of 85 | 38% | 34 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 42 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 17 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 0 | 30 of 50 | 60% | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Chris Barnett | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rothwell | 60 of 101 | 59% | 47 of 88 | 10 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 54 of 94 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 33 of 85 | 38% | 20 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 31 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 51 | 58% | 20 of 41 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 16 of 43 | 37% | 10 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ben Rothwell | 30 of 50 | 60% | 27 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Barnett | 17 of 42 | 40% | 10 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.
Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.
Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.
Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.
Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.
The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.
Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.
Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.
Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.
Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.
The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.
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