Career Averages - Bryan Battle
Career Averages - Randy Brown
Bryan Battle
Randy Brown
Bryan Battle - Fight History
Angelo has been a big supporter of Ruziboev since his UFC debut and picks him here. He highlights Ruziboev's wrestling and grappling prowess, his size at 6'5, and his power, noting that Battle missed weight and is moving up to middleweight where his power may not carry. He believes Battle is not big enough for the weight class and that Ruziboev's chin and skills will prevail. He bet on Ruziboev at +150.
Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by second-round knockout. He notes Ruziboev has massive size, reach, and power, and that Battle has poor striking defense (44%). He thinks Battle will walk into big shots and could get knocked out. He also mentions Ruziboev's takedown defense is improving and Battle is not a wrestler at middleweight. He acknowledges Ruziboev is low volume but dangerous, and could win by damage-based decision or knockout.
The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by TKO in the first two rounds. He believes Ruziboev's height and reach advantage will be problematic for Bryan Battle, who won't be able to use his physicality as he did against Randy Brown. The Guru notes that Ruziboev is a dirty fighter who will cheat to win, extending fingers and grabbing the cage. He also mentions Ruziboev's dynamic movement and ability to dart in and out, which will be difficult for Battle to handle.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 60 of 111 | 54% | 80 of 135 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 57 of 110 | 51% | 109 of 175 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 7:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 29 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 30 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 35 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 60 of 111 | 54% | 32 of 79 | 22 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 49 of 96 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 57 of 110 | 51% | 20 of 64 | 31 of 38 | 6 of 8 | 27 of 76 | 30 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 21 of 45 | 46% | 11 of 32 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 31 | 45% | 4 of 17 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 15 of 29 | 51% | 11 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 22 of 41 | 53% | 6 of 23 | 13 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 25 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bryan Battle | 24 of 37 | 64% | 10 of 22 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 21 of 38 | 55% | 10 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.
Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.
Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.
Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.
Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.
Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.
Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 58 of 97 | 59% | 63 of 107 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Kevin Jousset | 0 | 97 of 170 | 57% | 118 of 194 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 29 of 40 | 72% | 32 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Kevin Jousset | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 36 of 69 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 31 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Jousset | 0 | 71 of 113 | 62% | 82 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 58 of 97 | 59% | 31 of 66 | 10 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 46 of 84 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Jousset | 97 of 170 | 57% | 79 of 146 | 17 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 80 of 145 | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 29 of 40 | 72% | 16 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 29 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Jousset | 26 of 57 | 45% | 19 of 46 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 49 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 29 of 57 | 50% | 15 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 27 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Jousset | 71 of 113 | 62% | 60 of 100 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 96 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle and has a small bet on him. He highlights Battle's constant forward pressure, tenacity, and improving skills. He notes that Battle never quits, as seen in his loss to Rinat Fakhretdinov. He acknowledges Jousset is good and could slow the pace, plus home territory might affect judging, but believes Battle's pressure and range will get the job done.
Big Brady picks Bryan Battle by decision, citing his toughness, output, sneaky power, and opportunistic grappling. He notes Battle is improving rapidly and has more ways to win. He thinks the striking could be competitive but Battle has the grappling edge.
Cody picks Bryan Battle to win but expresses hesitation, noting that Kevin Jousset is more technical and could be competitive at home in France. He highlights Battle's effective striking, submission grappling, better competition, and ability to fight through adversity. However, he also mentions Jousset's leg kicks and Judo background as potential threats. Cody ultimately leans Battle but is second-guessing his pick.
Cody picks Jousset as a plus-money underdog, highlighting Battle's poor grappling defense. He notes that Battle has been controlled by grapplers like Rinat Fakhretdinov, while Jousset has a strong takedown game and submission threat. Jousset's forward pressure and ability to mix in wrestling should neutralize Battle's counter-striking.
Connor picks Jousset because he believes Jousset's consistent, technical striking from City Kickboxing will allow him to outwork Battle over three rounds. He notes that Battle's counter-punching is dangerous but Jousset's jab and lead hand will be difficult to counter. Connor also points out that Jousset has never been finished and is physically imposing, while Battle's success has come against fighters who fall into his counter game. He sees Jousset controlling the range and winning a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Jousset as a slight underdog. He thinks Jousset has good durability, cardio, and striking, and that Battle can be hit in the clinch. He expects a close fight and sees value in Jousset at plus money, possibly winning by decision.
JP picks Bryan Battle because he thinks Battle is faster, has a reach advantage, and is better on the ground. He notes Jousset is slow and calculated, and once in a negative position, his confidence fades. He predicts Battle will dominate and submit him.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that if the fight stays standing it's 50/50, but Jousset's wrestling gives him an edge. He believes Battle is overvalued at -175 and that Jousset's grappling advantage makes him a solid underdog pick.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle over Kevin Jousset, citing Battle's reach advantage and momentum. He criticizes Jousset's performances, including going to decision with Song Kenan. He believes Battle will finish Jousset and become a mainstay in the welterweight rankings.
