Career Averages - Ricardo Ramos
Career Averages - Bill Algeo
Ricardo Ramos
Bill Algeo
Ricardo Ramos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos, trusting his wrestling training at Team Alpha Male to be ahead in exchanges. He believes Ramos is the better striker and can keep the fight standing. However, he is shocked at the 2-to-1 odds and does not like them, noting Ramos has been taken down before and could be ridden out.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos despite being hesitant, as he considers Ramos the much more skilled fighter. He questions Ramos's durability, fight IQ, submission defense, and heart, noting he has been submitted multiple times and looked for ways out. He also questions Ofli's chin, grappling, wrestling, and striking. Brady expects Ramos to win by decision but acknowledges Ramos might beat himself.
Cody picks Ramos but is cautious, noting his lack of game plan and reliance on flashy techniques. He believes Ramos's size and experience advantage, plus training at Fighting Nerds, could lead to a win, but he's not confident at -175.
Lucrative James picks Ricardo Ramos, believing he is a level above Kaan Ofli, who hasn't proven to be UFC caliber. He notes Ramos's dangerous spinning attacks and submission skills, but also his tendency to gas out. He expects a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO. He is not very confident due to Ramos's inconsistency.
Manpreet leans towards Ramos but with low confidence, citing Ramos's recent poor form. He believes Ramos's takedown defense and grappling will force Ofli to strike, where Ramos is the better technical striker. He expects Ramos to win by decision, but notes that Ofli's wide hooks could be countered. He is not confident enough to bet the chalk.
Paul picks Ramos but is hesitant due to his volatility. He notes Ramos's higher ceiling and home crowd advantage, but acknowledges the risk of laying chalk on an inconsistent fighter. He expects a win but warns against heavy investment.
The MMA Guru picks Kaan Ofli over Ricardo Ramos, despite a rule against picking Ramos. He notes Ramos has lost 4 of his last 5 and is untrustworthy, while Ofli has good pressure and wrestling. He predicts a close decision win for Ofli based on control time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 37 of 91 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 85 of 162 | 52% | 125 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 49 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 34 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 37 of 91 | 40% | 17 of 63 | 14 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 84 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 85 of 162 | 52% | 59 of 122 | 9 of 14 | 17 of 26 | 64 of 132 | 14 of 19 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 15 of 28 | 53% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 28 of 49 | 57% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 42 of 67 | 62% | 29 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 38 of 63 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 14 of 39 | 35% | 5 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 15 of 46 | 32% | 6 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 10 | 13 of 40 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.
The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 70 of 127 | 55% | 92 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 27 of 118 | 22% | 39 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 2 of 31 | 6% | 3 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 12 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 36 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 24 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 70 of 127 | 55% | 40 of 91 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 26 | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 27 of 118 | 22% | 16 of 92 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 15 | 25 of 116 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 10 of 21 | 47% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 2 of 31 | 6% | 1 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 2 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 16 | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 10 of 33 | 30% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 26 of 45 | 57% | 18 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 15 of 54 | 27% | 10 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 13 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Culibao but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ricardo Ramos is dangerous everywhere and a live underdog. He thinks Culibao is a bit chinny and has mediocre takedown defense, but trusts his cardio and toughness to survive early chaos and find his rhythm. He notes that Ramos was just submitted in the first round but is still very good, and suggests the under 2.5 rounds might be a good bet.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision, but is hesitant. He believes skill-for-skill Ramos can hang on the feet and has all the grappling upside, as he is a BJJ black belt and Culibao has made mistakes on the mat. However, he is terrified because Ramos has a history of quitting and has been finished in all five of his UFC losses, including back-to-back guillotine submissions. He notes Culibao seems tough as nails. He expects a close, competitive fight with Ramos mixing in takedowns, but says he might not bet this one.
Cody sees Ramos as the more skilled fighter with good wrestling and BJJ, and notes that Culibao has poor takedown defense and has been controlled in recent fights. He acknowledges Ramos has been submitted in his last two but believes Culibao doesn't have the same submission threat. Cody calls it a dogger pass and takes the plus money.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, believing he has a clear path to victory via grappling and back takes. He notes that Culibao gives up his back and that Ramos is the more talented fighter, though durability and mental toughness are concerns. Vreeland sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and thinks the line should be closer to pick'em.
The host picks Ramos but with very low confidence, noting his gritty style and ability to dictate pace. He questions Ramos' technical advantages and recent performances, and also doubts Culibao's ability to thrive in wars. He expects a decision win for Ramos, but hopes Culibao wins.
Paul likes Culibao's brawling style and forward pressure, and questions Ramos' weight cut and recent performances. He notes that Culibao has been competitive in losses and that Ramos has been submitted quickly in his last two fights. Paul believes Culibao's volume and pressure will be enough to win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Culibao over Ricardo Ramos. He criticizes Ramos as a quitter who makes dumb decisions, such as rolling for legs and ending up on bottom, or jumping into guillotines. He praises Culibao as consistently good, with a good chin, pace, and rarely getting caught. He notes Culibao doesn't gas out or put himself in bad positions. He expects Ramos to make a mistake and get finished.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans towards Julian Erosa as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and ability to weather a storm and grind out a decision. He notes that Ramos is dangerous but also finishable, while Erosa is tough and can dog fights out. He will monitor the line movement for better value.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos, citing Julian Erosa's poor durability (knocked out seven times at featherweight) and low striking defense (47%). He notes Erosa is hittable and his chin is not getting better after back-to-back knockout losses. He expects Ramos to land something and knock Erosa out in the first round.
Cody picks Erosa as an underdog, citing his volume and unorthodox style. He acknowledges Erosa's weak chin but believes Ramos is not a big power puncher and may struggle with Erosa's pressure. Cody thinks Erosa can win by decision or late finish if he avoids getting knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos by first-round knockout, emphasizing that Erosa has a terrible chin and has been dropped multiple times. He believes Ramos should head-hunt and sell out for the finish, as Erosa is dangerous if the fight extends. He notes if it goes past the first round, all bets are off.
