vs
-333 +290
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021 · Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt Next Fight
Age 44
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 9"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ben Rothwell
3.71 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
4.63 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
0.68 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chris Barnett
3.36 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
6.55 SApM
36.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ben Rothwell
Moneyline
BetWay -333
KO/TKO
BetWay +100
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
BetWay +240
Chris Barnett
Moneyline
FanDuel +290
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +600
Ben Rothwell - Fight History
TKO (punches) R1 0:32 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcos Rogério de Lima 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 14 of 24 58% 11 of 20 0 of 1 3 of 3 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcos Rogério de Lima 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 14 of 24 58% 11 of 20 0 of 1 3 of 3 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Angelo leans toward Ben Rothwell, reasoning that he only needs one takedown to finish, while de Lima needs 15 minutes of a clean game plan. He acknowledges de Lima's path to victory through stick-and-move but thinks Rothwell's size and durability are key.

"i'm ever so slightly razor thin ever so slightly leaning with big ben he only needs one single takedown to get this fight done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady is confident in Ben Rothwell, citing de Lima's atrocious cardio and tendency to fade after one round. He notes Rothwell has a legendary chin (not knocked out since 2009) and superior takedown defense. Brady expects Rothwell to take over as the fight progresses and predicts a second-round submission, as de Lima has been submitted five times.

Rothwell by submission in round 2
"give me ben roethlit a win and give me ben rothwell to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Cody emphasizes Rothwell's durability (not finished since 2009) and de Lima's tendency to fade. He points out de Lima's poor takedown defense and submission vulnerability. He expects Rothwell to pressure, take de Lima down, and eventually submit him. He also notes Rothwell's 70% takedown defense and that de Lima gasses quickly.

Ben Rothwell wins by submission
"ben rothwell also he shows a 70 takedown rate or something uh he's given up one takedown since 2013"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Daniel Levi picks Ben Rothwell by submission, predicting that de Lima will be faster and more athletic early but will eventually make a mistake and tap to a choke. He references Rothwell's history of opportunistic finishes, including the comeback against Brandon Vera and the gogoplata against Josh Barnett. Levi notes de Lima's tendency to quit when put in a choke, making Rothwell's submission threat a key factor.

submission, third round gogoplata
"it's gonna be big ben via third round go go choke"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Jacob picks Ben Rothwell, believing he will plod forward, make it dirty, and grind out a win. He notes that Rothwell has a granite chin and hasn't been TKO'd since 2009. Jacob thinks de Lima has no way to win except maybe a weird decision.

"i think ben just wins one of those fights that he wins he just plots for it boom boom boom boom a little bit of volume makes it dirty against the cage"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Paul notes that de Lima is a quitter when things go south and has a pattern of alternating wins and losses. He thinks Rothwell is durable, has better submission skills, and will wear de Lima down. He predicts Rothwell wins by submission in round 2, and mentions a prop at 13-1.

Ben Rothwell wins by submission (round 2) at +1300
"ben rothwell's the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Ben Rothwell

The Guru picks Ben Rothwell by unanimous decision (29-28). He expects a close first round with de Lima landing big shots, but Rothwell's pressure and physicality will take over in later rounds. Rothwell will break de Lima down with clinch work and strikes, winning the last two rounds clearly.

unanimous decision 29-28
"i'm going to go with ben rothwell via unanimous decision"
WIN vs Chris Barnett
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:07 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ben Rothwell 0 60 of 101 59% 72 of 120 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:03
Chris Barnett 0 33 of 85 38% 34 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 51 58% 42 of 70 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:48
Chris Barnett 0 16 of 43 37% 17 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 50 60% 30 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Chris Barnett 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ben Rothwell 60 of 101 59% 47 of 88 10 of 10 3 of 3 54 of 94 6 of 7 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 33 of 85 38% 20 of 69 4 of 5 9 of 11 31 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ben Rothwell 30 of 51 58% 20 of 41 8 of 8 2 of 2 24 of 44 6 of 7 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 16 of 43 37% 10 of 35 1 of 2 5 of 6 14 of 39 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ben Rothwell 30 of 50 60% 27 of 47 2 of 2 1 of 1 30 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 17 of 42 40% 10 of 34 3 of 3 4 of 5 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.

Rothwell by first-round knockout; inside the distance
"i still think he has what it takes to beat chris barnett and he should absolutely finish chris barnett here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.

Rothwell by submission (11-1), Rothwell by TKO
"ben rothwell submission 11-1 tell me why that's a bad idea"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.

"i think that this is a fight ben rothwell can win man um it's just that trusting rothwell at that price you can't do it these are heavyweights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.

"i do like ben rothball to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.

Rothwell by knockout (plus money)
"i'm going to pass on that i don't want ben roethlit three to one but yeah i can't deny he's the rightful favorite he's the rifle pick so i'll go with roswell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Ben Rothwell

The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.