Zane picks Jousset because he trusts Jousset's technical consistency and believes Battle's counter-punching will be less effective against a disciplined striker. He notes that Jousset is stiff but has a solid jab and good fundamentals, while Battle tends to rely on opponents overextending. Zane also points out that Jousset is durable and has never been finished, making it likely he can weather Battle's power and win on points.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 28 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 23 of 63 | 36% | 24 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 20 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ange Loosa | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 27 of 75 | 36% | 16 of 56 | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 69 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
| Ange Loosa | 23 of 54 | 42% | 6 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 22 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 23 of 63 | 36% | 12 of 45 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
| Ange Loosa | 17 of 44 | 38% | 4 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ange Loosa | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is a big fan of Battle, noting his incredible improvement every fight. He worries that Battle needs to be the better wrestler and may not be able to take Loosa down, and he doesn't see Battle winning a striking match. However, he has blind faith in Battle's rapid improvement and thinks the latest version of Battle, with added improvements, will win. He is monitoring the line before betting.
Big Brady picks Ange Loosa to win by decision as an upset. He thinks Loosa's wrestling and takedown defense will be key, as Battle has poor takedown defense. He expects a close, competitive fight but favors Loosa's ability to mix in takedowns.
Cody sides with the underdog Ange Loosa, citing Bryan Battle's suspect takedown defense (45% overall) and Loosa's improved wrestling. He notes Battle is a good counter puncher but lacks physical strength and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Loosa has shown volume striking and takedowns in recent fights, which should sway rounds. He sees this as close to 50/50 and likes the plus money.
Lucrative James believes Bryan Battle is the much better fighter overall. He notes that Ange Loosa is durable but lacks technique and grappling strength, and that Battle can scramble if taken down. He sees Battle winning via finish, possibly by submission or head kick, and mentions that Loosa's path to victory is limited to a knockout or three rounds of grappling, which he doubts Loosa has the gas tank for.
The host admits this is the fight he is least confident in picking. He sides with Loosa's explosive power striking and notes that Battle hasn't utilized the style that made him successful at 185 lbs, possibly due to the weight cut to 170. He expects Loosa to be on the front foot, using power punches to keep Battle defensive, and even try grappling where he can hold Battle down. He acknowledges Battle's submission threats but believes Loosa wins on the scorecards.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Battle's low volume and poor takedown defense. He points out that Loosa has durability and the plus 155 line offers value, as he sees the fight closer to 50/50. He mentions Loosa by decision at +275 as an interesting prop.
The Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting his size, power, and grappling. He criticizes Loosa for getting hurt easily and nearly finished in fights. He believes Battle is a level above and will either TKO or outpoint Loosa. He mentions Battle's recent grappling performances against AJ Fletcher.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 63 of 105 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
| AJ Fletcher | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| AJ Fletcher | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 40 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
| AJ Fletcher | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 45 of 80 | 56% | 9 of 25 | 34 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 61 | 16 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| AJ Fletcher | 25 of 51 | 49% | 6 of 26 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 16 | 20 of 41 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 23 of 50 | 46% | 5 of 19 | 16 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| AJ Fletcher | 18 of 38 | 47% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 15 | 15 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 22 of 30 | 73% | 4 of 6 | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| AJ Fletcher | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo's most confident pick on the card. He notes Battle improves every fight, has great hands, and never stops working. He thinks Fletcher will struggle with Battle's reach and movement, and will make poor decisions like pulling guillotine. He has a 1.5 unit bet on Battle.
Big Brady picks Bryan Battle to win by second-round submission, citing Fletcher's poor cardio and striking defense. He notes Battle has a 10-inch reach advantage and is dangerous on the feet and ground. He expects Fletcher to win the first round with wrestling but fade, allowing Battle to capitalize. He mentions this is a good live betting spot.
Cody picks Bryan Battle, citing his reach advantage (10 inches), volume striking, and ability to fight off his back foot. He acknowledges Fletcher's wrestling and athleticism but notes Battle's takedown defense and counter-striking. He sees Fletcher's path to victory as narrow and prefers Battle's proven skills.
Daniel sees value in Fletcher at plus money, believing the line should be closer to pick'em. He notes Battle backs up and relies on counters, while Fletcher pressures and mixes takedowns. He thinks Fletcher's cardio has been addressed by training at elevation in Colorado. He only needs a close decision to cash, and thinks Fletcher can win rounds with pressure and grappling.
Lucrative James picks Battle but is hesitant due to Fletcher's early wrestling and durability. He notes Fletcher gasses out but stays tough, so Battle may come back late. He doesn't want to lay -200 on a fighter with cardio issues, but expects Battle to win via late finish or decision. He also considers a small bet on Fletcher but ultimately passes.
The host picks Battle to win inside the distance, citing his reach advantage and ability to touch Fletcher from distance with leg kicks and body shots. He expects Battle's cardio and pressure to wear on Fletcher, leading to a late finish (round 2 or 3). He notes Fletcher's power but questions his durability and cardio, and that Fletcher's wins rely on early finishes.
