Career Averages - Marina Rodriguez
Career Averages - Cynthia Calvillo
Marina Rodriguez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 73 of 120 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 2 of 13 | 15% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 42 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 31 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 4 of 17 | 23% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 16 of 41 | 39% | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 2 of 13 | 15% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 11 of 25 | 44% | 7 of 17 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 |
Angelo points out that Marina Rodriguez has poor takedown defense, which Gillian Robertson can exploit with her grappling. He acknowledges that Robertson's takedowns are not spectacular but should be sufficient. He expects Robertson to get the fight to the ground and control it, though he notes it could be a close decision due to Rodriguez's striking ability.
Big Brady is confident in Gillian Robertson, citing a clear stylistic advantage. He explains that Marina Rodriguez has poor willingness to get up after being taken down, and at 38 years old, she won't improve that. Robertson is younger and will take Rodriguez down, control her on the ground, and cruise to a 30-27 decision. He notes that Rodriguez has survived finishes against solid grapplers but loses minutes on bottom.
This is a clear striker vs grappler matchup. Robertson has the grappling advantage and should exploit Rodriguez's poor takedown defense and getups. I expect Robertson to secure a submission victory.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez as an underdog, despite originally leaning towards Gillian Robertson. He argues that Robertson's offensive wrestling isn't at the level of others who have taken Rodriguez down, and that Rodriguez will outland her on the feet. He believes Rodriguez has good takedown defense and has survived submission attempts from Mackenzie Dern. He predicts Rodriguez wins on damage, possibly by third-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 33 of 99 | 33% | 65 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 30 of 73 | 41% | 55 of 104 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 20 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 2 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 24 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 3 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 12 of 37 | 32% | 26 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 11 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iasmin Lucindo | 33 of 99 | 33% | 28 of 89 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 28 of 92 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 30 of 73 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 27 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iasmin Lucindo | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 11 of 33 | 33% | 4 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Iasmin Lucindo | 16 of 37 | 43% | 13 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Iasmin Lucindo | 12 of 37 | 32% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Iasmin Lucindo, citing her youth, grappling, and pressure. He notes Marina Rodriguez has subpar takedown defense and a weak get-up game, which Lucindo can exploit. However, he is concerned about Lucindo's cardio at elevation, as she needs to grind for 15 minutes. He does not bet on this fight due to the elevation risk.
Big Brady picks Iasmin Lucindo, citing her youth (22 vs 37) and wrestling advantage. He notes that Rodriguez has poor takedown defense and struggles to get back up when taken down. He expects Lucindo to mix in takedowns and win a decision, though he acknowledges the line is a bit steep for someone unproven.
Cody picks Rodriguez as a dog, citing her experience and power. He questions Lucindo's level of competition and believes Rodriguez can keep the fight standing and land bigger shots. He expects Rodriguez to win by decision or late finish.
Connor picks Lucindo despite acknowledging her technical flaws. He notes that Rodriguez has looked shell-shocked lately and may lose confidence if Lucindo's speed and early pressure put her behind. However, he admits Lucindo is not a complex striker and Rodriguez could take over if she finds her rhythm.
Daniel Vreeland picks Iasmin Lucindo, citing her youth and takedown ability. He notes that Marina Rodriguez has always struggled with takedown defense, even in her prime, and at 37 it will be worse. Lucindo has landed eight takedowns in her last three fights. Vreeland expects Lucindo to use her wrestling to control the fight and win a decision.
The host leans with veteran experience of Marina Rodriguez, believing she is the better striker. He thinks Lucindo does not control opponents on the mat well enough, forcing her to strike with the better striker and ultimately lose on the scorecards. He predicts Rodriguez by decision.
Paul leans toward Rodriguez, noting her experience against top competition. He thinks Lucindo is being overvalued and that Rodriguez's defensive grappling is underrated. He sees value at plus 150.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez over Iasmin Lucindo, despite acknowledging Lucindo's physical advantages. He believes Rodriguez has better performances against higher competition, citing wins over Michelle Waterson and a close split decision with Jessica Andrade. He notes Rodriguez's technique and composure will be key at altitude, and predicts a decision win.