"i'm going to go with ben rothwell in the second round by ground and pound tko"
LOSS vs Marcin Tybura
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Tybura 0 89 of 276 32% 95 of 287 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Ben Rothwell 0 94 of 183 51% 155 of 274 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Tybura 0 46 of 134 34% 47 of 135 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 28 of 66 42% 31 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marcin Tybura 0 30 of 93 32% 34 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Ben Rothwell 0 41 of 72 56% 44 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Marcin Tybura 0 13 of 49 26% 14 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 25 of 45 55% 80 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Tybura 89 of 276 32% 63 of 247 16 of 19 10 of 10 78 of 260 11 of 16 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 94 of 183 51% 69 of 154 15 of 19 10 of 10 89 of 165 3 of 12 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Tybura 46 of 134 34% 38 of 124 6 of 8 2 of 2 39 of 124 7 of 10 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 28 of 66 42% 23 of 60 5 of 6 0 of 0 28 of 60 0 of 6 0 of 0
2 Marcin Tybura 30 of 93 32% 19 of 82 6 of 6 5 of 5 27 of 89 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 41 of 72 56% 27 of 55 7 of 10 7 of 7 38 of 67 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Marcin Tybura 13 of 49 26% 6 of 41 4 of 5 3 of 3 12 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 25 of 45 55% 19 of 39 3 of 3 3 of 3 23 of 38 0 of 1 2 of 6
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady picks Rothwell due to his durability and power, noting Tybura has been knocked out four times and has a questionable chin. He expects Rothwell to pressure Tybura against the cage and land bombs. He acknowledges Rothwell is older (38) but believes his power and durability are key. He mentions the fight could be low output.

Rothwell by first round knockout; if line gets closer might take a shot on Rothwell
"i'm gonna go with the more durable fighter here... tybura has been knocked out like four times his chin is very questionable"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Daniel picks Ben Rothwell primarily because he believes Rothwell is tougher and hits harder. He acknowledges that Rothwell has looked slow since returning from suspension and takes a lot of damage, but he thinks Rothwell's pressure and durability will be enough. He also notes that Tybura has questionable toughness and may fold under pressure, but he wouldn't be surprised if Tybura wins a sloppy decision.

Daniel predicts a close, split decision, not a knockout. He mentions that Tybura could mix in head kicks because Rothwell fights with his hands down.
"I'll go with big ben but i'll say bye sweaty close split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Rothwell's pressure and awkward striking angles will overwhelm Tybura, who lacks output and combination punching. Tybura's takedown attempts will be unsuccessful, and Rothwell's power will break him in the second round via TKO.

Rothwell inside distance at +270
"i think the pressure is just going to be too much for tybura"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

The Guru picks Tybura as an underdog, believing his pressure-heavy style and improved conditioning will overwhelm Rothwell. He thinks Tybura will control the clinch against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as Rothwell lacks finishing ability. He notes the odds (Rothwell -200) are off and the fight should be 50-50.

unanimous decision win; odds comment: 'two to one favorite of ben rothwell is weird'
"first underdog pick of the card is marcin tybura for me i'm going to pick him against ben rothwell"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ben Rothwell 0 56 of 110 50% 86 of 142 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:49
Ovince Saint Preux 1 42 of 82 51% 46 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ben Rothwell 0 7 of 14 50% 18 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Ovince Saint Preux 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ben Rothwell 0 19 of 41 46% 24 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:30
Ovince Saint Preux 1 13 of 27 48% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
3 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 55 54% 44 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
Ovince Saint Preux 0 20 of 36 55% 21 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ben Rothwell 56 of 110 50% 37 of 89 15 of 17 4 of 4 40 of 79 14 of 29 2 of 2
Ovince Saint Preux 42 of 82 51% 27 of 62 13 of 15 2 of 5 33 of 70 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ben Rothwell 7 of 14 50% 3 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
Ovince Saint Preux 9 of 19 47% 2 of 7 6 of 8 1 of 4 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ben Rothwell 19 of 41 46% 13 of 35 5 of 5 1 of 1 13 of 30 6 of 11 0 of 0
Ovince Saint Preux 13 of 27 48% 6 of 20 6 of 6 1 of 1 10 of 23 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ben Rothwell 30 of 55 54% 21 of 44 6 of 8 3 of 3 22 of 37 8 of 18 0 of 0
Ovince Saint Preux 20 of 36 55% 19 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 28 6 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady leans with Ben Rothwell as an underdog, believing Rothwell's power and chin give him a good chance to knock out Ovince Saint Preux. He thinks OSP will struggle to take Rothwell down and that the fight will stay on the feet, where Rothwell has the advantage. He acknowledges OSP could win a decision if Rothwell fights poorly, but sees a knockout as more likely and considers betting on Rothwell at plus odds.

Rothwell wins by knockout; considering a bet at +120
"I am thinking about placing a bet on Ben Rothwell especially at those odds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

Daniel Levi picks OSP, citing his athleticism and speed advantage over Rothwell, who has looked slow since his suspension. He notes OSP's suspect chin and cardio at heavyweight, and says he won't bet him at -140 due to those concerns, but still picks him for the win.

I will not play him at that line with that extra weight with that suspect cardio in that suspect chin
"I Eileen OSP but from a betting perspective I will not play him at that line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

The MMA Guru picks Ben Rothwell, noting that OSP is moving up to heavyweight and his chin won't magically improve. He highlights Rothwell's durability, having taken shots from Junior dos Santos and Blagojevich, and believes Rothwell will smother OSP and finish him in the second round. He also points out that OSP is 37 and has been rocked in recent fights.