Paul also picks Battle, but sees a path for Fletcher via wrestling and pressure. He notes Battle's 38% takedown defense but believes Battle's best characteristic is fighting moving backwards, which counters Fletcher's forward pressure. He mentions the reach advantage and Battle's experience.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his 10-inch reach advantage and better overall skills. He notes Battle lost to Renat Khetagurov via wrestling but believes AJ Fletcher's grappling is not at that level. He criticizes Fletcher's short reach and tendency to get wild, predicting Battle will counter him at range. He expects a TKO in late round two, similar to Battle's last fight where he fired back in the pocket.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.
Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.
Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.
Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.
Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 3 of 16 | 18% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 43 of 68 | 63% | 102 of 149 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 37 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:41 | |
| 2 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 30 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:49 | |
| 3 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 35 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 3 of 16 | 18% | 1 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bryan Battle | 43 of 68 | 63% | 38 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 33 of 54 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bryan Battle | 19 of 30 | 63% | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 | |
| 2 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bryan Battle | 10 of 15 | 66% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 | |
| 3 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bryan Battle | 14 of 23 | 60% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 17 |
Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.
Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.
Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.
Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.
Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.
Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.
The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.
Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Takashi Sato | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 1 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Takashi Sato | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 7 of 10 | 70% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Takashi Sato | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 7 of 10 | 70% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Takashi Sato | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'
Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.
Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.
Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.
Randy Brown - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 56 of 91 | 61% | 137 of 176 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 46 of 95 | 48% | 67 of 121 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Holland | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 48 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Kevin Holland | 0 | 19 of 31 | 61% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Kevin Holland | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 64 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Holland | 56 of 91 | 61% | 24 of 55 | 10 of 11 | 22 of 25 | 39 of 68 | 11 of 15 | 6 of 8 |
| Randy Brown | 46 of 95 | 48% | 25 of 65 | 14 of 17 | 7 of 13 | 31 of 75 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Holland | 20 of 34 | 58% | 9 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 13 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Randy Brown | 18 of 39 | 46% | 8 of 26 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Kevin Holland | 19 of 31 | 61% | 6 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 26 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kevin Holland | 17 of 26 | 65% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 15 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 30 | 46% | 9 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Randy Brown, expressing frustration with Kevin Holland's unreliability and lack of care. He believes Brown is better everywhere, more serious, and has more power. He ends the cycle of picking Holland with caveats, stating Brown is the clear choice.
Big Brady is done with Kevin Holland due to his poor fight IQ and inconsistency. He thinks Randy Brown is the more skilled striker and will outstrike Holland, but worries about Brown's chin (recent KO losses). He expects a striking match and picks Brown by decision, but will not bet on the fight.
Cody also picks Brown, noting Holland's one-foot-in-one-foot-out mentality and Brown's speed advantage. He thinks Brown's desire and game plan will edge out a close fight.
Connor picks Randy Brown because Kevin Holland is cooked and doesn't care about fighting anymore. He notes that Holland is a goofy, messy fighter who doesn't want to do the right things, while Brown is capable of impressive performances despite occasional dumb mistakes. He expects a fun fight but trusts Brown's ability to outwork Holland.
Daniel Vreeland picks Randy Brown as part of the 'fade Kevin Holland world tour.' He believes Holland lacks motivation and fight IQ, while Brown is more focused and has the tools to outpoint him. He notes that Brown's jab and technical striking should be enough to win a decision or even get a finish.
Daniel is on the 'Fade Kevin Holland' tour, citing Holland's poor mentality and fight IQ. He thinks Brown will care more and perform better under less pressure.
James picks Kevin Holland, believing he has more power and durability, and will come on as the fight progresses. He notes Brown may start well but expects Holland to find his rhythm.
Brown is the better technical striker with a huge reach advantage. Holland's ego may lead him to strike with Brown, which is a mistake. Brown can pick Holland apart from distance and has good defensive grappling to avoid Holland's submissions. Holland's recent losses show he struggles against disciplined strikers. Brown should win a decision or even get a finish.
Paul picks Brown, citing Holland's declining desire and Brown's speed and crisp striking. He thinks Brown's jab and right hand will be effective against the similar-framed Holland.
The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Kevin Holland. He thinks Brown will fight on the outside with low kicks and body shots, while Holland is an opportunist who doesn't follow game plans. He notes Brown's chin is suspect but believes he can win a 29-28 decision, possibly with Holland taking a close round.
Zane picks Randy Brown, agreeing that Kevin Holland is cooked and doesn't care about fighting. He notes that Holland is a mercenary who fights for money and has no goal other than getting paid, while Brown is more focused and capable. He expects a fun fight but trusts Brown to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 35 of 64 | 54% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 33 of 87 | 37% | 33 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 24 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 35 of 64 | 54% | 11 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 27 | 33 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 33 of 87 | 37% | 11 of 48 | 9 of 21 | 13 of 18 | 33 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 24 of 43 | 55% | 6 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 22 | 23 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 19 of 61 | 31% | 7 of 33 | 3 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Bonfim | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 26 | 53% | 4 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-180); Brown (+150)
Round 1
We’re here. It’s the main event. Without a doubt, this is one of the headliners of all time. Welterweights grace the Octagon for the next five rounds or fewer, and at night’s end, only one of these two athletes will likely be ranked—right now, only Bonfim (18-1, 5-1 UFC) is for the UFC. Brown (20-6, 14-6 UFC) feels he has finally turned the corner, other than a pair of tough losses to Bryan Battle and Jack Della Maddalena holding him back from breaking out of the “action fighter” category of his division. Referee Mark Smith brings them to the middle to issue final instructions, stepping back to allow the athletes to touch ‘em up. They do. It’s on with the show.