Zane also picks Lucindo, citing her speed and youth as advantages. He notes that Rodriguez has struggled recently and may not recover if Lucindo builds an early lead. However, he acknowledges that Lucindo's lack of range control and technical gaps could allow Rodriguez to take over.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 89 of 180 | 49% | 124 of 220 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 82 of 228 | 35% | 94 of 241 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 49 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 42 of 86 | 48% | 42 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 35 of 107 | 32% | 35 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 33 of 71 | 46% | 33 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 31 of 85 | 36% | 32 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 89 of 180 | 49% | 35 of 110 | 14 of 18 | 40 of 52 | 79 of 165 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 4 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 82 of 228 | 35% | 70 of 207 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 77 of 220 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 14 of 23 | 60% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 14 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 16 of 36 | 44% | 9 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 42 of 86 | 48% | 21 of 59 | 8 of 11 | 13 of 16 | 35 of 75 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 35 of 107 | 32% | 34 of 104 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 104 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 33 of 71 | 46% | 12 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 22 | 33 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 31 of 85 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 81 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez as the better technical fighter who can keep Andrade at range with her boxing and length. He notes Andrade's bullying style can be effective but Rodriguez should piece her up if she avoids clinch exchanges. He calls the fight dead even odds-wise and says no bets are safe.
Cody is torn but leans Rodriguez. He notes Andrade's inconsistency due to personal issues (divorce) and her tendency to not wrestle. Rodriguez has a clear path: counter punching. Cody points out that Andrade runs forward aggressively, which could run into Rodriguez's right hand. He also mentions Rodriguez's takedown defense is decent (66%) and she has the skills to survive if taken down. Cody thinks this is the best women's underdog on the card and picks Rodriguez to spring the upset.
Connor picks Rodriguez, agreeing that Andrade's clinch deficiencies will be exploited. He notes that Rodriguez is a great clinch fighter and Andrade has poor posture and gets hit with knees. Connor also points out that Rodriguez is durable and does not slow down, while Andrade's confidence is fragile. He sees Rodriguez winning by controlling the clinch and landing strikes.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jéssica Andrade, citing her power, physicality, and grappling advantage. He believes Andrade can land takedowns and control Rodriguez on the ground, and that Rodriguez lacks the power to deter her. Vreeland acknowledges Rodriguez's striking but trusts Andrade's durability and aggression.
Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He discusses the title implications, saying the winner will be in line for a title shot. He notes that Andrade always walks forward and the fight is guaranteed to be good, but does not pick a winner.
Andrade should drag the fight to the ground and land ground and pound from top position. She also has power on the feet. Rodriguez has reach and height but will struggle to keep Andrade off her. Andrade wins on the scorecards.
Paul agrees, noting that Andrade doesn't wrestle enough and Rodriguez has a striking advantage. He points out that Andrade's recent wins over Mackenzie Dern and Lauren Murphy were impressive, but she has also looked terrible against Tatiana Suarez and Erin Blanchfield. Paul thinks Rodriguez's counter right hand is a real threat and that Andrade's aggressive style plays into it. He mentions that if you're looking for a dog with a clear path, Rodriguez is it.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez to win by TKO, criticizing Jéssica Andrade for making Erin Blanchfield look competent. He believes Rodriguez will be patient, outpoint Andrade on the outside, and land knees and elbows in the clinch. He predicts Andrade will rush in and walk into strikes.
Zane picks Rodriguez, citing her clinch game and size advantage. He notes that Andrade is terrible in the clinch despite her strength, and Rodriguez is a powerful clinch fighter. Zane argues that Andrade's confidence is unreliable and that Rodriguez's durability and pressure will wear her down. He also mentions that Andrade's recent win over Mackenzie Dern may have been a confidence boost, but Rodriguez is a tougher matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 70 of 102 | 68% | 90 of 130 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 16 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 51 of 75 | 68% | 67 of 99 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 13 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 23 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 70 of 102 | 68% | 47 of 70 | 22 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 23 | 53 of 73 | 5 of 6 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 13 of 32 | 40% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 51 of 75 | 68% | 38 of 56 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 45 of 62 | 0 of 0 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 10 of 20 | 50% | 5 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 6 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 19 of 27 | 70% | 9 of 14 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo trusts Marina slightly more to push the action and keep her boxing in Michelle's face. He notes Michelle has more dynamic striking and experience but is inconsistent. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and suggests betting over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Marina Rodriguez confidently, expecting a decision win. He notes Rodriguez is the better striker with power, while Waterson-Gomez has zero power and relies on volume. He thinks the fight will stay standing and Rodriguez will do more damage. He mentions Waterson-Gomez could try takedowns but doubts she will. He calls the rematch unnecessary.