Ramos has the grappling edge and should be able to muzzle Erosa's unorthodox striking. Erosa is on a two-fight KO loss streak and may be on the chopping block. Ramos should dictate the pace and win on the scorecards, possibly even latching onto a submission. The fight going to decision is also appealing at plus money.
Paul picks Erosa by KO, noting Ramos's cardio issues and tendency to struggle when missing weight. He believes Erosa's volume and durability will overwhelm Ramos. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos over Julian Erosa, citing Ramos's finishing potential and Erosa's recent chin issues. He mentions Erosa's KO losses to Fernando Padilla and Alex Caceres, and a war with Steven Peterson that makes him doubt Erosa. He predicts a first-round KO for Ramos.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 0 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 9 | 88% | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 9 | 88% | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-135), Ramos (+114)
Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a potential banger at 145 pounds, as the wild and crazy Ramos (16-4, 7-3 UFC) throws down with a man in Jourdain (14-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) that properly represents his nickname of “Air” any time he can. Referee Herb Dean will join the two high-flying, frequently spinning, hard-swinging and extremely exciting combatants in the cage, hoping to not be struck by errant blows. Before the violence ensues, the featherweights tap their gloves together. Jourdain snaps into action with a body kick, and he swats away a front kick. Jourdain aims another kick to the midsection, where he leans back from three head kicks – the third grazes off his guard. Ramos tosses out a low kick, and he gets sniped with a right hand over the top. Jourdain slaps a head kick up high, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Ramos charges towards him for a possible takedown. Ramos jumps over the legs and is in Von Preux position with Jourdain still holding on with the guillotine, and he presses his shoulder down on Jourdain’s throat. Ramos pushes his weight down to keep Jourdain in submission danger, but he lets it go to re-posture himself. Jourdain keeps his left arm around the neck until Ramos wriggles his head out of it, and Ramos looks to sneak into side control while sitting comfortable in half guard. Jourdain turns to his side, and Ramos times this so he can pass.
Both men somersault in a wild scramble, and Jourdain recovers first to latch on with a guillotine choke and pulls guard. This time, the submission is extremely tight, and the Brazilian finds himself firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Ramos has no way out, and before going out on his shield, he taps out.
This is a huge win for the no-longer-.500 Jourdain, as he becomes the first fighter to submit Ramos since 2016.
The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Ricardo Ramos R1 3:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo gives a slight lean to Ramos, thinking he can pick his shots and work in takedowns. He notes Jourdain is tough but not technical, and if Ramos avoids the chaos, he can pot-shot his way to a win. Not insanely confident.
Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win by third-round knockout, citing durability as the key edge. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out in 21 fights, while Ramos has been finished in three of four losses. He expects a stand-up war and trusts Jourdain's third-round cardio and power. He acknowledges Ramos may have early wrestling success but thinks Jourdain will take over late.
Cody picks Charles Jourdain, highlighting his doggedness and ability to thrive in tough fights. He notes Ramos's weight cut issues (missed by 9 pounds) and tendency to fold under pressure. Jourdain's volume and durability should overwhelm Ramos, especially if the fight goes deep.
Daniel picks Jourdain due to consistency and maturity, contrasting Ramos's flakiness. He notes Jourdain improves as fights go on, with high volume in later rounds, while Ramos tends to fade or get finished early. He respects Ramos's talent but questions his work ethic and mental fortitude. He thinks Jourdain's durability and pressure will be too much, and he can win by knockout or decision.
Lucrative James leans Jourdain due to durability edge and pressure. He notes Ramos needs a perfect game with takedowns, while Jourdain can have big moments on the feet. He thinks Jourdain may drop Ramos if the fight stays standing. However, he hasn't fully taped the fight and wants to review Ramos's top control.
The host picks Ramos (Hakaru Hokamura) as a plus 120 underdog, expecting him to use a grapple-heavy approach to neutralize Jourdain's striking. He notes Jourdain's takedown defense issues and that Ramos has improved his wrestling at Team Alpha Male. He believes Ramos will mix in takedowns behind his striking, control Jourdain on the mat, and win a decision.
Paul picks Ramos pending weigh-ins, citing his takedown-heavy game plan from the Bill Algeo fight. He thinks Ramos can control Jourdain on the ground, but is concerned about Ramos's weight cut. He would swap if Ramos looks sick at weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, acknowledging he is 'too fun to be good' but believes he has the skills to win. He notes Jourdain's recent win over Kron Gracie and his training camp for this fight. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for fading in fights and being wild, while Jourdain is durable and technical. He predicts Jourdain will catch Ramos in round two with crisper striking, as Ramos swings wildly and Jourdain counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Danny Chavez | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Danny Chavez | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 14 | 28% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Chavez | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 14 | 28% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Chavez | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos by decision, citing his ability to adjust his game plan based on opponent (striking vs grappler). He notes Ramos' dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he will win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Danny Chavez's toughness and durability.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision. He notes Ramos is nine years younger, has a five-inch reach advantage, and is improving at a good gym. He believes Chavez is dangerous early with power but fades, and Ramos can mix in takedowns and win a decision if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Ramos, citing his BJJ, reach advantage, and improving striking. He notes Chavez's low volume and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Ramos can win by submission or decision and suggests Ramos by submission at +400.
Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Ramos, believing the 26-year-old has high potential and will finally put together a complete performance. He notes Ramos has shown flashes of brilliance and has good wins, while Danny Chavez is a finished product at 35. Levi warns about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks Ramos can avoid them and win everywhere else. He is confident Ramos will get the job done.