The athletes are tentative to engage, stabbing out jabs and the occasional low kick as the bout begins. Brown slowly, steadily builds up a work rate with distance in his favor, but the Brazilian is still able to reach him with kicks. Brown checks one kick, but a few more land with audible thuds. Bonfim keeps battering the lead leg, so Brown kicks him in the chest to back him off. The Brazilian strides through to connect with another chopping kick, and Brown is struggling to react to it. When he kicks, Brown throws himself off-balance, as he his having a hard time putting his full weight on his lead calf. Bonfim keeps targeting it with impunity, and he uses it to open up jabs. The kicks by themselves are proving extremely effective, as Brown rushes forward after taking one and knees Bonfim in the sternum. Brown wings a left hand, and he has to switch stances from the damage to his limb.
Bonfim kicks the front leg when available, catching Brown before Brown can punch him. The calf of Brown is swelling and welted just three minutes into the bout, and Brown’s power is already declining due to his struggles planting on his lead wheel. Bonfim works his way in through the gangly arms of his adversary to tag him with punches, with the leg kick rarely far away. Brown rattles off a one-two, but Bonfim’s low kicks have made Brown limp. The Brazilian chambers and fires a low kick on the other leg, nearly knocking Brown down. Brown goes for his own calf kick, and it gets checked hard. Brown bounces on his heels before doubling up on a jab to hurl a right hand behind it, and Bonfim sways with it and resets. A calf kick from Bonfim is so immediately effective that Brown leaps at him with his knee out, hand extended, and his finger jams in Bonfim’s eye socket. Luckily, Bonfim takes a few seconds to clear his vision, and they resume and stay generally out of range until the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Round 2
Brown leads behind his jab to start off the round and keep his distance, although his front kick reaches out to cover much more ground. He uses it to set up a right hand, and strings several strikes behind it to the body and head. Bonfim counters and reaches his man with a pair of left hands. Brown gets up close to trade hands, and Bonfim meets him in the middle and ends his combo with a calf kick. He drives home a kick a bit higher on the thigh, and rips a right hand that Brown barely shoulder rolls in time. Bonfim doubles up on his chopping kick, and Brown is not a happy camper just six-and-a-half minutes into their fight. Bonfim flicks out a jab, and Brown ducks down to throw back a right hand. Bonfim answers with a crushing knee on the jaw, and Brown falls to his back with his hands at his side, the back of his melon clattering off the Octagon floor. On first glance, it appeared to be a double knockdown because Bonfim hits the canvas as well, but it was because he threw himself off-balance tossing the knee. Smith sprints over to stop the fight, with Brown not defending himself, but Brown rolls to his side and raises a ruckus that it was an early stoppage. He is cooled down quickly as replays show this was probably a fair and just stoppage—those that bet on Brown may disagree—but some fans, media and commentator Dominick Cruz express frustration that Brown did not have any more time to defend himself or possibly recover. The winning Brazilian calls for just one name: Colby Covington, whom he says he will retire. If that fight comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Randy Brown R2 1:40 via TKO (Knee)
Angelo picks Randy Brown because he believes Brown is the better striker with great range and solid takedown defense. He notes that Gabriel Bonfim struggled with takedowns against Wonderboy and that Brown's length and boxing from the outside will be key. He also mentions that Brown was screwed in a previous decision and is a very good fighter.
Big Brady sees this as Bonfim early or Brown late. He notes Bonfim has power and an opportunistic submission game, and Brown has been submitted and knocked out before. He thinks Bonfim can get an early finish, possibly by first-round submission, but if it goes to the third round, Brown will take over. He mentions a potential live bet on Brown.
Cody thinks Bonfim's cardio is suspect in a five-round fight and that Brown's length, straight punches, and volume will pose problems as the fight goes on. He notes Bonfim's takedowns are explosive early but fade, and Brown can survive early rounds and take over later. He prefers to bet Brown live after the first round rather than straight up.
Lucrative James picks Gabriel Bonfim to win, but he is not confident. He notes Bonfim's strong first round and submission threat (72% of wins via submission), but questions his cardio and ability to finish Randy Brown. He expects Bonfim to win round one and then edge out a decision, as Brown's style may not pressure Bonfim into gassing. He also mentions a potential over bet or goes to decision prop.
The host expects chaos and considers the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He believes Bonfim will drag Brown to the ground and use his superior BJJ to secure a submission within two and a half rounds.
Paul picks Bonfim but has no interest in the minus 180 price. He thinks Bonfim's cardio has improved and he can get a finish early, possibly by submission or knockout. He suggests betting the under 2.5 rounds as a better play than the moneyline.