Cody picks Marina Rodriguez by decision, expecting a similar outcome to their first fight. He notes Rodriguez's size, output, and ability to stuff takedowns, while Waterson has declined and struggles to implement her grappling. He sees no significant improvements from Waterson and believes Rodriguez will outwork her again.
Daniel is confident Rodriguez wins, citing her massive volume and reach advantage on the feet. He rewatched their first fight and saw Rodriguez dominate until getting taken down in round 4. He believes if Rodriguez avoids extended time on bottom, she will out-strike Waterson decisively. He notes Waterson's low output and age (37) as concerns, and thinks Rodriguez covers the -300 line.
Lucrative James is confident Rodriguez will win, calling Waterson washed and not good on the ground. He thinks Rodriguez will piece her up and sees value at -300, estimating her true probability at 85%. He also considers betting the under or Rodriguez by KO, but is wary of recent losses on women's unders.
The host picks Rodriguez at minus 300, expecting a repeat of their first fight where Rodriguez battered Waterson-Gomez on the feet. He notes Waterson-Gomez's underrated BJJ but poor wrestling to get the fight down, and that Rodriguez's takedown defense and clinch work (knees, elbows) will keep it standing. He acknowledges both are on losing streaks but sees Rodriguez as the younger, more powerful striker who wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Rodriguez, but won't bet at -300. He likes Rodriguez's over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks, noting she landed 78 in the first fight. He thinks Waterson's takedown threat is minimal and Rodriguez will out-strike her again.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Marina Rodriguez, noting she already beat Michelle Waterson in their first fight, winning 4-1 on rounds. He criticizes Waterson's three-fight losing streak and questions the rematch. He defends Rodriguez's loss to Amanda Lemos as an early stoppage and praises her grappling awareness against Mackenzie Dern. He believes Rodriguez's striking and overall game are clearly superior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 33 of 62 | 53% | 115 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 27 of 43 | 62% | 91 of 116 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 12:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 34 of 40 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 4:06 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 21 of 42 | 50% | 70 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 26 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 33 of 62 | 53% | 27 of 52 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 22 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 27 of 43 | 62% | 25 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 21 of 42 | 50% | 19 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 13 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 12 of 20 | 60% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez but warns it feels like a trap and advises not to bet on it. He believes Marina has a clear striking advantage and will land cleanly, while Virna Jandiroba's head movement is poor. The fight comes down to Marina's takedown defense; if she can keep it standing, she wins. Angelo thinks Virna will have some success diving for legs, but judges will favor Marina's clean striking. He is not touching this fight with his money.
Big Brady picks Jandiroba, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He notes Rodriguez has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Jandiroba is dangerous on top. He believes Jandiroba will get takedowns and submit Rodriguez, predicting a second-round submission. He dismisses Rodriguez's takedown defense against Mackenzie Dern as irrelevant because Dern has poor wrestling.
Cody sees a clear path for Jandiroba via her superior wrestling. He notes that Rodriguez gives up takedowns in every fight, and Jandiroba is a strong wrestler with good top game. He expects Jandiroba to take her down, control her, and win a decision or possibly a submission. He likes the plus money.
Connor agrees, noting Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she reaches for strikes, while Rodriguez is durable and has never been submitted. He sees the fight getting harder for Jandiroba as it goes on, similar to Rodriguez's fight with Ribas where Ribas got knocked out after an early takedown.
The host picks Marina Rodriguez by decision. He believes Rodriguez's improved takedown defense and striking will keep the fight standing, where she can land significant strikes. He acknowledges Jandiroba's BJJ threat but trusts Rodriguez's recent improvements to nullify it.