TKO in the second round
"I'm gonna go with Ben Rothwell... he's gonna go out there put the pressure on OSP smother him... KO him in the second round."
WIN vs Stefan Struve
TKO (punches) R2 4:57 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Dec 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ben Rothwell 0 53 of 77 68% 63 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Stefan Struve 1 58 of 101 57% 71 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ben Rothwell 0 23 of 30 76% 28 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Stefan Struve 0 19 of 30 63% 23 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:12
2 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 47 63% 35 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stefan Struve 1 39 of 71 54% 48 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ben Rothwell 53 of 77 68% 18 of 39 20 of 22 15 of 16 46 of 70 7 of 7 0 of 0
Stefan Struve 58 of 101 57% 41 of 83 13 of 13 4 of 5 33 of 66 20 of 29 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ben Rothwell 23 of 30 76% 4 of 10 8 of 9 11 of 11 22 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Stefan Struve 19 of 30 63% 10 of 20 7 of 7 2 of 3 10 of 21 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 Ben Rothwell 30 of 47 63% 14 of 29 12 of 13 4 of 5 24 of 41 6 of 6 0 of 0
Stefan Struve 39 of 71 54% 31 of 63 6 of 6 2 of 2 23 of 45 11 of 20 5 of 6
LOSS vs Andrei Arlovski
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrei Arlovski 0 152 of 263 57% 160 of 272 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Ben Rothwell 0 70 of 177 39% 75 of 183 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrei Arlovski 0 54 of 103 52% 54 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 29 of 73 39% 29 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrei Arlovski 0 49 of 87 56% 55 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Ben Rothwell 0 16 of 52 30% 21 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
3 Andrei Arlovski 0 49 of 73 67% 51 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Ben Rothwell 0 25 of 52 48% 25 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrei Arlovski 152 of 263 57% 103 of 204 34 of 43 15 of 16 152 of 263 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 70 of 177 39% 55 of 155 9 of 16 6 of 6 70 of 176 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrei Arlovski 54 of 103 52% 33 of 77 14 of 18 7 of 8 54 of 103 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 29 of 73 39% 20 of 62 5 of 7 4 of 4 29 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andrei Arlovski 49 of 87 56% 32 of 67 12 of 15 5 of 5 49 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 16 of 52 30% 12 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 16 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrei Arlovski 49 of 73 67% 38 of 60 8 of 10 3 of 3 49 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 25 of 52 48% 23 of 47 1 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Blagoy Ivanov
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos · Mar 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Blagoy Ivanov 0 72 of 178 40% 73 of 179 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 70 of 163 42% 70 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Blagoy Ivanov 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Blagoy Ivanov 0 29 of 75 38% 29 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Blagoy Ivanov 0 24 of 64 37% 25 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 33 of 82 40% 33 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Blagoy Ivanov 72 of 178 40% 50 of 156 19 of 19 3 of 3 70 of 175 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 70 of 163 42% 47 of 135 6 of 10 17 of 18 69 of 162 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Blagoy Ivanov 19 of 39 48% 11 of 31 8 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 9 of 22 40% 4 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 5 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Blagoy Ivanov 29 of 75 38% 24 of 70 4 of 4 1 of 1 29 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 28 of 59 47% 21 of 48 2 of 6 5 of 5 28 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Blagoy Ivanov 24 of 64 37% 15 of 55 7 of 7 2 of 2 24 of 63 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 33 of 82 40% 22 of 70 4 of 4 7 of 8 32 of 81 1 of 1 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs. dos Santos · Apr 10, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Junior dos Santos 0 77 of 212 36% 78 of 213 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Ben Rothwell 0 157 of 247 63% 157 of 247 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Junior dos Santos 0 19 of 48 39% 19 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 26 of 37 70% 26 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Junior dos Santos 0 14 of 42 33% 15 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Ben Rothwell 0 29 of 49 59% 29 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Junior dos Santos 0 15 of 37 40% 15 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 29 of 43 67% 29 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Junior dos Santos 0 18 of 48 37% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 40 of 57 70% 40 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Junior dos Santos 0 11 of 37 29% 11 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Rothwell 0 33 of 61 54% 33 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Junior dos Santos 77 of 212 36% 51 of 179 7 of 12 19 of 21 75 of 210 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 157 of 247 63% 65 of 147 92 of 100 0 of 0 156 of 246 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Junior dos Santos 19 of 48 39% 12 of 37 3 of 7 4 of 4 17 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 26 of 37 70% 10 of 21 16 of 16 0 of 0 26 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Junior dos Santos 14 of 42 33% 7 of 33 1 of 2 6 of 7 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 29 of 49 59% 11 of 30 18 of 19 0 of 0 29 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Junior dos Santos 15 of 37 40% 9 of 31 1 of 1 5 of 5 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 29 of 43 67% 8 of 21 21 of 22 0 of 0 28 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Junior dos Santos 18 of 48 37% 14 of 44 1 of 1 3 of 3 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 40 of 57 70% 21 of 36 19 of 21 0 of 0 40 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Junior dos Santos 11 of 37 29% 9 of 34 1 of 1 1 of 2 11 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Rothwell 33 of 61 54% 15 of 39 18 of 22 0 of 0 33 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Barnett - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 99 of 139 71% 170 of 221 9 of 14 64% 0 0 10:48
Chris Barnett 0 18 of 35 51% 28 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 41 of 58 70% 47 of 64 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:03
Chris Barnett 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 27 of 44 61% 60 of 87 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:13
Chris Barnett 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 31 of 37 83% 63 of 70 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:32
Chris Barnett 0 5 of 12 41% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hamdy Abdelwahab 99 of 139 71% 88 of 125 8 of 10 3 of 4 16 of 25 13 of 14 70 of 100
Chris Barnett 18 of 35 51% 7 of 21 4 of 4 7 of 10 14 of 30 3 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hamdy Abdelwahab 41 of 58 70% 35 of 51 5 of 6 1 of 1 10 of 16 6 of 6 25 of 36
Chris Barnett 8 of 16 50% 3 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Hamdy Abdelwahab 27 of 44 61% 27 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 4 of 5 22 of 37
Chris Barnett 5 of 7 71% 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Hamdy Abdelwahab 31 of 37 83% 26 of 31 3 of 3 2 of 3 5 of 7 3 of 3 23 of 27
Chris Barnett 5 of 12 41% 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 4 4 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Angelo picks Chris Barnett despite acknowledging his own bias (he knows Barnett personally). He criticizes Hamdy Abdelwahab for being a boring, steroid-using fighter who doesn't wrestle enough despite being an Olympic wrestler. Angelo believes Barnett will at least move forward and throw punches, while Hamdy coasts. He advises not betting on this sloppy fight.