The Guru picks Randy Brown to win by third-round TKO. He believes Brown's experience and striking will be key, especially if he survives Bonfim's early grappling. He notes Bonfim's tendency to fade if he doesn't get a quick submission, and Brown's ability to stuff takedowns and pick him apart at range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 1 | 54 of 114 | 47% | 58 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 1 | 26 of 74 | 35% | 40 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 1 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 1 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 54 of 114 | 47% | 45 of 103 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 54 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 26 of 74 | 35% | 12 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 13 of 19 | 25 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 22 of 52 | 42% | 19 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 15 of 39 | 38% | 6 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 15 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 32 of 62 | 51% | 26 of 55 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nicolas Dalby | 11 of 35 | 31% | 6 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-238), Dalby (+195)
Round 1
A clash of well-traveled welterweights keeps the main card pushing. Looking to get back in the win column, Brown (19-6, 13-6 UFC) will have to outlast the ultra-durable Dane Dalby (23-5-1, 2 NC; 7-4-1, 1 NC UFC) as the latter has never been finished. Referee Keith Peterson is prepped and ready should this go the full duration, and he commences the nonsense-free bout as Brown sprints at his opponent without a glove touch in sight. Brown pulls back before crashing into his opponent, and he repositions himself to his preferred distant striking range with significant reach in his favor on the hands and legs. He uses those long arms to set up jabs and stay away from Dalby’s reaching left hook, but the slapping kick from Dalby is effective on the front leg. He goes for it two more times before having to reset and absorb a right hand on the chin. Dalby gets off with another kick, and Brown freezes him with a clubbing right hook. The Dane gathers himself and slings back, but the only one that lands is his low kick on the calf. Brown leaves himself wide open and is skipped with a left hand on the temple. Frustrated by the strike, “Rude Boy” puts everything he has into a left and a vicious right hand, not only staggering Brown but completely shattering his nose like Marsha and the football. Eternally tough, Dalby manages to bounce off the fencing and swing back, but he is compromised from a damage and breathing perspective. Brown does not go for broke, instead picking his shots carefully, and he inflicts further harm and swells up Dalby’s left eye. Dalby complains about an eye poke, and Peterson tells Brown to not leave his fingers outstretched. Brown acknowledges this and wings a right hand, only to get belted with a massive hook that knocks him off his feet. Dalby pounces, blood pouring from his destroyed nose, and he works Brown over with short ground strikes. Dalby uses his arm to control Brown, and he drops down one more elbow before the bell. The doctors are quick to assess Dalby’s condition, and they appear to partially reset his beak while tending to it. It probably will not stay that way for long when getting punched again in the next round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Round 2
Dalby is good to go, giving Peterson a thumbs-up even as his left eye is nearly closed. He is fired up, rushing after “Rude Boy” with swarming punches and swinging kicks. Brown flicks out jabs and front kicks, allowing Dalby to buzz past him, and he punctuates a combo with a hard body kick. Dalby strikes the front leg and comes up short with an overhand right, and Brown continues to pepper the face with jabs and a mean-spirited front kick. Brown’s jab keeps Dalby at bay until Dalby has had enough of taking them, walking through a knee to the body and launching a huge right hand. Brown bounces off the fence, in trouble but still in the fight, and he separates and backpedals. Dalby continues crashing towards his opponent, launching big right hands that force Brown to take desperate measures to stay out of danger. Brown grabs hold of Dalby in a brief clinch to turn him around and his back to the wall, and he measures his target with a step-in knee and a short but sweet right hand directly on the jaw that buckles Dalby’s knees. Dalby recognizes this and bounces on them to try to shake it off, and Brown uncorks a nasty right hand on the jaw that hurts “Danish Dynamite” badly. Dalby uses the fence behind him to stay upright, and Brown waits for Dalby to stand straight up and smashes him in the face with a ferocious overhand right and a speedy left to follow. Dalby not only takes them on the chin but fires back with his own short salvo, catching Brown but taking some punishment on the way in. The 40-year-old has to take a second to step back and assess his condition, and he evades a massive uppercut by a matter of millimeters. Brown keeps swinging, ignoring anything coming back his direction and unloading a nuclear missile of a right hand that explodes on the temple and puts Dalby down once and for all. Brown walks away, saluting his fallen adversary, while Peterson rushes in along with a doctor to check on Dalby who is crumpled in a heap. “Knockout of the Year,” you have a new contender as Dalby had never been finished as a professional and he is laying down face-first in a pool of his own blood. What an incredible knockout, concluding a titanic brawl that will remain on highlight reels for years to come. Dalby comes to, and he is able to applaud Brown for his handiwork.
The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Nicolas Dalby R2 1:39 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his youth, speed, technical striking, and high fight IQ. He notes that Nicolas Dalby relies on cardio and weird breathing, but Brown should piece him up and avoid danger. The only concern is a rogue judge who might appreciate Dalby's pressure, but Brown is the cleaner fighter.
Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing his youth, reach advantage, and the big cage favoring his range striking. He expects Brown to pick Dalby apart over three rounds and win a decision. He notes Brown often makes fights closer than expected, but still favors him.
Connor picks Dalby because of his relentless pressure and drive to win rounds, contrasting with Randy Brown's inconsistency and tendency to lose focus. Dalby's multi-layered pressure, durability, and strength will make the fight miserable for Brown, who often gets cornered and loses. Connor notes that Brown has all the tools but lacks the discipline to use them consistently.