Paul has already bet Jandiroba at +140. He agrees that her wrestling is the key, as Rodriguez has been taken down by everyone. He expects Jandiroba to make it ugly, hold her against the cage, and win a close decision.
The Guru picks Rodriguez, stating she is better in all areas, especially on the feet. He believes her grappling has improved enough to survive Jandiroba's ground game, and that she is a better version of Amanda Ribas, who beat Jandiroba. He predicts a decision win.
Zane picks Rodriguez because Jandiroba is unlikely to get an early submission, and Rodriguez gets harder to take down as fights go on. He notes Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she struggles on the back foot, while Rodriguez's pressure and durability should take over in later rounds. He compares it to Rodriguez's win over Amanda Ribas.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 44 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 43 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Lemos | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Lemos | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 22 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 3 | Amanda Lemos | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Lemos | 19 of 52 | 36% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 8 | 10 of 18 | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 29 of 53 | 54% | 16 of 36 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 48 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Lemos | 9 of 29 | 31% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 15 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 11 of 18 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Lemos | 4 of 15 | 26% | 1 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 8 of 16 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Lemos | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marina Rodriguez | 10 of 19 | 52% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rodriguez, expecting her volume to be the difference. He notes she needs to avoid Lemos's power and stay technical, following the blueprint Angela Hill almost used. He acknowledges Lemos is dangerous with 7 stoppage wins and considers a no-action bet on Lemos by stoppage.
Big Brady cites Lemos's cardio concerns in a five-round fight, noting she has never gone past three rounds. He believes Rodriguez has improved takedown defense and better cardio, and will take over as the fight progresses. He predicts Rodriguez will finish a tired Lemos in the third or fourth round by knockout.
Cody picks Marina Rodriguez, citing her recent run as a viable title challenger, experience in five-round fights, and superior striking volume and power. He notes her takedown defense and ability to survive on the ground, as seen against MacKenzie Dern. He is not sold on Amanda Lemos, pointing to her age, lack of a big win, and close split decision against Angela Hill. He predicts Rodriguez wins by decision, but is not running to the book to bet at the current line.
Daniel Levi leans Marina Rodriguez, citing her durability and ability to pull away in later rounds (third, fourth, fifth) as Lemos fades. He notes Rodriguez's slow starts and vulnerability to takedowns, as she struggles to get up from bottom, but believes her volume and cardio advantage will overcome Lemos's early power. He mentions the line (-210) is a bit wide and does not have a bet on this fight.
The host believes Rodriguez's durability, cardio, and disciplined striking will overcome Lemos's early power. He notes Lemos fades after round one and telegraphs her shots, while Rodriguez has experience going five rounds. He predicts a late TKO (round 5) as Lemos fades, but also sees decision as likely.
Paul agrees with Cody's points but struggles with the -220 price, which implies nearly 69% win probability. He thinks 7-3 Rodriguez is reasonable but not a betting opportunity. He does not like the decision prop because he questions Lemos's cardio in five rounds, noting she has been finished or finished early in previous five-round fights. He is considering the under on total rounds, possibly getting plus money, and will wait for weigh-ins to see if Lemos has a bad weight cut. He picks Rodriguez for the show but will not attack the -220 line.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez, noting Lemos's power has been absorbed by durable opponents like Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill. He believes Rodriguez's boxing, chin, and own power will surprise Lemos. He predicts a decision win (48-47 or 49-46) as Lemos may hesitate in a five-round fight, while Rodriguez's grappling defense is a concern but not an issue if it stays standing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 72 of 200 | 36% | 79 of 207 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 56 of 132 | 42% | 66 of 143 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 25 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 14 of 34 | 41% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 40 of 107 | 37% | 41 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 72 of 200 | 36% | 46 of 166 | 18 of 19 | 8 of 15 | 59 of 182 | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 56 of 132 | 42% | 37 of 105 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 18 | 48 of 121 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 18 of 48 | 37% | 9 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 24 of 54 | 44% | 18 of 42 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 8 | 21 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 14 of 45 | 31% | 9 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 14 of 34 | 41% | 7 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 40 of 107 | 37% | 28 of 93 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 34 of 99 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 18 of 44 | 40% | 12 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez but thinks the odds are too wide. He notes Marina is faster and more powerful, and that Yan has only executed a wrestle-heavy game plan once. He plans to place a plus 3.5 round bet on Yan, buying a round on the scorecard. He calls Yan 'stupid live' at the current odds.