Do not bet on this fight. Just leave it alone. This is going to be a sloppy mess.
"I'm going to pick Chris, and while I fully recognize he's also a little fat and he's kind of old, he's not afraid to actually fight. This guy will go for it. I'll pick the guy who will move forward …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Big Brady picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, calling Chris Barnett the worst heavyweight on the roster due to age, injuries, and size. He notes Barnett is 39, 5'9", and has taken significant damage. Brady expects Hamdy to finally get his first UFC finish, using his power to hurt and stop Barnett early. He calls it a 'nut up or shut up' fight for Hamdy and predicts a first-round KO.

Hamdy by first round KO
"I think Hamdy goes out there and gets his first finish in the UFC. Hamdy, he hits hard. I think he goes out there and hurts Barnett and puts him away. So, yeah, give me Hamdy Abdel Wahab. I think …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Cody picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, noting that Barnett is undersized at 5'9" and has poor takedown defense. He believes Hamdy's wrestling and power will be too much, and Barnett's only chance is a flashy KO. Cody expects Hamdy to win by boring decision or TKO.

"I think Hamdy makes this look real easy."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Barnett

Connor picks Barnett based on vibes, noting that Abdelwahab is undercooked and has poor fundamentals. He believes Barnett's unorthodox style and experience could confuse Abdelwahab, who has only five pro fights. Connor acknowledges Barnett's lack of fundamentals but thinks he can outmaneuver Abdelwahab, especially if Abdelwahab fades. He also notes that Barnett is a character and he wants him to win.

Abdelwahab is a huge favorite at -400; Barnett is +300. Connor finds the odds surprising.
"I think I'm gonna pick Chris Barnett. ... He will confuse and frustrate them."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Daniel Vreeland is confident in Abdelwahab's athleticism and power, calling this a significant step down in competition. He criticizes Barnett's age, obesity, and gimmicky style, and believes Abdelwahab will win easily, possibly by knockout. He notes that Barnett has already overachieved with two UFC wins and doesn't expect a third.

wins by KO
"I'm going to take the Egyptian Olympian Hamdi Abdel Wahhab to come out here and get back on track and possibly get a knockout."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Lucrative James picks Hamdy Abdelwahab confidently, calling Chris Barnett one of the worst fighters on the roster. He notes Barnett's massive size disadvantage (5'9" at heavyweight) and reliance on flashy moves like spinning wheel kicks, which have caused injuries. He believes Abdelwahab can out-jab him, take him down at will, and win by dominant decision or late finish when Barnett tires.

decision or late finish
"I'm definitely picked picking Hamdi Abdel Wahab here. ... Chris Barnett at this point, man, I mean, yeah, I just I can't pick him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

The host acknowledges Barnett's return from an Achilles injury but believes Abdelwahab's grappling, which he hasn't leaned on much, will be used to shut down Barnett's striking. He predicts Abdelwahab wins on the scorecards.

decision
"I think the grappling of Abdel Wahab... we'll see him lean on it this time to really shut Barnett's striking game down."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Paul agrees, calling Barnett a shell of himself after injuries and inactivity. He notes that Hamdy is an Olympic-level wrestler and will likely take Barnett down and control him. Paul believes Barnett's only win condition is a spinning kick KO, which is unlikely.

"Hamdy by boring, boring, you know, the tactics which are basically his only tactics."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

The MMA Guru picks Hamdy Abdelwahab by decision, but is hesitant. He notes that Chris Barnett is old, injury-prone, and has had knee and foot surgeries, but also sees value in Barnett as an underdog. He believes Abdelwahab can pressure Barnett, take him down, and knee him against the cage. However, he admits Barnett could win by TKO. He expects a 29-28 decision for Abdelwahab.