The host believes Dalby's reliance on his hardware will deteriorate at age 40, allowing Brown to showcase flaws and batter Dalby from distance for a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, citing his improved savvy in three-round fights and ability to handle Dalby's pressure. He notes Brown's reach advantage and that Dalby's head kick won't work on a taller opponent. He expects Brown to win by decision or late TKO, as Dalby is older and has more wear and tear.
Zane picks Dalby, agreeing that Dalby's relentless pressure and ability to make fights ugly will overwhelm Brown, who is prone to making poor decisions and getting cornered. Zane points out that Brown's loss to Brian Battle is a blueprint for how Dalby can win. Dalby may not have the tools to dominate, but his drive and consistency will earn him rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 60 of 111 | 54% | 80 of 135 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 57 of 110 | 51% | 109 of 175 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 7:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 29 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 30 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 35 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 60 of 111 | 54% | 32 of 79 | 22 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 49 of 96 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 57 of 110 | 51% | 20 of 64 | 31 of 38 | 6 of 8 | 27 of 76 | 30 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 21 of 45 | 46% | 11 of 32 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 14 of 31 | 45% | 4 of 17 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 15 of 29 | 51% | 11 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 22 of 41 | 53% | 6 of 23 | 13 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 25 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bryan Battle | 24 of 37 | 64% | 10 of 22 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Brown | 21 of 38 | 55% | 10 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.
Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.
Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.
Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.
Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.
Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.
Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 0 | 67 of 141 | 47% | 89 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:42 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 26 of 76 | 34% | 42 of 94 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 5:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 34 of 71 | 47% | 35 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 9 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:32 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 19 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 3:52 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 14 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 67 of 141 | 47% | 50 of 120 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 61 of 133 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 26 of 76 | 34% | 8 of 50 | 3 of 9 | 15 of 17 | 24 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 34 of 71 | 47% | 24 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 9 of 34 | 26% | 2 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 8 of 18 | 44% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 25 of 52 | 48% | 19 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 14 of 35 | 40% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 13 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Randy Brown but with reduced confidence after studying Elizeu Zaleski. He believes Brown's length and range striking will keep him safe, and that Zaleski is chinny and can be dropped. However, he acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and ability to rally, so he leaves Brown out of the safety parlay.
Big Brady is fading Randy Brown, expecting the fight to go to decision. He thinks Brown won't shoot takedowns or get an early finish, and doesn't expect crazy volume. He notes if there is a finish, it likely comes from Zaleski dos Santos. He is comfortable staying away from Brown.
Cody picks Brown but is hesitant, acknowledging Zaleski's danger. He likes Brown's length, jab, and game plan but notes Brown has slowed down and his defensive grappling is suspect. Cody worries that Zaleski's power and forward pressure could sway judges. He plans to keep Brown low on parlays and might switch to Zaleski after weigh-ins.
Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff, emphasizing that Zaleski dos Santos relies on distance striking and leg kicks, but Brown's reach and takedown ability neutralize that. He sees Brown piecing him up from distance and potentially taking him down. Vreeland notes Brown is crafty everywhere and can adapt to any scenario.
Daniel likes Brown's recent confidence and footwork, and thinks Zaleski's chin is declining. He expects Brown to find openings with his jab and straight right, possibly getting a first-round KO. He laid -160 for two units.
Jeff Fox picks Randy Brown, citing his size advantage (4 inches height, 5 inches reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Brown is sneaky good, has no real weaknesses, and can win on the feet or with takedowns. Fox believes Zaleski dos Santos will struggle to deal with Brown's reach and pressure, and that Brown can mix in wrestling to keep things interesting.
The host expects Brown to use his size, reach, and footwork to keep Zaleski at range and win a decision. Zaleski's inactivity and age are concerns, and his unorthodox style may not overcome Brown's disciplined jab and movement. Brown's recent improvements in range management should allow him to cruise to a decision victory.
Paul leans toward Zaleski as a dog, citing his forward pressure, damaging blows, and ability to land bigger shots. He notes Brown's style is conservative and may not impress judges, while Zaleski's aggression and power could sway them. Paul mentions Zaleski's age (37) but says he still throws heat and has good cardio. He sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, believing his height and reach will trouble Zaleski dos Santos. He notes that Zaleski struggles against taller opponents and is older (37) with potential decline. Brown has good boxing at range and recent TKO wins. He predicts Brown by TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 1 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 1 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 13 of 46 | 28% | 6 of 33 | 1 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Muslim Salikhov | 10 of 22 | 45% | 0 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 11 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 13 of 46 | 28% | 6 of 33 | 1 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Muslim Salikhov | 10 of 22 | 45% | 0 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 11 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-245), Salikhov (+200)
Round 1
A killer welterweight matchup originally scheduled for UFC 296 in December, rescheduled due to Brown falling ill, now blesses “UFC Vegas 85.” While Brown and Salikhov lose the full-arena vibe, they do see their scrap promoted from curtain-jerker to feature fight. Lubbock, Texas’ own Kerry Hatley draws his final referee assignment of the night. The “Rude Boy” and “King of Kung Fu” immediately begin exchanging kicks. Salikhov goes low with quick calf kicks, which Brown counters with long flicking front kicks to the midsection. Salikhov tries a spinning wheel kick which falls short, but had murderous speed on it. A minute and a half in, not much has landed outside of low kicks, but it feels as though either man might bust this fight—and maybe his foe—wide open at any moment. Salikhov’s chopping kicks to Brown’s lead leg are starting to land with increasing frequency and force. Brown reaches out with his left hand and the extended fingers swipe Salikhov’s eye. The two touch hands in recognition of the foul before Hatley even calls time, but Salikhov does take his time to blink it out. They go back to work and Brown stocks out a fast jab, feints with his right hip and then comes back with a kick from the other side.