Big Brady picks Marina Rodriguez to win by decision. He believes Rodriguez will have a significant power advantage on the feet and that Yan Xiaonan is unlikely to attempt takedowns, which plays into Rodriguez's strengths. Brady notes that Rodriguez has improved her takedown defense and ground game, making it hard for Yan to take her down. He acknowledges the line is a bit steep at -250 but still favors Rodriguez to win.
Cody believes Rodriguez is the rightful favorite because she has never lost a striking battle and hits hard for the division. He notes her takedown defense is a concern but argues Yan's wrestling is not elite, based on tape of Yan's takedowns against Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Cody thinks if Yan can't take her down, Rodriguez wins the striking exchanges with volume and power.
Daniel Levi picks Yan Xiaonan as a dog, citing the plus 250 odds. He believes this will be a close, competitive striking match and that Yan has the striking acumen to edge out a decision. He notes that Marina has only landed one takedown in her UFC career, so there is little takedown threat. He acknowledges Marina's improvements but thinks the odds are too wide and Yan has value.
The line is too wide; this is a 50/50 fight. Yan's power striking and training at Team Alpha Male should pose problems for Rodriguez. Rodriguez is a striker but hasn't faced someone with Yan's power. Yan's takedown defense is a concern, but Rodriguez rarely grapples. At plus money, Yan is the clear value pick. Yan can outstrike Rodriguez and win a decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Rodriguez's striking volume and power. He is skeptical of Yan's wrestling after watching the Kowalkiewicz fight, where Yan's takedowns were not from clean entries but rather Kowalkiewicz giving up position. Paul believes if Yan cannot take Rodriguez down, she will lose the striking battle. He calls it a women's MMA fight but is confident in Rodriguez.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez over Yan Xiaonan, expecting a striking affair. He notes Yan's main weakness is grappling, but believes Rodriguez has improved her cardio and striking variety, using more kicks to the body and legs. He thinks Rodriguez is more powerful and tougher, predicting a 30-27 decision where she pieces Yan apart. He also expresses a hot take that Rodriguez will become champion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 49 of 174 | 28% | 80 of 209 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 | 1 | 7:21 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 144 of 279 | 51% | 148 of 284 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 24 of 49 | 48% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 4:21 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 8 of 35 | 22% | 8 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 45 of 91 | 49% | 47 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 21 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 37 of 65 | 56% | 37 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 11 of 46 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 37 of 68 | 54% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 49 of 174 | 28% | 41 of 158 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 155 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 16 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 144 of 279 | 51% | 72 of 186 | 39 of 58 | 33 of 35 | 124 of 257 | 20 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 5 of 17 | 29% | 4 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 24 of 49 | 48% | 9 of 31 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 8 of 35 | 22% | 7 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 45 of 91 | 49% | 28 of 66 | 8 of 15 | 9 of 10 | 37 of 82 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Marina Rodriguez | 15 of 54 | 27% | 12 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 37 of 65 | 56% | 14 of 36 | 13 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 34 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Marina Rodriguez | 11 of 46 | 23% | 8 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mackenzie Dern | 37 of 68 | 54% | 21 of 49 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez, calling her the more complete fighter with superior striking and takedown defense. He notes her wins over top competition and Dern's poor takedown accuracy. He has a money line bet on Rodriguez at plus 145. He thinks Dern's only path is submission, but Rodriguez can avoid the ground.
Big Brady, despite being a self-proclaimed Dern hater, picks her to win by submission. He notes that Dern only needs one takedown to finish the fight, and Rodriguez has poor takedown defense and ground game. He references Rodriguez being taken down by multiple opponents and her poor get-up game. Brady thinks Dern will eventually get the takedown and submit her, but he would not bet her as a favorite at these odds.