Paul likes Ramos' skill set but is wary of the -300 price. He thinks Ramos should win but the line is too high. He agrees with Cody's assessment of Chavez's limitations.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos, citing his youth (26 vs 35), reach advantage, and recent good performances. He believes Ramos has found himself at featherweight and has unorthodox techniques. He worries about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks the range difference will allow Ramos to control engagements. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 68 of 224 | 30% | 71 of 227 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 77 of 181 | 42% | 78 of 185 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 15 of 66 | 22% | 15 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 21 of 72 | 29% | 21 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 31 of 68 | 45% | 31 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 0 | 32 of 86 | 37% | 35 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 27 of 70 | 38% | 28 of 74 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubaira Tukhugov | 68 of 224 | 30% | 49 of 187 | 10 of 19 | 9 of 18 | 67 of 223 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 77 of 181 | 42% | 73 of 174 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 77 of 181 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 15 of 66 | 22% | 9 of 50 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 10 | 15 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 21 of 72 | 29% | 14 of 63 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 31 of 68 | 45% | 27 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zubaira Tukhugov | 32 of 86 | 37% | 26 of 74 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 27 of 70 | 38% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Zubaira Tukhugov to win a close decision. He thinks the fight will be competitive on the feet, but Tukhugov's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Tukhugov has a 100% takedown defense and averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He expects a very close fight and would not touch the moneyline.
Cody leans towards Ramos at +145, citing Tukhugov's untrustworthiness and tendency for split decisions. He notes Tukhugov's wrestling isn't as good as other Russians and he gasses. Ramos showed improved wrestling against Bill Algeo. He thinks this is a pick'em fight and likes the underdog value.
Daniel picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, citing his talent and ability. He notes Ramos has all the skills but is inconsistent mentally. Daniel believes if Ramos shows up, he can win by being more active and fresher down the stretch. He mentions Tukhugov's cardio issues and low output as vulnerabilities. Daniel is willing to roll the dice at the odds.
Tukhugov has power and takedowns, but fades in the third round and has been in many split decisions. Ramos is crafty on the ground and has durability issues. Tukhugov likely wins the first two rounds and holds on for a decision, but it's risky.
Paul is hesitant but leans Tukhugov, noting the 'team Russia' factor in Abu Dhabi might give him an edge. He acknowledges Tukhugov's flaws (low output, close decisions) but thinks Ramos also has low output. He expects a close decision that could go Tukhugov's way.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos as an upset. He is not sold on Zubaira Tukhugov, citing cardio issues and a tendency to slow down. He notes that Ramos has good body work, is dangerous under pressure, and can land spinning elbows. He expects Ramos to be busier on the ground and scramble more, winning a split decision 29-28. He mentions that Tukhugov often lets fights slide.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 53 of 102 | 51% | 57 of 106 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 90 of 187 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 19 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 20 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 37 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 53 of 102 | 51% | 30 of 72 | 16 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 45 of 93 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 76 of 170 | 44% | 35 of 111 | 25 of 40 | 16 of 19 | 71 of 161 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 17 of 27 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 17 of 41 | 41% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 15 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 32 | 56% | 11 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 30 of 63 | 47% | 14 of 42 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 43 | 41% | 10 of 31 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 29 of 66 | 43% | 14 of 46 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.
Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.
Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.
Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.
The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.
Bill Algeo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dooho Choi | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 32 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 17 of 49 | 34% | 38 of 74 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dooho Choi | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 13 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 23 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:02 | |
| 2 | Dooho Choi | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dooho Choi | 21 of 35 | 60% | 15 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Bill Algeo | 17 of 49 | 34% | 11 of 36 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 8 | 14 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dooho Choi | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 6 of 12 | 50% | 5 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Dooho Choi | 16 of 27 | 59% | 10 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Bill Algeo | 11 of 37 | 29% | 6 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-166), Choi (+140)
Round 1
Action is on the menu for this potential featherweight brawl—good luck living up to the match that preceded this one—with Choi (14-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC) aiming for his first win since 2016 while Algeo (18-8, 5-4 UFC) tries to keep himself above .500 in the Octagon. Both men do not shy away from a slugfest, and referee Herb Dean will hope to keep a lid on things and not get hit with any errant blows. The two touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Choi positions himself in the center of the cage ready to advance. Algeo pushes forward and lets fly a body kick, and he jumps forward and swings his way into a single-leg takedown entry. Choi jumps guard with a guillotine choke to defend it, and Algeo fights it by pushing off Choi’s face. As Algeo bucks, he manages to get out of the choke, and his red face turns back to its standard shade. The two find themselves in the clinch, with Choi landing soft knees to the inner thigh. Choi hits a hip toss and lands in side control, keeping his arm draped around the chest like a seatbelt as Algeo tries to get up. Choi latches on with a rear-naked choke, and when Algeo stands up, he wags his finger to signal that the choke is not at the right angle and will not catch him. “Senor Perfecto” bucks Choi off of him and dumps him to the ground, where he establishes top position. The South Korean does not stay grounded for long, working his way up to his feet thanks to the fence behind him. Choi looks to trip Algeo out, and Algeo tosses him aside. They touch gloves when separating, and Algeo is fired up and ready to trade. Algeo cracks “The Korean Superboy” with a huge right hand and spins with an elbow that smashes Choi right in the face, but his balance does not falter. Algeo changes levels and sets Choi on his seat, keeping Choi down for a few seconds before Choi fights back to his feet and gets upright. Choi drives two knees to the forehead before Algeo drops to one knee, and Choi lands an illegal knee that is not called. Choi jumps guard for another guillotine, and Algeo pops his head out with 10 seconds to spare in the wild round. Algeo concludes the first frame on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Round 2
The fighters touch gloves before resuming the madness, and Algeo quickly darts forward twice and pulls back as many times. Choi reaches his man with a right hand, and Algeo comes over the top with an overhand right. Choi counters with a big right, and Algeo cocks his head to the side to acknowledge the blow. They trade leg kicks, and Choi walks face-first into a check left hook. Choi blinks it out several times and wipes his eye, and he dips back to dodge a head kick. Algeo pushes off with a side kick, and they hand-fight until Algeo crashes the pocket throwing hands. Choi escapes the worst of the blows and snaps off a quick jab. Leg kicks are once more traded, and Choi digs a right hand to the midsection. Algeo scores a side kick and has a sudden spinning hook kick bounce off the raised guard. Choi catches his man with a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and tosses back two head kicks. Algeo looks to counter a jab with two looping hooks, and he spins with a back fist that grazes the cheek and results in a clinch. Choi turns him around and chucks Algeo to the mat like a side of beef, and Algeo stands right back up and drops to a knee to prevent knees from catching him on the chin. Choi holds on from above, and the two scramble until Algeo tags him with an elbow. Choi makes him pay with two crisp punches, and Algeo returns fire. Choi splits Algeo open with a one-two, and it appears to have damaged Algeo’s eye socket or otherwise compromised “Senor Perfecto.”