Out of nowhere, Brown crushes Salikhov with a jab and a blistering right cross. Salikhov goes down and Brown appears to hesitate before following up. With no stoppage forthcoming Brown lands a single standing-to-ground right on the turtled Russian, and that’s enough to spur Hatley into action.
Highlight-reel knockout from Randy Brown.
The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Muslim Salikhov R1 3:17 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his length and range management. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is dangerous but slowing down at 39, losing cardio and power. He expects Brown to use his reach, work takedowns, and out-technique the aging veteran.
Big Brady picks Randy Brown to win by second-round submission (club and sub). He notes that Brown is younger, bigger, has a massive reach advantage, better cardio, and better grappling. He questions Salikhov's age (believes he's older than 39) and notes his low volume, poor cardio, and grappling holes. Brady has been burned by Brown as a favorite before but thinks this is a good matchup.
Cody picks Brown, citing Salikhov's age (39), poor cardio, and low volume. Brown's reach and movement should keep him safe, and he expects Brown to win a decision or possibly a late finish. He notes Salikhov's only path is an early KO.
Brown uses his long reach and distance striking to pick opponents apart, and should be able to circle away from Salikhov's power. Salikhov is 39 and slowing down, with a speed disadvantage. Brown's takedown defense and ability to get back to his feet if taken down will be key. The host expects Brown to win decisively by decision.
Paul picks Brown, agreeing with Cody. He notes Brown's 9-inch reach advantage and Salikhov's decline. He likes Brown by decision at +120 but says the market is accurate and he may not bet it heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Muslim Salikhov, predicting a late TKO. He notes Salikhov is 39 and has looked his age, while Brown has an 8-inch reach advantage. He believes Brown can keep Salikhov at range with jabs, teeps, and low kicks, and that Salikhov's power is limited to a few shots. He trusts Brown's ability to avoid Salikhov's right hand, as he did against Khaos Williams.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 0 | 64 of 134 | 47% | 78 of 156 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 55 of 105 | 52% | 96 of 153 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 31 of 69 | 44% | 31 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 28 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 42 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 64 of 134 | 47% | 21 of 85 | 17 of 23 | 26 of 26 | 53 of 121 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 55 of 105 | 52% | 19 of 60 | 10 of 14 | 26 of 31 | 43 of 90 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 31 of 69 | 44% | 10 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 25 of 52 | 48% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 23 | 24 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 15 of 30 | 50% | 3 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 20 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 18 of 35 | 51% | 8 of 22 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 18 of 35 | 51% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Randy Brown, citing his length, power, takedown defense, and BJJ. He expects Brown to stay on the outside and jab, avoiding a ground game. He notes Wellington Turman's striking looked good in his last fight but doesn't think it will be enough against Brown's reach and skills.
Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing a significant striking advantage with a six-inch reach advantage. He notes Turman's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Andrew Sanchez. He acknowledges Turman's path to victory via wrestling but believes Brown's grappling is good enough to defend. He predicts a first-round knockout, especially if Turman has a bad weight cut.
Cody picks Brown, noting his speed and linear striking. He expects Turman to gas after the first round and Brown to take over. He mentions Turman's poor takedown accuracy and cardio issues.
Connor believes Randy Brown should win this fight easily. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Connor also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.
Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown, citing his length, skill, and experience. He notes Brown's occasional showboating and chin questions but thinks he is the more skilled fighter. He is not laying -220 due to Brown's inconsistency and Turman's danger, but picks Brown to win.
The host picks Randy Brown to win by decision. He believes Brown's slick striking and distance management will be too much for Turman, who struggles to close the distance and get takedowns. He notes Turman's grappling advantage is nullified if he can't get the fight to the ground, and expects Brown to pick him apart from range.
Paul picks Brown, citing his speed and reach advantage. He expects Brown to use his jab and movement to win a decision, though he notes Turman's strength and potential grappling. He considers live betting if Turman wins the first round.
The Guru picks Randy Brown, expressing concern about Wellington Turman moving down to welterweight. He believes Brown has a clear skill advantage on the feet and that Turman's weight cut will leave him vulnerable. He predicts Brown will pick Turman apart with knees and elbows in the clinch and finish by TKO in the second round after Turman fails takedown attempts.