Cody leans toward Dern because he believes the fight will eventually hit the ground over five rounds, where Dern's BJJ is leaps and bounds better than Rodriguez's. He notes Rodriguez has a clear striking advantage and Dern's wrestling is not elite, but Dern has shown improvements and can capitalize on scrambles. He suggests live betting Dern after she loses the early rounds, and predicts a third or fourth round submission or a decision.
Daniel Levi acknowledges that Marina Rodriguez is a superior striker, comparing her to a young Joanna Jedrzejczyk, but he is concerned about her takedown defense. He notes that Mackenzie Dern's hands have improved under Jason Parillo and she has power, but her path to victory is getting the fight to the mat. He predicts Dern will secure a takedown and finish via submission, though he admits if Dern doesn't submit her early, the fight becomes uncertain.
Jacob is extremely confident in Mackenzie Dern, calling her the lock of the week. He believes her jiu-jitsu is unmatched and that if the fight goes to the ground, she will submit Rodriguez. He dismisses Rodriguez's striking improvements and plans to bet 20 units on Dern at minus 160. He thinks Dern's striking has improved enough to get the fight to the mat.
The host picks Mackenzie Dern, citing her elite BJJ and ability to secure a takedown against Marina Rodriguez. He notes that Rodriguez has been taken down before (e.g., by Amanda Ribas) and that Dern's jiu-jitsu is superior. He believes Dern can remain safe on the feet long enough to close the distance and get the fight to the ground, where she will likely find a submission. He also mentions the low variance of grappling compared to striking, favoring the grappler. He predicts a second-round submission.
Paul is leaning toward Dern, acknowledging that Rodriguez has advantages on the feet but Dern's submission threat and improved striking make her dangerous. He notes Dern's wrestling is not great but she can create chaotic scrambles. He is hesitant because Dern has cost him money before, but he sees her path to victory via submission or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Marina Rodriguez to win by unanimous decision as an underdog. He highlights her striking accuracy, power, and takedown defense (62%). He questions Dern's late start in sparring and believes Rodriguez's experience and reach advantage will be decisive. He advises betting on Rodriguez before odds change.
Cynthia Calvillo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 104 of 333 | 31% | 107 of 338 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 87 of 180 | 48% | 93 of 188 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 18 of 83 | 21% | 21 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 118 | 32% | 38 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 32 of 54 | 59% | 33 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 48 of 132 | 36% | 48 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 36 of 81 | 44% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 104 of 333 | 31% | 58 of 249 | 30 of 64 | 16 of 20 | 104 of 333 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 87 of 180 | 48% | 65 of 146 | 15 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 87 of 178 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 18 of 83 | 21% | 12 of 70 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 19 of 45 | 42% | 14 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 38 of 118 | 32% | 21 of 84 | 13 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 38 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 32 of 54 | 59% | 25 of 43 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 32 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 48 of 132 | 36% | 25 of 95 | 14 of 28 | 9 of 9 | 48 of 132 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 36 of 81 | 44% | 26 of 66 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lupita Godinez but is not betting due to her unreliable performance against Angela Hill. He notes that when Lupita shows up, she is a big, strong, powerful wrestler with clean boxing, but she needs to be the bully. He thinks she should be able to push Cynthia Calvillo around, but needs to prove herself after the last fight.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez but with hesitation due to her poor game plan against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle. He believes Godinez should win by using her wrestling against Calvillo, who is on a losing streak. He predicts a decision win but expresses distrust in Godinez's consistency.
Cody picks Calvillo as a value play. He notes Godinez's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and believes Calvillo has a chance despite her losing streak. He mentions Calvillo's wrestling background and that she has been competitive against top fighters. Cody says he already put $200 on Calvillo earlier in the week and may add more. He calls it a system play based on Pat Mayo's CF model.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Godinez. He notes that Calvillo's division switch is a bad sign and that her game doesn't connect. Connor also mentions that Godinez is aggressive and should win.
Jacob is leaning towards Lupita but is wary after being burned by her last fight. He notes that if Lupita uses her wrestling, she can dominate, but if she doesn't, it will be a close fight. He thinks Cynthia Calvillo may be 'broke' with zero confidence, but Lupita's inconsistency makes him hesitant.