Choi races towards his opponent, and he is met with a spinning back elbow that bounces off the shoulder. Choi slugs the Pennsylvanian in the face with a brutal left hand, and Algeo turns and the pain suddenly overtakes him. Algeo turns, wags his finger as if to say enough is enough, and drops to a knee.
Dean sees that Algeo’s goose is cooked, and he rushes in between the fighters to call a halt to the hard-swinging contest. Choi sprints away to celebrate with his corner, including the beloved “Korean Zombie,” having picked up his first win since 2016.
The Official Result
Doo Ho Choi def. Bill Algeo R2 3:38 via TKO (Submission to Punch)
Angelo picks Bill Algeo because he is far more active than Dooho Choi, who hasn't won in eight years. He acknowledges that Algo has burned bettors before and advises staying away from betting. He is not confident but chooses Algeo due to activity and experience.
Cody also picks Algeo, emphasizing Choi's one-round style and the fact that he gave up five takedowns to Kyle Nelson. He thinks Algeo can take Choi down and control him, and that Choi's chin is compromised after multiple knockouts. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Choi doesn't finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, stating that Dooho Choi has never been the same since the Cub Swanson fight in 2016. He notes Choi's inactivity and lack of confidence, while Algeo is more active and skilled. Vreeland acknowledges Choi's power but believes Algeo can outwork him over three rounds.
Algeo is a -160 favorite. He has an unorthodox striking style and excellent cardio, which should cause problems for Choi, who is inactive and has a questionable chin. Algeo can land big shots and potentially finish Choi within the first two rounds. Choi hasn't won since 2016 and inactivity works against him.
Paul picks Algeo, citing Choi's decline since the Cub Swanson fight, his inability to win outside the first round, and his poor takedown defense. He notes Algeo has a wrestling background, a BJJ black belt, and can mix in takedowns. He expects Algeo to outwork Choi as the fight goes on.
The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Dooho Choi. He describes Algeo as tricky and unorthodox, and believes Choi's style works best against aggressive opponents. He notes Choi's long layoff and recent draw with Kyle Nelson, while Algeo has a win over Joe Anderson Brito. He predicts Algeo will survive Choi's early power and take over in rounds two and three with volume and cage work.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 44 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 32 of 59 | 54% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 44 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 32 of 59 | 54% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 30 of 58 | 51% | 11 of 34 | 11 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 30 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 32 of 59 | 54% | 20 of 45 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 30 of 58 | 51% | 11 of 34 | 11 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 30 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 32 of 59 | 54% | 20 of 45 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo leans Bill Algeo but is not very confident. He highlights Algeo's karate-style striking, high volume, and BJJ black belt, but notes he gets hit a lot. He thinks Kyle Nelson's forward pressure could be tricky. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds as a safer bet, expecting a decision.
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by third-round finish. He notes Algeo is a fast-paced striker who lands over six significant strikes per minute, and expects him to push a pace that Kyle Nelson cannot keep up with. Brady believes Nelson's recent fights have been slow and boring, but Algeo will force him to work and break him late.
Cody likes Algeo's volume, cardio, and durability, believing he can outwork Nelson. He notes Nelson's improved cardio but thinks Algeo's pace and output will be too much, likely winning by decision or late finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, citing his high volume and pace. He thinks Algeo's pressure and output will overwhelm Nelson, who has a history of gassing. He notes Nelson's recent style change but believes Algeo won't give him space to rest. He predicts Algeo by decision or late finish.
Algeo is on a 4-1 run with unorthodox movement and effective leg kicks. He picks opponents apart from distance and has solid BJJ. Nelson has improved but still relies on crashing the pocket; Algeo's lateral movement and counters should cause Nelson to chase and slow down. Algeo by decision is likely, with potential for a late finish.
Paul compares this fight to Algeo's win over Corano, expecting Algeo to overwhelm Nelson with volume. He mentions a potential round 3 prop for Algeo but sees decision as most likely.