Chris Barnett is good value as an underdog; Abdelwahab by 29-28 decision
"I'm going to go with Hamdy Abdel Wahab. I just can't seriously go with Chris Barnett. He is good value, though."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Barnett

Zane also picks Barnett, noting that Abdelwahab has better fundamentals but is inexperienced and gasses easily. He believes Barnett's weirdness could be too much for Abdelwahab to handle, especially if Abdelwahab can't connect his game together. Zane also points out that Abdelwahab's only win is a split decision over Jamal Pogues and that he lost to Mohammed Usman.

"I don't see a reason not to pick Chris Barnett. Honestly, like I'm Abdel Wahab is he clearly has better fundamentals. Yeah, but he's had five pro fights."
TKO (knee to the body and punches) R1 4:27 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 51 of 74 68% 51 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Barnett 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 51 of 74 68% 51 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Barnett 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kennedy Nzechukwu 51 of 74 68% 28 of 50 22 of 23 1 of 1 50 of 73 0 of 0 1 of 1
Chris Barnett 12 of 34 35% 3 of 22 2 of 3 7 of 9 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 51 of 74 68% 28 of 50 22 of 23 1 of 1 50 of 73 0 of 0 1 of 1
Chris Barnett 12 of 34 35% 3 of 22 2 of 3 7 of 9 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu but is very hesitant. He notes Kennedy is taller, longer, and had a full camp, but warns that Kennedy 'kind of sucks' and was a massive favorite who lost to an older opponent in his last fight. He advises staying far away from betting on this fight due to the risk.

Stay far away from this fight; no bet recommended.
"I'm going to pick Kennedy he should win... but leave it the hell alone."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Big Brady picks Nzechukwu, noting his significant size advantage (6'5" vs 5'9" on paper, but Barnett is likely shorter). He believes Kennedy has many ways to win: knockout, submission, or decision. He acknowledges Kennedy can be inconsistent but cannot pick Barnett. He predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I think he does look minus 750 with a second round submission so I'll take Kennedy to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Cody picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his massive reach and height advantage. He notes that Barnett is old, overweight, and has low volume. Cody believes Nzechukwu's length and striking will keep Barnett at range, and that he will win by knockout in the second round. However, he warns that heavyweight fights are unpredictable.

"I got Kenny at the number"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Connor picks Nzechukwu, agreeing that Barnett is a total mess who can't consistently win rounds. He notes that Nzechukwu has the size to dominate but lacks confidence, but against Barnett, he should be able to use his reach and size to win. Connor is not confident in Nzechukwu long-term but sees this as a favorable matchup.

"Yeah, I guess I'm with you, but I do not think, no, I don't think in such a cool long-term, like the data is not there. It just doesn't have the confidence to be a heavyweight. You gotta be a …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Daniel Vreeland picks Kennedy Nzechukwu to win, citing massive advantages in size, reach, and level of competition. He notes that Barnett does not belong in the UFC and that Nzechukwu can win easily by takedown or striking. Vreeland believes the true price is around -900 and that Nzechukwu is a much worse matchup for Barnett than Junior Tafa.

"Kennedy's you know bigger better like an actual fighter"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Daniel Vreeland is taking the huge underdog Chris Barnett. He argues that Nzechukwu has awful cardio, no motivation to come in shape now that he doesn't have to cut weight, and gets knocked out. Barnett is a heavy puncher who has won two of his last three by knockout, and Vreeland sees value at +500.

"Chris Barnett you at plus 500 let's make this the fourth week in a row that I hit a plus 400 or better"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Jeff Fox is reluctantly picking Nzechukwu, pushed into a corner by Vreeland's strong argument for Barnett. He acknowledges Nzechukwu's cardio issues and lack of motivation but still believes he is better than Barnett's previous opponents. Fox seems uncomfortable with the pick but sticks with Nzechukwu.

"I just can't I can't stand here and let somebody talk about that Kennedy and zugu is much better than insert most UFC have"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Nzechukwu is a big favorite but tough to trust after his last performance. He should keep Barnett at bay and possibly find a finish after the 1.5 round mark. However, minus 700 is a bit too wide for comfort.

Nzechukwu wins by finish after 1.5 rounds; odds -700 considered too wide
"I do expect him to keep Barnett at Bay possibly find a finish over the one and a half round mark but I do think that en zuku wins this fight minus 700 is just a little bit too wide"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Paul picks Nzechukwu, agreeing that Barnett is a freak show fighter past his prime. He notes that Nzechukwu's reach and volume will be too much, and that Barnett's durability is questionable. Paul is confident Nzechukwu wins but avoids betting at heavy odds.

"Kennedy should have absolutely the volume the skill the reach"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

The Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing Barnett's long layoff (over two years), age (38), and questionable conditioning. He believes Nzechukwu's athleticism and range will allow him to pick apart Barnett. He notes Barnett's past fight cancellations and weight issues. The Guru predicts Nzechukwu will win by decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go with Kennedy Nzechukwu I think it'll take an athletic heavyweight with some pop behind his shots to put away Kennedy Nzechukwu."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Zane picks Nzechukwu despite his lack of power and confidence, because Barnett is a tiny heavyweight with no real tools besides confidence. Nzechukwu's size and reach will allow him to crowd Barnett and overwhelm him, though he expects a messy fight. Zane notes that Barnett has lost to other former light heavyweights and lacks durability.