Godinez has good wrestling and BJJ, but needs to blend takedowns behind her striking. Calvillo has struggled with her striking and confidence, and a recent camp change may not help at 35. Godinez should have a striking advantage and can stuff takedowns. My only concern is Godinez getting stuck in bad positions, but I think she pulls away via decision.
Paul picks Godinez but is very hesitant. He criticizes Godinez's poor fight IQ, noting she often abandons her wrestling and strikes instead. He points to her fight against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle despite having a clear advantage. Paul thinks Calvillo is on a losing streak but has faced tough competition. He says Godinez is talented but unreliable at -300.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez to win by 29-28 split decision. He expects Godinez to land crisper shots on the feet and mix in takedowns in the first two rounds, while Calvillo will come back in the third round. He sees round two as a toss-up but believes Godinez's takedowns will be the difference maker. The prediction is close and acknowledges Calvillo's late surge.
Zane picks Godinez because Calvillo has been mentally in a hole and her game is dysfunctional. He notes that Godinez is crazy and aggressive, which should be enough to win. However, he worries that if Godinez can't get takedowns, she loses confidence in her boxing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 48 of 139 | 34% | 66 of 159 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 39 of 133 | 29% | 47 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 10 of 40 | 25% | 10 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 48 of 139 | 34% | 16 of 86 | 17 of 26 | 15 of 27 | 47 of 138 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 39 of 133 | 29% | 17 of 94 | 4 of 12 | 18 of 27 | 38 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 10 of 40 | 25% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 10 of 37 | 27% | 1 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 9 of 41 | 21% | 3 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 9 of 39 | 23% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 29 of 58 | 50% | 9 of 32 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 11 | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 57 | 35% | 11 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.
Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.
The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.
Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.
The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 47 of 154 | 30% | 47 of 154 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 84 of 210 | 40% | 85 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 25 of 87 | 28% | 25 of 87 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 43 of 116 | 37% | 44 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 41 of 94 | 43% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 47 of 154 | 30% | 18 of 99 | 21 of 46 | 8 of 9 | 47 of 154 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 84 of 210 | 40% | 46 of 155 | 30 of 45 | 8 of 10 | 83 of 208 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 25 of 87 | 28% | 11 of 62 | 10 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 43 of 116 | 37% | 27 of 92 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 43 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 22 of 67 | 32% | 7 of 37 | 11 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 41 of 94 | 43% | 19 of 63 | 18 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 40 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.
Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.
Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.
Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.
Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.
The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrade, noting her power, bullying style, and that her losses are only to champions. He believes Andrade's strength and aggression will overwhelm Calvillo, who is more technical but lacks power. Angelo thinks Andrade will bully Calvillo and win.
Big Brady picks Jéssica Andrade to win by decision. He believes Andrade is the better striker with more power and volume, and she should stuff Calvillo's takedowns. He notes Andrade has fought much better competition and expects a dominant performance.
Cody is confident Andrade wins, citing her superior strength, pressure, and well-rounded skills. He thinks she will finish Calvillo, who has never been finished in MMA but has shown vulnerabilities. He likes Andrade inside the distance at +150.
Daniel Levi picks Jéssica Andrade, acknowledging her power and history of knockouts in the women's divisions. He notes that Andrade's power can override technique, but he questions her motivation after losing two title fights. He respects Cynthia Calvillo's ground game and toughness, but believes if Andrade is mentally focused, she will win. He expresses concern about a potential title-fight letdown.
Jacob picks Calvillo, seeing value at +220. He thinks Calvillo can out-tough Andrade and threaten submissions. Jacob notes that Andrade may not be able to bully Calvillo at flyweight. He admits he doesn't think Calvillo will dominate but sees a path to victory.
The host picks Jéssica Andrade via decision. He believes Andrade will march forward, land big shots, and stop takedowns. He thinks Calvillo's wrestling is not good enough to take Andrade down repeatedly. He notes that Andrade has a power advantage and will do damage, but Calvillo is durable. He expects the fight to take place mostly on the feet where Andrade has the edge.
Paul is confident Andrade wins, calling her a 'body snatcher' and noting her power and durability. He acknowledges Calvillo's path to victory via wrestling but doubts she can impose her will. He expects Andrade to dominate.