The host picks Bill Algeo, calling him underrated and tricky. He likes Algeo's win over Joe Anderson Brito and his performance against Andre Fili. He thinks Algeo has more options and will 'weird' Nelson with unorthodox techniques. He predicts a decision win for Algeo.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 75 of 156 | 48% | 76 of 157 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 1 | 110 of 244 | 45% | 119 of 257 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 0 | 27 of 61 | 44% | 27 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 1 | 44 of 89 | 49% | 52 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 32 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 0 | 39 of 94 | 41% | 40 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 75 of 156 | 48% | 25 of 80 | 45 of 66 | 5 of 10 | 75 of 154 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 110 of 244 | 45% | 46 of 156 | 33 of 50 | 31 of 38 | 108 of 241 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 16 of 39 | 41% | 1 of 12 | 11 of 19 | 4 of 8 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 27 of 61 | 44% | 6 of 28 | 7 of 15 | 14 of 18 | 27 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 28 of 59 | 47% | 12 of 35 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 44 of 89 | 49% | 21 of 62 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 11 | 43 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bill Algeo | 31 of 58 | 53% | 12 of 33 | 19 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Hernandez | 39 of 94 | 41% | 19 of 66 | 13 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 38 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-135), Hernandez (+114)
Round 1
Switching over to the main card, but still broadcasting on ESPN+ stateside, two featherweights right on the borderline of .500 UFC records will collide with intentions of stay on the right side of that line. Former lightweight Hernandez (14-6, 6-5 UFC) will try again in the lower weight division of 145 pounds, and Algeo (17-7, 4-3 UFC) will welcome him back down with bad intentions. With oversight and not a lick of nonsense from referee Keith Peterson, the two men tap their gloves together. Algeo switches stances when he starts the fight, reaching out with kicks from both legs. Hernandez swings a head kick at him that buzzes past his hair, and Algeo avoids it and salutes the strike. Both men trade low kicks, and Hernandez goes after one to the body. Algeo checks a kick and kicks the calf back, and he leans back from a power right hand that misses him by a small margin. Hernandez kicks his foe in the chest, and Algeo springs into action with two hooks and a high kick. Hernandez ricochets off the fencing to reset, and he leans low to block a head kick before the full power is on it. Hernandez aims punches to the midsection, and he opens up the head with these strikes. “The Great Ape” connects with a solid leg kick, and he ducks a head kick. Algeo kicks him in the gut with a side kick and sends him flying, and Hernandez springs back to his feet and is ready to block a spinning kick fired his way. Hernandez goes up high with his shin, and Algeo is able to defend against it and chip at the lead wheel with another kick. Algeo targets the body with a kick, and he snaps out a jab, and turns a full rotation to spin with a kick to the body. Algeo looks for an intercepting knee when Hernandez ducks to punch the body, and Hernandez aims his heavy strikes that are coming up just short. Hernandez digs punches to the midsection, and he keeps his guard up high in time to defend against a hook kick. Hernandez fires back with a kick that glances off the shoulder of his foe, and Algeo replies with a number of pawing jabs. Hernandez sweeps out with a body kick, and Algeo is right there to give him a low kick back when he sets his leg down. Hernandez looks for a leaping combination, only for Algeo to shoulder roll every blow and circle on the outside. Algeo threatens with a kick and a spin kick, but Hernandez does not bite on them and lets him turn back around. One body kick from Algeo concludes the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Round 2
Round 2 begins with a half-hearted glove touch, and Hernandez follows it quickly with a kick to the ribs. Hernandez loads up on a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and jabs the body. Hernandez puts power behind his strikes, and Algeo stays elusive and meets him with a knee up the middle. Algeo ducks a haymaker, and a second strike from “The Great Ape” bounces off the chest. Algeo jabs the nose and body, and Hernandez starts to crowd him and force exchanges in the pocket. The Texan parries a few punches and comes back with a big right hand, and Algeo turns to the side and lets it glide past him. Algeo fires off a right hand to the eye socket, and Hernandez complains that it was an eye poke. Peterson calls time and allows Hernandez to recover, and replays show it was the knuckle of Algeo’s thumb that jammed into the eye – which could be considered a legal blow. However, if Algeo’s thumb was not locked into the fist, it would be the legitimate foul, and Hernandez continues to take the time he needs as Peterson brings in the doctor to check his condition. After two minutes and 15 seconds, Hernandez informs the medical staff and Peterson that he is good to go, and the fighters touch gloves and have no ill will about the perceived foul. The action begins immediately, and Hernandez is headhunting with power strikes and stalking Algeo down. Algeo skirts on the outside and lands a few kicks to varying targets, with his intention of keeping Hernandez missing while he fights at his preferred range. Hernandez loads up on everything, and a few right hands get Algeo’s attention. When one solid right hook slams into Algeo’s chin, Algeo is energized and starts putting some power into his own strikes as well. Algeo turns his hips into a low kick, and a straight left hand that follows sits Hernandez down. Hernandez pops back up and ties Algeo up, trying to get his bearings back after getting his bell rung. The two separate, and Hernandez comes back with a vengeance. Algeo slips to the side and jumps at his man with a knee that pops into the nose, bloodying it up instantly. Algeo spins with an elbow that clacks into Hernandez’ cheek, and Hernandez tanks it and is loaded for bear. Hernandez plods forward and digs a punch to the body, and he chains a head kick into it that makes Algeo shake his head. Hernandez targets the body and goes up high, and Algeo leans back to take the worst out of it. The round ends with both fighters trading.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Round 3
The featherweights are amped up and ready to finish the fight off with style, as the limited crowd gives it up for the two fighters. Hernandez races out of his corner with bad intentions, throwing hammers until he bullies Algeo to the wall and goes after a takedown. Algeo shuts it down and pushes Hernandez back, and he busts Hernandez in the chops with a straight right hand. Algeo stays loose while Hernandez is a coiled string, and Hernandez just misses a counter left that is a bit too low to find the chin. Algeo uses his traditional martial arts stance to put two side kicks on the chest in rapid succession, as range-keeping weapons that disrupt the bombs Hernandez looks to throw. Algeo suddenly whips a kick up high to hurt Hernandez, and he strings several punches into a body kick to conclude it with an exclamation point. Hernandez is tough as nails, as he swings back with all his might, with looping right hooks and heavy kicks to the body. Algeo reaches his man with a sweeping right hook and a left to the body, and Hernandez gives him a hard right hand back on the chin. Hernandez follows it with a second, and Algeo cannot quite shoulder roll that one. Algeo dings his man with a left hand with his thumb outstretched, and Hernandez tells Peterson he was poked in the eye again. Peterson asks Hernandez to keep fighting, and he does just that. Both men keep trading, with Hernandez kicking the body and aiming a few to the head as well. Hernandez steps in with a right hand on the jaw, and he slams his shin on the waist to follow. Algeo meanders back, and Hernandez blasts him with a huge right hook. Algeo takes it and does not bat an eye, instead going right back at his foe and making sure to not allow Hernandez to land strikes for free. Hernandez continues to stalk Algeo down, unloading anything he can throw, and they both land massive shots at the same time. Algeo tags Hernandez with a knee, Hernandez cracks him with a right, and Algeo trips him up and throws him to the mat. Hernandez climbs back up, and the scrap comes to a conclusion.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
The Official Result
Bill Algeo def. Alexander Hernandez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo, citing Alexander Hernandez's poor cardio, durability, and heart. He notes that Hernandez has been finished in the second round in most of his losses and that Algeo is tough, has never been knocked out, and can maintain a high pace. He expects Hernandez to win the first round but fade, allowing Algeo to secure a second-round finish, either by knockout or submission.
Cody picks Hernandez, noting his athleticism, power, and improved cardio. He believes Hernandez is still in his prime and that Algeo's lack of physicality and takedown defense will be exploited. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Hernandez fades, but expects Hernandez to win.