"I'm going to pick him against Chris Barnett. I mean, it's very comical that we, we're talking about how he's more than big enough to be a big heavyweight. And his first opponent in the division is going to be …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Zane picked Nzechukwu, noting that Barnett is a fun fighter but not going to beat big heavyweights. He highlighted that Barnett injured his leg in the pre-fight intro and further during a wheel kick, which was predictable given his rushed recovery from an Achilles injury. Zane praised Nzechukwu's size and form but questioned his confidence, suggesting he may struggle against other big heavyweights.

"if he's fighting guys like barnet i'm gonna pick him every time because barnet is a ton of fun and a fun mean fighter but he's not gonna beat big heavyweights"
WIN vs Jake Collier
TKO (punches) R2 2:24 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Barnett 1 51 of 98 52% 57 of 107 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:26
Jake Collier 0 54 of 98 55% 83 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Barnett 1 42 of 81 51% 48 of 90 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:26
Jake Collier 0 16 of 37 43% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Chris Barnett 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jake Collier 0 38 of 61 62% 65 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Barnett 51 of 98 52% 40 of 85 10 of 12 1 of 1 28 of 70 13 of 16 10 of 12
Jake Collier 54 of 98 55% 48 of 89 1 of 4 5 of 5 25 of 51 1 of 5 28 of 42
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Barnett 42 of 81 51% 32 of 70 9 of 10 1 of 1 22 of 57 10 of 12 10 of 12
Jake Collier 16 of 37 43% 11 of 29 0 of 3 5 of 5 16 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chris Barnett 9 of 17 52% 8 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jake Collier 38 of 61 62% 37 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 15 1 of 4 28 of 42
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Angelo picks Jake Collier, noting he is tougher and more well-rounded. He thinks Chris Barnett will plant and throw big bombs looking for a knockout, which will allow Collier to outwork him. He believes the line is disrespectful to Barnett, but expects Collier to win by pressuring and using his grappling.

"I think Chris is just gonna plant throw big bombs looking to connect so I gotta go with Jay Collier here but I think this line's a bit disrespectful."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Big Brady picks Jake Collier to win inside the distance, calling Chris Barnett one of the worst heavyweights on the roster. He notes Barnett is undersized at 5'9", has poor takedown defense and cardio, while Collier has solid cardio and volume. He predicts Collier can finish via ground-and-pound or submission, specifically a second-round submission.

second round submission
"Jake Collier inside the distance... I'll say he wins by second round sub."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Cody picks Jake Collier, noting his volume, cardio, and ground game are superior. He points out that Barnett is a freak show fighter with no wrestling or grappling, and that he quit in his last fight. He believes Collier will dominate and likely win by submission, and mentions the Collier by submission prop at +900 (now +650).

Collier by submission at +650
"jake collier meanwhile these are just totals he's put up in various fights he landed 94 against marcel fortuna he landed 123 against john vellante"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Daniel Levi picks Jake Collier, calling him the more skilled fighter. He notes Collier's ground prowess as seen against Chase Sherman, and his spinning attacks. He warns that laying -400 on Collier is not a long-term winning strategy, but expects Collier to win. He also sends condolences to Barnett for personal issues.

"Pure pick is jay collier."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Jacob agrees, saying the playbook for Collier is to copy Martin Buday's approach: crowd Barnett, press him against the cage, and make it boring. He notes Barnett is athletic but needs space to shine, and Collier will take that away. He thinks Collier will lay on him and get the win.

"If you're Jake how you got to do it what Buday did and what you did to Arlovsky too just get in crowd them press them against the cage so just take that make it as boring as possible get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jake Collier

The host picks Jake Collier but is queasy about betting him at -410. He expects Collier to be the better overall fighter with better combinations and pace, and could finish late. He notes Barnett's power is a threat but trusts Collier's durability and versatility.

"I think Jake will touch him up... it is Jake parlay or pass essentially."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jake Collier

Paul picks Jake Collier, noting his pattern of never losing back-to-back fights. He believes Collier's volume and cardio will be too much for Barnett, who is undersized and has no intangible other than a puncher's chance. He says he won't bet Collier at -425 but expects him to win.

"i think jake collier is going to win i think he's got all the tools i think he absolutely dominates on volume cardio all of that good stuff"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Jake Collier

The MMA Guru picks Jake Collier to win by third-round TKO. He notes Chris Barnett has a massive cardio problem, while Collier pushes a hard pace. Barnett may land good shots early, including spinning techniques, but Collier will block or move out of the way and push forward. As Barnett slows, Collier will get a TKO via ground and pound in the third round.

third round TKO
"I'm going with Jake Collier and I'm going to pick Jake Collier to win this one by third round TKO"
LOSS vs Martin Buday
Technical Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 1:38 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Martin Buday 0 23 of 52 44% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Chris Barnett 1 56 of 83 67% 131 of 172 0 of 0 --- 0 0 7:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Martin Buday 0 9 of 24 37% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Barnett 0 20 of 29 68% 45 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:15
2 Martin Buday 0 10 of 24 41% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Chris Barnett 0 25 of 38 65% 66 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:08
3 Martin Buday 0 4 of 4 100% 7 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Barnett 1 11 of 16 68% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Martin Buday 23 of 52 44% 12 of 38 6 of 8 5 of 6 16 of 43 7 of 9 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 56 of 83 67% 30 of 56 25 of 26 1 of 1 23 of 44 29 of 32 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Martin Buday 9 of 24 37% 4 of 17 3 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 20 of 29 68% 8 of 17 11 of 11 1 of 1 10 of 18 10 of 11 0 of 0
2 Martin Buday 10 of 24 41% 5 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 2 8 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 25 of 38 65% 13 of 25 12 of 13 0 of 0 11 of 22 14 of 16 0 of 0
3 Martin Buday 4 of 4 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 11 of 16 68% 9 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 5 of 5 4 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Angelo sides with Martin Buday's power and the bookies, but is uncertain. He notes that Chris Barnett is athletic and dynamic, but Buday has heavy hands and technical striking. He mentions that Barnett was a step behind in his last fight until landing a spinning back kick. He considers live betting Barnett if he starts getting ahead on strikes.