Zane agrees that Randy Brown should win. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Zane also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Della Maddalena | 1 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 1 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Randy Brown | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Della Maddalena | 14 of 31 | 45% | 9 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Randy Brown | 11 of 39 | 28% | 6 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 14 of 31 | 45% | 9 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Randy Brown | 11 of 39 | 28% | 6 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Della Maddalena (-315), Brown (+260)
Round 1
Two welterweights on solid win streaks will enter, and only one will leave with it intact. Since losing his first two pro outings, Maddalena (13-2, 3-0 UFC) has strung 13 wins in a row, while Brown (16-4, 10-4 UFC) has rattled off four straight in the Octagon. A spot in the top 15 and a big next matchup likely looms for the victor, but this is no easy ask for either man first. Referee Marc Goddard will take charge of the cage in this “featured fight of the night,” and there is no fist bump before it all goes down. Brown uses his reach right out of the gate, pushing out a long jab to split the guard of the heavy-handed Aussie. A rude chant rains down against Brown, who is fighting a Perth local. Brown stays on the outside with front kicks, jab, single strikes and accurate blows to not let Maddalena close in on him. Maddalena strikes the low calf a few times, and Brown pushes off with his fingers outstretched and is warned for this. Brown picks and pokes at his foe with reaching strikes, switching stances and scoring teep kicks while circling away from Maddalena’s power. Maddalena blazes forward, and with a fiery right hand he scorches his opponent behind the ear. The resounding blow separates Brown from his faculties, who falls face-first to the mat. Maddalena leaps on top to pound on Brown, delivering punishment with hammerfist after unanswered hammerfist. Brown works his way to the wall, but in the process, he surrenders his back. Maddalena latches on from behind, and he sinks both hooks in and simultaneously sets up the rear-naked choke. The two are still dry and Maddalena is at full strength, so his squeeze is undeniable and the choke is securely fastened. The roof positively blows off as Brown taps out, with Perth’s own putting a stamp on a terrific performance. In an interview where he can barely hear himself think, Maddalena calls for a ranked opponent when he comes back from holiday, and he hopes to fight again in front of a home crowd soon.
The Official Result
Jack Della Maddalena def. Randy Brown R1 2:13 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Jack Della Maddalena, citing his high-volume jab and takedown defense. He notes that Randy Brown is a solid striker with reach and BJJ, but Jack's constant jab will disrupt Brown's rhythm. He warns that if Jack becomes a headhunter, Brown could find success, but he expects Jack to fight smart and win a decision.
Big Brady is high on Della Maddalena, citing his power, hand speed, and forward pressure. He acknowledges Brown's length and durability concerns but thinks Della Maddalena will close the distance and knock him out. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody is high on Della Maddalena, praising his volume, body work, and boxing technique. He notes Della Maddalena has finished all his UFC opponents by working the body and then landing kill shots. He thinks Randy Brown is hittable and will struggle with Della Maddalena's pressure and body attack. Despite the -300 price, he likes Della Maddalena stylistically.
Connor picks Della Maddalena, citing his relentless pressure and body punching as key advantages. He notes that Brown has a tendency to abandon his game plan and engage in brawls, which plays into Della Maddalena's strengths. Connor also mentions that Della Maddalena's combination punching and ability to mix targets will overwhelm Brown, who is inconsistent defensively. He acknowledges that Brown could win if he fights smart, but expects him to revert to bad habits.
Della Maddalena's combination striking and power will be too much for Brown. He mixes targets well (head and body) and has shown finishing ability with body shots. Brown's length and movement may cause early issues, but Della Maddalena will close distance and land. Brown's defensive grappling is solid but Della Maddalena's discipline and patience will allow him to find the knockout within the first 10 minutes. Expect a round two KO.
Paul agrees Della Maddalena is a rightful favorite, noting Brown is hittable and has been knocked down before. He mentions Brown's close fights and high strikes absorbed. However, he avoids betting -300 lines and thinks inside the distance is already minus money, so he'll pass on betting.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Della Maddalena over Randy Brown, praising his unique boxing style and head movement. He expects a first-round TKO via body-head combinations against the cage. He notes Brown has been finished recently and is older, but admits the odds are too high and sees some value in Brown.
Zane also picks Della Maddalena, emphasizing his pressure and body work. He notes that Brown is prone to getting distracted and fighting his opponent's fight, which will be fatal against a relentless fighter like Della Maddalena. Zane highlights that Della Maddalena's ability to mix punches to the body and head will exploit Brown's tall frame. He also mentions that Brown's best chance is to keep the fight at range, but he likely won't maintain that discipline.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.
Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.
Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.
Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.
Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.
Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.
Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.
Comments (1)
Bryan missed weight by 6 pounds. Randy the much more skillful fighter. Was the underdog +200. Bryan used the weight at times to tire out Randy. Randy overturned a few grabbling exchanges.
Middleweight debut for Bryan. Bryan has never been knocked out but has always been a bit bigger. Should be an entertaining fight. As they are both aggressive and need to be in the driving seat. I expect some fence grabbing, cheating. Some knockdowns?
Being Bryan Battle must suck on fight day, he has to be punched a few times before he can make it a scrap.
Such a quick turnaround for Ruz, he is still figuring out a jab, style ect. He's raw, cheats, big, head kick, ect Bryan is so basic will continue to spam what works in his limited arsenal. It works but its limited.