Daniel Levi picks Alexander Hernandez hesitantly, acknowledging his history as a 'talented flake' but seeing improvement in his last fight against Jim Miller. He believes Hernandez is the better athlete, faster, and more explosive, but questions his mental consistency. He notes that Bill Algeo has lost to similar talented flakes like Ricardo Ramos and Andre Fili. Levi thinks if Hernandez keeps his composure, he can win, but it's a tough call.
Lucrative James bet Hernandez as an underdog and sees him winning round one at a high clip, possibly by knockout. He believes Hernandez's wrestling is underrated and he can get takedowns at will. He thinks Algeo does not have the pressure or pace of Billy Quarantillo or Drew Dober, so Hernandez won't gas as badly. He calculates Hernandez should be around -150 based on round-by-round analysis.
Algeo has a better gas tank and an unorthodox style that will trouble Hernandez. Hernandez has a history of slowing down in later rounds, and Algeo's awkward movement and pressure should wear on him. Algeo may even get a late submission. The line movement toward Hernandez makes Algeo even more valuable. Expect Algeo to pull away in the second and third rounds.
Paul picks Hernandez, citing his superior athleticism and power. He notes that Algeo is not physically strong and has been taken down in every UFC fight. Hernandez's wrestling and striking should be enough to win, and Paul likes the plus money value.
The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Alexander Hernandez. He believes Algeo is very tricky to finish and underrated, with wins over Joe Anderson Brito and Herbert Burns. He criticizes Hernandez's cardio at featherweight, noting he gassed after round one against Quarantillo. He predicts Algeo will capitalize on Hernandez's mistakes and get a third-round finish, possibly by submission or TKO. He also mentions Algeo's potential for a post-fight mic moment.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 1 | 64 of 110 | 58% | 77 of 123 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 46 of 91 | 50% | 49 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 45 of 85 | 52% | 48 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 39 of 77 | 50% | 42 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 1 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 29 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:39 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 64 of 110 | 58% | 44 of 81 | 6 of 13 | 14 of 16 | 48 of 94 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 11 |
| T.J. Brown | 46 of 91 | 50% | 34 of 78 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 76 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 45 of 85 | 52% | 26 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 13 of 14 | 43 of 83 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 39 of 77 | 50% | 28 of 65 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 64 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 19 of 25 | 76% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 11 |
| T.J. Brown | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks T.J. Brown as an underdog, citing his high pace, solid striking, and good grappling with almost 4 takedowns per fight. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (38%) and that Algeo doesn't use his wrestling offensively. He expects Brown to get takedowns, set the pace, and win a decision. He has a quarter-unit bet on Brown at +140.
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by submission in the second or third round. He notes Algeo's poor takedown defense but excellent get-up game and scrambling. He expects Brown to have early success with takedowns but tire, allowing Algeo to take over and potentially submit him, as Brown has been submitted before.
Cody notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (55%) but his cardio and BJJ are excellent. He expects Brown to get early takedowns but fade, allowing Algeo to take over with volume. He sees Algeo winning by decision or late stoppage.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Algeo's strong start doesn't walk him into danger and that Algeo's pressure and range control will allow him to rack up damage early. He also mentions Algeo's height advantage and active kicking game.
Algeo's unorthodox striking and scrambling ability will be too much for Brown. Brown's path to victory is grappling, but Algeo is hard to hold down and creates scrambles. Algeo's cardio and striking volume should win rounds. Expect a decision, as both are durable and finishes are unlikely.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Algeo's cardio and Jiu-Jitsu. He thinks Brown's wrestling will be effective early but he'll tire, and Algeo will take over in later rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo, citing his unorthodox striking, length, and takedown defense (55%). He believes Algeo will keep the fight standing and outpoint Brown, who relies on wrestling. He notes Brown's recent win over Eric Silva but thinks Algeo's tricky style and output will edge a close fight.
Zane picks Algeo because he starts strong and puts too much information into TJ Brown's computer for him to adjust in time. He notes Algeo's hyper-aggressive style, good kicking game, and height advantage, and believes Brown's slow starts will cost him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fili | 0 | 59 of 142 | 41% | 67 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 81 of 170 | 47% | 151 of 246 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Fili | 0 | 19 of 56 | 33% | 19 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 30 of 61 | 49% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andre Fili | 0 | 32 of 68 | 47% | 32 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 41 of 86 | 47% | 46 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Andre Fili | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:49 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 74 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fili | 59 of 142 | 41% | 48 of 125 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 7 | 59 of 141 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 81 of 170 | 47% | 38 of 113 | 17 of 27 | 26 of 30 | 80 of 168 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Fili | 19 of 56 | 33% | 16 of 51 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 30 of 61 | 49% | 9 of 37 | 9 of 10 | 12 of 14 | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andre Fili | 32 of 68 | 47% | 25 of 61 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 41 of 86 | 47% | 21 of 59 | 7 of 13 | 13 of 14 | 40 of 84 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andre Fili | 8 of 18 | 44% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 10 of 23 | 43% | 8 of 17 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Algeo as an underdog, citing his pressure, pace, and durability. He notes that Fili is talented but coming off a bad knockout and may be gun-shy. Angelo believes Algeo will push the pace and win a decision. He placed a moneyline bet at +115.
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision, taking the dog. He acknowledges that Andre Fili is the better striker and has fought tougher competition, but Brady favors Algeo's high volume and cardio. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an excellent get-up game, so Fili likely won't hold him down. Brady expects Algeo to overwhelm Fili with output and win a close decision. He also mentions that Fili's output is low (3.82 significant strikes per minute) and his accuracy is 36%.
Cody agrees, noting Fili's wrestling and clinch work will exploit Algeo's takedown defense. He thinks Fili is smoother on the feet and will win a decision. He also mentions the prize picks line for Fili's significant strikes is 50.5, but he might avoid that due to potential wrestling-heavy game plan.