considers live betting Chris Barnett if he starts to get ahead
"i honestly don't know what to do here but today's power is scary but chris's athleticism can absolutely get him for the win but for right now i'm gonna side with the power and the bookies"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by finish inside the distance, likely in the second round. He notes Buday is a natural heavyweight with a size advantage, good takedowns, and a brown belt in BJJ. He expects Buday to push Barnett against the cage, take him down, and finish with ground and pound or a submission. He criticizes Barnett's ground game and size disadvantage.

win inside the distance, round 2
"i like boudoir here i like him quite a bit i think he's going to finish uh barnett in that second round whether it's ground and pound or submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Cody picks Buday, noting his size and clinch game. He thinks Buday can control Barnett against the cage and grind him down. However, he acknowledges Barnett's striking power and unpredictability.

"i will go boody um but with barnett he's a freak show he'll bring the entertainment"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Daniel Levi picks Martin Buday, citing his size advantage and ability to wear on opponents with clinch work and knees to the thigh, as seen in his Contender Series win. He notes Buday gets hit but is tough, while Barnett is deceptively athletic for his size but likely to be overwhelmed by Buday's size and pressure. Levi is rooting for Barnett but picks Buday.

Mentions Buday's knees to the thigh and clinch work
"I'm gonna go with martin buday for the win."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick, calling it a 'dogger pass'. He notes the fight is low-level heavyweight with high variance. He mentions Barnett by knockout as a potential prop but is not confident.

Barnett by knockout +350 (not yet available)
"i'll say dogger pass low level heavyweight fight dog money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Martin Buday

The MMA Guru picks Martin Buday despite wanting Chris Barnett to win. He notes Buday's size and clinch pressure, and that Barnett struggles when pressured and against high pace. He expects Buday to win a 30-27 unanimous decision by clinching and grinding.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i am going with martin bidet getting this one done by pressuring chris barnett against a cage maybe by a decision"
WIN vs Gian Villante
TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) R2 2:23 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Barnett 0 30 of 51 58% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Gian Villante 1 38 of 70 54% 44 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Barnett 0 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Gian Villante 0 21 of 34 61% 24 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Barnett 0 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 1 17 of 36 47% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Barnett 30 of 51 58% 6 of 24 21 of 23 3 of 4 28 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0
Gian Villante 38 of 70 54% 13 of 41 4 of 5 21 of 24 28 of 52 1 of 1 9 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Barnett 22 of 40 55% 3 of 19 17 of 18 2 of 3 20 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
Gian Villante 21 of 34 61% 3 of 16 3 of 3 15 of 15 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chris Barnett 8 of 11 72% 3 of 5 4 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 17 of 36 47% 10 of 25 1 of 2 6 of 9 8 of 19 0 of 0 9 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Angelo picks Chris Barnett, citing his personal familiarity with Barnett from his time managing fighters in XFC. He describes Barnett as incredibly athletic and dynamic despite his appearance, with real power and surprising speed. He believes Villante is a middleweight who doesn't take his career seriously, and that Barnett will win via his diverse striking and power. He has a moneyline bet on Barnett.

Moneyline bet at -115 (BetOnline)
"i gotta go with chris here i gotta go with my guy chris honestly he's diverse he's got power john's lack of sort of career effort has me picking chris rooting for chris"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Big Brady picks Chris Barnett to win by decision, citing Barnett's cardio advantage over Gian Villante, who has notoriously poor stamina. He notes Villante has looked horrible at heavyweight, gassing out and even tapping to a non-existent submission. Barnett is undersized but can go 15 minutes, while Villante slows down drastically. Brady wants to stay away from this low-level fight but leans Barnett.

win by decision
"give me chris barnett to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Cody picks Barnett, emphasizing Villante's history of losing as a favorite and his retirement announcement. He notes Barnett's size and athleticism. He expects Villante to find a way to lose, making Barnett a live dog.

"the official pick would be uh chris the beast boy barnett"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Daniel Levi picks Chris Barnett, going against the grain. He criticizes Gian Villante's tendency to mess up fights, citing the Maurice Green loss and getting choked out. Levi notes that Barnett is explosive and has knockout power, but also has been knocked out by lower-level guys. He says it's a fight between two big guys swinging, and he trusts Barnett more than Villante, who he feels is unreliable.

"i'm gonna go chris barnett i can't really give you too much analysts on that one"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Chris Barnett. He notes that Barnett is the better athlete and that Villante's only path to victory is to make the fight boring. He believes the UFC is giving Barnett a showcase fight, and expects Barnett to throw spinning attacks and find a finish. He also mentions that Barnett can be found at plus money on BetOnline, which he took advantage of.