The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade over Cynthia Calvillo, citing Andrade's superior striking and grappling. He notes that Calvillo has no finishing ability and cannot keep Andrade down. He expects Andrade to win a decision, possibly with a late-round finish, as she builds momentum. He mentions that Andrade is younger and has fought for titles, while Calvillo couldn't crack the top 10 at strawweight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 69 of 230 | 30% | 69 of 230 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 60 of 197 | 30% | 60 of 197 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 72 | 37% | 27 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 60 | 35% | 21 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 80 | 30% | 24 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 17 of 71 | 23% | 17 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 78 | 23% | 18 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 66 | 33% | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 69 of 230 | 30% | 45 of 190 | 11 of 22 | 13 of 18 | 68 of 227 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 60 of 197 | 30% | 31 of 134 | 17 of 46 | 12 of 17 | 59 of 196 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 72 | 37% | 11 of 51 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 60 | 35% | 11 of 42 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 80 | 30% | 19 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 17 of 71 | 23% | 8 of 51 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 78 | 23% | 15 of 68 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 66 | 33% | 12 of 41 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision. He notes Calvillo has good wrestling and Chookagian has poor takedown defense (48%). He thinks Calvillo will take her down and control the fight, though the line is too wide for a close fight.
Daniel picks Calvillo, citing her toughness, improved striking, and ground game. He notes Chookagian has been talking about retirement and was stopped in her last fight. He believes Calvillo is hungrier and will impose her will, especially if she gets top position.
The host picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by decision, seeing massive value at plus money. He believes her movement and range will cause problems for Calvillo, and that she can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the ground. He thinks the line is too wide and that Cerminara has a good chance.
The MMA Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Calvillo's takedowns will be the difference, as she has evolved and has good grappling. He notes Chookagian may be coming back too soon after a body shot loss, and that Calvillo has wins over top flyweights like Joanne Calderwood.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 70 of 280 | 25% | 70 of 283 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 113 of 237 | 47% | 150 of 294 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 7:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 82 | 24% | 20 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 26 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 33 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 86 | 27% | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 37 of 68 | 54% | 37 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 70 of 280 | 25% | 59 of 261 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 69 of 276 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 113 of 237 | 47% | 77 of 185 | 32 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 105 of 225 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 82 | 24% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 80 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 24 of 68 | 35% | 13 of 54 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 7 of 23 | 30% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 23 of 53 | 43% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 17 of 30 | 56% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 86 | 27% | 20 of 77 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 37 of 68 | 54% | 26 of 53 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 |
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Cynthia Calvillo, emphasizing her opportunistic ground game and finishing ability. He notes that while Jessica Eye may have advantages in boxing and athleticism, Calvillo can capitalize on takedowns and ground control to steal rounds. Levi acknowledges his bias against Eye but believes Calvillo's cardio and opportunistic nature could edge her to a close decision or even a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica Eye, citing her reach advantage, size, takedown defense, and superior boxing. He notes that Cynthia Calvillo is 32 and not a young talent, so he favors Eye's experience. He predicts a boring five-round unanimous decision with Eye winning every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 56 of 140 | 40% | 61 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 78 of 130 | 60% | 112 of 173 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 5:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 22 of 53 | 41% | 27 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 32 | 65% | 25 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 29 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 14 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 44 of 59 | 74% | 73 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 56 of 140 | 40% | 30 of 110 | 18 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 39 of 117 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 78 of 130 | 60% | 51 of 90 | 17 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 30 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 46 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 22 of 53 | 41% | 17 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 32 | 65% | 12 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 29 of 71 | 40% | 13 of 51 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 20 of 58 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 22 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 7 | 12 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 5 of 16 | 31% | 0 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 44 of 59 | 74% | 34 of 49 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 52 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 73 of 176 | 41% | 73 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 82 of 192 | 42% | 82 of 192 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 73 of 176 | 41% | 41 of 136 | 6 of 8 | 26 of 32 | 72 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 82 of 192 | 42% | 41 of 139 | 17 of 24 | 24 of 29 | 79 of 186 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 32 of 62 | 51% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 28 of 63 | 44% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 28 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 22 of 67 | 32% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
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