Daniel Levi picks Bill Algeo at plus 115 odds, placing one unit. He sees this as a coin flip fight and prefers the dog odds. He highlights Algeo's durability, volume, and ability to scramble back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Fili's long UFC career and tendency to have close fights, and thinks Algeo can pull away late with volume. He expects a competitive fight that could go either way.
Jacob picks Fili, believing he is the more talented and well-rounded fighter. He notes that Algeo is tough but lacks knockout power, so Fili can implement his game plan of bouncing in and out and mixing in takedowns. Jacob acknowledges that Fili has lost fights he should win but thinks this is a perfect matchup for him.
This is a 50-50 fight but Fili has more tools, mixing striking with takedowns. Algeo has good BJJ defensively but his takedown defense is a weakness. Fili is fighting with his back against the wall and should put together a full MMA game. Algeo's flashy striking can be dangerous but Fili's veteran experience and wrestling should edge him a decision.
Paul thinks Fili's wrestling advantage will be key, as Algeo has poor takedown defense. He notes Fili looked great against Pineda before the no-contest and that the flash KO loss to Brito is overblown. Paul expects Fili to mix in takedowns and win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Andre Fili by decision. He notes Bill Algeo is on short notice and has a child due soon, which may affect his cardio. He thinks Algeo struggles against well-rounded, durable fighters who can go the distance, like Ricardo Ramos and Ricardo Lamas. He believes Fili has great cardio and won't have to worry about power since Algeo has no power. He expects Fili to win a decision, and advises betting on Fili if he becomes an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 81 of 104 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:26 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 24 of 30 | 80% | 65 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 16 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 28 of 36 | 77% | 21 of 28 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 30 |
| Herbert Burns | 10 of 12 | 83% | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 24 of 30 | 80% | 19 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 26 |
| Herbert Burns | 10 of 12 | 83% | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bill Algeo confidently, citing Algeo's pressure, wrestling defense, and BJJ black belt to neutralize Burns' grappling. He notes Burns' two-year layoff and Algeo's impressive win over Joe Anderson Brito. He has a moneyline bet on Algeo at -160.
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an elite get-up game and a black belt in BJJ, making him hard to hold down. He thinks Burns's cardio will fade after the first round, allowing Algeo to take over on the feet. He mentions a late finish is possible if Burns gasses.
Cody picks Algeo but dislikes the -205 price. He argues that Burns has a terrible gas tank and will fade after the first round, while Algeo has high output and good submission defense. He expects Algeo to survive early takedowns and then overwhelm Burns in later rounds.
Daniel Levi does not make a clear pick, viewing it as a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Algeo's takedown defense issues and Burns's submission threat, but also Burns's cardio and weight cut concerns. He sees Algeo winning the later rounds if he survives, but the -200 price on Algeo is too high for his liking.
Paul also picks Algeo but is not confident, noting that Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Burns is physically strong. He believes Burns will take Algeo down early, but Algeo's BJJ black belt and cardio should allow him to survive and win later rounds. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round.
The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Herbert Burns, noting Burns' tendency to fade after the second round and Algeo's durability. He mentions Algeo's solid chin and ability to take big shots, as seen in fights against Joe Anderson Brito and Spike Carlyle. He predicts Algeo will survive early rounds and dominate later, winning by decision (29-28 or 29-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 59 of 118 | 50% | 112 of 176 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:02 |
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 40 of 104 | 38% | 46 of 110 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 28 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:12 |
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 5 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:59 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 38 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 3 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 29 of 67 | 43% | 46 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 59 of 118 | 50% | 44 of 90 | 10 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 32 of 85 | 17 of 23 | 10 of 10 |
| Joanderson Brito | 40 of 104 | 38% | 24 of 83 | 5 of 9 | 11 of 12 | 39 of 97 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 11 of 17 | 64% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Joanderson Brito | 2 of 14 | 14% | 0 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 19 of 34 | 55% | 13 of 23 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 19 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
| Joanderson Brito | 16 of 38 | 42% | 12 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bill Algeo | 29 of 67 | 43% | 25 of 57 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 53 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 |
| Joanderson Brito | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 40 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Our ESPN main card will kick off with a featherweight scrap pitting Algeo (14-6, 1-2 UFC) against a newcomer nicknamed “Shark” in Portuguese – “Tubarao “ – in Brito (12-2-1, 0-0 UFC). “Senor Perfecto” will aim to lift his UFC record to .500, all while attempting to make Brito’s debut end poorly. The third man in the cage will be referee
Keith Peterson
, who just buried all of the nonsense alive out back. The fighters touch gloves before handling their business, and Brito is fired up as he rushes after Algeo immediately. Algeo fires first, with a big body kick that makes Brito practically run at him to clinch up. The featherweights trade short knees while tied up, and Brito aims for a double-leg takedown. Algeo defends the takedown by hopping up off the ground, but this strips his base away from him and allows Brito to lean forward and plop him down on the mat. The American scrambles back to his feet, and he fights off a mat return while Brito has his hands locked around Algeo’s waist. Like he was setting down a heaping helping of Country Breakfast, the newcomer Brito channels his
Matt Hughes
and picks Algeo all the way in the air and walks him across the cage to slam him down. Algeo hits the ground hard, and Brito quickly circles around to take his back after the emphatic takedown. The Brazilian gets his hooks in and starts hunting for a rear-naked choke, switching from one hand to the other until Algeo explodes and turns around to put Brito’s back to the mat. Brito keeps an open guard as Algeo starts to unload with ground-and-pound, with short elbows and heavy chest pressure to disallow “Tubarao” to thrash and get afloat again. Brito throws his legs up when Algeo stands to find a better angle, and this lets him stand up and try to turn the tables on Algeo. “Senor Perfecto” perfectly sprawls to stifle Brito’s attempt, and when they stand, Brito swings for the fences and misses. Brito is throwing everything into his strikes, and Algeo remains calm and is more content to touch his opponent. Brito loads up and then pushes forward for a takedown entry, and Algeo stands tall, knees his man in the thigh and circles out. Algeo gets off a jab and a few front kicks until the round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Round 2