Moneyline bet at +105 (BetOnline)
"you can get them for plus 105 right now on bet online so you can get it for positive money i did it earlier today"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gian Villante

The host leans Villante due to a grappling edge and the retirement motivation, but he is not confident. He expects the fight to go to decision and advises against betting on it. He thinks Villante can take Barnett down and control him, but both have cardio issues.

"i'm gonna lean with gian volante given that he probably has a grappling edge here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

Paul picks Barnett, citing Villante's retirement announcement and history of underperforming as a favorite. He notes Barnett's athleticism and size advantage. He expects a sloppy fight but thinks Barnett's motivation gives him the edge.

"i'm going to go with chris chris barnett here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Chris Barnett

The Guru picks Chris Barnett, praising his taekwondo and stand-up skills despite his appearance. He criticizes Gian Villante's lack of conditioning and commitment, noting Villante's poor performances. The Guru believes Barnett has takedown defense and power, predicting a first-round KO, possibly via a wheel kick or spinning back kick to the body.

first round ko, wheel kick, spinning back kick to the body
"I'm gonna go with chris barnett here i trust chris barnett to get this one done."
LOSS vs Ben Rothwell
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:07 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ben Rothwell 0 60 of 101 59% 72 of 120 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:03
Chris Barnett 0 33 of 85 38% 34 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 51 58% 42 of 70 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:48
Chris Barnett 0 16 of 43 37% 17 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ben Rothwell 0 30 of 50 60% 30 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Chris Barnett 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ben Rothwell 60 of 101 59% 47 of 88 10 of 10 3 of 3 54 of 94 6 of 7 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 33 of 85 38% 20 of 69 4 of 5 9 of 11 31 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ben Rothwell 30 of 51 58% 20 of 41 8 of 8 2 of 2 24 of 44 6 of 7 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 16 of 43 37% 10 of 35 1 of 2 5 of 6 14 of 39 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ben Rothwell 30 of 50 60% 27 of 47 2 of 2 1 of 1 30 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Barnett 17 of 42 40% 10 of 34 3 of 3 4 of 5 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.

Rothwell by first-round knockout; inside the distance
"i still think he has what it takes to beat chris barnett and he should absolutely finish chris barnett here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.

Rothwell by submission (11-1), Rothwell by TKO
"ben rothwell submission 11-1 tell me why that's a bad idea"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.

"i think that this is a fight ben rothwell can win man um it's just that trusting rothwell at that price you can't do it these are heavyweights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.

"i do like ben rothball to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.

Rothwell by knockout (plus money)
"i'm going to pass on that i don't want ben roethlit three to one but yeah i can't deny he's the rightful favorite he's the rifle pick so i'll go with roswell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Ben Rothwell

The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.

"i'm going to go with ben rothwell in the second round by ground and pound tko"
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady confidently picks Rothwell, expecting an early finish via knockout or submission. He notes Barnett's low level of competition and tendency to give up his back, while Rothwell's experience and power should be enough. He suggests an inside-the-distance prop.

Rothwell by first-round knockout; inside the distance
"i still think he has what it takes to beat chris barnett and he should absolutely finish chris barnett here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Cody Saftic picks Ben Rothwell, noting that Barnett is a short, overweight heavyweight with poor cardio. He believes Rothwell will weather Barnett's early athleticism and then tire him out, eventually getting a TKO or submission. Saftic is intrigued by Rothwell by submission at 11-1, given Rothwell's history of submissions, but acknowledges Barnett has never been submitted. He suggests a small play on the prop.

Rothwell by submission (11-1), Rothwell by TKO
"ben rothwell submission 11-1 tell me why that's a bad idea"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Daniel Levi leans toward Ben Rothwell, noting that Rothwell has more UFC experience and that Chris Barnett has been knocked out by lesser competition. However, he is hesitant because Rothwell is at the worst point of his career, slow, and has not looked good in a long time. He calls it a dog or pass situation and says he cannot lay the price on Rothwell.

"i think that this is a fight ben rothwell can win man um it's just that trusting rothwell at that price you can't do it these are heavyweights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Matt picks Ben Rothwell to win by decision, but with low confidence. He acknowledges Chris Barnett is a live dog due to his deceptive athleticism and power, but thinks Rothwell's experience and clinch work will be enough. He is not trusting Rothwell at -310, as Rothwell doesn't always let his hands go. He expects a grinding decision rather than a finish.

"i do like ben rothball to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Paul Shaughnessy picks Rothwell but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Rothwell is past his prime and has looked slow, but Barnett is a short-notice replacement with a history of gassing. He believes Rothwell will eventually get the win, but at -300, he prefers to pass or look for a prop. He mentions that Rothwell by knockout is around even money, which might be a better play.

Rothwell by knockout (plus money)
"i'm going to pass on that i don't want ben roethlit three to one but yeah i can't deny he's the rightful favorite he's the rifle pick so i'll go with roswell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Ben Rothwell

The MMA Guru predicts Ben Rothwell will win by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He expects Chris Barnett to come out wild with spinning attacks and big bombs in the first round, but will gas out due to short notice and poor conditioning. Rothwell will then take him down and finish with ground and pound in the second round.

"i'm going to go with ben rothwell in the second round by ground and pound tko"