The second round opens with a clap of hands, and Brito practically sprints towards Algeo to lay into him. Brito tags him with overhand rights and lefts, but Algeo stands firm and smashes Brito in the face. The Brazilian is hurt, but instead of taking a step back, he races forward to pursue a takedown. Algeo defends the first effort, and he sprawls when Brito goes after a power double. Algeo fakes throwing knees as he has Brito leaned over, so Brito plays the game and keeps one hand on the mat to protect himself from knees. Brito leans back a slight bit, and Algeo drills him with a knee, leading Brito to lean back over again. They stand back up, and Algeo clocks his foe with a left hand and a body kick. Not to be outdone, Brito targets Algeo’s lead leg with four vicious leg kicks that draw reactions each time they land. They both start loading up on bombs, nailing each other with power punches, and Algeo moves and gets rocked with winging hooks from the Brazilian. When he hurts Algeo, Brito strangely decides to go after a double, which allows Algeo to get his wits about him again as he defends the takedown. With Brito’s cardio starting to abandon him, Algeo pushes Brito over and lands in side control, where he begins to drop down elbows and punches. Brito rolls to his knees in an effort to stand, and he does so and leans over to play the game again of putting his hand down to prevent himself from getting kneed in the face. Algeo brilliantly starts stomping on Brito’s hand on the mat, in a maneuver not seen often. This forces Brito to stand, and Algeo follows him with a few knees. Brito gains a full head of steam and clubs Algeo with a few punches, and he bullies his foe into the fence. They continue to turn each other around, until Brito holds tight and Algeo protests. The round ends with Algeo frustrated that Brito was just hanging on to him.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Round 3
Brito accepts a glove touch as he is aggressively coming towards Algeo, and he lets loose with a long combination of looping punches that are largely inaccurate. Algeo ducks and dodges most of them, and when Brito clinches up with him at the end of the salvo, he lets Brito have it with a pair of shots. Brito gains some space and stuns Algeo with his power strikes, but Algeo keeps moving and does not let Brito to pin him down. Algeo fires back, and he threatens a spin but Brito interrupts him with an attack. Brito hacks at his lead leg as Algeo wobbles back, so he kicks the same spot again. Algeo pats his chest as if to say “bring it on,” and Brito comes at him right as Algeo ducks down for a takedown of his own. “Tubarao” does not succumb to the try, but he does get shoved up against the wall while Algeo works on him with short strikes including a solid shoulder to the jaw. Algeo backs off and just comes up short with an intercepting knee, but he sticks out several punches to break up a Brito barrage. Brito throws wild, power strikes, and he spins with an elbow that Algeo sees coming. When Algeo ducks out of the way, he plays coy and pulls a
Max Holloway
by looking around mockingly. Algeo is in his flow state, slipping the telegraphed punches of the Brazilian and stinging him with straight punches. Brito does not let him off the hook, and he connects ever so often with his bombs, but Algeo is scoring two to every one, at least. As Brito aims to ground the American, Algeo hits a slick throw and puts Brito on the ground hard. Algeo takes Brito’s back in the ensuing scramble, and he starts fishing for a choke before electing to elbow Brito in the side of the head. Algeo maintains a tight body triangle while he elbows his foe on the dome, and he puts his hand up to motion that he’s number one right before time elapses.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
The Official Result
Bill Algeo
def.
Joanderson Brito
via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Brito, citing Algeo's poor takedown defense (20 takedowns allowed in last 4 fights). He believes Brito's grappling pressure will be too much and that Algeo will struggle to get back up. He also placed a prop bet on Brito by decision at +185 and a small moneyline bet at -130.
Big Brady notes Brito has power and can take down Algeo, but Algeo has an elite get-up game and high volume. He worries about Brito's cardio if he expends energy on takedowns. He picks Brito to win a decision, citing Brito's bigger moments on the feet and ability to mix in takedowns, though he admits it could get sketchy late.
Cody picks Brito, despite Algeo being his 'boy'. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Brito's power and strength will be too much. He expects Brito to win via takedowns and top control, possibly a decision. He suggests betting Algeo live if he drops early rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Joanderson Brito, calling him a bright prospect with explosive power and physicality. He notes Brito's top control, ground and pound, and one-punch knockout power. Levi acknowledges Algeo's toughness, length, and cardio, but believes Brito's physicality will be too much and that he can neutralize Algeo's takedown defense. He placed 2.5 units on Brito at -125.
The host leans toward Brito, believing his aggressive forward pressure and heavy strikes will outwork Algeo's passive, outside striking. He notes Algeo's BJJ could be a factor if he takes Brito down, but expects Brito to win a kickboxing match. The host is concerned about Brito's takedown defense but thinks his cardio and output will secure a decision. He compares Brito favorably to Spike Carlyle, who gave Algeo trouble.
Paul picks Brito, citing his power, strength, and takedown ability. He notes Algeo's takedown defense was exposed by Ricardo Ramos, and expects Brito to replicate that game plan. He mentions Algeo's cardio and scrambling but doubts he can overcome Brito's physicality. He suggests betting Algeo live if he survives early rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to win by decision. He notes that Brito is younger, more active, and has good wins on the regional scene, including over Diego Lopez. He has good stand-up, grappling, and cardio, having gone five rounds before. Algeo is 32, hasn't fought in 6-7 months, and hasn't shown great cardio. He believes Brito's momentum and well-roundedness will carry him to a dominant 30-27 decision, and that Algeo's only path to victory is if Brito gasses, which he doesn't see happening.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 53 of 102 | 51% | 57 of 106 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 90 of 187 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 19 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 20 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 37 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Bill Algeo | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 53 of 102 | 51% | 30 of 72 | 16 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 45 of 93 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 76 of 170 | 44% | 35 of 111 | 25 of 40 | 16 of 19 | 71 of 161 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 17 of 27 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 17 of 41 | 41% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 15 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 32 | 56% | 11 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 30 of 63 | 47% | 14 of 42 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 18 of 43 | 41% | 10 of 31 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bill Algeo | 29 of 66 | 43% | 14 of 46 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.
Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.
Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.
Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.
The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.
Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.
Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.
Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.
The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.
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